The Public Agenda 5 Years Later
Illinois Board of Higher Education
College of Lake County
April 1, 2014
National Center for Higher Education Management Systems
3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150
Boulder, Colorado 80301
-2
-4
4
2
-2
5.6
5.6
5.3
5.2
5.0
4.8
4.7
4.7
4.5
4.3
4.1
4.1
4.1
4.0
4.0
3.9
3.8
3.8
3.6
3.6
3.5
3.5
3.4
3.4
3.4
3.4
3.2
3.1
2.9
2.8
2.8
2.7
2.5
2.4
2.3
2.2
2.2
2.1
2.0
2.0
1.7
1.6
1.5
1.3
1.2
0.1
2
Ages 25-64
Montana
Minnesota
Colorado
Tennessee
Illinois
Iowa
Kentucky
Alabama
West Virginia
Virginia
Wisconsin
California
New Jersey
Missouri
Louisiana
Indiana
Texas
Ohio
Oklahoma
Nation
Utah
Nevada
New Mexico
Arizona
Oregon
Mississippi
New York
Michigan
South Carolina
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
New Hampshire
Georgia
Kansas
Florida
Maryland
Connecticut
Alaska
Massachusetts
Arkansas
Nebraska
Delaware
Idaho
Washington
Rhode Island
Vermont
North Dakota
-0.7
Hawaii
-0.7
Wyoming -1.2
South Dakota -1.8
Maine -2.2
4
3.5
3.2
3.2
3.0
2.9
2.9
2.9
2.6
2.5
2.4
2.4
2.3
2.3
2.3
2.3
2.2
2.1
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.8
1.8
1.7
1.7
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.1
1.1
1.0
1.0
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.2
6
Iowa
Minnesota
Tennessee
Wisconsin
Montana
Colorado
Kentucky
Mississippi
South Carolina
Alabama
Missouri
Indiana
Louisiana
Vermont
Illinois
Virginia
Pennsylvania
North Carolina
New Jersey
Arizona
Delaware
Utah
Nebraska
Ohio
Rhode Island
New Hampshire
Arkansas
Connecticut
Nation
West Virginia
Kansas
Michigan
New York
North Dakota
New Mexico
Wyoming
Alaska
Texas
Georgia
South Dakota
Oklahoma
Oregon
Maryland
Massachusetts
California
Florida
Idaho
Washington
Nevada
Maine
Hawaii -0.5
Change in Adults with an Associates and Higher, 2007 to 2012
Ages 25-34
0
6
0
slide 2
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2007, 2012 American Community Survey
-2
-4
Ages 25-64
4
2
0
Montana
Illinois
Colorado
Tennessee
Minnesota
New Jersey
Virginia
New York
Louisiana
California
Alabama
New Hampshire
West Virginia
Pennsylvania
United States
Ohio
Texas
Wisconsin
Kentucky
Nevada
Oregon
Utah
North Carolina
Maryland
Indiana
Missouri
Iowa
South Carolina
Arizona
Oklahoma
Connecticut
Massachusetts
Michigan
Mississippi
Kansas
Wyoming
Nebraska
Washington
Georgia
Arkansas
Delaware
Vermont
North Dakota
Florida
Alaska
Idaho
Rhode Island
Hawaii
New Mexico
Maine -1.7
South Dakota -1.8
5.8
5.0
4.7
4.7
4.7
4.3
3.9
3.7
3.6
3.5
3.4
3.3
3.2
3.1
3.1
3.0
3.0
2.9
2.9
2.9
2.9
2.9
2.9
2.8
2.7
2.7
2.6
2.5
2.5
2.5
2.5
2.3
2.1
2.1
2.0
2.0
1.9
1.6
1.6
1.4
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.2
1.1
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
2
3.4
4
2.4
2.1
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
1.9
1.8
1.8
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.2
1.2
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.0
1.0
0.9
0.9
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
6
Delaware
Tennessee
Montana
Vermont
Connecticut
New Jersey
Colorado
Minnesota
Illinois
New Hampshire
Kentucky
Alaska
Iowa
North Carolina
Alabama
Virginia
Missouri
Arizona
Wisconsin
Pennsylvania
Arkansas
Wyoming
South Carolina
West Virginia
Nebraska
New York
Louisiana
Utah
Mississippi
North Dakota
United States
Maryland
Kansas
Texas
Indiana
Oregon
Massachusetts
Ohio
California
Michigan
Georgia
Rhode Island
South Dakota
Oklahoma
Washington
New Mexico
Florida
Idaho
Nevada
Maine
Hawaii
Change in Adults with an Bachelor’s and Higher, 2007 to 2012
Ages 25-34
0
6
slide 3
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2007, 2012 American Community Survey
Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher by Age Group –
Illinois, U.S. & Leading OECD Countries
Age 35-44
Age 45-54
Age 55-64
39.2
39.9
39.5
36.9
42.4
42.5
38.5
35.5
Illinois
39.3
United States
24.5
18.5
15.5
21.6
14.5
Denmark
39.7
39.8
34.8
32.0
27.3
Belgium
30.2
40.6
33.4
26.9
21.9
40.6
30.4
21.8
16.7
17.6
10.0
20
40.9
35.1
29.9
24.0
51.0
21.7
30
35.6
40
38.5
50
Age 25-34
53.2
46.6
60
53.8
49.5
42.5
36.4
2007
10
0
Spain
France
43.1
44.6
40.9
41.2
45.7
44.0
39.8
38.7
55 to 64
45.0
49.6
45.3
45.3
46.0
41.0
36.9
32.7
46.6
39.9
45 to 54
31.2
28.3
22.8
33.8
29.2
31.0
46.9
42.6
35.8
31.3
47.2
43.5
48.0
42.6
35 to 44
46.8
41.5
25 to 34
56.7
58.0
58.7
Ireland
44.6
41.0
35.3
30.3
20
Norway
Australia
United States
Illinois
12.8
30
27.9
40
Korea
30.7
50
Japan
51.2
47.0
60
49.5
2011-12 70
63.8
Canada
10
0
Korea
Japan
Canada
Ireland
United
Kingdom
Norway
Luxembourg New Zealand
Israel
4
Source: OECD, Education at a Glance 2007, 2013; U.S. Census Bureau, 2007, 2012 American
Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample File
Education Attainment Levels of Adults, 2005 vs. 2012
(Percent)
50-State Rank
2005
Age 18-24 with HS Diploma
24
78.6
Age 25-64 with High School Diploma
88.4
Age 25-64 with Associate Degree
27
8.3
Age 25-64 with with Bachelors or Higher
12
31.8
Age 25-64 with Graduate/Prof. Degree
29
12
11.7
2012
Age 18-24 with HS Diploma
27
85.9
Age 25-64 with High School Diploma
89.45
Age 25-64 with Associate Degree
32
8.39
Age 25-64 with with Bachelors or Higher
11
34.13
Age 25-64 with Graduate/Prof. Degree
12.52
0
20
29
11
40
60
80
100
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 and 2012 American Community Survey
slide 5
Change in Percent Education Attainment Levels of Adults,
2005 vs. 2012
Change in 50-State Rank
Age 18-24 with HS Diploma
7.3
Age 25-64 with High School Diploma
0
1.05
Age 25-64 with Associate Degree
0.09
-5
Age 25-64 with with Bachelors or Higher
2.33
Age 25-64 with Graduate/Prof. Degree
1
1
0.82
0
-3
2
4
6
8
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 and 2012 American Community Survey
slide 6
Ages 18-64
slide 7
5
-1
-3
-5
-7
3.1
3.9
4.0
-8
3
1
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.7
0.7
0.9
1.3
-6
-5.2
-5.0
-4.9
-4.3
-4.1
-3.7
-3.2
-3.1
-3.1
-3.1
-2.6
-2.6
-2.5
-2.5
-2.5
-2.4
-2.4
-2.1
-1.9
-1.9
-1.9
-1.8
-1.8
-1.7
-1.5
-1.1
-1.1
-0.9
-0.9
-0.8
-0.8
-0.6
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
-4
Idaho
-7.7
Oregon
-7.2
Iowa
-7.0
Arizona
Washington
Colorado
Nevada
California
Texas
New Mexico
Wyoming
Rhode Island
New Jersey
Alaska
Utah
Nebraska
North Dakota
Kentucky
Nation
Montana
Pennsylvania
Illinois
New Hampshire
Kansas
Missouri
Oklahoma
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Florida
New York
North Carolina
Georgia
Wisconsin
Virginia
Indiana
Massachusetts
South Carolina
Ohio
Hawaii
Alabama
Delaware
Arkansas
Maryland
Tennessee
Maine
Louisiana
Connecticut
Vermont
West Virginia
South Dakota
-2
-3.1
-3.1
-3.1
-2.8
-2.8
-2.5
-2.2
-1.8
-1.7
-1.5
-1.4
-1.4
-1.3
-1.3
-1.2
-1.1
-1.1
-1.0
-1.0
-1.0
-0.7
-0.7
-0.7
-0.6
-0.5
-0.5
-0.4
-0.4
-0.4
-0.3
-0.1
0.0
2
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.6
1.0
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.6
Ages 18-34
Arizona -5.1
Idaho
Colorado
Oregon
Wyoming
Texas
Nevada
New Mexico
California
Mississippi
Wisconsin
Michigan
Georgia
Alaska
Washington
Nation
Florida
New Jersey
Illinois
Iowa
Delaware
South Carolina
Missouri
Ohio
Minnesota
Alabama
Pennsylvania
Montana
Oklahoma
Louisiana
North Carolina
Utah
Rhode Island
New York
Virginia
North Dakota
Arkansas
Tennessee
Connecticut
Kentucky
Kansas
Hawaii
Indiana
Massachusetts
South Dakota
Maryland
Nebraska
Maine
Vermont
New Hampshire
West Virginia
6
4.4
4.8
5.3
Change in the High School Completion Gap Between
Whites and Underserved Populations, 2007 vs. 2012
Negative numbers represent a
closing of the gap
4
0
2005-07
2010-12
Illinois
18.90%
16.75%
Nation
17.85%
15.35%
2005-07
2010-12
Illinois
20.65%
19.45%
Nation
19.18%
17.68%
Note: Underrepresented Minorities include Blacks, Hispanics, and Native Americans
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 and 2010-12 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.
Percent of Population Age 18-24 with No High School Diploma
2006
2011
22.0% to 52.7%
16.1% to 22.0%
11.4% to 16.1%
1.7% to 11.4%
Illinois = 16.7%
22.0% to 38.9%
16.1% to 22.0%
11.4% to 16.1%
1.8% to 11.4%
Illinois = 15.1%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Change in Percent of Population Age 18-24 with No High
School Diploma, 2006-11
2.5% to 11.9%
0.0% to 2.5%
-5.4% to 0.0%
-14.4% to -5.4%
Illinois = -1.6%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey One-Year PUMS File.
6
-2
-4
-10
-8
slide 10
3.9
4.0
4.3
Ages 25-64
4
2
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.6
0.7
0.8
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.2
1.2
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.6
1.6
1.7
1.7
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.9
1.9
2.0
8
7.1
7.2
-30
-1.8
-1.3
-0.9
-0.8
-0.7
-0.7
-0.3
-0.2
0.0
-20
-11.7
-15
-25.5
Vermont
Hawaii
South Dakota
Wyoming
Alaska
New Hampshire
Montana
Nevada
Arizona
Nebraska
Maine
Oregon
New Mexico
Kansas
Florida
Washington
Texas
Kentucky
Missouri
California
Mississippi
Indiana
Delaware
South Carolina
Virginia
Iowa
Nation
Massachusetts
Louisiana
Ohio
Michigan
Colorado
New Jersey
Georgia
Oklahoma
Illinois
Idaho
North Carolina
Connecticut
Tennessee
Alabama
Utah
Minnesota
Pennsylvania
New York
Arkansas
Maryland
Wisconsin
West Virginia
Rhode Island
North Dakota
-5
-10
-4.8
-4.7
-4.1
-3.0
-1.0
-0.9
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
Ages 25-34
Hawaii-7.9
Maine-7.7
Vermont -6.9
Alaska -6.4
Wyoming
Georgia
Oklahoma
South Carolina
Arizona
Oregon
Texas
Mississippi
Michigan
Tennessee
Virginia
California
South Dakota
Indiana
Nevada
Montana
Missouri
Alabama
Florida
Nation
New Mexico
Colorado
Washington
Ohio
Louisiana
Massachusetts
Nebraska
New Jersey
Maryland
Minnesota
Pennsylvania
Kansas
Kentucky
Illinois
Arkansas
Connecticut
Idaho
North Carolina
New York
Wisconsin
Utah
Delaware
Iowa
New Hampshire
West Virginia
Rhode Island
North Dakota
15
10
5
0.1
0.1
0.3
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.0
1.2
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.5
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.8
1.8
1.9
2.1
2.2
2.2
2.5
2.6
2.8
2.9
3.1
3.1
3.2
3.2
3.6
3.8
3.9
4.1
5.7
7.1
7.5
9.1
Change in Average Annual Percent of Adults with at Least an Associates
Degree - Gap Between Whites and Underserved Populations
Negative numbers represent a
closing of the gap
0
-25
0
2005-07
2010-12
Illinois
29.54%
31.99%
Nation
23.27%
24.95%
2005-07
2010-12
Illinois
23.14%
24.82%
Nation
19.92%
22.61%
-6
Note: Underrepresented Minorities include Blacks, Hispanics, and Native Americans
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 and 2010-12 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.
Ages 25-64
slide 11
8
4
2
-2
-4
-6
-8
5.5
6.3
6
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.8
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.5
1.6
1.6
1.7
2.0
2.0
2.8
3.5
3.6
-20
-12.9
-15
-18.2
Vermont
Hawaii
South Dakota
Alaska
Wyoming
Nebraska
Mississippi
Nevada
Arizona
Washington
New Mexico
Florida
Oregon
Kentucky
Texas
Massachusetts
California
Michigan
Delaware
New Hampshire
Kansas
North Carolina
Missouri
Louisiana
Nation
Iowa
Virginia
Ohio
South Carolina
Indiana
Utah
Idaho
Oklahoma
Illinois
Alabama
Georgia
Arkansas
Pennsylvania
New Jersey
Montana
Connecticut
Tennessee
Maryland
North Dakota
Colorado
New York
Wisconsin
Minnesota
Rhode Island
West Virginia
Maine
-10
-6.4
-5
-3.9
-3.5
-1.7
-1.4
-0.6
Ages 25-34
-6.8
Hawaii
Alaska -4.4
-2.5
Maine
-2.3
South Dakota
-2.2
Wyoming
-1.2
Mississippi
-0.8
Georgia
-0.7
Arizona
-0.7
South Carolina
-0.6
Oklahoma
-0.4
Michigan
-0.3
Tennessee
-0.2
New Mexico
-0.1
Oregon
-0.1
Virginia
0.0
Texas
0.0
Washington
Missouri
Indiana
Nebraska
Florida
California
Nation
Arkansas
Maryland
Alabama
Kentucky
Ohio
Louisiana
Utah
Delaware
Montana
New York
Pennsylvania
Nevada
Massachusetts
North Carolina
Colorado
Illinois
Kansas
Wisconsin
New Jersey
Connecticut
Vermont
Minnesota
Idaho
West Virginia
Iowa
North Dakota
Rhode Island
New Hampshire
10
5
0.0
0.3
0.6
0.8
0.9
0.9
1.1
1.1
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
2.0
2.0
2.2
2.2
2.5
2.5
2.6
2.7
2.8
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.1
3.3
3.3
3.6
3.7
4.1
4.1
4.4
5.0
5.6
7.3
7.4
8.6
Change in Average Annual Percent of Adults with at Least a Bachelor’s
Degree - Gap Between Whites and Underserved Populations
Negative numbers represent a
closing of the gap
0
0
2005-07
2010-12
Illinois
26.14%
28.88%
Nation
20.20%
22.13%
2005-07
2010-12
Illinois
20.71%
22.03%
Nation
17.65%
18.10%
Note: Underrepresented Minorities include Blacks, Hispanics, and Native Americans
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 and 2010-12 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.
Change in Education Attainment Levels by Race,
Adults Ages 25-64, 2006-08 vs. 2008-10
Less than
High School
White
Black
Hispanic
Native
High School
or GED
White
Black
Hispanic
Native
Some College
No Degree
White
Black
Hispanic
Native
Associates
Degree
White
Black
Hispanic
Native
Bachelor’s
Degree
White
Black
Hispanic
Native
Graduate
Degree
White
Black
Hispanic
Native
Less than
High School
White
Black
Hispanic
Native
High School
or GED
White
Black
Hispanic
Native
-0.56
-0.72
-0.73
-8.61
Illinois
-1.06
-2.41
-1.48
-2.06
0.55
0.87
0.03
0.25
-0.49
1.89
-0.49
-2.76
0.39
0.64
0.57
Bachelor’s
Degree
White
Black
Hispanic
Native
Graduate
Degree
White
Black
Hispanic
Native
-10
slide 12
2.75
-0.54
-0.96
-0.99
-0.81
-1.21
-2.2
-1.42
-2.52
Nation
0.97
1.83
Native
White
Black
Hispanic
Native
8.78
0.64
0.52
White
Some College
Black
No Degree Hispanic
Associates
Degree
3.48
2.54
2.94
0.14
0.08
0.11
-0.09
0.42
0.21
0.3
0.45
0.23
0.33
0.17
0.02
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-08 American Community Survey (ACS) File, 2008-10 American
Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.
Percent of Population Age 25-64 with an Associates Degree or Higher
2006
2011
47.1% to 83.4%
35.0% to 47.1%
28.1% to 35.0%
10.9% to 28.1%
Illinois = 39.7%
47.1% to 88.5%
35.0% to 47.1%
28.1% to 35.0%
15.2% to 28.1%
Illinois = 41.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Change in Percent of Population Age 25-64 with an
Associates Degree or Higher, 2006-11
4.1% to 12.4%
2.0% to 4.1%
0.0% to 2.0%
-9.1% to 0.0%
Illinois = 2.0%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey One-Year PUMS File.
Student Pipeline
100
2004
91.3
Best Performing State
United States
75.5
80
69.7
Illinois
57.3
60
38.8
41.7
42.3
42.0
40
Of 100
9th Graders,
How Many…
26.9
28.4
29.7
27.3
18.4
20
33.7
19.9
0
Graduate from High School
2010
Directly Enter College
Enroll in Second Year
100
Are Age 25-44 w ith a Bachelor's
Degree
Best Performing State
88.6
80
Graduate Within 150% of
Program Time
73.5
United States
77.0
Illinois
61.5
60
45.9
45.2
40
Of 100
9th Graders,
How Many…
46.4
43.1
31.4
35.9
30.6
31.2
30.3
20.8
20.9
20
0
Graduate from High School
Directly Enter College
Enroll in Second Year
Graduate Within 150% of
Program Time
Are Age 25-44 w ith a Bachelor's
Degree
Source: NCES Common Core Data 2004, 2010; Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Education Opportunity; NCES,
IPEDS Fall 2004 Retention Rate File and Fall 2003 Enrollments, 2004 Graduation Rates; U.S.
Census Bureau, 2005 and ACS, NCES, IPEDS Fall 2010 Retention Rate File; ef2010_d Final
Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS 2009-10 Graduation Rate File; gr2010 Final Release Data File.
Difference in College Participation Rates for Students in
Low-Income Families, 2007 to 2012
New Hampshire
Connecticut
New Jersey
Minnesota
Rhode Island
New York
Wisconsin
Massachusetts
Delaware
Vermont
Maryland
Virginia
Michigan
Hawaii
Ohio
California
Georgia
Colorado
Nevada
Arizona
Nation
Maine
North Carolina
Utah
Florida
Missouri
Illinois
Idaho
South Dakota
Tennessee
Pennsylvania
Montana
Oregon
South Carolina
Kentucky
Alabama
Iowa
North Dakota
New Mexico
Arkansas
Washington
Mississippi
Texas
Kansas
Indiana
Wyoming
Nebraska
West Virginia
Louisiana
Oklahoma
Alaska
0%
slide 16
5%
5%
6%
9%
9%
8%
8%
7%
7%
7%
28%
22%
21%
20%
20%
19%
19%
19%
18%
18%
18%
18%
17%
17%
Illinois ranks 29th in participation of
17%
17%
students from low-income families
17%
with a rate of 35.5% in 2012. This
17%
17%
is an increase from 29.9% in 2007.
16%
16%
16%
15%
15%
15%
15%
14%
13%
13%
13%
13%
13%
12%
12%
11%
11%
11%
11%
10%
10%
10%
10%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Source: National Science Foundation
Change in Undergraduate Enrollment Age 25-49 as a Percent of
Population Age 25-49 with Just a High School Diploma 2007 to 2011
Utah
Minnesota
Oregon
Arizona
Missouri
New Mexico
Virginia
Colorado
Kansas
Florida
Ohio
Maryland
Indiana
Alabama
North Carolina
Nebraska
Georgia
Iowa
United States
South Dakota
Wisconsin
Michigan
Texas
Idaho
Hawaii
Kentucky
Montana
Mississippi
South Carolina
New York
New Hampshire
Illinois
Wyoming
Connecticut
Massachusetts
Alaska
California
Maine
Louisiana
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Rhode Island
Vermont
New Jersey
Arkansas
West Virginia
Delaware
Pennsylvania
Washington
North Dakota
Nevada
1.3
0
slide 17
5.3
5.2
5.0
5.0
4.9
4.8
4.6
4.6
4.4
4.3
4.2
4.1
4.1
4.1
4.0
3.7
3.7
3.4
3.4
3.3
3.2
3.2
3.1
3.0
2.7
2.7
2.6
2.2
2
4
6.8
6.7
6.7
6.6
6.3
6.2
6.2
5.9
5.9
5.8
7.2
7.2
7.6
9.0
8.9
8.6
9.5
10.2
11.7
11.6
11.3
14.3
6
8
10
12
14
16
Source: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2007 and Fall 2011 Enrollment File; ef2011b Provisional Release Data File.
U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey, 2011 State Population Estimates, 2007
American Community Survey, 2000-2010 State Intercensal Population Estimates.
Change in Economic Growth, 1997-2007 versus 2007-2012
Calculated as change in gross state product for
the specified period.
1997-2007
Wyoming
Nevada
Arizona
Florida
Idaho
Utah
Texas
Virginia
Montana
Colorado
California
Louisiana
North Dakota
Oklahoma
Maryland
South Dakota
Alaska
Washington
Delaware
North Carolina
Oregon
Georgia
Hawaii
Nation
Rhode Island
Minnesota
Kansas
Iowa
New York
Alabama
Arkansas
South Carolina
Nebraska
Maine
Connecticut
New Hampshire
Mississippi
Tennessee
Vermont
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Wisconsin
New Mexico
Indiana
Pennsylvania
Illinois
West Virginia
Missouri
Kentucky
Ohio
Michigan
2007-2012
92.7
92.1
91.8
90.5
84.7
82.8
82.6
80.0
78.8
78.5
78.4
77.9
77.7
77.0
75.8
75.4
73.5
72.4
68.5
68.5
68.4
67.7
64.6
64.1
63.8
62.8
62.6
62.6
62.3
61.6
61.5
61.2
59.3
58.9
58.2
58.2
57.5
56.6
56.4
56.4
55.6
54.4
53.3
50.5
47.9
45.5
40.2
32.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
102.4
120
131.6
126.9
140
North Dakota
West Virginia
Texas
South Dakota
Nebraska
Utah
Oregon
Louisiana
Maryland
Alaska
Minnesota
Washington
Kentucky
Kansas
Montana
North Carolina
Oklahoma
Massachusetts
Virginia
Tennessee
Indiana
Wyoming
Iowa
Vermont
Pennsylvania
Hawaii
Colorado
Arkansas
New York
New Hampshire
South Carolina
Nation
Missouri
Illinois
Alabama
Delaware
Wisconsin
Mississippi
Maine
Ohio
Georgia
New Mexico
New Jersey
Rhode Island
Idaho
California
Connecticut
Michigan
Arizona
Florida
Nevada
61.2
22.0
21.8
21.7
21.2
20.3
18.9
17.3
16.8
16.4
16.3
15.6
15.3
15.2
15.2
14.9
14.7
14.6
14.5
14.4
14.1
14.0
13.7
13.5
13.1
13.0
12.9
12.4
12.0
11.8
11.7
11.6
11.1
11.0
10.8
10.7
10.6
10.2
9.4
9.0
8.5
8.4
7.8
7.7
7.3
7.1
3.7
3.6
3.0
2.1
0.3
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Source: US Bureau of Economics
slide 18
Change in Median Earnings by Education
Attainment, Ages 25-64, 2005 to 2010
United States
Less than High School
$1,489
High School/GED
$1,382
Some College, No Degree
$1,413
Associate Degree
$2,522
Bachelors
$3,196
Graduate/Professional
$33,726
Illinois
Less than High School
$842
High School/GED
$2,322
Some College, No Degree
$2,103
Associate Degree
$2,368
Bachelors
$4,460
Graduate/Professional
$35,836
0
slide 19
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 American Community Survey Public Use Microdata Sample File; U.S. Census
Bureau, 2008-10 American Community Survey (ACS) Three-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.
Change in Total Higher Education Revenues per FTE
Student, 2007 to 2012
Illinois
North Dakota
West Virginia
Delaware
Maine
Colorado
Minnesota
Rhode Island
South Dakota
Nebraska
Vermont
Alaska
Virginia
Pennsylvania
Michigan
Montana
Texas
Wisconsin
Alabama
Iowa
Kentucky
Indiana
New Jersey
New York
New Hampshire
Kansas
Mississippi
North Carolina
Connecticut
US
Oklahoma
Utah
Hawaii
Maryland
Oregon
Georgia
Ohio
Arizona
Missouri
New Mexico
Wyoming
South Carolina
Massachusetts
Tennessee
Washington
Louisiana
Nevada
Arkansas
California
Idaho
Florida
-24.6%
-25.9%
-0.3
slide 20
-0.25
-20.1%
-20.3%
3.7%
2.5%
1.8%
1.2%
0.4%
0.4%
-1.0%
-2.2%
-3.0%
-3.2%
-3.6%
-3.8%
-4.5%
-5.1%
-5.3%
-5.7%
-6.1%
-6.2%
-6.6%
-6.8%
-7.0%
-7.9%
-8.0%
-8.0%
-8.3%
-8.6%
-9.3%
-9.5%
-11.2%
-12.1%
-12.5%
-12.8%
-13.4%
-13.6%
-14.0%
-14.7%
-15.7%
-15.8%
-17.0%
-0.2
-0.15
-0.1
-0.05
8.3%
7.4%
6.1%
5.9%
5.8%
5.8%
15.6%
15.3%
Illinois total education revenues
increased from $11,123 in FY2007
to $12,855 in FY2012, the largest
increase in the United States.
The National Average went from
$11,989 in 2007 to $11,043 in
2012, a loss of 7.9%
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
Source: SHEF FY2012 Report
Total educational revenue is the sum of educational appropriations and net tuition excluding net tuition revenue used for capital debt service.
Change in State and Local Appropriations per FTE Student,
2007 to 2012
North Dakota
Illinois
Alaska
West Virginia
Montana
Texas
Nebraska
Maine
Wyoming
North Carolina
New York
Wisconsin
Vermont
Arkansas
Indiana
Connecticut
South Dakota
Kentucky
Rhode Island
Maryland
Oklahoma
Kansas
Mississippi
New Jersey
New Mexico
US
Hawaii
Delaware
California
Utah
Ohio
Missouri
Minnesota
Iowa
Louisiana
Alabama
Georgia
Colorado
Massachusetts
Michigan
Tennessee
Pennsylvania
Oregon
Nevada
Virginia
Washington
Arizona
South Carolina
Idaho
Florida
New Hampshire
-0.6
slide 21
-2.8%
-3.5%
-5.9%
-6.1%
-9.1%
-10.2%
-12.1%
-12.5%
-14.3%
-14.6%
-15.4%
-16.1%
-17.8%
-19.0%
-19.2%
-19.2%
-19.6%
-19.8%
-21.1%
-21.1%
-22.2%
-22.6%
-22.8%
-23.0%
-23.1%
-25.9%
-26.3%
-26.6%
-26.7%
-26.7%
-27.2%
-27.9%
-28.5%
-29.2%
-29.7%
-29.9%
-30.0%
-30.6%
-31.5%
-31.7%
-32.0%
-32.3%
-34.3%
-34.8%
-35.0%
-38.5%
-38.7%
-40.7%
-50.7%
-0.5
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
30.7%
9.2%
Appropriations per FTE in Illinois
increased from $7,835 in FY2007 to
$8,554 in FY2012, the second
largest increase in the United
States.
The National Average decreased
from $7,667 in 2007 to $5,906 in
2012, a loss of 23%
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
Source: SHEF FY2012 Report
Percent Change in State Appropriations for Higher Education
by Sector FY 1999- 2014 (in FY 2014 dollars)
500
450
SURS*
400
Cumulative Percent Change
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
Community
Colleges**
ISAC***
Public Universities
Grants and
Agencies****
0
-50
-100
-150
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
Fiscal Year
*
Includes State General Funds and State Pension Fund.
** Includes Adult Ed beginning FY02 and Career & Tech. Ed beginning FY 2004. Grants to colleges have declined since FY 2002.
*** Includes Student Loan Operating Fund appropriations for MAP (FY 07 and FY 12 and MAP Plus in FY 2007 only).
**** Includes Budget Relief Fund (FY 2009 only). Beginning in FY 2009, Medical Scholarships transferred to IDPH and beginning in FY 2011
Grow Your Own Teach program transferred to IBHE from ISBE.
Source: IBHE records.
Tax Capacity and Effective Tax Rate, Illinois, 2006-2010
1.1
Tax Capacity
Tax Rate
1.05
U.S. Average
1
0.95
0.9
2006
slide 23
2007
2008
2009
2010
Source: SHEEO SHEF
Change in Net Cost for First-Time Full-Time Undergraduates as a Percent of
Median Family Income, 2006-07 to 2011-12, 2-Year Institutions
North Dakota
Montana
Oklahoma
West Virginia
New Mexico
Utah
Maine
Kansas
Texas
Alaska
South Carolina
South Dakota
Arkansas
Missouri
Iowa
Vermont
Minnesota
Maryland
Indiana
Alabama
Wisconsin
Nebraska
Arizona
North Carolina
Wyoming
Georgia
Nation
Connecticut
Ohio
Washington
Florida
New Jersey
California
Michigan
Pennsylvania
Tennessee
Rhode Island
Louisiana
Massachusetts
New York
Oregon
Illinois
Virginia
Idaho
Delaware
New Hampshire
Hawaii
Mississippi
Colorado
Kentucky
Nevada
-2.2
-3
slide 24
-1.6
-2
-1.4
-1.3
-1.0
-0.5
-0.3
-0.3
-0.2
-0.2
-1
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.9
0.9
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.1
0
1
In 2006-07, Illinois ranked 26th at
12.2% of median family income
required to attend 2-year
institutions.
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.6
1.6
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.8
1.9
1.9
2
In 2011-12 Illinois moved to 34th in
the nation for the percentage of
family income required to pay for
attendance at 2-year institutions –
14.1%.
2.1
2.1
2.4
2.5
2.5
2.8
2.9
3
3.1
3.9
4
5
Sources: NCES, IPEDS Institutional Characteristics Files; IC2006_ay, hd2012 and ic2012_ay Provisional Release Data Files.; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006, Fall 2011
Enrollment Files; NCES, IPEDS Academic Year 2006-07, 2011-12 Student Financial Aid Files; U.S. Census Bureau, 2007 & 2012 American Community Survey
(ACS) One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File. 2011-2012 files provisional.
Note: State Costs are weighted averages of published institution charges for first-time full-time undergraduates.
Change in Net Cost for First-Time Full-Time Undergraduates as a Percent of
Median Family Income, 2006-07 to 2011-12, 4-Year Institutions
North Dakota
Montana
Alaska
Oklahoma
Utah
West Virginia
Vermont
New Mexico
Iowa
Arkansas
Texas
Alabama
Maryland
Ohio
Idaho
Wyoming
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Nebraska
Missouri
Minnesota
North Carolina
Indiana
Nation
Mississippi
New Jersey
South Dakota
Washington
New York
Tennessee
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
Delaware
Connecticut
Wisconsin
Florida
Maine
Oregon
Hawaii
California
Virginia
Illinois
Colorado
Pennsylvania
South Carolina
New Hampshire
Nevada
Arizona
Georgia
Michigan
-1.8
-1.7
-3
slide 25
-2
-1.0
-0.6
-1
-0.2
-0.1
-0.03
0.4
0.6
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.1
1.2
0
1
1.5
1.8
1.8
2
2.1
2.1
Illinois has moved from 46th to 47th
in the nation for the percent of
median family income required to
attend a 4 year institution.
2.4
2.4
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.9
In 2006-07, tuition costs were
2.9
2.9
18.3% of median family income,
2.9
3.0
and in 2011-12, 22.6%.
3.0
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.3
3.4
3.4
3.6
3.7
4.1
4.1
4.1
4.2
4.2
4.4
5.0
5.2
5.2
5.4
5.8
5.8
5.8
3
4
5
6
7
Sources: NCES, IPEDS Institutional Characteristics Files; IC2006_ay, hd2012 and ic2012_ay Provisional Release Data Files.; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006, Fall 2011
Enrollment Files; NCES, IPEDS Academic Year 2006-07, 2011-12 Student Financial Aid Files; U.S. Census Bureau, 2007 & 2012 American Community Survey
(ACS) One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File. 2011-2012 files provisional.
Note: State Costs are weighted averages of published institution charges for first-time full-time undergraduates.
Change in Net Cost for First-Time Full-Time Undergraduates as a Percent of
Low Quintile Median Family Income, 2006-07 to 2011-12, 2-Year Institutions
North Dakota
West Virginia
Oklahoma
Montana
Vermont
Arkansas
New Mexico
Maine
Texas
Kansas
South Dakota
Utah
Nebraska
Alaska
Wisconsin
Minnesota
South Carolina
Missouri
Iowa
Alabama
Indiana
Maryland
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
Louisiana
Washington
Tennessee
Nation
Rhode Island
Idaho
Delaware
Arizona
Georgia
Michigan
Wyoming
Ohio
Florida
California
Connecticut
Oregon
Virginia
Colorado
New Jersey
New York
Massachusetts
Mississippi
Illinois
Kentucky
Hawaii
New Hampshire
Nevada
-10
slide 26
-6.4
-5.5
-5.4
-5.0
-0.6
-5
0.3
0.8
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.4
1.7
0
2.4
3.1
3.4
3.4
4.4
4.5
4.5
5
5.2
5.7
6.0
6.1
6.3
6.7
6.8
7.0
7.0
7.1
7.3
7.9
7.9
In 2006-07, Illinois ranked 24th at
41% of low quintile median family
income required to attend 2-year
institutions.
In 2011-12 Illinois moved to 12th in
the nation for the percentage of
family income required to pay for
attendance at 2-year institutions –
53%.
9.0
9.4
9.6
9.6
9.9
10.1
10.1
11.0
11.1
11.4
11.4
11.6
11.9
12.0
12.3
10
14.4
15
16.7
16.8
17.2
20
Sources: NCES, IPEDS Institutional Characteristics Files; IC2006_ay, hd2012 and ic2012_ay Provisional Release Data Files.; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006, Fall 2011
Enrollment Files; NCES, IPEDS Academic Year 2006-07, 2011-12 Student Financial Aid Files; U.S. Census Bureau, 2007 & 2012 American Community Survey
(ACS) One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File. 2011-2012 files provisional.
Note: State Costs are weighted averages of published institution charges for first-time full-time undergraduates.
Change in Net Cost for First-Time Full-Time Undergraduates as a Percent of
Low Quintile Median Family Income, 2006-07 to 2011-12, 4-Year Institutions
North Dakota
West Virginia
Oklahoma
Montana
North Dakota
Oklahoma
Vermont
West Virginia
Arkansas
Alaska
Utah
Iowa
Texas
Idaho
Alabama
Nebraska
New Mexico
Maryland
Louisiana
Kansas
South Dakota
Minnesota
Delaware
Ohio
Kentucky
Wisconsin
Wyoming
Tennessee
Missouri
Mississippi
North Carolina
Rhode Island
Washington
Indiana
Maine
Nation
New York
Colorado
Florida
Pennsylvania
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Oregon
Virginia
Connecticut
California
Nevada
Illinois
South Carolina
Hawaii
Arizona
New Hampshire
Michigan
Georgia
-10
slide 27
-6.4
-5.5
-5.4
-5.2
-5.1
-2.9
-2.4
-1.5
-5
0.6
0.6
0
2.9
5.2
5.2
5.5
5
6.7
6.7
7.7
8.4
8.4
8.7
9.1
10
Illinois has maintained a rank of 4th
in the nation for the percentage of
lowest quintile median family
income required to attend 4-year
institutions.
10.4
In 2006-07, tuition costs were
11.0
11.2
62% of family income (low
11.4
11.6
quintile), and in 2011-12, 86%.
11.6
12.0
12.5
12.5
12.7
12.9
13.0
13.5
14.4
14.5
16.8
16.9
17.4
18.3
19.5
19.5
19.6
20.1
20.1
21.3
22.4
23.7
24.2
24.4
25.8
26.5
27.6
27.9
15
20
25
30
Sources: NCES, IPEDS Institutional Characteristics Files; IC2006_ay, hd2012 and ic2012_ay Provisional Release Data Files.; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2006, Fall 2011
Enrollment Files; NCES, IPEDS Academic Year 2006-07, 2011-12 Student Financial Aid Files; U.S. Census Bureau, 2007 & 2012 American Community Survey
(ACS) One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File. 2011-2012 files provisional.
Note: State Costs are weighted averages of published institution charges for first-time full-time undergraduates.
Change in State Need-Based Aid as a Percent of Pell, 2007 vs. 2012
Wyoming
North Dakota
Louisiana
Hawaii
Alaska
Alabama
South Dakota
Mississippi
Georgia
Idaho
Missouri
Arizona
Utah
Montana
Nebraska
Kansas
Tennessee
Oklahoma
Arkansas
New Hampshire
Oregon
New Mexico
Texas
Michigan
Florida
California
Rhode Island
West Virginia
South Carolina
Nation
Maine
Nevada
North Carolina
Vermont
Colorado
Iowa
Virginia
Kentucky
Connecticut
Massachusetts
Delaware
Ohio
Wisconsin
Washington
Maryland
New York
New Jersey
Illinois
Pennsylvania
Minnesota
Indiana -92.8
-100
-65.5
-80
-57.5
-58.0
-60
-37.5
-40.1
-41.7
-46.9
5.4
2.7
1.3
0.3
0.0
-0.3
-0.3
-0.4
-0.7
-1.7
-4.8
-5.5
-7.4
-7.7
-9.9
-10.2
-12.5
-12.7
-13.3
-13.5
-13.6
-14.1
-14.3
-14.7
-15.6
-16.1
-16.8
-18.2
-18.6
-19.2
-19.2
-19.7
-20.3
-21.8
-24.0
-25.4
-27.5
-28.2
-29.3
-31.0
-31.8
-40
-20
0
32.4
11.9
20
40
Source: NASSGAP Annual Reports, 2006-07 & 2011-12; US Dept. of Ed End of Year Reports, 2006-07, 2011-12
slide 28
Growth in Technology Transfer in Illinois and the United
States, 2003-07 vs. 2008-12, Percent Change
2003-07
US
Illinois
19.8
Invention Disclosures
15.7
16.5
Patents Issued
47
slide 29
57,596
69,007
126,603
2,775
3,212
5,987
11,895
13,859
25,754
763
1,282
15,495
29,802
536
1,051
14,307
4.1
0
Total,
2003-12
519
8.3
Licenses
2008-12
515
20
40
60
Notes: US numbers exclude Illinois. The University of Illinois, University of Chicago, and Northwestern University
account for almost all academic technology transfer output in the state.
Source: Illinois Innovation Index 2013 Quarter 4, Association of University Technology Managers (AUTM), ISTC
-600
slide 30
New York
Michigan
Utah
Ohio
Rhode Island
Illinois
Oklahoma
Arizona
Nebraska
Maine
Arkansas
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Mississippi
Delaware
Montana
North Dakota
Indiana
Alaska
Wyoming
Idaho
Iowa
Hawaii
South Dakota
Louisiana
Vermont
Alabama
Nevada
Colorado
DC
Kentucky
Kansas
Tennessee
South Carolina
Missouri
New Hampshire
New Mexico
Connecticut
Virginia
New Jersey
Oregon
Georgia
Minnesota
Pennsylvania
Maryland
North Carolina
Washington
Texas
California
Florida
Massachusetts
Difference in Venture Capital Disbursed per $1,000
of Gross Domestic Product, by State, 2007 to 2012
800
600
400
In $millions
200
US = $3,998
65
0
-200
-400
SOURCES: NSF.gov: PricewaterhouseCoopers and National Venture Capital Association, special tabulations
(2011, 2011, 2013) of the MoneyTree™ Survey (various years); Bureau of Economic Analysis, Gross
Domestic Product data (June 2013).
Funding for Research & Development, 2008 to 2011
50-State Rank
2008
Engineering
10
Physical Sciences
6
Math & Computer Sciences
5
Life Sciences
6
Total
7
Engineering
10
Physical Sciences
6
Math & Computer Sciences
5
Life Sciences
9
Total
8
2011
0
slide 31
400,000
800,000
1,200,000
1,600,000
Source: National Science Foundation
Change in Funding for Research & Development, 2008 to 2011
Change in
50-State Rank
0
Engineering
0
Physical Sciences
0
Math & Computer Sciences
-3
Life Sciences
Total
-1
0
slide 32
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
Source: National Science Foundation
Change in Rank on the State New Economy Index, 2007 to 2012
Arizona
Delaware
Vermont
Maine
Kansas
Hawaii
Montana
South Dakota
Utah
Oregon
New Mexico
North Dakota
Virginia
Colorado
Florida
Missouri
Wyoming
Washington
California
New Hampshire
North Carolina
Nevada
West Virginia
Massachusetts
Georgia
Michigan
Idaho
Iowa
Louisiana
Kentucky
Alabama
New York
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
South Carolina
Arkansas
Mississippi
Maryland
Minnesota
Connecticut
Texas
Alaska
Ohio
Tennessee
Illinois
Nebraska
Oklahoma
New Jersey
Rhode Island
Indiana
-12
slide 33
-11
-10
-4
-7
-7
-8
-8
-8
-3
-3
-3
-3
-3
-6
-4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-2
-2
-2
0
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
4
3
3
3
4
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
8
Source: The 2012 State new Economy Index, ITIF