Land atmosphere interaction – introduction and a conceptual model Bart van den Hurk (KNMI/IMAU) Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Last time assignment • Identify a new topic that involves land use-climate feedback, and describe the feedback processes using the diagram qualitatively, e.g. – green roofs in cities – irrigation – crop disease – ... Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Definition of feedback • According to Oxford Dictionary – 1 information given in response to a product, performance etc., used as a basis for improvement. – 2 the modification or control of a process or system by its results or effects. – 3 the return of a fraction of the output of an amplifier, microphone, or other device to the input, causing distortion or a whistling sound. • Negative/positive feedback – output damps/amplifies the process generating the output Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Thermal land-atmosphere coupling • Typical nighttime surface energy balance: Q* Q* H G H G Q* L Ts4 H c p C H U (Ts Ta ) G (Ts Tsoil ) • The surface temperature takes value closing the energy balance. Determined by: – radiative input – radiative & turbulent cooling to atmosphere – diffusion of heat into soil Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Feedback of surface energy balance • In most occasions: – Ts is strongly coupled to atmosphere (high wind speed) and/or soil (efficient conduction of heat) • Special conditions: ‘runaway’ surface temperature – weak winds – low turbulence due to stable stratification – strong radiative cooling (clear sky) • Feedback loop: – low L and H low Ts large Ta – Ts stable stratification poor turbulent coupling (low H) low near surface air temperature Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model A simple surface energy balance • See spreadsheet • • • • • • • Q* Ta(t) = aTa(t-t) + (1-a)Ts Q* = L - Ts4 = H + G L = a Ta4 H = cpUCH(z/L) (Ts – Ta) z/L = f(Ts-Ta, u) (stability) G = (Ts – Tsoil) Tsoil(t) = sTsoil(t-t) + (1-soil)Ts H G Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Hydrological land-atmosphere coupling • In typical mid-latitude climate: soil moisture is resulting from P – E balance, E is mainly energy limited • In dry warm summers, E can become moisture limited • Feedback loop: – low precipitation low soil moisture low evaporation low precipitation • Requires – sensitivity of evaporation to soil moisture – sensitivity of precipitation to evaporation Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model When strong positive hydrological feedback likely? ET→P W→ET sensitivity climate transition zones Arid Humid dry wet Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Areas with strong feedback Koster et al, Science, 2004 Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Precipitation efficiency and recycling ratio • Precipitation efficiency – How much of the water passing an area is actually raining out? – Multiple definitions: p P 0.5(Qin Qout ) p P Qin Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Precipitation efficiency and recycling ratio • Recycling ratio – How much of the total precipitation originates from local evaporation? – Budget equation: P Pa Pl Qout Qin ( E P) L Q 0.5(Qin Qout ) Pa Qa Qin 0.5 Pa L Pl Ql 0.5( E Pl ) L Pl EL P EL 2Qin Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Some examples p = 83% = 17% p = 22% = 8% p = 28% = 11% Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Global distribution Trenberth, J.Climate, 1999 Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model A Lagrangian approach P = Pa + Pl E = Ea + El El = Pl = Pl/P = El/E Pa = advected P Pl = originating from local E Ea = E leaving domain El = E staying within domain • Subdivide into continental and ocean source/sink, P = Pc + Po E = Ec + Eo • and trace water via Lagrangian (trajectory following) buget equation: L E(x ) R 1 exp dx x 0 q(x ) t R = recycling ratio E = evaporation L = integration length scale x = grid box length t = model time step q = column water content (Dominguez et al, 2006) Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Continental sources/sinks mean moisture flux Van der Ent et al, 2010 Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Layout of a conceptual land-atmosphere hydrology model Fin P Fout R E ds/dt L Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Layout of a conceptual land-atmosphere hydrology model P = 0.5 g(s) (uw/L + E) uw / L + residual Stochastic forcing E = Epot sc = evaporative fraction Q* = net radiation g = precip.efficiency = runoff efficiency D = soil depth L = horizontal length scale uw = wind speed atm.moisture r, c = coefficients R = Psr ds/dt = (P-E-R)/D Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Stochastic Differential Eq (SDE) s D PER t P 0.5g ( s)uw / L E ( s) stochastic (forcing) term Discretization and rewriting leads to s D Gt gr t t G = drift term (gains and losses by P, E, R) gr = random term r = Gaussian number with variance 1 and mean 0 Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Column structure Fin + Fout = Fin P E Fout = Fin Fout = Fin P E P … E R R R ds/dt ds/dt ds/dt i=1 i=2 i=n Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Parameterization of g, E, R • Precipitation efficiency g(s) = a s + b • Evaporation E(s) = Epot sc Epot(i) = linear interpolation between Epot(1) and Epot(n) i = column number, n = nr of columns • Runoff R = P sr Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Code list weak / strong REAL REAL REAL REAL REAL RAEFF RBEFF RUW RLEN RSDEV 0.0 / 0.2 0.3 / 0.2 200. 1000000 0.1 REAL REAL REAL REAL REAL RAEPOT RBEPOT RECOF RR REPSIL 1. 2. 0.5 0.1 0.1 REAL REAL REAL RSDEP RTIME RZCR 0.5 0.0001 0.01 REAL REAL INTEGER INTEGER RSTMAX RYEAR NCOL NPPSTEP 1 10 10 1000 ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! coefficient A in PrecEff = A s + B coefficient B in PrecEff = A s + B advection U x W (m/s kg/m2 = kg/m s) horizontal length scale (m) Standard deviation of stochastic term on UW/L (fraction) Epot at first column (m/yr) Epot at last column (m/yr) Coefficient c in E = Epot s^c Coefficient r in R = e P s^r Coefficient e in R = e P s^r (runoff efficiency) Storage reseroir depth (m) Time step length (yr) soil saturation below which red noise is restricted to postive values clipping value of zst Number of years to simulate nr of adjacent columns output interval (nr of steps) Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Weak coupling between s and g Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Strong coupling between s and g Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Soil moisture evolution weak strong Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Summary • Response (one factor affecting another) feedback (closed loop of responses) • Land-atmosphere feedback at multiple time/space scales • Relevant domains: – Carbon-climate feedback – Land use – climate feedback – Thermal coupling – Hydrological coupling – ... • Conceptual model oversimplifies but allows systematic exploration Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model Next week (mandatory!) • Prepare an experimental set-up using the conceptual model • Write down, hand over to me (will be commented), add student nr • Criteria – Should be inspired by a “true” physical question – Should include at least 2 experiments – Should describe the analysis method and conclusions expected • Example: – Strong/weak coupling affects the gradient of precipitation more than the gradient of soil moisture Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model More information • Bart van den Hurk – hurkvd@knmi.nl – www.knmi.nl/~hurkvd Land atmosphere interaction and conceptual model