Accountability (& study programmes)
1
14-19 update
14-16 Performance Measures
2
14-19 update
KS4 reforms – a reminder
• 5A*-C
replaced by ‘Progress 8’ for floor standards
• Additional reporting of
– ‘Attainment 8’
– Maths and English
– EBacc
• Double weighting of maths and English in Progress 8
and Attainment 8
• New approach applies to all for 2016 results (2014
cohort)
• Opt in opportunity for 2015 results
• Schools will get ‘shadow data’ for 2014 results
3
14-19 update
Attainment 8 and Progress 8 requirements
GROUP 1
1
2
English: Double weighted*
Maths:
14-19 update
3
4
GROUP 3
5
EBacc qualifications
6
7
8
‘Open group’
Double weighted
*Higher score of English Language
or English Literature double
weighted if a student has taken
both qualifications
4
GROUP 2
(sciences, computer science,
geography, history and languages)
Remaining Ebacc qualifications and
other approved qualifications,
including second English GCSE
(GCSEs and other approved
academic, arts or vocational
qualifications)
New points system
• Current
points system seen to be complex and lack
transparency
• New principles proposed:
– The ratio between high and low grades should be large
enough to encourage students to focus on high
performance
– The difference between grades should be closer to the
difference between a fail and the lowest grade
– Point scores for the most common qualifications should
appear simple and logical
5
14-19 update
New points system
GCSE
Grade
BTEC
grade
14-19 update
New points
A*
Distinction*
58
8
A
Distinction
52
7
B
Merit
46
6
C
Pass
40
5
D
34
4
E
28
3
25
2.5
F
22
2
G
16
1
U
0
0
L1 Pass
6
Current
points
Conversion of the average point score per student to
grades for reporting purposes
7
14-19 update
Attainment 8 and Progress 8
• Not
‘best 8’
• The 8 qualifications which meet the formula
• The difference between the actual grade and the ‘target’
grade
• DfE example:
– A student has a target of 8 x B
– Actual achievement 4 x B and 4 x C
– 4 grades lower across the 8
– VA is -0.5 grade
– Average of all learner VA scores for school score
8
14-19 update
Calculating Attainment 8
Grade
Geography
A*
English Literature A
BTEC Business
Distinction
GCSE Science
B
Mathematics
B
English Language B
RS
B
Art
C
BTEC Sport
Pass
GCSE Additional
Science
D
Weighted
attainment
9
14-19 update
Points
Weighted points
Calculating Attainment 8
examples are for illustration purposes only
Grade
Geography
BTEC Business
Distinction
GCSE Science
B
Mathematics
B
English Language B
RS
B
Art
C
BTEC Sport
Pass
Additional
Science
D
10 14-19 update
Weighted points
7
14
6
12
A*
English Literature A
Weighted
attainment
Points
Calculating Attainment 8
examples are for illustration purposes only
Grade
Geography
A*
English Literature A
Points
Weighted points
8
8
7
14
BTEC Business
Distinction
GCSE Science
B
6
6
Mathematics
B
6
12
4
4
English Language B
RS
B
Art
C
BTEC Sport
Pass
Additional
Science
D
Weighted
attainment
11 14-19 update
Calculating Attainment 8
examples are for illustration purposes only
Grade
Points
Weighted points
8
8
English Literature A
7
14
BTEC Business
Distinction
7
7
GCSE Science
B
6
6
Mathematics
B
6
12
English Language B
6
6
RS
B
6
6
Art
C
BTEC Sport
Pass
Additional
Science
D
4
4
Geography
Weighted
attainment
12 14-19 update
A*
63
Calculating Progress 8
examples are for illustration purposes only
Example 1:
 The student’s weighted total is 63 points
 Divide this total by 10 to get the Attainment 8 score
 63 ÷ 10 = 6.3
 This student’s average attainment is a bit better than a grade B across 8
subjects
 Assume the average KS4 attainment for students with a similar KS2
performance is 6.0 points
 Progress 8 is the difference between the actual score and the expected
score
 Actual = 6.3, expected = 6.0.
Progress 8 = 6.3 – 6.0 = +0.3
• Calculate mean average of all students’ VA scores to get overall school VA
• School VA below -0.5 may lead to intervention
13 14-19 update
Calculating Progress 8 – fewer than 8 subjects
• ‘It
can be of more benefit to less-able students to strive
for good grades (and hence score more points) in fewer
subjects, with the emphasis on doing well in English and
mathematics, than to take more subjects but achieve
lower grades overall.’ (DfE Factsheet: Progress 8 measure – February 2014)
• More
time available per subject allows additional support
in English Language, and mathematics
• More
time available to offer larger programmes in
subjects which will interest and motivate eg BTEC
14 14-19 update
Calculating Progress 8 – fewer than 8 subjects
examples are for illustration purposes only
Example 2:
• Candidate X is predicted 30 points (average E grade) based on KS2 performance
• Follows curriculum with just 6 subjects
• Actual attainment:
Grade
Points
Weighted points
English Language
C
5
10
Mathematics
D
4
8
Ebacc 1
0
Ebacc 2
0
Ebacc 3
0
BTEC Cert Sport
Merit
6
6
BTEC Cert ICT
Pass
5
5
BTEC Award Science
Pass
5
5
English Literature
G
1
0
Weighted attainment
15 14-19 update
34
Calculating Progress 8 – fewer than 8 subjects
examples are for illustration purposes only
Example 2:
 The student’s weighted total is 34 points
 Divide this total by 10 to get the Attainment 8 score
 34 ÷ 10 = 3.4
 This student’s average attainment is halfway between a grade E and a grade D
across 8 subjects
 Assume the average KS4 attainment for students with a similar KS2 performance is
3.0 points
 Progress 8 is the difference between the actual score and the expected score
 Actual = 3.4, expected = 3.0.
 Progress 8 = 3.4 – 3.0 = +0.4
Note that the English Literature grade does not contribute because there are three
better grades eligible for the third group
16 14-19 update
Calculating Progress 8: An alternative scenario
examples are for illustration purposes only
Example 3:
• Candidate Y is predicted 3 points (average E grade) based on KS2 performance
• Follows curriculum that conforms to full Progress 8 requirements
• Actual attainment:
Grade
Points
Weighted points
English Language
E
3
6
Mathematics
E
3
6
BTEC Award Sport
Pass
5
5
BTEC Award ICT
Pass
5
5
GCSE Science
E
3
3
English Literature
G
1
1
History
E
3
3
French
F
2
2
Weighted attainment
17 14-19 update
31
Calculating Progress 8 – fewer than 8 subjects
examples are for illustration purposes only
Example 3:
 The student’s weighted total is 31 points
 Divide this total by 10 to get the Attainment 8 score
 31 ÷ 10 = 3.1
 This student’s average attainment is a touch above an E grade across 8 subjects
 Assume the average KS4 attainment for students with a similar KS2 performance is
3.0 points
 Progress 8 is the difference between the actual score and the expected score
 Actual = 3.1, expected = 3.0.
 Progress 8 = 3.1 – 3.0 = +0.1
 Candidate X may have the opportunity to progress to L3 study – perhaps choosing a
BTEC National in Sport or IT. Will need to continue with maths, but not much ground
to make up
 Candidate Y can only progress to L2 study. Will need to continue with maths and
English – with considerable ground to make up
 Importance of passing mathematics and English first time for 2014 Y10 in particular
18 14-19 update
Meeting the various English requirements
• Attainment 8 and Progress 8:
o Either English Language or English Literature; no minimum grade
o Points for better grade will be double weighted if both taken
• English (and maths) measure:
o Either English Language or English Literature; minimum grade C
o No requirement to have taken both subjects
• Ebacc:
o English Language and English Literature must be taken
o Grade C required in either
• ‘Good pass’ to meet 16-19 study programme requirements:
o Grade C in English Language required
• For all measures, GCSE in English will also count on its own – 2016
tables only
19 14-19 update
BTEC Firsts in Science
The BTEC Firsts in Principles of Applied Science and Application of
Science may be included in the 2016 Performance Tables in the ‘open
group’ of Progress 8 and Attainment 8.
From 2017 onwards, DfE is excluding from the list of qualifications
included in key stage 4 performance tables, non-GCSE qualifications
whose content is similar to those of English Baccalaureate (EBacc)
subjects, namely maths, English, science (including computer
science), geography, history and languages. This means that from
2017 the BTEC Firsts in Principles of Applied Science and Application of
Science will no longer be included in Progress 8 or Attainment 8
20 14-19 update
The first entry rule
• Concerns about
o early entry
o multiple entry
o multiple results
• Covers all subjects and qualifications eligible for
performance tables (Ebacc subjects only for 2014
results, all from 2015)
• Does not cover AS levels
21 14-19 update
Defining ‘entry’
•
•
•
GCSE or L1/2 Certificate ‘entry’ is the date of the first
paper taken
Where there is not a fixed exam date (eg GCSE Drama,
Art & Design) the date will be the final date of the
assessment window
BTEC ‘entry’ is the final date for claiming an award
(which will lead to a guaranteed result in time for
inclusion in performance tables)
22 14-19 update
Exception discounting and other quirks
Qualification ‘families’
English
•
•
o
o
Science
•
o
o
o
o
GCSE Core / Additional / Further Additional
Separate sciences
Certificate double awards
BTEC Principles of Applied Science
Maths
•
o
o
o
•
English Language and English Literature
English
GCSE Mathematics
Linked pair pilot
GCSE Statistics
Private, transferred and very young candidates
23 14-19 update
16-19 Performance Measures
24 14-19 update
Post-16 accountability
New approach applies to reporting of 2016 results
• Will cover L2 and below for the first time
• Builds on the division of qualifications into Academic,
Applied General and Tech Level
• Separate reporting so that strengths and weaknesses
can more easily be identified
• Emphasis on progress, as in KS4, but only for Academic
and AG
• TL and L2 reporting on combined attainment and
completion
• Reporting on maths and English achievement at L2, and
achievement of maths at L3
•
25 14-19 update
Headline measures
Progress – Academic and Applied General only
•
o
Academic – ‘based on average attainment in GCSEs only
o
Applied General – ‘based on all quals achieved at KS4
•
Combined attainment / completion (Tech Level and
Substantial level 2)
•
Attainment
•
English and maths GCSE (for students without at least a
grade C GCSE at 16)
•
Retention
•
Destinations
26 14-19 update
New points system – level 3
Grade
Academic
(eg A level)
Applied
General /
Tech Level
(eg BTEC)
27 14-19 update
Current
points
New
points
Grade
Current
points
New
points
Fail
E
D
C
B
A
A*
0
150
180
210
240
270
280
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Fail
Pass
Merit
Distinction
Distinction*
0
165
195
225
270
0
15
25
35
50
Academic qualifications
A levels
• AS levels
• Applied A levels
• IB
• Pre-U
• FSMQ
• Extended Project
•
28 14-19 update
Calculating progress
Maths A-level
A
C
Best fit line showing
average Maths A-level
result for any given
KS4 result
KS4 Average grade
29 14-19 update
B
Applied General
These qualifications are primarily
to facilitate progression to HE, and require HE support.
Main subjects covered on the AG list are
•
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
Applied Science
Art & Design
Business & Finance
Enterprise
Environmental Sustainability
Health & Social Care
IT
Music
Performing Arts
Sport & Exercise Science
30 14-19 update
Tech Levels
These qualifications are primarily to facilitate
progression into a technical job or further technical
education, and require employer support
Main subjects covered on the TL list are
•
•
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
Art & Design
Construction
Engineering
Hair & Beauty
Health & Social Care
Hospitality
IT
Landbased
Media
Music Technology
Production Arts
Travel & Tourism
31 14-19 update
Other measures
Achieving at a higher level of learning
• Achievement in qualifications below L3
• Tech Bacc
• Destinations
• Closing the gap
• A level attainment
• AAB in facilitating subjects
• Attainment of L3 maths
• Supported internships
• Traineeships
•
32 14-19 update
16-19 study programmes
33 14-19 update
GCSE English and maths
Rules for those who have not achieved A*-C in GCSE
English and/or maths by age 16 and will be commencing a
post-16 programme in September 2015:
•
Those with a grade D will only be funded if they are put
on a GCSE course
•
Those with lower than grade D will be funded to take a
‘stepping stone’ qualification first but the intention must
be that they will be working towards retaking their GCSE
34 14-19 update