Biological Production Rates in the Southern California Current System David Munro University of Washington 1 Acknowledgements Paul Quay, Mark Haught, Johnny Stutsman, and Jackie Leung (UW) Laurie Juranek, Cynthia Peacock (NOAA), Deirdre Lockwood, Hilary Palevsky Ralf Goericke, Dave Wolgast, and CalCOFI research associates (SIO) 2 Acknowledgements Funding sources First year graduate fellowship from the Program on Climate Change Office of Naval Research (NDSEG) fellowship NASA WA space grant fellowship National Science Foundation support for sample supplies and analysis 3 Primary Production and Carbon Export in the Coastal Ocean Global aquatic PP from satellites ~45-50 Pg C y-1 (Carr et al., 2006) Based on derived Chl a, PAR, SST, and calibrated with 14C PP Estimates vary by a factor of 2 (Campbell et al., 2002; Carr et al. 2006) ~20% of ocean PP occurs in continental margins (502000 m depth) (Carr et al., 2002; Muller-Karger et al., 2005) 40 to 50% of global C export flux occurs in continental margins (Muller-Karger et al., 2005; Dunne et al. 2007) Eastern Boundary Currents (EBC’s) <1% of ocean surface area but ~20% of global fish catch Sea surface chlorophyll From Sarmiento and Gruber 5 Net Primary Production From Sarmiento and Gruber 6 Air-Sea C Flux in the Coastal Ocean Globally, coastal seas may be a small net sink, high variability -0.22±0.16 Pg C y-1 (Cai et al. 2006) Global ocean ~ -2.0 Pg C y-1 High variability, many poorly characterized systems Table 1 and Fig. from Cai et al. 2006 7 Productivity terms GOP – Gross O2 production; photosynthetic O2 production via water-splitting reactions in PSII NCP – Net community production; net production of O2 or C in surface ocean after demands of autotrophic and heterotrophic communities have been met NPP – Net primary production (Gross C production minus respiration by phytoplankton) Estimated using 14C-PP and VGPM NCP/GOP ratio – An estimate of the fraction of gross production available for export in terms of O2. NCP/NPP – equivalent to e-ratio or ef-ratio; fraction of NPP in C terms available for export 8 Study Goals I: Spatial and seasonal variability of PP rates Determine variability of PP and NCP and its impact on coastal C system using in situ methods Gross oxygen production (GOP) Net community production (NCP) using 17Δ of dissolved O2 NOP = GOP – (Community Resp) using (O2/Ar)measured Export efficiency (NOP/GOP) Comparison to incubation-based 14C-PP Validation of satellite-based PP in the coastal ocean 9 Study Goals II: Variability in C export over the last three decades Estimate NCP using four different approaches Mixed layer O2 budget Mixed layer nitrate budget 15N uptake f-ratios combined with 14C-PP Satellite-based (VGPM) x export algorithms Dunne et al. (2007); Laws et al. (2000) O2-NCP from biological O2 saturation based on O2/Ar measurements Evaluate interannual and decadal variability in NCP 10 Study Site: CalCOFI CalCOFI grid coded by region 17D O2/Ar Samples collected during 6 cruises Annual Mean Surface Chl a in mg m-3 from Photobiology Group (SIO) 11 14C In vitro effects are a big unknown (Marra, 2002) Uncertainty in what it actually measures (Marra, 2002) PP: why another method? Something between GCP and NCP, closest to net primary production (NPP) Recycling of labeled C Some labeled C is dissolved (depending on methodology either included/excluded) Snapshot estimate (6 to 24 hours) Logistical constraints 17Δ Uses a mixed layer O2 and O2-isotope budget to estimate GOP in the mixed layer in situ GOP Method Luz and Barkan (2000) (17Δdiss – 16) (249 – 17Δdiss) GOP = Kgas* [O2]sat * 17D not sensitive to respiration More terms in the coastal ocean (i.e. coastal upwelling, curl-driven upwelling, horizontal transports) Must convert from O2 to C Not based on an incubation 13 Ocean Range of 17Δ Values Purely Photosynthetic O2 Half Photo + Half Gas Exchange O2 Purely Gas Exchange O2 249±15 per meg 132 per meg 16±2 per meg Measuring 17Δ yields a direct estimate of the proportion of O2 from air and photosynthesis. 14 Locations of 17D measurements to date, from Juranek and Quay (2013) 15 O2/Ar in situ NCP method NCP estimates (in O2 terms) are based on mixed layer budgets for [O2] and [Ar] NCP = Kgas * [O2]sat * ( (O2/Ar)meas – 1) (O2/Ar)sat NCP/GOP a measure of export efficiency from one measurement Does NOT depend on gas exchange (Kgas) NCP/GOP is comparable to f-ratio 2x N/G ~ f-ratio (new production/net primary production) 16 Spatial maps of 17Ddiss and biological O2 saturation (from O2/Ar) August August • Samples collected at up to 50 of 66 standard CalCOFI stations compared to 16 productivity (14C-PP) stations 17 Variability of 17D-GOP and O2:Ar-NCP 350 300 250 200 NCP GOP 150 100 50 0 N. Inshore S. Inshore Cal. Curr. Offshore CC grid Annual NCP and GOP in mmol O2 m-2 d-1 18 17D-GOP : 14C-PP MBARI (Munro and Quay, unpublished data) From Juranek and Quay (2013) 19 Comparison of NCP/GOP NCP/GOP O2 terms NCP/NPP NCP/NPP C terms Laws et al (2000) Study Location Authors CalCOFI – Entire Grid CalCOFI – N. Inshore CalCOFI – Offshore Munro et al. 2012 0.16±.06 0.20±.06 0.15±.06 0.31±.12 0.39±.12 0.29±.12 0.26 0.38 0.18 HOT BATS Subarctic N. Pacific Equatorial Pacific Quay et al. 2010 Barkan et al. 2009 Juranek et al. 2012 Hendricks et al. 2005 Stanley et al. 2010 Reuer et al. 2007 Hamme et al. 2010 Quay et al. 2012 0.19±.08 0.13±.05 0.08 - 0.13 0.06±.05 0.38±.15 0.25±.10 0.15 - 0.25 0.12±.10 0.15 0.14 0.35 0.12 0.08 - 0.13 0.15 - 0.25 0.70 0.35±.13 0.07±.06 0.68±.25 0.14±.12 0.50 0.50 Southern Ocean North Atlantic – bloom – annual Coastal Ocean NCP/GOP ratio similar to open ocean (unexpected) 20 Particle Export Ratio As predicted by the Dunne et al. 2007 algorithm which is a function of chl a and SST From Sarmiento and Gruber 21 POC Export Production From Sarmiento and Gruber 22 Conclusions I 17D-GOP 17D-GOP shows seasonality nearshore consistently 5-7x 14C-PP and 4x VGPM 17D-GOP/14C-PP = 2-3x at MBARI Suggests that CalCOFI 14C-PP underestimates NPP due to methodological effects in 14C-PP Cannot rule out variability in O2/C NCP:GOP ratios close to ratios observed in the open ocean (0.1 to 0.2) Higher ratios than predicted by export models offshore 23 Variability in NCP at CalCOFI over the last three decades 24 Trends in O2 in the S. Cal. Current O2 trends at ~250 m depth From McClatchie et al. 2010 Bograd et al. 2008 %change in O2 1984-2006 Methods: Estimating Biological O2 saturation using O2 saturation Consistent relationship between biological O2 saturation and O2 saturation Estimated for each region/season O2 and nitrate budgets constructed: upwelling terms; horizontal advection; time rate of change; NCP 26 NCP anomaly calculated by differencing quarterly NCP with 27 long-term mean for month of cruise Longterm NCP trends in the South CCS MEI: Multivariate ENSO Index (Wolter and Timlin 1998) PDO: Pacific Decadal Oscillation (Mantua et al. 1997) NPGO: North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (Di Lorenzo et al. 2008) 28 Conclusions II Negative NCP anomalies in response to strong El Niño events (e.g., 1987, 1991-92, 1998) Less signficant NCP response to weak El Niño and La Niña events. Since 2007, positive NCP anomalies based on all NCP estimates (i.e., O2:Ar, nitrate budget, 15N incubations and satellite NPP) NCP trends over the past three decades suggest that export of organic material to depth within the CalCOFI grid not responsible for lower O2 concentrations at depth observed by Bograd et al. (2008) and McClatchie et al. (2010) 29 Questions? 30