Numerical modeling in lakes, tools and application Marie-Paule Bonnet, Frédéric Guérin UMR 5563 GET IRD, CNRS, OMP, Toulouse III Outlook • DYLEM1D : controlling factors of Microcystis blooms and restoration process evaluation of the Villerest Reservoir (France) • SYMPHONIE 2D: Controlling factors of CH4 emissions in Petit Saut Reservoir (French Guiana) 13/04/2015 DYLEM1D 1D vertical model for lakes and reservoirs 13/04/2015 Application to the Reservoir Villerest (Loire, France) Impounding : 1984 Mean volume: 62 Mm3 Maximum depth : 45 m Mean depth : 18 m Annual water level variation : ±15 m Biogeochemical conceptual scheme Controlling factors of Microcystis aeruginosa blooms in a highly eutrophic reservoir Evaluate the restoration processes comparing two periods of study 90-92 and 97-2000 13/04/2015 A large dataset available for modeling Temperature : Nutrients (NO3, NH4, PO4, SiO2) : Every 3 hours, 11 levels in the lake Every hour in the inflow Meteo data (every 20 mn): Every day in the inflow Every two weeks during blooms Every month otherwise Phytoplankton (algae species) : Solar radiation Wind speed/direction Specific relative humidity Species identification and biomasse estimation every two weeks during blooms Every month otherwise Air temperature Inflow/outflow (every 3 hours) Between the two periods of study P and N inputs are about 40 % less Radiative net balance Inflow The physics model wind Outflow Mixing processes included: - Dispersion induced by wind and internal seiche - advection induced by inflow/outflow - free convection - mixing induced by surface waves Simple but requires calibration 13/04/2015 The biogeochemical model O2 H2CO3* photosynthesis respiration nitrification NH4 CO32- grazing PO4 HCO3- CaCO3 COP H2CO3* hydrolysis NO 3 O2, NO3 COD NH4 mineralisation A complex conceptual scheme developed step by step The phytoplankton module was developed first without considering nutrients limitation Phytoplankton module 5 species Parameters for growth optimum conditions estimated from lab Buoyancy regulation for Microcystis only 13/04/2015 Temperature simulation Calibration year Validation Important differences when : the 1D assumption is wrong (winter) The vertical stratification is very strong 13/04/2015 Phytoplankton simulation Calibration : sensitivity analysis and monte-carlo analysis Microcystis aeruginosae mg.l-1 The model is able to reproduce the phytoplankton biomass at the species level Calibration was required mainly because : Not all the parameters were estimated species interactions (self-shading, grazing) mg.l-1 Cyclotella sp. 13/04/2015 Some controlling factors of Microcystis blooms buoyancy regulation Reference Beside optimum conditions in terms of temperature, buoyancy regulation ability combined with a strong vertical stratification is an important feature for explaining Microcystis dominance in the reservoir Vertical stratification 13/04/2015 Evaluation of the Restoration process Despite significant P-PO4 load reduction, Microcystis remains dominant 13/04/2015 Evaluation of the Restoration process 13/04/2015 Conclusions Model strength : •Working at the planktonic species level which enables to tackle some of the controlling factors of the planktonic succession and of Microcystis dominance •Relatively good “predictive capacities” which enable following the reservoir evolution in response to nutrients inputs reduction Model weakness : • 1D assumption is not always valid and influences biogeochemical results • Large calibration effort was required to work at the species level despite laboratory estimation of main parameters 13/04/2015 SYMPHONIE 2D applied to reservoir Modeling CH4 and CO2 emissions from a tropical freshwater reservoir: The Petit Saut Reservoir F. Guérin, MP Bonnet, G. Abril, R. Delmas 13/04/2015 Methodology Site: Petit Saut Reservoir in French Guiana, filled in 1994 The most documented tropical reservoir (10 years of monitoring) Identification of the main processes controlling emissions Determination of the kinetics in the lab/field Process-based model Physical model SYMPHONIE 2D 1 mesh Mean daily atmospheric forcing Wind speed Air temperature Relative humidity Air pressure Solar radiation IR Radiation Daily water inflow (including rainfall) and outflow Constant temperature for water entering the Reservoir View from above 1 mesh Dam 148 meshes in the Ox direction ≈ 100 km Longitudinal view in the main channel ≈ 3.5 km3 Submerged wall No model for the river downstream Run must be started with the reservoir at full operating level Biogeochemical model Source and sink terms of the biogeochemical model C uC ( w ws )C C K S &S t x z z z vertical turbulent diffusion Advection Diffusive fluxes No model for bubbling No module for OM cycling in the water column CH4 and CO2 production Production by flooded soil and biomass Incubation in anaerobic condition during one year of ≠ Soils & ≠ Plant material from the forest surrounding the reservoir CH4 2000 2000 1500 1500 Prod (nmol g-1 h-1) Prod (nmol g-1 h-1) CO2 1000 500 100 75 50 25 0 1000 500 100 75 50 25 0 SOILS PLANT SOILS Guérin et al., submitted Production CH4 and CO2 -> PLANT > SOIL PLANTS ≈ 40-50% CH4 SOILS < 30% CH4 PLANT CH4 and CO2 production Production by flooded soil and biomass 350 CH4 emission GgC y-1 300 CO2 emission 250 CH4 production 200 CO2 production 150 100 50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Year Guérin et al., 2008 Emissions from Abril et al., 2005 Oxidation = Production - Emission Year 2003: CH4 Oxidation = 85% of CH4 production ( ≈ 50GgC y-1) CH4 oxidation Incubation of water In aerobic conditions In the dark At different CH4 concentrations Water from different stations in the lake Different depths In the epilimnion At the oxycline In the river below the dam Guérin and Abril, 2007 Specific oxidation rate VCH4= 0.11±0.01 h-1 Diffusive fluxes Fdiff = kGHG, T (Pwater – Patm) Rain effect Wind effect 12 This study This study, exp model CW03 UG91 FU-G02 W85 k600 (cm.h-1) 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 U10 (m.s-1) Guérin et al., 2007 k at low wind speed ≈ 50% higher than in temperate/cold environment Rainfall contributes to 25% of diffusive fluxes Biogeochemical modeling In contrast, very simple scheme for other processes Respiration and Photosynthesis Photosynthesis Phot PhotmaxChloamoy (After Vaquer et al., 1997 & Collos et al., 2001) Autotrophic respiration 1 PAR PARz z exp T Tref PAR PARopt opt RA RA Chloamoy T Tr e f ma x NH 4 NH 4 K NH 4 O2 O2 K O 2 Heterotrophic respiration RH BODMAX T Tref O2 O2 KO2 (BOD determined after Dumestre (1998) and HYDRECO unpublished data) Results 26 Depth (m) January µmol(O 2).L-1 T(°C) 28 30 32 0 0 -5 1000 1500 250 500 750 1000 -5 -5 -5 -10 -10 -10 -10 -15 -15 -15 -15 -20 -20 -20 -20 -25 -25 -25 -25 Temp -30 -35 26 28 30 32 O2 CO2 -30 -35 50 100 150 200 250 -30 1000 1500 250 500 750 1000 0 0 -5 -5 -5 -5 -10 -10 -10 -10 -15 -15 -15 -15 -20 -20 -20 -20 -25 -25 -25 -25 -30 -30 -30 -30 Depth (m) 0 -35 26 28 30 32 0 -35 50 100 150 200 250 0 -35 500 1000 1500 0 250 500 750 1000 0 -5 -5 -5 -10 -10 -10 -15 -15 -15 -15 -20 -20 -20 -20 -25 -25 -25 -25 -30 -30 -30 -30 Depth (m) -5 -10 -35 -35 26 28 30 32 -35 50 100 150 200 250 -35 500 1000 1500 250 500 750 1000 0 0 0 0 -5 -5 -5 -5 -10 -10 -10 -10 -15 -15 -15 -15 -20 -20 -20 -20 -25 -25 -25 -25 -30 -30 -30 -30 -35 -35 -35 -35 Depth (m) CH4 -35 500 0 -35 December 500 0 -35 July 50 100 150 200 250 0 -30 June µmol(CH 4).L-1 µmol(CO 2).L-1 Results Dry Season µmol(O2).L-1 T(°C) 26 28 30 32 µmol(CO2).L-1 50 100 150 200 250 500 1000 µmol(CH4).L-1 1500 250 500 750 1000 0 0 0 -5 -5 -5 -5 -10 -10 -10 -10 -15 -15 -15 -15 -20 -20 -20 -20 -25 -25 -25 -25 -30 -30 -30 -30 -35 -35 -35 -35 Depth (m) 0 OM cycling in the reservoir has a significant impact on Conc. Results Atmospheric fluxes Degassing Diffusive fluxes 12000 CO2 300 200 100 0 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 CO2 10000 tC-CO2 month-1 F(CO2) (mmol.m -2.d-1) 400 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 1994 2004 1996 2002 2004 6000 150 CH4 50 tC-CH4 month-1 F(CH4) (mmol.m -2.d-1) 2000 Year Year 250 20 10 0 1994 1998 1996 1998 2000 Year 2002 2004 CH4 4000 2000 0 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 Year Good reproduction of vertical profiles of conc. is crucial for degassing Conclusion Strength of model Simple formulation Kinetics determined on site -> No calibration required Models are efficient tools for the computation of mass balance since it integrates: Biogeochemical processes Hydrodynamics The approach enables to identify lack in the scheme A module for OM (Allochthonous and Autochthonous) cycling in the water column of reservoirs must be included