The Contribution of Rational Choice Theory to Macrosociological Research Author(s): Debra Friedman and Michael Hechter Source: Sociological Theory , Autumn, 1988, Vol. 6, No. 2 (Autumn, 1988), pp. 201-218 Published by: American Sociological Association Stable URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/202116 JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org. Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at https://about.jstor.org/terms Wiley and American Sociological Association are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Sociological Theory This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms THE CONTRIBUTION OF RATIONAL CHOICE THEORY TO MACROSOCIOLOGICAL RESEARCH* DEBRA FRIEDMAN AND MICHAEL HECHTER Russell Sage Foundation and University of Arizona Because it consists of an entire family of specific theories derived from the same first principles, rational choice offers one approach to generate explanations that provide for micro-macro links, and to attack a wide variety of empirical problems in macrosociology. The aims of this paper are (I) to provide a bare skeleton of all rational choice arguments; (2) to demonstrate their applicability to a range of macrosociological concerns by reviewing a sample of both new and classic works; and (3) to discuss the weaknesses of current rational choice theory and the possibilities for its future development. Until recently, microsociologists and macro- Our aims in this paper are threefold: (1) to sociologists have fundamentally disagreed provide the bare skeleton of all rational choice about the proper level of analysis for arguments; (2) to demonstrate their applicabilsociological inquiry. As members of these ity to a range of macrosociological concerns; two camps increasingly have come to appre- and (3) to discuss the weaknesses of rational ciate the theoretical and empirical payoffs ofchoice and the possibilities for its future joint venture, however, there is a new call fordevelopment. micro-macro research (Collins 1981; Hechter A case for rational choice theory could be 1983; Coleman 1986a; Alexander, Giesen, made on epistemological grounds, but we Munch and Smelser 1987). One of the shall not make it; such philosophical discus(several) starting points from which sions it ishave flowered at least since the time of possible to generate explanations that provide Thomas Hobbes. Nor will we argue for its for micro-macro links is rational choice merits in accounting for social-psychological theory.1 Beyond its reliance on the concept of group processes; in sociology this and small purposive action (the idea that all action is the province of exchange theory has been intentional) and its commitment to methodo(Heath 1976; Emerson 1981; Cook 1987). logical individualism (the doctrine that allwe argue for the development of the Nor will social phenomena are, in principle, theory onlymerely for theory's sake; the search for explicable in terms of the action of Nash equilibria and for saddle points we leave individuals)2, the properties of rational choice to others. Instead, we shall argue that rational theory are poorly appreciated by many choice offers an alternative theory to explain, sociologists.3 and sometimes to predict, empirical observations that have traditionally been of concern to macrosociologists. In future contests with * A previous version of this paper was presented at the other kinds of explanations of these same panel on Micro-Macro Linkages at the Annual Meetings phenomena, we will be content to let of the American Sociological Association, Atlanta, 1988. empirical analyses tip the balance in favor of We are grateful to Mary Brinton, Carol Diem, Douglas Heckathor, David Jacobs, Edgar Kiser and two one theory or the other4. anonymous reviewers for their comments on an earlier draft. ' The rational choice approach to the micro-macro problem is epistemologically positivistic. Non-positivist attempts to address this problem can be found in Giddens (1979), Habermas (1983), and in some of the essays in Alexander, Giesen, Munch and Smelser (1987). 2 Some rational choice analyses do not use individuals as the units of analysis, per se, but use states or firms as (corporate) actors. In so doing, theoretically they treat the state or firm as if it were an individual while at the same I. A SKELETAL RATIONAL CHOICE MODEL What follows is a basic skeleton of all rationa choice models, inclusive of the bones found in nearly every rational choice argument, and exclusive of the flesh of any specific rational time appreciating that in actuality states and firms do not act. 4 We recognize that paradigms often appear impervi- 3For a sample of critical reviews of rational choice ous to contravening data. Nonetheless, judging a theory, written by sociologists, see Oberschall and Leifer (1986), or set of theories, against the available evidence remains and Hirsch, Michaels, and Friedman (1987). the scientific ideal to which we subscribe. Sociological Theory, 1988, Vol. 6 (Fall:201-218) This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 201 SOCIOLOGICAL THEORY 202 choice model. For the moment, the work (andof the preferences implied b must those who would rearrange the skeletal framebe specified in advance. prespecification of actors' en will be set aside. A diagram of the main points of the argument that followschoice is to be explanations are liable to cal. found in Figure 1. Figure 1 is intended to be a heuristic Yet device individual action is no product of intention. It is a to accompany the discussion in the first and constraints second sections of the paper. The solid lines that derive from at least two independent sources. The first set of conrepresent the explanatory paths of typical rational choice theories. Some theories, for is due to a scarcity of resources. straints possession of and access to example, link purposive actors Differential to social outcomes through the mechanism ofresources opportu-make some ends easy for individuals to attain, some more difficult, and nity costs, while others link purposive actors preclude the attainment of others altogether. with social outcomes through the mechanism On account of scarcity, then, the opportunity of institutional constraints, or preferences. costs-those The paths are numbered for the purpose of costs associated with foregoing the next most identification. The aggregation mechanism is attractive course of action-will enclosed in broken lines to indicate that it is often implicit in these theories. vary considerably for different actors. Hence, actors will not always choose that course of action which satisfies their most valued ends. In seeking to reap maximum benefit, actors Basic Assumptions keep a wary eye on opportunity costs, for Rational choice models always rely on conceptions of actors as purposive and intentional. These actors are conceived to these lower the net benefit of any contemplated action. Social institutions can be a second source of constraints.6 The modal individual will have given preferences, values or utilities find his or her actions checked from birth to (hereafter termed preferences in this essay). death by familial and school rules; laws and They act with the express purpose of attaining ordinances; firm policies; churches, syna- ends that are consistent with their hierarchy of gogues and mosques; and hospitals and preferences. In general, rational choice theory funeral parlors. By restricting the feasible set is mute about what these preferences might be of courses of action available to individuals, and where they come from.5 In any specific enforceable rules of the game-including rational choice theory, however, actors' ends norms, laws, agendas, and voting rules- systematically affect social outcomes. These 5The issue of preference-formation is discussed constraints serve to provide sanctions of both further below. a positive and a negative kind that raise or lower the net benefit of any contemplated course of action. Therefore, within rational choice models, variations in outcomes can be due logically to 6 There is considerable confusion about the relation- ship between opportunity costs and institutional constraints, especially around the issue of whether institutional constraints are reducible to opportunity costs. We believe that it is useful to maintain an analytic distinction between the two. Institutional constraints are invariant AGGREGATION MECHANISM /' 7 SOCIAL OUTCOME across the individuals subject to them, while opportunity costs often vary considerably for different individuals subject to those same institutional constraints. To cast a ballot in a U.S. presidential election, everyone must register to vote, arrive at a polling place during specified hours, and punch a computer card. These are institutional constraints, and they affect all eligible voters. Yet the opportunity costs associated with casting a balloton resources such as occupation, access to Figure 1. The Various Paths depending to Social Outcomes in Rational Choice Explanations transportation, literacy, and so on-vary widely. This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms RATIONAL CHOICE THEORY 203 (Gottfredson & Hirschi 1986) because, in variations in preferences, in opportunity costs, and/or in institutional constraints.7 We they have less to lose if they are general, will discuss examples of research demonstratapprehended (that is, they have lower opportunity costs). Finally, it has often been ing each of these three sources of variation. observed that hard science is a young person's For example, Thomas Schelling's (1978) model of residential segregation is based on game. This is because the opportunity costs the assumption that individuals have a weak associated with retooling each time a technopreference for living with their own kind (this logical advance occurs are often prohibitively kind of explanation corresponds to path 4 in high. The third major source of variation in Figure 1). This low level preference, he shows, rapidly results in a chain of actions outcomes is due to institutional constraints that leads to extreme segregation-a social (path 6). It is by now well appreciated that outcome that is unintended by any of the different voting rules-majority, plurality, or individual actors who participate in the unanimity-can influence both the time it system. Take away the weak preference takes to arrive at a decision as well as the assumption and Schelling's predicted out- actual decision itself (Buchanan and Tullock 1962). As any member of an academic come disappears. Another example of a model in which variation in social outcomes department knows, the order of items on an is attributed to variations in preferences agenda is may have implications for which illustrated in Anthony Downs's (1957:118-25) items hold the day (Riker 1986). discussion of the causes of two-party as Opportunity costs and institutional constraints are more often the cause of variation against multi-party systems. For Downs, the distribution of single-peaked voter preferin rational choice explanations than are ences across a left/right political dimension preferences. is Less is known about prefera major determinant of the number of parties ences-about their origin, persistence, or malleability-than about either opportunity in a given society.8 Opportunity costs also can be the source costs of or institutional constraints. There are variation in outcomes (path 5). These are not several reasons that the role of preferences tends to be slighted in rational choice models. distributed equally, either over every category of actor, or for the same sort of action. First, opportunity costs and institutional Consider the relationship between age andconstraints are more reliably measured than opportunity costs. Older people (especiallyare internal states. Second, while price theory older women) tend to attend church more undergirds opportunity cost arguments, and a frequently than younger people do: the multitude of empirical generalizations support opportunity costs associated with foregoing institutional constraint arguments, no compapossible salvation rise as the prospect of death rable theoretical or empirical structure supnears (Azzi and Ehrenberg 1975). In general, ports arguments based on preferences. Until these costs drop in the post-child-rearing, we have a robust theory of preference- post-retirement phase of life. Young people formation, or a rich body of data, the engage in crime more often than their elders persuasiveness of explanations based upon preferences will hinge on reader's perceptions of their intuitive appeal. There are two other elements common to all 7 Even if preferences, opportunity costs and the effects of social institutions all could be exactly specified, some rational choice models. The first is an unexpected variation in outcomes might still be noted due principally to the effects of uncertainty, either objective aggregation mechanism by which the separate or subjective. One anonymous reviewer suggested that individual actions are combined to produce strategic interaction also might be an independent source the social outcome. Often rational choice of variation. For us, however, it is not an independent theories read as if there were no aggregation source but an important subset of the category of social problem.9 This is because in most of the institutions. Strategic interaction describes the action of participants in a game, and a game is a social institution. 8 The other main determinant is an institutional constraint that Downs called the electoral structure 9 In a very limited set of cases (especially in (basically, whether there are single-member districts or legislatures), an institutional constraint carries with it an proportional representation). It is significant that subseaggregation mechanism-thus any kind of voting rule quent rational choice research on the determinants of a collective decision. Many of the institutional will yield party systems has focused almost exclusively onconstraints the role that macrosociologists are concerned with do not share this feature, however. of institutional factors as against preferences. This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 204 SOCIOLOGICAL THEORY original applications the market is taken to be (Path 4), opportunity costs (Path preferences 5), or institutional constraints (Path 6). The the mechanism that aggregates preferences. bulk of our discussion therefore concerns In non-market applications there is an assumpissues. tion, which is frequently hidden,these that all Theover studies that are described in this actors have similar preference orderings section constitute the best evidence we can a given set of choices. The usual defense of this assumption relies on the law muster of large to try to convince a skeptic of the numbers (Stinchcombe 1968:67-8; Hechter merit of this approach. (Those who do not 1987:31-3). need convincing may wish to proceed directly to Section The alternative to making an assumption ofIII.) The rational choice theories homogeneous preference orderings that is areto utilized in these studies compete with specify an aggregation mechanismestablished that regeneral theories (Marxist or structural theories, for instance) and with a wide flects the preferences of the constituent actors. It has been difficult to formulate such variety of inductive theories in accounting for a mechanism: when actors have heterogetheir subject. In attempting to secure a place neous preference orderings, no determinatein macrosociology alongside these other collective outcome may be able to be theories, many of these studies analyze predicted (Arrow 1951). The most extensive classic empirical problems, the outcomes of work on this problem has been done as part of which are well-known. These are, then, post the scholarship on voting. The work on thehoc explanations. Yet in the competitive Condorcet paradox is relevant here (for an arena of macrosociological theory it is overview, see Mueller 1979: Ch. 3). essential that a general theory be applicable to The final element is information. Initially, the historical phenomena that are the staple of this branch of sociology (economic develophad perfect or sufficient information necesment, voting patterns, protest movements, stratification). When rational choice theories sary for making purposive choices among alternative courses of action. In much of the have demonstrated their worth in elucidating most recent work, however, the quantity and these subjects, the case for rational choice as a predictive theory then can be persuasively quality of available information is taken to be a variable, and a highly significant one at that advanced. Some of this predictive work is (Hirshleifer and Riley 1979). already underway, and is also detailed in the following pages. rational choice models assumed that actors II. EXEMPLARY AND NEW RATIONAL CHOICE EXPLANATIONS OF MACROSOCIOLOGICAL PROBLEMS'l Examples of Research Investigating Path 4 (Hierarchy of Preferences -- Social Outcome) If this is the skeleton upon which all rational There are as many hierarchies of preferences choice arguments are built, how can such as there are actors in the world. On the one explanations be used to illuminate macrosohand, this allows for infinite gains from ciological problems? We will illustrate their exchange. On the other hand, when a narrow applicability by discussing examples of re- range of ends is considered, large numbers of people may share similar preferences. Whether plary studies and from new ones-illustrating a given social outcome results from exchange the various paths represented in Figure 1. or from commonality, the dynamic element in Thus far most research has concentrated on these kinds of analyses is the content of the the connections between social outcomes and preferences held by relevant actors. search-drawn from both classical or exem- a. The similarity of American political party platforms. Why do the American choice theory by sociologists and for sociologists. Democratic and Republican parties tend to Because the use of rational choice theory in sociology is adopt virtually indistinguishable platforms relatively new, however, work that serves as exemplars 10 This paper explicitly focuses on the uses of rational in this tradition was generally not done by sociologists. relative to the parties in Western European So we draw on the work of economists and political democracies, which seem to have much more scientists to provide classic or exemplary models of distinctive political programs? scholarship, but only on the work of sociologistsideologically to One possible explanation is the lack of illustrate the range of new applications to macrosocio- logical phenomena. sophistication of American voters relative to This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 205 RATIONAL CHOICE THEORY parties strive to distinguish their party plattheir European counterparts. Another ascribes the difference to the lower salience of class forms and to maintain the purity of their identification in the United States as againstpositions. 12 the European democracies (Campbell et al. b. The origin of collective action. In 1973 1966). James S. Coleman published The Mathematics of Collective Action (Coleman 1973) in The exemplary rational choice explanation, which he proposed a market solution to the as presented by Anthony Downs (1957:Ch. problems of coordination and information 8), holds voter preferences to be responsible for the type of party system (two- or exchange that occur in every instance of multi-party system), together with the type of collective action. In any given group, some electoral rules (single-member district or individuals will prefer to pursue one collecproportional representation). In Downs' model, tive good while others will prefer to pursue (1) voters support a given party because they another. Yet in most instances, the efforts or expect that enactment of its policies will make resources of those who are less interested are them better off; (2) legislators are principally as important to the attainment of the good as interested in re-election; and (3) parties are are the efforts of those who are most teams seeking to control the governing interested. Since all of the actors appreciate apparatus by winning national elections. Each that successful collective action (that which party wants to garner the maximum number they are interested in, as well as that which of votes. Using Hotelling's (1929) general others are interested in) requires the contribu theory of optimal location, Downs explains tions of a wide range of group members, the that in a two-party system where all voters sometimes seek to exchange their control ove vote, each party can attract the maximum events. Thus, there is a supply of control ove number of votes only by appealing to the a given collective action held by those le center of the ideological spectrum. Thus, interested in the outcome, and a demand fo each party will intentionally alter its platform that control emanating from those with to attract the median voter. " Not only will the significant interest in the outcome. Thi parties come to resemble Tweedledum and market solution leads to predictions about th Tweedledee, but their platforms will be as probability of a successful collective action a ambiguous as they can manage. well as to predictions about the expected In contrast, multi-party systems create value of an event for involved actors. Unlike conditions favorable to one party at each most treatments of collective action, Coleideological mode (and perhaps to balancing man's contribution recognizes that most parties between modes). In such systems instances of collective action involve collective decision-making processes. (For other papers written from these theoretical pre1 Downs presents arguments both for how electoral mises, see Marsden [1981] and Coleman rules can be determined by voter preferences and for how [1986b].) voter preferences can be determined by electoral rules. What can be taken from these studies as On the one hand, if the distribution of voter preferences is normal (that is, unimodal and symmetric), it is likely general lessons about the relationship between single-member districts are preferred, and these, in turn, noted that the rational choice perspective that no large group will be ignored politically. Thus, preferences and outcomes? First, it can be tend to produce two party systems. If, however, voter directly challenges the sociological tradition preferences are polymodal, lawmakers may choose on this subject. The effect of preferences on multi-member districts-that is, proportional representation-in order to allow sizeable extremist groups to have social outcomes long has been a central a voice. This tends to produce multi-party systems. On concern in sociology. The rise of the sample the other hand, Downs also argues that the number of survey-surely a major achievement of modparties is likely to affect the distribution of voter ern sociology-was, after all, predicated on preferences: in a two-party system, voter preferences are likely to converge in the long run, whereas the opposite effect may occur in a multiparty system with proportional representation. The relationship between preferences and number of parties also depends upon assumptions the notion that given better information, government officials-as well as the producers of other kinds of goods--would formulate policies-or other products-that were tail- regarding voter turnout. So long as all voters vote, the ored to preferences, as reflected in public parties will cater to the median voter regardless of the preference distribution. If some voters abstain, however, 12 For more recent work in this tradition, see Enelow then the median voter result is upset if the preferences are asymmetric or multimodal (Mueller 1979:98-105). and Hinich (1984). This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 206 SOCIOLOGICAL THEORY opinion polls. In contrast, these rational Rational choice theory offers quite a differchoice studies suggest that preferences rarely, ent explanation for the failure of socialist revif ever, determine social outcomes in any olutions to occur in advanced capitalist societies. A socialist revolution is in the collective such simple, intuitive fashion. interest of those workers who believe that their Schelling's (1978) study of residential segregation, for example, implies that (1) the welfare will be improved by it. Yet, even though preferences that are reflected in social theyoutare potential beneficiaries, rational workcomes are likely to be more extreme than ers will be unlikely to help bring about a sorevolution. Since each individual makes those held by the constituent actors.cialist Downs's (1957) analysis implies that, at least ina the only negligible difference to the likely suc- cess of the revolution, the best individual stratAmerican political context, (2) a political party that is self-consciously responsive thethat combines non-participation with egy to is one preferences of a constituency will produce the (hoped-for) a consumption of the fruits of the new order. If, however, most workers follow vapid set of policies. And from Coleman's (1973) work on collective action comes the this individualist logic and actually do not parcounterintuitive finding that (3) ticipate in prein the revolutionary movement, then it is clear that few such social transformations existing groups, successful collective action will ever occur. depends on mobilizing the disinterested, rather than those whose interest is strongest This explanation for the failure of revoluand least ambiguous. tion in capitalist societies is based on a general rational choice theory known as the theory of public goods. As formulated by Mancur Examples of Research Investigating Path 5 Olson (1965), a public good is one that, (Opportunity Costs - Social Outcome) once produced, can be consumed by anyone in the relevant public. The difficulty withvary public goods is that rational individuals Like preferences, opportunity costs will consume them without contributing to across individuals. Nonetheless, individuals sharing social characteristics-age, sex, mar- their provision. In other words, rational ital status, income-often have roughly com- individuals will act as free riders. So if a parable opportunity costs as well. What is given group is composed of a large number of common to these explanations is the idea that free riders, then a less than desirable amount social outcomes derive from the alternative of the public good will be produced. This courses of action available to similarly kind of logic can account both for the rarity of situated actors. collective actions in the absence of organiza- tions providing significant private benefits (or a. The failure of class consciousness. One what Olson calls selective incentives), and for of the oldest predictions of social science its holds that people who occupy structurally likelihood in the presence of such similar positions will act collectively to organizations.14 further their common interests. This expecta- b. Explaining variations in patterns of collective protest. Working to propose a tion underlies Thomas Hobbes' explanation for the rise of the state, Adam Smith's version of rational choice theory closer to the richness of the empirical evidence on collecaccount of the existence of protectionist tive action, Karl-Dieter Opp (1986a; 1986b) tariffs, and Karl Marx's dictum that advanced suggests that the selective incentives needed capitalist societies would undergo socialist revolutions. Yet there are many instances to ininduce participation in protest-of both the which this principle does not hold. Forlegal and illegal varieties-are of two types. The first includes external selective inceninstance, what has kept Marx's prediction tives, including normative expectations of from being fulfilled? One possibility is that the failure of socialist revolution is due to 'false consciousness.'13 others, and positive and negative sanctions.15 not place their scholarship in the rational choice tradition). 13 It should be noted that (1) some recent Marxist 14 The best overall summary of the literature in scholarship (Elster 1985; Przeworski 1985) uses rational response to Olson is Hardin (1982); see also Oliver, Marwell and Teixeira (1985). choice arguments, as well; and (2) many other Marxist 15 There is some debate in rational choice circles about scholars rely on structural constraints of all sorts to explain the absence of revolution (even though they thedo consequences of countenancing non-material incen- This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms RATIONAL CHOICE THEORY 207 In addition, there are internal incentives, expected on the basis of Olson's theory. In a including norms of participation, norms about related article Oliver (1980) has argued that violence, intrinsic value, entertainment value, there are positive and negative selective and catharsis value. Together these go far in incentives and that these have different explaining participation in anti-nuclear protest implications for producing collective action: activities in the United States and in West rewards are effective in motivating small numbers of participants while punishments Germany by elucidating the relationship between community integration and participaare effective only when the situation requires unanimous cooperation. tion. Opp (1986a; 1986b) tests these hypothd. Political influence and tax rates. In a eses derived from rational choice theory and holds them to be superior to those derived study of political influence and tax rates, from other approaches-relative deprivation, David Jacobs (1988) traces one implication of resource-mobilization and demographic modthe rational choice theory of collective els-in accounting for observed empirical action-namely, that economic concentration relationships. should bring forth political influence. When Also dedicated to explaining variousassets in- are concentrated and large proportions stances of collective action is an elaborate of the productive resources in one economic rational choice model of social conflict in sector (such as manufacturing) are controlled Anthony Oberschall's 1973 book, Social by a relatively small number of firms, each Conflicts and Social Movements. Expanding large firm will have a greater stake in the on the work of Olson (1965), Oberschall provision of a public policy that benefits all the firms in that sector. For under these (1973) focused on recruitment processes that conditions, each firm will be better able to facilitated movement mobilization and ap- plied these hypotheses to a wide field of monitor and sanction potential free riders. collective actions, most notably to the CivilJacobs argues that tax rates offer an indicator Rights movement. of political influence. Since firms cannot More recently, Oliver, Marwell and Teieasily pass the cost of increased taxes on to xeira (1985) have investigated the effect consumers, of when they pay greater taxes it is group heterogeneity on production functions unlikely that this is due to their expanding for collective action. They distinguish two political influence. But if effective tax rates types of production functions-accelerating diminish in response to an increase in and decelerating ones-and show that colleccorporate resources, this suggests that the tive actions characterized by accelerating corporations in question have succeeded in production functions hardly ever succeed in translating their resources into political influence. Jacobs finds that the concentration of getting off the ground, while those characterized by decelerating production functions are assets among the largest firms (regardless of more likely to begin, but yield reducedtheir industry) is an important predictor of marginal returns of subsequent contributions. effective tax rates on manufacturing. c. Rewarding and punishing participants ine. Political regionalism. Why do the collective action. Pamela Oliver and Gerald peasants in western France vote for right- Marwell, together with their associates,wing have parties, whereas those in the Mediterra- sought to expand on Olson's theory of nean region vote for left-wing parties? In collective action in order to bring it more into contrast to prevailing interpretations that line with empirical evidence about the emphasize such normative factors as the probability of collective action. In a series oftransmission of traditional party loyalties, experiments, Marwell and Ames (1980) havecollective memories, or religious values, demonstrated that contributions to collective William Brustein (1988a) links specific re- action were far more prevalent than would gional be structures to the actors (here, the peasants) who are subject to them. His theory proposes that different modes of production tives, particularly admittedly fuzzy ones like norms. Some argue that adding non-material incentives brings are chiefly responsible for political regional- these theories dangerously close to the precipice of ism in France (see also Brustein 1988b). The tautology. Others-like Opp-argue that the most mode of production shapes voting behavior important criterion for a theory is whether it captures social reality and if non-material incentives are a key to both directly and indirectly. Individuals' participation in protest, then they must have a place in a perceptions of their interests are derived theory of protest (Klosko, Muller and Opp 1987). directly from their economic activity and This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms SOCIOLOGICAL THEORY 208 property rights, and are determined indirectly by the dominant structure of the economic activity and property rights they possess. The social outcome of these processes is that particular modes of production of western and Mediterranean France have produced divergent regional constellations of economic interests. Right-wing voting is fostered by a district, and whether the vote is on a procedural or a substantive issue) contribute to differences in party solidarity within political systems. g. The corruption of officials. Why do the legislative representatives of western European socialist parties so often compromise the interests of their constituents by supporting mode of production characterized by a bourgeois initiatives (Michels [1911] 1962)? subsistence-oriented economy, medium-to- Why are narcotics police routinely on the take? large sized tenancy or sharecropping, popula- And why are prison guards so often corrupted tion dispersion, and the presence of social by the prisoners they guard (Sykes 1958)? One elites. In contrast, left-wing voting is fostered kind of explanation suggests that those who by a mode of production characterized by a are so easily corrupted were morally defective market-oriented economy, small-scale owner- in the first place. Once again, rational choice cultivation or salaried agricultural labor, logic offers a different sort of explanation for population agglomeration, and the absence of the corruptibility of officials. Consider the case of the prison guards. social elites. f. The solidarity of political parties. What Whereas the employers (the wardens) direct them to maintain order within the walls, the explains cross-national variations in the soliguards can do this in two quite different darity of major political parties? Or variations in solidarity among parties of the sameways. Guards can enforce prison regulations to the hilt (as the wardens would like them to nation? Or variations in party solidarity from do), or they can make deals with their one legislative session to another? Whereas prisoners. Why would they choose the latter many previous attempts to answer these strategy over the former? The simple reason is questions emphasized the ideology of party members, in Michael Hechter's book, Princithat the net benefit of making deals is likely to exceed that of enforcing the rules because it ples of Group Solidarity (1987), these questions are taken to be an instance of the more provides an additional source of income without threatening the loss of guards' jobs. general problem of group solidarity. Roll-call voting provides a means to assess Why then are the guards not punished for this variations in party solidarity. The roll-callegregious behavior? Only because wardens vote compels the legislator to make decisions have no means of monitoring the guards' which test his or her compliance with party corruption. This case is a specific instance of obligations. Since it is voters rather than the a more general phenomenon known as the party leaders who can sanction the represen- principal-agent problem (Jensen and Mecktative by preventing his or her re-election, ling 1976). In a principal-agent relationship differences in party control capacity are apt toagents will act in the principals' interests only when they are sufficiently rewarded or to do so. Hence principals' ability variation in solidarity is not due to constrained the to monitor agents is a key determinant of different control capacities of the parties, but be minimal. Thus most of the observed agents' compliance with principals' demands. rather to differences in members' dependence on their party. The greater the value h. ofThe autonomy of Absolutist kings. Explanations of the role of Absolutism in the party-derived benefits that aid legislators in transition from feudalism to capitalism have their quest for re-election and career advance- typically ment, the greater their dependence on the concentrated either on internal political party. Conversely, the greater the value of and cultural dynamics of these benefits available to them from alternative societies, or on exclusively economic aspects. Seeking to provide a link between these two sources, the lower their dependence on the kinds of arguments, Edgar Kiser (1987) party. There are many factors which would be inquires into crown autonomy, state policies, expected to influence legislators' dependence and economic development in Western Euroon the party. Some of these, such as pean Absolutisms. Using principal-agent thelegislative rules, lead to differences in party solidarity between political systems (or in aory, he argues that variation in autonomy of Absolutist rulers is explained by differences single political system, over time), and others in the relative resources of nobles and (including incumbency, characteristics of the This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms RATIONAL CHOICE THEORY 209 monarchs and in the control capacities ofgames circumscribing actors' strategic nobles. These variations lead, in turn, to choices-like Prisoners' Dilemma games-to different state policies, policies which have contractual forms, to stratificational barriers important ramifications for economic developto mobility. What is common to all of these ment. In England and France, both countriesarguments is that the choice set is limited by with ample resources, high crown autonomy factors that are beyond the control of the generally hindered economic development. In actors themselves. the less advantaged countries of Sweden and a. The superpower arms race. Since the Spain, however, high crown autonomy was a leaders of both the United States and the necessary but insufficient condition for ecoU.S.S.R. are well aware that nuclear stockpilnomic development. What can be concluded about the effect of ing is potentially destructive of the entire world, why do they continue to participate in opportunity costs on social outcomes from these various studies? The most important a nuclear arms race? One popular answer is insight is that (1) social structural commonalthat key decisions in both countries are made ity alone is insufficient to produce collective by military-industrial elites whose private action. Another insight about collective action interests differ from that of the public, here that can be drawn from Olson's (1965) book, including the world at large (see Pursell 1972; as well as from other studies in the same Sarkesian 1972; and Rosen 1973). Another tradition (Opp 1986a, 1986b; Oliver, Marwell kind of explanation is that both the American and Texeira 1985) is that (2) in amorphous and Soviet economies depend on military groups (those without well-defined boundexpenditures to avoid recessions or depresaries), successful collective action depends on sions and that this functional necessity mobilizing potential beneficiaries. The exper- iments of Marwell and Ames (1980) and inevitably leads to an arms race (Boulding Oliver's (1980) research implies, further, that 1973; Udis 1973; Leontieff and Duchin (3) rewards and punishments do not follow1983). expected patterns in motivating behavior Quite a different kind of answer is oriented toward the attainment of a collective suggested by rational choice logic. The good. Brustein's (1988a) study, which ex-relationship between superpowers may be plains why the political behavior of peasantsanalyzed as a Prisoner's Dilemma game is so heterogeneous, provides graphic evi- (Luce and Raiffa 1957). In this kind of game dence that (4) many structural categories (e.g. the costs or benefits of each player's the peasantry) are so broadly defined that they strategy -armament or disarmament - depend are inadequate to explain political outcomes. The structural parameters that actually will on the opponent's strategy. The best joint affect outcomes can be determined only by solution (meaning the one that is most carefully considering the individual's oppor-beneficial to both players simultaneously) is tunity costs. One lesson inspired by Hechtermutual disarmament. Yet the best strategy for (1987) is that (5) dependence overcomes each individual player is to arm while hoping ideology. From Jensen and Meckling (1976)that the other disarms. Since in rational we can infer that (6) one cannot automaticallychoice theory self-interest is generally rely on wages to produce compliance. Fi-presumed, each player will follow this nally, Kiser's (1987) research reminds us thatstrategy, and both will end up arming (Brams (7) if the economic well-being of a country is1985). of concern, rulers with large amounts of It turns out that this solution will hold even resources at their disposal cannot be left alone to rule. when both leaders prefer to disarm. The reason is that neither can be sure about the other's intentions and actions (witness the emphasis on verification in the arms talks), and lacking any assurance, each seeks to limit Examples of Research Illustrating Path 6 (Institutional Constraints -- Social Outcome) losses by arming. The non-cooperative strategy wherein both countries arm-either to A plethora of institutional constraints canmaximize their gains or limit their lossesalter social outcomes. These range from produces an equilibrium wherein neither This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 210 SOCIOLOGICAL THEORY player has an incentive to deviate unilaterally, attainment. Guidance and sponsorship are more crucial therefore to individual sociofor each either would do worse, or would do no better. 16 economic success in Japan than in the United b. The tenacity of gender stratification States, but since educators and employers are patterns. In contrast to traditionalmotivated Marxianto sponsor individuals who are sure and Weberian accounts of the persistence of as committed employees in firms to remain stratification patterns, Mary Brinton (1988) across time, and since women are less likely seeks to explicate the mechanisms that to meet such a qualification than men (due to perpetuate gender stratification. She chooses family responsibilities), then this system two industrial societies with different socialimposes greater disadvantages. Additionally, institutional patterns, norms, and degrees when of parents perceive that employers engage gender stratification-Japan and the United in sex discrimination, they will be motivated States-and argues that distinctive features to of invest, psychologically and economically, the school-labor market configuration in in the education of sons rather than daughters. Japan condemn Japanese women to more In these ways employers and parents unwit- severe gender stratification than their Ameritingly conspire to perpetuate gender stratificacan counterparts. Although education istion in education and employment. essential for status attainment in each society,c. The production of insurance contracts. both the type of education necessary for such Last, Carol Heimer inquires as to the origins of different kinds of social institutions-in attainment and the conditions for entry into these institutions differ in important ways. this instance, insurance contracts. She argues 1985) that if the reactiveness of risk Employment in high-status firms in Japan (Heimer is is a constraint on insurance markets, and if it reserved largely for the graduates of universities who receive a general education and, shifts according to different types of losses, after hiring, are subsequently given considerthen the contractual arrangements associated able on-the-job training. But admission with to these kinds of losses should vary universities in Japan is determined irrevocasystematically on this dimension. By effecbly in late adolescence. Youths who fail tively to transforming reactive risks into fixed ones, such contracts make insurance markets earn a place in a Japanese university typically possible. Heimer shows that this is indeed the forego this kind of employment forever. In the United States, however, much of the case by comparing the contractual arrangements in fire and marine insurance, and in technical training for specific jobs occurs in the educational institutions, entry to whichfidelity and surety bonding. can occur at many different points in a What, then, can be learned about the relationship between institutional constraints person's life. In consequence, the Japanese institutionaland social outcomes from these studies? In rational choice suggests that the structure gives educators and employers general, a effects of institutions on outcomes can never much greater role in determining who will be be taken for granted; the mere existence of an favored in human capital investment than in the United States, where self-investment is, to institution (a norm, for example) has no some extent, an alternative route to status necessary behavioral implications. Institutions affect outcomes not by virtue of custom 16 Another example of the application of the Prisoners' or of hallowed tradition, but only to the degree that they carry with them the capacity Dilemma game logic to macrosociological problems is to reward or punish the individuals who are offered by Douglas Heckathorn (in press) who investigates the effects of collective punishments and rewards in subject to them. Hence the study of instituinducing compliance with group norms. Using this logic tions necessarily becomes an analysis of the he shows that the effect of control depends upon the incentive structures that they entail. attributes of the agent who controls collective incentives In this sense, Prisoners' Dilemma games (that is, the agent's monitoring ability, vulnerability to (Luce and Raiffa 1957; Brams 1985) have revolt, and the strength of the agent's sanctions), as well as the attributes of the group (such as group size, degree been among the most intensively studied of of intergroup control, proportion of the group composed any social institutions. Analyses of these of potential violators, and the costliness of normative games have a host of implications, two of control and revolt). Collective sanctions are demonstrated which are that (1) collective outcomes that to be a potentially unstable means of behavioral control benefit the whole are difficult to achieve because the same factors that motivate compliance may also motivate rebellion. through individual actions; and (2) prefer- This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms RATIONAL CHOICE THEORY 211 ences do not determine actions. By treating tures are theoretically relevant, however, and the gender stratification system as an the instituinterested reader can turn to a variety of sources tion, Brinton (1988) shows that, despite thefor further discussion.17 best of intentions, (3) individuals are responsible for perpetuating societal-level discrimiof Rational Choice Applications natory practices. Finally, Heimer'sPayoffs (1985) study indicates that (4) certain kinds of In the previous sections a few of the collective goods (especially those involving substantive payoffs that rational choice applimoral hazard) can be provided only in the cations already have brought to macrosociolpresence of institutions that enforce stringent ogy were highlighted. Some of the insights controls. drawn from the individual studies are coun- terintuitive; some challenge other general Research Exemplifying the Remainingtheories; Paths and some recall established knowl- edge. Some are merely provocative. Despite Research focusing on the connection between the substantive specificity and diversity of the information and constraints (Path 3) generally studiesinreported, then, they yield general has considered the role of uncertainty insights complicating actors' perceptions of the con- that can easily be transformed into propositions and into testable hypotheses with straints under which they operate. There is a new substantive content. In this way each large corpus of research in economics on this piece of research contributes not only to issue, starting with the classic work of Frank understanding a given empirical problem, but Knight (1921). In sociology, uncertainty has also to the cumulative body of sociological been principally the province of those who are Of course, the adequacy of any interested in the environmental context knowledge. within explanation can only be determined after weighing the findings of many different In another kind of application, Friedman which organizations make decisions. empirical studies. (1987) proposes that the rational choice Yetand there are also important methodologimodel is appropriate for explaining payoffs. One of our purposes in highlightpredicting collective action only undercal condiing these applications is to demonstrate that tions of objective certainty-that is, when the rational future can be predicted with some degree ofchoice offers a very general means of attacking a wide variety of problems in confidence. Under such conditions, individu- macrosociology. Rational choice has this als can make judgments about the relative not because it is merely an overarching benefits of joining a collective action ability and can metatheoretical perspective, but precisely act accordingly. Under conditions of objec- it consists of an entire family of more tive uncertainty, however, actors are because robbed specific theories derived from the same first of the implements necessary to make a rational decision-information key principles among that can be employed to explain a variety of macrosociological phenomthem-and they are thereby motivated wide to seek ena. the advice and counsel of their fellows. The key to this methodological approac Uncertainty thus provides a special kind of to impetus for collective behavior that can be locate any specific empirical phenome as an instance of a more general problem marshalled into collective action. In an application to strikes, Friedman showsthen that to apply the theory that is appropria the analysis of the general problem to strikes occur predominantly under conditions particulars of the specific case. Thus of objective uncertainty when that uncertainty failure of socialist revolution in a partic is combined with certain contractual loss. This explanation offers an alternative to time and place is identified as a (m macroeconomic, political, and earlier rationalgeneral) collective action problem and choice accounts of strikes. theory of pubic goods is applied to it. A There are significant bodies of research investigating paths 2 (Information-+ Opportu- 17 See Arrow (1951) for the classic work on the su nity Costs) and 7 (Aggregation Mechanism-* of the relationship between aggregation and s Social Outcome), but these address issues rather far removed from the traditional outcomes. For a sample of work inspired by Arrow Barry and Hardin (1982). On information, see, example, Stigler (1961); Simon (1957); and Arr (1987). concerns of macrosociologists. These litera- This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 212 SOCIOLOGICAL THEORY same time, there are many other kinds of empirical phenomena that can be considered to be collective action problems and thereby can be profitably analyzed in an analogous fashion. Hence, the causes and frequency of strikes, wars, rebellions, and nationalist movements are all amenable to treatment as (for a good discussion of the importance of this goal, see Coleman 1986a). Other distinguishing virtues include the increased possibility for fruitful exchange across social (and perhaps even biological) sciences; the large body of formal modelling that undergirds many of the theoretical insights; and rational collective action problems. choice's agnosticism with respect to types of Similarly, Downs explained the ideological data and techniques of data reduction. homogeneity of American political parties asWe have argued that the adoption of a specific instance of an optimal location rational choice theory can improve the quality problem and then applied Hotelling's (1929) of empirical analysis in macrosociology. At general theory of spatial competition tothe it. present time it cannot be claimed, Hotelling illustrated his theory by considering however, that there is a coherent corpus of research in this tradition. Nevertheless, after how one could locate grocery stores optimally in a given territory, but was imaginative considering already completed works, we believe that the outlines of such a research enough to understand that the same principle which could aid investors to select grocery program are beginning to emerge. Yet there is store sites could help account for the behavior no question that these new studies will have of voters. Downs picked up Hotelling's idea to pay close attention to the limitations of twenty-six years later and incorporated it into current rational choice explanations. It is to these that we now turn. his general theory of democracy. So too with the contemporary Soviet- American arms race. This is easily classified III. LIMITATIONS OF CURRENT as a non-cooperative game for which the RATIONAL CHOICE EXPLANATIONS Prisoners' Dilemma is the appropriate model. All sorts of bargaining problems are amenable Despite their ability to explain a variety of to this kind of analysis, as are some problems empirical phenomena, rational choice models of collective action (Hardin 1982). The are by no means exempt from criticism. guards' deviation from the wardens' direcCriticism comes from many different sources. tives is treated as an instance of a principalThe advocates of interpretive analysis (phenoagent problem and agency theory (rudimenmenologists, hermeneuticists, and neotary though it may be) is applied to it. functionalists, among others) often argue for Lawyer-client relations, labor-management a social science that is antipositive; as noted bargaining outcomes (Friedman 1986), king-earlier, we shall not deal with their work ruling class disputes, and owner-management here. Some Durkheimians, network analysts, conflicts all provide further empirical grist Marxists and other structuralists object on for this particular theoretical mill. principle to any approach that is based on It should be emphasized that these separate methodological individualism. A considerexplanations all share a common theoretical ation of this objection is also beyond the maternity. They employ the same firstscope of this paper. What we discuss here are the criticisms levelled at rational choice either principles-all are based on common metafrom those who work within the tradition, or theoretical assumptions of methodological individualism and purposive action. In addi-from those who explicitly advocate an tion to their agreement about how individuals alternative to it without, however, rejecting make choices, each explanation also attributes methodological individualism out of hand the differences in outcomes to variations in (see Hogarth and Reder [1987] for a state-ofpreferences, opportunity costs, and/or instituthe-art collection of papers critical to various aspects of rational choice). These claims for rational choice theory are, Most of the critics object to the highly to some extent, claims for any general theory. unrealistic behavioral assumptions of rational tional constraints. Why, then, prefer rational choice? Perhaps choice models. Especially in the earliest the most compelling reason is that it is models, most real-world complexities were explicitly concerned with linking micro andsuppressed in order to derive determinate solutions. That which could not be modelled macro levels of analysis rather than asserting the analytical supremacy of one or the other was not considered. Thus, heterogeneity of This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 213 RATIONAL CHOICE THEORY utility of theory that underlie standard rational preferences and interests among groups choice behavioral assumptions (as conceived actors, strategic interaction (such as sophistiof andallformalized by von Neumann and cated voting), and the costs of information Morgenstern 1947; see also Allais and Hagen were assumed away. 1979; Kahneman and Tversky 1979; Machina It was no surprise that the inadequacy of 1983; and Hogarth and Reder 1987). For these simple models was revealed as empirieconomists interested in accounting for marketcal tests proceeded. One famous example was that Americans vote in much greater numbers oriented behavior, these findings are not so than Downs could account for under any for in the market setting wealth troubling, extension of his, or (for that matter) any other maximization can be realistically substituted maximization: any participant in a plausible rational choice voting model.for It utility was perfectly terribly clear to analysts and voters alike that competitive market whose behavior hardly any given individual voters ever is would not motivated by wealth maximization will feel themselves to be casting the deciding not long survive. Yet for social scientists ballot, which is the only readily allowable interested in accounting for non-market- motivation in rational choice models of oriented behavior, these results were both voting. Why then did they bear opportunity distressing and intriguing. costs to take an action that could not They were distressing because the kinds of predictions materially affect the outcome? Another fa- that could be derived from the mous example was that there is simplistic far more assumptions of expected utility collective action than Olson-or any theoryother all became suspect; they were intrigu- rational choice theorist of collective action- ing because some of these findings provided a could easily explain. While the lack of basis for explanations of empirical findings selective incentives seemed to provide a that otherwise seemed to fly in the face of powerful explanation for the failure of some of rational choice theory's key predic- collective action to occur, collective action sometimes did occur in the absence of tions. For example, the work of Tversky and sufficient selective incentives. So strikes, Kahneman (1987), which demonstrates the riots, anti-apartheid demonstrations in South inconstancy of preferences about risk (the Africa and in New York City, civil rightssame people are risk-seeking when choosing marches, and even contributions to publicamong losses and risk-averse when choosing goods in laboratory settings, all took place withamong gains), may be used to account for a frequency that defied explanation in stricthitherto mystifying behavior about gambling rational choice terms. and insurance (see also Brenner 1983: Ch. 1; Resolving the growing disjuncture between Einhorn and Hogarth 1985). Thus, what had theory and data became a problem of seemed to be clearly non-rational behavior paramount importance. Three tacks to more could, in fact, be accounted for when successfully account for real world phenom-simplistic assumptions about risk preferences ena seemed promising. The first was to fiddlewere modified.18 with the behavioral assumptions of rational While improving the fit of the theory to the choice theory-especially those of its mostdata, complicating the behavioral assumptestable form, expected utility theory (see tions nonetheless begs a fundamental quesArrow 1987:204-206). The second was to tion. Where do preferences come from? If maintain the standard behavioral assumptions people are said to act rationally to pursue their of rational choice, but to explore in depth the most preferred ends, what are these ends and effects of incomplete information on subsewhy do individuals hold these ends dear as quent action. The third was to elaborate the contribution of structural constraints in deter- mining social outcomes. 18 There is a lively debate between traditional and behavioral economists about the boundaries of rational choice theory (Hogarth and Reder 1987). Are these new Fiddling with the Behavioral Assumptions of explanations consistent with the older versions of rational behavior or do they represent the beginnings of a new Rational Choice Theory paradigm? From the perspective of most sociologists, however, traditional and behavioral economists may be A growing body of research has indicated that considered to be in the rational choice camp since they there are significant and systematic empirical both accept the two key assumptions of purposive action deviations from the hypotheses of expected and methodological individualism. This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 214 SOCIOLOGICAL THEORY against others? As long as the behavior in fairness, or justice, as against efficiency. question is market-oriented behavior, this Such outcomes are not at all far-fetched from question can be skirted simply by inserting rational choice premises, for no single wealth-maximization for the "most preferred individual stands to benefit from efficiency as ends" part of the model.19 With any kind of a state of affairs (because it is a public good), non-market oriented behavior such a substitu- whereas all individuals may well find that tion can be made, but only in a post-hocfairness is in their own self-interest. fashion, and only with considerable qualifica- Until the time that significant progress is tion. For instance, in Friedman's (1987) made toward an understanding of preferences, model of collective action, it is assumed that the scope or power of rational choice analyses people prefer certainty to uncertainty. She can is clearly limited. Since preferences are given provide a theoretical reason for this particular rather than explained in rational choice assumption (e.g. people cannot act rationally analyses, these analyses are far better suited under conditions of uncertainty), and canfor social phenomena that are the outgrowth assemble considerable supportive empirical of individual preferences that are strong evidence, yet it is quite conceivable that a(relative to competing), stable (over time), different logic and a different body of and uniform (across actors).21 Hence, social evidence might be mustered to support the outcomes dependent on preferences that result opposite claim. from fundamental biological drives or from That there is no theory of preference strongly sanctioned social conventions are formation has implications not only for thegood candidates for rational choice analyses. behavior of individuals and groups, but also Social outcomes dependent on unstable, for social outcomes.20 The nature of anyweak, or variable preferences-consumer social outcome clearly depends upon the set behavior,22 for example-are by this token of underlying preferences. For instance, if poor subjects for rational choice analyses. people are wealth-maximizers, they will desire social outcomes that provide for the greatest economic efficiency. Even so, there Elaborating the Role of Information are a multitude of possible Pareto-efficient Yet another way to increase the empirical fit equilibria, depending upon the initial distribuof rational choice models is to appreciate that tion of resource endowments across individu- variable amounts and types of information als. Other kinds of behavioral assumptionswill have systematic effects on outcomes. lead to different social outcomes, however. These outcomes might emphasize certainty, These models typically require some assump- 21 We are grateful to Douglas Heckathorn (personal 19 Simon (1985) and Arrow (1987) object even to this communication) for his suggestions in this regard. solution on the grounds that any kind of maximization is 22 One anonymous reviewer of this paper suggests that impossible due to computational and informational consumer behavior is one of the greatest success stories limits. of macroeconomics, for as the price of a good goes up its 20 None of the social sciences has contributed much in consumption generally goes down. The ambitions of the the way of a positive theory of preference formation. economic theory of consumer behavior go considerably Pleas for greater attention to this issue have been beyond the making of price/quantity predictions for the emanating recently in nearly all of the social science consumption of a single commodity, however, for in this disciplines. A select list would include Scitovsky (1976), case the critical problem of the substitutability of goods Sen (1977), Hirschman (1985) and Arrow (1987) in simply does not arise. The theory of consumer behavior economics; Douglas and Isherwood (1979) in anthropol-seeks to explain nothing less than how individuals ogy; March (1978) and Wildavsky (1987) in politicalallocate their budget given the totality of commodities and other goods available in their environment. Since the science; Zajonc (1980), Simon (1985) and Ainslie (1986) proponents of the ordinal theory of utility (most in psychology; Elster (1983) and Nelson (1986) in philosophy, and Emerson (1987), Friedman (1987) and mainstream economists) eschew the possibility of indeEtzioni (1986) in sociology. Most of these writers, pendently measuring individual preferences-let alone however, do not claim to be constructing an explanatory satisfaction-apart from actual behavior, they are comtheory of preference formation themselves, and the pelled to assume the constancy of preferences in order to models of the few who do make such a claim are far from derive any empirical implications at all from their elaborated. The most ambitious attempts to address the models. Since this assumption is known to be highly issue of preference formation theoretically have not come unrealistic, models of this kind can have little to say from social scientists at all, but from evolutionary about the empirical determinants of consumer behavior. biologists (Alexander 1987; Boyd and Richerson 1985). For a recent assessment of the poverty of current This is not the place to discuss the merits of these works, economic approaches to consumer behavior, see Roth however. (1987). This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 215 RATIONAL CHOICE THEORY tion of "sufficient information" in order for size of one's generational birth cohort). All individuals to choose successfully among structural constraints affect behavior by deteralternatives. This assumption is increasingly mining the objective probabilities that an regarded as problematic, however. To illus- individual's most preferred end can be trate, consider a situation in which two people realized. In this way they act as inducements to the pursuit of one end as against another. who are subject to the same structural constraints behave differently. We can ac- Not a great deal of effort has gone into this count for this by saying either that they have area of rational choice analysis (see, howdifferent preferences, or that they have ever, Easterlin 1981), but sociologists know a different information about the consequences great deal about how it is that locations within of their actions. To claim that behavior is social structures limit individual choices. One explicable by reference to different prefercannot marry an Eskimo if there are none ences is tautological, and undermines around the (Blau 1987:79). Among those who standard methodology of rational choice. wish The to work full-time, everyone would second explanation is more satisfying: clearly theprefer to work in a primary rather than amount of information that agents have can a secondary labor market. That not everyone affect behavior independently of constraints does is often explicable by race, class, and/or or preferences. It may well be that informagender position. Much of the new work by tion is the crucial intervening variable sociologists in all using rational choice theory to understand macrosociological problems falls rational choice explanations. Indeed, information has become an increasinto this category (Brustein 1988a; Brinton 1988; and Kiser 1987). ingly key variable in studies of contracting, Another way to elaborate the role of bargaining, and organization. Both principal agent and transaction-cost models startstructural with constraints in determining outcomes the assumption that informational asymmeis to inquire as to the origins of the tries are significant. What seems to be institutions that produce such constraints. missing in these literatures, however, is a This line of research is just beginning theory of optimal information investment.23 (Coleman 1989; Hechter 1989; Kliemt 1989). Such a theory would have to answer a host of questions. How much information is it rational to collect and use in making a CONCLUSION specific decision? How does the agent decide when to stop searching? How do we under- Rational choice provides a number of discrete stand the case in which two individuals have benefits to researchers who work within its precisely the same information but draw confines. Once scholars can identify the different conclusions from it? Finally, supappropriate problem to which their research pose that the information that is requiredquestion to belongs, they are assured of finding make a decision rationally is inherently a determinate solution. Armed with a given unavailable (that is, the situation is markedtheory, by the investigator knows which facts are critical for the solution and which facts are uncertainty). What then should we expect rational actors to do? Elaborating the Contribution of largely irrelevant. Since this often leads to a demand to collect new kinds of data, rational choice has a built-in tendency to create new research agendas out of old ones. Further, researchers beginning from rational choice premises never need to build their theory In addition to modifying behavioral assumpanew, starting from first principles and tions to increase their verisimilitude, it is also defining and justifying the use of each possible to introduce other structural con- Structural Constraints concept. Not only does this save a good deal straints than purely institutional ones explic- itly into these models (we refer here to of intellectual energy, but it also enables constraints such as those produced by macro- scholars with quite different substantive interests and areas of expertise to communieconomic fluctuations, wars, and even the cate with one another. All of these conditions 23 This must go beyond the limits of Stigler's (1961) combine to help sustain a research program in search theory, however, for reasons discussed by Arrow which knowledge cumulates relatively effi(1987:207). ciently and progress is swift. This content downloaded from 152.118.24.31 on Wed, 15 May 2024 08:20:18 +00:00 All use subject to https://about.jstor.org/terms 216 SOCIOLOGICAL THEORY Debates about the merits or demerits of rational choice theories often take on an Allais, M. and 0. Hagen. 1979. Expected Utility Hypotheses and the Allais Paradox: Contemporary Discussions of Decision under Uncertainty with Allais' ideological cast, and sometimes rational Rejoinder. Dordrecht: D. Reidel. choice theories are rejected becauseArrow, they Kenneth J. 1951. Social Choice and Individual seem to have unpalatable political implicaValues. New Haven: Yale University Press. tions. In this regard we think thatArrow, it isKenneth J. 1987. "Rationality of Self and Others in an Economic System." Pp. 201-16 in Robin M. important to note two characteristics of Hogarth and Melvin W. Reder, eds., Rational Choice: The Contrast between Economics and Psychology. theories, individuals are accorded signifiChicago: University of Chicago Press. Azzi, Corry and Ronald Ehrenberg. 1975. "Household cantly more respect than in most other rational choice theories. First, in these Allocation of Time and Church Attendance." Journal sociological models. Rational choice theories of collective action, for instance, take into account contextual constraints on action but also leave room for the informed choices of actors. This is in contrast to those who would of Political Economy, 83, 1:27-55. Barry, Brian and Russell Hardin, Eds. 1982. Rational Man and Irrational Society? Beverly Hills, CA.: Sage. Blau, Peter. 1987. "Contrasting Theoretical Perspectives." Pp. 71-86 in J.C. Alexander, B. Giesen, R. argue that participants are merely sheep Munch, & N. Smelser, eds., The Micro-Macro Link. Berkeley: University of California Press. heeding the call of the shepherd, or individuBoulding, Kenneth E., ed. 1973. Peace and the War als who ignore reason when their sensibilities Industry. New Haven: Yale University Press. are excited. Second, arguing that individuals Boyd, Robert and Peter J. Richerson. 1985. Culture and will often follow their self-interest in choos- the Evolutionary Process. Chicago: University of ing among actions is not the same thing asChicago Press. saying that they ought to do so. While this was the position of Bentham and the Brams, Steven. 1985. Superpower Games. New Haven: Yale University Press. Brenner, Reuven. 1983. History: The Human Gamble. utilitarians, positive and normative analyses Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Brinton, Mary. 1988. "The Social-Institutional Bases of have no necessary connection. 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