HYPOTHESIS TESTING PRACTICE QUESTION 1. Increasing the confidence level from 90% to 95% would reduce which of the following? a. The probability of committing a Type I error. b. The probability of committing a Type II error. c. The probability of committing a Type I and Type II error. 1 2. Which of the following is a nonparametric test? a. A hypothesis test regarding standard deviation b. The test of a lognormal distribution c. A test of randomness. 2 3.A pension plan sponsor is evaluating two potential new managers, Fly by Night (FbN) and Go Get EM (GGE). The sponsor is considering hiring one of the firms as an aggressive growth high-risk manager. He has his junior associate compile the following statistical data. Based only on these data, determine whether. 1. The portfolio returns of the two managers are significantly different 2. The level of risk of the managers is significantly different. All decision and relevant data are based on a 5% level of significance. FbN GGE Average 21% 18% Standard Deviation of 15% 5% Past Returns Acceptance Range : tmax 2.23 tmin 2.23 Fmin 0 Fmax 2.98 3 tcale for the null hypothesis that the return difference of the 2 firms is 0 +0.89 Fcale for the null hypothesis that the difference in of the 2 firms is 0 = 9.0 H 0 : uFbN H0 : FbN uGGF 0 GGF 0 a. Cannot be rejected rejected b.Cannot be rejected c. is rejected rejected Cannot be is rejected Cannot be 4 4.To test the hypothesis of a normal population mean with unknown variance, one would need which of the following test statistics when using a small sample size. a. Chi-square b.Normal or z-distribution c. t-distribution 5 5.The marketing director of Aggressive Growth, Ltd. asserts that the portfolios managed by her firm produce positive alphas of 8% or more per year, on average. An analyst suspects that the actual average alpha is less than 8%. He has collected the following information. Sample Size 101 Sample Average : +6.8% Sample Standard Deviation : 10% t-critical @ 10% significance -1.29 Based on this information, formulate the null hypothesis to test your suspicion and state the appropriate conclusion at the 90% confidence level. a. The null hypothesis is hypothesis b.The null hypothesis is hypothesis c. The null hypothesis is the null hypothesis 6 0 0 0 8% and reject the null 8% and reject the null 8% and cannot reject 6. The null and alternative hypothesis for a one sided test is : a. H 0 : x b. H 0 : x c. H 0 : x and H a : 0 0 x and H a : and H a : 0 x x 7 0 0 7.As the level of significance of a hypothesis test increases : a. tcritical increases. b. tcritical decreases c. tcale increases 8 8.Using a 5% level of significance, rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true is an example of a : a. Type I error, b.Type II error, c. Sampling bias 9 9.A hypothesis concerning the variance of the normally distributed population is tested by using the : a. t-statistic b.z-statistic c. Chi-square statistic 10 10. An analyst claims that the average stock listed on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) experience an 8% return. Return of LSE-listed stocks are normally distributed, and the known population standard deviation of exchange-listed stock returns is 5%. An investor in derivative against an ISE composite portfolio hears this claim, and worries because 8% represent his breakeven point (i.e. returns greater than 8% will ruin his strategy). The investor decides to test the analyst's claim, but realizes that it is not sufficient enough to just test if the average return equals 8% - he must verify that the average return is at most 8%. To this end, the investor takes a sample of 50 companies listed on the exchange and calculates a sample mean of 11%. What is the calculated value of the test statistic and is the mean return of the exchange-listed stocks less than or equal to 8% at the 5% level of significance? a. 4.24; the population mean is less than or equal to 8% b.4.24; the population mean is greater than 8% c. 0.60; the population mean is less than or equal to 8% 11 11. Ace portfolio management claims that its growth fund has returned an average of 20% or better each year since inception. A sample of 5 years of returns has an average annual return of 14.00%, and a standard deviation of 6.708%. Distribution t-table t-table Chi-sq table Chi-sq table Chi-sq table Df 0.025 0.050 0.100 3 3.182 2.253 1.638 4 2.776 2.132 1.533 3 9.348 7.815 6.251 4 11.143 9.488 7.779 5 12.832 11.070 9.236 Jack Perry, a pension funds consultant suspects that the actual average return is less than 20% and wants to test Ace's claim. What is the appropriate test and what null hypothesis he should use? a. t-test H 0: 0 20% b.t-test. H 0 : 0 20% c. Chi-sq test H 0 : 0 20% 12