Exchange Traded Funds Tutorial Tuesday October 11, 2011 Panel Moderator – Brian Gabelman, Director of Prime Finance ETF Trading, Citi Panelists – Timothy Coyne, Vice President/Global Head of ETF Liquidity Management, State Street Global Advisors – Michael Crinieri, Managing Director, Goldman Sachs & Company – Adam Gould, SVP/Business Development, Direxion Funds – Michael Cardieri, Vice President, JP Morgan Chase & Company – David Mann, Director, Blackrock Inc. 2 Agenda Overview – Authorized participants – ETF providers and assets – Customers driving demand Current Trends and Future Trends – Competition – ETFs vs. Mutual Funds Creation/Redemption – Flows and rebalancing Types and Strategies Securities Lending – Sources and types of supply – Recalls – Trends Regulatory Issues – Can an ETF collapse – Potential new regulations – Synthetic – ETNs vs. ETFs – Fixed Income and Equity – US listed vs. local listed – Leveraged 3 Overview & Current/Future Trends Overview – Authorized participants – ETF providers and assets ETF Trends – Fixed Income – Active ETFs vs. passive ETFs – Global expansion – Evolution of products Competition – New ETF entrants – Increasing number of ETFs not gathering assets (ETF closures) ETFs vs. Mutual Funds – Relative growth – Impact on mutual fund assets and the securities lending market – Growth projections for ETFs and client breakdown 4 US ETF Growth in Assets and Funds Assets as of June 30, 2011 1200 1100 $1,000 900 $800 800 700 $600 600 500 $400 400 300 $200 200 100 $0 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Assets 2007 2008 2009 2010 # of Funds There are now 1,105 ETFs with approximately $1.08 trillion in assets 153 ETFs have been launched in 2011 Source: SSgA Strategy & Research, Bloomberg, as of 6/30/2011 2011 YTD # of ETFs Asset in Billions 1000 Diversification of the US ETF Market Institutions now have access to a wide range of ETFs across various asset classes Fixed Income ETFs represent 13.7% of ETF assets $1,200,000 Assets ($ MIL) $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 Nov. 2004: Launch of the first commodity ETF $400,000 $200,000 $0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year US Equity Commodity Source: State Street, Bloomberg, as of June 30, 2011 CMIBG-0226 Currency Fundamental Fixed Income Global/International Specialty US ETF Asset Projections 2009E–2013E Cerulli estimated that US ETF assets would surpass $1 trillion by the end of 2010 (actual ETF assets closed 2010 at $995 billion) $2,000 $1,866 $1,800 $1,556 $1,600 $1,400 $1,276 $1,200 $1,023 $1,000 $800 $767 $600 $400 $200 $0 2009E Source: Cerulli, as of 12/31/2009 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E APs Create and Redeem ETFs Authorized Participant (AP) Create ETF Ticker Shares OGZD LI 15,000 PKX US 4,246 SMSN LI 2,200 Redeem ETF 150,000 shares of EEM 150,000 shares of EEM Ticker Shares OGZD LI 15,000 PKX US 4,246 SMSN LI 2,200 ETF Trust/Fund For illustrative purposes only 8 Types and Strategies Equity – Sector ETFs – Index based ETFs (Dow Jones, S&P, Russell) Fixed Income – Creation/redemption – 3 baskets vs. 1 basket International ETF – Stamp tax – Country ETFs – Dividend withholding – Settlement issues Local ETFs – Tax issues – Growth – Undeveloped markets 9 Considerations for ETF Create-to-Lend Activity Impact of Index Rebalancing Events on ETF Lending The majority of ETFs passively replicate published indices. ETF positions created for lending are frequently hedged with the ETF constituents, resulting in a need to rebalance the hedge when indices make changes. Index rebalancing events, share increases and decreases, and other corporate actions can all lead to a reevaluation of the hedge. Impact of Stamp Tax, Dividend Withholding for International ETFs Some countries impose a stamp tax on securities transactions that apply when there is a change in beneficial ownership, which may increase costs for ETFs with international equities. Different tax rates and withholding may apply to dividends and interest paid depending on the domicile of the investing fund. Source: FactSet, Reuters, Bloomberg and Goldman Sachs. As of 12/31/2009. 10 % Short Interest/Assets Short Interest Trends Highlight ETF Hedging 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 ETFs are frequently used to hedge unwanted exposures or to implement active macro views. Because they cover more indices and exposures than listed futures, they are particularly effective for adjusting sector, style, and cross-asset exposures. Recent trends in reported short interest are consistent with the investment strategies that were prevalent in 2011 year-to-date. Broad-based US equity exposure is currently the most heavily shorted category of ETFs. %Short Sector ETFs are also heavily shorted relative to their assets. interest/ 1Jan2008 2008 Jan Short interest as % of Assets 2009 Jul Jan 2010 Jul Jan 6Oct2011 2011 Jul Jan Jul Highest short interest in US$ SPY S&P 500 SPDR IWM Russell 2000 iShares QQQ Nasdaq-100 XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR GLD Gold Trust SPDR Highest % short interest/assets* XRT Retail SPDR XOP Oil & Gas Explor & Prod SPDR FXE CurrencyShares Euro Trust KRE KBW Reg Banks SPDR VXX S&P VIX Short-term Futures ETN US$ mm $65,118 $19,709 $6,541 $4,774 $4,572 assets 70% 144% 30% 65% 6% $4,449 $2,693 $502 $1,106 $823 741% 311% 271% 262% 221% *Exclusive of HOLDRs Levered/inverse Sector Fixed Income Commodity Currency International US equity (large/mid/small cap) US equity style/fundamental Source: Goldman Bloomberg, Reuters(NYSE), For illustrative purposes only . As of 9/15/11 Source: Sachs, New York Stock Exchange Bloomberg and Goldman Sachs. As of 11/30/09. 11 Stock Short Interest Exceeds ETF Short Interest Although some ETFs have reported short interest levels that exceed their assets, they are less susceptible to short squeezes because more ETF shares can be created from the underlying constituents. If ETF short interest is compared with the short interest of the underlying constituents in notional terms, or as a percent of total underlying market capitalization, it is clear that the magnitude of the ETF short interest is much less than the short interest in the underlying stocks. Equity ETFs with highest ETF Short int/assets (%) XRT XOP KRE Retail SPDR Oil & Gas Explor & Prod SPDR KBW Reg Banks SPDR Other ETFs SPY S&P 500 SPDR IWM Russell 2000 iShares ETF short int/ ETF assets (%) Reported short interest ($mm) ETF Total stock ETF short Stock short interest/ interest/ Stock market cap (%) 741% 311% 262% $3,234 $2,665 $1,136 $30,850 $19,789 $4,819 0.55% 0.38% 1.73% 5.27% 2.80% 7.32% 70% 144% $65,118 $19,709 $278,778 $98,331 0.58% 1.59% 2.48% 7.94% 12 Source: Goldman Bloomberg, Reuters(NYSE), For illustrative purposes only . As of 9/15/11 Source: Sachs, New York Stock Exchange Bloomberg and Goldman Sachs. As of 11/30/09. Leveraged ETFs Direxion ETFs – Introduction – Usage of leveraged ETFs – Assets under management – Long-term vs. short-term holdings Rebalancing – Daily rebalancing – Volatility impacting the close Creation/redemption – Process Strategies – Shorting – Hedging – Bear funds in lieu of puts – Leveraged vs. borrowing/shorting one beta ETFs – Option writing 13 Leveraged ETFs (cont’d) 350 Index Rises 1% 350 $303 $300 300 300 250 250 200 200 150 150 $300 $103 $100 100 100 50 50 0 Total Exposure $100 ETF Assets $303 $103 0 ETF Assets Index Declines 1% Total Exposure = 294% Bull and Bear Fund Exposure Changes Index Rises 1% ($3 Gain) 1 Initial Allocation and Exposure 2 Index Rises 1% 1. Initial Allocation and Exposure: A 3x Bull Fund ETF with $100 in net assets starts the trading day with $300 of net exposure to the benchmark index 2. Index Rises 1%: If the index rises by 1% from the prior close, the gross exposure would rise to $303 and net assets would rise to $103 causing the total exposure level to decrease to 294% At the close Direxion needs to invest $6 at the close in order to return fund exposure to 300% 14 Source: Direxion Securities Lending Sources of Supply – Agent Lender Pension Funds Mutual Funds Endowments Broker Dealers – Internal trading desk – Prime Brokerage – Retail (margin/fully paid) Type of Supply – Agent Lender Widely held broad based ETFs (SPY, QQQ, MDY, IWM, EEM) – Broker Dealers Broad based ETFs Sector ETFs (XRT, XOP, IYR, IEO) Leveraged ETFs (FAZ, FAS, BGU, BGZ) 15 Securities Lending (cont’d) Demand for Borrow – Hedging – Directional plays Index Sector Country Rebate Rates – Supply and demand – Creation costs – Dividend and rebalancing – increased borrow cost Recalls – Dividend record date – Index rebalancing – Unstable supply (retail & market maker supply) Trends – Current – Future 16 North American ETFs Value on Loan (USD Millions) 60,000 640 620 50,000 600 580 30,000 560 FTF Count Value on Loan 40,000 20,000 540 10,000 520 Value on Loan (USD) Source: Data Explorers 06-Sep-11 06-Aug-11 06-Jul-11 06-Jun-11 06-May-11 06-Apr-11 06-Mar-11 06-Feb-11 06-Jan-11 06-Dec-10 06-Nov-10 500 06-Oct-10 0 ETFs with Activity (Count) 17 North American ETFs Lendable 70,000 700 60,000 600 50,000 500 40,000 400 30,000 300 20,000 200 10,000 100 Lendable Value (USD) Source: Data Explorers. 06-Sep-11 06-Aug-11 06-Jul-11 06-Jun-11 06-May-11 06-Apr-11 06-Mar-11 06-Feb-11 06-Jan-11 06-Dec-10 06-Nov-10 0 06-Oct-10 0 FTF Count Value on Loan (USD Millions) ETFs with Lendable (Count) 18 Source: Data Explorers. Value on Loan (USD) 21-Sep-11 07-Sep-11 24-Aug-11 10-Aug-11 27-Jul-11 13-Jul-11 29-Jun-11 15-Jun-11 01-Jun-11 18-May-11 04-May-11 20-Apr-11 06-Apr-11 23-Mar-11 09-Mar-11 23-Feb-11 09-Feb-11 26-Jan-11 12-Jan-11 29-Dec-10 15-Dec-10 01-Dec-10 17-Nov-10 03-Nov-10 20-Oct-10 3,000 European ETFs Value on Loan 2,500 220 1,500 500 0 ETF Count 06-Oct-10 Value on Loan European ETFs Value on Loan (USD Millions) 250 240 2,000 230 210 1,000 200 190 180 ETFs with Activity (Count) 19 European ETFs Lendable 12,000 300 10,000 250 8,000 200 6,000 150 4,000 100 2,000 50 Lendable Value (USD) Source: Data Explorers. 06-Sep-11 06-Aug-11 06-Jul-11 06-Jun-11 06-May-11 06-Apr-11 06-Mar-11 06-Feb-11 06-Jan-11 06-Dec-10 06-Nov-10 0 06-Oct-10 0 FTF Count Value on Loan (USD Millions) ETFs with Lendable (Count) 20 Synthetic/Regulatory Issues Synthetic Issues – Definition of ‘synthetic’ ETF – Regulatory ETF overview of US (1940 Act) and Europe (UCITS) – Risks highlighted in the Financial Stability Board Report – Different ways to structure a synthetic ETF – Reasons synthetics would be preferred – Differences between an ETF and an ETN Regulatory Issues – Can an ETF collapse? Examples of how short interest can exceed 100 Requirements of a redeeming AP Discussion on short squeezes and the creation/redemption mechanism Rule 204 of Reg SHO Potential New Regulations – SEC concept release on the use of derivatives in 1940 Act funds – ETF Rule 21 Questions & Answers Moderator – Brian Gabelman, Director of Prime Finance ETF Trading, Citi Panelists – Timothy Coyne, Vice President/Global Head of ETF Liquidity Management, State Street Global Advisors – Michael Crinieri, Managing Director, Goldman Sachs & Company – Adam Gould, SVP/Business Development, Direxion Funds – Michael Cardieri, Vice President, JP Morgan Chase & Company – David Mann, Director, Blackrock Inc. 22 Disclosure For Investment Professional Use Only Although the statements of fact and data in this presentation have been obtained from, and are based upon, sources believed to be reliable, SSgA does not guarantee their accuracy, and any such information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions included in this presentation constitute the judgment of SSgA as of the date of this report and are subject to change without notice. Important Risk Information ETFs trade like stocks, are subject to investment risk, fluctuate in market value and may trade at prices above or below the ETFs net asset value. Brokerage commissions and ETF expenses will reduce returns. These investments may have difficulty in liquidating an investment position without taking a significant discount from current market value, which can be a significant problem with certain lightly traded securities. Passive management and the creation/redemption process can help minimize capital gains distributions. Diversification does not ensure a profit or guarantee against loss. Shares of the State Street ETFs are not insured by the FDIC or by another governmental agency; they are not obligations of the FDIC nor are they deposits or obligations of or guaranteed by State Street Bank and Trust Company. 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