Federal Finance Issues that Affect the States Sam Rosen-Amy August 2014 Federal Spending in the States Main Types of Federal Spending in the States • Grants • Contracts • Salaries and wages • Direct payments • Retirement • Non-Retirement Federal Spending in the States FY 2010 outlays relative to state GDP 40% 36% 35% 30% 25% 22% 20% 15% 12% 10% 5% 0% New Mexico South Dakota Michigan Kansas Ohio Retirement and Disability Payments Grants Salaries and Wages National National AAverage Average Nebraska New York Delaware Medicare and other Direct Payments Procurement Source: Pew analysis of the U.S. Census Bureau’s Consolidated Federal Funds Report data. Federal Grants as Share of States’ Revenues FY 2012 50% 45% 45% 40% 35% 32% 30% 25% 20% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Mississippi Missouri Ohio Iowa National Average Pennsylvania Source: Pew analysis of the U.S. Census Bureau’s Annual Survey of State Government Finances data. Illinois Alaska Federal Grants as a Percentage of State Revenues 1961-2012 40% 35.4% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Recessions United States Source: Pew analysis of the U.S. Census Bureau’s Annual Survey of State Government Finances data. Federal Grants to States Over Time Total Budget Authority, Adjusted for Inflation Base FY 2008 60% Percent Change from FY 2008 50% 40% 30% 18% 20% 10% 0% FY 2006 -10% FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 Recession Source: Pew analysis of Federal Funds Information for States data. FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 Trends in Federal Grants to States Change in FY 2008 to FY 2014 Total Budget Authority, Adjusted for Inflation Source: Pew analysis of Federal Funds Information for States data. Federal – State Tax Connections Mark Robyn August 2014 Federal-State Tax Connections Statutory links between state and federal tax codes Assistance through the federal tax code Economic impact Federal-State Tax Connections Statutory links between state and federal tax codes Assistance through the federal tax code Economic impact Conformity Pros Cons • Simplicity • Revenue • Compliance • Uncertainty • Ease of administration Conformity: Starting Points Conformity: Types of Provisions Deductions e.g.: Itemized Deductions Credits e.g.: Earned Income Tax Credit e.g.: Child Care Credit Federal-State Tax Connections Statutory links between state and federal tax codes Assistance through the federal tax code Economic impact Federal Support to States Through the Tax Code Federal deduction for state and local taxes paid • Reduced taxes by $45 billion Federal exclusion of interest on state and local bonds • Reduced taxes by $26 billion Federal-State Tax Connections Statutory links between state and federal tax codes Assistance through the federal tax code Economic impact Geographic Distribution: Mortgage Interest Deduction Average deduction per tax filer, by state, 2011 pewtrusts.org/fiscal-federalism