Today’s Topic: Creating “Winning” Business & Product Plans First Course Module Companies’ objectives Financial measures How companies bring products to market (roles/process/compensation) Creating “winning” business plans today Second Course Module the next four weeks Market/customer analysis (DLJdirect case – online brokerage) Competitive analysis (Airborne Express case – package delivery) Making product decisions (THINK case – electric cars) Midterm exam on product decisions (Mathsoft – engineering analysis software) Today’s Agenda Business/product plans: audience, content, and key aspects of a winning plan Homework: addressing some key business plan aspects (FHP Wireless case) Preparation for next week: reading/assignment on target customers (DLJdirect case) Business/Product Plan Learnings Content/scope of a business/product plan Critical aspects of a “winning” plan Differentiation: importance, definition, identification Start-ups: success factors, funding requirements, success profiles Uses of a Plan To decide what to do (planning = making decisions) To obtain funding/resources for execution of the plan (funding) To direct the various parts of the business (execution/communication) Business vs. Product Plan Business Plan: a plan for an overall business (company), used to obtain funding from external sources Product Plan: a plan for a product (one of a company’s offerings), used to obtain funding/resources from the company’s senior management (and possibly the board of directors) Objective of a “Winning” Plan Create a business/product that provides potential customers a better ”value minus price” proposition than competitors while managing costs and expenses so as to make profits (earnings) Business/Product Plan: Contents The company or team The product or service Market opportunity & customers Competition Sales and marketing plan Operations and support plan Financial projections Business/Product Plan: Key Contents Company/Team: people, skills, resources Product: “whole” product & its benefits Market: attractiveness & target customers Competition: differentiation !! Sales and marketing plan: sales channels Operations plan: cost & quality, service Financials: investor liquidity Uses of a Plan To decide what to do (planning = making decisions) To obtain funding/resources for execution of the plan (funding) To direct the various parts of the business (execution/communication) Obtaining Funding & Resources Existing company • from management • through budget authorization and staff assignment • based on a product plan • money available to management comes from operating cash flow, interest received, sale of stock, or increased debt New company/start-up • from investors and creditors • through formal documents/contracts • based on a business plan • money comes from the founders, friends & family, agencies, angels, venture capitalists, and/or banks Information and Advice on Starting a Business See course website under “Supplementary Materials” useful websites and texts, including www.bplans.com Source: The Industry Standard, 2000 Long Term Venture Performance 1980 – 2007 : 24,000 companies received venture financing 3,800 (16%) still private 3,400 (14%) went IPO 3,800 (16%) were acquired 13,000 (54%) returned zero for investors Source: Moneytree, PriceWaterhouse Coopers and National Venture Capital Association Types of Start-up Funding Grant: “money for nothing” Loan: money to be paid back, with interest Equity: money in return for equity (a portion of your company; preferred or common stock), to be “paid back” by making the stock valuable and liquid (sellable) Sources of Funds time Your (founders’) savings equity-c “Friends and family” equity/loan Research grants grant Economic development agencies all (grant) Angels equity-p/c Venture capitalists (VCs) equity-p Private equity firms equity-p Banks loan Some Agencies NJ Economic Development Authority NJ Technology Council (reference source) US gov’t – Defense, EPA, Homeland Security, NSF,… US Small Business Association/SBA (SBIR and STTR grants) Some Angel Groups Jumpstart NJ Angel Network AngelVine Tri-State Private Investors Network NYNMA Angels Common Angels (NY) Angel Capital Association (nat’l network directory) Angels and VCs Angels = part-time investors, acting individually or in “networks,” using their own money (personal assets); 234,000 active angel investors in US during 2006 VCs = professional full-time investors, working within a VC firm, investing other people’s money (the VC fund); 5,000 VC investors in US during 2006 Angels invest smaller amounts of money in earlier stage companies Angels Invest Early and Often company lifetime $20.9bn 2,876 deals $7.2M/deal $21.7bn 2,939 deals $7.4M/deal $25.5bn 3,416 deals $7.5M/deal VC VC VC Angel Angel Angel $22.5 bn 48,000 deals $468k/deal $23.1bn 49,500 deals $467k/deal $25.6bn 51,000 deals $501k/deal 2004 2005 Angels (2010): $20.1B; 61,900 deals 2006 Source: Jeff Sohl, Center for Venture Research University of New Hampshire Net value ( % of investors’ equity) Typical Financial Profile for Successful New Ventures Profit breakeven: 30 months 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 -10 8 Equity breakeven: 75 months -20 -30 -40 -50 Average of 157 companies -60 -70 Loss Profit Source: Timmons (1998) Years Where Is The Value Created? Relative Value 100% 10% 1% Idea Patent Practice Product Successful Business Product Development Phases Source: Bela Musits, High Peaks Ventures Which is why it’s said that…. “Good ideas are worth their weight in gold” (until?) Objective of a “Winning” Plan Create a business that provides potential customers a better “value minus price” proposition than competitors while managing the business (costs and expenses) to attain targeted profits (earnings) Business Plan: Contents The company The product or service Market opportunity & customers Competition Sales and marketing plan Operations and support plan Financial projections Business/Product Plan: Key Contents Company/Team: people, skills, resources Product: “whole” product & its benefits Market: attractiveness & target customers Competition: differentiation !! Sales and marketing plan: sales channels Operations plan: cost & quality, service Financials: investor liquidity The “Whole” Product: The Customer’s Perspective The Product The “Whole” Product: Everything Customers Really Care About The product itself Auxiliary or related products Price and cost-inservice Awareness and information Where it is sold Ease of choice, purchase, ordering Delivery Installation Payment method Storage/movement Aesthetics/style Advice on use Help in use (e.g., hotline) Returns/exchanges Service/repair Disposal and… Differentiation from Competitors’ Products Whole product differentiation is the answer to: Why do customers choose your product instead of somebody else’s ? (or buying nothing at all?) Product differentiators are the things that are unique or best about the whole product, compared to the customers’ other alternatives Potential areas for differentiation = dimensions of the whole product (product features, price, sales, marketing, customer service/support, brand, etc) Competitive Products include: Like-products: products of the same “type” e.g., airline flights provided by different competitors Substitute products: other ways the customer can obtain a similar benefit e.g., bus, train, auto, boat, video conferencing, letter Opportunity Assessment : Identifying Good Ideas see course website for details Is this an attractive market opportunity ? Can you attain a sustainable advantage ? Can you beat or co-opt competitors ? Market entry: can you find a way to “start” your business ? Do you have the ability to execute (to profit) ? Can you acquire the necessary funding/resources? Opportunity Analysis Markets: size/growth, substitutes, customer characteristics, need/benefit analysis, buyer power, costs to acquire/serve/retain customers (more on this next week) Competitors: incumbents, rivalry, strengths and weaknesses, competitive response, co-opting possibilities (more on this in two weeks) FHP Wireless case Timeframe is late 2002 FHP has invented a unique (?) technology for building wide-area wireless data networks Their first-year sales efforts have been mostly unsuccessful They need to decide which customers to target: current targets, telecommunications companies, or public safety ……and whether they need to change/enhance their product They are just about out of money, and are looking for additional investors Homework Questions What are the reasons FHP Wireless is having difficulty in getting sales and revenues? How can they make their (whole) product more appealing to potential customers? How is FHP’s solution differentiated from customers’ other alternatives? Which customer(s) should they pursue? Why? Market Alternatives Enterprise: warehouse/factory, gaming industry, hospitals, education campuses Service provider: telephone and wireless carriers Government: local public safety Customers’ Competitive Alternatives Substitute products - wired networks - CDPD - Motorola radio Like-products - Hotspot Wi-Fi - Wireless mesh What are the reasons FHP Wireless is having difficulty in getting sales and revenues? Enabling environment problematic? Target customer benefit insufficient? Marketing and/or sales issues? Inability to deliver (installation, service)? How is FHP’s solution differentiated from customers’ other alternatives? Which customer(s) should they pursue? Why? Selecting Target Customers: some considerations Segment size and revenue opportunity Customer benefits Customer interest Customer ability-to-pay and leverage Competition/market coverage Sales issues: sale time/complexity, cost, channel and associated profit margin Cost to serve/support Customer loyalty/lock-in Strategic value How can they make their (whole) product more appealing to potential customers? ( it depends on the target customer ! ) Business/Product Plan Learnings Content/scope of a business/product plan Critical aspects of a “winning” plan Differentiation: importance, definition, identification Start-ups: success factors, funding requirements, success profiles Next Week: Choosing target markets and target customers DLJdirect case Readings for Next Week DLJdirect: “Putting our Reputation Online” (topic: deciding on “target customers”) DLJdirect Case: Summary Case timeframe: 1999-2000 DLJdirect has a successful online brokerage business targeting “aggressively affluent” customers Other customer segments are growing faster DLJdirect has to decide whether to address additional customer segments and whether to significantly increase its advertising to attract those customers Since 2000….. Early 2001: DLJ acquired by Credit Suisse First Boston; DLJdirect becomes CSFBdirect Late 2001: CSFB sells CSFBdirect to Bank of Montreal; CSFBdirect becomes Harrisdirect 2005: Harrisdirect sold to E*TRADE Securities; Harrisdirect merged into etrade Online Stock Trading Customer (trader) Online Broker customer’s account Marketmaker Stock Exchange Clearinghouse Important Hint: there are 6 sources of revenue From End-customers • Trading commissions • Account management fees • Interest on margin purchases From partners • Order flow rebates • Mutual fund and money market fees • iNautix revenues (software development for other companies) You will find other hints and useful information in the class materials for next week Advice on Case Reading It’s long…..don’t wait until the last minute; scan it first, then read it twice Make sure you understand the four customer segments identified (size, characteristics, needs, serving requirements) Understand the company’s financial situation (Exhibits 16 and 17) Assignment for Next Class see questions on next two slides The first 5 questions represent a “methodology” for making target customer decisions! Assignment Questions Are DLJdirect’s financial results “good”? Stable? Does DLJdirect have the financial capability to address new segments, e.g. to modify it’s whole product, or to do more advertising to attract new kinds of customers? How much money might be available in 2000? Identify the ways DLJdirect’s service is differentiated from competitors What are the key needs of each of the four customer segments? Which are well-matched to DLJdirect’s differentiators and other capabilities? Use your judgment to rank the customer segments according to the profit potential in serving them (hint: consider both size of the segment and the average profit/customer in that segment) Assignment Questions (continued) Assuming DLJdirect continues to target the aggressively affluent segment: Should DLJdirect also target the Get Rich Fast (day trader) segment? Why? In your opinion, is there another customer segment that DLJdirect should target? Why?