by Albert Williams, Ph.D., Associate Professor of Finance and Economics Huizenga School of Business Source: Wikipedia.com GDP for Florida and USA - 2013 Industry All industry total Private industries Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Durable goods manufacturing Nondurable goods manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transportation and warehousing Information Finance, insurance, real estate, rental, and leasing Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing USA 2013 ($million) 16,701,415.00 14,613,827.00 269,099.00 449,352.00 287,068.00 611,374.00 2,079,518.00 1,096,437.00 983,081.00 998,685.00 956,302.00 490,257.00 802,378.00 3,293,209.00 1,114,594.00 2,178,614.00 100% 88% 2% 3% 2% 4% 12% 7% Florida 2013 ($million) 800,492.00 700,423.00 9,086.00 2,478.00 15,173.00 34,705.00 39,616.00 23,556.00 6% 6% 6% 3% 5% 20% 7% 13% 16,060.00 56,490.00 61,580.00 24,540.00 30,927.00 177,675.00 44,522.00 133,153.00 Percent Percent 100% 87% 1% 0% 2% 4% 5% 3% 2% 7% 8% 3% 4% 22% 6% 17% GDP for Florida and USA - 2013 Professional and business services 2,005,337.00 12% 98,807.00 12% 1,172,107.00 7% 54,603.00 7% Management of companies and enterprises 327,891.00 2% 12,568.00 2% Administrative and waste management services 505,340.00 3% 31,635.00 4% 1,388,015.00 8% 77,562.00 10% 187,077.00 1% 8,232.00 1% 1,200,938.00 7% 69,331.00 9% 622,603.00 4% 50,498.00 6% Arts, entertainment, and recreation 162,548.00 1% 15,328.00 2% Accommodation and food services 460,054.00 3% 35,170.00 4% 360,630.00 2% 21,284.00 3% 2,087,589.00 12% 100,069.00 13% 718,451.00 4% 11,565.00 1% 1,954,987.00 12% 118,070.00 15% 777,325.00 5% 39,713.00 5% Private goods-producing industries 3,409,343.00 20% 85,886.00 11% Private services-providing industries 11,204,483.00 67% 614,537.00 77% Professional, scientific, and technical services Educational services, health care, and social assistance Educational services Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation, and food services Other services, except government Government Addenda: Natural resources and mining Trade Transportation and utilities GDP growth rate for Florida is 2.2 percent in 2013 In terms of real GDP growth rate, Florida grew at 2.2 percent, which among the ten largest states was the third highest rate. INFLATION - CONSUMER PRICE INDEX,MIAMI-FORT LAUDERDALE – AUGUST 2014 Area prices down 0.1 percent over the two months; up 2.4 percent over the year Source: BLS Employment and Unemployment - Florida Source: BLS Source: BLS Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research Office, University of Florida Consumer sentiment improving in Florida Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research Office, University of Florida Home Prices - U.S. and Miami ¾ percent increase from August 2014 to September 2014 Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research Office, University of Florida Median list price is much higher than median sale price - approximately $50,000 difference! County level will be different! Summary of Florida GDP growth rate is 2.2 percent in 2013. Forecasted to be above 2 percent for 2014 and 2015 Unemployment dropping House prices increasing Consumer confidence increasing Reasonably optimistic forecast Economic Assessment: Recommendations: Implications Be cautious Do not forget your financial cushion