Addressing Child Poverty: Reflections on the Australian Experience Peter Saunders Social Policy Research Centre University of New South Wales Presented to the Workshops on Solutions to Child Poverty, Wellington, 19 September and Auckland, 21 September 2012 Outline of Presentation • Some international evidence • Overview of the Australian experience • Recent research on child poverty and deprivation • The need for a child-focused approach • Reflections and implications (?) for New Zealand Child Poverty and Overall Poverty in OECD Countries 30 Mexico Romania 25 USA 20 Latvia Child poverty rate (%) Canada 15 Australia New Zealand UK Ireland Korea 10 Sweden 5 Denmark 0 0 5 10 15 Overall poverty rate (%) 20 25 30 Mexico Turkey Estonia Spain USA Italy Canada Poland Greece Chile Japan Luxembourg OECD average UK Australia Korea Couple poverty rate Belgium Slovak Republic Switzerland Ireland Austria New Zealand Slovenia Netherlands Hungary Czech Republic France Germany Sweden Finland Norway Denmark Child Poverty among Couple and Sole Parent Households in OECD Countries, 2008 Sole parent poverty rate 60 50 40 % 30 20 10 0 Recent “Success Stories” • Only 5 OECD countries reduced their child poverty rate by more than one percentage point between the mid-1990s and 2008 • They were: the UK (-4.9), Chile (-3.8), Italy (-3.6), Hungary Ireland (-2.0) (-3.1) and • Three of these countries started with child poverty rates well above the OECD average (UK, 13.6%, Ireland, 18.3% and Italy, 13.7%) • All of the other (4) countries where child poverty declined started of with above-average rates, i.e. no country with a below-average rate managed to reduce it • Although it has not reached all of its interim targets, the UK child poverty strategy is a good example of what can be achieved The (OECD) Bottom Line ‘To generalise, all countries with very low levels of child poverty (under 5%) also have relatively low levels of joblessness … and relatively low market income poverty, together with tax and transfer systems that are very effective at further reducing child poverty, usually through high levels of spending rather than through targeting … Countries that have high levels of child poverty appear mainly to have very high levels of poverty among working families, and tax and transfer benefit systems that are not effective in reducing it.’ (Whiteford and Adema, 2007) Australia’s Child Poverty Pledge • The pledge that: ‘By 1990, no Australia child would need to live in poverty’ was (unexpectedly) announced in the run-up to the 1987 federal election • It was followed by substantial (targeted) increases in family payments (and intense debate about the poverty line) • The child poverty rate fell (and the poverty gap even more) but poverty was still well above zero (or even 5%) by 1990 • The government was heavily criticised, despite making in-roads into child poverty that were major when judged against historical and international (OECD) experience • The UK child poverty targets were more realistic and the overall strategy was more comprehensive and considered: targets can work ‘Current’ (and ‘Recent’) Changes • The Melbourne Institute estimates that the child poverty rate in 2009 was 13.2% (based on 50% of median income, before housing) • Was virtually the same as in 2001, although it declined to 11.9% in 2006 before rising to 14% in 2008 • Between 2001 and 2009, two-thirds of all children under 11 were not in poverty in any year, just under a quarter (22%) were poor for 1-2 years, and in-seven (13.3%) were poor for 3-9 years • The longitudinal (HILDA) data has generated important new information on the dynamics of poverty • Data release delays are an issue for researchers (and policy makers Long-term Trends in Child Poverty in Australia 50% median 60% median Below real 1982 50% median Below real 1982 60% median 25 20 15 % 10 5 0 1982 1986 1990 1994 1995 1996 2000 2002 2003 2005 2007 2009 2009-10 2008-09 2007-08 2006-07 2005-06 2004-05 2003-04 2002-03 2001-02 2000-01 1999-00 1997-98 1996-97 1995-96 1994-95 Changes in Real Median Income 45000 40000 35000 $ per annum 30000 25000 20000 2008-09 2007-08 2006-07 2005-06 2004-05 2003-04 2002-03 2001-02 2000-01 1999-00 1998-99 1997-98 1996-97 1995-96 1994-95 1993-94 1992-93 1991-92 1990-91 1989-90 1988-89 Spending on Family Allowances and All Family Benefits (% of GDP) 3.0 2.5 2.0 $ per 1.5 annum All family benefits 1.0 Family allowances 0.5 0.0 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 Australian Spending on Family Allowances (ratio of OECD-22 average) 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 The Deprivation Approach • Does not depend on reported income or the use of an equivalence scale • Provides a better (more credible?) way of identifying who lacks the resources needed to achieve an acceptable standard of living • Identifies poverty as those who lack ‘the living conditions and amenities which are customary, or at least widely encouraged or approved’ – an ‘enforced lack of socially perceived necessities’ • By identifying specific dimensions of living standards, the approach can be applied specifically to children (and other household members) BUT • The approach is subject to conceptual and measurement controversy • Generally uses the views of adults to identify deprivation among children Identifying Deprivation The SPRC Deprivation and Exclusion Surveys • Interviews with low-income and disadvantaged Australians (2005) – to identify essential items • The Community Understanding of Poverty and Social Exclusion (CUPSE) Survey - conducted in 2006, n = 2,704, response rate = 46.9% • The Poverty and Exclusion in Modern Australia (PEMA) Survey - conducted in 2010, n = 2,645, response rate = 46.1% • PEMA follow-up survey (n = 533, response rate = 60.2%) • Surveys of selected welfare service clients conducted in 2006 and 2008 Are Identified Essentials Robust? (unweighted percentages) Are Children’s Needs Universal? (unweighted percentages) Identifying Child Deprivation Two Important Issues: a) Important to distinguish between children living in deprived households and child deprivation – these may overlap but are not the same b) Should ideally be based on children’s/young people’s own views on which items are essential, and whether or not they have them The latter requires a child-focused approach, involving both qualitative and quantitative studies Overall Changes in Deprivation, 2006 to 2010 (weighted percentages) Essential items Warm clothes and bedding, if it's cold Medical treatment if needed Able to buy medicines prescribed by a doctor A substantial meal at least once a day Dental treatment if needed A decent and secure home Children can participate in school activities and outings A yearly dental check-up for children A hobby or leisure activity for children Up to date schoolbooks and new school clothes for school-age children A roof and gutters that do not leak Secure locks on doors and windows Regular social contact with other people Furniture in reasonable condition Heating in at least one room of the house Up to $500 in savings for an emergency A separate bed for each child A washing machine Home contents insurance Presents for family or friends at least once a year Computer skills Comprehensive motor vehicle insurance A telephone A week's holiday away from home each year Average deprivation rate 2006 0.3 2.1 4.5 1.2 14.5 7.1 4.9 13.2 7.8 5.9 4.8 5.0 4.7 2.8 2.1 19.6 2.2 1.1 11.1 6.8 4.6 9.8 1.9 23.6 6.7 2010 0.4 1.7 3.5 0.9 13.1 6.7 4.3 11.0 6.8 4.7 7.4 5.8 6.2 2.2 2.5 17.8 2.1 1.0 9.5 5.5 2.9 9.1 3.8 19.8 6.2 Changes in Child Deprivation Rates (weighted percentages) Couples with children Sole parent families 2006 2010 2006 2010 1.5 1.3 7.0 6.0 A substantial daily meal 0.6 0.6 2.1 2.8 A decent and secure home 4.8 5.5 23.0 10.2 School outings & activities 3.7 3.2 12.1 9.8 Dental check-up 10.0 9.9 23.1 19.7 Hobby/leisure activity 5.2 5.8 21.7 12.0 Schoolbooks/school clothes 4.1 3.4 14.7 15.3 Separate bed for each child 1.9 1.3 2.2 4.7 Presents for family friends 5.3 4.4 17.8 9.2 Week’s holiday away 22.0 21.2 52.0 38.6 At least 2 out of 10 items 13.6 13.2 40.1 28.9 At least 2 out of 5 child items 5.1 6.2 15.9 18.1 Item Medical treatment if needed Overlap Analysis (weighted percentages) Consistent poverty – poor and deprived Poverty (50% median) Excluded (E≥7) 13.6 18.1 14.2 15.0 21.0 19.9 21.5 13.0 20.6 20.6 16.1 Single 2.5 5.9 0.9 1.4 5.3 0.0 Couples 8.5 7.0 6.0 9.9 6.6 4.8 Couples 39.4 42.1 47.4 38.3 39.9 40.3 Sole parents 15.7 9.9 14.7 15.6 12.6 17.7 All households 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Poverty (60% median) Deprived (D≥2) Single 14.0 Couples, no children Poor and excluded WORKING-AGE ADULTS OLDER ADULTS HOUSEHOLDS WITH CHILDREN Children’s Input is Crucial ‘In the UK, there is very little research into the material items and experiences that children think are necessary for a ‘normal kind of life’. We know what adults think children need, but not what children themselves see as necessary. As a corollary, we know little about how lacking these items and experiences affects children’s wellbeing ... Measures of family circumstances face an important shortcoming in classifying children as poor only if they live in income-poor households’ (Main and Pople, The Children’s Society, 2011) The Making a Difference Study Conceptual Frameworks: • A multi-dimensional, living standards approach to poverty • The ‘new sociology of childhood’ Key Research Questions: • How do young people (aged 11-17 years) experience economic and other forms of adversity? • What changes do they think would make a difference to their lives? Methods: • Qualitative study conducted in 8 metropolitan data collection sites • Interviews with 96 young people (accessed through services), 13 parents and 24 service providers • Extensive pre-interview ‘familiarisation’ visits to build trust and gather background/contextual information • Area profiles based on official (ABS) and local administrative data Young People’s Perspectives School Costs; teaching and learning; (lost) opportunities and barriers; relationships with teachers; parent relationships with school; relationships with peers Neighbourhood Activities they knew about and those they did not; lack of facilities and places to ‘hang out’; costs; peer communities; urban decay; safety and violence Family Relationships; money; resources; space; dynamics Aspirations Immediate and later for self and for own children Households are Complex! Location Matters! Areas of concentrated disadvantage with limited opportunity structures • High levels of stigma • Stigma associated with place, not with person • Sense of belonging • Narrow knowledge and horizons Areas of socio-economic mix with availability of opportunity structures • High levels of stigma • Stigma is experienced personally • Sense of isolation • Broader knowledge of possibilities - but are they seen as achievable? Policy Has Made a Difference • Large increases in family payments to low and middle income families • The child support scheme increased the incomes of many sole parents • Strong and sustained employment growth been important (although the jobless rate is still too high) • Affordable child care is still a problem for many parents • The one-off payments introduced in 2009 as part of the fiscal stimulus response to the GFC • Improvements in dental health services for low-income groups • Widespread spending on school improvement projects in 200910 Conclusions and Implications • The OECD child poverty experience is very diverse • Child poverty is the result of many factors – hence the need for solutions • To be successful, policy must address the big issues (e.g. Inequality and joblessness) as well as the specifics (e.g. benefit levels, targeting and work incentives) • Child poverty targets provide an important focus – for policy makers and the community • They must be realistic and sustained (and be politically acceptable) • Research has an important role to play in debating concepts, documenting the situation and monitoring change and impact – measurement matters! • Poverty line studies must be supplemented by living standards approaches • Children’s views must be reflected in the instruments used to measure child poverty and assess the impact of policy