Legal Argumentation 2 Henry Prakken March 28, 2013 The structure of arguments: basic elements (Basic) arguments have: Premises (grounds) A conclusion A reasoning step from the premises to the conclusion Conclusion therefore Premise 1 ….. Premise n Three types of support P Cumulative (all premises needed for conclusion) E is expert on P E says that P The offer was written Alternative (one premise suffices for conclusion) The offer was made in a letter The offer was made in an email S was at crime scene Aggregate (the more support the better) S’s DNA matches DNA found at crime scene Witness W saw S at crime scene Implicit premises The offer was written The offer was made in a letter Implicit premises The offer was written The offer was made in a letter If an offer is made in a letter or email then it is written Manslaughter Intent Killed Art. 287 CC Recklessness Collision Police radars are a reliable source of information on speed Victim died Caused by collision Report coroner Report coroner Drove 180 where max 80 Police radar Witness: “collision” Computer log file Police report: “collision” Overview of course Week 1: Basic structure of arguments Week 2: Combinations of premises implicit premises Multi-step arguments Arguments and counterarguments Argument schemes (1) Week 3: Argument schemes (2) Evaluating argument Legal reasoning: three stages Determining the facts of the case Classifying the facts under the conditions of a legal rule Applying the rule Legal reasoning is considering arguments pro and con Determining the facts of the case Classifying the facts under the conditions of a legal rule conflicting sources of evidence generalisations with exceptions … Interpretation rules can have exceptions conflicting interpretations … Applying the rule Conflicting rules Reasons not to apply the rule … Example “Vehicles are not allowed in the park” Evidence problems General terms Exceptions Purpose of the rule Principle Legal reasoning is adversarial Legal cases involve clashes of interest Dispute study constructing and attacking arguments Arguments and counterarguments Three types of counterarguments (Basic) arguments have: Premises (grounds) A conclusion A reasoning step from the premises to the conclusion So arguments can be attacked on: Their premises Their conclusion Except if deductive The reasoning step from premises to conclusion Except if deductive Deductive vs defeasible arguments All men are mortal Socrates is a man Therfore, Socrates is mortal Documents that look like avidavits usually are avidavits This document looks like an avidavit Therefore this is an avidavit Deductive vs defeasible arguments All men are mortal Socrates is a man Therefore, Socrates is mortal Documents that look like avidavits usually are avidavits This document looks like an avidavit Therefore (presumably) this is an avidavit Attack on conclusion Smoking increases the chance of cancer E1 says so E1 is oncologist Smoking does not increase the chance of cancer E2 says so E2 is oncologist Attack on premise Smoking increases the chance of cancer E1 says so E1 is oncologist E1 only says that there is no evidence that smoking does not increase the chance of cancer Fragment 1 experts examination report Attack on premise is often attack on intermediate conclusion Smoking increases the chance of cancer E1 says so Fragment 2 experts examination report E1 is oncologist E1 only says that there is no evidence that smoking does not increase the chance of cancer Fragment 1 experts examination report Attack on inference step Smoking increases the chance of cancer E1 says so Smoking does not increase the chance of cancer E1 is oncologist E2 says so E2 is biased E2 is paid by Marlboro Experts are often biased towards who pays them E2 is oncologist Argument schemes and Critical questions Argument schemes: general form Premise 1, …, Premise n Therefore (presumably), conclusion But also critical questions Negative answers are counterarguments Role of critical questions Critical questions are pointers to counterarguments Some point to attacks on a premise Some point to attacks on a conclusion Some point to attacks on an inference Legal rule application (simplistic) IF conditions THEN legal consequence conditions So, legal consequence Legal rule application: critical questions Is the rule valid? Is the rule applicable to this case? Must the rule be applied? Is there a statutory exception? Does applying the rule violate its purpose? Does applying the rule have bad consequences? Is there a principle that overrides the rule? Reasoning with generalisations Guilt P If P then normally Q So (presumably), Q Fleas If flees then normally guilt People who flee from a crime scene normally have consciousness of guilt Critical questions: How strong is the connection? Is there an exception? Illegal immigrant? Client of prostitute? … How are generalisations justified? Scientific research (induction) Very reliable Experts Commonsense Individual opinions Prejudice? Very unreliable Inducing generalisations (1) In the investigated cases most P’s were Q’s So (presumably), most P’s are Q’s Most experts are called in the initial stages of the proceedings In the investigated cases most experts were called in the initial stages of the proceedings Critical questions: Was the sample large enough? was the selection of test cases biased? Inducing generalisations (2) Almost all observed P’s were Q’s Therefore (presumably), If P then usually Q A ballpoint shot with this type of bow will usually cause this type of eye injury In 16 of 17 tests the ballpoint shot with this bow caused this type of eye injury Critical questions: Was the size of the sample large enough? was the sample selection biased? Expert testimony E is expert on D E says that P P is within D Therefore (presumably), P is the case Critical questions: Is E biased? Is P consistent with what other experts say? Is P consistent with known evidence? Witness testimony Witness W says P Therefore (presumably), P Critical questions: Is W sincere? Is W’s memory OK? Were W’s senses OK? Analogy (normative) Relevantly similar cases should be decided in the same way This case is relevantly similar to that precedent Therefore (presumably), this case should have The same outcome as the precedent Critical questions: Are there also relevant differences between the cases? Are there conflicting precedents? Analogy (factual) Relevantly similar cases have the same outcome This case is relevantly similar to that case Therefore (presumably), this case will have The same outcome as that case Critical questions: Are there also relevant differences between the cases? Are there conflicting similar cases? Temporal persistence (Forward) P is true at T1 and T2 is later than T1 Therefore (presumably), P is still true at T2 Critical questions: Was P known to be false between T1 and T2? Is the gap between T1 and T2 too long? Temporal persistence (Backward) P is true at T2 and T1 is earlier than T2 Therefore (presumably), P was already true at T1 Critical questions: Was P known to be false between T1 and T2? Is the gap between T1 and T2 too long? S murdered V d.m.p. V murdered in house at 4:45 If V murdered in L at T and S was in L at T, then (presumably) S murdered V X in 4:45 forw temp pers S entered 4:30 S entered 4:30 S in 4:45 aggr S in 4:45 backw temp pers S left 5:00 testimony testimony W1: “S entered 4:30” W2: “S left 5:00” 35 Next week Argument schemes (2) Evaluating arguments