VIETNAM'S ECONOMIC STORY IN FIRST HALF OF 2024 Dive deeper into the exciting performance of Vietnam Vietnam's strong economic growth outpaced regional peers the first half of 2024. Exhibit 1: GDP growth rates of Southeast Asian countries H1/2024 (%)* *The data is estimated from reports in Q1/2024 and forecast from IMF, World Bank, UOB, etc. Vietnam's economy demonstrated resilience in the first half of 2024, making the country stand out compared to the region. While runner-ups like Philippines and Indonesia expect growth rates of 5.8% and 5.1% respectively, Vietnam's robust economy rose by 6.4%, which is likely fueled by strong export and industrial production. The first half of 2024 saw Vietnam economy expanding quickly with some sectors experiencing 2-digit growth rates. Others 8.7% Agriculture 11.6% Import of goods and services 17% 3.4% Export of goods and services 14.5% Services 43.4% 6.6% 7.5% Industry & Construction 36.4% Final consumption 5.8% Government capital investment Exhibit 2: Vietnam’s GDP, by sectors 4.8% Buoyed by a surge in manufacturing and utilities, Vietnam's industrial production delivered a robust first half in 2024. Index of Industrial Production 7.5% 80,482 New companies Exhibit 3: Growth of industrial production, by products Vietnam recorded an increase in newly established enterprises in 10 out of 17 sectors in the first six months of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023. Source: GSO Vietnam & MPI Vietnam Vietnam's trade scene witnessed double-digit growths in the first half of 2024 14.5% 17% 190.1 Vietnam’s trade surplus amounted to 11.63 billion USD. The US remained Vietnam's largest export market, with an estimated turnover of 54.3 billion USD. China retained its position as Vietnam's top import market, accounting for 67 billion USD. 178.5 Exhibit 4: Vietnam’s trade volume (Billion USD) Main exports Processed industrial goods dominated exports, generating an estimated turnover of 166.79 billion USD. Electronics, computers and components Phones and components 11.3% 28.6% Main imports Raw materials for production were the leading import category, accounting for a significant 94% share with a value of 167.7 billion USD. Electronics, computers and components 26.7% Source: GSO Vietnam & MPI Vietnam Machinery, equipments and spare parts 14.6% Vietnam's foreign direct investment (FDI) scene enjoyed a strong first half in 2024 13.1% 1538 New projects 8.2% Foreign investors registered nearly 9.54 billion USD in 1,538 new projects, up 47% in capital and 18.9% in the project numbers as compared to the same time last year. 15.2 10.8 Registered Disbursed Exhibit 5: Vietnam’s FDI inflow first half 2024 (Billion USD) The processing and manufacturing industry attracting the largest investment of 10.69 billion USD. Others 8.5% 5.58 Billion USD Real estate 19.9% 450 New projects 83 more foreign investors Source: GSO Vietnam & MPI Vietnam Manufacturing 71.6% Exhibit 6: Vietnam’s FDI inflow first half 2024, by sectors Vietnam’s growth is forecast to rank 20th in the world in 2024. Economic growth expanding 6.5% In the medium term, the IMF expects Vietnam to have many opportunities from digitalization, green transformation Exhibit 7: Vietnam’s forecast economic indicators 5% 5.5% 3.5% The World Bank forecast recoveries of exports and the real estate market, bringing along domestic demand and consumers’ confidence Source: International Monetary Fund and The World Bank SUBSCRIBE FOR MORE INSIGHTS FROM ASIA www.ccx-partners.com