DRAFT SHOULD CORUS ENTERTAINMENT GO OVER THE TOP?1 Avinash Tangirala wrote this case under the supervision of Lee Watkiss solely to provide material for class discussion. The authors do not intend to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of a managerial situation. The authors may have disguised certain names and other identifying information to protect confidentiality. This publication may not be transmitted, photocopied, digitized, or otherwise reproduced in any form or by any means without the permission of the copyright holder. Reproduction of this material is not covered under authorization by any reproduction rights organization. To order copies or request permission to reproduce materials, contact the authors. Copyright © 2024, Avinash Tangirala & Lee Watkiss Version: 2024-04-27 INTRODUCTION In 2019, Corus Entertainment (hereafter, Corus), a television and media company based in Toronto, Ontario, is considering launching its own online video-streaming or over-the-top (OTT) service. Since 2009, Corus has seen its profits and subscriber base decline,1 largely due to consumers moving away from cable television towards OTT.2 Subscribers to OTT services in Canada have grown from 9.1 million in 2014 to 19.9 million in 2019.3 By 2025, it is predicted that OTT will account for 86.3% of Canadian video viewing.4 Consumers are drawn to the lower price, enhanced choice, and greater flexibility offered by OTT platforms such as Netflix and Amazon PRIME Video to that of cable television. The advent of OTT services has made Corus’ position as an independent content distributor precarious. In addition to the OTTs appropriating customers from Corus, content owners such as Disney and Viacom are demanding higher prices for their content from distributors. Broadcast Distribution Undertakings (BDUs) such as Bell and Rogers are looking to reduce the price they pay to distributors such as Corus for content that they subsequently sell to end consumers. How should Corus respond? Should it launch its own OTT service? If it does, how would the content owners and BDUs that Corus currently rely upon respond? How will the OTT platforms react? CABLE TELEVISION INDUSTRY Before the rise in popularity of OTT services, the cable television industry comprised three main actors: content owners, BDUs, and end consumers. The majority of content on Canadian television was created in the United States by a few major companies including Disney and Viacom. This content was acquired by BDUs in Canada and packaged to form local television channels. BDUs bundled various channels into tiers that they then sold to end consumers. These tiers were simple and followed a “good, better, best” model where each package increased both the number of channels included and the price charged to the consumer. Consumers had few options to watch their favourite shows other than to subscribe with a BDU. In Canada, BDUs are licensed by the Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission (CRTC). The CRTC’s mandate includes a) protecting and encouraging the production of Canadian content, and b) preventing non-Canadian BDUs from unduly harming Canadian BDUs.5 In 1 This case has been written, partially, on the basis of published sources. Consequently, the interpretation and perspectives presented in this case are not necessarily those of Corus Entertainment or any of its employees. Page 2 2018, five BDUs–Bell, Rogers, Shaw, Telus, and Vidéotron–serviced approximately 75% of the end consumers. Yet, they have limited presence outside of Canada. They had experienced a decade of growth in subscribers and revenues.6 CRTC limited the number of BDUs that could offer service in particular locations. As a result, BDUs tended to offer similar content and customer experience. Content owners invest heavily in content to remain competitive. They either produce the content themselves, e.g., Viacom produces the NCIS series, or they purchase the content from third parties. Scripted series are the most profitable, but they are also the most expensive. The high costs involved has resulted in consolidation of content ownership. In 1983, 90% of American media was owned by 50 companies; by 2012, it was owned by fewer than 6 companies.7 To recoup these high costs, content owners often tie BDUs into long-term contracts. In return, content owners grant BDUs exclusive distribution rights across specific geographic territories. Over-The-Top Platform Disruption of The Cable Television Industry The introduction of OTT platforms precipitated a seismic shift in the cable television industry. With the growing availability of high-speed internet, Netflix entered the Canadian market in 2010,8 streaming third-party content to its customers. Its compelling value proposition was threefold: one, it was inexpensive. Original monthly subscriptions were $7.99 per month. Two, it had zero advertising. Consumers could enjoy shows without being interrupted by commercial breaks. Three, it offered flexibility in watching content. Consumers did not need to wait a week for the next installment of their favorite show, popularizing the act of binge watching. Subscribers to OTT services in Canada grew to 19.9 million by 2019.9 At which time, there were more than a dozen OTT offerings in Canada with this number likely to rise.10 By 2013, OTT platforms were also investing in proprietary content, particularly scripted series in an attempt to attract subscribers. This took one of the two forms: the first was the acquisition from content providers of the exclusive rights to that content. For example, Disney, with its acquisitions of Marvel in 2009 and LucasFilms in 2012, each for approximately $4.0 Billion USD,11 amassed an expansive library of sought-after titles. The increasingly prevalent second form involved OTT platforms developing their own content. For example, Netflix developed in-house the breakout hits Stranger Things and Mindhunter. A study conducted by Ampere Analysis states that expenditure on content increased from $100 Billion USD to $165 Billion USD between 2008 and 2018, with close to $50 Billion USD of that growth occurring in the most recent 5 years.12 Impact of Over-the-Top on Content Owners Early OTT platforms relied on existing content owners to increase the volume of its content offerings to attract new subscribers and retain existing ones. This was initially beneficial to content owners as OTT platforms acquired this content from them on a contractual basis, creating a new and predictable revenue stream. Over time, OTT platforms began to create their own content, which made them less reliant on existing content owners. Content owners saw an opportunity to bypass the BDUs by creating their own OTT platforms. For example, Disney+ will launch in Canada in November of 2019 turning Disney from a distributor of its properties through third parties, to a direct-to-consumer service. As content owners such as Discovery, AMC, and Paramount follow suit, the already fierce competition will increase the need to develop differentiated content. From 210 scripted series developed in 2009 in the US, the number has increased to 532 in 2019 (see Exhibit 1).13 The cost per episode of scripted content also increased to between $5-7 million in 2019 from $3-4 million a few years earlier.14 Content Owners tried to pass these increased production costs onto BDUs by charging higher premiums.15 This was aided by consolidation among Page 3 Content Owners. In 1983 more than 50 companies owned more than 50% of the content in the United States.16 By the end of 2019, it is likely that fewer than four companies–Disney, Comcast, ViacomCBS, and Time Warner–will own the majority of the content in the United States.17 Content Owners were also beginning to offer their own OTT platforms. This was impacting content owners’ relationships with OTT platforms and their ability to procure content. For instance, Disney’s content such as Marvel and Disney classics can be streamed on Netflix. Yet, as the existing contract between Disney and Netflix expires, it is expected that Disney content will no longer be available on Netflix; instead, it will be exclusively available on Disney+. Impact of Over-the-Top on Broadcaster Distribution Undertakings At the outset, OTT services were made possible by the availability of high-speed internet access. BDUs were often the internet service providers, suggesting that OTT platform providers and BDUs benefitted from the services offered by the other. However, OTT platforms were also a substitute for cable television; many consumers supplemented their cable packages with OTT offerings, new customers, particularly younger customers, were harder to pick-up. These customers were attracted to the scripted shows available on OTT platforms, and they were less willing to pay a premium (basic cable packages cost more than $50 per month in 2010 compared to $7.99 for Netflix) for the content offered by cable but not by OTT such as news stations, live sports, and current series shows. The result was lower growth for BDUs in acquiring new customers and by 2012 an absolute decline in cable subscribers (see Exhibit 2).18 Yet, the core business of BDUs was still highly profitable and retained significant demand across large segments of the population. Their focus was on ensuring internet access to customers within their geographic territory. BDUs adopted three main responses to the challenge posed by OTT services: one, they began to offer more choice and flexibility with their packaging. Traditionally, they offered consumers three tiers of television service that increased in price for the number and quality of channels. They began bundling channels via themes instead of strict tiers, so that customers could cater their channels to their tastes. They also gave customers the option to swap out channels every month to suit their changing viewing habits. Some even offered OTT services in combination with their television services. Two, BDUs began pruning their channel line-ups to reduce costs. Single channel providers such as BBC Canada or niche content providers such as Cosmopolitan were favorites for the chopping block. Three, BDUs introduced their own OTT platforms. For example, Bell created Crave and Rogers partnered with Netflix to offer it as part of cable packages.19 Despite these efforts, revenues continued to decline from $5.5 billion in 2012 to $4.4 billion in 2019.20 The number of cable subscribers also continued to decline. In 2015, BDUs accounted for fewer subscribers than OTT platforms in Canada for the first time.21 Impact of Over-the-Top on Consumers The low price, zero advertising, and viewing flexibility of OTT platforms were attractive to consumers. As these services became available on mobile devices, consumers shifted from BDUs to OTT platforms in greater numbers. In 2013, 100,000 Canadian households cut the cord on their cable services. In 2019, this number had increased to 400,000.22 In contrast, subscribers to OTT services in Canada has grown to 19.9 million in 2019.23 Viewing habits have also changed with consumers increasingly watching shortform content that lasted only a few minutes that was uninterrupted by advertisements. Page 4 CORUS ENTERTAINMENT Corus was formed in 1998 as a wholly independent subsidiary of Shaw Communications for Shaw’s previously held radio stations and women’s and children’s cable channels.24 Its value proposition was twofold: 1) to provide high-quality content that matched audience desires, and 2) to offer advertisers highly targeted access to these audiences. When it spun-off Corus, Shaw Communications retained ownership of a handful of its key specialty cable channels as well as Global Television and its news properties under the name Shaw Media. In 2016, Corus Entertainment purchased Shaw Media for $2.65 Billion CAD. By 2019, Corus boasted a roster of 35 specialty television networks, 39 radio stations and 15 conventional television stations.25 In Canada, Corus has the largest library of lifestyle and children’s content. BDUs such as Rogers and Bell rely on Corus to offer channels such as Food Network, HGTV, W Network, and YTV in order to attract families to their service offerings. Corus sits between content owners and BDUs as an independent content distributor. A core component of Corus’ strategy is to make the Canadian television market attractive to United States’ content owners. At the time of Corus’ founding, United States’ content owners were reluctant to enter the Canadian market. It was 10% the size of the American market and required them to develop relationships with Canadian BDUs and advertising organizations. Content owners generated revenue from two main sources: 1) selling the rights to distribute their content in the form of channels to BDUs, and 2) selling advertising on their channels. Without advertising, these channels were less attractive to BDUs. Corus acquired the exclusive rights from US content owners to distribute that content throughout Canada. They also added advertising to the content before selling it to Canadian BDUs, who in turn distributed it to end consumers. Corus choreographs the content to enhance its appeal to the Canadian market for each channel in three ways: first, Corus schedules the content for each channel based on the library of content they acquired from content owners. Second, Corus supplement this content with other content. For example, Corus created the Property Brothers, an award winning and critically acclaimed home renovation show that it added to the HGTV channel. Third, Corus contracts with third parties such as Proctor & Gamble to run advertising on Corus-controlled content. The company has three main sources of revenue generation: consumer subscriptions, advertising, and merchandising/distribution (see Exhibit 3). In 2019, subscriber revenues were $496 million or approximately one third of all revenues.26 Advertising revenues in 2019 were $1.1 billion, or 66% of overall revenue for the year.27 Merchandising only accounted for 5.3% of overall revenue in 2019. STACKTV: CORUS’ OVER-THE-TOP OPPORTUNITY The proliferation of OTT platforms has created numerous problems for Corus. Sandwiched between the content owners and BDUs, Corus feels the squeeze from both sides of its value chain. Content owners have raised the price they charg for content as competition for production talent continues to increase. In 2018 Warner Bros signed a deal worth $400 million with screenwriter Greg Berlanti (Dawson’s Creek, Riverdale) to keep him exclusive to their studio until 2024–unheard of pre-OTT. Content owners are also distributing their own content with their own OTT platforms. For example, Disney is preparing to launch Disney+ in the Fall of 2019. Corus is the sole cable distributor of Disney Channel, Disney XD, Disney Junior, and La Chaine Disney in Canada. Will Corus lose some of its customers to Disney+? And, if Disney has a direct foothold in Canada, will it continue to need Corus to distribute its content? Or, will Page 5 Disney serve Canada exclusively through its OTT offering? Whatever Disney chooses to do, Corus will be in a less advantageous negotiating position when its distribution contract with Disney comes up for renewal. In the past few years, Corus has been able to increase the price they charge BDUs despite lower subscriber numbers. BDUs rely on Corus’ library of specialty and children’s programming to satisfy end consumer demand. Yet, BDUs are increasingly pushing to reduce the price they pay to Corus. As their contracts with Corus came-up for renewal, they have been trying to negotiate a lower price by threatening to drop some of Corus’ channels from its line-up. This would hit Corus in two ways: first, it would lose revenue from the BDU. Second, it would retain the cost of carrying the channel because it was tied into long-term contracts with content owners. The final major concern was about future advertising revenue. As they expected the number of subscribers to its content to continue to decline, will advertisers stay away? Will they become more price sensitive? One response under consideration to these threats to their business is a collaboration with Amazon. Corus and Amazon would create an OTT product in Canada named STACKTV. Tapping into Amazon’s PRIME Video viewers of 7 million in Canada is attractive to Corus.28 It is consistent with its new value proposition to customers of offering its content across multiple platforms. It is also less costly and resource-intensive than developing its own platform, something with which Corus has limited experience. Corus would provide 12 of its premium channels to Amazon (see Exhibit 4), which would host them on its PRIME Video platform. These channels would include Global, Food Network Canada, HGTV Canada, W Network, History Channel, Adult Swim, W Network, Slice, Showcase, National Geographic, Teletoon, Treehouse, and YTV.29 This would offer households a wide selection of Corus’s most popular content for both adults and children alike. STACKTV would provide both a video-on-demand (VOD) and live channel feed for users. Corus and Amazon are considering adding advertising to the platform. These advertisements would run periodically during the shows. Although this is not unprecedent for OTT products, the majority have been zero advertisement platforms, relying only on subscriber revenue. Corus and Amazon would share the subscriber revenue; however, Corus would keep all the advertising revenue. In addition to the concerns of launching the product with Amazon, there are the other external relationships that Corus will need to consider. Given the longstanding relationships with BDUs such as Bell and Rogers, how will they feel if Corus starts offering a similar product to consumers at a more budget friendly OTT cost compared to cable? It will be a risk as most of Corus’s content distribution is held within the BDU ecosystem and by extension, most of Corus’s revenue relies upon these BDU relationships. If BDUs see the launch of STACKTV as a deliberate effort to cannibalize its subscriber base, how might this affect future negotiations and revenue with these partners? Corus senses that content owners will likely welcome additional subscribers to its content in the short term. However, it is unclear how they will respond when Corus needs to renegotiate the acquisition of the content in the future. Will BDUs lose revenue as consumers shift to STACKTV? How will advertisers’ respond if STACKTV includes advertisements? Only some OTT platforms currently include advertising. With its differentiated audience, Corus might be able to attract advertisers seeking to modify their market mix. The decision is not clear-cut. How will the other actors in the industry value chain respond? Will Amazon PRIME customer be willing to pay for STACKTV in addition to their PRIME membership? Each household on average subscribes to 3.4 streaming services.30 In Canada with Netflix, Amazon Prime Page 6 Video and Crave driving most of the market share, and with Disney+ on the horizon, STACKTV will face an uphill battle to gain share of its own. Exhibit 1 NUMBER OF SCRIPTED SERIES PRODUCED IN THE UNITED STATES 2009-2019 600 532 500 487 495 2017 2018 454 Nr. of Scripted Series 420 389 400 349 300 266 210 216 2009 2010 288 200 100 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2019 Year Source: Created by case authors on content from Rick Porter, “Peak TV Update: Scripted Series Volume Hits All-Time High in 2021,” The Hollywood Reporter, January 14, 2022, https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/tv/tv-news/peak-tv-scripted-series-all-time-high-2021-1235075677/. Page 8 Exhibit 2 NUMBER OF CABLE SUBSCRIBERS IN MILLIONS IN CANADA 2009-2019 9.00 8.09 8.29 8.52 7.70 8.00 7.35 6.98 Nr. of Cable Subscribers 7.00 6.73 6.42 6.25 6.08 6.00 5.77 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Year Source: Created by case authors on content from Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission, “Communications Market Reports - Open Data, Data – BDU,” accessed April 27, 2024, https://applications.crtc.gc.ca/OpenData/CASP/COMMUNICATION%20MONITORING%20REPORTS /Broadcasting%20Distribution%20Sector/English/data-broadcasting-distributionsector.xlsx?_ga=2.45651812.1719167742.1714327834-398692342.1714327834. Page 9 Exhibit 3 CORUS REVENUE IN MILLIONS OF CAD BY SEGMENT 2011-2019 1,200 Revenue by Segment in CAD Millions 1,081 1,102 1,044 1,000 800 662 600 390 386 400 404 390 335 340 93 85 2014 2015 352 507 508 496 104 91 96 89 2016 2017 2018 2019 406 200 300 298 135 158 276 123 0 2011 2012 2013 Year Advertising Subscriber Fees Merchandising, Distribution & Other Source: Created by case authors on content from Corus Entertainment, Financial Reports, accessed April 27, 2024, https://www.corusent.com/investor-relations/financial-reports/, Page 10 Exhibit 4 STACKTV CHANNEL LINE-UP IN 2019 Number 1 2 2 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Service Global TV Food Network HGTV W Network History Channel Adult Swim Slice Showcase National Geographic Teletoon Treehouse YTV Ownership Corus, CBS, and others Discovery Scripps Discovery Scripps Various A+E Networks Warner Bros Various Various Disney Paramount, Disney, and others Various Paramount, Disney, and others Source: Created by case authors on content from Corus Entertainment, News, June 3, 2019, accessed April 27, 2024, https://www.corusent.com/news/upfront-announcement/. Page 11 ENDNOTES 1 Corus Entertainment, Fourth Quarter 2019 Report to Shareholders, accessed April 27, 2024, https://assets.corusent.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/s_zkfhri20_ghdk468.pdf. 2 “Pay TV Households & Viewers, Canada,” eMarketer, accessed August 1, 2021, https://forecastsna1.emarketer.com/61243704b215ff074c910810/612416a9ea9f200b2c6ca866. 3 “Over-the-Top (OTT) Video Service Users, Canada,” eMarketer, accessed September 1, 2021 https://forecastsna1.emarketer.com/5b3ba49481f26a04c8be0966/5b3b8f0b81f26a0dc49177bb. 4 “Over-the-Top (OTT) Video Service Users, Canada.” 5 Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission, “Our Mandate, Mission and What We Do,” accessed April 27, 2024, https://crtc.gc.ca/eng/acrtc/acrtc.htm. 6 Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission, “Communications Monitoring Report 2019,” accessed April 27, 2024, https://crtc.gc.ca/eng/publications/reports/policymonitoring/2019/cmr7.htm. 7 Helen Johnson, “The Unprecedented Consolidation of The Modern Media Industry Has Severe Consequences,” The Miscellany News, April 29, 2021, https://miscellanynews.org/2021/04/29/opinions/the-unprecedentedconsolidation-of-the-modern-media-industry-has-severe-consequences/. 8 Star Staff and Canadian Press, “Netflix Stumbles as It Launches in Canada,” Toronto Star, September 22, 2010, https://www.thestar.com/entertainment/2010/09/22/netflix_stumbles_as_it_launches_in_canada.html. 9 “Over-the-Top (OTT) Video Service Users, Canada.” 10 Andrew Mohan, “MobileSyrup’s Guide to Video Streaming Services in Canada,” MobileSyrup, April 3, 2019, https://mobilesyrup.com/2019/04/03/comparing-streaming-services-canada/. 11 Kemet High, K, “A Timeline of Disney’s Media Acquisitions,” November 12, 2019, https://www.complex.com/pop-culture/2019/11/disney-acquisition-timeline. 12 “Analyst: TV Market Competition Boosts Content Spend,” Advanced Television Ltd., October 25, 2019, https://advanced-television.com/2019/10/25/analyst-tv-market-competition-boosts-content-spend/. 13 Rick Porter, “Peak TV Update: Scripted Series Volume Hits All-Time High in 2021,” The Hollywood Reporter, January 14, 2022, https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/tv/tv-news/peak-tv-scripted-series-all-time-high-20211235075677/. 14 Maureen Ryan and Cynthia Littleton, “TV Series Budgets Hit the Breaking Point as Costs Skyrocket in Peak TV Era,” Variety, September 26, 2017, https://variety.com/2017/tv/news/tv-series-budgets-costs-rising-peak-tv1202570158/. 15 Michael Balderston, “TV Content Spending Increased $50B Over Last Five Years,” TV Tech, October 25, 2019, https://www.tvtechnology.com/news/tv-content-spending-increased-50b-over-last-five-years. 16 Paul Wellstone, “Growing Media Consolidation Must Be Examined to Preserve Our Democracy,” Federal Communication Law Journal, 52, 3, 7 (2000): 551-554, https://heinonline.org/HOL/Page?handle=hein.journals/fedcom52&div=27&g_sent=1&casa_token=kuWzHy6CTsAAAAA:UWZiA0_ZLhPu1IC5pZJZQQihhv2mQg2TIaXT6IpORa_TJkJUysrGMo9ifmBeueaua2FO1ms&collection=journals 17 Rani Molla and Peter Kafka, “Here’s Who Owns Everything in Big Media Today,” May 27, 2021, https://www.vox.com/2018/1/23/16905844/media-landscape-verizon-amazon-comcast-disney-fox-relationshipschart. 18 Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission, “Communications Market Reports - Open Data, Data – BDU,” accessed April 27, 2024, https://applications.crtc.gc.ca/OpenData/CASP/COMMUNICATION%20MONITORING%20REPORTS/Broadcast ing%20Distribution%20Sector/English/data-broadcasting-distributionsector.xlsx?_ga=2.45651812.1719167742.1714327834-398692342.1714327834. 19 “Netflix on IgniteTV” Rogers, accessed January 11, 2022, https://www.rogers.com/customer/support/article/netflix-on-ignite-tv. 20 Julia Stoll, “BDU revenue in Canada from 2012 to 2019, by service,” Statista, May 9, 2022, https://www.statista.com/statistics/430612/bdu-revenue-canada-service/ 21 “Pay TV Households & Viewers, Canada,” eMarketer. 22 Julia Stoll, “Number of Households in Canada that Cut Their TV Subscription or Never Had One from 2012 to 2020,” Statista, September 7, 2021, https://www.statista.com/statistics/258444/number-of-tv-cord-cutterhouseholds-in-canada/. Page 12 “Over-the-Top (OTT) Video Service Users, Canada.” History of Canadian Broadcasting, “Corus Entertainment Inc.,” accessed February 1, 2022, https://broadcastinghistory.com/listing_and_histories/corus-entertainment-inc. 25 Corus Entertainment, Fourth Quarter 2019 Report to Shareholders. 26 Corus Entertainment, Fourth Quarter 2019 Report to Shareholders. 27 Corus Entertainment, Fourth Quarter 2019 Report to Shareholders. 28 “Number of Amazon Prime Video viewers in Canada, 2019 to 2025,” eMarketer, accessed February 1, 2022, https://www.insiderintelligence.com/chart/250308/amazon-prime-video-viewers-canada-2019-2025. 29 Corus Entertainment, “Corus Debuts StackTV On Amazon Prime Video Channels,” June 3, 2019, accessed April 27., 2024, https://www.corusent.com/news/upfront-announcement/. 30 Toni Fitzgerald, “How Many Streaming Video Services Does The Average Person Subscribe To?” Forbes, March 29, 2019, https://www.forbes.com/sites/tonifitzgerald/2019/03/29/how-many-streaming-video-services-does-theaverage-person-subscribe-to/?sh=52c6c75f6301. 23 24