The National Center for Atmospheric Research NSF FFRDCs Administered by universities and colleges: National Astronomy and Ionosphere Center (SRI International, USRA and UMET), Arecibo, PR National Center for Atmospheric Research (University Corporation for Atmospheric Research), Boulder, CO National Optical Astronomy Observatories (Association of Universities for Research in Astronomy, Inc.), Tucson, AZ National Radio Astronomy Observatory (Associated Universities, Inc.), Green Bank, WV What we do research, observational & computing services, application development, education & training weather, climate change, air quality, space weather Tools and talent aircraft, satellites & sensors world-class predictive models supercomputers & big data pioneer • About 960 staff physical scientists (e.g., meteorologists, oceanographers, chemists); mathematicians; social scientists; computer scientists; engineers; business, administrative & service professionals Budget about $200 million per year ~70% from NSF ~25% from other U.S. agencies, ~5% from private sector and foreign sources Supporting the research community Field campaigns and experiments Supercomputing and data management Forum for exchange of ideas and planning Science serving society idea-to-action center for 100+ universities high-impact research saving lives and money Community Earth System Model (CESM) Advancing Earth-system science Community Involvement: CESM Management CESM Advisory Board CESM Scientific Steering Committee BioGeoChemistry Polar Land Ice ChemistryClimate Atmosphere Software Engineering PaleoClimate Whole Atmosphere Ocean CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy Societal Dimensions CESM Climate Variability and Change http://www.cesm.ucar.edu/management Land October/November 2011 Punta Arenas, Chile • NASA DC8 and NSF/NCAR GV with laser mapping, ice-penetrating and gravity instruments to monitor and characterize Earth’s cryosphere • Survey of thickness and depth of polar ice sheets and glacial movement • Fills gap between NASA’s now defunct ICESat-1 satellite (2009) and its replacement ICESat 2 (launch in 2016) Pine Island Glacier (PIG) GV Flight tracks Crack in the Glacier Crack in the Glacier Major crack developed in Oct. 2011 18 miles long, 180 ft across, 150 ft deep Iceberg that will be created would be 15x the size of Manhattan The hurricane hunter's power tool NCAR's dropsonde weather sensor Invented at NCAR Dropped from aircraft into heart of storms Gets critical data for storm location, strength New version provides twice the data at less cost In-flight icing Caused 800+ deaths in noncommercial aircraft over 20 years NCAR technology Guiding pilots away from dangerous flight paths Preventing ~8 accidents, saving ~$60 million/year Weather’s highway toll Each year: 7,000+ deaths 1.5 million crashes 554 million vehicle-hour delays $2–3.5 billion trucking delays NCAR and partners are developing Weather-smart vehicles Dashboard warning system for oncoming weather hazards Road maintenance decision tools Harnessing more wind energy Standard forecasts weren’t built for energy prediction NCAR’S pinpoint forecast system Maximizing turbine output Identifying optimal sites Saving millions per year Weather forecasting for health Deadly epidemic in 2009: 88,000 Africans contract meningitis 5,000 deaths NCAR pilot program Forecasting weather conditions that reduce vulnerability Providing key information for health experts Helping identify populations in most need •Construction project completed approximately 2 months ahead of schedule and under budget. YELLOWSTONE: - 149.2 terabytes of memory - 74,592 processor cores - 1.6 petaflops peak computational rate (30 times the capacity of the current system) Grand Opening 10/15/12 The NSF/NCAR Gulfstream V Also delivered on time and under budget Totality during the solar eclipse of August 21, 2017 provides a unique opportunity to assemble a very large number of images, obtained by observers all along the path, into a continuous record of chromospheric and coronal evolution over that time - totality lasts for an hour and a half over the continental U.S - an Eclipse “Megamovie”. August 21, 2017 Engage K-12, college, and amateur groups to assemble the movie using “standard” photographic equipment. https://www.facebook.com/EMP2017 Frontiers in Earth System Dynamics (FESD): Electrical Connections & Consequences Within the Earth System (NSF/GEO: EAR, OCE, AGS) Understand how global atmosphere/ionosphere electrical circuit varies in response to meteorological, solar, galactic, and magnetospheric influences Univ. Colorado, Penn State NCAR Postdocs Ingrid Cnossen SOARS students Ellen Cousins Stanley Edwin Sarah Al-Momar Decadal and Regional Climate Prediction using Earth System Models (EaSM): Urbanized Coastal Environments (NSF: GEO, MPS, SBE, OPP, DOE, & USDA) Summer and Winter Urban Heat Islands at High and Low Resolution NJ @1km Urban fraction (%) Summer @1km Temperature (˚F) Coupled multi-scale Winter ocean,@1km atmosphere, watershed, biogeochemistry and human system models Rutgers University NJ @1km Forest Slide 4 – Land Cover Change Summer @ 100km Winter @100km NCAR as an “Intellectual Crossroads” Workshops & Tutorials Summer Colloquia Education ~1000 Visitors to NCAR in FY12 The End