Undergraduate study in Economics, Management, Finance and the Social Sciences Accounting: markets and organisations J. Haslam, D. Chow, A. Nayak and S. O’Brien-Weeks AC3193 2023 This guide was prepared for the University of London by: Professor J. Haslam, Sheffield University, Dr Danny Chow, Durham University, Amanda Nayak MSc FCCA and Stuart O’Brien-Weeks MPhys CA FHEA This is one of a series of subject guides published by the University. We regret that due to pressure of work the authors are unable to enter into any correspondence relating to, or arising from, the guide. If you have any comments on this subject guide, please communicate these through the discussion forum on the virtual learning environment. University of London Publications Office Stewart House 32 Russell Square London WC1B 5DN United Kingdom london.ac.uk Published by: University of London © University of London 2023 The University of London asserts copyright over all material in this subject guide except where otherwise indicated. All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced in any form, or by any means, without permission in writing from the publisher. We make every effort to respect copyright. If you think we have inadvertently used your copyright material, please let us know. Accounting: markets and organisations J. Haslam, D. Chow, A. Nayak and S. O’Brien-Weeks AC3193 2023 Undergraduate study in Economics, Management, Finance and the Social Sciences This subject guide is for a 300 course offered as part of the University of London’s undergraduate study in Economics, Management, Finance and the Social Sciences. This is equivalent to Level 6 within the Framework for Higher Education Qualifications in England, Wales and Northern Ireland (FHEQ). For more information, see: london.ac.uk Contents Contents Chapter 1: Introduction........................................................................................... 1 1.1 Introduction............................................................................................................. 1 1.2 Syllabus and learning outcomes for the course.......................................................... 1 1.3 Employability outcomes............................................................................................ 2 1.4 Introduction to the subject area................................................................................ 2 1.5 Route map to the guide............................................................................................ 2 1.6 Overview of learning resources................................................................................. 3 1.7 The examination....................................................................................................... 7 Part 1: Capital markets............................................................................................ 9 Chapter 2: Accounting information – the user perspective.................................. 11 2.1 Introduction........................................................................................................... 11 2.2 The ‘lemons problem’.............................................................................................. 12 2.3 The importance of trust in accounting information and the role of regulation........... 13 2.4 The need for additional information........................................................................ 17 2.5 Overview of chapter............................................................................................... 18 2.6 Reminder of learning outcomes.............................................................................. 18 2.7 Test your knowledge and understanding................................................................. 18 Chapter 3: Capital market players and an introduction to analysts..................... 19 3.1 Introduction........................................................................................................... 19 3.2 The complex world of banking................................................................................ 19 3.3 Investment banks................................................................................................... 21 3.4 The need for information......................................................................................... 22 3.5 Buy side and sell side analysts................................................................................ 23 3.6 Role of the investor relations officer........................................................................ 24 3.7 Other market participants....................................................................................... 24 3.8 Overview of chapter............................................................................................... 26 3.9 Reminder of learning outcomes.............................................................................. 26 3.10 Test your knowledge and understanding............................................................... 26 Chapter 4: Sell side and buy side analysts............................................................ 27 4.1 Introduction........................................................................................................... 27 4.2 The sell side analyst – purpose and role.................................................................. 28 4.3 The sell side analyst – the inputs............................................................................. 29 4.4 The sell side analysts – the outputs......................................................................... 30 4.5 The sell side analyst – a day in the life..................................................................... 31 4.6 Do investors listen to sell side analysts?.................................................................. 31 4.7 Conflicts of interest for sell side analysts................................................................. 32 4.8 Changes in legislation affecting sell side analysts.................................................... 33 4.9 Buy side analysts and fund managers...................................................................... 34 4.10 Overview of chapter............................................................................................. 35 4.11 Reminder of learning outcomes............................................................................ 35 4.12 Test your knowledge and understanding............................................................... 35 Chapter 5: Information dissemination.................................................................. 37 5.1 Introduction........................................................................................................... 37 5.2 Regulatory financial information............................................................................. 38 i AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 5.3 Non-financial information....................................................................................... 39 5.4 Meetings with management................................................................................... 41 5.5 Investor relations.................................................................................................... 41 5.6 The Investor Relations Officer.................................................................................. 43 5.7 Regulations............................................................................................................ 43 5.8 Overview of chapter............................................................................................... 44 5.9 Reminder of learning outcomes.............................................................................. 44 5.10 Test your knowledge and understanding............................................................... 45 Chapter 6: Key accounting ratios and measures for the capital markets............. 47 6.1 Introduction........................................................................................................... 47 6.2 The foundations of ratio analysis............................................................................. 48 6.3 Isolating operational analysis.................................................................................. 52 6.4 The need for standardised data............................................................................... 56 6.5 Capital market metrics............................................................................................ 58 6.6 Non-GAAP metrics................................................................................................. 59 6.7 Overview of chapter............................................................................................... 60 6.8 Reminder of learning outcomes.............................................................................. 60 6.9 Test your knowledge and understanding................................................................. 61 Chapter 7: Accounting information in action I: Valuation multiples..................... 63 7.1 Introduction........................................................................................................... 63 7.2 Equity value vs enterprise value.............................................................................. 63 7.2 Introduction to multiples......................................................................................... 66 7.3 Equity multiples...................................................................................................... 67 7.5 Enterprise value multiples....................................................................................... 68 7.6 Turning multiples into valuations............................................................................. 70 7.7 Multiple valuation complications............................................................................. 72 7.8 Overview of chapter............................................................................................... 74 7.9 Reminder of learning outcomes.............................................................................. 74 7.10 Test your knowledge and understanding............................................................... 74 Chapter 8: Accounting information in action II: Residual income valuation......... 77 8.1 Introduction........................................................................................................... 77 8.2 Core concepts of intrinsic valuation......................................................................... 77 8.3 Abnormal profit...................................................................................................... 79 8.4 Residual Income Valuation Model (RIVM)................................................................ 80 8.5 Alternative model................................................................................................... 82 8.6 Clean surplus assumption....................................................................................... 82 8.7 Activities to try....................................................................................................... 83 8.8 Advantages and disadvantages of using accounting data for both multiple and RIVM valuation models.......................................................................................................... 83 8.9 Overview of chapter............................................................................................... 83 8.10 Reminder of learning outcomes............................................................................ 84 8.11 Test your knowledge and understanding............................................................... 84 Chapter 9: The earnings game............................................................................... 85 9.1 Introduction........................................................................................................... 85 9.2 The earnings game................................................................................................. 86 9.3 The nature and cause of earnings management....................................................... 86 9.4 Evidence that earnings management exists............................................................. 88 9.5 How does earnings management occur?................................................................. 89 9.6 The impact and problems created by earnings management.................................... 91 9.7 Ethical dilemma for analysts................................................................................... 92 ii Contents 9.8 Overview of chapter............................................................................................... 92 9.9 Reminder of learning outcomes.............................................................................. 92 9.10 Test your knowledge and understanding............................................................... 93 Chapter 10: Earnings management and accounting choices................................. 95 10.1 Introduction......................................................................................................... 95 10.2 ‘Noise’ within financial reporting.......................................................................... 95 10.3 Performing accounting analysis............................................................................. 97 10.4 Undoing accounting distortions in action............................................................ 101 10.5 Overview of chapter........................................................................................... 104 10.6 Reminder of learning outcomes.......................................................................... 104 10.7 Test your knowledge and understanding............................................................. 105 Part 2: Management accounting......................................................................... 107 Introduction............................................................................................................... 107 Organising your studies.............................................................................................. 107 Chapter 11: Introduction to control systems – personnel controls, cultural controls, action controls and results controls..................................................... 109 11.1 Introduction....................................................................................................... 109 11.2 The importance of management control.............................................................. 110 11.3 Causes of management control problems ........................................................... 114 11.4 Action, personnel and cultural controls................................................................ 115 11.5 Results controls ................................................................................................. 119 11.6 Conditions needed to implement effective results controls................................... 120 11.7 Reminder of learning outcomes.......................................................................... 120 11.8 Case studies....................................................................................................... 121 11.9 Test your knowledge and understanding............................................................. 121 Chapter 12: Control system tightness and control system costs........................ 123 12.1 Introduction....................................................................................................... 123 12.2 Control system tightness..................................................................................... 124 12.3 Control system costs........................................................................................... 128 12.4 Adaptation of control systems............................................................................. 132 12.5 Summary............................................................................................................ 133 12.6 Reminder of learning outcomes.......................................................................... 133 12.7 Case study......................................................................................................... 134 12.8 Test your knowledge and understanding............................................................. 134 Chapter 13: Designing and evaluating management control systems. Identifying financial responsibility centres........................................................................... 135 13.1 Introduction....................................................................................................... 135 13.2 Designing and evaluating management control systems (MCS)............................ 136 13.3 Identifying financial responsibility centres and transfer pricing methods............... 138 13.4 Transfer pricing................................................................................................... 141 13.5 Methods of setting transfer prices....................................................................... 142 13.6 Reminder of learning outcomes.......................................................................... 145 13.7 Case study......................................................................................................... 146 13.8 Test your knowledge and understanding............................................................. 146 Chapter 14: A detailed look at planning and budgeting..................................... 147 14.1 Introduction....................................................................................................... 147 14.2 Budget purposes................................................................................................ 147 14.3 Planning cycles................................................................................................... 148 14.4 Target setting..................................................................................................... 149 14.5 Recasting the budget.......................................................................................... 150 iii AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 14.6 Common financial performance target issues...................................................... 150 14.6 Criticisms of budgeting and consideration of beyond budgeting........................... 152 14.7 Reminder of learning outcomes.......................................................................... 153 14.8 Case study......................................................................................................... 153 14.9 Test your knowledge and understanding............................................................. 153 Chapter 15: Incentive systems............................................................................ 155 15.1 Introduction....................................................................................................... 155 15.2 Purposes and types of incentives......................................................................... 155 15.3 Monetary incentives........................................................................................... 156 15.4 Incentive scheme design..................................................................................... 158 15.5 Incentive formulas and subjective rewards........................................................... 158 15.6 The shape of the incentive function..................................................................... 159 15.7 Criteria for evaluating incentive systems.............................................................. 160 15.8 Group rewards................................................................................................... 160 15.9 Reminder of learning outcomes.......................................................................... 161 15.10 Case study....................................................................................................... 161 15.11 Test your knowledge and understanding........................................................... 161 Chapter 16: Financial performance measures and their effects......................... 163 16.1 Introduction....................................................................................................... 163 16.2 Using market measures of performance for managerial appraisal......................... 164 16.3 Using accounting measures of performance for managerial appraisal................... 165 16.4 Reminder of learning outcomes.......................................................................... 170 16.5 Case study......................................................................................................... 171 16.6 Test your knowledge and understanding............................................................. 171 Chapter 17: Remedies to the myopia problem................................................... 173 17.1 Introduction....................................................................................................... 173 17.2 Pressures to act myopically................................................................................. 173 17.3 Ways to decrease myopia.................................................................................... 174 17.4 Strengths of several performance measures......................................................... 178 17.5 Issues in creating the correct measures............................................................... 179 17.6 Reminder of learning outcomes.......................................................................... 179 17.7 Case study......................................................................................................... 180 17.8 Test your knowledge and understanding............................................................. 180 Chapter 18: Using financial results controls in the presence of uncontrollable factors................................................................................................................. 181 18.1 Introduction....................................................................................................... 181 18.2 The controllability principle................................................................................. 181 18.3 Deciding on whether factors are uncontrollable................................................... 182 18.4 Controlling for the distorting effects of uncontrollables........................................ 183 18.5 Methods which can be used to determine the impact of the event....................... 184 18.6 Reminder of learning outcomes.......................................................................... 186 18.7 Case study......................................................................................................... 186 18.8 Test your knowledge and understanding............................................................. 186 Chapter 19: Management control-related ethical issues.................................... 187 19.1 Introduction....................................................................................................... 187 19.2 Ethical behaviour in a business context............................................................... 188 19.3 Ethical models.................................................................................................... 188 19.4 Analysing ethical issues...................................................................................... 189 19.5 Some management control-related ethical issues................................................ 190 iv Contents 19.6 Reminder of learning outcomes.......................................................................... 192 19.7 Case study......................................................................................................... 192 19.8 Test your knowledge and understanding............................................................. 192 Chapter 20: Management control in not-for-profit organisations...................... 193 20.1 Introduction....................................................................................................... 193 20.2 Types of not-for-profit organisation..................................................................... 193 20.3 Key similarities and differences in management control between for-profit and notfor-profit organisations............................................................................................... 195 20.4 Not-for-profit budgeting..................................................................................... 195 20.5 Difficulties in measuring and rewarding performance........................................... 197 20.6 Accounting differences........................................................................................ 198 20.7 External scrutiny................................................................................................. 198 20.8 Public sector scorecard....................................................................................... 199 20.9 Employment characteristics................................................................................. 200 20.10 Summary.......................................................................................................... 200 20.11 Reminder of learning outcomes........................................................................ 200 20.12 Test your knowledge and understanding........................................................... 201 Appendix 1: Solutions to activities and sample examination questions............ 203 Note to students......................................................................................................... 203 Chapter 6................................................................................................................... 203 Chapter 7................................................................................................................... 204 Chapter 8................................................................................................................... 205 Chapter 9................................................................................................................... 207 Chapter 10................................................................................................................. 210 v AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Notes vi Chapter 1: Introduction Chapter 1: Introduction 1.1 Introduction Welcome to the course AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations. Producing financial information can be time consuming and expensive. Many people are aware of how financial information is produced, how it looks and what it can tell us. This course however will explore which stakeholders use this financial information and how they use it. This module is structured into two parts, with each part focusing on different users of financial information. Part 1 will explore how financial information is utilised by external stakeholders of a company, particularly those stakeholders within the capital markets. We will explore the ways in which financial information can be dissected and used to make investment decisions. We will also explore the dangers that exist when relying on financial information prepared by participants internal to an organisation who may have other incentives to focus on. Part 2 focuses on stakeholders internal to an organisation and how financial information can be used to control organisational performance. This section has a focus on management accounting including: financial and other controls, organisational structures, performance measurement and incentive systems, budgetary control and public-sector and non-profit financial management within the organisational and human behavioural context. This chapter aims to provide a brief overview of the chapters in the subject guide. 1.2 Syllabus and learning outcomes for the course The up-to-date course syllabus for AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations can be found in the course information sheet, which is available on the course VLE (virtual learning environment) page. This course is designed to address contemporary issues in both financial and management accounting in the context of theoretical and empirical development. At the end of the course and having completed the essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • discuss the role of key capital market players, institutional investors and evaluate their importance in information dissemination • advise on how accounting information can impact valuation of securities and other decisions made by market participants • appreciate the earnings game and the flexibility in accounting practices to allow earnings to be managed • evaluate issues arising from management control in its organisational context • discuss various approaches to performance measurement and control in various types of organisations, and devise and evaluate indicators of performance • discuss contingency theory and its impacts on management control practices in organisations 1 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations • discuss the ethical issues of using management control methods and its use in non-profit organisations. In order to achieve this, each module is broken down into further detailed learning outcomes. 1.3 Employability outcomes Below are the three most relevant skill outcomes for students undertaking this course which can be conveyed to future prospective employers: 1. communication 2. persuasion and negotiation 3. emotional intelligence. 1.4 Introduction to the subject area This module builds on the previous modules AC2091 Financial reporting and AC2097 Management accounting. It does this by exploring how financial information is used by participants other than those who create the financial information. We will look at how participants in the capital markets might choose to use statutory financial statements to assess investment opportunities. We will also explore how senior management might choose to use internal financial information to control activities and performance. In addition, the module will explore real life scenarios for financial reporting and how financial information can impact social interactions. 1.5 Route map to the guide Chapter 1 is an introductory chapter. Chapters 2 to 10 focus on how financial information is used by the capital markets as well as what market participants are wary of when reading financial information. Chapters 2 to 5 focus on external users of information, particularly those within the capital markets. The chapters focus on who these key players are, what they use financial information for, and the role they play in information dissemination. Chapter 2 introduces the reason why financial information is so important to the capital markets and Chapter 3 then offers some clarity into what is meant by ‘the capital markets’. Chapter 4 introduces one of the primary users of financial statements – the analysts. In this chapter, you will discover their role and how they assist in the workings of the capital markets. Chapter 5 introduces the methodologies used by many large, listed corporations to ensure information is provided to the markets appropriately and legally. Chapter 6 analyses financial statements to identify the information they can provide to external users in the capital markets. This includes the key metrics which can be drawn out of financial information in the form of ratio analysis and the ‘story’ that can be told through the numbers. Chapters 7 and 8 explore and develop valuation techniques that can be utilised when analysing financial statements. This includes the use of comparable company valuations as well as the residual income valuation model (a model which directly uses financial statements to determine company value). 2 Chapter 1: Introduction Chapters 9 and 10 then discuss the dangers of relying too much on information prepared by internal stakeholders who may have other priorities. The chapters explore why organisational management may wish to influence their earning potential. Chapter 10 explores how an analyst may need to analyse and adjust accounts before using them for valuation techniques. Chapters 11 to 20 focus on management accounting (introduced further before Chapter 11). 1.6 Overview of learning resources 1.6.1 The subject guide The goal of this subject guide is to provide you with an overview of the topics covered in this course. To begin with, you should read through the chapters in order, attempting the activities when listed. You should also read the Essential readings, either when directed to or at the end of the chapter. Each chapter includes a list of learning outcomes, summarising the content you should have mastered before moving on to the next chapter. The reading for this course is divided into two categories: Essential and Further. You will be given online access to the Essential publications (individual book chapters, journal articles, etc.) either via the Online Library or through PDFs uploaded to the VLE. You are not required to access or buy the Further readings, but they may prove helpful to you in your study. 1.6.2 Essential reading The Essential reading for Chapters 2–10 is: Laskin, A. Investor relations and financial communication: creating value through trust and understanding. (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley Blackwell, 2021) [ISBN 9781119780458] Chapters 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6. Palepu, K., P. Healy and E. Peek Business analysis and valuation. (Cengage Learning EMEA, 2022) 6th edition [ISBN 9781473779082] Chapters 1, 3, 4, 5, 7 and 8. Valdez, S. and P. Molyneux An introduction to global financial markets. (Bloomsbury Academic, 2015) [ISBN 9781137497550] Chapters 1, 2 and 5. Brochet, F. and D. Kiron ‘Google and earnings guidance’, Harvard Business School Case 111–026, Harvard Business School 2010 (revised April 2011). For Chapters 11–20, the Essential reading is: Merchant, K.A. and W.A. Van der Stede Management control systems: Performance measurement, evaluation and incentives. (Harlow: Pearson, 2017) 4th edition [ISBN 9781292110554] Chapters 1–12, 15 and 16. In addition to the main textbook, there are several key journal articles that you are required to read, which you will find listed in the individual chapters. Detailed reading references in this subject guide refer to the editions of the set textbooks listed above. New editions of one or more of these textbooks may have been published by the time you study this course. You can use a more recent edition of any of the books; use the detailed chapter and section headings and the index to identify relevant readings. Also check the VLE regularly for updated guidance on readings. 3 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 1.6.3 Further reading Please note that as long as you read the Essential reading you are then free to read around the subject area in any text, paper or online resource. You will need to support your learning by reading as widely as possible and by thinking about how these principles apply in the real world. To help you read extensively, you have free access to the virtual learning environment (VLE) and University of London Online Library (see below). Other useful texts for this course include: Chapter 2: Bloomfield, R.J. ‘A pragmatic approach to more efficient corporate disclosure’, Accounting Horizons 26(2) 2012, pp.357–370. Li, F. ‘Annual report readability, current earnings and earnings persistence’, Journal of Accounting and Economics 45 2008, pp.221–223. Cazier, R.A. and R.J. Pfeiffer ‘Why are 10-K filings so long?’, Accounting Horizons 30(1) 2016, pp.1–21. Chapter 3: Arnold, G. Modern financial markets and institutions: a practical perspective. (Financial Times, 2011) [ISBN 9780273730354] Chapter 4: Groysberg, B. and P.M. Healy Wall Street research: past, present and future. (Stanford University Press, 2013) [ISBN 9780804785310] Chapter 2. Chapter 5: Laskin, A. ‘Investor relations practices at Fortune-500 companies: an exploratory study.’ Public Relations Review, 32(1) 2006, pp.69–70. Chapter 6: Lee, K. and D. Taylor Financial statement analysis under IFRS. (Financial Edge Training, 2018) 6th edition [ISBN 9781916502802] Chapter 6. Chapter 7: Antill. N., K. Lee, and D. Taylor Company valuation under IFRS. (Harriman House, 2020) 3rd edition [ISBN 9780857197764] Chapter 1. Chapter 8: Srinivasan, S., B. Cheng and E. Riedl ‘Coca Cola: residual income valuation exercise,’ Harvard Business School Exercise 113-056, 2012. Chapter 9: Collingwood, H. ‘The earnings game: everybody plays, nobody wins’, Harvard Business Review R0106C, 2001. Chapter 10: Antill. N., K. Lee and D. Taylor Company valuation under IFRS. (Harriman House, 2020) 3rd edition [ISBN 9780857197764] Chapter 4. Chapter 11: Hammer, M. Beyond reengineering: how the process-centered organization is changing our work and our lives. (New York, NY: Harper Business, 1996) [ISBN 9780887307294]. Chapter 12: Hofstede, G. Culture’s consequences: international differences in workrelated values. (Beverley Hills, CA: SAGE Publications, 2001) [ISBN 9780803913066] 4 Chapter 1: Introduction Ma, J. ‘Dear investors: letter from Jack Ma as Alibaba prepares roadshow’, Financial Times [London, UK] 5 September 2014. Available online at www.ft.com/content/54a53a50-353d-11e4-aa47-00144feabdc0 Petruno, T. ‘Sunrise scam throws light on incentive pay programmes’, Los Angeles Times [Los Angeles, CA] 15 January 1996. Available online at articles.latimes.com/1996-01-15/business/fi-24821_1_incentive-pay-plans The Economist ‘Tesco’s accounting problems: Not so funny’, The Economist [London, UK] 27 September 2014. Available online at www.economist. com/business/2014/09/27/not-so-funny Chapter 13: Horngren, C.T., S.M. Datar and M.V. Rajan Cost accounting: a managerial emphasis. (Harlow: Pearson Education Ltd, 2015) 15th edition [ISBN 9781292078977] Chapter 22. Chapter 19: Association of Chartered Accountants (ACCA) ‘ACCA code of ethics and conduct’, ACCA www.accaglobal.com/gb/en/about-us/regulation/ethics/ acca-code-of-ethics-and-conduct.html Birsch, D. and J.H. Fielder The Ford Pinto case: a study in applied ethics, business and society. (Albany, NY: State University of New York Press, 1994) [ISBN 9780791422342]. UK Government ‘Whistleblowing for employees’, GOV.UK www.gov.uk/whistleblowing/who-to-tell-what-to-expect Chapter 20: Moullin, M. ‘How the public sector scorecard works’, Public sector scorecard www.publicsectorscorecard.co.uk/how-the-pss-works.html Office for National Statistics www.ons.gov.uk 1.6.4 Websites Unless otherwise stated, all websites in this subject guide were accessed in May 2023. We cannot guarantee, however, that they will stay current and you may need to perform an internet search to find the relevant pages. 1.6.5 Accounting note The field of accounting changes regularly, and there may be updates to the syllabus for this course that are not included in this subject guide. Any such updates will be posted on the virtual learning environment (VLE). It is essential that you check the VLE at the beginning of each academic year (September) for new material and changes to the syllabus. Any additional material posted on the VLE will be examinable. 1.6.6 Online study resources In addition to the subject guide and the Essential reading, it is crucial that you take advantage of the study resources that are available online for this course, including the VLE and the Online Library. You can access the VLE, the Online Library and your University of London email account via the Student Portal at: https://my.london.ac.uk You should have received your login details for the Student Portal with your official offer, which was emailed to the address that you gave on your application form. You have probably already logged in to the Student Portal in order to register! As soon as you registered, you will automatically have been granted access to the VLE, Online Library and your fully functional University of London email account. If you have forgotten these login details, please click on the ‘Forgot Password’ link on the login page. 5 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations The VLE The VLE, which complements this subject guide, has been designed to enhance your learning experience, providing additional support and a sense of community. It forms an important part of your study experience with the University of London and you should access it regularly. The VLE provides a range of resources for EMFSS courses: • Course materials: Subject guides and other course materials available for download. In some courses, the content of the subject guide is transferred into the VLE and additional resources and activities are integrated with the text. • Readings: Direct links, wherever possible, to essential readings in the Online Library, including journal articles and ebooks. • Video content: Including introductions to courses and topics within courses, interviews, lessons and debates. • Screencasts: Videos of PowerPoint presentations, animated podcasts and on-screen worked examples. • External material: Links out to carefully selected third-party resources. • Self-test activities: Multiple-choice, numerical and algebraic quizzes to check your understanding. • Collaborative activities: Work with fellow students to build a body of knowledge. • Discussion forums: A space where you can share your thoughts and questions with fellow students. Many forums will be supported by a ‘course moderator’, a subject expert employed by LSE to facilitate the discussion and clarify difficult topics. • Past examination papers: We provide up to three years of past examinations alongside Examiners’ commentaries that provide guidance on how to approach the questions. • Study skills: Expert advice on getting started with your studies, preparing for examinations and developing your digital literacy skills. Note: Students registered for Laws courses also receive access to the dedicated Laws VLE. Some of these resources are available for certain courses only, but we are expanding our provision all the time and you should check the VLE regularly for updates. Making use of the Online Library The Online Library (http://onlinelibrary.london.ac.uk) contains a huge array of journal articles and other resources to help you read widely and extensively. To access the majority of resources via the Online Library you will either need to use your University of London Student Portal login details, or you will be required to register and use an Athens login. The easiest way to locate relevant content and journal articles in the Online Library is to use the Summon search engine. If you are having trouble finding an article listed in a reading list, try removing any punctuation from the title, such as single quotation marks, question marks and colons. 6 Chapter 1: Introduction For further advice, please use the online help pages (http://onlinelibrary. london.ac.uk/resources/summon) or contact the Online Library team using the ‘Chat with us’ function. 1.7 The examination Important: the information and advice given here are based on the examination structure used at the time this guide was written. Please note that subject guides may be used for several years. Because of this we strongly advise you to always check both the current Programme regulations for relevant information about the examination, and the VLE where you should be advised of any forthcoming changes. You should also carefully check the rubric/instructions on the paper you actually sit and follow those instructions. A full sample examination paper will be uploaded to the course VLE page. Remember, it is important to check the VLE for: • up-to-date information on examination and assessment arrangements for this course • where available, past examination papers and Examiners’ commentaries for the course which give advice on how each question might best be answered. 7 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Notes 8 Part 1: Capital markets Part 1: Capital markets Welcome to the capital markets (‘markets’ in the course title) section of AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations. In this section (Chapters 2–10) of the course, we will examine how external parties to an organisation use the financial statements produced by management within the organisation. We look in particular detail at the participants of the capital markets who may be using the financial information for investing purposes, who these parties are, what they do and how they interact with each other. This will include equity analysts from both the sell side and the buy side and how these participants obtain further clarification from the Investor Relations Officers within the firm. Once we understand the parties interested in financial information, we will explore some of the methods that they apply to assist with investing decisions as well as the issues they need to be aware of when relying upon information produced by third parties with their own incentives. 9 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Notes 10 Chapter 2: Accounting information – the user perspective Chapter 2: Accounting information – the user perspective 2.1 Introduction We start in this chapter with the key concept of why financial information is important and why an entire profession has been built around the needs of investors. The chapter will explore the need for credible accounting information to be published, the importance of ‘trust’ within the profession, the regulation which has evolved and the importance of the audit profession. The chapter will look at specific examples of how the profession attempts to build this credibility as well as the historical period known as the ‘dot com bubble’ and how a lack of financial information caused financial distress in the markets. 2.1.1 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain the relationship between users of financial information and the producers of financial information and why financial information is important to external parties • critique the accounting standard setting process for both USGAAP and IFRS, highlighting the strengths and weaknesses of the standard setting process • explain the mechanisms used in the capital markets to ensure that credibility is created behind financial information disclosures made by internal management • discuss, in the context of the dot com bubble, difficulties that have occurred when financial information has been insufficient for capital market participants. 2.1.2 Essential reading Palepu, K., P. Healy and E. Peek Business analysis and valuation. (Cengage Learning EMEA, 2022) 6th edition, Chapter 1 extracts. US Securities and Exchange Commission press release, Sept 24 2019 https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2019‑186 2.1.3 Further reading Bloomfield, R.J. ‘A pragmatic approach to more efficient corporate disclosure’, Accounting Horizons 26(2) 2012, pp.357–370. Li, F. ‘Annual report readability, current earnings and earnings persistence’, Journal of Accounting and Economics 45 2008, pp.221–223. Cazier, R.A. and R.J. Pfeiffer ‘Why are 10-K filings so long?’, Accounting Horizons 30(1) 2016, pp.1–21. 2.1.4 References cited Akerlof, G.A. ‘The market for lemons: qualitative uncertainty and the market mechanism’, The Quarterly Journal of Economics 84(3) 1970, pp.488–500. IFRS Foundation, ‘Who uses IFRS accounting standards?’, www.ifrs.org/use-around-the-world/why-global-accounting-standards/ 11 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Financial Accounting Standards Board, ‘About the FASB’ (updated April 2023) www.fasb.org/info/facts UK Financial Conduct Authority, ‘Final notice to Tesco PLC and Tesco Stores Ltd’ (updated March 2017) www.fca.org.uk/publication/final-notices/ tesco-2017.pdf US Securities and Exchange Commission, Press release, Dec 9 2020, www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2020-312 2.2 The ‘lemons problem’ Imagine, if you can, that you are planning to make a large, potentially life changing personal purchase. For example, you plan to buy a car, or a home. Let us then imagine that the only thing you know about this new car or home is that it exists and that the current owner is willing to sell it. Put aside the fact that you would desire further information and think about the dangers and fear that you might experience spending a large sum of money on something when you know nothing more than the fact that the asset (a car or home in this case) exists. Some of the questions you might ask yourself are: • How do I know if it is suitable for me? • How do I know it is the right quality for me? • How do I know it is valued correctly? The answers to these questions are unavailable without further information. Now imagine that you can increase, ever so slightly, the amount of information you have. Imagine that you have access to the historical prices for which ‘similar’ homes and cars have sold. This provides information about the minimum price for which people have sold their homes and cars, as well as the maximum price and everything in between. But would this give you answers to the questions above? Unlikely. In this scenario, and assuming that you really needed a home or a car, you might need to consider what the ‘average’ price may have been and begin your search with this value in mind. Now let us imagine that you are not alone: hundreds of other people are also searching for a new home or car. They would be facing the same issues as you and they too may be fearful of overpaying for an asset about which they know very little. However, there would be a mismatch in the market. The current owners of the homes and cars would know the quality of their assets and be hoping to sell them for an appropriate amount. Unfortunately for them, without any detailed information, you may be unwilling to pay the asking price. Perhaps you would be tempted to try to negotiate the price down a little, in the fear that the asset is not as good as the price suggests – and perhaps all the other possible buyers would try to do the same. This would cause two opposing conflicts in the market. i. Any owner of a good quality house/car is going to become frustrated at the offers they receive as they are all too low. As such, they are likely to remove the asset from sale on the market. ii. Any owner of a poorer quality house/car is likely to see that you and others are beginning your negotiations near the ‘average price’. This will incentivise them to sell their house/car at this increased price. Where does this lead us? If those vendors selling good homes and cars are removing their assets from the market and those with poor quality homes 12 Chapter 2: Accounting information – the user perspective and cars are flooding the market, people like you – who are trying to buy new homes/cars – will quickly realise that the majority of assets being sold are poorer quality. As a result, you (and others) will adjust your ‘average price’ downward. This will surely create a downward spiral where, once again, vendors with poor quality assets continue to benefit but anybody with a slightly better asset will only be able to sell their asset for a lower price than is fair. In a few years, when your car is old and needs replacing, will you go back to buy a new one from the same place? Unlikely. When your home becomes too small for your needs and you need to buy a larger home, will you be happy knowing that you bought an overpriced home last time? Unlikely. And you won’t be alone. If we lived in this world, nobody would be buying cars or homes. This is the exact problem that exists in the capital markets where investors and vendors are buying/selling shares, both from a primary point of view (i.e. when companies issue new shares to investors) or on the secondary market (i.e. when investors trade the shares they currently own between themselves). Without accounting information, investors would not be able to tell the difference between a good investment and a poor one. Only average prices would be offered and, before long, companies which represent a good investment would be unable to obtain additional investment at a fair price; only poor quality companies would be able to do this. It would not be long before investors would give up and the capital markets would collapse. This is a key reason why information from organisations and companies needs to be revealed to the market. This is known as the ‘lemons problem’ (Akerlof, 1970). 2.3The importance of trust in accounting information and the role of regulation As we have just explored, in a hypothetical world where company information is lacking, it is predictable that investors would slowly withdraw from investing in companies and the world of capital fluidity would break down. We should therefore explore whether information being provided by companies can solve this problem by itself. The answer – unfortunately – is: not directly. Imagine that directors, entrepreneurs or other vendors of shares are asking you to invest in their companies. Imagine that they can communicate with you about what the company does, how successful it has been and what they plan to do in future. Will this help you to make your investment decision? Maybe not. You will face similar issues and the situation is likely to play out as it did before. Good companies will tell you all about the positive reasons why you should invest. Poorly performing companies will see that you are willing to invest more and so they will attempt to ‘pool’ themselves with those companies which are truly good investments by saying similar things. Over time, investors will realise that they still cannot differentiate between poor investments and good investments because everybody is providing such similar information. Once again, ‘average’ offerings will prevail and good companies will withdraw from asking for your investment, due to the undervaluations. As before, markets will be dominated by underperforming, overvalued choices. 13 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Once again, the market will break down. The missing element in this hypothetical scenario is not just ‘information’. Instead, it is information which allows those companies with good performance to differentiate themselves from poorly performing companies. A mechanism is needed which limits poorly performing companies from attempting to pass themselves off as anything other than that. Activity 2.1 Read the following sections from Chapter 1 of Palepu et al. (2022). • The role of financial reporting in the capital markets • Influences of the accounting system on information quality Ensure you are comfortable with the terminology used regarding financial statements, which you should have learned in earlier modules, including the following: • What is meant by ‘asymmetry’? • Who are the financial intermediaries within the capital markets? • Who are the information intermediaries? 2.3.1 The role of regulation As at September 2022, 167 jurisdictions around the world have fully adopted International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as produced by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB). One of the missions of the IASB is to ‘bring transparency by enhancing the international comparability and quality of financial information, enabling investors and other market participants to make informed economic decisions’ (IASB). In 2018, it was estimated that $35 trillion of global GDP occurred in jurisdictions that required the use of IFRS Standards. This amount represents almost half of global GDP. The majority of the remaining global GDP is accounted for by one jurisdiction which has not adopted IFRS: the United States of America. In the US, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) is the recognised and designated standard setter for public companies. The aim of the FASB is to ‘improve financial accounting and reporting standards to provide useful information to investors and other users of financial reports and educate stakeholders on how to most effectively understand and implement those standards’ (FASB). Although these two standard setting bodies take slightly different approaches and have slightly different requirements for the preparation of financial statements, they do agree on the same frameworks – mainly that accounts should be relevant, reliable and comparable. Within these agreements, they also both agree that financial reporting should help users to predict the future cash flows of an organisation and that for financial reports to be reliable, they must be verifiable and faithfully representative. If companies follow the accounting standards set by bodies such as the FASB and the IASB, investors should have access to information that will help them to differentiate between companies with good prospects and those that are likely to struggle. However, we must consider whether such standards and regulations are sufficient to stop inferior firms attempting to pass themselves off as financially strong firms. The ‘lemons problem’ can only be resolved if information is sufficient to make this distinction clear. 14 Chapter 2: Accounting information – the user perspective Activity 2.2 Access the websites of the two key global standard setters: • International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) • Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) Explore the composition of the standard setting boards in each and consider the following questions: 1. What background does each of the board members have? 2. How do they represent different users of financial information? 3. What different points of view do you think these standard setters could offer? 4. Do you think the diversity is sufficient for all users of financial information? 2.3.2 The importance of the auditing profession People preparing accounting information are expected to follow certain standards. This should ensure that users of financial information are able to consider a company’s current and future potential performance. Such information will be much more reliable if it is verified by somebody other than those preparing the accounts. This is where the auditing profession comes in. The primary role of the auditing profession is to collect what is referred to as ‘sufficient and appropriate’ audit evidence from numerous sources and use this evidence to conclude on whether, in their opinion, the financial statements give a true and fair view of the company’s financial position and performance. In many jurisdictions around the world, listed companies on stock exchanges are required, by local law, to have their financial statements audited by an independent public accountant. This enhances the credibility of such statements. Individual users of accounts can have more confidence in the information, and the markets should work much more effectively as investors have more faith and trust in the information underlying the system. The role of the auditor also acts internally, encouraging those who are responsible for preparing the accounts to do so with honesty – and thus deterring poor quality companies from attempting to pass themselves off as a better company, due to the fear that they will be caught out. Can we trust that audit processes are carried out consistently from company to company and across jurisdictions? Fortunately, in many countries and regions, there are required audit standards and regulations set by various bodies. In much of Europe, auditors are expected to follow directives set by the International Auditing and Assurance Standards Board (IAASB). In the US, the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB) has the power to inspect and investigate audit work as auditors follow Generally Accepted Auditing Standards, which are comparable to the International Auditing Standards. Activity 2.3 What would be the consequences if company management were accused of falsifying financial performance? What consequences would there be even if no legislation was in place? 15 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations As before however, we must consider whether the existence of an audit requirement for listed companies – and the associated safeguards provided by audit standards – is sufficient to solve the ‘lemons problem’. The importance of the auditing profession is clear. Unfortunately, this is never more apparent than when there are failures in the industry. In recent history, there have been numerous occasions where an independent accountant auditing a company failed in its duty. This has often sent shockwaves through the market as investors question whether or not they can rely on the work of auditors. In 2014, UK supermarket Tesco was found to have overstated profits by £263 million – which was not highlighted by their then auditor, PwC. Although PwC were investigated and escaped official censure from the UK Financial Reporting Council, the value of Tesco plummeted by over £10 billion with the news that their finances were less reliable. Another example is that of General Electric. In 2018, the Securities and Exchange Commission began investigations into ‘aggressive accounting’ practices, specifically with regard to over-inflated profits coming from reductions in historical cost estimates rather than real current performance. The SEC also found that current performance was supported at the expense of future cash collection. This revelation led General Electric’s share price to plummet by almost 75%. The incident raised concerns over the relationship that auditing firm KPMG had with General Electric. It was noted that KPMG had audited General Electric for over a century and questions were raised over whether this meant that KPMG were truly an independent accountant or not. Such examples could suggest that audits are not always robust, undermining the role accounting information might play in fully resolving the ‘lemons problem’. 2.3.3 Legal liability While the auditing profession adds value to the information provided by management within organisations, it is important to remember that management carry the ultimate responsibility for the validity of information. In Chapters 9 and 10 of this manual, we will explore how management may be able to make decisions which allow for distortion in accounting information as well as why, under some accounting jurisdictions, this is possible. Because the auditing profession has natural weaknesses in itself, it is clear that management are likely to need some additional form of deterrent, to discourage them from misleading the users of accounting information in the hope that auditors will not recognise the distortion. In many jurisdictions around the world, this deterrent comes in the form of localised directives and legal statutes. There are many complexities in this area, depending upon which jurisdiction’s law needs to be followed. Broadly speaking, however, management can be found guilty of an offense if information provided within financial reports is found to be misleading and intended to harm investors. In 2019, the Securities Exchange Commission in the US charged global information and media analytics firm, Comscore Inc. and its former CEO. The SEC found that, under the direction of the CEO, revenue was improperly increased by $50 million. Without admitting or denying these findings, the CEO paid a penalty of $700,000 and agreed to reimburse Comscore with $2.1 million. The CEO was also barred from serving as an officer or director of a public company for 10 years. 16 Chapter 2: Accounting information – the user perspective Activity 2.4 Read the findings of the SEC investigation into accounting fraud at Comscore Inc. (US SEC press release, Sept 24 2019). See how the directors were seen to be personally liable and were fined. While you read, consider the following questions: 1. What did the SEC accuse directors of doing? 2. Why did the directors have this opportunity? 3. What actions did the SEC threaten to take against the directors? 4. How does such an investigation improve the credibility of accounting within the US? Activity 2.5 Attempt question 2, 3, 4 and 5 from the questions, exercises and problems at the end of Chapter 1 of Palepu et al. (2022). 2.4 The need for additional information The ‘greater fool theory’ suggests that prices in markets can increase not due to underlying performance, but simply because people are able to sell investments at an overvalued price to a ‘greater fool’ – as long as that fool accepts that the price is reflective of a strongly-performing company. As with the ‘lemons problem’ (discussed earlier), this allows poorlyperforming companies to overstate their performance. Once a fool (an investor who has overpaid for an asset) realises their investment was not a good one, all they need to do is find a ‘greater fool’ to sell to at an even more inflated price; in this way, the first fool can still make a gain. This works as long as the world is full of ‘new fools’. There is no better illustration of this than the ‘dot com boom’ of the 1990s, which was followed by the ‘dot com bust’ of the 2000s. Many investors were happy to invest in fledgling internet-based companies, hoping that – in the short term at least – they could ‘ride the wave’ and make some major gains. The problem was that many investors did not bother to read information provided by these companies. Nor did they seem to care that many companies showed very little evidence of revenue, let alone earnings! Because of the demand, investment banks encouraged fledgling companies to seek a listing. This exacerbated the problem as it meant investors continued to be attracted to the market, further increasing demand for any company with ‘dot com’ after its name. As it became clear that many of these companies did not have a sufficiently developed operating model, many corporations failed and investors were left facing large losses. In the 21st century, there is a current drive for investors to understand more about organisations, attitudes and approaches towards their environmental, social and governance responsibilities i.e. ESG. For large investment firms, this is becoming more and more important. 17 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 2.6 Read the case study ‘A clutter of standards and guidelines: The development of ESG reporting’ at the end of Chapter 1 of Palepu et al. (2022). Focus on the following sections (although you may of course read more if you are interested): • An introduction to ESG reporting • ESG frameworks and standards • Players in the market for ESG information • The future of ESG reporting As you read, try to answer the following questions: 1. What potential use can ESG information have for investment decisions? 2. Why is it important for market participants to have quality information with regards to ESG disclosures when compared with financial reporting disclosures? 3. What threats might exist with regards to the usefulness of ESG reporting? 2.5 Overview of chapter This chapter has explored the core reason why financial information is so important in allowing investors to differentiate between good and poor investments. The chapter has highlighted how markets would collapse without credible information and what mechanisms are used to attempt to solve this problem. 2.6 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain the relationship between users of financial information and the producers of financial information and why financial information is important to external parties • critique the accounting standard setting process for both USGAAP and IFRS, highlighting the strengths and weaknesses of the standard setting process • explain the mechanisms used in the capital markets to ensure that credibility is created behind financial information disclosures made by internal management • discuss, in the context of the dot com bubble, difficulties that have occurred when financial information has been insufficient for capital market participants. 2.7 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. What is the ‘lemons problem’ and how do the markets attempt to solve this problem? 2. Why is the auditing profession alone insufficient to solve the ‘lemons problem’? 3. If an entrepreneur is attempting to sell their business, explain why offering information about their performance is critical to a fair valuation. 18 Chapter 3: Capital market players and an introduction to analysts Chapter 3: Capital market players and an introduction to analysts 3.1 Introduction This chapter will offer more clarity into the rather opaque and sometime confusing world of the capital markets. The capital markets are a network of complicated relationships developed from a simple concept – the need to connect borrowers with lenders. By the start of the 21st century, the participants in these markets have become widely varied in both their roles and their objectives. The chapter will identify these key players within the capital markets and ensure that their primary roles are understood. The chapter will also introduce a selection of the participants who are to be explored in more detail in later chapters of this manual. 3.1.1 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain how information is used with the network of the capital markets • describe the role of key market participants who operate within the capital markets • identify the differences between a sell side analyst and a buy side analyst. 3.1.2 Essential reading Valdez, S. and P. Molyneux An introduction to global financial markets. (Bloomsbury Academic, 2015) [ISBN 9781137497550] Chapters 1 and 5 Palepu, K., P. Healy and E. Peek Business analysis and valuation. (Cengage Learning EMEA, 2022) 5th edition [ISBN 9781473758421] Chapter 9 extracts. 3.1.3 Further reading Arnold, G. Modern financial markets and institutions: a practical perspective. (Financial Times, 2011) [ISBN 9780273730354]. 3.1.4 References cited Palmieri, R., D. Perrin and M. Whitehouse ‘The pragmatics of financial communication. Part 1: From sources to the public sphere’, International Journal of Business Communication, 55(2) 2018, pp.127–134. 3.2 The complex world of banking Imagine an entrepreneur has an idea but no finance, while a saver has funds they wish to invest. In a simple world, it may be possible that these two people could talk to each other. The entrepreneur could explain their idea; the saver could listen and then decide whether to invest or not. In such a simplified world, there would be direct contact between the entrepreneur and the saver. Unfortunately (or fortunately, depending on how you look at it), we do not live in such a simple world. Instead, we live in a world of multinational 19 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations corporations, fighting for market space with local independent businesses. A world where companies can grow from being small-cap to being worth trillions of dollars. A world where companies can operate with as few as one or two employees, or as many as tens of thousands of employees. It would be impractical for an individual saver to approach a large multinational corporation to ask whether the firm requires some additional finance. Likewise, it would be difficult for large corporations, in order to raise the finance they need, to hold discussions with individual savers around the world to ask for investment. The banking system is here to operate as the ‘go between’, joining entrepreneurs/businesses and investors together. This is the role that banks excel at. By acting as a go-between in this way, banks are able to pool smaller funds together to create larger funds; they can accumulate multiple short-term deposits over time and make use of them to offer longer term borrowings. In addition, since large numbers of entrepreneurs and businesses access them, banks can prepare portfolios of investments to reduce the risk to savers, compared with the risk to someone who invests directly in a single company. But how do banks work? And how do they use the financial information provided by entrepreneurs and companies? The history of banking is a complicated one. A story of crusades, international tea trade and civil war dramas, followed by growth, panic, regulation, deregulation, mergers, failings, regulation again, followed by deregulation again, followed by crashes, and then more regulation. Today, most banks can be classified into one of four categories (or maybe five depending on how you look at them). However, it is worth noting that many banks have divisions which cross these boundaries: no bank falls ‘perfectly’ into any one category and many could be considered to fall into multiple categories. Retail banks e.g. Lloyds Bank Private banks e.g. Coutts Commercial banks e.g. Barclays Investment banks e.g. Goldman Sachs 20 Retail banks are what most people are likely to recognise as a ‘bank’. These banks often focus on individuals from whom they accept deposits (e.g. as a current access account) and to whom they make loans (e.g. car loans, home improvement loans, mortgages). There is overlap in the services provided by retail banks and private banks. However, private banks exist to accept deposits from and offer loans to ‘high worth’ individuals. People often become customers of such banks by invitation and these banks are attractive due to the specialist nature of advice which they can offer such wealthy individuals. Commercial banks are those whose clients are companies. They are often still household names due to their presence and many deal with deposits and loans. However, they also offer assistance with transactions, especially overseas transactions where there is a need for foreign currency support. Investment banks have complex relationships with a number of different parties. Their main aim is to connect savers and borrowers (just like other types of bank). However, they tend to focus on larger, more complex transactions. Investment banks engage in a wide range of activities including advising on mergers and acquisitions; research across equities, bonds and foreign currency; and sophisticated trading and restructuring. We will explore this in more detail later. Chapter 3: Capital market players and an introduction to analysts Universal banks e.g. Bank of America Some banks have attempted to position themselves as ‘universal banks’ or a ‘bank for all’. Such banks attempt to provide all the services described above. However, regulation complicates the matter as certain parts of banking may need to be separated from others for safeguarding reasons. Table 3.1: Categories of bank. Activity 3.1 Read Chapter 1 of An introduction to global financial markets (Valdez and Molyneux, 2015). Ensure you feel comfortable with the difference between primary and secondary markets and the different ways in which investors can invest in corporations. 3.3 Investment banks The focus of this section of AC3193 is the investment banking sector. The key users of financial information tend to operate in and around investment banks and so their activities are central to our study of the use of financial accounting information. The services offered by investment banks differ from bank to bank, which can make the industry appear more confusing. In addition, more specialist institutions exist which focus on certain aspects of investment banking and then offer their unique services to larger, more generic institutions. That said, most services can be placed in one of the following categories. Raising finance This was the primary purpose of investment banks. The bank can assist large corporations issuing stock or debt instruments and help organisations to find investors who have sufficient funds to invest. Financial advisory services Investment banks offer advice for companies on how to utilise the financial resources which are available. This advice can cover such topics as whether to merge with or acquire other companies or whether to dispose of parts of their own business. Corporate lending Although investments banks’ primary role may be to assist companies in raising finance, many are able to offer direct finance themselves. Research Many investment banks have divisions which assist investors in deciding where to invest. The analysts working in these divisions will be introduced later in this chapter and explored in more detail in Chapter 4. Investments and investment trading Due to the nature of the work investment banks perform, they are aware of what may or may not be a good investment. Consequently, they often invest in the markets themselves and exploit their knowledge to generate trading and other investment returns. Table 3.2: Categories of service offered by investment banks. 21 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 3.2 Read Chapter 5 of An introduction to global financial markets (Valdez and Molyneux, 2015). Prepare an answer for questions 1 and 4 from the end of the chapter. Activity 3.3 Explore the websites of the following investment banking firms: • Goldman Sachs • Bank of America • Deutsche Bank The aim of this activity is to learn about the different functions provided by these organisations within the capital markets, joining investors/savers with borrowers. Try to answer the following questions for each bank. Goldman Sachs Look at the details about the following services provided by Goldman Sachs: • asset management • investment banking • research. How do you think these departments interact with each other? For what reasons do you think each department would need financial information? Bank of America (BofA) You should see that BofA offers both corporate services and ‘retail services’ (e.g. credit cards, car loans, home loans and bank accounts to individuals). Explore the ‘Business and Institutions’ section. Here, you should find a section for ‘Institutional Investing’. Do these services seem similar to those offered by Goldman Sachs? Do they use the same language? Do BofA and Goldman Sachs mean the same thing when they refer to ‘investment banking’? Deutsche Bank Focus on the ‘corporate/institutions’ section. What similarities are there between the services offered by Deutsche Bank and by the banks you have already explored? 3.4 The need for information As stated in the section above, the banking system was primarily set up to join those who need money with those who have money, but most investors will be unwilling to risk their money unless they know whether the expected return will meet their needs. To assess the risk to their investment, they will need information. As discussed, it would be difficult for individuals to directly ask corporations if they require their investment, or for large corporations to ask hundreds of investors for finance. In the same way, it can be difficult for investment banks to obtain information directly. As such, the financial intermediaries within the market must manage information in a number of ways. Figure 3.1 summarises the options available. 22 Chapter 3: Capital market players and an introduction to analysts Figure 3.1: Communication between corporations and investors. (Source: adapted from Palmieri, 2018) Figure 3.1 shows a number of ways in which corporations communicate with investors. Corporations can produce one-way information such as annual accounts or quarterly earnings releases, which can be issued and communicated directly to the investors. However, such communications lack ‘reciprocation’ (i.e. they are one way only). It may be important for corporations to make clarifying statements or to answer questions, but opportunities for this to occur are limited. If a corporation allowed all shareholders to ask questions of them, any meeting could last a long time. There are more standardised processes by which corporations offer feedback, accept queries and engage in discussion with investors. However, these processes necessarily involve a smaller pool of participants. This is where financial intermediaries such as investment banks can excel and support a wider base of investors. 3.5 Buy side and sell side analysts Figure 3.1 identifies two specific parties of importance, who are central to the operation of financial markets: buy side analysts and sell side analysts. We will look at these roles in more detail in the following chapters. Their overall roles in the financial markets and their use and creation of financial information are summarised in Table 3.3. 23 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Buy side analysts Sell side analysts Buy side analysts work in the investment Sell side analysts do not actually invest management firms that are the main themselves. buyers of securities in the capital markets. Instead, we may consider them to be Buy side analysts work for senior analysts who sell their ideas. These fund managers who actually make ideas often come as recommendations the investment decisions. Their role to ‘buy’, ‘sell’ or ‘hold’ stock, depending is to provide the fund manager with on whether they feel stocks are over or investment ideas, drawing from their own under-priced. research and the research of sell side These ‘ideas’ are often summarised within analysts. a report which is then ‘sold’. These reports may be read by buy side analysts or by individual investors. Table 3.3: Roles of buy side and sell side analysts. 3.6 Role of the investor relations officer Figure 3.1 demonstrates that, for an organisation to successfully manage its ability to obtain finance itself, accurate and reliable information about the company is essential. Due to the sophisticated needs of investors, combined with increasingly stringent regulation, companies have professionalised and streamlined how they communicate financial information to markets. Most companies have now established an ‘Investor Relations’ departments to deal with these issues. This will be explored in more detail within Chapter 5. 3.7 Other market participants Our discussion so far has covered only the ‘tip of the iceberg’ in terms of how financial markets operate. Indeed, there is a multitude of other participants – some who wish to borrow, some who wish to invest, and others who wish to exploit price movements to generate profits. There is also a multitude of instruments which can be used to invest/borrow money. Below are some other participants in the markets which you should have some awareness of (although a detailed understanding is not required for this course). Central banks Central banks are often the main monetary authority of a country. They can help to manage public debt by both borrowing from and investing in the markets. This can include the purchasing of government debt when needed. They also often manage the nation’s reserves (such as gold reserves), issue currency and can act as a lender of last resort. Pension funds Pension funds are investment institutes whose aim is to ensure the right levels of income and capital growth are created to fund their clients’ retirement. To do this, they often invest in a portfolio of shares which meets their required aims. These firms may need to meet the required investment strategies for those who save for retirement via a defined contribution scheme. However, they may also assist organisations who have committed to a defined benefit scheme; asset management is crucial to meeting these pre-agreed obligations. 24 Chapter 3: Capital market players and an introduction to analysts Mutual funds Mutual funds allow small shareholders to group their investments together with other shareholders so as to spread their risk. The pool of investments is managed by a fund manager and the shareholders share the returns obtained. This allows investors who might not be able to invest in multiple investments independently, to manage their level of risk to a lower level. Stock exchanges A stock exchange is a regulated marketplace where investors can sell and buy stock between different parties. Stock exchanges can facilitate a corporation that wishes to raise finance by issuing and then trading stock for the first time on the market. They also act as a place where secondary transactions can take place (i.e. where owners of stock can sell if they no longer wish to own the stock themselves). Some of the biggest stock exchanges are: • NASDAQ • New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) • London Stock Exchange (LSE) • Tokyo Stock Exchange (Tosho) • German Stock Exchange (Boerse). Credit rating agencies These agencies focus on bond issues and other loan stock. Their function is to rate the risk of default associated with these different debt instruments and therefore add (or take away) credibility from companies wishing to borrow money in that format. The three biggest agencies are Standard & Poors, Moody’s and Fitch Ratings. Many investment funds will only consider investing in a bond which is rated above a certain level, so any company that does not have a suitable rating will find it difficult to begin a conversation with the investment banks. Hedge funds Hedge funds are a specific type of investment firm which has less regulation than a standard investment bank. The main focus is to ensure they make returns on behalf of investors by investing into different instruments. The big difference between them and regular investment firms is that they seek to obtain a return regardless of whether stock prices rise or fall. To make returns when stock prices fall, they must enter into a number of agreements which other investment firms are not allowed to perform due to the increased risk. Short sellers Short sellers are market participants who are looking to make returns on stock which they expect to fall in value (similar to part of the hedge fund’s aim). To do this, they seek stocks which, in their opinion, are overvalued. This can attract unwanted attention from other market participants if it signals that stock they own may not hold its value. 25 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 3.4 Read the following sections from Chapter 9 of Palepu et al. (2022). • Introduction • Investor objectives and investment vehicles • Equity security analysis and market efficiency Then prepare an answer to question 4 at the end of the chapter. 3.8 Overview of chapter This chapter has introduced a number of the key players who participate in the capital markets, as well as the core underlying ‘raison d’être’ of the capital markets (i.e. to join savers and borrows/entrepreneurs together). It has also touched on the role of analysts, who are employed by investment banks to determine whether or not an investment meets their objectives. 3.9 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain how information is used with the network of the capital markets • describe the role of key market participants who operate within the capital markets • identify the differences between a sell side analyst and a buy side analyst. 3.10 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. What are the key differences between an investment bank and a commercial bank? How could their activities complement each other and what dangers might exist for an organisation which is allowed to perform both roles with no limitations? 2. Explain how market participants contribute to market efficiency and conclude whether a market would ever be able to operate with a strong form of efficiency. 26 Chapter 4: Sell side and buy side analysts Chapter 4: Sell side and buy side analysts 4.1 Introduction In this chapter, we will explore in more detail the differences between sell side and buy side analysts. We will understand what role these analysts play in the market and learn how they go about their work, how important they are considered to be and the impact they can have on the capital markets. Due to the public nature of sell side analysts and the work they do, there is a lot of knowledge and literature available to understand how they operate and the benefits they bring. Buy side analysts, on the other hand, are much more private and having a competitive edge assists them in their main role within the market. As such, their role is much more opaque. 4.1.1 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain the aims of a sell side analyst, how they operate and what skills are needed • critique the role of a sell side analyst, including the importance of their role in the capital markets • demonstrate an understanding of and explain the role and responsibilities of a buy side analyst • describe the nature of the institutions in which buy side analysts work • compare and contrast the required roles of buy side analysts and sell side analysts. 4.1.2 Essential reading Laskin, A. Investor relations and financial communication: creating value through trust and understanding. (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley Blackwell, 2021) Extracts from Chapter 3. Barker, R., J. Hendry, J. Roberts and P. Sanderson ‘Can company-fund manager meetings convey informational benefits? Exploring the rationalisation of equity investment decision making by UK fund managers’, Accounting, Organisations and Society Journal 37(4) 2012, pp.207–222. 4.1.3 Further reading Groysberg, B. and P.M. Healy Wall Street research: past, present and future. (Stanford University Press, 2013) , Chapter 2. 4.1.4 References cited Brown, L.D., A.C. Call, M.B. Clement and N.Y. Sharp. ‘Inside the “black box” of sell side analysts’, Journal of Accounting Research, 53(1) 2015, pp.1–47. Kecskés, A., R. Michaely and K. Womack ‘Do earnings estimates add value to sell-side analysts’ investment recommendations?’, Management Science 63(6) 2017, pp.1855–1871. Jung ,M., Y. Lu and H. Wu ‘How does reputational capital affect professional behavior? Evidence from analysts who become all-stars’ (2019) www.bayes. city.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0003/479640/JLW_20190726.pdf Butters, J. ‘FactSet Earnings insight: 10 March 2023’, FactSet Research Systems Inc. https://advantage.factset.com/hubfs/Website/Resources%20Section/ Research%20Desk/Earnings%20Insight/EarningsInsight_031023.pdf 27 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Barclays Corporate and Investment Bank, www.cib.barclays/investmentbanking.html Schipper, K. ‘Analysts’ forecasts’, Accounting Horizons 5(4) 1991, pp.105–121. Groysberg, B. and P.M. Healy Wall Street research: past, present and future. (Stanford University Press, 2013). 4.2 The sell side analyst – purpose and role If we look at analysts as simply buy side vs sell side, it may be easy to think that buy side analysts ‘buy’ companies while sell side analysts ‘sell’ their ideas. Although this is true to some degree, it does not capture the full story. Both types of analyst look at the financial data available in order to come to a decision as to whether to buy, sell or hold a stock. So why are sell side analysts called sell side analysts? Although this terminology may have been introduced to differentiate them from buy side analysts, we may consider the sell side analyst as one who sells ‘ideas’. A sell side analyst researches companies and offers advice (their ideas and opinions) to investors seeking an opinion as to whether a stock is currently over- or undervalued. Many of the larger investment banks have a division dedicated to this role. Barclays, for example, have over 450 publishing analysts working in their corporate and investment bank arm, while JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley have many more. Although the sell side is dominated by larger investment banks, there are also many more specialised research houses, such as Bernstein, Autonomous and Liberum. Sell side analysts usually specialise in a particular industry. It is common for large investment banks to split their equity research departments into approximately 25–35 different sectors, with analysts working in teams of approximately 8–15 people for larger sectors, down to teams of 2 for smaller, more niche sectors. Each analyst is likely to cover (i.e. write research on) 6–15 stocks, depending on the size and complexity of the companies. Activity 4.1 Research the following companies online and find information about their sell side analysts. (Note: companies may not call them SSAs and may instead focus on the ‘equity research’ that they perform for clients.) • Credit Suisse • Bank of America • Edison Research Group • Alliance Bernstein LP Use your research to answer the following questions: 1. What type of research do the sell side analysts do? 2. How do they go about performing this research? The sell side exists because there is a demand from the buy side for these services. Asset management firms have thousands of potential investments and it would be difficult and costly for these firms to research all of these investments in-house. Consequently, a large part of this research is effectively outsourced to the sell side. 28 Chapter 4: Sell side and buy side analysts 4.3 The sell side analyst – the inputs Sell side analysts are widely acknowledged to be the primary users of financial information (Schipper, 1991). Let us explore what they attempt to achieve with this information and how they blend it with other information. In essence, analysts are industry experts, focused on one particular sector in most cases. They absorb information from management (e.g. earnings guidance) and elsewhere (e.g. from financial statements) to produce their recommendations and reports for investors (see Figure 4.1). Figure 4.1 Sources of information used by sell side analysts. The evidence used by sell side analysts comes from a wide variety of sources – financial, non-financial, qualitative, quantitative, historical and forecasted. Table 4.1 summarises data from a research paper about where analysts find ‘useful’ information. Note in particular the heavy reliance on their own industry knowledge. Analysts’ inputs Respondents who answered ‘very useful’ Average score (higher value means more useful) Your industry knowledge 79.35% 5.15 Private communication with management 64.96% 4.70 Earnings conference calls 61.96% 4.67 Management’s earning guidance 61.41% 4.65 Quality / reputation of management 46.45% 4.22 Recent earnings performance 41.30% 4.18 Recent 10-K or 10-Q 42.39% 4.16 Other analysts’ earnings forecasts 46.20% 3.96 Primary research 7.07% 2.16 Table 4.1: Sources of ‘useful’ data for analysts. (Source: Brown et al., 2015) Many analysts have a background or interest in specialised industries, sometimes through earlier career experiences. An analyst who knows the industry that they are attempting to research will have a much stronger basis for providing well-informed opinions to the markets. 29 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Table 4.1 also shows that various forms of interaction with company management are vital to the role of sell side analysts. In Chapter 5, we will look more closely at Investor Relations Officers (IROs), who are often the main conduit between the company and the analyst. From IROs, analysts are able to obtain updates about matters such as company earnings as well as responses to questions about financial data. Accounting information produced by companies themselves (e.g. the recent 10-K) appears towards the bottom of the list in Table 4.1. Although this suggests that such information is not as ‘useful’ as other sources, this likely reflects the foundational nature of financial statement information – it has always been available and analysts would struggle to perform their job without this publicly available financial data as a starting point. This will be explored in more detail in Chapters 7 and 8. An interesting aside from this research is that only 7.07% of analysts agreed that ‘primary research’ was ‘very useful’. It is important to note that this research was undertaken in 2015 and, since then, there has been a trend for investment banks to be more interested in ‘alternative information’ often derived from primary research. This is driven by demands from investors, who are looking to get an edge in a highly competitive market. Given this development, some investment banks are beginning to look towards more non-traditional sources of data which can be used to analyse and infer company performance and provide a better service to clients. Alternative data examples include using satellite imagery to observe customers entering a retail store, or analysing credit card spending data to predict company sales. Activity 4.2 Use the internet to research ‘UBS Evidence Lab’. Read articles and/or watch videos to see how this department of UBS is driving value through data analytics. 4.4 The sell side analysts – the outputs The ultimate output for a sell side analyst is their recommendation. This is always communicated in a research report and/or presentation, depending upon the audience. Investment banks use two widely accepted recommendation systems; Figure 4.2 explains the differences between these systems. Absolute rating system Relative rating system This system results in one of three recommendations: 2. sell A relative rating system allows an analyst to show which stocks the analyst most and least prefers for investment purposes. 3. hold. This system effectively ‘ranks’ stocks as: The analyst’s opinion usually follows pre-defined rules set by the research house for which they work. For example, if an analyst believes there is more than 15% upside based on current stock prices, this is automatically classified as a ‘buy’; anything with a downside of more than 10% is automatically considered as a ‘sell’; and anything in between is considered as a ‘hold’. 1. overweight – favourite stock 1. buy The main advantage of this system is its simplicity and unambiguous recommendations. Figure 4.2: Absolute and relative rating systems. 30 2. equal weight 3.underweight – least favourite stock. The difficulty with this system is that even an underweight stock may be considered good – but not as good as an overweight recommendation. Chapter 4: Sell side and buy side analysts Ultimately, the method used depends on the research house’s or investment bank’s business preference. 4.5 The sell side analyst – a day in the life An analyst’s work is likely to differ from day to day and from organisation to organisation. However, Groysberg and Healy (2013, p21) described a ‘typical’ day for a sell side analyst. Activity 4.3 Chapter 2 of Groysberg and Healy (2013) is available on the VLE. Read the section ‘The Work of an Analyst’ and consider the following questions: 1. What skills would an analyst need during the morning meeting? 2. What feedback do you think an analyst would receive from their reports? 3. What is Bloomberg chat messages? Why do analysts not use email? 4.6 Do investors listen to sell side analysts? An important question to explore is whether investors listen to sell side analysts. The evidence is mixed. Here we shall examine two issues: first, the importance of the analyst’s reputation as captured by their ‘all-star’ status; and second, a study of the market’s reaction to recommendations. 4.6.1 Analyst credibility – ‘all-star’ rankings Institutional Investor – a leading publisher of journals, newsletters and research – publishes an annual survey to identify those analysts who are highly regarded by the market in each sector. Nearly 1,000 investment professionals from the industry vote for their favourite sell side analysts and those analysts who perform well are referred to as ‘all-star’ analysts. Do these analysts perform better than non-all-star analysts? Research suggests that ‘increased reputational capital emboldens professionals to take bolder actions to exert their market influence’ (Jung et al., 2019). In other words, if people hold an analyst’s work in high regard, they are more likely to listen and react to what that analyst says. 4.6.2 Consistency of message alongside recommendation Figure 4.3 comes from a research paper by Kecskés et al., 2017. This research was conducted to assess the impact an analyst can have on a stock when they issue a stock recommendation opinion. The paper measures what is referred to as the ‘excess return’ generated by the stock on the day the opinion was published (day 0 on the x-axis) and on subsequent days. Excess return represents the differences between the performance of the stock and the performance of the market over a common period. So, for example, if an analyst issues a recommendation of a buy we might expect that stock to perform better than the market. If the stock went up 4% but the market only went up 1%, the excess return would be 3%. 31 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 8 6 3.64% 4 Excess returns (%) Upgrades with earnings estimate increases (line 1 = top) 5.26% Upgrades with no earnings estimate revisions (line 2) 2.82% 2 2.21% Upgrades with earnings estimate decreases (line 3) 0 -2 Downgrades with earnings estimate increases (line 4) -1.77% Downgrades with no earnings estimate revisions (line 5) -2.45% -4 Downgrades with earnings estimate decreases (line 6 = bottom) -5.06% -6 -6.10% +126 +105 +84 +63 +42 +21 +15 +10 +5 0 -1 -8 Days relative to recommendation change Figure 4.3: Excess returns on stock in response to analyst recommendations. (Source: Kecskés et al., 2017) From the two most extreme lines, we can see that the market appears to react decisively when an analyst makes either an upgrade or a downgrade, as long as it is consistent with a matching upgrade or downgrade to their earnings estimate. However, when analysts upgrade their stock recommendation while downgrading their earnings estimate (or vice versa), the market appears indifferent to this news: there are much smaller ‘excess returns’ and the stock often continues to track the market, with no significant reaction from investors. From this, we can conclude that investors do listen to sell side analysts as long as their messages are consistent and credible. 4.7 Conflicts of interest for sell side analysts Many professional roles in finance experience ethical behavioural issues and conflicts of interest, and the role of the sell side analyst is no exception. The extracts below, taken from interviews with a company executive, an analyst and an IRO, indicate that an analyst’s role is complex and there are significant threats to their independence. ‘If someone has written something that is wrong and I’m feeling particularly vindictive when it comes to year end, I don’t take their question until last… …it’s in my gift to humiliate them in front of their peers.’ (anonymous corporate executive) I’ve been threatened with being sued. I’ve had companies phoning up a chairman of my biggest banks. I [need to be] absolutely confident that I’ve made the right call. (anonymous analyst) ‘So of course you want to control the narrative. You’ve got to be on the front foot with that, because if somebody gets there first, it takes on a life of its own. So that’s why dialogue with analysts and the buy side guys is so important, because that’s where the external narrative starts. You need to influence that quite early.’ (anonymous IRO) 32 Chapter 4: Sell side and buy side analysts For an illustration of the mixture of buy/hold/sell recommendations for S&P 500 companies and relevant sectors in 2021, view S&P 500: Percentage of Buy, Hold, and Sell Ratings’ on p.31 of Butters, J., FactSet Earnings insight, 10 March 2023. Activity 4.4 When making recommendations to the markets, analysts are acutely aware that they are publicly sharing their personal (if indirect) view about the stewardship and direction of a company. Likewise, corporate executives know that almost everything they publicly say will be scrutinised by analysts, who will interpret the information to support their own opinions. If analysts are remunerated based on the quality of their research, yet need access to management to obtain supporting evidence, what conflicts of interest do you think could exist which might mean the analyst’s report lacks objectivity? Draw on the brief interview evidence and the distribution of stock recommendations provided above. 4.8 Changes in legislation affecting sell side analysts In January 2018, new European legislation came into force: the ‘Markets in Financial Instruments Directive’, known commonly as MiFID II. This legislation aimed to offer greater protection to investors while attempting to improve the functioning of the capital markets. With over 30,000 pages of rules which govern trading in European markets, MiFID II represents one of the biggest changes to the investment industry in decades and requires immaculate compliance. It governs sell side analysts, all market participants who operate within the European markets and also high-speed digital trading. One area which has had a particularly large impact on sell side analysts relates to the settlement of analysts’ fees. Historically, there was little formal payment by investors for the research conducted by a sell side analyst. Instead, if investors appreciated an analyst’s work, they would simply allocate trades to the analyst’s firm – meaning the analyst’s firm would receive commission fees on the transactions instead. This meant that, although investors were paying hundreds of millions of dollars in fees, it was difficult to determine how much of that fee related to trading, and how much related to the advice and research which had previously been offered. Since MiFID II however, sell side analysts have been expected to issue a ‘pricing menu’ of services they offer, in an attempt to ensure transactions and services are as transparent as possible. Although this may seem to be a positive move for an opaque industry, it does lead to issues for sell side analysts. Previously, investment and fund managers were happy to meet with analysts in order to hear their views and recommendations, knowing that if the meeting yielded no benefits, it would cost them nothing. Now, however, these fund managers need to think carefully about whether a call, meeting or presentation with a sell side analyst will be worthwhile once there is an explicit cost for that interaction. As such, there is the risk that fund managers may bypass sell side analysts altogether, instead obtaining their own information from IROs (effectively for free). Alternatively, if they still wish to use a sell side analyst, they may attempt to negotiate much lower fees. 33 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 4.5 Read the following sections from Chapter 3 of Laskin, 2021: • Institutional investors • Traders • Portfolio builders • Sell-side 1. Why do you feel sell side analysts are so important for the capital markets to operate? 2. Could the capital markets operate without sell side analysts? 4.9 Buy side analysts and fund managers In Chapter 3, we considered different market participants, including investment banks and (briefly) pension funds and hedge funds. These latter parties invest on behalf of a range of clients, in opportunities that will obtain the desired type of return. Fund managers specifically take responsibility for where to invest. Buy side analysts are tasked with filtering the various investment ideas in the market, including those from sell side analysts, and recommending the most fruitful ones for their manager (the individual responsible for managing the fund or portfolio – i.e. the ‘fund manager’ or ‘portfolio manager’). Therefore buy side analysts work closely with the sell side and are the key link between analysts and asset managers. Buy side analysts are also expected to generate ideas of their own. Consequently, they may perform similar tasks and activities to sell side analysts. One important practical issue is the number of stocks monitored by buy side analysts and fund managers in investment firms. These small teams may cover 100–150 stocks, which may make it difficult for them to remain up to date. By utilising the sell side, who cover a much smaller number of stocks, the buy side can monitor this high volume of stocks without incurring a large in-house cost (see Figure 4.4). Stock Stock Stock Stock Sell Side Analyst Stock Stock Stock Stock Sell Side Analyst Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Sell Side Analyst Stock Stock Stock Stock Sell Side Analyst Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Stock Sell Side Analyst Buy Side Analyst Buy Side Analyst Stock Sell Side Analyst Sell Side Analyst Sell Side Analyst Fund manger Portfolio management of 100-150 stock Buy Side Analyst Sell Side Analyst Buy Side Analyst Buy Side Analyst Sell Side Analyst Sell Side Analyst Sell Side Analyst Figure 4.4: Monitoring of stocks by fund managers and analysts. 34 Chapter 4: Sell side and buy side analysts Activity 4.6 Read the following sections of Barker, R., J. Hendry, J. Roberts and P. Sanderson ‘Can company-fund manager meetings convey informational benefits? Exploring the rationalisation of equity investment decision making by UK fund managers’, Accounting, Organisations and Society Journal 37(4) 2012 pp.207–222. • Abstract • Introduction • Evidence of the apparent paradox • Can non-price sensitive information be useful to fund managers? • Do fund managers interpret ‘useful information’ rationally? Then answer the following questions: 1. What do you think buy side analysts would consider to be the most important factors for success? 2. How do buy side analysts communicate with company management compared with sell side analysts? 3. Why do you think buy side analysts may wish to hold meetings with management? 4.10 Overview of chapter This chapter has explored the role that analysts play in the market, differentiating between the sell side and the buy side. The chapter has clarified how the two roles differ and what their objectives are, while also providing insight into their day-to-day roles and how market participants view their importance. 4.11 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain the aims of a sell side analyst, how they operate and what skills are needed • critique the role of a self side analyst, including the importance of their role in the capital markets • demonstrate an understanding of and explain the role and responsibilities of a buy side analyst • describe the nature of the institutions in which buy side analysts work • compare and contrast the required roles of buy side analysts and sell side analysts. 4.12 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. How may equity fund managers benefit from meetings with company management? 2. Explain how research supports the contention that the analytical work and recommendations of analysts do influence the market. 3. MiFID II is a significant regulatory change impacting the buy side and the sell side. Describe the key changes emerging from the regulation that are relevant to analysts (buy side and sell side) and comment on whether you think these changes will improve the quality of research in the market. 35 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Notes 36 Chapter 5: Information dissemination Chapter 5: Information dissemination 5.1 Introduction In Chapter 2, we discussed the importance of information in aiding the capital markets to function appropriately. Chapters 3 and 4 explored the users of this financial information and the reasons why these market participants need the information. In this chapter, we will look at the mechanics of how information is communicated from within a company to those outside the company. This will include the formalisation of financial information and also some of the more functional processes which allow companies to ensure the market is aware of their financial performance. 5.1.1 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • describe the importance of, and the role of, an Investor Relations Officer (IRO) and how their success can be measured • explain how the role has changed over time and the reasons behind these changes • describe the importance of the regulatory framework within the investor relations profession and briefly discuss what is involved. 5.1.2 Essential reading Laskin, A. Investor relations and financial communication: creating value through trust and understanding. (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley Blackwell, 2021) Extracts from Chapters 2, 4, 5 and 6. 5.1.3 Further reading Laskin, A. ‘Investor relations practices at Fortune-500 companies: an exploratory study’, Public Relations Review 32(1) 2006, pp.69–70. 5.1.4 References cited IFRS Foundation, IFRS Standards Required 1 January 2021. (IASB, 2021) [ISBN 9781911629832]. IFRS Foundation, Conceptual framework for financial reporting. (IASB, 2018) https://www.ifrs.org/issued-standards/list-of-standards/conceptualframework/ International Integrated Reporting Council (IIRC), International Integrated Reporting Framework. (December 2013) www.integratedreporting.org/ wp-content/uploads/2013/12/13-12-08-THE-INTERNATIONAL-IRFRAMEWORK-2-1.pdf G20/OECD, Principles of Corporate Governance. (2015) www.oecd-ilibrary. org/governance/g20-oecd-principles-of-corporate-governance2015_9789264236882-en Financial Reporting Council, The UK Corporate Governance Code. (July 2018) www.frc.org.uk/getattachment/88bd8c45-50ea-4841-95b0d2f4f48069a2/2018-UK-Corporate-Governance-Code-FINAL.pdf National Investor Relations Institute, https://www.niri.org/about-niri Brown, L.D., A.C. Call, M.B. Clement and N.Y. Sharp ‘Managing the narrative: Investor relations officers and corporate disclosure’, Journal of Accounting and Economics 67(1) 2019 pp.58–79. 37 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 5.2 Regulatory financial information From your earlier studies, you should be familiar with the nature of regulatory financial information. That is to say, you know that companies are often required by legislation to prepare financial statements. Although different jurisdictions might use different language or have different requirements (for example, small companies may be exempt from reporting certain information), it is generally accepted that companies should provide shareholders with information about the following: Assets A present economic resource controlled by the entity as a result of past events. An economic resource is a right that has the potential to produce economic benefits. Liabilities A present obligation of the entity to transfer an economic resource as a result of past events. Equity The residual interest in the assets of the entity after deducting the liabilities. Income Increases in assets, or decreases in liabilities, that result in increase in equity, other than those relating to contributions from holders of equity claims. Expenses Decreases in assets, or increases in liabilities, that result in decrease in equity, other than those relating to distributions to holders of equity claims. Table 5.1: Types of information that companies should provide to shareholders. (Source: adapted from IASB, 2018) The aim of this is to ensure that financial information is useful to those who need it. Most jurisdictions require companies to provide the following, as a minimum: Balance sheet (statement of financial position) Including assets, liabilities and equity Income statement (statement of profit or loss) Including income and expenditure Cash flow statement (statement of cash flow) Reconciliation of how the cash balance has changed from previous year Statement of shareholders’ equity Reconciliation as to how equity has changed (statement of changes in equity) from the previous year Notes Extra details, both quantitative and qualitative, regarding the above statements Table 5.2: Key financial information required by most jurisdictions. These statements should be familiar to you; whether you are looking at companies who follow USGAAP, IFRS or any other localised GAAP, similar documents are always produced. In Chapter 6, we will look at using this quantitative financial information to understand the performance and position of the companies via accounting ratio analysis. Activity 5.1 Research three companies which follow different accounting standards and examine the similarities and differences between their financial statements. For example, you could research: 38 Chapter 5: Information dissemination • Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (US GAAP) – www.take2games.com/ir/sec-filings • Gaming Realms plc (UK GAAP) – www.gamingrealms.com/wp-content/uploads/ Gaming_Realms_AR_2021-FINAL.pdf • Capcom (Japanese GAAP) – www.capcom.co.jp/ir/english/data/annual.html Activity 5.2 Read the following sections from Chapter 4 of Laskin (2021): 1. Communicating financial information • Income statement • Balance sheet • Cash flow statement • Statement of stockholders’ equity 2. GAAP and Non-GAAP financial disclosure (Note: The section regarding financial analysis will be covered in Chapter 6 of this guide.) 3. Why do you think the cash flow statement is required for investors when the income statement is also produced? 4. If you were planning to invest in a company, which part of the financial statements would you consider to be the most important and why? 5.3 Non-financial information Alongside the regulatory financial information, many jurisdictions also require companies to provide further information about more than just finances. In the US, under SEC requirements, companies are expected to provide information covering 16 different ‘items’ with a number of subsections (see Figure 5.1). The financial statements (in their core form) are presented in Item 8 and although other sections may include financial information, they are often used to add commentary to key elements (e.g. Item 7) or about aspects of the business which are not related to historical financial performance at all (e.g. Item 1A). Part I Item 1 Business Item 1A Risk Factors Item 1B Unresolved Staff Comments Item 2 Properties Item 3 Legal Proceedings Item 4 Mine Safety Disclosures Part II Item 5 Market for Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities Item 6 [Reserved] Item 7 Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Item 7A Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk Item 8 Financial Statements and Supplementary Data Item 9 Changes in and Disagreements with Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure Item 9A Controls and Procedures 39 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Item 9B Other Information Item 9C Disclosure Regarding Foreign Jurisdictions that Prevent Inspections Part III Item 10 Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance Item ii Executive Compensation Item 12 Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related Stockholder Matters Item 13 Certain Relationships and Related Transactions and Director Independence Item 14 Principal Accountant Fees and Services Part IV Item 15 Exhibit and Financial Statement Schedules Item 16 Form 10-K Summary Figure 5.1: Required information under SEC requirements in the US. In 2013, the Integrated Reporting Council (now part of the IFRS foundation) released its first version of a framework to establish principles and concepts to govern an overall ‘integrated report’. Although not replacing traditional reporting (such as the financial statements), this framework encourages the collation and presentation of key factors which drive business value. The hope is that companies will be able to show how key resources and relationships interact with the external environment and how this adds value. The IRC model was built around eight components: • Organisation overview • Governance structure • Business model • Risks and opportunities • Strategy and resource allocation • Performance • Outlook • The basis of presentation. Activity 5.3 Read the following article about the foundation of Integrated Reporting from the Association of Certified Chartered Accounts website: www.accaglobal.com/pk/en/student/ exam-support-resources/professional-exams-study-resources/strategic-business-leader/ technical-articles/the-integrated-report-framework.html#Principle-based-framework Activity 5.4 Read Chapter 5 from Laskin (2021). (Note: Do not read the section regarding financial analysis as this will be covered in Chapter 6 of this guide.) 1. How do you think information regarding the nine categories defined by PwC as ‘extra-financial information’ would help analysts to perform their work more accurately? 2. Is there any other information you think should be included in a company’s 10-K form as required by the SEC? 40 Chapter 5: Information dissemination 5.4 Meetings with management Although the financial statements are well understood by market participants and the supply of non-financial information assists with understanding of these statements, it should be noted that this is one-way communication – i.e. the company informing stakeholders by communicating financial and related information. In itself, such information does not allow market participants to engage with the company to ask questions. The OECD Principles of Corporate Governance (a benchmark used by the G20 countries) state: ‘Channels for disseminating information should provide for equal, timely and cost-efficient access to relevant information by users.’ The UK corporate governance code (2018) suggests: ‘In order for the company to meet its responsibilities to shareholders and stakeholders, the board should ensure effective engagement with, and encourage participation from, these parties.’ In practice, many listed companies couple the release of any financial information with an announcement and a webinar/conference call. At this time, management are able to present and discuss their report with more freedom than would be allowed by a regulated proforma, while participants on the call are able to ask questions which aid their own understanding of the company. Activity 5.5 Spend some time looking at a listed company’s investor page to review a quarterly announcement. See if you can find the presentation that came with this announcement. Some companies record their meetings so that they can be made public at a later date. For example, Colgate-Palmolive filed a regulatory 10-Q form (US quarterly report) with the SEC on 28 October 2022: www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/ data/21665/000002166522000027/cl-20220930.htm On 28 October 2022, the company held a Quarterly earnings presentation and review, where analysts were invited to join and ask questions about the company’s latest performance. The presentation is available here: https://investor.colgatepalmolive.com/static-files/840770a1-2151-46b0-87ab33868dad40a8 You can listen here, if you enter your details and state that you are a student: https://event.choruscall.com/mediaframe/webcast.html?webcastid=GYFzWP77 Answer the following questions: 1. How does the presentation compare with the formality of the 10-Q? 2. What extra information is provided by management in the presentation? 3. What types of questions do the analysts ask? 4. Do you feel the analysts would have sufficient information from the reported 10-Q alone? 5.5 Investor relations In a world where communication possibilities come with ease, speed and volume, it is increasingly important for companies to think carefully about how they control the messages being received and acted upon by different market participants. For this reason, many listed firms invest in what is termed ‘investor relations. 41 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations ‘Investor relations is a strategic management responsibility that integrates finance, communication, marketing and securities law compliance to enable the most effective two-way communication between a company, the financial community, and other constituencies, which ultimately contributes to a company’s securities achieving fair valuation.’ (National Investor Relations Institute) The above definition from the NIRI provides a telling insight into what companies try to accomplish by managing their relationship with investors. A ‘strategic management responsibility’ suggests that investor relations is something which is ‘planned’ and ‘controlled’ in the long term, and not merely reactionary to crisis or fads. The fact that it integrates finance, marketing and compliance suggests that, to be successful, an investor relations officer will require a variety of skillsets. The definition of investor relations also points out that the intention is not to inflate the share price or the view of the company, but to contribute to a ‘fair valuation’. This suggests that the primary goal of investor relations is to act with honesty and openness. The concept of investor relations has evolved over the years, particularly as a result of the digital age. Figure 5.2 illustrates this evolution, from simple ‘public relations’ performed by a PR expert, through finance experts delivering key financial updates, to the complex multi-skilled process that exists today. 1945–1975 The Communication Era 1945–1975 The Communication Era 2005– The Synergy Era Publicity and public information offered as promotional activities and to meet disclosure requirements. Information sharing was often one way, with the ultimate aim of bringing benefit to the organisation. Information was often delivered by a communications technician with a background in communication and journalism. Two-way communication began but was still mainly driven by the corporation wanting to deliver messages. The main purpose during this era was to promote the business and thus increase its valuation. Information often originated from the finance and accountancy teams and so was often delivered by an accounting technician. Two-way communication evolved, placing as much emphasis on what investors wanted to hear and ask as on what the company wanted to say. The primary aim was to ensure investors saw the company in a fair way; as such, this communication was beneficial to both the corporation and to investors. Many firms created stand-alone IR departments and recruited employees with varied backgrounds, often having dual degrees. Figure 5.2: The evolution of investor relations. (Source: adapted from Laskin, 2021) 42 Chapter 5: Information dissemination 5.6 The Investor Relations Officer A modern investment relations department requires employees with multiple skills. Not only must they be aware of regulatory requirements which govern the firm (and themselves – see section 5.7 below), they also need to understand their impacts on the capital markets and other stakeholders of importance to the business. An investor relations officer (IRO) may be seen as a conduit allowing twoway communication between the corporation and stakeholders such as: • analysts • investors • customers • senior members of the organisation, such as the Chief Financial Officer, the Chief Executive Officer and the company president. It is helpful to understand the important skills required for the role as well as how IROs prioritise their work. Activity 5.6 Read the following sections from Laskin (2021): • Investor Relations Officers • Ethics and professionalism Brown et al. (2019), in their article ‘Managing the narrative: Investor relations officers and corporate disclosure’, give some crucial insight into the role of an IRO – particularly in Tables 2, 7 and 8. Activity 5.7 Review Tables 2, 7 and 8 in Brown et al. (2019). This article is available in the Online Library. 1. How important do you feel two-way communication methods are for IROs? 2. Why do you think ‘preparation’ is a key factor in assessment of an IRO’s job performance by their superiors? 3. Why do you think IROs rank meetings with hedge funds as less acceptable (i.e. less likely to be granted private access) than other analysts? 5.7 Regulations Investor Relations Officers are in a powerful position to influence the markets. By offering information in a timely fashion, withholding information, offering clarity or creating opaqueness, they can affect how investors see a firm – and determine whether they see its true value at an appropriate time. Prior to the year 2000, it was possible for different investors to obtain and access different information at different times from companies, depending on who they were and who they had access to. In October 2000, the SEC adopted a new rule: Regulation Fair Disclosure (or RegFD for short). The main aim of Reg FD was to ensure that, when information is produced for the purpose of investment, all shareholders are treated equally. Within the EU, the Market Abuse Directive (MAD) was issued, with EU members expected to implement local legislation which followed the directive (this has since been replaced with the EU Market Abuse Regulation). The directive’s aim was similar to that of RegFD. 43 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Before the introduction of such legislation, it was possible for corporations to provide information to closely connected investment institutions and financial analysts, allowing these parties to ‘beat the market’ and obtain higher returns on their investments. This led many IROs to look at how information can be disseminated electronically. Originally, such information was released via SEC filings (in the US at least). Today, it is accepted that IROs may make use of the company website to release information directed at investors, as long as this pattern has been established. The adoption of Reg FD also meant that many IROs needed to ensure CEOs were trained in what information was public and what was not. Meetings between corporate management and investors/analysts needed to be controlled very carefully; in fact, there are many documented cases where IROs and CEOs have simply not answered a question (or have checked the regulations before answering), to ensure they are not guilty of breaching Reg FD. Over the years, analysts have come to understand that obtaining sensitive information before the markets is unlikely and, indeed, that they should actively avoid seeking such information. Meetings between IROs and investors/analysts have therefore become much more about ‘clarifying’ information that is already in the public domain, rather than sharing new information. Activity 5.8 Read the following sections from Chapter 6 of Laskin (2021): • Legal and regulatory environment of investor relations and financial communication • Regulation FD How do you think this regulation may need to change in the future? 5.8 Overview of chapter This chapter has discussed the type of information which is required to be disclosed by corporations from both a financial and non-financial view. The chapter has explored the methodologies required by legislation for disclosure of information, while also illustrating other methods utilised by corporations. The chapter then explored the importance of the Investor Relations Officer in communicating information from the corporation. It also considered the interactions of IROs with the capital markets. Finally, the chapter explored the issues prior to the year 2000 which might have allowed certain participants in the capital markets to obtain information earlier than others and the regulations brought in to prevent this. 5.9 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: 44 • describe the importance of, and the role of, an Investor Relations Officer (IRO) and how their success can be measured • explain how the role has changed over time and the reasons behind these changes • describe the importance of the regulatory framework within the investor relations profession and briefly discuss what is involved. Chapter 5: Information dissemination 5.10 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. Two-way communication between the capital market investors and corporations is aided by the investor relations officer. Explain how this role has evolved over time and justify the skillset required by a modern IRO. 2. Explain why Regulation Fair Disclosure was required and discuss some of the complications this legislation has created in disseminating information to the markets. 45 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Notes 46 Chapter 6: Key accounting ratios and measures for the capital markets Chapter 6: Key accounting ratios and measures for the capital markets 6.1 Introduction In order to assess an organisation’s potential, an analyst must understand the company strategy, assess whether that strategy is achievable and identify the risks if assumptions change. As such, it should be possible to read financial statements in the context of a company’s stated strategy and goals and see how those goals are reflected in both financial performance and stability. The most well-established methodology for analysing financial statements is to use ratios. Importantly, ratio calculations means very little in themselves. It is only by comparing such analytical measures to history or to (say) industry peers or averages that we can begin to draw some interesting insights. This material may be familiar to you from earlier studies. However there are certain elements specific to capital market participants that you may not have encountered before; they will form the most important part of the chapter. 6.1.1 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain key metrics which are used to analyse company performance and the importance of analysing operations • calculate key metrics from company to company which will allow for comparison of performance • analyse how a company’s strategy and market position are reflected within the financial metrics. 6.1.2 Essential reading Palepu, K., P. Healy and E. Peek Business analysis and valuation. (Cengage Learning EMEA, 2022) 6th edition. Extracts from Chapter 5. 6.1.3 Further reading Lee, K. and D. Taylor Financial statement analysis under IFRS. (Financial Edge Training, 2018) 6th edition. Chapter 6. 6.1.4 References cited Sainsbury’s plc Annual Report 2022, www.about.sainsburys.co.uk/investors/ results-reports-and-presentations Tesco plc Annual Report 2022, www.tescoplc.com/investors/reports-resultsand-presentations/annual-report-2022/ Best Buy Co. Inc, Form 10-K, 2021, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/ data/764478/000076447821000024/bby-20210130x10k.htm Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd, Year-End Report, June 2021, http://clients. weblink.com.au/news/pdf/02415189.pdf 47 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 6.2 The foundations of ratio analysis Ratio analysis involves comparing one number from the financial statements with another, with the aim that the resulting figure will give some crucial insight into performance, position, stability or liquidity of a company. As stated above, looking at such a relationship for just one company, or for one period in isolation, gives very little insight. Only when the relationships are analysed with respect to previous accounting periods, other similar firms across the industry or against an expected/required benchmark, do ratios show their true value. You should be aware that there are no regulations, standards or rules which define ‘ratios’; any relationship which gives insight into a set of financial statements can be useful for a user of accounts. That said, there are some common metrics which are used when attempting to understand a company’s performance within common categories. Note: when performing ratio analysis, you must take care to use financial information that is robust and reliable. Scepticism about financial statements is explored more in Chapters 9 and 10 of this course. 6.2.1 Profitability, performance and growth When analysing financial statements, you are likely to encounter the following key metrics. Return on Equity (ROE) ROE = Using accounting measures, this relationship gives an indication of how much return is being generated for shareholders compared to the finance which equity investors have invested in the company. profit after tax shareholders ′ equity It is useful to compare this from year to year to see if a company is using equity finance wisely and offering growth. Alternatively, this value can be compared with other companies to indicate whether the first company offers better returns than competition within the same industry. Lorem ipsum Investors can also look at this metric to see if it meets their own minimum requirement when compared to the risk taken on investing in such a company. Return on Equity can be decomposed into further ratios, which can give greater insight into what drives the company’s ROE. One such method is the Dupont decomposition. Return on Equity = Net profit margin × Asset turnover × Asset to equity Profit after tax Shareholders’ equity = profit after tax sales × sales total assets × total assets shareholders’ equity Note that the rules of multiplication mean that the sales cancel each other out in the first two terms, and the total assets cancel out in the last two terms, leaving the original calculation: ‘Profit after tax/Shareholders’ equity’. Net profit margin: The net profit margin indicates, for every $1 of sales made, how much is left as profit once all costs have been incurred (including profit after tax interest and tax expenses). sales The higher this percentage, the more a company appears to be able to control costs compared to the premium charged on sales. 48 Chapter 6: Key accounting ratios and measures for the capital markets Asset turnover: sales total assets Asset to Equity: The asset turnover gives an indication of the success a company can have in utilising its assets to generate sales. The higher the number, the more sales the company is able to generate from every $1 invested in assets. This ratio gives a little insight into the source of finance being used to fund a company’s operations. total assets shareholders’ equity A company’s assets must be funded from a combination of debt and equity finance. Therefore, the higher this number is, the more debt finance a company must be using to fund its assets, and hence its operations. Conversely, the closer this number is to 1, the more equity finance is being used instead. Worked example 6.1 Consider the following two companies and their respective data. Noble Inc. Gentry GmBH Sales $30.0m $35.0m Profit after tax $1.2m $2.5m Total assets $10.0m $29.2m Shareholders’ equity $8.3m $17.2m Other finance $1.7m $12.0m $10.0m $29.2m Using this data, we can see that the return on equity appears similar for both companies: ROE Noble Inc. Gentry GmBH $1.2 = 14.4% $8.3 $2.5 = 14.5% $17.2 But upon further decomposition, we can see that the companies are achieving this in different ways. Noble Inc. Gentry GmBH Profit margin 4.0% 7.0% × Asset turnover 3.0 times 1.2 times × Asset to equity 1.2 times 1.7 times = ROE 14.4% 14.5% These calculations show that the main driver of Noble Inc’s ROE is high asset turnover. As such, Noble Inc is able to generate higher than normal revenue from their assets. In other words, the company uses its assets more effectively to generate revenue. This can be interpreted as a measure of efficiency. Gentry GmBH on the other hand, generates revenue less effectively; it achieves a 14.5% ROE by focusing on cost control, as evidenced by the higher profit margin. Also assisting the ROE is the fact that Gentry GmBH utilises more debt to generate performance. This debt appears to be serviceable as evidenced by the higher profit margin. 49 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 6.2.2 Efficiency of utilising resources Asset management is a key indicator of a firm’s effectiveness in utilising the resources which have been made available to it. We touched on this type of analysis above, when looking at the turnover of total assets in the ROE decomposition. The focus of this analysis is not necessarily on profit, but instead on the effectiveness with which management use resources. This can be assessed by looking at working capital (i.e. current assets less current liabilities) as well as non-current assets. Net working capital to sales: net working capital revenue Net working capital turnover: revenue net working capital Days receivable: This ratio allows users of accounts to see how many cents need to be invested in working capital per $ of revenue generated. The lower this ratio, the more effectively a company is utilising its short term resources. Conversely, net working capital turnover tells us how many $ of revenue are generated for every $ invested into working capital. This tells us the same information but from a different angle. Here, a higher number suggests that a company is better at utilising its short term resources. This ratio gives an indication of how successful a company is at collecting cash after the point of sale. accounts receivable × 365 days This figure represents the average time taken for the revenue company to collect debt. The shorter this time period is, the quicker a company is at realising cash after a sale. Days payable: accounts payable × 365 days cost of sales Inventory days: inventory × 365 days cost of sales 50 Similar to days receivable, this ratio indicates how long an organisation takes, on average, to pay its suppliers. It could be argued that the longer this ratio is, the more effectively a company is managing its working capital. This is because, the longer this period is, the longer finance is retained inside the business before being used to settle a liability. This ratio gives an indication of how long a firm takes to sell an ‘average’ item of inventory. Shorter numbers indicate that a firm is effectively turning over inventory more quickly and is therefore being more efficient with its resources. Chapter 6: Key accounting ratios and measures for the capital markets Worked example 6.2 Look at these extracts from a company’s financial statements: £’000 £’000 Revenue 3,200 Trade receivables 260 Cost of sales 1,900 Inventory 180 Gross profit 1,300 Trade payables 235 Receivable days = 260 365 = 29.7 days 3200 Inventory days = 180 365 = 34.6 days 1900 Payable days = 235 365 = 45.1 days 1900 This company takes approximately 34.6 days to sell inventory, and then 29.7 days to receive cash from customers. Therefore, in total, it takes 64.3 days for the company to turn an average purchase of inventory into cash received. In comparison, the company is paying for those supplies after an average of 45.1 days. This suggests that the company needs to finance 19.2 days worth of operations from its own sources of finance. This is known as the ‘cash conversion cycle’ (sometimes referred to as the working capital cycle). Cash conversion cycle = Receivable days + Inventory days – Payable days 6.2.3 Liquidity ratios Liquidity ratios allow users to understand the financial stability of an organisation, by considering whether the organisation is able to meet its current obligations with the resources which are available to it. The higher the ratio, the more likely it is that an organisation can continue to trade comfortably. Current ratio: current assets current liabilities This ratio simply looks at assets which are likely to be realised into cash within the next twelve months (i.e. utilised to meet forthcoming obligations). A value greater than 1 suggests that the company should be able to meet obligations as long as its current assets can be realised. Quick ratio: This ratio is very similar to the current ratio. However, it looks at whether the organisation can meet its current obligations current assets – inventory without the need to sell inventory (since inventory is current liabilities considered to be the least liquid of current assets). Again, a value greater than 1 suggests a more financially stable organisation. Cash ratio: This takes the previous ratios one step further and assesses whether an organisation is able to meet its current cash and cash equivalent obligations from cash reserves. This removes the need to current liabilities realise cash from other current assets. Once again, a value of 1 can act as a benchmark for a company which is more financially stable. 51 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 6.2.4 Long term solvency Beyond short term survival, it is important for many market participants to understand whether a firm is likely to survive in the long term. One way to assess this risk is to consider the sources of long-term finance that an organisation uses/relies upon and assess whether the obligations which come with this can be met by the organisation. Debt to Equity ratio: total debt shareholders’ equity Debt to Capital ratio total debt total debt + shareholders’ equity These two ratios, although different, offer the same analysis. They reflect the reliance upon debt compared to equity sources of finance. Since sources of debt finance carry the obligation to meet finance payments, higher values may indicate a company which is at greater risk of being unable to meet these payments. Interest cover (earnings method): When coupled with the ratios above, these interest cover ratios give further operating profit insight into whether a company is finance expense generating sufficient income from its performance to meet financial Interest cover (cash flow method): obligations. As this number approaches 1, an organisation is at greater risk of cash flow from operations (before interest) defaulting on required payments. interest paid Activity 6.1 Read the following sections from Palepu et al. (2022): • Introduction • Ratio analysis • Measuring overall profitability • Decomposing profitability: Traditional approach • Evaluating investment management: Decomposing asset turnover • Evaluating financial management: Financial leverage 6.3 Isolating operational analysis In finance, we generally like to separate operating analysis from the analysis of capital structure (i.e. the chosen mix of debt and equity). This is because the two analyses are very different in nature. For example, assessing an airline’s operations entails looking at issues such as airport hubs, fleet management and pricing mix. In contrast, exploring capital structure ignores these issues and looks at the profile of cashflows available to service different levels of debt. Therefore, in the capital markets, users often want to isolate operating analysis and deal with capital structure issues separately. To illustrate this idea further, let us consider the two UK-based supermarkets Tesco plc and Sainsbury’s plc. Figure 6.1 shows the income statements of the two companies from 2021. 52 Chapter 6: Key accounting ratios and measures for the capital markets Tesco plc Sainsbury’s plc Continuing operations Revenue 61,344 29,895 Cost of sales (56,750) (27,529) Impairment reversal on financial assets 39 Gross profit/(loss) 4,633 2,366 Administrative expenses (2,073) (1,430) Other income 220 Operating profit/(loss) 2,560 Share of post-tax profits of joint ventures and associates 15 1,156 Finance income 9 20 Finance costs (551) (322) Profit/(loss) before tax 2,033 854 Taxation (510) (177) Profit/(loss) for the year from continuing operations 1,523 Discontinued operations Profit/(loss) for the year from discontinued operations (40) Profit/(loss) for the year 1,483 677 Figure 6.1: Financial statements of Tesco plc and Sainsburys plc. (Source: data from Tesco plc and Sainsbury’s plc 2022 annual reports) We can see that, although these companies would both be considered as ‘grocery stores’, they generate earnings in slightly different ways. Sainsbury’s plc generates £220m of ‘other income’, which represents 25.8% of the pre-tax profit. Tesco does not have an equivalent line. On the other hand, Tesco plc generates £15m of earnings from investments and also generates £39m of earnings due to a reversal of an impairment on financial assets. It is also clear that the two companies’ earnings are impacted differently by their financing. Sainsbury’s finance costs make up 1.1% of their overall pre-tax costs while Tesco’s finance cost is only 0.9% of their overall pre-tax costs. If an analyst wished to understand which ‘grocery store’ is performing better, it might be useful for them to look only at the performance of each company’s operations and related net assets. In other words, an analyst who focuses on a specific sector (in this case food retail) would be most interested in the ‘food retail’ performance of both companies. This is not to say they will ignore other items – such as interest (which is financing rather than operating) or impairments; rather, they will deal with those separately from their core focus on the food retailing business. To do this, they must take the financial statements and remove the impact of financial investments and borrowings to generate net operating profit after tax. Be wary: this is not always simply the ‘operating profit’ taken from the income statement (as can be seen by the fact that Tesco includes a gain on reversing a financial asset impairment above the gross profit line) – see Figure 6.2. 53 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Profit or loss $XXX Less: Post-tax investment income $X × (1 – t) Post-tax interest income $X × (1 – t) Post-tax ‘one off’ incomes $X × (1 – t) Add back: Post-tax interest expense $X × (1 – t) Post-tax ‘one off’ expenses $X × (1 – t) $XXX Net Operating Profit After Tax (NOPAT) Figure 6.2: Calculating net operating profit after tax. The analyst should also analyse the balance sheet and only take into account assets which are used in core operations and liabilities created because of those operations. Financial assets, financial liabilities, investments and even ‘excess cash’ should be excluded as they are not required for the core operations of a business (see Figure 6.3). Note: Excess cash is deemed to be cash which is over and above the ‘normal’ amount needed to fund operations. This may be difficult to know with precision; however an analysis of similar companies’ cash balance to sales ratio may indicate if a company holds more cash than required. Net Operating Working Capital Current Assets $XXX Excluding: Excess Cash Less: Current Liabilities ($XXX) Excluding: Current debt PLUS Net Non-Current Operating Assets Non-current operating assets $XXX Less: Non-interest bearing Non-Current liabilities ($XXX) Net Operating Assets $XXX Figure 6.3: Calculating net operating assets. Knowing these two figures allows an analyst to calculate Return on Net Operating Assets (RNOA) rather than just ROE. This gives a greater level of insight into a company’s operational performance. Worked example 6.3 The following data has been extracted from the Sainsbury’s plc and Tesco plc financial statement. The operating profit has been taken and adjusted accordingly to present a Net Operating Profit after Tax (Figure 6.4). 54 Chapter 6: Key accounting ratios and measures for the capital markets Tesco plc Sainsbury’s plc 1,483 677 Post tax investment income (40) - Post tax finance income (7) (16) Post tax finance expense 413 255 One off loss on discontinued operations 40 Profit/(loss) for the year Less: Add back: (Note: This loss is presented post tax in the SPL) Net operating profit after tax 1,889 916 Figure 6.4: Calculation of NOPAT for Tesco plc and Sainsburys plc. This has assumed the ‘other income’ within the Sainsbury’s accounts is still operational by nature. Note: To achieve the same figure more quickly, you can start with the Operating Profit (which is pre-tax), adjust for anything which is needed appearing above this line, and then multiply the result by (1 – effective tax rate). For Tesco: (£2560 − £39) × (1 − 25%) = £1889 The Net Operating Assets can then be obtained by extracting the appropriate figures from the balance sheet. Note how this differs from the traditional ‘net asset’ figure (see Figure 6.5). Operating working capital Tesco plc Sainsbury’s plc Inventories 2,339 1,797 Trade and other receivables 1,263 683 Current tax assets 93 Cash and cash equivalents 2,345 825 (9,181) (4,546) Current tax liabilities (11) (169) Provisions (283) (100) (3,435) (1,510) Goodwill and other intangible assets 5,360 1,006 Property, plant and equipment 17,060 8,402 Right of use assets 5,720 5,560 Trade and other receivables 159 65 Deferred tax assets 85 Less: Trade and other payables Net non-current operating assets Less: Trade and other payables (53) (24) Deferred tax liabilities (910) (806) Provisions (183) (171) 27,238 14,032 Net operating assets 23,803 12,522 15,644 8,423 vs Net assets Figure 6.5: Net Operating Assets and Net assets for Tesco plc and Sainsbury’s plc. 55 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations We can then see how the traditional ROE differs from the RNOA (Figure 6.6). Tesco plc Sainsbury’s plc ROE 9.5% 8.0% RNOA 7.9% 7.3% Figure 6.6: ROE and RNOA for Tesco plc and Sainsbury’s plc. These calculations reveal something of interest. We can see that Tesco plc is generating a higher ROE than Sainsbury’s plc. However, in terms of their core operations, the return generated is much more similar. As such, we may conclude that these two companies are operationally comparable, even if Tesco plc generates further return from its financing/investing activities. Activity 6.2 Study Table 5.3 from Chapter 5 of Palepu et al. (2022). Then answer the following questions. 1. How does the ROE of H&M compare to that of Inditex and other peers? 2. Compare and contrast the RNOA of the different companies. What conclusions can you draw from this about the performance of each company as a fashion retailer? 6.4 The need for standardised data As discussed above, a single financial ratio calculated alone means very little. To gain insights, we need to compare these metrics over time, from company to company, or from industry to industry. This does, however, create problems. Not all financial statements follow the exact same format. For example, the statements of companies that follow accounting standards under USGAAP will look different to those produced following IFRS. As such, it may be difficult to compare the ratios described above. In addition, companies may have one-off balances and transactions which need to be excluded or presented in isolation so we can see what the figures look like without these non-recurring events. If such adjustments are not made, ratio movements may look unusual; ratio analysis could suggest that a company’s performance and position have moved – either favourably or adversely – even though the opposite is actually the case. To attempt to solve this problem, it is useful to ‘standardise’ the financial statements before calculating financial ratios. Simply put, this involves rewriting the financial statements into an order which suits the party performing the analysis, and categorising transactions and balances into simpler categories. There is no one way of doing this; the approach an analyst takes will depend on the companies they are looking at and the particular aims of their analysis. 56 Chapter 6: Key accounting ratios and measures for the capital markets Worked example 6.4 Best Buy Co. Inc is a consumer retailer of electronics with more than 1,000 stores across the USA and Canada. The company follows USGAAP. Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd is a large national retailer of electrical products (and home furnishings), based in Australia but with stores globally. The company prepares accounts following Australian Accounting Standards and local legislation. The unadjusted income statements, as prepared under their respective jurisdictions, are shown in Figures 6.7 and 6.8. Fiscal year ended January 30, 2021 Revenue $ 47,262 Cost of sales 36,689 Gross profit 10,573 Selling, general and administrative expenses 7,928 Restructuring charges 254 2,391 Operating income Other income (expense): Gain on sale of investments 1 Investment income and other 37 Interest expense (52) 2,377 Earnings before income tax expense Income tax expense 579 Net earnings $ 1,798 Figure 6.7: Unadjusted income statement for Best Buy Co. Inc. (Source: Data from https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/ data/764478/000076447821000024/bby-20210130x10k.htm) June 2021 $000 Note Sales of products to customers 3 2,768,328 Cost of sales (1,838,365) Gross profit 929,963 Revenues received from franchisees 3 Revenues and other income items 3 1,345,782 324,521 Distribution expenses (49,971) Marketing expenses (377,639) Occupancy expenses 3,13,15 (243,066) Administrative expenses 4 (637,583) Other expenses (67,585) Finance costs 4,19 (50,213) Share of net profit of joint venture entities 27 8,320 Profit before income tax Income tax expense Profit after tax 1,182,529 5 (335,684) 846,845 Figure 6.8: Unadjusted income statement for Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd. (Source: Data from http://clients.weblink.com.au/news/pdf/02415189.pdf) 57 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations It can be seen that, although the data is similar, it is presented slightly differently. This makes it difficult to calculate ratios or to compare performance or financial stability. The statements can be standardised in the following way. • Consider the proforma for a standard/normal income statement. • Classify each item in the unadjusted income statements so that it ‘best fits’ into a logical part of the standard proforma. (Ensure you are consistent from company to company.) • Calculate the subtotal of each proforma line item and re-prepare the income statement using this new format. By following these steps, an analyst will produce a statement similar to that in Figure 6.9. Best Buy Co. Inc 2021 HNH Ltd 2021 Revenue 47,262 2,768 Cost of sales (36,689) (1,838) Gross profit 10,573 930 Selling, general and admin expenses (7,928) (1,308) Net other operating income/expense (254) 1,603 Operating income 2,391 1,225 Net non-operating income/expense 38 8 Net interest expense (52) (50) Pre-tax income 2,377 1,183 Tax expense (579) (336) Net earnings 1,798 847 Figure 6.9 Standardised income statements for Best Buy Co. Inc and Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd. This will allow the analyst to generate ratios such as profit margins and interest cover for the two companies on a like-for-like basis. Activity 6.3 Obtain the financial statements of Apple Inc and Samsung Electronics Co Ltd from the investor section of their websites. Attempt to standardise the income statements so that they are in the same format. Note: Cengage (the publisher of the core text Palepu et al. (2022) has some material available online that may help you to produce standardised accounts using Excel functionality. This would make the process quicker if you were required to standardise multiple accounts over multiple years. Visit www.cengage.uk/ to find out more. 6.5 Capital market metrics The above ratios can all be used by analysts to ensure they understand the financial performance and position of a company from its financial statements. Those involved in making investments and offering advice will need to go further, exploring investment ratios such as dividend yield and earnings per share. The key investor ratios are outlined below. 58 Chapter 6: Key accounting ratios and measures for the capital markets Earnings per share (EPS): This is a key metric which allows investors to see the magnitude of return they obtain for each individual share earnings they own. number of ordinary shares Care must be taken when looking at the number of shares in issue in case a historic bonus issue could skew the data. USGAAP and IFRS require listed entities to calculate and present this value on the face of the income statement. Earnings yield: EPS share price This allows investors to see the proportional return a company is generating compared with the value tied up within the share. Although a company may have a growing EPS, if the share price is outgrowing this, then the yield will be dropping. This relative measure may therefore be more insightful and a better metric to compare from company to company. Dividend yield: dividend per share share price Although earnings yield can give a good indication of a company’s ability to generate a return, it does not reveal the cash return that an investor is likely to obtain since companies may choose not to pay out 100% of the earnings figure. The dividend yield is therefore a better metric as investors can see how much they are likely to obtain in cash terms from having an investment in a company. PE ratio (P/E ratio) share price earning per share This ratio is the inverse of the earnings yield. It gives an indication of how much investors are willing to pay for $1 of current earnings. For example, a PE ratio of 9 suggests investors are willing to pay $9 today for $1 of current earnings. This is an indicator that investors see potential in future earnings. The higher the metric, the more the markets must believe the company’s future holds good prospects. Activity 6.4 Using either Google finance (Google.com/finance) or Yahoo Finance (finance.yahoo.com), search for a number of companies who operate in the same industry. Can you see that the metrics above have been calculated and presented for you? Which metrics are missing, so you would need to calculate them for yourself? 6.6 Non-GAAP metrics Within Chapter 2, we explored the need for regulated accounting standards. Capital market participants require comparable data from one company to another as this is crucial for understanding. Without consistency, it would be difficult to trust financial information. In recent years however, some company management teams have recognised that these standards do not always allow them to capture the unique nature of their individual company. As a result, many companies choose to offer guidance on their performance using different metrics – non-GAAP metrics. 59 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Some of the largest companies listed on US stock exchanges use non-GAAP metrics to discuss performance. For example: • Walmart Inc. reports Return on Investment (ROI) and Return on Assets (ROA) within its SEC filings. • Amazon.com Inc reports what it deems to be its ‘free cash flows’. • CVS Health Corporation reports an adjusted operating income and adjusted EPS. • United Health Group Incorporated reports an adjusted operating income and adjusted EPS, but only in its quarterly earnings release (not within the SEC filings). • Exxon Mobil Corporation reports an adjusted earnings figure. • Berkshire Hathaway Inc reports and comments on the ‘gain in float’ (a term it defines). • Alphabet Inc reports a ‘constant currency’ revenue figure and the growth of this metric. It is interesting to see, however, that Apple Inc chooses not to make any additional non-GAAP metrics available. Activity 6.5 Research a selection of the above companies’ SEC filings (10-Ks and 10-Qs), available on their Investor Relations webpages or via the ‘SEC Edgar search and access’ function. Find the discussion behind these metrics; read why management have chosen to disclose these metrics and why they are considered important. Assess the possible dangers of relying on these metrics for third parties such as analysts or shareholders. 6.7 Overview of chapter This chapter has covered numerical analysis that analysts could perform on company financial statements in order to obtain insights into how the company is performing. Particular attention has been paid to the fact that comparison – to other companies, to historical performance or to expectations – is crucial to such analysis. The chapter has further highlighted the need to break down the overall analysis into constituent parts, so that an analyst can see the company’s successes and failures in a granular way. This includes decomposing ‘return’ metrics as well as attempting to see overall performance compared to performance of the core operations of a company. The chapter concludes with a review of common metrics used in the capital markets to consider whether companies are offering the markets an appropriate level of return. 6.8 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: 60 • explain key metrics which are used to analyse company performance and the importance of analysing operations • calculate key metrics from company to company which will allow for comparison of performance • analyse how a company’s strategy and market position are reflected within the financial metrics. Chapter 6: Key accounting ratios and measures for the capital markets 6.9 Test your knowledge and understanding Luke & Laing (L&L) and LAZD are two publicly listed home furnishing retail stores in the UK. L&L has smaller operations and is located only in affluent areas based in the South East of England. Its stores are only located on busy high streets. LAZD on the other hand operates nationally, with much larger stores in out of town retail areas. The following information is taken from the companies’ 2022 financial statements. Revenue Luke & Laing LAZD £000s £000s 2,000 32,000 Cost of sales 920 26,500 Gross profit 1,080 5,500 Cash and cash equivalents 90 1,400 Trade receivables 50 300 Inventory 340 540 Other current assets 30 320 Trade payables 70 1,900 Other current liabilities 20 300 1,130 22,400 640 12,700 PP&E Intangible assets Based on the reported information above, which company is more efficient at utilising its resources? 61 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Notes 62 Chapter 7: Accounting information in action I: Valuation multiples Chapter 7: Accounting information in action I: Valuation multiples 7.1 Introduction As we have seen in previous chapters, buy side and sell side analysts are key players in the capital markets. To be able to offer advice about whether stocks represent buying or selling opportunities, they need an understanding of the value of the firm. In this chapter and the next, you will be introduced to two valuation models which can be used to understand share valuation. It is worth noting that analysts use a number of different models to estimate valuation. Some of these models make explicit use of accounting information and so are the focus of this module. 7.1.1 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • describe the conceptual methodology for valuing entities using a range of metrics known as ‘multiples’ • discuss the importance of choosing a ‘comparable company’ and critique the use of proxy firms in valuations • calculate the value of a company using equity multiples and enterprise value multiples • analyse whether a company may be over- or undervalued through the use of multiple data. 7.1.2 Essential reading Palepu, K., P. Healy and E. Peek Business analysis and valuation. (Cengage Learning EMEA, 2022) 6th edition.Extracts from Chapter 7. 7.1.3 Further reading Antill. N, K. Lee and D. Taylor Company valuation under IFRS. (Harriman House, 2020) 3rd edition. Chapter 1. 7.2 Equity value vs enterprise value Before we begin to explore how financial information can be used to drive an understanding of the value held within a company, it is important to ask the question ‘What are we valuing?’. Only if we can answer this question will some of the following techniques make sense. A rudimentary way of valuing a company may be to ask the question: ‘How much must I pay to own the company?’ A simple answer to this would be to state that it would depend on the share price: as long as you own the shares in the company, you own the company. This may not represent the value of the company, however. Imagine, if you will, two entrepreneurs each starting a business. Assume that they have similar ideas and the companies they wish to create will operate in almost exactly the same way. (Perhaps also assume that the market is large enough for both companies to grow without impacting each other.) 63 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Say entrepreneur 1 begins their business by investing £1,000 for 1,000 shares, whereas entrepreneur 2 begins by investing only £100 for 100 shares and also borrowing £900 from a family friend. Now move forward in time by one year. Let us suggest that entrepreneur 1 has taken out dividends over the year which have been equivalent to the interest paid by entrepreneur 2 to their family friend. Let us also assume that their success has been identical. The two companies have identical revenues, identical costs and identical investments into assets. Clearly, the two companies’ operations are identical and so they should be valued the same. However, the allocation of the value will differ. In entrepreneur 1’s company, all the value belongs to the shareholders; thus it will have a large equity value and no value allocated to debt holders. For entrepreneur 2’s company, even if the overall value is identical, the equity value will be much lower because there is a high proportion of debt. From this we can conclude that there is an important difference between the value of the operations and the value of the shares. For this reason, we must differentiate between what is known as ‘Enterprise Value’ and ‘Equity Value’: • Enterprise value is representative of the value of the operations of a business, regardless of how those operations are financed. • Equity value represents the residual ownership of the business once all other finance has been repaid. Enterprise value and equity value would only be the same in a business with no debt. It is important for analysts to be able to move from one measure of value to the other through what we refer to as the ‘enterprise value bridge’ (see Figure 7.1). Non-core/ nonoperational assets Enterprise value e.g excess Non-core/ cash non-held, investments operational on other assets company Non-operational liabilities e.g noncontrolling interest Figure 7.1: The enterprise value bridge. 64 Debt finance e.g debentures, preference shares, loans Equity value Chapter 7: Accounting information in action I: Valuation multiples Worked example 7.1 A company has determined its value of operations as £2.4 billion. It has short term debt of £4.8 million and long term debt of £51.1 million. On average it holds £3.2 million of excess cash and also holds £0.7 million of investments. If the company has 200 million outstanding shares, what is the implied share price? Note: The enterprise value is considered to be the value of operations, but it is not only operations which bring value to a company. The business may have investments and ‘excess cash’ which also have value. Remember: Excess cash is cash that is surplus to operational requirements. Once we add these values, we have the total value of the company. However, not all of this value can belong to the equity investors if debt exists. We must therefore subtract from this value any ‘non-operational’ debt. Remember: Any operational liabilities will already be captured in the enterprise value. Enterprise value £2,400,000,000 Plus: excess cash £3,200,000 Plus: non-operating investments £700,000 Less: short term debt (£4,800,000) Less: long term debt (£51,100,000) Equity value £2,348,000,000 £2,348,000,000 Implied share price = 200,000,000 = £11.74 Worked example 7.2 A company’s current share price is £11.74. It has short term debt of £4.8 million and long term debt of £51.1 million. On average it holds £3.2 million of excess cash and also holds £0.7 million of investments. If the company has 200 million outstanding shares, what is the value of its operations? Total equity value = £11.74 × 200,000,000 = £2,348,000,000 Equity value Less: excess cash £2,348,000,000 (£3,700,000) Less: non-operating investments (£900,000) Plus: short term debt £4,800,000 Plus: long term debt £51,100,000 Enterprise value £2,400,000,000 As we move through the rest of this chapter and Chapter 8, it is important to recognise that the techniques we use may be valuing equity or enterprise value. Either way, we should always be able to move from one to the other. 65 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 7.1 Using a set of financial statements from a company you have researched so far, attempt to see which figures you would need to add and subtract from the equity figure to determine the enterprise value. How would the following be treated? • Lease liabilities • Non controlling interest • Pension liabilities • Deferred tax 7.2 Introduction to multiples As discussed above, when valuing a business, we may choose to value its equity or its operations (enterprise value). We can now move on to consider the concept of a ‘multiple’. In essence, a multiple is a ratio of one company metric compared to another. The standard form of a multiple is a valuation number divided by an accounting number. For example, imagine we are looking at a company’s balance sheet. We might wish to compare its book value with its market value – i.e. to assess how the market value of the company compares with the numbers on the balance sheet. We can use a multiple to make this comparison. Remember that a multiple consists of a valuation number divided by an accounting metric. Here we would divide the share price (the valuation number) by the book value (the accounting number), to form what is commonly known as the ‘price to book’ multiple. Worked example 7.3 AB Corporation is currently trading at $0.70 per share. It has net assets of $6.2m and 20 million ordinary shares in issue. Net asset per share = $6.2m = $0.31 per share. 20m $0.70 As such, the share price to book value (P/B) = $0.31 = 2.3 times. In isolation, a P/B multiple of 2.3× tells us that the market values the company well above its book value. Why might this be? The market value will reflect many things about the future of the company whereas the financial statements mainly capture what has happened already. We could interpret this 2.3× multiple as a positive signal that the market is expecting the company to generate future profits and add value in the future beyond the existing book value. We can further analyse multiples by comparing them with historic values and with peer companies. By looking at AB Corporation’s P/B multiple in the context of its competitors and history, we can begin to understand whether it is overvalued or undervalued in comparison with other companies. Several common metrics are used and these can be classified under two categories: 66 • equity multiples • enterprise value multiples. Chapter 7: Accounting information in action I: Valuation multiples 7.3 Equity multiples When looking at how value is linked with performance, it is important to ensure we are comparing like with like. To maintain the integrity of our calculations, we must ensure that both elements of the multiple – the valuation number and the accounting number – are consistent. So, for an equity multiple, the valuation number will be equity value (in total or per share) and the accounting number should also be an equity number (e.g. net income/profit after tax or book equity). If we analyse a company’s financial statements, it will become clear which financial measures an equity holder is linked to (see Figure 7.2). Revenue Cost of sale Gross profit £’000 12,672 (5,953) 6,719 Administative expenses Distribution expenses EBIT (3,357) (1,356) 2,006 Finance costs EBT (61) 1,945 Income tax Earnings £’000 ASSETS Non-current assets Current assets LIABILITIES Current liabilities Non-current liabilities (296) 1,649 5,744 3,136 8,880 2,167 1,225 3,392 NET ASSETS 5,488 EQUITY 5,488 Linked to equity Figure 7.2: Financial measures linked to equity. Since earnings and net assets are attributable to equity shareholders, it is reasonable to look at how each of these metrics compares to a share price. As such, two common equity multiples are used: Price/Earnings ratio Also known as the P/E ratio, this compares a company’s share price with the company’s earnings per share. The higher the multiple, the more the markets appear to be willing to pay for one dollar of current earnings. A higher P/E ratio could therefore indicate that the market sees greater potential in a company’s future earnings. Price/Book value ratio Also known as the P/B ratio, this calculates price per share versus net assets per share (also known as book value per share). The higher the multiple, the more the market must be taking into consideration value which is not recorded in the balance sheet (e.g. from potential future earnings or unrecorded intangible assets). 67 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 7.2 Search for the following companies on Yahoo finance (finance.yahoo.com): • Lululemon Athletica Inc (LULU) • Under Armour Inc (UAA) • Levi Strauss & Co (LEVI) • Columbia Sportswear Company (COLM) Use the data available to answer the following questions: 1. What P/E ratios do the four companies have? 2. What does this tell you about what investors think about the four companies? When using equity multiples to understand companies, it is important to be aware of possible fundamental differences between companies which could influence the ratios and, as a result, distort comparisons. It is advisable to consider the following key questions: Do the companies have similar capital structures? If the companies are financed differently, this will distort equity multiples. A company with lots of debt will have lower earnings (due to higher interest) and, all other things being equal, a higher P/E. Thus companies operating in a similar industry and with similar operations may have different P/E ratios. This is also true for the P/B ratio. Two companies may have very similar operations but a company with a greater level of debt will have a different net asset value as a result. Do the companies have similar accounting policies? This again could impact both of these equity multiples. Take for example the concept of depreciation. If one company depreciates assets on a straight line basis over 5 years, while a similar company uses reducing balance at 10% per year, then both their earnings and asset figures will appear different despite similar operations. Are the company’s earnings normal? Multiples are very useful for comparing companies to each other and comparing one company from year to year. However, we must ensure that any comparison is like for like. If a company has one-off gains or unusual expenses in a year, that year may not have a ‘normal’ multiple. As such, it may be necessary to determine a ‘clean’ earnings figure, excluding nonrecurring income and expenditure. Unfortunately, the identification of non-recurring income or expenditure can be difficult. 7.5 Enterprise value multiples As discussed above, there are various challenges when using an equity multiple. An alternative is to use enterprise value multiples. Such multiples are not influenced by financial structures (i.e. the chosen mix of debt and equity). The following performance metrics contribute to enterprise value multiples. 68 • revenue • earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) • earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA). Chapter 7: Accounting information in action I: Valuation multiples Since all of these flows are ‘owned’ by both debt (interest) and equity holders, the valuation number in the multiple should be the enterprise value (the value of debt plus the value of equity) – i.e. the value of a company’s core operations. EV/revenue This metric is useful when attempting to compare companies that are not all profit making (for example, early stage companies that have not yet made any profits). Care must be taken however as revenue recognition policies can vary widely from one company to another. EV/EBIT This metric is widely used where an industry is financially diverse. EBIT should be ‘cleaned’ to a normalised value so it is not distorted by one-off impacts. Care must be taken to ensure that accounting policies are equivalent, to allow a fair comparison. EV/EBITDA This metric is highly relevant for companies that are asset intensive. In these industries, depreciation/amortisation policies are highly influential and subjective. It is worth noting that all of these metrics require us to use the enterprise value (EV). Remember, this value can be determined by bridging from the equity value. Other techniques are available to calculate the enterprise value (such as discounted cash flows) but these are outside the scope of this course. Activity 7.3 Using a company from your earlier research, ensure you are comfortable identifying the revenue and EBIT figures which can be used in the multiples above. How would you go about determining an EBITDA figure? What figures would you need to find, and from where could you obtain these figures? Activity 7.4 The following data has been obtained from Stensgaard Incorporated. Actual Year 1 est. Year 2 est. Share price ($) 33.2 38.1 41.6 Enterprise value ($m) 34.7 40.7 45.1 Sales ($m) 12.0 12.7 13.8 EBIT ($m) 1.8 1.9 2.2 EBITDA ($m) 1.99 2.2 2.5 Diluted EPS ($) 2.94 3.22 3.71 Calculate the earnings, sales, EBIT and EBITDA multiples against their appropriate ‘value’ for the three periods given. What is happening over time? Can you determine why this might be happening? 69 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 7.6 Turning multiples into valuations So far, we have seen that we can compare market perception of value from one company to another by assessing company valuations using a multiple. For example, if company X is valued at 10× earnings and company Y at 13× earnings, we might conclude that the market has more confidence in the future prospects of company Y. This raises the possibility of using valuation multiples to derive a valuation, by a technique known as a ‘relative valuation’. Such a valuation is dependent on how the market views similar companies. For example, if one company is valued at 15× earnings, you might assume that a similar company has a similar value. This method of valuation carries particular risks. If the market participants are overvaluing a particular type of industry, this technique will overvalue other companies in the same industry. (This was explored in some detail in Chapter 2, in the context of the Dot Com bubble/crash.) In other words, this technique assumes that the market is valuing companies appropriately. There are five key steps in using this method to value a ‘target’ company: Step 1: Identify comparable companies Comparable public companies should be of a similar nature to the target company being valued. It is often difficult to identify a company which is a perfect match, but the closer the commonality on issues such as industry and product segments, the better the valuation is likely to be. To identify comparable companies, it is important to assess company disclosures such as segmental reporting and company strategy. Step 2: Calculate comparable multiples Once we have identified some comparable companies, we need to calculate the multiples the market is using. For example, we could calculate a current P/E ratio for each company. Any multiples calculated based on earnings should be ‘cleaned’ to exclude non-recurring activity. Step 3: Determine a universal multiple Next, we should assess the calculated ratios of the selected companies to identify a fair metric to apply to the target company. It may be that all comparable companies have similar multiples; in this case, it is likely that another, similar, company within the industry will have a similar multiple. In most cases, analysts will calculate an average multiple for a group of comparable companies. If necessary, they will then make adjustments to this average to reflect differences between the group of companies and the company that is being valued. Step 4: Apply the universal multiple Once a suitable multiple has been established, we need to apply this to the target company. For example, a universal P/E ratio can be multiplied by the target company’s Earnings to value equity. Step 5: Obtain the desired value The result of the calculation in step 4 is the implied value of the company. We must take care, however, to interpret this value correctly. If an equity multiple has been used, the value represents the equity of the company; if an enterprise value multiple has been used, the result is the enterprise value of the company. If an enterprise value multiple has been used, but the researcher needs the equity value, then a bridge from EV to equity value must be crossed (see section 7.2). 70 Chapter 7: Accounting information in action I: Valuation multiples Worked example 7.4 Leopard Skin Incorporated operates within the sports apparel industry, selling sports clothing and athleisurewear across the United States. The company’s most recent financial performance is captured in the following income statement. $’000 EBIT* 747.4 Finance cost (16.7) EBT 730.7 Income tax (210.4) Earnings 520.3 *After depreciation and amortisation of $77.7million Requirement Using the EV/EBITDA multiple, determine a relative valuation per share for Leopard Skin Inc. Answer Step 1: Identify comparable companies Similar companies who operate in the same industry as Leopard Skin include: Chermelon Inc WetherSports Fashion plc Over Steel Inc Sprint Case Inc. Step 2: Calculate comparable multiples We can obtain the following information from the comparable companies’ annual reports. (For simplicity, we have assumed the data is ‘clean’ and normalised.) Chermelon WetherSport Over Steel Sprint Case EBIT $1,333.9m £721.1m $486.3m $860.0m D&A $224.1m £177.8m $139.2m $197.0m EBITDA $1,558.0m £898.9m $625.5m $1,057.0m Enterprise value $12,351.0 $124,356.0 $4,466.8 $3,299.0 138.3× 7.1× 3.1× EV/EBITDA 7.9× Step 3: Determine a universal multiple Looking at the data in step 2, WetherSport appears to be an outlier. Further research should be undertaken to decide whether it should or should not be included in the analysis. For this example, it is to be eliminated as a balance which would distort any final result. Universal multiple = (7.9 + 7.1 + 3.1) = 6.1 times 3 Step 4: Apply the universal multiple EV Implied relative value = EBITDA × EBITDA Implied relative value = 6.1 times × (747.4 + 77.7) = $5,033.10 71 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Step 5: Obtain the desired value The value obtained represents the enterprise value of the chosen company. To convert this from EV to equity, we must establish non-core assets and liabilities. Assume the following has been researched from the company financial statements: Leopard Skin Inc has short term debt of $4.8 million and long term debt of $51.1 million. On average it holds $3.2 million of excess cash and also holds $0.7 million of investments. The company has 200 million outstanding shares. Enterprise value $5033.1m Plus: excess cash $3.2m Plus: non-operating investments $0.7m Less: short term debt ($4.8m) Less: long term debt ($51.1) Equity value £4,981.1 Value per share = $4,981.10 = $24.91 200 Activity 7.5 You are attempting to value the equity of Jovial Incorporated using EV/EBITDA multiples of similar companies. You have established the EV/EBITDA of four other companies who operate in similar industries to Jovial Inc. Company 1 6.6× Company 2 6.4× Company 3 6.2× Company 4 6.0× Company 5 5.8× You have also established that Jovial Inc is forecast to generate $1.45 million of EBITDA, has $3.50 million net debt and has 102 million shares outstanding. Establish a share price valuation range for Jovial Inc. 7.7 Multiple valuation complications The process of valuing a company using this relative process appears to be quite straightforward. However, when researching and obtaining the data required, you may encounter difficulties in the following key areas. 7.7.1 Obtaining a ‘clean’ number Company financial statements often record transactions using the methodology required by the GAAP being followed. This will mean that one-off transactions appear in an appropriate line in the income statement; they will not necessarily be shown as a separate item unless required by the GAAP. As such, to ensure this technique is as robust as possible, we may need to read extra detail and notes from annual reports to discover if such unusual activity has occurred and, if so, what adjustments we need to make to the published figures. 72 Chapter 7: Accounting information in action I: Valuation multiples Activity 7.6 Using the following information obtained from a target company’s 10-K, prove that the correct EBIT figure which should be used for an EV/EBIT multiple valuation is $993.00. Net revenues $ 5,349.1 Cost of sales 2,546.0 Gross profit 2,803.1 Selling, general and administrative expenses 1,727.6 Amortisation expense 82.5 Restructuring costs 93.4 Acquisition-related costs 103.0 Asset impairment charges 2.3 Gain on sales of assets (20.1) Operating income 814.4 Interest expense, net 74.4 Loss on early extinguishment of debt 1.1 Other expense, net 27.4 Income (loss) before taxes 711.5 (Benefit) provision for income taxes (52.2) Net income (loss) 763.7 7.7.2 Impact of mergers and acquisitions Most of the multiples analysed within this chapter require the comparison of valuation with performance. It should be noted, however, that a valuation represents a moment in time, while performance is measured over a period of time. As a result, incidents occurring during the year may mean that the annual value used is not a fair representation of the company’s performance during the year. For example, imagine a company acquires a new subsidiary during the year. Any market data at the end of the year about the value of the company (whether equity or EV) will represent the value of the combined company. In contrast, the performance metric (e.g. EBIT) will partially represent the period of time before the acquisition and partially the period afterwards. 7.7.3 Mechanics that do not make sense Above all, we must remember that valuation techniques are not an exact science. As such, there may be times when a valuation does not appear reasonable. At these times, it is important to recognise the limitations of this methodology, rather than accepting the valuation simply because the steps were followed correctly to produce a result. After any valuation, we must take a step back and consider how possible and how plausible the result is. It is vital to ensure that any valuation fits with the narrative of the company in question – i.e. its position in the market, its strategic direction and its financial performance. 73 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 7.7 Read the following sections from Chapter 7 of Palepu et al. (2022). • Valuation using price multiples • Main issues with multiple-based valuation • Selecting comparable companies • Multiples for firms with poor performance • Adjusting multiples for leverage (Further detailed mathematical models of multiples are not required for this module.) 7.8 Overview of chapter This chapter has introduced the concept of enterprise value as opposed to equity valuation and considered why an analyst may choose to focus on one rather than the other. The chapter has then explored the concept of a ‘multiple’ and, more importantly, how multiples can be used to assist with the valuation of a company. 7.9 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • describe the conceptual methodology for valuing entities using a range of metrics known as ‘multiples’ • discuss the importance of choosing a ‘comparable company’ and critique the use of proxy firms in valuations • calculate the value of a company using equity multiples and enterprise value multiples • analyse whether a company may be over- or undervalued through the use of multiple data. 7.10 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. You are attempting to establish the equity value of one share for Gandol plc, a company running a chain of hotels. The following information has been obtained from the financial statements of Gandol plc. £’m EBIT 395.0 Finance expense (55.0) 340.0 Taxation (58.0) EBT 282.0 Depreciation and amortisation total £25.4 million and the company has net debt of £320.5m and 2000m outstanding shares. The following company EV/EBITDA multiples have been established. 74 Chapter 7: Accounting information in action I: Valuation multiples Main activity EV/EBITDA Curse Inc Hotel operations 6.1 Wand GmbH Hotel and entertainment venues 7.2 Broomstick Pty Travel and hotel company 4.5 Value a single share of Gandol plc and explain the reasoning behind your valuation technique. 2. Explain the difficulties in identifying a comparable company when using the P/E ratio multiple to value a company. 75 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Notes 76 Chapter 8: Accounting information in action II: Residual income valuation Chapter 8: Accounting information in action II: Residual income valuation 8.1 Introduction In the previous chapter, we looked at a valuation technique known as relative valuation using multiples. This method enables us to value a company based on the value of another similar company using information from the financial statements. Financial statement information can also be used to establish an estimate of intrinsic value – an analyst’s estimate of the ‘true’ value of the firm. There are multiple techniques available for analysts to determine an estimate of intrinsic value. However, we are primarily interested in techniques which use accounting information as their key driver. In this chapter, you will be introduced to the concept of ‘residual value’, what it is and how it can be used to understand the value of a company. 8.1.1 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain the nature of a company’s ‘abnormal’ profit, how it is calculated and the difficulties and assumptions in its use • explain the concept and rationale behind using residual income in valuation and the advantages and disadvantages of the technique • calculate the value of a company using residual income. 8.1.2 Essential reading Palepu, K., P. Healy and E. Peek Business analysis and valuation. (Cengage Learning EMEA, 2022) 6th edition. Extracts from Chapter 7. 8.1.3 Further reading Srinivasan, S., B. Cheng and E. Riedl ‘Coca-Cola: residual income valuation exercise’, Harvard Business School Exercise 113–056, 2012. 8.1.4 References cited Gordon, M.J. and E. Shapiro ‘Capital equipment analysis: the required rate of profit’, Management Science 3(1) 1956, pp.102–10. Ohlson, J.A. ‘Earnings, book values and dividends in security valuation’, Contemporary Accounting Research 11(2) 1995, pp.661–687. Annual report of Pearson plc, 2021 (https://plc.pearson.com/investors) 8.2 Core concepts of intrinsic valuation Accounting information and valuations are inherently linked, although it can sometimes be difficult to see this clearly. Before considering how accounting information can be used, it is important to review key aspects of the core valuation techniques. All these techniques ultimately rely on the concept of ‘cash flow’. Approaches to valuation in finance theory consider that the value of any asset is represented by the present value of future free cashflows. This can be stated formally as: value of a company = present value of future cashflows 77 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations To apply this in practice, the analyst must resolve a number of issues: • What discount rate should we use to establish present values? • How long into the future do we need to forecast cashflows for? • How can we estimate what the future cashflows are going to be? • Which cashflows should we include/exclude? When attempting to answer these questions, it is common to start by examining dividend flows. The only ongoing cashflows that equity investors receive are the dividend cashflows the company is expected to pay out. We can therefore say: value of a company (P0) = present value of future dividends (D) This can be considered as the sum of an ongoing stream, represented as follows (where ‘r’ is the discount rate required): 2 3 4 5 n 1 + + + + + ⋯+ 2 3 4 5 (1 + r) (1 + r) (1 + r) (1 + r) (1 + r) (1 + r) P0 = This is called the Dividend Discount Model (DDM). Unfortunately, unless we are going to spend a lot of time considering what a company’s dividend might look like in 50 years’ time, this formula does 1 not seem particularly useful. It should also be noted that a dividend in 50 years’ time is unlikely to have much value in current terms once it has been discounted. As such, a few assumptions can be built in to simplify the calculations. One approach to dealing with this practical challenge is to assume that dividends grow at a constant rate. For example, if we assume that dividends grow at an annualised factor of ‘g’ (e.g. 3%), the formula above can be reduced to: P0 = D0(1 + g) D0(1 + g)2 D0(1 + g)3 D0(1 + g)4 D (1 + g)n + ... + 0 + + + 2 3 4 (1 + r) (1 + r) (1 + r) (1 + r)n (1 + r) Equation (1) We can then multiply equation (1) by 1 + g to get a second version: 1+r P0 (1 + g) D (1 + g)2 D0(1 + g)3 D0(1 + g)4 D0(1 + g)n = 0 + + + ⋯ + (1 + r) (1 + r)2 (1 + r)3 (1 + r)n (1 + r)4 Equation (2) If we then subtract equation (2) from equation (1), we are left with: P0 = D0(1 + g) (r – g) This formula allows us to value a company based on a dividend that has recently been paid out, an expected growth rate and a desired rate of return. (This is the Gordon Shapiro model, which was developed in 1956.) 78 Chapter 8: Accounting information in action II: Residual income valuation Activity 8.1 Heggem plc has recently paid out a dividend of 10c and the market expects this to grow at a rate of 7% for the foreseeable future. How valuable would a share of Heggem plc be to an investor who expects a rate of return of 11%? 8.3 Abnormal profit In section 8.2, we suggested that dividends are the only cash flow which an equity investor obtains from an investment. For certain companies, however – such as those not paying dividends – there is an argument that dividends alone do not capture all of the economic value. In these situations, we must use other accounting information to provide a more complete valuation. This brings us to a concept known as ‘abnormal profit’. This is the profit made once a charge for equity capital has been applied – that is, the profit earned by a business above and beyond the profit required by equity investors. Worked example 8.1 Consider the company income statement shown below: €’000 Revenue 65,870 Cost of sales (20,261) Gross profit 45,609 Distribution costs (8,136) Administrative costs (12,490) Operating profit 24,983 Finance costs (454) Profit before tax 25,437 Taxation (4,097) Profit after tax 21,340 This income statement does not show the expected return that equity investors require to be satisfied with the investment. Assume equity investors have invested €122,910,000 and require an expected return of 8%. This would suggest the required profit (i.e. a cost of equity) is €16,388,000. If this value is removed from the profit after tax, we see the following: Profit after tax 21,340 less: Cost of equity 16,388 Abnormal profit 4,952 This abnormal profit can also be described as ‘residual profit’ or even ‘economic profit’. 79 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 8.2 Company XYZ has capital structure which is 50% debt and 50% equity. Total assets are £2,000,000. Coupon on debt is 7%, cost of equity is 12% and taxes are 30%. If EBIT is £200,000 calculate the following: • net income • residual income. Comment on the results. 8.4 Residual Income Valuation Model (RIVM) If we accept the premise that equity value is derived from the return a company offers above and beyond the required return, then we can adjust earlier models to reflect this. First, consider how the book value of equity in a company’s balance sheet may be reconciled from one year to the next. Opening book value of equity £200 Earnings £100 Dividends (£20) Change in retained earnings £80 Closing book value £280 Figure 8.1: Reconciliation of book value. Assuming D is the dividend paid out, E is earnings made and B is the book value of equity, the relationship between book value, dividends and profit can be written as: B₁ = B₀ + E₁ – D₁ B₁ = B₀ + E₁ – D₁ B₁ = the B₀ +value E₁ – D₁of the dividend, we can write: Alternatively, if we wish to know D₁ = E₁ – (B₁ – B₀) D₁ = = E₁ E₁ –– (B₁ (B₁ –– B₀) B₀) D₁ D₁ = E₁ + (B₀ – B₁) or: D₁ = = E₁ E₁ + + (B₀ (B₀ –– B₁) B₁) D₁ Activity 8.3 Using the values in Figure 8.1, ensure you are comfortable using the two versions of the formula for D1. Earlier, we encountered the following model to value a company based on dividends: ₀ = ₁ 2 3 4 5 n + + + + + ⋯+ 4 5 2 3 (1 + ) (1 + ) (1 + ) (1 + ) (1 + ) (1 + ) Substituting in the second formula for D1 above, we can write: P0 = E1 + (B0 – B1 ) (1 + r) + E2 + (B1 – B2 ) (1 + r)2 This can be simplified to: 80 P0 = B0 + Σ ∞ En – rBn-1 n=1 (1 + r)n + E3 + (B2 – B3 ) (1 + r)3 +⋯+ E1+ (Bn–1– Bn ) (1 + r)n Chapter 8: Accounting information in action II: Residual income valuation Although this may look mathematically challenging, it represents a simple idea: the value of a company is its book value (B0) plus the stream of discounted residual income (the part of the calculation after the + sign). Worked example 8.2 123 Corporation generates EBIT of $500,000 per year and this is likely to continue at the same rate for the foreseeable future. The company has $4,000,000 of assets, financed 30% by equity and 70% by debt. The debt coupon rate is 5%, the estimated cost of equity is 12% and tax is 40%. Calculate the intrinsic value of 123 Corporation if the book value per share is $12 and there are 100,000 shares outstanding. Answer Due to the company’s financial structure, the costs of capital can be calculated as follows: Capital value Cost of capital Equity 30% $1,200,000 $ 144,000 Debt 70% $2,800,000 $ 140,000 100% $4,000,000 Based on this, the company’s income statement will be: EBIT $ 500,000 Int $ -140,000 EBT $ 360,000 Tax $ -144,000 Earnings $ 216,000 Given the expected return required by equity investors, the residual income can be determined as follows: Residual income = Earnings – Capital charge = $216,000 – $144,000 = $72,000 $72,000 The residual income per share = = $0.72 per share 100,000 Intrinsic value per share = B0+ pv of future RI ( = $12 + 1 × $0.72 = $18 (12% 3 5 Activity 8.4 3 2 Braun Baum GmbH is currently funded 5 by equity and 5 by debt. It generates a regular EBIT of €700,000 a year and this is expected to continue for the 2 foreseeable future. 5 It has €3 million of assets and 200,000 shares. The book value per share is €9. The interest on debt is paid at 3%, corporation tax is 20% and equity investors expect a return of 10%. What is the value per share using the RIVM method? 81 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 8.5 Alternative model The version of the RIVM used above requires the calculation of earnings after a capital charge for equity has been applied. It can however be written in a slightly different way (as devised by Ohlson, 1995). The current RIVM version is: P0 = B 0 + En –rBn–1 n n=1 (1 + r) ∞ Σ With a quick adjustment, we can write: P0 = B 0 + Σ (En/Bn–1 –r)Bn–1 (1 + r)n n=1 Σ (ROE – r)Bn–1 (1 + r)n n=1 ∞ We can then see that En /Bn–1 is the effective return a company is able to generate on equity each year – that is, the Return on Equity (ROE). As such, one final rearrangement gives: P0 = B 0 + ∞ This provides a slightly different view: the (ROE − r) part of the formula is deemed to be ‘investment spread’ and shows the excess return that a company can offer over and above the required return, while allowing for analysis using percentages rather than currency figures. 8.6 Clean surplus assumption The above model was built on two assumptions: • An investor is expected to receive a dividend which reflects the required return. • The book value of equity is reconciled from one year to the next by adding earnings and subtracting dividends. Although these assumptions ensure a cleanly derived formula, they are only valid when we have what is referred to as ‘clean surplus’. Clean surplus means that the change in a company’s book value comes from earnings and transactions with owners (e.g. dividends) alone. In other words, ignoring share issuance and repurchases: Closing BV = Opening BV + Earnings – Dividends However, we know that this is not the case for many companies. For example, other gains and losses which impact book value are shown in a ‘Statement of Other Comprehensive Income’. You can view an example of a ‘Consolidated statement of comprehensive income’ on p.135 of the annual report of Pearson plc (2022), available at https://plc.pearson.com/sites/ pearson-corp/files/pearson/annual-report-2022/Pearson_2022_annual_ report.pdf. This is therefore a limitation of the model. Fortunately, analysts rarely forecast the types of items that are recognised in the ‘Statement of Other Comprehensive Income’ and so this limitation should not materially distort forecasts. 82 Chapter 8: Accounting information in action II: Residual income valuation 8.7 Activities to try Activity 8.5 GHJ Inc is expected to earn $1 earnings per year for the foreseeable future. The dividend pay-out ratio is 100% and the company has a book value per share of $6. Investors expect an average return of 10% on their investment. Calculate the value of stock using: • the dividend discount model • the Residual Income Valuation Model. Comment on the results. Activity 8.6 DFG Ltd is expected to have an EPS over the next three years equal to $2, $2.50 and $4 per share. The pay-out ratio is likely to be 50% in years 1 and 2; however, the business is expected to close in year 3 and pay out all retained earnings as a dividend. The current book value per share is $6 and the company’s cost of capital is 10%. What is the current value per share using the residual income valuation model? 8.8Advantages and disadvantages of using accounting data for both multiple and RIVM valuation models Key advantages of multiple and RIVM valuation models are that: • they are useful to double check other valuation methods • they can be used if cash flows are negative • valuation is consistent with accounting principles. Key disadvantages of multiple and RIVM valuation models are that: • accounting information could have been distorted by accounting choices (see Chapters 9 and 10) • there is a need to understand the expected shareholder return. Activity 8.7 Read the following sections from Chapter 7 of Palepu et al. (2022): • Defining value for shareholders • The discounted abnormal profit model • Accounting methods and discounted abnormal profit. 8.9 Overview of chapter This chapter has introduced the concept of residual income and showed how this can be calculated from a company’s income statement. The chapter has then suggested that this residual income is the extra value that a company is able to generate, above and beyond its book value. As such, if we combine the value of the company’s balance sheet with the present value of this future residual income, we can determine the value of equity. The chapter provided numerous examples and activities to demonstrate these ideas, concluding with a discussion of why this methodology is useful for analysts. 83 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 8.10 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain the nature of a company’s ‘abnormal’ profit, how it is calculated and the difficulties and assumptions in its use • explain the concept and rationale behind using residual income in valuation and the advantages and disadvantages of the technique • calculate the value of a company using residual income. 8.11 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. Explain why residual income valuation methodologies typically result in a smaller proportion of the overall valuation being attributed to the terminal value. 2. The Ohlson model (1995) equates value to: Σ (ROE – r)Bn–1 (1 + r)n n=1 ∞ Explain the role of the investment spread in this formulation of value. 84 Chapter 9: The earnings game Chapter 9: The earnings game 9.1 Introduction In this chapter, we will explore the importance of the ‘bottom line’ – i.e. earnings – within financial statements. We will consider the importance of this financial performance metric to the markets and to executives, and then examine the challenges that accounting principles can create when looking at this metric. The chapter will then explore the ways in which management may be tempted to ‘manage’ earnings, to present markets with a positive picture of the company’s economics. Finally, we will explore what tools are available to management to achieve such an outcome. 9.1.1 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • describe the earnings game and explain why market participants may choose to partake/accept that the earnings game occurs • discuss methodologies behind earnings management and contrast this with expectations management • explain how earnings management differs from fraud • discuss the reasons why many companies choose to use non-GAAP measures and the implications of widespread use. 9.1.2 Essential reading Brochet, F. and D. Kiron ‘Google and earnings guidance’, Harvard Business School Case 111–026, Harvard Business School 2010 (revised April 2011). 9.1.3 Further reading Collingwood, H. ‘The earnings game: everybody plays, nobody wins’, Harvard Business Review R0106C, 2001. 9.1.4 References cited Ronen, J. and V. Yaari Earnings management: emerging insights in theory, practice, and research. (New York: Springer, 2008) [ISBN 9780387257716] Degeorge, F., J. Patel and R. Zeckhauser ‘Earnings management to exceed thresholds’, The Journal of Business 72(1) 1999, pp.1–33. SEC, ‘Press release: SEC charges Under Armour Inc with disclosure failures’ (May 2021) www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2021-78 Graham, J.R., C. Harvey and S. Rajgopal, ‘The economic implications of corporate financial reporting’, SSRN Electronic Journal 40(1–3) 2004, pp.3–37. Eccles, R.G., R.H. Herz, E.M. Keegan and D.M.H. Phillips The value reporting revolution: moving beyond the earnings game. (Chichester: John Wiley & Sons, 2001) [ISBN 9780471398790] Storey, R.K. and S. Storey ‘The framework of financial accounting concepts and standards’, Special Report No. 181-C, Financial Accounting Standards Board, 1998. IFRS Foundation, Conceptual framework for financial reporting. (IASB, 2018) https://www.ifrs.org/issued-standards/list-of-standards/conceptualframework/ 85 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 9.2 The earnings game Earnings is a critical metric, reported by management to the markets and used by market participants in a number of ways. In Chapter 6, we saw that the metrics ‘earnings per share’ and ‘earnings yield’ are commonly used to judge the performance of a company. Likewise, in Chapter 7, we saw the use of earnings in multiples and relative valuations using metrics such as the P/E ratio or EV/EBIT(DA). Earnings are also important to company executives. A survey by Graham et al. (2004) asked executives what they considered to be the most important performance metric. The results of this survey can be seen in that paper (available in the Online Library), in Table 2, Panel A: Unconditional averages (p.50); you will see that ‘earnings’ was the clear leader in terms of its perceived importance. Within the same research paper, executives were asked whether they felt it was important to compare one earnings figure to another. You can view the responses to this question in Graham et al. (2004), Table 3, Panel A: Unconditional averages (p.51); the majority of executives felt that it was important to compare a reported quarterly earnings number with the following benchmarks (in order of importance): • same quarter last year EPS • analyst consensus forecast of EPS for the current quarter • reporting a profit (i.e. EPS>0) • previous quarter EPS. Such comparisons, however, may lead executives to ‘play the earnings game’. The earnings game can be defined as: “Interactions between firms and stock market participants over the communication of earnings numbers” (Eccles et al., 2001) There are some key dangers to the earnings game: if executives are aware of the importance of their earnings figures, they might: a. attempt to manage their earnings figure to ensure they meet or beat expectations (earnings management) b. attempt to change the expectations of those participants who are keen to observe a company’s earnings figure (expectations management). Let us explore these two concepts. 9.3 The nature and cause of earnings management The conceptual framework of accounting issued by the IASB states that the general purpose of financial reporting is: ‘to provide financial information about the reporting entity that is useful to existing and potential investors, lenders and other creditors in making decisions’. (IFRS Foundation, 2018) 86 Chapter 9: The earnings game The FASB accounting framework suggests that the primary objective is to: ‘provide information that is useful to present and potential investors and creditors and other users in making rational investment, credit, and similar decisions’. (Storey and Storey, 1998) Although these statements require further interpretation, the key point to note is that most accounting standards allow some form of discretion. Managers have a degree of choice when communicating the performance of their company to meet these obligations. For example: • management may choose whether development costs are expensed through an income statement or held as an intangible asset, to reflect management’s intention and ability to use intangible items • management may value inventory either on a first-in first-out basis or using an average cost basis • management may choose the appropriate economic life and depreciation methodology for non-current assets. Unfortunately, opportunistic managers may take advantage of this freedom of choice. Decisions may be made within the business to ensure that a reported earnings figure is higher or lower than it would have been if other decisions had been made. Ronen and Yaari (2008) identified three possible types of earnings management: Beneficial earnings management Taking advantage of the flexibility in the choice of accounting treatment to signal the manager’s private information on future cash flows Neutral earnings management Choosing an accounting treatment that is either opportunistic (maximising the utility of management only) or economically efficient Harmful earnings management Using tricks to misrepresent or reduce transparency of the financial reports Table 9.1: Three types of earnings management. If accounting standards allow such discretion in accounting choices and reporting of financial performance, you may wonder why there should be any possible controversy. We will examine this in the remainder of the chapter. Activity 9.1 Think about the following participants in the capital markets, discussed earlier in the course. • Management of the company • Auditors of the company • Analysts analysing the company • Investors investing in the company Identify possible reasons each group might have for either issuing or accepting earnings figures which have been managed. 87 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 9.4 Evidence that earnings management exists 9.4.1 Surveys In 2005, Graham et al. surveyed and interviewed more than 400 executives, with the aim of determining what drives decisions around reported earnings. One part of their research focused on why executives considered it so important to meet earnings benchmarks. You can view the responses to this question in Graham et al. (2005) (p.52, Table 4, Panel A: Unconditional averages); the main reason given was that executives wish to ‘build credibility with the capital market’ – including, of course, the sell side analysts. This provides evidence that management clearly see the possible benefits of managing the earnings profile of their businesses. 9.4.2 Statistical research In 1999, Degeorge et al. published a paper exploring historical company performance in relation to market expectations. Their aim was to identify earnings management in relation to reporting positive profit, sustaining current performance and meeting analysts’ expectations. Figure 6 in that article, ‘Histogram of forecast error for earnings per share: exploring the threshold of meeting analysts’ expectations’, illustrates how companies meet analyst’s expectations. Access the article in the Online Library and look at Figure 6: the x-axis shows how forecasts and actual earnings differed in cents and the y-axis shows the frequency of forecasts that fall within that bracket. The tau value indicates how skewed the chart is comparted with a ‘normal distribution’; the calculated value of 6.61 is considered ‘large’. This chart is just one of many illustrations which show an apparent statistical anomaly in the number of firms which demonstrate earnings per share falling just below target. Activity 9.2 Access Degeorge et al. (1999) in the Online Library and study Figure 6. 1. Can you explain the anomaly that is visible in this chart? 2. What conclusions can you draw from this evidence? 3. Why do you think it is useful for a company to meet earnings benchmarks? 4. Why do you think it is bad for a company to miss earnings targets? Hints Think about other ‘normal distribution’ patterns you might be aware of (e.g. the height of a population of people, or exam marks achieved). What would you expect the pattern to look like? Do you think the peak of this chart is where it should be? 9.4.3 Empirical examples In 2021, the SEC made a press release detailing charges it had brought against the sports apparel manufacturer Under Armour Inc. The charges specifically accused the company of misleading investors as to the basis of its revenue growth. As an example, the release stated that, in 2015, the company was failing to meet analysts’ expectations regarding revenue growth. This was a result of warm winter weather impacting sales of cold-weather apparel. In response 88 Chapter 9: The earnings game to this, Under Armour accelerated sales which were already agreed with customers by shipping products earlier than customers had originally requested them. Without admitting or denying the findings of the SEC order, Under Armour Inc agreed to pay a $9 million penalty to settle the action. In another example, as discussed in ‘The earnings game’ (Collingwood, 2001), Cisco Systems is used to illustrate the effects of not playing the earnings game. From 1999 to 2000, Cisco’s shares increased from $26 to $60 per share. However, in the second quarter of the year 2000, it reported earnings per share of one cent less than expected. Its share price then dropped by 13%. Collingwood quotes a seasoned stock broker as saying ‘things must be pretty bad if Cisco can’t come up with one lousy penny’. The fact that a broker could even say something like this strongly suggests that companies are expected to ‘find’ what is needed to meet analysts’ expectations. Perhaps it was the fact that Cisco couldn’t do this that ‘spooked’ investors so much. 9.5 How does earnings management occur? Earnings management can be categorised within two broad categories. ‘Accruals’ earnings management was often seen to be the main focus when attempting to meet required targets. However, with greater scrutiny from the regulatory bodies of accounting and with auditors’ increasing scepticism, academic literature and media have began to focus more on ‘real’ earnings management. Let us consider the differences between the two. 9.5.1 Accruals management Accruals earnings management can be defined as the practice of utilising flexibilities within accounting choices that meet GAAP standards but also allow management to meet their own financial reporting objectives. The following techniques may be considered: Income smoothing The practice of creating allowances and provisions within good years, when they can be ‘afforded’, and then releasing them in poorer years. Big bath behaviour In a poor year, management may be incentivised to make impairments and write-offs which historically would have been defended. This effectively turns a ‘bad year’ into a ‘really bad year’ so as to make future periods look better. Accounting changes Management may choose to change accounting estimates or methodologies in order to change the impact on earnings from one year to another. Classification of expenditure The metric of gross profit is often seen to show the success of core operations (i.e. products and services sold), whereas operating profit is a sign of successful business overall. Management may choose to report good news above the gross profit line but classify bad news as something below the gross profit line. 89 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Revenue manipulation The accounting standards behind revenue recognition are complicated as company sales are often very complex. Management may look for opportunities to meet accounting standards using complex agreements that allow them to recognise sales in a specific period – e.g. ‘Bill and hold’ and ‘Right to cancel sale’ arrangements or changing the length of a performance obligation to which revenue is matched. Table 9.2: Techniques for earnings management. 9.5.2 ‘Real’ earnings management Accruals earning management can be seen as something which is done ‘within the accounting figures’. Real earnings management, in contrast, is something that happens in action. That is to say, management may choose to deviate from normal business practices so as to change reported income. Activity 9.3a You are the senior manager of a division within a large pharmaceutical company. You have just received a message from the CEO. It looks as though the company might not reach the desired EPS target. You have therefore been asked to consider what actions you can take which might help boost EPS for the year. What real life actions could you take? Hints Ask yourself: • Do you often have large R&D expenditure? • Does your division have a number of project start dates coming up soon? • Are customer contracts agreed in advance and do they normally have a strict list price? • Do you hold a number of assets with a large realisable value? • Is inventory normally valued at standard cost, including apportioned overheads? Activity 9.3b Review your suggested actions in response to Activity 9.3a. What problems do you foresee in the future if these actions are taken? 9.5.3 Is earnings management fraud? The simple answer is ‘no’. A more reasoned answer is ‘probably not’. Although these methods of earnings management, as well as the motivations behind them, may (and should) be discussed from an ethics point of view, everything we have discussed above complies with either accounting rules or commercial business decisions. Only violations of GAAP could potentially be considered to be fraudulent reporting (the deliberate misrepresentation of information in order to mislead the users of the financial statements). It may be worth noting that, in the case of Under Armour Inc. (discussed in section 9.4.3), the SEC did accuse management of failing to disclose information which should have been disclosed. However, due to the agreed settlement, this was not taken any further. 90 Chapter 9: The earnings game That said, there is often a fine line between earnings management and fraud. Recording sales before they are realisable does not follow GAAP, and hence could be considered fraudulent reporting. Yet shipping goods to customers earlier than agreed (or billing and holding) has a similar outcome but may be considered earnings management. Likewise, overstating inventory by recording fictitious inventory items is fraudulent, but increasing production to ‘store’ overheads in the balance sheet is a business decision which under GAAP would mean costs are held as assets. Activity 9.4 Research the following SEC investigations: • The Kraft Heinz Company – Inflated cost savings (www.sec.gov/news/pressrelease/2021-174) • Luckin Coffee Inc – Materially misstating revenue (www.sec.gov/news/pressrelease/2020-319) • Interface Inc – improper reporting of quarterly EPS (www.sec.gov/news/pressrelease/2020-226) Can you see why the SEC charged these companies and why these issues were considered to be more than just ‘earnings management’? Are there any other examples you can find? 9.6The impact and problems created by earnings management From what we have seen so far, it is fair to conclude that earnings, and its management, is important for managers and executives. We have seen how earnings management can assist managers personally, as well as those around them. However, it should be noted that earnings management creates problems too. Distorts corporate decision making Simply put, real earnings management distorts management’s usual decision-making processes. This may mean that decisions are made which are not in the best interests of the company as a whole – e.g. the delay of important research and development, or of an important project. Big baths can hide problems If management partake in ‘big bath’ opportunities, this may mean that underlying issues are not addressed appropriately and are instead consigned to history. If the company had not attempted to operate a ‘big bath’ approach, they might have tried to solve the issues instead. Wage ‘theft’ from employees One way in which companies may try to achieve a specific earnings figure is to cut back on expenditure wherever possible. This may lead to companies deliberately underpaying employees. Undermines analysts’ If earnings management is prevalent, analysts may be work forced to disregard earnings figures. This means that analysts have fewer metrics to use to consider the potential of a company and they are left performing little more than guess work. Table 9.3: Problems caused by earnings management. 91 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 9.7 Ethical dilemma for analysts An analyst’s reputation is based on their ability to predict future cash flows and earnings that a company will generate. As a result, analysts may be reluctant to voice controversial or different opinions and so most analysts’ public opinions are similar. However, although an analyst’s public opinion may align with the consensus, this does not necessarily mean the analyst fully believes it. In fact, over the years, it has become open knowledge that analysts’ opinions may differ. This has lead to a metric known as ‘the whisper number’, which attempts to capture the difference between consensus analyst predictions (which are public) and the predictions the same analysts would make if polled anonymously. If the whisper number differs significantly from analyst consensus, this may indicate that analysts are more aware of earnings management occurring. Activity 9.5 Look at the website www.earningswhispers.com/. Read the latest news and see how the earnings whisper differs from analyst consensus. Activity 9.6 Read the Harvard Business School Case Study 111-026: ‘Google and earnings guidance’ (Brochet and Kiron, 2010). After reading the case study, attempt to answer the following questions. 1. For what reasons do you feel Google should offer earnings guidance to analysts? 2. How have Google’s share prices changed compared with other companies listed in the case study who do offer guidance to the markets? 3. Do you think other firms should or should not, and can and cannot, imitate Google’s attitude towards earnings guidance? 9.8 Overview of chapter This chapter has highlighted the importance to the capital markets of earnings-based information and metrics. It has also explored how such information is perceived to be important to executives within an organisation. The chapter then focused on the techniques available to executives to ‘manage earnings’, both from an accruals point of view and also from a real point of view. With an awareness of this flexibility, investors and analysts may be more sceptical when using accounting information for investment purposes. 9.9 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: 92 • describe the earnings game and explain why market participants may choose to partake/accept that the earnings game occurs • discuss methodologies behind earnings management and contrast this with expectations management • explain how earnings management differs from fraud • discuss the reasons why many companies choose to use non-GAAP measures and the implications of widespread use. Chapter 9: The earnings game 9.10 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. Explain the concept of the earnings game and discuss why and how management may choose to participate. 2. Which parties could face detrimental consequences of the earnings game and what impact would this have on them? 3. Evaluate whether earnings management can be considered to be fraud. 93 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Notes 94 Chapter 10: Earnings management and accounting choices Chapter 10: Earnings management and accounting choices 10.1 Introduction In Chapter 9, we looked at the reasons why management may consider their earnings metric to be of key importance and how markets could react if management did not meet earnings consensus. In Chapter 2, we explored the role of information and the regulatory bodies tasked with setting accounting standards. In this chapter, we will explore how users of accounts can interrogate the accounting standards used by an organisation and assess whether they are appropriate. Where accounting standards may not be appropriate, we will explore how users of financial information can address this to gain greater understanding and insight from the financial statements. 10.1.1 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • critically appraise accounting choices made by firms • compare and contrast the advantages and disadvantages of rulesbased accounting standards compared with principle-based accounting standards • identify potential red flags in accounting which may suggest earnings management is occurring • perform some simple accounting adjustments which may be needed on company accounts. 10.1.2 Essential reading Palepu, K., P. Healy and E. Peek Business analysis and valuation (Cengage Learning EMEA, 2022) 6th edition. Chapters 3 and 4. 10.1.3 Further reading Antill, N., K. Lee and D. Taylor Company Valuation under IFRS. (Harriman House, 2020) 3rd edition. Chapter 4. 10.1.4 References cited Marks and Spencer Group Plc, Annual report, 2022. https://corporate. marksandspencer.com/investors/our-performance-updates/2022-annualreport Apple, 10-K SEC filing, 2013 and 2022. https://investor.apple.com/sec-filings/ default.aspx 10.2 ‘Noise’ within financial reporting Most accounting standards have been written using the accruals concept as a basis. That is to say that assets, liabilities, equity, income and expenditure should be recognised when they satisfy the definitions. This does not always equate to when cash is exchanged between parties for services/products. It also means that income earned must be matched against the expenditure incurred earning it. 95 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations The application of the accounting principles is the responsibility of management who have superior knowledge about a business’s activities. Chapter 2 of this course explored the need to ensure the credibility of the information provided by management. Auditing, standards, legal liability and public enforcement exist to ensure management correctly follow the standards set. Unfortunately, ‘noise’ can still exist or be created. Accounting ‘noise’ means that the information presented in the financial statements may not give a true representation of a company’s economic activity. That is not to say that management are not following the accounting standards; this ‘noise’ can be much more subtle. 10.2.1 Noise from account rules The rigidity of accounting standards in a rules-based system may not allow management to express the finances of a company in a way which truthfully reflects the firm’s economic substance. For example, under USGAAP ASC 730, companies must expense research and development costs as incurred (with only a small number of exceptions). This could therefore create a number of oddities which will mean that users of accounts may not see the true economic performance of a business. For instance, a company that spends multiple years researching and developing pharmaceutical products will need to pass all R&D expenditure through the income statement long before any revenue is generated. This creates a potential incentive for companies to outsource their R&D so that development completed by a third party and then acquired by the reporting company can be recognised as an intangible asset. While this outsourced service is being developed, it may not appear in the primary company’s accounts. IFRS takes a slightly different approach to writing accounting standards, setting principles instead of rules. However, this too can create difficulties as management must understand the principles and apply them as they feel appropriate. Using R&D as an example again, IAS38 states that research must be expensed and development can only be capitalised if it meets certain criteria. This means management must understand what is a research cost and what is development, as well as considering the criteria of IAS38 and whether they are met. Users of accounts may not have full insight into these decisions and, as a result, may not fully understand the information as presented. 10.2.2 Forecast errors Compared with outsiders, management have superior insight which allows them to produce more accurate financial information. However, management still lack the ability to predict the future. Unfortunately, several aspects of accounting require management to predict the future before presenting information – namely: 96 • present value of share options • expected value in use of assets • probable future liabilities • expectations to be a going concern • realisable value of stock • irrecoverability of debt • useful lives of NCAs • expectations of NCA disposals. Chapter 10: Earnings management and accounting choices The extent of forecast errors depends on the complexity of business transactions, the predictability of the firm’s environment and unforeseen economy-wide changes. If management’s expectations differ from reality, the financial information will incorrectly reflect the company’s position. 10.2.3 Management’s accounting choices Management are often required to make choices about how to account for certain items. These choices are allowed by the accounting standards, which have been written to offer flexibility to management, to ensure financial statements reflect choices within the business. Examples of such choices are: • holding assets at historical cost rather than revaluing assets to fair value • choosing the useful economic life of an asset • choosing the valuation method of inventory (FIFO, AVCO, LIFO). These choices provide opportunities for distortion of accounting numbers and the potential to hide important information from external users. Activity 10.1 Think about the ‘noise’ that can occur within accounting. What other accounting standards are you aware of where noise may be created due to: • rigidity in accounting • reliance on management’s future expectations • choices made by management in accounting policies and estimates? 10.3 Performing accounting analysis Consider your role as a user of accounts. To ensure that the information is ‘useful’ to us, we must first ensure that the accounting is a fair representation of what we expect from the business. The auditing profession exists to ensure financial statements are free from material misstatements (i.e. they are true and fair). However, the audit report issued is an ‘opinion’ based on the auditor’s own experience and expectations and on evidence provided by internal management. As such, a user of the accounts should not necessarily accept the accounts as a reflection of their own opinion. In fact, a key role of analysts is to ensure the accounts are a fair reflection of their own opinion, in terms of whether to buy, hold or sell stock. Only after completing this assessment will an analyst perform any type of analysis (as per Chapter 6) or perform any valuation (as per Chapters 7 and 8). Palepu et al. (2022) identify six steps in this process. Step 1: Identify key accounting policies First, the analyst must identify key policies and estimates which are affected by the risks and success of the company. It is likely that any ‘noise’ created by these policies will have the most material impact on the company finances. Therefore, more time should be spent on these items than on others. 97 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Worked example 10.1 The UK retailer Marks and Spencer (M&S) sells clothing and food. The business is operated from physical stores on key high streets, and has an online presence too. For such a company, it is likely that inventory, as well as property, plant, and equipment, will be material to operations. As such, we must identify how the company accounts for these items. We can extract such information from the company’s annual report. For example, note 1 on pp.130–139 of the M&S Annual Report 2022 states that: • ‘Inventories are valued on a weighted average cost basis…’ • ‘All inventories are finished goods.’ • ‘Depreciation [of property, plant and equipment] is provided to write off the cost of tangible non-current assets (including investment properties), less estimated residual values on a straight-line basis…’ Step 2: Assess accounting flexibility Next, analysts must determine whether management have choices and flexibility in the accounting standards which regulate the key parts of the business. Knowledge of the accounting standards is critical here. For example, identifying that a company uses straight-line depreciation is of little use unless there is knowledge that the company could have chosen to use a reducing balance basis instead. Likewise, noting that a US based company expenses R&D costs when incurred only becomes useful in analysis of accounting choices if we are aware that this was not a choice but is instead dictated by the standard. Financial statements based on flexible standards should allow management to create informative statements. Statements based on standards with little flexibility will only be useful if the core methods fairly reflect the organisation’s activities. Step 3: Evaluate accounting strategies Where accounting choices have been made, the analyst must examine the reasons behind these choices and consider whether management are using particular accounting strategies to accurately communicate or to misrepresent the true economic performance of the company. The analyst must assess whether management is incentivised to inflate earnings, cover poor governance, or prepare for tougher times ahead – all potential reasons why accounting choices may be exploited. Activity 10.2 Review the case study ‘FinTech corrupted – The fall of Wirecard’ at the end of Chapter 3 in Palepu et al. (2022). Consider the following questions: 1. Why were investors guided towards relying on ‘adjusted versions of financial statements’? 2. What factors affected management’s reporting incentives? 3. What reasons may management have had for not fully disclosing key parts of acquisitions? 98 Chapter 10: Earnings management and accounting choices Step 4: Evaluate the quality of disclosure Although accounting standards often dictate the supporting information which needs to be disclosed within accounts, many firms choose to offer additional voluntary disclosures to provide readers of accounts with a better insight into the performance and decisions being made within the company. Higher levels of disclosure can be seen as an attempt by management to be open and transparent with the capital markets, whereas reduced or minimal disclosure can be interpreted as a sign that the company is attempting to hide information. Therefore, analysts must consider disclosures when assessing the reliability of the accounting information. Worked example 10.2 Apple Inc’s revenue recognition for many of their products requires Apple to break down the contract value (or price) into a number of performance obligations. For example, when an iPad is sold for $799, Apple needs to assign some of this revenue to the hardware being delivered to a customer and some to the software, software updates and software support. The level of detail offered by Apple can be seen to have changed over time, becoming more opaque. The 2013 Apple Inc financial statements included the following detail in their notes on revenue recognition: ‘In 2013, 2012 and 2011, the Company’s combined ESPs for the unspecified software upgrade rights and the rights to receive the non-software services included with its qualifying hardware devices have ranged from $5 to $25. Beginning in September 2013, the combined ESPs for iPhone and iPad were increased by up to $5 to reflect additions to unspecified software upgrade rights due to expansion of essential software bundled with these devices. Accordingly, the range of combined ESPs for iPhone and iPad as of September 2013 is $15 to $25. Beginning in October 2013, the Company anticipates increasing the combined ESPs for Mac from $20 to $40 to reflect additions to unspecified software upgrade rights related to expansion of bundled essential software. Revenue allocated to such rights is deferred and recognized on a straight-line basis over the estimated period the rights are expected to be provided for each device, which ranges from two to four years.’ The equivalent disclosure in 2022 however, showed the following: ‘Revenue allocated to the product-related bundled services and unspecified software upgrade rights is deferred and recognized on a straight-line basis over the estimated period they are expected to be provided.’ This lack of disclosure is something that analysts and users of the accounts must consider when analysing the company’s performance and assessing whether one year’s performance is likely to be comparable to another’s. Activity 10.3 Find the most recent 10-K filed by Apple Inc, either by visiting Apple’s own investor website or by using the SEC EDGAR search and access tool. Within ‘Item 8 Financial Statements and Supplementary Data’, look at the note in which Apple are expected to disclose their revenue by segment (Note 2). Do you think this breakdown gives sufficient insight into Apple’s successful lines or is it possible that management might be trying to make their product success more opaque? 99 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Step 5: Identify potential red flags When looking at company financial information, analysts must pay particular attention to any possible warning signs. The items in the following list do not offer definitive proof that executives are participating in earnings management, but they could be an indicator of potential misreporting. • Unexplained changes in accounting, especially when performance is poor. • Unexplained transactions that boost profits. • Unusual increases in receivables in relation to sales (which could indicate a relaxed credit policy or artificially loading up distribution channels to record revenue). • Unusual increases in inventories in relation to sales (as a sign of over production or delayed sales). • Increases in the gap between net profit and cash flows. • Use of R&D partnerships, SPEs or the sale of receivables to finance operations (e.g. off-balance-sheet liabilities). • Unexpected large asset write-offs with little justification. • Large year-end adjustments which could indicate aggressive interim reporting. • Changes in qualified audit opinions or auditing personnel, which could suggest that outgoing auditors have challenged the management. • Poor internal governance. • Related-party transactions with little business justification. Step 6: Undo accounting distortions In the previous steps, an analyst will have identified key accounting choices, accounting noise and possible red flags which could suggest that management have exploited accounting flexibility. Finally, they must consider whether any accounting treatment is a fair reflection of legitimate business activities or whether managerial judgement is creating bias towards a specific objective. If necessary, the analyst may need to make adjustments to the accounts before using them for valuation purposes. It is also worth noting that different firms use different accounting methods and estimates. Two firms with similar economic activities, but which use different methods and estimates, may have drastically different financial statements. Analysts therefore need to make their own adjustments to allow fair comparison of firms’ financial statements. Activity 10.4 Read Chapter 3 of Palepu et al. (2022). Then attempt questions 1 to 4 at the end of the chapter. 100 Chapter 10: Earnings management and accounting choices 10.4 Undoing accounting distortions in action 10.4.1 Aggressive or conservative depreciation policy Recall that common depreciation methods are straight line, reducing balance or on a ‘per unit of production’ basis. To calculate the depreciation expense, and therefore the carrying amount on the balance sheet, management must choose an appropriate method and also consider the useful life and expected residual value of the asset. Worked example 10.3 Consider the following: Company A, an airline firm, purchases aircraft which it then depreciates over a useful economic life of 12 years. The company assumes a residual value of 15% is appropriate. Industry peers, however, use a useful life of 20 years and a residual value of 10%. Company A has a fleet of aircraft which costs €22,484 million and has accumulated depreciation of €12,384 million. If we consider the industry peers’ assumptions to be more appropriate, let us adjust Company A’s balance sheet and income statement with regards to these matters. (Assume tax is 30%.) a. Compare current accounting to desired change Old depreciation expense = Adjusted expense = (€22,484 − €3,373)/12 yrs (€22,484 − €2,248)/20 yrs Difference Average asset life = old accumulated deprecation = €1,593 = €1,012 = €581 old annual deprecation expense = €12 ,238 = 7.682 years €1 ,593 Adjusted accumulated depreciation = 7.682 × €1,012 = €7,775 Old accumulated depreciation = €12,238 Difference = €4,463 b. Make the accounting adjustment to the financial statements Adjust the income statement Decrease the depreciation expense by €581 Increase tax expense by €174.3 (€581 × 30%) Increase profit by €406.7 Adjust the balance sheet Increase the value of assets by €4,463 Adjust deferred tax by €1,339 (€4,463 × 30%) Increase retained earnings by €3,124 (€406.7 × 7.682 years) 101 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 10.4.2 Early or late recognition of revenue Recall that under IFRS and USGAAP, revenue must be assigned appropriately to contract obligations and should only be recognised when a contract obligation has been satisfied. Management choice exists when determining the performance obligations as well as how much revenue should be assigned to each element. Worked example 10.4 Company 123 Inc produces fitness bikes and offers customers a subscription to online classes. Separately, a fitness bike retails at $900 and a 12-month subscription fee is $350. The company changes its pricing strategy so the bike retails at $1000 but a 12-month subscription is given away free with the purchase. The company considers that no additional costs are to be incurred for this free subscription, so the bike revenue will be recognised in the same way (i.e. $1000 upon delivery of the bike). The company has steadily sold 500,000 bikes over the past 8 months using this policy. As an analyst, you consider that this technique has been used by management to recognise revenue early. What adjustments will you make to the financial statements? (Assume tax is 30%.) a. Compare current accounting to desired change Total revenue recognised in current year = 500,000 × $1000 = $500m The new pricing strategy could be considered as two performance obligations being sold at a discount. Discount offered = ($900 + $350) − $1000 = 20% ($900 + $350) New contract pricing should be broken down into: $900 × (1 − 20%) = $720 $350 × (1 − 20%) = $280 Correct revenue to recognise for the bike = 500,000 × $720 = $360m For subscription, assume average length of subscription to date = 4 months (8 months / 2 since products sold evenly). Revenue to recognise = Revenue to defer = 8 12 4 12 × $280 × 500,000 = $46.7m × $280 × 500,000 = $93.3m b. Make the accounting adjustment to the financial statements Decrease revenue by $93.3m Decrease tax expense by $28.0m Decrease profit by $65.3m Increase deferred income by $93.3m Adjust deferred tax by $28.0m Decrease retained earnings by $65.3 102 Chapter 10: Earnings management and accounting choices 10.4.3 Understated allowance for doubtful debt Management are required to ensure that any receivables in the financial statements meet the definition of an asset – i.e. an economic resource that has the potential to produce economic benefit. Management are expected to use their inside knowledge to forecast any possible receivables which are likely to be irrecoverable or doubtful. However, management forecasts may be more optimistic than those of the user of the financial statements. As such, additional allowances may be needed. Activity 10.5 You work as an analyst on the sell side and are currently assessing the allowance for doubtful debts on a major retailer. You notice that, historically, the company has created an average allowance of 2.46% for receivables. This year, however, the allowance has been reduced to 1.99%. You feel that this is inappropriate. The current gross receivables is £672,054 with an allowance of £13,377. What adjustments would be needed within the income statement and balance sheet to correct for your opinion? (Assume tax is 30%.) 10.4.4 Adjusting for delayed impairments Under IFRS, an asset should be impaired when its carrying amount exceeds its recoverable amount – for example, when there are significant technological, market, economic or legal changes that impact a company. However, management may wish to delay any impairment, to ensure asset values are high and to keep expenses low. This could be beneficial for the company should any debt covenants be linked to asset value, but could also be beneficial if management’s remuneration is linked to profit. Analysts will need to consider whether industry peers have recently impaired assets or whether significant changes in the economy/industry could indicate impairment. Activity 10.6 You are working as an analyst focusing on the automotive industry. You have noticed that one client holds ¥817,300 million of intangible assets which include R&D. As a result of changes in climate legislation, many automotive firms are impairing their R&D which relates to diesel technology. Most peers have recently impaired their intangibles by approximately 5.4%. What adjustments would be needed within the client’s income statement and balance sheet to apply this impairment? (Assume tax is 24%.) 103 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 10.7 Read the following sections from Chapter 4 of Palepu et al. (2022): • Asset distortion • Overstated depreciation for non-current assets • Key intangible assets off balance sheet • Accelerated recognition of revenues • Allowances 10.5 Overview of chapter Following on from earlier chapters, which explored the reasons for financial reporting, the metrics used to assess company performance and the ways in which accounting information can be used to establish company value, Chapter 9 recognised that accounting information can be distorted to ensure management meet earnings targets. This chapter has offered further explanations as to why financial statements may not always show reliable information, even when following accounting standards. The chapter offers a framework for users of financial information to follow to determine whether financial statements can be considered robust or whether adjustments are needed. The chapter then explored a small number of examples where an analyst may consider the financial statements to be misleading, identifying the adjustments that are needed before the information can be used for further analysis. 10.6 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: 104 • critically appraise accounting choices made by firms • compare and contrast the advantages and disadvantages of rulesbased accounting standards compared with principle-based accounting standards • identify potential red flags in accounting which may suggest earnings management is occurring • perform some simple accounting adjustments which may be needed on company accounts. Chapter 10: Earnings management and accounting choices 10.7 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. You have been analysing the depreciation policy of L&L. After assessing the following extract, you are not comfortable that the policy for fixtures and fittings is appropriate. Fixtures and fittings Cost of assets at end of year £1,200 Accumulated depreciation at end of year £650 £550 Depreciation on fixtures and fittings is calculated using the straight-line method to allocate their cost over a useful economic life of 10 years. A residual value of 10% is assumed. Most companies in the industry assume a much shorter useful economic life and very rarely do the assets have a residual value. As such, you would like to adjust the accounts to reflect a useful life of 7 years and a residual value of 0%. Calculate the impact of this adjustment on both the balance sheet and the income statement of L&L. (Assume tax is 20%.) 2. Following your analysis, you have been asked by a colleague to offer some guidance to new analysts about how to identify potential ‘red flags’ in accounting. Briefly list some of the issues that you may identify when you analyse a company which would warant the gathering of further information. 105 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Notes 106 Part 2: Management accounting Part 2: Management accounting Introduction Welcome to the management accounting section of AC3193 Accounting theory. In this section (Chapters 11–20), we will look in detail at management control. The section considers why and how organisations control and measure their activities. It takes a broad approach which could be useful for all management personnel. For students of management accounting, it broadens understanding of the whole control and measurement function. This will enable you as management accountants to be a more effective part of the management team, linking your deep knowledge of accounting with a good understanding of how financial results and reports are used within the organisation and how they can be made more effective in enabling managers to pursue organisational targets. Organising your studies In Chapters 11–20 of the subject guide, the topics are organised based on the chapters of the textbook listed below. The textbook is very comprehensive, citing many sources giving different viewpoints and examples. Due to its comprehensive nature, for most chapters, there are few further readings. The subject guide topics are based around the contents of each textbook chapter and are aimed at giving you a summary of the main themes with activities guiding you towards issues which may be amplified in the text. There are some suggestions of using web-based examples. The end of each chapter gives a case study from the textbook with suggested questions to direct discussion. The case studies are used to help the topics come alive. However, the examination paper will require essay questions to be answered. Essential reading The reading for this course is divided into two categories: Essential and Further. You should purchase the textbooks in the Essential reading list below; you will also be given online access to the other essential publications (individual book chapters, journal articles, etc.) either via the Online Library or through scans uploaded to the VLE. You are not required to have access to, or or to buy, the Further readings, but they may prove helpful to you in your study. For Chapters 11–20, the Essential reading is: Merchant, K.A. and W.A. Van der Stede Management control systems: Performance measurement, evaluation and incentives. (Harlow: Pearson, 2017) 4th edition [ISBN 9781292110554]. Further reading Further reading for Chapters 11–20 is: Chapter 11 Hammer, M. Beyond reengineering: how the process-centered organization is changing our work and our lives. (New York, NY: Harper Business, 1996) [ISBN 9780887307294]. 107 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Chapter 12 Hofstede, G. Culture’s consequences: international differences in workrelated values. (Beverley Hills, CA: SAGE Publications, 2001) [ISBN 9780803913066] Ma, J. ‘Dear investors: letter from Jack Ma as Alibaba prepares roadshow’, Financial Times [London, UK] 5 September 2014. Available online at www. ft.com/content/54a53a50-353d-11e4-aa47-00144feabdc0 Petruno, T. ‘Sunrise scam throws light on incentive pay programmes’, Los Angeles Times [Los Angeles, CA] 15 January 1996. Available online at http://articles.latimes.com/1996-01-15/business/fi-24821_1_incentivepay-plans The Economist ‘Tesco’s accounting problems not so funny’, The Economist [London, UK] 27 September 2014. Available online at www.economist. com/business/2014/09/27/not-so-funny Chapter 13 Horngren, C.T., S.M. Datar and M.V. Rajan Cost accounting: a managerial emphasis. (Harlow: Pearson Education Ltd, 2015) 15th edition [ISBN 9781292078977] Chapter 22. Chapter 19 Association of Chartered Accountants (ACCA) ‘ACCA code of conduct and ethics’, ACCA www.accaglobal.com/uk/en/member/standards/ethics/accacode-of-ethics-and-conduct.html Birsch, D. and J.H. Fielder The Ford Pinto case: a study in applied ethics, business and society. (Albany, NY: State University of New York Press, 1994) [ISBN 9780791422342]. UK Government ‘Whistleblowing for employees’, GOV.UK www.gov.uk/ whistleblowing/who-to-tell-what-to-expect Chapter 20 Moullin, M. ‘How the public sector scorecard works’, Public sector scorecard www.publicsectorscorecard.co.uk/how-the-pss-works.html Office for National Statistics www.ons.gov.uk Further information Details on the VLE, learning resources and examinations can be found in the introduction to this guide: Chapter 1. 108 Chapter 11: Introduction to control systems – personnel controls, cultural controls, action controls and results controls Chapter 11: Introduction to control systems – personnel controls, cultural controls, action controls and results controls 11.1 Introduction In AC2097 Management accounting, which is a prerequisite for this course, we discussed the advantages of, and problems with, using accounting measures to appraise managerial performance. Here, we will look in detail – from first principles – at why and how organisations control and measure their activities and how the use of accounting results is only part of that process. 11.1.1. Aims of the chapter This chapter aims to: • introduce the concept management control • look at the various methods of control and the different ways in which they are used by companies, depending on their needs • consider the importance of controls • explain the different types of control, such as action, personnel, cultural and results controls. 11.1.2 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain why an understanding of management control is important for managers in all areas of an organisation • describe the management process in terms of objective setting, strategy formulation and management control • discuss some causes of management control problems • explain the terms: action controls, personnel controls and cultural controls • identify, for each of these types of control, ways in which it can be implemented, the most appropriate conditions for its use and the problems that should be considered • explain results controls and describe the steps required to implement them • identify the conditions needed to implement effective results controls and discuss why they are important. 11.1.3 Essential reading Merchant, K.A. and W.A. Van der Stede Management control systems: Performance measurement, evaluation and incentives. (Harlow: Pearson, 2017) 4th edition [ISBN 9781292110554] Chapters 1–3. 109 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 11.1.4 Further reading Hammer, Michael Beyond re-engineering: How the process-centred organisation is changing our work and our lives. (New York: Harper Business, 1996) [ISBN 9780887307294]. 11.2 The importance of management control Budgets are part of the planning and control function of an organisation. However, they are only a small part of what has to happen in order to ensure that an organisation functions and meets its objectives. People are involved at all stages in order for an organisation to operate. It is people who create actions, so the objective of management control is put in place systems that encourage desirable behaviour from employees and guard against undesirable actions. Activity 11.1 Examine this organisation chart for a hospital. HOSPITAL ORGANISATION CHART Board of Directors Administration department Finance Personnel Records/statistics Training Hospital library Continuing professional development Medical departments General medicine Surgery Gynaecology Maintenance Dental Security Ophthalmic Cleaning/gardening Laundry Purchasing/stores Figure 11.1: Organisation chart. Then imagine all the different jobs that there are in each area. Consider that each role requires a job description and that each task has to follow a procedure to ensure it is correctly done and mistakes are not made. Activity 11.2 Familiarise yourself with the control process diagram below. Note that this process applies – to a greater or lesser extent – to each job and person performing that job. Collect information about the role and activities of the job Set tasks and goals Communication and co-operation Measure progress Figure 11.2: Control process diagram. 110 Allocate responsibilities Support units Laboratory Imaging Pharmacy Physiotherapy Endoscopy Chapter 11: Introduction to control systems – personnel controls, cultural controls, action controls and results controls The control process diagram in the above activity is circular because processes need to be regularly reviewed to ensure that they remain relevant. Organisations need processes, called controls, to ensure that the appropriate activities take place, that performance is monitored to ensure that there are no mistakes and to improve processes. Controls fall into the following categories: cultural, personnel, action and results. Cultural controls are built on shared traditions, norms, beliefs, values, ideologies, attitudes and ways of behaving which are accepted by the group. An organisation’s culture encourages mutual monitoring and group pressure being placed on individuals who do not follow group norms. These controls work best where the group shares emotional ties. Personnel controls rely on employees’ natural tendency to control and motivate themselves. They encourage self-control, intrinsic motivation, ethics, morality, trust and loyalty. Action controls specifically state the actions that an employee should take. The action is the focus of the control (e.g. sewing buttons on shirts). Results controls are different in that they do not specify how a role should be performed but what the outcome is expected to be. Returning to our hospital example in Activity 11.1, a nurse working on a ward may have the following controls: • Cultural: training and rules on how to perform procedures laid down by the association. • Personnel: a motivation to do the best for patients, the team and abide by medical ethics. • Action: shift hours, checks on punctuality, procedures that must be carried out for each patient at certain times, rules on filling in records of patient treatment, etc. • Results: promotion, maybe team-based rewards. Activity 11.3 The following matrix gives a good indication of when these different controls may be used. Consider the four control types and then fill in each box with the most appropriate type. Ability to measure results Excellent Knowledge of which specific actions are desirable Poor High Low 111 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Feedback The following are examples of how you might have filled in this matrix: • high ability to measure results and high knowledge of which specific actions are desirable – action control; e.g. a routine job such as sewing shirts • high ability to measure results but poor knowledge of specific actions – results control; e.g. managing a department, organising a delivery schedule • low ability to measure results but high knowledge of specific actions – cultural control and action control; e.g. a nurse • low ability to measure results and poor knowledge of specific action – personnel control; e.g. research and development laboratory. It is important for managers in all areas of an organisation to have a thorough understanding of management control. This relates to all the resources that a manager might use and includes both machines and people. Therefore every manager should understand which controls are appropriate for their department and how they will be used. The issues below relate to Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 1, which you can read either before, or in conjunction with these notes and activities. Activity 11.4 Answer questions 1 and 2 before you check your answers! 1. Which of the following people are not likely to be interested in the contents of the textbook? a. Financial specialists b. Personnel directors c. Sole traders d. Auditors. 2. Each of the following describes a problem mentioned in Chapter 1 of Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) that had occurred in organisations due to lack of management control. Match the scenarios in (a) to (e) to the organisations in (i) to (v). a. Students’ grades change dramatically. i) A motor manufacturer b. An employee sends details of secret research ii) to the media. A bank c. Employees shredded 90,000 documents. iii) The Bank of England d. A company designed software to deceive regulators. iv) A schoolteacher e. An employee fell asleep at the keyboard. v) A service centre working for the government. 3. Explain in your own words what happened in each scenario described in question 2. 112 Chapter 11: Introduction to control systems – personnel controls, cultural controls, action controls and results controls Feedback 1. (c) 2. a. (iv) b. (iii) c. (v) d. (i) e. (ii) 11.2.1 Objective setting All organisations should be able to identify their purpose. This is sometimes done by use of a mission statement. The following are examples of the mission statements of different types of organisations: Save the Children ‘Our mission is to to inspire breakthroughs in the way the world treats children and to achieve immediate and lasting change in their lives.’ San Diego Zoo ‘San Diego Zoo Global is committed to saving species worldwide by uniting out expertise in animal care and conservation science with our dedication to inspiring passion for nature.’ IKEA ‘Our vision is to create a better everyday life for the many people.’ Activity 11.5 Using the internet, look up the mission statement of any organisation you are interested in. Then ask yourself whether you think the mission statement is sufficiently clear so that you can identify the specific activities that the organisation carries out. Make notes of your views. 11.2.2 Strategy formulation Strategy formulation aims to identify an organisation’s future strategy and to define the ways in which its resources will be used to achieve its strategic goals. Some companies’ starting point is to identify specifically where they are heading and plan accordingly. Others allow their strategy to emerge from the environment and interactions between employees and management, utilising spontaneous decisions or local experimentation. The latter is more likely to take place in organisations where there are often influential changes in the environment that will affect the future (e.g. research organisations, service providers, etc.). 11.2.3 Management control Management control comprises all the measures that are put in place to help sustain a workforce. It includes the strategies that management use to encourage, enable and, possibly, force employees to work in the ways the organisation requires. Activity 11.6 Explain how object setting, strategy formulation and management control are related. 11.2.4 Behavioural emphasis It is people who create actions, so the objective of management control is to put in place systems that encourage desirable behaviour from employees and guard against undesirable actions. 113 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 11.7 What three issues are suggested in Chapter 1 of Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) that need to be determined for each employee? Think about which of these issues could be relevant for an electrician working in a maintenance department of a university. Jot down your thoughts and compare your notes with those of other students on the VLE. 11.3 Causes of management control problems 11.3.1 Lack of direction Employees need to know what they are expected to do and how they can maximise their efficiency to help fulfil the objectives of the organisation they work for. If this is not clear, employees will set their own goals, which may not coincide with the organisation’s requirements. 11.3.2 Motivational problems An organisation’s goals are more likely to be met if employees are motivated to work productively. Apart from preventing activities such as fraud, organisations need to create a climate which deters employees from time wasting and, more importantly, a work environment that enables people to gain satisfaction from working hard. Office workers who cannot really see the outcome of their work because it is just part of a system may not be motivated to work hard consistently. They may spend part of their time at work engaged in nonwork-related activities like surfing the internet. Contrast this with teachers who are very engaged and therefore spend extra time encouraging their pupils to be enthused so that they will make progress. This is not to say that all office workers are disengaged and all teachers are devoted, but it does highlight the lack of satisfaction experienced when an employee does not feel fulfilled. 11.3.3 Personal limitations A person may not be equipped for the job they are required to do, either because of poor recruitment or poor training. They may have been promoted beyond their abilities. They may not have been given sufficient information to do the job or the job may be too difficult to do in the time allowed. 11.3.4 Characteristics of good management control Good control is evident if management is confident that no major or unpleasant surprises will occur. Not having perfect control (which is impossible) is called control loss. If the control loss is high, extra measures must be put in place as long as they are cost effective (i.e. implementing the controls costs less than the potential loss). Sometimes, more effective operations can be brought about by significantly changing the way things are done. For example: 114 • Activity elimination: when a company does not have expertise in a particular area they may consider outsourcing. • Automation, computers, robots, expert systems, production automation: these may be more cost effective than human staff. This may result in the avoidance problems of inaccuracy, inconsistency and poor motivation. However, only certain tasks can be dealt with in this way and personnel with different skills are required to install and Chapter 11: Introduction to control systems – personnel controls, cultural controls, action controls and results controls operate them effectively. They bring their own control issues in terms of correct training, reduced access to avoid improper use or fraud, maintenance and back-up procedures in case of failure. • Centralisation of key decisions: this occurs to ensure continuity and oversight of important decisions (e.g. major acquisitions and divestments of subsidiaries, significant capital expenditure and negotiating sales contracts with important clients). • Risk sharing: this includes insurance and undertaking joint ventures with other companies. Activity 11.8 Give specific examples of these activities, all of which help to create effective management control: • activity elimination • automation • centralisation • risk sharing. 11.4 Action, personnel and cultural controls It will be helpful if you read Chapter 3 before Chapter 2 of Merchant and Van der Stede (2017). Chapter 3 discusses the control mechanisms that will be in place regardless of whether results controls are also used. If you read this chapter before Chapter 2, you will have an understanding of how the day-to-day operations of organisations are planned, controlled and supervised. Chapter 2 on results controls explains how some management control systems rely on the measurement of specific individual activity where the tasks are not defined but the expected outcomes are agreed and, if achieved, can be specifically rewarded. The issues below relate to Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 3 which you can read either before, or in conjunction with these notes and activities. 11.4.1 Action controls Action controls specifically state the actions an employee should take in order to do their job properly. The action is the focus of the control (i.e. if the employee carries out the work in the way specified, it is under control). If the employee acts in a different way, and if it is observable, then corrective action can be taken. Activity 11.9 Describe the action controls that might be in place for someone who works on a supermarket checkout. Action controls may be negative (i.e. stopping an employee from performing incorrect actions) or positive (i.e. guiding employees on how to perform the tasks required of them). Behavioural constraints are built in with the intention of preventing employees from performing incorrect actions. The constraints include: • physical (e.g. locks on cabinets, computer passwords) • administrative rules (e.g. limiting spending authority, separation of duties (internal control)) 115 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations • Mechanical deterrents (e.g. building steps into a procedure to guard against incorrect/dangerous actions, such as a microwave that does not work with the door open). If employees know the system well, they can find a way around many of these controls. Activity 11.10 Think through what checks or constraints may be in place at a supermarket checkout. Preaction reviews Action plans and budgets prepared by employees can be reviewed by superiors. Where necessary, more details can be requested and modifications made before approval is given. Activity 11.11 Suggest what daily plans can be put in place to ensure that supermarket checkouts are staffed adequately. Action accountability Employees can be held accountable for the actions they take. Actions are defined as acceptable (or not) and are communicated to employees. Employees’ activity is observed or tracked. Correct actions are praised and may be the focus of rewards, whereas wrong actions are corrected and may incur sanctions. Actions are communicated either administratively through written instructions or lists, or socially by means of colleagues modelling acceptable behaviour. In some areas, professional conduct is expected and, though not necessarily clearly defined, these norms are understood by each profession. Communication is important. The reasons for performing actions correctly, and the consequences of not performing them correctly, should be communicated. Redundancy This involves using back-up employees or machines to create extra resources to take over if something goes wrong. This ensures that the process is not interrupted. Prevention action controls and detection action controls Prevention action controls ensure that employees perform correct behaviour. This may occur through direct supervision. Detection action controls are applied either routinely or as a result of a specific problem after the wrong behaviour has been observed (e.g. checking mechanisms that draw attention to the problem such as quality checks or cash reconciliations). The existence of these checks often deters incorrect behaviour. Conditions determining the effectiveness of action controls • 116 Knowledge of the desired actions – this is easy to determine in routine procedures (e.g. a specified production activity or loan approval decisions in banks). However, complex or uncertain tasks (e.g. supervision, machine repairs, market research and research engineering) are not routine and require judgement and initiative. Chapter 11: Introduction to control systems – personnel controls, cultural controls, action controls and results controls • Ability to ensure that the desired actions are taken – this can be tricky in situations where employees understand the checking system that is in place and so can circumvent it, either to hide their mistakes or benefit from the bonus system by deliberate fraud. 11.4.2 Personnel controls Personnel controls build on employees’ natural tendencies to control and motivate themselves. They encourage self-control, intrinsic motivation, ethics, morality, trust and loyalty. The objectives of personnel controls are to: • clarify expectations by ensuring that employees understand what the organisation wants • help to ensure that employees have the capabilities to do the job (i.e. the necessary experience, intelligence, resources and information) • enable employees to self-monitor. Personnel controls require good selection and placement, training, efficient job design and provision of the necessary resources. 11.4.3 Cultural controls Cultural controls are built on shared traditions, norms, beliefs, values, ideologies, attitudes and ways of behaving that are accepted by the group. The culture of the workplace encourages mutual monitoring and group pressure on individuals who do not follow group norms. These controls work best when there are emotional ties within the group. Organisations have cultures which embody the rules that are acceptable to them. Some rules are written, others are unwritten. Where cultural norms are strong, employees feel safe and accepted (as long as they stay within the norms) which leads to them working well together. Cultural codes are usually drafted by top management and the legal department, and are regarded as the fundamental principles of a company. The codes may be changed due to specific incidents within the company or industry, legal changes, leadership changes or business strategy changes. Codes of conduct may – or may not – help to control employee behaviour. Leadership from the top is important (i.e. top management should be seen to take the organisation’s codes of conduct seriously). Activity 11.12 Do an internet search for codes of conduct. Some are drawn up by professional bodies, for example The Nursing and Midwifery Council, others are drawn up by companies, for example Coca Cola, and some for not-for-profit organisations, for example Action Aid. If you were working for one of these organisations, would you find the code helpful? What other parties would be likely to read the cultural code of an organisation? Make notes of your ideas and discuss these with other students on the VLE. 11.4.4 Encouraging effective cultural and personnel controls Group-based rewards These aim to motivate cooperative and effective working of the group towards organisational goals. The rewards may be profit-sharing for all employees or group rewards. 117 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Open book management This idea involves making much more financial and other information available to employees so that they can see the effects of their actions on the company’s performance. Employees must be trained to understand the information and how they can contribute to the company’s performance and earn group rewards. A culture change may be needed from the top-down approach, which exists in many organisations, in order to encourage employees’ ideas and enable their ideas to be implemented. Intra-organisational transfers of employees or employee rotation This activity encourages employees to work in different parts of the organisation. It can help to develop a wider understanding of the interconnectedness of the different activities in an organisation. It can also deter collusion in fraud by stopping employees becoming too familiar with a department’s activities, colleagues and processes. Care must be taken to make this a positive experience for employees who are transferred. A policy on whistle-blowing is required to ensure that employees who experience or observe wrong practices (e.g. fraud, bullying of subordinates) are able to speak out, knowing that they will be protected and that action will be taken (see also Chapter 19.) Physical and social arrangements Office layouts that encourage collaborative working can be positive. Social arrangements should be agreed in discussions between employees and management (e.g. dress code and institutional habits). Tone at the top Leaders need to be role models. 11.4.5 Summary Cultural codes are general, relating to all employees or a group of employees. Personnel controls build on the culture of the organisation and encourage personal responsibility. Action controls focus on particular ways to do specific tasks or roles. 11.4.6 Proactive and reactive controls Many measures are proactive to prevent problems from occurring (e.g. expenditure approvals, computer passwords and dividing up duties). Other measures are reactive (i.e. measuring the activities as they happen and intervening to correct actions if necessary). The purpose is to guard against people in the organisation either from doing something they should not do or not doing something that they should do. Activity 11.13 Give an example of how your school, college or university uses both proactive and reactive controls. 118 Chapter 11: Introduction to control systems – personnel controls, cultural controls, action controls and results controls 11.5 Results controls The issues below relate to Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 3 which you can read either before, or in conjunction with these notes and activities. The concept of results controls is that employees should feel that they are in business for themselves, and that their actions will lead to better or worse implications for themselves. For this to work effectively for the organisation, goal congruence is needed so that the actions which benefit the employee also benefit the organisation, and employees are enabled to see the consequences of their activity. Employees are therefore empowered and motivated to use their judgement to develop the best way of achieving the required outcomes. Results controls are mostly used for controlling the behaviour of professionals and managers, that is ‘Someone who is responsible for achieving a result rather than performing a task’ (Hammer, 1996). Results controls are needed if an organisation is to become decentralised. 11.5.1 Steps Defining performance dimensions People work towards the goals and measurements that are set for them, which means that what is measured tends to get done. If performance dimensions are not correctly defined, employees will not be working towards the correct goals (e.g. if a maintenance department were rewarded based on the number of repair jobs they completed within a specified time frame, they would give priority to jobs that took the shortest time to complete and more complicated jobs, which might be critical to operations in the production area, would be put at the bottom of the list, even if this disrupted output). Measuring performance Many performance measures can be financial (e.g. return on assets). Nonfinancial measures such as market share are also common and, as they are in number form, they are easy to measure. Other non-financial measures require judgement (e.g. employee traits such as taking the initiative). These are often recorded on a scale of, for example, one to 10. In the manufacturing area, measures such as output per hour and amount of unproductive time may be used. A situation may arise in which the required financial performance needs to be translated into operational performance. This is sometimes called a hinge or linking pin process. If more than one results measure is used, the weighting of each should be made clear to employees so that they are aware of what their priorities are. Setting performance targets Once performance measures are decided, the level of expected achievement must be agreed between employees and their managers. Providing rewards Although rewards are often financial, other rewards that make employees feel empowered and effective can be equally important (e.g. promotion, job security or recognition). The rewards should encourage the greatest motivation, but they must also be cost effective. For rewards to be effective, they need to be valued by the individual employee. Some may prefer immediate cash bonuses, while others may prefer increased pension contributions or more interesting work. 119 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 11.14 What is involved in the following steps that are used to implement results controls? • Defining performance dimensions • Measuring performance • Setting performance targets • Providing rewards. Make notes of your ideas and discuss these with other students on the VLE. 11.6 Conditions needed to implement effective results controls 11.6.1 Knowledge of desired results It is not always easy to determine performance targets for each role within an organisation in such a way that profitability (or effectiveness in a notfor-profit organisation) is always improved. It is also important to give the right weightings to each activity. Using the wrong measures or weighting can lead to employees performing the wrong actions. 11.6.2 Ability to influence desired results (controllability) Employees must be able to affect the results that are measured by their own actions. If employees have little ability to control their activity, then it may not be possible to use results controls. 11.6.3 Ability to measure controllable results effectively The purpose of results controls is to motivate employees to perform the appropriate activities. Results measures should be precise, objective, timely, understandable and cost-effective. If it is very difficult to measure the results efficiently, then results control may not be the correct method to adopt. Activity 11.15 Why is each of the following important? • Knowledge of desired results • Ability to influence desired results (controllability) • Ability to measure controllable results effectively. Make notes of your ideas and discuss these with other students on the VLE. 11.7 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: 120 • explain why an understanding of management control is important for managers in all areas of an organisation • describe the management process in terms of objective setting, strategy formulation and management control • discuss some causes of management control problems • explain the terms: action controls, personnel controls and cultural controls Chapter 11: Introduction to control systems – personnel controls, cultural controls, action controls and results controls • identify, for each of these types of control, ways in which it can be implemented, the most appropriate conditions for its use and the problems that should be considered • explain results controls and describe the steps required to implement them • identify the conditions needed to implement effective results controls and discuss why they are important. 11.8 Case studies 1. Read the case study ‘Leo’s Four-Plex Theater’ at the end of Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 1, pp.22–23, then answer the following questions: • What does the theatre’s control system lack? • What control improvements would you suggest? 2. Read the case study ‘EyeOn Pharmaceuticals’ at the end of Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 3, pp. 114–19, then answer the following questions: • How would you categorise the control strategy used in the research and development area? • Evaluate the control strategy. What, if anything, should EyeOn managers do differently? • How can the productivity of research and development be measured? 11.9 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. Describe action controls, personnel controls and cultural controls. Explain why, with so many other controls available, results controls are also used. 121 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Notes 122 Chapter 12: Control system tightness and control system costs Chapter 12: Control system tightness and control system costs 12.1 Introduction In Chapter 11, we identified different methods of controlling and encouraging good work performance. In this chapter, which draws on Chapters 4 and 5 of Merchant and Van der Stede (2017), we will look in detail at how controls can be designed to encourage the most efficient and effective working environment. We then turn to consider the costs of designing, implementing and sustaining a control system. The costs involved are both direct costs as well as the costs that result from poor design, which can lead to time being wasted by following the wrong goals and manipulating the situation so as to appear to be following the right goals. We finish the chapter by considering the issues that arise where companies have divisions in different countries or environments and therefore cannot necessarily adopt the same systems across the whole organisation. The knock-on effect will be that there will be more expense involved in designing appropriate systems, but in the long run it is likely to be more cost-effective to do this than to have an inefficient operation. 12.1.1 Aims of the chapter This chapter aims to: • outline the issues involved in creating a well-designed management control system • give a summary of the direct and indirect costs of operating the system. 12.1.2 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain the issues to be considered in implementing tight results controls • explain the issues to be considered in implementing tight action controls • explain the issues to be considered in implementing tight personnel and cultural controls • identify, in general terms, the direct costs of management control systems • describe behavioural displacement related to results, action and personnel and cultural controls • describe gamesmanship, creation of slack resources, data manipulation and operating delays • explain the negative attitudes that may arise through poor design of controls • identify the types of situation where adaptation of control systems may arise. 123 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 12.1.3 Essential reading Merchant, K.A. and W.A. Van der Stede Management control systems: Performance measurement, evaluation and incentives. (Harlow: Pearson, 2017) 4th edition [ISBN 9781292110554] Chapters 4 and 5. 12.1.4 Further reading Hofstede, G. Culture’s consequences: international differences in workrelated values. (Beverley Hills, CA: SAGE Publications, 2001) [ISBN 9780803913066]. Ma, J. ‘Dear investors: letter from Jack Ma as Alibaba prepares roadshow’, Financial Times [London, UK] 5 September 2014. Available online at www. ft.com/content/54a53a50-353d-11e4-aa47-00144feabdc0 Petruno, T. ‘Sunrise scam throws light on incentive pay programmes’, Los Angeles Times [Los Angeles, CA] 15 January 1996. Available online at http://articles.latimes.com/1996-01-15/business/fi-24821_1_incentivepay-plans The Economist ‘Tesco’s accounting problems not so funny’, The Economist [London, UK] 27 September 2014. Available online at www.economist. com/business/2014/09/27/not-so-funny 12.1.5 References cited Hofstede, G. Culture’s consequences. (Beverley Hills, CA: Sage Publications, 2001) Second edition [ISBN 9780803973244]. ‘Dear investors: Letter from Jack Ma as Alibaba prepares roadshow’, Financial Times, 5 September 2014. 12.2 Control system tightness The issues below relate to Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 4 which you can read either before, after or in conjunction with these notes and activities. An important decision in all areas of organisational control is ‘how tight should controls be?’. This is related to the definition of the action to be controlled, the ability to measure it accurately and the rewards or penalties of meeting – or not meeting – the target. All controls must be specific, and the desired results must be communicated and accepted by those being controlled. Where the controls can be used exclusively in a particular performance area, the controls should be complete (i.e. they should cover all areas of expected performance). 12.2.1 Issues to be considered in the design of good results controls Congruence In order to be effective, results controls must be goal congruent (i.e. they should guide the manager to make decisions that are in line with the organisation’s objectives). This requires that the objectives are well understood. Activity 12.1 Give two examples of ambivalent objectives, either from your own experience or from Merchant and Van der Stede (2017). 124 Chapter 12: Control system tightness and control system costs Specificity Managers must know specifically what their targets are. These are often financial, which is realistic when actions lead to easily measured outcomes, but is more difficult in some areas of a business and in some types of industry or organisation. Activity 12.2 Describe two situations when it is difficult to set easily measurable targets, either from your own experience or from Merchant and Van der Stede (2017). Communication and internalisation Managers must understand what their targets are and have a desire to meet them. They must understand what they need to do in order to achieve them. This can vary due to: • employees’ qualifications • the extent to which the managers feel they have control to meet the measured results • the manager’s participation in the goal-setting process and the extent to which they consider the targets achievable. Completeness The measures should cover all the areas over which the manager has control. Areas that are not measured tend to be ignored as energy is put into those that are measured. The difficulty is that some areas are difficult to measure. Activity 12.3 Give two examples of how unmeasured areas may be disregarded by employees, either from your own experience or from Merchant and Van der Stede (2017). Performance measurement Measures need to be precise, objective, timely and understandable. Incentives Results controls are most effective if there are consequences from meeting or not meeting targets that have been set. The expected actions and the rewards must be linked. Two types of link can be used. A direct link translates performance into specific additional rewards. Usually achievement is highly rewarded and failure receives little, if any benefit. A definite link means that no excuses will be considered and failure leads to high penalties. Activity 12.4 Describe two examples of penalties resulting from missing targets. Use the internet to research some recent examples. Tight controls and too tight controls Some very routine activities can be measured closely using modern technology (e.g. devices scanning employees’ actions). 125 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Care must be taken to ensure that these actions are considered reasonable by those being measured. Communication and discussion between management and employees is vital. This will ensure that management can find out whether a measure is acceptable and that employees can understand the purpose of the control. Employees might be able to suggest better approaches since they are doing the day-to-day work. Activity 12.5 Describe an example of this sort of monitoring. You can follow this up by looking at the discussion about this subject on the ACAS website: www.acas.org.uk/index. aspx?articleid=5721 12.2.2 Issues to be considered when designing tight action controls The aim here is to ensure that employees whose work is controlled by action controls are doing things correctly and do not have opportunities to make mistakes or commit fraud. Behavioural constraints This involves physical and administrative ways to encourage correct behaviour, such as: • physical – locks, passwords, restricted access to information (dependent on job responsibility) • administrative – restricting decision-making authority and ensuring that higher level employees do not become indispensable • separating duties – ensuring that no one person can complete a transaction. Employees may override internal controls or collude to hide mistakes or perpetrate fraud. Pre-action reviews These involve checking before a new activity is implemented or changes are to be made to improve current working. Reviews should be frequent and should investigate the situation in detail. They should be performed by diligent, knowledgeable reviewers. They are mostly used where a significant investment is proposed, particularly when it is irreversible and thus affects the fortunes of the organisation (e.g. business plans, projects requiring capital investment). These reviews may also be used to keep down day-to-day spending and may include tactics like using black-and-white photocopies and double-sided printing only to ensure that, before a division commissions management consultants, they have checked that the expertise does not exist in-house. Activity 12.6 Do an internet search on how companies keep their costs down. You will find some interesting examples. Action accountability This creates specific rules or ways of working which become the measure for appraisal, reward or punishment. Unacceptable behaviour must also 126 Chapter 12: Control system tightness and control system costs be defined. It can be effective if the policies and guidance are understood and accepted. These can be improved by the participation of employees in setting the rules and by communication and training. These measures work well where the required actions are routine and well defined, and where adhering to them is important, for example: • for safety in hospitals, care homes or nuclear power facilities • for the prevention of fraud in, for example, banks. Tight control measures are not suitable for the parts of a job that require skills, judgement, discretion or creativity. In these areas, appropriate action cannot be closely defined. Tight controls may limit employees’ judgement and creativity, delay decisions, erode morale and frustrate highly skilled employees. Action tracking If rules are to be enforced, actions must be tracked. This is becoming easier with modern technology. It is essential, since it is important that employees know that they will be caught if they do not follow the rules. Action reinforcement Rewards and punishments for not keeping to the rules must be known and enforced. There must be sufficient expert knowledge to observe and expose the ways in which employees do – or may be able to – bypass the controls. This is particularly true in companies where systems are largely performed using IT, where sufficient controls may not be incorporated because the IT expertise in the organisation is not sufficient. Where tight controls have been implemented, care must be taken to ensure that they are not eroded when activities are reorganised. During the reorganisation, some procedures that are in place as checks and balances may not be understood and may be considered as non-value adding or inefficient. 12.2.3 Issues to be considered in the design of tight personnel and cultural controls Personnel and cultural controls focus on developing good work performance that results from employees being motivated and experiencing self-satisfaction from performing well. This is reinforced by a positive corporate culture that encourages people to feel part of a team and to not want to let the team down. Loyalty is also encouraged. The controls are intended to encourage and improve the employees’ work ethic and team norms (e.g. at interview stage enabling candidates to observe the work ethic and commitment of other workers). There should be group incentive plans, which require regular training with rewards for attendance. There should also be training in ethics. Activity 12.7 Using information from the section ‘Tight personnel/cultural controls’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017), make notes on how Kellogg and Dell have implemented improved understanding of the company’s ethics. Discuss your thoughts with other students on the VLE. 127 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 12.3 Control system costs 12.3.1 Introduction The aim of implementing management control systems (MCS) is to create a higher probability that employees will pursue the organisation’s objectives. Although there is a benefit to the organisation, the design, implementation and monitoring of MCS nevertheless costs money. The easiest costs to identify are direct costs, but there may also be indirect costs caused by poor control design or using the wrong type of control. These costs may be difficult to identify and quantify. Direct costs Direct costs are all the costs that are incurred in designing and implementing MCS. These can include procedures manuals and staff training as well as the work that goes into such activities, such as time spent on monitoring staff, planning and budgeting, and pre-action reviews. Organisations also need to factor in the payment of bonuses and maintenance of internal audit staff. Organisations should attempt to determine how much of the work identified above is routine checking and how much is undertaken to enable strategic goals to be realised. This helps to indicate whether it is possible to reduce costs without harming the implementation of the strategy. It is important that the activities of internal checking and internal audit are transparent, both inside the company and externally, as great harm can be done to a company’s reputation if it becomes apparent that robust financial controls are not in place. (Note that the topic of internal auditing is not covered on this course. AC3093 Auditing and assurance introduces students to this subject.) Activity 12.8 Read through the case study of PNB Paribas in the section ‘Direct costs’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 5 to understand the importance of monitoring the behaviour and decisions of staff. Indirect costs Indirect costs are the result of the MCS being ineffective or creating problems. It is unlikely that there is any organisation that does not have some activities performed by employees that do not contribute to the wellbeing of the company (e.g. gamesmanship, operating delays or negative attitudes). 12.3.2 Behavioural displacement This occurs when the design of the MCS produces and encourages behaviour that is inconsistent with an organisation’s objectives. Behavioural displacement and results controls These outcomes are what takes place when the results measure is incongruent with the true objectives of a company. When the measure is too broad to focus on important activities or if there are too many ways in which the measures can be met or the organisation has focused only on an easily quantifiable measure, then it is likely that this will occur. In these situations, employees will find ways to meet the targets with the least effort on their part, possibly resulting in poor overall performance. 128 Chapter 12: Control system tightness and control system costs Activity 12.9 Now take a look at the five bullet points in the section ‘Indirect costs: Behavioral displacement and results controls’ (p.187) in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 5. Choose two of these examples and make notes on how better controls could be implemented. (These will be formally covered in later chapters, but for now put yourself in the employee’s position and think about what would encourage you to focus more on effective work rather than just meeting targets.) Discuss your notes with other students on the VLE. It is often difficult to find measures that capture the activities of a role sufficiently to encourage behaviour that is focused on strategic performance. ‘There are very few jobs, even presumably simple jobs, where what is counted is all that counts – in other words, results controls are almost invariably incomplete’ (Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) p.175). Behavioural displacement and action controls The problem of means-ends inversion occurs where employees focus on the actions they have the authority to perform rather than on what they are meant to accomplish (e.g. managers are given a top limit on the amount they can spend on capital expenditure so invest in several small projects, even though each of the projects is suboptimal). Action controls may be incongruent, and because employees need to stay within the rules, they become ineffective. An example of this can be found in the case of a computer customer advice centre where advisers were required to spend no longer than 13 minutes on each call. No commission was paid on longer calls. Staff found ways to cut calls off, but customer service ratings dropped below the industry average, with the result that the company’s reputation was damaged. Some action controls can be so rigid that they do not give employees the opportunity to try out better ways of performing a task. This level of control may be good in stable environments with centralised knowledge, but can stifle change and innovation in competitive, fastchanging situations. However, detailed rules do have an important role in circumstances where health and safety are paramount. Behavioural displacement and personnel/cultural controls This displacement usually arises when the wrong type of employee is recruited, the training is poor or the cultural controls are implemented in the wrong setting. Activity 12.10 Read the case study of Levi Strauss in the section ‘Behavioural displacement and personnel/cultural controls’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 5. Make notes of the steps you would have taken to deal with the problem of workers injuring themselves in the course of trying to meet piecework goals. Discuss your notes with other students on the VLE. 12.3.3 Gamesmanship Gamesmanship occurs when actions are taken by employees to improve their performance indicators without producing an improved performance. Below are two examples. Creation of slack resources This is a well-known device which enables managers who are appraised on performance to negotiate lower targets or more resources than they 129 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations may need to perform their task. This often occurs when managers risk loss of bonuses, pay rises or promotion if targets are missed. Slack can lead to wasted resources and obscures underlying performance. However, a certain amount of slack can relieve a manager’s stress, provide a cushion against unforeseen change and enable innovation to be implemented. This is discussed in more detail in Chapter 19 of this subject guide. It is only possible to eliminate slack in highly stable conditions with predictable outcomes so forecasts can be set from the top down and there is no information asymmetry. Data manipulation This can be seen in two ways: 1. Falsification: this involves reporting data that has been changed. 2. Data management: this is action that is taken to make performance look better without there being any real economic advantage to the organisation. It can involve moving activity to a different time period (e.g. ‘saving sales’ for the next budget period if the target for bonuses in the current period has already been met or making results look worse in a poor period so that the next period will look better by comparison). Data management can be implemented by using accounting actions and operating actions. Accounting action can mean changing accounting methods that the organisation uses (e.g. depreciation rates or methods of revenue recognition). Operating actions can include deferring expenditure (e.g. on maintenance) or trying to accelerate sales (e.g. by recognising as sales goods that are in the hands of distributors but have not actually been sold and so could be returned to the company by the distributors). Activity 12.11 Read the section ‘Data manipulation’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 5, and then read The Economist article ‘Tesco’s accounting problems. Not so funny’ (27 September 2014) at www.economist.com/business/2014/09/27/not-so-funny Use it to explain Tesco’s sales activity, as a result of which the auditor PwC considered issuing a warning that there was a ‘risk of manipulation’. Alternatively, do an internet search to find a similar issue with another company (e.g. McDonald’s). These actions, which report improved accounting income, can have serious effects on the business in the future. Examples of this include: aggressive sales tactics can harm customer satisfaction; saving sales can lead to increased overtime payments in the next period to meet the additional sales demand; or employee productivity may be reduced due to underspending on maintenance. Manipulating data by affecting the accuracy of the company’s information system can lead to management relying on erroneous data when making decisions and forecasts. 130 Chapter 12: Control system tightness and control system costs Activity 12.12 Read the section ‘Data manipulation’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 5, and then look at the Los Angeles Times article ‘Sunrise scam throws light on incentive pay programmes (15 January 1996) at http://articles.latimes.com/1996-01-15/business/ fi-24821_1_incentive-pay-plans Then explain why Sunrise Medical’s bonus plan led to outright fraud. 12.3.4 Other costs of action controls Operating delays Controls such as unreasonable limits on access to certain areas (e.g. stockrooms) or passwords needed to access information that needs to be reviewed regularly can be very time consuming. This may be minimised by introducing up-to-date electronic methods (e.g. retina recognition). Major delays can be caused by requiring multiple layers of approval for action from different levels of the hierarchy. This not only potentially means that actions are delayed, which could result in lost sales or production output, but can be demoralising for employees who know their area of expertise and can see opportunities being missed due to lack of authorisation. This can also lead to managers and employees going ahead with actions or spending money first and getting authorisation afterwards (act first and apologise later). 12.3.5 Negative attitudes Feeling disempowered and/or ignoring controls can not only lead to wrong decisions being made but can affect an employee’s whole attitude to the controls in place. This might lead them to ignore other constraints on their behaviour. Alternatively, they may experience tension, frustration and conflict leading to absenteeism, lack of effort and higher staff turnover. Pressure to hold onto one’s job due to economic pressures and the need for job security can encourage unethical conduct. Negative attitudes produced by results controls Employees may have negative reactions to the controls because the targets that are set are too difficult, not meaningful or they are not able to control them. If the targets are too difficult, employees feel too pressured, and if this involves a number of people, this could lead to industrial action. Inequitable rewards and most forms of punishment can cause negativity. Even the target setting process may not be welcomed, particularly if it is poorly implemented. Participation in the process can help to create an acceptable system. While weaker employees may be negative because the system may uncover their inadequacies, stronger employees may be negative about flaws in the system. This could lead to some of the harmful behaviours we have already discussed. Negative attitudes produced by action controls If action controls appear to set in motion micro-management of employees’ activities, they may be resented by responsible employees who consider that they are being ‘checked up on’. There may also be cultural and location issues which call for different action controls in different situations or countries. This is something that multinationals need to consider when imposing a system in different environments. 131 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 12.13 Read the examples in the section ‘National culture’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 5. This describes the merger between the Bank of America and Merrill Lynch, and the different attitudes to action controls in 7-Eleven Japan when it expanded to America. Make notes as you do this reading, and discuss your thoughts with other students on the VLE. 12.4 Adaptation of control systems Management control systems which are working in a particular situation may need to be adapted when they are implemented in different scenarios (e.g. as mentioned above, in different countries or cultures). This also applies to businesses that have different parts undertaking different operations (e.g. services or products) or where some divisions are expected to pursue different strategies from others. Multinational companies usually have significant decentralisation and may have divisions operating in different industries and in different parts of the world. They will be using financial results controls to monitor performance. These organisations may experience information asymmetry with divisions that will know their own business well. This makes it harder to determine which controls are effective. 12.4.1 National culture National culture has been defined as ‘the collective programming of the mind that distinguishes the members of one group or society from another’ (Hofstede, 2001). Thus employees from different cultures must perceive controls as culturally appropriate (i.e. they must fit with the shared values of the society from which the employees come). The characteristics of a national cultural and the political and economic environment are likely to affect a company’s corporate goals. American companies are most likely to put shareholders first, whereas in China there is a culture of putting ‘customers first, employees second and shareholders third’, according to Jack Ma of the Alibaba Group, a multinational technology conglomerate (Financial Times, 2014). This, in turn, affects the MCS that will be suitable to be adapted in a different country or society. 12.4.2 Local institutions Countries will differ with regard to: • regulations on corporate governance and governance interventions • company law, contract law and employment law • the existence and strength of trade unions • the effectiveness and efficiency of financial markets in raising capital and the rules on disclosure • the strength of regulations, auditing and enforcement. All these will be important in setting, especially, results controls. 12.4.3 Difference in local business situations Business environments can differ significantly across countries as well as within different countries. This will affect an organisation’s ability to use the same MCS in different places. 132 Chapter 12: Control system tightness and control system costs Regional uncertainty can be seen in: • military conflicts, kidnapping, terrorism and extortion threats • corporate espionage and theft of company secrets by competitors • developing countries where there may be limited access to capital, weak accounting regulations and poor enforcement of contract violations. All of these issues will affect whether a company should set up in another country. If it does make the decision to go ahead, it will need to decide on ways of protecting a division and setting performance targets that will need to be unique to that circumstance. Governments in different regions take different attitudes to business intervention. There may be limits on businesses being able to set up due to government-granted business permits. Price controls and restrictions on the flow of currencies may be in place. Governments may act to give preference to local businesses rather than foreign companies. The countries’ tax laws and employment laws must also be considered. Inflation may differ from country to country and will often affect currency rates between countries. High inflation can have an effect on asset values and erode the value of employees’ earnings. Monitoring financial performance in this situation may require the implementation of inflation accounting to mitigate the effect of inflation on asset values and performance. Alternatively, there may be a flexible budgeting process that will protect managers from the risk of inflation. The company could also put greater emphasis on non-financial indicators. Employees in some developing countries may be less educated or skilled. This may lead to a preference for more centralised decision structures and more emphasis on action controls than results controls. Small divisions may make the separation of duties for internal control difficult. A national corporate culture that assumes lifetime employment will require different approaches to long-term incentive plans and may affect recruitment as the available talent pool will be a smaller. Activity 12.14 Explain the problems with foreign currency translation and identify four suggested ways of dealing with the problem. (If you need help with answering this question, refer to Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) p.186.) 12.5 Summary As we have seen, creating an effective MCS is complex and every area must be reviewed regularly by managers to enable the system to be effective for every employee. It needs to be tight enough and specific enough to encourage the meeting of strategic goals, but at the same time, it must be seen as fair and appropriate by the employees and managers who are required to operate the system. 12.6 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain the issues to be considered in implementing tight results controls 133 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations • explain the issues to be considered in implementing tight action controls • explain the issues to be considered in implementing tight personnel and cultural controls • identify, in general terms, the direct costs of management control systems • describe behavioural displacement related to results, action and personnel and cultural controls • describe gamesmanship, creation of slack resources, data manipulation and operating delays • explain the negative attitudes that may arise through poor design of controls • identify the types of situation where adaptation of control systems may arise. 12.7 Case study 1. Read the case study ‘PCL: A breakdown in the enforcement of management control’ at the end of Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 4, pp.168–72, then answer the following questions: • Analyse the challenges faced by PCL in reducing returned sets and no fault found (NFF) returns. • Apart from the recommendations already put forward by PCL, what other actions might improve the return rate of TV sets? • What lessons can PCL draw from its exercise in controlling the high rate of returns of TV sets to inform its execution of internal control mechanisms in the future? 12.8 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. Explain the term ‘behavioural displacement’ and give examples of how this can arise in relation to: 134 • results controls • action controls • personnel/cultural controls. Chapter 13: Designing and evaluating management control systems. Identifying financial responsibility centres Chapter 13: Designing and evaluating management control systems. Identifying financial responsibility centres 13.1 Introduction This chapter focuses on the design and evaluation of the various controls discussed in previous chapters and how they should be used. It looks at what activities and behaviour are desirable and what is likely to happen. The difference between the two indicates where controls should be introduced or changed. The chapter continues by considering the types of responsibility centres that are created to enable the use of results controls and the methods of transfer pricing which are used when different responsibility centres trade with each other. 13.1.1 Aims of the chapter: This chapter aims to: • draw together the issues already covered in Chapters 11 and 12 of the subject guide relating to the design and use of different types of control • focus on results controls and how they are used in different responsibility centres • explore in detail the purpose of transfer prices and the different types of transfer price which companies may use. 13.1.2 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • discuss the different situations in which different types of control are most effective • describe different types of responsibility centres and give examples of each type • describe different methods of setting transfer prices • explain the situations in which each method is likely to be used and the limitations of each method. 13.1.3 Essential reading Merchant, K.A. and W.A. Van der Stede Management control systems: Performance measurement, evaluation and incentives. (Harlow: Pearson, 2017) 4th edition [ISBN 9781292110554] Chapters 6 and 7. 13.1.4 Further reading Horngren, C.T., S.M. Datar and M.V. Rajan Cost accounting: A managerial emphasis. (Harlow: Pearson Education, 2015) 15th edition [ISBN 9780134475585] Chapter 22. 135 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 13.2 Designing and evaluating management control systems (MCS) The issues in this section relate to Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 6 which you can read either before, after or in conjunction with these notes and activities. Designers of MCS need to have some knowledge of a company’s objectives and strategies. This enables work descriptions, targets and rewards to be developed. To make these work effectively, MCS design must be tested to see if control problems – such as lack of direction, motivational problems or personal limitations – will mean that key actions will not be performed and key results will not be achieved. If there is evidence of this, then the controls must be adjusted to make them effective: ‘The discrepancy between what is desired and what is likely will determine the choice and the tightness of the management control systems’ (Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) p.221). 13.2.1 Personnel/cultural controls as an initial consideration These controls have few harmful side effects and are cheap to implement. In some small organisations where a team spirit and good day-to-day communications are possible, these may be the main control systems. Activity 13.1 Read the examples of good and bad corporate culture in the section ‘Personnel/cultural controls as an initial consideration’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 6. Make notes on how a good culture can be maintained as a company grows. 13.2.2 Action and results controls Advantages of action controls • Action controls are the most direct form of control. It is easy for employees to identify what should be done and the emphasis is on performing actions correctly the first time. • Creating documentation of the required actions accumulates knowledge of what works best. The policies and procedures developed are an organisational memory which enables the transfer of knowledge to new employees. • Action controls aid organisational control. Disadvantages of action controls 136 • Action controls can only be used for highly routine tasks. • If not properly designed, the controls may be used on the part of a task which is easily measurable but of lesser importance (e.g. encouraging fast throughput of products which leads to poor workmanship and rejected units). This in turn leads to behavioural displacement. • Action controls discourage adaptation and innovation. Employees assume they are not required to be creative and become passive and resistant to change. • Employees may become sloppy or cut corners. • Action controls may cause negative attitudes from creative employees who want to use their judgement and initiative. This may motivate them to leave the organisation, leading to high staff turnover and higher training costs. Chapter 13: Designing and evaluating management control systems. Identifying financial responsibility centres • Action controls which require preaction reviews by superiors can be expensive. This is because reviewers will be more highly qualified, so their time is more expensive. Also, delays may occur because they are busy with their own responsibilities. However, these reviews must be carried out properly if they are considered necessary. Activity 13.2 Read the examples of good and bad experiences of action controls in the section ‘Advantages and disadvantages of action controls’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 6. Make notes of the different types of action controls that are described and discuss these with other students on the VLE. Advantages of results controls • Results controls are feasible when the desired results of the action can be set, but the way in which the results will be achieved is not known. Employees are expected to use their skills and judgement to assess the possibilities and implement those that will work best in the circumstances. • They encourage creativity and new and innovative ways of thinking. • Results controls allow employees to be autonomous. • Organisations can provide on-the-job training as employees learn by doing and making mistakes. • Results controls are relatively inexpensive to monitor as they do not require a high level of supervision. Disadvantages of results controls • There is the possibility of congruence or alignment problems due to imperfect knowledge of the desired results. • Good measures should be precise, objective, timely and understandable. Results controls do not fit these requirements and so it is difficult to tell whether good actions have been taken. • Often results are affected by factors other than the employees’ skills. • Targets set are often required to meet multiple, important, but competing, control functions (e.g. budgets for motivation should be challenging, for planning they should be realistic and for coordination they should be conservative to ensure that resources are not wasted). • Measures may be too many and conflicting. Activity 13.3 Read the examples of factors that affect results, important but conflicting control functions and conflicting measures in the section ‘Advantages and disadvantages of results controls’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 6. Then think of and describe a situation where you have been given responsibility to do something but without enough information to be sure you have done the right thing. 13.2.3 Control system tightness and adaption to change Tight systems are most important in the areas that are most critical for the company’s success. The level of tightness must be assessed for each situation and may change over time. 137 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 13.4 Read the section ‘Simultaneous tight-loose controls’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 6. It describes how a strong culture can enable tight-loose controls to be implemented. Then makes notes on what you have read. As organisations grow or respond to their changing environment, the controls that are in place will adapt. Feedback on the effectiveness of each control may lead to different types of control being considered. (See Chapter 12 of the subject guide, where there is a list of many of the situations where change may be needed.) The appropriateness of any control is measured by the behavioural response from those performing the activity that is being measured. Therefore management need to be sensitive not only to whether the expected results are being achieved, but also to whether employees continue to feel that they are relevant and acceptable. 13.3 Identifying financial responsibility centres and transfer pricing methods The issues in Sections 13.2 and 13.3 relate to Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 7 which you can read either before, after or in conjunction with these notes and activities. Financial results control systems All types of controls have been reviewed in terms of their features, appropriateness and limitations. In the following sections of this chapter we will focus on results controls, in particular financial results controls. We will consider the operations and limitations which arise in specific situations. These issues can be measured using financial targets; they require employees to use their initiative and judgement in order to meet the requirements of their responsibilities. It should be remembered that results controls only measure certain aspects of a job and an employee who is being assessed will also follow action and personnel/cultural controls as part of their job. For example, a salesman may have a sales target to meet (results control) which requires that they show initiative in finding customers and negotiating deals. The salesman will be required to deal with customers within the organisation’s ethical guidelines (personnel/cultural control) and complete the relevant forms to activate the production and dispatch of the goods that have been ordered (action controls). Advantages of financial results controls 138 • Financial controls are a necessary and important part of the success of for-profit organisations (and are needed for the effective use of resources by not-for-profit organisations). • They allow managers to maximise the monetary effect of operating initiatives which must be either income generating or money saving. • They enable top management to assign targets to different responsibility centres and measure the results without having to micromanage the actions that lead to the results. Top management will only get involved where results indicate that there are problems (although this can lead to employees manipulating results, as discussed earlier). • Financial measures are relatively precise, compared to softer measures. Chapter 13: Designing and evaluating management control systems. Identifying financial responsibility centres • The costs of operating and supervising the controls are small, relative to other controls. Disadvantages of financial results controls • Financial results controls are very specific and usually relate to a particular time period (often a year). This can encourage managers to focus on improving the yearly results by making decisions that may not be goal congruent for the whole organisation. • They may discourage investment in activities which are needed for the future profitability of the responsibility centre. These are very important issues and we will look at them in depth in Chapter 15 of this subject guide. 13.3.1. Financial responsibility centres The most important aspect of a responsibility centre is that its purposes must be well defined and the resources available and authorisations made clear. It is within this framework that a manager has responsibility and within which they must achieve their financial targets. The financial targets may be very general (e.g. a target return) or they may be more specific (e.g. the preparation and agreement of a budget to meet the financial target). As with all controls, there should be defined consequences of meeting or not meeting the target. Responsibility centres usually fall into one of four categories: revenue, expense, profit or investment centres, as detailed below: Revenue centres Here managers are held accountable for generating revenues, for example: • sales departments in commercial organisations • fundraising managers in not-for-profit organisations. These centres are not profit centres. Revenue targets are set and the costs of running the centre are monitored separately. For example, in a sales department the expenses will include the sales manager’s salary, salespeople’s salaries as well as commissions and the costs of running the department. In a fundraising department, these expenses will include managers’ and administrators’ salaries, departmental running costs and, possibly, fundraising costs, depending on where the responsibility for these lies Expense (cost) centres Here managers are held accountable for the expenses or costs of running the responsibility centre. These centres are usually categorised as ‘standard’ or ‘engineered’ cost or expense centres, where both the input (e.g. materials, labour, etc.) and the output (i.e. products and services) can be easily measured. A production department or a dental practice are examples of these types of centres. The inputs and outputs can be measured in monetary terms and there is a causal relationship between inputs and outputs. This enables the costs to be estimated in relationship to the output (e.g. standard costs can be flexed to represent actual output). Or they can be categorised as ‘discretionary’ or ‘managed’ cost or expense centres. These types of centres provide services to other centres, and it is often difficult to measure output in monetary terms. Examples of these include administration, personnel, accounting and finance, research and development and maintenance departments. The financial results controls are usually based on an agreed budget which 139 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations may be set incrementally depending on previous experience or may use some sort of zero based budgeting. Some organisations convert these centres into profit or break-even centres by requiring them to charge the departments who use their services. This is sometimes done by charging market rates and allowing departments to use external suppliers, thus creating a market. This runs the risk of the internal department sitting by idly while the user departments are paying external providers. It also requires a transfer pricing decision to be made. Profit centres A profit centre is a part of the business where managers are held accountable for generating profits (i.e. the manager has significant influence over both revenues and costs). It is distinguished from an investment centre in that there is no discrete investment over which the manager has decision-making control. The advantage of a profit centre is that it enables the manager to run the centre as a business. They can make trade-offs between revenues and costs, and the measures they are likely to take are comprehensive because the centre can incorporate all the financial aspects of performance. The advantage of being able to make trade-offs encourages some organisations to turn sales revenue centres into profit centres by charging the standard cost of the products to the centre. This requires them to be answerable for gross profit not sales. Cost centres can be converted into profit centres as discussed above. Activity 13.5 Read the section ‘Profit centres’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 7, where you will find examples of cost centres being changed into profit centres by being empowered to charge revenues. Make notes of the behavioural issues and problems with price setting which can arise, and discuss these with other students on the VLE. Investment centres These are units where revenues, costs and the investment required to generate returns are identified and where the manager has some decision-making control or responsibility for the use of all three. There may be some discretion over which level of profits and which assets the investment centre manager has responsibility for – for example, should a proportion of head office costs be charged to the centre? The financial measures may involve a ratio of net income earned to capital employed. In some organisations this is regarded as the target when setting a comprehensive budget which will take into account the strategic role of the division and any plans to change the assets during the year. Monitoring throughout the year is then performed relative to the budget. In other organisations, where investment units largely perform the same function in different locations, a ‘beyond budgeting’ approach may be used which measures each unit against the other units using key performance indicators as well as net income or return on investment. The different centres described above are convenient labels. In practice, any variation or hybrid which works for a particular company will be adopted. When creating appropriate centres, it is important to follow the lines of responsibility of each centre and include the items which the manager should pay attention to. 140 Chapter 13: Designing and evaluating management control systems. Identifying financial responsibility centres 13.4 Transfer pricing 13.4.1 Definition The transfer price is the artificial price that is set by a company which has products or services that are transferred between profit centres, investment centres or break-even centres within the same organisation. The transfer price affects the revenues of both the supplying profit centre and the costs of the buying profit centre. Hence, the profits of both entities will be affected in an equal and opposite fashion. The effect on the pre-tax net income of the company as a whole will usually be unaffected by the level of the transfer price. 13.4.2 Purposes The purpose of transfer pricing is to: • Provide information to motivate centre managers to make economic decisions in the best interests of both the centre and the group. The pricing should appropriately influence the decision on how much to transfer internally. This can be affected by constrained or spare capacity in the supplying centre. If one centre is at capacity and cannot supply the product, the buying centre may need to check whether another centre can meet the demand before they buy in from external sources. This situation may be helped by reducing the transfer price when there is spare capacity. • Make available information that is useful for evaluating the economic and managerial performance of the division. This is important for motivation and performance appraisal, and also helps with the allocation of resources within the company. • Maintain each manager’s autonomy in running their centre. The transfer price method should enable the manager to make good economic decisions. Therefore, once a method is adopted, interference from top management can lead to poor decision-making and delays. 13.4.3 Top management intervention to maximise group performance In order to maximise the net income of the group, top management may intervene to move profits between company centres or locations. This may be used: • for tax purposes where a company is operating in different tax jurisdictions so that more profit is declared in the area where taxes are lower • where a centre is in a joint venture with another company, profits may need to be moved from that centre to another centre within the group – it is usual for the transfer prices to be set in the contract with the joint venture to avoid possible expropriation • if a company is trading in countries which restrict the repatriation of profits (possibly because of balance of payments problems or scarcity of foreign exchange funds), transfer prices can be used to transfer funds to the home country. 141 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 13.6 Imagine that you work for a company that has centres that trade in both high tax areas and a low tax areas. Assume that your company has a centre trading in a country which restricts repatriation of funds, and that it has a trading centre and a head office in a country where there are no restrictions. Explain how the transfer price would be set to reduce taxes and/or enable repatriation of funds, if the centres are selling different products to each other. 13.5 Methods of setting transfer prices 13.5.1 Introduction It is important to recognise that some transfer prices can only be used in certain circumstances, so the ‘best’ price will be the most appropriate one for the particular situation. Often the method for implementing the transfer price will be set by top management, but this may not mean that this will be only method that is used throughout the organisation. Choosing the appropriate transfer price is most important when a significant proportion of the centre’s trade is made by divisional transfer and is thus represented by the transfer price. If trade between two divisions is, say, 2% of the total sales value or purchase value, even an inappropriate method will hardly affect the centre’s decision-making or results. The descriptions and explanations below refer to situations where the centres trade within one jurisdiction. 13.5.2 Market-based pricing Market based with perfect competition This is defined as the existence of a ‘perfectly’ competitive external market (i.e. no individual buyer or seller can affect the price). The transfer price is based on the actual price that is charged to customers. If there is no market price for the particular product required by the buying division, the price of a similar product can be used, adjusted for differences between the transferred product and the product sold to customers. The differences may be the result of packaging costs, difference in quality or other specific features. If neither of these are available, the price that a competitor would charge can be used. Because the market price will be used for trading with an external buyer or seller, in many cases this method helps both the selling and buying managers to make an optimal decision from a corporate viewpoint. If a seller cannot earn a profit from trading at market price, it is economically unsound for the buying division to pay more to prop up the division. This would also lower the buying centre’s profits. Therefore the buying centre will buy from outside suppliers. Similarly, if the buying division cannot make profits by buying at market price, it should close down that part of the business. Market-based price with imperfect competition Most businesses operate in imperfect markets. However, if they are selling the same or similar products or services to other centres as they are selling to external customers, the same price can be used since this represents the opportunity forgone from not selling externally. The situation may be different, though, if the loss of sales to other centres would create spare capacity. This is discussed below. If a supplying centre can supply a 142 Chapter 13: Designing and evaluating management control systems. Identifying financial responsibility centres product that is currently being bought by the buying division externally, the transfer price is the external price currently being paid. But if the buying division is happy with the current supplier, it may be necessary for a lower price to be offered if the buying division wishes to obtain the work. Distress market prices This occurs when a selling centre has already bought a commodity and the price has gone down significantly but temporarily. Normally the seller could decide to wait until the market readjusts, but if another centre wants the commodity it will buy it externally for the distress price, which is not good for goal congruence since the buying centre already holds inventory. Top management may intervene and suggest an average price between the distress price and the normal price. This intervention would need to be taken into account when appraising divisional performance of both divisions. 13.5.3 Cost-based methods Full cost plus This method calculates both variable and fixed costs for a product or service and a profit percentage is added. Where a market price is not available, and both centres are profit or investment centres appraised on net income, this method is an approximation of market price. It is considered fair because it allows the selling centre to earn a profit on internally transferred products or services. The prices are not quite as responsive to market conditions as the market price but they provide a measure of long-run viability which is important for both the buying and the selling centre. The method is relatively easy to implement because companies have cost systems in place to calculate the full cost of production. One of the disadvantages of this is that the seller knows that the actual cost will form the price and so does not need to be careful to control costs. This can be mitigated by basing price on standard cost. Another is that the full cost calculated may not represent the current cost of production. In many cases historical cost depreciation is included and the allocation of overhead costs may not have been done using a detailed approach such as activity-based costing. It may also be difficult to determine the percentage of profit which should be added. Full cost based This method only uses the variable and fixed costs. It therefore does not provide a profit for the selling division and gives a reduced price to the buyer in comparison to it being bought from an outside supplier. The difficulty with this method is that there is no incentive for the selling centre to do internal transfers since there is no profit margin and the selling centre’s profit is understated due to there being no profit element. The buying division obtains the goods at a price that is lower than if an outside supplier were commissioned. Therefore, this method is not suitable where the selling division is a profit centre. However, it may be used by management for charging a service department’s costs to user departments to help make decisions about whether to use the service departments. This cost calculation could use an ABC analysis. 143 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Decision-making anomalies have been observed when full cost plus (or market price) are used in situations where the selling centre has spare capacity and the buying centre could sell more of the final product if the product price were reduced. In order to make that decision, the buying centre needs to know the total variable costs incurred by both centres to decide by how much the price can be reduced. Even knowing this is not sufficient to motivate the manager to expand, as the reduced price may cut the total net profit of the centre, even though it would increase total corporate profits. The selling centre would see increased profits as a result of selling more at the same margin as before. To resolve this issue, some organisations use marginal cost for the transfer price. Marginal cost based This price excludes upstream fixed costs and profits. Therefore, the marginal costs remain visible for the centre that finally sells to outside customers. However, it provides poor information for evaluation purpose as the selling centre cannot even cover fixed costs so it incurs a loss and the profits of the buying centre are overstated. It is therefore rarely used in practice without some adjustment, which is discussed below. Marginal cost plus a lump-sum fee In this case the marginal cost of each unit is paid and a lump sum for the use of capacity is agreed and paid regularly to the selling centre from the buying centre. The marginal cost of the transfer remains visible and the selling centre can recover its fixed cost and a profit margin through the lump-sum fee. However, the fee has to be based on the predetermined amount of use made by the buying centre of the selling centre’s capacity. Therefore it is a problem to estimate how much capacity should be ‘reserved’ for internal sales. Marginal cost plus proration of contribution In this case, the monthly payment made by the buying division to the selling division is based on the total contribution made by the finished product. This is divided between the two divisions on some reasonable (agreed) basis. 13.5.4 Dual rate This method is rarely used, but it is another way to meet the issues described above. It involves charging and crediting different prices to the centres. The selling centre receives the market sales price and the amount charged to the buying centre is the marginal cost of production. This creates a difference that may be taken into an account and used to reconcile the differences when consolidating the financial statements. There would also need to be an adjustment when appraising the results of the buying division whose net income will be overstated. Advantages Dual rate provides the proper economic signals to the centres for decisionmaking and correct information for the evaluation of the seller centre. It ensures that internal transactions will take place, whereas the other methods may be considered too complicated by the selling centre. 144 Chapter 13: Designing and evaluating management control systems. Identifying financial responsibility centres Disadvantages In terms of decision-making, dual rate destroys incentives for the buying centre to negotiate favourable outside prices from suppliers (as the buying centre now only pays the marginal cost). It destroys incentives for the selling centre to improve productivity because it finds ‘easy’ sales inside the organisation. Dual rate also distorts the buying division’s profits for evaluation purposes. This would also need to be adjusted for when appraising the results of the buying division whose net income will be overstated. 13.5.5 Negotiated price Transfer prices are negotiated between the selling and buying centre managers themselves. This method ensures the autonomy of the divisional managers when compared to methods imposed by head office. It also allows for flexibility in uncertain conditions. For this method to work effectively, both centre managers should have the option to use alternative suppliers or buyers as this will increase their bargaining power. If the transaction is a small part of one centre’s operations but a large part of another centre’s operations, then there will be a power imbalance. The price may not be economically optimal, but may rather depend on the negotiating skills of the managers involved. It is may be costly in terms of management time and this may accentuate conflicts between centre managers. This method may also require corporate management intervention. 13.5.6 Simultaneous use of multiple transfer price methods Even though the methods used may not be perfectly suited to both decision-making and performance evaluation, it is rare to use more than one system for the same transactions. The simultaneous use of the multiple transfer price method is mainly used to meet the needs mentioned above of moving profits between jurisdictions. Here international (OECD) rules restrict how the transfer price can be calculated and different countries may also have rules governing this area. 13.6 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • discuss the different situations in which different types of control are most effective • describe different types of responsibility centres and give examples of each type • describe different methods of setting transfer prices • explain the situations in which each method is likely to be used and the limitations of each method. 145 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 13.7 Case study 1. Read the case study ‘Diagnostic products corp (DPC)’ at the end of Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 6, pp.233–41, then answer the following questions: • Evaluate the design of the performance bonus system at DPC for US-based field service engineers (FSEs) as it currently exists and the way that the programme is being implemented. What changes would you suggest, if any? • Instead of using results controls like the performance bonus programme, could DPC control its US-based FSEs using only action and personnel/cultural controls? 13.8 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. With regard to discretionary expense centres, explain how targets are determined and appraisal is conducted. Incorporate in your answer examples of these centres, including some that have fairly easily identifiable outputs and some that have difficulty in identifying outcomes. Explain how selling their services to other departments might be useful and what problems might arise. 146 Chapter 14: A detailed look at planning and budgeting Chapter 14: A detailed look at planning and budgeting 14.1 Introduction As already discussed in previous chapters, setting targets, measuring results and rewarding performance are vital aspects of management as they give focus to employees’ activities. This chapter looks at the role of budgeting in contributing to the performance of these tasks and the behavioural advantages and problems which arise as a result. In profit-seeking organisations, it is essential to ensure that the planned activities contribute to the expected financial results. The activities should also meet the strategic aims of the organisation. This involves all managers being committed to meeting their revenue and cost targets in order to achieve these goals. However, setting these financial targets will involve the participation of top managers and the functional managers involved, so that they all understand the issues that each party is likely to face and the financial targets they are prepared to agree to. 14.1.1 Aim of the chapter This chapter aims to: • outline the purposes, processes and pitfalls of planning and budgeting. 4.1.2 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain the main purposes of budgeting • identify the three budgetary planning cycles and explain why each one is necessary • describe different ways of setting targets • discuss the reasons for setting highly achievable targets and the situations in which this may not be suitable • describe ‘beyond budgeting’ and explain why it has been advocated. 14.1.3 Essential reading Merchant, K.A. and W.A. Van der Stede Management control systems: Performance measurement, evaluation and incentives. (Harlow: Pearson, 2017) 4th edition [ISBN 9781292110554] Chapter 8. 14.2 Budget purposes 14.2.1 Planning Successful organisations plan their strategy several years in advance so that they can be proactive, rather than reactive, in their environment. They need to identify the strengths and weaknesses, opportunities and threats, and determine how these might affect different aspects of their organisation. These plans require both external information as well as the views and expertise of the managers who will be required to implement the plans within the organisation. This ‘thinking ahead’ process should involve 147 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations all relevant personnel in considering the practical actions that need to be taken to meet the organisation’s strategic aims. Financial impacts must be attached to these actions to ensure that the financial targets will be met. This is known as feed-forward control, that is comparing predictions of expected outcomes with desired outcomes and taking corrective actions to minimise any differences. The budgeting process involves drawing up a detailed financial plan that focuses on the next period (usually a year) and represents the practical activities that are needed to work towards the strategic goals. It should include every aspect of the business and ensure that all managers are committed to the outcomes they have agreed to. Activity 14.1 Read the examples in the section ‘Purposes of planning and budgeting’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 8 of companies who are successful because of their commitment to comprehensive budgets and are thus prepared to meet future opportunities. Make notes about how, if you were a production manager, you would prepare to meet changing sales targets and discuss these with other students on the VLE. 14.2.2 Coordination No plan can work without coordination and if this is not properly planned, this is an area where it would be easy for one part of the organisation to assign blame to another. The coordination between upper and lower management, and horizontally across departments, to ensure that everyone is involved and informed, is vital to the smooth and efficient running of the operation throughout the year. Top management oversight Before they are adopted, plans and budgets must be examined, discussed and approved at successively higher levels of management to ensure that they are feasible. The aim is to provide a challenging but realistic plan, one that incorporates performance targets that can be monitored using management by exception. Positive or negative variances give top management early warning of unforeseen opportunities or potential problems. These can lead to the organisational strategy being reconsidered or to the activities of subordinate managers being redirected to rectify the situation. 14.2.3. Motivation The agreed budgetary target and the actions it represents gives managers a goal to work towards. Clear, simple and challenging – yet attainable – goals encourage good performance. 14.3 Planning cycles 14.3.1 Strategic planning As mentioned above, the strategic plan decides the direction for several years (three to five, but even up to 10, depending on the type of business). This provides the strategies for different entities and identifies the resources that will be needed. This plan informs the annual budget and it is put together with information from the top management team, including representation from the research and development, marketing 148 Chapter 14: A detailed look at planning and budgeting and production divisions. It may include the development of new products and new regions. The plan will also include a review of the existing products and regions to determine any appropriate action that is necessary to make them more viable or to discontinue them. There will be a review of the possibilities of moving into completely new commercial fields. 14.3.2 Capital budgeting This involves more than just evaluating expenditure on non-current assets. It includes identifying steps to implement the agreed specific expansion and replacement programmes for the next few years. The strategy to implement the required internal activities will be incorporated. Each part of the company will identify their needs by reviewing their existing activities and how they need to be adapted. This may include, for example, finding a new sales outlet, developing employee skills or employing personnel with different expertise as well as possibly acquiring new equipment. This is not necessarily a mechanical process as resources may be limited and managers with good bargaining skills may affect the direction of the strategy. A group of corporate managers will be actively involved in the process. They might review large programmes and help to communicate corporate priorities, to avoid issues arising due to a lack of direction. They will also perform preaction reviews to define how any new investment will be implemented. This is a form of action control that helps functional managers to understand where their activities fit into the organisation’s portfolio of activities. Functional managers therefore have a focus and an opportunity to represent their issues and problems, which gives the process a bottoms-up aspect. The final aim is to ensure that the programmes adopted are in each case aligned with corporate objectives and strategies. 14.3.3. Operational budgeting This budget operationalises the work done in strategic and capital budgeting to create revenue targets and to make provision for sufficient expenses to meet the organisation’s goals. Budgets are usually set for 12 months, coinciding with the financial statements, and identify the activities expected of each responsibility centre. 14.4 Target setting The budgets, once agreed, become targets that the managers will have to meet. Ensuring that the budget is met will be a part of their evaluation and may also be linked to incentives. Performance review, including variances from the budget, is an opportunity to evaluate effectiveness and efficiency, and inform organisational learning by, for example, finding savings or, where variances are favourable, building on the actions that led to the favourable outcomes. These reviews can therefore lead to continuous improvement. 14.4.1 Setting financial targets Targets can be set by: • A quantitative model (engineered targets): examples of this include time and motion studies that identify the time and resources needed to produce output and which attach current costs to these resources (a good example is standard cost). These costs will be flexed by output each period. These models are usually monitored with tight controls because the link between effort and results is clear. 149 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations • Incremental budgeting: this is based on historical performance and is adjusted to include expected changes from the previous year. They may be agreed after negotiations, as department managers may know more about expected changes than higher management. Once these budgets are agreed, the appropriate level of control must be set. It may be possible to use tight controls, but this also encourages managers to exaggerate potential cost increases in order to build in slack, so looser controls may be more suitable. • Zero-based budgeting: this requires managers to start from zero and justify every expense. It is the preferred method when a company is taken over and efficiencies through cost cutting are expected. • Negotiation: this is a process of negotiation between lower and higher level managers. They will attempt to bridge the asymmetric gap between higher management who know more about overall organisational incentives and resource constraints, and lower level managers who are more aware of the business opportunities and constraints at the operational level. Fairly loose controls may be more suitable at this level as there may be great uncertainty about the period ahead. • Setting targets using relative (internal) performance: companies with highly controlled operations that are similar in all their branches (e.g. fast food outlets) may use relative performance as part of the targets that a manager is expected to achieve. • Using external benchmarks to set targets: as part of their strategy, companies will consider where they stand in their industry. From there, it is a logical step to set targets that are measured against their competitors, both in terms of setting operating margins but also in more detailed areas such as product quality, customer service, etc. Activity 14.2 Read the examples of industry benchmarking in the section ‘Internal versus external targets’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 8. Then do an internet search to find further examples of benchmarking. 14.5 Recasting the budget Many companies find that because the budgeting process needs to start well before the financial year commences, by the time the budget is operational or within a few months of the beginning of the year, the budget needs recasting. This means that the original budgetary targets remain the same but many of the cost and revenue budgets must be realistically revised, otherwise the variances will be meaningless. Since, at the profit centre level, the performance targets remain the same, responsible managers must use their commercial skills to adjust their activities to the new environment. 14.6 Common financial performance target issues 14.6.1 How challenging should financial performance targets be? Motivational theory suggests that people make most effort when the targets they have been set are difficult but possible to achieve (see Figure 8.1 in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 8). However, if the targets look too difficult and employees feel as if they are likely to fail to meet them, they will stop trying. This attitude is also affected by personality and the degree of uncertainty of the task. 150 Chapter 14: A detailed look at planning and budgeting In practice, studies have shown that, at the profit centre level, targets are set at a highly achievable levels (e.g. they will be achieved 80 to 90% of the time). This is not easy as it requires a consistently high level of effort. Setting highly achievable targets works because this: • Increases managerial commitment: managers feel that, despite having a difficult job they can achieve the targets and so they will make the effort to do so. Managerial commitment is vital because the measurement covers a long budget period. If a manager is unmotivated from the start and fears that targets are unachievable, this will be compounded by uncertainty in the environment in which the centre is operating. In turn, decreased motivation may result in poor decision-making. This problem of a long budget period can be helped by setting targets to be achieved within shorter intervals. However, this is expensive as more detailed budgets will need to be prepared, which requires more time for the reviewing process. • Protects against optimistic projections: if sales targets are expected to be set at highly achievable levels, it means that resources will be planned to help meet these expectations. More resources will be acquired if sales are expected to be higher, but if too high a sales forecast is used, resources may be acquired that cannot easily be divested. • High managerial achievement: since managers feel they can achieve the targets that have been set, they are motivated to do so and their self-esteem will be high, which will be reflected in their performance. This can be reinforced by bonus packages for higher achievement. • Reduces cost of interventions: because the targets are highly achievable, intervention by higher management can focus on managers who are not meeting their targets (see Figure 8.2 in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 8). • Reduces game playing: meeting the set targets is very important to profit centre managers because of the risk of losing bonuses, promotion and reputation. If it looks as though their targets will not be met, they will engage in manipulative actions in order to do so. Highly achievable targets reduce the risk of this happening. 14.6.2 When is it necessary to set challenging profit targets? If the company is in extreme financial difficulty, setting challenging targets may signal to managers that short-term profits are a priority over growth. 14.6.3 How much involvement should subordinates have over setting their targets? High involvement • This enhances managerial commitment as the managers understand better why the targets are set as they are. • Information-sharing managers are closest to local information, while corporate managers can share corporate priorities and constraints. • The process helps cognition – managers have a better understanding of how to achieve their goals. • Managers’ motivation is increased because they have been recognised as having relevant knowledge and expertise. 151 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Low involvement • Corporate management has sufficient, or better, information than subordinate managers. • Corporate management can evaluate performance on a relative basis due to running homogenous units (e.g. food outlets). • This is preferable when lower level managers are not good at budgeting (e.g. in some small firms). • Corporate managers have better knowledge than lower level managers because of high-level decisions that change the way a unit operates. • Corporate managers may be aware of biases in the management team, which means that targets should be adjusted (e.g. managers who set lower targets to make their jobs easier). Optimistic managers may set targets that are unrealistically high. 14.6 Criticisms of budgeting and consideration of beyond budgeting In large, complex organisations it is impossible to get every aspect of budgetary control completely right. Even if this were possible, it would be a very time-consuming activity and could cause conflict, feelings of unfairness and manipulation. Activity 14.3 Read the section ‘Planning and budgeting practices and criticisms’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 8 to find out how long companies take to prepare budgets and how many staff are included in this process. The ‘beyond budgeting’ movement proposes that budgets should not be produced. Targets and performance indicators should be based on comparing different business units to each other and against competitors’ performance, using key performance dimensions. This has worked well, particularly in terms of performance appraisal for some companies where the business units are fairly homogenous and so can be compared easily. It is possible, however, that such companies may still use budgets for planning, coordination and facilitating top management oversight. The beyond budgeting movement has criticised budgets as: 152 • being rife with game playing • producing only incremental thinking and minor modifications to the plans of previous periods • locking the organisation into a fixed, inflexible plan, leaving it unable to respond to changes • centralising power and stifling initiative • separating thinkers (planners) from doers • causing too many costs for too few benefits. Chapter 14: A detailed look at planning and budgeting 14.7 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain the main purposes of budgeting • identify the three budgetary planning cycles and explain why each one is necessary • describe different ways of setting targets • discuss the reasons for setting highly achievable targets and the situations in which this may not be suitable • describe ‘beyond budgeting’ and explain why it has been advocated. 14.8 Case study 1. Read the case study ‘Kranworth Chair Corporation (KCC)’ at the end of Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 7, pp. 274–82, then answer the following questions: • Identify the key recurring decisions that must be made effectively for KCC to succeed. In KCC’s functional organisation, who had authority to make these decisions? Who has the authority to make these decisions in KCC’s new divisional organisation? • Did KCC’s management go too far in decentralising the corporation? Or did they not go far enough? Or did they get it just right? What are the reasons for your choice? • Evaluate KCC’s new performance management and incentive scheme. If KCC retains its new structure, what changes would you recommend? • Assuming that the R&D is decentralised to the divisions, would this necessitate making changes to KCC’s performance measurement incentive scheme? If so, why and how? 14.9 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. Explain the findings of motivational theory relating to target setting, and indicate ways in which, at the profit centre level, many companies interpret these ideas on target setting. 153 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Notes 154 Chapter 15: Incentive systems Chapter 15: Incentive systems 15.1 Introduction In this chapter, we will look at appropriate ways in which companies can reward (or punish) employees’ work. We will also examine the types and purpose of incentives, how to design a system and how the system can be evaluated. Different incentives are relevant to different situations and also to the personal circumstances of individual employees. 15.1.1 Aims of the chapter This chapter aims to: • identify different types of incentives • outline the issues involved in determining appropriate and effective incentive schemes. 15.1.2 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • describe the types of incentive that can be used • explain the purposes of using incentives • identify the different types of short- and long-term incentives, and explain the different purposes that are served by using these • explain why subjective rewards may be used and discuss the advantages and problems that arise from their use • discuss the ways in which group rewards are useful and what their limitations are. 15.1.3 Essential reading Merchant, K.A. and W.A. Van der Stede Management control systems: Performance measurement, evaluation and incentives. (Harlow: Pearson, 2017) 4th edition [ISBN 9781292110554] Chapter 9. 15.2 Purposes and types of incentives 15.2.1 Purposes Well-designed incentives create goal congruence that link an employee’s self-interest to the company’s goals. The purpose of incentives are: Informational (effort-directing) Each incentive informs the employee about the relative importance of the competing results areas. This may mean that several different measures are weighted in the overall bonus plan. Where incentives are focused on the wrong outcomes, these can be changed in order to direct employees’ efforts to the appropriate area. Motivational (effort-inducing) Rewards should encourage the desired behaviours from employees so extra reward is given if they exert extra effort. 155 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Attract and retaining personnel Some companies offer a relatively low basic salary, but have generous incentive schemes that are paid regularly. Creating variable costs Incentive schemes that are performance-dependent have the effect of making salaries partially variable with company performance. Activity 15.1 Read the section ‘Purposes of incentives’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 9. Then make notes on the Barclays Bank and BP examples, where incentives were given despite the wrong outcomes. Discuss your notes with other students on the VLE. 15.2.2 Types of incentives Non-financial Many incentives are non-financial. Some arise from personnel/cultural controls (e.g. praise and recognition). Others may result from good performance (e.g. better job or office assignments, being given more responsibility or status, or being rewarded with titles, job security, greater autonomy, power, promotion or opportunities to participate in important decision-making processes or in executive development programmes). Some non-financial incentives are ‘perks’ and include things like a reserved parking place, country club membership, first class travel, merchandise, prizes and time off, for example. Financial Financial incentives include bonuses, salary increases and stock options (see 15.3 below). Negative incentives If an employee’s work is poor, it may be signalled by no bonus being paid, no salary increase or another kind of penalty. But if this is the case, it may also be an indication that certain employees need more supervision by managers, or that the employee should be assigned to less important work. This could be a demotion or even result in job loss. 15.3 Monetary incentives Monetary incentives are increases in pay in response to performance. Different organisations will set up their processes in different ways. 15.3.1 Salary increases Salary increases are a permanent and continuing change to an employee’s income. Salary increases that are the result of cost of living increases, collective bargaining or seniority payments are not specific incentives. The incentives are awarded on merit, for performance above the norm with the expectation that this will continue. 15.3.2 Short-term incentives (STI) Bonuses, commission or piece-work payments encourage employees to work above minimum expectations. These can be paid annually or more frequently, depending on the performance being recognised. For example, piece-work payments and commissions can be paid weekly or monthly. 156 Chapter 15: Incentive systems Bonuses for achieving or even exceeding financial targets may be paid yearly. Bonuses can also be paid for non-financial performance areas (e.g. customer satisfaction or quality management). In some cases, even if poor financial results have been reported, managers are still been paid bonuses for meeting other targets that have been set. If this is not acceptable, the organisation can introduce a modifier; this means that if basic financial targets are not met, other bonuses will not be paid either. Surveys suggest that eligibility for bonuses and their size increase as employees move up the organisation. Short-term incentive schemes are designed to encourage good operational decisions in order to maximise performance over a month or year, depending on the frequency of appraisal. For example, a salesman’s commissions may be paid monthly, whereas bonuses for departmental financial performance are likely to be paid yearly. 15.3.3 Long-term incentives (LTIs) Long-term incentives should motivate employees to achieve long-term growth and increase the value of the business. LTIs tend to be aimed at higher levels of management who are in a position to make decisions that have long-term impact. They encourage senior managers to make decisions which, even though they may have a poor impact on the current year’s results, will have a significant effect in subsequent years. LTIs are an attempt to cope with the problem of short-termism in decision-making and enable senior managers to share in long-term successes. Typically an LTI will cover performance achieved over three to four years. The performance targets to be achieved can be cumulative over the years or by the end of the period set. The latter can be either consecutive (the next plan starts at the end of the previous one) or overlapping (a new plan begins each year). Overlapping LTIs make it easier to enrol newly eligible executives. The use of overlapping cycles is most common. Activity 15.2 Create a numerical example of nine years of a division’s net income, with a benchmark target that must be reached over three years, before an LTI is payable and a percentage reward given for exceeding that target. Explain how the LTI would be paid on a continuous three-year basis and an overlapping basis. Stock option plans Stock options give managers the right (option) to buy a specific number of shares in the company at a set price during a particular time period (usually the price set is the share price on the day the right is offered, which is known as ‘at the money’). The option can be exercised (vested) over a number of years (e.g.one-fifth per year for five years) and will expire at some point (e.g. in 10 years). Managers may be required to give up their unvested options if they leave the company. Advantages for the company • Stock options provide incentive compensation without outlay by the company. • The manager only benefits when the share price goes up. Therefore, managers benefit when shareholders benefit, developing motivation to work towards improving the company profits. It ties the manager’s wealth to the company’s future and encourages them to think like owners. 157 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations • It helps with retention of talent, particularly if options have not been vested. • The options create a positive cash flow for the company when the managers exercise their options and a possible tax-deductible expense. Disadvantages for the company • The issue of shares dilutes the total shareholding and can create downward pressure on share prices. • Managers may feel encouraged to make riskier decisions as they are rewarded by share price gains but are not penalised (at least in the short term) by share price losses. • Share prices can be volatile for reasons beyond the manager’s control. • The attractiveness of stock options varies around the world, but has always been more prevalent in the USA than elsewhere. Due to the disadvantages described above, it is now not used so much. Restricted stock plans Long-term incentives are often paid with company equity rather than with cash. Increasing the manager’s ownership share in the company encourages decision-making which contributes to the company’s long-term growth. The shares cannot usually be sold for a set period of time after they have been given and would be forfeited if the manager left before the end of an agreed period. They tend to be regarded as a retention tool, rather than as a motivational one for senior executive talent. If an executive leaves the company, they typically forfeit unpaid long-term incentives that they otherwise might have earned. Performance stock or option plans The idea behind performance stock or option plans is that the shares do not vest until a particular performance has been achieved. This may be a share price, but equally this may be an internal measure of success. There are many different ways in which the stock options or plans can be organised, depending on the company’s situation. Activity 15.3 Search the internet for examples of companies using stock plans as part of their LTIs. You might look at http://fortune.com/2016/03/11/equity-programs/ or another website. Make notes on what you discover and discuss these with other students on the VLE. 15.4 Incentive scheme design Management needs to design incentive schemes carefully, and they should have a clear understanding of the purpose of each incentive before it is implemented. Employees need to have a good understanding of why the scheme has been introduced, how it is going to work and how they can calculate their entitlement. 15.5 Incentive formulas and subjective rewards 15.5.1 Incentive formulas Employees whose pay is affected by an incentive plan based on a formula should receive a contract setting out all the details of their entitlement. These plans are usually based on the expectation that a certain base level 158 Chapter 15: Incentive systems of work (threshold) will be achieved and a bonus will only be paid if this is exceeded. 15.5.2 Subjective rewards Managers who are responsible for running departments and motivating employees may be required to have the ability to distinguish between the performance of different employees. They may also value the opportunity to use financial rewards subjectively, which are not part of the formulaic system, so as to recognise individual good performance. Subjectivity can be used in the following ways: • All or part of the bonus will be based on the manager’s subjective judgement about an employee’s performance. • The weights on some or all quantitative measures are decided subjectively. • Subjectivity is used to decide whether or not to pay the bonus. Why use subjectivity? • The rewards may be used to recognise a wide variety of evaluation criteria; at the beginning of an evaluation period, it may not be clear which activities are most important to emphasise. Choosing the wrong bases or weightings could motivate employees in the wrong direction. If the contract remains flexible, employees will be motivated to do their best and not give up because the target seems impossible. Equally, if employees do not know what the target is, they will not stop making an effort once the target is reached. • Keeping rewards vague means that employees will not try to manipulate performance measures. Although these points are useful for managers, how will they affect the employees? Subjectivity can reduce the risk of employees not being rewarded fairly if it enables adjustment for things that are outside the employees’ control and which reduce their ability to meet targets. However, subjectivity is likely to increase an employee’s risk, if evaluators judge them on different criteria from those they were expecting. Subjective evaluations are likely to have hindsight bias. If employees do not trust their evaluators to make informed and fair assessments of their performance, they may become demotivated and frustrated. Employees may try to influence evaluators to give them a better evaluation. Therefore the use of subjectivity is most valuable when there is trust and a good working relationship between the employee and the evaluator. 15.6 The shape of the incentive function With formulaic rewards, there is usually a lower cut-off of what employees have to achieve before a bonus is payable to ensure that mediocre performance is not rewarded. The level of the lower target will probably partly depend on the possibility of achieving it. Equally, there may well be an upper limit as well. This is used because: • A very high reward may not be deserved because of windfall events. • Employees may take actions that improve the achievements of the current period at the expense of a future period. • The company may wish to avoid the situation of an employee earning more than their superior in the organisation. 159 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations • It is desirable to keep employee earnings fairly consistent so that they can sustain their lifestyle. • A faulty design plan could lead to very high rewards. Activity 15.4 Read the section ‘Size of incentive pay’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 9. Then make notes explaining how an incentive pay package can play a part in selecting employees for a role and how it can make it difficult for the company to attract talent. Discuss your notes with other students on the VLE. 15.7 Criteria for evaluating incentive systems Incentive packages will be tailored to a company’s needs so there can be a wide variety of these. Generally, the rewards from the scheme should be: • Valued by the recipient. However, this will vary from employee to employee. The incentive scheme is only part of what attracts an employee to a job and its importance will vary due to different factors, such as stages in their career, different lifestyles and their personal commitments. • Large enough to have an impact. Small bonuses can be insulting. Employees may be contemptuous or angry if their efforts are only rewarded with this sort of recognition. • Understandable to the employee. Poorly understood schemes will not encourage the desired behaviour. • Bonuses should be timely. They should be awarded soon after they have been earned. This encourages motivation and, as part of the performance feedback, can help an employee to learn to be more effective and earn improved rewards in future. • Durable (long-lasting). The result of this will be that an employee’s feelings of motivation and encouragement will last as long as possible. • Reversible if an evaluator makes mistakes. Promotion to a higher role is usually difficult to reverse, but bonuses promised for the performance of specific tasks can be withdrawn if necessary. • Cost effective. The desired motivation must be generated at the least cost. Activity 15.5 Read the section ‘Monetary incentives and the evaluation criteria’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 9. Make notes on two different issues that might make incentive schemes ineffective. Discuss your notes with other students on the VLE. If possible, work with students who have made notes on two different issues. 15.8 Group rewards Group bonuses can be useful for cultural control and are important when group activity is needed and individual contributions are hard to identify. Individuals in the group will be motivated to work together and anyone not pulling their weight will be encouraged to do so by the group. However, group rewards do not provide a direct incentive for individual employees, so some may not be contributing to the group’s achievements. This behaviour is likely to be discouraged by group social pressures, but this may not work if the employee is not a team player. 160 Chapter 15: Incentive systems Stock-based schemes, by their nature, are group rewards since improved company performance benefits everyone. However, there is little direct link between these rewards and employee behaviour and so low-level managers may feel unable to make a difference to performance and become demotivated. In some companies group rewards are part of the organisational culture. An example is the John Lewis Partnership where employees are the only people who share in the profits that the company makes. 15.9 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • describe the types of incentive that can be used • explain the purposes of using incentives • identify the different types of short- and long-term incentives, and explain the different purposes that are served by using these • explain why subjective rewards may be used and discuss the advantages and problems that arise from their use • discuss the ways in which group rewards are useful and what their limitations are. 15.10 Case study 1. Read the case study ‘Harwood Medical Instruments plc (HMI)’ at the end of Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 9, pp. 374–75, then answer the following questions: • What was the purpose of the change? • Calculate the bonus earned by each manager for each six-month period under the new plan and compare this with the old plan. • Evaluate the new plan. Is there evidence that it produced the desired effects? What, if anything, would you change in the new plan? Explain what and why. 15.11 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. Describe the different types of short- and long-term incentives and explain the different purposes that are served by using both of these kinds of incentives. 161 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Notes 162 Chapter 16: Financial performance measures and their effects Chapter 16: Financial performance measures and their effects 16.1 Introduction Organisations have many aims and responsibilities. These may include ensuring that products are safe to use, that employees are fairly treated and work in a safe environment, and that the company recognises its responsibilities to the local community and the environmental impact of their activities. However, as well as meeting these obligations, organisations are required to cover their costs and, in the case of companies with independent shareholders, must ensure that they maximise the value of the company to the shareholders who have invested their money in it. Investors value the company as the measurement of the discounted total future net cash flows that the company is expected to make. The discount rate is set by the likelihood of the cash flows continuing. In a risky company the discount rate will be high because investors expect a higher return as they are taking more risk. This is reflected by the company’s share price. The company’s value is therefore improved by either increasing the size of expected cash flows or by making them less risky and therefore reducing the discount rate. There is a difference between economic income (as defined above) measured by the return to equity shareholders and accounting income measured by using accounting rules. This has important implications for management control. 16.1.1 Aims of the chapter This chapter aims to: • identify the main measures of financial performance used for higher managerial performance • review the behavioural effects of the practice and explore some of the ways in which detrimental effects can be remedied. 16.1.2 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • describe the advantages and limitations of using market measures of performance • explain why accounting measures are widely used • discuss the reasons why, if a company wishes to encourage forwardlooking decision-making by its managers, accounting measures have severe limitations • provide numerical examples of the way in which return on investment (ROI) and residual income (RI) are calculated and the motivational issues that the measures are intended to encourage • explain the purpose of adopting economic value added (EVATM) as a performance measure and the disadvantages that might result from using it. 163 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 16.1.3 Essential reading Merchant, K.A. and W.A. Van der Stede Management control systems: Performance measurement, evaluation and incentives. (Harlow: Pearson, 2017) 4th edition [ISBN 9781292110554] Chapter 10. 16.2 Using market measures of performance for managerial appraisal Market measures use the value created (i.e. the return to equity shareholders) calculated as follows: the dividends paid during the measurement period plus the change in the market value of the stocks/ shares. 16.2.1 Advantages Market measures are easy to measure, therefore if managers are rewarded with stocks/shares this tends to be regarded as fair, since they will benefit in line with shareholders. The measure is available on a timely basis. It is precise, the values are objective (i.e. they cannot be influenced by the managers), and it is understandable and cost effective. 16.2.2 Limitations Controllability The measure may be influenced by activities beyond the control of the managers being assessed. Although top management performance can affect the measures to some extent, they are not an indicator of the performance of individual employees lower down in the organisation. This may lead to them being demotivated by the use of this measure. There are many activities beyond the company’s control which can affect the share price. Therefore, the measure can be adjusted to ‘relative performance evaluation’, which holds managers responsible for the difference between the company’s performance and the changes in the overall stock market or the stocks of peer group companies. Economic profit has not been realised Market measures are based on expectations of the future, not the realised performance. Therefore incentives will be based on expectations. Congruence failure The company’s plans and prospects are not well known to the market – partly due to the company’s confidentiality issues – so valuations are not likely to be accurate. Manager influence There may be plans which, if generally known, could harm the company in the long run, but managers may leak some of the plans to the public in order to increase the company’s share price. Anomalies in valuation These could be due to rumours or lack of information or due to the fact that the company’s stock is traded infrequently. Private limited companies A company not trading on the stock exchange cannot use this approach. As with all incentive schemes, the effectiveness of these measures must be assessed for each company. Due to some of the problems with market 164 Chapter 16: Financial performance measures and their effects measures discussed above, many companies use accounting measures, as well as (or more often than) market measures. Activity 16.1 Imagine you are a manager of an investment centre division in a company with 12 such divisions. What do you think are the good and bad aspects of being rewarded using a market measure (which would obviously only be available for the company as a whole, as it uses the company share price)? Make notes of your ideas and discuss these with other students on the VLE. 16.3 Using accounting measures of performance for managerial appraisal Two types of method are usually used: 1. Residual measures: that is, earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA), operating profit net income or residual income (RI). 2. Ratio measures: that is, return on investment/return on capital employed (ROI/ROCE), return on equity (ROE), return on net assets (RONA) or risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC). 16.3.1 Advantages Accounting measures: • Give investment centre managers the ability to make trade-offs: a manager can improve ROI by making trade-offs between revenues, costs and investments. • Provide a common denominator: easy comparisons can be made both internally with other divisions and externally with other companies and different types of investment (e.g. interest rates). • Can be timely and objective: profits can be measured precisely and objectively almost as soon as the financial period (e.g. a month/year) has finished and auditors can check the figures. • Are conceptually congruent with the organisation’s profit maximising goals: other methods (e.g. cash flows, sales or shipments) do not adhere to accrual principles, so are more difficult to interpret or compare. • May be controlled by the managers whose performance is being evaluated: therefore reports can be tailored to fit with the authority of any level of manager. • Are understandable: since accounting measures are commonplace in business, managers understand them. • Are inexpensive: accounting measures have to be prepared anyway for legal and information purposes. 16.3.2 Main criticisms Accounting measures fail to reflect economic income well because: • The system is transaction oriented: actions are not recognised unless and until a transaction occurs (e.g. accounting rules mean that a company cannot incorporate the advantage of developing a new drug until regulatory approval is granted). 165 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations • The profit declared is subject to the choice of measurement method: the annual depreciation charge for a particular asset depends on estimates of the asset’s life, its scrap value and the depreciation method used. • Accounting measurement rules are conservatively based: they recognise revenue only when it is contractually agreed, but require companies to write off intangibles immediately and create provisions against possible losses. • Financial accounts ignore economic value changes of intangibles which accountants cannot measure accurately and objectively: investments in research in progress, skilled workers, information systems and customer goodwill are expenses that are incurred in a financial year and do not appear as valuable assets in the company’s statement of financial position (unless there is an obvious, specific, identifiable, sellable asset, e.g. football players). • Profit recognises the cost of debt but ignores the cost of equity capital: this means that the profits are overstated and it is not clear how much profit has been earned above the cost of equity capital. This makes it difficult to compare the results of companies with different mixes of debt and equity. • Accounting profit does not recognise changes in risk: a company’s future cash flows may have become less risky but this is not shown in accounting profits. • Profit figures focus on the past: economic value comes from future cash flows and past performance is not an indicator of future performance. Therefore it is not goal congruent to require managers to make decisions which improve future performance but then measure their performance using backward-looking, conservative measures. These measures encourage short-term decision-making, not long-term value creation. 16.3.3 Specific problems with ROI, ROCE and ROE These measures, based on accounting principles, discourage new investment which will, in the initial years, increase the asset base more than the percentage impact from the investment on the income statement. This reduces the ROI percentage compared with the previous period. Accounting rules do not recognise gains until they are realised, but recognise investments when they are made. Example 16.1 A company has several divisions. Divisions P and Q are each considering similar projects with the same cash flows which will start at the beginning of year 1. The projects both have the following cash flows: £,000 Investment £1,800 For each of the following 5 years the cash flows will be : 166 Revenues £900 Cash expenses £300 Chapter 16: Financial performance measures and their effects The budgeted ROI, without the new project for each division at the end of year 1 is: Division P Net assets at end of year Division Q £000 £000 £3,800 £6,000 £604 £1,200 Net income ROI 604/3,800 15.8% 1,200/6,000 20% Assessing the viability of the projects using discounted cash flow at the company’s cost of capital of 14%: Present value of £1 at 14% Year Discount factor Cash flow 0 1 1–5 3.433 Discounted cash flow £000 £000 (1,800) (1,800) 600 2,060 Net present value 260 The company would be happy if either or both divisions adopted the project. However, if the managers are awarded bonuses based on their annual ROI, they will not want their ROI to decrease. Assuming straight line depreciation, the ROI for each division, with the new project would be: Project Division P Division Q without project with project without project with project £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 Net assets: end of year 1,440* £3,800 5,240 £6,000 7,440 Net income 240** £604 844 £1,200 1,440 ROI 16.7% 15.8% 844/5240 16.1% 20% 1440/7440 19.4% *Net assets (£000) = cost less one year’s depreciation at 20% = 1.800– 360 = 1,440 ** Net income (£000) = cash flow – depreciation – 600–360 = 240 Division P would be happy to accept the project as it improves the division’s ROI, but Division Q might reject the project as ROI is reduced in the first year. In subsequent years the ROI of the project will increase due to the accumulated depreciation which reduces the asset base by £240 (000) per year but net income remains constant, as follows: Project Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 1,440 1,080 720 360 0 Net income 240 240 240 240 240 ROI 16.7 22.2 33.3 66.7 infinite Net assets at end of year As well as investing in new projects, managers need to replace existing assets regularly because of wear and tear. The impact of depreciation shown above deters managers from replacing assets, so they may continue to use old assets which have been fully depreciated even though the repair costs and manufacturing disruption are costly. Replacing assets to improve efficiency before they are fully depreciated also impacts on the net income 167 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations in the year of changing the assets. It may reduce net income due to loss on the sale of the asset as well as impacting on the asset base in a year in which the cost savings have not yet been fully realised. The above illustration also shows problems that may arise when two divisions are considering a joint investment, the capital cost of which will be shared equally. The impact of the investment may improve one division’s ROI but reduce the other division’s ROI. That division would probably refuse to take on their share of the project. Thus the opportunity would be lost – to the detriment of the company as a whole. Activity 16.2 Using the above example, consider the behavioural impact on the two divisions, if the company’s cost of capital were 20%. Would the managers’ decisions still be good for the company? (To help you answer this question, see Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 10, Tables 10.1.and 10.2.). These measures also: Can discourage spending on intangible developments Spending on activities which benefit the future (e.g. research and development projects, employee training and development, acquiring new customers, etc.) are all expenses in the period in which they are incurred but the revenues of cost reductions will be experienced in the future. Can destroy existing personnel cooperation and lose customers Cost cutting to improve short-term profits might mean that employees are required to work harder or use lower quality materials in the products, thus making them inferior. In the long run, these actions can lead to staff turnover, loss of customers and increased product returns and repairs. Can encourage channel stuffing Sales are boosted by dropping prices if customers buy in bulk near the end of the financial period. This recognises more revenue in that period. Can encourage obtaining operating leases rather than purchasing assets Operating leases (as opposed to finance leases) do not have to be capitalised, so do not increase the company’s asset base. However, they are usually more expensive in the course of the asset’s life than purchasing assets would be. 16.3.4 Residual income (RI) Residual income can be a possible solution to some ROI measurement problems. It uses the same net income and net asset values as ROI. But instead of calculating a percentage return, RI reduces the net income by charging for the use of net assets. It is calculated by using the company’s weighted average cost of capital multiplied by the value of the net assets. 168 Chapter 16: Financial performance measures and their effects Example 16.2 (Using the same factors we encountered in Example 16.1) Division P Division Q Before After Before After £000 £000 £000 £000 £3,800 5,240 £6,000 7,440 Net income £604 844 £1,200 1,440 Less capital charge 14% on net assets 532 734 840 1,042 Residual income 72 110 360 398 Net assets at end of year The new investment impacts on both divisions’ residual income by the same amount (i.e. £38,000) so motivates both managers to accept the proposal. However, in the same way that ROI increases as the assets depreciate in value, the residual income will also increase over time due to depreciation without any improvement in net income. RI is stated as a number, not a percentage, so effectively is only comparing performance over time within that division. It cannot be realistically compared with other divisions as larger divisions have larger RI purely because of scale. Activity 16.3 Create a numerical example to show that divisions with the same ROI but different scales (e.g. twice as large) have different residual incomes. 16.3.5. Economic value added (EVA™) Stern Stewart, a consulting organisation, developed this version of RI in the 1990s. Their main concern was that some of the financial accounting rules distorted net income and investment (net assets). They proposed that the figures should be adjusted for such costs as R&D, advertising, employee development and goodwill. These costs are normally written off in the year in which they are incurred, which reduces net income, but using this approach, costs would be capitalised and written off in the future periods that benefited from them. The formula is: EVA(™) = Conventional divisional net income + accounting adjustments – cost of capital charge on divisional assets + accounting adjustments. This method of measuring performance should encourage managers to invest in forward-looking activities as they know that their net income will only be reduced by the amount used during the current year and the rest of the expense will be charged in later periods. Issues with EVA(™) Although the measure is referred to as ‘economic’, it does not address all the differences between accounting income and economic income. EVA(™) requires judgement to determine which costs to capitalise and over which years to charge them. This could allow managers to adjust their net incomes by charging more or less of the intangibles against net income in order to report more favourable net incomes. It may be difficult for managers to understand the measure, so they may not necessarily be encouraged to perform in the desired ways. 169 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 16.4 If you were a member of the top management team considering adopting EVA(™), what rules or guidelines would you adopt for divisions in order to ensure that intangibles which are capitalised are later written off in subsequent periods. What problems do you foresee if guidelines are not provided or monitored? Make notes of your ideas and discuss these with other students on the VLE. 16.3.6 Comparing divisional performance using current cost accounting Difficulties are sometimes encountered when comparing performance between different divisions if HCA is used. This mostly arises in relation to non-current assets because younger divisions will have bought their assets in more recent years. Due to inflation, particularly of land, the assets are more expensive than the assets of older divisions. This results in younger divisions facing higher net assets and higher depreciation than older divisions, leading to reduced net income and ROI or RI. Historical cost accounts can be adjusted to current cost accounts using annual indices to change the asset values. This method also reduces the net income as enhanced depreciation charges are made to cover the new value of the assets. This technique is also used in countries with hyperinflation to create comparability with previous years and identify the aspects of trading that have been affected by inflation. 16.4 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, as well as the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: 170 • describe the advantages and limitations of using market measures of performance • explain why accounting measures are widely used • discuss the reasons why, if a company wishes to encourage forwardlooking decision making by its managers, accounting measures have severe limitations • provide numerical examples of the way in which return on investment (ROI) and residual income (RI) are calculated and the motivational issues that the measures are intended to encourage • explain the purpose of adopting economic value added (EVATM) as a performance measure and the disadvantages that might result from using it. Chapter 16: Financial performance measures and their effects 16.5 Case study 1. Read the case study ‘Industrial electronics, Inc.’ at the end of Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 10, p.421, then answer the following questions: • Using the new scheme, calculate the bonus award as a percentage of base salary for the following five divisions as an example of the performance of the company: Division Budgeted operating net income Budgeted operating assets Actual operating net income Actual operating assets $,000 $,000 $,000 $,000 1 1,000 8,000 1,150 7,000 2 1,000 8,000 4,500 7,000 3 50 1000 300 800 4 (700) 3,000 (300) 4,200 5 600 1,000 100 1,800 • Discuss the advantages and problems of the current bonus system. • Discuss the advantages and problems of proposed new system. • Suggest ways in which the problems of the new system could be overcome. 16.6 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. Explain economic income and how it can be measured. Discuss the advantages and problems of using this measure for divisional performance appraisal. 2. Explain accounting income and how it can be measured. Discuss the advantages and problems of using these measures for divisional performance appraisal. You are not required to compare different accounting measures (e.g. EBITDA, ROI, RI and EVA(™)). 171 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Notes 172 Chapter 17: Remedies to the myopia problem Chapter 17: Remedies to the myopia problem 17.1 Introduction The word ‘myopia’ is the scientific term for short-sightedness. Its use is appropriate here because, as we saw in the previous chapter, the main accounting measures regularly used for results controls encourage a shortsighted approach. This does not mean that managers are deliberately acting against the economic objectives of the company at large. The performance measures in place motivate managers to improve their own performance (and therefore rewards) by making decisions that are not necessarily in the organisation’s long-term interests. The chapter broadly explores how top management would like managers to behave and how results controls can be more effective. 17.1.1 Aim of the chapter This chapter aims to: • look at ways to improve performance measurement and align managers’ decision-making more closely with corporate goals, by encouraging managers to look to the future as well as the present. 17.1.2 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, and you should be able to: • explain the term ‘myopia’ and why managers may act myopically • discuss the methods, advantages and difficulties of the following ways of reducing myopia: • reducing pressure on short-term profits • controlling investment with pre-action reviews • extending the measurement horizon • measuring changes in value directly • improving the accounting measures • measuring a set of value drivers. 17.1.3 Essential reading Merchant, K.A. and W.A. Van der Stede Management control systems: Performance measurement, evaluation and incentives. (Harlow: Pearson, 2017) 4th edition [ISBN 9781292110554] Chapter 11. 17.2 Pressures to act myopically All business people know that they need to focus on making activities that are happening in the present really effective but also take actions that build towards the future. For example, a local hairdresser and the staff that work there are good at their jobs and create a warm, welcoming atmosphere. The salon is busy. The owner, however, chooses to have the salon completely refurbished, despite the fact that the old furnishings are attractive and serviceable. 173 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations When asked why they spent the money, they said, ‘Customers both existing and especially new (who do not yet know how good our service is), want to feel that we are ahead of fashion from the moment they walk in or see our place on the internet. We pride ourselves on staying up to date with techniques and styles, and our environment needs to reflect that’. Looking after daily business while also looking forward by ensuring that everyone is trained in new techniques and securing the right look for the salon are all part of running the business. As this is the owner’s own business, they will reap the benefits in the future. Corporate managers, who are encouraged to attempt to show smooth earnings growth and to meet stock market expectations are not motivated to invest in the future. They are more likely to focus on ensuring that current profits meet market expectations. 17.2.1 Gamesmanship This is a type of behavioural displacement that was discussed in Chapter 12 of the subject guide. It is a way of ensuring that performance coincides with stock market expectations by enhancing profits. Two suggested ways are by: 1. reassessing reserves (e.g. bad debt provisions) and writing them back to improve profits 2. selling financial assets at the right time for the profits from them to hit the reported earnings. Activity 17.1 Make notes on the section ‘Pressures to act myopically’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 11. It illustrates gamesmanship (i.e. actions to deliberately smooth earnings to meet stock market expectations). Although smooth earnings growth is valued by investors, stock markets also react favourably to announcements that indicate strategically important investments are being made. Many companies attract investors specifically because they show that investing in the future, particularly in terms of innovation of products and/or markets and innovative new production technologies, are among their future aims. Activity 17.2 Read the examples of Amazon and IBM in the section ‘Pressures to act myopically’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 11. Make notes identifying the differences between the two companies and discuss these with other students on the VLE. 17.3 Ways to decrease myopia 17.3.1 Reduce pressures for short-term profit Instead of placing the most weighting when calculating bonuses on reaching demanding short-term profit targets, these weightings can be reduced and more reward given to actions that improve the organisation’s longer term prospects. Since these actions will vary according to the situation, a totally formulaic response is probably unlikely. Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) cite the example of Johnson and Johnson, the healthcare and pharmaceuticals company, which reviews salary and bonuses using a subjective, qualitative approach. This organisation 174 Chapter 17: Remedies to the myopia problem seeks to reward effort and recognise unique performance. (We discussed subjective appraisal in Chapter 15, section 15.5.2 of the subject guide.) Alternatively, the short-term profit target itself can be made easier to achieve, giving managers more time to work on longer term activities. Usually some guidance and performance structure is needed to encourage actions that are oriented to the future. The limitations of this approach is that it may reduce managers’ focus on short-term results without improving long-term performance. Managers may need to use non-financial indicators. Activity 17.3 Read the examples of sport in China and HSBC Bank in the section ‘Reduce pressures for short-term profit’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 11. What problems did they identify and how did they remedy them? 17.3.2 Control investment with pre-action reviews This solution attempts to cope with the problems cited in the previous chapter relating to accepting or rejecting investment opportunities. Idea 1 This works by dividing the income statement into two parts. The top part calculates short-term operating performance. Managers are appraised and earn bonuses for maximising short-term operating income. The costs of longer term investments are entered below the operating income line. These costs relate to developmental expenses incurred to generate revenues in the future. Managers can propose ideas for developmental investments, indicating the expected pay-offs. These proposals are reviewed in capital budgeting rounds and the outcomes are monitored. Idea 2 In order to cushion lower level entities from the impact of developmental expenses, some companies fund these expenses at higher organisational levels until they begin to generate revenues. Idea 3 Firms split themselves into ‘today businesses’ and ‘tomorrow businesses’. The managers of the ‘today businesses’ are expected to focus on being lean, efficient and competitive, leading to high net incomes. They are monitored by tight financial controls. The ‘tomorrow businesses’ managers focus on new business opportunities (e.g. products/markets). They are monitored by non-financial performance indicators and action controls. Activity 17.4 Read the example about Google in the section ‘Control investment with pre-action reviews’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 11. Make notes or discuss with other students on the VLE whether Google’s approach to innovation and its ease of execution could similarly be adopted by a company selling tangible products. Limitations A clear distinction between developmental and operating expenditure may not exist (e.g. manufacturing processes and market development expenditure may benefit the present and the future). This requires judgement as to whether expenditure is above or below the line. This can encourage gaming by managers. 175 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Using this approach, the final decisions on which developmental expenditure to fund are passed to corporate management who are less well informed than entity managers about the prospects of each specific entity and its funding needs. This could lead to poor quality resource allocation decisions or corporate managers funding their own pet projects. 17.3.3 Extend the measurement horizon (use long-term incentives) Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) base much of their discussion of measurement horizon on the survey research ‘Changing practices in executive compensation: long-term incentive plan design’ (Compensation Advisory Partners 2015). The idea of using long-term incentives is supported by Christine Lagarde of the IMF and Fidelity, a top 10 shareholder in many FTSE 100 groups and several European companies. You can read about their views in the section ‘Extend the measurement horizon’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 11. In Chapter 15 of the subject guide, we discussed the use of stock options and/or performance targets over three to five years. The survey indicates that companies are de-emphasising stock options in favour of performance targets such as return on investment (ROI), total shareholder return (TSR) and earnings per share (EPS). It also reports that most companies use more than one measure, with TSR being the most popular. Not surprisingly, the long-term incentives that most companies choose to adopt are the key measures of success in their industry. Companies mostly use internal goals and an external benchmark (e.g. a peer group). Problems with long-term incentives Using long-term incentives to reward managers can be expensive as managers prefer short-term bonuses. This is partly because short-term targets are more likely to be achieved and also because this means that bonuses may be paid more frequently. The unpopularity of long-term incentives is reflected in the fact that managers apply a high discount of more than 50% to deferred bonuses. This means that if they are not at least twice as generous as short-term bonuses, managers will continue to focus on short-term performance. A way around this problem is to pay bonuses for annual performance, but claw them back if future performance suffers. Long-term performance targets can be set by basing them on the numbers included in the long-term strategic plan, which is developed with the advice of senior managers. However, a consequence may be that innovation is stifled for fear that new ideas will not succeed. This leads managers to make conservative estimates, which is not an ideal situation for an ambitious, forward-looking company. 17.3.4 Measure changes in value directly This approach looks at using economic income for each division in an organisation. In this case, it is not measured by changes in the stock market valuation. For each division, economic income is calculated by measuring the discounted future cash flows that the division will generate in the future with the existing net assets. This is done at the beginning and end of the measurement period, using an appropriate discount factor. Limitations It is very difficult to know how the market, innovations and so on will change over the years, so estimates are likely to be unreliable, which 176 Chapter 17: Remedies to the myopia problem calls into question the feasibility of this approach. Who will make the estimates? If the manager to be rewarded prepares the estimates, there is an obvious motivation to bias them. The estimates could be checked by an outsider (e.g. an auditor), but that person would need an in-depth knowledge about the company, the specifics about what is being estimated and the future strategic focus of the company. This would also be very expensive. 17.3.5 Improve the accounting measures The suggestions below include several that have been mentioned in earlier chapters, so this section provides a summary of those points and mentions others. It is likely that adopting these measures would involve deviating from financial accounting rules and maintaining a separate set of records. However, this is commonplace for tax purposes and is implied by the concept of EVATM, so it is unlikely to be too much of a problem as data processing is straightforward these days. Suggestions include: • Choose depreciable lives for assets which coincide with their economic lives (not the conservatively short period used by many companies). • Charge depreciation on the use of older assets which have been fully depreciated to recognise the continued use of the asset and prompt the need for replacements (since the asset can no longer be regarded as a free resource). • Capitalise all expenditure required to generate future cash flows (e.g. R&D, customer acquisition, employee development). These should then become expenses in future periods as the revenues arise. • Capitalise all leases, not just finance leases. • Recognise value changes as they arise rather than waiting for the completion of a transaction (e.g. the mark-to-market basis could be used). This holds assets in the balance sheet at market value enabling profits or losses to be recognised when they occur, not just when the asset is sold. Oil and gas companies recognise value when a commodity is discovered rather than when it is sold. • Charge an imputed cost of equity capital as well as debt interest. 17.3.6 Measure a set of value drivers This approach moves away from just relying on financial measures and incorporates a number of the lead activities that have already been discussed. These value drivers are not measured in financial terms but by count or percentage. The expectation is that in each responsibility area a group of measures will be put together to encourage managers to be aware of, and be rewarded for, a wider range of activities that improve performance in the short and long term. There are several different models that can be used to provide an appropriate range of financial and non-financial measures. Any model would need to be adjusted to the needs of a particular company. The most famous value driver is the balanced scorecard developed by Kaplan and Norton. It proposes the following structure, which looks at achievement from four perspectives: • Financial: With a shareholder focus (or other more appropriate name in the public sector), this perspective looks at organisational 177 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations financial performance and the use of financial resources. Measures include: operating income, margins, return on equity and meeting budgetary targets. • Customer/stakeholder: This operates from the point of view of the customer or other key stakeholders that the organisation is designed to serve. Measures include delivery targets, customer services and complaints, and percentage sales from new products. • Internal processes: Here organisations run a tight ship by looking at quality and efficiency relating to products, services or other key business processes. Measures include cycle times, yield, quality measures, efficiency and effectiveness. • Organisational capacity (originally called learning and growth): Organisational performance is viewed through the lenses of developing staff training, improving infrastructure and technology, new product development and other capacities that are key to a breakthrough performance. 17.3.7 History of performance measures Although the balanced scorecard and other models formalised the incorporation of non-financial measures in organisations, the idea has been practised in different ways by companies, particularly non-profit organisations, for many years. 17.4 Strengths of several performance measures Performance measures aim to make managers aware of leading activities which result in future profits. In some cases these may be activities to which managers have not previously given much attention. This focus creates a feed-forward control mechanism for emphasising activities with future impacts. It is important that measures are chosen carefully to prompt managers to focus on areas which, if ignored, could lead to a poor performance in the future. It balances short- and long-term goals. As well as focusing on non-financial measures, the scorecard and other methods encourage the disaggregation of financial figures which tend otherwise to be presented in summary form. Examples include sales of new products and/or identifying new customers or new regions; cost of training, maintenance and machine upgrading; and product research and development, so that they can be looked at in more detail. The approach fits in well with the stakeholder view of the company. Financial measures focus mostly on the needs of shareholders. Concerns of other stakeholders (e.g. employees, customers, suppliers, conservationists and society at large) can be monitored using other measures. It helps managers to understand the importance of each activity being measured as this is part of increasing the value of entities. The system works best if the measures cover the activities that matter most to the particular company. This involves the development of strategy maps that can identify the actions needed to pursue future strategy. The ways in which these actions will impact on the activities of different divisions and their managers must be determined in detail. 178 Chapter 17: Remedies to the myopia problem 17.5 Issues in creating the correct measures The first step is to identify the activities that make a difference in the organisation and measure these. For example, a fast food company was concerned about staff turnover in its branches. They found that general staff turnover was not a problem for the success of each branch, but that supervisory staff turnover was. Some measures will be subjective (e.g. employee morale). In this case, managers must decide how they are to be measured. Simplistic measurement can lead to inappropriate behaviour. For example, requiring departments to provide a certain number of hours of employee training could lead to employees being sent on unnecessary courses simply to meet the target. Identifying the ways in which training has improved the effectiveness of employees is a better measure. The effectiveness of customers’ experience could be measured by, for example, customer turnover, mystery shoppers or customer surveys. The type and number of measures used to define performance will vary, depending on the responsibilities of the manager. They should be targeted at the activities that are relevant to that responsibility area and will be weighted as to their importance. Sometimes the measures can reduce effectiveness if they are not carefully implemented. For example, attempting to meet customer satisfaction targets can mean that more time is spent on each customer than is strictly necessary which will reduce the throughput of customers, with a resultant loss of sales. Pay-off relationships may not be linear, and once a particular level has been reached, putting in more effort may be unnecessary and wasteful, for example in terms of customer satisfaction. These performance measurement systems can be expensive to implement, especially if they include consultants’ fees, and will need to be refreshed regularly to keep them relevant. 17.6 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain the term ‘myopia’ and why managers may act myopically • discuss the methods, advantages and difficulties of the following ways of reducing myopia: • reducing pressure on short-term profits • controlling investment with pre-action reviews • extending the measurement horizon • measuring changes in value directly • improving the accounting measures • measuring a set of value drivers. 179 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 17.7 Case study 1. Read the case study ‘Mainfreight’ at the end of Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 11, pp.488–500, then answer the following questions: • Mainfreight’s top executives (three of whom are qualified accountants) maintain that their company does not prepare budgets. Is this an accurate statement? How does one determine whether a company prepares a budget or not? At the very least Mainfreight’s management system is not traditional: • What are the key elements of Mainfreight’s results control system? • Why did Mainfreight’s managers decide to take a non-traditional approach? • How does Mainfreight perform the functions typically fulfilled by budgets? Are some of these functions not really that important? • Does the Mainfreight system address some of the limitations of traditional budgets? Does it introduce new limitations? • Is Mainfreight a well-controlled organisation? • Should companies which currently run budgeting systems adopt some of Mainfreight’s type of systems? 17.8 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. Identify three methods of reducing managers’ focus on short-term profits. Explain how each method would work and its advantages and limitations. 180 Chapter 18: Using financial results controls in the presence of uncontrollable factors Chapter 18: Using financial results controls in the presence of uncontrollable factors 18.1 Introduction Uncontrollable factors are a part of life and their effect on businesses can be substantial. They are the reason for the existence of the insurance industry. However, many activities are not covered by insurance or are too expensive to cover. For example, it may be possible for an airline to insure against flight disruption due to an event like the Icelandic volcano, but it would be unlikely that an oil company would be able to insure against tumbling oil prices. There are many, much smaller, uncontrollable factors that happen regularly, for example customers going bankrupt or cancelling a big order, closing a factory due to strikes, breakdown of transport links to bring materials to the company or dispatch goods from the company. On the positive side, unexpected excellent weather may lead to better crops or a bankrupt competitor may open up the market to higher sales. The big question is: should individual managers be held responsible for the impact of these events when it comes to their performance appraisal? 18.1.1. Aim of the chapter This chapter aims to: • address the issue of the extent to which managers should be held accountable for factors that are outside their control. 18.1.2 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain the controllability principle and give examples of types of uncontrollable factors • describe the actions that can be taken to control for the distorting effects of uncontrollable factors before the measurement period • discuss the ways in which the distorting effects of uncontrollable factors can be measured • outline the advantages and problems of using subjective evaluations where there are uncontrollable factors. 18.1.3 Essential reading Merchant, K.A. and W.A. Van der Stede Management control systems: Performance measurement, evaluation and incentives. (Harlow: Pearson, 2017) 4th edition [ISBN 9781292110554] Chapter 12. 18.2 The controllability principle This states that a manager should only be held responsible for aspects of a business that they can control. This means that managers do not have to take responsibility for factors that cannot be predicted and are therefore outside their control. This would apply to both losses and gains. 181 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations However, the role of a manager is to use judgement to manage their area of the business, so it would be reasonable to expect that they would take all possible steps before the event to protect against the impact of disasters and maximise the effects of gains. After the event, action should be taken to mitigate any loss or maximise any opportunity. It is in the organisation’s best interests not to expect managers to bear uncontrollable risk because it encourages them to be risk averse. They will manage in ways that reduce risk, for example by not accepting risky investments or customers whose financial track record is not perfect. Also, if they are expected to be accountable for uncontrollable risk, they will expect much higher salaries. Managers may also ‘gameplay’ by managing earnings or creating budgetary slack to protect their results from unforeseen problems. Managers will also waste time and effort finding excuses as to why these uncontrollable events should not be included their performance. In fairness, responsibility for these uncontrollable events tends to lie more with the owners (shareholders) who are the risk takers rather than with subordinate managers. Activity 18.1 Using information in the section ‘The controllability principle’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 12, or from other sources, explain the circumstances that influence the level of a manager’s attitude to risk. 18.3 Deciding on whether factors are uncontrollable 18.3.1 Economic and competitive factors Examples of these are changes in: consumer preferences, demand, prices of products or services, input prices, labour cost and exchange rate fluctuations. This is the most difficult area to assess when deciding whether factors are controllable or not, because part of a manager’s role is to predict and respond to variables in trading by, for example, changing an advertising campaign or running promotions to stimulate demand, redesigning products, looking for cheaper suppliers or helping employees to be more productive. On the whole, companies do not consider making these changes. However, in some cases an aspect that affects many parts of a business may call for central intervention (e.g. corporate hedging to mitigate raw material prices), so will be uncontrollable by the manager. 18.3.2 Force majeure (act of nature or act of God) Examples of these are one-off, unexpected events like a severe natural disaster (e.g. hurricanes, earthquakes, floods) or exceptional events like those involving riots, terrorism, serious illness or death of key executives, fires and severe installation breakdowns. These tend to be disasters for most firms but are bonanzas for the companies that are commissioned to respond and make good after the disaster (e.g. construction companies, storage facilities, staff temping offices, hotels). Most companies will protect managers from the downside risk of these events as long as there is evidence that the manager has taken all possible actions to mitigate the effect of the disaster. Managers cannot avoid the disaster, but subsequently they can act to save money and the company’s reputation. 182 Chapter 18: Using financial results controls in the presence of uncontrollable factors Activity 18.2 Using information from the section ‘Types of uncontrollable factors’ from Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 12, and/or other sources, make notes of the actions that some companies have taken to save money or maintain their operating ability despite force majeure. Discuss your notes with other students on the VLE. 18.3.3 Interdependence Pooled interdependence This is a situation where the division is affected by the actions of other divisions in the company because they use shared resources (e.g. corporate staff activities such as shared human resources support). Is it fair for divisions to be affected by the poor performance of these services? In many organisations this is dealt with by an agreed contract between the divisions and the corporate service, set at the annual budgeting stage in relation to the services to be provided and the associated costs. This protects the divisions against cost increases, but not from poor service from these corporate services. Sequential and reciprocal interdependence This arises where one division is dependent on the work of another division (sequential) or both provide work to or receive work from other divisions (reciprocal). This is mostly dealt with by the use of transfer prices. 18.3.4 Interventions from higher management These actions essentially take away the autonomy of the divisional manager. Examples include: • dictating a specific transfer price which assists tax minimisation or funds repatriation • stating that the division should sell to a particular customer at a lower than normal price because other benefits will accrue to different divisions in the organisation • not approving decisions initiated by the divisional manager (e.g. proposed expenditure, changes to production schedules). 18.4 Controlling for the distorting effects of uncontrollables There are two complementary activities that can be incorporated, before and after the measurement period. 18.4.1 Before the measurement period It is necessary to define the items that the manager can control or have influence over, set results measures accordingly and take any other necessary measures. Examples of the other measures are listed below. Insurance Many events can be insured against (e.g. physical damage to company property, damage caused by employees, employee error, vandalism, riots, theft, product liability). Design of responsibility structures The general rule is that the divisional manager will be accountable for the costs and revenues that they can control. In terms of the income 183 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations statement, the top section can identify controllable revenues and cost and therefore controllable income can be calculated. Non-controllable divisional expenses and allocated central expenses are then deducted to calculate net income. Some companies may also include, as controllable, costs they wish the manager to be aware of or pay attention to. This often occurs with corporate overheads (e.g. personnel costs, information systems costs). This may be considered correct for two reasons. First, the manager would have to incur these costs if they were running their own business and may need the information as a guide to the prices and volume of sales needed to make target profits. Secondly, the divisional manager can put pressure on the corporate departments to control costs and provide competitive services. Taken to its logical conclusion, this should mean that divisions could also buy the resources in from outside. Whether or not to allow this would also be a corporate decision. This indicates that to a certain extent these costs are controllable by the divisional manager. It is unwise to expect managers to be charged with responsibility for too many things over which they have too little control. Contingency scenario planning In uncertain environments, this activity encourages managers to build in contingency planning for possible outcomes and therefore to be prepared to change their plans if necessary. However, it is more costly than just preparing for one scenario. Companies need to estimate whether it is sufficiently likely that their organisation will be caught up in the contingency that has been forecast. Updating plans more frequently If there are considerable future uncertainties, using rolling budgets may be a useful practice. This is because the standards set to create plans are more likely to become out of date as time goes by and any contingencies can be reviewed closer to the time they might be expected to happen. Since standards become less relevant over time, it may be fairer to review managerial performance monthly or quarterly rather than (or as well as) yearly. The disadvantages are the expense of more regular reviews and the fact that in a shorter time period the outcome of some of the manager’s decisions may not be reflected (e.g. a sales push may have incurred cost but not yet resulted in higher sales). (This relates to the issues discussed in Chapter 17 of the subject guide on extending the measurement horizon.) 18.4.2 After the measurement period If the uncontrollable event occurs during a measurement period, the financial impact of the event must be adjusted for before rewards can be assigned. These adjustments may be done objectively through calculations or subjectively through an evaluator’s judgement. 18.5 Methods which can be used to determine the impact of the event 18.5.1 Variance analysis As well as the normal price, volume, cost and usage variances, other aspects relevant to particular external factors, which are controllable either by those factors or the behaviour of other divisions, can be isolated. Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) identify sales performance which can be measured against industry volume, market share, sales price and exchange rate. 184 Chapter 18: Using financial results controls in the presence of uncontrollable factors Activity 18.3 Look at Tables 12.2–12.3 in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 12. Make a note of which variances are considered to be the responsibility of the trading division. Make up an example of your own. 18.5.2 Flexible performance standards The aim here is to adjust the monetary figures for events that are outside the manager’s control by, for example, recalculating the budget to reflect current exchange rates or making large changes in input prices (such as adjusting for oil price changes). However, this is only likely to be done if the manager has no way of avoiding the change by using other materials or processes to mitigate the effects. Of course, a favourable price should also be considered if these are also outside the manager’s control. 18.5.3 Relative performance evaluations This method does not appraise and reward the managers on the absolute level of results but in relation to a peer group. This can help deal with the effects of uncontrollable factors that affect the members of a peer group. The peer group can be other branches of the company or outside competitors with similar characteristics (e.g. bank branches, fast food chains). Activity 18.4 Read the example of Domino’s Pizza in the section ‘Relative performance evaluations’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 12. Make notes of how the results could be adjusted for these factors and discuss these with other students on the VLE. Although relative performance evaluation is not possible in many types of organisation, some reference to industry performance can be included. The purpose of this would be either to change targets or as part of a subjective evaluation. 18.5.4 Subjective performance evaluations Subjective performance evaluations are done by higher management and are intended to take into account all aspects of performance, including uncontrollable events. Instead of using formal calculations, the assessor judges whether the results are strong or weak. These evaluations can be useful in correcting flaws in the results measures. The evaluator can take into account other issues. The problems with subjective performance evaluations are that the evaluator has power over the manager, which may create resentment. In addition, biases may occur, including: • Outcome effect bias: where the evaluator brings in knowledge of other results that may not have a bearing on the manager’s performance. • Hindsight effect bias: where evaluators assume that knowledge that was only discovered later was available to the manager at the time decisions were made. It appears to the evaluator that events were more controllable than was, in fact, the case. • Deterring learning and motivation: The evaluator may not give much feedback on how bonuses were derived. This deters learning and demotivates the manager being evaluated. 185 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations • Managers may not trust the evaluation if evaluators have failed to honour rewards or promises made previously. This also affects motivation and morale. Subjective evaluations can lead to an excuse culture. In psychology, this is termed ‘attribution theory’, whereby people attribute success to their own efforts, abilities and skills, and failure to factors outside their control (e.g. bad luck, the difficulty of the task or other external factors). Thus they make excuses instead of learning from their mistakes. They tend not to focus on achieving targets as much as finding excuses. They may appeal against their evaluation, thus using energy that could be better directed to performing better. Subjective evaluations, if done well, will involve the evaluator taking considerable time to understand the situations faced by the manager during the period under scrutiny. They have to consider the extent to which results were due to effort and to which they were due to good or bad external effects. This may be a cause of resentment for the manager. Activity 18.5 Imagine you are an assessor. Make notes of the steps you would take to decide how well a manager had achieved their targets. Discuss your notes with other students on the VLE. 18.6 Reminder of learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain the controllability principle and give examples of types of uncontrollable factors • describe the actions that can be taken to control for the distorting effects of uncontrollable factors before the measurement period • discuss the ways in which the distorting effects of uncontrollable factors can be measured • outline the advantages and problems of using subjective evaluations where there are uncontrollable factors. 18.7 Case study 1. Read the case study ‘Olympic Car Wash’ at the end of Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 12, pp.531–32, then answer the following questions: • How large should the bonus pool be for the Aalst location? • Since Aalst actually made a loss (and possibly other locations did too), can the company afford this level of bonus? • Is the rain the only reason for lower sales? What other reasons could there be which might be within the manager’s control? • Does the method used encourage staff to welcome the rain? Could they offer other services that are not rain dependent? 18.8 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. Describe the purpose of adjusting managers’ performance for uncontrollable events. 2. Explain situations where subjective evaluation is likely to be used. 186 3. Explain possible difficulties with this approach. Chapter 19: Management control-related ethical issues Chapter 19: Management control-related ethical issues 19.1 Introduction Ethics provide a good guide to how employees throughout an organisation should behave. It is important that a company’s code of ethics is followed by workers at different levels and is also adhered to by upper and top management. Ethics are a key part of cultural and personnel controls and can augment action and results controls. Basic economics assumes that rational people will act to maximise their own self-interest and that the purpose of for-profit organisations is to maximise value for shareholders. These assumptions are too simplistic and ignore the fact that people live and work within the community of the company and that organisations have many stakeholders as well as shareholders. Ethical individuals will consider how their behaviour impacts on other stakeholders (e.g. other employees, suppliers, customers, the local community and the environment). However, doing the right thing does not always lead to better rewards. There is a tension between selfishness and doing the right thing. Those who behave unethically often benefit financially and those who do the right thing can earn lower bonuses. Whistleblowers who bring unethical behaviour into the public domain can be dismissed or demoted, although some countries have passed laws protecting the rights of such employees. 19.1.1 Aim of the chapter This chapter aims to: • outline the importance of ethics in organisations and the issues faced by them when introducing and using ethical controls. 19.1.2 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain the purposes of having ethical codes for professional organisations • describe how ethical codes are used in companies • identify four ethical models and explain how they might be used in companies • discuss the ethical issues of creating budgetary slack • explain how good ethics should be disseminated throughout an organisation. 19.1.3 Essential reading Merchant K.A. and W.A. Van der Stede Management control systems: Performance measurement, evaluation and incentives. (Harlow: Pearson, 2017) 4th edition [ISBN 9781292110554] Chapter 15. 19.1.4 Further reading Association of Chartered Accountants (ACCA) ‘ACCA code of conduct and ethics’, ACCA www.accaglobal.com/uk/en/member/standards/ethics/accacode-of-ethics-and-conduct.html 187 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Birsch, D. and J.H. Fielder The Ford Pinto case: a study in applied ethics, business and society. (Albany, NY: State University of New York Press, 1994) [ISBN 9780791422342]. UK Government ‘Whistleblowing for employees’, GOV.UK www.gov.uk/ whistleblowing/who-to-tell-what-to-expect 19.2 Ethical behaviour in a business context Governments and organisations pass laws or have rules to deter unethical behaviour; however, these cannot be watertight and cover all possible situations. So ethical standards attempt to fill the gaps. There are nevertheless situations where, through collusion, unethical behaviour occurs and can be encouraged within a group, which can lead to ethical drift. For example, directors and managers who are in sufficiently high positions to affect reported results may be tempted to do so. Activity 19.1 Read the details of LIBOR and Tesco’s financial reporting in the section ‘Good ethical analyses and their importance’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 15. Note down ways in which this could have been avoided and discuss them with other students on the VLE. 19.2.1 Professional ethics Most professional bodies expect their members to maintain a code of professional ethics. Part of a professional body’s role is to monitor the behaviour of their members and to take disciplinary action if necessary, in order to protect the reputation of all members. You can read advice for whistleblowers at: www.gov.uk/whistleblowing/who-to-tell-what-to-expect and the ACCA code of ethics at: www.accaglobal.com/uk/en/member/ standards/ethics/acca-code-of-ethics-and-conduct.html 19.2.2 Providing example and giving training Company managers should have policies, rules, checks and balances, measurement systems, rewards and specific ethical policies in place. In addition, they should lead by example and provide training sessions, sets of values and codes of conduct to help employees identify and assess ethical issues. 19.3 Ethical models Ethics is about how actions affect the interests of other people. There are four main theoretical models. However, as we are mostly interested in management controls in this chapter, we will not go into details about the models, but will highlight the ways in which they affect management decision- making and control. 19.3.1 Utilitarianism The consequences of an action are judged in terms of welfare economics and cost-benefit analysis. The objective is to act in a way that creates the greatest good for the greatest number of people affected by the action. A clear example in business was when, in the 1970s, the Ford Motor Company discovered a fault in the petrol tank of their Pinto cars which could result in a fire if the car was involved in a rear-end collision. Nevertheless, they did not recall the 11 million cars affected for a refit. As a result, several people died in horrifying accidents. Clearly, their costbenefit analysis model did not place a high enough value on human life. 188 Chapter 19: Management control-related ethical issues 19.3.2 Rights and duties This model identifies the basic rights that people have and the duty they have to uphold similar rights for others. In a management context, many of these rights and duties are identified in contracts and job descriptions. Often, these are challenged by unions or other worker groups if they seem unfair. This implies that a balance of power exists within an organisation and this creates its own ethical dilemmas. Within the workplace, many rights and duties may be covered by the idea that employees have the right to be treated politely, not be bullied and so on. 19.3.3 Justice/fairness This approach considers that processes should be fair even if outcomes are not: for example, most people do not object to a rich person winning a lottery if the process is transparent. In a business context, this indicates that pay and performance packages should be seen to be fair. 19.3.4 Virtues This model regards morals to be rooted in virtues (e.g. integrity, loyalty, courage and, possibly, generosity, grace, decency, commitment, idealism among many others). These can be built into the personnel and cultural controls of an organisation. It is important that a company has a code of ethics to which management and employees can refer if there are disputes over behaviour. Even if the ethical behaviour guidelines are part of an employment contract, it is also necessary to have action controls to ensure that the behaviour of staff falls within the guidelines. 19.4 Analysing ethical issues If there is a situation in which a person or group appears to have behaved unethically, the company should ensure that there is a system for investigating and deciding on the next steps. The method could follow these steps: • Clarify the facts. • Define the ethical issue. • Specify the alternative courses of action. • Compare values and alternatives. • Assess the consequences. • Make a decision. Activity 19.2 Imagine an unethical situation that has occurred (in a college, club or business) and apply the above method to analyse and resolve the issue. Due to the somewhat ephemeral nature of ethical concepts, different people may come to different conclusions about a situation. It is important that managers keep an open mind and are aware of different views when handling issues of an ethical nature. It must be made clear that there is a difference between acting unethically and acting fraudulently. If fraud has occurred, the guilty party will be dealt with through prosecution. However, many areas of behaviour are not 189 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations covered by the law, so ethical behaviour within an organisation is expected in order to ensure that there is fairness and efficiency. 19.5 Some management control-related ethical issues 19.5.1 The ethics of creating budgetary slack This occurs where managers are held accountable for their department’s performance. In particular, this is relevant where meeting or exceeding performance targets impacts on receiving bonuses, salary rises or promotions. In this situation, the department manager is using their superior knowledge of the operation of the department in order to draw up such a budget. It results in targets that are easier to achieve and therefore bonuses will result. This could be regarded as unethical as it means that the manager does not have to work as hard, which results in lower profitability for shareholders. It can also lead to undesirable behaviour such as splashing out on unnecessary items to meet the budget spend so that next year’s budget will not be reduced. Higher level managers will use the budget estimates for their own aggregated estimates when considering resource allocation and investment decisions. However, the creation of slack can be justified by managers who regard it as protecting themselves against the uncertainty of the future that they have to deal with. This is useful in companies who consider the budgetary commitment as a ‘hard promise’ which, if not kept, will result in penalties. It can be regarded as a reasonable reaction to the imbalance that exists between lower and higher management, and can be considered as part of the budgetary negotiation process. Activity 19.3 Read the section ‘The ethics of creating budgetary slack’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 15. Make notes on the factors to take into account when deciding whether creating slack is ethical in a particular company, and discuss these with other students on the VLE. 19.5.2 The ethics of managing earnings This activity uses either accounting methods or operating methods to report a company’s earnings that are in line with expectations (e.g. boosting earnings, smoothing earnings or saving earnings to boost future results). Accounting rules, professional ethics and corporate law all consider this to be, at least, unethical and, possibly, illegal since it goes against the disclosure of information that directors are required to pass on to investors. There is massive asymmetry of information between directors and investors, and therefore audited reports are the only way to discover a company’s true financial position. Large shareholders may be able to acquire information and may be able to influence board members. However, smaller shareholders or potential investors do not have this option, and therefore the auditors’ role is vital. 190 Chapter 19: Management control-related ethical issues Activity 19.4 Read the section ‘The ethics of managing earnings’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 15, which discusses areas where directors might feel that earnings should be ‘managed’. Make notes of your views and discuss these with other students on the VLE. 19.5.3 The ethics of responding to flawed control indicators This situation occurs where an employee’s job is defined by action controls. They notice that there are more effective ways to work, but do not mention this and continue on in the way they were originally instructed. For example, a maintenance worker who is required to maintain certain machines on a monthly basis may notice that some parts in a particular type of machine often wear out and need replacing before the month end, so production has to be stopped in that area. The maintenance worker may not feel it is their responsibility to bring this issue to the notice of their supervisor. This issue is more serious where those with higher responsibility, particularly in the finance area, can see ways in which they could take action to improve processes or security. Many finance professionals are required by their professional bodies to be proactive in helping organisations to avoid financial disaster if they become aware of a problem. However, many managers and employees are not bound by such codes. 19.5.6 The ethics of using control indicators that are too good The existence of computer surveillance which can monitor an employee’s every move is now technically possible. An issue to consider is whether there is a conflict between an employer’s right to monitor and an employee’s right to autonomy, privacy and not to be subject to oppressive controls (which amount to them working in electronic workshops). Activity 19.5 Make notes on an employee’s and an employer’s point of view of what each party might consider to be fair rules in the use of electronic surveillance. The section ‘The ethics of using control indicators that are too good’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 15 makes some suggestions. 19.5.7 Spreading good ethics within the organisation When companies are small and all employees can relate with the owner, the role model provided by that person is usually the reference point for the company’s ethics. Larger companies must develop formalised ethics programmes with a set of values that the company expects the employees to conform to. These will evolve into policy manuals, codes of ethics or codes of conduct. The codes may include specific guidelines (e.g. gifts from clients should not be accepted) as well as some that are more general and indicate the values that employees should uphold. There should also be training programmes giving employees the opportunity to discuss scenarios that might arise. The safeguarding of children and vulnerable adults is a topical example of an area that might be covered. Actions to be taken and who to go to for advice must be clearly spelled out. 191 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Employees may be required to sign up to agree that they will uphold the company’s code of conduct. It may be necessary to run refresher courses as new areas are developed. This, of course, would lead to it being necessary for employees to sign a new agreement that incorporates the changes. Good practice from those at the top of the organisation is essential. If this is not apparent, then those lower down the organisation will not feel obliged to adhere to the code either. Monitoring should be done by superiors and colleagues, although group norms also play a role here. There should be a procedure for investigating issues and setting sanctions. There should also be an ombudsman to represent those employees who encounter ethical issues. 19.6 Reminder of learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • explain the purposes of having ethical codes for professional organisations • describe how ethical codes are used in companies • identify four ethical models and explain how they might be used in companies • discuss the ethical issues of creating budgetary slack • explain how good ethics should be disseminated throughout an organisation. 19.7 Case study 1. Read the case study ‘Two budget targets’ at the end of Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 15, p.694, then answer the following questions: • Determine the facts. • Define the ethical issues by identifying the stakeholders and listing who benefits and who is harmed. • How might Joe’s superiors act if they discovered what was happening? 19.8 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. Identify the different levels of responsibility in a typical public limited company. Explain one ethical issue an employee at each level may face, why the issue has arisen and which checks may be in place to help employees to act ethically. 192 Chapter 20: Management control in not-for-profit organisations Chapter 20: Management control in not-for-profit organisations 20.1 Introduction In this chapter we will look at how control systems can be applied to not-for-profit organisations. This can be difficult because the objectives of these organisations are not focused on profit making (although, in order to meet their goals, they must stay financially solvent). They must therefore identify exactly what their goals are in order to convey them to their employees. They must identify the tasks that employees must carry out in order to meet the organisation’s goals as well as the measures that will indicate how well tasks have been completed. 20.1.1 Aim of the chapter This chapter aims to: • provide a brief summary of how management control can be used in not-for-profit organisations. 20.1.2 Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, and having completed the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: • identify different types of not-for-profit organisation and give examples of the main types • explain the main similarities and differences between for-profit and not-for-profit organisations • discuss ways in which public sector outputs can be identified and measured • explain fund accounting • identify the ways in which public sector employment may differ from that in the private sector. 20.1.3 Essential reading Merchant, K.A. and W.A. Van der Stede Management control systems: Performance measurement, evaluation and incentives. (Harlow: Pearson, 2017) 4th edition [ISBN 9781292110554] Chapter 16. 20.1.4 Further reading Moullin, M. ‘How the public sector scorecard works’, Public sector scorecard www.publicsectorscorecard.co.uk/how-the-pss-works.html Office for National Statistics www.ons.gov.uk 20.2 Types of not-for-profit organisation To clarify the kinds of organisations that fall into this category, we have divided them into different groups. 20.2.1 Public sector organisations These are either: • national government-commissioned bodies, financed by taxation, and include those running the government (e.g. the civil service, law enforcement, defence, health, education, transport) 193 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations • local authorities, which are responsible for services in a particular region (e.g. refuse collection, road maintenance, public health, education, planning). In the UK in 2018, these large organisations employed nearly 7 million people, approximately 16% of the working population (www.ons.gov.uk). They provide a public good, which means that although every person or household pays for the services they provide, no one can claim that a specific part belongs to them. Therefore although the stakeholders are the citizens and users of the services, they are only empowered to change things through personal complaints, voting, petitions and the media. In the private sector, by comparison, each customer has a defined product or service and can receive redress if there is a fault. 20.2.2 Professional associations These are set up to protect members and be a voice for them. They often restrict membership to those who have attained certain qualifications and, once admitted, members must adhere to a code of ethics. Annual membership fees are levied and used for representing and protecting the rights of members. Professional insurance may also be provided and the association may also fund research (e.g. the British Medical Association). These associations are usually run by appointed executives. The main stakeholders are the members. Employer organisations also benefit from the reassurance that their employees are governed by a code of professional ethics. 20.2.3 Clubs These are usually interest groups that use their membership subscription to fund their interest (e.g. amateur football clubs, drama groups, etc.). The main stakeholders are the members. 20.2.4 Charities These are organisations set up with specific charitable objectives. They can be very large and operate in many parts of the world (e.g. Oxfam, Greenpeace) or have a local purpose (e.g. universities, hospitals, museums). Small local charities may be set up to achieve a particular purpose (e.g. a fund set up to help with or commemorate a particular tragedy). In the UK, all charities with an income above £5,000 must be registered with the Charities Commission, must state their charitable purpose and must name their responsible officers. They also need to make their financial accounts available annually. As they are funded by donations, their stakeholders are their donors and the beneficiaries. Activity 20.1 Use the internet to find out more about the organisational structure of a government department, association or charity of your choice. On the VLE, see if other students have chosen a different one from you, and compare your findings with them. 194 Chapter 20: Management control in not-for-profit organisations 20.3 Key similarities and differences in management control between for-profit and not-for-profit organisations Depending on their size, not-for-profit organisations use many of the same controls as for-profit organisations. All the issues mentioned in Chapter 11 of the subject guide are relevant. Both types of organisation face the same need for an organisational structure that ensures that employees are controlled and rewarded, and that good financial systems and checks are in place. The key difference is that for-profit companies are required to make a profit to survive, and preferably maximise profits to meet shareholders’ expectations. They will also have other goals to meet the needs of other stakeholders. Not-for-profit organisations do not have this profit goal, but they must stay financially solvent so that they have the funds to fulfil their purposes. Therefore they need to define their goals clearly before they can focus on how to meet them. A local authority must serve its citizens and so must identify the actions required to meet each of their needs and the different resources required to do so. This means that their intended outcomes must be clearly understood. However, as any observer of national, local or club level politics knows, deciding on the priorities for spending funds and raising funds is not always easy. Priorities can be influenced by strong personalities, pressure groups, the media and public opinion. 20.3.1 Goal ambiguity and conflict Goal ambiguity arises because there are many competing needs for funds and usually difficulties and/or resistance to raising the funds required. For example, should a charity’s funds be used for a sudden emergency if this means diverting funds from an ongoing project? Organisations will identify the main activities that have to be undertaken to meet their stated objectives. Annual budget preparation tends to be a political process as it determines the amount of money that will be available every year for each type of service. For many organisations, particularly national and local governments, much of the basic work has been done for many years. Therefore their main objective is to continually adjust the services to meet modern changing needs with modern methods. Conflicts arise continuously as circumstances change. For example, should a hospital prioritise paediatrics or cancer care, since both could do so much with more money? 20.4 Not-for-profit budgeting For not-for-profit organisations, the budget is a vital mechanism for authorisation and control, even more so than for for-profit organisations. The funds available are finite and are devolved to managers to meet the needs of their department. One of their performance measures will be to keep within the budget while delivering services at the required level. 195 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Three criteria which can be used together are: • Economy – this measure tests whether the resources are as cheap as possible, given the quality required. • Efficiency – this measures the output achieved from the inputs used. • Effectiveness – this determines whether the expected objectives were achieved. Many organisations use incremental budgeting as their starting point each year. This uses last year’s budgeted amount for each department and adjusts it for known changes for the forthcoming year. This is the quickest and easiest way of dealing with the huge task of budget preparation. However, it is known to encourage budgetary slack. It may also fail to take into account one-off amounts granted for a particular purpose in a previous year. This amount may be included in subsequent budgets even though it is no longer needed for that purpose. It also encourages departments to spend up to the budget to ensure that the next budget will not be cut. Situations may arise where funds for the whole organisation have been cut from previous levels for the following period due to recession and poor collection of taxes, or, alternatively, more money becomes available than previously. How should those in authority cope with either cutting expenditure or agreeing to more spending? What services should be affected? One of the ways that this can be handled is to cut or increase each department’s budget by the same proportion as the general change. A reduction leads to departments individually deciding where to make cuts and sometimes leads to whole activities, in several departments, having to be cut. If there is an increase and it is spread across all departments, there is often not enough to fund a new initiative in any one department so the money is frittered away on non-essentials. In order to minimise budgetary game playing and create more effective decision-making, zero-based budgeting was introduced in 1970. Managers are asked to identify each activity that their department performs and justify every cost related to it, starting from scratch. This encourages budgets which have grown over time to be rationalised. Also, each manager is asked to prepare estimates of how extra money (say £100,000) could be spent most effectively in their department so as to achieve more activities or what they would cut if the money was withdrawn from their budget. These are known as decision packages. This information allows management to rank the importance of each decision package against strategic goals and allocate resources appropriately. The practice may be harder on some departments than on others, but is intended to be more effective overall. The process of zero-based budgeting is very time-consuming so generally it is not be done every year. However, the decision package approach could be used whenever it is appropriate. For example, a school might ask different disciplines (science, music, art, sport, languages) what they could do with extra money (or what they would cut if money was withdrawn from their budget). The method attempts to: • identify and discontinue obsolete activities • increase staff involvement and understanding of how costs arise • allocate or reduce resources more effectively. This tool is not without the risk that managers will exaggerate the benefits or losses that their department would experience. It can also lead to tension or resentment. 196 Chapter 20: Management control in not-for-profit organisations Once the annual budgets and planned outcomes have been decided, targets are set to monitor the outcomes as the year progresses. The targets may be partly informed by the previous year’s achievements, in the same way that happens in for-profit companies. 20.5 Difficulties in measuring and rewarding performance In order to be able to control not-for-profit organisations, departments have specific responsibilities that must be met, within a budget. As with any budget mechanism, this meets with problems of uncertainty over how much money is required and the likelihood of budgetary slack. However, many activities can be measured in the same way as they are in for-profit companies. For example, the time it should take to collect refuse in each district can be specified; procedures for routine hospital activities can be laid down, and in both cases action controls can be used. In not-for-profit organisations, more difficult outcomes tend to have to be measured. For example, how do you assess whether social work cases are being handled correctly or if schoolchildren are achieving at expected levels? In arenas where several institutions are performing the same work (e.g. school, hospitals, police forces, prisons), benchmarking is a useful way of analysing performance. This can be developed into league tables. However, emphasising the unit’s position in a league table should be used with care as it can lead to incongruent behaviour by the unit in order to meet the statistics. Targets may be met by taking resources from other important activities that are not measured. The measures can be compromised, in much the same way as is observed in for-profit companies. To use the measures most effectively, organisations that are not achieving as well as others should be encouraged to learn from the practices of the most effective performers. It is also important to incorporate intervening variables within the measures. For example, schools situated in areas where pupils are not easily able to continue their studies at home are likely to be less successful in terms of academic achievement and therefore they may need more money to develop after-school homework clubs. In some situations, possibly charities, few comparisons can be made, as the activity is unique to that organisation. These organisations must develop their own output measurement methods. One aspect which large charities often publicise is the percentage of their donations that they spend on administration. They obviously attempt to keep these costs as low as possible. An example of the difficulty that can arise in measuring and rewarding actions was illustrated when people taking part in an archaeological dig were paid extra for each item discovered. Unfortunately, this led to diggers breaking larger items in two so they could receive double pay. Activity 20.2 Discuss the effect that school league tables have on staff, pupils, parents and prospective families. 197 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 20.6 Accounting differences In the UK, accounting standards have been compiled for local authorities based on international financial reporting standards (IFRS) and are issued jointly by the Chartered Institute of Public Finance and Accountancy (CIPFA) and LASAAC (the Local Authority Code Board). Charity regulations in the UK are laid down by the Charities Commission. The main difference, compared with limited company accounts, is the use of fund accounting for donations and grants, some of which have been given for a specific purpose. The use of each fund is recorded and reported separately. The funds fall into different categories – restricted funds, designated funds and general funds, which may have different titles in different jurisdictions. Restricted funds can only be used for the specific purpose for which they were set up. For example, a church requires £180,000 to repair its historic organ. A fundraising campaign is launched and the money is credited to the restricted organ fund account. This may not be a separate bank account, but the funds cannot be used for any other purpose. Sometimes there are opportunities to obtain grants from the government or other institutions which will match the funding raised by public donations. Donors will wish to be sure that the money they have given is kept separately so that the matching funding will be claimed and that money is only used for the specific purpose. Designated funds are created for a specific purpose. An example is a maintenance fund, deliberately set up and financed by fundraising and by moving funds from the general fund in order to have resources available for the repair and replacement of assets. These funds are not restricted and, with the agreement of trustees, can be moved to a different fund if it is clear that they are not needed for their original purpose. Auditors will ensure that the funds are only used for the designated purpose. The general fund is used to record an organisation’s day-to-day activities. The income and expenditure account (the general fund) is very similar to an income statement of a for-profit company but shows any surplus or deficit for the year rather than net income or net loss. Balance sheets (where used) also have similarities to their commercial counterparts. Charities will incorporate all their funds into a consolidated statement called the statement of changes in fund balances, which shows grants, money donated, money transferred between funds and monies paid out to fulfil the restricted or designated needs of the fund. Activity 20.3 Use the internet to access a charity’s annual report. Look at the roles of the trustees. How are designated funds accounted for? 20.7 External scrutiny Not-for-profit organisations are answerable to their stakeholders and the general public. The existence of widely available information makes it even more likely that they will be scrutinised. Often, government regulators have the power to intervene when it is clear that the organisation is struggling. Directors and trustees can be replaced. 198 Chapter 20: Management control in not-for-profit organisations Activity 20.4 Read the examples in the section ‘External scrutiny’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 16. Make notes on people putting pressure on organisations to be more effective, then discuss these with other students on the VLE. There is a risk, particularly in charities, that inappropriate people will be appointed to high office, such as a large donor or someone who is well-known in another sphere who brings a good reputation to the organisation. Often trustees are not paid or are only paid a small amount (the charity regulations may bar them from being paid) and may have their own careers so they may not be giving enough skill or attention to ensuring that the organisation is effectively run. 20.8 Public sector scorecard In the UK, the Public Sector Scorecard Research Centre is working with some public sector bodies to develop a scorecard designed for public sector organisations to help them to focus on continuously developing their service delivery. M an eas d ev urem al ua ent tio n Strategy mapping Developing performance measures Integrating risk management Addressing capablility Servi g pin ap ym Identifying processes and capability outputs eg t ra Learning from performance measures St Clarifying outcomes ce im Re-designing processes prove ment Figure 1: A scorecard for public sector organisations. Source: Moullin, M. ‘How the public sector scorecard works’, Public sector scorecard www.publicsectorscorecard.co.uk/howthe-pss-works.html The scorecard starts with ‘strategy mapping’, that is, working with staff and service users to identify expected outcomes and the capabilities and the processes needed to meet them. This leads to investigating ‘service improvement’ by redesigning processes, including supporting and training staff to adopt more effective practices. The next step – ‘measurement and evaluation’ – is defining and agreeing on appropriate performance measures for each part of the strategic map. These are filtered to ensure that they are cost effective, provide the intended value and minimise any undesirable outcomes. 199 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations 20.9 Employment characteristics Public sector employees understand that, in some ways, pay structures and tenure are different from those in the private sector. Salaries are usually agreed by unions and may include annual cost of living pay rises or increases when additional responsibilities are taken on. There is usually a good possibility of tenure unless the organisation needs to downsize. (This is also true of many roles in the private sector.) Public sector organisations rarely offer an opportunity for a bonus structure directly related to performance as is the case in for-profit companies, but many organisations have pay scales which recognise greater experience. It is important to employ (and pay) good quality people if the not-forprofit organisation is to be well-run, with staff using their initiative to continuously improve the service provided. Often top salaries are similar to those in for-profit companies and therefore there is an expectation that the organisation will be well-run and provide a good service. This must be reflected in all departments, including the financial operation where efficient working and good internal controls are essential. There are many jobs that are only available in public sector organisations (e.g. social work). Many people who choose to work for charities are partly drawn to these organisations by a desire to work for a good cause. Activity 20.3 Read the examples in the section ‘Employee characteristics’ in Merchant and Van der Stede (2017) Chapter 16, relating to the Los Angeles Department of Mental Health and the attitude of the mayor towards paying high salaries. Do some research to find out how top salaries in commercial companies in your city or region relate to those in the private sector. For example, how much is the chief executive of a company based in your city or region paid (this information will be available in companies’ annual reports) compared to a top executive in your local authority? 20.10 Summary Due to the complexity of the goals and the number of interested parties in not-for-profit organisations, a command and control style of management may not be effective (some argue that in an innovative and creative business it is not appropriate either). There are many situations where discussions are needed to obtain consensus on action, and layers of regulation, overseers and interest groups need to be satisfied. Results measures and reward by specific financial bonuses are difficult to identify and implement. Bonuses may be prohibited by law and are subject to public scrutiny. However, many people are more comfortable working in this environment. 20.11 Reminder of learning outcomes Having completed this chapter, and the Essential reading and activities, you should be able to: 200 • identify different types of not-for-profit organisation and give examples of the main types • explain the main similarities and differences between for-profit and not-for-profit organisations Chapter 20: Management control in not-for-profit organisations • discuss ways in which public sector outputs can be identified and measured • explain fund accounting • identify the ways in which public sector employment may differ from that in the private sector. 20.12 Test your knowledge and understanding 1. Explain each of the following techniques and why each may be used in not-for-profit organisations: • zero-based budgeting • benchmarking • public sector scorecard. 201 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Notes 202 Appendix 1: Solutions to activities and sample examination questions Appendix 1: Solutions to activities and sample examination questions Note to students Solutions are provided only for selected activities and Sample examination questions. Chapter 6 Test your understanding Students could calculate the following ratios: Luke & Laing LAZD Net working capital/Sales 21.0% 1.1% Net non-current operating assets/Revenue 88.5% 109.7% PP&E/Revenue 56.5% 70.0% Net working capital turnover 4.8 88.9 Net non-current operating asset turnover 1.1 0.9 PP&E turnover 1.8 1.4 Trade receivables turnover 40.0 106.7 Days’ receivables 9.1 days 3.4 days Inventories turnover 2.7 49.1 Days’ inventories 134.9 days 7.4 days Trade payables turnover 13.1 13.9 Days’ payables 27.8 days 26.2 days Cash conversion cycle 116.2 days -15.3 days Working capital Utilisation of working capital is much less efficient for L&L with working capital being much higher as % of sales (or generating much less revenue/£). Driver is all three parts of working capital – receivable period being long, inventory period being long and payable period much higher for L&L compared to LAZD. Credit terms with suppliers appear in line with each other, so main driver is inventory period and receivable period. Receivable period for L&L looks long for the retail industry. LAZD operates with a negative working capital cycle which would relieve pressures on cash flow. Non-current assets NCA within L&L are better used, potentially due to space utilisation in stores or position of the few stores in unique places. 203 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Chapter 7 Activity 7.4 Actual Year 1 Est Year 2 Est EV/Sales 2.9× 3.2× 3.3× EV/EBIT 19.3× 21.4× 20.5× EV/EBITDA 17.4× 18.5× 18.0× P/E 11.3× 11.8× 11.2× What we can see from this is a peak in lower multiple in the current year with a greater multiple in year 1 which then drops in year 2. If we understand that multiples are taking into account expectations of future performance, we can begin to understand this pattern. In current values, investors are expecting to see growth in the future, which they expect in both sales, EBIT, EBITDA and EPS. The greatest growth is expected to occur between year 1 and year 2 and this is why the multiples are expected to increase in year 1 before dropping off again in year 2. Activity 7.5 Min Max Average Multiple 5.8× 6.6× 6.2× EBITDA 1,450.0 1,450.0 1,450.0 Enterprise value (multiple × EBITDA) 8,410.0 9,570.0 8,990.0 Net debt 3,500.0 3,500.0 3,500.0 Equity value (EV − net debt) 4,910.0 6,070.0 5,490.0 Number of shares outstanding 102.0 102.0 102.0 Share price (equity / no. shares) 48.14 59.51 53.82 Activity 7.6 Net revenues $ 5,349.10 Cost of sales 2,546.00 Gross profit 2,803.10 Selling, general and administrative expenses 1,727.60 Amortisation expense 82.5 Restructuring costs Acquisition-related costs Asset impairment charges Gain on sales of assets Normalised EBIT 204 993.00 Appendix 1: Solutions to activities and sample examination questions Test your understanding EBIT £395.0m D&A £25.4m EBITDA £420.4m Suitable multiple* £6.1m Enterprise value £2,564.4m Net debt £320.5m Equity value £2,243.9m Number of shares 2000m Share price £1.12 *The EV/EBITDA multiple for Curse Inc only has been used as this company is the best reflection of the operations of Gandol plc. Chapter 8 Activity 8.1 Share price = D0 (1 + g) r –g = $0.10 × 1.07 0.11 – 0.07 = $2.68 Activity 8.2 Debt £1,000,000 Equity £1,000,000 EBIT £200,000 Cost of debt @ 7% £70,000 EBT £130,000 Tax @ 30% £39,000 Earnings £91,000 Cost of equity @ 12% £120,000 Residual income −£29,000 Although the company appears to be profitable, it is not generating sufficient returns to keep equity investors satisfied. Any value in the company is currently being supported by the company’s net assets rather than performance. 205 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Activity 8.4 Assets € 3,000,000 Equity € 1,800,000 Debt € 1,200,000 € 3,000,000 EBIT € 700,000 Cost of debt @ 3% € 36,000 EBT € 664,000 Tax @ 20% € 132,800 Earnings € 531,200 Capital charge @ 10% € 180,000 Residual income € 351,200 RI per share € 1.76 PV of RI € 17.56 Current BV € 9.00 € 26.56 Activity 8.5 Dividend discount model: Share price = D0 (1 + g) r –g = $1.00 × 1.00 0.10 – 0.00 = $10 Residual income valuation model: Earnings per share $ 1.00 ($6 x 10%) $ −0.06 Residual Income $ 0.94 PV of RI $ 9.40 Current BV $ 6.00 Share price $ 15.40 Capital charge The dividend discount model is assessing future cashflows only. The RIVM is recognising that future cashflows exceed the investors’ expectations by a vast amount, plus the company also has value tied up in its current asset base. 206 Appendix 1: Solutions to activities and sample examination questions Activity 8.6 Year 0 1 2 3 Opening book value $ 6.00 $ 7.00 $ 8.25 EPS $ 2.00 $ 2.50 $ 4.00 Dividend $ −1.00 $ −1.25 $ −12.25 $ 7.00 $ 8.25 $ - $ 2.00 $ 2.50 $ 4.00 (opening BV × 10%) $ 0.60 $ 0.70 $ 0.825 Residual income $ 1.40 $ 1.80 $ 3.175 Closing book value $ 6.00 EPS Capital charge Discount factor @ 10% 0.909 Present value $ Total PV $ 5.15 Current BV $ 6.00 Share value $ 11.15 1.27 0.826 $ 1.49 0.751 $ 2.39 Test your understanding 1. The residual income valuation model calculates the value of a share using three different phases: • Current book value • Forecast residual income period • A terminal value to reflect all later years into perpetuity. Since the current book value is one third of this method, the value of the second and third phases takes less precedence in the RIVM than in other valuation models. 2. The investment spread is equal to ‘Return on capital’ less ‘Cost of capital’. To turn this into a monetary amount, multiply by the opening BV. Once this is done, the model is discounting a stream of RI and so this formulation is consistent with the conventional RI model. Chapter 9 Activity 9.1 Suggested solution Management of the company If management are issuing accounts whose earnings have been managed, it stands to reason that there must be an incentive for them to do this – either personal or operational. Personal reasons may be linked to remuneration. Many companies offer incentive packages to management in an attempt to align their personal reward with that of the shareholders. Such incentives can include share options or bonus schemes which are activated if a specific target is met. As such, management may be incentivised to inflate (or even deflate) performance so as to maximise compensation. 207 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Operational reasons may relate to externalised restrictions which have been placed on the company from parties such as investors. If a certain performance-related covenant has been included within a financing agreement, management may feel the need to ensure this is not broken so as to keep the finance available. If discretion is available, management may choose to use this discretion. Auditors of the company A continuing difficulty which currently exists within the auditing industry is how to keep the audit process independent when the accounting firms which offer auditing services also offer many other accounting services. Although regulatory bodies attempt to ensure that the integrity of audit firms is not undermined, there is always a risk that auditors will consider what other services they may be able to offer to their clients. With this in mind, it is hypothetically (and controversially) possible that an audit firm may choose to accept an explanation regarding an aggressive accounting policy because it aids their relationship with the client (which will have an impact on potential future services). Analysts analysing the company Sell side analysts interact with the market by offering advice to potential market participants as to whether a stock may be over- or undervalued, giving reasons why they believe this to be the case. As part of this process, they listen to management, ask questions and gather research from numerous sources. Their reputation is built on their ability to predict the future direction of a company’s earnings and how this should be seen within the share price. Since their reputation is built on this, so too are the fees that they are able to generate. As a result, an analyst might be incentivized to overlook evidence of possible earnings management if this creates support for their personal predictions and thus moves them up in the rankings of sell side analysts. Investors of the company It may be more difficult to understand why investors would be willing to accept figures which may have been managed/distorted through accounting flexibility. However, it is potentially explained by the financial theory known as ‘the greater fool’. This theory suggests that a person (a ‘fool’) may choose to overpay for some stock in the hope that they will be able to sell it to a ‘greater fool’ at a higher price. As such, an investor may be willing to overlook managed earnings in the knowledge (or hope) that whoever they sell the stock to, will also overlook this (or not notice). 208 Appendix 1: Solutions to activities and sample examination questions Activity 9.6 Reasons for Google offering earnings guidance Reasons against Google offering earnings guidance. A large number of analysts follow the company looking for advice. Google has little incentive to ensure the capital markets value it correctly as it is not dependent on raising finance through these markets. (It generates vast quantities of finance internally instead.) Google’s shareholdings are similar to those of similar companies which do offer advice. The analyst consensus is often accurate, even for companies that do not offer guidance. Analysts utilise many valuation techniques which are dependent on earnings (e.g. PEG approach, EBITDA multiples). Analysts are paid circa £84k–£110k per year and should therefore ‘earn’ this salary, rather than simply obtaining guidance from the company. The business is complex, with a number of revenue streams including advertising, cloud services, hedging and ‘other bets’. Earnings per share patterns are not too difficult to decipher; the graph is a simple upward trend. Analysts seem to be able to use other metrics as predictors and the ‘earnings surprise’ that analysts see with Google is small compared with other companies that do offer guidance. 209 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Chapter 10 Activity 10.5 Current allowance £13,377 Required allowance £16,533 Increase required £3,156 Adjustment to income statement Increase bad debt expense by £3,156 Decrease tax expense by £947 Net income reduced by £2,209 Adjustment to balance sheet Decrease net receivables by £3,156 Increase deferred tax asset / decrease deferred tax liability by £947 Reduce retained earnings by £2,209 Impairment required (¥817,300 × 5.4%) ¥44,134 Activity 10.6 Adjustment to income statement Increase other operating expenditure by ¥44,134 Decrease tax expense by ¥10,592 Reduce net income by ¥33,542 Adjustment to balance sheet 210 Decrease non-current assets by ¥44,134 Decrease deferred tax liability by ¥10,592 Reduce retained earnings by ¥33,542 Contents Test your understanding Current depreciation charge = £1200 − £120 / 10 yrs = £108.0 per year Adjusted depreciation charge = £1200 − £ 0 / 7 yrs = £171.4 per year Current accumulated deprecation represents approx. 6.02 years of depreciation (£650 / £108) Adjusted accumulated depreciation charge = 6.02 years × £171.4 = £1031.8 Adjustments required Original figures Adjusted figures Cost of assets at end of year £1,200 £1,200 Accumulated depreciation at end of year £650 £1,032 £550 £168 108.0 171.4 Depreciation expense Income statement Increase depreciation expense by £63.4 Decrease tax expense by £12.7 Decrease profit by £50.7 Balance sheet Decrease carrying value of assets by £381.8 Adjust deferred tax by £76.6 (increase DTL or decrease a DTA) Decrease retained earnings by £305.2 (6.02 years × £50.7 per year) 211 AC3193 Accounting: markets and organisations Notes 212