Data Analysis & Interpretation Intermediate Injury Prevention August 23-26, 2011 Billings, MT Data Analysis & Interpretation Session Objectives: Review basic epidemiologic concepts & terms. Describe and apply basic statistics to injury prevention. Data Analysis & Interpretation Epidemiologic Concepts & Terms Epidemiology Population-based Injuries are not random Morbidity v. Mortality Risk Data Analysis & Interpretation Epidemiologic Concepts & Terms Epidemiology: “The study of the distribution and determinants of health-related states or events in specified populations, and the application of this study to control health problems” - A Dictionary of Epidemiology Who What Where Why When How Data Analysis & Interpretation Epidemiologic Concepts & Terms Epidemiology is POPULATION-BASED (concerned with the community, not the individual). Leading Causes of Unintentional Injury Death, Florida, 1999-2006 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. MVC Poisoning Fall Drowning Suffocation Data Analysis & Interpretation Epidemiologic Concepts & Terms Injury is not randomly distributed in a population. 30 MP272.5 Crashes 25 20 15 10 5 0 269 270 271 270 272 272 273 273 274 275 Milepost Data Analysis & Interpretation Epidemiologic Concepts & Terms Mortality Morbidity Fatalities Non-fatal Data easier to obtain Difficult to obtain Tip of the pyramid More complete description of the magnitude of the problem Data Analysis & Interpretation Epidemiologic Concepts & Terms Risk: “The probability that an event will occur.” - A Dictionary of Epidemiology Data Analysis & Interpretation Epidemiologic Concepts & Terms Risk Factor: “An attribute or exposure…associated with an increased probability of a specific outcome…” “A determinant that can be modified by intervention, thereby reducing the probability of occurrence of …specified outcomes.” - A Dictionary of Epidemiology What’s the Greater Risk? Data Analysis & Interpretation Basic Statistics Numeric Value Proportions Rates YPLL Data Analysis & Interpretation Basic Statistics Numeric Value – (amount) Very common Easy to understand Cannot be compared Does not indicate risk Data Analysis & Interpretation Basic Statistics Proportional Distribution 14 % 73 % Commonly used Simple calculation Sum of all values = 100% Can be misleading 3% N =225 Not a measure of risk Data Analysis & Interpretation Basic Statistics - Rates “…comparing apples to oranges…” Data Analysis & Interpretation Basic Statistics - Rates Rate: “An expression of the frequency with which an event occurs in a defined population over a specific period of time and converted to a whole number by multiplying to some power of 10 (usually 10,000 or 100,000).” - A Dictionary of Epidemiology Data Analysis & Interpretation Basic Statistics - Rates Rate Community A 150 per 100,000 Community B 100 per 100,000 Community C 50 500per per10,000 100,000 Data Analysis & Interpretation Basic Statistics Rate Number of cases Population at risk (same exposure period) X 10n or (K) Data Analysis & Interpretation Basic Statistics Rate 17 Cases 13,000 Population X 100,000 Standard Pop. (same time period) = 131 per 100,000 population Data Analysis & Interpretation Basic Statistics - Rates Selected Types of Rates Crude Rate Specific Rate Adjusted Rate Data Analysis & Interpretation Basic Statistics - Rates Rates Accurate numerator Estimated denominator Used primarily for comparison Indicator of risk Data Analysis & Interpretation Basic Statistics YPLL = Years of Potential Life Lost Measure of Premature Death YPLL = 65 - age at death Data Analysis & Interpretation Summary Epidemiology serves as a foundation Many data analysis methods Importance of rates Utilize available resources Communicate your findings Data Analysis Exercise