SWARP: WP2, wave modelling Fabrice Ardhuin, Mickael Accensi, Pierre Queffeulou, Fanny Ardhuin (Ifremer) Fabrice Collard (Oceandatalab) Aron Roland (TU Darmstadt) http://wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga http://www.previmer.org/previsions/vagues 1 Outline 1. Building on other projects and developments : IOWAGA (ERC), Waves-NOPP (U.S. ONR) ... 2. Specific developments for SWARP: • Numerics (implementation of new model version) • Development of parameterizations: - friction below the ice - shorelines & ice-edge reflections - scattering Estimation of energy & momentum fluxes 3. Hindcasts & forecasts wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 2 SWARP Kick-off, February 3, 2014 1 Building on other projects and developments wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 3 1. a multi-parameter global wave hindcast The ERC-funded IOWAGA project integrates - Coastal hydrodynamics - Air-sea fluxes - Remote sensing - Microseisms into a single consistent wave modelling system. → new version 4.18 of WAVEWATCH III (distributed by NOAA/NCEP) → hindcast database, >40 different parameters (http://tinyurl.com/iowagaftp) - Results from global multigrid (1993-2013) : GLOBAL : (30' resolution)... up to 80°N only PACE (10'): East Pacific (Alaska to Peru), with Hawaii & ... ATNW (10'): U.S. East coast + Gulf of Mexico ATNE (10'): Iceland to Morocco (6'). NC (3'): New Caledonia & Vanuatu (3') CRB (3'): Lesser Antilles (Puerto Rico to Venezuela, 3') 1 or 2 runs (with CFSR and / or ECMWF op. Winds) Recent runs : > 9000 full spectra output (along all shorelines + others) + finite element zooms in coastal areas wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 4 1. a multi-parameter global wave hindcast IOWAGA hindcast particularly focused on - better swells (swell dissipation based on Ardhuin et al. GRL 2009) - better high frequency energy ( → Stokes drift, mss, see JPO 2009, 2010) - better directional parameters (Ardhuin & Roland JGR 2012, Ardhuin et al. JASA 2013) important for acoustic and seismic noise General validation : Rascle & Ardhuin (Ocean Modelling 2013) – Here are a few plots with data from http://tinyurl.com/iowagaftp wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga … but GLOBAL : (30' resolution)... up to 80°N only 5 SWARP Kick-off, February 3, 2014 2 Specific developments for SWARP wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 6 2. developments for SWARP Extension to Arctic : just one more grid ? - 12 km polar grid, same as NSIDC or Ifremer-CERSAT sea ice products (concentration and drift from SSM/I + ERS / QuikSCAT / ASCAT) Bathymetry for new grid (IBCAO) -first tests : forced by global grid - next steps : – Two-way nested in multigrid Possible higher resolution if needed (12 km Arctic is less expensive that global hindcast) wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 7 2. developments for SWARP Parameterizations: Implementation of shoreline reflection on curvilinear grid - could be added for ice edge … Implementation of viscous & turbulent friction under the ice : Generalization of Liu & al. (JGR 1991) following work on swell dissipation (Ardhuin & al. 2009, Rascle & Ardhuin 2013, Perignon et al., submitted) - non linear dissipation rate for turbulent cases, no “eddy viscosity” - transition threshold (laminar to turbulent), random waves → smoothing Scattering term: to be defined Solution method taken from bottom topography scattering (Ardhuin & Magne 2007) wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 8 2. developments for SWARP It runs! … Example of wave data retrieval from SAR imagery (2011/03/04 9h14, Envisat) sea ice water WW3 results : Wave heights from SAR (not adapted yet to sea ice) wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 9 SWARP Kick-off, February 3, 2014 3 Hindcasts and forecasts wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 10 2. Tests with different forcing products Sept 16th : Sept 17th : Sept 18th : Yearly sea ice extent minimum Freeze observed by scatt., not by radiometer Freeze observed by both sensors Concentration from radiometer wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga Standard deviation of backscatter data Concentration from radiometer Concentration from radiometer Interest of the use of both and radiometer Scatterometer sensor canscatterometer detect the very first stage ofdata sea ice for MIZ monitoring 11 3. fo 2008-2015: Arctic hindcasts - multi-grid system including 12 km grid - ECMWF winds + ?? ice - higher resolution mesh focusing on ice edge ? 2016: forecasts Deliverables: Jan 2015 : First version of wave and sea ice models. Data exchanged between the partners, deliverable 2.1 “First wave model results covering the MIZ” Jan 2016 : Validation completed. “Upgraded wave model” Data flows integrated to NavPlanner, deliverable 2.2 July 2016 : deliverable 2.3 “Forecast and hindcast simulations for demonstration” wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 12 3. Validation of the wave model a) wave parameters Generic validation: • Altimeters (Hs & mss ): in ice-free water • Permanent buoys: general context (Iceland + Barents Sea ) rms error for Hs (%) Ardhuin Ardhuin et al. 2010 et al. 2010 (Prévimer) WIFAR 2012 + other field data validation: • Detailed estimation of spectra, specific validation of wave attenuation rates SAR-derived attenuation rates wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 13 1. a multi-parameter global wave hindcast The ERC-funded IOWAGA project integrates - Coastal hydrodynamics - Air-sea fluxes - Remote sensing - Microseisms into a single consistent wave modelling system. → new version 4.18 of WAVEWATCH III (distributed by NOAA/NCEP) → hindcast database, >40 different parameters (http://tinyurl.com/iowagaftp) - Results from global multigrid (1993-2013) : GLOBAL : (30' resolution)... up to 80°N only PACE (10'): East Pacific (Alaska to Peru), with Hawaii & ... ATNW (10'): U.S. East coast + Gulf of Mexico ATNE (10'): Iceland to Morocco (6'). NC (3'): New Caledonia & Vanuatu (3') CRB (3'): Lesser Antilles (Puerto Rico to Venezuela, 3') 1 or 2 runs (with CFSR and / or ECMWF op. Winds) Recent runs : > 9000 full spectra output (along all shorelines + others) + finite element zooms in coastal areas wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 14 AGU meeting, San Francisco, December 2013 3 Scattering in the MIZ inferred from seismic/acoustic noise ? wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 15 3. Scattering and noise : theory Hasselmann (1963) : nearly opposing waves generate seismic noise k2 K Movie of sea surface elevation Z = Z1 + Z2 k1 The interaction of k1 and k2 gives noise at K = k1 + k2 and f = f1 + f2 Any 2nd order quantity like Z2 will thus contain K = k1 ± k2 and f = f1 ± f2 Resonant interaction if 2 pi f / K = Cs , the phase speed of one seismic mode. For any f, this selects K. Higher order interactions : K = k1 ± k2 ± k3 and f = f1 ± f2 ± f3 … and so on … wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 16 5.1 Validation of the wave model a) wave parameters Generic validation: • Altimeters (Hs & mss ): in ice-free water • Permanent buoys: general context (Iceland + Barents Sea ) rms error for Hs (%) Ardhuin Ardhuin et al. 2010 et al. 2010 (Prévimer) WIFAR 2012 + other field data validation: • Detailed estimation of spectra, specific validation of wave attenuation rates SAR-derived attenuation rates wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 17 3. Scattering and noise : When do we get noise ? From wave spectrum to acoustic or seismic noise : deep water waves : noise source proportional to Noise is linked to waves in opposite directions. Loud sources in MIZ ?? Example of seismic records around the Pacific due to « swell collision » : FF wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga Obrebski et al. (GRL 2012) 18 3. Scattering and noise : Different modes Different modes : - seismic waves (Rayleigh or body waves) → can be recorded on land ! - acoustic gravity waves (evanescent : local sea state) 100 to 500 m depth Evanescent modes dominate (see Cox & Jacobs GRL 1989) wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 19 3. Scattering and noise : Example of a noise event ... KBS Greenland DBG SCO wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 20 3. Scattering and noise : Example of a noise event ... Modeled seismic sources Hs Seismic spectra at SCO wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 21 1. Bottom friction Cliffs north of Jan Mayen : strong wave reflection (another day)... wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 22 AGU meeting, San Francisco, December 2013 4 Perspectives wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga 23 - Introducing wave dissipation and scattering in the MIZ : Les MNT dans la modélisation côtière - – Verification of dissipation with SAR-derived Hs and Tm02 Journée Valor'IG09 – Scenarii for scattering : how large can it be given seismic records ? - Deploying pressure sensors 100 to 500 m from the surface? – Direct measurements of evanescent modes → measurement of I(f) integral, a very strong constraint on scattering strength. Anybody has a mooring out there? wwz.ifremer.fr/iowaga It works ! Data from SBE26 in 100 m depth (Ardhuin & al. JASA 2013) 24