1. Introduction Indian Retail Industry is ranked among the ten largest retail markets in the world. Retail has become a large source of employment and has deep penetration into rural India. The attitudinal shift of the Indian consumer and the emergence of organized retail formats have transformed the face of retailing in India. Modern retailing in India is receiving global recognition and attention as the emerging market of India is witnessing a significant change in its growth and investment pattern. With the sign of re-emergence of economic growth in India, consumer buying in retail sector is being projected as a key opportunity area. As a consequence, Indian corporate houses are refocusing its strategic perspective in retail marketing with the idea to use resources optimally in order to create core competence and gain competitive advantage. Although India presents a large market opportunity due to the number and increasing purchasing power of consumers, there are significant challenges before the modern retailing as well. At present, popular formats such as hypermarkets and supermarkets are growing at phenomenal pace. Not only brick-mortar formats but brick-click and click-click formats are fast becoming functional on the Indian retail landscape. Against this backdrop, the paper makes an attempt to present an account of organised and modern retailing in Indian context. The word retail is derived from the French word retailer, means to cut off a piece or to break bulk. Therefore, a retailer is a dealer or trader who sells goods in small quantities. Retailing is the final step in the distribution of products, for consumption by the end consumers. It consists of all activities involved in the marketing of goods and services directly to the consumers, for their personal, family or household use. This excludes direct interface between the manufacturer and institutional buyers such as government and other bulk customers. Retail is India’s one of the biggest industry. The key factors responsible for the retail boom have been the change in consumer profile and demographics, increase in the number of international brands available in the Indian market, economic implications of the government, increasing urbanization, credit availability, improvement in the infrastructure, increasing investments in technology and real estate building a world class shopping environment for the consumers. The objective of this study is to understand how retail industry evolved in India with respect to formats, pattern of buying, and consumer behaviour. 1 2. India and Retailing The Indian Retailing of lifestyle goods dates back to prehistoric period. Evidences of ornaments, designer apparels, foot wares, handicrafts, paintings and sculpture are found in the excavations at Mohenjo-Daro and Harappa. Since ancient period the diversity exist in food and clothing habits in India. In the ancient period the diversity in clothing and food habits was largely depending upon the climate, physical features and traditions in the respective regions. There is vast difference between the habits of ancient Indian life and modern Indian life. The commonality is found in the retailing practices. The common is about the retailers who were selling in ancient period and who are selling in modern times also. In both the times they are found catering to the demands of the customers. In medieval times the customers were found more commanding. The customers in medieval India were found to be worthy of setting the rules of marketing. Indian Lifestyle goods were always in demand in India and abroad. Evidences are found that trade flourished in India since ancient times and urbanization of Indian towns has roots in the growth of trade. Paithan in Maharashtra and Warangal in Andhra Pradesh were flourished mainly due to the production of fine cloths. As stated above retailing goes back to centuries; it started as a very primitive business but today has grown tremendously. First people were doing businesses with their neighbours. Goods were exchanged between them. Gradually people began to collect themselves to a given neighbourhood, which provides a geographical place to do the exchange. This not only increases the exposure of a given good but also helps a lot towards the development of a more formalized system. Gradually, a few more start to get together to a place that in turn creates a need for a common place. Later this common place was called a fair. With the passing of time the number of people doing businesses in a given fair increased, issues like security, transportation becomes a matter of concern. This semi-formalized system then gave birth to small-scale groceries, where people start to provide more combinations in their own neighbourhoods. Then came the issue of choice in given grocery, the choices the customer had was limited, this was the beginning of the concept of “everything under one roof”. As time passes, joint family changes into nuclear family. There too both members started earning which resulted into a new way of lifestyle. From then instead of mom-and-pop type of stores organized retail stores came into existence. 2 Ancient Indian Demographics and Segmentation Indian Society was segmented into religions and castes and purchase decisions were largely governed by customs and traditions. The culture was the major influencer to the purchase decision. The retailers were having an exact idea of what is to be made available to the target market so as to have assured sale. Occupation was base of caste and birth was base for religion. Agriculture was the most important occupation of the people in villages whereas employees of the government, businessmen and others rendering various services lived in towns. The households in urban and rural India were mainly of joint families and patriarchal. The status of women was of subordinate, although their role in family was important. The spread of education in the society was limited. An individual learned his occupation in the family itself. There were universities and colleges but they were mostly in to fundamental education rather than professional education. Economically the Indian society was to be segmented into three classes during the medieval period. The first was the class of rich people like the members of royal families, the nobility and the feudal lords called as zamindars. The second was the class that consisted of the subordinate officers of the state, traders and farmers. The third was the class of peasant‘s, artisans and landless labourers. The children in these households were enjoying status of third citizens. They did not have influencing power in the family matters. The reason was that their number in the household was more. The household was of joint family nature and having command of only one elderly person in the family. The activities of the family members were routine and mostly related to the occupation. The recreational activities include festivals, and religious ceremonies. The lifestyle of the people was largely influenced by their occupation, gender, socioeconomic status, education and the place of living. Today’s Demographics and Standard of Living The age of renaissance in Europe had laid the foundation of the modern age in India. The post 1991 India has substantially improved the society‘s well-being. The rapid economic growth has fundamentally changed the country‘s consumers. The average household income is rapidly growing, the massive middle class escaped from desperate poverty is concentrating in cities. The new kinds of occupations have emerged with requirements of new skill sets; enhancing the requirements of new types of education mostly in professional nature. The households are nuclear and patriarchal with enhanced role and status of women. Many households have single parents also. Apart from routine work and domestic activities the 3 urban citizens are involved in activities like Anti-ageing and healthcare Weight loss programmes, skin- and hair-care regimens, Education Professional re-education via part-time and online courses, Travel Trekking and adventure holidays, travelling to exotic destinations, learning music of Hindustani. It can be concluded that human being in urban areas is living a life of certain standard. They are busy, caring, spiritual, health conscious and dynamic. The Indian society is changing and hence the Spending pattern of these urban citizens is also changing. The discretionary spending is capturing majority of consumer spending. This is shift from necessities. The food expenditure is losing its share in total consumption it has gone down to 25% from 42%. This is because the citizens are mostly eating out during the working day and during nights on holidays, and eating out is part of discretionary expenditure and not the necessary expenditure. Spending on purchases that improve the economic prospects and quality of life is increasing. The other major areas of increasing spending share are health, education, transport, and communication. 3. Evolution of International Retail: Implications for India The arrival of modern retail in developing countries occurred in three successive waves. The first wave took place in the early to mid-1990s in South America (e.g., Argentina, Brazil, and Chile), East Asia outside China (South Korea, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Taiwan), North-Central Europe (e.g., Poland, Hungary, and Czech Republic) and South Africa. The second wave happened during the mid to late 1990s in Mexico, Central America (e.g., Ecuador, Colombia, and Guatemala), Southeast Asian countries (e.g., Indonesia), SouthernCentral Europe (e.g., Bulgaria). The third wave has just begun in the late 1990s and early 2000s in parts of Africa (e.g., Kenya), some countries in Central and South America (e.g., Nicaragua, Peru, and Bolivia), Southeast Asia (e.g., Vietnam), China, India, and Russia. Thus, the third wave countries which include China, India and Russia are late comers in the diffusion of modern retail. According to the authors, the main reason why they lagged behind was the severe restrictions on foreign direct investment (FDI) in retailing in these countries. The demand side features of these countries, such as income, size of the middle class, urbanization, and the share of women in workforce, etc., have been similar to countries in the second wave. In China and Russia these restrictions were progressively relaxed in the 1990s and in India partially in the 2000s. In January 2006, India allowed foreign companies to own up to 51 per cent in single-brand retail joint ventures (JVs), but multiple-brand foreign firms are still barred in retail although they can set up wholesale operations. There has been a creeping internationalization of retailing over the recent period. As home markets have 4 become crowded and with opportunities in emerging markets rising, modern retailers from developed countries have been turning to new markets. The retail sales growth of companies which have ventured into foreign markets has been faster than those that have confined themselves to home markets. As far as the international expansion is concerned, West European and South African retail companies are the most outward looking. The West European firms, among the top 250 retailers, expanded into an average of 9.9 countries in 2005-06 and generated 28.1 per cent of their sales from foreign operations, largely in Central and Eastern Europe. A “supermarket revolution” has indeed occurred in developing countries since the early-to-mid-1990s. In many countries, supermarkets have gone well beyond the initial middle-class clientele to penetrate the food markets of the poor. This “shock” downstream in the food system has made an impact on traditional retailers; has set off ripple effects upstream in the food system, on the wholesale, processing, and farm sectors; and has incipient effects on trade. Supermarkets started in the United States in the 1920s and 1930s and became dominant in the late 1950s. The traditional food retail system that dominated the country before supermarkets looked in essence the same as India’s traditional retail system. It consisted of (a) wetmarkets (similar to those in Asia, with many small stalls) for fresh produce, fish, and meats; (b) tiny “mom and pop” stores (man at the till taking orders, wife pulling down products from little shelves and measuring out and packing orders) with no selfservice by customers; (c) street hawkers with pushcarts or shoulder or head burdens; and (d) home delivery of milk and mobile (cart) delivery of dry goods—for example, by the famous Jewel Tea Company horse carts. The advent of modern retail (i.e., chain stores) started in the late 1870s, long before the supermarket format emerged as large self-service stores in the 1930s. Three key demand-side socio-economic changes occurred over a century. First, the United States was mainly rural in 1900 (the urban share was 40 per cent) and mainly urban by 1990 (urban share, 75 per cent). Second, few American women worked outside the home in 1900, and even by 1970 only 15 per cent of married women were counted among the national workforce. A massive societal change occurred in just a few decades, and by 2000 the share of working women was 75 per cent. Third, incomes per capita increased substantially over the century. All three changes are taking place in India today, except they are happening much faster than they did in the United States. Modern retail started with chains of stores that were about the size of kirana stores. Called “five and dime” or “five and ten cent” stores, they bought nonfood goods in volume and sold 5 at discount. They further cut costs by moving to self-service. These chain stores were an innovation of the tiny shop owners. As a major format, they lasted into the 1950s. The most famous example was Woolworths, started in the 1870s in big cities in the boom zones. From one tiny store in 1878, a chain was born that built to the first global retail multinational of medium-sized non-food shops, with 2,866 stores in five countries (including the United Kingdom) 50 years later. The nonfood five-and-dime stores acted as an “idea spark” model for chain-store formation by food stores that were formerly just small stand-alone grocery shops. The owner of a little tea shop (selling the ingredients for the main beverage of the day) got an idea in 1878 to build a chain of stores in big cities in boom zones and buy tea directly from Chinese plantations to cut the cost and beat the competition. That chain was A&P. From selling just tea in the 1870s, it grew to a grocery store format (dry foods) that opened as the first A&P Economy Store, the same size as a “neighbourhood store” format in India today, and focused on oils, packaged foods, soap, and so on. A&P procured in large volumes, drove down costs, and standardized store layouts. By 1915 the chain comprised 1,600 stores, and by 1925 it had 13,961 stores; in the early 1930s, A&P was operating approximately 16,000 stores with a combined revenue of US$1 billion (equivalent to US$10 billion in 2000 dollars). In 1936, A&P opened its first “supermarket” (just a few times larger than a neighbourhood store). By 1950, A&P ranked second in sales in the world (after General Motors). In the mid1950s, A&P was by far the number one food retailer and had moved from small-to-mediumsized supermarkets. However, by 2000, A&P had become a minor chain because its retailing and procurement strategic positioning had not kept up with chains that arose in the 1970s and 1980s, like Wal-Mart. Sam Walton is an important example of a kirana man who used entrepreneurial spirit in a situation of opportunity. He started in 1950 with a tiny five-and-dime store in a rural Arkansas village with a population of 3,000. It was one of the most underdeveloped regions of the United States, bypassed by the boom development of the past 100 years. Walton started by building a chain of kirana stores in the surrounding towns and then states, and by 1962 he had decided to open a small supermarket called Wal-Mart. Supermarkets Supermarkets have been around for half a century in several developing countries, but the phenomenon was limited mainly to large cities, upper-middle-class or rich consumer 6 segments, and domestic capital chains. In contrast, a supermarket revolution in developing countries took off in the early-to-mid-1990s. The patterns and determinants of that revolution are detailed in the following subsection. 4. Foreign Direct Investment in India According to International Monetary Fund, FDI is defined as “investment that is made to ac quire a lasting interest in an enterprise operating in an economy other than that of the investor. The investor’s purpose being to have effective voice in the management of the enterprise”. FDI refers to capital inflows from abroad that is invested in or to enhance the production capacity of the economy. The FDI Policy is governed by the Government of India and with the provision of Foreign Exchange Management Act. It usually involves participation in management, joint venture, transfer of technology and expertise. FDI can be used as one measure of growing economic globalization. The regulation is framed by Government FDI in sectors, not covered under automatic route requires prior approval of the government which is considered by Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB), Department of Economic Affairs, and Ministry of Finance. FDI Monitoring and Reviewing Agencies 1. Ministry of Commerce and Industry, Government of India. 2. Reserve Bank of India 3. Foreign Exchange Promotion Board. 4. Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion After the opening of the economy in 1991 it has been seen that traditional markets are paving way for development of departmental stores, supermarkets, specialty stores. Modern retailing in India is receiving global recognition and attention as the emerging market of India is witnessing a significant change in its growth and investment pattern. Not only the big global players like Wal-Mart, Metro group and Tesco are eying to capture a share of this market but also the domestic corporate like KK Modi, Aditya Birla group, Reliance, and Bharti group too are at some stage of retail development. Organised and modern retailing in India is a huge 7 industry in terms of size. According to A.T. Kearney’s annual Global Retail Development Index (GRDI), for the third consecutive year India has topped maintaining its position as the most attractive market for retail investment. The passing of 51% FDI in multi-brand retail despite intense uproar has proved the way for retail innovation and competition with the multi-brand retailers such as Walmart, Carrefour and Tesco, as well as single brand major such as IKEA, Nike and Apple. Foreign retailers will now be allowed to open stores in cities that have a population of less than one million. Earlier, supermarkets could only come up in 50 cities. A relaxation was permitted only in case of states that did not have a single city with a population of one million. The move will allow stores to come up in cities such as Gurgaon and Aurangabad. Source: TechSci Research FDI policy details on single and multi-brand retail in India 51% FDI in multi - brand retail Minimum investment cap is USD100 million 30 per cent procurement of manufactured or processed products must be from SMEs Minimum 50 per cent of total FDI must be invested in backend infrastructure (logistics, cold storage, soil testing labs, seed farming and agro-processing units) Removes middlemen and provides better price to farmers Development in retail supply chain system 50 per cent of jobs in retail outlet could be reserved for rural youth and a certain amount of farm produce could be required to be procured from poor farmers 8 To ensure the Public Distribution System (PDS) and Food Security System (FSS), the government reserves the right to procure a certain amount of food grains Multi-brand retail would keep food and commodity prices under control Will cut agricultural waste as mega retailers would develop backend infrastructure Consumers will receive higher quality products at lower prices and with better service 100% FDI in single brand retail Products to be sold under the same brand internationally Sale of multi-brand goods is not allowed, even if produced by the same manufacturer For FDI above 51 per cent, 30 per cent sourcing must be from SMEs Consumerism of retail market Any additional product categories to be sold under single brand retail must first receive government approval The benefits of FDI in retail are as follows: Apparel retail has a strong organized presence. After the first round of changes in the FDI policy for single-brand retail in 2006, retailers ventured into the market with EBOs across categories such as footwear, personal products, food services and entertainment, thus making this format a popular choice in the Indian organized retail market. While allowing foreign investment in SBRT (Single-brand retail trading), the GoI(Government of India) was aspiring to: 9 a. Attract investments in production and marketing; b. Improve the availability of goods for consumers; c. Encourage increased sourcing of goods from India; and d. Enhance competitiveness of Indian enterprises through access to global designs, technologies and management practices. Until recently, FDI to the tune of 100% was permitted under SBRT, with prior government approval being a pre-requisite. However, the regulations have now been liberalized further as follows: • Up to 49% is permissible under the automatic route (no prior approval of GOI required) • Beyond 49% is permissible subject to prior GOI approval Overview of India’s FDI policy for SBRT Single brand: Products to be sold should be of a single brand Same brand internationally: Products should be sold under the same brand internationally, i.e., products should be sold under the same brand in one or more countries other than India. Branding during manufacturing: Products should be branded during manufacturing Investment by more than one non-resident entity: A non-resident entity or entities, whether owner of the brand or otherwise, is permitted to undertake SBRT, directly or through a legally tenable agreement, with the brand owner The onus for ensuring compliance with this condition shall rest with the Indian entity carrying out SBRT in India. E-commerce prohibited: Retail trading, in any form, by means of e-commerce, would not be permissible, for companies engaged in SBRT in India. Sourcing: In cases where FDI exceeds 51%, sourcing of 30% of the value of goods purchased by the SBRT entity should be done from India, preferably from micro, medium and small enterprises, village and cottage industries, artisans and craftsmen, in all sectors. It is sufficient to comply with the 30% sourcing condition cumulatively in the first five years of FDI 10 investment. Thereafter, sourcing requirement to be complied on an annual basis. Overall, the SBRT policy has been attracting global players to the Indian market. However, it is vital for foreign retailers to evaluate their business models and strategies as per the Indian regulatory environment. Historically, franchise or licensing was the popular route; going forward, foreign brands are expected to opt for the ownership model. With the evolution of the Indian organized market, the commitment levels of foreign brands/retailers have increased, resulting in higher capital investment in their Indian operations. Some players have set up a subsidiary in India and operate the store network through unit/ store-level franchising models, while others establish a joint venture with Indian partners to derive benefit from the policy liberalization. Single-brand retailing is typically dominated by categories such as luxury goods, apparel and accessories, and footwear. Nevertheless, it also encompasses a host of other product categories. For categories such as jewellery and watches, personal care, CDIT (Consumer durables and information technology products) and travel goods, leading players largely focus on MBOs/department stores to drive sales. However, driven by the width of merchandise and the pull of brand, leading players across categories such as personal care, CDIT, and jewellery and watches are increasingly setting up EBOs. 11 5. Modern Retailing in India Growth in the Indian retail market is driven by a combination of demand, supply and regulatory factors. The three pillars are expected to continue being the growth engines of the Indian consumer and retail market: demand factors, supply factors and regulatory factors. Demand factors Increasing urbanization and migration to towns and cities. The contribution of urban areas to India’s GDP is expected to increase from 60% in 2001 to 70% in 2018. Rising disposable income and consumption expenditure Consumption spending is expected to increase from US$1077 billion in 2012 to US$2046 billion in 2017. Growing number of working women and young population India’s median age is the lowest among major economies (BRIC, the US, the UK), and it is expected to be 31 years in 2025. Changing consumer preferences Increase in foreign travel and exposure to Western lifestyle have resulted in a shift in consumption habits, leading them to up-trade. Supply factors Rapid real estate and infrastructure development Mall space supply across metro cities is expected to increase 40%- 50% between 2012 and 2017. Easy availability of credit Number of credit cards was estimated at 18 million in 2012, and it is increased to 28 million in 2014. Creating a differentiated experience 12 Leading modern trade stores stock products/brands procured by local importers; some of them directly partner with leading foreign consumer product companies to exclusively retail and distribute their products in the Indian market. Introduction of innovative formats Specialty format: e.g., wedding malls Luxury format: high-end malls for retailing luxury goods Transit format: near airports and metro stations Liberalization of FDI policies for retailing Between 2006 and 2012, the GoI has progressively liberalized the FDI policy for retailing. Introduction to GST The GOI has proposed GST and is close to a consensus on this. Once implemented, it will simplify the supply chain and bring down prices to consumers. The rising income & purchasing power of the consumer, higher brand consciousness & brand choice, easy credit facility, increase in consumer class, FDI, internet & are some of the factors behind the phenomenal growth of modern retailing in India. The dominance of the young and working class under the age of 30 years in the population of India which is estimated to be more than 1.2 billion augurs well for the modern retail sector. At the same 13 time strong rise in income and purchasing power of the people backed by robust employment generation is helping the modern and organised retailing in its prosperity. Along with a significant growth in discretionary income, the changing lifestyles are being seen as major growth driver of Indian retailing market. 14 6. Retailing Patterns in India The total retail sector in India can be divided into organized and unorganised sectors. The trading activities undertaken by licensed retailers are categorized as organized retailing. Licensed retailers are those who are registered for sales tax, income tax, etc. These include the corporate-backed hypermarkets and retail chains, and also the privately owned large retail businesses. Unorganized retail or traditional retail on the other hand, include a large number of small retailers that consists of local kirana shops, owner-manned general stores, chemists, footwear shops, apparel shops, paan and beedi (local betel leaf and tobacco) shops, hand-cart hawkers, pavement vendors, etc The Indian retail sector is highly fragmented. More than ninety per cent of its business is being run by the unorganized retailers like the traditional family run stores and corner stores. The organized retail in India is at a very nascent stage. However, in order to increase its share in total retail, attempts are being made so as to bring in a huge opportunity for prospective new players. India's retail sector is heading towards modernization. New formats such as departmental stores, supermarkets and speciality stores, westernised malls are fast appearing in metros and tier-II cities. The overall retail market in India is estimated to be around 630 Billion USD in 2015. The organized market is estimated to be 9-10% of the total market i.e. 60 Billion USD. The sector has grown at 12% over the last decade and going forward we expect growth to be moderately higher. We expect the retail market to be 1100-1200 Bn USD by 2020, of which organized retail could be potentially 140-160 Bn USD. The overall growth would be driven by significant demographic shifts: 70% increase in income levels, 100 Mn youth entering the workforce, increasing nuclearization. & 35% of Indians living in urban centres. The ratio of retail sector’s revenue to GDP in India is amongst the highest in the world. For most developed markets retail sector revenues are 1520% of overall GDP, whereas India it is around 25%. Organized retail is a difficult business in India. As can be seen in the exhibit, the sector performance lags most other sectors on key metrics. The top companies are considered across the sectors to evaluate on their performance and their RoCE. 15 Globally retail has been one of the better performing sectors. BSG publishes the Value Creators ranking an annual report based on an analysis of five year period Total Shareholders Returns of around 2000 global companies. During 2010-2014 global retailers delivered an impressive annual median TSR of 21%. In comparison Indian retailers delivered TSR in single digits only. The difference is explained by the challenging environment faced by Indian retailers as compared to their global counterparts. Share of organized retail in India is much lower compared to other global markets. As a result retailers in India have lower bargaining power and margins as compared to their global peers. In the recent past there have been attempts to provide regulatory unlocks to the industry. The growth is expected in overall retail market to accelerate going forward. This growth would be driven by significant demographic shifts: 70% increase in income levels. In 2014, food & grocery accounted for nearly 69 per cent of total revenues in the retail sector, followed by apparel (8.0 per cent). Demand for Western outfits and readymade garments has been growing at 40–45 per cent annually; apparel penetration is expected to increase to 30-35 per cent by 2015. In 2014, jewellery accounted for 6 per cent share in India retail sector and its share is expected to increase from 6 per cent to 8 per cent in FY20. 16 Organised Retail Penetration (ORP) in India is low (8 per cent) in 2015 compared with that in other countries, such as the US (85 per cent). This indicates strong growth potential for organised retail in India. In 2019, it is estimated that organised retail penetration share would reach 13 percent and unorganised retail penetration would hold a major share of 87 percent. Organised retail (growth across categories) 17 India’s ‘grocery’ retail segment is the world’s most attractive. Grocery retailers recorded healthy growth during 2014 and is expected to become world’s third largest grocery market with an estimated revenue of USD 566bn by 2016. 18 Single Brand Retail Single-brand retailing is typically dominated by categories such as luxury goods, apparel and accessories, and footwear. Nevertheless, it also encompasses a host of other product categories. For categories such as jewellery and watches, personal care, CDIT and travel goods, leading players largely focus on MBOs/department stores to drive sales. However, driven by the width of merchandise and the pull of brand, leading players across categories such as personal care, CDIT, and jewellery and watches are increasingly setting up EBOs. While the Indian market offers significant potential and it is critical for foreign brands to conduct a detailed opportunity assessment and tailor their business models and strategy as per the Indian environment. 19 A typical decision road map for entry into single brand retail in India is given below for reference. Opportunity Analysis: Macroeconomic assessment of India Market/Competition analysis Regulatory framework Strategy and business plan development: Vision for the Indian market Strategy design financial projections and funding requirements Assess the need for a partner: If the foreign brand intends to invest 100% in Indian retailing, there may not be a need for an Indian partner. However, in categories where it’s difficult to meet the sourcing norms, a partner would be necessary. Choose a partner: Partner requirements and profiling evaluation, shortlisting, selection, negotiation and closure structuring and due diligence. Setting up operations: Tax structure and FIPB approval Incorporation in India Organizational structure. Pre-operative considerations: Indirect tax registrations – VAT, CST, etc. establish a supply chain and sourcing model. Develop an internal control framework. Growth strategy: Review the strategy and business plan, update rollout plan. Opportunities for inorganic growth. Multi-brand retail 20 Many foreign retailers engaged in this segment globally have set up a wholly owned subsidiary in India to undertake business-to-business trading activity and have forged partnerships with Indian retail partners. One important area that needs to be addressed in the proposed policy is the mandatory sourcing of 30% of the value of products from small enterprises, which are defined to mean enterprises having a total investment in plant and machinery not exceeding 1 million USD. It is possible that such small enterprises may become large organically on account of long-term contracts with the retailers in compliance with the said conditions. To encourage development of small enterprises that organically become large, they should also be considered as eligible suppliers to the Indian retail trading companies for meeting the said requirement. This principle is similar to the concept of the ‘carry-on business licence’, which historically applied to small-scale enterprises which grew large organically, to carry on their business and continue to avail benefits of the SSI sector. E-commerce E-commerce activities are also governed by the principles mentioned above i.e. companies can engage only in B2B e-commerce trading and not in retail trading (except single-brand retail trading). 21 7. Analytics in retail Data generated from the various digital touchpoints is already providing insights into customer behaviour. Trends like new payment types and variable store footprints continue to redefine ways in which consumers are interacting with retailers. Although stores remain an indispensable part of the shopping journey, digital channels have become the first touchpoint for consumers today. CEOs of retail and consumer goods companies who were interviewed as part of PwC’s 19th Annual Global CEO Survey rated data and analytics technologies as their key area of focus. The new operating model will be customer centric, with data analytics at the heart of the decision-making process, enabled by appropriate technology and tools. While physical retail constitutes a larger share of total retail, online retail continues to show accelerated growth. This is because the latter offers convenience in terms of anytime, anywhere gratification, along with the best deals on products. Retailers today do not just sell products; instead, they are offering services which focus on delivering a differentiated experience. Many leading retailers have merged their online and offline divisions so that the same team oversees merchandising, planning and marketing for their physical stores and ecommerce. In-store customers are now able to browse products and place orders on handheld devices, following which they can pick up their items from a collection point. Retailers are improving their profitability by merging in-store and digital operations. Retailers are taking to social media with campaigns and promotion activities. Clearly, social media is the ‘great influencer’. Retailers are now focussing on offering a differentiated instore experience. While in-store customer traffic has been an important metric to measure marketing spend effectiveness and conversion rate, digital channels are becoming important touchpoints for an omnichannel experience. With this wealth of customer data, retailers will be able to drive newer strategies for revenue generation and cost management in the race towards turning profitable. The new challenges retailers are facing today include engagement, digitisation, trust and disruptions. A structured analytics-driven approach can help retailers successfully undertake the journey from discovery to trust, description, prediction, optimisation, empowerment and finally embedding of intelligence in their existing operations workflows. Retailers can use the business insights generated from analytics to effectively align physical and digital store operations under a single management team with incentives that are agnostic to channel of sale. They can set up flexible data infrastructure that is able to build a ‘single view of a 22 customer’ and deliver real-time operations. As a result, retailers would be able to successfully spot opportunities, quickly assess ideas and test and learn from these experiences. They would be able to innovate continuously and understand and embrace new business models. Data and analytics would act as a core enabling capability and help them to exploit the latest technologies to deliver better digital experiences for their customers and integrate digital channels and operations into the fabric of their businesses. The two important areas under marketing analytics are pricing and promotion analytics. Retailers are faced with daily inventory decisions and often lack the time and tools to take a step back and strategically address how to better align supply and demand. Adopting a forward-looking and analytics-based approach to inventory management gives retailers a clear view of how much is left on the table with their current inventory replenishment strategy and the impact of alternative strategies. This enables the retailer to take a more informed decision about which replenishment strategies better align supply and demand, reduce excess inventory, cause fewer lost sales, and improve customer experience. Mobile technologies, cyber security and data analytics are important areas of investment for retailers. These can help them to significantly improve their operational efficiency and deliver a better customer experience. The components of a successful retail analytics strategy comprise the following six areas: a) Self-service analytics: Making analytics a more democratic process by allowing users to make decisions based on their own queries without requiring any sophistication b) Real-time in-memory: A move ahead of the traditional relational database based approach to in-memory real-time analytics to process requests virtually in real time c) Predictive modelling: Developing an analytical model to predict future outcomes and empower business users to take decisions quickly d) Big data and hybrid architectures: Convergence of structured and unstructured data through data integration across apps, sensors, social media and other channels e) Cloud analytics: Highly scalable and easy way to store and access relevant information, which allows users to access more data faster f) Advanced visualisations: Present data in visually compelling ways, enabling companies to expand business intelligence capabilities extended to their executives and other employees 23 These components can help the retailer to create a truly advanced analytics programme and to capitalise on the valuable insights generated to better connect with customers and increase profitability. Retail Analytics framework Retail Analytics can be used in the following areas. a) Merchandising b) Marketing c) Supply Chain d) Store Operations 24 8. Conclusion “There is only one boss: the customer. And he can fire everybody in the company from the chairman on down, simply by spending his money somewhere else.” As rightly observed by Sam Walton, retail is all about customer experience and taking it to the next level. In these changing times, price is no more the only differentiator; customer experience has emerged to be equally important. While retailers are doing everything to woo customers, the ‘million dollar’ question is ‘How do I increase customer stickiness to the brand?’ Customer loyalty has been shifting across all formats—be it the kirana stores or the hypermarkets. Stores are reinventing themselves to stay relevant and convenient. Retailers are not necessarily adopting one-size-fits-all strategies. Thus, success lies in the fact that ‘what can be measured can be managed’. Expanding the product offering, promotional strategies and offers to draw higher footfalls is passé. Innovation is a more tactical term now, and it is having positive effects. For the generation that works on laptops and mobile phones, quick turnaround time is utmost important. Thus, being present across multiple channels has become inevitable. The discussion point is when and how to monetise it. Growth is no more seen as a success measure. Profitable growth is the norm in the board rooms. Shedding all inhibition, letting go of formats that do not make business sense and closing unprofitable stores are some steps taken to send a clear message to the stakeholders, that profitability is the key to sustainable growth. Online shopping experience are still lagging behind consumer expectations. Faster delivery, quality and price the pillars defining value for online consumers. Indian customers are tremendously evolving digitally. Post demonetization in 2016 the mode of payment has factored shopping styles. Cash on delivery which was a prevalent mode of payments has now taken the backseat. Growth of digital payment companies have grown. As anticipated retail industry was one of most affected sector hit by demonetization. Automobile retail companies suffered from lowest sales in the last 5 years. The evolution of retail in Indian economy in the last decade has not been tremendous. A bigger part of the pie is still enjoyed by unorganized sector. FDI restrictions on multi brand retail mean consumers have to still wait for the offerings of Walmart, Carrefour etc. Unless some more local players join the competition the retail landscape will still remain in the 25 rudimentary stage. Revolution in e-commerce can add some value to the consumers but the sustainability of Indian online players like Flipkart, Snapdeal etc. are still doubted. The Indian customers today have several choices that they can make. The boundaries among cities are fading quickly. Infrastructure and connectivity are improving by the month and customer awareness is at an all-time high. The Indian customer is creating the new ‘Indian Bazaar’. 26