 Press the right-arrow button 
Student scores are confidential.
Therefore
theProjected
example below is merely a
How Do I Interpret
and Use the
to
advance
through
TVAAS
Scores None
Spreadsheet
the data
TVAAS
Website? below
simulation model.
of thefrom
score
displayed
is real.
this presentation
Slide 1
FAQ
Source: TVAAS website as of July 2013
Website String: TVAAS website, Export, Data, Student Projections, Exported Files
Percentile Projections
Based on past testing history in your subject area and all other tested subjects
areas over the last 3 to 5 years
 Is computed by SAS as a projection of what this student is likely to score if he
or she receives an average education from an average teacher for this subject at an
average school in Tennessee
Source reference: (provided on slide 5)
FAQ
How Do I Interpret and Use the Projected
Scores Spreadsheet from the TVAAS Website?
TVAAS
Slide 2
More About TVAAS Percentile Projections
Are percentile scores and not percentages! (They are not the same thing)
 Percentiles are determined by graphing all the score data in a normal curve
distribution (a bell curve).
Example: A student that scored in the 80th percentile scored equal or higher than
(see image below)
80% of all the students that took that same test.
FAQ
How Do I Interpret and Use the Projected
Scores Spreadsheet from the TVAAS Website?
TVAAS
Slide 3
How to Use These Percentile Projections
I recommend that you convert them into percentage scores
which are commonly used by many teachers for scoring quizzes and tests
Perhaps the easiest and most accurate way to do this is to simply use
your student's TCAP Quick Scores from last year along with their actual
TCAP scores from last year
Quick Scores have already been converted into percentage format for us
 Make a chart showing each student's Quick Score. Then match that
student's name with what he or she actually scored on the TCAP test.
Then delete all the names and student ID numbers, fill in the gaps, and
you will have a valid conversion table for percentages to percentiles to use
for this year's students
Once you have your conversion table, make a list with this year's
student's names
FAQ
How Do I Interpret and Use the Projected
Scores Spreadsheet from the TVAAS Website?
TVAAS
Slide 4
How to Use These Percentile Projections (Continued)
Use the current projected scores report from TVAAS to obtain the
percentile projections for your current students
 Use your conversion table created from last year's data to convert these
percentiles into percentages
Use the percentage projections as target goals with your current students
For any and every appropriately aligned quiz or test, you can challenge
your current students to earn a score equal or greater than the projected
score
I recommend that you inflate the projection by 5 to 10 percentage points
to make sure you are adequately challenging your students
If you can enable your students to consistently earn 5 to 10 points above
their projected score then it is very probable that they will show growth
with the TCAP test 
Student scores are confidential.
the Use
example below is merely a
How Do ITherefore
Interpret and
TVAAS
simulation model.
of the score
data displayed
below
is real.
theNone
Achievement
Probabilities
Data
FAQ
Slide 5
You can View TVAAS Student Projections Two Ways: (1) View Individual Student
Reports (as shown below), or view all students in a single spreadsheet format (I have
instruction for the spreadsheet format in a separate PP presentation.
Report:
Student Projection Report
Source:
TVAAS
Student:
Johnwebsite
Doe 02 as of August 2013
Expressed in State %-tiles
Projection: 8th TCAP Science
Website String:
99
(for Individual90Student Reports)
80
1) Log in to theTVAAS
website,
70
2) Select the Reports
tab
60
50
3) Future Academic
Performance,
40
4) School (Single
Grade) Future Academic Performance,
30
20
5) select the grade
level,
10
6) select the test
and subject,
01
7) select either advance, accelerate II, or accelerate I,
8) select a student's name,
9) select the subject,
10) select student reports,
11) select student projection reports
Projection: 8th TCAP Science
Projected State Percentile
81
Probability of Success
Basic
Proficient
Advanced
99.9%
99.2%
55.1%
FAQ
How Do I Interpret and Use the Projected
Scores Spreadsheet from the TVAAS Website?
TVAAS
Slide 6
Reference Sources about TVAAS Score Projections/Predictions
For more details about EVAAS/TVAAS projection methodology, read the
following two documents
(1) "What Should Teachers Know About TVAAS Student Probabilities?"
-(2011 SAS Policy Brief by Cathy Brinsfield )
-access it via the TVAAS log on webpage under "Training and Development"
Link: TVAAS Log On Webpage
(2) "Measurement of Academic Growth of Individual Students toward Variable
and Meaningful Academic Standards "
-(2006 SAS White Paper by Wright, Sanders, and Rivers )
Link: SAS White Paper about score projections