Investment Instruments Mr Chong Kek Weng Outline 1. Money Market Instruments Fixed deposits Treasury bills Money market funds 2. Capital Market Instruments Shares Investment Trusts Exchange Traded Funds Warrants Bonds Structured Deposits MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 2 Inflationary Risks Treasury Bills Short-term securities that mature in one year or less from their issue date (3 -12 months) Bought and sold at a price less than face (par) value Maturity proceeds - amount of S$ equivalent to the face value of the security Interest earned on the T-bill is the difference between the purchase price of the security and its face (par) value MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 4 Money Market Funds Unit Trusts which invest in ST instruments SIBID or SIBOR Distributors - dollardex, fundsupermart etc MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 5 Capital Market instruments Shares Investment Trusts Exchange Traded Funds Warrants Bonds Structured Deposits MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 6 Shares Ordinary shares traded in lots of 1000 shares Smaller denominations (100, 200 shares) Growth, Defensive, Blue Chip, Cyclical Price appreciation Dividend MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 7 STI Index – Mar 07 to Mar 08 3875 10% 3467 27% 2836 (1 Dec 06) 2837 Investment Trusts Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Business Trusts Launch of Singapore's first listed Real Estate Investment Trust (REITs) in July 2002 REITs are property funds that invest in real estate assets such as commercial, industrial, retail, hospitality, logistics and residential properties CapitaMall Trust, Ascendas, Fortune REIT etc MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 9 REITs 31 Jan 08 10 Mar 08 MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 10 REITs - Yields Investment Trusts Business trusts - business enterprises set up as a trust structure, as opposed to a corporate structure. hybrid structures with elements of both companies and trusts. Not focused on real estate assets and are suited for businesses with stable growth and cash flow, such as infrastructure or utilities, vehicle leases, charter businesses Babcock & Brown, CitySpring, Shipping Trusts MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 12 Investment Trusts The income of REITS and business trusts are pooled and distributed pro rata to the unit holders of the trust Appeal to investors looking for investments that are backed by assets and that provide returns mainly in the form of a regular payout rather than capital gains MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 13 Investment Trusts Risks REITS and business trusts subject to market fluctuations The unit price of a REIT or business trust depends on many factors and may go down if underlying assets drop in value Projected dividend distributions may not be achieved if the income of the REIT or business trust is lower than expected MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 14 Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) Open ended investment funds listed and traded on a stock exchange like stocks As investors buy and sell an ETF, market maker can create new units or cancel units to meet market demand and ensure ETF price in line with the net asset value of the ETF Possible because ETFs open ended investment funds with creation and redemption features Aim to track the performance of an index and provide access to a wide variety of markets and asset classes MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 15 ETFs SGX Xtranet created to list and trade structured products such as ETFs Initial 6 ETFs S&P 500 SPDRs®, iSharesSM S&P 500 Index Fund, DJIA DIAMONDS®, iShares Dow Jones U.S. Technology Sector Index Fund, iSharesSM MSCI Singapore Index Fund and streetTRACKSSM Straits Times Index Fund MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 16 ETFs - Advantages ETFs similar to unit trusts Allow for diversification and professional management Diversified Portfolio – can invest 100% of CPF funds compared to 35% in individual stocks Low Cost Less than 1% annual management fees and usual stock broking commission Annual management fees of only 0.3% for StreetsTRACK STI Employ a passive indexing strategy MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 17 ETFs - Advantages Tradeability – buy and sell like stocks Transparency – closely mirrors underlying index of which components are disclosed on daily basis Efficiency - No need to stock pick MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 18 ETFs Prices as at 31 Jan 08 MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 19 ETFs - RISKS Market risk market risk or volatility of the specific benchmark which the ETF tracks. e,g, performance of the iShares MSCI India ETF directly affected by the price fluctuations of constituent stocks within the MSCI India Index Tracking error Fund manager of ETF may not be able to exactly replicate the performance of the specific benchmark due to management fees, timing differences and other factors MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 20 ETFs - RISKS Foreign exchange risk ETFs denominated in foreign currencies, foreign exchange rate fluctuations may affect the returns Liquidity Risks arising from difficulty in buying or selling an ETF. Liquidity provided by market maker who put up continuous bid/ask prices throughout the trading day. “the best way to own common stocks is through an index fund...“ Warren Buffet MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 21 Warrants gives the owner/investor the right but not the obligation to buy/sell the underlying asset at a pre-determined price on (or before) a predetermined date Underlying asset can be a stock, index, currency, commodity etc MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 22 Warrants - Characteristics Right but not the obligation Value is affected by the underlying asset’s price Longer maturity means a higher warrant value More volatile the underlying price, the higher the price of the warrant MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 23 Equity warrants Issued by listed company they are exercised for shares at a predetermined price (exercise or strike price) that is paid on exercise Warrants have a fixed tenure called the exercise period and, if not exercised, are worthless after their expiry date MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 24 Equity warrants Value of Equity Warrants The value of the warrant may be dependent on a number of factors. The two important ones are –the exercise price of the warrant, and –the current market price of the shares MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 25 Equity warrants Qian Wu Corp Ltd W100919 Qian Wu Warrant Maturity Conversion Ratio : 1 Exercise Price : $0.035 Current Warrant Price : $0.12 Current Share price $0.16 : *Prices as at 26 Nov 07 MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 26 Qian Hu Warrants - info Covered or Structured Warrants Not issued by the listed companies but by third parties Third parties normally banks, stock broking firms etc Settlement is by cash and not delivery of shares SEMCORP INDUS SGA ECW 080303 03/03/08 SemCorp Industries Societe Gen European Call Warrant MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 28 As at 26 Nov 07 MoneySMART Personal Finance Nov07 29 Call and Put warrants Price dependent on “underlying” share, exercise price, volatility of share price and expiry date Buyer of call warrants expect price to rise (bullish) whilst buying of a put is a hedge against potential price fall. (bearish) MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 30 Payout Profile of a Call Warrant Payoff Profit? Payoff Function for Buyer of a Call Option Strike Price Profit Zone 45o Loss 0 Call Premium Price of the Underlying Asset Loss Zone Breakeven price MoneySMART Personal Finance Nov07 31 Payout Profile of a Put Warrant Profit→ Payoff Profit Zone 45o Strike Price Price of the Underlying Asset ←Loss 0 Loss Zone BreakevenPrice Payoff Function Buyer of a Put Option Put Premium MoneySMART Personal Finance Nov07 32 Warrants Value of warrants? The intrinsic value of the warrant is the difference between exercise price of a warrant market price of the underlying shares. MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 33 CALL warrant in-the-money if the market price of the underlying share is above the exercise price of the warrant. out-of-the-money if the market price of the underlying share is below the exercise price of the warrant. at-the-money when the market price of the underlying equals the exercise price of the warrant. MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 34 Warrant - life Time Decay to Expiration Time Value A quick ending time decay is low at the beginning of the warrant lifetime but accelerates towards expiration 90 days 60 days 30 days 0 day Remaining Lifetime MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 35 Warrant - value Other Factors Days to Maturity - > the higher the warrant Implied volatility – market expectations for volatility of the underlying within a future period of time. Positive relationship Interest Rate – represents opportunity cost that can be saved by investing in a warrant. Dividends – when dividends increase more than expected, price falls on ex- dividend date Conversion Ratio – higher, lower the warrant price MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 36 Structured warrants vs Stocks Unlimited upside/ limited downside Limited/small investment amount Time constraint - expiration John Jim Purchase 1000 shares of UOB 1000 UOB warrants Buys $14.50 $0.20 Sells $15.20 $0.30 Gain $700 $100 Return or gain 4.83% (700/14500) 50% (100/200) Gearing - Leverage double edged and works both ways Can protect the value of your assets MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 37 Warrants - Risks • Liquidity • Market • Default on market making obligation • Limited life of warrants • Extraordinary event “Warrants, options and all derivatives are zero-sum, which make them more like gambling than investing.” Dr Money MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 38 Warrants - Investment Tips 1. Understand warrant characteristics 2. Identify market direction and choose right investment product 3. Determine the investment horizon 4. Choice of warrants 5. Consider implied volatility MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 39 Warrants - Investment Tips Put in stop loss - under all circumstances investors should make it a discipline to stop loss Buying more to average out is never a good idea as it means assuming greater risks. Time decay working against you If underlying keeps falling, warrants may go from ITM to ATM and OTM. For a warrant deep OTM and about to expire, relatively insensitive to movement of underlying MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 40 Others – Zero Strike Participation Certificates Bonds Most common and carries a fixed interest rate and repayable at maturity at the redemption price fixed at the date of issue Redemption price usually fixed at par and interest payable semi-annually or annually Attraction of bond depends on reputation, coupon rate, currency, interest rate prevailing in the market MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 42 Singapore Government Securities Bonds are debt securities that pay a fixed rate of interest (called the coupon), usually every six months, for the life of the securities and then their face (par) values on redemption on maturity SGS bonds are issued with maturities of 2, 5, 7, 10 and 15 years. The minimum denomination of both SGS T-bills and bonds is S$1000. Can use CPF funds MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 43 SGS Purchases First, approach any participating bank i.e. a Primary Dealer or Secondary Dealer of the SGS market to open a SGS trading account Purchase SGS over the counter with these banks Scripless, ownership of SGS reflected as a book entry in the investor's account with the bank Primary auctions, need to open accounts with and submit your bids through the Primary Dealers or through any Secondary Dealers who will submit bids MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 44 SGS - Considerations Riskless security, negligible Credit default risk Inverse relationship to interest rate movements Price and market risk Liquidity of issues MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 45 STRUCTURED DEPOSIT A combination of a deposit and an investment product, where return dependent on the performance of some underlying financial instrument Typical financial instruments linked to such deposits include market indices, equities, interest rates, fixed-income instruments, foreign exchange or a combination of any MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 46 STRUCTURED DEPOSITs DBS Pinnacle Notes Series 1-7 @ Deutsche Bank Double Chance Certificates May Bank Regal Structured Deposit BNP Star Select Rabobank – Rabo Jet Series 1,2,3 MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 47 Type of Structured Deposit Equity or Bond-linked Description Risks Involved Equity-linked deposits are linked to stocks, or a basket of stocks, as determined by the issuer. Returns are dependent on the performance of the equities/bond market. Exposed to the risk that the markets do not move in the direction you anticipated. Equity-linked deposits may also be linked to an equity index (for example, the S&P 500) or a group of indices. Bond-linked deposits are linked to bonds (for example, Singapore Government Securities). Exposed also to the risk that the issuer of the bonds or stocks becomes insolvent. If this happens, your returns may be zero. Issuer may cap returns, or may exercise its right to cap returns if the equities/bond market perform far beyond expectations. With returns capped, you bear the opportunity cost of potentially higher returns had you invested directly in the equities or bonds MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 48 Type of Structured Deposit Interest rates-linked Description Risks Involved Returns are usually linked to a formula that makes reference to a specific floating interest rate (for example, the Singapore Interbank Offer Rate). Returns may depend on the direction in which interest rates move, or the pace at which interest rates change. The formulas used for such deposits may display a number of characteristics. Instead of being directly related to the specified interest rate, your returns may be inversely related i.e. when the specified interest rate falls, you may get better returns. Such products may be called "inverse floaters" or "reverse floaters“. Exposed to the risk that interest rates do not move in the direction you anticipated, or the interest rate curve is steeper or more gradual than you had anticipated. The payouts on such deposits may also rise or "step up" at pre-determined points in time if the deposit is not redeemed by the issuer. MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 49 Type of Structured Deposit Creditlinked Description Unlike other structured deposits, returns on this type of deposit is not linked to the performance of a financial instrument, but rather the occurrence of what is known as a "credit event" (for example, if a specified company becomes insolvent or defaults on its loans). Risks Involved Returns are entirely exposed to the credit risk of the specified company, or any other party that the issuer has entered into a contract with. Need to be able to assess the likelihood of a credit event occurring to this party. MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 50 Features Structured Deposits S$ Fixed Deposits Minimum Deposit higher lower Maturity Variable (2 wks to 10 yr) fixed Principal Repaid in full upon maturity or redemption Repaid upon maturity Early Withdrawal (investor) Depends on underlying – may lose principal May incur a penalty – not lose principal Early Redemption (issuer) Possible with call feature or “trigger” when payouts reach a target rate No such clause Risks/Returns More risky than FDs but less risky than direct investments. Principal protected. Variable returns pending call, cap, participation rate etc Low risks/returns MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 51 Equity Linked Note (ELN) Instrument provides investors fixed income like principal protection together with equity market upside exposure Limited downside risk but upside potential Structured by combining the economics of a long call option (10%)on equity with a long discount bond position (90%) Appropriate for conservative equity investors or fixed income investors who desire equity exposure with controlled risk MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 52 Profit Diagram of a ELN 60% 50% Profit 40% and 30% loss 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% Starting Index Level Return of Principal if underlying index is below the starting index level 70% 75% 80% Bond + Call Option Return of Principal plus equity upside opportunity if the underlying index is above the starting index level Credit Linked Note 85% 90% 95% 100% 105%110%115% 120% Price or Index Level at maturity Principal Protection Equity Participation MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 53 Structured Deposits Banks not forthcoming with information on yearly returns. Min and Max Returns Focus on hype. Initial large payout – advertising ploy? May have been simply a return of a portion of your capital Gains capped and early redemption Lack of transparency and complex link with basket No free lunch. Really principal guaranteed? Liquidity? MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 54 Structured Deposits “These products add nothing to retail investors’ portfolios that can’t be acquired from investments “already available in the market in the form of less risky, less complicated, or less costly products” and therefore fail the “reasonable-basis” suitability requirement for sale to retail investors.” Are Structured Products Suitable for Retail Investors? (15 Dec 2006) Craig McCann, PhD, CFA and Dengpan Luo, PhD, CFA MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 55 Conclusion – Risks v Return Stocks Return Structured Deposits Bonds Money Market Instruments Deposits Risk MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 56 Conclusion • Determine investment objectives and investment horizon, asset allocation • Understand risk profile. Be aware of how much you can afford to invest and how much losses you can afford to incur • Investor education. Understand how the product works before you invest. Do not invest in anything you do not understand or are not comfortable with • Long term to ride out cycles MoneySMART Personal Finance 08 57