Analysing the Data

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Analysing the Data

Peter Mantel, Managing Director

05

th

November 2014

BMT Group - History

BSRA

British Ship

Research

Association (1887)

NMI Ltd

National

Maritime

Institute (1909)

British Maritime Technology Ltd

established 1985 (now BMT Group Ltd)

© BMT SMART Ltd. 2014 Analysing the Data | 2

BMT Group

£156 million turnover

1,400 consultants Research led Global clients

© BMT SMART Ltd. 2014

BMT Smart Briefing | 3

| 3

Introduction

BMT SMART is the specialist vessel performance division of the BMT Group, the leading name in global marine consultancy.

A pioneering provider of fleet and vessel performance management systems.

Offering a comprehensive suite of products, consultancy solutions and support services.

We have the ability to help ship owners and operators manage and optimise vessel performance, and validate and benchmark results.

BMT SMART is dedicated to delivering solutions for better, safer, faster and more efficient fleet performance management .

© BMT SMART Ltd. 2014 Analysing the Data | 4

The role of performance monitoring

On-board

The design and operation of a vessel and its systems have a major impact on efficiencies.

Managing interactions between design and operation is vital.

Environmental

Conditions effecting vessel performance are dynamic and unpredictable.

Ship performance is dependent on many factors from the quality and type of hull coating to prevailing weather and oceanographic conditions.

Industry

External influences on the shipping industry can significantly effect overall vessel, voyage and fleet operation.

Having the right data at hand enables better management of the response to specific challenges .

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How to measure vessel performance

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Vessel performance data is automatically collected on-board as your advanced BMT

SMART solution interfaces with systems and sensors.

Panel displays and on-board computers can be used to present key trending information and live feedback continually to the crew.

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Satellite communications are used to automatically relay the vessel’s performance data ashore while also updating the on-board system.

All of this information is stored securely on our servers, where it is modelled with our high-quality Metocean data.

Our web-based platform provides easy and intuitive access to manage and analyse vessel and fleet performance.

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How to understand vessel performance

On its own, data will not improve vessel performance

You need a solution that provides sophisticated data collection, display and analysis services to support optimal decision-making

This is achieved through a simple four-step approach:

1.

Measure

2.

Manage

3.

Analyse

4.

Action

In this presentation we discuss the analysis step further.

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Analysis techniques

There are two accepted methods for preparing vessel performance data for analysis:

Normalising corrects the vessel data for the variance caused by weather etc. through the use of a vessel model that predicts the vessels performance for all operating conditions.

Filtering removes the variance caused by weather, load condition, water depth etc. by filtering the dataset.

Normalisation

Raw

Performance Data

Prepared

Performance Data

Analysis and

Trending

BMT’s approach is to automate the collection of data to allow for a sufficiently large dataset to filter.

We believe that the risks of correcting the data through normalisation may lead to misinterpretation.

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What is normalisation?

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15000

10000

5000

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In service data

5 10

Model Tests Base Condition

Speed (kts)

15

Input Dataset

Before Normalising

20

Model test baseline

After Normalising

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What is normalisation?

Normalisation relies solely on a full and accurate model to avoid any uncertainty introduced to the analysis.

This typically requires a full set of model tests for various load conditions for a full range of wind and waves.

There is the risk of under or over correction to the dataset.

This can lead to misinterpretation of the performance data.

25000

20000

15000

10000

5000

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Model Tests Base Condition

10

Speed (kts)

Input Dataset

15

Corrected Dataset

Over corrected

20 data

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Why filtering?

Filtered for:

• Draught

• Wind Speed

• Wave Height

• Current Speed

Before Filtering After Filtering

Filtering requires a large dataset to ensure that after filtering there is still sufficient data to produce reliable analysis.

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What do we do?

L. Aldous et al. (2014) suggests, in her analysis of ship performance monitoring uncertainty, that there is a trade off between the uncertainties introduced by modelling data (normalisation) and the uncertainties from a smaller dataset (filtering).

BMT’s Approach

With an automated acquisition system and high quality Metocean data, filtering is easy and reliable with a sufficient quantity of data to reduce the uncertainties.

BMT employ a filtering technique and our own derived performance indicators based on high quality, high quantity in-service data from our automated performance monitoring software.

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BMT’s approach to analysis - Coefficients

Once the data has been filtered coefficients are calculated, giving the powerful tool of trending isolated performance components.

The Fuel Coefficient:

Identifies the fuel flow and the log speed. This gives the overall vessel performance including the engine, propeller and hull

The Power Coefficient:

Identifies the shaft power and log speed. This gives the overall efficiency of the propeller and hull excluding the engine

The SFOC, Propeller and Hull

Coefficients:

Isolate the individual components giving the efficiency of each independently

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The importance of sensor accuracy

Studies show that the precision of the speed sensor is fundamental to reducing uncertainty in analysis .

Performance Indicator Bias

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-2000

Performance indicator bias, L. Aldous et al. (2014)

The error bars indicate the precision, the redline is the performance indicator of the baseline

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The importance of accurate speed through water

Using Speed over Ground instead of Speed through Water can have a dramatic effect on uncertainty.

Speed Log sensor drift has a significant effect on performance indicators.

This highlights the importance of being able to monitor sensor drift.

This can be done by comparing derived Speed through Water (by correcting Speed Over Ground for ocean and tidal currents) with Log Speed readings.

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15

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-5

5 10

Log speed (kn)

15 20 25

20

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10

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Log speed (kn)

15 20 25

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Comparing data collection techniques

Effect of Input Uncertainties on CM and NR baselines for Different

Evaluation Periods

Model error

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20

27

146

Full days

Baseline

0

5

24

44

211

12

50

62

50 100 150 200 250

Uncertainty as a Percentage of the change in Ship Performance

CM 9 months CM 3 months NR 9 months NR 3 months

255

300

Simulation uncertainty sensitivity analysis results, L. Aldous et al. (2014)

A low sample frequency (i.e. noon reporting) requires a much longer time than a high sample frequency method (i.e. continuous (automated) monitoring) to reach the same level of certainty.

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Effect of Input Uncertainties on CM and NR baselines for Different

Evaluation Periods

4

20

Model error

27

Comparing data collection techniques

5

24

Full days

44

211

12

62

Baseline

50

0 50 100 150 200 250

Uncertainty as a Percentage of the change in Ship Performance

CM 9 months CM 3 months NR 9 months NR 3 months

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300

3 months of continuous monitoring data shows a very similar level of uncertainty, when calculating baselines, as 9 months of noon reporting data.

3 months

Continuous Monitoring

9 months

Noon Reporting

This shows that there is a significant benefit in continuous monitoring for reducing uncertainty in data.

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What to measure?

For a vessel, the most complete measure of efficiency is the relationship between vessel speed and shaft power or fuel consumption .

It is often useful to isolate the propulsive efficiency (that of the hull and propeller) from the engine.

In this case it is the vessel speed against shaft power relationship that becomes relevant.

Shaft Power vs Log Speed

Fuel Consumption vs Log Speed

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The Power Coefficient

The Power Coefficient identifies the combined effects of the efficiencies of the hull and the propeller.

Increased power absorption, due to the effect of fouling on the hull or propeller for example, is directly reflected in an increase of the Power Coefficient.

A value of 1.10 is interpreted as an increase of 10% in shaft power to achieve a given vessel speed when compared to baseline.

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What data is required?

Vessel Data

Fuel Consumption (Mass)

Fuel Quality (Calorific Value)

Shaft Power

Speed Through Water

Draught

Trim

Propeller RPM

Propeller Pitch (CPP vessels)

Water Temperature

Water Salinity

Speed Over Ground

Heading

Water Depth

Metocean Data

Wind Speed

Wave Height

Current Speed

Vessel Particulars

Length

Beam

Design Draught

Block Coefficient

Wetted Surface Area

Service Speed

Engine Brake Power

Propeller Diameter

Number of Propeller Blades

Propeller Blade Area Ratio

Propeller Design Pitch

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Data acquisition

Bridge

15” Touchscreen

Display

Ship’s Network

ECDIS

GPS

Echo Sounder

Gyro

Speed Log

Rudder Angle

8 x Serial Interface

VDR

RS232/422/485

IAS/EMS

ECR/CCR

Shaft Power

Shaft RPM

Shaft Torque

Draught FWD

Draught AFT

Propeller Pitch

Dual LAN

For Redundancy

© BMT SMART Ltd. 2014

Ship’s Power

Windows 7

SSD PC

24v - UPS

 Marine approved

 Modular

 10 year parts guarantee

24 x Analogue

Interface

RS232/422/485

D/G Out Volume Flow

Fuel Temperature

Tank Levels

Trim

Analysing the Data | 21

Vessel View

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Analysis examples: Stationary period and hull scrub

Stationary period and hull scrub

LNG Tanker operating in the Middle East.

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Analysis examples: Effect of New Coating

Stationary period and hull scrub

LNG Tanker operating in the Middle East.

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Analysis examples: Dry-docking

Dry-docking

VLCC Tanker before and after dry-dock .

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Carbon Credits : A Marine Industry First

International Paint have worked with The Gold Standard to develop the first approved methodology to generate carbon credits for the marine industry

The methodology is both unique and pioneering.

First for the marine industry

– First to consider moving articles (ships)

– First to go beyond geographic boundaries

All products supplied and technical advice or recommendations given are subject to our standard Conditions of Sale.

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Carbon Credits : A Marine Industry First

Generation of carbon credits means that emission savings from green technologies are independently verified

– Reductions in greenhouse gas emissions and therefore fuel savings from retrofitting efficiency improving technologies can be independently verified

Ship operators are financially rewarded for emission reductions

New source of finance in a difficult market

To qualify for carbon credits ship owners are required to upgrade their vessels from a biocide-containing traditional antifouling to Intersleek

® technology

The emission-saving of Intersleek

® generated is determined and directly related to the amount of carbon credits

1 tonne CO

2 saved = 1 carbon credit

All products supplied and technical advice or recommendations given are subject to our standard Conditions of Sale.

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The Methodology

The methodology is based on data received from ships which is then translated into greenhouse gas emission savings

• A baseline emission level is determined prior to the application of Intersleek

®

• The same data source is then used to determine the emission savings after the application of Intersleek

®

Baseline Data from first dock cycle

Daily CO

2

Saving

Data from first year of

Intersleek

® application

Time (days since dock)

All products supplied and technical advice or recommendations given are subject to our standard Conditions of Sale .

© BMT SMART Ltd. 2014 Analysing the Data | 28

Vessel Eligibility

A vessel becomes eligible when it is converted from a biocidal antifouling to

Intersleek

®

• Carbon credits can be claimed until the vessel has been recoated

Vessels with intermediate dockings (2 or 3 year dock cycles) can continue to claim for each dock cycle until they are recoated

Vessels become ineligible for claiming credits if

The Intersleek

® is recoated

• Any other energy-saving device is installed (e.g. PCBF, Mewis Duct)

All products supplied and technical advice or recommendations given are subject to our standard Conditions of Sale.

© BMT SMART Ltd. 2014 Analysing the Data | 29

Summary

There is clearly a trade off between modelling data through normalisation and reducing dataset size through filtering. With a large enough dataset of sufficient quantity, filtering offers a reliable mechanism for preparing data for analysis.

Assessing the relationships between different recorded parameters offers the ability to trend vessel performance over time.

This can be used to monitor efficiencies and quantify the effectiveness of maintenance interventions; introduction of

ESDs, participating in Carbon Credit Initiative, etc.

Industry needs to embrace this technology

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Thank you.

Any questions?

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