A paper presented by
Hon. Gervase B K Akhaabi,
LLB (Hons.) (Nbi); Dip. Phil.; PGD Trade Policy and Law (Dist.)
(Lund).
AT
THE INAUGRAL KWALE COUNTY INVESTMENT CONFERENCE
24 th to 30 th August, 2014
The economic structure of a country refers to;
the economic diversification;
the variety of the export sectors and commodities.
Economic structure
will determine the value of the produce;
The price of the produce;
the technological sophistication of the economy; and
Ability to withstand shocks
• diversification of the economy; by
• re-allocating resources from low economic productive activities to the more productive ones
• expansion of the production and export sectors and commodities.
• modernization of small-holder agriculture
• integration into fast growing agri-business and agroindustries
• decline in the share of agriculture and increase of manufacturing and services in GDP and employment.
• When focused on economic efficiency an economy’s ability to trade and invest are increased and growth and development will result
• Structural reforms come in different forms, shapes and effects in different societies.
• However, they should have as primary objectives of:a) Opening the market through trade reforms; b) Lowering the cost of doing business; c) Increasing production; d) Stimulating growth and investments; and e) Creating wealth and improving the people’s wellbeing
• Agricultural commodity production and export
(21% of GDP);
• narrow and low level manufacturing and export (16%);
• services especially tourism, financial and telecommunication (62.3%); and
• development assistance
largest economy in the East Africanregion
growing at about 4.7 %,
low income devolping economy
GDP the US$54 billion in 2014
Steady growth - 1963 and 1973
Decline – 1974 -1993
Stagnation – 1994 – 2003
Trade and investment catalytic in economic development
Trade and investment in agricultural production and commodities
Development assistance
Services including financial telecommunication and tourism
Industrial production and manufacturing
and better performance than many other African countries in similar circumstances
• Middle-income economy
Vision 2030 - by 2030
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the
World Bank (WB) – on the verge
Kenya and the Kwale County should both focus on economic growth and development
Both economic structural and trade reforms are mandatory
Potential of County as Kenya transits to middle-income economy.
The economic structure and the resources in
Kwale County -
How do these structures and resources help the people of Kwale to make the transition.
What reforms if any are required to facilitate the transition.
• An agricultural commodity-dependent county
• Dominated by small-scale agriculture - County 98% low agricultural potential; sparse and unpredictable rainfall
• dry and poor soils; high soil erosion
• Other than sugar cane no major cash crop
• Tourism – major employer challenged by insecurity
• Mining; and
• Manufacturing – sugar mills
• Land not registered or otherwise with issues
• Commodity-dependence – a factor for Africa’s economic stagnation
• Constitution of Kenya, 2010
Establishes a county government
Devolution - right of the people to participate in making decisions
managing their own affairs and furthering their development.
Efficient and effective service delivery.
• Promotion of social and economic development; and
• Guaranteeing the provision of proximate, easily available services based upon set values and principles.
• County governments to have reliable sources of revenue to enable them to govern and deliver services effectively
• Consultation and cooperation with national government.
• Agriculture, veterinary services, other than policy
- functions the county governments.
• trade, other than international trade and trade policy in as far as it may form part of the National economic policy - county governments.
• Two levels of government to ensure that Kenya attains the middle-income status.
• Counties and their governments active and critical participants in this transition.
• Address land ownership and tenure to facilitate access to bank credit
• Improve agricultural production – facilitate access to farm inputs and raise incomes from farming
• Where possible, use irrigation
• Address marketing by improving transport infrastructure
• Establish agribusiness and encourage value addition - industrialize
• Form and improve cooperatives
• Transformation possible ifa) Both the national and county governments commit themselves to develop infrastructure; b) Prudently trade with and utilize the natural resources for the benefit of the people c) Transparent and accountable processes are used. d) Both levels of government invest in education and skills development and
e) Both levels of government promote improvement in agricultural productivity and value addition. f) Diversification and expansion of the sources of economic growth and opportunity are g) The Country encouraged to expand its market hold by actively promoting and participating in regional economic integration processes
• Structural reforms
Foster an environment that supports efficient functioning of the market
Contribute to macroeconomic stability, productivity and growth
Lead to higher real wages, higher standards of living and more attractive returns to investment