BMCF5103 Corporate Finance Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) BMCF5103 CORPORATE FINANCE Dr Noryati Ahmad Dr Fahmi Rahim Dr Balkis Harris Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) Project Director: Prof Dato’ Dr Mansor Fadzil Open University Malaysia Module Writers: Dr Noryati Ahmad Dr Fahmi Rahim Dr Balkis Harris Universiti Teknologi MARA Moderator: Dr Mohamed Hisham Dato’ Haji Yahya Universiti Putra Malaysia Developed by: Centre for Instructional Design and Technology Open University Malaysia First Edition, April 2017 Copyright © Open University Malaysia, April 2017, BMCF5103 All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced in any form or by any means without the written permission of the President, Open University Malaysia (OUM). Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) Table of Contents Course Guide Topic 1 Topic 2 ixăxiv Introduction to Corporate Finance 1.1 Corporate Finance 1.1.1 Financial Management Decisions 1.2 The Corporate Firm 1.3 The Importance of Cash Flows 1.3.1 Identification of Cash Flows 1.3.2 Timing of Cash Flows 1.3.3 Risk of Cash Flows 1.4 The Goal of Financial Management 1.4.1 Profit Maximisation Goal versus ShareholdersÊ Wealth Maximisation Goal 1.5 The Agency Problem and Control of the Corporation Summary Key Terms References Advanced Capital Budgeting 2.1 Net Present Value (NPV) 2.1.1 NPV Problem Solving Using Formula 2.1.2 NPV Problem Solving Using Financial Table (Interest Factor Table) 2.1.3 NPV Problem Solving Using Financial Calculator 2.2 Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 2.2.1 IRR Problem Solving Using Formula 2.2.2 IRR Problem Solving Using Financial Table (Interest Factor Table) 2.2.3 IRR Problem Solving Using Financial Calculator 2.3 Discounted Payback Period (DPP) 2.4 Profitability Index (PI) 2.5 Incremental Cash Flows 2.6 Inflation and Capital Budgeting Summary Key Terms References Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 1 2 3 6 7 8 9 10 11 11 13 15 16 16 18 20 22 23 24 26 26 28 29 30 34 35 40 44 45 45 iv Topic 3 Topic 4 TABLE OF CONTENTS Efficient Capital Market and Behavioural Challenges 3.1 Can Financing Decision Create Value? 3.2 A Description of Efficient Capital Markets 3.2.1 Assumption of Efficient Capital Market 3.3 The Different Types of Information and Efficient Market Hypothesis 3.4 The Evidence of Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) 3.4.1 Weak-form Tests of the EMH 3.4.2 Semi-strong-form Test of EMH 3.4.3 Strong-form Test of EMH 3.5 The Behavioural Challenge to Market Efficiency Summary Key Terms References 47 48 49 50 51 Capital Structure 4.1 Maximising Firm Value Versus Maximising Shareholders Interest 4.2 The Effect of Financial Leverage 4.2.1 Analysing the Break-even EBIT 4.2.2 Corporate Borrowing and Homemade Leverage 4.3 Capital Structure and the Cost of Equity Capital (M&M Proposition Without Tax) 4.3.1 M&M Proposition I: The Pie Model 4.3.2 M&M Proposition II: The Cost of Equity and Financial Leverage 4.4 M&M Proposition I and II with Corporate Tax 4.4.1 The Interest Tax Shield 4.4.2 Taxes and M&M Proposition I 4.4.3 Taxes and M&M Proposition II 4.5 The Pecking Order Theory 4.5.1 Implications of the Pecking Order Summary Key Terms Reference 63 63 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 54 54 56 59 60 61 62 62 66 70 74 78 78 79 84 85 87 88 93 93 94 95 96 TABLE OF CONTENTS v Topic 5 Dividend Policy 5.1 Different Types of Dividend Payouts 5.1.1 Cash Dividend 5.1.2 Stock Dividend 5.1.3 Stock Split 5.2 Standard Method of Cash Dividend Payment 5.3 Repurchase of Stocks 5.4 Personal Taxes, Dividends and Stock Repurchases Summary Key Terms References 97 98 99 101 102 104 106 108 110 111 111 Topic 6 Options and Corporate Finance 6.1 Options 6.1.1 Option Contract Specifications and Quotation 6.2 Types of Options 6.2.1 Features of Option Contract 6.2.2 Value and Options 6.3 Options Pricing 6.3.1 Intrinsic Value 6.3.2 Time Value 6.3.3 Factors Affecting Option Prices 6.3.4 Options Pricing Formula 6.4 Stocks and Bonds Options Summary Key Terms References 113 115 116 119 121 123 126 127 128 129 132 139 142 142 143 Topic 7 Warrants and Convertible Bonds 7.1 Warrants 7.2 Differences between Warrants and Call Options 7.3 Warrant Pricing 7.4 Convertible Bonds 7.5 Value of Convertible Bonds 7.6 Reasons for Issuing of Warrants and Convertible Bonds Summary Key Terms References 144 145 146 148 150 152 154 155 155 156 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) vi TABLE OF CONTENTS Topic 8 Leasing 8.1 Types of Leases 8.1.1 Operating Leases 8.1.2 Financial Leases 8.1.3 Rationale for Leasing 8.2 Accounting and Leasing 8.3 Taxes and Leases 8.4 NPV Analysis: Lease versus Buy Decision Summary Key Terms References 157 158 159 159 161 161 164 164 170 171 171 Topic 9 Merger and Acquisition 9.1 Basic Forms of Acqusitions 9.1.1 Motives for Acquisition 9.1.2 Friendly versus Hostile Takeovers 9.2 Synergy 9.3 The Net Present Value of a Merger 9.4 Dubious Reasons for Mergers and Acquisitions Summary Key Terms References 172 176 177 178 179 181 185 187 187 187 Topic 10 International Corporate Finance 10.1 Foreign Exchange Markets and Rates 10.1.1 FOREX Market Participants 10.1.2 Spot Foreign Exchange Market 10.1.3 Forward Market 10.2 Theories Related to Foreign Exchange Rates 10.2.1 Purchasing Power Parity Theory 10.2.2 Interest Rate Parity Theory 10.2.3 Unbiased Forward Rate 10.2.4 International Fisher Effect Theory Summary Key Terms References 188 191 191 192 198 206 206 208 211 212 215 216 216 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) COURSE GUIDE Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) COURSE GUIDE ix COURSE GUIDE DESCRIPTION You must read this Course Guide carefully from the beginning to the end. It tells you briefly what the course is about and how you can work your way through the course material. It also suggests the amount of time you are likely to spend to complete the course successfully. Please keep on referring to the Course Guide as you go through the course material as it will help you to clarify important study components or points that you might miss or overlook. INTRODUCTION BMCF5013 Corporate Finance is one of the courses offered at Open University Malaysia (OUM). This course is worth 3 credit hours and should be covered over 8 to 15 weeks. COURSE AUDIENCE This course is offered to all learners taking the Master in Business Administration programme. This module aims to impart the essence of corporate finance and form a good understanding of the concepts and applications of corporate finance in organisations. As an open and distance learner, you should be acquainted with learning independently and being able to optimise the learning modes and environment available to you. Before you begin this course, please confirm the course material, the course requirements and how the course is conducted. STUDY SCHEDULE It is a standard OUM practice that learners accumulate 40 study hours for every credit hour. As such, for a three-credit hour course, you are expected to spend 120 study hours. Table 1 gives an estimation of how the 120 study hours could be accumulated. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) x COURSE GUIDE Table 1: Estimation of Time Accumulation of Study Hours Study Activities Study Hours Briefly go through the course content and participate in initial discussions 5 Study the module 60 Attend 4 tutorial sessions 8 Online Participation 12 Revision 15 Assignment(s), Test(s) and Examination(s) 20 TOTAL STUDY HOURS ACCUMULATED 120 COURSE OUTCOMES By the end of this course, you should be able to: 1. Describe the problems that are revealed by a principal-agent framework in the contractual model of a company; 2. Apply alternative methods for capital budgeting with leverage and market imperfections; 3. Evaluate the implications of the evidence for market efficiency for investors and corporate management; 4. Describe the process involved in issuing securities and their potential impacts on company valuation; 5. Explain the way in which option pricing theory can be used in real investment decisions; 6. Apply hedging strategies using some of the derivative instruments that are commonly used by financial managers to hedge risk; 7. Discuss all aspects of mergers and acquisitions including methods, gains and losses as well as defensive tactics; 8. Discuss some useful indicators of impending corporate financial distress; and 9. Evaluate the impact of foreign exchange risk on international financial and investment decisions. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) COURSE GUIDE xi COURSE SYNOPSIS This course is divided into 10 topics. The synopsis for each topic can be listed as follows: Topic 1 begins with an explanation on the nature of corporate finance. This is followed by highlighting the importance of cash flow and the goal of financial management. Next, the issue of the agency problems and costs as well as the mechanism used to mitigate agency problems will also be discussed. Topic 2 examines the capital budgeting techniques applied in evaluating investment projects. Among them are net present values, internal rate of return, discounted payback and profitability index. This is followed by identifying and illustrating how incremental cash flows are determined. Last but not least, this topic also explains the implication of inflation on capital budgeting decisions. Topic 3 discusses the concept of efficient capital markets and the different forms of efficient capital markets. The subsequent subtopic explains the emergence of behavioural finance and its challenges to the market efficiency hypothesis. Topic 4 begins by explaining the meaning of capital structure and its relationship with firm value maximisation and shareholders wealth maximisation. It also discusses further on how financial leverage has an impact on firm value. ModiglianiÊs and MillerÊs propositions are also examined in relation to the capital structure of a company. Lastly, the implication of taxes, cost of financial distress, signalling theory and pecking order theory on the capital structure are discussed in detail. Topic 5 starts with a discussion on the dividend policy of a company and different types of dividend payouts given by a company. An illustration of how cash dividend payment is made and how repurchase of stocks affect companyÊs balance sheet are discussed next. The impact of personal taxes, dividends and stock repurchases on dividend policy are also explained in this topic. Topic 6 explains the meaning of options and different types of options traded. This topic also discusses how option is priced and explains the use of stocks and bonds as options. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) xii COURSE GUIDE Topic 7 examines warrants and convertibles bonds as another form of hybrid security. It starts with identifying the difference between warrants and call options and then illustrates how a warrant is priced. This topic also explains the meaning of convertible bonds. The valuation of convertible bonds is also demonstrated and then explanations are provided as to the reasons companies issue warrants and convertible bonds. Topic 8 looks at the meaning of leases and types of leases offered. This is followed by an in depth discussion on the reasons for leasing. The subsequent subtopic provides the calculation and evaluation decision related to either lease or bought assets. Topic 9 starts with the basic forms of acquisition and how synergy is derived from the merger and acquisition exercise. It further elaborates on the dubious reason for companies to acquire other companies. Next, a calculation of net present value of a merger is illustrated. This topic closes with the nature of takeovers and explains whether mergers enhance company values. Topic 10 explains the terminology related to foreign exchange markets. It also discusses how exchange rates between the two currencies are determined. Exchange rate theories such as purchasing power parity theory, interest rate parity theory, unbiased forward rate theory and the International Fisher effect theory are also discussed in this topic. TEXT ARRANGEMENT GUIDE Before you go through this module, it is important that you note the text arrangement. Understanding the text arrangement will help you to organise your study of this course in a more objective and effective way. Generally, the text arrangement for each topic is as follows: Learning Outcomes: This section refers to what you should achieve after you have completely covered a topic. As you go through each topic, you should frequently refer to these learning outcomes. By doing this, you can continuously gauge your understanding of the topic. Self-Check: This component of the module is inserted at strategic locations throughout the module. It may be inserted after one sub-section or a few subsections. It usually comes in the form of a question. When you come across this component, try to reflect on what you have already learnt thus far. By attempting to answer the question, you should be able to gauge how well you have understood the sub-section(s). Most of the time, the answers to the questions can be found directly from the module itself. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) COURSE GUIDE xiii Activity: Like Self-Check, the Activity component is also placed at various locations or junctures throughout the module. This component may require you to solve questions, explore short case studies, or conduct an observation or research. It may even require you to evaluate a given scenario. When you come across an Activity, you should try to reflect on what you have gathered from the module and apply it to real situations. You should, at the same time, engage yourself in higher order thinking where you might be required to analyse, synthesise and evaluate instead of only having to recall and define. Summary: You will find this component at the end of each topic. This component helps you to recap the whole topic. By going through the summary, you should be able to gauge your knowledge retention level. Should you find points in the summary that you do not fully understand, it would be a good idea for you to revisit the details in the module. Key Terms: This component can be found at the end of each topic. You should go through this component to remind yourself of important terms or jargon used throughout the module. Should you find terms here that you are not able to explain, you should look for the terms in the module. References: The References section is where a list of relevant and useful textbooks, journals, articles, electronic contents or sources can be found. The list can appear in a few locations such as in the Course Guide (at the References section), at the end of every topic or at the back of the module. You are encouraged to read or refer to the suggested sources to obtain the additional information needed and to enhance your overall understanding of the course. PRIOR KNOWLEDGE Before starting with this course, it is important that you have taken a course on Financial Management. ASSESSMENT METHOD Please refer to myINSPIRE. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) xiv COURSE GUIDE REFERENCES Ali, R., Ahmad, N., & Ho, S. F. (2012). Introduction to Malaysian derivatives (4th ed.). Shah Alam, Malaysia: UiTM Press. Damodaran, A. (2001). Corporate finance: Theory and practice (2nd ed.). New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons. Eiteman, D. K., Stonehill, A. I., & Moffett, M. H. (2013). Multinational business finance (13th ed.). Boston, MA: Pearson. Gitman, L. J., & Zutter, C. J. (2015). Principles of managerial finance (14th ed.). Boston, MA: Pearson. Madura, J. (2000). International financial management (6th ed.). Cincinnati, OH: South-Western. Parrino, R., & Kidwell, M. (2011). Fundamentals of corporate finance (2nd ed.). Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons. Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., Jaffe, J. F., & Jordan, B. D. (2011). Core principles and applications of corporate finance (3rd ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Irwin. Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., Jaffe, J. F., Lim, J., & Tan, R. (2016). Fundamentals of corporate finance (Asian Global Edition, 2nd ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Irwin. Shapiro, A. C. (2005). Foundations of multinational financial management (5th ed.). Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons. TAN SRI DR ABDULLAH SANUSI (TSDAS) DIGITAL LIBRARY The TSDAS Digital Library has a wide range of print and online resources for the use of its learners. This comprehensive digital library, which is accessible through the OUM portal, provides access to more than 30 online databases comprising e-journals, e-theses, e-books and more. Examples of databases available are EBSCOhost, ProQuest, SpringerLink, Books247, InfoSci Books, Emerald Management Plus and Ebrary Electronic Books. As an OUM learner, you are encouraged to make full use of the resources available through this library. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) Topic Introduction to 1 Corporate Finance LEARNING OUTCOMES By the end of this topic, you should be able to: 1. Define corporate finance; 2. Discuss the importance of cash flow; 3. State the drawbacks of setting profit maximisation as a goal for a company; 4. Explain the issues of the agency problem and agency costs; and 5. Explain the mechanism used to mitigate agency costs. INTRODUCTION The moment we start flipping through the business section of the New Straits Times or other newspapers, we may come across headline news such as these: „Sarawak Oil Palms Bhd (SOP) to buy 47,000ha oil palm estate from Shin Yang Holdings‰ (Ooi, 2016) „MRT Corp awards three works packages for MRT Sungai Buloh-SerdangPutrajaya project‰ (Kaur, 2016) „Malaysia Airports received shareholders approval for acquisition of remaining 40% equity stake in Istanbul Sabiha Gokcen International Airport‰ (Malaysia Airports, 2014) Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 2 TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE These headline news provide information about the respective companyÊs decision making that has pertinent financial implications related to this subject, that is, Corporate Finance. For a start, in this topic, you will be exposed to the meaning of corporate finance; the fundamental decisions made by corporate firms and explanations as to why cash flows matter to a company. Then, we will discuss the goal that financial managers need to set and explain how agency problems will lead to agency costs. Last but not least, we will discuss measures taken by the company to mitigate agency problems. ACTIVITY 1.1 Go through the business section found in any newspaper and discuss with your coursemates on any news or announcements that have financial implications to the specific company. 1.1 CORPORATE FINANCE Corporate finance is not specific to large companies but also to small companies. Damodaran (2015) explained that „every decision that a business makes has financial implications, and any decision which affects the finances of a business is a corporate finance decision.‰ A better way of understanding corporate finance is to examine the balance sheet components of a company (Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe & Jordan, 2011). A balance sheet provides information on a companyÊs current assets, fixed assets, current liabilities, long-term liabilities and shareholdersÊ equity at a specific period of time (see Figure 1.1). Current assets and fixed assets found in the balance sheet of a company relate to the investment decision while current liabilities, long-term liabilities and shareholdersÊ equity represent the financing decision that a company makes to pay for its investments. Current assets and current liabilities components reflect the companyÊs working capital management decision. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE 3 Figure 1.1: Balance sheet components of a company 1.1.1 Financial Management Decisions Every financial manager in either a small or a large company carry out three important activities. These corporate finance activities are important to ensure that the company is able to survive, compete and be sustainable in the industry. Figure 1.2 displays the three activities involved: financing decisions, investment decisions and working capital management decisions. A detailed discussion on these decisions will follow. Figure 1.2: Three important decisions made by financial manager (a) Financing Decisions When we want to start a company or perhaps intend to further expand our well-established business, the most pertinent question that we will need to address is: where should we get the financing to support our investments? Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 4 TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE As a financial manager, we have a choice to raise those funds either by issuing shares (equity) or by issuing bonds (debt) or both. The proportion between equity and debt financing that the company prefers to maintain is known as a companyÊs capital structure. Figure 1.3: Financing decision using equity or debt Figure 1.3 illustrates the types of capital structures that a company may choose. The financial manager has to weigh the advantages and disadvantages of using either type of financing. This decision depends mostly on the costs involved in sourcing the funds through equity or debt financing as well as the amount needed to borrow. Financing your investments with debt provides low costs but may put your company at high risk of default and eventually lead towards financial distress. In short, we want an optimal capital structure that minimises the costs and maximises the companyÊs value. Topic 4 will provide an in-depth discussion on this topic. (b) Investing Decisions Once the financing decision has been identified, the next important question that a financial manager needs to ask is: what long term investments should the company consider? Investing or the capital budgeting decision process requires you to evaluate if those projects under consideration generate more positive cash flows relative to the cost of the asset. In other words, when making capital budgeting decisions, you need to analyse the size, timing and risk of the future cash flows expected from those projects. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE 5 For example when Malaysia Airports Holdings Berhad (MAHB) decided to invest in KLIA2, its chief financial officer and his financial team had to carefully analyse the expected benefits generated against the cost incurred before embarking on this project. In corporate finance, generating positive cash flows are pertinent as it affects the value of the company. (c) Working Capital Management Decisions Financing and investing decisions are usually long term in nature. In the short run, company must also ensure proper management of its day-to-day operations of current assets and current liabilities. This is known as working capital management. Working capital management decisions involve determining the level of cash and inventory to be kept, whether sales made are paid in cash or on credit, where excess cash is invested and how short-term liabilities are being paid. Poor working capital management decisions will result in the trade-off between profitability and risk. For example, if your company has a high level of current assets and assuming that current liabilities remain constant, then your company may have lower profitability as most of its cash is tied in the current assets instead of investing elsewhere that will generate higher returns. In contrast, when your company has a high level of current assets, your company has lower default risk on its short-term liabilities and is less likely to be in financial distress. ACTIVITY 1.2 Based on Activity 1.1, categorise the type of decision made by the company and explain why. SELF-CHECK 1.1 1. What is corporate finance? 2. Explain the important decisions that a financial manager needs to make for the company. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 6 1.2 TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE THE CORPORATE FIRM How a business is formed affects its capability to raise funds, being taxed and the liability condition of the owners. Generally a business can be formed as follows: (a) Sole Proprietorship This is a business owned by an individual using his name or trade name. It is the easiest and cheapest way of owning a business as no formal charter is required. There is no legal separation between the owner and the business and the owner pays only personal income tax. The capability of the owner to raise funds is restricted to the ownerÊs personal wealth. In case of bankruptcy, the owner has unlimited liability and therefore all his assets (both personal and business-related) can be used to settle the debt obligations. The life of the business ends when the owner dies. (b) Partnership The business is owned by two or more persons using a trade name. The partnerships can be a general partnership or limited partnership: (i) Unlike general partnership, limited partnership allows limited liability on some partners based on the amount of cash provided to the business. (ii) For limited partnership, at least one partner is a general partner and is allowed to participate in the running of the business. (iii) The life of the general partnership ends when one partner dies or withdraws, while partners in a limited partnership can sell their interests in a business. Similar to sole proprietorship form of business, it is less costly to establish. Partnerships have a higher capability to raise funds relative to sole proprietorship due to the number of persons involved in the business. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE 7 Income of a partnership is reported as personal income tax and similar to sole proprietorship, each partnerÊs personal and business assets can be used to pay any outstanding debt obligation. (c) Corporation As a business starts to grow rapidly, a sole proprietorship or partnership may consider forming a corporation. Unlike these two forms of business, a corporation is a separate entity that has the right to buy and sell assets. Corporations can sue and be sued and liabilities of the corporation are not the liabilities of the corporationÊs owners, that is, the shareholders. The corporation is made up of a board of directors, top management and shareholders. Corporations can raise funds by issuing shares or bonds. Since a corporation is a separate legal entity, it has to pay corporate tax instead of personal income tax. However, employees employed by the corporation have to pay personal income tax on income earned. The continuity of the corporation does not end when the owners die or withdraw from the company. ACTIVITY 1.3 When forming a business, you will be subjected to the rules and regulations of different countries. Surf the Internet and discuss these different rules and regulations that are being practised in Malaysia, Dubai and Australia when forming a business. 1.3 THE IMPORTANCE OF CASH FLOWS In corporate finance, creating cash flows is important as it enhances the firmÊs value. Thus, it is essential for management to make operating, investment and financing decisions that generate more cash from the assets then the cost. You need to have clear understanding between cash flows and profits that is indicated in the income statements. Profits as stated in the income statement do not indicate actual money in hand, while cash flows do. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 8 1.3.1 TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE Identification of Cash Flows For example, let us assume that you are running a small bakery shop in Shah Alam. The raw materials needed to run the business cost you RM2,000 and you have paid for them in cash. At the same time, you have secured sales amounting to RM10,000 and received RM1,000 in cash and the rest is sold on credit. Table 1.1 shows the profit realised from the accounting and cash flow perspective. Since profit from the accounting perspective is based on accrual basis, you can see that you are making a profit of RM8,000. However, from the cash flow basis, you are actually incurring a loss of RM1,000. Table 1.1: Profit from Accrual and Cash Flow Basis Accrual Basis Cash Flow Basis Sales 10,000 1,000 Less: Cost of Goods Sold (2,000) (2,000) Profit or Loss 8,000 1,000 As discussed earlier, cash flow basis indicates the actual cash inflow and cash outflow activities of your business. In terms of the cash inflow activities, although you have made sales worth RM 10,000, only RM1,000 is received in actual cash while the remaining RM9,000 is yet to be paid by your customers. Since you have made 100% cash payments to your suppliers for the raw materials bought, the cash outflow amounting to RM2,000 is reported. Thus, in corporate finance, financial managers are more concerned about creating more cash flows as opposed to profits. Cash flows of a company are created from its financing, investing and operation activities. How are these cash flows generated? We will begin by looking at the financing activities of the company: (a) Cash flows from financing activities start when a company issues shares or debts to investors in the financial market in order to raise funds to operate and expand its businesses. (b) These cash flows are then invested in the investment and operating activities to generate higher returns which mean creating more cash flows. (c) Then, certain portion of cash flows received from the investment and operating activities are then paid to debt holders or shareholders who have invested in the company while the other portion is kept in the company as retained earnings or paid as taxes. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 1 (d) INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE 9 Value of the company is created when cash flows paid to investors (shareholders and debt holders) are higher than the cash flows received from those investors. 1.3.2 Timing of Cash Flows When and how you receive cash flows are important considerations. We will use Example 1 to explain the importance of timing associated with cash flows. Example 1: Let us assume that you have inherited RM10 million from your late uncle and desire to start up a business. After consulting with several friends, you have narrowed down to two projects, X and Y. The cash outflows and cash inflows are presented in Table 1.2. Table 1.2: Cash Outflows and Inflows of Projects X and Y Project Year X Y Initial Outlay î(20,000) î(20,000) Cash Inflows 1 0 8,000 2 0 8,000 3 0 8,000 4 0 8,000 5 60,000 8,000 RM60,000 RM40,000 Total Initially, it seems that project X is preferred to project Y since it has higher cash flows. However, if we are to consider the timing of cash flows associated with both projects, project Y is preferred since its cash flows are received earlier than those of project X. This brings us back to the concept of the time value of money (TVM) which emphasises that a dollar that you received today is worth more than a dollar received later. Hence the cash flows worth RM60,000 received in year 5 for project X is worth less than the cash flows received from project Y. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 10 1.3.3 TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE Risk of Cash Flows Apart from the timing of cash flows, financial managers must also consider risks related to the cash flows received. Going back to Example 1, you might not consider investing in project X since the expected cash flows received is only in year 5. The question that you may want to ask is: how certain are you in getting that RM60,000 in 5 yearsÊ time? Unlike project Y, the risk or uncertainty of receiving the cash flows is lesser since your first cash flow worth RM8,000 is paid in year 1. Besides, since project YÊs cash flows are received earlier, you can reinvest those cash flows to get higher returns. ACTIVITY 1.4 Based on the following table, explain which project is preferred based on the timing and risk associated with the cash flows. Cash Flow Stream Year M N O 1 0 1,000 5,000 2 0 2,000 3,000 3 10,000 7,000 2,000 Total 10,000 10,000 10,000 SELF-CHECK 1.2 1. Discuss why financial managers are more interested in cash flows rather than profits. 2. Explain why the timing and risk associated with cash flows are important factors to be considered in corporate finance. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 1 1.4 INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE 11 THE GOAL OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT Can you list down the reasons for the formation of a company? Yes, there are many reasons why a company is formed and you may by now have given at least five reasons for its existence. Surprisingly, the most popular answer given would be to make profit. Do you think setting profit maximisation as a goal is appropriate for a company? Gitman and Zutter (2015) stated that the ultimate goal of a company is to maximise shareholdersÊ wealth. At this juncture you might wonder whether there are differences between these two goals. Indeed there are differences and we will now proceed to explain the difference between the two goals. 1.4.1 Profit Maximisation Goal versus Shareholders’ Wealth Maximisation Goal When the companyÊs goal is to maximise profit, the focus is on the efficient utilisation of capital resources and it ignores the elements of risk, size and timing of the cash flow. (a) Risk Associated with Cash Flows If you have taken the Financial Management course, you would recall that there is a trade-off between risk and return. In a situation where you are faced with two investments that have the same returns but different levels of risk, naturally you will pick the investment with lower risk. Unfortunately, profit maximisation goal does not consider risk related to the cash flows. When a chief executive officer (CEO) is consistently being pressured to make profit for the company, this could drive him to make investment decisions without weighing the level of risk associated with the cash flows. On the other hand, shareholdersÊ wealth maximisation goal focuses on maximising the companyÊs stock price. In achieving this goal, the CEO of a company will incorporate risk in the investment evaluation and make sure that the total value of cash inflows is above the total value of cash outflows when making investment decisions (Parrino, Kidwell & Bates, 2011). Engaging in investments that bring in less risky cash flows will lead to cash flows being worth more and eventually increases the companyÊs stock price. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 12 (b) Size of the Cash Flows Profit maximisation goal tends to focus on making as much profit as possible for the company. You need to understand that profits of a company are not the same thing as its cash flows. A company can make lots of profits, yet face insufficient cash flows. In short, a company with high profit does not necessarily have high cash flows. Why do you think this is so? TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE Well, there are many ways that a company can generate profits. One way is to cut or reduce its operating costs. Let us assume that the company has decided to cut off its operating costs by downsizing its quality control department that has contributed to 10% of its operating costs. Although the company is able to reduce costs and increase profit in the short run, the effect of downsizing has resulted in an increased number of customer complaints and defect products. In the long run, the company loses out to its competitors and share prices spiral down as investors anticipate the companyÊs cash flows to decrease. Since shareholdersÊ wealth maximisation goal aim is to increase the share price of the company, increasing its cash flows become the main motive. You must remember when you have cash you are able to invest to make more cash. For a company to increase its cash flows, the financial manager must accept projects or investments where the cash inflows exceed its cash outflows. Remember larger cash flows increase the value of the share price of the company. (c) Timing Associated with Cash Flows A CEO of a company who is interested in making profits is usually not concerned about when those profits are made. As discussed earlier in subtopic 1.3, the concept of the time value of money (TVM) states that a dollar that you received today is worth more than a dollar received later. Thus, if the company is able to generate higher profits in later years, then that profits are worth less than if it has been generated earlier due to factors like inflation. In contrast, if your goal is to maximise shareholdersÊ wealth then you are concerned about the timing of cash flows that are expected to be received. You would prefer that most of those cash flows are received in the earlier periods since those cash flows can be used to reinvest and therefore generate more returns. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE 13 Table 1.3 summarises the difference between profit maximisation goal and shareholdersÊ wealth maximisation goal. Table 1.3: Difference between Profit Maximisation Goal and ShareholdersÊ Wealth Maximisation Goal Elements Profit Maximisation ShareholdersÊ Wealth Maximisation Risk Ignores risk related to the cash flows involved. Riskier cash flows are worth less. Considers the risk associated with cash flows. Size of cash flow High profit does not lead to high cash flows. Value of the firm increases when cash flows are larger. Timing Ignores timing of the cash flows received as long as the company makes profit. Considers the timing of the cash flows received. Cash flows received earlier are preferred than later so that those cash flows can be reinvested to earn more return. SELF-CHECK 1.3 1. Discuss why maximising shareholdersÊ wealth is an appropriate goal for a company. 2. What are the drawbacks of setting profit maximisation as a companyÊs goal? 1.5 THE AGENCY PROBLEM AND CONTROL OF THE CORPORATION If you recall in subtopic 1.2, we did say that the owners of a corporation are the shareholders who have invested their money in the company. These shareholders hire top management to make decisions that benefit them (the owners). In other words, there is a separation between the ownership and control of the corporation. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 14 TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE A company faces agency problems when the management puts self-interest above the shareholdersÊ interest. As a consequence, the company will incur agency costs in an attempt to mitigate agency problems. The costs are usually borne by shareholders. Corporate governance are rules, regulations and processes that are put in place to reduce the agency problems. The following section discusses in depth the agency problem, agency costs and corporate governance. (a) Agency Problem You should realise that the management in control of the corporation acts as an agent to shareholders who are principals. Agency problems exist when sometimes the management is tempted to pursue goals that are in conflict with the interests of the shareholdersÊ goal. The problem could ultimately cause corporations to go out of business. (b) Agency Costs In an attempt to prevent or reduce agency problems, shareholders have to bear agency costs so that management and shareholder interests are aligned. Examples of agency costs are costs incurred to monitor the activities of top management, costs of management failure to make good investment decisions and costs of issuing employee stock options. Agency costs are said to be a loss to shareholdersÊ wealth and, therefore, affect the value of the company. Can you cite examples of large corporationsÊ failures due to agency problems? Yes, the most famous large corporations involved are the Lehman Brothers Holdings Incorporation, Enron Corporation and Barings Bank which are good examples related to agency problems. (c) Corporate Governance The downfall of large multinational corporations like Lehman Brothers and Enron, as a result of agency problems, has made corporations put in place good corporate governance practices. Corporate governance is basically the rules, regulations and processes that regulate and control the corporationÊs operation to mitigate agency problems. In Malaysia, the Securities Commission (SC) has imposed the Malaysian Code on Corporate Governance 2007 which was later revised to Malaysian Code on Corporate Governance 2012 (MCCG 2012). MCCG 2012 provides standards for those companies listed in Bursa Malaysia to apply in their corporate governance process. For detailed information on MCCG 2012, you can go to this website: http://www.sc.com.my/home/faqs/otherfrequently-asked-questions/ Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE 15 ACTIVITY 1.5 Surf the Internet and read the cases related to Enron Corporation and Lehman Brothers Holdings. Discuss the agency problems and costs related to the companies. SELF-CHECK 1.4 1. Explain the agency relationships between shareholders and management. 2. Discuss the reasons for agency problems to occur. 3. What are the sources of agency costs and how does a company reduce these costs? Corporate finance involves making financing, investing and working capital management decisions. A business can be established as a sole proprietorship, a partnership and a corporation. Financial managers should focus on creating more cash flows instead of profits. The ultimate goal of the financial manager is to maximise shareholdersÊ wealth rather than profit maximisation. Agency problems exist when there is significant degree of separation between owners and management. Good corporate governance practices can mitigate agency problems and costs. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 16 TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE Agency conflicts Partnership Agency costs Profits Cash flows Size of cash flows Corporate finance Sole proprietorship Corporation Timing of cash flows Financing decision Working capital management decision Investment decision Damodaran, A. (2001). Corporate finance: Theory and practice (2nd ed.). New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons. Gitman, L. J., & Zutter, C. J. (2015). Principles of managerial finance (14th ed.). Boston, MA: Pearson. Kaur, S. (2016, July 4). MRT Corp awards three works packages for MRT Sungai Buloh-Serdang-Putrajaya project. New Straits Times Online. Retrieved from http://www.nst.com.my/news/2016/07/156694/mrt-corp-awards-threeworks-packages-mrt-sungai-buloh-serdang-putrajaya-project Malaysia Airports. (2014, December 23). Malaysia Airports received shareholders approval for acquisition of remaining 40% equity stake in Istanbul Sabiha Gokcen International Airport. Retrieved from http://www.malaysiaairports.com.my/?m=media_centre&c=news&id=452 Ooi, T. C. (2016, July 4). SOP to buy 47,000ha oil palm estate from Shin Yang Holdings. New Straits Times Online. Retrieved from http://www.nst.com.my/news/2016/07/156696/sop-buy-47000ha-oilpalm-estate-shin-yang-holdings Parrino, R., Kidwell, D., Bates, T. (2011). Fundamental of corporate finance (2nd ed.). Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE 17 Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R., Jaffe, J. F., & Jordan, B. D. (2011). Core principles and applications of corporate finance (3rd ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Irwin. Commission Malaysia. (2007). Malaysian code on corporate governance 2007. Retrieved from http://www.ecgi.org/codes/documents/cg_code_malaysia_2007_en.pdf Securities Commission Malaysia. (2012). Malaysian code on corporate governance 2012. Retrieved from https://www.sc.com.my/wp-content/uploads/eng/html/cg/cg2012.pdf Securities Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) Topic Advanced 2 Capital Budgeting LEARNING OUTCOMES By the end of this topic, you should be able to: 1. Discuss the fundamentals of the capital budgeting concept; 2. Calculate the net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), discounted payback period (PP) and profitability index (PI) of a project; 3. Explain the incremental cash flow; and 4. Discuss inflation and capital budgeting. INTRODUCTION Capital budgeting, also known as investment appraisal, deals with important financial decisions. It is the process of evaluating and ranking potential investments or expenses that are significant in amount and normally involve a long-term investment. Decisions on investment that depend on time to maturity will be based on the returns of the investment. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING 19 „TNB to invest more in renewable energy‰ (Bernama, 2014) „Telekom Malaysia invests RM2.3bil for better high-speed broadband‰ (Aruna, 2015) „UMW Holdings: Confirms MYR2b new Klang plant‰ (Yap, 2016) The abovementioned headlines are examples of long-term investments made by the companies after taking into consideration the cost of capital, return on the investment and the risk involved. The company might have several investment alternatives to consider as part of their investment. The selection of the best investments that will increase the value of the firm is one of the factors in selecting the best investment. The companyÊs capital budgeting decision is important for future strategic direction such as setting up new branches, introducing new products, upgrading current production line and enhancing the new corporate image, etc. These results must be preceded by capital budgeting (Brigham & Ehrhardt, 2014). Also, it is important because capital budgeting decisions involve long-term investments, hence, it reduces the companyÊs capital flexibility. Once the company has invested large capital in the chosen project, it has to make sure that the project generates expected returns. Poor capital budgeting can lead to serious financial consequences. For example, if the company invests too much in certain projects, it will incur unnecessarily high depreciation and other expenses. However, if it does not invest enough, the fixed assets might not be up-to date and modern enough to enable it to compete with other companies. This can lead to losing market share to the rivals, losing customers (which requires heavy selling expenses), price reductions or product improvement, all of which, are costly. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 20 TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING ACTIVITY 2.1 Do you know what capital budgeting is? Discuss with your coursemates. 2.1 NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) The net present value (NPV) is the difference between the present value of the inflows and the present value of the outflows. The NPV is a measure of how much value is created or added today by undertaking an investment. As stated in subtopic 1.4., the ultimate goal of a company is to maximise shareholdersÊ wealth which means creating value for the shareholders. Therefore, in the capital budgeting process, value creation exists when the investment has a positive NPV. Let us say we have two projects to consider for an investment, project A and project B. Project A has RM95,000 cash outlay and RM30,000 cash inflows for five years. Project B has RM100,000 cash outlay and RM40,000 cash inflows for the first two years and RM15000 for the last two years. Both projects have an expected return (r) of 10%. Calculate the NPV for both projects. Based on the calculation, which project should we choose? Figures 2.1 and 2.2 show the timeline for Projects A and B respectively. Figure 2.1: The timeline for Project A Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING 21 Figure 2.2: The timeline for Project B The formula for net present value (NPV) is: n NPV CFt t 1 1 r t CF0 Where, CF = Cash inflow n = Number of period r = Rate of return t = Time period In selecting the best investment, we need to apply the NPV rule. NPV Rule: An investment should be accepted if the NPV is positive and rejected if it is negative. If the NPV is greater than RM0, the firm will earn a return greater than its cost of capital. This will increase the market value of the firm, hence, the wealth of its owners will increase by an amount equal to NPV (Gitman & Zutter, 2015). Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 22 TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING SELF-CHECK 2.1 Identify the importance of capital budgeting decisions. 2.1.1 NPV Problem Solving Using Formula The NPV formula is actually the present value of all the future cash inflows minus the cash outlay. n NPV CFt t 1 1 r t Cash outlay Project A 30,000 30,000 30,000 30, 000 30, 000 95, 000 NPV 1 0.11 1 0.12 1 0.13 1 0.1 4 1 0.15 18,724 Project B 40, 000 40, 000 40, 000 15,000 15, 000 100, 000 NPV 1 0.11 1 0.12 1 0.13 1 0.1 4 1 0.15 19, 034 Project AÊs answer is 18,724 while Project BÊs is 19,034. Based on these two answers, we will select the project that gives the highest NPV, which is Project B. Any project that gives a positive NPV will actually increase the value of the firm. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 2 2.1.2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING 23 NPV Problem Solving Using Financial Table (Interest Factor Table) Using the same example, through Projects A and BÊs cash inflows and cash outlay, we calculate the NPV using the interest factor table. In this case, since we need to find the present value of all the future cash inflows, we use the present value annuity table for Project A and present value single factor for Project B with 10% expected return (refer to Table 2.1). Table 2.1: Calculation of NPVs for Project A and B Cash Flow Project A (RM) 10% 0 ă95000 PVIFA 1 30000 2 30000 3 30000 4 30000 5 30000 ă95000 3.7908 113724 r = 10% NPV = RM18724 Cash Flow Project B (RM) 10% 0 ă100000 PVIF 1 40000 0.9091 36364 2 40000 0.8264 33056 3 40000 0.7513 30052 4 15000 0.6830 10245 5 15000 0.6209 9314 ă100000 119031 r = 10% NPV Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 19031 24 TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING Decision: Since both Projects A and B give a positive NPV, both projects are acceptable, because the NPV of each is greater than RM0. However, if both projects were being ranked, Project B would be considered superior to A. NPV for A and B are RM18,724 and RM19,033 respectively. 2.1.3 NPV Problem Solving Using Financial Calculator The example (in Table 2.1) for Project A and B can be solved using a financial calculator. In this example, we use the BA II Plus Texas Instruments calculator (refer to Tables 2.2 and 2.3). Table 2.2: Details of Project A Input Function ă95000 CF0 30000 CO1 5 FO1 10 I 18724 NPV Table 2.3: Details of Project B Input Function ă100000 CF0 40000 CO1 3 FO1 15000 CO2 2 FO2 10 I 19033 NPV Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING 25 If we use the calculator to solve the NPV problem for project A and B, we need to use the cash flow (CF) button. Project AÊs cash inflows are an equal cash flow except the cash outlay or the cost. Hence, the cash flows for project A is an annuity. That is why the frequency of the cash flow, n or FO1 = 5. The calculated NPV for project A is RM18,794 which is the same with the NPV that was calculated before. Project B has unequal cash flows where the first three years is RM40,000 while the fourth and fifth years are RM15,000. This is called the mixed stream. The first three cash inflows are the same which is 40,000, hence we input FO1 = 3 (which means we input its frequency, n = 3). Also, the last two cash inflows are of the same values, hence, we input FO2 = 2. The calculated NPV for project B is RM19,033. The NPV using the financial calculator is not the same with values using the PVIF table. This is due to the fact that PV tables use factors that are rounded off to fewer decimal places. The NPV using the financial calculator is more accurate than the PV table. ACTIVITY 2.2 1. Discuss the NPV decision criterion. 2. How does the NPV create value to the shareholders? SELF-CHECK 2.2 1. What is net present value (NPV)? How is it calculated? 2. What are the NPV accept-reject decisions? 3. What are equal and unequal cash flows? Define these two types of cash flows. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 26 TOPIC 2 2.2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR) Internal rate of return is the most widely used capital budgeting technique (Gitman & Zutter, 2015). The IRR is the discount rate that equates the NPV of an investment opportunity with RM0. This is because the present value of cash inflows equals the initial investment at the internal rate of return. The IRR is the discount rate that makes NPV = 0 (Brealey, Myers, & Allen, 2014). The equation for calculating the IRR is: n RM0 CFt t 1 1 IRR t CF0 IRR Rule: An investment should be accepted if the IRR is greater than the cost of capital and rejected if it is less. If the NPV is greater than RM0, the firm will earn a return greater than its cost of capital. This will increase the market value of the firm, hence, the wealth of its owners will increase by an amount equal to NPV (Gitman & Zutter, 2015). 2.2.1 IRR Problem Solving Using Formula Let us use the same example as in NPV, that is, Project AÊs and Project BÊs (see Figures 2.1 and 2.2) cash inflows and outlays with 10% expected return. Project A has equal cash flows, hence we can use the formula and interpolation to find the IRR. The following is the IRR calculation for Project A. Step 1 n CF0 CFt t 1 1 IRR t CF0 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING 27 1 1 1 1 1 95, 000 95,000 30, 000 1 IRR 1 1 IRR 2 1 IRR 3 1 IRR 4 1 IRR 5 95, 000 1 1 1 1 1 30, 000 1 IRR 1 1 IRR 2 1 IRR 3 1 IRR 4 1 IRR 5 1 1 1 1 1 31, 667 1 IRR 1 1 IRR 2 1 IRR 3 1 IRR 4 1 IRR 5 Step 2: Use interpolation to find the IRR. 16% 3.2743 IRR 3.1667 18% 3.1272 IRR 16% 3.1677 3.2743 18% 16% 3.1272 3.2743 IRR 16% 0.1076 0.1471 2% IRR 16% 0.7315 2% IRR 0.7315 2% 16% IRR 0.17463 or 17.463% The IRR for Project A is 17.463%. We need to compare IRR for Projects A and B, and choose the project that gives the highest IRR. For Project B, we could try finding the IRR by trial and error, that is, by experimenting the different discount rates to find the one that satisfies the definition of NPV = 0. It is easier to find IRR for project A than B, since Project A has an equal cash flow. However, this can be very time consuming. Hence, we suggest using the financial calculator in finding the IRR. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 28 2.2.2 TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING IRR Problem Solving Using Financial Table (Interest Factor Table) Project A has equal cash flows, hence, we can use the financial table and then use interpolation to find the IRR. However, for project B it is quite tedious to use interpolation and trial and error since it has uneven cash flows. Hence, it is advisable to use financial calculator for uneven cash flows. Here is the calculation for even cash flows. Project A Step 1 Cash flow (PVIFA IRR, 5) Initial outlay 30,000 (PVIFA IRR, 5) 95, 000 (PVIFA IRR, 5) 95, 000 30, 000 3.1667 Find 3.1667 from the PVIFA table (n = 5 years); it falls between 16% and 18%. Step 2 Do interpolation to get the exact rate. 16% 3.2743 IRR 3.1667 18% 3.1272 IRR 16% 3.1677 3.2743 18% 16% 3.1272 3.2743 IRR 16% 0.1076 2% 0.1471 IRR 16% 0.7315 2% IRR 0.7315 2% 16% IRR 0.17463 or 17.463% Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING 29 The IRR for Project A is 17.463%. We need to compare IRR for Projects A and B and choose the project that gives the highest IRR. 2.2.3 IRR Problem Solving Using Financial Calculator The best way to find IRR is to use the financial calculator to solve for the IRR problem for Project A and Project B (refer to Tables 2.4 and 2.5). Table 2.4: Details of Project A Input Function ă95000 CF0 30000 CO1 5 FO1 17.45 IRR Table 2.5: Details of Project B Input Function ă100000 CF0 40000 CO1 3 FO1 15000 CO2 2 FO2 18.66 IRR We need to use the cash flow (CF) button as we did in finding the NPV. Regardless whether the cash inflows are an equal cash flow or otherwise, it is always easy to use the calculator in finding the IRR. If not, we have to use the trial and error and interpolation methods in finding the IRR, which is quite cumbersome if the project cash inflows are very numerous. We enter the data as we did in the NPV calculation. Once we finish entering all the cash inflows and outflows, we need to press IRR, and then press CPT to get the answer. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 30 TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING The calculated IRR for Project A is 17.45% and B is 18.66, respectively. Both projects have higher IRR than the cost of capital (or required rate of return) at 10%, hence, we can choose both projects if we have sufficient capital. However, if we rank both IRRs, we should choose the project with the highest IRR, which is, Project B. ACTIVITY 2.3 1. Discuss the IRR decision criterion. 2. How does the IRR create value to the shareholders? SELF-CHECK 2.3 What is internal rate of return? How is it calculated? 2.3 DISCOUNTED PAYBACK PERIOD (DPP) Discounted payback period (DPP) uses the same concept like NPV and IRR. Firstly, all the cash inflows have to be discounted to the current period, and secondly, we calculate the payback period for the project. The concept of DPP is very simple. Basically the main question we ask in DPP is, how many years it takes to cover all the cash outlays. The number of years taken to cover the cost of the investment is called the payback period, and it is called discounted payback period (DPP) because we need to find the present value for each of the cash inflow. In other words, it is the length of time for the project to reach NPV= 0. Let us use the same example as we used before, that is Project A and Project B (Figures 2.1 and 2.2). The steps that we need to take in finding the DPP are as follows: (a) Find the present value for all the future cash inflows to the current year. (b) Then, accumulate each of the present value of future cash inflows until the total accumulation is just enough to cover the cash outlays, which is known as DPP. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 2 (c) ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING 31 B Apply the formula DPP A C Where, (i) A = Last period with a negative discounted cumulative cash flow; (ii) B = Absolute value of discounted cumulative cash flow at the end of the period A; and (iii) C = Discounted cash flow during the period after A. DPP Rule: An investment should be accepted if the DPP is less than some pre-specified number of years. Discounted payback period (DPP) rule requires the use of an arbitrary cut-off period in summing the discounted cash flows. The cash flow and DPP for Project A is shown in Table 2.6. Table 2.6: Cash Flow and DPP for Project A Cash Flow Project A (RM) PVIF 10% Discounted Discounted Cumulative 0 ă95000 1 ă95000 ă95000 1 30000 0.909 27273 ă67727 2 30000 0.826 24792 ă42935 3 30000 0.751 22539 ă20396 4 30000 0.683 20490 94 5 30000 0.621 18627 DPP 3.99 years The discounted cumulative cash flow at t = 0 is just the initial cost of RMă95,000. At year 1, the discounted cumulative is the previous discounted cumulative of RMă95,000 plus the year 1 discounted cash flow of RM27,273: where, RM95,000 + RM27,273 = RMă67,727. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 32 TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING Similarly, the year 2 discounted cumulative cash flow is the previous discounted cumulative of RMă67,727 plus the year 2 discounted cash flow of RM24,792, resulting in RMă42,935. Then, the discounted cumulative cash flow for year 3 is the previous discounted cumulative cash flow of RMă67,727 plus the year 3 discounted cash flow of RM22,539, resulting in RMă20,396. We can see that, by the end of year 4 the discounted cumulative cash flow has more than recovered the initial outflow. Thus, the discounted payback period occurs during the fourth year. The exact calculation of discounted payback period for Project A is: (a) Last period with a negative discounted cumulative cash flow (A) = 3 (b) Absolute value of discounted cumulative cash flow at the end of the period (B) = 20,396 (c) Discounted cash flow during the period after (C) = 20,490 (d) 120, 396 B Discounted Payback Period = A 3 3.99 years C 20, 490 Applying the same procedure for Project B, we find the discounted payback period as shown in Table 2.7. Table 2.7: Cash Flow and DPP for Project B Year Cash Inflows 0 ă100000 1 40000 2 PVIF 10% 1 Discounted Discounted Cumulative ă100000 ă100000 0.9091 36364 ă63636 40000 0.8264 33056 ă30580 3 40000 0.7513 30052 ă528 4 40000 0.683 10245 9717 5 40000 0.6209 9313.5 DPP 3.05 years Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING 33 The exact calculation of discounted payback period for Project B is: (a) Last period with a negative discounted cumulative cash flow (A) = 3 (b) Absolute value of discounted cumulative cash flow at the end of the period (B) = 528 (c) Discounted cash flow during the period after (C) = 10,245 (d) B 1528 Discounted Payback Period = A 3 3.05 years C 10245 Decision: If the pre-specified number of years is 3 years, both projects are rejected. If the pre-specified number of years is 4 years, both projects are accepted. ACTIVITY 2.4 1. Discuss the DPP decision criterion. 2. How does the DPP create value to the shareholders? SELF-CHECK 2.4 1. What is discounted payback period (DPP)? How is it calculated? 2. Discuss why DPP decision might not be the same as NPV and IRR. 3. Explain why DPP is not the best capital budgeting method even though this method is the most widely used by companies. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 34 2.4 TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING PROFITABILITY INDEX (PI) The last method in this topic of project evaluation is called the profitability index (PI) or cost-benefit ratio. This PI is defined as the present value of the future cash inflows divided by the initial cash outlay (Titman, Keown & Martin, 2014). Profitability index (PI) = Present value of future cash flows Initial cash outlay n PI CF 1 r t t 1 CF0 PI Rule: An investment should be accepted if the PI is higher than 1.0. When PI is more than 1.0, it is the equivalent of having an NPV that is greater than zero. For this reason, NPV and PI will always give the same conclusion regarding the investment decision. We are still using the same example, as in the NPV method, to calculate the PI. Using the formula, the PIs for Project A and B are: Project A 5 30, 000 30, 000 30, 000 30, 000 t 1 1 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 PV5 1 2 3 4 30, 000 1 0.15 5 PV5 113,724 t 1 Hence, PI 113,724 1.1971 95, 000 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING 35 Project B 5 40, 000 40, 000 40, 000 15, 000 t 1 1 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 PV5 1 2 3 4 15, 000 1 0.15 5 PV5 119, 034 t 1 Hence, PI 119, 034 1.1903 100, 000 Decision: Since both Projects A and B have PIs of more than 1.0, we select both projects. However, if we ranked the PI, from highest to the lowest, we should select Project A. ACTIVITY 2.5 Discuss the decision criterion to accept-reject an investment using PI. SELF-CHECK 2.5 1. Define PI. 2. State the differences between PI and other capital budgeting techniques, that is, NPV, IRR and discounted payback period. 2.5 INCREMENTAL CASH FLOWS In subtopic 1.3, you have read the importance of the cash flows, inflows and outflows. Cash flows of a company are created from its financing, investing and operational activities. Financial managers are more concerned about creating more cash flows as opposed to profits that are realised from the accounting perspective. As noted in Topic 1, cash flows rather than accounting figures are used because cash flows directly affect the firmÊs ability to pay bills and purchase assets. In our previous examples in this topic, when we calculated the NPV, IRR, DPP and PI, the after-tax cash flows were given. Estimating the cash flows is the most important part of the capital budgeting process. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 36 TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING The incremental cash flows represent the additional cash flows, outflows or inflows that the company is expected to generate from a proposed new project. A positive incremental cash flow means that the project will create more money and should be accepted. A negative incremental cash flow indicates that the project is probably a bad investment. The incremental cash flows can be calculated by using the following formula: Incremental Cash Flow = Cash flow with project ă Cash flow without project Generally, there are two basic types of projects, expansion and replacement. In either of these two, we are concerned with the incremental cash flows that will be provided. For the expansion project, this calculation of incremental cash flow is straightforward. For the replacement type project, the incremental cash flows are those that occur as a result of the new project. In both types of projects, we will have three categories of incremental cash flows: (a) The initial outlay or investment; (b) The annual after-tax operating cash flows (AATOCF); and (c) The terminal cash flows. Now, let us explore further on the different types of incremental cash flows: (a) The Initial Outlay For expansion projects, this will consist of the cash flows resulting from acquiring the new asset and will consist of: (i) The purchase price of the new asset; (ii) Installation costs of the new asset, for example, transportation, shipping and handling; (iii) Increases in working capital requirements, for example, inventory such as raw materials and finished goods; (iv) After-tax non-capital expenditures, for example, costs to train employees to operate assets; and (v) Investment tax credit (ITC) given by government due to the nature of the company's business (this ITC could be given at any time during the project's life). Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING 37 Note: The sum of the cash flows at (i) and (ii) above is equal to the recorded value of the new asset in the company's books (that is, the value at which the asset will be depreciated). The initial outlay (IO) calculation can be done as follows: IO = (Cost of proposed machine + Installation and shipping cost + Training) ă (Proceeds sale of old machine ă Tax on sale of old machine) + (Change in net working capital) (b) The Annual After-Tax Operating Cash Flows (AATOCF) AATOCF must be measured incrementally. First, we need to calculate the EBIT. Then, subtract corporate taxes from EBIT. Third, add back depreciation. Depreciation had to be added back into the equation because it is a non-cash expense but influences the cash flows through impact on taxes. AATOCF = EBIT ă Corporate taxes + Depreciation or, AATOCF = (Sales ă Expenses ă Depreciation) ă Corporate taxes + Depreciation Where, EBIT = Sales ă Expenses ă Depreciation Corporate tax rate = Tax rate EBIT (c) Terminal Cash Flows For both the expansion and replacement projects, this will comprise cash flows that occur as a result of termination of the new project. These may include: (i) The after-tax cash flows resulting from the sale of the new asset (calculation is similar to above, see initial outlay); (ii) Recovery of working capital, that is, the working capital cash outflows experienced in the initial outlay will be recovered; and (iii) Any other after-tax clean-up costs. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 38 TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING Terminal Cash Flow = (d) (Proceeds from sale of new assets ă Tax on sale of new assets) ă (Proceeds from sale of old asset ă Tax on sale of old assets) + Change in net working capital Other Types of Cash Flows The other types of cash flows are sunk costs, opportunity costs and externalities: (i) Sunk Costs These are cash outflows that have already occurred and, therefore, do not affect the capital budgeting decision. Sunk costs cannot be removed and should not be considered in investment decision, for example, consulting fees (Ross, Westerfield, & Jordan, 2015). (ii) Opportunity Costs In economics, this is referred to as benefits foregone. In other words, opportunity costs are benefits that are not going to be achieved due to a particular action or decision. These must be accounted for in the capital budgeting decision as cash outflows, on an after-tax basis. For example, in a replacement project analysis, we assume that the existing asset will be sold and the new asset bought. However if that „old‰ asset was kept in operation until the end of its useful life, the company may have been able to receive some cash by selling it afterwards. If such a salvage value existed, then the company would not be able to fetch this amount if they went ahead and replaced the old asset with the new one. Therefore, the after-tax effects of this opportunity cost would have to be incorporated in the analysis. Using this example of the asset's foregone salvage value, the procedure for determining the after-tax effect would be identical to that mentioned earlier (see initial outlay), except that the result would be an after-tax cash outflow. (iii) Externalities In economics, this refers to the effects of a project on other parts of the firm or company. If the increased revenues or the cost savings derived by a new project result in decreased revenues for other existing projects or products in a company, this effect must be factored into the Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING 39 capital budgeting process. To account for this, the decreased revenues of the existing project or products must be applied to offset or reduce the increased revenues of the new project (or be treated as increased costs of the new project). Alternatively, the increased revenues or the cost savings derived by the new project could result increased revenues for other existing projects or products in a company. In this case, the increased revenues of the other existing projects or products would be treated as additional increased revenues for the new project. The following is an example of the incremental cash flow calculation (adapted from Vernimmen, Quiry, Dallocchio, Le Fur & Salvi, 2009). ArtGlobal is planning to replace a machine with a new, better-performing one. The figures for the investment are as follows: Purchases of New Machine Cost RM2m Useful life 5 years, residual value nil Linear depreciation over 5 years Savings on charges RM0.8m per year Sale of Second Hand Machine Purchase cost RM1.5m (machine bought the previous year) Linear depreciation over 5 years (residual value is nil) Net book value today RM1.2m Potential sale price RM1.0m If the tax rate on profits and capital gains or losses is 40%, what is the „value‰ for the company of the new machine that the company is planning to buy (this companyÊs required rate of return is 12%)? Calculate the net present value and internal rate of return of the planned investment. The solution is as shown in Table 2.8. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 40 TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING Table 2.8: Solution Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 ăîPurchase of new machine ă2 + Sale of old machine 1 + Cost savings after tax 0.8 60% 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 + Tax savings on incremental depreciation and amortisation 0.1 40% 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.64 + Tax credit on capital loss ă0.2 40% = Cash flows to be discounted ă0.92 NPV 1.0 IRR 50% SELF-CHECK 2.6 Explain the three categories of incremental cash flows. 2.6 INFLATION AND CAPITAL BUDGETING In economics, we know that inflation affects interest rates. Increase in inflation will increase the interest rates and vice-versa. The interest rate is related to the cost of borrowing or investment (also known as cost of capital), hence, affecting the expected rate of return in capital budgeting. Since increase in interest rates causes the expected rate of return to upwardly rise, inflation creates a downward bias on present value of the cash flows. Inflation affects two factors in capital budgeting, that is, discount rates and cash flows. When we analyse the project, both factors should use either all nominal or real (that is, inflation-adjusted) cash flows. However, consistency is important (that is, real and nominal cannot be mixed). Variable elements in calculating the cash flows are likely to change with the changes in inflation. However, fixed charges such as depreciation remains constant with inflation. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING 41 Every investment needs capital. A company engages in borrowings when it is necessary especially when the company wants to expand into new businesses or buy new machines. Every borrowing has a cost called cost of capital. Due to the limitation of the capital, a company can only select one investment at a time. This type of selection is based on whether the project is mutually exclusive or nonmutually exclusive project. Mutually versus Non-mutually (Independent) Exclusive Projects Mutually exclusive projects refer to several sets of projects that the company has to choose, out of which only one project can be selected at a time due to several limitations, that is, capital or labour. For example, if the company has two projects and both projects give positive NPV and IRR is greater than the expected return, the company can only choose the project that gives the highest NPV and IRR. For the non-mutually (independent) exclusive projects, the decision of investment is not limited to any resource, however, it depends on the value of the NPV or IRR, either positive or negative. If the company has two potential projects to choose, and each project gives positive NPV and IRR greater than the expected rate of return, the company can choose both projects at the same time. Example: Mutually versus Non-mutually Exclusive Projects Let us say LovInvest Corporation has three projects to invest (refer to Table 2.9). Cost of capital for all the projects is 10%. What would be the best decision if the projects are (a) mutually exclusive or (b) independent? Table 2.9: Investment Projects for LovInvest Corporation Project X Project Y Project Z Initial Investment RM100,000 RM150,000 RM150,000 NPV RM200,000 RM150,000 RM210,000 IRR 26% 16% 21% Dependent (mutually exclusive) companies can only select one project at a time. It cannot invest simultaneously in all the three projects. Hence, the company should select the project that gives the higher NPV, which in this case is Project Z. Even though Project A has the highest IRR, in the case of a mutually exclusive project, a decision is made based on NPV is theoretically sounder. An independent (non-mutually exclusive) company can invest in all these three projects since all projects have positive NPVs and IRRs are higher than the cost of capital (in this case is 10%). Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 42 TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING SELF-CHECK 2.7 1. Discuss the relationship between inflation and capital budgeting. 2. What are the capital budgeting factors that can be affected by inflation? ACTIVITY 2.6 1. You are the financial officer for Integrated Bhd. Your manager has asked you to evaluate the two proposed capital investments; Projects S and L. Each project has a cost of RM80,000, and the cost of capital for each project is 12%. The projectÊs expected net cash flows are as follows: Table 2.10: Expected Net Cash Flows Year Project S Project L 0 ăRM80,000 ăRM80,000 1 52,000 28,000 2 24,000 28,000 3 24,000 28,000 4 8,000 28,000 (a) Calculate each projectÊs net present value, internal rate of return, discounted payback period and profitability index. (b) Which project or projects should be accepted if they are independent? (c) Which project should be accepted if they are mutually exclusive? Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 2 2. ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING Your department is considering expanding the business in two regions. Region AÊs cash outlay is RM85,500 and Region BÊs is RM112,150. The cost of capital is 14%. After-tax cash flows, including depreciation, are as follows: Table 2.11: Expected Net Cash Flows Including Depreciation 3. Year Region A Region B 0 ăRM85,500 ăRM112,150 1 25,500 37,500 2 25,500 37,500 3 25,500 37,500 4 25,500 37,500 5 25,500 37,500 (a) Calculate each projectÊs net present value, internal rate of return, discounted payback period and profitability index. (b) Indicate the correct accept or reject decision for each, if they are independent. (c) Indicate the correct accept or reject decision for each, if they are mutually exclusive. In order to increase the production, Solar Premium Sdn Bhd must decide whether to invest in a new solar technology. The two possible technologies available to them are POWERSOLAR and TURBOSOLAR. The after-tax cash flows for both technologies are as follows: Table 2.12: Expected Net Cash Flows Including Depreciation Year Powersolar Turbosolar 0 îRM30,000,000 ăRM30,000,000 1 10,000,000 40,000,000 2 20,000,000 20,000,000 3 40,000,000 12,000,000 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 43 44 TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING (a) Calculate each projectÊs net present value, internal rate of return, discounted payback period and profitability index if the cost of capital is 10%, 5% and 15%. (b) Indicate the correct accept or reject decision for each, if they are independent. (c) Indicate the correct accept or reject decision for each, if they are mutually exclusive. Capital budgeting techniques include net present value, internal rate of return, discounted payback period and profitability index. Net present value, internal rate of return, discounted payback period and profitability index use present value techniques. Net present value and internal rate of return techniques give the same investment decisions. Discounted payback period only uses an arbitrary cut-off period in summing the discounted cash flows. Profitability index only measures whether the discounted cash flow is greater than cash outlay or otherwise. Incremental cash flows are important cash flows as it helps the company to make an investment decision. Inflation is an important element in capital budgeting as inflation will affect the cost of capital and the required rate of return, especially, if the investments involve a long term investment due to uncertainty. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING Capital budgeting Initial outlay Cash flows Internal rate of return (IRR) Cash outlay Net present value (NPV) Cost of capital Profitability index (PI) Discounted payback period (DPP) Required rate of return Equal cash flows ShareholdersÊ wealth Incremental cash flows Unequal cash flows Inflation Value of the firm 45 Aruna, P. (2015, December 18). Telekom Malaysia invests RM2.3bil for better high-speed broadband. The Star Online. Retrieved from http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2015/12/18/tm-toinvest-rm23bil/ Bernama. (2014, December 18). TNB to invest more in renewable energy. The Star Online. Retrieved from http://www.thestar.com.my/business/businessnews/2014/12/18/tnb-to-invest-more-in-renewable-energy/ Brealey, R. A., Myers, S. C., & Allen, F. (2014). Principles of corporate finance (11th ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Irwin. Brigham, E. F., & Ehrhardt, M. C. (2014). Financial management: Theory and practice (14th ed.). Mason, OH: South-Western, Cengage Learning. Gitman, L. J., & Zutter, C. J. (2015). Principles of managerial finance (14th ed.). Boston, MA: Pearson. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 46 TOPIC 2 ADVANCED CAPITAL BUDGETING Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R., & Jordan, B. D. (2015). Fundamentals of corporate finance (11th ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill. Titman, S., Keown, A. J. & Martin, J. D. (2014). Financial management: Principles and applications (12th ed.). Upper Saddle River, NJ: Pearson. Yap, I. (2016, May 25). UMW Holdings: Confirms MYR2b new Klang plant. Bursa Market Place. Retrieved from http://www.bursamarketplace.com/index.php?ch=48&pg=186&ac=27414 &bb=research_article_pdf Vernimmen, P., Quiry, P., Dallocchio, M., Le Fur, Y., & Salvi, A. (2009). Corporate finance: Theory and practice (2nd ed.). New York, NY: Wiley. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) Topic Efficient 3 Capital Market and Behavioural Challenges LEARNING OUTCOMES By the end of this topic, you should be able to: 1. Discuss the importance of capital market efficiency in corporate finance; 2. Describe the efficient market hypothesis theory; 3. Discuss the types of efficient capital markets; 4. Interpret the evidence of efficient market hypothesis; and 5. Explain the behavioural challenges in efficient market hypothesis. INTRODUCTION In this topic, we will discuss the importance of understanding efficient capital markets in corporate finance. In Topic 2, we focused on creating values of the firm through investment decisions. It discussed the left-hand side of the balance sheet which is the firmÊs capital expenditure decision. Now we move to the right hand side and to the problems that are involved in financing the capital expenditures. To start the discussion of financing decisions, this topic explains the theory used as the base in financing decisions of the firms, which is, the efficient market hypothesis theory. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 48 3.1 TOPIC 3 EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKET AND BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGES CAN FINANCING DECISION CREATE VALUE? The main objective of managerial decision making is to maximise wealth of shareholders through maximising the value of the firms. Managers can increase the value of the firm by using valuable financing opportunities in three ways: (a) Deceive the Investors A firm can issue complex and sophisticated financing instruments to receive more than the actual market value. Investors without strong knowledge in securities valuation will buy the securities at a price higher than the fair value of the securities. (b) Reduce Costs or Increase Subsidies A firm can package securities to reduce taxes. Such a security will increase the value of the firm. In addition, financing techniques involve many costs, such as accountants, lawyers and investment bankers. Companies will try to package securities in a way to reduce these costs and at the same time increase the value of the firm. (c) Create a New Security A previously unsatisfied investor may be willing to pay an extra price for a specialised security that fits his needs. Corporations gain from developing unique securities by issuing these securities at premium prices. In the short run, the three methods mentioned can increase the value of the firms because the strategies can reduce financing cost and create good perception about the financing strategies. However, in the long run, the effect of value creation is relatively small because investors have the information and react accordingly to the information arriving in the markets. The reactions of market participants towards the information available in the market are discussed in the efficient market hypothesis theory. ACTIVITY 3.1 Discuss the types of financing decisions involved in your workplace. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 3 3.2 EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKET AND BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGES 49 A DESCRIPTION OF EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS An efficient capital market is a market in which all current securitiesÊ prices adjust rapidly to the arrival of new information about the securities including risk. We can define an informationally efficient capital market as a market where the prices of securities reflect all information about the security (Reilly & Brown, 2003). Figures 3.1 and 3.2 show how efficient and inefficient markets react to the good and bad news. The solid-line shows the efficient marketÊs reaction towards news while the dot-line and dash-line represent the inefficient marketÊs reaction towards information. From the figures, we can see that the price in efficient markets absorbs, adjusts and reacts accordingly and correctly to the information that arrives. On the other hand, inefficient markets might have delayed overreaction responses as information arrives. The inefficient market needs time to adjust the price correctly to the information that arrives and this provides opportunity for the market participants to make abnormal profit. Figure 3.1: Reaction of stock price to new good information in efficient and inefficient markets Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 50 TOPIC 3 EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKET AND BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGES Figure 3.2: Reaction of stock price to new bad information in efficient and inefficient markets 3.2.1 Assumption of Efficient Capital Market According to Reilly and Brown (2003), the efficient capital market is based on the following assumptions: (a) There must be large and enough number of participants with profit maximising goals in the market. In addition, the market participants should analyse and value the securities independently of each other. (b) The new information that arrives to the market is in random fashion. The news announcement is independent of each other with regards to timing. The new information should also need to be disseminated effectively to all market participants. (c) Investors adjust their prediction of security prices rapidly to reflect their interpretation of the new information received. Market efficiency does not assume that the market participants correctly adjust prices accordingly to price. Market efficiency needs investors to adjust their price without bias such that some investors will overreact and some will underreact. (d) Expected return that is set by all market participants should implicitly include risk in the price of the security. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 3 EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKET AND BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGES 51 Under these four assumptions, the competitive behaviour of this large group of market participants should cause rapid price adjustments in response to any new released information to the market. The new price will reflect the investorÊs new prediction of the investmentÊs value and riskiness. Should these assumptions not hold, for example, in most emerging markets around the world, investors may generate excess returns from the capital markets (Reilly & Brown, 2003). SELF-CHECK 3.1 1. In your own words, explain what efficient capital market is. 2. Explain the four assumptions of efficient capital market. 3.3 THE DIFFRENT TYPES OF INFORMATION AND EFFICIENT MARKET HYPOTHESIS Before we start a discussion on types the efficient market hypothesis, it is important for us to understand the type of information set in the market. Basically types of information available in the market can be divided into three main categories, which are: (a) Information Set of Past Historical Data This type of information is related to the historical data and past reports regarding the securities such as historical sequence of price, rate of returns, trading volume data and transactions by specialist. Most of the data under this category is used by technical analysts in analysing the stock price. (b) Information Set of Publicly Available Source Information in this category includes the information set of past historical data and all non-market public information such as earnings and dividend announcements, price-to-earnings ratios, dividend yield ratios, price to book value ratios, stock splits, news about the economy and politics, company's financial statements (annual reports, income statements, filings for the Security and Exchange Commission), announced merger plans, the financial situation of company's competitors and expectations regarding macroeconomic factors (such as inflation, unemployment). The data must be available publicly to the markets. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 52 (c) Information Set of Private and Publicly Available Sources Information in this category includes the information set of past historical data, public available source and all private or internal information related to the securities, which is, not published yet to the market. Examples of private or non-published internal information are internal investment reports, internal minutes of meetings, strategic investment strategies presented in the board of directorÊs meetings and unpublished annual reports. TOPIC 3 EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKET AND BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGES Reilly and Brown (2003), Brealey and Myers (2003) and Berk and DeMarzo (2011) mentioned that the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) classifies market forms into three categories which are: (a) Weak-form Efficient Markets The weak-form of the EMH assumes that current stock prices fully reflect all currently available security market information. The weak-form assumes that the current price of a security already reflects all the currently available (historical) market information. Thus, past price and volume information will have no relationship with the future direction of security prices, that is, nobody can detect mispriced securities and "beat" the market by analysing past prices. In conclusion, in a weak-form efficient market, an investor cannot achieve excess returns by using technical analysis. (b) Semi-strong-form Efficient Markets The semi-strong-form of the EMH holds that security prices instantly adjust to the arrival of all new public information. As such, current security prices fully reflect all publicly available information. The semi-strong-form says security prices include all security market and non-market public information available to the public. The conclusion is that an investor cannot achieve excess returns using fundamental analysis in a semi-strongform efficient market. (c) Strong-form Efficient Markets The strong-form of the EMH states that stock prices fully reflect all information from public and private sources. The strong-form includes all types of information: market, nonmarket public and private (inside) information. This means that no one has monopolistic access to information relevant to the formation of prices. The conclusion is that no group of investors should be able to consistently achieve excess returns. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 3 EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKET AND BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGES 53 In other words, the strong-form of EMH states that a company's management (insiders) are not be able to systematically gain from inside information by buying company's shares 10 minutes after they decided (but did not publicly announce) to pursue what they perceive to be a very profitable acquisition. Similarly, the members of the company's research department are not able to profit from the information about the new revolutionary discovery they completed half an hour ago. The strong-form assumes perfect markets in which all information is cost free and available to everyone at the same time. ACTIVITY 3.2 In Table 3.1, you are required to tick () in the box that shows the correct type of information that can generate profit in three different form of efficient markets. Table 3.1: Ability to Generate Profit in Different Efficient Capital Market Ability to Generate Abnormal Profit Market Forms Past Historical Data Public Available Source Private Available Sources Weak-form Efficient Markets Semi-strongform Efficient Markets Strong-form Efficient Markets SELF-CHECK 3.2 1. Differentiate types of information available in the market. 2. Discuss the three forms of efficient market hypothesis. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 54 3.4 TOPIC 3 EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKET AND BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGES THE EVIDENCE OF EFFICIENT MARKET HYPOTHESIS (EMH) The study of existing efficient market hypothesis (EMH) in capital markets has been a major area in finance literature. Most of the previous researches in this area have tried to investigate whether there is an evidence of EMH in capital markets. The evidence of EMH can be divided into three forms which are: (a) Weak-form tests of the EMH; (b) Semi-strong-form test of the EMH; and (c) Strong-form test of the EMH. 3.4.1 Weak-Form Tests of the EMH The weak-form EMH assumes that current stock prices fully absorb all past security market information such as historical price and volume. There are two types of tests of the weak-form of the EMH which are: (a) Statistical Tests of Independence As mentioned before, the EMH states that the security returns over time should be independent of one another because all new information that arrives is already absorbed by the current price (Schweser, 2004). To verify this, previous studies used two major tests which are: (i) Autocorrelation Test According to Reilly and Brown (2003), this test measures the significant positive or negative correlation in return over time. To conduct this test, we investigate the correlation between current return of securities with the previous return. For example, we try to find the correlation between todayÊs return with yesterdayÊs return. Significant correlation between current return and previous return means that the market is not in a weak-form EMH and investors can make abnormal profit by trading using past market information. If the result shows that there is insignificant correlation, it proves that the market is a weak-form EMH and investors are unable to generate abnormal profit by using past information as a base for their investment decision. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 3 (ii) (b) EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKET AND BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGES 55 Run Test Run test is conducted based on series of price changes data. To conduct this test, we need to calculate the price changes. If the price is increased, we put it as „+‰ (positive sign). On the other hand, if the price is decreased, we put it as „ă„ (negative sign). A run occurs in the series of data when two consecutive changes are the same. For example ++ or ă is considered as 1 run. If the price changes are different, for example + followed by ă, the run is considered end and a new run may begin. To test for independence, you would compare the number of runs for a given series to the number in a table of expected values for the number of runs that should occur in a random series. If the number of runs is within the range expected for random series, the market is considered in the weak-form EMH (Reilly & Brown, 2003). Trading Rule Test Reilly and Brown (2003) said that the test of trading rule is used because some researchers found that the methods used in the statistical test of independence were too rigid to examine the price pattern used by technical analysts. Technical analysts are a group of analysts who believe that the future market movement can be predicted by using historical market data. In order to run the trading rule test, we simulate the alternated technical trading rule based on the hypothesis that market participants are unable to make any abnormal profit above a buy-and-hold policy using any trading rule that depended solely on past information. The study compares the result from trading rule simulation including all the transaction costs with the results from a simple buy-and-hold strategy. If the return from simulation of trading rules outperform the return from buy-and-hold policy, it shows evidence that the market is not following the weak-form EMH. On the other hand, if the return from simulation of trading rules underperform the return from buy-and-hold strategy, it can be concluded that the market supports the weak-form EMH. SELF-CHECK 3.3 1. Explain two set of studies used in testing weak-form EMH. 2. In your own words, discuss how to conduct an autocorrelation test and run test. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 56 3.4.2 TOPIC 3 EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKET AND BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGES Semi-strong-form Test of EMH The semi-strong-form of EMH states that current stock prices fully absorb all past security market information and public information. There are two types of studies that analyse the semi-strong EMH which are: (a) Return Prediction Study The return prediction study tries to predict the time series of future rate of return for individual stocks by using public information. For instance, it is possible to predict abnormal rates of return for a stock by using public information such as dividend yield, price earnings ratio and growth rate ratio. Insignificant relationship between public information with stock return provides evidence that the markets follow semi-strong-form of EMH. (b) Event Study Event studies examine the abnormal return for a period immediately after an announcement of event such as dividend announcement, stock splits, exchange listing, political news as well as economic events and mergers. Based on the semi-strong EMH, the event studies would expect returns to adjust quickly and accordingly to the announcement of new information. Therefore, market participants cannot generate abnormal return by acting after the announcement. Both types of study on the evidence of semi-strong-form EMH discussed previously used abnormal returns to measure the adjusted securities rates of return for the rate of return of the overall market during the period considered. There are two types of calculation for abnormal return which are (Schweser, 2004): (a) Unadjusted Abnormal Return In this method, we calculate abnormal return simply by subtracting the market return from the return of individual securities. The calculation of unadjusted abnormal returns is: Arit rit rmt Where: Arit = Abnormal rate of return on security i at time t rit = Rate of return rate of return on security i at time t rmt = Rate of return rate of return on market at time t Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 3 EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKET AND BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGES 57 Example: The current return for ABC shares is at 8% and current market returns is at 6%. Calculate the unadjusted abnormal return for ABC shares. Solution: Arit rit rmt 8% 6% 2% (b) Adjusted Abnormal Return In this method, we calculate abnormal returns by subtracting the expected rate of return from the return of individual securities. The calculation of unadjusted abnormal returns is: Arit rit Erit Where: Arit = Abnormal rate of return on security i at time t rit = Rate of return on security i at time t Erit = Expected rate of return on security i at time t Example: The current return for ABC shares is at 8% and the expected rate of return for ABC shares is at 5%. Calculate the adjusted abnormal return for ABC shares. Solution: Arit rit rmt 8% 5% 3% The element of risk and volatility are considered in the calculation of adjusted abnormal return. This method uses assumption under capital asset pricing model (CAPM) where the theory states that the reaction of each individual stock is based on the volatility of the stock (beta) and might be different from market return. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 58 TOPIC 3 EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKET AND BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGES The formula for CAPM is as follows: Erit rfrt i rmt rfrt Where: Erit = Expected rate of return on security i at time t rfrt = Risk free rate at time t i = Beta on security i rmt = Market return at time t Therefore, the formula for adjusted abnormal return can be written as follows: Arit rit rfrt i rmt rfrt Where: Arit = Abnormal rate of return on security i at time t rit = Rate of return on security i at time t i = Beta on security i rmt = Market return at time t rfrt = Risk free rate at time t Example: The current return for ABC shares is at 8%. Based on the market reports, the current market returns and returns from risk free instrument are at 6% and 4% respectively. Calculate the adjusted abnormal return if beta for ABC shares is at 0.50. Solution: Arit rit rfrt i rmt rfrt 8% 4% 0.5% 6% 4% 5% Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 3 EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKET AND BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGES 59 ACTIVITY 3.3 Calculate the adjusted abnormal return and unadjusted abnormal return for Company Harrd based on the following information. 3.4.3 Rate of return HarrdÊs share 13% Market return 8% Risk free rate of return 4.5% Beta on HarrdÊs shares 1.3 Strong-form Test of EMH The strong-form EMH implies that current price of securities fully reflects all information available in the market. The hypothesis states that there is no group of investors who can consistently experience above average profits if they trade using past, public and private information. Previous studies have analysed the rate of returns over time for different identifiable investment groups to determine whether any group consistently received above average return. Most of these studies have analysed the following four major groups of investors who have access to private information in order to test the strong-form of EMH (Reilly & Brown, 2003): (a) Corporate Insider Trading A corporate insider can be anybody who is a member, director or senior officer of a company, as well as any person or entity that beneficially owns more than 10% of a company's voting shares. (b) Stock Exchange Specialist A specialist is a representative or member of a stock exchange who acts as the market maker and intermediaries to assist the trading of a given stock. The stock exchange specialist posts the bid and asks prices, holds an inventory of the stock, executes trades and manages limit orders. (c) Security Analyst The security analyst is a full time market expert who analyses the market and may have information that the rest of market does not have. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 60 (d) Professional Money Manager A professional money manager is a business or bank or company responsible for managing the securities portfolio of an individual or institutional investor. Typically, a money manager company employs people with various expertise ranging from research and selection of investment opportunities to monitoring the assets and deciding when to make investment decision. 3.5 TOPIC 3 EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKET AND BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGES THE BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGE TO MARKET EFFICIENCY Up to this level, we have discussed the efficient market hypothesis theory which explains how capital markets function in responding to the information. In more recent times, researchers have started to analyse why some market conditions deviate from the common rule of efficient market hypothesis. Brealey and Myers (2003) explain that one of the explanations for this scenario is the behaviour of participant of capital markets. The study on behavioural finance is concerned with the analysis of various psychological traits of individuals and how these traits affect how they act as market participants. The behaviour of markets participants cause the information to be volatile. Some of the areas in behavioural finance that have been discussed in previous literature are attitude towards risk, beliefs about probabilities and rationality of investors. (a) Attitude towards Risk Brealey and Myers (2003) explain that psychologists have observed the behaviour of investors in making risky investment decisions. They found that people always think about loss when dealing with risky investment decisions even though the loss is actually very small compared to the return. The investor becomes more averse to risk if they have suffered loss in the previous transaction dealing with capital markets. The attitude towards risk can cause the investor to try to avoid this unpleasant possibility by staying away from those actions that may result in loss. (b) Beliefs about Probabilities Most market participants do not possess good knowledge in probability theory. Most of them make wrong investments decisions because they assume what happened in the past can be repeated in the future. They lack knowledge in analysing the probability of uncertain possible future outcomes. This causes the market participant to try to project recent Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 3 EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKET AND BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGES 61 experiences into the future outcomes and to forget the lessons learned from the past. For example, investors who do not consider probability might assume that the glamorous growth of the company is very likely to continue even though very high rates of growth cannot persist indefinitely (Brealey & Myers, 2003). (c) Rationality of Investors Do investors in the market act rationally when dealing with uncertainty investment decisions? This question has been debated in the literature on behavioural finance. Most of the previous findings show that investors are not always rational in making investment decisions. They tend to act irrationally or emotionally when faced with difficult and sophisticated investment decisions. SELF-CHECK 3.4 1. Discuss the four types of market participants that have access to private information. 2. What is behavioural finance? Under efficient capital markets, financing decisions can only create value in the short run. An efficient capital market is a market in which all current securitiesÊ prices are adjusted rapidly to the arrival of new information available about the securities including risk. There are three forms of EMH which are weak-form, semi-strong-form and strong-form. The studies on weak-form of EMH can be divided into two types: statistical test of independence and trading rule tests. Return prediction study and event study are type of studies use in analysing semi-strong-form EMH. Strong-form EMH has been tested by analysing whether groups of investors that have access to the private information can continuously generate abnormal profit by using the private information. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 62 TOPIC 3 EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKET AND BEHAVIOURAL CHALLENGES The deviation of markets from EMH could be due to the behavioural of market participants in capital markets. Abnormal return Publicly available sources Autocorrelation test Return prediction study Behavioural finance Run test Capital asset pricing model (CAPM) Security analyst Corporate insider trading Semi-strong-form efficient markets Efficient market hypothesis (EMH) Stock exchange specialist Event study Strong-form efficient markets Past historical data Trading rule test Private information Weak-form efficient market Professional money manager Berk, J., & DeMarzo, P. (2011). Corporate finance (2nd ed.). Boston, MA: Pearson. Brealey, R. A., & Myers, S. C. (2003). Principles of corporate finance (7th ed.). Boston, MA: McGraw-Hill. Reilly, F. K., & Brown, K. C. (2003). Investment analysis and portfolio management (7th ed.). Mason, OH: Thomson South-Western. Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., & Jordan, B. D. (2010). Fundamentals of corporate finance (9th ed.). Boston, MA: McGraw-Hill. Schweser, C. (2004). Schweser notes for the CFA Exam Level 1. Book 4: Corporate finance, portfolio management, and equity investments. New York, NY: Kaplan. Adjusted Abnormal ReturnWhere: The element of risk and volatility are considered in the calculation of adjusted abnormal return. This method uses assumption under Where: Where: Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) Calculate the adjusted abnormal return and unadjusted abnormal return for Company Harrd based on the following information. Rate of return HarrdÊs share 13% Market return 8% Risk free rate of return 4.5% Beta on HarrdÊs shares 1.3 Topic Capital 4 Structure LEARNING OUTCOMES By the end of this topic, you should be able to: 1. State the effect of financial leverage to the value of firm; 2. Discuss the concept of M&M Proposition; 3. Describe the impact of homemade borrowing; 4. Explain the interest tax shield; 5. Interpret the effect of tax on capital structure; and 6. Discuss the pecking order theory. INTRODUCTION The decision of capital structure is very important in corporate finance. In this topic, we will discuss all the theories and concepts used in making decisions on the capital structure of the firm. 4.1 MAXIMISING FIRM VALUE VERSUS MAXIMISING SHAREHOLDERS INTEREST The main objective of a managerial decision is to maximise the wealth of its shareholders by maximising the value of the firm. In corporate finance, the decision on capital structure has significant impact on the firmÊs value. According to Ross, Westerfield and Jordan (2010) the change in the value of the firm is the same as the net effect on the stockholders. Financial managers, therefore, try to find the capital structure that maximises the value of the firm. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 64 TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE The following example can show how the decision on capital structure can affect the value of the firm. BALANCE SHEET OF ABC COMPANY (in RM) Asset Fixed Asset Debt and Equity 10,000 Equity (1,000 units at price RM10) Debt Value of firm 10,000 Value of firm 10,000 0 10,000 The balance sheet shows that the firmÊs value of ABC Company is at RM10,000. The formula for the firmÊs value is: Value of Firm = Total Assets = Total Debt + Total Equity Currently, the capital structure of the firm consists of 100% equity. Therefore, the value of ABC Company is: Value of Firm = Total Assets = Total Debt + Total Equity = RM10,000 = 0 + RM10,000 The management of ABC Company decides to issue bonds worth RM5,000. Let us say, the company has two alternatives in deciding the new capital structure of the firms: (a) Alternative 1: 60% Equity and 40% Debt BALANCE SHEET OF ABC COMPANY (in RM) Asset Debt and Equity Fixed Asset 10,000 Equity (750 units at price RM10) 7,500 Cash 2,500 Debt 5000 Value of firm 12,500 Value of firm Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 12,500 TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE 65 The above balance sheet shows the firmÊs value of ABC Company if the company decides to use 60% equity and 40% debt as the capital structure. The company uses RM2,500 from the proceeds of issuing bonds to buy back their 250 unit of equity at price RM10 and keep the remaining RM2,500 as cash in the company. Therefore, the total equity of ABC Company is reduced from RM10,000 to RM7,500 (750 unit of equity at the price of RM10). By using 60% equity and 40% debt as their capital structure, ABC Company can increase the value of the firm from RM10,000 to RM12,500. (b) Alternative 2: 50% Equity and 50% Debt BALANCE SHEET OF ABC COMPANY (in RM) Asset Fixed Asset Value of firm Debt and Equity 10,000 10,000 Equity (500 units at price RM10) 5,000 Debt 5000 Value of firm 10,000 The above balance sheet shows the firmÊs value of ABC Company if the company decides to use 50% equity and 50% debt as the capital structure. The company then uses RM5,000 from the proceeds of issuing bonds to buy back their 500 unit of equity at price. Therefore, the total equity of ABC Company is reduced from RM10,000 to RM5,000 (500 unit of equity at price RM10). There is no change in the value of the firm if ABC Company uses 50% equity and 50% debt as their capital structure. We can see from the balance sheet that value of the ABC Company is maintained at RM10,000. This example shows that the small changes in the capital structure can affect the value of the firm. Therefore, it is very crucial for the management to decide on the best capital structure that can maximise the value of the firm. ACTIVITY 4.1 Discuss how capital structure can affect the value of the firm. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 66 4.2 TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE THE EFFECT OF FINANCIAL LEVERAGE As mentioned in the previous subtopic, the capital structure that can produce the highest firm value or has the lowest weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the best to the stockholders. In this subtopic, we examine the impact of financial leverage on the payoffs to stockholders. Financial leverage refers to the extent to which a firm relies on debt. The more debt financing a firm uses in their capital structure, the more financial leverage it employs. To explain the effect of financial leverage to the payoff of stockholders we use earnings per share (EPS) and return on equity (ROE) as the measurement tools. For ease of discussion, we also ignore the impact of taxes on the calculation of EPS and ROE. To begin the discussion on the effect of financial leverage to the payoff of stockholders, we assume the company is currently using 100% of equity. Let us use the following example in our discussion (refer to Table 4.1). Table 4.1: Current Capital Structure of Scavilo Company Capital Structure Total Assets RM8 million Debt 0 Equity RM8 million Debt to equity ratio Share price Number of share Interest rate 0 RM20 400,000 unit 10% Table 4.1 shows the current capital structure of Scavilo Company. Currently, the company uses 100% of equity. The company has 400,000 units of share at market price RM20. Total value of equity for Scavilo Company is at RM8 million. The company has no debt in their capital structure. Therefore, the debt to equity ratio for Scavilo Company is 0. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE 67 The management of Scavilo Company is considering changing the capital structure of the firm from 100% equity to 50% equity and 50% debt. To exercise the new proposed capital structure, the company plans to borrow RM4 million at an interest rate of 10% and uses the proceeds from the borrowing to buy back 200,000 units of shares at price RM20. The following Table 4.2 presents the new capital structure of Scavilo Company. Table 4.2: New Capital Structure of Scavilo Company Capital Structure Total Assets RM8 million Debt RM4 million Equity RM4 million Debt to equity ratio Share price 1 RM20 Number of share Interest rate 200,000 unit 10% Interest expenses RM400,000 Table 4.2 shows that the total asset is maintained at RM8 million. Total equity is reduced to RM4 million (200,000 unit of share at price RM20) in Table 4.2 compared to RM8 million of equity (400,000 units of share at price RM20) in Table 4.1. As mentioned before, Scavilo Company issues debt worth RM4 million and uses the proceeds to buy back 200,000 unit of shares at price RM20. The new debt to equity ratio is increased to 1 and the company needs to pay interest expenses worth RM400,000 for using debt value at RM4 million. To analyse the impact of financial leverage on the ROE and EPS of Scavilo Company, we need to estimate the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) for the company. Let us say we predict that there will be three market outcomes for the company. If the economy is in worst market condition, the company predicts to produce EBIT worth RM500,000. If market is in normal condition the company projects to produce RM1 million of EBIT. In addition, the company also predicts that the company can generate RM1.5 million in the best market condition. Now we can analyse the effect of financial leverage to the payoffs to stockholders in three different market conditions. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 68 TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE Table 4.3: Worst Market Condition of Scavilo Company Current Capital Structure (No Debt) New Capital Structure (With Debt) Total debt 0 RM4 million Total equity RM8 million RM4 million Number of share 400,000 unit 200,000 unit EBIT RM400,000 RM400,000 Interest 0 RM400,000 RM400,000 RM0 5% 0% RM1.00 RM0.00 Details Net income (NI) ROE (NI/Total equity) EPS (NI/Number of share) Table 4.3 shows the value of ROE and EPS for Scavilo Company for the current capital structure and new proposed capital structure in the worst market condition. It is clearly shown in the table that if the company generates only RM500,000 of EBIT, the ROE and EPS of the firm is higher if the company uses 100% equity as their capital structure. Why are ROE and EPS for the no-debt capital structure higher compared to ROE and EPS for capital structure with debt? The reason is that capital structure with debt needs to service interest expenses on the debt. As we can see from the table the net income of capital structure with debt is lessened by the amount of interest (RM400,000) compared to net income of no-debt capital structure. Table 4.4: Normal Market Condition: Scavilo Company Current Capital Structure (No Debt) New Capital Structure (With Debt) Total debt 0 RM4 million Total equity RM8 million RM4 million Number of share 400,000 unit 200,000 unit EBIT RM800,000 RM800,000 Interest 0 RM400,000 RM800,000 RM400,000 ROE (NI/Equity) 10.00% 10.00% EPS (NI/Number of share) RM2.00 RM2.00 Details Net income Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE 69 Table 4.4 shows the value of ROE and EPS for Scavilo Company for its current capital structure and the new proposed capital structure in normal market condition. Under normal market conditions, the table shows that there is no difference for the value of ROE and EPS if the company uses 100% equity or mixed of 50% equity and 50% debt as their capital structure. Even though the net income of capital structure with-debt is lesser than net income of no-debt capital structure by amount of interest expenses worth RM400,000, the ROE and EPS is not affected because the amount of equity and number of share is also reduced by a significant amount. Therefore, we can conclude that in normal market conditions, there is no significant difference in Scavilo Company stockholdersÊ payoff measured by ROE and EPS. Table 4.5: Best Market Condition: Scavilo Company Current Capital Structure (No Debt) New Capital Structure (With Debt) Total debt 0 RM4 million Total equity RM8 million RM4 million Number of share 400,000 unit 200,000 unit EBIT RM1,200,000 RM1,200,000 Interest 0 RM400,000 RM1,200,000 RM800,000 15% 20% RM3.00 RM4.00 Details Net income ROE (NI/Equity) EPS (NI/Number of share) Table 4.5 shows the value of ROE and EPS of Scavilo Company for current capital structure and new proposed capital structure in the best market conditions. Under the best market conditions, the table shows that the ROE and EPS for new capital structure is higher compared to current capital structure. Even though the net income of new capital structure is less than the net income of the current capital structure, the ROE and EPS of the new capital structure is higher because of the benefit of financial leverage. There is a question of the best capital structure that the company should use referring to the example of Scavilo Company, in three different market conditions. To answer this question, the management of the company needs to analyse the break even EBIT of the firm. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 70 TOPIC 4 4.2.1 CAPITAL STRUCTURE Analysing the Break-even EBIT Break-even EBIT is a situation where the company records an equal EPS value even though the company uses different types of capital structure. To calculate the break-even EBIT, we must recall back the basic formula for EPS without tax: EPS EBIT Interest Number of Share Now we assume the company has two types of capital structure, namely, capital structure without debt and capital structure with debt. Therefore, the formula of break-even EBIT can be written as follows: EPS Capital Structure without Debt = EPS Capital Structure with Debt To illustrate the calculation of break-even EBIT, we refer back to the example of Scavilo Company (refer to Table 4.6). Table 4.6: Scavilo Company Capital Structure Capital Structure without Debt Capital Structure with Debt Total debt 0 RM4 million Total equity RM8 million RM4 million Number of share 400,000 unit 200,000 unit EBIT RM500,000 RM500,000 Interest 0 RM400,000 Details EPS (NI/Number of share) EPS EBIT Interest Number of Share EBIT 0 400, 000 EPS EBIT Interest Number of Share EBIT 400, 000 200, 000 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE 71 Break-even EBIT = EPS Capital Structure without Debt = EPS Capital Structure with Debt EBIT 0 EBIT 400, 000 400, 000 200, 000 EBIT 2 EBIT 400, 000 RM800,000 The previous calculation for Scavilo Company shows that the break-even EBIT is at RM800,000. This means that if the expected EBIT of Scavilo Company is less than the break-even EBIT which is RM800,000, the company should use capital structure without debt because it can generate higher EPS. If the expected EBIT is higher than RM800,000, Scavilo Company should use capital structure with debt because it can generate higher EPS for the firm. Table 4.7 can help you to understand the analysis. Table 4.7: Analysing the Break-even EBIT on EPS for Scavilo Company Earnings before Interest and Tax (EBIT) RM0 EPS Current Capital Structure Without Debt (100% Equity) No. of Share = 400,000 Unit Interest = RM0 EPS EBIT Interest Number of Share EPS RM0.00 RM0.00 400, 000 unit RM0.00 RM400,000 EPS New Capital Structure With Debt (50% Equity, 50% Debt) No. of Share = 200,000 Unit Interest = RM400,000 EPS EBIT Interest Number of Share RM400,000 RM0.00 400, 000 unit RM1.00 EBIT Interest Number of Share RM0.00 RM400, 000 200, 000 unit RM2.00 EPS EBIT Interest Number of Share RM400,000 RM400, 000 200, 000 unit RM0.00 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 72 TOPIC 4 RM800,00 (Break-even EBIT) CAPITAL STRUCTURE EPS EBIT Interest Number of Share RM800,000 RM0.00 400, 000 unit EPS EBIT Interest Number of Share RM1,200,000 RM0.00 400, 000 unit RM3.00 EBIT Interest Number of Share RM800,000 RM400, 000 200, 000 unit RM2.00 RM2.00 RM1,200,00 EPS EPS EBIT Interest Number of Share RM1,200,000 RM400, 000 200, 000 unit RM4.00 Table 4.7 shows the amount of earnings per share of different capital structures for Scavilo Company. We can see that if Scavilo Company uses a capital structure without debt, they can generate EPS worth at RM0.00, RM1.00, RM2.00 and RM3.00 for EBIT amount at RM0, RM400,000, RM800,00 and RM1,200,000 respectively. The table also indicates that if Scavilo Company uses capital structure with debt, they can generate EPS worth at RMî2.00, RM0.00, RM2.00 and RM4.00 for EBIT amount at RM0, RM400,000, RM800,00 and RM1,200,000 respectively. The information presented in Table 4.7 can be illustrated in a graph as shown in Figure 4.1 where we plot the EPS against the EBIT for both types of capital structure. The horizontal axis in the graph represents EBIT while the vertical axis represents the EPS. The solid line represents capital structure with debt. On the other hand, the dotted line represents capital structure without debt. The breakeven point is when the solid line intersects with the dotted line (EPS = RM2.00 and EBIT = RM800,000). The graph shows that if the expected EBIT of Scavilo Company is less than break-even EBIT which is RM800,000, the company should use capital structure without debt because it can generate higher EPS. If the expected EBIT is higher than RM800,000, Scavilo Company should use capital structure with debt because it can generate higher EPS for the firm. Figure 4.1 also presents evidence of the effect of financial leverage to the sensitivity of EPS towards the changes in EBIT. We can see that the slope of the solid line representing capital structure with debt is steeper compared to the slope of dotted line representing capital structure without debt. It means that EPS of capital structure with debt is more sensitive towards changes of EBITS compared to the sensitivity of EPS of capital structure without debt. The steeper slope of the line representing capital structure with debt shows that the risk of firms using financial leverage is higher compared to if the firm uses 100% of equity. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE 73 Figure 4.1: Financial leverage: EPS and EBIT Up to this point, we have discussed the effect of financial leverage on the value of the firm and payoff of shareholders. Ross et al. (2010) conclude that: (a) The effect of financial leverage depends on the company's earnings before interest and tax. Financial leverage has more positive impact if the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) of the firm is high. (b) Financial leverage can increase the return on equity (ROE) and earnings per share (EPS) for shareholders. (c) The changes of return on equity and earnings per share becomes more sensitive to the changes of earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) if the company uses financial leverage. (d) Capital structure is an important consideration in corporate finance because of the impact that financial leverage has on both the expected return to stockholders and the riskiness of the stock. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 74 TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE Based on our discussion on Scavilo Company, all three of the conclusions are clearly correct. However, Ross et al. (2010) argue on the conclusion point (d) where capital structure is an important consideration in corporate finance because of the impact that financial leverage has on both the expected return to stockholders and the riskiness of the stock. They maintain that the decision on capital structure has no significant impact to the expected returns of the stockholder because of the use of homemade leverage. ACTIVITY 4.2 Calculate the break-even EBIT for Fresh Care Company. Fresh Care Company Capital Structure 4.2.2 Capital Structure Without Debt Capital Structure With Debt Total Debt 0 RM4 million Total Equity RM8 million RM4 million Number of share 400,000 unit 200,000 unit EBIT RM500,000 RM500,000 Interest 0 RM400,000 Corporate Borrowing and Homemade Leverage Ross et al. (2010) define homemade leverage as the use of personal borrowing to change the overall amount of financial leverage to which an individual is exposed. Homemade leverage has no effect on financial leverage through corporate borrowings to the expected return of shareholders. To illustrate how homemade leverage removes the effect of financial leverage to the return of stockholders, we will use the same example on Scavilo Company. We assume Mr Khairul is a current shareholder who buys 200 unit of Scavilo Company at current market price, which is, RM20. The total investment of Mr Khairul in Scavilo Company is RM4,000 and he uses his own cash to invest in the company. The following discussion is based on the capital structure of the Scavilo Company as discussed in the previous subtopic. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 4 (a) CAPITAL STRUCTURE 75 Scavilo Company issues debt and uses the proceeds to buy back shares (refer to Table 4.2) Table 4.2 showed that Scavilo Company issues debt worth RM4,000,000 and uses the proceeds to buy 50% of existing shares. By issuing the debt, Scavilo Company changes their capital structure to 50% of equity and 50% of debt. The debt equity ratio for Scavilo Company also changes from 0 to 1. In this case, we can say that Scavilo Company uses corporate borrowing. Table 4.9 shows the effect of share repurchase to the KhairulÊs investment in Scavilo Company. Table 4.9: KhairulÊs Investment on Scavilo Company Details Total Number of share 100 unit Price of share RM20.00 Value of investment RM2,000 Investment using own cash RM2,000 Loan amount 0 Debt to equity (Khairul) 0 Debt to equity (Company) 1 Interest rate 10% Interest expenses 0 Table 4.9 shows that the number of shares held by Mr Khairul decreased to 100 units from the original number of 200 units. The value of investment also decreased from RM4,000 to RM2,000. Now, let us analyse the amount of return received by Mr Khairul after the company uses financial leverage in their capital structure. Table 4.10: KhairulÊs Investment on Scavilo Company Details Worst Market Normal Market Best Market Number of share 100 unit 100 unit 100 unit EPS RM0.00 RM2.00 RM4.00 Total earnings RM0.00 RM200 RM400 Interest expenses RM0.00 RM0.00 RM0.00 Net earnings RM0.00 RM200 RM400 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 76 TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE The amount of EPS stated in Table 4.10 is calculated based on information reported in Table 4.3, Table 4.4 and Table 4.5. We can see when Scavilo Company uses financial leverage, the total net earnings for Mr Khairul is RM0, RM200 and RM400 for worst market condition, normal market condition and best market condition respectively. There is no interest expense for Mr Khairul because he does not have any debt in buying the shares from Scavilo Company. (b) Scavilo Company uses 100% equity as the capital structure of the firm (refer to Table 4.1) Table 4.1 showed that Scavilo Company uses 100% equity as their capital structure. Let us assume, when the company uses 100% equity, Mr Khairul will use homemade leverage based on the proposed debt to equity ratio for the company in Table 4.2, which is, 1. If Mr Khairul decides to use homemade leverage as stated in Table 4.2, he needs to borrow 50% of his investment value so that the source of his investment is 50% own cash (equity) and 50% debt. Table 4.11 shows the effect homemade leverage to Mr KhairulÊs investment position in Scavilo Company. Table 4.11: KhairulÊs Investment on Scavilo Company (Homemade Leverage) Details Total Number of Share 200 unit Price of Share RM20.00 Value of Investment RM4,000 Investment using own cash RM2,000 Loan Amount RM2,000 Debt to Equity (Khairul) 1 Debt to Equity (Company) 0 Interest rate 10% Interest Expenses RM200 Table 4.11 shows that the number of shares held by Mr Khairul is maintained at 200 units at price RM20. The value of investment is also maintained at RM4,000. However, after using homemade leverage, Mr KhairulÊs loan increases from RM0 to RM2,000. Mr KhairulÊs debt to equity ratio also increased from 0 to 1. By using debt to finance his Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE 77 investment in Scavilo Company, Mr Khairul needs to pay interest expenses worth RM200. Now let us analyse the total amount of return received by Mr Khairul if he decides to use homemade leverage. Table 4.12: KhairulÊs Investment on Scovila Company (Homemade Leverage) Details Worst market Normal Market Best Market Number of Share 200 units 200 units 200 units EPS RM1.00 RM2.00 RM3.00 Total Earnings RM200 RM400 RM600 Interest expenses RM200 RM200 RM200 Net Earnings RM0.00 RM200 RM400 The amount of EPS stated in Table 4.12 is calculated based on information reported in Table 4.3, Table 4.4 and Table 4.5. We can see when Mr Khairul uses homemade leverage, the total net earnings for Mr Khairul is RM0, RM200 and RM400 for worst market condition, normal market condition and best market condition respectively. The example from Mr KhairulÊs investment in Scavilo Company supports the argument that decisions on capital structures have no impact on total return received by shareholders (Ross et al., 2010). SELF-CHECK 4.1 1. What is the effect of financial leverage on the firmÊs value and to the return on equity? 2. Is there any change on earnings per share if the company uses financial leverage? Why? 3. What is break-even EBIT? 4. Should the company use financial leverage if the EBIT is higher than break-even EBIT? Explain. 5. Should the company use financial leverage if the EBIT is less than break-even EBIT? Explain. 6. What is homemade leverage? Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 78 4.3 TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND THE COST OF EQUITY CAPITAL (M&M PROPOSITION WITHOUT TAX) Up to this point, the discussion has shown that there is nothing special about corporate borrowing or financial leverage because investors can borrow or lend on their own or use homemade leverage. The examples discussed in following subtopics are based on the Modigliani and Miller (M&M) Proposition I by Franco Modigliani and Merton Miller. 4.3.1 M&M Proposition I: The Pie Model M&M Proposition I states that the value of the firm is independent of the firmÊs capital structure (Ross et al., 2010). Figure 4.2 shows the M&M Proposition I: The Pie Model. Figure 4.2: Value of Firm under M&M Proposition I: The Pie Model Figure 4.2 shows the two different capital structures of Company A. Let us assume the value of Company A is RM100. Under M&M Proposition I, the value of company A is not affected by changes in the capital structure of the firm. The value of the firm is maintained at RM100 even though Company A changes its capital structure from 30% equity, 70% debt to 70% equity, 30% debt. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 4 4.3.2 CAPITAL STRUCTURE 79 M&M Proposition II: The Cost of Equity and Financial Leverage In M&M Proposition I, it is clearly stated that the changes of capital structure has no impact on the value of the firms and cost of capital. However, we must remember that the change of capital structure has an impact on the cost of equity of the firms. The formula for WACC by ignoring tax is: E D RE RD V V RA V E D Where: E = Total equity D = Total debt V = Total value of the firm R A = Return on asset or WACC R E = Return on equity R D = Return on debt Now, let us rearrange the formula for WACC to find the return on equity: D E R E R A R A RD Where: E = Total equity D = Total debt R A = Return on asset or WACC R E = Return on equity R D = Return on debt Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 80 TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE Example: The Scavilo Company has a WACC (ignoring tax) of 15%. The company cost of debt is 10%. (a) Calculate the return on equity of Scavilo Company if the capital structure of the company consists of 30% debt and 70% equity. Solution: D E RE R A R A RD 0.3 0.15 0.15 0.10 0.7 17.14% (b) Calculate the return on equity for Scavilo Company if the company uses 50% of equity and 50% of debt. Solution: D E R E R A R A RD 0.5 0.15 0.15 0.10 0.5 20% Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 4 (c) CAPITAL STRUCTURE 81 Calculate the WACC of the company if the capital structure of the company consists of 30% debt and 70% equity. E D R E RD V V RA 0.7 0.3 0.1714 0.10 1 1 15% (d) Calculate the WACC of the company if the capital structure of the company consists of 50% of debt and 50% of equity. E D R E RD V V RA 0.5 0.5 0.20 0.10 1 1 15% Table 4.13: Summary of Cost of Capital for Scavilo Company Details Capital Structure 70% Equity + 30% Debt 50% Equity + 50% Debt Debt-to-equity ratio 0.43 1 RE 17.14% 20% RD 10% 10% R A or WACC 15% 15% Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 82 TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE The following Figure 4.3 illustrates the cost of capital under M&M Proposition II with no taxes: Figure 4.3: The cost of capital under M&M Proposition II with no taxes Table 4.13 and Figure 4.3 show evidence to support the M&M Proposition II where it states that the changes in capital structure do not affect the cost of capital (WACC). In addition, it also shows that the firmÊs cost of equity capital is a positive linear function of the firmÊs capital structure. The M&M Proposition II states that the return on equity (RD) is dependent on: (a) Return on asset or cost of capital (RA = WACC); (b) Return on debt (RD); and (c) Debt-to-equity ratio. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE 83 Figure 4.3 shows that the return on asset (RA) or weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and return on debt (RD) are not affected by changes in debt to equity ratio. The figure also illustrates that return on equity (RE) is a positive linear function of debt to equity ratio. Ross et al. (2010) explain that as the firm raises its debt-equity ratio, the increase in leverage raises the risk of the equity and therefore the required return or cost of equity. ACTIVITY 4.3 The Skilfull Scavilo Company has a WACC (ignoring tax) of 17.5%. The company cost of debt is 9%. (a) Calculate the return on equity if the capital structure of the company consists of 40% debt and 60% equity. (b) Calculate the return on equity for Scavilo Company if the company uses 50% equity and 50% debt. (c) Calculate the WACC of the company if the capital structure of the company consists of 40% debt and 60% equity. (d) Calculate the WACC of the company if the capital structure of the company consists of 50% debt and 50% equity. SELF-CHECK 4.2 1. Explain the M&M Proposition I (Without Tax). 2. Interpret the Pie Model. 3. Describe the M&M Proposition II (Without Tax) 4. Discuss the relationship between return on equity with debt to equity ratio. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 84 4.4 TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE M&M PROPOSITION I AND II WITH CORPORATE TAX Up to this point, our discussion has excluded the effect of tax on the capital structure of the firm. The interest paid on debt is tax deductible. This is the advantage of having debt in the capital structure since interest expenses can reduce the amount of tax payment. Table 4.14 shows how interest can reduce the amount of tax payment. Table 4.14: Financial Information on Scavilo Company Details Without Debt With Debt Total assets RM8,000,000 RM8,000,000 Total equity RM8,000,000 RM4,000,000 Total debt RM0 RM4,000,000 Market price of equity RM20 RM20 400,000 unit 200,000 unit Interest rate 10% 10% Tax rate 30% 30% Interest expenses RM0 RM400,000 RM2,000,000 RM2,000,000 Interest expenses RM0 RM400,000 Earning before tax RM2,000,000 RM1,600,000 Tax payment RM600,000 RM480,000 Net income after tax RM1,400,000 RM1,120,000 Earnings per share RM3.50 RM5.60 Return on equity 17.50% 28% Number of equity Earnings before interest and tax Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE 85 Table 4.14 shows the benefit of having debt in the capital structure of the firm. If Scavilo Company chooses to have no debt in its capital structure, the company needs to pay high amount of tax worth RM600,000. High payment of tax is caused by the higher net income of the company at RM1,400,000. As a result, the EPS and ROE of the firm is just at RM3.50 and 17.50% respectively. If Scavilo Company chooses to have debt in its capital structure, the amount of interest expenses can reduce the amount of earning before tax and this leads to the reduction in amount of tax payment. Even though the net income after tax for capital structure with debt is lower compared to without debt, the EPS and ROE for capital structure with debt is higher which is at RM5.60 and 28% respectively. 4.4.1 The Interest Tax Shield Interest tax shield is the amount of tax savings attained by a company from the interest expenses. To simplify the explanation on interest tax saving, first we need to assume a few things: (a) The depreciation expenses of the company is zero; (b) There is no new capital spending; and (c) There are no changes on net working capital. Table 4.15: Financial Information on Scavilo Company Details Without Debt With Debt Interest rate 10% 10% Tax rate 30% 30% Interest expenses RM0 RM400,000 RM2,000,000 RM2,000,000 Interest expenses RM0 RM400,000 Earning before tax RM2,000,000 RM1,600,000 Tax payment RM600,000 RM480,000 Net income after tax RM1,400,000 RM1,120,000 Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 86 TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE Referring to the previous example on two types of capital structure for Scavilo Company as shown in Table 4.15, we can see that the amount of tax is different because of the interest payment. If we simplify the calculation in Table 4.15 based on the three assumptions mentioned above, we can generate the basic asset cash flow for Scavilo Company as shown in Table 4.16. Table 4.16: Basics Cash Flow from Asset for Scavilo Company Details Without Debt With Debt Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) RM2,000,000 RM2,000,000 Tax payment RM600,000 RM480,000 Net income after tax RM1,400,000 RM1,520,000 Difference of net income = Net income with debt ă Net income without debt = RM1,520,000 ă RM1,400,000 = RM120,000 Table 4.16 shows the basic cash flow generated from the assets of Scavilo Company. The amount of earnings before interest and tax for both types of capital structure is at RM2,000,000. If the company uses capital structure without debt, the tax payment amount is RM600,000 and the net income of the company is RM1,400,000. The table also states that if Scavilo Company uses debt in its capital structure, the amount of tax is only RM480,000 and the net income of the company is higher at RM1,520,000. From this example, we can see the cash flow generated from the same amount of asset is unequal for different types of capital structures. The capital structure with debt generates higher net income by amount of RM120,000. To investigate how the net income of the firm is unequal for both types of capital structures, we can compute the cash flow paid to the stockholder and bond holders as presented in Table 4.17. Table 4.17: Cash Flow for Stockholder and Bondholder of Scavilo Company Details Without Debt With Debt To Stockholder RM1,400,000 RM1,120,000 To Bondholder RM0 RM400,000 Total Cash Flow RM1,400,000 RM1,520,000 Difference of Cash Flow = Total Cash Flow with debt ă Total Cash Flow without debt = RM1,520,000 ă RM1,400,000 = RM120,000 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE 87 Table 4.17 shows that the total payment to stockholder and bondholder for capital structure with debt is higher compared to capital structure without debt. The extra payment is RM120,000 and it is equivalent to amount of reduction on tax payment which is also at RM120,000 (Tax payment for capital structure without debt is RM600,000 while tax payment for capital structure with debt is RM480,000). The amount of RM120,000 from the tax savings is also called interest tax shield. The formula of interest tax shield is as follows: Interest Tax Shield = Tax Rate Interest Expenses If we use the information from Scavilo Company, the interest tax shield can be calculated as follows: Interest Tax Shield = Tax Rate Interest Expenses = 30% RM400,000 = RM1,200,000 4.4.2 Taxes and M&M Proposition I As discussed in the previous subtopic, M&M Proposition I without considering tax states that the capital structure of the firm is not affected the value of the firm. The formula for firmÊs value is: VU VL Where: VU = Value of firm without debt (unlevered firm) VL = Value of firm with debt (levered firm) However, if we refer to the discussion on interest tax shields, there is a reduction on tax payment generated by company that uses debt in their capital structure (interest tax shield). Assuming that the debt is perpetual, then, the interest tax shield will be generated every year forever. The M&M Proposition I with taxes states that the value of the firm increases as total debt increases because of the interest tax shield. Therefore, the formula for firm value under M&M Proposition I with tax consideration is: VL VU TC D Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 88 TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE Where: VU = Value of firm without debt (unlevered firm) VL = Value of firm with debt (levered firm) TC = Tax rate D = Amount of debt Based on this formula, the new value of Scavilo Company are as follows: VL VU TC D RM8,000,000 30% RM4,000,000 RM9,200,000 4.4.3 Taxes and M&M Proposition II Under M&M Proposition II with tax, the formula for weighted average cost of capital and return on equity is as follows: E D R E R D 1 TC V V RL V E D Where: E = Total equity D = Total debt V = Total value of the firm R L = Return on asset or WACC of levered firm R E = Return on equity R D = Return on debt TC = Tax rate Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE D 1 TC E R E RU RU RD Where: E = Total equity D = Total debt RU = Return on asset or WACC of unlevered firm R E = Return on equity R D = Return on debt TC = Tax rate RDaT RD 1 TC Where: R DaT = Return on equity RD = Return on debt TC = Tax rate Table 4.18: Summary of Financial Information on Scavilo Company (Levered: 50% equity + 50% Debt) Capital Structure Details Unlevered (100% Equity) Levered (50% Equity + 50% Debt) Interest tax shield (Debt Tax rate) RM0 RM1,200,000 Value of debt RM0 RM4,000,000 Value of equity RM8,000,000 RM5,200,000 Value of firm RM8,000,000 RM9,200,000 Debt-to-equity ratio 0 1 R D before tax 10% 10% WACC 15% Tax rate 30% 30% Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 89 90 TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE Based on the information in Table 4.18, return on equity and weighted average cost of capital for levered capital structure of Scavilo Company are as follows: Return on equity: D 1 TC E R E RU RU R D RM4,000,000 0.15 0.15 0.10 1 0.30 RM5,200,000 17.69% WACC for levered capital structure E D R E R D 1 TC V V RL RM5,200,000 RM4,000,000 0.1769 0.10 1 0.30 RM9,200,000 RM9,200,000 13.04% Return on debt after tax RDaT R D 1 TC 0.10 1 0.30 7% Table 4.19: Summary of Financial Information on Scavilo Company (Levered: 30% Equity + 70% Debt) Capital Structure Details Unlevered (100% Equity) Levered (30% Equity + 70% Debt) Interest tax shield (Debt Tax rate) RM0 RM1,680,000 Value of debt RM0 RM5,600,000 Value of equity RM8,000,000 RM4,080,000 Value of firm RM8,000,000 RM9,680,000 Debt-to-equity ratio 0 1 R D before tax 10% 10% WACC 15% (to be calculated) Tax rate 30% 30% Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE 91 Based on the information in Table 4.19, return on equity and weighted average cost of capital for levered capital structure of Scavilo Company are as follows: Return on equity: D 1 TC E R E RU RU R D RM5,600,000 0.15 0.15 0.10 1 0.30 RM4,080,000 19.80% WACC for levered capital structure: E D R E R D 1 TC V V RL RM4,080,000 RM5,600,000 0.1980 RM9,680,000 0.10 1 0.30 RM9,680,000 12.40% Return on debt after tax: RDaT RD 1 TC 0.10 1 0.30 7% Table 4.20: Summary of Cost of Capital for Scavilo Company Capital Structure Details Levered (50% Equity + 50% Debt) Levered (30% Equity + 70% Debt) Debt-to-equity ratio 1 2.33 17.69% 20% R D after tax 7% 7% WACC unlevered 15% 15% WACC levered 13.04% 12.40 RE Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 92 TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE The following Figure 4.4 illustrates the cost of capital under M&M Proposition II with taxes: Figure 4.4: The Cost of Capital under M&M Proposition II with Taxes Table 4.20 and Figure 4.4 summarise the cost of capital of Scavilo Company by using M&M Proposition II with taxes. From the table and figure, we can conclude that by using the M&M Proposition II with taxes: (a) There is negative relationship between weighted average cost of capital and debt to equity ratio. If the company increases the amount of debt, it can reduce the weighted average cost of capital. (b) There is a positive relationship between return on equity with debt to equity ratio. If the company increases the amount of debt, it causes the increase in return on equity. SELF-CHECK 4.3 1. What is interest tax shield? 2. Explain M&M Proposition I with tax. 3. Explain M&M Proposition II with tax. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 4 4.5 CAPITAL STRUCTURE 93 THE PECKING ORDER THEORY The pecking order theory is one of the theories in the decision of capital structure. A key element in the pecking order theory is that firms prefer to use internal financing whenever possible. A simple reason is that selling securities to raise cash can be expensive, so it makes sense to avoid doing so if possible. If a firm is very profitable, it might never need external financing; so it would end up with little or no debt. There is a better reason companies may prefer internal financing. Suppose you are the manager of a firm, and you need to raise external capital to fund a new venture. As an insider, you are privy to a lot of information that is not known to the public. Based on your knowledge, the firm's future prospects are considerably brighter than outside investors realise. As a result, you think your stock is currently undervalued. Should you issue debt or equity to finance the new venture? If you think about it, you definitely do not want to issue equity in this case. The reason is that your stock is undervalued, and you do not want to sell it too cheaply. So, you issue debt instead. Would you ever want to issue equity? Suppose you thought your firm's stock was overvalued. It makes sense to raise money at inflated prices, but a problem crops up. If you try to sell equity, investors will realise that the shares are probably overvalued, and your stock price will take a hit. In other words, if you try to raise money by selling equity, you run the risk of signalling to investors that the price is too high. In fact, in the real world, companies rarely sell new equity, and the market reacts negatively to such sales when they occur. So, we have a pecking order. Companies will use internal financing first. Then, they will issue debt if necessary. Equity will be sold pretty much as a last resort. 4.5.1 Implications of the Pecking Order The pecking order theory has several significant implications, a couple of which are at odds with our static trade-off theory: (a) No target capital structure: Under the pecking order theory, there is no target or optimal debt-equity ratio. Instead, a firm's capital structure is determined by its need for external financing, which dictates the amount of debt the firm will have. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 94 (b) Profitable firms use less debt: Because profitable firms have greater internal cash flow, they will need less external financing and will therefore have less debt. As we mentioned earlier, this is a pattern that we seem to observe, at least for some companies. (c) Companies will want financial slack: To avoid selling new equity, companies will want to stockpile internally generated cash. Such a cash reserve is known as financial slack. It gives management the ability to finance projects as they appear and to move quickly if necessary. Decisions on capital structures have significant impacts on firm value. A companyÊs objective is to have a capital structure that can produce the highest firm value or the lowest weighed average cost of capital. Break-even EBIT is the amount of EBIT where there is no difference in the value of EPS between different types of capital structures. The effect of financial leverage depends on the company's earnings before interest and tax. Financial leverage has more positive impact if the earnings before interest and tax of the firm is high. Financial leverage can increase the return on equity (ROE) and earnings per share (EPS) for shareholders. The changes of return on equity and earnings per share become more sensitive to the changes of earnings before interest and tax if the company use financial leverage. Capital structure is an important consideration in corporate finance because of the impact that financial leverage has on both the expected return to stockholders and the riskiness of the stock. Homemade leverage such as the use of personal borrowing changes the overall amount of financial leverage to which the individual is exposed. The homemade leverage causes the decision on capital structure to have no impact on total return received by shareholders TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE 95 M&M Proposition I (no tax): The value of the levered firm is equal to the value of the unlevered firm. Therefore, a firm's capital structure is not affected by the value of firm and the WACC is the same no matter what mixture of debt and equity is used to finance the firm. M&M Proposition II (no tax) states that the cost of equity rises as the firm increases its use of debt financing. The interest tax shield is the amount of tax savings attained by a company from the interest expenses. M&M Proposition I (with tax): The value of the firm levered is equal to the value of the firm unlevered plus the present value of the interest tax shield. M&M Proposition II (with tax): There is a negative relationship between weighted average cost of capital and debt to equity ratio. If the company increases amount of debt, it can reduce the weighted average cost of capital M&M Proposition II (with tax): There is a positive relationship between return on equity with debt to equity ratio. If the company increases the amount of debt, it causes the increment in return on equity. The pecking order theory states that firms prefer to use internal financing whenever possible. Break-even EBIT Levered firm Capital structure M&M Proposition I Corporate borrowing M&M Proposition II Cost of capital Return on debt Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) Return on equity Earnings per share (EPS) The pecking order theory Financial leverage The pie model Homemade leverage Unlevered firm Interest tax shield Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 96 TOPIC 4 CAPITAL STRUCTURE Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., & Jordan, B. D. (2010). Fundamentals of corporate finance (9th ed.). Boston, MA: McGraw-Hill. = Return on debt after tax = Return on debt before tax = Tax rate before taxReturn on debt after taxReturn on debt after tax:Table 4.20 after tax Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) Topic Dividend 5 Policy LEARNING OUTCOMES By the end of this topic, you should be able to: 1. Define dividend payouts; 2. Discuss the standard method of cash dividend payments; 3. Explain why and how companies repurchase stocks; and 4. Discuss the impact of personal taxes and issuance costs on dividends. INTRODUCTION InvestorsÊ motives of investing in common stock of a particular company is to earn incomes through capital gains and dividend paid by the company. This topic discusses the different types of dividends paid by company and the important dates related to dividend payment. In addition we will also explore the reasons for company to repurchase its stock and the impact of personal taxes as well as issuance costs on dividends. The following are some examples of news headlines that you will come across associated with dividend payment by companies either at the end or middle of its accounting year. The first headline was reported by the Edge Weekly on 25 July, 2016, stating that Malaysia companies paid lower dividends in first quarter of 2016. The second headline reported that in 2014, Maxis declared 16 cent dividends due to the decline in fourth quarter net profit amounted to RM290 million. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 98 TOPIC 5 DIVIDEND POLICY „Corporate Malaysia paid lower dividends in 1Q2016‰ (Murugiah, 2016) „Maxis Q4 net profit 23.3% fall to RM290m‰ („Maxis Q4‰, 2014) ACTIVITY 5.1 Go through the business section found in any newspaper and discuss with your coursemates on any dividend announcements that would have financial implications to the specific company. 5.1 DIFFERENT TYPES OF DIVIDEND PAYOUTS Dividend is a payment made from the net income of a company to its stockholders. Table 5.1 shows the top eight best dividend stocks paid by the respective companies. British American Tobacco (BAT) Malaysia paid the highest dividend, that is, 312 cents. Table 5.1: Top Eight Best Dividend Stocks Paid in 2015 Company Name Total Dividend (Cents) British American Tobacco Malaysia 312 Nestle 260 Dutch Lady 220 Panasonic Manufacturing Malaysia 142 Tasek Corporation Bhd 110 United Plantation Berhad 100 Puncak Niaga Holdings Bhd 100 Time Dotcom Berhad 80.2 Source: MalaysiaStock.Biz (2015) There are several types of dividends. The basic types of dividends are as shown in Figure 5.1. These different types of dividends will be further discussed in the following subtopics. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 5 DIVIDEND POLICY 99 Figure 5.1: Common types of dividends 5.1.1 Cash Dividend Dividends can be paid in the form of cash or stock. Cash dividends are dividends paid out from the current or accumulated retained earnings. There are several forms of cash dividends. They are: (a) Regular cash dividends ă the normal cash dividend paid by company in its normal course of business. In countries like the US, companies pay regular cash dividend four times a year (Ross, Westerfield, Jordan, Lim, & Tan, 2016). (b) Extra cash dividends ă this dividend paid on top of the regular cash dividends. (c) Special dividends ă the dividend under unusual circumstances and is a one-off dividend payment. (d) Liquidating dividends ă this form of dividend is paid when the company sells off some of its business. Liquidating dividends may reduce the companyÊs paid-in capital. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 100 TOPIC 5 DIVIDEND POLICY CompanyÊs profits and retained earnings are reduced when cash dividends are distributed. How does the distribution of dividend either in the form of cash or stock affect the equityÊs account of the company? Let us use the following examples to demonstrate the effect. Example 5.1: TimeLine Incorporation recorded a net income of $200 million during the year. The Board of Directors decided to declare a cash dividend of $3.50 per share. The companyÊs balance sheet before cash dividend payment is: TimeLine Inc. Balance Sheet Before Cash Dividend Payment Common stock: Par (50 million outstanding shares @ $1 per share) $50,000,000 Paid-in capital 200,000,000 Retained Earnings 300,000,000 Total $550,000,000 Total cash dividend paid for that year is: = 50,000,000 shares $3.50/share = $175,000,000 This implies that the company has to pay $175 million in the form of cash dividends during that year. Hence the retained earnings of TimeLine Inc. after cash dividends are distributed: Retained earnings before dividend payment $300,000,000 Add: Net Income 200,000,000 Less: Dividend Paid (175,000,000) Retained earnings after dividend payment $325,000,000 TimeLine Inc.Ês Balance Sheet after Cash Dividend Common stock: Par (50 million outstanding shares @ $1 per share) $50,000,000 Paid-in capital 200,000,000 Retained Earnings 325,000,000 Total $575,000,000 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 5 5.1.2 DIVIDEND POLICY 101 Stock Dividend Alternatively, companies may decide to pay dividends in the form of stocks. This involves issuing new shares as a bonus to the existing stockholders and, therefore, is also called the bonus issue. For stock dividends, the profits or retained earnings of the company are not affected but rather it involves increasing the number of outstanding shares. A stock dividend can be expressed in percentages, for example, 12% stock dividends. Retained earnings, paid-in capital and number of outstanding shares are adjusted in the balance sheet when company declares stock dividends (Benninga, Ahmad, Rahman, & Syed Alwi, 2016). Example 5.2: Now let us assume that instead of cash dividends being paid, TimeLine Incorporation declares a 5% stock dividend. (a) A 5% stock dividend declared will lead to an increase in the number of outstanding shares by: = 50,000,000 shares 5% = 2,500,000 shares Thus, the total numbers of outstanding shares are: = 50,000,000 shares + 2,500,000 shares = 52,500,000 shares (b) Now if the current market price of TimeLine Inc., is $10 per share, the total market value of the new shares is: Market Value of New Shares = $10 per share 2,500,000 shares = $25,000,000 (c) Additional Paid-in Capital = ($10 per share ă $1 per share) 2,500,000 shares = $22,500,000 TimeLine Inc. Balance Sheet After 5% Stock Dividend Common stock: Par (52.5 million outstanding shares @ $1 per share) $52,500,000 Paid-in capital ($200 million + $22.5 million) 222,500,000 Retained Earnings ($300 million ă $25 million) 275,000,000 Total $550,000,000 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 102 TOPIC 5 DIVIDEND POLICY Notice that TimeLine Inc.Ês outstanding shares and paid-in capital have increased to 52.5 million shares and $222.5 million respectively. Simultaneously, its retained earnings have been reduced by $25 million as a result of the market value of the new shares issued. 5.1.3 Stock Split Stock split is when a company announces stock dividends that are more than 25% of the number of outstanding shares. In this situation, only the par value of the share and the number of outstanding shares are adjusted. Example 5.3: Now let us look at what happens to the balance sheet of the company when a stock split is declared. Assume that TimeLine Inc. decides to declare a 2 to 1 stock split during that year. This means that the stockholders will receive 2 new shares for every 1 share that they have. Hence the adjustments needed to be made in the balance sheet are the number of outstanding shares and the par value. (a) Number of new outstanding shares = (b) Adjusted Par Value = 2 50,000,000 shares = 100,000,000 1 1 $1.00 per share = $0.50 per share 2 TimeLine Inc. Balance Sheet After Stock Split Common stock: Par (100 million outstanding shares @ $0.50 per share) $50,000,000 Paid-in capital 200,000,000 Retained Earnings 300,000,000 Total $550,000,000 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 5 DIVIDEND POLICY 103 ACTIVITY 5.2 The ownersÊ equity accounts of DNAIS International Inc. are provided as follows: Equity Accounts of DNAIS International Inc. Par (20 million outstanding shares @ $2 per share) $40,000,000 Paid-in capital 100,000,000 Retained Earnings 200,000,000 Total $340,000,000 (a) Illustrate how the company accounts would change if a 10% stock dividend is announced. The DNAIS share is currently sold for $20 per share. (b) If the company decides to declare a five-for-one stock split, show how the companyÊs equity accounts would change. SELF-CHECK 5.1 1. What are the different types of dividends? 2. Explain the difference between stock dividends and stock splits. 3. What are the effects on companyÊs paid-up capital, retained earnings and outstanding shares when cash dividends, stock dividends and stock splits are declared? Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 104 TOPIC 5 DIVIDEND POLICY 5.2 STANDARD METHOD OF CASH DIVIDEND PAYMENT If you have bought shares from a company, there are four important dates that you have to observe when the company declares dividend payment. (a) Declaration date ă This refers to the date when the board of directors of the company makes announcements to the stockholders and the market that the company is paying dividend in that financial year. (b) Ex-date or Ex-dividend date ă It is a date that will set apart who is eligible to receive the dividend. If as an investor, you buy the company share on or after the ex-dividend date, then you are not qualified to receive dividend declare in that year. However, if you have bought the stock prior to the exdividend date then you will be entitled to the dividend. Normally the exdividend date is the second business day before the date of record (Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe & Jordan, 2011). (c) Record date ă When the stock transfer book is closed, the investors who own stocks on this date will receive the dividend declared. (d) Date of Payment ă It is the date when the company pays the eligible stockholder the dividend. Usually the identified stockholders will receive the dividend via mail in about a week or more. Figure 5.2 illustrates the interim dividend payment procedures of SAM Engineering and Equipment Company. The Board of Directors made an announcement on 22 June 2015 that the company will pay an interim dividend amounting to 0.1194 cents per share to its outstanding stockholders. SAM has set the ex-dividend date to be on 30 July 2015. So if you intend to receive the interim dividend, then you should buy SAM stock before 30th July. If you have already owned the shares, then you should sell the stock on (or after) this ex-dividend date. The dividend is payable to holders of record as of 3 August 2015. This means that only shareholders listed with SAM on this date got the dividend. The dividend payment date was 28 August 2015. This is the date on which the dividend would actually be paid out to the SAM stockholders (see Figure 5.3). Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 5 DIVIDEND POLICY Figure 5.2: SAM first interim dividend Source: Bursa Malaysia Dividend News (2015) Figure 5.3: Timeline of the payment procedures of SAM Engineering and Equipment Company Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 105 106 TOPIC 5 DIVIDEND POLICY ACTIVITY 5.3 1. What are the chronological dates related to dividend payment? 2. In April 20, 2016, MaybankÊs BOD declared final dividend of 24 cents for the financial year 31 December 2015. The record date is May 06, 2016 and the payment date is on June 03, 2016. What is the ex-dividend date? If Mr Remy Lee buys Maybank shares before that date, will he gets the dividends on those shares? Why or why not? 5.3 REPURCHASE OF STOCKS From time to time, a company may decide to buy back their outstanding stocks. There are several reasons for company to take such an action: (a) To provide internal investment opportunity; (b) To improve earnings per share of the company; (c) To avoid hostile takeover; (d) To minimise costs related to servicing minority stockholders; (e) To obtain shares to enable mergers and acquisition programme; and (f) To obtain shares for employee compensation programme. A company can repurchase its own stock either through tender offers or open markets. A tender offer is when company states a purchase price and a desired number of shares (Ross et al., 2016). The company can also have the choice of buying back its shares in the open market. Under the share repurchase programme, stockholders who decide to sell their shares will receive cash distribution from the company and also have potential tax advantage. What is the implication to the investors when company repurchases its own stock? Well, when this happens the price of the share will increase. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 5 DIVIDEND POLICY 107 Irrelevance and Relevancy of Dividend on CompanyÊs Value Is dividend policy relevant or irrelevant to value of the company? Actually there are two schools of thoughts related to this issue. Miller and Modigliani or better known as M&M, argued that dividends have no implication on the value of the company. When a company distributes dividends, this does not affect shareholdersÊ wealth but rather the earnings and investment policy will influence the value of the company (Ross et al., 2011). Example 5.4: Assume that AXX Company is currently selling at $20 per share with 2,000,000 shares outstanding. Its current income is $4 million, with EPS equal to $2 per share. Its earnings are earmarked for capital investment. If AXX declares a dividend of $1 per share, then the company has only $2 million for capital investment. Since the company needs $4 million, it will have to issue $2 million worth of shares through issuing of new shares. (a) Value of AXX Company before New Issue No. of Shares Current Price per Share = 2,000,000 $20/share = $40,000,000 (b) Price of New Shares Issued after Ex-dividend Announcement Ex-dividend Price of Share = Current Price per Share ă Dividend per Share = $20 ă $1 = $19 (c) Number of New Shares to be Issued Note value of new share is equal to the value of dividend paid, that is: Dividend per Share No. of Shares $1 2, 000, 000 $2, 000, 000 No. of New Shares Issued Value of New Share Ex-dividend per Share $2, 000, 000 $19 per share 105, 263 shares Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 108 TOPIC 5 DIVIDEND POLICY Total Number of Shares after the New Issue Number of Old Shares + Number of New Shares = 2,000,000 + 105,263 = 2,105,263 (d) Value of the AXX Company after New Issue Number of New Shares Ex-dividend Price of Share = 2,105,263 $19 per share = $4,000,000 In conclusion, the value of company AXX remains the same irrespective of the dividend policy. On the other hand, there are advocates that support the relevancy of dividend policy on the companyÊs value. Depending on the nature of investment opportunities, if the returns on that investment are higher than the shareholdersÊ expectations, then, the company should consider retaining the net income available to shareholders rather than distributing dividends (Gitman & Zutter, 2015). In contrast, if the returns on that investment are lower, then, distributing dividends to shareholders is advisable. You should refer to other corporate finance textbooks for a detailed illustration on this perspective. 5.4 PERSONAL TAXES, DIVIDENDS AND STOCK REPURCHASES Up till now, we have assumed that there is no tax being imposed on dividends. Now if we were to incorporate taxes, let us see what happens to the dividends received by shareholders. Different countries practice different tax systems when it is related to dividends. In the US, both cash dividends and capital gains received by shareholders are taxed while in Malaysia and Singapore dividends received by shareholders are tax exempt since these countries apply the one-tier tax system. Example 5.5 illustrates the effect of tax on the dividend. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 5 DIVIDEND POLICY 109 Example 5.5: Let us assume that TR Company has declared a $5.60 per share dividend. If dividends are taxed at 15%, what is the after tax dividend? After tax dividend = $5.60 (1 ă 0.15) = $4.76 per share Thus, you could see that the shareholder will receive $4.76 per share after tax dividend instead of $5.60 per share dividend. Sometime shareholders prefer stock repurchases relative to cash dividends since shareholders pay less tax when stock is repurchased. Assume Mr Y receives a dividend of $2 on each of 100 shares he owned. He has initially bought the shares at $60 per share. A 15% tax is imposed on the dividend. Therefore, the amount tax paid on the dividend is: Tax paid on dividend = ($2 100) 0.15 = $30 Now let us assume further that the company that issued the shares decided to repurchase the stock at $100 per share. Here Mr Y has capital gain: Capital gain = $100 ă $80 = $20 Tax paid on capital gain = $20 0.15 = $3 This shows that the tax paid on repurchase of stock is lower than on dividend although a 15% tax rate is imposed. ACTIVITY 5.4 1. What is the rational for some companies to repurchase their stocks? 2. Ross et al. (2016) discussed that certain countries practise three types of corporate tax systems: classical, imputation and the one-tier tax system. Discuss these three types of tax systems and explain how each of the tax systems affect the company upon distribution of cash dividends. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 110 TOPIC 5 DIVIDEND POLICY SELF-CHECK 5.2 1. Discuss the argument for the relevancy and irrelevancy of dividend policy on the firmÊs value. 2. Green Company has declared a $8.00 per share dividend. If dividends are taxed at 17%, what is the after tax dividend? 3. Mr Suchi owned 100 shares of DNA shares. He initially bought the shares at $30 per share. If DNA company declares dividend of $1.80 per share and a 15% tax is imposed on the dividend, what is the after-tax value of the share? Assume that the company decides to repurchase the share at $70 per share. Should Mr Suchi go for the dividend or sell the share back to the company? Why? • Dividend policy is the proportion of net income that the company pays to shareholders. • Dividends can be distributed in many forms. • Shareholders should be aware of the different dates related to dividend payments. • There are two perspectives on the relevancy of dividend policy on the firmÊs value. • Cash dividends, stock dividends and stock splits have different impacts on the equityÊs account of a company. • Personal taxes and stock repurchase have implications on dividend payments. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 5 DIVIDEND POLICY Cash dividend Record date Declaration date Stock dividend Dividend payment date Stock repurchase Dividend payments Stock split Ex-dividend date Tax system 111 Benninga, S., Ahmad, N., Rahman, H. A., & Syed Alwi, S. F. (2016). Fundamentals of finance with Microsoft Excel (2nd ed., Asian ed.). Shah Alam, Malaysia: Oxford University Press. Bursa Malaysia Dividend News. (2015). SAM: First Interim Dividend (0.1194). Retrieved from http://bursa-dividend.blogspot.com/ Gitman, L. J., & Zutter, C. J. (2015). Principles of managerial finance (14th ed.). Boston, MA: Pearson. MalaysiaStock.Biz. (2015). Top 50 best Bursa Malaysia dividend stocks of the year 2015. Retrieved from http://www.malaysiastock.biz/Report-Analysis/Top-KLSE-DividendStock.aspx Maxis Q4 net profit 23.3% fall to RM290m. (2014, February 12). The Sun Daily. Retrieved from http://www.thesundaily.my/node/240797 Murugiah, S. (2016, July 25). Corporate Malaysia paid lower dividends in 1Q2016. The Edge Markets. Retrieved from http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/corporate-malaysia-paidlower-dividends-1q2016 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 112 TOPIC 5 DIVIDEND POLICY Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., Jaffe, J. F., & Jordan, B. D. (2011). Core principles and applications of corporate finance (3rd ed.). New York, NY: McGrawHill Irwin. Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., Jordan, B. D., Lim, J., & Tan, R. (2016). Fundamentals of corporate finance (Asia Global Edition, 2nd ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Irwin. Currently, the capital structure of the firm consists of 100% equity. Therefore, the value of ABC Company is:The management of ABC Company decides to issue bonds worth RM5,000. Let us say, the company has two alternatives in deciding the new capital structure of the firms:Now we assume the company has two types of capital structure, namely, Break-even EBIT = The previous calculation for Scavilo Company shows that the break-even EBIT is at RM800,000. This means that if the expected EBIT of Scavilo Company is less than the break-even EBIT which is RM800,000, the company should use capital structure without debt because it can generate higher EPS. Table 4.7 shows the amount of earnings per share of different capital structures for Scavilo Company. We can see that if Scavilo Company uses a capital structure without debt, they can generate EPS worth at RM0.00, RM1.00, RM2.00 and RM3.00 for EBIT amount at RM0, RM400,000, RM800,00 and RM1,200,000 respectively. The table also indicates that if Scavilo Company uses capital structure with debt, they can generate EPS worth at RM−2.00, RM0.00, RM2.00 and RM4.00 for EBIT amount at RM0, RM400,000, RM800,00 and RM1,200,000 respectively.Now, let us rearrange the formula for WACC to find the return on equity:Calculate the return on equity for Scavilo Company if the company uses 50% of equity and 50% of debt.Calculate the WACC of the company if the capital structure of the company consists of 30% debt and 70% equity.Calculate the WACC of the company if the capital structure of the company consists of 50% of debt and 50% of equity.Table 4.13is dependent on: = WACC);; and) or weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and return on debt () are not affected by changes in debt to equity ratio. The figure also illustrates that return on equity (is a positive linear function of debt to equity ratio. Ross et al. (2010) explain that as the firm raises its debt-equity ratio, the increase in leverage raises the risk of the equity and therefore the required return or cost of equity.If we use the information from Scavilo Company, the interest tax shield can be calculated as follows:4.However, if we refer to the discussion on interest tax shields, there is a reduction on tax payment generated by company that uses debt in their capital structure (interest tax shield). Assuming that the debt is perpetual, then, the interest tax shield will be generated every year forever. The M&M Proposition I with taxes states that the value of the firm increases as total debt increases because of the interest tax shield. Therefore, the formula for firm value under M&M Proposition I with tax consideration is:Based on this formula, the new value of Scavilo Company are as follows:4. = Return on debt after tax = Return on debt before tax = Tax ratebefore tax before tax after tax Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) Topic Options and 6 Corporate Finance LEARNING OUTCOMES By the end of this topic, you should be able to: 1. Define options in the context of corporate finance; 2. Differentiate between call and put options; 3. Calculate the value of a call option using the option pricing models; 4. Explain the components related to an option premium; 5. Explain why the minimum intrinsic value for both call and put options is zero. INTRODUCTION Risks are inherent in any form of investments taken by investors. Price risk is the risk associated with the fluctuation of financial instrumentÊs prices. Investors require a mechanism to mitigate price risk. Derivatives are introduced for this purpose. Among the derivatives that are available are futures, options, forwards and swaps. Figure 6.1 displays the different types of derivatives instruments. Figure 6.1: Different types of derivatives instruments Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 114 TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE In this topic, we will focus on options. Option is another type of hybrid financial instrument created to manage risk. It is categorised as a derivative instrument, where the value of the assets is derived from the spot market. To date, there are many types of option contracts traded globally. Options are traded either on an organised exchange market or over-the-counter (OTC) market. The Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE) is an example of an organised exchange market. It is the oldest exchange in the US that offers various options contracts to market participants who are interested in managing risk and/or earning profit. Stock, stock index, bond, currency, interest rates and commodity options are examples of the options contracts that are traded around the world (see Figure 6.2). Exchange-traded option or listed options are standardised contracts with predetermined exercise prices, size of contract (that is, RM25 per metric tonnes, AUD100,000 per contract) and fixed maturities contract month (that is, March, Jun, September and December). Figure 6.2: Different options contracts Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 115 ACTIVITY 6.1 Go to the Bursa Malaysia website and answer the following questions: (a) Identify the name of exchange where derivatives are traded. (b) What are the various derivatives instruments offered by this exchange? (c) What are the options contracts offered at this exchange? 6.1 OPTIONS What exactly is an option? Let us explain the meaning of options with this simple example. Suppose your friend puts up an antique painting for sale. You verbally agree to buy the painting from him at a specific price since you are very interested in the painting. However, you have informed your friend that you will need some time to raise the money to pay him. Your friend now either faces he risk of you not fulfilling the contract or to cancel the agreement. Due to this uncertainty, your friend requires you to pay a non-refundable deposit of US$5,000. If you fail to honour the agreement, your deposit will be forfeited. What we have read just now can be said conceptually to be an option contract because you have bought an option from the seller (your friend) of $5,000 giving you the right to buy the antique painting at an agreed price within the certain period of time. Note, your friend needs to understand that you do not have any obligation to do so and, in turn, will lose your $5,000. He has no recourse on you. In contrast, your friend as the seller of the option contract has an obligation to sell the painting should you choose to exercise your right. This is fair as your friend has already received the non-refundable money today from you. Therefore, by definition, a buyer has to pay a deposit in order to acquire a „right‰ while a seller will receive a deposit in order to place him with an „obligation‰. In short, an option is a contract that allows the buyer of the contract the right, but not the obligation, to sell (put) or buy (call) the contracted assets at a predetermined price and date from the seller of the contract. This means that if the market is favourable to the buyer of the option contract; he has the right to exercise the contract. On the other hand, if the market is not favourable, then the buyer has no obligation to exercise the contract. Does the seller of the option contract have the same right as the buyer of the option contract? Unfortunately, he does not! The seller of the option contract has only the obligation but no right to fulfil the contract if the buyer decides to exercise the contract. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 116 TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE Generally, the strategy of using options is the same whether the option is traded in Malaysia or other countries like Japan, the UK and US. The only difference is that each option contract has its own contract specification. Contract specification means the standard and the characteristics specific to the particular option contract offered. This can be easily accessible from the derivative exchanges offered in the respective countries. 6.1.1 Option Contract Specifications and Quotation Table 6.1 provides the contract specification of FBM KLCI Option (OKLI). This information is available on the Bursa Malaysia Derivative Berhad website. Table 6.1: Contract Specifications of FBM KLCI Options (OKLI) Underlying Instrument FBM KLCI Futures (FKLI) Type European Style Contract Size One FKLI contract Tick Size 0.1 index point valued at RM 5.00 Contract Month Spot month, the next month and the next two calendar quarterly months. The calendar quarterly months are March, June, September and December. Daily Price Limits There shall be no price limits for the spot month contract. Matched trades which exceed the price limits are not valid. Trading Hours First trading session: Malaysian 8.45am to 12.45pm. Second trading session: Malaysian 2.30pm to 5.15pm Last Trading Day The last market day of the contract month. Settlement of Option Exercise In the absence of contrary instructions delivered to the Clearing House, an option that is in-the money at expiration shall be automatically exercised. Exercise results in a long FKLI position, which corresponds with the optionÊs contract month for a call buyer or a put seller, and a short FKLI position for a put buyer or a call seller. The resultant positions in FKLI shall then be cashsettled based on the final settlement value of FKLI. Exercise Price Intervals At least 13 exercise prices in the money at the money (6 are in-themoney, 1 is at-the-and 6 are out-of-the-money) shall be set at interval of 10 index points for the spot and next month contracts. At least 7 exercise prices (3 are in the-money, 1 is at-the-money and 3 are out-of-the-money) shall be set at interval of 20 index points for the next 2 quarterly month contracts. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 6 Speculative Position Limit OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 117 10,000 FKLI-equivalent contracts (a combination of OKLI and FKLI contract) net on the same side of the market in all contract months combined. Source: Bursa Malaysia (2012) As stated in Table 6.1, OKLI contract size is one FBM KLCI Futures (FKLI) contract, which is, the index points multiplied with RM50. Hence, if you long one call option and if the FBM KLCI futures price at that time is say 1800.05 points, then the value of one contract is 1800.05 RM50 = RM90,002.50. The contract months for OKLI are March, June, September and December. The minimum fluctuation for OKLI futures option is RM5 (0.1 index point RM50). OKLI is a European style option since the option is allowed to be exercised only at the maturity date. At expiry date, if the option is in-the-money (ITM), the exchange (BMDB) will automatically exercise the option. This option is a cashsettled against the final settlement value of FKLI futures price. BMDB offers different exercise prices with interval of 10 points for the current and next month contracts. If you surf the BMDB website, you will also find the market price quotation of the OKLI. Table 6.2 is a summary of the market price quotation of OKLI quoted on 19 August 2016. Table 6.2: Summary of the OKLI Market Price Quotation (as of 19 August 2016) Strike Price Month Open High Low Bid Ask Last Done Settlement Price Change OI Vol OKLI C 1650 Aug-16 ă ă ă ă ă ă 36.4 ă ă ă OKLI P 1650 Aug-16 ă ă ă ă ă ă 0.4 ă ă ă OKLI C 1660 Aug-16 ă ă ă ă ă ă 27.1 ă 93 ă OKLI P 1660 Aug-16 ă ă ă ă ă ă 1.2 ă 77 ă OKLI C 1670 Aug-16 22.5 22.5 22.5 ă ă 22.5 22.5 ă2.2 32 2 OKLI P 1670 Aug-16 ă ă ă ă ă ă 2.8 ă 41 ă OKLI C 1680 Aug-16 15 15 15 ă ă 15 15 îă1.6 îă31 ă OKLI P 1680 Aug-16 ă ă ă ă ă ă 5.9 ă 25 19 Source: http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/derivatives/prices/#/?page=1&contract_code =OKLI Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 118 TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE How do you interpret the quotation in Table 6.2? Notice with the exception of the contract being traded, the quotation format for options offered in any organised exchanges in the world is similar. Now let us interpret the previous quotation. (a) OKLI: It is the type of futures options transacted that is the FBM KLCI futures options. (b) Strike Price: Refers to the different series of strike price or exercise price available. (c) Contract Month: The contract month that OKLI contracts expire. In this case the OKLI contract expires in August 2016. (d) C1670 August 2016: Indicates OKLI Call option with a strike price of 1670 index points and will expire in August 2016. (e) P1670 August 2016: Indicates OKLI Put option with a strike price of 1670 index points and will expire in August 2016 (f) Open/High/Low: Refers to the opening, highest and lowest prices of options by their classes and series. (g) Bid/Ask: It is the buying price (bid) and offer price (ask) of the option price. (h) Last: Refers to the last closing price of options by the classes and series of options. (i) Sett.: Refers to the settlement or closing prices of option. (j) Change: Refers to a change in option prices as compared to previous closing price. (k) O.I.: Means open interest which indicates the number of outstanding options contract. (l) Volume: Refers to the number of options contract transacted on that day. Congratulations!!!You have successful interpreted the OKLI market quotation. Now, go to other organised exchanges that traded different types of options and try to interpret the market quotation of the contract. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 119 ACTIVITY 6.2 1. Surf the derivatives exchanges in Malaysia and the US websites and find out what are the contract specifications for OCPO, Australian Dollar Currency Option and British Pound Currency Option. 2. Why do think there is a need for the option to be standardised? 3. Can you create option contracts on any product? Describe how you can do it. 6.2 TYPES OF OPTIONS There are two types of options traded in the exchange: (a) Call Option Call option is an option contract that allows the buyer of the contract the right to buy a specified asset for a premium at certain period of time. The option is usually refer to as long call. On the other hand, the seller (writer) of the call option has an obligation but not the right to sell a specified asset for a premium at certain period of time. This is usually referred to as a short call. Figure 6.3 shows that call option is a combination of long call and short call. Figure 6.3: Call option Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 120 TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE (b) Put Option As for the put option, it is also an option contract that allows the buyer of the contract the right to sell a specified asset for a premium at certain period of time. The option is usually referred to as long put. On the other hand, the seller (writer) of the call option has an obligation but not the right to buy a specified asset for a premium at certain period of time. This is usually referred to as a short call. Figure 6.4 shows that put option is a combination of long call and short call. Figure 6.4: Put option Remember: whether it is a call or a put option, buyer of either option contract is the holder of the contract and therefore will always has the right but no obligation to buy or sell the asset. ACTIVITY 6.3 1. Alan Chong Wei, an option trader enters into an option that gives him an obligation and not the right to sell the asset at specified period of time for a premium. What is the type of option that he has entered into? 2. Pauline Abdullah enters into a long put option and would like to exercise her right since the market is favourable. However the seller of the put option refuses to buy the asset from her. Explain if the seller can do so. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 6 6.2.1 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 121 Features of Option Contract There are several option features that you should be familiar with. We will explain these features using the following example. Example 1: Let us assume that a trader is long one OKLI 1680 September call options at 22.50 points. What are the option features that are found in Example 1? Figure 6.5 shows the features of option contracts. Figure 6.5: Features of option contracts Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 122 TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE Let us now explore further the features of option contracts: (a) Underlying Asset Underlying asset refers to the physical or financial asset in which the option contract is created. By now you should know that Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Berhad (BMDB) traded two types of options which are FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI options (OKLI) and Options on Crude Palm Oil Futures (OCPO). OKLIÊs underlying asset is the FBM KLCI Futures (FKLI), while OCPOÊs is the Crude Palm Oil Futures. Both of these contracts are known as options on futures. An option on spot underlying market is where its underlying asset is the physical product. Example are the foreign currencies options traded at the Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHLX) or Nasdaq PHLX (now part of NASDAQ) where the underlying assets for options are the spot foreign currencies like Australian Dollar, British Pound, Canadian Dollar, Swiss Franc etc. Hence if we refer to Example 1, the option is the FBM KLCI option (OKLI) of which if you refer to the contract specification and its underlying asset is the FBM KLCI futures. (b) Exercise Price Exercise price also known as strike price is the price that the buyer (holder) has the right to sell or buy the underlying assets from or to the seller (writer). The term „strike‰ is used to indicate that the holder will exercise his right whenever his option strikes the price. In Example 1, the exercise price is 1680 index points and since it is long call, therefore this is a call option. We will use the term „exercise‰ or „strike‰ price interchangeably. (c) Current Market Price This is the price of the underlying asset that is displayed in the spot market. Thus, to see what is the current market price for the „OKLI 1680 September call options‰, you will need to see what is the price traded in the spot market. As of August 2016, the current market price for FBM KLCI futures was 1,812.72 points. This price will change daily to reflect the demand and supply of the KLCI futures market. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 6 (d) OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 123 Premium Premium is the price of option and is determined by the bid and ask price in the market. In other words, the premium may go up, down or remain unchanged throughout the life of option contracts. As mentioned earlier, an investor who buys an option will pay premium while a seller will receive it. Therefore, like stock prices or indices, premiums of options will fluctuate over time. Continuing with Example 1, can you guess what the premium of the OKLI is? Yes, the premium is the 22.50 points that the buyer of the option has to pay to the seller of the option. Now since the minimum index point is RM5 for 0.1 index point (refer to the contract specifications), therefore in terms of the value is: Premium value = 22.50 points RM5 1 contract = RM112.50 (e) Expiry Date All options will have expiry dates. It is the last date that the options can be exercised. In Example 1, the „one OKLI 1680 September call option‰ indicates that the contract will expire in the month of September. Options that are not exercised at or before the expiry will become worthless and the buyer of the call or put option can do nothing about it. With regards to the expiry date, an option that can be exercised at any time up to the expiration date is called an American option, while an option that can be exercised only at expiration date is referred to as a European option. 6.2.2 Value and Options Since the exercise price is the agreed price that remains fixed throughout the life of the contract, the value of options will be determined by the current market prices. For ease of discussion, let us once again refer to Example 1 and add another example where the trade also buys a put option. Example 2: A trader has long one OKLI 1680 September call options at 22.50 points and also is long one OKLI 1680 September put options at 15.00 points. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 124 TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE In Example 2, the OKLI call option has an exercise price of 1680 points per contract. Due to the volatility of the underlying assets, the exercise price may be above, at par or below the current market price of the underlying assets bought or sold. Therefore, the options may fall under one of the three possible situations for the buyer to decide whether to exercise or not to exercise: (a) (b) In-the-Money (ITM) In-the-money refers to an option that has an exercise price that is profitable if exercised. (i) For Call Option Since the buyer has the right to buy he expects the current price to be more or above the exercise price. In Example 2, if the FKLI futures settlement price is 1720, then the OLKI call option is said to be ITM. In other words, this call option is profitable for the buyer to exercise because the FKLI futures settlement price is above the OKLI exercise price (1720 > 1680). (ii) For Put Option On the other hand, if current settlement price of FKLI futures drops to 1650 points, a put option is in-the-money when the current market price is below the exercise price. This put option is also ITM because a buyer has the right to sell, and hence, is very bearish about FKLI futures. In other words, it is profitable for the buyer to exercise because his option „strikes‰ the price as the current price has fallen as what he expects to happen (1650 < 1680). Out-of-the-Money (OTM) Out of the money options are, as the name suggests, the opposite of in-the money options, which means the options would not be profitable to exercise. (i) For Call Option Let us assume that instead of going up, the current price settlement of FKLI futures is below the exercise price, which is 1650 points. Under this situation, it is unprofitable for the buyer to exercise his right because the current settlement price of the underlying FKLI futures is unfavourable to him (1650 < 1680). Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 6 (ii) (c) OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 125 For Put Option As for the put option, out-of-the money exists when the OKLI exercise price stands at 1680 and the current settlement FKLI futures price is 1720 points. This means that put option is OTM if the current settlement FKLI futures price is above the OKL exercise price (1720 > 1680). Hence, the higher the current settlement FKI futures price, the more OTM is the put option. At-the-Money (ATM) At-the-money option refers to an option where the buyer neither makes losses nor gains from the option contract. (i) For Call Option The ATM call option occurs when the current settlement FKLI futures price is trading at the fixed exercise price. In other words, the two prices are the same. Now let us assume that the current settlement FKLI futures price stands at 1680 which is similar to the OKLI call exercise price (1680 = 1680). Here the trader will not exercise his call option since he does not make any profit or loss from it. (ii) For Put Option Similarly for put option, if the current settlement FKLI futures price is the same as the OKLI put exercise price, then this put option is said to be ATM and once again the trader will not exercise his right since he neither makes profit or loss from exercising the put option. Table 6.3 summarises the relationship between an options exercise price and the market price of the underlying asset. Table 6.3: Relationship between Current Market Price and Exercise Price Relationship Call Options Put Options Current market price > Exercise price In-the-money Out-of-the-money Current market price = Exercise price At-the-money At-the-money Current market price < Exercise price Out-of-the-money In-the-money If you observe from Table 6.3, the relationship between current market price and the exercise price of the call options and put options are opposite of each other. For holder (buyer) of the call option, when the market price is greater than the exercise price, the option is ITM while put option holder is OTM. Likewise, if when market price is less than the exercise price, the call option is OTM but put option is ITM. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 126 TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE ACTIVITY 6.4 A trader has short two OKLI 1700 put option at 12.00 points. Currently the FKLI futures price at the time the option is exercised is 1730 points. (a) What do you think the trader should do? (b) How much profit or loss does the trade make? (c) What is the underlying asset for OCPO options and what is the contract size of the option? SELF-CHECK 6.1 1. Discuss the different features of options. 2. Explain what an option is and who is given the right to exercise the option. 3. Differentiate between call and put options. 6.3 OPTIONS PRICING If you remember, the option price is the premium that the buyer (holder) of the option pays to the seller (writer) of the option. There are two components of option pricing which are: intrinsic value and time value (see Figure 6.6). Figure 6.6: Two components of option pricing Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 6 6.3.1 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 127 Intrinsic Value An option has an intrinsic value (IV) when it is profitable, that is, in-the-money (ITM). The intrinsic value is the difference between the exercise price and the current market price. It can be expressed as given: Intrinsic value of call option = Current market price ă Exercise price Continuing with this equation, if the current settlement FKLI futures price is 1720, then the intrinsic value of that call option is: Intrinsic Value of OKLI Call Option = (1720 ă 1680) RM5.00 per point = RM200 The RM5.00 per point is from the contract specification of the OKLI contract. However if the FKLI settlement price is 1650 then the intrinsic value of OKLI call option is zero, since the intrinsic value can never be negative. In essence, the intrinsic value of the call option is: Call IV = (Max S ă X, 0) Where S is the current market price, X is the exercise price. Would the intrinsic value for the put option be the same as the call option? Definitely not, since what is ITM for the call option will be OTM for the put option. So applying once again the equation given for OKLI put option, if the settlement FKLI futures price is at 1720, then the intrinsic value for the put option is going to be zero. However, if the settlement FKLI futures price is 1650, then the intrinsic value of put option is: Intrinsic Value of OKLI Put Option = (1680 ă 1650) RM5.00 per point = RM150 Thus, the intrinsic value of put option is: Put IV = (Max X ă S, 0) By now if you observe the intrinsic value of call and put option is market price less (or minus) strike price (call option) or strike price less market price (put option) respectively. Intrinsic value of both options will never be negative since the holder of the option will never exercise the option if it is out-of-the-money (OTM). Table 6.4 summarises the intrinsic value of call and put options. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 128 TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE Table 6.4: Intrinsic Value of Call and Put Option Call Option Put Option In-the-money (ITM) Current Market price less Exercise price Exercise price less Current Market price At-the-money (ATM) Zero Zero Out-of-the-money (OTM) Zero Zero 6.3.2 Time Value The other component of the option price is the time value. It is derived by subtracting the intrinsic value from the option premium. As long as the option has not expired, then the time value of the option is positive. Plugging in the figures from our example, the time value for OKLI call option is: Time value = Intrinsic Value ă Option Premium = RM200 ă 22.50 (RM5) = RM200 ă RM112.50 = RM87.50 On the other hand, the time value for OKLI put option is: Time value = Intrinsic Value ă Option Premium = RM150.00 ă 15.00 (RM5) = RM150 ă RM75 = RM75.00 Take note, for an American option, since you can exercise any time before expiry date for the option that are out-of-the-money or at-the-money, even though the intrinsic value of this call option or put option is zero, the option does have the time value. Why is that so? This is because as long as there is time remaining until an option matures, it is worth its time value. This does make sense since any unexpired options still have time to be in-the-money (ITM) and hence, can be exercised for profits. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 6 6.3.3 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 129 Factors Affecting Option Prices Several factors affect the option price of an option. Among them are the price of the underlying assets, the exercise price, expiry date, interest rates, market volatility and dividend. (a) Underlying Asset Price The fluctuation of the underlying asset affects the option price. For a call option, if the price of the underlying assets exceeds the strike price and is deeper in-the-money, the call option becomes more valuable. In contrast, if the underlying assets are less than the strike price, then the call option price is less valuable. This is opposite for the put option. The put option prices become more expensive when its underlying asset price falls below the strike price but are less valuable if the underlying asset price is greater than the strike price. For Call Option: Higher option price if CMP if higher than X For Put Option: Lower option price if CMP if higher than X (b) Strike Price A higher strike price call option will have a lower option price relative to a call option with a lower strike. This is because the call option with a higher strike has lower intrinsic value. For the put option, the premium is higher for those with higher strike price since it has higher intrinsic value. If X1 = 1680 and X2 = 1700 and CMP = 1800, then: Call option Higher option price for call option with X1, since CMP ăîX1 > CMP ăîX2 If X1 = 1680 and X2 = 1700 and CMP = 1500, then: Put option Higher option price for put option with X2, since X2 ăîCMP > X1îă CMP (c) Expiration Time Whether it is a call option or a put option, both will have higher premiums if their time to expiration is longer. This is because options with longer life to expiration have more opportunity to gain in their intrinsic value as compared to those options with short time duration. An option is said to be a wasting or depleting asset as the time to expiry approaches. However the rates of decline in time value are smaller for deep in-the-money and out-ofthe-money options as opposed to that of at-the-money options. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 130 TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE (d) Interest Rate The premium of the option is also influenced by interest rates. Higher interest rates result in borrowing money to buy underlying assets which becomes expensive, and vice versa. For put option, rising interest rates lead to the option price to decline. Alternatively for call options, rising interest rates increase the price of the option as it is cheaper to buy a call option than buy stock in the market. (e) Volatility of Market Prices As the price of the underlying assets become more volatile, the probability of the price of the underlying asset to fluctuate in either direction also increases. This will enhance the tradersÊ opportunity to make large gains. Hence, call and put option prices are more valuable when the volatility of the underlying asset increases. (f) Dividends Paid Usually dividends have a different impact on the stock option price of call and put. Once dividends are paid, the stock price will decrease for adjustment purposes and this leads to the asset becoming cheaper. Thus, the price of the call option becomes less valuable. Alternatively, this causes a higher put option price since the option becomes more valuable. As for the European style option, the relationship between the above factors (with exception to the expiry date) and the option prices are also similar. When large dividend is expected to be distributed in the near period of time, the short-life option is more valuable than the long-life option. Table 6.5 summarises the relationship between all the factors and the option prices of the American and European styles. Table 6.5: Factors Affecting Put and Call Option Prices American Style European Style Call Put Call Put Price of underlying assets Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Strike price Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Expiry time Uncertain Uncertain Increase Increase Interest rate Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Volatility Increase Increase Increase Increase Dividends Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Variables Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 131 ACTIVITY 6.5 1. Your friend argues that there is no difference between a European option and an American option. Discuss. 2. If you have a put option of OKLI with a strike price of 1620 and a premium of 21.0 points, while FKLI futures settlement price at expiry is 1600, what is the intrinsic and time value of the put option? 3. Based on question (2), what is the intrinsic and time value of the put option, if the FKLI futures settlement price at expiry is 1680? SELF-CHECK 6.2 1. What is an option premium? Explain the components related to the premium. 2. Discuss the intrinsic value of call option and put option. 3. Explain why the minimum intrinsic value for both call and put options is zero. 4. Why exercise price and market volatility among others will affect the price of option? How do these two factors influence the option price of call and put option? 5. Fill up the blank based on the relationship between the factors and option prices. Variables American Style European Style Call Call Put Price of underlying assets Strike price Expiry time Interest rate Volatility Dividends Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) Put 132 TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 6.3.4 Options Pricing Formula This subtopic will expose you to the option pricing models used to evaluate the theoretical value of an option. Determining the fair value of the option price is more complex than determining the fair value of a futures contract. Put-call Parity Theorem, Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Pricing Models are used to evaluate the price of the option. Reasons for determining the option price are: (a) To determine whether the price of option is fairly priced; and (b) To identify whether arbitrage opportunities exist when the price of the option is overpriced or underpriced. The three option pricing models can be described as follows: (a) Put-call Parity Theorem This theory states that there is a relationship between the price of the call option and the price of the put option on the same underlying asset with the same strike prices and same expiration dates. Mathematically, it can be expressed as: C E 1 r t S0 P Where, C = Price of the call option P = Price of the put option S 0 = Current market price E = Exercise price r = Risk-free interest rate t = Time to maturity Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 133 If the relationship is violated, then arbitrage opportunity arises. To illustrate this relationship, consider the following situation: C = RM1.70 P = RM0.50 S 0 = RM11.00 E = RM10.50 r = 5% for 6 month t = 6 month Then: RM1.70 RM10.50 RM1.10 RM0.50 1.05 RM11.70 RM11.50 Therefore, mispricing has occurred. To take advantage of this arbitrage opportunity, the trader could buy the cheaper portfolio (RM11.50) and sell the higher-priced one (RM11.70) or borrow RM10 (10.50/1.05) now and then write the call option at RM1.70, then long put option (RM0.50) and buy the share (RM11.00). The Put-call Parity assumes the following: (b) (i) No dividends are paid before maturity; and (ii) Option is a European style option. Binomial Option Pricing Model (BOPM) or Two Stage Model Binomial Option Pricing Model can be used to estimate the theoretical value of either a call or put option. The model is based on the assumption that asset prices can move to only two values over any given time period. Consider the following strategy: Illustration: Assume that the price of MLM share today (t = 0) is RM100.00 and that after one year (t = 1) its share will be selling for either RM120 or RM90. In addition, the annual risk free rate is 8% compounded continuously. Traders are assumed to be able to either borrow or lend at this rate. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 134 TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE Now, consider a call option on MLM that has an exercise price of RM100.00 and an expiration date of one year from now. This means that at maturity, the call option will have a value of either RM20 (if MLM is at RM120) or zero (if MLM is at RM90). Figure 6.7 shows the situation using a „price tree‰ known as a binomial model. As indicated from this tree, there are only two branches that represent prices at the expiration date: Figure 6.7: Binomial model If we bought one call and invested the present value of the exercise at t = 0 in a riskless asset, then at t = 1, the value of the investment will be: 92.59 (1.08) = 100 Hence the total investment value will either be RM100 or RM120 (value of the investment plus option worth which can either be zero or RM20). But this strategy does not have the same value of MLMÊs share a year later which is RM120. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 135 Instead of investing in the present value of the exercise price (RM100/1.08), the company should invest in the present value of the lower share price at t = 1 (RM90/1.08). At maturity date, if MLMÊs share price is RM90, then the payoff will be RM90 even though the option is worthless. On the other hand, if the share price is RM120, then our investment will worth RM90 which is RM30 short (RM120 ă RM90). Since our option is worth RM20, we need to find out what is the hedge ratio that results in the strategy having the same value in the future, that is RM120, or otherwise arbitrage will exist. Hedge ratio is calculated as: S u S d 120 90 1.5 C u C d 20 0 To find out the option price today, we can apply this formula: S 0 C 0 X 1 r t Where, S 0 = Current price of MLM = Hedge ratio C 0 = Call option price X = Exercise price r = Risk free rate t = Time to maturity Plugging the above information in previous formula, the theoretical value of the option at time 0 is as follows: S 0 C 0 X 1 r t 100 1.5C 0 90 1 8% 1 1.5C 0 100 83.33 C 0 RM11.11 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 136 TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE Thus, the current value of the call option with an exercise price of RM100.00 is RM11.11 This is a simple example of the Binomial Option Pricing Model since the change in the share price occurs only once during the one year. The model above assumed that the MLM share does not pay any dividend and the option can only be exercised at expiration (European style). Nevertheless, this model can be modified to derive the price of the option that pays dividend as well as those options that can be exercised before or at maturity (American style). (c) Black and Scholes Option Pricing Model Black and Scholes (1973) introduced an option pricing model famously known as Black Scholes (BS) Model to calculate the theoretical value of European option for a share that does not pay any dividend during the life span of the option. There are five variables used in the valuation of the call option of the non-dividend paying share. They are: (i) The price of the underlying share ( S 0 ); (ii) Exercise price of the option (E ); (iii) The time remaining to the expiration of the call option (t); (iv) Risk-free interest rate (r); and (v) Volatility of the underlying share (s). The BS model is mathematically expressed as follows: CP S 0 N d 1 E N d 2 e rt S ln r 0.5s 2 t E d1 s t d 2 d1 s t Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 137 Where, CP = Price of call option S 0 = Current share price N d 1 & N d 2 = Values of cumulative standard normal distribution functions E = Exercise price of the call option e rt = Exponential function of continuously compounded risk-free rate of interest Illustration: To illustrate the BS option pricing formula, assume the following information is given: UV share price = RM47 Exercise price = RM45 Time left before maturity = 183 days Standard deviation (expected volatility) = 25 Risk-free rate = 10% Substituting the values above into the formula, we get: 2 47 ln 0.10 0.5 0.25 0.5 45 d1 0.6172 0.25 0.5 d 2 0.6172 0.25 0.5 0.4404 Values of d 1 and d 2 are interpolated using the Normal Distribution table that you can get from any investment books. N (0.6172) = 0.7315 N (0.4404) = 0.6702 (Note: Learners need to refer to the normal distribution table.) Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 138 TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE Thus the fair value of the call option is: C 47 0.7315 45 e 0.10 0.5 0.6702 RM5.69 If the call option is currently selling for RM8.00, then the trader should consider writing them. This is because the option is overpriced. The writer would make a profit from the difference between the premium received and the premium paid when he closed out the position later. On the other hand, if the call option is selling for RM2.00, then he should consider buying them. In this way, he can pay a premium of RM2.00 and when the price increase in value in the future, he could sell them at a higher price, making a profit on the difference. ACTIVITY 6.6 1. A put option expires in 6 months with an exercise price of $65 selling for $2.03. The stock is currently priced at $67, and the riskfree rate is 4.9% per year, compounded continuously. Calculate the price of a call option with the same exercise price. 2. A put option and a call option with an exercise price of $7.20 have 3 months expiration date. They are selling for $0.29 and $0.62 respectively. What is current price of the stock if the risk-free rate is 4.2% per year compounded continuously? 3. Use the BS model to find the value of a call option on the following share: Time to maturity = 6 months Standard deviation = 50% per year Exercise price = RM5.00 Share price = RM5.30 Interest rate = 10% Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 6 6.4 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 139 STOCKS AND BONDS OPTIONS In this subtopic, we will examine how stocks and bonds can be treated as options of a company. We will begin by discussing the firm (or company) value as a call option and then later explain how it can be viewed as a put option. (a) Firm Value from the Call Option Perspective (i) Stockholders A levered equity can be classified as a call option. The assets of the firm are the underlying asset and the exercise price is the amount invested (buy) which is the payoff of the bond. In this situation, we consider the bondholders as the owner of the firm and the stockholders have a call option on the firm with an exercise price. We will use the following scenario to have clearer explanation. Assume that the value of the firm is $750 and that when the bond matures, the firm value exceeds the bond value, say $1000. To the shareholders, the option is ITM and therefore they will exercise the option, that is, they will buy the firm and payoff the bondholders. Thus, their net cash flows are: Net Cash Flows = FirmÊs Cash Flow ă Exercise Price = 1000 ă 750 = 250 Then again, if the firmÊs cash flows are below the exercise price, then stockholders will not exercise the option and the bondholders would get the entire cash flow, that is, $750. (ii) Bondholders As for the bondholders, we can view them as the owner of the firm and the writer of the call option with the exercise of $750 (principal and interest amount). If the value of the firm (firmÊs cash flows) is below the exercise price ($750), the bondholders get $750 and keep the firm. Conversely, if the option is ITM, that is the value of the firm is greater than the exercise price, the bondholders have to sell the firm and receive $750. Let us now illustrate how the value of equity, value of debt and interest rate on debt are calculated if the equity is viewed as call option. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 140 TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE Example 3: Company XYZÊs assets are currently worth $1,020. In a yearÊs time, the assets will be worth either $1,000 or $1,250. The company has an outstanding debt with a face value of $1,000. It can invest at a risk-free rate of 5%. Remember when treating equity as call option, the value of debt is the exercise price (X), while the current value of the asset is S 0 and C 0 and represents the value of the equity. Using the formula, the value of the equity is: S 0 C 0 X 1020 1C 0 1000 1 r t S S d 1250 1000 1 u 250 0 C u C d 1 5% 1 C 0 1020 952.38 $67.62 Hence the value of the equity is $67.62. Since the value of the assets is the same as value of debt and value of equity, to solve for the value of debt: Value of Debt = Value of Assets ăîValue of Equity Value of Debt = $1020 ăî$67.62 = $952.38 Now since the value of the debt is $952.38 and its face value is $1000, therefore the interest rate is: Face Value 1 Value of Debt R $1000 1 $952.38 5.0% The interest rate is similar to the risk-free rate indicating that the debt has the same risk as those of risk-free rate instruments. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 6 (b) OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 141 Firm Value from the Put Option Perspective Can we also view the value of the firm as the put option? Yes, we can. (i) Stockholders As a put option, stockholders are considered as owners of the firm and they owe the bondholders both the principal and interest amount. In addition, they also own a put option on the firm with an exercise price. If the cash flows of a firm are less than $750, then the put option is ITM. Hence the stockholders sell the firm to the bondholders and since they owe the bondholders an amount of $750, therefore the debt is cancelled out. In sum, the stockholders have nothing if the cash flow is less than the exercise price. What happens if the cash flow is more than the value of the firm ($750)? Since we know that X > firm value, the put option is now outof-the money (OTM). Stockholders are not going to exercise their option and therefore will get to retain the firm. But in this case, the stockholders will need to pay the bondholders $750 for the amount owed to them. (ii) Bondholders Based on the put option perspective, the bondholders will write a put option on the firm to the stockholders who owe the bondholders the principal and interest amount. Thus, using the earlier, if the firm value is less than $750, the stockholders will find the option to be ITM and exercise their option rights. Bondholders are obligated to pay $750 for the firm. Since stockholders owe the bondholders the same amount, the two obligations are offset against each other. In contrast if the value of the firm is more than the exercise price of $750, the stockholders will do nothing and bondholders will receive $750 due to them. This relationship can simply be expressed as follows: Value of Risky Bond = Value of Riskless Bond ă Value of Put Option In sum, when viewing the stock and bond as options, we can equate this relationship with the relationship of the Put-call Parity as explained in the option pricing section, which is: C0 S0 P X 1 rf t Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 142 TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE Option is a contract that allows the buyer of the contract (holder) the right, but not the obligation, to sell (put) or buy (call) from the seller of the contract the contracted assets at a predetermined price. Buyer or holder of the option contract exercises the contract if it is in-the money (ITM). Buyer of the optionÊs profit is unlimited while seller of the option has limited profit. Buyer and the seller of the option enter into the contract based on their expectation of the market direction. Put-call Parity Theorem, Binomial Model and Black Scholes Model are used to price option premium. At-the-money (ATM) Organised exchange Call options Out-of-the money (OTM) Contract size Over-the-counter (OTC) market Derivatives Put options Exercise price Settlement price In-the-money (ITM) Standardised contract Intrinsic value Time value Options Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 6 OPTIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 143 Ali, R., Ahmad, N., & Ho, S. F. (2012). Introduction to Malaysian derivatives market (4th ed.). Shah Alam, Malaysia: UiTM Press. Black, F., & Scholes, Myron. (1973). The pricing of options and corporate liabilities. Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 637ă654. Bursa Malaysia. (2012). FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI options (OKLI) contract specification. Retrieved from http://bursa.listedcompany.com/newsroom/Media_Release_20120522.pdf Damodaran, A. (2001). Corporate finance: Theory and practice (2nd ed.). New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons. Gitman, L. J., & Zutter, C. J. (2015). Principles of managerial finance (14th ed.).Boston, MA: Pearson. Parrino, R., & Kidwell, M. (2011). Fundamental of corporate finance (2nd ed.). Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons. Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., Jaffe, J. F., & Jordan, B. D. (2011). Core principles and applications of corporate finance (3rd ed.). New York, NY: McGrawHill Irwin. Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., Jordan, B. D., Lim, J., & Tan, R. (2016). Fundamentals of corporate finance (Asia Global Edition, 2nd ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Irwin. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) Topic Warrants and 7 Convertible Bonds LEARNING OUTCOMES By the end of this topic, you should be able to: 1. Define warrants; 2. Distinguish between warrants and call options; 3. Discuss the valuation of warrants; 4. Describe convertible bonds and its valuation; and 5. Explain the reasons for the issuing of warrants and convertible bonds. INTRODUCTION This topic discusses warrants and convertible bonds, which are, varieties of hybrid securities. We will examine the difference between warrants and call options and how warrants are priced. Next, we will look at convertible bonds and explain how convertible bonds are valued. Last, but not least, we will explain why warrants and convertible bonds are issued. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 7 7.1 WARRANTS AND CONVERTIBLE BONDS 145 WARRANTS A warrant is a derivative instrument that provides the buyer an option to buy a specific number of shares of a company for a given period of time at a certain price (Fabozzi, 1999). A warrant is similar to taking a long call position. Normally, companies issue warrants as a package deal which are attached to the debt issuance. In Malaysia, a warrant is also referred to as Transferable Subscription Rights (TSRs). Warrants are detachable from the security instrument that it is attached to and, therefore, the holder can sell the warrant separately (Jones, 2000). Features of a Warrant A warrant has several features. These features will be explained using the following example: Example 1: Sparkling Diamond Company has warrants that allow the purchase of 5 shares of its outstanding common stock at $50 per share. The common stock price per share and the market value of the warrants, related to the stock price, are $58 and $48 respectively. The warrant will expire in 3 monthsÊ time. (a) Exercise Price This is the price at which the buyer of the warrant can purchase the new shares from the company. The exercise price of the warrant is usually higher than the market price of the common stock when it is issued, that is, 10 to 20% higher (Gitman & Zutter, 2015). The holder of the warrant will exercise the rights if the current market price of the shares is above the exercise price. For the above example the exercise price is $50 per share. (b) Conversion Ratio It is the number of warrants needed to purchase one new share at a specific exercise price. As for Sparkling Diamond CompanyÊs warrants, the conversion ratio is 5 shares of common stock for each warrant. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 146 TOPIC 7 WARRANTS AND CONVERTIBLE BONDS (c) Maturity Period All warrants have expiry dates. If the holder of the warrant fails to exercise the warrant within the stipulated time period, then the warrants will expire. The maturity period of Sparkling Diamond Company is 3 monthsÊ time from the date when the warrants were issued. ACTIVITY 7.1 AAA CompanyÊs common stock is selling for $45 per share. Its warrants to buy three shares of common stock at $40 per share are selling for $20. Determine the conversion ratio of the warrant. What is the exercise price of the warrant? SELF-CHECK 7.1 Explain the features of the warrant. 7.2 DIFFERENCES BETWEEN WARRANTS AND CALL OPTIONS As mentioned earlier, warrants and call options are similar because they allow the holder the right to exercise when the warrants or call options are ITM (Gitman & Zutter, 2015). Both have exercise prices and maturity dates. Although warrants are similar to call options, there are differences between these two types of hybrid securities. Table 7.1 displays the differences between warrants and call options. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 7 WARRANTS AND CONVERTIBLE BONDS 147 Table 7.1: Differences between Warrants and Call Options Features Warrants Call Options Time to Maturity Longer maturity date, usually between 3 months and 15 years. Shorter maturity date. Type Only call warrant, that allows the holder to buy certain number of shares. Two types of options: call and put. So, trader can both buy and write the options. Issuer Issued by the company of the underlying stock. Usually issued by exchange. Capital Structure Capital structure of the company changes when warrants are exercised. No effect on the capital structure of the company when it is exercise since it is not the company that issues options. Standardised Contract Contracts are customised and not standardised. Option contracts are standardised. ACTIVITY 7.2 Determine the types of warrants being traded in Bursa Malaysia. SELF-CHECK 7.2 Discuss the similarities and differences between warrants and options. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 148 TOPIC 7 WARRANTS AND CONVERTIBLE BONDS 7.3 WARRANT PRICING A warrant has market and theoretical value. The market value of a warrant is the current price of the warrant currently being traded in the market. Usually this value exceeds the theoretical value of the warrant. The theoretical value of a warrant refers to the value of the warrant that would be sold in the market (Jones, 2000). The theoretical value of a warrant can be mathematically expressed as: WTV S 0 X NS Where, WTV = Theoretical value of the warrant S0 = Current market price of a share X = Exercise price of the warrant NS = Conversion ratio When the market value of warrants (WMV) exceed the theoretical value of the warrants (WTV), then this is known as a warrant premium (Jones, 2000). This usually occurs because of the positive expectation that the investor has on the warrants as well as the leverage provided when trading in warrants relative to buying the common stock. Warrant Premium = WMV ă WTV Continuing with Example 1, the theoretical value of a warrant is therefore: WTV = (S 0 ă X) NS = ($58 ă $50) 5 = $40 Therefore the warrant premium is: Warrant Premium = WMV ă WTV = $48 ă $40 = $8 Notice warrantsÊ prices fluctuate between a minimum and maximum value. What is the minimum value of a warrant? Just like a call option, if the current market price of the common stock is below the exercise price of a warrant, then the minimum value of a warrant is zero. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 7 WARRANTS AND CONVERTIBLE BONDS 149 If Minimum Value of a Warrant = S 0 < X, then, Minimum value of a warrant is equal to 0 However, if the current market price of the common stock is above the exercise price of a warrant, the maximum value of the warrant will be the difference between the current market price and the exercise price times the conversion ratio (Gitman & Zutter, 2015). If Maximum Value of a Warrant = S 0 > X, then, (S 0 ă X ) NS Based on Example 1, what would be the value of the warrant? Here, we will have to compare the current market price of the share and the exercise price of the warrant. Since the current market price of Sparkling Diamond ($58) exceeds the warrant exercise price ($50), therefore: Maximum value of a warrant = ($58 ă $50) ï5 = $40 This is the actual theoretical value of the warrant. What happens if the current market price is $45? In this case, the warrant has a minimum value of zero since the current market price is lower than the warrant exercise price ($45 < $50). ACTIVITY 7.3 1. LLM issued a warrant with an exercise price of $20.00 and received a share of stock. Currently the price of the common share is $25.50 and the price of the warrant is $8.30. What is the value of the warrant? Calculate the warrant premium. 2. AAA companyÊs common stock is currently selling for $45 per share. Its warrants to buy three shares of common stock at $40 per share are selling for $20. Determine the warrant theoretical value. Is the warrant selling at premium? What happens if the AAAÊs share is selling for $30 per share and the price of the warrant is $5.00? Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 150 TOPIC 7 WARRANTS AND CONVERTIBLE BONDS SELF-CHECK 7.3 1. Explain the minimum and maximum value of a warrant. 2. What is the relationship between theoretical and market values of a warrant? 3. Discuss why warrant premiums exist. 7.4 CONVERTIBLE BONDS Convertible bonds are a type of equity-derivative security that gives an option to the investor to convert the bond into certain number of shares of common stock (Jones, 2000). Generally, convertible bonds are cheaper relative to straight bonds. It is categorised as a hybrid security since it has both the features of bonds and common stock (Gitman & Zutter, 2015). Convertible bonds have several features: (a) Conversion Ratio This refers to the ratio that enables the convertible bonds to be changed for certain number of shares. For example, let us assume that an investor has an outstanding $1,000 par value bond that is convertible into 20 shares of common stock, then, the conversion ratio is 20. (b) Conversion Price This is the par value of the convertible bond divided by the conversion ratio. Conversion Price Par Value Conversion Ratio Continuing the previous example, the conversion price is: Conversion Price $1000 $50 per share 20 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 7 (c) WARRANTS AND CONVERTIBLE BONDS 151 Conversion Value It is the value of the convertible bond based on the current market price of the common stock. It can be expressed as: Conversion Value = Conversion Ratio ïCurrent Market Price Assuming further that the current market price for the common stock is $55 per share, the conversion value is: Conversion Value = 20 $55 = $1100 Notice that since the conversion value ($1100) is higher than the par value of the convertible bonds ($1000), therefore the investor should consider converting the bonds into common stock. (d) Conversion Premium This is the point where the market value exceeds the conversion value of the convertible bonds. This is derived by subtracting the market price of the convertible bond from the conversion value. Conversion Premium = Market Price of Convertible ăîConversion Value Using our example earlier and assuming further that the market value of the bond is $990, the conversion premium is: Conversion Premium = $990 ăî$1100 = $110 ACTIVITY 7.4 Based on the following table, calculate the conversion price and value of the following convertible bonds. Par Value Conversion Ratio Conversion Price Market Price of Stock per Share 1000 30 $50 800 20 $38 1000 40 $12 1000 100 $30 Conversion Value Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 152 TOPIC 7 WARRANTS AND CONVERTIBLE BONDS 7.5 VALUE OF CONVERTIBLE BONDS Every convertible bond has a minimum (floor) value (Fabozzi, 1999). This minimum value is either the value of the straight bond or its conversion value. The value of the straight bond will be used as the minimum value of the convertible bond if the current market price of the common stock is lower than the conversion price (Gitman & Zutter, 2015). To illustrate how the value of the convertible bond is determined via the straight bond, the following example is used: Example 2: RJW Incorporated has an outstanding issue of convertible bonds with a $1,000 par value. The bonds are convertible into 40 shares of common stock. The bonds have a 11% annual coupon interest rate and a 20 year maturity. The interest rate on a straight bond of similar risk is 12%. The current market price of the common stock is $20 per share. To calculate the value of the convertible bond, you will need to use the discount rate of the straight bond of similar risk, that is, 12%. Therefore the value of convertible bond is: Value of Convertible Bond = Coupon Payment (PVIFA12%,20) + PV (PVIF12%,20) = (1000 ï11%) (7.4694) + 1000 (0.1037) = 821.64 + 103.67 = $925.31 Next, we need to determine the conversion value, this would be: Conversion Value = Conversion Ratio ïCurrent Market Price = 40 ï$20 = $800 Now since the conversion value is less than the value of the convertible bond ($800 < $925.31), with the current market price of $20 per share, the convertible bond would be sold for its straight value, that is, $925.31. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 7 WARRANTS AND CONVERTIBLE BONDS 153 Now what would happen, if the current market price of the share is $30? In this situation, the conversion value would be: Conversion Value = 40 $30 = $1200 This means that the convertible bond is at a premium and, therefore, it is expected to be sold at its conversion value, that is, $1200. ACTIVITY 7.5 1. Calculate the straight bond value for each convertible bond as follows: Convertible Bond Par Value Annual Coupon Interest Rate Interest rate on similar risk straight bond Years to Maturity K 1000 8% 10% 20 L 800 10% 12% 25 M 1000 12% 14% 15 N 1000 14% 16% 30 O 600 15% 17% 20 2. XYZ Company has an outstanding issue of 20 year convertible bonds with a $1,000 par value. These bonds are convertible into 50 shares of common stock. The bonds pay 11% annual coupon interest rate. The interest rate on straight bonds with similar risk is 15%. (a) Calculate the straight bond value of the convertible bond. (b) What are the conversion ratio and conversion price of the bond? (c) What is conversion value of the bond when the market price is $15, $18, $20, $25 and $30 per share? (d) Based on the answer in part (c), what would be the expected selling price of the convertible bonds? Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 154 TOPIC 7 WARRANTS AND CONVERTIBLE BONDS 7.6 REASONS FOR ISSUING OF WARRANTS AND CONVERTIBLE BONDS Why do you think a company issues warrants and convertible bonds? Table 7.2 provides several reasons for warrants and convertible bonds to be issued. Table 7.2: Reasons for Issuing Warrants and Convertible Bonds Warrants Convertible Bonds It provides investor the cheapest way of buying common shares. It has a unique feature, that is, investor can earn fixed income and an opportunity to exchange for common share when the price increases It gives leverage opportunity where investor can earn large gains (of course large losses too) but small capital investment. It provides downside protection because even though the share price declines, the convertible bond price will not decline below its straight bond value Price of the warrant appreciates more than common stock It enables investor to benefit from the increase in share price and the value of the convertible bond is worth the conversion price or more. Like a convertible bond, it provides downside protection where if the share price declines then the investor does not have to exercise the warrants and let the warrant expire. The yield of the convertible bond is worth more than the common share. It provides deferred equity financing. Similarly, convertible bond is a form of deferred equity financing. SELF-CHECK 7.4 1. How do you determine the value of convertible bond based on the straight bond? 2. The value of convertible bond can either be the value of the straight bond or the conversion value. Discuss this statement. 3. Explain the reasons for issuing of warrants and convertible bonds. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 7 WARRANTS AND CONVERTIBLE BONDS 155 Warrants and convertible bonds are forms of hybrid securities. Warrants are similar to stock rights. The exercise price of a warrant is the price at which the buyer can buy a certain number of common stocks. The minimum value of a warrant is the difference between the market price of common stock and exercise price of a warrant, or zero. Convertible bonds are a type of equity-derivative security that gives an option to the investor to convert the bond into certain number of shares of common stock. Minimum value of convertible bond is the conversion value or the value of the straight bond. Common shares Market value of warrants Conversion premium Minimum value of a convertible bond Conversion price Minimum value of a warrant Conversion ratio Options Conversion value Straight bond Convertible bonds Theoretical value of warrants Exercise price Warrant premium Hybrid securities Warrants Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 156 TOPIC 7 WARRANTS AND CONVERTIBLE BONDS Fabozzi, F. J. (1999). Investment management (2nd ed.). Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall. Gitman, L. J., & Zutter, C. J. (2015). Principles of managerial finance (14th ed.). Boston, MA: Pearson. Jones, C. P. (2000). Investments: Analysis and management (7th ed.). New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) Topic Leasing 8 LEARNING OUTCOMES By the end of this topic, you should be able to: 1. Describe the different types of leases; 2. Differentiate between leveraged, sale-leaseback and tax-oriented leases; 3. Discuss the reasons for leasing; 4. State the criteria for lease payments to be considered as tax shields; and 5. Evaluate the decision to lease or buy assets. INTRODUCTION Leasing is another form of hybrid security, similar to convertible securities and warrants. Under certain circumstances, companies prefer to lease instead of buy assets. Lease involves a contract between a lessor and a lessee to let the lessee use the asset at a stipulated period of time (lease period) in exchange for certain series of payments (lease rentals) (Srivastava & Misra, 2008). The following is an example of a leasing company in Japan venturing its business abroad. Mitsubishi UFJ Lease and Finance Company Limited started its business in April 1971 and is involved in the lease, instalment sales and financing business. It was reported in Nikkei Asian Review on August 3, 2016 that the company will join venture with Hitachi Capital to set up a leasing business in Mexico in 2017. The business venture attempts to seize opportunity to capitalise on MexicoÊs growing automotive industry. Adapted from: Nikkei Asian Review (2016) Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 158 TOPIC 8 LEASING Figure 8.1: Relationship between lessor and lessee Notice the distinct difference between leasing versus buying. As displayed in Figure 8.1, leasing isolates the ownership of the asset from the usage of the assets. The lessor owns but does not use the assets, while the lessee has no ownership on the assets but uses the assets. In contrast, when we buy the assets, both the ownership and usage of the assets belong to the buyer of the assets. Before discussing the rationale for companies to lease instead of buy assets, we will first explain in the next subtopic the types of leases available. ACTIVITY 8.1 Can you identify companies in Malaysia that are into the leasing business? Discuss the rationale for companies to lease from those identified companies instead purchasing the assets. 8.1 TYPES OF LEASES Generally, leases can be classified as operating leases and financial leases (see Figure 8.2). These two types of leases will be further explained in the following subtopics. Figure 8.2: Types of leases Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 8 8.1.1 LEASING 159 Operating Leases An operating lease is a contractual agreement between lessor and lessee to allow the lessee to use the assets for certain years in return for periodic payments to the lessor. Typically the total payments over the lease term are below the initial cost of the leased asset. Examples of industries that use operating leases are the technology industry (computers), airline industry and transportation industry (monorails). The characteristics of operating leases include the following: (a) The lessee can cancel the contract but at a certain penalty price. (b) Assets under this type of leases have longer usable life than the term of the lease. (c) Duration is shorter than the financial leases. (d) Once the leasing contract expires, the lessee has the choice either to purchase the assets or renew the leasing contract with the lessor. (e) Assets price being sold to the lessee is usually less than the initial purchase price paid by the lessor. (f) Insurance, taxes and maintenance are borne by the lessor. 8.1.2 Financial Leases Financial leases or also known as capital leases have a longer duration relative to operating leases. It involves the leasing of land, large pieces of equipment used in the construction of offices, mining and buildings. This type of leasing is recorded in the balance sheet of the company and assets value is depreciated over the duration of the assets. Similar to debt financing, default in the periodic payments can lead to the lessee being bankrupt. The characteristics of financial leases are as follows: (a) The lessee cannot cancel the contract unless with a penalty. (b) Assets under this type of leases have longer usable life than the term of the lease, that is, must be 75% or more of the economic life of the asset. (c) Duration is longer than the operating leases and the assets are fullyamortised. (d) Lessee can take ownership of the assets when the contract matures. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 160 TOPIC 8 LEASING (e) Lessee can buy the assets below the market price. (f) Insurance, taxes and maintenance are borne by the lessee. There are several forms of financial leases. The most common forms of financial leases are as shown in Figure 8.3. Figure 8.3: Forms of financial leases Table 8.1 explains further about the three common forms of financial leases. Table 8.1: Descriptions of the Three Forms of Financial Leases Forms Leveraged Leases Descriptions • It involves one or more third-party lenders. • Lessor buys the assets through borrowing on the non-recourse basis. • Usually lender has 80% equity on the cost of assets, while lessor has the remaining balance. • If lessor defaults payments, lender recovers the amount from the lessee not the lessor. • Leverage leases are tax-oriented. Tax-oriented Leases • Lessee enters into this contractual agreement when he is not able to have tax savings if he owns the assets. • Lessor is the owner for the tax-purposes. • Through the lessor, lessee can have lower lease payments when lessor enjoys tax savings from owning the assets. Sale-leaseback • Here, the lessee sells the assets to the lessor and then leases it back. • In this situation lessee receives payment for selling the assets and also proceed to use the assets for a fixed periodic payments made to lessor. • The reason for such arrangement is because lessee needs capital to operate the business. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 8 8.1.3 LEASING 161 Rationale for Leasing By now, you may have guessed the reasons for company to lease instead of buy the assets. We are going to list some of the reasons and let us see if those reasons are similar with what you have: (a) Lessee is not tied with the assets that are only used for certain period of time. (b) Leasing provides tax shields. (c) Leasing is cheaper than buying the asset. (d) Lessee faces less restriction when leasing relative to financing through debt. ACTIVITY 8.2 Based on Activity 8.1, explain the types of leases that these companies are involved in. SELF-CHECK 8.1 1. Explain what is leasing and why do companies prefer to lease. 2. Explain the different types of leases and discuss how they are different from each other? 3. Distinguish between leveraged, sale-leaseback and tax-oriented leases. 8.2 ACCOUNTING AND LEASING Prior to November 1976, leasing activities were considered as off-balance-sheet financing (Ross, Westerfield, Jordan, Lim & Tan, 2016). However, after the introduction of Financial Accounting Standards No. 13 (FASB 13) in November 1976 and later the International Accounting Standard 17 (IAS 17) in 1982, financial leases are required to be disclosed in the balance sheet. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 162 TOPIC 8 LEASING Table 8.2 demonstrates how the buying, operating lease and financial lease of a company will appear in the balance sheet statement. Table 8.2: Treatment of Leasing on the Balance Sheet A. Company Buys The Assets Through Debt Tower cranes 250,000 Other assets 300,000 Total assets $550000 Debt 250,000 Equity 300,000 Total debt and equity $550,000 B. Company Uses Operating Lease Tower cranes 0 Other assets 300,000 Total assets $300000 Debt 0 Equity 300,000 Total debt and equity $300,000 C. Company Uses Financing Lease Tower cranes 250,000 Assets under financial lease 300,000 Total assets 550000 Debt 250,000 Equity 300,000 Total debt and equity 550,000 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 8 LEASING 163 As illustrated in Table 8.1, in case A, the company purchases the tower cranes amounting to $250,000 through debt financing. In this situation, both the borrowing and the assets bought are reported in the balance sheet. As for case B, the company decided to finance the tower cranes using an operating lease. Under the FASB 13 and IAS 17, the company does not have to disclose the operating lease on the balance sheet but rather to footnote the transaction. Thus, in case B, the balance sheet will not report the transaction related to the tower cranes as well as the present value of the lease payments for the tower cranes or the cost of the cranes (the liability). However, in case C, since the company uses financial leasing for the tower cranes, the accounting procedure is to report the tower cranes as assets and the present value of the leases payments or the cost of the cranes as a liability on the balance sheet statement. This is because financial leases must be „capitalised‰ (Ross et al., 2016). The present value payments of the lease are usually 90% of the market value of the asset when the lease commences. ACTIVITY 8.3 As a financial manager of Bigg Biz Corporation, you are asked by the CEO to explain with examples how to report balance sheet transactions of the equipment that the company intends to finance by: (a) Debt; (b) Operating lease; and (c) Financial lease. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 164 TOPIC 8 LEASING 8.3 TAXES AND LEASES Lease payments are tax-deductible. As mentioned earlier, one of the reasons for using a tax-oriented lease is to enjoy the tax benefits gained from leasing. Nevertheless, the company will have this benefit if the assets being leased are for business purposes. For the tax authority, several criteria must be met before the lease payments are considered to be tax shields: (a) Lease schedule payments must not be very high at the beginning of the lease term and then lower payment towards the end of the lease term. (b) Lessor must be able to make profits before income taxes. (c) In the contract, the selling price of the asset at the end of the lease term must not be lower than the market price at the end of the lease term to avoid lessee having equity interest on the assets. (d) The lease term must be 80% of the economic life of the asset. (e) If the lessee decides to renew the contract, the lease payments must reflect the market value when it is renewed. SELF-CHECK 8.2 1. Discuss why tax authorities are interested to know whether the lease is either for business or non-business purposes. 2. Explain the criteria to be met before the lease payments have tax shields. 8.4 NPV ANALYSIS: LEASE VERSUS BUY DECISION How does a company make a decision either to buy or lease an asset? Well, usually this decision requires the use of the capital budgeting method which we have discussed in Topic 2. To begin with, we will use Example 1 to show step-bystep how the decision either to lease or buy the asset is made. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 8 LEASING 165 Example 1: Let us assume that Xcel Medical Laboratory Corporation is evaluating two options: Option 1: The 5-year life medical care health X-ray machine costs $150,000. The machine is depreciated using MACRS method. The annual interest payment is $39,570. The firm will pay $10,000 per year for the maintenance costs. Option 2: The company can lease the medical care health X-ray machine under a 5 year payments of $38,000. Lessor will bear the maintenance costs of $10,000, while the insurance and other costs are paid by the lessee. When the contract matures lessee has the option to buy the machine at $30,000. The tax rate is 35% and interest cost is 10%. Hence what would be the best decision for the company? Should it take option 1 or option 2? Now, let us look into the steps on how the decision either to lease or buy the asset is made: (a) Step 1: Determine the after-tax cash outflows (CFO) and present value cash outflows for each year under the lease option. In this step, the annual lease payments will be adjusted for tax and also the cost of buying the machine when lease term ended is included. Table 8.3 provides the calculation of the after-tax cash outflows for lease option. Table 8.3: After-tax Cash Outflows for Lease Payment A B C D E F End of the Year Lease Payment Tax @ 0.35 (B 0.35) After-tax CFO (B ă C) PVIF @ 7% PV after-Tax CFO (D E) 1 38,000.00 13,300.00 24,700.00 0.9390 23,192.49 2 38,000.00 13,300.00 24,700.00 0.8817 21,776.98 3 38,000.00 13,300.00 24,700.00 0.8278 20,447.87 4 38,000.00 13,300.00 24,700.00 0.7773 19,199.88 5 38,000.00 13,300.00 24,700.00 0.7299 18,028.06 30,000.00* 30,000.00 0.7299 21,896.43 Total PV CF $124,541.71 5 *Cost of buying the machine at end of lease term Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 166 TOPIC 8 LEASING Once you have calculated the after-tax cash outflows of lease payment, the next step is to discount the cash out flows using the after-tax cost of debt of 6.5%. The rate is obtained by multiplying the interest rate with (1 ă tax rate), which is 10% (1 ă 0.35%). Based on this calculation, the total present value after-tax cash outflows for lease option is $124,541.71. (b) Step 2: Determine the after-tax cash outflows (CFO) and present value cash outflows for each year under the buying option. Under this buying option, company makes a loan to purchase the machine. Before deriving the after-tax outflows of loan payment, the loan payment of $39,570 must be adjusted for maintenance costs, depreciation and interest costs and the tax shields. Table 8.4 provides the calculation for the principal and interest payments of the loan. Table 8.4: Calculation for Principal and Interest Payments for Loan A B C D E F End of the Year Loan Payments Beginning of Year Principal (F) Interest (C 10%) Principal (B ă D) End of Year Principal (C ă E) 0 0 0 0 0 150,000.00 1 39,570.00 150,000.00 15,000.00 24,570.00 125,430.00 2 39,570.00 125,430.00 12,543.00 27,027.00 98,403.00 3 39,570.00 98,403.00 9,840.30 29,729.70 68,673.30 4 39,570.00 68,673.30 6,867.33 32,702.67 35,970.63 5 39,570.00 35,970.63 3,597.06 35,972.94 ă2.31 Next we need to calculate the costs and tax shields involved for us to derive the adjusted after-tax cash outflows for loan payments. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 8 LEASING Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 167 168 TOPIC 8 LEASING Once the adjusted after-tax cash outflows are computed (refer to Table 8.5), we can now discount the cash outflows to get the present value after tax cash outflows of loan payments as shown in Table 8.6. Table 8.6: Present Value after Tax Cash Outflows for Loan Payments A B C D End of Year After-tax CFO PVIF @ 9% PV after Tax CFO (B ïC) 1 30,320.00 0.9390 28,469.48 2 24,879.95 0.8817 21,935.64 3 32,650.90 0.8278 27,030.01 4 37,366.43 0.7773 29,045.79 5 38,511.03 0.7299 28,108.46 TOTAL PV CFO 134,589.39 As presented in Table 8.6, the total present value cash outflows for loan payments are $134.589.39. Since we have already calculated the present value cash outflows for both lease and loan payments, we will proceed to Step 3 to make the decision. (c) Step 3: Compare the present value of cash flows for lease payments and loan payments and choose the lowest cost of financing Since the present value of cash outflows for leasing ($124,541.71) is less than the cost of buying ($134,589.39) the machine, therefore the lease option is preferable (refer to Table 8.7). In fact, the lease option has resulted in the company having incremental savings of $10,047.68. Table 8.7: Comparison between PV Cash Outflows of Lease and Loan Payments PV CFO Difference Lease Payments Loan Payments 124,541.71 134,589.39 ($10,047.68) Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 8 LEASING 169 ACTIVITY 8.4 1. Answer the following questions based on Example 1: (a) Calculate the after-tax cash outflows associated with each option. (b) What are the present values of each cash outflows, using the after-tax-cost of debt? (c) Is your decision similar with the decision made for Example 1? Why? 2. Explain the difference between calculating the after-tax cash outflows for leasing versus buying an asset. 3. The following table presents the lease payments and terms of three companies. Each company is in the 28% tax bracket and all payments are made at the end of the year. Calculate the yearly after-tax cash outflows for each company. 4. Company Annual Lease Payment Term of Lease D 100,000 15 N 72,000 12 A 65,000 10 ID Sonar Corporation needs to expand its business. To do so, the company must buy a new research equipment costing $80,000. The machine can be leased or bought. The after-tax cost of debt is 8%. The terms of the purchase and lease plan are: Lease: The end of the year lease payments are $19,000 over the 5 years. All maintenance costs will be paid by the lessor; insurance and other costs will be borne by the lessee. The lessee will exercise its option to buy the equipment for $20,000 when the terms ended. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 170 TOPIC 8 LEASING Purchase: The company will have to pay $80,000 if it decides to buy the equipment. The purchase of the equipment will be finance with a 5 year, 12% loan and the equal instalment payments are $22,192.78. The equipment is depreciated using MACRS 5-year recovery period. The company is required to pay $2,000 per year for a service contract that includes all maintenance costs. The equipment will be used by the company after its 5 year recovery period. Which alternative (lease or purchase) would you propose to the company? Justify your answer. • Leasing is another form of hybrid security, besides convertible securities and warrants. • There are two types of leasing: operating and financial leasing. • There are three types of financial leases; leveraged, sale-leaseback and taxoriented leases. • FASB 13 provides guidelines as to how financial leases are being treated in the balance sheet. • Company can benefit from tax saving if the lease is meant for business purposes. • The advantages and disadvantages of leasing versus buying should be considered when making decision • A company can evaluate whether to lease or buy the asset by calculating the after-tax cash outflows of both options. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 8 After-tax cash outflows Leasing FASB Statement No. 13 Loan payments Financial leasing Operating leasing LEASING 171 Lease payments (FASB). Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 13 (FASB 13). Retrieved from http://www.fasb.org/jsp/FASB/Document_C/DocumentPage?cid=12182 20124481&acceptedDisclaimer=true Financial Accounting Standards Board Gitman, L. J., & Zutter, C. J. (2015). Principles of managerial finance (14th ed.). Boston, MA: Pearson. International Accounting Standards Committee. (1982). International Accounting Standard 17 (IAS 17: Leases). Retrieved from http://www.iasplus.com/en/standards/ias/ias17 Nikkei Asian Review. (2016, August 3). MUFG, Hitachi units plan leasing service in Mexico. Retrieved from http://asia.nikkei.com/Japan-Update/MUFGHitachi-units-plan-leasing-service-in-Mexico Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., Jordan, B. D., Lim, J., & Tan, R. (2016). Fundamentals of corporate finance (Asia Global Edition, 2nd ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Irwin. Srivastava, R., & Misra, A. (2008). Financial management. New Delhi, India: Oxford University Press. Continuing the previous example, the conversion price is:Next, we need to determine the conversion value, this would be: Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) Topic Merger and 9 Acquisition LEARNING OUTCOMES By the end of this topic, you should be able to: 1. Define mergers and acquisitions; 2. Describe the different types of mergers and acquisitions; 3. Differentiate between mergers and acquisitions; and 4. Evaluate the benefits of a merger. INTRODUCTION How many of you have come across such headlines either on the Internet or newspaper related to Figures 9.1 and 9.2? Merger and acquisition exercises are nothing new in the business world. In fact, mergers and acquisitions happen globally. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 9 MERGER AND ACQUISITION 173 Figure 9.1: News headline related to mergers and acquisitions Source: http://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2016/01/23/mergersand-acquisitions/ Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 174 TOPIC 9 MERGER AND ACQUISITION Figure 9.2: Headlines related to mergers and acquisitions on Financial Post Source: http://business.financialpost.com/tag/mergers-and-acquisitions Graham, Smart and Megginson (2010) defined a merger as a transaction where two or more companies combine into a single entity. Acquisition is referred to as the buying of additional resources by a company. This buying transaction can be in the form of buying new assets, some of another companyÊs assets or perhaps even the whole company. Note that acquisitions can also occur through buying of shares of the target company. Normally companies have their own motives for going through the merger and acquisition process. This topic examines the basic forms of acquisitions, discusses whether acquisitions create synergy and where this synergy can be obtained. In addition, the net present value (NPV) of a merger is also explained. Table 9.1 explains the merger and acquisition methods. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 9 MERGER AND ACQUISITION 175 Table 9.1: Merger and Acquisition Methods Merger Acquisition via Stock Acquisition via Assets There must be approval from at least two-thirds of shareholders for merger to happen There is no requirement for shareholders to vote for or against acquisition It involves formal voting from shareholders of the selling firm Merger results in full acquisition of the other company. This involves only partial overtake initial and perhaps eventually complete merging exercise Acquisition through assets may lead to transfer of titles individual assets. For merger to happen, the acquired company must have consent from the target company. Sometimes the consent of the target company is not required. This method does not result in the target company to be out of the „picture‰ and will not exist if shareholders decide to sell their shares. In most instances, it is a friendly merger. Acquisition is usually hostile where the acquired company faced resistance by target company. Source: Ross, Westerfield, Jordan, Lim & Tan (2016) Can you now see the differences between mergers and acquisitions? Good, now we will move on to discuss the different forms of acquisitions. ACTIVITY 9.1 Browse through the Internet and identify companies in Malaysia that have gone through the merging and acquisition process for the past five years. (a) Explain if it is a merger or acquisition through assets or cash. (b) Discuss whether those companies have emerged to be more successful financially and strategically or otherwise. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 176 TOPIC 9 MERGER AND ACQUISITION 9.1 BASIC FORMS OF ACQUSITIONS How does acquisition take place? There are three different forms of acquisitions (see Figure 9.3). Figure 9.3: Three forms of acquisitions The three forms of acquisitions can be described as follows: (a) Horizontal Acquisition Horizontal acquisition occurs within the same industry, for example, it occurs when an automobile company X buys assets from another automobile company Y. (b) Vertical Acquisition This is when an acquiring company buys the target company which either is the supplier for the company or the distributor for the company. For instance KFC Holdings may acquire a poultry company that formerly supply chickens for its fast food business. (c) Conglomerate Acquisition This is an acquisition where the bidder company takeover the target company that are not related to the business that the bidder company is involved in. In other situations, companies may decide to enter into a strategic alliance without going through mergers or acquisitions. These companies simply work together to benefit from each other competencies. Examples would be Fuji and Xerox as well as Proton and Mitsubishi. However such alliances may end up being either acquired or merged. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 9 9.1.1 MERGER AND ACQUISITION 177 Motives for Acquisition A company engages in acquisition exercises for several reasons. These reasons are: (a) To Gain Higher Revenue When two companies merge as one entity, the revenues generated are more than if both companies were independent companies. Greater revenue can be realised through: (i) Strategic Advantage Sometimes a company acquires another company because the target company has valuable assets like trademarks, distribution systems, brand loyalty and the like. Through acquisition, the bidder company do not have to start from scratch. (ii) Market Power Certain companies have market power advantage over its competitors. When a company merges or acquires another company, it is able to expand its market shares. This will improve its profit and at the same time reduce competition. (iii) Marketing Benefits In this situation, acquisition occurs because the bidder finds that it is weak in its marketing segment and has been losing sales due to this weakness. Acquiring a target company that has those marketing expertise could save the acquired company money and time. (b) Minimise Costs A company may find it worthwhile to acquire another company, if the acquisition exercise is able it to attain cost efficiency. Cost minimisation can be achieved through: (i) Economies of Scale For instance, a manufacturing company acquires a target company that has well equipped warehouses. By sharing the facility, the company is able to spread its overhead costs. (ii) Complementary Resources Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan (2011) pointed out that a company can gain through acquisition when the target company can complement the resource or capability that the acquired company may be lacking. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 178 TOPIC 9 MERGER AND ACQUISITION (c) Lower Taxes Another motive for company to acquire another company is due to tax gains. This can be possible through the use of tax losses, unused debt capacity, surplus funds and through assets depreciation (Ross et al., 2016). 9.1.2 Friendly versus Hostile Takeovers Sometime mergers and acquisitions take place without the consent of the target companies. This is known as hostile takeovers (Ross et al., 2011). This usually gets messy with the management of the target company resisting the takeover and trying to influence the shareholders not to accept the takeover exercise. In other cases, it could result in prolonged court cases. The various techniques used by resisting target company is to amend the corporate charters and make it difficult for the acquiring company to takeover. Another way is for the management of target company to try to force the acquiring company to enter into an agreement that limits its control in the target company. This is referred to as standstill agreement (Gitman & Zutter, 2015). ACTIVITY 9.2 1. Based on Activity 9.1, explain the forms of acquisitions that are involved by those identified companies and discuss the motives for going through such methods. 2. Your friend argued that the term merger and acquisition can be used interchangeably. Do you agree with him? Why or why not? SELF-CHECK 9.1 1. Discuss the different form of acquisitions. 2. Explain why companies decide to go for mergers and acquisitions. 3. What are some techniques used by management of a target company to avoid being acquired? Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 9 9.2 MERGER AND ACQUISITION 179 SYNERGY How does a merger create synergy? For us to determine if a particular merger creates synergy, we need to find out the relevant incremental cash flows (Ross et al., 2011). We will use Example 1 to illustrate how synergy is generated from acquisition. Example 1: Assume that X Inc. is considering acquiring Y Company. Let us say the value of X Inc. is VX, while the value of Y Company is VY. Now, the merger is worthwhile if the value of the merging company is greater than the value of each company, that is: VXY > VX + VY Thus, the incremental value is: V = VXY ă (VX + VY) A positive V leads to the creation of synergy as a result of merger. In short, if the merger takes place, Opal Inc. will receive the value of Emerald Company worth (WVY): WVY = V + VY Now, using Example 1, let us compute the value of synergy attained through the merger. We further assume that both these companies are all-equity companies with after tax cash flows of $300 per year. After the merger, the merged firm has an after tax cash flow of $675 per year. Both have an overall cost of capital of 15%. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 180 TOPIC 9 MERGER AND ACQUISITION Now, let us analyse Example 1 further by answering the following questions: (a) Does the Merger Generate Synergy? Plugging the figures given before: V XY V X VY $300 $300 0.15 0.15 V X VY $2, 000 $2, 000 $4, 000 V XY $675 $4, 500 0.15 Hence, this merger has created synergy, since VXY > VX + VY. (b) What is the Incremental Net Gain? V = VXY ă (VX + VY) Putting the figures, V = $4,500 ă ($4,000) = $500 Based on the above calculation, the incremental net gain from the merger is $500. (c) What is the Value of Y Company to X Inc.? WVY = V + VY = $500 + $2000 = $2500 The value of Y Company to X Inc. is $2,500. The sources of synergy gain from acquisitions are operational, managerial and financial synergy. Operational synergy arises from the economies of scale and resource complementaries. On the other hand, managerial synergy is the result of capitalising on the strengths and expertise of management teams (Graham et al., 2010. SELF-CHECK 9.2 Explain how synergy is created through mergers. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 9 MERGER AND ACQUISITION 181 ACTIVITY 9.3 Opal Inc. wishes to acquire Diamond Inc. The after cash flow of the respective company is $100 per year for Opal and $120 per year Diamond. The cash flow is for infinity. Both have cost of capital of 10%. The value of merger is $320 per year. (a) What is the value of each company? (b) What is the incremental net gain? (c) Is synergy generated from the merger? Why? (d) What is the value of Diamond to Opal Inc.? 9.3 THE NET PRESENT VALUE OF A MERGER It is found that mergers and acquisitions happen mostly during financial and economic downturns since the target companies are usually in financial distress and have lower market value (Gitman & Zutter, 2015). As a consequence, acquiring companies have higher net present values (NPVs). To clearly demonstrate how this could happen, let us use Example 2. Example 2: Consider that an acquiring firm, G is about to acquire a target firm, K. Table below provides the premerger information of both companies. For now, we will assume that these firms are all equity based. Table 9.2: Premerger Information of Companies G and K Firm G (Acquiring Firm) K (Target Firm) Shares outstanding 350 shares 150 shares $30 $20 Price per share Acquisition via cash Synergy value $22 per share $6000 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 182 TOPIC 9 MERGER AND ACQUISITION Calculating the Net Present Value (NPV) of Merger Now, the NPV of the merger is the difference between the synergy of the merger and the premium paid to the target firm (Ross et al., 2016), that is: NPV = V ă Premium Where, premium is derived as the sum paid to the target firm over and above before the merger, that is: Premium = Amount paid to target firm Value of target firm Putting the formula together, the NPV of the merger is: NPV = V ă Premium = VGK ă (VG + VK) ă (Amount paid to G ă VK) = îVGK ă VG ă Amount paid to G Earlier, we did mention that acquisitions can be done through cash or stock. First, we will learn how to calculate the NPV of the merger if it is a cash acquisition, than if it is a stock acquisition. (a) Cash Acquisition (i) NPV of the Merger NPV = V ă Premium = $6000 ă [($(22 ă 10) ï(150)] = $6000 ă $1800 = $4,200 Thus, the acquisition is considered to be profitable. (ii) Price Per Share of the Merger = VGK/No of Shares VGK = VG ă NPV of Merger = $30(350) ăî$4,200 = $6,300 Price per share = $6, 300 = $18 per share 350 Note that cash acquisition will result in target firm, K receiving cash for its stock and has no part in the company G. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 9 (b) MERGER AND ACQUISITION 183 Stock Acquisition When it involves stock acquisition, the target firmÊs shareholders will be the new shareholders of the merged firm. Thus, the value of the merged firm is: (i) What is the Value of the Merged Firm? VXY = VX + VY + V = 350($30) + 150($10) + 6,000 = $10,500 + $1,500 + $6,000 = $18,000 (ii) What then would be the Shares Given to the Target Firm and the Total Share Price of the Merged Firm? The following formula can be used to calculate it: Shares given to Target Firm V Price per Share of Acquiring Firm $6, 000 $30 200 shares Total Post Merger Shares = 350 + 200 = 550 shares Post-merger share price V XY Total Post Merger Shares $18, 000 $50 $33.00 (iii) How much does Acquiring Firm have to Pay to the Target Firm? Amount Paid to Target Firm New Shares V XY Total Post Merger Shares 200 $18, 000 $6, 545.45 550 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 184 TOPIC 9 MERGER AND ACQUISITION (iv) What is the Merger Premium? Merger Premium = Amount Paid to Target Firm ăîVY = $6,545.45 ă (150 $10) = $5,045 (v) What is the NPV of the Merger? NPV = Vîă Premium = $6,000 ăî$5,045 = $955 Notice, firm X has initially 350 shares worth $30 per share. With the merger, the NPV is $955. This indicates that the value of each share has increased by approximately $3 ($955/350 shares). This has been shown through the calculation of the post-merger share price. Does it matters if it is a cash acquisition or a stock acquisition? Ross et al. (2016) argued that there is a difference between the two. Table 9.3 explains how sharing gains, control and taxes are affected if it is a cash acquisition or a stock acquisition. Table 9.3: Differences between Cash Acquisition and Stock Acquisition Features Cash Acquisition Stock Acquisition Sharing the benefits of acquisition gains Shareholders of the acquiring company do not have to share acquisition gains since no exchange of shares are involved. Cost is higher since shareholders of the acquiring company must share the gains benefitted from acquisition with the target company. Control No control issue arises on the acquiring company Involves control of the merged company since the shareholders of the target company hold the shares of the merger company and has the voting rights Taxes Since acquisition is paid using cash, therefore the transaction is taxable. On the other hand, acquisition using stocks is tax-free. SELF-CHECK 9.3 Discuss how the calculation of NPV of a merger would differ if it is cash acquisition and stock acquisition. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 9 MERGER AND ACQUISITION 185 ACTIVITY 9.4 Company K is acquiring company M. The information for all-equity companies are given in the following table. Firm K M Shares outstanding 3000 1500 Price per share $30 $20 Acquisition via cash $22.00 Synergy value $8,000 (a) If company K decides to acquire company M using cash, do you think that the acquisition is worthwhile? Why? (b) What is the NPV of the merged company if the acquisition is through stock? 9.4 DUBIOUS REASONS FOR MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS There are instances where you may realise that the mergers and acquisitions that occur among companies appear to be dubious. Some of the dubious reasons for mergers and acquisitions are: (a) Earnings per Share (EPS) Earnings per share (EPS) of a merged firm can appear to grow once acquisition exercise has taken place. However, in actual fact, this is not necessarily true. Whether the EPS grows, or not, will largely depend on the ratio of exchange and the EPS before merger of respective companies. Gitman and Zutter (2015) summarise the effect of price earnings ratio (PER) with EPS after merger takes place (refer to Table 9.4). Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 186 TOPIC 9 MERGER AND ACQUISITION Table 9.4: Effects of PER with EPS after Merger Relationship between PER paid and PER of Acquiring Company Effect on EPS Acquiring Company Target Company If PER paid greater than PER of acquiring company Decreases Increases If PER paid is equals to PER of acquiring company No changes No changes If PER paid less than PER of acquiring company Increases Decreases Source: Gitman & Zutter (2015) (b) Diversification In other situations, the company may decide to acquire other company simply because it wants to diversify. But diversification, as argued by Ross et al. (2016), does not enhance the value of the merged firm. For example, if company A decides to merge with company B, then the shareholders who own stocks of both companies have already diversified their investment portfolio. Furthermore, apart from investing in these two stocks, investors can also buy other stocks of different companies to diversify their risks and therefore the merging of two companies has no effect. SELF-CHECK 9.4 Explain the reasons why some merger or acquisition exercises are considered to be dubious. ACTIVITY 9.5 Your friend explains that there are no differences if acquisition is via cash or stock. Do you agree with your friend? Explain. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 9 MERGER AND ACQUISITION 187 • From time to time, a company may merge with or acquire another company. • Mergers and acquisitions can either be horizontal, vertical or conglomerate. • Company can acquire another company using cash or stocks acquisition. • A decision to go ahead with the merger will depend on whether it creates positive synergy, or not. There are differences between acquisitions using cash and stock in terms of sharing gains, control and taxes. Acquisition Net present value (NPV) Cash acquisition Stock acquisition Conglomerate acquisition Synergy Horizontal acquisition Vertical acquisition Mergers Graham, J., Smart, S., & Megginson, B. (2010). Corporate finance: Linking theory to what companies do (3rd ed.). Mason, OH: South-Western Cengage Learning. Gitman, L. J., & Zutter, C. J. (2015). Principles of managerial finance (14th ed.). Boston, MA: Pearson. Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., Jordan, B. D., Lim, J., & Tan, R. (2016). Fundamentals of corporate finance (Asia Global Edition, 2nd ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Irwin. Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., Jaffe, J. F., & Jordan, B. D. (2011). Core principles and applications of corporate finance (3rd ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Irwin. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) Topic International 10 Corporate Finance LEARNING OUTCOMES By the end of this topic, you should be able to: 1. Define the terms foreign exchange markets and rates; 2. Calculate the exchange rates between two currencies; 3. Identify the different currencies with forward rates; 4. Describe the purchasing power parity theory; 5. Discuss the relationship between spot rates, interest rates, inflation rates, forward rates and future spot rates; and 6. Explain the covered interest arbitrage. INTRODUCTION Corporate finance becomes more intricate when companies expand their businesses abroad. These companies are not only subjected to the local business rules and regulations but also foreign business rules and regulation, the volatility of foreign exchange rates, different tax structure, political risk and culture differences that could influence their corporate finance decision at international level. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 189 The following are stories of foreign business deals that went sour due to problems encountered when doing business abroad due factors mentioned previously. Stories of Multinational Companies Business Deals Abroad that have Financial Implications In 2008, MaxisÊs joint-venture with Indonesia counterpart, Lippo Group into a pay-TV business failed and was caught in a bitter legal battle. In 2016, Ford Motor Company announced that it has to cease business operations in Indonesia and Japan due to intense competition with other automotive companies and saw their market share shrinking. An Iranian razor manufacturer faced huge sales losses in Qatar when the company did not realise that the brand name „Tiz‰ which in Persian language means „sharp‰ has different meaning in Arabic language. „Tiz‰ was an Arabic slang for „buttocks‰ and when the Iranian company aggressively launched the products, it offended the Arabic speaking Qatarians. In mid-2015, due to surpluses of oil supply, oil and gas companies globally were badly affected when the oil prices plummeted from USD109.45 per barrel in 2012 to the lowest of USD49.49 per barrel in 2015. As a result oil producing countries like Venezuela, Kuwait faced sharp depreciation of their currencies relative to the other foreign currencies and affected the countriesÊ economy. Figure 10.1 presents the currency trend of the Malaysian ringgit against the US dollar from 2006 to 2016. As at 30 August 2016, the Malaysian ringgit was 4.08765 against the US dollar. The Malaysian ringgit depreciated to an all-time low of MYR4.71 in January of 1998 when it was badly hit by the currency crisis in 1997. This led the Malaysian government to take the initiative to peg the Malaysian ringgit to MYR3.800 against the US dollar. Although not as severe as the 1997 crisis, the country once again faced another currency crisis when the crude oil prices declined sharply in 2015 which led to the depreciation of Malaysian ringgit of MYR4.40 per USD. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 190 TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE Figure 10.1: Malaysian ringgit against USD from 2006 until 2016 Source: http://www.tradingeconomics.com/malaysia/currency What are the implications to corporations when they encounter such business events abroad especially when it relates to foreign currency? In this topic, we will examine the use of foreign exchange markets as a platform for doing business internationally as well as how the foreign exchange rates are quoted and affect business transaction. In addition, this topic discusses the theories used to determine exchange rate. ACTIVITY 10.1 Form a group of five and discuss the severity of the 1997 Currency Crisis, 2008 World Economic Crisis and 2015 Oil Crisis and how these crises affect the foreign exchange markets. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 10 10.1 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 191 FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS AND RATES Did you know that the foreign exchange market (FOREX) is the largest financial market in the world that operates 24 hours a day, 365 days a year? In January, 2015, the daily foreign exchange volumes were USD5.3 trillion. The foreign exchange market (FOREX) enables market participants to transfer purchasing power denominated in one currency to another, that is, to exchange one specific currency for another specific currency. Foreign exchange transactions are done over-the-counter (OTC) and do not have designated exchange market where buyers and sellers of foreign currency meet (Eiteman, Stonehill & Moffett, 2013). Rather, the FOREX market is a worldwide linkage of bank currency traders, non-bank dealers and FOREX market brokers who assist in trades connected with one another via a network of telephones, telex machines, computer terminals and automated dealing systems. The largest vendors for quote screen monitors used in trading currencies are Reuters, Telerate and Bloomberg. 10.1.1 FOREX Market Participants The FOREX market is a two-tier market made up of wholesale or interbank market and the retail or client market. FOREX market participants fall under five categories as shown in Figure 10.2. Figure 10.2: Five categories of FOREX market participants Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 192 TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE Now, let us read more about these categories of FOREX market participants: (a) International banks are the major participants of the FOREX market. Approximately, more than 700 banks worldwide are actively involved in foreign exchange transactions, willingly buying or selling foreign currency for their own accounts. These international banks serve their retail clients, the bank customers. (b) Bank customers namely multinational companies (MNCs), money market managers and private speculators or arbitrageurs trade in this market for their normal international business transaction or international investment in financial assets. (c) Non-bank dealers are employees of large non-bank financial institutions who trade directly in the interbank market for their foreign exchange needs in their own dealing rooms at the firmÊs premise. (d) FOREX brokers or dealers are involved in the FOREX market on behalf of their customers for a fee. (e) Central banks are also major players in the FOREX market by selling or buying currencies in an attempt to influence the price of currencies. Basically the foreign exchange markets are divided into spot market and forward market. Let us now discuss these two markets. 10.1.2 Spot Foreign Exchange Market The spot market is where foreign currencies are traded for immediate delivery. Usually, it takes two business days for the transaction to complete. Spot bid rates or spot ask rates are quoted between the customer and the bank when trading takes place in the spot foreign exchange market (Parrino & Kidwell, 2011). If you buy foreign currency from the bank or money changer, then the spot ask rate is quoted. On the other hand, if you sell foreign currency then the bank will quote you the spot bid rate. Bid-Ask Spread Banks normally give currency quotations in pairs because a dealer usually does not know whether a prospective customer is in the market to buy or sell a foreign currency. The first rate is the buy or bid price and the second is the sell or ask or offer price. Bid price is the price that banks are willing to buy and the ask price is the price that banks are willing to sell (Gitman & Zutter, 2015). Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 193 Now assume that you are given the following spot market quotation. How do you interpret the quotation? Spot Price: MYR4.0835 / 4.0885 Spot Price: 35 ă 85 The quotation above is an outright quotation where the bid and ask price of Malaysian ringgit (MYR) against US dollar (USD) are stated in full. The quotation amount, MYR4.0835 is the bid price (per USD) while MYR4.0885 is the ask price. In reality, currency dealers do not quote the full rate to each other. Instead, they quote only the last two digits of the decimal which is known as the small figure. Thus in our example, the US dollar would be quoted at 35 ăî85 as shown in the second row of the table above. The „4.08‰ is known as the big figure and currency dealers are expected to know what the „big figure‰ is on that particular trading day (Shapiro, 2005). Remember, banks will always buy low and sell high. Banks do not normally charge a commission on their currency transactions. They make profit from the spread between the buying and selling price that is known as the bid-ask spread. This spread is usually stated as a percentage cost of transacting in the FOREX market and is computed as follows: Percentage Spread Ask Price Bid Price 100 Ask Price Continuing with the same example given, the bid-ask spread for the spot market quotation for USD to MYR is: Percentage Spread MYR4.0885 MYR4.0835 100 0.12% MYR4.0885 Direct and Indirect Quotation Spot foreign currency prices are quoted via the direct or indirect basis. Direct quotation basis is where the exchange rate is quoted in home currency of one unit or 100 units of foreign currency (Eiteman et al., 2013). Normally, when you visit a particular country, for example, Singapore or the UK, you will find that the exchange rate of foreign currencies quoted at the money changers or the banks are displayed in its home currency against the foreign currencies. To the residents of that country, that is a direct quotation. Banks in most countries use a system of direct basis quotation when dealings with non-bank customers. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 194 TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE However to the non-residents of that country, the quotation is on an indirect basis. Banks in the UK, Australia, New Zealand and Ireland use a system of indirect basis quotation. An indirect basis quotation is a quotation that quotes foreign currency price of one unit or 100 units of home currency. Table 10.1 lists some of the countries that quote foreign currencies. Table 10.1: Countries that Quote Foreign Currencies Malaysia Singapore UK US MYR4.03 per USD SGD1.81 per GBP GBP0.73 per USD USD0.24 per MYR MYR5.45 per GBP SGD1.36 per USD GBP0.18 per MYR USD1.12 per EUR MYR3.01 per SGD SGD0.33 per MYR GBP0.55 per SGD USD0.73 per SGD American and European Terms When interbank trade involves the US dollars, these rates will be expressed in either American terms (number of US dollar per unit of foreign currency) or European terms (number of foreign currency units per US dollar) (Parrino & Kidwell, 2011). For example, for the quotation of US dollar and EUR: the American term would be EUR1 = USD1.12 and the European term would be USD1 = EUR0.8929. Taking an example from the Malaysian perspective, the direct quotation for the US dollar and Malaysian ringgit is USD1 = MYR4.03, while the indirect quotation is MYR1 = USD0.24. It should be noted that both the American and European term quotes and direct and indirect basis quotes are reciprocals of one another, that is: (a) 1/American quote = European quote; and 1/European quote = American quote. (b) 1/Direct quote 1/Indirect quote = Indirect quote; and = Direct quote. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 195 Note that when American terms are converted into European terms (that is, direct basis is converted into indirect basis), bid and ask quotes are reversed. The reciprocal of the American (direct) bid becomes the European (indirect) ask and the reciprocal of the American (direct) ask becomes the European (indirect) bid (refer to Table 10.2). Table 10.2: Direct and Indirect Currency Quotation Spot Price Direct/European Basis Indirect/American Basis MYR4.0835 (Bid) 1 USD0.24489 (Ask) 4.0835 MYR4.0885 (Ask) 1 USD0.24459 (Bid) 4.0885 Spot Price 35 ăî85 59 ăî89 ACTIVITY 10.2 If you are holidaying in Australia and you come across the following quotation AUD0.3245/MYR, what is the basis of that quotation? How much would be its reciprocal? Cross Rates The cross rate is the exchange rate between two currencies when they are quoted against one common currency (Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe & Jordan, 2011). For example, if USD to MYR is MYR4.0500 and GBP to MYR is 5.4500, therefore the cross rate of GBP to USD is: Cross Rate GBP1 MYR4.0500 GBP0.74312/USD MYR5.4500 USD1 You can also calculate the cross rate in terms of USD to GBP. However, the common practice among currency traders is to calculate the cross rate in the manner of stronger value currency against the weaker value currency. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 196 TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE Appreciation and Depreciation of Currency Value From time to time due to several factors, a particular countryÊs currency can depreciate or appreciate relative to another countryÊs currency. Depreciation is when there is a decline in a particular currencyÊs value against another currencyÊs value and appreciation is when there is an increase in a particular currencyÊs value against another currencyÊs value (Shapiro, 2005). For instance, when the US dollar depreciates against the Malaysian ringgit, this means that Malaysian ringgit is strengthening relative to the US dollar. How do you calculate the percentage change in the value of a foreign currency? This is done using the following formula: Percentage Current Spot Rate Old Spot Rate 100 Old Spot Rate Let us assume that on 1 January 2016, the Malaysian ringgit against US dollar is MYR4.00/USD and that on 31 December 2016, the new spot rate is MYR4.08/USD. Hence the percentage change in US dollar is: Percentage MYR4.08 / USD MYR4.00 / USD 100 = 2% MYR4.00 / USD This implies that the foreign currency (USD) has appreciated relative to the Malaysian ringgit by 2%. Note if it is a negative percentage change, then this indicates that the foreign currency has depreciated relative to the local currency. If you remember, we were discussing about how the appreciation or depreciation of foreign currency. When the spot rates fluctuate, the traders (buyers and sellers) of the foreign currency face a foreign exchange risk (exposure). The buyer of the foreign currency will make a foreign exchange profit when the foreign currency depreciates and will suffer a foreign exchange loss when it appreciates in value. Alternatively, the seller of the foreign currency will make a foreign exchange profit when the foreign currency appreciates, and will suffer a foreign exchange loss when it depreciates in value. The following example will illustrate what we mean: Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 197 Example 1 Suppose Mr Green, an exporter of medical gloves wants to buy the raw materials needs to manufacture his gloves from an importer in the US worth USD100,000. When he called the foreign exchange dealer last week, the rate quoted is MYR3.9000/USD. However, today he finds out that the exchange rate is MYR4.050. From the BuyerÊs Perspective Table 10.3 shows that if Mr Green bought USD100,000 last week, he has to pay MYR390,000 for the same amount. However, he has decided to wait and buy it today, during which, the USD has appreciated. As such, he has to pay MYR405,000 for buying USD100,000. In short, he has to pay additional MYR15,000 today and this is considered as a foreign exchange loss. Table 10.3: Foreign Exchange from the BuyerÊs (Mr GreenÊs) Perspective Time Exchange Rate Amount in MYR Last week MYR3.900/USD USD100,000 ïMYR3.9000/USD = MYR390,000 Today MYR4.050/USD USD100,000 ïMYR4.050/USD = MYR405,000 Difference MYR15,000 Now let us look from the perspective of the seller. From the SellerÊs Perspective If the seller is paid last week, then he will receive MYR390,000 for selling the USD100,000 worth of raw materials. On the other hand, if he is paid today, then he will receive MYR405,000 for selling the same amount of raw materials. This means that the seller receives more today in MYR (MYR 405,000 ăîMYR390,000 = MYR15,000) for selling the USD100,000. This is considered as a foreign exchange profit. Notice the situation is the opposite for the seller when USD depreciates in value. We will now proceed to discuss the other type of foreign exchange market, which is the forward market. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 198 TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 10.1.3 Forward Market A forward market is a contract made by the buyer and seller of foreign currency for future delivery (Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe, Lim & Tan, 2016). The contract is entered today and the rates used would be the forward rates quoted today depending on the forward period of the contract. The most common forward contracts are 30-day (1 month), 90-day (3 months) and 180-day (6 months). If a trader enters into a forward contract, the exchange rates used to settle his contract at maturity date will be the forward rate that he has entered earlier regardless of what the spot rate is on the maturity date. Thus, the trader will know in advance the amount that he has to pay or receive in his home currency when he buys or sells foreign currency. Therefore, forward contracts can be used as a hedge against foreign exchange risk. Referring to our earlier discussion on the spot market, the buyer of the foreign currency will face foreign exchange loss if foreign currency appreciates in value. As for the seller, he will suffer foreign exchange loss when the foreign currency depreciates in value. However, in the case of the forward contracts, since the forward rates entered will be the rates used in the settlement of the contract in the future, regardless of whether the spot foreign currency appreciates or depreciates in the future, the trader is not affected by the foreign exchange loss. We will demonstrate how this is possible using Example 2. Example 2 Assume today is 9 September 2016 and CIMB Bank quoted the USD to Malaysian ringgit as follows: (a) Spot rate = USD/MYR4.0835/85 (b) 1 month forward = USD/MYR4.0900/05 Forward Buying ă Foreign Currency Appreciates A trader would enter into a forward buying position, if he expects to receive foreign currencies in the coming future. In this case, he is said to be the buyer of the foreign currency. Let us examine what happen to the buyerÊs position when the foreign currency appreciates. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 199 A buyer who wants to buy the USD one month forward will enter the contract at MYR4.0905 today. Now assume the USD appreciates in one monthÊs time to USD/MYR 4.1010/15 on 9 October 2016 from USD/MYR 4.0835/85. One month later, when the buyer settles his forward buying contract and assuming that he needs to buy USD = 100,000, he will therefore pay: USD100, 000 MYR4.0905/USD = MYR409, 050 If the buyer had not entered into the forward contract, then on 9 October 2016 he has to pay: USD100, 000 MYR4.1015/USD = MYR410, 150 By entering into forward buying contract, the buyer saves MYR1,100 (MYR410,150 ă MYR409,050). This means that when foreign currency appreciates, taking a forward buying position will be an advantage to the buyer of the foreign currency. Forward Buying ă Foreign Currency Depreciates What happens if instead of USD appreciating in value it actually depreciates to USD/MYR 4.0820/30? In this situation, the buyer will have to settle his forward buying contract at the forward rate that he has agreed on, that is USD/MYR4.0905 and the amount he has to pay is MYR410,150 irrespective of whether the foreign currency has depreciated at USD/MYR4.0820/30 or not. Obviously, when foreign currency depreciates, taking a forward buying position does not benefit the buyer since he is obligated to fulfil the forward contract. You have seen how forward contract works for the buyer of the foreign currency, let us now examine it from the perspective of the seller of the foreign currency. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 200 TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE Forward Selling ă Foreign Currency Appreciates A trader who wants to sell foreign currency usually enters into a forward selling position when he anticipates that the foreign currency is going to depreciate in the future. But let us see what happens to the traderÊs position if the foreign currency appreciates (notice the trader is the seller of the foreign currency). As for the seller of the foreign currency (USD) who wants to sell the USD one-month forward, will enter the contract at MYR4.090 today. If the USD appreciates to USD/MYR 4.1010/15, then in one month time, the seller will receive: USD100, 000 ïMYR4.0900/USD = MYR409, 000 However, if he has not entered into the forward contract but instead sells USD100,000 a month later, he would have received: USD100,000 ïMYR4.1010/USD = MYR410,100 Thus, for the seller of foreign currency, when foreign currency appreciates the seller will incur a loss if he has entered into a forward market. Forward Selling ă Foreign Currency Depreciates Now let us assume that the foreign currency depreciates to USD/MYR 4.0820/30. Since the seller has entered a forward selling at USD/MYR4.090, then he will receive MYR409,000 for the USD100,000 that he sold. If he had not entered a forward selling on 8 September 2016, then on 9 September 2016, he will receive: USD100,000 ïMYR4.0820/USD = MYR408,200 This amount is less the amount that he would have received through forward selling (MYR1,900). In essence, based on the previous example, when the USD depreciates in value, the buyer (seller) will make a profit and the seller (buyer) will incur a loss. So, when foreign currency (USD) appreciates in value, the buyer of forward contract will benefit and avoid foreign exchange (Eiteman et al., 2013). As for the seller of foreign currency, he will benefit and avoid foreign exchange loss by entering into forward contract when the foreign currency appreciates. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 201 ACTIVITY 10.3 1. Explain what would the trader do in the forward market if he needs to buy foreign currency and to sell foreign currency. 2. Today, Public Bank quoted the USD to Malaysian ringgit as follows: Spot rate = USD/RM4.5000/15 3-month forward rate = USD/RM4.5030/80 If you anticipate to pay USD10,000 in 3 monthsÊ time, should you enter into the forward contract? How much Malaysian ringgit would you need to pay? 3. Jackie Chan, a SME trader, is expected to receive EUR150,000 in 3 monthsÊ time. The EUR currency is expected to be very volatile in the coming months. (a) What should Jackie Chan do to protect from being exposed to exchange rate fluctuation? (b) In which direction should the EUR currency go for Jackie Chan to start thinking of hedging his position? (c) If the spot rate today is EUR/RM4.56 and forward rate is EUR/RM4.60, should he enter into a forward contract if the EUR is expected to depreciate? Why or Why not? (d) Assuming that Jackie Chan decides to enter into the forward contract today and 3 months later the future spot rate is EUR/RM4.50, calculate and comment on his hedging strategy. (e) If Jackie Chan needs to pay EUR150,000 to his supplier in Germany, answer questions (a) to (d). Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 202 TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE Forward Rate Quotation Forward rates are expressed either as outright rate quotations or swap (point) rate quotations. (a) Outright rate refers to the forward rates that are quoted in the actual price. Example: 1-month forward USD/MYR is 4.0835. (b) Swap (point) rate means the forward rates are quoted in so many points discount from (or a premium on) the spot rate. Example: 1-month forward USD/MYR is 30 points. Banks will always quote the outright rates when trading with their commercial customers but will use the swap rates when it involves interbank transactions. Forward rates are always expressed either at a forward discount or forward premium. A foreign currency is at a forward discount if the forward rate is below the spot rate. The foreign currency is at a forward premium if the forward rate is above the spot rate (Madura, 2000). The forward discount or premium on the foreign currency from the spot rate can be calculated as: Forward Premium or Discount = Forward Rate ă Spot Rate Alternatively, the forward premium or discount can also be expressed as an annualised percentage. The formula is: Forward Premium (Discount) Annualised: Forward Rate Spot Rate 360 Spot Rate Forward Contract No. of Days To demonstrate how the annualised forward premium (discount) is calculated, we will use Example 3. Example 3: Assume that Maybank in Kuala Lumpur quotes the spot rate, 30-day forward rate and 90-day forward rate for Malaysian ringgit against USD as shown in Table 10.4. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 203 Table 10.4: Assumptions of the Rates of Malaysian Ringgit against USD Rate KL Quotation of USD/MYR Spot rate 4.0220 30-day forward rate 4.0293 90-day forward rate 4.0175 Now, let us analyse Example 3 further by answering the following questions: (a) What is the 30 day and 90 day annualised forward premium or discount? The 30 day forward is at a premium of 73 points (4.0293 ă 4.0220) from the spot rate. To calculate the 30 day annualised forward premium, just plug in the figures from Example 10.3 into the formula: 30-day Forward Premium Annualised: (b) MYR4.0293 MYR4.0220 360 100 2.9% MYR4.0220 30 What about the 90 day forward rate? Is it at a premium or a discount? The 90 day forward is at a discount of 45 points (4.0175 ă 4.0220) from the spot rate and annualised discount of 0.47%: 90-day Forward Discount Annualised: MYR4.0175 MYR4.0220 360 100 0.47% MYR4.0220 30 Converting Forward Swap Rate Into an Outright Rate You can convert the forward swap rate into an outright rate. Before you do that, you need to determine if the forward rate is at a discount or premium. This can be done by following these simple rules: Rule 1 To determine if the forward bid point is smaller or larger than the forward ask point. If forward bid point is smaller than the forward ask point (B < A), then the forward rate is at a premium and you must add the points to the spot rate to derive the outright rate. Rule 2 If the forward bid point is larger than the forward ask point (B > A), then the forward rate is at a discount and you must deduct the points to the spot rate to derive the outright rate. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 204 TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE To clearly illustrate how the forward outright rate is derived from the swap point rate, we will use Example 4. Example 4: Assume that the quotes of the spot rate, 30 day forward swap point and 90 day forward swap point for USD/MYR are as shown in Table 10.5. Table 10.5: Forward Swap Point Rates for KL Quotation of USD/MYR Rate KL Quotation of USD/MYR Spot rate MYR4.0546/78 30-day forward swap point 32/51 90-day forward swap point 94/83 We will begin by determining the 30 day forward outright rate based on the 30 day forward swap point rate. Following the previous rule, we will identify if the forward bid swap basis point is either smaller or larger than the forward ask swap basis point. 30 Day Forward Outright Rate The forward bid swap basis point is smaller than the forward ask swap basis point (that is ă 32 < 51).This means that the 30 day forward is at a premium and therefore you will need to add the basis point to the spot rate. 30 day forward bid outright rate = 4.0578 = (4.0546 + 0.0032) 30 day forward ask outright rate = 4.0629 = (4.0578 + 0.0051) 90 Day Forward Outright Rate The forward bid swap basis point for 90 day forward is larger than its ask swap basis point (that is, 94 > 83). This indicates that the 90 day forward is at a discount and, therefore, the basis points will be deducted from the spot rate. 90 day forward bid outright rate = 4.0452 (4.0546 ă 0.0094) 90 day forward ask outright rate = 4.0459 (4.0578 ă 0.0083) The forward premium or discount point is closely related to the interest differentials on the two currencies. Once the points are computed, to get the forward rates, they will be added to the spot rate (if premium) or subtracted from the spot rate (if discount). Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 205 ACTIVITY 10.4 1. Go to the Wall Street Journal website and look for the following information: (a) Find out which currencies have forward rates. Why do you think they have forward rates? (b) Determine if the forward rates for those currencies are at premium or discount. 2. The EUR/MYR exchange rate is 4.5600 and the USD/MYR exchange rate is 4.0900. What is the USD/EUR exchange rate? 3. Suppose you have the following quotations: Rate Spot rate 4. GBP/USD 1.3268/70 One-month forward 25/20 Three-month forward 30/35 (a) Calculate the spot, 1 month forward and 3 month forward rate for USD against GBP. (b) If you need USD500,000 today, how much British pounds would you exchange with it? (c) How many British pounds would you receive if you sell USD1 million in one month and have 3 months forward contracts? (d) If the GBP/USD is at 1.3350/60, would you benefit from the entering the forward contract in (c)? BNM quoted the spot rate of Australian dollar to Malaysian ringgit at 3.100/10 and the spot rate of US dollar to Malaysian ringgit at 4.0910/18. (a) What is the spot rate for Australian dollar in Singapore? (b) Compute the percentage bid-ask spreads on AUD/SGD. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 206 TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 10.2 THEORIES RELATED TO FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES Parity conditions exist when the same or equivalent things can be transacted at the same price across different places and, therefore, deprive arbitrageurs from making any riskless profits. This condition is known as the law of one price (Eiteman et al., 2013). Understanding these international parity relationships such as international Fisher effect, interest rate parity and purchasing power parity enables an international financial manager to examine how foreign exchange rates are determined and forecasted. This topic will discuss five key international parity relationships as well as the techniques used in forecasting. The four theories that can be used to explain the relationships are: (a) Purchasing Power Parity Theory (PPP); (b) Interest Rate Parity Theory (IRP); (c) International Fisher Effect Theory (IFE); and (d) Forward rates as an unbiased predictor of future spot rate (UFR). 10.2.1 Purchasing Power Parity Theory The purchasing power parity (PPP) theory explains that currencies with high inflation rates should depreciate relative to currencies with lower inflation rates (Shapiro, 2005). In short, the theory links inflation rates with the future changes in the spot rate. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 207 To explain this relationship, let us use the following example: Example 5: Assume that the spot rate of Malaysian ringgit against USD is MYR4.05 per USD. It is expected that the USÊs inflation rate to be 4% higher than the Malaysian ringgit. Therefore, according to the purchasing power parity theory, the USD will depreciate by 4% relative to Malaysian ringgit for the law of one price to prevail. What is the effect on the future spot exchange rate as a result of different inflation rates in two countries? The PPP states that the future exchange rates between two countries should change in accordance with the changes in price levels of these two countries (Eiteman et al., 2013). Mathematically, this relationship can be written as: 1 infhc t X t 1 inffc X 0 Where infhc and inffc are the inflation rate of home currency (in this case, Malaysia) and the inflation rate of foreign currency (in this case, the US), respectively. X0 and Xt are the spot exchange rate and future spot exchange rates. If we rearrange this equation, then the future spot exchange rate will be: Xt 1 infhc t X0 1 inffc Or, in percentage form: PPP infhc inffc t 100 1 inffc Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 208 TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE Hence, if the US and Malaysian inflation rates stood at 13% and 9% respectively, the future spot rate of USD will be: X1 1.09 t MYR4.05 1.13 MYR3.9066/USD or 4% If PPP holds: Since the US inflation is 4% higher than that of Malaysia, the US future exchange rate will depreciate by 4% to reflect changes in the price level. ACTIVITY 10.5 1. If the inflation is 8% in the US and 3% in Germany, how much should the dollar value of EUR change in order to equalise the USD price of goods in the two countries? 2. Calculate the PPP rate for the EUR if inflation rate in the US and France are expected to be 4% p.a. and 8% p.a. respectively. If current spot rate is USD1.11/EUR, what is the expected spot rate in 3 years? 10.2.2 Interest Rate Parity Theory Interest Rate Parity (IRP) theory examines the relationship between spot rate and forward exchange rate (Madura, 2000). The theory states that the forward discount or premium on a currency (percentage difference between spot rate and forward rate) should be equal to the differences in the interest rates of two countries, that is: Forward discount/premium rhc rfc ft X 0 360 100 rhc rfc X0 n Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 209 Continuing with Example 10.4, let us further assume that the interest rate for Malaysian ringgit is 12% and interest rate for US dollar is 16%. If we are to plug those figures in the equation as follows, then: ft X 0 360 100 12% 16% X0 n 3.9066 4.05 360 100 4% 4.05 360 4% 4% Note if disequilibrium occurs between the two, the covered interest arbitrage opportunity arises. Moving away from the assumption, let us see how covered interest arbitrage can occur. Example 6: Let us assume the following data is provided: Spot rate (X0) = USD1.30/GBP 1 year forward rate (f1) = USD1.50/GBP Interest rate in the US = 30% p.a. Interest rate in the UK = 10% p.a. With this information given, we will now show, step by step, how to identify if covered interest arbitrage exists and then determine where we should invest and borrow simultaneously. Step 1: To determine whether there is covered interest arbitrage, we will compare the percentage difference between spot rate and forward rate with the differences in the interest rates of two countries, that is: ft X 0 360 100 rhc rfc X0 n 1.40 1.30 360 100 25% 10% 1.30 360 7.69% 15% Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 210 TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE The result above clearly shows that there is disequilibrium between forward premium on GBP and difference of interest rates of the two currencies. This is known as covered interest rate arbitrage (Madura, 2000). So what will arbitrageurs do to make riskless profit? First, arbitrageurs will need to decide whether to invest at home or abroad by determining the following. Step 2 demonstrates how arbitrageur can decide to invest at home or abroad. Step 2: Making decision to invest at home or abroad. 1 rhc t 1 rhc t 1 rfc t X0 1 rfc t X0 ft ft , then arbitrageur will invest at home and borrow abroad. 1 rhc t 1 rfc t X0 ft , then arbitrageur will invest abroad and borrow at home. Thus, plugging the figures from Example 10.6 into the previous equation: 1 rhc t 1.30 1 1 rfc t X0 1.10 1 1.30 ft 1.50 1.30 1.27 The above result indicates that it is better to invest in the US and borrow from the UK since the return will be greater after taking into account the exchange rates. Step 3: Calculating the outcome of the arbitrage strategy taken. Let us go further by looking at how such a decision can bring riskless profit to the arbitrageur due to the disparity condition (assume that the arbitrageur can borrow GBP 1,000,000 and he borrows GBP1,000,000). Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 211 Table 10.6: Arbitrage in the UK and US T=0 GBP USD Borrows GBP1,000,000 at interest rate of 10% 1,000,000.00 ă Sells GBP1 million for USD spot @ USD1.30/GBP (1,000,000.00) 1,300,000.00 Invests USD1.3 million at interest rate of 30% ă ă Enters into a forward selling for USD1.3 mil plus return ă ă 0 0 ă 1,690,000.00 Delivers USD1.69 million @ 1 year forward rate USD1.50/GBP 1,126,666.67 (1,,690,000.00) Pays borrowed amount GBP1 million plus interest expense 1,100,000.00 ă GBP26,666.67 USD0 T = 1 year Receives USD1.3 mil plus return As shown in Table 10.6, the consequence of taking this arbitrage opportunity is that the trader is able to make riskless profit amounting to GBP26,666.67. 10.2.3 Unbiased Forward Rate This theory relates the relationship between forward rate and future spot rate, where it is stated that forward rates can be used as an unbiased predictor of future spot rates (Shapiro, 2005). However, for this to occur, there are several current expectations of future events. For instance, if a player in the market expects the US dollar to depreciate, then the following events may take place: (a) Those who expect to receive the US dollar will begin selling it forward; (b) Malaysian ringgit earners will slow down their sale of the ringgit in forward market and this will, in turn, push the price of forward US dollar; (c) Banks will even out their long position in the forward US dollar by selling US dollar spots; and (d) Those earning US dollars will speed up the collection and conversion of the US dollar. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 212 TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE Those events lead to the future spot exchange rate of the US dollar to be the same as the forward rate. Mathematically this can be explained as follows: Difference in forward rate = Expected change in exchange rate X t X 0 ft X 0 X0 X0 ft X 0 Where ft is the forward rate, plugging in those figures from the assumption given: MYR3.9066 MYR4.0500 ft MYR4.0500 MYR4.0500 MYR4.0500 ft MYR3.9066/USD Thus the future spot rate of the US dollar will be the same as the forward rate. If this parity condition does not hold, then speculation can take place. 10.2.4 International Fisher Effect Theory This is an extension of the Fisher Effect theory named after the founder, that is, Fisher Irving. This theory relates the relationship between interest rate and future spot rate (X1), where the differences of interest rate between two countriesÊ currencies can be an unbiased predictor of the future change in the spot rate (Eiteman et al., 2013). Mathematically, this can be expressed as follows: 1 rhc t X t 1 rfc t X 0 Where, rhc = Interest rate of home country rfc = Interest rate of foreign country Xt = Future spot rate of foreign currencies in home currencies at time, t X0 = Spot rate of foreign currencies in home currencies t = Period of time Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 213 Thus, the expected return from investing at home should be equal to the expected return from investing abroad, that is: 1 rhc t Xt 1 rfc t X0 Substituting the figures in the assumptions, we can use the formula mentioned previously to predict the future change in the spot rate, that is: 1 9% 1 Xt 4.05 1 13% 1 1 1.09 4.05 1.13 X1 MYR3.9066/USD This implies that since the Malaysian ringgit (MYR) has a lower interest rate (9%), then MYR is expected to appreciate relative to the US dollar with a higher interest rate (13%) in the future that is MYR3.9066/USD. How much would the interest rate of Malaysia be if the future spot rate is USD/MYR4.1000? Using the formula, the result is: 1 rhc t X t 1 rfc t X 0 1 rhc 1 RM4.1000 1 0.13 1 RM4.05 1.0123 1.13 1 rhc rhc 1.1400 1 0.1400 or 14% Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 214 TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE ACTIVITY 10.6 1. Suppose the following data are given. Rate 2. USD CAN Interest rate 2% 5% Inflation rate 5% 8% Spot rate CAN1.3010/USD One-year forward rate CAN1.3018/USD (a) Use the forward rate to forecast the percentage change in the Canadian dollar over the next year. (b) Use the PPP theory to forecast the percentage change in the Canadian dollar over the next year. (c) Use the IRP theory to forecast the exchange rate over the next year. (d) Use the spot rate to forecast the percentage change of Canadian dollar over the next year. An investor will invest his funds in any market to maximise his profit. The one-year Singapore interest rate is 6% and the US interest rate is 10%. The spot rate USD/SGD is SGD3.0500 and the one year forward rate is SGD3.0540. (a) Are there any covered interest arbitrage opportunities? (b) Explain how the investor can profit from the situation (assume the initial investment by Malaysian investors is USD1,000,000 and by the US investors is USD1,000,000). Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE 215 SELF-CHECK 10.1 1. What is the difference between the retail or client market and the wholesale or interbank market for foreign exchange? 2. Describe the parity conditions and how they are achieved through the theories related to foreign exchange rates. 3. Discuss the relationship between spot rates, interest rates, inflation rates, forward rates and future spot rates. 4. Describe covered interest arbitrage. 5. Explain why the International Fisher effect theory may not hold. Corporate financial decisions become more complex when companies expand abroad. Ć Many factors influence corporationsÊ financial decisions and one of them is foreign exchange rate. Ć The foreign exchange market is the largest financial market and operates 24 hours a day. Ć Foreign exchange market is made up of spot and forward exchange markets. Both spot rate and forward rate are expressed in terms of either outright rate or swap basis points. Purchasing power parity, interest rate parity, forward as unbiased predictor of spot future rate and International Fisher effect theories are theories related to how exchange rates are determined. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) 216 TOPIC 10 INTERNATIONAL CORPORATE FINANCE Arbitrageur Outright rate Foreign exchange market (FOREX) Over the counter (OTC) Forward discount Purchasing power parity (PPP) theory Forward market Spot market Forward premium Swap basis points Interest rate parity (IRP) theory International Fisher effect (IFE) theory Unbiased forward rate Eiteman, D. K., Stonehill, A. I., & Moffett, M. H. (2013). Multinational business finance (13th ed.). Boston, MA: Pearson. Gitman, L. J., & Zutter, C. J. (2015). Principles of managerial finance (14th ed.). Boston, MA: Pearson. Madura, J. (2000). International financial management (6th ed.). Cincinnati, OH: South-Western. Parrino, R., & Kidwell, M. (2011). Fundamental of corporate finance (2nd ed.). Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons. Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., Jaffe, J. F., & Jordan, B. D. (2011). Core principles and applications of corporate finance (3rd ed.). New York, NY: McGrawHill Irwin. Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., Jaffe, J. F., Lim, J., & Tan, R. (2016). Fundamentals of corporate finance (Asia Global Edition, 2nd ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Irwin. Shapiro, A. C. (2005). Foundations of multinational financial management (5th ed.). Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons. Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) MODULE FEEDBACK MAKLUM BALAS MODUL If you have any comment or feedback, you are welcome to: 1. E-mail your comment or feedback to modulefeedback@oum.edu.my OR 2. Fill in the Print Module online evaluation form available on myINSPIRE. Thank you. Centre for Instructional Design and Technology (Pusat Reka Bentuk Pengajaran dan Teknologi ) Tel No.: 03-27732578 Fax No.: 03-26978702 Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM) Copyright © Open University Malaysia (OUM)