Chapter 8 The Wage Structure McGraw-Hill/Irwin Labor Economics, 4th edition Copyright © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 8-3 Introduction • Some workers will earn more than others - Productivity differences - Rate of return to skills will differ • This chapter considers the factors that contribute to the shape of the wage distribution 8-4 The Earnings Distribution • The wage distribution is positively skewed (long right tail) • A small percent of workers earn disproportionately large shares of the rewards for work 8-5 The Wage Distribution in the United States, 2002 18 15 Percent 12 9 6 3 0 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 Weekly Earnings 2,500 3,000 8-6 Facts About the Earnings Distribution • Wage differentials exist due to - Human capital investments that vary from worker to worker - Age (young workers are still accumulating human capital, older workers are collecting returns from earlier investments • There is a positive correlation between ability and human capital investments, which “stretches out” wages in the population 8-7 Income Distribution When Workers Differ in Ability Rate of Interest MRRL MRR* MRRH r HL H* HH 8-8 The Lorenz Curve and the Gini Coefficient B 1 0.8 Share of income Perfect-equality Lorenz curve 0.6 0.4 Actual Lorenz curve 0.2 A C 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Share of households 0.8 1 The “perfect-equality” Lorenz-curve is given by the line AB, indicating that each quintile of households gets 20 percent of aggregate income, while the Lorenz curve describing the actual income distribution lies below it. The ratio of the shaded area to the area in the triangle ABC gives the Gini coefficient. 8-9 Changes in the Wage Structure – the 1980s • The wage gap between those at the top of the wage distribution and those at the bottom widened dramatically • Wage differentials widened among education groups, experience groups, and age groups • Wage differentials widened within demographic and skill groups 8 - 10 Earnings Inequality for Full-Time, YearRound Workers, 1963-2003, Gini Coefficient 0.45 Gini Coefficient 0.4 Men 0.35 0.3 Women 0.25 0.2 1960 1970 1980 1990 Year 2000 2010 8 - 11 Earnings Inequality for Full-Time, YearRound Workers, 1963-2003, 90-10 Wage Gap 450 400 Percent wage gap Men 350 300 Women 250 200 150 1960 1970 1980 1990 Year 2000 2010 8 - 12 Earnings Inequality for Full-Time, YearRound Workers, 1963-2003, 50-10 Wage Gap 150 Percent wage gap 130 Men 110 Women 90 70 50 1960 1970 1980 1990 Year 2000 2010 8 - 13 Wage Differential Between College Graduates and High School Graduates, 1963-2001 100 90 Percent 80 70 60 50 40 1960 1970 1990 1980 Year 2000 2010 8 - 14 Why Did Wage Inequality Increase? • No single factor explains the changes • The increase in inequality seems to be caused by concurrent changes in economic “fundamentals” and labor market institutions 8 - 15 Changing the Wage Structure • Decrease in supply of skilled workers will cause widening of wage gap • Increase in demand for skilled workers will cause widening of wage gap 8 - 16 Possible Factors That Widened the Wage Gap • Globalization of U.S. economy • Demand for skilled workers increased by more than the demand increase for unskilled workers • Increased physical capital helped to increase the productivity of skilled workers • Weakened bargaining power of unions could be from the relative shift in demand for skilled labor 8 - 17 Changes in the Wage Structure Resulting from Shifts in Supply and Demand Relative Wage of Skilled Workers S0 r1 S1 C r0 A D1 B D0 p0 p1 The downward-sloping demand curve implies that employers wish to hire relatively fewer skilled workers when the relative wage of skilled workers is high. The perfectly inelastic supply curve indicates that the relative number of skilled workers is fixed. Initially, the labor market is in equilibrium at point A. Suppose the relative supply of skilled workers increased to S1. The rising relative wage of skilled workers can then be explained only if there was a sizable outward shift in the relative demand curve (ending up at point C). Relative Employment of Skilled Workers 8 - 18 The Earnings of Superstars • Superstar phenomenon – a few persons in some professions earn very high salaries and seem to dominate their field • This suggests that even if a job is the same, different people bring different skills to the same job 8 - 19 Inequality Across Generations • There is a correlation between the skills of parents and their children • High-income parents will typically invest more in the education of their children • There is a tendency for income differences across families to get smaller over time (“regression toward the mean”) 8 - 20 The Intergenerational Link in Skills The slope of the regression line linking the earnings of the children and the earnings of the parents is called an intergenerational correlation. If the slope is equal to 1, the wage gap between any two parents persists entirely into the next generation, and there is no regression toward the mean. If the slope is equal to 0, the wage of the children is independent of the wage of the parents, and there is complete regression toward the mean. Earnings of Children A, Slope = 1 C, Slope is between 0 and 1 B, Slope = 0 45 Earnings of Parents 8 - 21 Social Capital • The quality of the environment where a child grows up helps determine human capital • There is evidence that varied factors influence a child’s level of human capital - Quality of neighborhood - Importance of religious organizations - Socioeconomic background of classmates 8 - 22 End of Chapter 8