766832-001.ppt Presentation for Investors 1 766832-001.ppt Executive summary We are pleased to welcome potential investors to this presentation Purpose of this presentation is to briefly inform you on the latest developments of ICA, provide an update on ICA’s financial performance and to discuss our business strategy, financial policy and financial projections 100% Government owned through KazMunaiGas and KazTransGas with tangible evidence of government support Monopoly operator for gas transmission in Kazakhstan with no plans to allow competition or privatization Only feasible route for gas transit from Central Asian producers to European consumers Crucial link for Gazprom’s imports from Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan Long-term concession agreements in low risk business ICA’s 2009-2010 financial results benefited from increase in international transit tariffs Notwithstanding the global economic downturn, ICA is continuing to demonstrate strong financial performance and sound financial position 2 766832-001.ppt Kazakhstan: Strong Market-Oriented Macroeconomic Environment GDP Growth (%) 2010 Economic Overview 250 200 16.497 mil GDP per Capita USD 12,500 GDP growth (real) 4.9% Trade balance/GDP 13.9% Total Debt/GDP 103.5% 132.3 130.9 150 103.8 100 50 Population 193.8 77.2 21.5 13.5 23.2 9.8 30 9.3 2001 2002 2003 41.8 56.1 9.6 9.7 10.6 8.5 3.2 1.1 4.9 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 0 Nominal GDP (US$ bn) Real GDP (% change) Gross International Reserves and Inflation 46.7 50 47.6 38.6 40 Evolution of Tenge Against US Dollar 200 38.4 30 20.8 146.7 18.8 153.3 149.6 150 136.0 20 4.8 8.9 8.0 10 2.6 3.2 6.4 6.6 6.8 6.7 7.5 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 9.5 8.4 2006 2007 2008 6.2 6.7 2009 2010 148.4 147.4 2009 2010 132.9 122.6 120.8 2007 2008 100 2001 Gross international reserves (US$ bn) Inflation (% change; end-period) 2002 2003 2004 2005 Exchange rate KZT:US$ (average) Source: EIU, CIA 3 766832-001.ppt Energy Sector Outlook Supportive Global Conditions Kazakhstan Market 2010 With world oil prices rebounding from their early 2009 level due to global downturn, consumers prefer less expensive natural gas for energy needs. Thus, natural gas is expected to be the fastest growing component of world primary energy consumption The world energy gas consumption is expected to increase from 104 trillion cubic feet in 2006 to 153 trillion cubic feet in 2030 Proved gas reserves Gas production 2.407 tcm Gas reserves/Production 104 years Proved oil reserves Oil production 35.1bn barrels Oil reserves/Production 63 years Average predicted % growth rate until 2025 50 2.8 1.8 40 30 1.9 1.6 20 10 0.3 Oil Gas 1.5 mil barrels per day Expected Domestic Gas Production and Consumption (bcm) Global Consumption Growth Rates 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 35.6bcm Coal Nuclear energy 0 2006 Other 2007 2008 2009 Production Source: Annual energy outlook 2009, International Energy 2009 Outlook Source: Wood Mackenzie 4 2010 2011 Domestic Demand 2012 2013 Natural Gas Demand Drives ICA’s Transmission Volumes 766832-001.ppt Despite a slow recovery of the global demand for energy due to the economic slowdown, in the longer term European demand for gas is expected to increase up to 700 bcm by 2030 from 540bcm in 2005, 480 bcm of which will be European import demand The gap between Russian company Gazprom’s domestic production and export commitments constituted between 200 and 300bcm in 2010: 200bcm will be sourced by Gazprom internally Given Gazprom’s low growth of long-term gas production, the additional 100bcm will be sourced from Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, and Turkmenistan. The 25-year supply contract in 2003 between Russia and Turkmenistan supports this assumption Gazprom’s demand for gas from Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan is in turn driven by the demand for gas in Russia, Ukraine, Poland as well as in Europe Volumes of domestic Kazakh gas may also significantly increase over the next 4-5 years (mainly due to exploration of the Kashagan oil field discovered in 2000) Transported volumes of gas and demand for transit capability are expected to increase in medium and long terms ICA will remain the sole route for transportation of gas from Central Asia to European markets irrespective of who will be operating under gas supply contracts (Gazprom, Ukraine, Kazakh-based gas exporting producers) Source: World Energy Investment Outlook 5 766832-001.ppt Ownership Structure – 100% (Indirectly) Government Owned Government of Kazakhstan 100% JSC “Sovereign Wealth Fund “SamrukKazyna” 100% JSC “NC KazMunaiGas” 100% JSC “KazTransGas” 100% JSC “Intergas Central Asia” Government support Government Control Government stake – 100% capital and 100% control Consideration towards company’s interests Control over investment and dividend policy Implicit government support in negotiations with off-takers, suppliers and transit countries Prudent Shareholder with LongTerm Strategic Vision Supportive Regulatory Environment Unique status of exclusive agent for Kazakh gas exports It is the Government policy that all new major pipeline projects be led by KazTransGas Key strategic role of ICA as a sole 6 operator of natural gas pipeline infrastructure in Kazakhstan Approval of key financial and financing parameters of KazTransGas History of reinvesting earnings into business development and modest dividends 766832-001.ppt Group Structure – An Overview KazMunaiGas (KMG) KazMunaiGas is the National Oil and Gas Company of Kazakhstan, which is wholly-owned by the Sovereign wealth fund JSC («Samruk-Kazyna»), which is in turn 100% owned by the Government KMG is in charge of all the government’s commercial activities in the oil & gas industry, including prospecting, development, production, transportation, services, holding the monopoly over oil & gas pipelines in Kazakhstan and controls 60% of crude production and 100% of gas transportation KMG plays an active role in approving strategic decisions and business plans of KazTransGas KazTransGas (KTG) KazTransGas was established in accordance with the Resolution of the Government of the Republic of Kazakhstan No. 173 dated February 5, 2000 KTG is a 100% subsidiary and one of the three main businesses of the KMG Group The main goal of KTG is to manage the state’s strategic interests in the gas industry of the country and there are no plans for privatization 50% of revenues relate to the stable and profitable business of gas transmission. The main source of revenues is International Transit, which reached USD 805 million for in 2010, or almost 80% of gas transmission for the same period 7 766832-001.ppt Group Structure – An Overview Intergas Central Asia Intergas Central Asia, JSC (“ICA”) was incorporated in June 1997 and currently, being a member of KazTransGas group of companies (a subsidiary of the NC KazMunayGas) has the primary responsibility to operate and manage the gas transportation networks of Kazakhstan granted to ICA under the terms of concession The principal activities of Intergas Central Asia focus on operation and maintenance of the main gas transportation system securing transmission of natural gas to domestic consumers and international gas transit Notably, Intergas Central Asia controls and manages the main gas pipeline transportation system of the Republic of Kazakhstan with the total length of gas pipelines in excess of 11,000 km. Given the on-going reconstruction the throughput capacity of the pipelines has been invariably increasing Within Kazakhstan, ICA is responsible for transportation of natural gas through 10 main gas pipelines serviced by 22 compressor stations equipped with 284 gas compressor units of various types and models The most important in terms of transmission volumes is the main gas pipeline Central Asia-Center (“CAC”) with the aggregate length of 4,892 km in one-line estimation (imagine if a pipeline was one straight line) In addition, ICA operates three underground gas storages (“UGS”), the biggest being Bozoi UGS located in Aktobe region. Others are Poltoratskoye UGS located in the Southern-Kazakhstan region and Akyrtobe UGS in Zhambyl region. Underground gas storages are used to smooth the seasonality of gas demand supplying extra natural gas in winter and during the periods with lower gas imports 8 766832-001.ppt Organisational Structure of KTG JSC «KazTransGas» Main pipeline transmission of natural gas Domestic distribution and supply of natural gas Gas and Gas Condensate Production Production and distribution of heat and power energy JSC «Intergas Central Asia», 100% JSC KazTransGas Aimak, 100% Amangeldy Gas LLP, 100% Samruk-Energo, 8,4% JV KyrKazGas, 50% JSC KTG-Almaty, 100% JSC KazTransGas LNG, 100% KazTransGas AG, Lugano, 50% JV Asian Pipeline, 50% KTG- Tbilisi, 100% Service companies Intergas Finance B.V., 100% Gazinservis LLP, 100% Center for HR Development, 5.5% Intergas International B.V., 100% 9 766832-001.ppt Intergas Central Asia – An Overview ICA Revenues 2005 – 2010 (millions USD) ICA Overview Principal business is transportation of natural gas and, to a lesser extent: – management, maintenance and operation of the gas transportation system – storage of natural gas and provision of technical services to third parties – sales of natural gas to related parties 2005 Other 0.5% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Transportation services: Central Asian gas (transit) % 712,471 698.477 Russian gas (transit) 306.710 502.210 548.270 678.206 83.760 82.980 67.400 80.882 91.133 805.141 Kazakh gas (to outside of the country) 22.890 32.820 43.720 58.357 66.279 94.507 Kazakh gas (within the country) 17.460 17.980 22.350 23.368 17.117 18.781 3.980 5.150 6.340 6.030 1.970 1.961 888.970 917.430 Kyrgyz gas (transit) Total transportation revenues Transportation 99.5% 434.800 641.150 687.440 846.843 Revenues from sales of gas 1.930 14.560 - 0.170 - 13.171 Revenues from technical services 0.640 0.900 2.040 2.070 1,852 1.1012 Revenues from gas storage 0.280 0.320 0.420 1.433 3.057 0.745 893.880 932.16 Total revenues 437.650 656.920 690.540 850.516 Revenues growth rate, % 14% 50% 5% 5% 5% 4,3% Only route for gas transit between Central Asian producers and European consumers Robust and consistent cashflow Transmission Revenues Breakdown 2010 By Transportation By Orientation By Client generation Total revenue for 2010: USD 932.16 millions Kazakh Gas (domestic) 8.7% Export 12.5% Domestic Transportation 8.7% Kazakh Gas (outside) 12.5% During 2010 the volume of transportation of Central Asian gas has significantly decreased, while the volumes of Russian gas and gas outside Kazakhstan has significantly increased. Tariffs did not change % Central Asian Gas 22.8% % Russian Gas 56% International Transit 78.8% Other 9.6% % Gazprom 90.4% KZT/USD exchange rate at December 31, 2010 is 147.40 * All conversions assume an exchange rate of 1 USD = 120.3 KZT, which was the closing rate of exchange as at 31 December 2007 on the KASE as reported by the NBK 10 766832-001.ppt Gas Pipeline System of ICA Soyuz & Orenburg—Novopskov (Soyuz & Orenburg—Novopskov Main Line) Throughput capacity: 42.3bcm Length: 382km & 382km RUSSIA Central Asia Centre (5 pipelines) (CAC Main Line) Throughput capacity: 62.4bcm Length: 4088km RUSSIA Selected pipeline network parameters Approx. 11,000km of pipelines 22 compressor stations 122 gas distribution stations Active storage capacity of 4.2bcm Total transported volume in 2009: 91.1bcm Active pipelines Gas fields KAZAKHSTAN Bukhara–Ural(2 pipelines) (Bukhara–Ural Main Line) Throughput capacity: 8.0bcm Length: 1,423km & 1,423km Bukhara Gas–Almaty (BGR-TBA Main Line) Throughput capacity: 3.2bcm Length: 1,585km UZBEKISTAN KYRGYZSTAN TURKMENISTAN CHINA Source: ICA 11 766832-001.ppt Gas Pipeline System of ICA Pipeline Current Throughput Transported Capacity used System Pipeline Construction Length Capacity volumes in 2010 in 2010, % Central Asian System CAC Pipeline 1967-1987 5 parallel pipelines total 4088 km in length 62.41 bcm per year 22.19 bcm 36% CAC Pipeline distance 823 1973-1975 3 parallel pipelines total 189 km in length 36.13 bcm per year 14.21 bcm 39% Makat-Northern Caucases Pipeline 1987 370 km 25.55 bcm per year 13.03 bcm 51% Okarem-Beineu Pipeline 1973-1975 545 km 3.65 bcm per year 0.11 bcm 3% Soyuz Pipeline 1976 382 km 30.66 bcm per year 8.00 bcm 27% Orenburg-Noyopskov Pipeline 1975 382 km 11.68 bcm per year 3.57 bcm 31% Bukhara-Ural Pipeline 1963-1964 2 parallel pipelines each 1,423km in length 8.03 bcm per year 2.70 bcm 34% Bukhara-Ural Pipeline distance 42.9 1963-1964 85.8 km 16.06 bcm per year 17.90 bcm 111% Zhanazhol-Aktobe Pipeline 2005 143 km 0.86 bcm per year 0.52 bcm 60% Zhanazhol-CS 13 Pipeline 2007 156 km 1.82 bcm per year 1.40 bcm 77% Kartaly-Rudnyi-Kustanai Pipeline 1965 227 km 5.36 bcm per year 0.86 bcm 16% Akshabulak-Kyzylorda Pipeline 2005 122 km 0.25 bcm per year 0.22 bcm 87% Gazli-Shymkent 1988 314 km 3.94 bcm per year 0.60 bcm 15% Bukhara Gas - TashkentBishkek-Almaty Pipeline 1961-1989 1,585 km 4.38 bcm per year 2.45 bcm 56% Uralsk System Aktobe System South System Year(s) of Note: The table shows throughput capacities and transmission volumes by each gas pipeline route. Some of the pipelines listed in the table are connected in sequence. Total transmission gas volumes by ICA for 2010 amount to 98.2 bcm. Source: ICA 12 766832-001.ppt Main Counterparties Gazprom is the main recipient of gas transmitted by KTG/ICA under the Russian, Uzbek and Turkmen gas transit contracts – – – The contracts for gas transportation are signed by ICA and the owners of the gas. The owner of Russian, Uzbek and Turkmen natural gas is Gazprom. A new contract between ICA and Gazprom was signed for 5 years (2011-2015) The tariff for gas international transit is set in accordance with the agreement between ICA and Gazprom The 5-year contracts signed with Gazprom in November 2005 has stipulated the following volumes in 2009-2010: Gazprom Volumes Breakdown for 2010 60 Transit Volumes Breakdown 2010 (%) 55.03 TCO 4.943 bcm Domestic 8.498 bcm 44.7 50 Kyrgazgas 0.229 bcm 40 KazRosGas 6.053 bcm 30 20 10.67 10.749 15.5 11.439 % 10 0 Russian gas Turkmen Gas Contracted volumes Gazprom 77.22 bcm Uzbek Gas Factual volumes Counterparty regions are becoming stronger – Turkmenistan strongly depends on gas exports and demand for its gas remains strong. Gas exports are the key source of hard currency proceeds, and the Kazakhstani route is the only export route currently available to them On December 12th, 2009 first thread of the main gas pipeline Kazakhstan-China which transports gas from Turkmenistan to China through Kazakhstan territory has been launched. ICA carries out maintenance service of first thread of the gas pipeline with projected gas transit volume of about 6 bcm in 2010. Second thread of the gas pipeline has been launched at the end of 2010 with increased volumes of gas up to 30 bcm. 13 766832-001.ppt Gas transportation volumes dynamics In 2010 ICA transported total volumes of 98.195 bcm of gas International gas transit volumes accounted for 80% of the all gas transported Despite ICA expectations that Central Asian gas transit volumes will be approximately the same as actual volumes transported in 2009, transportation orientations have changed during 2010, which however did not reflect the overall transported volume – Gazprom and Turkmenistan agreed to transport gas up to 30 bcm – Despite reduction in gas transportation, in 2010 Gazprom agreed to stick to take-orpay condition of 80% transmission volumes specified in contract Gas transportation volumes (mln m3) 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 2009 2010 Russian gas Kazakh gas exports *Source: Business Plan of ICA for 2010 - 2014 14 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E Central Asian Gas Kazakh gas for domestic consumption 766832-001.ppt Relationship with Gazprom Gazprom is an owner of natural gas that is transported by Intergas in accordance with terms of Russian, Turkmen and Uzbek gas transportation contracts Five year contract with Gazprom was signed in 2005 with take-or-pay condition in respect to 80% of projected volumes. Take-or-pay condition for 80% of projected volumes applied to both Turkmen and Uzbek gas. The contract specified following volumes: Turkmen gas: 45,2bcm, Uzbek gas: 10,0bcm, Russian gas: 50,6bcm In 2010, Intergas and Gazprom have reached an agreement to keep international transit tariff in the order $1,70 for 1000 м3 for 100km. Previously the tariff was increased in 2009 to $1,70 (+21.4%). In accordance with a new contract ICA and Gazprom are to negotiate new tariffs once every year Gazprom is a strategic partner for Kazakhstan in a geopolitical context and an important provider of hard currency ICA (as a part of the KMG group) and Gazprom are both empowered by Kazakhstan and the Russian Federation to negotiate the contracts Ultimately, the end consumers of the gas transmitted by ICA under its contract with Gazprom are European customers Gazprom’s counterparty risk for ICA is minimal - Russia’s need for ICA’s gas volumes ensures that if Gazprom was ever to fail, an appropriate replacement would be created and transmission would not be interrupted 15 766832-001.ppt Medium-Term Contract with Gazprom will Provide Greater Stability to ICA’s Credit Profile Main Conditions of Gazprom’s Contracts Main Implications Gazprom’s own production has for years remained 1. Transit from Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan to the Russian border stable Transmission tariff remained at the 2009 level of 1.70 USD for 1000 m3 Enhancement of throughput capacity of gas per 100 km. transportation system Contract has been signed for 5 years (2011 – 2015) Throughput of the CAC pipeline is projected to initially 80% of transmission volumes is guaranteed by “take increase from current 56 bcm to 60 bcm and then ultimately to 80 bcm or pay” clause The tariff increase negotiated with Gazprom was 2. Transit through northwest of Kazakhstan follows the specifically intended to enable ICA to undertake major investment projects that will benefit both companies same terms and conditions 16 766832-001.ppt Well Defined Strategy Strategy: ICA’s strategy is driven by the government’s aim and goals regarding gas industry and ICA to continue to maintain its unique position as the sole route between Central Asian producers and European customers Fundamental strategy documents: Gas Industry Development of Kazakhstan until 2015 Program of Gas Industry Development of Kazakhstan for 2004-2010 – 5-year rolling business plan updated annually with budgets Business Plan 2010-2014 Key Goals Implementation Maintain and enhance reliability and performance of ICA has already invested over USD 1.5 billion in existing pipeline; Increase the throughput capacity of existing pipeline system to support expected growth in export volumes; Adopt the latest information technologies for management of the pipeline network; Develop new pipeline systems to diversify customer base 17 maintaining reliance; Direct future investment towards upgrading the transit capacity and evaluating possibilities of new routes; Feasibility of new transit routes, including a route from CAC pipeline to southern Kazakhstan and China 766832-001.ppt Capital Expenditures CAPEX Program & Requirements ICA Maintenance CAPEX - Development 2008 – 2010 capital investment strategy included 700 – Maintaining and enhancing reliability and performance of existing pipeline while increasing throughput capacity – Further investment dependents on growth of transportation volumes No pipeline capacity expansion until firm agreements on tariffs and volumes are achieved Conditional projects – Significant modernisation and re-construction of existing network, including upgrading technology & telecom systems – Upgrading the CAC (Central Asia Center) pipeline Financing from internally generated funds and external sources USD 30mln of investments per year under the concession agreement and not less than USD 450mln in aggregate In 2010 100% of total capex was financed by ICA’s own funds 650 610,7 600 550 500 493,60 450 400 337,9 350 300 250 209,4 209,4 200 150 167,83 199,61 178,2 188,4 186,31 221,97 156,9 149 149 129,2 100 50 ICA CAPEX Cash from operations ICA Maintenance 0 2005 Source: ICA financials 18 2006 2007 2008 2009 766832-001.ppt Major Investment Projects Construction of Turbocompressor station #4 of Compressor station Makat – Goal: upgrade gas pipeline and reduce maintenance costs – Project cost: USD 200-250 mil – Stage: feasibility study and project documentation has been completed – Project start date: 3 Quarter 2010 – Project end date: 31.12.2013 – Financing: ICA considers options of funding the project either by cash generated from operations or conducting trade financing transaction Increase of Turbocompressor station # 5 of CAC pipeline-5 – Goal: upgrade gas pipeline and reduce maintenance costs – Project cost: approximate USD 400-500 mil – Stage: feasibility study is at the stage of implementation – Project start date: 2011 – Completion date: 2015-2016 – Financing: ICA considers options of funding the project either by cash generated from operations or conducting trade financing transaction 19 766832-001.ppt Major Investment Projects (cont’d) Construction of a pipeline to China – Goal: diversification of transit potential – Project cost: USD 7.5 bln – Capacity 60 bcm by 2013; Length is 1.3 thousand km – Stage: Second thread completed with increased volume of gas up to 30bcm – Project end date: 2013 – Financing: syndicate loan by China Development Bank under CNPC corporate guarantee for the construction period until transmission contracts on “ship-or-pay” basis will be signed Increase of CAC capacity (By-Caspian pipeline) – Goal: increase of transit potential – Project cost: approximate USD 3.2 bln – Capacity 30-40 bcm; Length is 0.9 thousand km – Stage: feasibility study will be completed by the end of 3Quarter 2011 – Project start date: 2012 – Financing: ICA will borrow after transmission contracts on “ship-or-pay” basis will be signed with Gazprom 20 766832-001.ppt Major Investment Projects (cont’d) Construction of West-South pipeline (Beineu-Bozoi-Akbulak) – Goal: energy independence of Kazakhstan and transportation of gas from west to south to fulfill the gas consumption needs – Project cost: approximate USD 2.3 bln – Capacity 5-10 bcm; Length is 1.5 thousand km – Stage: project documentation will be completed by 4Quarter 2010 – Project start date: 2011 – Financing: Republican Budget and CNPC loan financing Construction of three interchange between gas pipeline Kazakhstan-China and Bukhara Gas TashkentBishkek-Almaty pipeline – Goal: ensure reliable gas supplies to the customers in the southern regions – Project cost: approximate USD 68.6 mil – Capacity 6-8 bcm; Length is 44 km – Stage: project documentation is at the stage of implementation – Project start date: 3Q 2010 – Financing: ICA cash generated from operations 21 766832-001.ppt Capital Structure and Debt Maturity Profile ICA has both ordinary and preferred shares, with the latter paying an annual dividend of a minimum 1% of nominal value – a small dividend payment was made in November 2009 of KZT 0,248 mln in respect to the preferred shares which have limited impact on cash flow. ICA paid shareholder dividends for 2009 in amount of $ 17.2 billion tenge in October 2010 and dividends for 2008 in amount of 10 billion tenge in November 2010 ICA’s long term debt is mainly for investment projects (increase of throughput capacity for the gas transmission network, the most profit generating asset) In December 2008 ICA redeemed USD 71mln of its USD Bond 2011 and in February 2009 USD 60mil of its USD Bond 2017. Both repurchases were financed by the company’s cash and were prompted by market conditions and attractive pricing ICA’s forecasted long-term debt (all on unsecured basis): Outstanding Debt ($mil) USD Bond 2011 Facility Amount 01.01.2010 01.01.2011 01.01.2012 250.0 178.9 178.9 0.0 HSBC Plc facility (Hermes) 56.4 43.3 37.5 31.7 Commercial loan of HSBC 18.0 9.8 6.5 3.2 USD Bond 2017 600.0 540.0 540.0 540.0 TOTAL 924.4 772.0 762.9 574.9 Source: ICA 22 766832-001.ppt Debt Maturity Profile Debt breakdown By scheduled debt repayments, $millions By interest rate split, 2010 900 769.1 800 700 600 Floating rate 6.8% 540.0 500 400 300 187.9 200 100 9.0 9.0 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Fixed rate 93.2% 0 2010 2011 2017 Total Source: ICA Financials Scheduled debt repayments spread out across the years, however 2011 and 2017 years are relatively high repayments due to maturity of USD Bond 2011 and 2017 In 2008 ICA established Accumulation Fund for Eurobonds debt repayment in which ICA accumulates free cash as set in debt repayment schedule. Cash is invested into the highly liquid financial instruments such as cash at bank accounts and deposits, also ICA considers investing in very low risky securities such as government notes As of December 2010, ICA has accumulated 179 million USD to repay Eurobond in 2011 Significant portion of interest rate on debt is fixed interest rate, which indicates very low exposure to changes in interest rates Current debt is dominated in USD poising great foreign exchange book losses in the case of Tenge devaluation 23 766832-001.ppt Income Statement Sales EBITDA $ mn $ mn 1,100 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Net Income $ mn 700 850.5 903.8 400 606.0 600.0 932.2 600 379.4 395.0 400 437.7 250 200 281.6 300 200 162.0 100 183.8 77.6 50 0 2008 2009 2010 148.7 165.8 150 100 2005 2006 2007 276.5 300 500 656.9 690.5 350.5 350 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Coefficients 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 ROE (%) 21.6% 18.9% 17.4% 24.3% 26.7% Operating margin (%) 31.9% 38.1% 31.1% 53.3% 50.4% *Source: Financials & Business Plan of ICA for 2010 – 2014 KZT/USD Exchange rate is 120.77 for 2008, 148.36 for 2009 and 147.40 at 31.12.2010 24 2010 766832-001.ppt Intergas’ Balance Sheet and Cash Flows Statements Net Funds from Operations $ mn Assets $ mn $ mn 493.6 500 2,400 2,270.5 443.7 450 Financial Debt 896.5 825.4 2,018.3 2,038.8 2,040.8 2,100 800 400 767.9 765.3 2009 2010 1,800 350 1,500 300 250 200 1,000 222.0 211.3 600 545.8 1,200 932.3 186.3 168.1 1,367.7 400 900 313.6 150 600 100 200 300 50 0 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2005 2006 2007 2008 Ratios EBITDA Interest Coverage (x) Total Debt/EBITDA (x) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 4.77 10.96 5.27 4.17 10.58 10.77 1.78 1.78 2.36 2.09 1.26 1.27 37.00% 44.48% 50.50% 43.8% 40.28% 30.48% 35.28% 42.94% 43.87% 37.2% 22.13% 8.00% 49.01% 58.42% 29.71% 33.93% 71.81% 32.8% FFO interest coverage (x) 4.17 8.95 3.04 3.08 9.03 9.8 EBITDA/Capex (x) 0.80 0.91 0.62 2.10 4.08 1.93 Total Debt/Total Capitalization Net Debt/Net Total Capitalization FFO/avg. total debt * Source: Financials & Business Plan of ICA for 2010 – 2014 * KZT/USD Exchange rate is 120.3 for 2007, 120.77 for 2008, 148.36 for 2009 and 147.40 at 31.12.2010 25 766832-001.ppt Intergas’ Covenant compliance of Bank Facility Bank Facility Financial Covenants Bank facility 1) Syndicated Loan HSBC Bank Kazakhstan & Citibank Kazakhstan Loan ($17.9mln) Credit metrics Debt/Equity < 1.5 (x) Current Assets/Current Liabilities > 1.0 (x) Gross Profit/Sales > 15% (x) Source: ICA Financials * KZT/USD Exchange rate is 120.3 for 2007, 120.77 for 2008, 148.36 for 2009 and 147.40 at 31.12.2010 26 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 0.80 1.02 0.78 0.67 0.44 2.80 3.10 5.06 7.28 2.19 53% 53% 42.30% 61.48% 57.98% 766832-001.ppt KMG Covenant compliance KMG Financial Covenants Credit metrics 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Debt/EBITDA < 3.5 (x) 1.78 2.36 2.09 1.26 0.97 Net Debt/Net Capitalization < 0.5 (x) 0.40 0.44 0.37 0.22 0.08 Current Assets/Current Liabilities >1(x) 2.80 3.10 5.06 7.28 2.19 29.10 11.60 13.90 32.00 28.9 9.00 5.20 3.10 6.90 9.00 Operational liquidity > 1 (x) EBIT/Interest > 2 (x) Source: ICA Financials * KZT/USD Exchange rate is 120.3 in 2007, 120.77 in 2008, 148.36 in 2009, 147.40 at 31.12.2010 27 766832-001.ppt Credit ratings Standard & Poor's Moody's Fitch JSC KazMunaiGas BB+/Stable (07.07.2009) Baa3/Stable (29.10.2010) BBB-/Stable (24.06.2010) JSC KazTransGaz BB-/Stable (15.07.2009) Baa3/Stable (29.10.10) BB/Stable (20.09.2010) JSC KazTransOil BB+/Stable (24/12/2010) Baa3/ Stable (29.10.10) BBB-/Stable (14.10.10) JSC Intergas Central Asia BB/Stable (24.12.2010) Baa3/Stable (29.10.2010) BB+/Stable (20.09.2010) 28