Techno-economic Analysis of an Off-grid MicroHydrokinetic River System for Remote Rural Electrification Central University of Technology Energy Postgraduate Conference 2013 Presentation outline • Introduction • Hydropower situation in South Africa • Hydrokinetic • System modeling and simulation • Results and discussion • Conclusion Introduction • Currently over 90% of South Africa's electricity comes from coal power. • Government target: 10 000 GWh renewable energy contribution (biomass, wind, solar and small-scale hydropower ), • Approximately 6000 to 8000 potential sites for traditional micro hydropower. • The Use of Hydrokinetic power for river applications in South Africa. Objective of this study • To investigate the possibility of using and developing hydrokinetic power for electricity supplies for rural and remote loads in South Africa. • Simulation (HOMER): Compare the use of Hydrokinetic with other supply options. Hydropower situation in South Africa Size Type Installed capacity Estimated potential (MW) (MW) Macro hydropower (Larger (i) Imported 1 450 36 400 than 10MW) (ii) Pumped storage for peak 1 580 10 400 supply (iii) Diversion fed 5 200 (iv) Dam storage regulated 662 1 520 head (v) Run of river 270 Small hydropower (from As above (iv) and (v) 29.4 113 few kW to 10 MW) Water transfer 0.6 38 Refurbishment of existing plants 8.0 16 Gravity water carrier 0.3 80 Sub-total for all types 3 730.3 53 837 Excluding imported from abroad 2 280.3 17 437 Excluding pump storages using coal based energy 700.3 7 237 Total “green” hydro energy potential available within the border of South Africa 7 237 No significant development of hydropower in the country has been noted for 30 years Hydrokinetic Technology 3 1 P A V Cp • Operation principle similar to wind turbine, a 2 • Potential energy available almost 1000 time more energy from the hydrokinetic than wind. Advantages compared to the traditional hydropower: • No dam, • No destruction of nearby land, • No change in the river flow regime, • Reduction of flora and fauna destruction. Theoretically, a greater number of potential sites for hydrokinetic power can be identified. System modeling and simulation HOMER: Hybrid Optimisation Model for Electric Renewable Problem: Unfortunately, HOMER is not equipped 1.0 with a hydrokinetic power module considered in 0.8 Proposed solution: -The wind turbine components has been used with hydrokinetic input rather than wind-related information. -The wind turbine power- Power Output (kW) this study. 0.6 0.4 0.2 curve has been replaced with the hydrokinetic. 0.0 -The wind speed information with the river current velocity. 0 1 2 Wind Speed (m/s) 3 4 Load estimation (rural household) Resources Velocity Clearness index (m/s) January 0.627 5.31 February 0.646 7.25 March 0.639 6.09 April 0.638 1.81 May 0.698 2.67 June 0.758 2.18 July 0.743 1.84 August 0.641 1.54 September 0.690 1.41 October 0.607 1.69 November 0.561 2.83 December 0.553 5.27 Average 0.638 Water velocity3.32 in the worst month: Month The daily energy consumption (9.5kWh) The peak load at 3.4 kW Daily radiation (kWh/m2/d) 7.404 7.178 6.274 5.200 4.663 4.522 4.663 4.804 6.302 6.443 6.500 6.613 5.873 1.41 m/s, Viable depth: 1,8m, Width: 5,2m, Cross sectional area: 9.36m2 Pa= 1,075 kW Costs Components HKP PV Battery (6V, 360Ah) Inverter Diesel Generator 3.4 kW Investment costs $9170/kW Replacement costs $9170/kW O&M costs Lifetime Lubricant 25yr Diesel price - $20/yr $4100/kW $175 $3500/kW $150 $105/yr $3/yr 20yr 10yr - - $800/kW $2830 $800/kW $2830 $10/yr $0.5/h 15yr 10yr $1.25/L $1.30/L - Simulation results and discussion The architectures and costs of different supply options found feasible by Homer are presented below: Simulation results summary Costs HKP PV DG Capital ($) 11 475 7 880 2 830 Replacement ($) 4 697 9 344 20,300 O&M ($) 831 2 337 55 991 Systems HKP PV DG Fuel ($) 0 0 75 971 Size (kW) 1 6 4.5 Salvage ($) -290 -967 -264 Number of 7 12 0 16 713 18 495 154 829 Battery Inverter (kW) 3.5 3.5 0 Rectifier (kW) 3.5 3.5 0 Total NPC ($) COE ($/kWh) Grid extension distance (km) 0.387 0.416 3.475 0.911 1.07 13.1 Conclusion This paper aimed to investigate the possibility of using hydrokinetic power suitable to supply electricity to rural and isolated loads in South Africa where reasonable water resource is available. Simulations of the hydrokinetic power have been performed with HOMER software. The results have been compared with those of a diesel generator and PV while they are supplying the same load. The hydrokinetic system (composed of 1kW turbine, 3.5kW converter, and 7 batteries) has an initial capital cost of $11 475, a Net Present Cost of $16 713, and energy production cost of 0.387 $/kWh. The results of this study have led to the following further study recommendations: • Identify sites and assess potential energy available, • Develop policies supporting the development of hydrokinetic power in South Africa.