R. Scott Tubbs
Cropping Systems Agronomist
University of Georgia
State
2009
Planted Acres
2010
Planted Acres
% of 2010
Planted Acres
Alabama
155
190
14.8
Florida
115
145
11.3
Georgia
510
565
43.9
Mississippi
21
19
1.5
North Carolina
67
87
6.8
South Carolina
50
67
5.2
Virginia
12
18
1.4
7
10
0.8
14
22
1.7
165
165
12.8
1,116
1,288
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas
USA
SE = 71.3%; V-C = 13.4%; SW = 15.3% of acreage in 2010
• What will acreage do in 2011?
• What cultivars will be planted?
• What will be the major challenges in 2011?
Dr. Pat Phipps – Virginia Tech
• What will acreage do in 2011?
– Down from the 18,000 in 2010
– Not sure how far but some good contracts were
offered
– Major factor was new EPA regulations governing
the use of Vapam for CBR and nematode control
• What cultivars will be planted?
– Bailey, Sugg, Perry, Phillips, CHAMPS (in order
from high to low)
Dr. Pat Phipps – Virginia Tech
• What will be major challenges in 2011?
– EPA regulations on Vapam use
– Loss of Temik
Dr. David Jordan – North Carolina State University
• What will acreage do in 2011?
– Down slightly from 2010…maybe 5%, about
80,000
• What cultivars will be planted?
– Vast majority in Virginia types, maybe 5%
runner
– CHAMPS, Perry, Phillips, NC-V11, some
Bailey and Gregory
Dr. David Jordan – North Carolina State University
• What will be major challenges in 2011?
– Weed control
– Managing CBR due to soybeans in rotation
– Fumigant changes
– Overall expense of production
Dr. Jay Chapin – Clemson University, retired
• What will acreage do in 2011?
– Flat… about the same as 2010, about 65,000
• What cultivars will be planted?
– Virginia: predominantly CHAMPS and NC-V
11, with some Florida Fancy, Bailey, and Perry
– Runner: Georgia Greener, if can get seed
that will germinate; second choice is
Georgia-06G; Florida-07 for high O/L
contract premium
Dr. Jay Chapin – Clemson University
• What will be major challenges in 2011?
– Timely rain always #1 concern
– Resistant pigweed control
– Everything else we can handle if we get the
rain!
Dr. Naveen Puppala – New Mexico State University
• What will acreage do in 2011?
– We are expecting a reduction of 10% but it
may be down more than that
• What cultivars will be planted?
– Mainly Valencia-C, Valencia-A, GenTex-136,
GenTex-112, GenTex-118, GenTex-119, and
GenTex-122
Dr. Naveen Puppala – New Mexico State University
• What will be major challenges in 2011?
– Even at $800 - $1,000 per ton, it is difficult
to find growers willing to sign a contract
– They are anticipating more cotton acreage in
New Mexico
Dr. Chad Godsey – Oklahoma State University
• What will acreage do in 2011?
– I think our acreage will stay around the 20,000
acre range
– Over the past couple of years we have seen
some of the “old” peanut ground come back
• What cultivars will be planted?
– A shift back to Spanish cultivars
– I think nearly half of the acres will be Spanish,
mainly Tamnut OL06 and AT 98-99-14
– The other half split between Virginia (Jupiter)
and Runner (Tamrun OL07 and Red River Runner
Dr. Chad Godsey – Oklahoma State University
• What will be major challenges in 2011?
– Biggest competition is going to be for cotton
acres
– Water is not that big of an issue in most of
the peanut growing areas
– Biggest challenge may be for those old
producers that have been out of peanuts for
the last 10 years to quickly catch up with
what has happened since they last grew the
crop
– Producers are finally excited again to grow
peanuts
Dr. Todd Baughman – Texas A&M University
• What will acreage do in 2011?
– Texas will likely be down in acres in 2011,
10% predicted, but could be higher
• What cultivars will be planted?
– Runner: Flavorrunner 458 and Tamrun OL07
– Virginia: Gregory and AT07V
– Spanish: Olin and Tamnut OL06
– Valencia: Valencia C
Dr. Todd Baughman – Texas A&M University
• What will be major challenges in 2011?
– Major factors in Texas (bet you never heard
this before) water and price or price and
water
– Large percentage of TX acres rotated with
cotton and the cotton and peanut price
differential will definitely play a part in the
decision
– Well capacity since over 98% of acres are
irrigated. Marginal wells will likely go to
cotton
Dr. Todd Baughman – Texas A&M University
• What will be major challenges in 2011?
– Finally, we are extremely dry in Texas right
now and dry subsoil moisture conditions
typically favor cotton planting
Mike Howell – Mississippi State University
• What will acreage do in 2011?
– MS peanut acreage is expected to decrease
– We were at 18,000 acres in 2010 and am
estimating 14,000 – 14,500 acres in 2011
• What cultivars will be planted?
– Georgia-06G will be on the majority of acres
this year
– Interest in Florida-07 in southern MS but they
are too full season for north MS
– Interest in Georgia Greener but will not have
many acres due to seed problems
Mike Howell – Mississippi State University
• What will be major challenges in 2011?
– Economics – a few growers booked
(contracted) some peanuts but the majority
are seeing cotton as a more profitable crop
for 2011
Dr. David Wright – University of Florida
• What will acreage do in 2011?
– Even at $650/ton we are expecting about a
10% reduction in acreage
– That would put FL at about 130,000 acres
• What cultivars will be planted?
– Georgia-06G as the dominant cultivar,
followed by Florida-07, Georgia-07W,
Tifguard, and AP-4
– Several folks were going to plant Georgia
Greener but germination problems changed
that
Dr. David Wright – University of Florida
• What cultivars will be planted?
– Will see some minor acreage of Georgia
Green in the Williston area where TSWV is
not a problem
• What will be major challenges in 2011?
– Dry weather early and weed control
problems that go along with that and Palmer
amaranth
– We’ve had a lot of tillage that has already
been done with the dry weather
– We need to limit tillage to conserve moisture
Kris Balkcom – Auburn University
• What will acreage do in 2011?
– Slight decrease in 2011, going from 185,000
in 2010 to around a 10% decrease to
165,000 to 170,000
– The decrease will come mainly from the
newer production areas of the state that
were predominantly cotton producing areas
Kris Balkcom – Auburn University
• What cultivars will be planted?
– Georgia-06G will be planted on the majority
of acres followed by Florida-07, Georgia
Greener, Georgia-07W, and Tifguard
Kris Balkcom – Auburn University
• What will be major challenges in 2011?
– Economics will be a challenge for all
producers and an obstacle for some
– Some producers contracted at $550/ton
– This is a year when they will have to be very
mindful of their spending since inputs have
been on the rise
– For instance, they didn’t even know what
seed costs would be
Kris Balkcom – Auburn University
• What will be major challenges in 2011?
– Producers have seen what fuel prices have
done
– A lot of producers are turning their land due
to pigweed issues (which increases fuel use)
– Some producers are going for thicker cover
to help block sunlight, preventing weeds
from germinating
– This is a concern since this is a La Nina cycle
when moisture may be critical and there is a
fear of cover crops competing for moisture
Dr. John Beasley – University of Georgia
• What will acreage do in 2011?
– If you asked me early January, I would
have said 25-30%
– Once $600/ton contract came out, acreage
may be down 20%
Year
1966
2000
1967
1982
1926
Planted Acres
498,000
494,000
493,000
475,000
462,000
*1909 – 1923, all less than 500,000 acres
**Since 1925, only 5 years in which less than 500,000 planted acres in Georgia
Dr. John Beasley – University of Georgia
• What will acreage do in 2011?
– If you asked me early January, I would
have said 25-30%
– Once $600/ton contract came out, acreage
may be down 20%
• Could we drop near the 450,000 acre range?
(lbs/A)
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
Tubbs
hired
(lbs/A)
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
Release of
GA-06G,
FL-07,
Tifguard
5-Year Average Yields in
Georgia, 1971 - 2010
Years
5-Year Average Yield
10-Year Average Yields in
Georgia, 1971 - 2010
Years
10-Year Average Yield
Highest Average Yields in Georgia
Year
Yield
2010
3560
2009
3560
2003
3450
2008
3400
1984
3375
2001
3330
1975
3295
1978
3280
1985
3240
1979
3235
1974
3220
1982
3215
2007
3120
2004
2980
Highest Average Yields in Georgia
Year
Yield
2010
3560
2009
3560
2003
3450
2008
3400
1984
3375
2001
3330
1975
3295
1978
3280
1985
3240
1979
3235
1974
3220
1982
3215
2007
3120
2004
2980
Dr. John Beasley – University of Georgia
• What cultivars will be planted?
– Georgia-06G will be planted on 75-80% of
acreage
– Georgia Greener and Georgia-07W are very
popular but seed supply not sufficient
– Tifguard will be in even more demand due
to the loss of Temik
Dr. John Beasley – University of Georgia
• What will be major challenges in
2011?
– Will we receive timely rainfall – we could
see a higher percentage of peanut acreage
under non-irrigated conditions
– Nematode control without Temik and
insufficient seed supply of Tifguard
– Continued control of Palmer amaranth
(herbicide resistant pigweed)
– Burrower bug – was it a once in a generation
problem last year?
Dr. John Beasley – University of Georgia
• What will be major challenges in 2011?
– Potential loss of Georgia Automated
Environmental Monitoring Network
(www.georgiaweather.net)
State
2010
Planted Acres
U.S. Peanut
Specialists’ Est.*
2011 Acres???
Alabama
190
- 10%
170
Florida
145
- 10%
130
Georgia
565
- 20%
450
Mississippi
19
- 20%
15
North Carolina
87
- 5%
83
South Carolina
67
0
67
Virginia
18
-?
15
New Mexico
10
- 10%
9
Oklahoma
22
0
22
165
- 10%
150
Texas
USA
1,288
*SWAG of each specialist
1,111**
**13.7% reduction
Year
1966
2000
1967
1982
1926
Planted Acres
498,000
494,000
493,000
475,000
462,000
*1909 – 1923, all less than 500,000 acres
**Since 1925, only 5 years in which less than 500,000 planted acres in Georgia
State
2010
U.S. Peanut
Planted Acres Specialists’ Est.*
2011
Acres??
2009
Planted Acres
Alabama
190
- 10%
170
155
Florida
145
- 10%
130
115
Georgia
565
- 20%
450
510
Mississippi
19
- 20%
15
21
North Carolina
87
- 5%
83
67
South Carolina
67
0
67
50
Virginia
18
-?
15
12
New Mexico
10
- 10%
9
7
Oklahoma
22
0
22
14
165
- 10%
150
165
1,111**
1,116
Texas
USA
1,288
*SWAG of each specialist
**13.7% reduction
www.ugapeanuts.com