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Setting the Stage

Dr. J. Phillip London

Executive Chairman and

Chairman of the Board

CACI International Inc

Dealing with Today’s Asymmetric Threat

The Symposium Reports

2008 to Present

2

An Ancient Challenge

“All warfare is based on deception”

The Art of War

Sun Tzu

6 th Century BC

3

What If…

Washington hadn’t crossed the Delaware?

The Surprise at Trenton

Operation Fortitude had failed?

The Deception at Pas de Calais

4

The Oldest Tricks in the Book

Trojan Horse c.

1194–1184 BC

Battle of

Agincourt 1415

9/11

Arab Spring

2010-2011

5

Today’s Symposia

Frame the highly complex challenges of surprise, denial and deception

Strengthen our threat assessment capabilities, improve Indications and

Warning systems

Facilitate better decision-making across government

Stop falling for the age old tricks of surprise, denial and deception

6

Decision Superiority – Perception

Surprise

Contradicts perception

Denial

Prevents perception

Deception

Distorts perception

7

Decision Superiority – Perception

Battle of Waterloo – 1815

8

Decision Superiority – Target vs. Victim

9

Decision Superiority – Duality

Knowledge Human Public Sector

Capabilities Technical Private Sector

10

Moving Toward Decision Superiority

“Men are so simple and yield so readily to the desires of the moment that he who will trick will always find another who will suffer to be tricked.”

–Niccolo Machiavelli

“The Prince”

11

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