Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach PERFORMANCE MONITORING USING VALUE ADDED DATA (Post – 16) Keith Murdoch Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Overview of Presentation • Context: The College, the locality and some political drivers • An overview of Woodhouse College’s Performance Monitoring approach • Performance Monitoring – College – Departments – Students • Concluding musings Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Woodhouse College: 1,145 16-19 full time students • 99% A – level provision • 58% Female • 54% BME • Enrolments from 140+ schools Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Value Added & the Common Inspection Framework Outcomes for Learners • Learners’ attainment and progress Quality of Provision • Effectiveness of teaching, training and assessment in supporting learning and development • Effectiveness of the care, guidance and support learners receive Leadership and Management • Raising expectations and promoting ambition • Actively promoting equality and diversity to narrow the achievement gap • Effectiveness of self assessment Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach PERFORMANCE MONITORING Key Elements: Using value added data • Monitoring Student Progress / Student Reviews • Lesson Observation • Internal Inspections • Every Child Matters • Diversity and Equality • Self Assessment: Department / College Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach SELF ASSESSMENT • How well do you know your Department / College? • How well do you know your data? • Can you accurately identify your weaknesses? • Do you have the capacity to make improvements? • Can you provide evidence to demonstrate improvements? Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Performance Monitoring Using ALIS to monitor achievement & attitudes with feedback to 3 levels How are we doing and how do we know? with ALIS helps us measure: Students Progress on Course Departments Achievement Whole College Achievement & Attitudes What are we doing about the poor bits? e.g. Target Setting, Action Plans, Operational Plans, Strategic Plans Quality Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Aug & Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Strategic & Operational Planning Dept. SAR Achievement + Action Plans Whole College SAR Dept SAR Phase 1 + Action Plans Curriculum Quality Monitoring & Internal Inspections Data Capture GCSE A/AS Achievement Feedback MAG Yr 12 Reviews Yr 13Data Capture: Attitudes Input Feedback Yr 12 & 13 Reviews On-course student assessment and monitoring, subject by subject Yr 12 Reviews Jul Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Monitoring the overall performance of the COLLEGE Summative monitoring by Senior Leaders and Governors Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach A Level results 2010 No of students on a given MAG achieving A*-U grades A* A B C A/B 56 112 40 7 B 67 330 302 139 B/C 3 20 28 26 C 8 47 87 96 C/D 2 4 D 1 4 6 D/E 1 1 E 2 5 1 Grand Total 134 512 469 280 D 2 36 10 60 3 10 1 2 124 % of students on a given MAG achieving A*-U grades A* A B C A/B 26% 51% 18% 3% B 8% 37% 34% 16% B/C 3% 22% 31% 29% C 2% 14% 26% 28% C/D 17% 33% D 3% 14% 21% D/E 33% 33% E 17% 42% 8% D 1% 4% 11% 18% 25% 34% 33% 17% E U 15 2 22 2 6 2 1 19 1 2 2 49 25 E U 2% 2% 6% 17% 21% 1% 6% 8% 7% 17% Grand Total 218 891 90 339 12 29 3 12 1594 Grand Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Report to Governors 2010 Subject No of Retention % Student s 40 100 96 97 41 93 117 98 61 94 124 97 60 100 106 100 36 100 2008-2010 Raw Resid. Std. Resid. 08-10 A-B % A-E % A-B % A-E % 63 45 64 42 73 36 56 46 69 45 57 51 45 48 65 47 89 42 100 97 100 95 100 98 100 98 100 98 96 95 95 96 100 97 100 99 62 100 2.2 0.1 -0.1 65 100 10.0 0.4 0.5 65 100 4.5 0.2 0.2 64 100 1.7 0.1 0.1 70 100 6.1 0.3 0.3 62 98 1.1 0.0 0.2 50 96 -3.6 -0.1 0.0 76 99 5 0.2 0.4 78 100 11.1 0.6 0.5 Value-Added Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Monitoring the Performance of DEPARTMENTS SELF ASSESSMENT: summative monitoring by departments of their own performance using fair comparisons of achievement levels. Analysing student achievement by subject Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Key Performance Indicators Success rates % Grade A* - B at A2 and A - B at AS Pass rate Value added (A2, AS): exam year / 3 year Performance compared to MAG Retention rate Learner satisfaction Attendance Enrolment number Gender and Ethnicity monitoring Lesson Observation grade profile Internal Inspection grade Average class size Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Year Institns in cohort GCSE IT DA Av. A Residual 2004 6.4 50.2 7.4 0.36 10% 2005 6.2 48 5.7 -0.4 10% 2006 6.4 49 93.1 0.04 2007 6.5 48 95 -0.04 2008 6.5 48 101 0.31 10% 2009 6.3 94 0.1 25% 2010 6.5 102 0.29 10% 2011 Year Error Attitude to Subject Attitude to College Advising College (+/ -)0.2 0.1 (+/ -)0.18 0.09 (+/ -)0.22 0.11 (+/ -)0.2 0.1 (+/ -)0.2 0.1 (+/ -)0.18 0.09 (+/ -)0.2 0.1 (+/ -)0. 3.6 3.7 70% 3.6 3.7 82% 3.4 3.6 3.3 3.9 3.5 3.7 3.3 3.7 3.5 3.7 Analysis of Residuals by GCSE scores 8 - 6.2 8 - 6.9 6.8 - 6.2 6.1 - 5.5 2002 2003 2004 3yr. 2005 3 yr. 2006 0.2 0.3 0.55 0.35 -0.9 -0.02 1.4 56 63 48 0.29 21 0.76 27 54 -0.2 19 -1.3 35 59 1.4 27 1.4 32 2007 2yr. 2008 3yr. 2009 3yr. 2010 3yr. 2011 3yr. -1 0.20 5.6 2.00 1.5 2.03 4.2 3.77 76 -1.3 0.05 4.6 1.57 2.2 1.83 1.8 2.87 36 -0.7 0.35 6.2 2.30 1.0 2.17 6 4.40 40 80 65 78 32 27 34 48 38 44 5.4 - 4.7 0.3 -0.1 0.9 0.37 -0.7 0.03 -2.4 26 24 32 2.7 0.15 -2 -0.57 2.4 1.03 7.1 2.50 22 38 20 11 42 23 ExtraMural LSE Enrol "A" Complete Retention "A" "A" 1 1 95 102 110 90 94 95 95% 92% 86% 1 115 106 92% 92 90 98% 1 109 104 95% 1 105 104 99% 1 120 117 98% 1 108 105 97% 4.6 - 4 0.5 1.6 0.85 0.98 -0.6 0.62 2.6 8 6 14 -7.8 -2.60 12.6 2.47 -4.4 0.13 7.9 5.37 5 13 11 12 7 3 0 -0.9 -0.6 -0.50 -0.6 -0.70 0 13.7 6.85 8 7.23 31.1 17.60 23.7 20.93 Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Ye ar GCSE 2010 6.5 T DA Av. A Re sidual 102 0.29 E rror 10% (+/-)0.2 0.1 Attitude Attitude to to Subje ct Colle ge 3.5 3.7 Advising Colle ge Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach SELF-ASSSESSMENT: DEPARTMENTS ALIS DATA ANALYSIS 1. Summary of Raw Results • 2. Analysis by GCSE Score • • 3. • An explanation of data points which lie outside the control lines A comment on the moving average Analysis by Teaching Group • 7. Can we identify common features within the high and low achieving groups? Do the extremes distort the overall picture of the subject performance? Analysis of Variance • • 6. In terms of actual scores and standardised residuals, how have students from different ethnic minority/gender groups performed? Are the differences significant? Analysis of Extreme Cases • • 5. In terms of residuals how have students in different bands been performing? Does a preponderance of students in any one band help explain the overall residual? Analysis by Ethnic Minority and Gender • 4. Comparison of raw subject A-level results with the national percentage for the subject Is there any apparent correlation between set and residual or, over the 3 year period, between member(s) of staff teaching a set and the residuals achieved, after sets have been analysed for the range of ability? Students’ Attitudes and learning and Teaching Processes • • Analysis in trends in students’ attitudes to subject Issues raised by analysis of perceived learning activities. Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach 1. Analysis by GCSE Score – – – In terms of residuals, how have students in different bands been performing? Does a preponderance of students in any one band explain the overall residual? How does your analysis impact on strategies for teaching and learning? Analysis of Residuals by GCSE scores 8 - 6.2 8 - 6.9 2010 4.2 78 3yr. 3.77 1.8 2.87 6.8 - 6.2 34 6.0 4.40 6.1 - 5.5 44 7.1 2.50 5.4 - 4.7 23 7.9 5.37 4.6 - 4 3 24 20.93 1 Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach 2. Analysis by Gender & Ethnic Minority – – – In terms of standardised residuals, how have students from different e-m/gender groups performed? Are the differences significant? What impact will these differences have on your teaching and learning strategies? Ye ar Ge nde r No AvGCSE AvS AvR StdR Diffe re nce 2010 F M 54 45 6.8 6.7 95.6 100.4 4.8 12.8 0.2 0.6 0.40 08-10 F M 178 117 0.35 0.49 0.14 Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach 3. Analysis of Extreme Cases – An extreme is a student with a raw residual of + or – 30 (15 for an AS) – Can we identify common features within the low and high achieving groups? – Do the extremes distort the overall picture of the subject performance? Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Student Level Residuals Average GCSE Score Actual Grade Predicted Grade Raw Residual Jaymin 5.7 60 50 10 Davy-Martin Lee 6.7 120 85 35 Lai King-Ho 6.1 0 62 -62 Mansigani Ilaha 6.0 120 60 60 Taylor Hannah 6.3 100 75 25 Surname Forename Chandaria Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach 4. Analysis of Variance – An explanation of data points which lie between control lines – A detailed explanation of data points which lie outside 3SD control line – A comment on the moving average Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach KEY ELEMENT of SELF ASSESSMENT ANALYSIS Identifying strengths and weaknesses understanding your weaknesses and identifying actions for improvement impact on strategies for teaching and learning and supporting students Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Using ALIS data to identify and ‘unpack’ weaknesses e.g. -0.7 Female -0.1 Male -0.28 Standardised Residual AS Physics -0.64 without Maths -0.19 with Maths •Work with Maths Department on creating resources to support student not taking AS Maths • Introduce problem-solving consolidation sessions • Further investigation of girls underachievement – Institute of Physics, Standards Unit, focus groups etc Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach e.g. … contd. -0.23 Standardised Residual 3 distinct groups 1. Additionality: 0.1 AS Critical Thinking 2. Full programme : -0.8 3. Applied AS: -0.5 • Restructure external assessment of course – January module • Increase hours for Applied AS students, formalise requirements, ‘integrate’ into main programme • Review appropriateness Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Monitoring the Performance of STUDENTS to raise aspirations and achievement Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach You know you’ve gone to Woodhouse when..... MAG/CAG. They do mean something. Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach PROBLEM Motivating, and monitoring student progress is a FORMATIVE process ALIS is RETROSPECTIVE SUMMATIVE STATISTICAL HOW CAN WE ‘SQUARE THE CIRCLE?’ Possible because correlations are high and the variation in the association between AVGCSE and the statistically ‘PREDICTED’ A-Level grade, from one year to the next, in any given subject, tends to be very SMALL Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach KEY PROCESSES Departmental Monitoring and Assessment Practices which feed into Student Reviews Scheduled monitoring of a student’s progress across their programme Mutually supporting academic and pastoral functions using COMMON DATA MINIMUM ACCEPTABLE GRADES Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach BENCHMARKING and TARGET SETTING: Defining Grades 1. MAG: Minimum Acceptable Grade The statistically predicted grade for each subject (Scale A/B – E [E] based on the ALIS trend line) which will not change during the year. Provides an initial benchmark (with associated health warnings) against which a student’s progress can be judged. 2. CAG: Current Achievement Grade The grade a student is currently working at. Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Defining Grades (contd.) 3. TAG: Target Achievement Grade The grade (above the MAG) a student is considered capable of working at and should aim to achieve. Student Review discussions (where appropriate) would be focused on negotiating strategies to enable students to attain this grade. 4. PG: Predicted Grade The grade that is written on a student’s UCAS form and subsequently changed or confirmed as part of the return to Examination Boards Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach CALCULATING THE MINIMUM ACCEPTABLE GRADE The student MAG for each subject is based on the previous year’s ALIS ‘trend-line’ for that subject Principle = ‘good enough for purpose not statistically flawless’ Example: Lisa Fry has GCSE grades 2A*, 3A, 4B and 1C Total Points = 66 (i.e. 2x8 + 3x7 + 4x6 + 1x5) AVGCSE = 66 / 10 = 6.6 MAP for subject (15.78 x 6.6) – 62.65 = 41.5 MAG = C (at AS) Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Technical problem!!! calculation creates number and decimal points which need to be translated into UCAS grades College Conversion Table A-Level AS Level MAG ‘Predicted’ Point Score ‘Predicted’ Point Score A/B 109 – 140 53 – 60 B >91 - <109 >44 - <53 B/C 89 – 91 43 – 44 C >71 - <89 >34 - <43 C/D 69 – 71 33 – 34 D >51 - <69 >24 - <33 D/E 49 – 51 23 – 24 E <49 <23 • No student can be targeted to attain A* or A grade • No student can be targeted to ‘fail’, i.e. below grade E Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Progress in Individual Subjects College policy on the monitoring of student progress and achievement Framework for Department Policies • setting and marking students’ work • monitoring students’ progress (target setting) • use of subject tutorial period Supporting Teaching and Learning Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Student Name 1 2 3 4 5 6 MAG: B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 74 72 71 67 63 55 71 72 63 58 65 56 59 48 67 65 55 Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Nayan 90 80 70 60 AS 50 MAG 40 30 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Student Review Cycle Dept Tutor Review Parents Set Lists Programme Interview 2nd Yr Review MAG calculated New Parents 2nd Yr meeting Oct 1st Yr Subject Assessment Programme Interview 1st Yr Review & Case Conference Grade Report Dec 2nd Yr Subject Assessment Jan 1st Yr Subject Assessment Sept Grade Report 1st & 2nd Yr Programme Interviews 1st & 2nd Yr Reviews & Case Conferences 2nd Yr meeting 1st Yr G-Report & meeting Feb Mar 2nd Yr Subject Assessment 2nd Yr Reports Jun 1st Yr Subject Assessment 1st Yr Reports (July) Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Start of the Student Review Process September: AVGCSE score used to calculate MAG (AS) subject by subject : included on set lists and programme record card October: Autumn Review – with Personal Tutors Scale: 1 = performing outstandingly 2 = satisfactory 3a/b = study skills &/or conceptual problems 4 = ‘alarm’ signal 5 = very recently joined subject + Effort Grade 1 - 4 AS MAG is provided as benchmark Case Conference Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Student Review Data Categories MAG Module Result CAG Effort Quality of Work Meeting Deadlines Involvement Attendance Scales A/B - E % A-F 1-4 1-4 1-4 1-4 % present Source MIS Teacher Teacher Teacher Teacher Teacher Teacher MIS Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Tutor Programme Review Data MAG RES CAG EFF QoW MD INV ATT 310765 Student Name (98%) Eng-s-ld AS WAL B 57 B 2 2 1 2 97 Hist-s-le AS THO B 60 B 2 2 1 2 100 Law-s-lc AS SFR B 49 B/C 2 2 2 2 96 Psyc-s-la AS STE B 54 B/C 1 2 1 2 100 329368 Student Name (88%) Geog-s-lb AS MCA C 37 E/F 4 4 4 2 90 Germ-s-ld AS PAR D 28 F 4 4 4 4 88 Pol-s-le AS GRI C 30 F/E 4 4 3 3 83 PSM-s-la AS ALN E 30 E 3 3 3 3 91 313492 Student Name (95%) Performance Monitoring with feedback: a holistic approach Some musings…… • measurement gives messages • evolve your own • invest in the time • transparency as a tool not a threat • know the health warnings • embed • never take understanding for granted • trust the tribe