The Horizon Report In Action: Emerging
Technologies Today and Tomorrow
Malcolm Brown
Veronica Diaz
EDUCAUSE Learning Initiative
Session outline
(1) Background: history, purpose, and process
(2) Trends and challenges
(3) The 2010 Report: the six technologies through a T&L Lens
(4) Putting the Horizon Report to work for you
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3
(1)
History, Purpose, and Process
4
5
Gartner hype cycle model (ca. 1995)
6
7
Needs

Prognostication
 Learning, academic focus
 When as well as what
 Engage campus leadership
 Context of trends and challenges
 Illustrated
8
Process
9
6 emerging technologies on
3 three adoption horizons
One year
or less
Two –
three
years
Four –
five years
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10
The 5 big ones
1.
What would you list among
the established
technologies that learningfocused institutions should
all be using broadly today
to support or enhance
teaching, learning, or
creative expression?
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The 5 big ones
2.
What technologies that
have a solid user base in
consumer, entertainment,
or other industries should
learning-focused
institutions be actively
looking for ways to apply?
12
The 5 big ones
3.
What are the key emerging
technologies you see
developing to the point that
learning-focused institutions
should begin to take notice
during the next 3 to 5
years? What organizations
or companies are the
leaders in these
technologies?
13
The 5 big ones
4.
What do you see as the
key challenges related to
teaching, learning, or
creative expression that
learning-focused
institutions will face during
the next 5 years?
14
The 5 big ones
5.
What trends do you expect
to have a significant impact
on the ways in which
learning-focused institutions
approach our core missions
of teaching, research, and
service?
15
16
• AB Convened
Early
September
Mid
September
• Wiki
Orientations
for AB
• AB Reviews
Press
Clippings
Mid
September
Sept - Oct
• AB answers
the Research
Questions
• AB Makes
First Pass at
Rankings
Oct - Nov
• NMC Staff
produce the
"Short List"
Mid October
17
18
19
20
• AB makes final
pass at
Rankings
Early
November
Nov - Dec
• NMC Staff write
the Horizon
Report
• Final Draft of
Horizon Report
sent to AB
Mid December
Dec - Jan
• Report in
Layout and
Design
• Advance copy
to AB in PDF
format
Late January
• Horizon Report
Released
Mid January
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25
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Questions?
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(2)
Trends and Challenges
30
Nature of the academy
2010 Trends
How we work
31
Nature of the academy
(1) “The abundance of resources and relationships made easily
accessible via the Internet is increasingly challenging us to
revisit our roles as educators in sense-making, coaching, and
credentialing.”
(2) “The technologies we use are increasingly cloud-based, and
our notions of IT support are decentralized.”
32
How we work
(3) “People expect to be able to work, learn, and study
whenever and wherever they want to.”
(4) “The work of students is increasingly seen as collaborative
by nature, and there is more cross-campus collaboration
between departments.”
33
Trend towards the collective
Meta-trends
2007–2010
Trend towards mobility and cloud
Trend towards new academic
platforms: gaming, virtual
worlds, visualization
34
Critical challenges:
2008-2010
Content Delivery
35
Critical Challenges: 2008-2010
Digital Literacy
36
Critical Challenges: 2008-2010
Assessment
37
Questions?
38
(3)
The Six Technologies
39
(4)
Putting the Report to Work for You
40
The Horizon report in action
It’s future-oriented, it's a
planning tool
 You can participate in the
process





Comment on it
Contribute to its research
Tag things
Nominate for the Advisory
Board
41
Review the technologies and ask…

What is missing for this
technology or practice to
be implemented locally?

What kind of additional
research needs to be done
concerning this
technology?
42
Review the technologies and ask…

What would be the
ramifications and
opportunities for learning if
this technology were
adopted?
 What kinds of teaching and
learning engagements might
this technology: make better
or enable?
43
Review the technologies and ask…

What might be some low
cost points of entry or
possibilities for a pilot?
 If we decide to do a pilot on
one of the technologies,
what kind of evaluation
methodology can we
overlay on the project to
assess outcomes?
44
Spawn local, HR-like processes
Follow HR process
methodology
Form institutional
study/research teams
Work with cross-institutional
or virtual study/research
teams
45
Use to support proposals
Cite the Horizon Report as a reference
Use for local funding requests
Use for foundations and funding agencies
46
Strategic and tactical planning processes
Strategic: medium and longer term horizons
Tactical: shorter term horizons
Reference the trends and challenges
Use the example sites
47
Discover the pioneers
Who’s working with these
technologies now?
48
Distribute locally
Send to senior
administrators
Send to key planners
Send to key partners
photo mashup credit: New Media Consortium
49
Brainstorm
around the
“camp fire”
50
Questions?
Contact us with your ideas:
Malcolm Brown, Director, EDUCAUSE Learning Initiative,
mbrown@educause.edu
::::::::::::::::
Veronica Diaz, Associate Director, EDUCAUSE Learning
Initiative, vdiaz@educause.edu
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