Tristan Roger TD3&4 Financial analysis Financial analysis – TD3&4 Let us consider the following financial statements of FINA for the years 2017-2021. A series of exercises that use these financial statements can be found below. Revenue Cost of Goods Sold Gross profit Sales and Marketing Administration Depreciation & Amortization EBIT Interest income (Expense) Pretax income Income tax Net income Shares outstanding (millions) Earnings per share Income statement 2017 2018 404.3 363.8 -188.3 -173.8 216 190 -66.7 -66.4 -60.6 -59.1 -27.3 -27 61.4 37.5 -33.7 -32.9 27.7 4.6 -9.7 -1.6 18 3 55 55 0.33 0.05 2019 424.6 -206.2 218.4 -82.8 -59.4 -34.3 41.9 -32.2 9.7 -3.4 6.3 55 0.11 2020 510.7 -246.8 263.9 -102.1 -66.4 -38.4 57 -37.4 19.6 -6.9 12.7 55 0.23 2021 604.1 -293.4 310.7 -120.8 -78.5 -38.6 72.8 -39.4 33.4 -11.7 21.7 55 0.39 Balance sheet 2017 Assets 48.8 88.6 33.7 171.1 2018 2019 2020 2021 68.9 69.8 30.9 169.6 86.3 69.8 28.4 184.5 77.5 76.9 31.7 186.1 85 86.1 35.3 206.4 Net property, plant & equip Goodwill & Intangibles Total non-current assets 245.3 361.7 607 243.3 361.7 605 309 361.7 670.7 345.6 361.7 707.3 347 361.7 708.7 TOTAL ASSETS 778.1 774.6 855.2 893.4 915.1 Liabilities & Shareholder's equity 18.7 17.9 6.7 6.4 25.4 24.3 22 7 29 26.8 8.1 34.9 31.7 9.7 41.4 Cash Accounts receivable Inventory Total current assets Accounts payable Accrued compensation Total current liabilities Long-term debt Total non-current liabilities 500 500 500 500 575 575 600 600 600 600 TOTAL LIABILITIES 525.4 524.3 604 634.9 641.4 Shareholder's equity TOTAL LIABILITIES & SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY 252.7 778.1 250.3 774.6 251.2 855.2 258.5 893.4 273.7 915.1 1 Tristan Roger TD3&4 Financial analysis Statement of cash flows 2017 2018 Net income 18 3 Depreciation & Amortization 27.3 27 Changes in Accounts receivable 3.9 18.8 Changes in Inventory -2.9 2.8 Changes in Payables & Accrued compensation 2.2 -1.1 Cash from Operations 48.5 50.5 2019 6.3 34.3 0 2.5 4.7 47.8 2020 12.7 38.4 -7.1 -3.3 5.9 46.6 2021 21.7 38.6 -9.2 -3.6 6.5 54 Capital expenditures Cash from Investing activities -100 -100 -75 -75 -40 -40 Dividends paid Sale (or purchase) of stock Debt issuance (Pay Down) Cash from financing activities -25 -25 - -5.4 0 -5.4 -25 -25 - -5.4 0 -5.4 - -5.4 75 69.6 - -5.4 25 19.6 - -6.5 0 -6.5 Change in cash 18.1 20.1 17.4 -8.8 7.5 Stock price 7.92 3.3 5.25 8.71 10.89 Exercise 1 1. What is FINA’s market capitalization at the end of each year? 2. What is FINA’s market-to-book ratio at the end of each year? 3. What is FINA’s enterprise value at the end of each year? Exercise 2 1. By what percentage did FINA’s revenues grow each year from 2018 to 2021? 2. By what percentage did net income grow each year? 3. Why might the growth rates of revenues and net income differ? Exercise 3 Suppose FINA repurchases 2 million shares each year from 2018 to 2021. What would its earnings per share be in 2021? (Assume FINA pays for the shares using its available cash and that FINA earns no interest on its cash balances). Exercise 4 Suppose FINA had purchased additional equipment for $12 million at the end of 2018 and this equipment was depreciated by $4 million per year in 2019, 2020 and 2021. Given FINA’s tax rate of 35%, what impact would this additional purchase have had on FINA’s net income in years 2018–2021? (Assume that equipment is paid for out of cash and that FINA earns no interest on its cash balances. Exercise 5 Suppose FINA’s costs and expenses had been the same fraction of revenues in 2018-2021 as they were in 2017 What would FINA’s EPS have been each year in this case? 2 Tristan Roger TD3&4 Financial analysis Exercise 6 1. From 2017 to 2021 what was the total cash flow from operations that FINA generated? 2. What fraction of the total in (a) was spent on capital expenditures? 3. What fraction of the total in (a) was spent paying dividends to shareholders? 4. What was FINA’s total retained earnings for this period? Exercise 7 1. In what year was FINA’s net income the lowest? 2. In what year did FINA need to reduce its cash reserves? 3. Why did FINA need to reduce its cash reserves in a year when net income was reasonably high? Exercise 8 Use the data from the balance sheet and cash flow statement in 2017 to determine the following: 1. How much cash did FINA have at the end of 2016? 2. What were FINA’s accounts receivable and inventory at the end of 2016? 3. What were FINA’s total liabilities at the end of 2016? 4. Assuming goodwill and intangibles were equal in 2016 and 2017 what was FINA’s net property, plant, and equipment at the end of 2016? Exercise 9 1. What were FINA’s retained earnings each year? 2. Using the data from 2017, what was FINA’s total shareholders’ equity in 2016? 3