IRAQ WAR 2003 KAZUKI AND KIN REPUBLIC OF IRAQ • Government: Arabic Socialist Ba’ath party Regime of Saddam Hussein • Official Language: Arabic and Kurdish • Population: 27.5 million(2007)* *Iraq Index: http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index20070830.pdf IRAQ WAR 2003 • 2003 Mar. 20th ~2011 Dec. 18th • Reason: A Nation with Weapons of Mass Destruction • Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld: 1. 2. 3. 4. Eliminate Saddam Hussein’s regime Search and destroy WMD Provide humanitarian assistance Protect Iraq’s oil and other natural resources TIME LINE 1: BEFORE IRAQ WAR Sep. 12th 2002 Oct. 10~11th 2002 Nov. 8th 2002 Feb. 6th 2003 7th Mar. 2003 • Bush addressed the general assembly of the UN to outline the complaints of the U.S. government against the Iraq government • The U.S. house of Representatives and the Senates pass the authorization for the Use of Military Force Against Iraq Resolution • UN Security Council passed Resolution 1441 • Security of the State Colin Powell claims Hussein is making nuclear weapons and developing missiles • The Chief UN weapons inspector and the IAEA tell the UN Security Council they have found no evidence of biological weapons and nuclear weapon TIME LINE 2: DURING IRAQ WAR Mar. 17th 2003 Mar. 20th 2003 Mar. 30th 2003 May 1st 2003 • Bush gives Hussein 48 hours to leave Iraq or face war • The US-led war on Iraq begins • ABC News: Donald Rumsfeld is asked whereabouts of Iraq supported WMD: “We know where they are, they’re in the area around Tikrit, and Baghdad and east, west, south, and north somewhat” • The invasion period ends and the military occupation period begins TIME LINE 3: AFTER IRAQ WAR Dec. 13th 2003 30th Jan. 2005 Oct. 19th 2005 Dec. 30th 2006 Dec. 15th 2011 • Saddam Hussein is captured alive by the U.S. troops in Tikrit, Hussein’s hometown • Iraqis vote in the first democratic, multi-party parliamentary elections in 50 years. Shiites and Kurds vote in large numbers. Sunnis do not • Saddam Hussein’s trail begins in Bagndad • Saddam Hussein is executed by hanging • U.S. declares the Iraq war over RESOLUTION 1441* • Adopted date: 8 November 2002 “Recognizing the threat Iraq’s non-compliance with Council resolutions and proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and long-range missiles poses to international peace and security…” • Gave Iraq "a final opportunity to comply with its disarmament obligations" and set up inspections by the UNMOVIC and the IAEA *Resolution 1441 (2002): http://daccess-dds-ny.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N02/682/26/PDF/N0268226.pdf?OpenElement PROS: MULTI-NATIONAL FORCE • United States of America (148,000) • United Kingdom (45,000) • Australia (2000) • Poland (194) • With the support of Korea, Denmark, Japan, Italy, Ukraine…49 other countries. AGAINST • The invasion of Iraq was strongly opposed by France, Germany, New Zealand, and Canada • Former Secretary-General of United Nation Boutros Boutros-Ghali*: • “The invention is illegal” because there is not authorized by the United Nation • “Other countries may use this argument in the future to intervene on the basis of this precedent” *Former UN Head calls Iraq war “illegal :”http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/story/2003/03/19/boutros_iraq030319.html FAILURES OF THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY Stop US and UK. CONSPIRACY THEORY Oil Military •US Base Out of Saudi Arabia • US Base Closer to IRAN!! OIL Before the 2003 War • Iraq National Oil Company (INOC) nationalised all oil projects in 1972.*1 • Started to allow foreign investment since 1997. • But only 3 projects were allowed. *1 After the 2003 War • The Oil reconstruction was planned to be led by USAID. *1 • Iraq Ministry of Oil plans to boost it oil production led by EP, EXXON, Shell. *2 *1 IEEJ: 対イラク戦争後の国際経由情勢に関する調査 *2 JOGMEC: イラク:石油大国イラク復権への道筋-石油政策の行方- MILITARY (SAUDI ARABIA) US Needed to move the base away from Saudi Arabia as it is the Islamic Religious Centre (MECCA and MEDINA). • Anti US feeling within the Islamic World. • The government in Riyadh depends on the United States for its defence, but has found itself walking a tightrope, with increasing uneasiness among many Saudis over the presence of US troops. *1 • US citizens act as if there in the US. *1 BBC: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/1782188.stm MILITARY (IRAN) Surround Iran to PRESSURE them. • Get Afghanistan • Get Iraq Peace Pledge Union: http://www.ppu.org.uk/peacematters/2003/pm2003_37.html WHEELER’S CRITERIA 1 Criteria Evaluatio n Notes Supreme Humanitarian Emergency × “by the time of the March 2003 invasion, the government’s killing has ebbed.” *1 Necessity or Last Resort × “all alternative options had not been exhausted,”*2 Proportionality × Period of Major Combat: 19 March 2003 – 1 May 2003*3 BUT the tragedy is continuing. Positive Humanitarian Outcome × Civilian Death toll: 106,695-116,548*4 Destabilised Iraq *1 Kenneth ROUTH, “Was the Iraq War a Humanitarian Intervention?” pp86 *2 Ramesh THAKUR, “Iraq and the Responsibility toProtect” *3 Al Jazeera: http://www.aljazeera.com/news/middleeast/2011/12/2011121512028408950.html *4 Iraq Body Count: http://www.iraqbodycount.org/database/ WHEELER’S CRITERIA 2 Criteria Evaluatio n Humanitarian Motives × Humanitarian Justification Notes President Bush × “our mission is clear, to disarm Iraq of weapons of mass destruction, to end Saddam Hussein's support for terrorism, and to free the Iraqi people.”*1 Legality × • Lack of UN Mandate •Kofi Annan, has said he believes the American-led invasion of Iraq last year was illegal*2 Selectivity × US most likely had other objectives. *1 White House:http://georgewbushwhitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2003/03/20030322.html *2 BBC: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/3661640.stm WHEELER’S CRITERIA 3 Criteria Supreme Humanitarian Emergency Necessity or Last Resort Proportionality Positive Humanitarian Outcome Humanitarian Motives Humanitarian Justification Legality Selectivity Evaluation × × × × × × × × CURRENT IRAQ Government • President TALABANI (Kurdish) • Prime Minister MALEKI (Shiite) Killing and the Disorder Continues • The Iraq war: No clean break*1 US troops have now left Iraq, but the war's ghosts will haunt the world for many years to come. • Deadly Iraq blasts hit several cities*2 Refugees(Mostly after 2003)*3 • Domestic:1,900,000 people • Aboard: 2,000,000 people *1 Al Jazeera http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2011/12/2011121810575487918.html *2 BBC: イラク: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-17766542 *3 UNHCR イラク危機: http://www.unhcr.or.jp/ref_unhcr/photo_galleries/photogallery/gallery_crisis_in_Iraq/photo0.html FUTURE CONCERNS Relation with other Arab world. • Iraq is now a Shiite Government • Split of Iraq • Kurds in Turkey and Iran Intervention for Humanitarian Purpose OR Stability?