CFAP 4 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS STUDY MATERIAL & FORMULA BOOK COMPREHENSIVE QUESTIONS & CASE STUDIES By Muzzammil Munaf | ACA | Financial Advisor | Trainer| IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | Table of Contents 1. BFD ICAP Past Papers Analysis .............................................................................................................. 1 2. CFAP-4 ICAP Syllabus ...................................................................................................................... 17 3. Formula Book ........... .......................................................................................................................... 20 4. Sources of Equity Finance .................................................................................................................... 62 5. Sources of – Debt Finance ........... ................................ ................................ ........................................... 71 6. Introduction to Capital Structure ........................................................................................................... 77 7. Weighted Average Cost of Capital ..................................................................................................... 82 8. Yield to Maturity and Pre-tax Cost of Debt .................................................................................... 120 9. Capital Structure and Gearing Theories ............................................................................................ 124 10. Marginal Cost of Capital..................... ................................................................................................ 141 11. Arbitrage from MM theory -with taxation ........................................................................................ 143 12. Capital Asset Pricing Model ............................. .................................................................................. 146 13. Portfolio Theory ......................... ................................ ......................................................................... 185 14. Rights Issue and-Dividend Policy ............................. ......................................................................... 208 15. Case studies on Evaluating Sources of Finance ................. ............................. ............................. 234 16. Capital Investment Appraisal............................................................................................................ 262 17. Asset Replacement Decisions............................................................................................................ 330 18. Capital Rationing Decisions .......................................................................................................... 349 19. Lease vs Borrow ..................... ............................................................................................................. 365 20. Adjusted Present Value .................................................................................................................... 384 21. Business Valuation .............................. .............................................................................................. 402 22. Mergers and Acquisitions ................................................................................................................ 433 23. Foreign Exchange Risk Management ..............................................................................................526 24. Interest Rate Risk Management .......... .............................. ............................................................ 580 25. International Investment Appraisal ................................................................................................ 630 26. Credit Risk Management ....... ................................ ..........................................................................652 27. Liquidity Risk Management ........................................................... ................................................. 673 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS ATTEMPT WISE ANALYSIS Segment BFD Attempt / Year 2022 Winter Name Ques Part Chapter Area Description Marks Malik Consultancy Company Limited 1 a International Investment Appraisal International Investment Appraisal Recommend, with supporting calculations, if the board should proceed with the investment opportunity in Turkey. 14 BFD 2022 Winter Malik Consultancy Company Limited 1 b International Investment Appraisal International Investment Appraisal Discuss whether it is appropriate to use the existing cost of capital to appraise an international project. 5 BFD 2022 Winter Malik Consultancy Company Limited 1 c Forex Exchange Risk Management Transaction Risk Currency Swap Explain the additional risk that arises when using local debt to fund the investment in Turkey and explain how Malik could use swap agreements to reduce risk when converting future cash flows in Turkish Lira into Pakistan Rupees. 6 BFD 2022 Winter NPP Limited 2 a Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Explain the meaning of synergy and suggest what might create synergies for NPP if the takeover of NH were to proceed. 4 BFD 2022 Winter NPP Limited 2 b Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Explain the purpose of due diligence and the steps that NPP should undertake prior to finalising the offer with NH. 6 BFD 2022 Winter NPP Limited 2 c Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Determine the terms of the share for share exchange assuming that NPP pays the maximum theoretical price for NH. 5 BFD 2022 Winter NPP Limited 2 d Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Advise whether the existing shareholders of NH and NPP are likely to approve the offer and quantify any gains that the respective shareholders would receive if NPP pays the maximum theoretical price for NH. 7 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 1 of 690 Page 1 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS Segment BFD Attempt / Year 2022 Winter Name Ques Part Chapter Area Description Marks Multan Textiles Limited 3 a Forex Exchange Risk Management Reverse Futures Money Market Hedge Explain, with supporting calculations, how the company can hedge against exchange rate risk in five months' time. 14 BFD 2022 Winter Multan Textiles Limited 3 b Interest Rate Risk Management Interest rate options Explain how the company can protect against an interest rate rise using OTC interest rate options. 4 BFD 2022 Winter Multan Textiles Limited 3 c Dividend Policy Dividend Policy Advise the board on the practical matters that should be considered when deciding on whether a dividend should be paid. Recommend, with reasons, whether a dividend should be paid in March 2023. 4 BFD 2022 Winter Oakaan Limited 4 a Portfolio theory Portfolio theory Use both portfolio analysis and CAPM to determine the overall business risk and return of the enlarged business, assuming OL acquires just one of the target companies. Consider each acquisition separately. 7 BFD 2022 Winter Oakaan Limited 4 b Portfolio theory Portfolio theory Advise the board of OL which model is more suitable to its circumstances, and then recommend which investment the company should make. 4 BFD 2022 Winter Oakaan Limited 4 c Sources of finance Sources of finance Explain, with supporting calculations, the amount of new debt that should be issued and the likely issue price. 4 BFD 2022 Winter Adventure Travel Limited 5 a Business Valuation Business Valuation Determine the weighted average cost of capital which should be used to appraise the acquisition of KVH. 6 BFD 2022 Winter Adventure Travel Limited 5 b Business Valuation Business Valuation Estimate the value of KVH using shareholder value analysis. 6 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 2 of 690 Page 2 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS Segment BFD Attempt / Year 2022 Winter Name Ques Part Adventure Travel Limited 5 c 1 a Chapter Area Description Marks Business Valuation Business Valuation Explain, with calculations, the sensitivity of the valuation in KVH determined in part (b) to AT's weighted average cost of capital. 4 Financial Risk Management Currency Futures Recommend, with supporting calculations and explanations, if CM should proceed and hedge the sale of copper in six months' time. In doing so, compare a hedging strategy with the expected no hedge position and state your answers in USD. 4 Based on the expected USD receipt on the sale of copper from part (a), explain, with calculations, how CM could hedge against the fall in value of the USD using: (i) forward contract (ii) futures contract (iii) options contract 10 2022 Summer Curum Metals Limited BFD 2022 Summer Curum Metals Limited 1 b Financial Risk Management Forward Futures Options BFD 2022 Summer Curum Metals Limited 1 c Financial Risk Management Forward Futures Options Discuss your results in part (b) and recommend a hedging strategy for the expected USD receipt on the sale of copper. 3 BFD 2022 Summer Curum Metals Limited 1 d Financial Risk Management Futures Explain why the outcome of a futures hedge cannot be determined with absolute certainty. 3 BFD 2022 Summer Pamir Estates Limited 2 a Business Valuation Business Valuation Determine a range of valuations using the valuation methods set out by Pamir's board of directors and recommend, along with reasons, an issue price at which the new shares in Kurumdy will be offered to investors prior to it commencing to trade on the Pakistan Stock Exchange. 14 BFD 2022 Summer Pamir Estates Limited 2 b Business Valuation Business Valuation Discuss reasons why the shares may trade at a higher or lower price than the price suggested by the free cash valuation in part (a). 3 BFD 2022 Summer Pamir Estates Limited 2 c Business Valuation Business Valuation Advise the board of directors on matters to be included in due diligence which will be expected by potential investors to support the new company listing before it proceeds with the spin-off of Kurumdy. 4 BFD 2022 Summer Centaurus Pakistan Limited 3 a Weighted average cost of capital Weighted average cost of capital Calculate the current market value of the redeemable bonds and CP's overall gearing ratio (using market values) after phase one of its expansion strategy. 2 BFD Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 3 of 690 Page 3 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS Segment Attempt / Year Name Ques Part Chapter Area BFD 2022 Summer Centaurus Pakistan Limited 3 b Capital Asset Pricing Model Capital Asset Pricing Model Calculate CP's cost of equity using the Arbitrage Pricing Theory and Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and briefly explain the difference in your answers. 4 BFD 2022 Summer Centaurus Pakistan Limited 3 c Weighted average cost of capital Weighted average cost of capital Calculate the current weighted average cost of capital (WACC) for CP before embarking on phase two of the expansion strategy using the cost of equity from part (b) calculated using the CAPM. 4 BFD 2022 Summer Centaurus Pakistan Limited 3 d Capital Asset Pricing Model Capital Asset Pricing Model Calculate the expected equity beta for CP after commencement of phase two of the project and calculate the revised cost of equity for CP using CAPM. 4 BFD 2022 Summer Centaurus Pakistan Limited 3 e Weighted average cost of capital Weighted average cost of capital Explain, with relevant calculations, how a change in CP's credit rating from AAA to A may impact the market value of CP's corporate bonds. 3 BFD 2022 Summer Centaurus Pakistan Limited 3 f Weighted average cost of capital Weighted average cost of capital Recalculate the WACC for CP after embarking on phase two of the project and explain why the WACC has changed. 3 BFD 2022 Summer Infrapower Limited 4 a Adjusted Present Value Adjusted Present Value Evaluate the proposed solar power plant investment by calculating the adjusted present value (APV) and its modified internal rate of return (MIRR). 16 BFD 2022 Summer Infrapower Limited 4 b Adjusted Present Value Investment Appraisal Adjusted Present Value MIRR Write a report to IP's board of directors which evaluates the proposed engineering project. Your report should include an explanation of APV and MIRR, their respective advantages and disadvantages, and include a recommendation in your report as to whether IP should proceed with a pilot for its new solar power plant design. 6 BFD 2022 Summer Go Limited 4 a Investment Appraisal Capital Rationing Determine an optimal investment strategy for the Rs. 150 million assuming: (i) Partial investment in each opportunity is possible. (ii) Partial investment in each opportunity is not possible. 7 BFD 2022 Summer Go Limited 4 b Investment Appraisal Asset Replacement Decisions Determine the optimal replacement cycle for the fleet of vehicles using the information provided. 5 BFD 2022 Summer Go Limited 4 c Sources of finance Sources of finance Prepare a briefing note for Go's board of directors which explains the impact of introducing debt finance into Go's capital structure and evaluates the respective costs of each proposed source of finance. 5 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Description Page 4 of 690 Marks Page 4 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS Segment Attempt / Year BFD 2021 Winter BFD Name Ques Part Chapter Area Description Marks Alpha Foods Limited 1 a Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Calculate the current gearing of Alpha and the expected gearing level of the new combined entity, AFFL, immediately following the proposed acquisition and evaluate the result. 4 2021 Winter Alpha Foods Limited 1 b Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Forecast the expected after-tax WACC of AFFL immediately following acquisition. 9 BFD 2021 Winter Alpha Foods Limited 1 c Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Determine the expected impact on gearing and WACC immediately following the proposed sale of the division and recommend after critically evaluating the directors’ view, if Alpha should proceed with the sale. 7 BFD 2021 Winter Cooler Limited 2 a Investment Appraisal Net Present Value Recommend if the directors should proceed to launch the ChillMax50 production based on the assumptions provided by the directors of Cooler Limited. You are advised to present your workings in rupees in million. 18 BFD 2021 Winter Cooler Limited 2 b Investment Appraisal Sensitivity Analysis Calculate the sensitivity of your analysis in part (a) to expected sales volumes and sales price and comment on your results. 7 MAC 2021 Winter FitOut Limited 3 a Forecasting and budgeting Forecasting and budgeting Provide the following for FitOut for the two years ending 30 November 2022 and 2023: (i)Forecasted statement of profit or loss, dividends and retained profit (ii)Forecasted statement of financial position (iii)Forecasted statement of cash flows 11 MAC 2021 Winter FitOut Limited 3 b Forecasting and budgeting Forecasting and budgeting Comment, with appropriate calculations, on whether FitOut is likely to meet its stated financial objectives at the end of 30 November 2022 and 30 November 2023. 4 BFD 2021 Winter FitOut Limited 3 c Sources of finance Sources of finance Discuss the financing options available to FitOut to manage any forecast cash deficit identified in part (a). 5 MAC 2021 Winter Clean & Co 4 a Linear programming Linear programming Assuming that a graphical linear programming solution is to be used to maximise profit in the month of December: (i) State the constraints and objective function. (ii) Determine the maximum profit that can be made in December. 12 MAC 2021 Winter Clean & Co 4 b Linear programming Linear programming Determine resource slack assuming Clean operates at maximum profit. 3 MAC 2021 Winter Clean & Co 4 c Linear programming Shadow Price Explain the concept of shadow price and calculate the shadow price of a machine hour. 4 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 5 of 690 Page 5 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS Segment Attempt / Year Name Ques Part Chapter Area BFD 2021 Winter Multicorp Limited 5 a Financial Risk Management Interest Rate Swap Explain the purpose and counterparty risk of entering into an interest rate swap agreement and also the benefits of an interest rate swap to the board of MC. 5 BFD 2021 Winter Multicorp Limited 5 b Financial Risk Management Interest Rate Swap Evaluate the financial impact to both MC and CH that will result from the swap terms proposed by the bank. 7 BFD 2021 Winter Multicorp Limited 5 c Financial Risk Management Interest Rate Swap Recommend revised interest rate swap terms which are more likely to be acceptable to the boards of directors of both MC and CH. 4 MAC 2021 Summer Avion Limited 1 a Decision making Decision making Determine which component should be made during the next month to maximise contribution and determine the profit that this decision will generate. 7 MAC 2021 Summer Avion Limited 1 b Decision making Decision making Calculate the change in profit resulting for the proposed new pricing policy and comment on your result. 5 MAC 2021 Summer Avion Limited c Decision making Decision making Calculate the additional alloy that Avion should buy in order to deliver additional units of the component chosen in part (a) subject to any existing machine constraints. Also, recommend the maximum premium to pay as % of the current alloy cost per kg to ensure an overall profit margin of 20% for the month is achieved. 7 MAC 2021 Summer Craft Furniture Ltd. 2 a Working Capital Management Working Capital Management Prepare a cashflow forecast for the year to 31 December 2021, assuming: (i) CFL does not change its working capital management policies. (ii) CFL's proposed changes to working capital management policies are implemented from 1 January 2021. 12 MAC 2021 Summer Craft Furniture Ltd. 2 b Working Capital Management Working Capital Management Discuss the forecast impact of the new working capital management policies on profitability, cashflow, payable days and receivable days and make a recommendation whether or not to implement the new working capital management policies. 6 BFD 2021 Summer Zebra Ltd. (ZL) 3 a Financial Risk Management Futures Options Discuss the relevant considerations when deciding between futures and options contracts to hedge ZL's interest rate risk. 6 BFD 2021 Summer Zebra Ltd. (ZL) b Financial Risk Management Futures Options Assuming KIBOR has increased by 0.75% at 1 June, illustrate the possible results of: (i) a futures hedge (ii) an options hedge Also recommend the best solution to ZL. 11 1 3 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Description Page 6 of 690 Marks Page 6 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS Segment Attempt / Year Name Ques Part Chapter Area Description Marks BFD 2021 Summer QuickCook Ltd 4 a International Investment Appraisal International Investment Appraisal Evaluate whether or not QCL should commence manufacturing ovens in Turkey. As part of your evaluation, comment on the cost, price and inflation assumptions made by the Directors of QCL. 17 BFD 2021 Summer QuickCook Ltd 4 b International Investment Appraisal International Investment Appraisal Discuss how QCL might reduce the impact of restrictions on dividend remittance from Turkey to Pakistan after the investment had taken place if the government of Turkey imposed such a policy. 4 BFD 2021 Summer 5 a Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Determine a valuation for WL’s equity shares by using SIL's risk adjusted weighted average cost of capital. 20 BFD 2021 Summer 5 b Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Compare the value of SIL and WL shareholdings before and after the merger to determine if their shareholders are likely to accept the terms of the share for share exchange offer proposed by SIL’s directors. 5 BFD 2020 Winter KP Ltd 1 a Weighted average cost of capital Weighted average cost of capital Calculate the WACC of KPL. 6 BFD 2020 Winter KP Ltd 1 b Capital Asset Pricing Model Capital Asset Pricing Model Explain the purpose of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and discuss the weaknesses of CAPM as a way of estimating KPL's required return to its shareholders. 3 BFD 2020 Winter KP Ltd 1 c Weighted average cost of capital Weighted average cost of capital Comment on the finance director's statement regarding the role of WACC as KPL's 'minimum average rate of return'. 3 BFD 2020 Winter KP Ltd 1 d Weighted average cost of capital Weighted average cost of capital Discuss the circumstances under which KPL's current WACC can be used as the discount rate for new project investment appraisal, and indicate other methods to determine a suitable discount rate that could be adopted when it is not appropriate to use the current WACC. 5 BFD 2020 Winter KP Ltd 1 e Capital Asset Pricing Model Capital Asset Pricing Model Determine a suitable risk adjusted discount rate to evaluate the new diversified product. 5 BFD 2020 Winter Eco Energy 2 a Investment Appraisal Net Present Value / MIRR Evaluate the proposed energy monitor implementation project by calculating the net present value of the new project and its modified internal rate of rate return. 12 SuperSky Internationa l Airlines Ltd SuperSky Internationa l Airlines Ltd Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 7 of 690 Page 7 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS Segment Attempt / Year Name Ques Part Chapter Area BFD 2020 Winter Eco Energy 2 b Investment Appraisal BFD 2020 Winter Dynamic Ltd 3 a BFD 2020 Winter Dynamic Ltd 3 b BFD 2020 Winter Peshawar Engineering Company Ltd BFD 2020 Winter MAC 2020 Winter Peshawar Engineering Company Ltd Super Cakes Ltd MAC 2020 Winter MAC Description Marks Sensitivity Analysis Write a report to EE's board of directors which evaluates the energy monitoring project. Your report should also include consideration of non-financial factors and an explanation of the benefits of performing sensitivity analysis and simulation prior to making a final decision. 8 Business Valuation Business Valuation Prepare a range of valuations for the shares of Dynamic Ltd. All valuations should be prepared as at 30 September 2020 and use year-end discount factors, where applicable, presenting your answers to the nearest thousand rupees. 15 Business Valuation Business Valuation Comment on the suitability of the assumptions made by the directors of Dynamic Ltd for preparing the valuations in part (a). 5 Calculate the PKR amount receivable by PEC on 31 December 2020 if it uses: §no hedge, evaluate using the expected spot rate §a forward contract with PEC's bank §a money market hedge §an over-the-counter option with PEC's bank 11 4 a Financial Risk Management Forward Money Market Hedge OTC Option 4 b Financial Risk Management Financial Risk Management Discuss the issues that should be taken into account by the PEC board when it considers whether or not PEC should hedge the receipt of 20 million Bangladeshi Taka (BDT) at 31 December 2020. 7 5 a Variance Analysis Variance Analysis Calculate the relevant sales, materials, labour and variable overhead variances for the month of November 2020. 11 Super Cakes Ltd 5 b Variance Analysis Variance Analysis Provide an operating statement reconciling budget contribution to actual contribution and actual profit for the month of November 2020. 4 2020 Winter Super Cakes Ltd 5 c Variance Analysis Variance Analysis Prepare a report which explains the impact of the November 2020 operating statement to the board of Super Cakes Ltd and actions the board should consider. 5 MAC 2019 Winter Awam Limited 1 a Working Capital Management Working Capital Management Advise whether it would be feasible for AL to adopt any of the above options. 15 MAC 2019 Winter Awam Limited 1 b Working Capital Management Working Capital Management In case of opting for factoring arrangement with KI, briefly discuss the difficulties which AL may encounter. Also discuss how these difficulties can be resolved. 4 BFD 2019 Winter Karakorum Limited 2 a Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Using the free cash flow method, determine the maximum price that KL may pay to the shareholders of SL. 13 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 8 of 690 Page 8 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS Segment Attempt / Year Name Ques Part Chapter Area Description Marks BFD 2019 Winter Karakorum Limited 2 b Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Assume that the offer of Rs. 450 million is accepted by SL’s shareholders. Discuss the impact of this acquisition on control, gearing and earnings per share of KL if it is funded: (i) with new debt at 10%; or (ii) by issuance of shares. 10 BFD 2019 Winter Ghauri Limited 3 a Investment Appraisal Net Present Value Advise whether it is feasible for GL to bid for tender at a price suggested by the marketing director. 21 BFD 2019 Winter 3 b Investment Appraisal Sensitivity Analysis Estimate the project’s sensitivity to: (i) sales price (ii) cost of capital 4 BFD 2019 Winter 4 a Financial Risk Management Options Determine the net profit/(loss) for GIL, if advice of the Investment Board has been followed. 12 BFD 2019 Winter 4 b Financial Risk Management Options Briefly discuss the relative advantages of using exchange traded options and over-the-counter (OTC) options. 4 BFD 2019 Winter 5 a Portfolio theory Mutual Funds Using alpha value, recommend which mutual fund should be selected for investment. 14 BFD 2019 Winter Ghauri Limited Greenline Investments Limited Greenline Investments Limited Tezgam Investment Limited Tezgam Investment Limited 5 b Portfolio theory Mutual Funds Briefly discuss the limitations of using the alpha value for evaluating the investment. 3 BFD 2019 Summer Yellow Limited 1 a Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Determine the share exchange ratio which must be offered to WL’s shareholders to gain their acceptance. Also assess whether this ratio would be acceptable to YL’s shareholders. 18 BFD 2019 Summer Yellow Limited 1 b Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Identify and discuss other relevant factors that directors and shareholders of both companies may consider while evaluating the proposed takeover. 6 BFD 2019 Summer Red Limited 2 a Investment Appraisal Asset Replacement Decisions Advise the most feasible option to the company. 15 BFD 2019 Summer Red Limited 2 b Investment Appraisal Sensitivity Analysis Carry out a sensitivity analysis in respect of the following at which your decision in (a) above would change: (i) Ratio of maintenance cost between both options (ii) Dollar rate 8 MAC 2019 Summer Blue Limited 3 - Working Capital Management Working Capital Management Determine the minimum additional running finance amount that BL should seek from the banks. 16 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 9 of 690 Page 9 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS Segment Attempt / Year BFD 2019 Summer Orange Limited BFD 2019 Summer Orange Limited BFD 2019 Summer BFD Name Ques Part Chapter 4 a Financial Risk Management 4 Green Limited 2019 Summer Green Limited BFD 2019 Summer Green Limited BFD 2019 Summer BFD Description Marks Forwards Options Advise which hedging option OL should adopt if expected spot rate on 31 August 2019 is JPY/PKR 0.7181 – 0.7355. 10 b Financial Risk Management Interest Rate Futures Determine how beneficial would it be for OL to use interest rate futures to hedge interest rate risk if at the end of nine months, interest rates: (i) rise by 1.50% and futures price move to 85.25. (ii) fall by 0.25% and futures price move to 86.75. 5 5 a Right issue and dividend theory Right issue and dividend theory Calculate GL’s share price after the right issue, assuming that GL's current P/E ratio remains the same. Also comment on Shahid Khan’s viewpoint regarding no effect on P/E ratio. 4 5 b Dividend Policy Dividend Policy Comment on the viewpoint of Saleem Qadir in the light of Miller & Modigliani (MM) Theory of Dividend Irrelevance. 3 5 c Dividend Policy Dividend Policy Justify using MM Theory of Dividend Irrelevance that value of the company under each option would remain the same. Assume that there are no internal funds available with the company and GL would have to finance the proposed redemption from the profit for the current year and/or through right issue. 9 Green Limited 5 d Financing of Projects Financing of Projects Evaluate both financing options proposed by the directors and recommend which option should be selected. 6 2018 Winter Sun Public Limited 1 a Mergers and Acquisitions Demerger Evaluate the financial viability of the demerger scheme for the shareholders of SPL using 10 years’ time horizon. 19 BFD 2018 Winter 1 b Mergers and Acquisitions Demerger List any four additional information that would assist the directors in evaluating the decision of demerger. 4 BFD 2018 Winter Sun Public Limited The Pluto Group Limited Pakistan 2 a Financial Risk Management Multilateral Netting Determine the amount of savings which can be achieved by PGL by using multilateral netting. 6 BFD 2018 Winter The Pluto Group Limited Pakistan 2 b Financial Risk Management Interest Rate Swap Interest Rate Futures Advise the best interest rate hedging strategy for KSL. 11 BFD 2018 Winter Venus Trading Limited 3 - Adjusted Present Value Adjusted Present Value Evaluate the above proposed contract by using adjusted present value method. 21 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Area Page 10 of 690 Page 10 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS Segment Attempt / Year MAC 2018 Winter BFD 2018 Winter BFD 2018 Summer BFD 2018 Summer BFD 2018 Summer Weta Pakistan Limited BFD 2018 Summer Aqeeq Pakistan (Private) Limited BFD 2018 Summer OJ Limited MAC 2018 Summer MAC 2018 Summer Name Ques Part Jupiter Limited 4 - Transfer Pricing Mars Investment Limited 5 - 1 Tulip Textile Limited Weta Pakistan Limited Ikraam (Private) Limited Ikraam (Private) Limited Chapter Description Marks Transfer Pricing Develop a production plan on the basis of overall profitability of the company and determine the increase in profit that could be achieved as compared to the existing policy. 23 Investment Appraisal Capital Rationing Determine the optimum investment mix for MIL if: (a) all projects are divisible and can be scaled upwards up to 50% and (b) all projects are indivisible and excess funds can be invested at 8% per annum. 16 - Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Evaluate whether the proposed acquisition would be beneficial for the existing shareholders of TTL and BTL 25 2 a Portfolio theory Portfolio theory Determine which company would you recommend for investment by WPL. 10 2 b Portfolio theory Portfolio theory Determine the revised systematic risk and expected return of WPL's equity investment portfolio after investing in the company identified in part (a) above. Briefly discuss the impact of revised systematic risk and expected return. 6 3 - Financial Risk Management Currency Futures Money Market Hedge Advise which hedging option should APL adopt if expected spot rates at 31 August 2018 and 31 December 2018 are Rs. 116.60 and Rs. 118.50 respectively. 15 4 - Investment Appraisal MIRR On the basis of modified internal rate of return, determine whether OJL should carry out research on upgradation of EDS-1. 25 5 a Variance Analysis Variance Analysis Compute the sales variances (price, mix, market share and market size) for the quarter ended 31 March 2018. 12 5 b Variance Analysis Variance Analysis Prepare a brief commentary for the board of directors of IPL on the above variances and their impact on profitability of the company. 7 Investment Appraisal Weighted average cost of capital Advise whether CT should initiate expansion of its steel production capacity by disposing of its investment properties. 18 Dividend Policy Briefly discuss any four factors which influence the dividend policy of a company. 4 BFD 2017 Winter CT Limited 1 - Investment Appraisal Weighted average cost of capital BFD 2017 Winter GSI Company Limited 2 a Dividend Policy Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Area Page 11 of 690 Page 11 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS Segment Attempt / Year Name Ques Part Chapter Area BFD 2017 Winter GSI Company Limited 2 b Weighted average cost of capital Weighted average cost of capital Estimate the effect on GSI’s weighted average cost of capital by the end of financial year 2018 if the stock analyst viewpoint remains valid. 20 BFD 2017 Winter Moderax Company Pakistan Limited 3 - International Investment Appraisal International Investment Appraisal Advise whether MCL should proceed with the above investment. 24 MAC 2017 Winter Sohrab Industries Limited 4 - Working Capital Management Working Capital Management Determine which option SIL should adopt, if any. 15 BFD 2017 Winter Captain (Private) Limited 5 a Financial Risk Management Currency Futures Money Market Hedge Advise the feasible hedging options for each of the above transactions. 11 BFD 2017 Winter Captain (Private) Limited 5 b Financial Risk Management Stock Futures Devise the hedging strategy using stock future contracts and calculate the net outcome and hedge efficiency assuming that CPL’s incremental rate of borrowing is 10% per annum. 8 Net Present Value Calculation of WACC Evaluate the above investment by using discounted cash flow technique. 27 Description Marks BFD 2017 Summer Dr Tahir Lodhi 1 - Investment Appraisal Weighted average cost of capital MAC 2017 Summer Hamid Limited 2 - Transfer Pricing Transfer Pricing Develop a production plan on the basis of overall profitability of the company and determine the increase in profit that could be achieved on the basis thereof, as compared to the profit under the existing policy. 25 BFD 2017 Summer Jhelum Motors Limited 3 a Financial Risk Management Currency Futures Money Market Hedge Advise which of the two hedging options would be more feasible for JML if expected spot rates at the end of August, September and October are Rs. 106.50, Rs. 105.00 and Rs. 106.20 respectively. 12 BFD 2017 Summer Jhelum Motors Limited 3 b Financial Risk Management Interest Rate Futures Explain how JML could use interest rate future to hedge its exposure to interest rate risk. Also determine whether it would be beneficial for JML to use interest rate futures if at the end of three months, spot interest rate and future prices move to 7.5% and 92.2 respectively. 5 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 12 of 690 Page 12 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS Segment Attempt / Year MAC 2017 Summer BFD 2017 Summer BFD 2017 Summer BFD 2016 Winter Ramzi Corporation BFD 2016 Winter Ramzi Corporation BFD 2016 Winter Suffer Limited BFD 2016 Winter BFD 2016 Winter Suffer Limited Malik Investments Limited BFD 2016 Winter MAC 2016 Winter Name Chapter Area - Budgeting Budgeting Advise the most feasible selling price per bottle which SBL may fix for the next year. 14 5 a Business Valuation Business Valuation Advise MPL about the IPO price and suggest the number of shares to be offered in the IPO assuming that entire amount would be spent in year 0. 14 5 b Business Valuation Business Valuation Write a brief memorandum to the board of directors discussing the advantages of leverage, for the shareholders of the company. 3 1 a Financial Risk Management Interest Rate Swap Calculate the net amounts that RC would pay or receive each year on the swap transaction. Also determine the net interest rate payable by RC if it chooses to exercise the swap option. Discuss the merit(s) and demerit(s) of the swap transaction for RC. 11 1 b Financial Risk Management Interest Rate Futures Assume that spot rate of interest on 31 May 2017 moves to 8.5% per annum and theprice of June interest rate futures falls to 90, demonstrate how short-term interest rate futures can be used by RC to hedge against any rise in interest rate. Also determine the effective rate of interest on the loan and hedge efficiency. 6 2 a Investment Appraisal Net Present Value Using the net present value method, advise SL whether it would be feasible for the company to establish manufacturing plant. 23 2 b Investment Appraisal Sensitivity Analysis Estimate the project’s sensitivity to the direct material costs. 3 3 a Investment Appraisal Capital Rationing Determine the optimum investment mix for MIL. 11 Malik Investments Limited 3 b Investment Appraisal Capital Rationing Assume that MIL wishes to invest in all the remaining available projects including upward scaling. For this purpose, it is negotiating a financing arrangement. Advise the maximum interest rate which MIL may offer. 9 Smart Limited 4 - Variance Analysis Variance Analysis Prepare a statement reconciling budgeted contribution for September 2016 with the actual contribution, using planning and operational variances. 17 Shah Brothers Limited Mars Petroleum (Private) Limited Mars Petroleum (Private) Limited Ques Part 4 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Description Page 13 of 690 Marks Page 13 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS Segment Attempt / Year BFD 2016 Winter Mangal Limited BFD 2016 Winter BFD Name Part Chapter Area Description Marks 5 a Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Discuss whether the proposed acquisition would be beneficial for the existing shareholders of ML and SL if: - the market is weak form efficient; - the market is strong form efficient. 10 Mangal Limited 5 b Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Discuss the other factors which may influence the interests of the shareholders. 10 2016 Summer Golden Industries Limited 1 a Sources of finance Sources of finance Write a report for presentation to the board of directors covering the following matters: (a) Analysis of GIL’s policy with respect to cash flow management and its impact on GIL’s cost of capital and its ability to pay dividend. 6 BFD 2016 Summer Golden Industries Limited 1 b Sources of finance Sources of finance Revised value of net assets, profit after tax and cash flows if GIL increases its debt equity ratio to: - 60:40 which is the maximum limit allowed by GIL’s banks. - 50:50 which is the prevailing industry norm in which GIL operates. 12 BFD 2016 Summer Golden Industries Limited 1 c Sources of finance Sources of finance Suggestions and recommendations regarding anticipated cash flows and future dividend prospects. 7 BFD 2016 Summer Violet Telecom Ltd. 2 a Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Determine the ratio of share exchange which must be offered to shareholders of BTL to gain their acceptance and assess whether this ratio would be acceptable to shareholders of VTL also. 12 BFD 2016 Summer Violet Telecom Ltd. 2 b Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Discuss five other relevant factors that the directors/shareholders of both companies may consider in evaluating the proposed merger. 5 BFD 2016 Summer White Garments Limited 3 - Investment Appraisal Asset Replacement Decisions Determine the preferred replacement policy for the cutting machine. 17 BFD 2016 Summer 4 - Financing of Projects Financing of Projects Analyse both the financing options and recommend which financing option should be selected. 24 BFD 2016 Summer 5 - Investment Appraisal Lease vs Borrow Recommend whether it would be advisable for SRS to purchase the cars. 17 Modern Vehicles Limited SilverLine Rental Services Ques Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 14 of 690 Page 14 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS Segment Attempt / Year Name BFD 2015 Winter BFD Ques Part Chapter Area Description Marks National Airline Limited 1 - Mergers and Acquisitions Mergers and Acquisitions Based on an analysis of Free Cash Flows, calculate the bid price that the local group may offer for the acquisition of 40% stake in NAL. 21 2015 Winter Ryan Group 2 a Mergers and Acquisitions Demerger Analyze and comment whether NPL would be able to comply with debt-equity covenant imposed by the bank over the five-year period. 12 BFD 2015 Winter Ryan Group 2 b Mergers and Acquisitions Demerger Briefly discuss the difficulties that may be encountered by management of NPL after the buy-out. 3 BFD 2015 Winter Wonder Limited 3 - Financial Risk Management Currency Futures Money Market Hedge Analyse and devise a hedging strategy for WL and ME. 10 BFD 2015 Winter Akhtar 4 a Portfolio theory Portfolio theory Briefly discuss the difference between systematic risk and unsystematic risk. 2 BFD 2015 Winter Akhtar 4 b Portfolio theory Portfolio theory Determine the systematic risk and expected return of Akhtar’s equity investment portfolio if he goes ahead with his proposed investments. Also discuss briefly the impact of revised systematic risk on Akhtar’s investment decision. 7 BFD 2015 Winter Akhtar 4 c Dividend Policy Dividend Policy Evaluate the implication of Ravi Limited and Jhelum Limited’s proposed financial strategies and advise Akhtar on how these strategies might affect his investment decisions. 8 BFD 2015 Winter Impression Home Furnishing Limited 5 a Sources of finance Sources of finance Advise the management regarding the amount to be raised in terms of debt and equity. 8 BFD 2015 Winter Impression Home Furnishing Limited 5 b Sources of finance Sources of finance In a recent report, treasurer of the company has forecasted that in one year’s time, yield to maturity of both TFCs would decline to 10% and company’s PE ratio would increase to 6.3. Assuming that the treasurer’s predictions hold true, determine the increase in profit before interest and tax during the next year, to ensure that desired debt equity ratio is maintained. 7 BFD 2015 Winter Sandra Limited 6 - International Investment Appraisal International Investment Appraisal Recommend whether it is feasible for SL to assemble Ferris. 22 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 15 of 690 Page 15 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP PAST PAPERS ANALYSIS TOPIC WISE ANALYSIS Particulars 2015 Winter 2016 Summer 2016 Winter 2017 Summer 2017 Winter 2018 Summer 2018 Winter 2019 Summer 2019 Winter 2020 Winter 2021 Summer 2021 Winter 2022 Summer 2022 Winter Grand Total Weight % 100 100 83 61 85 81 77 100 100 80 81 61 100 100 1,158 100% 37 3% 74 6% 16 1% BFD Adjusted Present Value 21 Business Valuation 22 17 Capital Asset Pricing Model International Investment Appraisal 22 36 Portfolio theory 9 Sources of finance 15 34 46 17 20 27 8 8 18 25 16 23 25 25 23 24 23 20 19 25 25 49 20 6 5 20 14 16 8 4 Foreign Exchange Risk Management 17 17 19 16 15 17 15 16 16 19 18 Liquidity Risk Management 7% 226 20% 22 235 20% 11 53 5% 4 79 7% 46 4% 20 30 3% 4 20 2% 4 32 3% 171 15% 18 2% 35 3% 191 100% 12 10 Rights issue and dividend policy 86 12 17 Interest Rate Risk Management 17 20 18 Credit Risk Management MAC (discontinued from Summer 2022) 16 21 16 Weighted average cost of capital Forex Exchange Risk Management 21 24 Investment Appraisal Mergers and Acquisitions 20 - - 17 Budgeting 39 15 19 23 - - 20 19 39 - - 14 Decision making 19 14 7% 19 10% Forecasting and budgeting 15 15 8% Linear programming 19 19 10% Sources of finance 5 5 3% 48 25% 56 29% 15 8% Transfer Pricing 25 Variance Analysis 19 Working Capital Management Grand Total Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 23 17 20 15 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Page 16 of 690 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 1,349 Page 16 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP SYLLABUS CFAP 4 – ICAP SYLLABUS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 17 of 690 Page 1 of 3 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP SYLLABUS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 18 of 690 Page 2 of 3 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CFAP-4 ICAP SYLLABUS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 19 of 690 Page 3 of 3 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL ........................................................................................................ 3 ALTERNATE CALCULATION OF WACC: ....................................................................................................... 7 WACC AND MARKET VALUES: ..................................................................................................................... 7 CAPITAL STRUCTURE THEORIES ...................................................................................................................... 8 TRADITIONAL THEORY: ................................................................................................................................ 8 MM THEORY IGNORING TAXATION: ......................................................................................................... 8 MM THEORY ALLOWING FOR TAXATION: ................................................................................................ 9 RISK AND INVESTMENTS – PORTFOLIO THEORY ....................................................................................... 11 SINGLE ASSET PORTFOLIO ......................................................................................................................... 11 TWO-ASSET PORTFOLIO ............................................................................................................................. 11 CORRELATION COEFFICIENT OF INVESTMENT RETURNS: .................................................................... 12 THREE-ASSET PORTFOLIO .......................................................................................................................... 13 CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL (CAPM) ............................................................................................... 14 TREYNOR RATIO .......................................................................................................................................... 15 SHARPE RATIO ............................................................................................................................................. 15 RISK ADJUSTED WACC: .............................................................................................................................. 16 BETA ............................................................................................................................................................... 16 RIGHTS ISSUE ................................................................................................................................................... 17 YIELD ADJUSTED THEORETICAL EX-RIGHTS PRICE ................................................................................ 17 DIVIDEND POLICY ............................................................................................................................................ 18 THEORIES OF DIVIDEND POLICY ............................................................................................................... 18 INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ............................................................................................................................... 20 ACCOUNTING RATE OF RETURN: .............................................................................................................. 20 PAYBACK PERIOD: ....................................................................................................................................... 20 DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW METHOD: ....................................................................................................... 21 MODIFIED IRR: ............................................................................................................................................. 21 ECONOMIC IRR:............................................................................................................................................ 22 CAPITAL RATIONING....................................................................................................................................... 23 SINGLE PERIOD CAPITAL RATIONING: ..................................................................................................... 23 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 20 of 690 Page 1 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK MULTI-PERIOD CAPITAL RATIONING: ..................................................................................................... 23 ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS: ........................................................................................................... 23 LEASE v/s BORROW DECISION: ................................................................................................................. 24 ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE ........................................................................................................................... 26 BUSINESS VALUATION .................................................................................................................................... 28 ASSET BASED VALUATION ......................................................................................................................... 28 EARNINGS BASED VALUATION ................................................................................................................. 28 CASH FLOW BASED VALUATION .............................................................................................................. 30 Free cash flow based valuation.................................................................................................................. 31 EFFICIENT MARKET HYPOTHESIS .............................................................................................................. 32 MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ...................................................................................................................... 33 FOREX AND HEDGING ..................................................................................................................................... 34 EXCHANGE RATE: ........................................................................................................................................ 34 MATCHING LONG TERM ASSETS AND LIABILITIES ............................................................................... 35 MONEY MARKET HEDGE ............................................................................................................................ 36 FORWARD CONTRACT ................................................................................................................................ 36 OPTION CONTRACT .................................................................................................................................... 38 INTEREST RATE RISK: .................................................................................................................................. 40 Forward rate agreements (FRAs); .............................................................................................................. 40 INTEREST RATE SWAPS .............................................................................................................................. 41 CREDIT ARBITRAGE ..................................................................................................................................... 41 INTEREST RATE FUTURES ........................................................................................................................... 41 INTEREST RATE OPTIONS ........................................................................................................................... 41 INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ............................................................................................... 42 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 21 of 690 Page 2 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK SUMMARY AND FORMULAE: REFER DURING EXAM WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WACC can be commonly calculated as: WACC = [(MVe x Ke) + {MVd x Kd(1 − t)} + (MVp x Kp)] (MVe + MVd + MVp) Whereas: MVe = Market Value of Equity MVd = Market Value of Debt MVp = Market Value of Preference Shares Ke = Cost of Equity Kd = Cost of Debt t = Tax rate Kp = Cost of Preference Shares If interest payments are not tax-deductible (in a rare case), then the component of (1-t) will be eliminated. Hence it will become: WACC = [(MVe x Ke) + (MVd x Kd) + (MVp x Kp)] (MVe + MVd + MVp) While evaluating the WACC of a Company, we shall pick up market values of the debt and equity components and not their book value. COSTS OF THE DIFFERENT SOURCES OF CAPITAL: Source of Capital Ordinary shares Preference shares Debt (Bonds/loans etc.) Cost of Capital Cost of Equity ‘Ke’(e.g. Dividend) Cost of Preference Shares ‘Kp’ (e.g. Preference dividend) Cost of Debt ‘Kd’(e.g. interest) TAXES AND WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL: Payments to owners (dividend) are not tax-deductible for the Company whereas interest costs are taxdeductible, which means they provide tax savings. After-tax cost of debt = Before-tax cost of debt (1 – t) Whereas ‘t’ denotes the tax rate and the tax savings are denoted by ‘(1 – t)’ in our calculations. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 22 of 690 Page 3 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK MARKET VALUE OF DEBT AND COST OF DEBT: Term Face value Coupon Rate Coupon dates Maturity Date Term to maturity Redemption value Market Value The rate required by the lender (Kd) Description Reference value on which coupon interest is calculated and it is defined at the time of issuance of the debt. The rate of interest the debt issuer will pay on the face value of the debt instrument is expressed as a percentage. Dates on which the bond issuer will make interest payments. The date on which the debt will mature and the debt issuer will pay the debtholder the pre-agreed redemption value of the debt. The period during which debt holders will receive interest payments on the debt. It is the value at which the debt shall be redeemed. It may or may not be equal to the face value. Price at which debt holder could sell the debt instrument to another investor. The current rate of return offered by debt instruments similar to a credit rating or term to maturity. It is the cost of debt. MARKET VALUE OF DEBT: Irredeemable debt: MV of such debt can be calculated through the present value of perpetuity interest cash flows as: MV of irredeemable debt = Interest (1 − t) Kd Alternatively, the post-tax cost of debt (Kd) can be calculated as: Kd = Interest (1 − t) MV of irredeemable debt Whereas interest is the amount of coupon interest payable on the irredeemable debt. Redeemable debt: MV of redeemable debt can be calculated as: MV of redeemable debt = PV of interest cash flows + PV of redemption value The present values are computed by discounting them with K d. To calculate the Kd, the future cash flows will be plotted against the MV of redeemable debt and Kd will be calculated by using the IRR method. In the case of debt convertible to equity, the process will be the same as redeemable debt except that the redemption amount shall be higher of the two i.e. redemption amount and conversion value of the shares. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 23 of 690 Page 4 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK PRE-TAX AND POST-TAX COST OF DEBT (KD): Lender’s required rate of return = Company’s pre-tax Kd Company’s pre-tax cost Kd x (1 – t) = Company’s post-tax Kd Exam Approach: As mentioned above, WACC calculations involve post-tax Kd. Irredeemable debt: The post-tax Kd can be calculated as [pre-tax Kd x (1-t)]. Redeemable debt: The approach is different since gain/loss on redemption is not taxable. If the scenario only has lenders’ required rate of return (pre-tax Kd): MV of debt: Plot all pre-tax cash flows and discount with the lenders’ required rate of return. Post-tax Kd: Plot MV of debt, all post-tax cash flows and calculate IRR. If the scenario provides MV of debt: Plot the MV of debt and post-tax cash flows, calculate the IRR. This is the post-tax Kd. If the scenario provides post-tax Kd and requires MV of debt, plot post-tax cash flows, and discount the present values with the post-tax Kd. This is the MV of debt. Rule of thumb: Pre-tax cash flows will be discounted with pre-tax Kd and post-tax cash flows will be discounted with a post-tax Kd. MARKET VALUE OF EQUITY AND COST OF EQUITY BY DIVIDEND VALUATION MODEL DIVIDEND VALUATION MODEL Constant Dividend Model If a company pays nearly 100% of its profits as dividends, the market value of its share can be computed through the constant dividend model as follows: P0 = D0 Ke Whereas: Po = Current market value of the share Do = Latest dividend at time 0 Ke = Cost of equity Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 24 of 690 Page 5 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK Dividend growth model: If a company is expected to pay cash dividends growing at a constant rate of ‘g’ % per annum, the market value of its share can be computed through the dividend growth model: P0 = D0 (1+g) OR Ke −g D 1 P0 = K −g e Whereas you can compute growth (‘g’) as follows: Past Dividend Patterns g=[ Earning retention model (Gordon’s growth model) Current Dividend Dividend n years ago 1 ( ) n ] g= bxr −1 Whereas: Whereas: g = annual growth rate in dividends in perpetuity b = proportion of earnings retained r = rate of return on equity or return the company will make on its investments n (periods of growth) = No of years − 1 Points to remember: In case multiple growth rates are given, the market value of shares can be computed by adding up the present value of all the future dividends discounted at the cost of equity. Through the dividend valuation model, the price of the equity instrument calculated is always ex-dividend. (whereas cum-dividend price means inclusive of dividend). When Ke is calculated through the dividend valuation model, the prices to be taken are also ex-dividend. Alternatively, the Cost of Equity can be computed as: Ke = D0 P0 And Ke = D0 (1+g) +g Po OR D K e = P1 + g o The cost of equity calculated is post-tax as it is based on dividends which are already post-tax. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 25 of 690 Page 6 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK The same post-tax cost of equity of a company is the pre-tax rate of return required by the equity-holders because they pay additional tax when dividends are received. If a situation provides the post-tax rate required by the equity-holders (e.g. 8.5%) and the tax rate applicable on the dividends they receive (e.g. 15%), first convert it to the pre-tax rate required by the equity holders [i.e. 8.5% / (1-15%) = 10%] as this is the post-tax cost of equity of the Company and then use it for further calculations. ALTERNATE CALCULATION OF WACC: For a Company having stable profits, paying out 100% profits as dividends, and having irredeemable debt, the WACC can also be calculated as follows: WACC (Pre − tax) = PBIT MVe + MVd WACC (Post − tax) = PBIT (1 − t) MVe + MVd And WACC AND MARKET VALUES: For a company with constant annual ‘cash profits’ (i.e. PBIT), there is a relationship between WACC and market value. If we assume that annual cash profits are a constant amount in perpetuity, the total value of a company, equity plus debt capital, is calculated as follows: Total Market Value of the Company = PBIT (1 − t) WACC (Post − tax) From the above relationship, the following conclusions can be made: The lower the WACC, the higher the total value of the company will be (equity + debt capital), for any given amount of annual profits. Similarly, the higher the WACC, the lower the total value of the company. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 26 of 690 Page 7 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK CAPITAL STRUCTURE THEORIES TRADITIONAL THEORY: The traditional view of gearing is that there is an optimum level of gearing for a company, where WACC is minimized. Points to remember: According to traditional theory, change in Ke cannot be precisely estimated when the gearing level changes. Hence, as financial risk (D/E ratio) changes, the WACC changes and it cannot be used to discount for a project that changes financial risk. The marginal cost of capital is calculated and used to discount such projects. MM THEORY IGNORING TAXATION: Assumptions: There is a perfect capital market in which investors have the same information and also act rationally. There is no taxation and debt is risk-free (freely-available) to both companies and investors. There are no transaction costs involved in buying or selling shares or debt capital. MM argued that if corporate taxation is ignored, the total market value of a company is determined by just two factors: The total earnings of the company; and Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 27 of 690 Page 8 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK The business risk of the company, which determines the WACC. WACC is not affected by financial gearing, but it is affected by the perceived business risk of investing in the company. WACC is higher for companies with higher business risk. Therefore, market values of companies in the same industry should be strictly in proportion to their net operating income. They argued that an increase in financial gearing will have the following effect: As the level of gearing increases, there is a greater proportion of cheaper debt capital in the capital structure of the firm. However, the cost of equity rises as gearing increases. As gearing increases, the net effect of the greater proportion of cheaper debt and the higher cost of equity is that the WACC remains unchanged. The effect of the higher cost of equity is exactly equal to the offsetting effect of having a larger proportion of debt capital in the capital structure. The WACC is the same at all levels of financial gearing. The total value of the company (MVe + MVd) is therefore the same at all levels of financial gearing. MM concluded that there is no optimum level of gearing a company should achieve. MM Formulae: no taxation WACCG = WACCU MVG = MVU Keg = Keu + (D/E) x (Keu – Kd) Note: Changes in financial risk (D/E ratio) do not affect the WACC of the Company. Therefore, WACC can be used as a discount rate for a project that affects financial risk, provided business risk is the same. MM THEORY ALLOWING FOR TAXATION: MM argued that allowing for corporate tax relief (tax shield) on interest, an increase in gearing will have the following effect: As the level of gearing increases: there is a greater proportion of cheaper debt capital in the capital structure of the firm. However, the cost of equity rises as gearing increases. the net effect of the greater proportion of cheaper debt and the higher cost of equity is that the WACC becomes lower. Increases in gearing therefore result in a reduction in the WACC. The WACC is at its lowest at the highest practicable level of gearing. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 28 of 690 Page 9 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK There are practical limitations on gearing that stop it from reaching very high levels. For example, lenders will not provide more debt capital except at a much higher cost, due to the high credit risk or insolvency risk. The conclusions that MM reached were that: The total value of a geared company is higher than for an identical all-equity company by the amount of tax shield. This benefit accrues to the shareholders of the geared Company and is reflected in the market value of Equity of the Company. There is an optimum level of gearing that a company should be trying to achieve. A company should be trying to make its gearing to the maximum practicable level, in order to maximise its value. MM formulae: with taxation 𝐌𝐕𝐠 = 𝐌𝐕𝐮 + (𝐃 𝐱 𝐭) 𝐊 𝐞𝐠 = 𝐊 𝐞𝐮 + (𝐊 𝐞𝐮 − 𝐊 𝐝 ) 𝐱 𝐖𝐀𝐂𝐂𝐠 = 𝐊𝐞𝐮 [𝟏 − 𝐃(𝟏 − 𝐭) 𝐄 𝐃𝐱𝐭 ] 𝐄+𝐃 Note: Changes in financial risk (D/E ratio) do affect the WACC of the Company. Therefore, WACC can not be used as a discount rate for a project that affects financial risk. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 29 of 690 Page 10 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK RISK AND INVESTMENTS – PORTFOLIO THEORY SINGLE ASSET PORTFOLIO Return of a single asset portfolio Risk of a single asset portfolio Weighted average of probable returns [ ∑ x /n ], [ ∑ Px ] Standard deviation from expected return (volatility of probable returns) Standard Deviation: σA = √∑ P (R A − ̅̅̅̅ R A )2 σA P RA ̅̅̅̅ RA Standard deviation or risk Probability Adjusted probable return Expected Return (weighted average of probable returns) TWO-ASSET PORTFOLIO Return from a two-asset portfolio: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 30 of 690 Page 11 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK Risk of a two-asset portfolio: CORRELATION COEFFICIENT OF INVESTMENT RETURNS: Correlation coefficient = Covariance σA x σB Correlation coefficient = ∑ P(R A − ̅̅̅̅ R A )(R B − ̅̅̅̅ RB) σA x σB Covariance = ∑ P(R A − ̅̅̅̅ R A )(R B − ̅̅̅̅ RB) DIVERSIFICATION / RISK MITIGATION: A correlation coefficient can range from +1 (perfect positive correlation) to – 1 (perfect negative correlation) whereas close to zero indicates very little correlation between investment returns. When returns in a portfolio are positively correlated, this means that when the returns from one of the investments is higher than expected, the returns from the other investments will also be higher than expected. When returns from two different investments in a portfolio are negatively correlated, this means that when the returns from one of the investments is higher than expected, the returns from the other investment will be lower than expected. Investment risk is reduced most effectively by having investments in a portfolio whose returns are negatively correlated, or where there is not much correlation (diversification). Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 31 of 690 Page 12 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK THREE-ASSET PORTFOLIO Return of a three-asset portfolio: The expected return from a three-asset portfolio is the weighted average of the returns from the three investments. RP = (RA x WA) + (RB x WB) + (RC x WC) RA / RB / RC = Return from individual securities WA / WB / WC = Weight of security in the portfolio Risk of a three-asset portfolio: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 32 of 690 Page 13 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL (CAPM) SYSTEMATIC AND UNSYSTEMATIC RISK The total risk involved in holding securities (shares) divides into risk specific to the company (unsystematic) and risk due to variations in market activity (systematic). Systematic risk includes, for example, the risk that the market crashes as a result of a global recession, war or natural catastrophe. It cannot be diversified away. Non-systematic or unsystematic risk applies to a single investment or class of investments, and can be reduced or eliminated by diversification. SYSTEMATIC RISK AND THE CAPM CAPM FORMULA RA = Rf + (Rm – Rf ) x β Whereas RA = Required return of the security/portfolio Rf = Risk free rate Rm = Market return β = Beta factor of the security/portfolio Rm - Rf = Equity Risk Premium Beta can be calculated as follows: 𝛔 𝐀 𝑺 ×𝛔 𝛃 = 𝐒𝐘𝐒 OR 𝛃 = 𝐀𝐌 𝐀 𝛔𝐦 Whereas σm σA σSYS A SAM CoVAM SAM x σA x σm Beta Factors 1 0 Less than 1 More than 1 𝛔𝐦 OR 𝛃= 𝐂𝐨𝐕𝐀𝐌 𝛔𝐦𝟐 OR 𝑺 𝛃 = 𝐀𝐌 × 𝛔𝐀 × 𝛔𝐦 𝛔𝐦𝟐 = Market risk = Total risk of a security = Systematic risk of a security = Correlation Coefficient of security with the market = Covariance of security with the market = Covariance of security with the market This is the measurement of systematic risk for the stock market as a whole. This is the systematic risk for risk-free investments. Returns on risk-free investments are unaffected by market risk and variations in market returns. Systematic risk is lower than for the market on average. Systematic risk is higher than for the market on average. The beta factor reflects the fact that different market sectors, and individual companies within each market sector, are exposed to different degrees of systematic risk. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 33 of 690 Page 14 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK Alpha (α) = Actual expected return – CAPM return If alpha is +ve – it means investment is viable. If alpha is -ve, it means investment is detrimental. If alpha is nil, it means investment is only offering return exactly equal to what is required on the basis of its systematic risk. TREYNOR RATIO This is also called the reward to volatility ratio. SHARPE RATIO This is also called the reward to variability ratio. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 34 of 690 Page 15 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK RISK ADJUSTED WACC: If the business risk of the new project is different from the business risk of a company's existing operations, the company's shareholders will expect a different return to compensate them for this new level of risk. Hence, the appropriate WACC, which should be used to discount the new project’s cash flows, is not the company's existing WACC, but a ‘risk-adjusted’ WACC, which incorporates this new required return to the shareholders (Cost of Equity). Calculating a risk-adjusted WACC: Find the appropriate equity beta (βe) from a suitable quoted company. Adjust the available equity beta to convert it to an asset beta (βa) degear it. Re-adjust the asset beta to reflect the project’s own financial risk/gearing levels (D/E ratio) and regear the beta equity (βe). Use the regeared beta equity (βe) to find the project specific Cost of Capital (Ke). Use this Ke and Kd to find the WACC. This is the (project specific) risk adjusted WACC. Evaluate the project with the risk adjusted discount rate. BETA Asset Beta (also known as unlevered beta) is the beta of a company without the impact of debt. It is also known as the volatility of returns for a company, without taking into account its financial leverage. It compares the risk of an unlevered company to the risk of the market. 𝛃𝐚 = 𝛃𝐞 × 𝐄 𝐃 + 𝛃𝐝 × 𝐄 + 𝐃 (𝟏 − 𝐭) 𝐄 + 𝐃 (𝟏 − 𝐭) All companies in same industry sharing same business risk should have same asset beta. Equity beta (βe) is also known as geared beta or company beta. It is the beta of a geared company and it represents both business risk & financial risk. It denotes the risk of the shareholders. Debt beta (βd) approximates to zero mostly. Therefore, the formula of beta asset simplifies to: 𝛃𝐚 = 𝛃𝐞 × Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 𝐄 𝐄 + 𝐃 (𝟏 − 𝐭) Page 35 of 690 Page 16 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK RIGHTS ISSUE A rights issue is a large issue of new shares to raise cash by a listed company. It involves offering the new shares to existing shareholders in proportion to their existing shareholding. FURTHER ISSUE OTHER THAN RIGHT ISSUE: Members may decide to issue shares other than a rights issue, by way of a special resolution passed by them in a general meeting, generally termed as a public offering. THE ISSUE PRICE: The share price of the new shares in a rights issue or further issue shall be determined by the Company. There are no set guidelines for it, however, they are generally issued at a 10-15% lower value than the market value. For example, a company planning a 1 for 4 rights issue when the market price of its shares is Rs. 900, might offer the new shares in the rights issue at a fixed price in the region of Rs 800 to Rs 860. THEORETICAL EX-RIGHTS PRICE: A theoretical ex-rights price (TERP) is the market price that a stock will theoretically have following a new rights issue. Old no of shares No of further issued shares Total no of shares post issue (A) xxx xxx xxx The market value of existing shares (No of shares x market value before issue) Amount raised by further issue (No of further shares x issue price) The ex-right market value of total shares (B) xxx xxx xxx Theoretical ex-right price (B / A) xxx YIELD ADJUSTED THEORETICAL EX-RIGHTS PRICE Normally we presume that when we do a rights issue, the money from it generates the same rate of return as existing funds. But, if the new money raised is likely to earn a different return from the current return (i.e. +ve NPV from the new project), the yield-adjusted TERP should be calculated. Old no of shares No of further issued shares Total no of shares post issue (A) xxx xxx xxx The market value of existing shares (No of shares x market value before issue) Amount raised by further issue (No of further shares x issue price) Impact of positive NPV (new projects from further issue) [yield adjustment] The ex-right market value of total shares (B) xxx xxx xxx xxx Yield adjusted theoretical ex-right price (B / A) xxx Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 17 of 42 Page 36 of 690 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK DIVIDEND POLICY THEORIES OF DIVIDEND POLICY Three of these theories are: The traditional view of dividend policy. Residual theory; and Modigliani and Miller’s dividend irrelevance theory TRADITIONAL VIEW OF DIVIDEND POLICY The traditional view of dividend policy is that the amount of dividend should be at a level that enables the company to maximize the value of its shares. RESIDUAL THEORY OF DIVIDEND POLICY The residual theory of dividend policy is that the optimal amount of dividends should be decided as follows. If a company has capital investment opportunities that will have a positive NPV, it should invest in them because they will add to the value of the company and its shares. The capital to invest in these projects should be obtained internally (from earnings) if possible. The amount of dividends paid by a company should be the residual amount of earnings remaining after all these available capital projects have been funded by retained earnings. In this way, the company will maximize its total value and the market price of its shares. MODIGLIANI AND MILLER’S DIVIDEND IRRELEVANCE THEORY Modigliani and Miller (MM) developed a theory to suggest that dividend policy is irrelevant, and the level of dividends paid out by a company does not matter. The total market value of a company will be the same regardless of whether the dividend payout ratio is 0%, 100%, or any ratio in between. MM argued that the value of a company’s shares depends on the rate of return it can earn from its business. ‘Earning power’ matters, but dividends do not. LINTNER MODEL: A model theorizing how a publicly-traded company sets its dividend policy. The model states that dividends are paid according to two factors. The first is the net present value of earnings, with higher values indicating higher dividends. The second is the sustainability of earnings; that is, a company may increase its earnings without increasing its dividend payouts until managers are convinced that it will continue to maintain such earnings. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 37 of 690 Page 18 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK An adjustment factor is applied to the dividends as per the payout ratio – as per the managers and directors of the Company. It may vary year on year based on future profitability expectations. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 38 of 690 Page 19 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ACCOUNTING RATE OF RETURN: 𝐀𝐜𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐑𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐑𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧 (𝐀𝐑𝐑) = * Average Investment Value = 𝐀𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐍𝐞𝐭 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭 (𝐩𝐞𝐫 𝐚𝐧𝐧𝐮𝐦) 𝐀𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐕𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞 ∗ 𝐈𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐂𝐨𝐬𝐭+𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐝𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐕𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞 𝟐 + 𝑾𝒐𝒓𝒌𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝑪𝒂𝒑𝒊𝒕𝒂𝒍 Rule of thumb: If ARR is equal to or greater than the target/benchmark rate of return, the project is acceptable otherwise should be rejected. PAYBACK PERIOD: The payback period refers to the amount of time it takes to recover the cost of an investment. Simply put, the payback period is the length of time an investment reaches a break-even point. The desirability of an investment is directly related to its payback period. Shorter paybacks mean more attractive investments. Discounted payback period – It represents the amount of time by which the investment will reach its breakeven by using PV of Cashflows. If cashflows are uneven then, the fraction of last year will be calculated as: 𝐔𝐧𝐜𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐦𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐡 𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐰 𝐨𝐫 𝐏𝐕 𝐨𝐟 𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐡 𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐰 𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐡 𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐰 𝐨𝐫 𝐏𝐕 𝐨𝐟 𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐡 𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐰 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐲𝐞𝐚𝐫 Note: The above fraction will give the answer in years if you want to convert this fraction into months / days then multiply it with 12 and 365 respectively. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 39 of 690 Page 20 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW METHOD: Points to remember Cash flows - future and incremental Sunk costs to be ignored. Cash flows - direct consequence Interest costs to be ignored. Incremental working capital Discount rate has impact of interest costs. Non cash items to be ignored Impact of inflation (specific/general) Depreciation/tax payments and savings Depreciation/tax payments and savings Net present value (NPV) is the difference between the present value of cash inflows and the present value of cash outflows over a period of time. It is used to calculate the total value today of a future stream of payments. If the NPV of a project or investment is positive, it means that the project or investment will be viable, and therefore attractive. Vice versa for the negative NPV. If NPV is zero, the project can be undertaken because it is covering the Cost of capital. If NPV is negative, the project shall not be undertaken The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is a discount rate that makes the net present value (NPV) of all cash flows equal to zero in a discounted cash flow analysis. If a project IRR is equal to or higher than the minimum acceptable rate of return, it should be undertaken. It the IRR is lower than the minimum required return, it should be rejected. 𝐈𝐑𝐑 = 𝐀% + A% = Lower discount rate NPVA = Positive NPV 𝐍𝐏𝐕𝐀 (𝐁% − 𝐀%) 𝐍𝐏𝐕𝐀 − 𝐍𝐏𝐕𝐁 B% = Lower discount rate NPVB = Negative NPV MODIFIED IRR: Since the IRR assumes that the positive cashflows are reinvested at IRR, however this is not the case practically, therefore The modified internal rate of return (MIRR) was introduced which assumes that positive cash flows are reinvested at the company's cost of capital and that the initial outlays are financed at the firm's financing cost. 𝐌𝐈𝐑𝐑 = ( Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 𝐏𝐕𝐑 ) (𝟏 𝐱 𝐫𝐞 ) − 𝟏 𝐏𝐕𝐈 Page 40 of 690 Page 21 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK PVR = the PV of the return phase (the phase of the project with cash inflows) PVI = the PV of the investment phase (the phase of the project with cash outflows) re = the cost of capital ECONOMIC IRR: The IRR ignores the impact of externality, therefore EIRR was introduce which takes into account the impact of externalities in the calculation of required rate of return. OTHER USEFUL CONCEPT & FORMULAE: Inflation: Real cashflows are uninflated cashflows whereas nominal cashflows are inflated or money cashflows. Real cash flows are discounted by real rate whereas nominal cash flows are discounted by nominal rate. The method to calculate real rate or nominal rate is as follows - Fisher effect formula (𝟏 + 𝐧) = (𝟏 + 𝐫)(𝟏 + 𝐢) i = general inflation rate r = real rate n = nominal rate If cashflows are post-tax, then After tax discount rate will be used. If cashflows are nominal, then Nominal discount rate will be used. If business risk and financial risk both are same, then existing WACC will be used. Otherwise Risk Adjusted WACC will be used Tax depreciation and tax gain/loss on disposal are always nominal figures. Do not inflate Tax payments/savings, even if tax is in arrears Real cashflows can only be used when all cashflows of a year as well as the discount rate for that year all are inflating by a same rate. Otherwise use nominal cashflows. Tax depreciation and tax gain/loss need to be deflated when using real cashflows option Equivalent periodic rates: (𝟏 + 𝐚) = (𝟏 + 𝐞𝐫)𝐞𝐧 a = annual rate er = equivalent periodic rate (half yearly/quarterly/monthly) en = no. of equivalent periods in one year Perpetuity: P = R/I whereas ‘R’ is the constant cash flows and ‘i’ is the discount rate. For cashflows growing at a constant growth rate till infinity, use dividend growth model. When cashflows are Cyclical, then use Equivalent annual cashflows concept. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 41 of 690 Page 22 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK CAPITAL RATIONING SINGLE PERIOD CAPITAL RATIONING: DIVISIBLE PROJECTS (there will be no surplus cash left in this case) INDIVISIBLE PROJECTS (any unused funds are assumed to have been invested at only cost of capital generating zero NPV) Calculate Profitability Index by using the formula PI = NPV/Initial Investment. Rank each project on the basis of PI. Allocate funds on the basis of ranking. Calculate NPVs of all possible combination of projects within the available capital limit and then choose the combination with highest NPV. This can be achieved through trial & error. Mutually exclusive projects cannot be undertaken simultaneously. MULTI-PERIOD CAPITAL RATIONING: If there are only two projects the linear programming can be solved using graphical approach in the usual way. Step 1: Define variables. Step 2: Construct an objective function Step 3: Construct inequalities to represent the constraints. Step 4: Plot the constraints on a graph Step 5: Identify the feasible region. This is an area that represents the combinations of projects that are possible in the light of the constraints. Step 6: Identify the proportion of the projects that lead to the optimum value of the objective function. Step 7: Quantify the optimum solution. ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS: Objective is to find out replacement cycle with least PV of costs. Equivalent Annual Cost Method For each replacement option, compute PV of cashflows of first cycle only. Calculate Equivalent Annual cost by using PV annuity formula. Choose the option with least value. To be used when cashflows follow cyclical pattern i.e. when there is no inflation or single rate of inflation. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf LCM Method Prepare cashflows of all replacement options for number of years equal to LCM or for fairly long period of time (25-30 years) Calculate and compare PV of cashflows of all options. The option with least PV of costs is the best option. To be used when cashflows don’t follow cyclical pattern. Page 42 of 690 Page 23 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK LEASE v/s BORROW DECISION: Acquisition Decision Cashflows will be prepared in the same manner as for any project investment appraisal scenario. We will assume that the asset will be purchased by the company using available pool of funds (D + E). Accordingly, tax depreciation, tax gain or loss will be incorporated for tax working. Financing Cashflows will not form part of overall cashflows for decision here. Discounting will be done using company’s appropriate Cost of Capital/ WACC/ Required rate. Financing Decision Plot all relevant cashflows separately for both option (Lease v/s Borrow & Buy) including financing cashflows where relevant: Discounting the cashflows under both options with same incremental borrowing rate (IRR of the loan) The option with either higher +ve NPV or lower ve NPV (PV of costs) will be selected. The financing decision is considered separately from the investment decision. If NPV is +ve then decision is favorable. If NPV is -ve then decision is not favorable. For acquisition decision take all cashflows of the project (only project related no financing cashflows) and discount the same with After-tax Cost of capital/WACC: For financing decision, follow the steps: Step 1: Determination of Discount rate for lease or borrow decision If tax is payable in the same year then, take the interest rate I on loan (incremental borrowing rate) as given in the question. Make it after tax rate i.e. I x (1-t). this rate will be the IRR of loan and to be used as discount rate. If tax is payable in arrears then, calculate accurate IRR of the loan by plotting all loan cashflows including tax savings on interest. This IRR of loan will be used as discount rate. Step 2: Borrow or Buy Option If cashflows for acquisition decision have already been plotted, then the net cashflows of acquisition decision will be used without any further working. If the question is just a financing question, then cashflows will be prepared similar to those of acquisition decision. Discount these Cashflows via IRR of loan As discount rate being used is the IRR of loan so all loan cashflows when discounted with this rate will have zero PV. Accordingly, there is no need to incorporate loan cashflows in the working. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 43 of 690 Page 24 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK Step 3: Leasing Option In preparing cashflows of this option include lease cashflows and also include all the operational costs/savings as included under both the acquisition & borrowing decisions to ensure we are comparing like with like. Points to remember Don’t include the initial investment under the leasing option. Instead include outflows of lease rentals also include tax benefits on lease payments. Don’t include tax savings on depreciation as tax benefit. If security deposit is given in the question then include it and it will be an outflow at time 0. If salvage vale is given in the question then Include it at end as an inflow net of any purchase cost for lessee. If the rentals are payable quarterly/semi-annually then discount them using equivalent periodic rate but the tax benefit will be discounted using annual rate. Discount rate will be the IRR of loan Step 4: Decision Making Compare the two NPVs calculated. The option with comparatively higher +ve NPV or comparatively lower -ve NPV (PV of costs) will be chosen. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: 𝐒𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐚 𝐯𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞 = 𝐍𝐏𝐕 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭 𝐏𝐕 𝐨𝐟 𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐡𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐰𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐯𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞 (𝐧𝐞𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐚𝐱) For example: 𝐒𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐯𝐨𝐥𝐮𝐦𝐞 /𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐛𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 = 𝐍𝐏𝐕 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭 𝐏𝐕 𝐨𝐟 𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐛𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 (𝐧𝐞𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐚𝐱) In case of tax in arrears, the tax effects will need to be discounted carefully. Sensitivity of Project life means by what % the estimated project life may decrease to turn NPV zero. Sensitivity of a Project Life = Project life – Discounted payback period / Project life Sensitivity of a discount rate means at what discount rate the NPV of the project will be zer Sensitivity of discount rate = (IRR of Project – Discount rate) / Discount rate By this technique, we can also determine change required in a particular variable for a desired change in NPV of the project. % Change required in a variable = Desired Change in NPV of project / PV of all cashflows of the variable (net of tax). Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 44 of 690 Page 25 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK EXPECTED VALUES: 𝐄𝐗𝐏𝐄𝐂𝐓𝐄𝐃 𝐕𝐀𝐋𝐔𝐄 = 𝚺𝐏𝐗 VALUE OF PERFECT INFORMATION: 𝐕𝐀𝐋𝐔𝐄 𝐎𝐅 𝐏𝐄𝐑𝐅𝐄𝐂𝐓 𝐈𝐍𝐅𝐎𝐑𝐌𝐀𝐓𝐈𝐎𝐍 = 𝐄𝐗𝐏𝐄𝐂𝐓𝐄𝐃 𝐕𝐀𝐋𝐔𝐄 𝐖𝐈𝐓𝐇𝐎𝐔𝐓 𝐏𝐄𝐑𝐅𝐑𝐄𝐂𝐓 𝐈𝐍𝐅𝐎𝐑𝐌𝐀𝐓𝐈𝐎𝐍 + 𝐄𝐗𝐏𝐄𝐂𝐓𝐄𝐃 𝐕𝐀𝐋𝐔𝐄 𝐖𝐈𝐓𝐇 𝐏𝐄𝐑𝐅𝐄𝐂𝐓 𝐈𝐍𝐅𝐎𝐑𝐌𝐀𝐓𝐈𝐎𝐍 SIMULATION : Step 1: Allocate random numbers to each category Step 2: Assign a value to each category level Step 3: Generate a list of random numbers and select the category level that corresponds to each number Step 4: Repeat for as many simulation as required Step 5: use the simulated values as though they are the actual values occurring in the real system. ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE BASE CASE NPV: THE INVESTMENT DECISION Find the project ß asset Calculate the base case discount rate = Keu by putting the ß asset in the CAPM formula Caclulate the base case NPV Once the base case NPV is identified, the PV of the financing is evaluated. The financing decision issue costs tax relief As all financing cash flows are low risk, they are discounted at either the Kd or the risk-free rate. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 45 of 690 Page 26 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK Grossing up A firm will know how much finance is required for the investment. Issue costs of finance will usually be quoted on top. It will therefore be necessary to gross up the funds to be raised. PV of debt issue costs As always, calculations involving debt must take account of the tax effects. Equity issue costs Not tax deductible Debt issue costs Are tax deductible Issue Costs Method: Issue costs at To PV of the tax relief (issue costs x tax rate x discount factor) PV of the issue costs (XXX) XXX (XXX) PV of the tax relief on interest payments The PV of the tax relief on interest payments is also known as the PV of the tax shield. The method adopted depends on the information given: Debentures – interest paid at a fixed amount each year Annual tax relief = Total loan × interest rate × tax rate Annuity factor for n years Year one discount factor (if tax is delayed one year) PV of the tax shield XXX XXX XXX XXX The repayments will be made up of both interest and capital elements. Step 1: Find the amount of the repayment Annual amount = (Amount of the loan/Relevant annuity factor) Step 2: Compute the annual interest charge. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 46 of 690 Page 27 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK BUSINESS VALUATION For debt valuation, refer the area of WACC where calculation of market value of multiple debt instruments has been discussed. For equity valuation, we have primarily two types of companies: Quoted Companies already have a share price valuation: this is the current market price of the shares. Unquoted Companies a business valuation may be carried out. VALUATION MODELS ASSET BASED VALUATION Net asset value (Based on balance sheet value) This approach uses the book values for assets and liabilities. These figures are readily-available from the accounts ledgers of the company. However, noncurrent assets might be stated at historical cost less accumulated depreciation, and this might bear no resemblance to a company’s current value. Net Asset Value (Based on Net Realisable Value - NRV) If net assets can be valued according to the disposal value of the assets, this would indicate the amount that could be obtained for the shareholders of the company in the event that the company is liquidated and its assets sold off. Net Asset Value (Based on replacement value) Replacement value measures the value of net assets at their cost of acquisition on the open market. Note: All intangible assets are ignored unless they have a market value and they could be sold. EARNINGS BASED VALUATION P/E Ratio Method Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 47 of 690 Page 28 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK Earnings Yield Method Earnings Growth Model Dividend Yield Model Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 48 of 690 Page 29 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK CASH FLOW BASED VALUATION Dividend valuation model Dividend valuation model (with growth) Shareholder value analysis Shareholder value analysis estimates a value for the equity capital of a company by calculating the present value of all future annual free cash flows to obtain a valuation for the entire company and then deducting the value of the company’s debt capital. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 49 of 690 Page 30 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK Free cash flow based valuation Free cash flow is the amount before taking into account any transaction with debt or equity holders. Free cash flows to the firm (FCFF) Free cash flows to the firm: Profit after tax xxx Add: Interest xxx Less: Tax on interest (xxx) xxx Less: working capital investment (xxx) Add: non cash expenses xxx Less: Capital expenditure (xxx) Free cash flows to the firm xxx It will be discounted using WACC. After discounting Deduct the market value of debt (because it represents the total value of the company i.e. its market value of Debt + Equity). Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 50 of 690 Page 31 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK Free cash flows to the equity (FCFE) Free cash flows to the equity: Profit after tax xxx Less: working capital investment (xxx) Add: non cash expenses xxx Less: Capital expenditure (xxx) xxx Add: Borrowing obtained xxx Less: Repayment (xxx) Free cash flows to the equity xxx OR Free cash flows to the equity: Free cash flows to the firm xxx Interest expense (xxx) Tax on interest expense xxx Add: Borrowing obtained xxx Less: Repayment (xxx) Free cash flows to the equity xxx It will be discounted directly by using Ke because it directly represents the cashflows available to the shareholders unlike Free cashflows to company method because it represents the total cashflows available to the financers of the business i.e. E+D. EFFICIENT MARKET HYPOTHESIS The more shareholder is knowledgeable, the more share price is accurate. Weak form efficiency Shareholder is very less knowledgeable of the future of Company Share price is usually determined on the basis of historical value/performance. Shareholder is not usually aware of the future events unless publically announced. Share price given in the question will not have effect of merger/acquisition benefits. Semi-strong form efficiency Partially knowledgeable. Those having inside information always get benefit of the future plans. Strong form efficiency Shareholder is very knowledgeable of the future of Company. Share price usually has the impact of future value/performance. Shareholder is very well aware of the future events unless publically announced. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 51 of 690 Page 32 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK Share price given in the question will have effect of merger/acquisition benefits. MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS A merger is in essence the pooling of interests by two business entities which results in common ownership. An acquisition normally involves a larger company (a predator) acquiring a smaller company (a target). Generally both referred to as mergers for PR reasons: It portrays a better message to the customers of the target company. To appease the employees of the target company. An alternative approach is that a company may simply purchase the assets of another company rather than acquiring its business, goodwill, etc. Methods of financing mergers In general a purchaser and a vendor will need to agree on three basic issues in regard to an acquisition: Whether shares or assets are to be purchased. Type of consideration. Financial value. Although determination of value is likely to take place prior to the decision on the type of consideration, they are considered here in reverse order (see later chapter) as the complexity of valuation necessitates its own chapter. SHAREHOLDER GAIN ANALYSIS Cash Consideration Cash Received xxx Less: Current Selling Price (xxx) Gain to share holders xxx Share Exchange Combined company share price xxx Less: Current Selling Price (xxx) Gain to existing shareholders xxx Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 52 of 690 Page 33 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK FOREX AND HEDGING: EXCHANGE RATE: An exchange rate is the value of a country's currency vs. that of another country or economic zone. Most exchange rates are free-floating and will rise or fall based on supply and demand in the market. Some currencies are not free-floating and have restrictions. The word buying and selling is always used from the perspective of foreign exchange dealer/bank. The rate at which the dealer buys is the Buying Rate (when a customer receives foreign currency as in case of exports, the customer sells and dealer buys. The applicable rate will be buying rate). The rate at which the dealer sells is the Selling Rate (when a customer has to make payment of foreign currency as in case of imports, the customer buys and dealer sells (applicable rate would be selling rate). Exchange Rates are quoted in two styles: Direct Quote Units of Local currency per unit of Foreign currency. E.g. Rs/$ Buying will be on Selling will be on lower higher rate. rate. Indirect Quote Units of Foreign currency per unit of Local currency. E.g. $/Rs Buying will be on lower Selling will be on rate. higher rate. The spot rate at time t0 is the price for delivery at t0. A forward rate at t0 is a rate for delivery at time t1. This is different from whatever the new spot rate turns out to be at t1. PURCHASE POWER PARITY THEORY: 𝐅𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐬𝐩𝐨𝐭 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐚/𝐛 = 𝐂𝐮𝐫𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐒𝐩𝐨𝐭 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐚/𝐛 Whereas (𝟏 + 𝐢%𝐚 ) (𝟏 + 𝐢%𝐛 ) a and b are currencies i%a and i%b are inflation rates of currencies a and b INTEREST RATE PARITY THEORY: 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐝 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐚/𝐛 = 𝐒𝐩𝐨𝐭 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐚/𝐛 Whereas (𝟏 + 𝐫%𝐚 ) (𝟏 + 𝐫%𝐛 ) a and b are currencies r%a and r%b are the interest rates of currencies a and b Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 53 of 690 Page 34 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK AND HEDGING: In the case of payment in foreign currencies, there is a risk that foreign currency might be appreciated against local currency. And in the case of receipt in foreign currencies, there is a risk that foreign currency might be depreciated against local currency. How to hedge the foreign currency risk? MATCHING LONG TERM ASSETS AND LIABILITIES A company might also try to match assets and liabilities in the same currency, to reduce exposures to foreign exchange risk. MATCHING RECEIPTS AND PAYMENTS When a company has receipts and payments in the same foreign currency due at same time, it can simply match them against each other. It is then only necessary to deal on the foreign exchange markets (like Forward contract) for the unmatched portion of the total transactions. The company can also invest its foreign currency income in the country of the currency and make overseas payments with these assets. NETTING Unlike matching, netting is not technically a method of managing transaction risk. The objective is simply to save transactions costs by netting off inter-company balances before arranging payment. Many multinational groups of companies engage in intra-group trading. Where related companies located in different countries trade with each other, there is likely to be inter-company indebtedness denominated in different currencies. In the case of bilateral netting, only two companies are involved. The lower balance is netted off against the higher balance and the difference is the amount remaining to be paid. Multilateral netting is a more complex procedure in which the debts of more than two group companies are netted off against each other. There are different ways of arranging multilateral netting. The arrangement might be co-ordinated by the company's own central treasury or alternatively by the company's bankers. The steps to be followed are: Construct a table with companies receiving money down the left side and companies making payments across the top. Enter all the amounts each company owes to the others and convert to the agreed settlement currency. Add across and down the table to determine total receipts and total payments for each company. Determine the net receivable or payable for each company. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 54 of 690 Page 35 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK Note: For converting different currency amounts into common currency balances average of buying and selling rates are used. MONEY MARKET HEDGE Future Payment in Foreign Currency Steps Calculate the amount of foreign currency to be purchased and invested. (the amount of foreign currency payment will be equal to Amount of Foreign currency invested + interest to be earned) Amount to be borrowed in local currency to purchase the foreign currency above. (by converting the amount of foreign currency to be invested at spot rate) Total cost will be Amount borrowed + Interest paid Calculate the Effective rate (Total Cost / Foreign Currency Payment) Note: Foreign currency payment will be made by the amount invested. Future Receipt in Foreign Currency Steps Calculate the amount of foreign currency to be borrowed. (the amount of foreign currency receipt will be equal to Amount to be borrowed + interest to be paid) Amount borrowed will be converted into local currency at spot rate. The above amount of local currency will be invested. Total receipt will be Amount of local currency invested + interest earned. Calculate the Effective rate (Total Receipt / Foreign Currency Receipt). Note: Amount of loan taken in foreign currency will be paid by the foreign currency receipt. DERIVATIVES FORWARD CONTRACT A forward contract is a contract with a bank that covers a specific amount of foreign currency for delivery at an agreed date at an exchange rate agreed now. Forward contracts are over the counter (negotiated) & binding contracts. In case a forward contract cannot be honored, it has to be closed out. Close out is done by entering into an opposite transaction of equal foreign currency at spot rate or respective forward rate. The close out gain or loss is received or paid by the customer. Concept of Premium and Discount In case of Direct quote, to calculate forward rate from a given spot rate: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 55 of 690 Page 36 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK Premium is added Discount is deducted In case of Indirect quote, to calculate forward rate from a given spot rate: Premium is deducted Discount is added FUTURES CONTRACT A currency future is a standardized contract to buy or sell a fixed amount of currency at a fixed rate at a fixed future date. It is the standardized that makes it possible to trade them on an exchange which in turn increase liquidity. Buying the futures contract means receiving the contract currency. Selling the futures contract means supplying the contract currency. Hedge set up (at the date of hedging) Buy or Sell? Do now what has to be done in future. Which date contract to be selected? Choose the one which maturity date is post transaction date and which is comparatively closer to the transaction date too. No. of contracts? Use rounding off principle (actual transaction quantity / standard contract size) Note: In case of indirect currency hedge, convert transaction amount into local currency first, using futures rate. HEDGE OUTCOME (AT THE TRANSACTION DATE) Purchase / Sell actual transaction quantity at the spot rate on the date of transaction. Close out futures contracts. This is done by doing an exactly opposite transaction in the futures market as compared to what was done at the time of hedging. Close out gain/loss is received or paid by the customer as the case may be. Note: In case of indirect currency hedge, convert this futures market gain/loss amount into local currency first, using spot rate at the date of transaction. Actual outcome is the sum of spot market outcome and futures market gain/loss. Hedge efficiency ratio can be calculated by: Futures market gain or loss / Spot market gain or loss Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 56 of 690 Page 37 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK Basis and Basis Risk It is the difference between future price and the spot rate (Basis = Future price – Spot rate) Basis risk is the risk that the price of a currency future will vary from the price of the underlying asset (the spot rate) It is assumed that the difference between the spot rate and futures price (the 'basis') falls over time but there is a risk that basis will not decrease in this predictable way (which will create an imperfect hedge). There is no basis risk when a contract is held to maturity. In the absence of specific information in examination, we assume that Basis reduces steadily/equally over time. Other Important Points A future contract does not result in a perfect hedge (means actual outcome is not equal to target outcome) usually because of following two factors: 1. 2. Quantity Risk i.e. standard quantity under futures contract may not be exactly equal to the actual transaction quantity. Basis risk Note: In case when these two risks are eliminated (Standard quantity is equal to transaction quantity & basis is constant), the actual outcome would be exactly equal to target outcome. A future contract involves payment of initial security deposit and periodic mark-to-market settlements. This is done by exchange to manage credit risk. If basis is greater than the sum of borrowing and transaction costs, then arbitrage gain is possible by purchasing on spot and selling in futures market simultaneously. OPTION CONTRACT An option contract is an agreement giving its holder a right but not an obligation to buy or sell specific quantity of an item at a specific price (strike price/exercise price) within a stipulated / pre-defined time. An option to buy something is called “Call Option” An option to sell something is called “Put Option” Option contracts can be “over the counter” as well as “exchange traded”. Over the counter options are tailor-made options suited to a company’s specific needs. Traded options are contracts for standardized amounts, only available in certain currencies. A ‘European style option’ can only be exercised on its maturity date while the ‘American style option’ can be exercised anytime on or before its maturity date. There are two parties to an option contract: Writer (seller)- the party that bears the risk and so receives premium. Holder (buyer)- the party that enjoys the right (with no obligation) and so pays premium. When an option is feasible to exercise then it is said to be ‘in the money’ if it is not feasible then it is said to be ‘out of the money’. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 57 of 690 Page 38 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK In deciding whether an option should be exercise or not, the premium paid is irrelevant it is only used at end to calculate the actual transaction cost. Hedge Set up (at the date of hedging) Call option or Put option? Do now what has to be done in future. Which date contract to be selected? Select the one which has maturity date post transaction date and which is comparatively closer to the transaction date too. Which Strike/Exercise price? In case of put option, it should be the one with maximum net receipt (strike price – premium). In case of call option, it should be the one with minimum total cost (strike price + premium). No. of contracts? Use rounding off principle (actual transaction qty / standard contract size) Notes In case of indirect currency options, convert transaction amount into local currency first, using strike price of option. Calculate premium cost that needs to be paid on the basis of standard quantity under option contracts. In case of indirect currency options, convert premium cost into local currency using spot rate at the date of hedging. Hedge Outcome (at the transaction date) If exercise price is less than the spot rate on the transaction date then, exercise the option otherwise the option will lapse. In case when option lapse, then purchase/sell actual transaction quantity at the spot rate on the date of transaction. If it is feasible to exercise the option, then Purchase/Sell standard option quantity at the exercise price and any difference between the actual quantity and the standard quantity has to be bought or sold at spot rate on transaction date. When calculating the actual outcome, consider the amount of premium paid at the date of hedge. In case when option contract can be re-sold by the holder, then in deciding at the transaction date for an in the money option, compare intrinsic value (Exercise price – Spot rate) with premium that can be earned by selling the option. If intrinsic value is lower, sold the option. If intrinsic value is higher, exercise the option. For an out of money option, if there is any premium on re-sale, then it is better to avail it by selling the option. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 58 of 690 Page 39 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK INTEREST RATE RISK: Increase in interest rates in case of expected future borrowing, upcoming roll over of fixed rate loan or upcoming re-pricing of variable rate loan. Decrease in interest rates in case of expected future deposit, upcoming roll over of fixed rate deposit or upcoming re-pricing of variable rate deposit. HEDGING METHODS Forward rate agreements (FRAs); An FRA, like a forward exchange contract, is a binding agreement between a bank and a customer. It is an agreement that fixes an interest rate ‘now’ for a future interest period. An FRA for an interest period starting at the end of month 3 and lasting until the end of month 9 is a 3v9 FRA or a 3/9 FRA. Similarly, an FRA for a three-month period starting at the end of month 2 is a 2v5 FRA or a 2/5 FRA. Buying and selling FRAs: FRAs are bought and sold. If a company wishes to fix an interest rate (cost) for a future borrowing period, it buys an FRA. In other words, buying an FRA fixes a forward rate for short-term borrowing. If a company wishes to fix an interest rate (income) for a future deposit period, it sells an FRA. Selling an FRA fixes a forward rate for a short-term deposit. The counterparty bank sells an FRA to a buyer and buys an FRA from a seller. How an FRA works: An FRA works by comparing the fixed rate of interest in the FRA agreement with a benchmark rate of interest, such as KIBOR or LIBOR. The comparison takes place at the beginning of the notional interest period for the FRA. If the FRA rate is higher than the benchmark rate (KIBOR), the buyer of the FRA must make a payment to the seller of the FRA, in settlement of the contract If the FRA rate is lower than the benchmark rate (KIBOR), the buyer of the FRA receives a payment from the seller of the FRA, in settlement of the contract. The amount of the payment is calculated from the difference between the FRA rate and the benchmark rate (Libor, Kibor etc) applied to the notional principal amount for the FRA and calculated for the length of the interest period in the agreement. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 59 of 690 Page 40 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK INTEREST RATE SWAPS In a swap agreement, the parties agree to exchange ‘interest payments’ on a notional amount of principal, at agreed dates throughout the term of the agreement. The interest rate payments that are exchanged in a ‘coupon swap’ are as follows: One party to the swap pays a fixed rate (the swap rate). The other party pays interest at a reference rate or benchmark rate for the interest period, such as KIBOR. The purpose of an interest rate swap is to: swap a variable rate of interest payment (or receipt) into a fixed interest rate payment (or receipt); or swap a fixed rate of interest payment (or receipt) into a variable rate of interest payment (or receipt). CREDIT ARBITRAGE Step 1: Identify the potential saving (if any). Step 2: Decide on how the saving is to be shared and the expense that should be achieved after the swap. Step 3: List the interest on the actual borrowings in a column for each company. Step 4: Write the total interest that should be achieved after the swap for each company as the totals in the columns. Step 5: Set one payment under the swap to reduce the recipient’s cost to zero. Step 6: Set the second payment so as to increase the nil cost of the first recipient to its expected total expense (see step 2). INTEREST RATE FUTURES Interest rate futures are priced as 100 – interest rate therefore, if a future price is 94 it means interest rate is 6%. The mechanism of Interest rate futures is fundamentally similar to Stock/Currency futures. In case of borrowing, Hedge strategy will be Sell now (at the date of hedge) and Buy later (at the date of close out). In case of deposit, the Hedge strategy will be Buy now (at the date of hedge) and Sell later (at the date of close out). INTEREST RATE OPTIONS Many interest rate options are arranged over-the-counter (OTC). These include: Borrowers’ options and lenders’ options; and Caps, floors and collars. Options on interest rate futures are traded on the futures exchanges where the interest rate futures are also traded. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 60 of 690 Page 41 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SUMMARY AND FORMULAE BOOK INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Step 1 : Estimate the project post tax cash flows in overseas currency Step 2: Convert the projected cash flow into home currency by using the exchange rate Step 3 : Discount the converted cashflows at the company’s cost of capital to arrive at the NPV Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 61 of 690 Page 42 of 42 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SOURCES OF EQUITY FINANCE SOURCES OF EQUITY FINANCE SOURCES OF LONG-TERM AND SHORT-TERM FINANCE Sources of finance and financial management An important aspect of financial management is the choice of methods of financing for a company’s assets. Companies use a variety of sources of finance and the aim should be to achieve an efficient capital structure that provides: a suitable balance between short-term and long-term funding adequate working capital a suitable balance between equity and debt capital in the long-term capital structure. Sources of short-term funds Sources of short-term funding are used to finance some current assets. (In some cases, companies operate with current liabilities in excess of current assets, but this is unusual.) Most of the usual sources of shortterm finance have been described in an earlier chapter on working capital. Briefly, these are: bank overdraft short-term bank loans suppliers (trade payables). The main points to note about these sources of finance are as follows. Bank overdraft A company might arrange a bank overdraft to finance its need for cash to meet payment obligations. An overdraft facility is negotiated with a bank, which sets a limit to the amount of overdraft that is allowed. From the point of view of the bank, the company should be expected to use its overdraft facility as follows: The overdraft should be used to finance short-term cash deficits from operational activities. The company’s bank balance ought to fluctuate regularly between deficit (overdraft) and surplus. There should not be a ‘permanent’ element to the overdraft, and an overdraft should not be seen as a longterm source of funding. An overdraft facility is for operational requirements and paying for running costs. An overdraft should not be used to finance the purchase of long-term (non-current) assets. The bank normally has the right to call in an overdraft at any time, and might do so if it believes the company is not managing its finances and cash flows well. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 62 of 690 Page 1 of 9 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SOURCES OF EQUITY FINANCE Short-term bank loans Short-term bank loans might be arranged for a specific purpose, for example to finance the purchase of specific items. Unlike an overdraft facility, a bank loan is for a specific period of time, and there is a repayment schedule. Trade payables A company should try to negotiate favourable credit terms from its suppliers. Trade credit from suppliers has no cost, and is therefore an attractive method of short-term finance. However, a company should honour its credit arrangements and pay its suppliers on time at the end of the greed credit period. It is inappropriate for a company to increase the amount of its trade payables by taking excess credit and making payments late. Debt factoring Companies that use debt factors to collect their trade receivables might obtain financing for most of their trade receivables from the factor. Factoring was explained in the earlier chapter on the management of trade receivables. One of the services offered by a factor is to provide finance for up to 70% or 80% of the value of outstanding trade receivables that the factor has undertaken to collect. Operating leases In some cases, operating leases might be an alternative to obtaining short-term finance. Operating leases are similar to rental agreements for the use of non-current assets, although they might have a longer term. (Rental agreements are usually very short term.). Companies that obtain the use of non-current assets with operating lease agreements avoid the need to purchase the assets and to finance these purchases with capital. Operating leases might be used extensively by small and medium-sized business enterprises which find it difficult to obtain finance to pay for non-current asset purchases. Sources of long-term funds Long-term funding is required for a company’s long-term assets and also to finance working capital. The main sources of long-term capital are: equity finance debt finance lease finance (finance leases). Debt finance and lease finance are dealt with in the next chapter. For some companies, long-term finance might be provided in the form of venture capital. Venture capital is described in the later chapter on sources of finance for small and medium-sized enterprises. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 63 of 690 Page 2 of 9 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SOURCES OF EQUITY FINANCE Introduction to equity finance Equity finance is finance provided by the owners of a company – its ordinary shareholders, also called equity shareholders. (Some forms of irredeemable preference share might be regarded as equity finance, but in practice irredeemable preference shares are rare in public companies.) New equity finance can be raised by issuing new shares for cash, or issuing new shares to acquire a subsidiary in a takeover. Methods of issuing new shares are described in the next section of this chapter. For most companies, however, the main source of new equity finance is internal, from retained profits. Internal sources of finance and dividend policy When companies retain profits in the business, the increase in retained profits adds to equity reserves. The retained capital, in principle, is reinvested in the business and contributes towards further growth in profits. Increasing long-term capital by retaining profits has several major benefits for companies. When new equity is raised by issuing shares, there are large expenses associated with the costs of the issue. When equity is increased through retained earnings, there are no issue costs because no new shares are issued. The finance is readily-available, without having to present a case to a bank or new shareholders. Shareholder approval is not required for the retention of earnings. However, there may be a limit to the amount of earnings available for retention. There are three main reasons for this. The company might not earn large profits. Earnings can only be retained if the company is profitable. Retained earnings must be used efficiently, to provide a suitable return on investment. Unless retained earnings contribute to future growth in earnings and dividends, shareholders will demand higher dividends and lower earnings retention. Earnings are either retained or paid out to shareholders as dividends. By retaining earnings, a company is therefore withholding dividends from its shareholders. A company might have a dividend policy, and its shareholders might have expectations about what future dividends ought to be. Earnings retention is therefore restricted by the constraints of dividend policy. Dividend policy is considered in more detail in a later section of this chapter. Long-term finance and working capital management Improvements in working capital efficiency can also release cash. Efficient inventory management, collection of trade receivables and payment of trade payables can reduce the requirement for working capital. A reduction in working capital generates a one-off additional source of cash funding that can be used for investment. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 64 of 690 Page 3 of 9 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SOURCES OF EQUITY FINANCE RAISING NEW EQUITY EXTERNALLY Private companies and public companies: issuing new shares Companies can raise equity capital externally by issuing new shares for cash, but the opportunity to do so is much more restricted for private companies than for public companies. Private companies and issuing shares for cash Private companies cannot offer their shares for sale to the general investing public, and shares in private companies cannot be traded on a stock market. They can sell shares privately to investors but it is usually difficult to find investors who are willing to put cash into equity investments in private companies. The existing owners of a company might not have enough personal capital to buy more shares in their company. Existing shareholders are therefore a limited source of new capital. Other investors usually avoid investing in the equity of private companies because the shares are not traded on a stock exchange, and consequently they might be: difficult to value difficult to sell when the shareholder wants to cash in the investment. Small companies and most medium-sized companies are private companies, and most are unable to raise significant amounts of new equity capital by issuing shares. They rely on retained earnings for new equity capital, but given their small size, profits are relatively small and this restricts the amount of retained profits they can reinvest in the business. Public companies and new share issues Public companies may offer their shares to the general public. Many public companies arrange for their shares to be traded on a stock market. The stock market can be used both as a market for issuing new shares for cash, and also a secondary market where investors can buy or sell existing shares of the company. The existence of a secondary market and stock market trading in shares means that: the shares of a company have a recognisable value (their current stock market price) and shareholders can sell their shareholdings in the market whenever they want to cash in their shareholding. However, before their shares can be traded on a stock exchange, a public company must: satisfy the regulatory authorities that the company and its shares comply with the appropriate regulatory requirements, and appropriate information about the company and its shares will be made available to investors, and obtain acceptance by the appropriate stock exchange for trading in the shares. In Pakistan, there is a main stock market operated by the London Stock Exchange, and a secondary market for shares in smaller companies, the Alternative Investments Market or AIM. (Companies wanting to have Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 65 of 690 Page 4 of 9 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SOURCES OF EQUITY FINANCE their shares accepted for trading on AIM must meet certain regulatory requirements, but these are not as onerous as the requirements for companies on the main market.) Electronic trading platforms for secondary market trading in shares have been developed and are capturing a substantial proportion of the total volume of secondary market trading in shares of the major companies, especially in the USA and the European Community. Methods of issuing new shares for cash There are three main methods of issuing new shares for cash: Issuing new shares for purchase by the general investing public: this is called a public offer. Issuing new shares to a relatively small number of selected investors: this is called a placing. Issuing new shares to existing shareholders in a rights issue. Public offer A public offer is an offer of new shares to the general investing public. Because of the high costs involved with a public issue, these are normally large share issues that raise a substantial amount of money from investors. In many countries, including the UK and USA, a company whose shares are already traded on the stock market cannot make a public offer of new shares without shareholder permission (which is unlikely to be obtained, because existing shareholders would suffer a dilution in their shareholding in the company and would own a smaller proportion of the company). Instead, companies whose shares are already traded on the stock market will use a rights issue or a placing when it wishes to issue new shares for cash. A public offer might be used to bring the shares of a company to the stock market for the first time. The US term for this type of share issue is an Initial Public Offering or IPO. The company comes to the stock market for the first time in a ‘stock market flotation’. In the UK, the terms ‘prospectus issue’ and ‘offer for sale’ are also used to describe a public offer. The shares that are offered to investors in an IPO might be a combination of: new shares (issued to raise cash for the company) and shares already in issue that the current owners are now selling. Only the new shares issued by the company in the IPO will provide new equity capital for the company. Example Stabba is a company that is being converted from private to public company status and is planning a stock market flotation with a public offer of shares. In the flotation, the company wants to raise $800 million in cash for investment in its businesses. Issue costs will be 5% of the total amount of capital raised. The company’s investment bank advisers have suggested Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 66 of 690 Page 5 of 9 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SOURCES OF EQUITY FINANCE that a share price of $8 to $9 per share should be sustainable after the flotation, and a suitable issue price per share would therefore be $8. Required How many new shares should be issued and sold in the public offer? Answer Cash required after issue costs (= 95% of cash raised): $800 million Capital required before issue costs deducted: $800 million/0.95 = $842.1 million Number of shares to issue to raise $842.1 million = $842.1m/$8 = 105,262,500. Offer for sale by tender In a normal public offer, the issue price for the new shares is a fixed price and the new shares are offered at that price. With an offer for sale by tender, investors are invited to apply to purchase any amount of shares at a price of their own choosing. The actual issue price for the new shares is the minimum price tendered by investors that will be sufficient for all the shares in the issue to be sold. Offers for sale by tender are now very uncommon. Placing A placing involves the sale of a relatively small number of new shares, usually to selected investment institutions. A placing raises cash for the company when the company does not need a large amount of new capital. A placing might be made by companies whose shares are already traded on the stock exchange, but which now wishes to issue a fairly small amount of new shares. The prior approval of existing shareholders for a placing should be obtained. Stock exchange introduction In a stock exchange introduction, a company brings its existing shares to the stock market for the first time, without issuing new shares and without raising any cash. The company simply obtains stock market status, so that its existing shares can be traded on the stock market. The rules of the stock exchange might require that a minimum percentage of the shares of the company should be held by the general investing public. If so, a stock exchange introduction is only possible for a company that has already issued shares to the public but without having them traded on the stock market. A stock market introduction is rare, but might be used by a well-established company (formerly a private company) whose shares are now held by a wide number of individuals and institutions. When a company makes a stock market introduction, it is able at some time in the future to issue new shares for cash, should it wish to do so, through a placing or a rights issue. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 67 of 690 Page 6 of 9 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SOURCES OF EQUITY FINANCE Rights issue A rights issue is a large issue of new shares to raise cash, by a company whose shares are already traded on the stock market. Company law about rights issues varies between countries. In the UK, any company (public or private) wishing to issue new shares to obtain cash must issue them in the form of a rights issue, unless the shareholders agree in advance to waive their ‘rights’. Large new share issues by existing stock market companies will therefore always take the form of a rights issue. A rights issue involves offering the new shares to existing shareholders in proportion to their existing shareholding. For example, if a company has 8 million shares in issue already, and now wants to issue 2 million new shares to raise cash, a rights issue would involve offering the existing shareholders one new share for every four shares that they currently hold (2 million: 8 million = a 1 for 4 rights issue). Rights issues are described in more detail in the next chapter. Underwriting of new share issues Large new issues of shares for cash are usually underwritten. When an issue is underwritten, a group of investment institutions (the underwriters) agree to buy up to a maximum stated quantity of the new shares at the issue price, if the shares are not purchased by other investors in the share issue. Each underwriter agrees to buy up to a maximum quantity of the new shares, in return for an underwriting commission (an agreed percentage of the issue value of the shares they underwrite). The advantage of underwriting is that it ensures that there will be no unsold shares in the issue, and the company can be certain of raising the expected amount of cash. The main disadvantage of underwriting is the cost (the underwriting commission payable by the company to the underwriters). If a company does not want to pay to underwrite a rights issue, it might offer the new shares at a very low price compared to the market price of the existing shares. The very low price should, in theory, attract investors and ensure a successful share issue. This type of low-priced share issue is called a deep-discounted issue. Both public offers and rights issues are commonly underwritten. Share repurchases Instead of increasing their equity capital by issuing new shares, a company might repurchase some of its equity shares and cancel them. The shares might be repurchased in the stock market, or bought back directly from some shareholders. The effect of repurchasing shares and cancelling them is to reduce the company’s equity capital, with a corresponding fall in cash. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 68 of 690 Page 7 of 9 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SOURCES OF EQUITY FINANCE For example, suppose that a company has 200 million shares of $1 each (par value) in issue and the shares have a market price of $3. It might repurchase 5 million shares at this market price and cancel them. The cost of $15 million would result in a reduction in share capital and reserves of $15 million, and a reduction in cash of $15 million. It would be left with 195 million shares in issue. There two main reasons why a company might repurchase and cancel shares. It has more cash than it needs and the surplus cash is earning a low return. There is no foreseeable requirement for the surplus cash. Buying back and cancelling some shares will therefore increase the earnings per share for the remaining shares, and so might result in a higher share price for the remaining shares. In this situation, the company is overcapitalised and share repurchases can bring its total capital down to a more suitable level. Debt capital is readily-available and is cheaper than equity. A company might therefore repurchase some of its shares and cancel them, and replace the cancelled equity with debt capital, by issuing new corporate bonds or by borrowing from a bank. The result will be a capital structure with higher financial gearing. PREFERENCE SHARES Near-debt Near-debt is a term to describe finance that is neither debt nor equity, but is closer to debt in characteristics than equity. Various types of preference shares might be described as near-debt. They are not debt finance, but neither are they equity. In financial reporting, preference shares are more likely to be shown in the statement of financial position (balance sheet) as long-term liabilities, rather than equity, although this depends on the characteristics of the shares. Basic features of preference shares The basic features of preference shares are as follows: Most preference shares are issued with a fixed rate of annual dividend. For example, a company might issue 7% preference shares of $1, with dividends of $0.035 per share payable every six months (dividends of $0.07 per $1 share every year). If the company’s annual profits rise or fall, the preference dividend remains the same. Preference dividends are paid out of after-tax profits. Preference dividends, like equity dividends, do not attract tax relief. This usually means that preference shares are a more expensive form of capital for companies than debt finance. Preference shareholders will be entitled to receive dividends out of profits before any remaining profit can be distributed to equity shareholders as equity dividends. If the company goes into liquidation, preference shareholders rank ahead of equity shareholders, but after providers of debt finance, in the right to payment out of the proceeds from sale of the company’s assets. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 69 of 690 Page 8 of 9 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SOURCES OF EQUITY FINANCE Preference shares do not have any significant advantages for investors or for companies above straight debt finance. They are fairly uncommon, except perhaps in companies financed largely by venture capital. In financial reporting, preference shares might be shown in the statement of financial position (balance sheet) as debt finance rather than equity, and preference share dividends are reported as interest costs in the income statement if the preference shares are reported as debt. However, even if preference dividends are reported as interest costs, they do not attract tax relief. Types of preference shares A company might issue different classes of preference shares. Each class of preference shares might have different characteristics; for example one class of shares might pay a dividend of 5% and another might pay a dividend of 6%; one class might be redeemable preference shares and another irredeemable shares, and so on. The different types of preference shares are summarised below. Redeemable preference shares are redeemable by the company, typically at their par value, at a specified date in the future. Irredeemable preference shares are perpetual shares and will not be redeemed. Cumulative preference shares are shares for which the dividend accumulates if the company fails to make a dividend payment on schedule. For example, if a company fails to make a dividend payment to its cumulative preference shareholders in one year, because it does not have enough cash for example, the unpaid dividend is added to the next year’s dividend. The arrears of preference dividend must be paid before any dividend payments on equity shares can be resumed. With non-cumulative preference shares, unpaid dividends in any year do not accumulate, and will not be paid at a later date. Participating preference shares: These shares give their owners the right to participate, to a certain extent, in excess profits of the company when it has a good year. The dividend rate is therefore not necessarily fixed each year. For this reason, the coupon dividend rate tends to be lower than for other types of preference shares. Convertible preference shares: These are similar to convertible bonds. They give the shareholders the right to convert their shares at a future date into a fixed quantity of equity shares in the company. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 70 of 690 Page 9 of 9 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SOURCES OF DEBT FINANCE SOURCES OF DEBT FINANCE USING DEBT CAPITAL The nature of debt finance The term ‘debt finance’ is used to describe finance where: the borrower receives capital, either for a specific period of time (redeemable debt) or possibly in perpetuity (irredeemable debt) the borrower acknowledges an obligation to pay interest on the debt for as long as the debt remains outstanding, and the borrower agrees to repay the amount borrowed when the debt matures (reaches the end of the borrowing period). For companies, the most common forms of debt finance are: borrowing from banks issuing debt securities. Debt finance might be secured against assets of the borrower. When a debt is secured, the lender has the right to seek repayment of the outstanding debt out of the secured asset or assets, in the event that the borrower fails to make payments of interest and repayments of capital on schedule. The secured assets provide a second source of repayment if the first source fails. When a debt is unsecured, the lender does not have this second source of repayment in an event of default by the borrower. For both secured and unsecured debt, the borrower is usually required to give certain undertakings or ‘covenants’ to the lender, including an undertaking to make interest payments in full and on time. The borrower will be in default for any breach of covenant, and the lenders will then have the right to take legal action against the borrower to recover the debt. Long-term, medium-term and short-term debt finance Debt finance can be long-term, medium-term or short-term finance. For companies: long-term finance is usually obtained by issuing bonds. Bonds might also be called loan stock or debentures. medium-term debt finance (with a maturity of up to about five or seven years) is usually in the form of bank loans, but a company might also issue bonds with a maturity of just a few years. Medium-dated bonds are often called ‘notes’. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 71 of 690 Page 1 of 6 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SOURCES OF DEBT FINANCE short-term debt finance is usually in the form of a bank overdraft or similar bank facility. Large companies might be able to obtain short-term debt finance in other ways, such as: o by issuing short-term debt securities in the money markets as commercial paper, within a commercial paper programme o by arranging a ‘bills acceptances’ programme with a bank. Irredeemable debt Debt capital might be irredeemable or ‘permanent’. However, irredeemable debt is not common, and virtually all debt is redeemable (or possibly convertible, see below). Committed and uncommitted funds Most debt finance is committed, which means that the lender has undertaken to provide the finance until the agreed maturity of the debt. The borrower does not have the risk that the lender will demand immediate repayment of the debt, without notice before the agreed maturity date. Some lending is uncommitted, which means that the lender is not obliged to lend the money, and having lent the money can demand immediate repayment at any time. A bank overdraft facility is normally uncommitted lending by the bank, and the bank has the right to demand immediate repayment at any time. A bank overdraft can therefore be a fairly risky type of borrowing for a company. Interest payments The frequency of interest payments varies according to the type of debt. For a bank loan or a bond, the interest payable is calculated on the full amount of the debt. For a bank overdraft (or a revolving credit with a bank), interest is charged only on the current overdraft balance. For example, if a company has a loan of $100,000, it will pay interest on the full amount of the loan. However, if it has a bank overdraft facility of $100,000, it will pay interest only on the overdraft balance, typically with interest charged on a daily basis. The interest rate on most medium-term bank loans is a floating rate or variable rate. This means that the rate of interest is adjusted for each successive payment period, according to any changes that have occurred in the interest rate since the beginning of the previous interest period. Lending to companies is at either a margin above the bank’s base rate or a margin above another reference rate of interest, such as the London Inter-bank Offered Rate (LIBOR). For example, the interest rate on a bank loan might be payable every six months at six-month LIBOR plus 1%. At the beginning of each six-monthly interest period, the interest for the period will be fixed at whatever the current six-month LIBOR rate happens to be, plus 1%. The interest rate on most bonds and notes is at a fixed coupon rate. The interest payable in each interest period is a fixed amount, calculated as the fixed coupon percentage of the nominal value of the bonds. For Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 72 of 690 Page 2 of 6 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SOURCES OF DEBT FINANCE example, if a company issues 6% bonds with interest payable every six months, the company will pay $3 for every $100 nominal value of bonds every six months. Tax relief on interest Interest costs are an allowable expense for tax purposes. This can make debt finance an attractive ‘cheap’ source of finance. Example A company borrows $10 million at an interest cost of 5% per year. The rate of taxation is 30%. The company will pay $500,000 each year in interest. Its tax payments to the government will be reduced by $150,000 (30% × $500,000). The net cost of interest is therefore $350,000, and the after-tax cost of debt is 3.5% ($350,000/$10 million, or 5% × (100 – 30)). In comparison, dividends on shares are not an allowable cost for tax purposes. Dividends are paid out of after-tax profits. Straight debt The term ‘straight debt’ means a fixed amount of redeemable debt at a fixed rate of interest. For example, a company might issue $200 million of 6% bonds, with a maturity of 15 years. The company will pay interest of $12 million each year on the bonds, for 15 years, and at the end of the 15 years, the company will redeem the bonds, usually at par value or face value, and so would return $200 million to the bondholders. Access to the bond markets for companies Many companies cannot borrow by issuing bonds in the bond markets. Private companies are prohibited by law from offering bonds to the general public; therefore if these companies want to borrow, they must seek a bank loan or find investors who are willing to invest in their bonds or loan notes. Large public companies are able to raise capital by issuing bonds in the international bond markets, and they usually pay to have their bonds given a credit rating by one or more credit rating agencies such as Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s. Investment institutions are often prepared to invest in corporate bonds with a good credit rating (an ‘investment grade’ rating) if the return (‘yield’) is attractive. Bonds in the international markets are usually denominated in US dollars or euros, although there are some issues in other currencies such as yen, Swiss francs and British pounds. Smaller public companies outside the US find it more difficult to issue bonds in the bond market, because the amount of debt they need to raise is often too small to interest major investors, and only major investors buy bonds. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 73 of 690 Page 3 of 6 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SOURCES OF DEBT FINANCE There is a much larger market in the US for corporate bonds, denominated in US dollars. By offering a high fixed rate of interest, companies are often able to issue bonds even though they are not ‘investment grade’ (i.e. ‘sub-investment grade bonds’ or ‘junk bonds’). The secondary market in bonds is operated by bond dealers in banks, and the liquidity of the secondary market is variable. Many investors in bonds hold them as long-term investments and do not acquire them for short-term reasons. Unlike equity share prices, bond prices are generally fairly stable and do not offer investors an opportunity for quick capital gains from buying and re-selling. Debt finance and risk for the borrower Although debt capital is cheap, particularly in view of the tax relief on interest payments, it can also be a risky form of finance for a company. Lenders have a prior right to payment, before the right of shareholders to a dividend. If a company has low profits before interest and a large amount of debt, the profits available for dividends could be very small. There is always a risk that the borrower will fail to meet interest payments or the repayment of debt principal on schedule. If a borrower is late with a payment, or misses a payment, there is a default on the loan. A default gives the lenders the right to take action against the borrower to recover the loan. In comparison with providers of debt capital, equity shareholders do not have similar rights for nonpayment of dividends. Companies should therefore avoid excessive amounts of debt finance, because of the default risk. (However, there are differing views about how much debt finance is ‘safe’ and how high debt levels can rise before the capital structure of a company becomes too risky.) CONVERTIBLE BONDS AND BONDS WITH WARRANTS ATTACHED Sometimes, companies issue bonds with an equity element included or attached. These bonds are sometimes called ‘hybrid debt’ securities, because they combine debt and equity features. (For financial reporting purposes, companies are required to segregate the debt from the equity element in the statement of financial position (balance sheet)). The two main types of hybrid debt instrument are: convertible bonds, and bonds with equity warrants attached. Convertible bonds Convertible bonds are bonds that give their holder the right, but not the obligation, at a specified future date to convert their bonds into a specific quantity of new equity shares. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 74 of 690 Page 4 of 6 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SOURCES OF DEBT FINANCE If the bondholders choose to exercise the right, they will become shareholders in the company, but will surrender their bonds. If the bondholders decide not to exercise their right to convert, the bonds will be redeemed at maturity. Example A company might issue $100 million of 3% convertible bonds. The bonds might be convertible into equity shares after five years, at the rate of 20 shares for each $100 of bonds. If the shares are not converted, the company will have the right to redeem them at par immediately. Alternatively, the bonds will be redeemed after ten years. For the first five years, the company will pay interest on the convertible bonds. After five years, the bondholders must decide whether or not to convert the bonds into shares. If the market value of 20 shares is higher than the market value of $100 of the convertibles, the bondholders will exercise their right and convert the bonds into shares. They will make an immediate capital gain on their investment. For example, if the share price is $6, the bondholders will exchange $100 of bonds for 20 shares, and the value of their investment will rise to $120. If the market value of 20 shares is lower than the market value of $100 of the convertibles, the bondholders will not exercise their right to convert, and will hold their bonds until they are redeemed by the company (which will be either immediately or at the end of the tenth year). Conversion premium When convertible bonds are first issued, the market value of the shares into which the bonds will be convertible is always less than the market value of the convertibles. This is because convertibles are issued in the expectation that the share price will rise before the date for conversion. Investors will hope that the market value of the shares will rise by enough to make the market value of the shares into which the bonds will be convertible higher than the value of the convertible as a ‘straight bond’. The amount by which the market value of the convertible exceeds the market value of the shares into which the bonds will be convertible is called the conversion premium. Example A company issues 4% convertibles bonds at a price of $101.50. The bonds will be convertible after six years into equity shares at the rate of 30 shares for every $100 of bonds. The current market price of the company’s shares is $2.50. The market price of the bonds is $101.50 for every $100 face value of bonds. The conversion premium is therefore $101.50 – (30 × $2.50) = $26 for every $100 of convertibles. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 75 of 690 Page 5 of 6 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | SOURCES OF DEBT FINANCE Bonds with warrants attached A company might issue bonds with share warrants attached. Share warrants are a form of option, giving the holder of a warrant in a company the right, but not the obligation, to subscribe for a specified quantity of new shares in the company at a future date, at a fixed purchase price. Example A company might issue ten-year 4% bonds with warrants attached. Each $1,000 of bonds might give the holder the right to subscribe for ten new shares in the company after four years, at a price of $5.50 per share. If the share price is higher than $5.50 when the date for exercising the warrants arrives, the warrant holder will exercise his right to buy new shares at $5.50. If the share price is less than $5.50 when the date for exercising the warrants arrives, the warrant holder will not exercise the warrants, and will let his rights lapse. Comparison of convertibles and bonds with warrants Bonds with warrants attached are similar to convertibles, and the advantages of issuing them are similar. The main difference between bonds with warrants and convertibles is that: With convertibles, the right to subscribe for equity shares is included in the bond itself, and if the bonds are converted, the investor gives up the bonds in exchange for the equity shares. With bonds with warrants, the warrants are detachable from the bonds. The bonds are therefore redeemed at maturity, in the same way as straight bonds. The warrants are separated from the bonds, and the warrant holder either exercises the warrants to subscribe for new shares when the time to do so arrives, or lets the warrants lapse. Since warrants are detachable from the bonds, they can be traded separately. The right to subscribe for new shares belongs to the owner of the warrants, not the bondholder. This means that an investor can buy bonds with warrants attached when the company issues them, sell the warrants in the stock market and retain the bonds. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 76 of 690 Page 6 of 6 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTRODUCTION TO CAPITAL STRUCTURE INTRODUCTION TO CAPITAL STRUCTURE FINANCIAL GEARING The UK term ‘gearing’ and the US term ‘leverage’ mean the same thing. They both refer to the fact that a small change in one item can lead to a much bigger change in something else. The term ‘gearing’ is derived from the mechanics of the motor car and the way in which a movement in a small gear wheel makes a much bigger movement in a larger gear wheel. The term ‘leverage’ is derived from the idea that a small amount of pressure at one end of a lever can move a much larger item at the other end of the lever. In financial analysis, there are two types of gearing: Financial gearing, which is concerned with the way in which a small change in profits before interest and tax can result in larger proportional changes in earnings (profits after tax). Operational gearing is concerned with the way in which a small change in sales revenue results in a much greater proportional change in operating profits (profits before interest and tax). Definition of financial gearing The long-term capital of a company can be categorised as either equity capital or debt capital. Financial gearing measures the extent to which a company is financed by debt capital. There are several ways of measuring the financial gearing ratio. Unless you are given an instruction or a strong hint to do something else in the examination, you should measure a financial gearing ratio as follows: Either A: 𝐃𝐞𝐛𝐭 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐱 𝟏𝟎𝟎% 𝐄𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥 Or B: 𝐃𝐞𝐛𝐭 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐱 𝟏𝟎𝟎% 𝐄𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥 + 𝐃𝐞𝐛𝐭 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥 Using definition (A), a company is said to be high-geared when debt capital exceeds equity capital, therefore the ratio exceeds 100%. With definition (B), high gearing is indicated by a ratio above 50%. An all-equity company has a financial gearing ratio of 0%. Gearing can be measured either by: Value sin the statement of financial position (balance sheet values), in which case equity is the total of equity share capital plus reserves, or current market values of equity and debt capital (with variable interest debt such as bank loans valued at their face value and bonds valued at their current market price). Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 77 of 690 Page 1 of 4 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTRODUCTION TO CAPITAL STRUCTURE For financial management purposes, capital gearing should normally be calculated using market values, not book values (‘balance sheet values’). However, if an examination question gives you information about values in the statement of financial position (balance sheet values), you should be prepared to calculate and comment on financial gearing using the ‘balance sheet values’ provided. Example Company X has 1 million $1 ordinary shares with a current market price of $3 each. It is also financed by $1million of 5% bonds with a current market value of 102.00 and $500,000 of bank loans. What is the company’s financial gearing? Answer MV of equity = 1 million shares × $3 = $3 million MV of debt = $1 million × (1.02) + $500,000 = $1,520,000 Gearing = $1,520,000m/($3 million + $1,520,000) = 33.6%. The significance of financial gearing If the level of financial gearing is high, the company might have difficulties in meeting its obligations to pay interest and repay the debt capital on time. High gearing can therefore be risky, and a company should avoid excessive debt and gearing above a level that it can comfortably afford. Another feature of financial gearing is that with higher-geared companies, the earnings per share change rises or falls by a much larger percentage amount, in response to increases or falls in operating profit (profit before interest and tax). The following example illustrates this point. Example Two companies Entity A and Entity B are identical in every respect, with the exception of their capital structure. Both Entities have assets of $1,000,000, and both have annual profits before interest and tax of $100,000. However, Entity A is an all equity company, with 1,000,000 shares of $1, and Entity B is a 50%geared company, with 500,000 shares of $1 and $500,000 of 8% debt. The rate of taxation is 30%. The earnings per share (EPS) of each company is calculated as follows: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 78 of 690 Page 2 of 4 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTRODUCTION TO CAPITAL STRUCTURE Now suppose that the profits before interest and tax increase by 50% to $150,000. The change in EPS will be as follows: The percentage change in the EPS in the geared company is greater than the percentage change in EPS in the ungeared company. This rule applies to financial gearing generally. When a company has some debt capital (i.e., has some gearing), a percentage change in profits before interest and tax results in a larger percentage change in EPS. The higher the gearing, the greater the percentage change in EPS will be. Income gearing or interest gearing Financial gearing is a ratio comparing the value of debt and the value of total capital or the value of equity. Income gearing, also called interest gearing, measures annual interest charges as a percentage of profits before interest and tax. It therefore shows what percentage of profits available to cover interest payments are actually needed to make the interest payments. A ratio of 33% or more would probably be considered very high. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 79 of 690 Page 3 of 4 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTRODUCTION TO CAPITAL STRUCTURE Example A company made profits before interest and tax of $800,000. It has $5 million of 6% debt. The income gearing ratio, or interest gearing ratio, is: This ratio is high, indicating that the company might have too much debt finance for the amount of profits that it is earning. GEARING, RISK AND RETURN Gearing and risk High gearing is risky for equity investors. Risk can be defined as volatility in EPS. If an investor buys shares in a company with high operational gearing and high financial gearing, EPS will be volatile. This means that a relatively small percentage change in actual sales, above or below the expected or budgeted level, will result in a much greater percentage change, up or down, in EPS. Risk-seeking investors might want to invest in such companies, hoping that sales will be higher than expected, and EPS much higher. An investor looking for fairly stable and predictable annual EPS will want to avoid companies with high operational and financial gearing. They would prefer allequity companies in which variable costs are a high proportion of total costs. Gearing and return To compensate them for the risk of high volatility in EPS, investors in a high-geared company will expect a higher return on their investment than investors in a low-geared company. For example, suppose that an investor could invest in shares at a cost of $10 per share, knowing for certain that the annual EPS would be $1 or 10% every year. If the same investor could invest the same $10 in a company with high operational and financial gearing, he would want to expect a return in excess of 10% to compensate him for the higher risk. For example, he might expect a return of 14%. Because of the high gearing, a fairly small change in annual sales above or below expectation will result in a much larger change in EPS, and the actual EPS could turn out to be far more than 14%, but could also be much less. Gearing and share prices Higher gearing is riskier, and investors in high-geared companies will expect a higher return as compensation for the risk. Gearing will also affect share prices, because share prices are linked to expected return. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 80 of 690 Page 4 of 4 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Table of Contents WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL ........................................................................................................ 2 COST OF EQUITY, COST OF DEBT AND THE WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL (WACC) ........ 2 Cost of Equity Illustrations .........................................................................................................................13 Illustrations of irredeemable debt ............................................................................................................16 Illustrations of Redeemable debt: .............................................................................................................20 WACC Full Length Illustrations [All previous concepts combined] .....................................................25 ICAP SUMMER 2014: QUESTION ...............................................................................................................29 ICAP SUMMER 2014: SOLUTION ...............................................................................................................30 ICAP WINTER 2017: QUESTION .................................................................................................................31 ICAP WINTER 2017: SOLUTION .................................................................................................................32 ACCA F9 - 2013 JUNE: QUESTION .............................................................................................................34 ACCA F9 - 2013 JUNE: SOLUTION .............................................................................................................35 ACCA F9 DECEMBER 2017: QUESTION .....................................................................................................36 ACCA F9 DECEMBER 2017: SOLUTION .....................................................................................................37 ACCA F9 DINLA CO: QUESTION .................................................................................................................38 ACCA F9 DINLA CO: SOLUTION .................................................................................................................39 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 81 of 690 Page 1 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL COST OF EQUITY, COST OF DEBT AND THE WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL (WACC) The cost of capital for investors is the return that investors require from their investment. Companies must be able to make a sufficient return from their own capital investments to pay the returns required by their shareholders and holders of debt capital. The cost of capital for investors therefore establishes a cost of capital for companies. For each company there is a cost of equity. This is the return required by its shareholders, in the form of dividends or share price growth. There is a cost for each item of debt finance. This is the yield required by the lender or bond investor. When there are preference shares, there is also a cost of preference share capital. The cost of capital for a company is the return that it must make on its investments so that it can afford to pay its investors the returns that they require. The cost of capital for investors and the cost of capital for companies should theoretically be the same. However, they are different because of the differing tax positions of investors and companies. The cost of capital for investors is measured as a pre-tax cost of capital The cost of capital for companies recognises that interest costs are an allowable expense for tax purposes, and the cost of debt capital to a company should allow for the tax relief that companies receive on interest payments, reducing their tax payments. The cost of debt capital for companies is measured as an after-tax cost. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the average cost of all the sources of capital that a company uses. This average is weighted, to allow for the relative proportions of the different types of capital in the company’s capital structure. WACC can be commonly calculated as: 𝐖𝐀𝐂𝐂 = [(𝐌𝐕𝐞 𝐱 𝐊𝐞) + {𝐌𝐕𝐝 𝐱 𝐊𝐝(𝟏 − 𝐭)} + (𝐌𝐕𝐩 𝐱 𝐊𝐩)] (𝐌𝐕𝐞 + 𝐌𝐕𝐝 + 𝐌𝐕𝐩) Whereas: MVe = Market Value of Equity MVd = Market Value of Debt MVp = Market Value of Preference Shares t = Tax rate Ke = Cost of Equity Kd = Cost of Debt Kp = Cost of Preference Shares If interest payments are not tax-deductible (in a rare case), then the component of (1-t) will be eliminated. Hence it will become: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 82 of 690 Page 2 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL 𝐖𝐀𝐂𝐂 = [(𝐌𝐕𝐞 𝐱 𝐊𝐞) + (𝐌𝐕𝐝 𝐱 𝐊𝐝) + (𝐌𝐕𝐩 𝐱 𝐊𝐩)] (𝐌𝐕𝐞 + 𝐌𝐕𝐝 + 𝐌𝐕𝐩) WACC ILLUSTRATIONS Illustration 1: The capital structure of Cyan Limited is as follows: Share Capital (5 million shares) valuing Rs 50 million. Share Premium amounting to Rs 5 million. Retained Earnings = 15 million. Price to book value ratio = 1.8 Cost of equity = 18% Market value of debt = 45 million Cost of debt = 11% Calculate WACC of the Company. Solution 1: Share Capital Share premium Retained Earnings Total Equity (BV) Price to book value Total Equity (MV) 50,000,000 5,000,000 15,000,000 70,000,000 1.80 126,000,000 Debt (MV) 45,000,000 WACC Equity Debt 126,000,000 45,000,000 171,000,000 Price to book value = Price of equity/Book value of Equity 1.8 = Price of equity / 70,000,000 Price of equity = 70,000,000 x 1.8 Price of equity = 126,000,000 18% 11% 22,680,000 4,950,000 27,630,000 16.16% WACC WACC = [(126 Mn x 18%) + (45 Mn x 11%)]/(126 Mn + 45 Mn) WACC = 16.16% Illustration 2: Jameel Limited (JL) has in issue 8 million shares with a market value of Rs 7·16 per share. The return required by the shareholders is 12%. The Company also has in issue 8·5% bonds with a total nominal value of Rs 20 million and a cost of debt of 8.22%. The market value of each Rs 100 bond is Rs 103·42. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 83 of 690 Page 3 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL The Company is planning to invest a significant amount of money into a new business area with an IRR of 9.8%. Advise the company whether it can invest in the project or not. Solution 2: WACC Equity Debt MV 57,280,000 20,684,000 77,964,000 Cost 12.00% 8.50% WACC (8,631,740/77,964,000) 6,873,600 1,758,140 8,631,740 11.07% Nominal value of bonds 20,000,000 Nominal value of one bond Market value of one bond 100.00 103.42 Market value of bonds (20 Mn/100*103.42) 20,684,000 Illustration 3: The capital structure of the Youth Avenue is as follows: Share Capital = Rs 100 million Retained Earnings and other reserves = Rs 40 million Preference shares = Rs 40 million Long term loan = Rs 50 million Bank Overdraft = Rs 10 million Price to book value ratio = 1.2 (ordinary shares) All other sources of finances are stated at values equal to their market values. Cost of Equity (Ke) = 16% Cost of long-term debt (Kd) = 7% Cost of preference shares (Kp) = 13% Rate of bank overdraft = 5% Calculate WACC of the Company. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 84 of 690 Page 4 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Solution 3: Capital structure Equity Pref shares Long term loan Bank OD MV 168,000,000 40,000,000 50,000,000 10,000,000 268,000,000 Cost 16% 13% 7% 5% WACC (36.08 Mn / 268 Mn) 26,880,000 5,200,000 3,500,000 500,000 36,080,000 13.46% OR it can be calculated through weightage of each item of capital structure Capital structure Equity Pref shares Long term loan Bank OD MV 168,000,000 40,000,000 50,000,000 10,000,000 268,000,000 Weight (MV/Total) 62.69% 14.93% 18.66% 3.73% 100.00% Cost 16% 13% 7% 5% Weight x Cost 10.03% 1.94% 1.31% 0.19% 13.46% Illustration 4: AMH Co wishes to calculate its current weighted average cost of capital for use as a discount rate in investment appraisal. Financial position extracts as at 31 December 2019 Total fixed assets = Rs 157 million Net working capital = Rs 16 million Long term debt = Rs 39 million The price to book value ratio is 1.3 for ordinary shares whereas the book value of debt is equal to its market value. Cost of debt = 8% Cost of equity = 12% Required: Weighted Average Cost of Capital. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 85 of 690 Page 5 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Solution 4: Working Capital = Current assets - Current Liabilities NCA + CA = E + NCL + CL NCA + CA - CL = E + NCL NCA + CA - CL - NCL = E 157 + 16 - 39 = E E = 134 Book value of equity P/B ratio Market value of equity Market value of debt WACC Equity Debt 134,000,000 1.30 174,200,000 39,000,000 MV 174,200,000 39,000,000 213,200,000 Cost 12.00% 8.00% WACC (24.024 Mn / 213.2 Mn) 20,904,000 3,120,000 24,024,000 11.27% COMPARING THE COST OF EQUITY AND COST OF DEBT The cost of equity is always higher than the cost of debt capital. This is because equity investment in a company is always riskier than investment in the debt capital of the same company. Interest on debt capital is often fixed: bondholders for example receive a fixed amount of annual interest on their bonds. In contrast, earnings per share are volatile and can go up or down depending on changes in the company’s profitability. Providers of debt capital have a contractual right to receive interest and the repayment of the debt principal on schedule. If the company fails to make payments on schedule, the debt capital providers can take legal action to protect their legal or contractual rights. Shareholders do not have any rights to dividend payments. Providers of secured debt are able to enforce their security if the company defaults on its interest payments or capital repayments. In the event of insolvency of the company and liquidation of its assets, providers of debt capital are entitled to payment of what they are owed by the company before the shareholders can receive any payment themselves out of the liquidated assets. Since equity has a higher investment risk for investors, the expected returns on equity are higher than the expected returns on debt capital. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 86 of 690 Page 6 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL In addition, from a company’s perspective, the cost of debt is also reduced by the tax relief on interest payments. This makes debt finance even lower than the cost of equity. The effect of more debt capital, and higher financial gearing, on the WACC is considered in more detail later. THE CREDITOR HIERARCHY The creditor hierarchy refers to the order in which proceeds are distributed in the event of a company insolvency and winding up (liquidation of its assets). At the top of the hierarchy are secured creditors such as debenture holders and banks who are entitled to unpaid interest and the principal outstanding on any loan. The next are unsecured creditors, such as providers of unsecured debt capital and trade payables. Next are preference shareholders, if the company has any preference shares in issue. If there are several different classes of preference shares, their priority ranking for payment depends on their relative class rights. Ordinary shareholders are at the bottom of the hierarchy and are only entitled to repayment of capital once all debt holders and preference shareholders have been paid in full. The further down the hierarchy a finance provider the greater the risk of loss of capital. The return required in compensation therefore increases and the cost of equity will always exceed the cost of debt and preference shares. There is also a priority ranking for annual income. Providers of debt capital receive payment of interest out of the company’s profits before interest and tax. Preference shareholders are paid dividends out of after-tax profits. If the company is unable to pay preference dividends in any year, the unpaid dividend accumulates in he case of cumulative preference shares, and the arrears of unpaid dividends must be paid in full before dividend payments to ordinary shareholders can be resumed. Ordinary shareholders (equity shareholders) are paid dividends out of distributable profits at the discretion of the company’s directors. For ordinary shareholders there is a risk that the dividends and share price will be adversely affected by volatile earnings, and lower-than-expected annual profits. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 87 of 690 Page 7 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL COST OF EQUITY Methods of calculating the cost of equity The cost of equity is the annual return expected by ordinary shareholders, in the form of dividends and share price growth. However, share price growth is assumed to occur when shareholder expectations are raised about future dividends. If future dividends are expected to increase, the share price will also increase over time. At any time, the share price can be explained as a present value of all future dividend expectations. Using this assumption, we can therefore say that the current value of a share is the present value of future dividends in perpetuity, discounted at the cost of equity (i.e. the return required by the providers of equity capital). There are two methods that you need to know for estimating what the share price in a company ought to be: the dividend valuation model the dividend growth model, sometimes called the Gordon growth model. Each of these methods for obtaining a share price valuation uses a formula that includes the cost of equity capital. The same models can therefore be used to estimate a cost of equity if the share price is known. In other words, the dividend valuation model and dividend growth model can be used either: to calculate an expected share price when the cost of equity is known, or to calculate the cost of equity when the share price is known. Another method of estimating the cost of capital is the capital asset pricing model or CAPM. This is an alternative to using a dividend valuation model method, and it produces a different estimate of the cost of equity. This is considered in the later chapters. THE DIVIDEND VALUATION MODEL METHOD OF ESTIMATING THE COST OF EQUITY If it is assumed that future annual dividends are expected to remain constant into the foreseeable future, the cost of equity can be calculated by re-arranging the dividend valuation model as follows. 𝐂𝐨𝐬𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐄𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐲 (𝐊𝐞) = 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐭 𝐃𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐝 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐕𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐄𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐲 where: Ke is the cost of equity Constant dividend = the expected future annual dividend. Market value of equity is the ex-dividend share price. The formula assumes that dividends are paid annually. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 88 of 690 Page 8 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Alternatively, the market value of equity shares can be calculated as: 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐕𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐄𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐲 = 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐭 𝐃𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐝 𝐂𝐨𝐬𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐄𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐲 (𝐊𝐞) ‘Ex dividend’ means that if the company will pay a dividend in the near future, the share price must be a price that excludes this dividend. For example, a company might declare on 1 March that it will pay a dividend of Rs 60 per share to all holders of equity shares on 30 April, and the dividend will be paid on 31 May. Until 30 April the share price allows for the fact that a dividend of Rs 60 will be paid in the near future and the shares are said to be traded ‘cum dividend’ or ‘with dividend’. After 30 April, if shares are sold, they are traded without the entitlement to dividend, or ‘ex dividend’. This is the share price to use in the cost of equity formula whenever a dividend is payable in the near future and shares are being traded cum dividend. Example A company’s shares are currently valued at $8.20 and the company is expected to pay an annual dividend of $0.70 per share for the foreseeable future. The cost of equity in the company can therefore be estimated as: (0.70/8.20) = 0.085 or 8.5%. Example A company’s shares are currently valued at $8.20 and the company is expected to pay an annual dividend of $0.70 per share for the foreseeable future. The next annual dividend is payable in the near future and the share price of $8.20 is a cum dividend price. The cost of equity in the company can therefore be estimated as: 0.70/(8.20 – 0.70) = 0.70/7.50 = 0.093 or 9.3%. Constant Dividend Illustration A company is expected to pay an annual dividend of Rs 1.70 per share for the foreseeable future. The cost of equity of the company is estimated at 9%. Find the market value of a share of the Company. THE DIVIDEND GROWTH MODEL METHOD OF ESTIMATING THE COST OF EQUITY If it is assumed that the annual dividend will grow at a constant percentage rate into the foreseeable future, the cost of equity can be calculated by re-arranging the dividend growth model. 𝐊𝐞 = Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 𝐃𝐨 (𝟏 + 𝐠) +𝐠 𝐌𝐕 Page 89 of 690 Page 9 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL where: Ke is the cost of equity do = the latest annual dividend for the year that has just been paid g is the annual growth rate in dividends, expressed as a proportion (4% = 0.04, 2.5% = 0.025 etc.) do (1 + g) is therefore the expected annual dividend next year MV is the share price ex dividend. The formula assumes that dividends are paid annually. Alternatively, the market value can be computed as: 𝐌𝐕 = 𝐃𝐨 (𝟏 + 𝐠) 𝐊𝐞 − 𝐠 Example A company’s share price is $8.20. The company has just paid an annual dividend of $0.70 per share, and the dividend is expected to grow by 3.5% into the foreseeable future. The next annual dividend will be paid in one year’s time. The cost of equity in the company can be estimated as follows: Ke = = 0.123 or 12.3% Example A company’s share price is $5.00. The next annual dividend will be paid in one year’s time and dividends are expected to grow by 4% per year into the foreseeable future. The next annual dividend is expected to be $0.45 per share. The next annual dividend = d (1 + g). The cost of equity in the company can be estimated as follows: Ke = = 0.13 or 13%. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 90 of 690 Page 10 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL CALCULATION OF GROWTH Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 91 of 690 Page 11 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 92 of 690 Page 12 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Cost of Equity Illustrations Illustration 1: Latest dividend paid = Rs 9 per share Reference dividend = Rs 7 per share Time = 4 years Ke = 14% Calculate market value per share. Solution 1: MV = Do x (1+g) / (Ke - g) MV = 9 x (1 + 6.48%) / (14% - 6.48%) MV = 127.44 The MV per share of the Company is Rs 127.44. g = (Latest div/Oldest Div)^(1/t) - 1 g = (9 / 7)^(1/4) - 1 g = 6.48% Illustration 2: Latest dividend paid = Rs 45 per share Reference dividend = Rs 25 per share Time = 5 years Market value per share = Rs 366 Calculate the cost of equity. Solution 2: Ke = [Do (1 + g)/MV] + g Ke = [45 x (1 + 12.47%)/366] + 12.47% Ke = 26.3% g = (Latest div/Ref div)^(1/time) - 1 g = (45/25)^(1/5) - 1 g = 12.47% Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 93 of 690 Page 13 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Illustration 3: Hassan Limited has in issue 8 million shares with a return of 8% required by the shareholders. A dividend of Rs 62 per share for 2019 has just been paid. The pattern of recent dividends is as follows: Year Dividend share (Rs) 2016 2017 2018 2019 55 58 59 62 per Calculate market value of the Company’s share using dividend growth model. Solution 3: g = (62/55)^(1/3) - 1 g = 4.07% MV = Do x (1 + g)/(Ke - g) MV = 62 x (1 + 4.07%) / (8% - 4.07%) MV = 1,642 Illustration 4: STC Limited (STCL) wishes to calculate its current cost of equity. The following financial information relates to STCL: The ordinary shares of the Company have an ex div market value of Rs 470 per share and an ordinary dividend of Rs 37 per share has just been paid. Historic dividend payments have been as follows: Year Dividend share (Rs) 2016 2017 2018 2019 28 30 33 37 per Calculate the cost of equity for ordinary shares of STC Limited. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 94 of 690 Page 14 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Solution 4: Ke = [Do x (1 + g)/MV] + g Ke = [D1 /MV] + g g = (37/28)^(1/3) - 1 g = 9.74% Ke = [37 x (1+9.74%) / 470] + 9.74% Ke = 18.38% Note: Capital Asset Pricing Model shall be discussed later. COST OF DEBT CAPITAL Each item of debt finance for a company has a different cost. This is because different types of debt capital have differing risk, according to whether the debt is secured, whether it is senior or subordinated debt, and the amount of time remaining to maturity. (Note: Longer-dated debt normally has a higher cost than shorter-dated debt). Cost of variable rate debt (floating rate debt) The cost of debt can be calculated as either a pre-tax cost or an after-tax cost. Investors are interested in the pre-tax cost. Companies that borrow are interested in the after-tax cost of debt, for the purpose of calculating their cost of capital. The pre-tax cost of variable rate debt (also called floating rate debt), such as the cost of a bank loan, is the current interest rate payable on the debt. The after-tax cost of variable rate debt is the pre-tax cost multiplied by a factor (1 – t), where ‘t’ is the rate of tax on company profits. For example, suppose that a company is currently paying interest at 6% on its bank loan of $10 million, and the rate of tax on company profits is 25%. The pre-tax cost of the debt is 6% and the after-tax cost is 6 (1 – 0.25) = 4.5%. For the purpose of calculating a weighted average cost of capital (WACC, explained later), the cost of the debt would be its after-tax cost of 4.5% and its market value (for the purpose of weighting the cost of capital) would be $10 million, which is the amount of the loan. Cost of irredeemable fixed rate debt (perpetual bonds) The cost of irredeemable fixed rate bonds, which might be described as perpetual bonds, is calculated as follows: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 95 of 690 Page 15 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL 𝐏𝐫𝐞 − 𝐭𝐚𝐱 𝐊𝐝 = 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐕𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐃𝐞𝐛𝐭 𝐏𝐨𝐬𝐭 − 𝐭𝐚𝐱 𝐊𝐝 = 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐭 (𝟏 − 𝐭) 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐕𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐃𝐞𝐛𝐭 where: Kd is the cost of the debt capital Interest is the annual interest payable on each $100 (nominal value) of the bonds. t is the rate of tax on company profits. Example The coupon rate of interest on a company’s irredeemable bonds (‘perpetual bonds’) is 6% and the market value of the bonds is 103.60. The tax rate is 25%. (a) The pre-tax cost of the debt is 6/103.60 = 0.058 or 5.8%. (b) The after-tax cost of the bonds is 6 (1 – 0.25)/103.60 = 0.043 or 4.3%. Illustrations of irredeemable debt Illustration No 1: Aleena Limited (AL) has in issue 8·5% irredeemable bonds with a total nominal value of Rs 500 million (Rs 100 nominal value for each bond). The pre-tax market interest rate is 8.04%. Find the market value of the irredeemable bonds. Solution 1: Interest = 500 x 8.5% Interest = 42.5 MV = 42.5 / 8.04% MV = 528.6 Illustration No 2: Aleena Limited (AL) has in issue 8·5% irredeemable bonds with a total nominal value of Rs 500 million (Rs 100 nominal value for each bond). The tax rate applicable is 30% and the post-tax market interest rate is 5.63%. Find the market value of the irredeemable bonds. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 96 of 690 Page 16 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Solution 2: Interest = 500 x 8.5% Interest = 42.5 Post-tax interest = 42.5 x (1 - 30%) Post-tax interest = 29.75 MV = 29.75 / 5.63% MV = 528.4 Illustration No 3: The coupon rate of interest on a company’s irredeemable bonds (nominal value of Rs 100 each) is 7% and the market value of the bonds is 108.93. The tax rate applicable to the Company is 30%. (a) Find the pre-tax cost of the debt. (b) Find the post-tax cost of the debt. Solution 3: MV = Interest / Kd Kd = Interest / MV Kd = 7 / 108.93 Kd = 6.43% Kd = Post tax Interest / MV Kd = 4.9 / 108.93 Kd = 4.5% Post tax Kd = Pre-tax Kd x (1 - 0.3) Post tax Kd = 4.5% Illustration No 4: Aleena Limited (AL) has in issue 8·5% irredeemable bonds with a total nominal value of Rs 500 million. The market value of each Rs 100 bond is Rs 105·72. Find the pre-tax cost of debt of the irredeemable bonds. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 97 of 690 Page 17 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Solution 4: Nominal value Interest @ 8.5% Market value (500 Mn/100x105.72) Pre-tax Kd 500,000,000 42,500,000 528,600,000 8.04% Illustration No 5: Aleena Limited (AL) has in issue 8·5% irredeemable bonds with a total nominal value of Rs 500 million. The market value of each Rs 100 bond is Rs 105·72. The tax rate applicable to the Company is 30%. Find the post-tax cost of debt of the irredeemable bonds. Solution 5: Nominal value Interest @ 8.5% Interest @ 8.5% - Post tax Market value (500 Mn/100x105.72) Post tax Kd (Post tax Int/MV) 500,000,000 42,500,000 29,750,000 528,600,000 5.63% Cost of redeemable fixed rate debt (redeemable fixed rate bonds) The cost of redeemable bonds is their redemption yield. This is the return, expressed as an average annual interest rate or yield, that investors in the bonds will receive between ’now’ and the maturity and redemption of the bond, taking the current market value of the bonds as the investment. It is the investment yield at which the bonds are currently trading in the bond market. This is calculated as the rate of return that equates the present value of the future cash flows payable on the bond (to maturity) with the current market value of the bond. In other words, it is the IRR of the cash flows on the bond to maturity, assuming that the current market price is a cash outflow. 𝐌𝐕 𝐨𝐟 𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐞𝐞𝐦𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞 𝐝𝐞𝐛𝐭 = 𝐏𝐕 𝐨𝐟 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐡 𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐰𝐬 + 𝐏𝐕 𝐨𝐟 𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐞𝐦𝐩𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐯𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞 The present values are computed by discounting them with Kd. To calculate the Kd, the future cash flows will be plotted against the MV of redeemable debt and Kd will be calculated by using the IRR method. In the case of debt convertible to equity, the process will be the same as redeemable debt except that the redemption amount shall be higher of the two i.e. redemption amount and conversion value of the shares. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 98 of 690 Page 18 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Pre-tax and post-tax cost of debt (Kd): Lender’s required rate of return = Company’s pre-tax Kd Company’s pre-tax cost Kd x (1 – t) = Company’s post-tax Kd Exam Approach: As mentioned above, WACC calculations involve post-tax Kd. Irredeemable debt: The post-tax Kd can be calculated as [pre-tax Kd x (1-t)]. Redeemable debt: The approach is different since gain/loss on redemption is not taxable. If the scenario only has lenders’ required rate of return (pre-tax Kd): o MV of debt: Plot all pre-tax cash flows and discount with the lenders’ required rate of return. o Post-tax Kd: Plot MV of debt, all post-tax cash flows and calculate IRR. If the scenario provides MV of debt: o Plot the MV of debt and post-tax cash flows, calculate the IRR. o This is the post-tax Kd. If the scenario provides post-tax Kd and requires MV of debt, plot post-tax cash flows, and discount the present values with the post-tax Kd. This is the MV of debt. Rule of thumb: Pre-tax cash flows will be discounted with pre-tax Kd and post-tax cash flows will be discounted with a post-tax Kd. Example: The current market value of a company’s 7% loan stock is 96.25. Annual interest has just been paid. The bonds will be redeemed at par after four years. The rate of taxation on company profits is 30%. Calculate the after-tax cost of the bonds for the company: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 99 of 690 Page 19 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Illustrations of Redeemable debt: Illustration No 1: A company has issued 7% loan stock having a nominal value of Rs 100 per bond. Annual interest has just been paid and the bonds will be redeemed at par after four years. The lenders’ required rate of return is 8.14%. The tax rate applicable to the Company is 30%. Calculate the market value and post tax cost of the loan stock. Solution 1: Particulars Interest Redemption Net CF PV @ 8.14% MV Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 96.24 7.00 7.00 6.47 7.00 7.00 5.99 7.00 7.00 5.54 7.00 100.00 107.00 78.24 Particulars Market value Interest Redemption Net CF PV @8% PV @8% PV @4% PV @4% Post tax Kd (IRR) Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 4.90 4.90 4.54 4.90 4.90 4.20 4.90 4.90 3.89 4.90 100.00 104.90 77.10 4.71 4.53 4.36 89.67 (96.24) (96.24) (96.24) (6.50) (96) 7.03 6.00% Illustration No 2: A company has issued 7% loan stock having a nominal value of Rs 100 per bond. Annual interest has just been paid and the bonds will be redeemed at a premium of 8% after four years. The lenders’ required rate of return is 8.14%. The tax rate applicable to the Company is 30%. Required a) Calculate the market value of the loan stock. b) Calculate the post-tax cost of loan stock for the Company. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 100 of 690 Page 20 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Solution 2: Particulars Interest Redemption Net CF PV @ 8.14% MV Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 102.09 7.00 7.00 6.47 7.00 7.00 5.99 7.00 7.00 5.54 7.00 108.00 115.00 84.09 Particulars Market value Interest Redemption Net CF PV @8% PV @8% PV @4% PV @4% Post tax Kd (IRR) Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 4.90 4.90 4.54 4.90 4.90 4.20 4.90 4.90 3.89 4.90 108.00 112.90 82.98 4.71 4.53 4.36 96.51 (102.09) (102.09) (102.09) (6.47) (102) 8.02 6.12% Illustration No 3: Javed Limited (JL) has in issue 7% bonds redeemable after six years. The bonds are redeemable at a 5% premium to their nominal value of Rs 100 per bond and have a current market value of Rs 104·50 per bond. Find the cost of debt of the redeemable bonds. Solution 3: Particulars Market value Interest Redemption Net CF PV @ 10% PV @ 10% PV @ 5% PV @ 5% Pre-tax Kd (IRR) Year 0 (104.50) (104.50) (104.50) (14.74) (104.50) 9.38 6.77% Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Year 1 7.00 7.00 6.36 Year 2 7.00 7.00 5.79 Year 3 7.00 7.00 5.26 Year 4 7.00 7.00 4.78 Year 5 7.00 7.00 4.35 Year 6 7.00 105.00 112.00 63.22 6.67 6.35 6.05 5.76 5.48 83.58 Page 101 of 690 Page 21 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Illustration No 4: Javed Limited (JL) has in issue 7% bonds redeemable after six years. The bonds are redeemable at a 5% premium to their nominal value of Rs 100 per bond and have a current market value of Rs 104·50 per bond. JL pays corporate tax at an annual rate of 30% per year. Find the post-tax cost of debt of the redeemable bonds. Solution 4: Year 0 (104.50) (104.50) (104.50) 9.98 (104.50) (1.28) 4.76% Particulars Market value Interest Redemption Net CF PV @ 3% PV @ 3% PV @ 5% PV @ 5% Post-tax Kd (IRR) Year 1 4.90 4.90 4.76 Year 2 4.90 4.90 4.62 Year 3 4.90 4.90 4.48 Year 4 4.90 4.90 4.35 Year 5 4.90 4.90 4.23 Year 6 4.90 105.00 109.90 92.04 4.67 4.44 4.23 4.03 3.84 82.01 Illustration No 5: Dynamic Co is financed by 7% bonds with a nominal value of Rs 100 per bond, which will be redeemed in seven years at a discount of 2%. The bonds have a total nominal value of Rs 140 million. The rate required by the lenders is 6.8% and the Company is subject to a corporate tax rate of 30%. Calculate the market value of the bond and post-tax cost of debt of the Company. Solution 5: Particulars Interest Redemption Net CF PV @ 6.8% MV Year 0 Particulars Market value Interest Redemption Net CF Post tax Kd (IRR) Year 0 99.82 (99.82) (99.82) 4.68% Year 1 7.00 7.00 6.55 Year 1 4.90 4.90 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 7.00 7.00 6.14 7.00 7.00 5.75 7.00 7.00 5.38 7.00 7.00 5.04 7.00 7.00 4.72 7.00 98.00 105.00 66.25 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 98.00 102.90 Page 102 of 690 Page 22 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL COST OF CONVERTIBLE DEBT: The cost of a convertible bond is the higher of: the cost of the bond as a straight bond that will be redeemed at maturity, and the IRR of the relevant cash flows assuming that the conversion of the bonds into equity will take place. The cost of capital of the bond as a straight bond is only the actual cost of the bond if the bonds are not converted into shares at the conversion date. The IRR of the relevant cash flows is the cost of the convertible bond assuming that conversion will take place. The relevant cash flows for calculating this yield (IRR) are: the current market value of the bonds (Year 0 outflow) annual interest on the bonds up to the time of conversion into equity (annual inflows) tax relief on the interest (annual outflows) the expected market value of the shares, at conversion date, into which the bonds can be converted. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 103 of 690 Page 23 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL COST OF PREFERENCE SHARES For irredeemable preference shares, the cost of capital is calculated in the same way as the cost of equity assuming a constant annual dividend, and using the dividend valuation model. 𝐊𝐩 = 𝐃𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐝 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐕𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞 where: Kp is the cost of the preference shares Dividend = the expected future annual dividend Market Value is the share price ex dividend. For redeemable preference shares, the cost of the preference shares is calculated in the same way as the pre-tax cost of redeemable debt. (Dividend payments are not subject to tax relief, therefore the cost of preference shares is calculated ignoring tax, just as the cost of equity ignores tax.) CALCULATING THE WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL (WACC) Method of calculating the WACC The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is a weighted average of the (after-tax) cost of all the sources of capital for the company. The weightings given to each item of finance in the capital structure should be its total market value. WACC = [(MVe x Ke) + {MVd x Kd(1 − t)} + (MVp x Kp)] (MVe + MVd + MVp) Source of Finance Market Value Cost (K) MV x Cost Equity Preference Shares Debt MVe MVp MVd Ke Kp Kd MVe x Ke MVp x Kp MVd x Kd Total ∑MV ∑kMV WACC = ∑kMV / ∑MV Example A company has 10 million shares each with a value of $4.20, whose cost is 7.5%. It has $30 million of 5% bonds with a market value of 101.00 and an after-tax cost of 3.5%. It has a bank loan of $5 million whose after-tax cost is 3.2%. It also has 2 million 8% preference shares of $1 whose market price is $1.33 per share and whose cost is 6%. Calculate the WACC. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 104 of 690 Page 24 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WACC Full Length Illustrations [All previous concepts combined] Illustration 01: The following information has been taken from the statement of financial position of Hadi Fabrics Limited (HFL) as on June 30, 2020, a listed company: Liabilities and Equity Rs ‘000 Assets Rs ‘000 Ordinary Share Capital Retained Earnings 15,000 29,000 Non-current assets 50,000 6% preference shares 8% long term bonds 5.5% bank loan Current liabilities 6,000 8,000 5,000 7,000 Current assets Cash and cash equivalents 4,000 16,000 Total Assets 70,000 Total Liabilities and Equity 70,000 The ordinary shares of HFL have a nominal value of Rs 10 per share and a current ex-dividend market price of Rs 16·10 per share. A dividend of 1·90 per share has just been paid. The pattern of dividends has been as follows: Year Dividend per share (Rs) 2017 1.70 2018 1.75 2019 1.85 2020 1.90 The 6% preference shares of HFL have a nominal value of Rs 10 per share and an ex-dividend market price of Rs 8.64 per share. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 105 of 690 Page 25 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL The 8% long term bonds of HFL have a nominal value of Rs 100 per bond. The required rate of return by the lender is 9.10%. Annual interest has just been paid and the bonds are redeemable in five years’ time at a 10% premium to the nominal value. Corporate tax applicable to HFL is 30%. Required: Calculate the post-tax weighted average cost of capital of HFL on a market value basis. (11 marks) Solution 1: Equity Market value of equity (15,000 / 10 x 16.10) 24,150 Cost of equity [Do x (1+g)/MV + g] Latest dividend Reference/Oldest dividend Time Growth (1.9/1.7)^(1/3) - 1 1.90 1.70 3.00 3.78% Cost of equity [1.9 x (1+3.78%)/16.10 + 3.78%] 16.02% Preference shares Market value of pref shares (6,000/10 x 8.64) Kp (Pref div / MV = 0.6 / 8.64) 5,184 6.94% Bank Loan Market value of bank loan Post tax cost of bank loan [5.5% x (1-0.3)] MV of bonds Interest Redemption Net Cash Flows PV @ 9.10% MV Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 5,000 3.85% Year 0 8,176 Year 1 640 640 587 Page 106 of 690 Year 2 640 640 538 Year 3 640 640 493 Year 4 640 640 452 Year 5 640 8,800 9,440 6,107 Page 26 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Post tax Kd Market value Interest Redemption Net Cash Flows PV @ 10% PV @ 10% PV @ 5% PV @ 5% Post tax Kd Year 0 Year 1 (8,176) 448 (8,176) 448 (8,176) 407 (1,014) (8,176) 427 658 6.97% Year 2 448 448 370 Year 3 448 448 337 Year 4 448 448 306 Year 5 448 8,800 9,248 5,742 406 387 369 7,246 A% + [NPVa / (NPVa - NPVb)] x (B% - A%) WACC Ordinary shares Pref shares Long term bonds Bank Loan MV 24,150 5,184 8,176 5,000 42,510 Cost % Cost 16.02% 6.94% 6.97% 3.85% 3,869.82 360.00 569.78 192.50 4,992 WACC (4,992/42,510) 11.74% Illustration 02: Jahanzeb Limited (JL) has the following capital structure: Liabilities and Equity Rs ‘000 Ordinary Share Capital Retained Earnings 230,000 247,000 5% preference shares 6% long term bonds 7% bank loan 50,000 110,000 30,000 Total Liabilities and Equity 667,000 The ordinary shares of JL are currently trading at Rs 14·26 per share on an ex dividend basis and have a nominal value of Rs 10 per share. Ordinary dividends are expected to grow in the future by 4% per year and a dividend of 2·25 per share has just been paid. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 107 of 690 Page 27 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL The 5% preference shares have an ex-dividend market value of Rs 10·56 per share and a nominal value of Rs 10 per share. These shares are irredeemable. The 6% long term bonds of JL are currently trading at Rs 95·45 per bond on an ex-interest basis and will be redeemed at their nominal value of Rs 100 per loan note in four years’ time. The bank loan has a fixed interest rate of 7% per year. JL pays corporation tax at a rate of 30%. Required: Calculate the post-tax weighted average cost of capital of HFL on a market value basis. (9 marks) Solution 2: Equity Market value (230,000 / 10 x 14.26) Cost of equity [2.25 x (1+4%)/14.26] + 4% 327,980 20.41% Preference shares Market value (50,000 / 10 x 10.56) Cost of pref shares (0.5/10.56) 52,800 4.73% Bank Loan Market value Post tax cost of bank loan 30,000 4.90% Long term bonds Market value Interest Redemption Net Cash Flows PV @ 10% PV @ 10% Year 0 Year 1 (104,995) 4,620 (104,995) 4,620 (104,995) 4,200 (15,219) PV @ 5% PV @ 5% (104,995) 1,885 Post tax Kd (IRR) 4,400 Year 2 4,620 4,620 3,818 Year 3 4,620 4,620 3,471 Year 4 4,620 110,000 114,620 78,287 4,190 3,991 94,298 5.55% A% + [NPVa / (NPVa - NPVb)] x (B% - A%) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 108 of 690 Page 28 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WACC Ordinary shares Pref shares Long term bonds Bank Loan MV 327,980 52,800 104,995 30,000 515,775 Cost % 20.41% 4.73% 5.55% 4.90% WACC (76,737/515,775) Cost 66,939 2,500 5,828 1,470 76,737 14.88% ICAP SUMMER 2014: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 109 of 690 Page 29 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL ICAP SUMMER 2014: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 110 of 690 Page 30 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL ICAP WINTER 2017: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 111 of 690 Page 31 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL ICAP WINTER 2017: SOLUTION WACC as at June 30, 2017 WACC as at June 30, 2018 Change in GSI's WACC WACC as at June 30, 2017 Equity - ordinary shares Debt - 11% debentures 10.98% 12.68% 1.7% WACC (573.96/5,225.08) MV 4,190.40 1,034.68 5,225.08 10.98% Equity Book Value (2,500 + 992) P/B ratio Equity - MV 3,492.00 1.20 4,190.40 Cost% 12.25% 5.9% Cost 513.32 60.63 573.96 Existing cost of equity - Ke Ke = {Do x (1+g)/MV} + g Ke = {298 x (1 + 4.8%)/4,190.4} + 4.8% Ke = 12.25% Calculation of growth Div for 2017 Div for 2013 Time (years) G (298/247)^(1/4)-1 MV of debentures Interest Redemption Net cash flows PV @ 9% MV 2018 105.60 105.60 96.88 1,034.68 2019 105.60 105.60 88.88 2020 105.60 105.60 81.54 2021 2022 105.60 105.60 960.00 105.60 1,065.60 74.81 692.57 2018 2019 2020 2021 73.92 73.92 73.92 73.92 73.92 73.92 73.92 73.92 960.00 73.92 1,033.92 Post tax Kd MV Interest - Post tax Redemption Net cash flows Post tax Kd (IRR) 2017 (1,034.68) (1,034.68) 5.9% Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 112 of 690 298.00 247.00 4.00 4.80% 2022 Page 32 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WACC as at June 30, 2018 Equity - ordinary shares Debt - 11% debentures MV 2,949.14 1,090.07 4,039.21 Cost% 15.90% 3.97% New WACC (512.19/4,039.21) Cost 468.91 43.28 512.19 12.68% Equity BV as at June 30, 2018 P/B ratio Equity - MV as at June 30, 2018 4,213.05 0.70 2,949.14 Equity BV as at June 30, 2018 Equity as at June 30, 2017 Expected profit [1,752.72x(1+profit growth)]x(1-t) Loss of investments [1,310 x 35% x 1.1 x (1-30%)] Dividend for 2018 {298 x (1 + 4.8%)} Equity BV as at June 30, 2018 - estimated 3,492.00 1,386.40 (353.05) (312.30) 4,213.05 Profit growth Profit - 2017 Profit - 2013 Time (years) Growth 1,752.72 1,075.00 4.00 13.00% Revised cost of equity - Ke Ke = {Do x (1+g)/MV} + g Ke = {312.3 x (1 + 4.8%)/2,949.14} + 4.8% Ke = 15.9% MV of debentures Interest Redemption Net cash flows PV @ 7% MV 1,090.07 Post tax Kd MV Interest - Post tax Redemption Net cash flows Post tax Kd (IRR) 2018 (1,090.07) (1,090.07) 3.97% Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 2019 105.60 105.60 98.69 2020 105.60 105.60 92.24 2021 2022 105.60 105.60 960.00 105.60 1,065.60 86.20 812.94 2019 73.92 73.92 2020 73.92 73.92 2021 2022 73.92 73.92 960.00 73.92 1,033.92 Page 113 of 690 Page 33 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL ACCA F9 - 2013 JUNE: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 114 of 690 Page 34 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL ACCA F9 - 2013 JUNE: SOLUTION MV 37,600 1,200 3,135 1,000 42,935 Ordinary shares Preference shares Bonds Bank Loan K 12.15% 10.00% 4.76% 4.76% WACC (4,885 / 42,935) 4,568 120 149 48 In line with the market rate of bonds 4,885 Variable rate is always in line with the market. 11.4% Ordinary shares No of ordinary shares (4,000 / 0.5) MV per share MV of ordinary shares 8,000 4.70 37,600 Preference shares No of preference shares (3,000/1) MV per pref share MV of preference shares 3,000 0.40 1,200 Cost of pref shares -- Kp Div (1 x 4%) MV Kp (0.04 / 0.4) 0.04 0.40 10% Bonds No of bonds (3,000 / 100) MV per bond MV of bonds 30.00 104.50 3,135 Post tax Kd 0 MV Post tax interest Redemption Net Cash Flows (104.50) (104.50) Post tax Kd (IRR) 4.76% Ke Do (latest dividend) MV per share Growth Ke [Do x (1+g)/MV + g] 0.363 4.70 4.11% 12.15% Growth Latest div Oldest div Time Growth (lat/old)^(1/t)-1 0.363 0.309 4.00 4.11% 1 2 3 4 5 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 Post tax interest: 100 x 7% x (1 - 30%) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 6 4.90 105.00 109.90 4.90 Page 115 of 690 Page 35 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL ACCA F9 DECEMBER 2017: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 116 of 690 Page 36 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL ACCA F9 DECEMBER 2017: SOLUTION Cum dividend price Ex dividend price Latest dividend 7.52 this includes the impact of latest dividend 7.07 this does not include the impact of latest dividend 0.45 for the year 20X7 Ordinary shares Preference shares Bonds Bank Loan MV 169.68 3.10 10.23 3.00 186 WACC (21/186) 11.2% K 11.70% 8.06% 5.39% 5.39% 19.85 0.25 0.55 0.16 In line with the market rate of bonds 21 Variable rate is always in line with the market. Ordinary shares No of ordinary shares (12 / 0.5) MV per share MV of ordinary shares 24 7.07 169.68 Preference shares No of preference shares (5/0.5) MV per pref share MV of preference shares 10 0.31 3.10 Cost of pref shares -- Kp Div (0.5 x 5%) MV Kp (0.04 / 0.31) 0.03 0.31 8.06% Bonds No of bonds (10 / 100) MV per bond MV of bonds 0.1 102.34 10.23 Post tax Kd 0 MV Post tax interest Redemption Net Cash Flows (102.34) (102.34) Post tax Kd (IRR) 5.39% 1 2 3 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 4.90 Post tax interest: 100 x 7% x (1 - 30%) 4.90 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 117 of 690 Ke Do (latest dividend) MV per share Growth Ke [Do x (1+g)/MV + g] 0.450 7.07 5.02% 11.70% Growth Latest div Oldest div Time Growth (lat/old)^(1/t)-1 0.450 0.370 4.00 5.02% 4 4.90 105.00 109.90 Page 37 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL ACCA F9 DINLA CO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 118 of 690 Page 38 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL ACCA F9 DINLA CO: SOLUTION Ordinary shares Preference shares Bonds Bank Loan MV 391,920 2,800.00 10,499.50 3,000.00 408,220 K 10.10% 8.93% 5.57% 5.25% 39,596.80 250.00 584.56 157.50 In line with the market rate of bonds 40,589 Variable rate is always in line with the market. WACC (40,589/408,220) 9.9% Ordinary shares No of ordinary shares (23,000/ 0.25) MV per share MV of ordinary shares 92,000 4.26 391,920 Preference shares No of preference shares (5,000/1) MV per pref share MV of preference shares 5,000 0.56 2,800.00 Cost of pref shares -- Kp Div (1 x 5%) MV Kp (0.05/0.56) Ke Do (latest dividend) MV per share Growth Ke [Do x (1+g)/MV + g] 0.250 4.26 4.00% 10.10% 0.05 0.56 8.93% Bonds No of bonds (11,000 / 100) MV per bond MV of bonds 110.00 95.45 10,499.50 Post tax Kd 0 1 MV Post tax interest Redemption Net Cash Flows (95.45) (95.45) 4.50 4.50 Post tax Kd (IRR) 5.57% 2 4.50 4.50 Post tax interest: 100 x 6% x (1 - 25%) 4.50 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 119 of 690 3 4 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 5 4.50 100.00 104.50 Page 39 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | YIELD TO MATURITY AND PRE-TAX COST OF DEBT YIELD TO MATURITY AND PRE-TAX COST OF DEBT Each item of debt finance for a company has a different cost. This is because debt capital has differing risk, according to whether the debt is secured, whether it is senior or subordinated debt, and the amount of time remaining to maturity. Furthermore, the cost of debt differs for different periods of borrowing. This is because lenders might require compensation for the risk of having their cash tied up for longer and/or there might be an expectation of future changes in interest rates. The market value of a bond is the present value of the future cash flows that must be paid to service the debt, discounted at the lender’s required rate of return (pre-tax cost of debt). The lender’s required rate of return (the pre-tax cost of debt) is the IRR of the cash flows (pre-tax) that must be paid to service the debt. CASE 01: A company has issued a bond that will be redeemed in 4 years. The bond has a nominal interest rate of 6%. The required rate of return on the bond is 6%. Required: Calculate what the market value of the bond would be if the required rate of return (i.e. the pretax cost of debt) was 5% or 6% or 7%. Solution 1: There is an inverse relationship between the lender’s required rate of return and the market value. The cash flows do not change. The investor can increase his rate of return by offering less for the bond. If the investor offers more the rate of return falls. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 120 of 690 Page 1 of 4 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | YIELD TO MATURITY AND PRE-TAX COST OF DEBT CASE 02: A company wants to issue a bond that is redeemable at par in four years and pays interest at 6% of nominal value. The annual spot yield curve for a bond of this class of risk is as follows: Maturity One year Two years Three years Four years Yield 3.0% 3.5% 4.2% 5.0%. Required Calculate the price that the bond could be sold for (this is the amount that the company could raise) and then use this to calculate the gross redemption yield (yield to maturity, cost of debt). Solution 2: An investor will receive a stream of cash flows from this bond and will discount each of those to decide how much he is willing to pay for them. The first year flow will be discounted at 3.0%, the second year flow at 3.5% and so on. (Note that the twoyear rate of 3.5% does not mean that this is the rate in the second year. It means that this is the average annual rate for a flow in 2 years’ time). The company would need to issue a Rs.100 nominal value bond for Rs.103.94. The cost of debt (gross redemption yield) of the bond can be calculated in the usual way by calculating the IRR of the flows that the company faces. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 121 of 690 Page 2 of 4 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | YIELD TO MATURITY AND PRE-TAX COST OF DEBT Using interpolation, the before-tax cost of the debt is: 4% + 3.32/(3.32 + 3.94) x (6 – 4)% = 4.91% The cost of the debt is therefore estimated as 4.91%. This is the average cost that the entity is paying for this debt. CASE 03: Extract from Q5 ICAP SUMMER 2021 SuperSky International Airlines Ltd. (SIL) currently has Rs. 2,000 million of corporate bonds. The average maturity of SIL’s corporate bonds is 18 years. SIL currently has 'AA' credit rating. The current yield on Pakistan government bonds is 3.75% for all bond maturities. Required: Calculate pre-tax cost of debt or gross redemption yield on the above bond. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 122 of 690 Page 3 of 4 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | YIELD TO MATURITY AND PRE-TAX COST OF DEBT Solution 3: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 123 of 690 Page 4 of 4 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES Contents CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES .......................................................................................... 2 ALTERNATE CALCULATION OF WACC: ....................................................................................................... 2 WACC AND MARKET VALUES ...................................................................................................................... 2 THE TRADITIONAL VIEW OF GEARING AND WACC ................................................................................. 3 THE MODIGLIANI-MILLER VIEW: IGNORING CORPORATE TAXATION................................................. 4 THE MODIGLIANI-MILLER VIEW: ALLOWING FOR CORPORATE TAXATION .....................................10 MM Theory: ICAP SUMMER 2008 .............................................................................................................15 ICAP SUMMER 2008 SOLUTION: ...............................................................................................................16 PECKING ORDER THEORY...........................................................................................................................17 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 124 of 690 Page 1 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES ALTERNATE CALCULATION OF WACC: For a Company having stable profits, paying out 100% profits as dividends, and having irredeemable debt, the WACC can also be calculated as follows: WACC (Pre − tax) = PBIT MVe + MVd AND WACC (Post − tax) = PBIT (1 − t) MVe + MVd WACC AND MARKET VALUES For a company with constant annual ‘cash profits’ (i.e. PBIT), there is a relationship between WACC and market value. If we assume that annual cash profits are a constant amount in perpetuity, the total value of a company, equity plus debt capital, is calculated as follows: 𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐕𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐚𝐧𝐲 = 𝐏𝐁𝐈𝐓 (𝟏 − 𝐭) 𝐖𝐀𝐂𝐂 (𝐏𝐨𝐬𝐭 − 𝐭𝐚𝐱) From the above relationship, the following conclusions can be made: The lower the WACC, the higher the total value of the company will be (equity + debt capital), for any given number of annual profits. Similarly, the higher the WACC, the lower the total value of the company. The aim should therefore be to achieve a level of financial gearing that minimizes the WACC, to maximize the value of the company. There are different theories about the relationship between WACC and gearing. The three you need to know are: 1. 2. 3. The traditional theory of WACC and gearing Modigliani and Miller’s theory of WACC, ignoring taxation Modigliani and Miller’s theory of WACC, allowing for taxation COST OF CAPITAL AND GEARING For a given level of annual cash profits before interest and tax, the value of a company (equity + debt) is maximised at the level of gearing where WACC is lowest. This should also be the level of gearing that optimises the wealth of the company’s equity shareholders. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 125 of 690 Page 2 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES The question is therefore: Is there a level of gearing where the WACC is minimised? If WACC is minimised at a particular level of gearing a company should try to achieve a capital structure where this minimum WACC occurs. However, there are different theories about the relationship between WACC and gearing. The three you need to know are: The traditional theory of WACC and gearing Modigliani and Miller’s theory of WACC, ignoring taxation Modigliani and Miller’s theory of WACC, allowing for taxation. THE TRADITIONAL VIEW OF GEARING AND WACC The traditional view of gearing is that there is an optimum level of gearing for a company, where WACC is minimised. This theory is based on the following assumptions. As gearing increases, the cost of equity rises. However, as gearing increases, there is also a greater proportion of debt capital in the capital structure, and the cost of debt is cheaper than the cost of equity. As gearing increases, WACC is therefore affected by a higher cost of equity, but a larger proportion of cheaper debt capital. At lower levels of gearing, as gearing increases, the effect of having more debt capital has a bigger effect on the WACC than the rising cost of equity. Consequently the WACC falls as gearing increases. However, after a certain level of gearing is reached, if gearing continues to increase, the increase in the cost of equity has a greater effect on WACC than the larger proportion of cheap debt capital. The WACC starts to rise. The traditional view of gearing is therefore that an optimum level of gearing exists, where WACC is minimised and the value of the company is maximised. A graph of WACC at different levels of gearing can be drawn as a saucer-shaped or bowl-shaped curve. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 126 of 690 Page 3 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES The greatest weakness with traditional theory is that it is based on assumptions and observation. It does not provide any guidance about how to identify or calculate: the level of gearing where WACC is minimised, or the WACC at the optimal gearing level. THE MODIGLIANI-MILLER VIEW: IGNORING CORPORATE TAXATION The traditional view of gearing and WACC was challenged by Modigliani and Miller (MM) in the 1950s. Initially, their arguments were based on the assumption that corporate taxation, and the tax relief on interest, could be ignored. You do not need to know Modigliani and Miller’s arguments in detail, only the main assumptions on which their arguments were based and the conclusions they reached. Assumptions MM made several assumptions in making their propositions. There is a perfect capital market in which investors all have the same information and also act rationally. Consequently, they all share the same expectations about the future earnings of a company and also the level of its business risk. There is no taxation. Debt is risk-free and freely-available to both companies and investors. There are no transaction costs involved in buying or selling shares or debt capital. It is not possible to explain properly the relevance of the assumptions about risk-free debt, its availability and the absence of transaction costs in buying and selling shares. These assumptions were used by MM to justify their views and explain how investors were indifferent to the gearing of companies because they are able to adjust their own personal gearing by borrowing and buying or selling shares. Modigliani and Miller’s propositions: ignoring taxation MM argued that if corporate taxation is ignored, an increase in financial gearing will have the following effect: As the level of gearing increases, there is a greater proportion of cheaper debt capital in the capital structure of the firm. However, the cost of equity rises as gearing increases. As gearing increases, the net effect of the greater proportion of cheaper debt and the higher cost of equity is that the WACC remains unchanged. The effect of the higher cost of equity is exactly equal to the offsetting effect of having a larger proportion of debt capital in the capital structure. The WACC is the same at all levels of financial gearing. The total value of the company (equity + debt capital) is therefore the same at all levels of financial gearing. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 127 of 690 Page 4 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES Modigliani and Miller therefore reached the conclusion that the level of gearing is irrelevant for the value of a company. There is no optimum level of gearing that a company should be trying to achieve. MM’s theory is sometimes called the ‘net operating income’ approach because MM argued that, in the absence of taxation, the total market value of a company is determined by just two factors: The total earnings of the company (profit after interest, if tax is ignored). The business risk of the company, which determines the WACC. WACC is not affected by financial gearing, but it is affected by the perceived business risk of investing in the company. WACC is higher for companies with higher business risk. Modigliani-Miller formulae: no taxation There are three formulae for the Modigliani and Miller theory, ignoring corporate taxation. These are shown below. The letter ‘U’ refers to an ungeared company (all-equity company) and the letter ‘G’ refers to a geared company. 1. WACC The WACC in a geared company and the WACC in an identical but ungeared (all-equity) company are the same: WACCg = WACCu 2. Total value of the company (equity plus debt capital) The total value of an ungeared company is equal to the total value of an identical geared company (combined value of equity + debt capital): MVg = MVu Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 128 of 690 Page 5 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES This total value can be calculated for a company with constant annual operating profits (profits before interest) as: Annual operating profits/WACC. 3. Cost of equity The cost of equity in a geared company is higher than the cost of equity in an ungeared company, by an amount equal to: the difference between the cost of equity in the ungeared company and the cost of debt (KEU – KD) multiplied by the ratio of the market value of debt to the market value of equity in the geared company (D/E). where Keg = the cost of equity in a geared company Keu = cost of equity in an ungeared company Kd = the cost of debt in the geared company D = the market value of debt capital in the geared company E = the market value of equity in the geared company Example: An all-equity company has a market value of $60 million and a cost of equity of 8%. It borrows $20 million of debt finance, costing 5%, and uses this to buy back and cancel $20 million of equity. Tax relief on debt interest is ignored. Required: According to Modigliani and Miller, if taxation is ignored, what would be the effect of the higher gearing on (a) WACC (b) total market value of the company and (c) the cost of equity in the company? Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 129 of 690 Page 6 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES Example: A company has $500 million of equity capital and $100 million of debt capital, all at current market value. The cost of equity is 14% and the cost of the debt capital is 8%. The company is planning to raise $100 million by issuing new shares. It will use the money to redeem all the debt capital. Required: According to Modigliani and Miller, if the company issues new equity and redeems all its debt capital, what will be the cost of equity of the company after the debt has been redeemed? Assume that there is no corporate taxation. Answer In the previous example, the Modigliani-Miller formulae were used to calculate a cost of equity in a geared company, given the cost of equity in the company when it is ungeared (all-equity). This example works the other way, from the cost of equity in a geared company to a cost of equity in an ungeared company. The same formulae can be used. Using the known values for the geared company, we can calculate the cost of equity in the ungeared company after the debt has been redeemed. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 130 of 690 Page 7 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES TRADITIONAL THEORY AND MM THEORY WITHOUT TAXATION ILLUSTRATIONS: Question 01: Company A has in issue 200,000 shares with an ex-dividend market value of Rs 12 per share and debt with a market value of Rs 1,000,000. The company distributes all its earnings. The Cost of Debt is 9% and the investors of the company charge a premium of 6% above the cost of debt for the risk associated with the industry in which the company is operating. The company does not have any positive NPV opportunities in addition to current operation, so it is considering to change it capital structure in order to attract further value for the firm. Two directors of the company have the following proposals for the same: Director A Since the company has no positive NPV ventures available with it so the market value of the company can only be enhanced by taking more debt finance in order to buy back the equity (replacing costly capital with much cheaper source of finance). The debt finance is cheaper and will led the overall WACC to reduce. Since the earnings before interest and tax is constant for many years so the reduced WACC will result in an increase in market value of the firm and its equity shares in specific. The Company should obtain a bank loan of Rs 400,000 this would not increase the cost of debt the company is currently has but will increase the Ke by 1% (New Ke = 16%) Director B Since the introduction of new debt to buy back of equity will not add any further resources to the company so the profit before tax will not increase. Any benefit from the introduction of debt (cheaper cost capital) will be exactly set off by the increase in cost of equity since the shareholders will be bearing extra financial risk. This would ensure no change in the market value of the company. The company, instead; should look for new investment opportunities to increase the PBIT and thus market value of the company. Required: Assume that you are the investment advisor appointed by the company. You are required to calculate the market value of the company and its WACC using the assumptions of: 1. 2. Director A (Advocate of traditional Theory) Director B (Advocate of MM theory without taxation) Question 02: Following data pertains to Jamal and Company: Debt to equity ratio WACC Kd Total market value of the firm Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 40:60 15% 10% Rs 4,000,000 Page 131 of 690 Page 8 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES The management has proposed to change the debt equity ratio to 30:70. This would not affect the cost of debt. 100% payout is followed. Required Calculate the market value of the company and components of capital along with the cost of capitals and overall cost of capital of the company. Question 03: Following is the data of 'MNB Limited': Debt equity ratio Market value of Equity Cost of equity Cost of debt 100% equity financed Rs 200,000 20% 10% The company is considering to introduce some debt to buy back equity. The company's proposed debt to equity ratio is 50:50. The company follows 100% payout policy. Required: Recalculate the market values and cost of debt and equity as per MM theory without taxation. Question 04: Company A and B are in steel manufacturing business for the last many years. Due to size disparity Company B manages to earn a PBIT of Rs 640,000 which is 1.6 multiple of Company A which is small in terms of capital. Cost of equity of Company B is 34% where as its value of equity is Rs 1,000,000. The market value of debt of A limited is Rs 1,000,000. Both companies follow 100% payout policy and cost of debt for both the Companies is 10%. Required: Prepare a market value of cost of capital profile for both companies. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 132 of 690 Page 9 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES THE MODIGLIANI-MILLER VIEW: ALLOWING FOR CORPORATE TAXATION Modigliani and Miller revised their arguments to allow for corporate taxation and the fact that there is tax relief on interest. You do not need to know the arguments they used to reach their conclusions, but you must know what their conclusions were. Modigliani and Miller argued that allowing for corporate taxation and tax relief on interest, an increase in gearing will have the following effect: As the level of gearing increases, there is a greater proportion of cheaper debt capital in the capital structure of the firm. However, the cost of equity rises as gearing increases. As gearing increases, the net effect of the greater proportion of cheaper debt and the higher cost of equity is that the WACC becomes lower. Increases in gearing therefore result in a reduction in the WACC. The WACC is at its lowest at the highest practicable level of gearing. There are practical limitations on gearing that stop it from reaching very high levels. For example, lenders will not provide more debt capital except at a much higher cost, due to the high credit risk or insolvency risk. The conclusions that MM reached were that: The total value of the company is higher for a geared company than for an identical all-equity company. The value of a company will rise, for a given level of annual cash profits before interest and tax, as its gearing increases. There is an optimum level of gearing that a company should be trying to achieve. A company should be trying to make its gearing as high as possible, to the maximum practicable level, in order to maximise its value. A graph showing the relationship between WACC and gearing, according to MM’s theory with taxation, is as follows: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 133 of 690 Page 10 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES Modigliani-Miller formulae: allowing for taxation There are three formulae for the Modigliani and Miller theory, allowing for corporate taxation. These are shown below. The letter ‘U’ refers to an ungeared company (all-equity company) and the letter ‘G’ refers to a geared company. 1. WACC The WACC in a geared company is lower than the WACC in an all-equity company. 𝐖𝐀𝐂𝐂𝐠 = 𝐖𝐀𝐂𝐂𝐮 𝐱 [𝟏 − 𝐃𝐱𝐭 (𝐃 + 𝐄) where ‘t’ is the rate of taxation. 2. Value of a company The total value of a geared company (equity + debt) is equal to the total value of an identical ungeared company plus the value of the ‘tax shield’. This is the market value of the debt in the geared company multiplied by the rate of taxation (D x t). 𝐌𝐕𝐠 = 𝐌𝐕𝐮 + (𝐃 𝐱 𝐭) 3. Cost of equity The cost of equity in a geared company is higher than the cost of equity in an ungeared company, by a factor equal to: the difference between the cost of equity in the ungeared company and the cost of debt (Keu – Kd) multiplied by the ratio (1 – t) x D/E 𝐊𝐞𝐠 = 𝐊𝐞𝐮 + (𝟏 − 𝐭)𝐃 (𝐊𝐞𝐮 − 𝐊𝐝) 𝐄 When making calculations for the effect of gearing on the WACC and cost of equity, when you allow for taxation, it is usually necessary to begin by calculating the effect of a change in gearing on total market value and the market value of equity. In other words, you will usually have to begin with the formula MVg = MVu + (D x t). Example: An all-equity company has a market value of $60 million and a cost of equity of 8%. It borrows $20 million of debt finance, costing 5%, and uses this to buy back and cancel $20 million of equity. The rate of taxation on company profits is 25%. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 134 of 690 Page 11 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES According to Modigliani and Miller: (a) Market value The market value of the company after the increase in its gearing will be: VG = VU +Dt VG = $60 million + ($20 million × 0.25) = $65 million. The market value of the debt capital is $20 million; therefore the market value of the equity in the geared company is $45 million ($65 million – $20 million). Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 135 of 690 Page 12 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES MM THEORY WITH TAXATION ILLUSTRATIONS: Question 01: Book value of Debt Coupon rate of interest Pre-tax Kd Tax Rate = 8,000,000 = 8% = 10% = 30% Calculate the value of tax shield (i.e. Present value of tax savings) Question 02: Book value of Debt Coupon rate of interest Pre-tax Kd Tax Rate = 11,500,000 = 10% = 12.5% = 30% Calculate the value of tax shield (i.e. Present value of tax savings) Question 03: Market value of Debt Pre-tax Kd Tax Rate = 9,000,000 = 11% = 30% Calculate the value of tax shield (i.e. Present value of tax savings) Question 04: Hateem Textiles Limited is an all-equity company with a market capitalization of Rs 7,000,000. The Company is considering introducing some debt in its capital structure to increase the market value of the Company. An amount of Rs 2,500,000 is proposed to be raised at a current market interest rate of 9%. That raise will be used to buy back issued equity. Required: Calculate the market value of the Company using: a) MM theory without taxes b) MM theory with taxes (tax rate is 30%) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 136 of 690 Page 13 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES Question 05: Dynamic Art Limited is an all-equity company with a market capitalization of Rs 4,000,000. The Company is considering introducing some debt in its capital structure to increase the market value of the Company. An amount of Rs 1,000,000 is proposed to be raised at a current market interest rate of 7%. That raise will be used to buy back issued equity. Required: Calculate the market value of the Company using: a) MM theory without taxes b) MM theory with taxes (tax rate is 30%) Question 06: An all-equity company is considering introducing debt finance in its capital structure. Details are as under: PBIT Tax Rate Ke = 200,000 = 30% = 15% Debt finance of Rs 500,000 will be raised at a cost of debt (K d) of 10% to buy back the equity. Required: a) Calculate the market value of the existing company. b) Calculate Ke of the geared/levered Company. c) Calculate WACC of the geared/levered Company. Question 07: The capital structure of Lumina Limited is as under: Equity = 4,000,000 Debt = 1,200,000 Ke = 20% Kd = 8% The company follows a policy of 100% payout for dividends and is considering the following two options: a) To obtain further debt of Rs 500,000 at a Kd of 8% and redeem equity component. b) To issue the right shares of Rs 500,000 and pay-off the debt component. The tax rate applicable is 30%. Required: a) Calculate the MV and WACC of the existing Company. b) Calculate the MV, Ke, and WACC of the Company if the Company obtains debt. c) Calculate the MV, Ke, and WACC of the Company if the Company issues the right shares. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 137 of 690 Page 14 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES Question 08: The capital structure of Haroon Limited is as under: Equity Debt Ke Kd = 800,000 = 200,000 = 18% = 7.5% The Company is considering issuing debt finance of Rs 100,000 at a K d of 7.5%. Calculate revised MV, Ke and WACC. MM Theory: ICAP SUMMER 2008 Jalib Limited (JL) is planning to invest in a project which would require an initial investment of Rs. 399 million. The project would have a positive net present value of Rs. 60 million if funded only from equity. There are no internal funds available for this investment and the company wants to finance the project through debt. However, JL’s existing TFCs contain a covenant that at any point in time, the debt to equity ratio in terms of Market Values should not exceed 1:1. Currently, the market values of JL’s equity (40 million shares are outstanding) and debt are Rs. 672 million and Rs. 599 million respectively. Markets can be assumed to be strong form efficient. Required: a) Using Modigliani & Miller theory relating to capital structure, calculate the minimum amount of equity that the company will have to issue to comply with the TFCs’ covenant (Tax rate is 35%) b) Advise the Board of Directors as regards the following: the right share ratio and the price at which right shares may be issued to raise the amount of equity as determined in (a) above, without affecting the market price of shares. What would be the impact on the market price of the company’s shares if the required amount of equity is arranged by issue of shares at Rs. 14 per share? (Round off all the amounts to nearest millions and price computations to two decimal places) (15 marks) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 138 of 690 Page 15 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES ICAP SUMMER 2008 SOLUTION: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 139 of 690 Page 16 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND GEARING THEORIES PECKING ORDER THEORY Pecking order theory is a view about how companies seek to raise new capital that contradicts views of capital structure based on Modigliani and Miller theory or the traditional view of WACC. Pecking order theory suggests that when companies try to raise new capital, they are not concerned with minimising the WACC. They look for cheap capital and convenient access to new capital. Many companies have a preferred order for sources of finance as follows i) Retained earnings ii) New debt iii) New equity It therefore goes against the theory that companies have a unique combination of debt and equity which will minimise their cost of capital. The reason for the order of preference of sources of finance may be due to the ease of obtaining the finance. Retained earnings are easily accessible and have no issue costs. Financial managers might therefore consider retained earnings to have no cost, although this is not correct. It is cheaper to raise debt finance than equity and it is possible to raise smaller amounts when required. Bank finance in particular is relatively quick and inexpensive to obtain, even though the bank will charge an arrangement fee for any loan that it provides. The cost of raising capital by issuing new shares for cash is quite high. They include for example the costs of professional fees of investment banking advisers, accountants and lawyers, underwriting fees, costs of meeting regulatory requirements and so on. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 140 of 690 Page 17 of 17 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MARGINAL COST OF CAPITAL MARGINAL COST OF CAPITAL In order to identify its position on the WACC curve, every time a company is considering new finance it should compare the marginal cost (MC) of that finance to its existing WACC. If MC of the finance is less than the existing WACC it is acceptable as it will reduce the company’s WACC. If MC of the finance is greater than the existing WACC it is not acceptable as it will increase the company’s WACC. In this case the company should seek an alternative source. (For example, it could raise finance in proportions to its existing market values of debt and equity as this would at least maintain the existing WACC). Estimating the marginal cost of finance The marginal cost of debt is calculated as follows: Alternatively, it can be calculated as: ‘Change in required returns on capital / Change in capital structure’ [Refer the class lecture to understand the above formula] Estimating the increased demands of the shareholders for accepting new debt is difficult to do in practice. The following example, in the first instance, appraises a project together with proposed finance by looking at the total impact on the market value of equity. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 141 of 690 Page 1 of 2 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MARGINAL COST OF CAPITAL ILLUSTRATIONS OF MARGINAL COST OF CAPITAL: ILLUSTRATION 01: MARGINAL COST OF CAPITAL WITH TRADITIONAL THEORY Required: Calculate the marginal cost of capital for this project and evaluate whether we should invest in this project or not? ILLUSTRATION 02: MARGINAL COST OF CAPITAL WITH MM THEORY Required: Calculate the marginal cost of capital of the Company. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 142 of 690 Page 2 of 2 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ARBITRAGE FROM MM THEORY WITH TAXATION ARBITRAGE FROM MM THEORY WITH TAXATION MM demonstrated their theory with a series of examples. These showed that in the world characterised by their assumptions, the market value of equivalent companies (i.e., companies with the same size of earnings before tax and of the same business risk) with different levels of gearing would fall into the equilibrium predicted by their model. Investors (who are assumed to have perfect knowledge) would be able to identify any circumstance where a component of capital in one of the companies was undervalued or overvalued compared to the other. Such circumstances would allow the investors to sell shares in one company in order to invest in the other in order to make a gain. This process of simultaneously buying and selling shares (or currency, or commodities) in order to take advantage of differing prices for the same or similar assets is called arbitrage and any gain achieved is called an arbitrage gain. Illustration 01: Consider the following details for two cement manufacturing companies: Income Statement Earnings before interest and tax Interest Taxation at 30% Dividend Costs Cost of equity Cost of debt [post tax: 8% x (1-0.3)] WACC Light Limited Dark Limited ------------ Rs -----------642.86 642.86 (80.00) 642.86 562.86 (192.86) (168.86) 450.00 394.00 15.00% 0.00% 15.00% 17.13% 5.60% 13.64% Required: Salman holds 10% of Light Limited and is seeking to know whether there are any arbitrage opportunities available if he sells his holding in Light Limited and invests in Dark Limited. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 143 of 690 Page 1 of 3 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ARBITRAGE FROM MM THEORY WITH TAXATION Illustration 02: Consider the following details for two cement manufacturing companies: Income Statement Earnings before interest and tax Interest Taxation at 30% Dividend Market Value Equity Debt Total Light Limited Dark Limited ------------ Rs -----------642.86 642.86 (80.00) 642.86 562.86 (192.86) (168.86) 450.00 394.00 3,000.00 3,000.00 2,000.00 1,000.00 3,000.00 Required: Considering the change in the scenario now, suggest Salman whether there are any arbitrage opportunities available if he sells his 10% holding in Light Limited and invests in Dark Limited. Illustration 03: Consider the following details: Income Statement A B ------------ Rs -----------Earnings before interest and tax Interest 10,000.00 - 10,000.00 (2,000.00) 10,000.00 8,000.00 Taxation at 30% (3,000.00) (2,400.00) Dividend 7,000.00 5,600.00 Cost of equity 20.00% 26.67% Cost of debt [post tax: 10% x (1-0.3)] 0.00% 7.00% WACC 20.00% 17.07% Costs Required: - Calculate market values of both the Companies. Fareed holds 10% shareholding in Company B. He wants to move towards the ungeared Company. Devise the hedging strategy and calculate arbitrage gain or loss, if any. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 144 of 690 Page 2 of 3 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ARBITRAGE FROM MM THEORY WITH TAXATION Illustration 04: ABC Limited and DEF Limited are in same industry but have different capital structure. ABC is an all equity Company with Ke = 17.5%. Other details are as under: Particulars ABC DEF ------------ Rs -----------Earnings before interest and tax 125,000.00 Interest - 125,000.00 (20,000.00) PBT 125,000.00 105,000.00 Taxation at 30% (37,500.00) (31,500.00) PAT 87,500.00 73,500.00 Market Value Equity ? 325,000 Debt - 200,000 Total ? 525,000.00 Required: i) ii) Identify the overvalued Company. Calculate the arbitrage gain for an investor holding 10% stock of the overvalued Company. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 145 of 690 Page 3 of 3 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Contents CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL .............................................................................................................................................. 2 THE CAPM METHOD OF ESTIMATING THE COST OF EQUITY ............................................................................... 2 Ke FROM CAPM – ICAP WINTER 2020: QUESTION ..................................................................................................... 3 Ke FROM CAPM – ICAP WINTER 2020: QUESTION ..................................................................................................... 4 Ke FROM CAPM – ICAP SUMMER 2008: QUESTION ................................................................................................... 5 Ke FROM CAPM – ICAP SUMMER 2008: SOLUTION ................................................................................................... 6 RISK AND INVESTMENTS ......................................................................................................................................................... 7 ASSET BETAS, EQUITY BETAS AND DEBT BETAS ...................................................................................................... 13 CAPM and the WACC ............................................................................................................................................................... 15 PROJECT-SPECIFIC DISCOUNT RATES ............................................................................................................................ 18 SUMMER 2009 GHI LIMITED: QUESTION ...................................................................................................................... 26 SUMMER 2009 GHI LIMITED: SOLUTION ...................................................................................................................... 27 SUMMER 2012 MAC FERTILIZER LIMITED: QUESTION .......................................................................................... 28 SUMMER 2012 MAC FERTILIZER LIMITED: SOLUTION .......................................................................................... 29 WINTER 2010 COPPER INDUSTRIES LIMITED: QUESTION ................................................................................... 31 WINTER 2010 COPPER INDUSTRIES LIMITED: SOLUTION ................................................................................... 32 ARBITRAGE PRICING MODEL .............................................................................................................................................. 33 ILLUSTRATION OF ARBITRAGE PRICING THEORY/MODEL: ................................................................................ 34 ICAP SUMMER 2022 CP LIMITED: QUESTION ............................................................................................................. 35 ICAP SUMMER 2022 CP LIMITED: SOLUTION ............................................................................................................. 36 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 146 of 690 Page 1 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL THE CAPM METHOD OF ESTIMATING THE COST OF EQUITY Another approach to calculating the cost of equity in a company is to use the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). The CAPM is considered in more detail in the next sections. The formula for the model: Ke = Rf + (Rm – Rf) x βe Where Ke = the cost of equity for a company’s shares Rf = the risk-free rate of return: this is the return that investors receive on risk-free investments such as government bonds Rm = the average return on market investments as a whole, excluding risk-free investments βe = the beta factor for the company’s equity shares. The nature of the beta factor is explained in the next sections. Example The rate of return available for investors on government bonds is 4%. The average return on market investments is 7%. The company’s equity beta is 0.92. Using the CAPM, the company’s cost of equity is therefore: 4% + 0.92 (7 – 4)% = 6.76%. Example A company’s shares have a current market value of $13.00. The most recent annual dividend has just been paid. This was $1.50 per share. Required Estimate the cost of equity in this company in each of the following circumstances: (a) The annual dividend is expected to remain $1.50 into the foreseeable future. (b) The annual dividend is expected to grow by 4% each year into the foreseeable future (c) The CAPM is used, the equity beta is 1.20, the risk-free cost of capital is 5% and the expected market return is 14%. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 147 of 690 Page 2 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Ke FROM CAPM – ICAP WINTER 2020: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 148 of 690 Page 3 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Ke FROM CAPM – ICAP WINTER 2020: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 149 of 690 Page 4 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Ke FROM CAPM – ICAP SUMMER 2008: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 150 of 690 Page 5 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Ke FROM CAPM – ICAP SUMMER 2008: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 151 of 690 Page 6 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL RISK AND INVESTMENTS Risk and return in investments: Investors invest in shares and bonds in the expectation of making a return. The return that they want from any investment could be described as: a return as reward for providing funds and keeping those funds invested, plus a return to compensate the investor for the risk. As a basic rule, an investor will expect a higher return when the investment risk is higher. What is investment risk? Investors in bonds, investors in shares and companies all face investment risk. In the case of bonds, the risks for the investor are as follows: The bond issuer may default, and fail to pay the interest on the bonds, or fail to repay the principal at maturity. There may be a change in market rates of interest, including interest yields on bonds. A change in yields will alter the market value of the bonds. If interest rates rise, the market value of bonds will fall, and the bond investor will suffer a loss in the value of his investment. In the examination, you might be told to assume that debt capital is risk-free for the purpose of analysing the cost of equity. In practice however, only government debt denominated in the domestic currency of the government is risk-free. In the case of equity shares, the risks for the investor are that: the company might go into liquidation, or, much more significantly, the company’s profits might fluctuate, and dividends might also rise or fall from one year to the next. For investors in equities, the biggest investment risk comes from uncertainty and change from one year to the next in annual profits and dividends. Changes in expected profits and dividends will affect the value of the shares. Bigger risk is associated with greater variability in annual earnings and dividends. When a company invests in a new project, there will be an investment risk. This is the risk that actual returns from the investment will not be the same as the expected returns but could be higher or lower. This investment risk for companies is similar to the investment risk facing equity investors. Some types of investment are riskier than others because of the nature of the industry and markets. For example, investments by a supermarkets group in building a new supermarket is likely to be less risky than investment by an IT company in a new type of software. This is because the IT business is inherently riskier than the supermarkets business. When business risk is higher, returns are less predictable or more volatile, and the expected returns should be higher to compensate for the higher business risk. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 152 of 690 Page 7 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Diversification to reduce risk: building an investment portfolio To a certain extent, an investor can reduce the investment risk – in other words, reduce the volatility of expected returns – by diversifying his investments, and holding a portfolio of different investments. Creating a portfolio of different investments can reduce the variation of returns from the total portfolio, because if some investments provide a lower-than-expected return, others will provide a higher-thanexpected return. Extremely high or low returns are therefore less likely to occur. Similarly, a company could reduce the investment risk in its business by diversifying, and building a portfolio of different investments. However, it can be argued that there is no reason for a company to diversify its investments, because an investor can achieve all the diversification, he requires by selecting a diversified portfolio of equity investments. An investment portfolio consisting of all stock market securities (excluding risk-free securities), weighted according to the total market value of each security, is called the market portfolio. Systematic and unsystematic risk Although investors can reduce their investment risk by diversifying, not all risk can be eliminated. There will always be some investment risk that cannot be eliminated by diversification. When the economy is weak and in recession, returns from the market portfolio as whole are likely to fall. Diversification will not protect investors against falling returns from the market as a whole Similarly, when the economy is strong, returns from the market as a whole are likely to rise. Investors in all or most shares in the market will benefit from the general increase in returns. Therefore, there are two types of risk: Unsystematic risk, which is risk that is unique to individual investments or securities, that can be eliminated through diversification. Systematic risk, or market risk. This is risk that cannot be diversified away, because it is risk that affects the market as a whole, and all investments in the market in the same way. Implications of systematic and unsystematic risk for portfolio investment The distinction between systematic risk and unsystematic risk has important implications for investment. Investors expect a return on their investment that is higher than the risk-free rate of return (unless they invest 100% in risk-free investments). The higher expected return is to compensate investors for the higher investment risk. By diversifying, and investing in a wide range of different securities, investors can eliminate unsystematic risk. This is because if some investments in the portfolio perform much worse than expected, others will perform much better. The good-performing and poor-performing investments ‘cancel each other out’. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 153 of 690 Page 8 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL In a well-diversified portfolio, the unsystematic risk is therefore zero. Investors should therefore not require any additional return to compensate them for unsystematic risk. The only risk for which investors should want a higher return is systematic risk. This is the risk that the market as a whole will perform worse or better than expected. Components of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) establishes a relationship between investment risk and expected return from individual securities. It can also be used to establish a relationship between investment risk and the expected return from specific capital investment projects by companies. Systematic risk in securities As explained earlier, systematic risk is risk that cannot be eliminated by diversifying. Every individual security, with the exception of risk-free securities, has some systematic risk. This is the same systematic risk that applies to the market portfolio as a whole, but the amount of systematic risk for the shares in an individual company might be higher or lower than the systematic risk for the market portfolio as a whole. Since investors can eliminate unsystematic risk through diversification and holding a portfolio of shares, their only concern should be with the systematic risk of the securities they hold in their portfolio. The return that they expect to receive should be based on their assessment of systematic risk, rather than total risk (systematic + unsystematic risk) in the security. The CAPM assumes that investors hold diversified investment portfolios and are therefore concerned with systematic risk only and not unsystematic risk. The systematic risk of a security can be compared with the systematic risk in the market portfolio as a whole. A security might have a higher systematic risk than the market portfolio. This means that when the average market return rises, due perhaps to growth in the economy, the return from the security should rise by an even larger amount. Similarly, if the average market return falls due to deterioration in business conditions, the return from the security will fall by an even larger amount. A security might have a lower systematic risk than the market portfolio, so that when the average market return rises, the return from the security will rise, but by a smaller amount. Similarly, when the average market return falls, the return from the security will also fall, but by a smaller amount. A risk-free security has no systematic risk, because returns on these securities are unaffected by changes in market conditions. The shares of every individual company, however, have some systematic risk. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 154 of 690 Page 9 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL The beta factor of a security The systematic risk for an individual security is measured as a beta factor. This is a measurement of the systematic risk of the security, in relation to the systematic risk of the market portfolio as a whole. The beta factor for the market portfolio itself = 1.0. Beta factor of risk-free securities Risk-free investments provide a predictable and secure return. They have no systematic risk. In the real world there are no risk-free investments, but short-term government debt issued in the domestic currency can normally be regarded as very safe investments. The current yield on short-term government debt is usually taken as a risk-free return. In the UK this is the current yield on UK government Treasury bills. Since they have no systematic risk, the beta factor for risk-free securities = 0. The risk-free rate of return varies between different countries, and can go up or down. The beta factor of a risk-free security, however, is 0 at all times. Beta factor of company securities. The formula for calculating a security’s beta factor is as follows: 𝐁𝐞𝐭𝐚 𝐟𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐨𝐟 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐒 = 𝐒𝐲𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐜 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤 𝐨𝐟 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐒𝐲𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐜 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐚𝐬 𝐚 𝐰𝐡𝐨𝐥𝐞 The ‘market as a whole’ is the market portfolio. The beta factor for the shares of an individual company: must always be higher than the risk-free beta factor (higher than 0) will be less than 1.0 if its systematic risk is less than the systematic risk for the market portfolio as a whole. will be more than 1.0 if its systematic risk is greater than the systematic risk for the market portfolio as a whole. When the beta factor for an individual security is greater than 1, the increase or fall in its expected return (ignoring unsystematic risk) will be greater than any given increase or decrease in the return on the market portfolio as a whole (= the ‘market return’). When the beta factor for a security is less than 1, the security is relatively low-risk. The expected increase or decrease in its expected return (ignoring unsystematic risk) will be less than any given increase or decrease in the market return. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 155 of 690 Page 10 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Beta factors for stock market companies (quoted companies) are measured statistically from historical stock market data (using regression analysis) and are available on the internet from sources such as Datastream and the London Business School Risk Management Service. Formula for the CAPM: The formula for the capital asset pricing model is used to calculate the expected return from a security (ignoring unsystematic risk). Ke = Rf + (Rm – Rf) x Be where: Ke is the required return from a security S Rf is the risk-free rate of return Rm is the expected market return βe is the beta factor for a given share of a company. The expected return from an individual security will therefore vary up or down as the return on the market as a whole goes up or down. The size of the increase or fall in the expected return will depend on: the size of the change in the returns from the market as a whole, and the beta factor of the individual security. Example: The risk-free rate of return is 4% and the return on the market portfolio is 8.5%. What is the expected return from shares in companies X and Y if: the beta factor for company X shares is 1.25 the beta factor for company Y shares is 0.90? Answer: Company X: Ke = 4% + 1.25 (8.5 – 4)% = 9.625% Company Y: RS = 4% + 0.90 (8.5 – 4)% = 8.05%. The market premium If an investor invests in a portfolio of risk-free assets, he will receive the risk-free rate of return, which is the interest yield on those risk-free assets. To compensate an investor for investing in the market portfolio, the expected return must be higher than on risk-free investments. The market premium is the difference between the expected return on the market portfolio and a portfolio of risk-free investments. Market premium = Rm – Rf where: Rm is the market rate of return (the expected return on the market portfolio). Rf is the risk-free rate of return. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 156 of 690 Page 11 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL If you look again at the CAPM formula, you will see that the market premium is an element in the formula for the CAPM. The return required from shares in any company by an investor who holds a diversified portfolio should consist of: the return on risk-free securities plus a premium for the systematic investment risk: this premium is the market premium multiplied by the beta factor for the particular security. The beta factor of a small portfolio A portfolio of investments containing just a few securities will not be fully representative of the market portfolio, and its systematic risk will therefore be different from the systematic risk for the market as a whole. The relationship between the systematic risk of a small portfolio and the systematic risk of the market as a whole can be measured as a beta factor for the portfolio. A beta factor for a portfolio is the weighted average value of the beta factors of all the individual securities in the portfolio. The weighting allows for the relative proportions of each security in the portfolio. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 157 of 690 Page 12 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Alpha factor The beta factor for shares is a measure of systematic risk and it ignores variations in the equity returns caused by unsystematic risk factors. When shares yield more or less than their expected return (based on the CAPM), the difference is an abnormal return. This abnormal return might be referred to as the alpha factor. The alpha factor for a security is simply the balancing figure in the following formula: Actual return of a security = Rf + [(Rm – Rf) x Be]+ α Example The return on shares of company A is 11%, but its normal beta factor is 1.10. The risk-free rate of return is 5% and the market rate of return is 8%. There is an abnormal return on the shares: Actual return of A = 11% Required return of A = 5% + [(8 – 5)% x 1.10] = 8.3% Difference is α = 11% - 8.8% = 2.7% ASSET BETAS, EQUITY BETAS AND DEBT BETAS Asset beta When a company has no debt capital and is ungeared, its beta factor reflects the business risk of its business operations. The beta factor is higher for ungeared companies with higher business risk. The beta factor for a company’s business operations is called its asset beta. If the company continues with the same business operations, its business risk will not change and its asset beta remains constant. Equity beta and debt beta When a company takes on debt capital and its gearing increases, there is financial risk as well as business risk. The cost of equity increases to compensate equity investors for the financial risk. The ‘equity beta’ a company is the beta factor of its equity capital, that allows for both business risk and financial risk. The equity beta in an ungeared company is lower than the equity beta in a geared company because there is no financial risk in an ungeared company. The equity beta in an ungeared company is equal to the asset beta: it allows for business risk only, with no financial risk. The equity beta in a geared company is therefore higher than the company’s asset beta. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 158 of 690 Page 13 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Debt capital also has a beta factor (a ‘debt beta’), although this is much lower than the equity beta. Formula for asset beta, equity beta and debt beta There is a formula for the relationship between a company’s asset beta, equity beta and debt beta. 𝐁𝐚 = 𝐁𝐞 𝐱 [𝐃(𝟏 − 𝐭)] 𝐄 + 𝐁𝐝 𝐱 [𝐄 + 𝐃(𝟏 − 𝐭)] [𝐄 + 𝐃(𝟏 − 𝐭)] where: βa = the company’s asset beta: this is the same as the equity beta for an ungeared (all-equity) company βeg = the beta factor of equity in the company: if the company has debt capital, this ‘equity beta’ is the ‘geared beta’ for the company’s equity capital βd = the beta factor for the debt capital in the company D = the market value of debt in the company E = the market value of equity in the company Assumption that the debt beta is 0 It is often assumed that the beta factor of debt capital in a company is very small and it is therefore possible to assume that is actually 0. In other words, it is often assumed that a company’s debt capital is risk-free. If it is assumed that corporate debt is risk-free, this formula simplifies to: 𝐁𝐚 = 𝐁𝐞 𝐱 𝐄 [𝐄 + 𝐃(𝟏 − 𝐭)] If we assume that debt is risk-free, the asset beta of a company is lower than the equity beta factor by a 𝐄 factor of: [𝐄+𝐃(𝟏−𝐭)] You should see from the formula that if the company is ungeared and is all-equity financed, the asset beta and the equity beta are the same, because D = 0. Example Plassid Company has an equity beta of 1.25. The beta factor of its debt capital is 0.05. The total market value of the shares of Plassid is $600 million and the total market value of its debt capital is $200 million. The rate of corporate taxation is 30%. Required: (a) Calculate the asset beta of the company. (b) Re-calculate the asset beta of Plassid assuming that the debt capital is risk-free. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 159 of 690 Page 14 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL It is often assumed that debt capital is risk-free because the estimate of the asset beta is not affected significantly by this simplifying assumption. Relevance of asset beta The asset beta is a beta factor that reflects the business risk of a particular business operation. It can be used to estimate a cost of equity capital for a specific capital investment project and so a project specific discount rate for use with DCF analysis. This is explained in a later section. CAPM and the WACC The capital asset pricing model can be used to calculate a cost of equity for any company. It can also be used to calculate a cost of capital for corporate debt, but this is less likely to feature in your examination. The cost of equity calculated using the CAPM can then be used in the calculation of the company’s weighted average cost of capital. The CAPM probably provides a more reliable estimate of the cost of equity than the dividend valuation model or the dividend growth model, because: The CAPM ignores volatility in returns caused by unsystematic risk factors, which should not affect the cost of equity for well-diversified investors. the beta factor for each company is measured statistically from historical stock market data. In your examination you might be required to calculate a cost of equity using the CAPM and then use your cost of equity to calculate a WACC. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 160 of 690 Page 15 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Company value and cost of capital The previous chapter explained how the cost of capital can be calculated from expected returns (dividends or interest) and the market value of securities. It is also possible, using the same mathematical method, to calculate what the market value of shares or bonds ought to be, given expectations of future returns (dividends and interest) and the cost of capital. One basic rule is that for a given size of expected future returns, the total value of a company is higher when the cost of capital is lower. By making simplifying assumptions of constant annual operating profits, and paying out all earnings as dividends each year, we can state a formula linking the total value of a company to its WACC: 𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐯𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞 (𝐞𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐲 + 𝐝𝐞𝐛𝐭) = 𝐏𝐁𝐈𝐓 (𝟏 − 𝐭) 𝐖𝐀𝐂𝐂 There is a direct relationship between expected future returns for investors, the cost of capital and the total market value of a company. A similar concept is applied in investment appraisal and DCF analysis of capital projects. There is a relationship between: the future cash flows that a capital investment project will be expected to provide the cost of capital, and the value that the future cash flows will create. With investment appraisal using DCF analysis, the expected future cash flows (cash profits) from a capital investment project are discounted at a cost of capital. The total value of the company should increase if the project has a positive NPV when the cash flows are discounted at the appropriate cost of capital. The expected increase in the value of the company should be the amount of the NPV. The appropriate cost of capital for calculating the NPV should be a cost of capital that represents the investment risk of the project and the returns that the project must earn to meet the requirements of the providers of the capital. Average and marginal cost of capital The marginal cost of capital of a capital investment project is the additional minimum return that the project must provide to meet the requirements of the providers of the capital. The cost of the additional capital required for a new capital investment project can be defined as the marginal cost of capital. There will be an increase in the total value of the company from investing in a project only if its NPV is positive when its cash flows are discounted at the marginal cost of the capital. The average cost of capital is the cost of capital of all existing capital, debt and equity. This is represented by the WACC. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 161 of 690 Page 16 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Capital investments should be discounted at their marginal cost of capital, but are usually discounted at the company’s WACC. This is because it is generally assumed that the effect of an individual project on the company’s marginal cost of capital is not significant; therefore, all investment projects can be evaluated using DCF analysis and the WACC, on the assumption that the WACC will be unchanged by investing in the new project. In some cases, however, this assumption is not valid. The marginal cost of capital is not the WACC in cases where: The capital structure will change because the project is a large project that will be financed mainly by either debt or equity capital, and the change in capital structure will alter the WACC. If the WACC changes, the marginal cost of capital and the WACC will not be the same. A new capital project might have completely different business risk characteristics from the normal business operations of the company. If the business risk for a project is completely different, the required return from the project will also be different. In such cases, the CAPM might be used to establish a suitable marginal cost of capital for capital investment appraisal of the specific project. Using the CAPM for capital investment appraisal Some types of capital investment projects are more-risky than others because the business risk is greater. For example, the systematic risk of investing in the manufacture of cars may be higher than the systematic risk of investing in a retailing business. Investing in the construction of residential houses might be less risky than investing in the construction of office blocks. Similarly, the risk of investing in one country may be higher than the risk of investing in another country, due to differences in the business environment or economic conditions. Since different types of business operation have different business risk, the asset betas of each type of business operation are also different. When there are significant differences in business risk between different capital investment projects, if follows that the required return from particular investments should be adjusted to allow for differences in systematic risk. If a beta factor for a particular project can be established, a risk-adjusted cost of capital can be applied to the project. This risk-adjusted cost of capital should then be used to calculate the project NPV. The calculation of a project-specific discount rate is explained in the next section. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 162 of 690 Page 17 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL PROJECT-SPECIFIC DISCOUNT RATES The need for project-specific discount rates A specific discount rate should be used for DCF appraisal of capital projects where either: the business risk of the new project is different from the business risk of the company’s other business operations, or the financial risk will be different because financing the project will involve a major change in the company’s capital structure. For examination purposes, the syllabus focuses on obtaining a cost of capital for specific projects where the business risk will be significantly different. Proxy companies and proxy betas To calculate a suitable cost of capital to use in DCF analysis for a specific project where business risk is different from the company’s normal business operations, the first step is to estimate the business risk. The business risk of a business operation or capital investment project can be measured by the asset beta for that type of business. An estimate of the asset beta can be obtained from the beta factors of quoted companies that operate in the same industry and markets. For example, if a housebuilding company is considering a project to construct a new road bridge, for which the business risk will be very different, it can estimate an asset beta for a bridgebuilding project by obtaining the beta factors of quoted companies in the bridgebuilding industry. These companies that operate in the relevant industry and markets are called ‘proxy companies’ and the beta factors of their shares are called ‘proxy equity betas’. It is assumed that the business risk within the proxy equity betas of these proxy companies is similar to the business risk in the new capital investment project that the company is considering. Using proxy betas to estimate an asset beta For each of the proxy companies selected, an asset beta can be calculated using the asset beta formula. In your examination you might be told to assume that debt capital in the proxy companies is risk-free; therefore, the asset beta for each company can be calculated using the formula: 𝐁𝐚 = 𝐁𝐞 𝐱 𝐄 [𝐄 + 𝐃(𝟏 − 𝐭)] The asset betas for the proxy companies will not be exactly the same, but they should be similar. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 163 of 690 Page 18 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL An asset beta for the capital investment project might therefore be estimated as the average of the asset betas of the proxy companies. For example if three proxy companies have been selected and their asset betas are 1.14, 1.20 and 1.22, an estimate of a suitable asset beta would be (1.14 + 1.20 + 1.23)/3 = 1.19. Using an asset beta to calculate an equity beta: re-gearing the asset beta An asset beta measures business risk but not financial risk. If a company is geared, or intends to finance a project with a mixture of equity and debt capital, the equity beta for the project will be higher than the asset beta. The asset beta should therefore be re-geared, and converted into an equity beta, using the asset beta formula and data about the capital structure of the company. For examination purposes it will normally be assumed that the company’s debt capital is risk-free, therefore the equity beta is calculated as: 𝐁𝐚 = 𝐁𝐞 𝐱 𝐄 [𝐄 + 𝐃(𝟏 − 𝐭)] Having calculated an equity beta, the CAPM can be used to calculate a cost of equity for the project. This cost of equity can then be used to calculate a weighted average cost of capital for the project, allowing for the capital structure of the company. Alternatively, an examination question might instruct you to assume that the project-specific cost of equity you calculate should be used as the discount rate (cost of capital) for capital investment appraisal of the project. Summary of the steps for calculating a project-specific discount rate The steps for calculating a project-specific discount rate for a project with different business risk can be summarised as follows. Identify some proxy companies. For each of these proxy companies, obtain the available market data about their capital structure and beta factors. For each proxy company, convert the available data in to an asset beta, using the asset beta formula. Calculate an average asset beta from the asset betas of the proxy companies. Convert this asset beta into a ‘geared equity’ beta for the company, using available data about its capital structure. You will normally be told to assume that the debt capital of the company is risk-free. This geared equity beta should be used to calculate a cost of equity for the project, using the CAPM. Either this cost of equity can then be used in the calculation of a weighted average cost of capital for the project, or you will be instructed to use the cost of equity as the cost of capital for DCF analysis of the capital investment project. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 164 of 690 Page 19 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Example An all-equity company operates in an industry where its beta factor is 0.90. It is considering whether to invest in a completely different industry. In this other industry, the average debt/equity ratio is 40% and the average beta factor is 1.25. The risk-free rate of return is 4% and the average market return is 7%. If the company does invest in this other industry, it will remain all-equity financed. The rate of taxation is 30%. Assume that debt is risk-free. Required: What cost of capital should be used to evaluate the proposed investment? Example A company is planning to invest in a project in a new industry where it has not invested before. The asset beta for the project has been estimated as 1.35. The project will be financed two-thirds by equity capital and one-third by debt capital. The rate of taxation on company profits is 30%. Assume that the debt capital is risk-free. The risk-free rate of return is 3% and the market return is 8%. What cost of equity should be used to calculate the marginal cost of capital for this project? Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 165 of 690 Page 20 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Example A company is considering whether to invest in a new capital project where the business risk will be significantly different from its normal business operations. The company is financed 80% by equity capital and 20% by debt capital. It has identified three companies in the same industry as the proposed capital investment and has obtained the following information about them: (1) Company 1 has an equity beta of 1.05 and is financed 30% by debt capital and 70% by equity. (2) Company 2 has an equity beta of 1.24 and is financed 50% by debt capital and 50% by equity. (3) Company 3 has an equity beta of 1.15 and is financed 40% by debt capital and 60% by equity. The risk-free rate of return is 5% and the market rate of return is 8%. Tax on company profits is at the rate of 30%. Assume that the debt capital in each company is risk-free. Required: Calculate a project-specific discount rate for the project, assuming that this is: (a) the project-specific cost of equity for the project, or (b) the weighted average of the project-specific equity cost and the company’s cost of debt capital. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 166 of 690 Page 21 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Answer Asset betas can be calculated for each proxy company as follows: The average of these asset betas is (0.81 + 0.73 + 0.78)/3 = 0.77. The asset beta for the capital project is 0.77. This should now be re-geared to obtain an equity beta for the project. 0.77 = Be x 80 / [80 + 20(1-0.30)] Be = 0.77 [80 + 20(1-0.30)] / 80 Be = 0.90 The project-specific cost of equity is now calculated using the CAPM: Ke = 5% + 0.90 (8 – 5)% = 7.7% The project-specific discount rate is taken to be a weighted average cost of capital, this is calculated as follows: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 167 of 690 Page 22 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Summary: using the CAPM to obtain a project-specific discount rate The WACC is often used as the cost of capital in capital expenditure appraisal because it is assumed that individual projects will not significantly affect the WACC. The WACC is therefore an acceptable measure of the marginal cost of capital. A different situation arises when a new project will significantly affect the capital gearing or have significantly different business risk. In these cases, an appropriate cost of equity capital can be estimated using the asset beta formula, and assuming a risk-free cost of debt capital. The CAPM can therefore be used to obtain a project specific discount rate. Illustration 01: The beta asset in a certain industry is prevailing at 1.2. Company A operates in the same industry with a debt-to-equity ratio of 40:60. Company B is an all-equity Company and operates in the same industry as Company A. Tax applies at the rate of 30%. The market return is 16% and the risk-free rate is 10%. Required: i) ii) Calculate the Beta equity of both the Companies. Calculate the Cost of equity (Ke) of both the Companies. Illustration 02: Company A is an all-equity company with an industry prevailing beta asset of 1.5. The Company is considering introducing debt with the debt-to-equity ratio of 20:80. Required: Calculate the cost of equity post the debt issuance if the market return is 15% and the risk-free rate is 8%. Corporate tax applies at 30%. Illustration 03: Sector Company Beta equity of Company X Debt to equity ratio Tax rate = Education = Company X = 1.8 = 20:80 = 30% Sector Company Beta equity of Company X Debt to equity ratio Tax rate = Construction = Company Y = 2.6 = 65:35 = 30% Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 168 of 690 Page 23 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Required: i) ii) Calculate beta asset of both the Companies. Comment on the riskiness of the Companies from the perspective of sector as well as capital structure. Illustration 04: The beta equity of Company stands at 2.2 with a debt to equity ratio of 50:50. The company is considering conducting a new project in the same industry through further debt. The revised debt to equity ratio will be 75:25. Calculate the revised beta equity. RISK ADJUSTED WACC: Illustration 01: Company A operates in the sector of chemicals with a debt to equity ratio of 50:50 and the tax applies at a rate of 30%. The cost of equity of the Company is 18% and cost of debt is 9%. Required: a) Calculate WACC. b) State which rate should be used as a discount rate for evaluation of a project the Company wants to undertake in the same sector: With the same debt to equity ratio of 50:50; or With the debt to equity ratio of 75:25. Illustration 02: Company A operates in the sector of chemicals with a debt to equity ratio of 50:50 and the tax applies at a rate of 25%. The cost of equity of the Company is 18% and cost of debt is 9%. The Company wants to invest in the oil and gas sector and the new project will have a debt to equity ratio of 65:35. For this purpose, details of a reference company having projects only in the oil and gas sector are as follows: Beta equity Debt to equity ratio Risk free rate Market Return = 2.1 = 60:40 = 9% = 15% Required: Calculate risk adjusted WACC of the new project to be undertaken by Company A. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 169 of 690 Page 24 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Illustration 03: Company Z operates in the sector of banking with a debt to equity ratio of 40:60 and the tax applies at a rate of 30%. The Company wants to invest in the pharmaceutical sector and the new project will have a debt to equity ratio of 65:35. For this purpose, details of a reference company having projects only in the pharmaceutical sector are as follows: Beta equity Debt to equity ratio Risk free rate Market Return = 2.0 = 65:35 = 10% = 16% Required: a) Calculate risk adjusted WACC of the new project to be undertaken by Company Z. b) Calculate risk adjusted WACC considering the new project is to be financed with a debt to equity ratio of 30:70. c) Calculate risk adjusted WACC considering the new project is to be financed with a debt to equity ratio of 70:30. Illustration 04: Best Plastics Limited (BPL) is engaged in the manufacturing of plastic products. Total Market value of the BPL Debt to equity ratio Cost of debt (pre-tax) Cost of equity Beta equity of BPL Tax rate = Rs 7,000,000 = 3/5 = 9% = 17% = 1.96 = 30% Debt of BPL is risk-free and irredeemable. BPL is now considering diversifying its operations and undertake a new project in pharma industry. It has identified the following details a reference company completely operating in pharma industry. Debt Equity Tax rate Beta equity = Rs 4,000,000 = Rs 6,000,000 = 25% (5% less than all other industries) = 2.15 The Company is planning to finance the project in the debt-to-equity ratio of 30:70. Required: a) Calculate current WACC of BPL. b) Calculate appropriate discount rate for the new project. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 170 of 690 Page 25 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL SUMMER 2009 GHI LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 171 of 690 Page 26 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL SUMMER 2009 GHI LIMITED: SOLUTION Company is all financed (Ba = Be) (WACC = Ke) Ke = 14% Particulars Weight of debt Weight of equity Kd Ke WACC [(KexE)+(KdxDx(1-t))]/(E+D) 0% 0% 100% 0% 10.80% 10.80% 10% 10% 90% 8% 11.20% 10.60% 40% 40% 60% 10% 12.00% 9.80% 50% 50% 50% 12% 12.80% 10.30% Rf Rm Beta Equity Ke = Rf + (Rm - Rf) x Be 6% 10% 1.20 10.80% 6% 10% 1.30 11.20% 6% 10% 1.50 12.00% 6% 10% 1.70 12.80% Ke is in a rising trend because the financial risk is increasing. Lowest WACC is 9.80% hence optimal capital structure. Company should maintain a capital structure ratio of 40% debt/assets. Revenue Variable cost Fixed cost PBIT PBIT (1 - t) 200 (120) (40) 40 26 This should be divided by WACC for MV of Co. This PBIT apparently has income from old and new business both therefore, MVs cannot be calculated. Nonetheless, MV is not relevant for decision making since it will mathematically be highest with the lowest WACC i.e. PBIT (1-t) / WACC = MV of the Co. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 172 of 690 Page 27 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL SUMMER 2012 MAC FERTILIZER LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 173 of 690 Page 28 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL SUMMER 2012 MAC FERTILIZER LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 174 of 690 Page 29 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 175 of 690 Page 30 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL WINTER 2010 COPPER INDUSTRIES LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 176 of 690 Page 31 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL WINTER 2010 COPPER INDUSTRIES LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 177 of 690 Page 32 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL ARBITRAGE PRICING MODEL The CAPM is a "single factor" model. It calculates a return on an investment by relating the market risk premium to the systematic risk of the investment. Researchers claim to have identified other factors that also affect return, including: company size; unexpected changes in interest rates; unexpected changes in industrial production levels; and unexpected inflation Multi-factor models have been developed. The best known of these is the arbitrage pricing model. The model is similar to the CAPM in that it relates a risk premium to the underlying risk factor. However, whereas the CAPM says that there is only one such factor (systematic risk) the arbitrage pricing model says there are several. Therefore, according to this model, an investor requires a return to compensate for each of these separate risk factors. Systematic risk is by far the most important determinant of return, but it probably is not the only one. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 178 of 690 Page 33 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL ILLUSTRATION OF ARBITRAGE PRICING THEORY/MODEL: Company A wants to determine its Ke through arbitrage pricing model. The relevant Arbitrage Pricing Theory factors are shown below together with their appropriate β weighting: The company’s recent quoted equity beta is 1.25 whereas average market return on the Pakistan Stock Exchange is 10% and risk free rate is 4%. Required: Calculate the cost of equity of the company using the Arbitrage Pricing Theory and the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), and briefly explain the difference in your answers. Solution Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 179 of 690 Page 34 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL ICAP SUMMER 2022 CP LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 180 of 690 Page 35 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL ICAP SUMMER 2022 CP LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 181 of 690 Page 36 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 182 of 690 Page 37 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 183 of 690 Page 38 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 184 of 690 Page 39 of 39 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY Contents PORTFOLIO THEORY ........................................................................................................................................................................ 2 SINGLE ASSET PORTFOLIO ....................................................................................................................................................... 2 TWO-ASSET PORTFOLIO ........................................................................................................................................................... 2 CORRELATION COEFFICIENT OF INVESTMENT RETURNS:...................................................................................... 3 DIVERSIFICATION / RISK MITIGATION: ............................................................................................................................ 3 THREE-ASSET PORTFOLIO ........................................................................................................................................................ 4 ICAP SUMMER 2008 MR FARAZ: QUESTION.................................................................................................................. 9 ICAP SUMMER 2008 MR FARAZ: SOLUTION ............................................................................................................... 10 ICAP WINTER 2015 AKHTAR: QUESTION...................................................................................................................... 12 ICAP WINTER 2015 AKHTAR: SOLUTION ...................................................................................................................... 13 ICAP SUMMER 2018 WETA PAKISTAN: QUESTION ................................................................................................. 14 ICAP SUMMER 2018 WETA PAKISTAN: SOLUTION ................................................................................................. 14 ICAP SUMMER 2015 AZAD TEXTILE: QUESTION ....................................................................................................... 16 ICAP SUMMER 2015 AZAD TEXTILE: SOLUTION ....................................................................................................... 17 MUTUAL FUNDS: ........................................................................................................................................................................ 19 ICAP SUMMER 2011 FR SOCIETY: QUESTION ............................................................................................................. 20 ICAP SUMMER 2011 FR SOCIETY: SOLUTION ............................................................................................................. 21 ICAP WINTER 2019 TEZGAM INVESTMENT: QUESTION ....................................................................................... 22 ICAP WINTER 2019 TEZGAM INVESTMENT: SOLUTION ....................................................................................... 23 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 185 of 690 Page 1 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY PORTFOLIO THEORY Portfolio theory suggests that investors can reduce the total risk on their investments by diversifying their portfolio of investments. It is used to construct a portfolio minimizing risk for a given level of expected return for investors trying to develop efficient portfolios. It provides a comparison based on risk and returns which helps in taking decisions. However, portfolio theory does not discuss about what should be the fair return of a security. SINGLE ASSET PORTFOLIO Return of a single asset portfolio Weighted average of probable returns [ ∑ x /n ], [ ∑ Px ] Risk of a single asset portfolio Standard deviation from expected return (volatility of probable returns) Standard Deviation: σA = √∑ P (R A − ̅̅̅̅ R A )2 Whereas σA P RA ̅̅̅̅ RA Standard deviation or risk Probability Adjusted probable return Expected Return (weighted average of probable returns) TWO-ASSET PORTFOLIO Return from a two-asset portfolio: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 186 of 690 Page 2 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY Risk of a two-asset portfolio: CORRELATION COEFFICIENT OF INVESTMENT RETURNS: Correlation coefficient = Covariance σA x σB Correlation coefficient = ∑ P(R A − ̅̅̅̅ R A )(R B − ̅̅̅̅ RB) σA x σB Covariance = ∑ P(R A − ̅̅̅̅ R A )(R B − ̅̅̅̅ RB) DIVERSIFICATION / RISK MITIGATION: A correlation coefficient can range from +1 (perfect positive correlation) to – 1 (perfect negative correlation) whereas close to zero indicates very little correlation between investment returns. When returns from different investments in a portfolio are positively correlated, this means that when the returns from one of the investments is higher than expected, the returns from the other investments will also be higher than expected. When returns from two different investments in a portfolio are negatively correlated, this means that when the returns from one of the investments is higher than expected, the returns from the other investment will be lower than expected. Investment risk is reduced most effectively by having investments in a portfolio whose returns are negatively correlated, or where there is not much correlation (diversification). Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 187 of 690 Page 3 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY THREE-ASSET PORTFOLIO Return of a three-asset portfolio: The expected return from a three-asset portfolio is the weighted average of the returns from the three investments. RP = (RA x WA) + (RB x WB) + (RC x WC) Whereas: RA / RB / RC = Return from individual securities WA / WB / WC = Weight of security in the portfolio Risk of a three-asset portfolio: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 188 of 690 Page 4 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY SINGLE SECURITY PORTFOLIO Case 01: Probability 20% 50% 30% Return Security A 8% 15% 16% Return Security B 2% 18% 24% Required: Determine the expected return and risk of both the securities. Case 02: Probability 30% 40% 30% Return Security A 24% 16% 8% Return Security B 18% 16% 14% Required: Determine the expected return and risk of both the securities. TWO SECURITIES PORTFOLIO Case 01: Security A Security B Return 24% 16% Weight 35% 65% Required: Determine the expected return of the portfolio. Case 02: Standard Deviation Weight Return Security A 10% 50% 28% Security B 6% 50% 19% Required: Determine the risk of the portfolio if both the securities have a correlation of +1, 0, and -1. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 189 of 690 Page 5 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY Case 03: Standard Deviation Weight Return Security A 8% 60% 16% Security B 12% 40% 22% Required: Determine the risk of the portfolio if both the securities have a correlation of +1, 0, and -1. CO-VARIANCE AND CORRELATION: Case 01: Probability 30% 40% 30% Return Security A 8% 12% 16% Return Security B 10% 15% 18% Required: - Calculate the expected return and standard deviation of both the securities. Calculate co-relation between them and determine the risk of the portfolio if we invest 50% in each of the two securities. Case 02: Probability 50% 30% 20% Return Security A 12% 8% 18% Return Security B 10% 12% 16% Required: - Calculate the expected return and standard deviation of both the securities. Calculate co-relation between them and determine the risk of the portfolio if we invest 50% in each of the two securities. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 190 of 690 Page 6 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL: Case 1: An investor has the following details regarding the benchmark entity of FMCG sector: Benchmark return Risk associated to benchmark security (SD) Risk free return = 18% = 4.0% = 8.0% Advise whether he should invest in the following securities: Company IMC Donark Britishia Vinar Cleep Judica Aimsia Expected Return 24% 19% 16% 12% 36% 17% 25% Risk (SD) 5% 6% 2% 2% 5% 3% 8% Case 2: Risk free rate Market Return Market Risk (SDm) = 6.2% = 10.8% = 3.2% Expected Return from security A Risk of security A Correlation of security A and market = 12% = 4% = 0.9 Required: Advise whether to invest in security A. Case 3: Risk free rate Market Return Market Risk (SDm) = 8% = 15% = 10.8% Expected Return from security A Risk of security A Correlation of security A and market = 16% = 9% = 0.75 Required: Calculate Alpha value and advise whether to invest in security A. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 191 of 690 Page 7 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY Case 4: Risk free rate Market Return = 8% = 16% Beta of security A = 0.7 Required: Calculate expected return of the security A. Case 5: Risk free rate Market Return = 8% = 16% Required return of security A = 20% Required: Calculate beta of the security A. Case 6: Probability 20% 50% 30% Market Return 15% 18% 16% Return Security A 24% 9% 13% Return Security B 12% 16% 14% Risk free rate = 7.5% Required: Determine which security should be invested in. Case 7: Probability 25% 50% 25% Market Return 30% 25% 40% Return Security A 20% 30% 40% Return Security B 22% 28% 40% Risk free rate = 10% Required: Determine which security should be invested in. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 192 of 690 Page 8 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY ICAP SUMMER 2008 MR FARAZ: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 193 of 690 Page 9 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY ICAP SUMMER 2008 MR FARAZ: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 194 of 690 Page 10 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 195 of 690 Page 11 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY ICAP WINTER 2015 AKHTAR: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 196 of 690 Page 12 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY ICAP WINTER 2015 AKHTAR: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 197 of 690 Page 13 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY ICAP SUMMER 2018 WETA PAKISTAN: QUESTION ICAP SUMMER 2018 WETA PAKISTAN: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 198 of 690 Page 14 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY After selecting the company C, overall risk profile of WPL would be improved from 1.25 to 1.15. The reduction in expected return from 17.25% to 16.35% may be a cause of concern for WPL. However, the reduction in expected return is compensated by reduction in risk from 8.6% to 8.36% i.e. combined standard deviation. Now it is the decision of the management whether this trade off between risk and return is acceptable to WPL. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 199 of 690 Page 15 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY ICAP SUMMER 2015 AZAD TEXTILE: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 200 of 690 Page 16 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY ICAP SUMMER 2015 AZAD TEXTILE: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 201 of 690 Page 17 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 202 of 690 Page 18 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY MUTUAL FUNDS: Illustration: Amount of investment available Net asset value as at acquisition Front end load (FEL) Date of investment = Rs 500,000 = Rs 10.50 per unit = 3% = July 1, 2019 Redemption date Cash dividend received Bonus units Net asset value at redemption Back end load (BEL) = Dec 31, 2019 = Rs 12,000 = 10% = 10.4 = 2% Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 203 of 690 Page 19 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY ICAP SUMMER 2011 FR SOCIETY: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 204 of 690 Page 20 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY ICAP SUMMER 2011 FR SOCIETY: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 205 of 690 Page 21 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY ICAP WINTER 2019 TEZGAM INVESTMENT: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 206 of 690 Page 22 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | PORTFOLIO THEORY ICAP WINTER 2019 TEZGAM INVESTMENT: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 207 of 690 Page 23 of 23 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY Contents RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY .................................................................................................................................. 2 RIGHTS ISSUES ............................................................................................................................................................................... 2 DIVIDEND POLICY......................................................................................................................................................................... 8 ICAP WINTER 2012 ABM LIMITED: QUESTION .......................................................................................................... 14 ICAP WINTER 2012 ABM LIMITED: SOLUTION .......................................................................................................... 15 ICAP SUMMER 2019 GREEN LIMITED: QUESTION.................................................................................................... 17 ICAP SUMMER 2019 GREEN LIMITED: SOLUTION .................................................................................................... 18 ACCA F9 2015 JUNE GRENARP CO: QUESTION ......................................................................................................... 19 ACCA F9 2015 JUNE GRENARP CO: SOLUTION ......................................................................................................... 20 ACCA AFM 2019 SEPTEMBER CADNAM CO: QUESTION ....................................................................................... 21 ACCA AFM 2019 SEPTEMBER CADNAM CO: SOLUTION ....................................................................................... 22 ACCA AFM 2018 JUNE ARTHURU GROUP: QUESTION .......................................................................................... 24 ACCA AFM 2018 JUNE ARTHURU GROUP: SOLUTION .......................................................................................... 25 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 208 of 690 Page 1 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY RIGHTS ISSUES A rights issue is an issue for shares for cash, where the new shares are offered to existing shareholders in proportion to their current shareholding. The issue price The share price of the new shares in a rights issue should be lower than the current market price of the existing shares. Pricing the new shares in this way gives the shareholders an incentive to subscribe for them. There are no fixed rules about what the share price for a rights issue should be, but as a broad guideline the issue price for the rights issue might be about 10% - 15% below the market price of existing shares just before the rights issue. For example, if a company is planning a 1 for 3 rights issue and the market price of its shares is $6, it might offer the new shares in the rights issue at a fixed price in the region of $5.10 to $5.40. The theoretical ex-rights price When a company announces a rights issue, the market price of the existing shares just before the new issue takes place is called the ‘cum rights’ price. (‘Cum rights’ means ‘with the rights’). The theoretical ex-rights price is what the share price ought to be, in theory, after the rights issue has taken place. All the shares will have the same market price after the issue. In theory, since the new shares will be issued at a price below the cum rights price, the theoretical price after the issue will be lower than the cum rights price. The theoretical ex-rights price is simply the weighted average price of the current shares ‘cum rights’ and the issue price for the new shares in the rights issue. Example: A company with 20 million shares in issue announces a 2 for 5 rights issue at a price of $3 per share. The market price of the existing shares before the rights issue is $3.70. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 209 of 690 Page 2 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY The value of rights In theory, the holder of five shares in the company in the previous example could buy two new shares in the rights issue for $3 each, and these two shares will be expected to rise in value to $3.50, a gain of $0.50 for each new share or $1.00 in total for the five existing shares. We can therefore say that the theoretical value of the rights is: $0.50 for each new share issued, or $0.20 ($1.00/5 shares) for each current share held. Shareholders are allowed to sell their rights to subscribe for the shares in the rights issue, and investors who buy the rights are entitled to subscribe for shares in the rights issue at the rights issue price. The most common way of stating the value of rights is the value of the rights for each existing share. In the example, the theoretical value of the shares would normally be stated as $0.20. The shareholders’ choices When a company announces a rights issue, the shareholders have the following choices: They can take up their rights, and buy the new shares that have been offered to them. They can renounce their rights, and sell the rights in the market. By selling rights, the shareholder is selling to another investor the right to subscribe for the new shares at the issue price. They can take up some rights and renounce the rest. This is a combination of the two options above. They can do nothing. If they do nothing, their existing shares will fall in value after the rights issue (perhaps from the cum rights price to the theoretical exrights price), and they will suffer a loss in the value of their investment. The company might try to sell the new shares to which the ‘do-nothing’ shareholders were entitled, and pay them any surplus receipts above the rights issue price. However, the ‘do-nothing’ shareholders are still likely to suffer a loss. If a shareholder takes up his rights, in theory he will be no worse and no better off. Similarly, if a shareholder renounces his rights and sells them, he will be no better and no worse off. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 210 of 690 Page 3 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY If a shareholder takes up his rights, he will be required to subscribe $5 in cash to purchase each new share. In theory, the value of his shares will rise from $25 for every four shares he owns to $30 for every five shares that he owns, but he has paid an additional $5 to the company. In theory, he will therefore be neither better off nor worse off. In practice, the gain or loss on his investment will depend on what the actual share price is after the rights issue (since the actual share price might be higher or lower than the theoretical ex-rights price). If the shareholder renounces his rights and sells them, the theoretical value of his rights will be $0.25 ($(6 – 5)/4 shares)) for each existing share. If he sells his rights at this price, he will earn $1 for every four shares that he owns. After the rights issue, the value of his four shares will fall, in theory, from $6.25 to $6 each, or from $25 to $24 for every four shares. There will be a theoretical fall in his investment value by $1 for every four shares held, but this is offset by the sales value of the rights. In theory, he will therefore be neither better off nor worse off. THEORETICAL EX RIGHT PRICE / DECISION MAKING Illustration 01: Company A has 400,000 shares in issues which are trading at Rs 80 per share prior to the right issue. The Company is planning to issue 100,000 right shares at the rate of Rs 60 per share to existing shareholders. Talal, a shareholder, holds 700 shares of the Company. Required: Calculate theoretical ex right price. Demonstrate the effect on Talal if he: o Subscribe the right offer. o Does nothing. o Sells the right letters in the market. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 211 of 690 Page 4 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY Illustration 02: Good Steel Limited (GSL) has 2,000,000 shares in issues which are trading at Rs 5 per share prior to the right issue. The Company is planning to issue 500,000 right shares at the rate of Rs 4 per share to existing shareholders. Mr. Aslam holds 1,200 shares in the above Company. Required: Calculate theoretical ex right price. Calculate the value of right per share. Demonstrate the effect on Mr. Aslam if he: o Subscribe the right offer. o Does nothing. o Sells the right letters in the market. Suggest a strategy through which Aslam should have no effect on his wealth. YIELD ADJUSTED THEORETICAL EX RIGHT PRICE: Illustration 01: Good Steel Limited (GSL) has 2,000,000 shares in issues which are trading at Rs 5 per share prior to the right issue. The Company is planning to issue 500,000 right shares at the rate of Rs 4 per share to existing shareholders. The amount of the right proceeds will be invested in a project earning return at the rate of 15% per year in perpetuity. Cost of equity of the shareholders is 12%. Required: Calculate the yield adjusted theoretical ex-right price. Illustration 02: Adeel Limited (AL) has 4,000,000 shares in issues which are trading at Rs 1.5 per share prior to the right issue. The Company is planning to issue 1,800,000 right shares at the rate of Rs 1.125 per share to existing shareholders. The amount of the right proceeds will be invested in a project earning return at the rate of 15% per year in perpetuity. Cost of equity of the shareholders is 12.5%. Required: Calculate the yield adjusted theoretical ex-right price. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 212 of 690 Page 5 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY FURTHER ISSUANCE OF SHARES EXCEPT RIGHT: Illustration 01: Arham Limited (AL) has 25,000 shares in issue trading at a price of Rs 40 per share. The Company is planning to issue further shares at Rs 32 per share for raising an amount of Rs 200,000. The proceeds will be invested in a project earning Rs 67,500 in perpetuity. The cost of equity is prevailing at 20%. Required: Demonstrate the impact on the existing as well as new shareholders. Illustration 02: Arham Limited (AL) has 25,000 shares in issue trading at a price of Rs 40 per share. The Company is planning to issue further shares at Rs 33.25 per share for raising an amount of Rs 200,000. The proceeds will be invested in a project earning Rs 67,500 in perpetuity. The cost of equity is prevailing at 20%. Required: Demonstrate the impact on the existing as well as new shareholders. Illustration 03: Arham Limited (AL) has 25,000 shares in issue trading at a price of Rs 40 per share. The Company is planning to issue further shares for raising an amount of Rs 200,000. The proceeds will be invested in a project earning Rs 67,500 in perpetuity. The cost of equity is prevailing at 20%. It is mandated by the board of directors that the benefit of NPV of the new project should accrue to the existing shareholders only. Required: Calculate the price at which new shares should be issued. Demonstrate the impact on the existing as well as new shareholders. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 213 of 690 Page 6 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY Illustration 04: Arham Limited (AL) has 25,000 shares in issue trading at a price of Rs 40 per share. The Company is planning to issue further shares for raising an amount of Rs 200,000. The proceeds will be invested in a project earning Rs 67,500 in perpetuity. The cost of equity is prevailing at 20%. It is mandated by the board of directors that the benefit of NPV of the new project should accrue to the new shareholders only. Required: Calculate the price at which new shares should be issued. Demonstrate the impact on the existing as well as new shareholders. Illustration 05: Arham Limited (AL) has 25,000 shares in issue trading at a price of Rs 40 per share. The Company is planning to issue further shares for raising an amount of Rs 200,000. The proceeds will be invested in a project earning Rs 67,500 in perpetuity. The cost of equity is prevailing at 20%. It is mandated by the board of directors that the benefit of NPV of the new project should accrue to the existing and new shareholders in the ratio of 50:50. Required: Calculate the price at which new shares should be issued. Demonstrate the impact on the existing as well as new shareholders. Illustration 06: Arham Limited (AL) has 25,000 shares in issue trading at a price of Rs 40 per share. The Company is planning to issue further shares for raising an amount of Rs 200,000. The proceeds will be invested in a project earning Rs 67,500 in perpetuity. The cost of equity is prevailing at 20%. Required: Calculate the price range within which new shares can be issued. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 214 of 690 Page 7 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY Illustration 07: Dual Stone Limited has 5,000,000 shares in issue trading at a price of Rs 5 per share. The Company is planning to issue further shares for raising an amount of Rs 500,000. The proceeds will be invested in a project earning Rs 100,000 per year in perpetuity. The cost of equity is prevailing at 10%. Required: Calculate the price range within which new shares can be issued. DIVIDEND POLICY The relationship between the dividend decision and the financing decision Total earnings are retained or paid out in dividends. Retained earnings are the surplus profits available to the company for investment after dividend has been paid. Dividends reduce equity capital. When a company wants to raise more capital for investment, it could do so by paying no dividend at all and retaining 100% of earnings. The only external capital it then needs to raise is the amount by which its capital requirements exceed its earnings. In practice, however, not many companies would do this. Instead, they have a dividend policy that they make known to their shareholders and try to apply in practice (subject to profits being large enough). Even when they want to raise fresh capital, they will probably continue to pay dividends. Shareholder preferences Some shareholders prefer to receive dividends from their equity investments. Others are not concerned about dividends and would prefer the company to reinvest all its earnings in order to pursue growth strategies that will increase the market value of the shares. Many shareholders prefer a mixture of dividends and retaining some profits for share price growth. (For many years, for example, software giant Microsoft had a policy of retaining its earnings to invest in growth, with no dividend payouts.) Shareholders will buy and hold shares of companies that pursue a dividend policy consistent with their preferences for dividends or share price growth, and companies might try to pursue a dividend policy consistent with the preferences of most of their shareholders. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 215 of 690 Page 8 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY The nature of dividend policy In practice dividend policy might be stated in terms of an intention of the board of directors to increase annual dividends inline with growth in earnings per share. When dividends increase by the same proportionate amount as the rise in EPS, it is said to maintain a constant ‘payout ratio’. Shareholders can monitor the future profit expectations of the company to predict the amount of dividends they are likely to receive in the future. Theories of dividend policy There are several theories about dividend policy. These theories are intended to identify the optimal number of dividends that a company should pay to the shareholders. Three of these theories are: the traditional view of dividend policy residual theory Modigliani and Miller’s theory of the irrelevance of dividend policy. Traditional view of dividend policy The traditional view of dividend policy is that the amount of dividend payments should be at a level that enables the company to maximise the value of its shares. Retaining earnings adds to earnings growth in the future, and earnings growth will enable the company to increase dividends in the future. For example, suppose that a company pays out 40% of its earnings in dividends and retains the remaining 60% of earnings which it can reinvest in the business to earn a return of 10% per year. For every $100 of earnings in the current year, it will pay dividends of $40 and by reinvesting $60 it will add to future annual earnings by 6% (= 60% × 10%) each year. Annual earnings next year will be $106. Similarly, if a company retains only 20% of its earnings which it can reinvest at 10%, for every $100 of earnings in the current year, it will pay dividends of $80 and by reinvesting $20 it will add to future annual earnings by 2% (= 20% × 10%) each year. Annual earnings next year will be $102. There is a model for the valuation of shares based on expectations of future dividend growth, known as Gordon’s growth model or the dividend growth model. This model is described in a later chapter on valuation. According to traditional theory of dividend policy, the optimal dividend policy is the dividends and retentions policy that maximises the share price using the dividend growth model to obtain a share price valuation. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 216 of 690 Page 9 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY Residual theory of dividend policy The residual theory of dividend policy is that the optimal amount of dividends should be decided as follows. If a company has capital investment opportunities that will have a positive NPV, it should invest in them because they will add to the value of the company and its shares. The capital to invest in these projects should be obtained internally (from earnings) if possible. The amount of dividends paid by a company should be the residual amount of earnings remaining after all these available capital projects have been funded by retained earnings. In this way, the company will maximise its total value and the market price of its shares. A practical problem with residual theory is that annual dividends will fluctuate, depending on the availability of worthwhile capital projects. Shareholders will therefore be unable to predict what their dividends will be. Modigliani and Miller’s theory of the irrelevance of dividend policy Modigliani and Miller (MM) developed a theory to suggest that dividend policy is irrelevant, and the level of dividends paid out by a company does not matter. The total market value of a company will be the same regardless of whether the dividend payout ratio is 0%, 100% or any ratio in between. Their theory was based on certain assumptions. One of these was that taxation (and the differing tax position of shareholders and companies) can be ignored. Their theory assumes a tax-free situation. MM argued that the value of a company’s shares depends on the rate of return it can earn from its business. ‘Earning power’ matters, but dividends do not. They argued that if a company has opportunities for investing in capital projects with a positive NPV, they can either: use retained earnings to finance the investment, or pay out earnings and dividends and obtain the equity that it needs for capital investment from the stock market. For example, if a company has earnings of $100 million and investment opportunities costing $100 million that have a positive NPV, it does not matter whether it pays no dividend and invests all its earnings on the capital projects, or whether it pays dividends of $100 million and raises new equity capital of $100 million for the capital project investments. If the company pays out dividends and raises new equity capital, the existing shares will fall in value by the amount of the dividend payments. However, this loss of value will be replaced by the new equity raised in the market, so the total value of the company’s equity will be unaffected. Loss in value of existing shares = Amount of dividends paid Total value of equity before the dividend payment and equity issue = Total value of equity after the dividend payment and equity issue. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 217 of 690 Page 10 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY Whenever shareholders want cash, it does not matter whether they obtain it in the form of dividends or by selling their shares in the market. One initial criticism of this theory of dividend irrelevance was that some shareholders have a preference for high dividends, so dividend policy does matter. MM responded by arguing that companies often have a consistent dividend policy with a constant payout ratio. Shareholders will be attracted to holding shares in the companies whose dividend policy is consistent with their own dividend preference. Criticisms of irrelevance theory However, there are other criticisms of MM’s theory of dividend irrelevance: The theory assumes that there are no costs involved in raising new equity capital, so that there is no cost difference between retaining earnings and raising new equity. Similarly, MM assumed that there are no costs involved in selling shares, so that shareholders should be indifferent between getting cash in the form of dividends or getting it by selling some shares. MM assumed that shareholders possess perfect information about the returns that will be obtained by companies from their new capital investments. Since future earnings can be predicted with confidence, MM argued that share prices would remain close to their real value. In practice, however, this is not the case. Shareholders cannot always assess the real value of their shares with confidence: this is one reason why many shareholders prefer high cash dividends instead of the prospect of bigger capital gains in the future. DIVIDEND POLICY ILLUSTRATIONS: Illustration 01: Consider the following for Company A: Retention % Dividend Growth Ke 0% 800,000 0% 14% 25% 600,000 5% 15% 40% 480,000 7% 16% Required: Determine the optimum dividend payout policy as per traditional view. Illustration 02: Market value per share of Company A is Rs 80 and the cost of equity is 15%. Determine the market value of the share as per MM Dividend Irrelevance Theory if the Board decides to pay dividend: a) Rs 5 per share b) Rs 4 per share c) Decides not to pay dividend. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 218 of 690 Page 11 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY Illustration 03: Consider the following information regarding Haris Limited (HL) as at December 31, 2020: Existing no of shares Price per share as at Jan 1, 2020 Cost of equity Profit for the year 80,000 Rs 15 20% Rs 240,000 HL wants Rs 560,000 to invest in a new project for which following two options are available: a) Not to pay dividend at all and utilise existing profit. b) Distribute dividend amounting to Rs 2 per share and utilise remaining profit. The remaining shortfall shall be covered by issuing right shares at the price prevailing at year end under each of the above options. Required: Determine the appropriate course of action in light of the MM Dividend Irrelevance Theory. Illustration 04: Consider the following information regarding Sega Motors (SM) as at June 30, 2018: Existing no of shares Price per share as at July 1, 2017 Cost of equity Profit for the year 20,000,000 Rs 80 14.4% Rs 250,000,000 SM wants Rs 600,000,000 to invest in a new project for which following two options are available: c) Not to pay dividend at all and utilise existing profit. d) Distribute dividend amounting to Rs 2 per share and utilise remaining profit. The remaining shortfall shall be covered by issuing right shares at the price prevailing at year end under each of the above options. Required: Determine the appropriate course of action in light of the MM Dividend Irrelevance Theory. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 219 of 690 Page 12 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY LINTNER MODEL Illustration 01: Consider the following information for Company A: Prior year’s dividend Current year’s EPS Company’s payout ratio = Rs 16 per share = Rs 40 per share = 60% Required: Calculate the dividend for current year as per Lintner Model if the adjustment factor is 25%. Illustration 02: Consider the following information for Company B: Prior year’s dividend Current year’s EPS Company’s payout ratio = Rs 9.8 per share = Rs 20 per share = 60% Required: Calculate the dividend for current year as per Lintner Model if the adjustment factor is a) 45% b) 20% Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 220 of 690 Page 13 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY ICAP WINTER 2012 ABM LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 221 of 690 Page 14 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY ICAP WINTER 2012 ABM LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 222 of 690 Page 15 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 223 of 690 Page 16 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY ICAP SUMMER 2019 GREEN LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 224 of 690 Page 17 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY ICAP SUMMER 2019 GREEN LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 225 of 690 Page 18 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY ACCA F9 2015 JUNE GRENARP CO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 226 of 690 Page 19 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY ACCA F9 2015 JUNE GRENARP CO: SOLUTION Current share price Right issue price (3.5 x 80%) 3.50 2.80 Total proceeds from right issue Issue cost Net proceeds from right issue 11,200,000 (280,000) 10,920,000 Ordinary share capital Per share nominal value Existing no of shares (10/0.5) New shares issue (20/5 x 1) Total shares after right issue 10,000,000 0.50 20,000,000 4,000,000 24,000,000 Market price per loan note 5% premium on the market price Redemption value from right issue 104.00 5.20 109.20 Market value of shares before the right issue (20 x 3.5) Net proceeds from the right issue Total market value after right shares 70,000,000 10,920,000 80,920,000 Redemption value from right issue Total amount available for redemption No of loan notes that can be redeemed (10,920,000/109.2) 109.20 10,920,000 100,000 Interest saved (100,000 x 100 x 8%) Post tax interest saved [800,000 x (1-30%)] 800,000 560,000 Existing net earnings Net of tax interest saved Revised earnings after interest is saved Revised number of shares Revised EPS (8,960,000/24,000,000) Existing P/E Multiple (3.5/0.42) Revised share price (0.373 x 8.33) 8,400,000 560,000 8,960,000 24,000,000 0.373 8.33 3.11 Existing MV of all shares (3.5 x 20 mn shares) New MV of all shares (3.11 x 24 Mn shares) 70,000,000 74,666,667 4,666,667 (11,200,000) (6,533,333) Additional cash provided by shareholders in right issue Net decrease in shareholders wealth There is decrease in shareholders wealth as the right issue amount does not justify the increase. Had the P/E multiple been increased, the valuation would have been better here. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 227 of 690 Page 20 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY ACCA AFM 2019 SEPTEMBER CADNAM CO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 228 of 690 Page 21 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY ACCA AFM 2019 SEPTEMBER CADNAM CO: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 229 of 690 Page 22 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 230 of 690 Page 23 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY ACCA AFM 2018 JUNE ARTHURU GROUP: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 231 of 690 Page 24 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY ACCA AFM 2018 JUNE ARTHURU GROUP: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 232 of 690 Page 25 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | RIGHTS ISSUE AND DIVIDEND POLICY Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 233 of 690 Page 26 of 26 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE Contents CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE ............................................................................ 2 WINTER 2015 IMPRESSION HOME: QUESTION ........................................................................................ 2 WINTER 2015 IMPRESSION HOME: SOLUTION ........................................................................................ 3 SUMMER 2016 GOLDEN INDUSTRIES: QUESTION ................................................................................... 5 SUMMER 2016 GOLDEN INDUSTRIES: SOLUTION ................................................................................... 7 ICAP SUMMER 2014 GRAND POWER: QUESTION ..................................................................................10 ICAP SUMMER 2014 GRAND POWER: SOLUTION ..................................................................................11 ACCA F9 JUNE 2019 CORFE CO: QUESTION ............................................................................................13 ACCA F9 JUNE 2019 CORFE CO: SOLUTION.............................................................................................14 ACCA F9 JUNE 2018 TIN CO: QUESTION ..................................................................................................16 ACCA F9 JUNE 2018 TIN CO: SOLUTION ..................................................................................................17 ACCA F9 2015 DECEMBER KQK CO: QUESTION ......................................................................................18 ACCA F9 2015 DECEMBER KQK CO: SOLUTION ......................................................................................19 ACCA AFM 2020 SEPTEMBER KINGTIM CO: QUESTION ........................................................................21 ACCA AFM 2020 SEPTEMBER KINGTIM CO: SOLUTION ........................................................................23 ICAP SUMMER 2022 GO LIMITED: QUESTION ........................................................................................26 ICAP SUMMER 2022 GO LIMITED: SOLUTION ........................................................................................26 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 234 of 690 Page 1 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE WINTER 2015 IMPRESSION HOME: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 235 of 690 Page 2 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE WINTER 2015 IMPRESSION HOME: SOLUTION PE Multiple = Price / Earning MV of Equity - Existing MV of Debt - Existing New investment Total Co value post investment 6,090.00 5,567.60 2,500.00 14,157.60 MV of Equity - Existing PBIT Interest (5,000 x 14%) PBT Tax @ 30% PAT PE Multiple MV of Equity (PAT x 6) 2,150.00 (700.00) 1,450.00 (435.00) 1,015.00 6.00 6,090 MV of Debt - Existing Interest Redemption CF (5,000x1.1) PV @ 12% MV Equity Debt Year 1 700.00 700.00 625.00 Year 2 700.00 5,500.00 6,200.00 4,942.60 5,567.60 Post Inv 7,078.80 7,078.80 Existing To be issued 6,090.00 988.80 5,567.60 1,511.20 Market value of old and new debt after 1 year at a yield to maturity of 10% MV of Debt - Existing Interest Redemption CF (5,000x1.1) PV @ 10% MV Year 1 700.00 5,500.00 6,200.00 5,636.36 5,636.36 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 236 of 690 Page 3 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE MV of Debt - New Interest (1,511.2 x 12%) Redemption CF (1,511.20 x 1.1) PV @ 10% MV Year 1 181.34 181.34 164.86 1,710.22 Year 1 181.34 181.34 149.87 Total debt 7,346.59 The MV of equity should be of the same amount P/E Multiple Desired PAT (7,346.59/6.30) 7,346.59 6.30 1,166.12 Desired profit after tax 1,166.12 Desired profit before tax (1,166.12/0.7) Add: Old interest (5,000 x 14%) Add: New interest (1,511.20 x 12%) Desired PBIT Existing PBIT Net increase in PBIT 1,665.89 700.00 181.34 2,547.24 2,150.00 397.24 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 237 of 690 Year 1 181.34 181.34 136.25 Year 1 181.34 1,662.32 1,843.66 1,259.25 Page 4 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE SUMMER 2016 GOLDEN INDUSTRIES: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 238 of 690 Page 5 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 239 of 690 Page 6 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE SUMMER 2016 GOLDEN INDUSTRIES: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 240 of 690 Page 7 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 241 of 690 Page 8 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 242 of 690 Page 9 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE ICAP SUMMER 2014 GRAND POWER: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 243 of 690 Page 10 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE ICAP SUMMER 2014 GRAND POWER: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 244 of 690 Page 11 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 245 of 690 Page 12 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE ACCA F9 JUNE 2019 CORFE CO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 246 of 690 Page 13 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE ACCA F9 JUNE 2019 CORFE CO: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 247 of 690 Page 14 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 248 of 690 Page 15 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE ACCA F9 JUNE 2018 TIN CO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 249 of 690 Page 16 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE ACCA F9 JUNE 2018 TIN CO: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 250 of 690 Page 17 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE ACCA F9 2015 DECEMBER KQK CO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 251 of 690 Page 18 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE ACCA F9 2015 DECEMBER KQK CO: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 252 of 690 Page 19 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 253 of 690 Page 20 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE ACCA AFM 2020 SEPTEMBER KINGTIM CO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 254 of 690 Page 21 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 255 of 690 Page 22 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE ACCA AFM 2020 SEPTEMBER KINGTIM CO: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 256 of 690 Page 23 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 257 of 690 Page 24 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 258 of 690 Page 25 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE ICAP SUMMER 2022 GO LIMITED: QUESTION ICAP SUMMER 2022 GO LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 259 of 690 Page 26 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 260 of 690 Page 27 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CASE STUDIES ON EVALUATING SOURCES OF FINANCE Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 261 of 690 Page 28 of 28 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Contents CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 2 ACCOUNTING RATE OF RETURN (ARR) METHOD ..................................................................................................................................................... 3 THE PAYBACK METHOD OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ....................................................................................................................... 7 NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) METHOD OF INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ............................................................................................................ 10 INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR) METHOD............................................................................................................................................................ 11 SUMMARY: COMPARISON OF THE FOUR INVESTMENT APPRAISAL METHODS ..................................................................................... 14 MODIFIED INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (MIRR) ..................................................................................................................................................... 14 ICAP WINTER 2014 (DIFFERENTIAL CASH FLOWS): QUESTION ....................................................................................................................... 20 ICAP WINTER 2014 (DIFFERENTIAL CASH FLOWS): SOLUTION ....................................................................................................................... 21 ICAP JUNE 2015 (SHUT DOWN DECISION): QUESTION ....................................................................................................................................... 22 ICAP JUNE 2015 (SHUT DOWN DECISION): SOLUTION ....................................................................................................................................... 23 ICAP SUMMER 2014 (TARGET IRR): QUESTION ....................................................................................................................................................... 24 ICAP SUMMER 2014 (TARGET IRR): SOLUTION ....................................................................................................................................................... 25 ICAP WINTER 2013 (DECISION MAKING – RESTRUCTURING): QUESTION ................................................................................................. 27 ICAP WINTER 2013 (DECISION MAKING – RESTRUCTURING): SOLUTION ................................................................................................. 28 MIRR ICAP SUMMER 2018: QUESTION ........................................................................................................................................................................ 30 MIRR ICAP SUMMER 2018: SOLUTION ........................................................................................................................................................................ 31 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS ....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 34 ICAP WINTER 2016 SUFFER LIMITED: QUESTION ................................................................................................................................................... 39 ICAP WINTER 2016 SUFFER LIMITED: QUESTION ................................................................................................................................................... 41 ICAP SUMMER 2017 TAHIR LODHI: QUESTION ....................................................................................................................................................... 43 ICAP SUMMER 2017 TAHIR LODHI: SOLUTION ....................................................................................................................................................... 44 ICAP WINTER 2019 GHAURI LIMITED: QUESTION ................................................................................................................................................. 46 ICAP WINTER 2019 GHAURI LIMITED: SOLUTION ................................................................................................................................................. 48 ICAP WINTER 2020 ECO ENERGY: QUESTION ........................................................................................................................................................... 49 ICAP WINTER 2020 ECO ENERGY: SOLUTION ........................................................................................................................................................... 51 ICAP WINTER 2021 COOLER LIMITED: QUESTION.................................................................................................................................................. 54 ACCA F9 2014 DECEMBER UFTIN CO: QUESTION ................................................................................................................................................... 60 ACCA F9 2014 DECEMBER UFTIN CO: SOLUTION ................................................................................................................................................... 61 ICAP WINTER 2015 SANDRA LIMITED: QUESTION ................................................................................................................................................ 63 ICAP WINTER 2015 SANDRA LIMITED: SOLUTION ................................................................................................................................................ 64 DISCOUNTED PAYBACK PERIOD .................................................................................................................................................................................... 65 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 262 of 690 Page 1 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURE the basis for making the investment decision Financial accounting method Accounting rate of reurn (ARR) Cash flow method Making an investment that will provide an adequate investment return over time Payback period Specific applications Discounted cash flow (DCF) Creating additional value in the business Making a good investment return Net Present Value (NPV) Sensitivity Analysis Discounted payback period Internal Rate of Return (IRR) AND Modified Rate of Return (MIRR) Asset replacement decisions Capital Rationing Lease vs Borrow Decisions CAPITAL EXPENDITURE, INVESTMENT APPRAISAL AND CAPITAL BUDGETING Capital expenditure Capital expenditure is spending on non-current assets, such as buildings and equipment, or investing in a new business. As a result of capital expenditure, a new non-current asset appears on the statement of financial position (balance sheet), possibly as an ‘investment in subsidiary’. In contrast revenue expenditure refers to expenditure that does not create long-term assets, but is either written off as an expense in the income statement in the period that it is incurred, or that creates a shortterm asset (such as the purchase of inventory). Capital expenditure initiatives are often referred to as investment projects, or ‘capital projects’. They can involve just a small amount of spending, but in many cases large amounts of expenditure are involved. A distinction might possibly be made between: essential capital spending to replace worn-out assets and maintain operational capability discretionary capital expenditure on new business initiatives that are intended to develop the business make a suitable financial return on the investment. Investment appraisal Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 263 of 690 Page 2 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Before capital expenditure projects are undertaken, they should be assessed and evaluated. As a general rule, projects should not be undertaken unless: they are expected to provide a suitable financial return, and the investment risk is acceptable. Investment appraisal is the evaluation of proposed investment projects involving capital expenditure. The purpose of investment appraisal is to make a decision about whether the capital expenditure is worthwhile and whether the investment project should be undertaken. Methods of investment appraisal There are four methods of evaluating a proposed capital expenditure project. Any or all of the methods can be used, but some methods are preferable to others, because they provide a more accurate and meaningful assessment. The four methods of appraisal are: Accounting rate of return (ARR) method Payback method Discounted cash flow (DCF) methods: o Net present value (NPV) method o Internal rate of return (IRR) method Each method of appraisal considers a different financial aspect of the proposed capital investment. Other specific methods include asset replacement decisions, lease vs borrow decisions, sensitivity analysis and capital rationing. ACCOUNTING RATE OF RETURN (ARR) METHOD The accounting rate of return (ARR) from an investment project is the accounting profit, usually before interest and tax, as a percentage of the capital invested. It is similar to return on capital employed (ROCE), except that whereas ROCE is a measure of financial return for a company or business as a whole, ARR measures the financial return from specific capital project. The essential feature of ARR is that it is based on accounting profits, and the accounting value of assets employed. Decision rule for the ARR method The decision rule for capital investment appraisal using the ARR method is that a capital project meets the criteria for approval if its expected ARR is higher than a minimum target ARR or minimum acceptable ARR. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 264 of 690 Page 3 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Alternatively, the decision rule might be to approve a project if the return on capital employed (ROCE) of the company as a whole will increase as a result of undertaking the project. Definition of ARR If accounting rate of return (ARR) is used to decide whether or not to make a capital investment, we calculate the expected annual accounting return over the life of the project. The financial return will vary from one year to the next during the project; therefore, we have to calculate an average annual return. If the ARR of the project exceeds a target accounting return, the project would be undertaken. If its ARR is less than the minimum target, the project should be rejected and should not be undertaken. Unfortunately, a standard definition of accounting rate of return does not exist. There are two main definitions: Average annual profit as a percentage of the average investment in the project Average annual profit as a percentage of the initial investment. You would normally be told which definition to apply. If in doubt, assume that capital employed is the average amount of capital employed over the project life. 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐄𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐨𝐲𝐞𝐝 = [𝐈𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐜𝐨𝐬𝐭 𝐞𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐩𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 + 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐝𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐕𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞] + 𝐖𝐨𝐫𝐤𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝟐 However, you might be expected to define capital employed as the total initial investment (capital expenditure + working capital investment). Profits will vary from one year to the next over the life of an investment project. As indicated earlier, profit is defined as the accounting profit, after depreciation but before interest and taxation. Since profits vary over the life of the project, it is normal to use the average annual profit to calculate ARR. Profit is calculated using normal accounting rules, and is after deduction of depreciation on non-current assets. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 265 of 690 Page 4 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 266 of 690 Page 5 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Illustration 01: Initial outlay Life Residual value Working Capital = Rs 500,000 = 5 years = Rs 100,000 = Rs 150,000 Year EBITDA 1 150,000 2 200,000 3 250,000 4 270,000 5 180,000 Required: Calculate ARR of the project. Illustration 02: Consider the following details for Company A. Project Term (years) Investment (Rs) Residual value (Rs) A 7 350,000 0 B 5 350,000 0 C 5 350,000 0 EBITDA over the term 904,000 770,000 630,000 Required: Calculate ARR. Illustration 03: A company is considering a project which requires an investment of Rs.120,000 in machinery. The machinery will last four years after which it will have scrap value of Rs.20,000. The investment in additional working capital will be Rs.15,000. The expected annual profits before depreciation are: Year 1 2 3 4 Rs.45,000 Rs.45,000 Rs.40,000 Rs.25,000 The company requires a minimum accounting rate of return of 15% from projects of this type. Required: Advise whether the project should be undertaken. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 267 of 690 Page 6 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL THE PAYBACK METHOD OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Definition of payback Payback is measured by cash flows, not profits. It is the length of time before the cash invested in a project will be recovered (paid back) from the net cash returns from the investment project. For example, suppose that a project will involve capital expenditure of $80,000 and the annual net cash returns from the project will be $30,000 each year for five years. The expected payback period is: $80,000 / $30,000 = 2.67 years Decision rule for the payback method Using the payback method, a maximum acceptable payback period is decided, as a matter of policy. The expected payback period for the project is calculated. If the expected payback is within the maximum acceptable time limit, the project is acceptable. If the expected payback does not happen until after the maximum acceptable time limit, the project is not acceptable. The time value of money is ignored, and the total return on investment is not considered. Example A company requires all investment projects to pay back their initial investment within three years. It is considering a new project requiring a capital outlay of $140,000 on plant and equipment and an investment of $20,000 in working capital. The project is expected to earn the following net cash receipts: Should the investment be undertaken? Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 268 of 690 Page 7 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Note: The payback period of 2 years 9 months is calculated as follow. (1) Payback occurs during the third year. At the beginning of year 3 the cumulative cash flow is $(70,000). During the year there are net cash flows of $90,000. The cumulative cash flow therefore starts to become positive, assuming even cash flows through the year, after 70,000/90,000 of the year = 0.78 year. (2) A decimal value for a year can be converted into months by multiplying by 12, or into days by multiplying by 365. So 0.78 years = 9 months (= 0.78 × 12) or 285 days (= 0.78 × 365). Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 269 of 690 Page 8 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Illustration 01: Consider the following for Company A: Initial outlay Constant cashflows per year in perpetuity = 100,000 = 24,000 Required: Calculate the payback period. Illustration 02: Consider the following for Company A: Initial outlay Project Life = 50,000 = 3 years Net cash inflows Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 = 20,000 = 24,000 = 28,000 Required: Calculate the payback period. Illustration 03: Consider the following for Company A: Initial outlay Residual value Project Life = 400,000 = 40,000 = 3 years Net cash flows constant in three years Sales Cost Interest = 450,000 = 246,000 = 40,000 Depreciation is taken as per straight line method. Tax applies at the at of 30%. Required: Calculate the payback period. Illustration 04: Consider the following for Company A: Initial outlay Residual value Project Life = 300,000 = 30,000 = 3 years Net cash flows constant in three years Sales Cost = 270,000 = 100,200 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 270 of 690 Page 9 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Depreciation is taken as per straight line method. Tax applies at the at of 45%. Required: Calculate the payback period. NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) METHOD OF INVESTMENT APPRAISAL With the NPV method of investment appraisal, all the future cash flows from an investment are converted into a present value by discounting each future cash flow at the investment cost of capital. This cost of capital is the return required from the investment. The present value of a future cash inflow from a capital project is the amount that would have to be invested now at the cost of capital to obtain that cash flow in the future. For example suppose that a project is expected to provide a cash return of $40,000 after two years and a further $50,000 after three years, and the company needs to make a return of 10% per year. The NPV approach to investment appraisal is to convert these expected future cash inflows into their present value equivalent. The present value of these future cash flows would be the amount that the company would need to invest now at 10% per year to obtain a return of $40,000 after two years and another $50,000 after three years. The present value of the expected cash flows is therefore the value to the company, in terms of ‘today’s value’ of those cash flows in the future. Calculating the NPV of an investment project In NPV analysis, all future cash flows from a project are converted into a present value, so that the value of all the annual cash outflows and cash inflows can be expressed in terms of ‘today’s value’. The net present value (NPV) of a project is the net difference between the present value of all the costs incurred and the present value of all the cash flow benefits (savings or revenues). If the present value of benefits exceeds the present value of costs, the NPV is positive. If the present value of benefits is less than the present value of costs, the NPV is negative. The NPV is 0 when the PV of benefits and the PV of costs are equal. The decision rule is that, ignoring other factors such as risk and uncertainty, and non-financial considerations, a project is worthwhile financially if the NPV is positive or zero. It is not worthwhile if the NPV is negative. The net present value of an investment project is also a measure of the value of the investment. For example, if a company invests in a project that has a NPV of $2 million, the value of the company should increase by $2 million. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 271 of 690 Page 10 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR) METHOD The internal rate of return method (IRR method) is another method of investment appraisal using DCF. The internal rate of return of a project is the discounted rate of return on the investment. It is the average annual investment return from the project Discounted at the IRR, the NPV of the project cash flows must come to 0. The internal rate of return is therefore the discount rate that will give a net present value = $0. The investment decision rule with IRR A company might establish the minimum rate of return that it wants to earn on an investment. If other factors such as non-financial considerations and risk and uncertainty are ignored: If a project IRR is equal to or higher than the minimum acceptable rate of return, it should be undertaken It the IRR is lower than the minimum required return, it should be rejected. Since NPV and IRR are both methods of DCF analysis, the same investment decision should normally be reached using either method. The internal rate of return is illustrated in the diagram below: Calculating the IRR of an investment project The IRR of a project can be calculated by inputting the project cash flows into a financial calculator. In you examination, you might be required to calculate an IRR without a financial calculator. An approximate IRR can be calculated using interpolation. To calculate the IRR, you should begin by calculating the NPV of the project at two different discount rates. One of the NPVs should be positive, and the other NPV should be negative. (This is not essential. Both NPVs might be positive or both might be negative, but the estimate of the IRR will then be less reliable.) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 272 of 690 Page 11 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Ideally, the NPVs should both be close to zero, for better accuracy in the estimate of the IRR. When the NPV for one discount rate is positive NPV and the NPV for another discount rate is negative, the IRR must be somewhere between these two discount rates. Although in reality the graph of NPVs at various discount rates is a curved line, as shown in the diagram above. Using the interpolation method, we assume that the graph is a straight line between the two NPVs that we have calculated. We can then use linear interpolation to estimate the IRR, to a reasonable level of accuracy. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 273 of 690 Page 12 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 274 of 690 Page 13 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL SUMMARY: COMPARISON OF THE FOUR INVESTMENT APPRAISAL METHODS A comparison of the four investment appraisal methods is given in the table below. The key points to note are that: DCF is superior to the ARR method and payback method of investment appraisal It is often equally as good to use NPV or IRR However, NPV has two advantages over IRR o The NPV method indicates the value that the investment should add (if the NPV is positive) or the value that it will destroy (if the NPV is negative). o When there are two or more mutually exclusive projects, the NPV will always identify the project that should be selected. This is the project that will provide the highest value (NPV). The IRR method has the advantage of being more easily understood by nonaccountants Another disadvantage of the IRR method is that a project might have two or more different IRRs, when some annual cash flows during the life of the project are negative. MODIFIED INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (MIRR) A criticism of the IRR method is that in calculating the IRR, an assumption is that all cash flows earned by the project can be reinvested to earn a return equal to the IRR. For example, suppose that a project has an NPV of + Rs.300,000 when discounted at the cost of capital of 8%, and the IRR of the project is 14%. In calculating the IRR, an assumption would be that all cash flows from the project will be reinvested as soon as they are received to earn a return of 14% - even though the company’s cost of capital is only 8%. Modified internal rate of return is a calculation of the return from a project, as a percentage yield, where it is assumed that cash flows earned from a project will be reinvested to earn a return equal to the company’s cost of capital. So in the previous example of the project with an NPV of Rs.300,000 at a cost of capital of 8%, MIRR would be calculated using the assumption that project cash flows are reinvested when they are received to earn a return of 8% per year. Using MIRR for project appraisal It might be argued that if a company wishes to use the discounted return on investment as a method of capital investment appraisal, it should use MIRR rather than IRR, because MIRR is more realistic because it is based on the cost of capital as the reinvestment rate. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 275 of 690 Page 14 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Calculating MIRR Approach The MIRR of a project is calculated as follows: Step 1: Calculate the total PV of the cash flows involved in the investment phase of the project. Do this by taking the negative net cash flows in the early years of the project, and discount these to a present value. If the only negative cash flow is at time 0, the PV of the investment phase is this cash flow. However, if there are negative cash flows in Year 1, or Year 1 and 2, discount these to a present value and add them to the Year 0 cash outflow. Step 2: Take the cash flows from the year that the project cash flows start to turn positive and compound these to an end-of-project terminal value, assuming that cash flows are reinvested at the cost of capital. For example, if cash flows are positive from Year 1 of a five-year project: Compound the cash flow in Year 1 to end-of-year 5 value using cost of capital as compound rate. Compound the cash flow in Year 2 to end-of-year 5 value using cost of capital as compound rate. Compound the cash flow in Year 3 to end-of-year 5 value using cost of capital as compound rate. Compound the cash flow in Year 4 to end-of-year 5 value using cost of capital as compound rate. Add the compounded values for each year to the cash flow at the end of Year 5. The total of the compounded values is the total value of returns during the ‘recovery’ phase of the project, expressed as an end-of-project value. Step 3: The MIRR is then calculated as follows: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 276 of 690 Page 15 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 277 of 690 Page 16 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL QUESTIONS OF NPV / IRR / MIRR Question 01: ABC Limited is considering to launch a new product. Details are as under: Initial outlay Sales = Rs 500,000 Year 1 2 3 4 Variable Cost Fixed Cost Depreciation Residual value Tax Rate Discount Rate Units 20,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 Selling price 40 35 32 30 = Rs 20 per unit = Rs 100,000 per year = Allowed on straight line basis = Rs 150,000 = 30% (payable in the year in which liability arises) = 12% Required: Calculate NPV of the project. Question 02: A company is considering to launch a new product. Details are as under: Initial outlay Term Annual sale Variable cost Fixed Cost Residual value Discount rate = Rs 200,000 = 4 years = 10,000 units at the rate of Rs 15 per unit = 40% = 20,000 per year = Rs 40,000 = 12% Required: Calculate NPV of the project (ignore taxation). Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 278 of 690 Page 17 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Question 03: A company is considering to launch a new product. Details are as under: Initial outlay Term Variable cost Fixed Cost Residual value Discount rate = Rs 200,000 = 4 years = 40% = 20,000 per year = Rs 40,000 = 12% Required: Determine the minimum no of units to be sold at Rs 15 per unit for the project to be vailable for the Company (ignore taxation). Question 04: A company is considering to launch a new product. Details are as under: Initial outlay Selling price Variable Cost Fixed Cost Residual value Term Depreciation Discount rate Tax rate = Rs 500,000 = Rs 80 per unit = Rs 50 per unit = 60,000 per year = Rs 80,000 = 5 years = 20% reducing balance method = 10% = 30% Required: Determine the minimum no of units to be sold for the project to be viable for the Company. DIFFERENTIAL CASH FLOWS: Question 01: Consider the following for a Company: Machine A (Existing) Capacity 20,000 units Life 3 years Book Value Rs 180,000 Residual value if sold Rs 35,000 now Residual value at end Nil Selling Price Rs 120 Variable Cost Rs 50 Fixed Cost Rs 150,000 per year Demand 32,000 units Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf New Machine Cost Rs 900,000 Life 3 years Residual value at end Rs 250,000 Capacity 40,000 units Selling Price Variable Cost Fixed Cost Demand Page 279 of 690 Rs 130 per unit Rs 45 per unit Rs 125,000 per year 32,000 units Page 18 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Required: Determine whether the Company should continue with machine A or buy the new one. The applicable discount rate is 10%. Question 02: A university has 200 students enrolled in their MBBS program before the classes have commenced. Following is the fee structure per student per year which is payable in advance. Fee Other charges Term = 40,000 = 2,000 = 5 years The cost of course material is Rs 3,000 per student provided free by the University. Faculty charges per year are Rs 120,000. The University plans to commence the MBBS (AI) program and expects that all 200 students will get themselves transferred to MBBS (AI). The fee structure is as follows: Fee Other charges Course life = 45,000 = 2,000 = 5 years The cost of course material is Rs 10,000 per student provided free by the University. Faculty for MBBS (AI) will charge Rs 250,000 every year. Further, the University will have to incur the following expenditure at the time of introduction: New Computer Old Computers (NRV) Software Preliminary expenses = Rs 1,000,000 = Rs 250,000 = Rs 1,200,000 = Rs 200,000 Required: Find the additional number of students that must be enrolled for the said introduction to become viable for the University. (Discount rate = 8%) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 280 of 690 Page 19 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2014 (DIFFERENTIAL CASH FLOWS): QUESTION ZC Limited (ZCL) manufactures metal containers for the paints industry. Presently, ZCL has eight machines which were purchased 3 years ago at a cost of Rs. 1.8 million each having useful life of 8 years with zero salvage value. The production capacity of these machines is 300,000 containers per annum which is sufficient to meet the existing demand. ZCL anticipates that the demand would increase to 540,000 containers next year and would remain stable in the foreseeable future. The new demand can be met by replacing all the existing machines with 3 hi-tech machines that are available in the market at a cost of Rs. 10 million each. The new machines will have an estimated useful life of 5 years with salvage value of Rs. 2 million each. The following information is also available: a) Selling price of each container is Rs. 50 which is expected to increase by 10% per annum from year 2 onwards. b) Existing raw material cost is 45% of sales which is anticipated to reduce to 42% of sales by using the new machines. c) The introduction of new machines would reduce the monthly labour cost by Rs. 146,000 but would increase the overhead expenses, excluding depreciation by Rs. 2 million per annum. d) All expenses are expected to increase by 8% from year 2 onwards. e) The existing machines can be sold at Rs. 1.2 million each excluding disposal costs of Rs. 60,000 per machine. f) The increased production capacity will require additional working capital of Rs. 3 million. g) ZCL follows a policy of charging depreciation using straight line method. h) It evaluates cost of investment by applying the discount rate of 20%. i) Applicable tax rate for ZCL is 35%. Required: a) Calculate the Net Present Value (NPV) if the existing machines are replaced with the new hi-tech machines. (10) b) Assume that the NPV of the incremental cash flows is negative and the management is considering to shelve the plan of replacing the machines. Discuss other financial and non-financial factors which should be taken into consideration before management takes a final decision. (05) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 281 of 690 Page 20 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2014 (DIFFERENTIAL CASH FLOWS): SOLUTION Existing machines Cost (1.8 x 8) - Mn NBV today [14.4 / 8 x 5] Capacity (containers per annum) 8 14,400,000 9,000,000 300,000 RV if sold now [1.2 x 8] Disposal cost [60,000 x 8] Net disposal value 9,600,000 (480,000) 9,120,000 NPV of differential cash flows Differential sales (W1) Differential RM Cost (W2) Incremental other costs (W3) Depreciation of new machines Tax @ 35% Add back depreciation Working Capital I/O and R/V of new machines Disposal of old machines Net Cash Flows PV @ 20% Differential NPV NBV of old machines Net disposal value Gain on disposal 9,000,000 9,120,000 120,000 Net disposal value PV of tax [tax x (1+ 20%)^-1] Net cash received 9,120,000 (35,000) 9,085,000 Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 12,000,000 13,200,000 14,520,000 15,972,000 17,569,200 (4,590,000) (5,049,000) (5,553,900) (6,109,290) (6,720,219) (248,000) (267,840) (289,267) (312,409) (337,401) (4,800,000) (4,800,000) (4,800,000) (4,800,000) (4,800,000) 2,362,000 3,083,160 3,876,833 4,750,301 5,711,580 (826,700) (1,079,106) (1,356,891) (1,662,605) (1,999,053) 4,800,000 4,800,000 4,800,000 4,800,000 4,800,000 (3,000,000) 3,000,000 (30,000,000) 6,000,000 9,085,000 (23,915,000) 6,335,300 6,804,054 7,319,941 7,887,696 17,512,527 (23,915,000) 5,279,417 4,725,038 4,236,077 3,803,866 7,037,892 1,167,289 Sales unit under new machines Sale price per unit [growth @ 10%] Differential sales (W1) 540,000 50.00 27,000,000 300,000 50.00 15,000,000 12,000,000 540,000 55.00 29,700,000 300,000 55.00 16,500,000 13,200,000 540,000 60.50 32,670,000 300,000 60.50 18,150,000 14,520,000 540,000 66.55 35,937,000 300,000 66.55 19,965,000 15,972,000 540,000 73.21 39,530,700 300,000 73.21 21,961,500 17,569,200 RM cost under new machines [42%] RM cost under old machines [45%] Differential RM cost (W2) 11,340,000 6,750,000 4,590,000 12,474,000 7,425,000 5,049,000 13,721,400 8,167,500 5,553,900 15,093,540 8,984,250 6,109,290 16,602,894 9,882,675 6,720,219 Labour cost saving (8% growth) Increm. Overhead (8% growth) Incremental other costs (W3) 1,752,000 (2,000,000) (248,000) 1,892,160 (2,160,000) (267,840) 2,043,533 (2,332,800) (289,267) 2,207,015 (2,519,424) (312,409) 2,383,577 (2,720,978) (337,401) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 282 of 690 Sales unit under old machines Sale price per unit [growth @ 10%] Page 21 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP JUNE 2015 (SHUT DOWN DECISION): QUESTION Kamyab Mart (KM), a large departmental store, was inaugurated two years ago in Peshawar with high financial prospects. However, in a recently concluded meeting, sponsors have shown concerns over its actual performance. Following information is available in this regard: i) The sponsors had appraised the investment in KM over a period of 5 years by using discount rate of 17%. ii) Store set-up cost (mainly comprised of furniture and fixtures) was Rs. 5 million with no realizable value. iii) Annual sales were estimated at Rs. 22 million in first year and expected to grow at 18% per annum. However, only 70% of the estimated sale was achieved in the first year. Growth in year 2 was 10% which is expected to continue in future. iv) Margin on sales was estimated at 18%. However, actual margin on sales is only 12%. v) Administrative costs were estimated at Rs. 1.20 million and expected to rise by 15% per annum. vi) Working capital is primarily comprised of inventory which forms 25% of annual sales. vii) Tax depreciation is allowed at 25% on reducing balance method. viii) If at any time the sponsors decide to close down KM, working capital would be realized at 80% of its value. ix) Applicable tax rate is 35%. Required: a) Advise whether sponsors should continue to operate KM over a period of three more years or close it down now. (10) b) Besides the computations carried out in (a) above, highlight the matters that may be considered by sponsors before taking the above decision. (06) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 283 of 690 Page 22 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP JUNE 2015 (SHUT DOWN DECISION): SOLUTION Cash flows on closing down [4.66 x 80%] NPV if the business is continued 3.73 4.14 Should continue the business. Cash flows on closing down Working capital at the end of 2 years Recovery 4.66 80% Cash flows if business is continued Net cash flows DF PV NPV 1 0.18 0.8547 0.16 4.14 Cash flows of 5 years as per the actual scenario Annual sales (10% growth) Cost of sales (100% - 12% = 88%) Admin cost (15% growth) Tax depreciation Tax @ 35% Add back depreciation Set up cost Working capital injected at the start Working capital invesment/divestment Net cash flows Working Capital Budgeted/Actual Sales Based on sales 3 6.24 0.6244 3.90 Year 0 (5.00) (5.50) (10.50) Year 1 15.40 (13.55) (1.20) (1.25) (0.60) 1.25 1.27 1.91 Year 2 16.94 (14.91) (1.38) (0.94) (0.28) 0.94 (0.42) 0.23 Year 3 18.63 (16.40) (1.59) (0.70) (0.05) 0.70 (0.47) 0.18 Year 4 20.50 (18.04) (1.83) (0.53) 0.11 0.53 (0.51) 0.12 Year 5 22.55 (19.84) (2.10) (1.58) (0.98) 1.58 5.64 6.24 22.00 5.50 16.94 4.24 1.27 18.63 4.66 (0.42) 20.50 5.12 (0.47) 22.55 5.64 (0.51) (5.64) 5.00 (1.25) 3.75 3.75 (0.94) 2.81 2.81 (0.70) 2.11 2.11 (0.53) 1.58 1.58 (1.58) - Depreciation Opening Cost Depreciation Ending cost Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 2 0.12 0.7305 0.09 Page 284 of 690 Page 23 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP SUMMER 2014 (TARGET IRR): QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 285 of 690 Page 24 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP SUMMER 2014 (TARGET IRR): SOLUTION Since the company wants to achieve an IRR of 18%, the PV of costs at 18% should be equal to PV of revenues. PV of all the costs Land Land transfer fee Levelling costs Architect's fee PV of construction costs (W1) PV of all the costs 250,000,000 20,000,000 40,000,000 15,000,000 412,249,565 737,249,565 For construction costs we need to determine the area first. PV of construction costs (W1) % of completion Total area (sq ft) - W2 142,600 Rate of cons. (growth 15%) Construction cost paid in advance PV @ 18% (first being adv - year 0) Total PV of construction costs Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 20% 30% 35% 15% 28,520 42,780 49,910 21,390 3,000 3,450 3,968 4,563 85,560,000 147,591,000 198,017,925 97,594,549 85,560,000 125,077,119 142,213,391 59,399,055 412,249,565 Total area (sq ft) - W2 Cov Area Amenities Total Area No of Apr A 1,800 20% 2,160 B 1,250 18% 1,475 C 900 16% 1,044 Total area (sq ft) 20 32 50 43,200 47,200 52,200 142,600 The present value of revenue should be equal to Rs 737.249 Mn. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 286 of 690 Page 25 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Total price for all the apartments: If the price of all the apartments is 'x' then: Down payment: 0.1x Quarterly payments: 16R x = 0.1x + 16R x - 0.1x = 16R 0.9x = 16R R = 0.05625x Annuity factor for the quarterly payments: R 1.00 i (18% / 4) 4.50% n (4 x 4) 16.00 [1 - {(1+4.5%)^-16}] / 4.5% By solving this formula: DF 11.2340 737.249 = 0.1x + R x (11.2340) 737.249 = 0.1x + 0.05625x (11.2340) 737.249 = 0.1x + 0.6319x 737.249 = 0.7319x 737.249 / 0.7319 = x x = 1,007.31 million This is the price for all the apartments. Total price for the apartments Total sq ft Price per sqft 1,007,310,000 142,600 7,063.88 Price for apartment A [2,160 x 7,063.88] Price for apartment B [1,475 x 7,063.88] Price for apartment C [1,044 x 7,063.88] 15,257,992 10,419,230 7,374,696 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 287 of 690 Page 26 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2013 (DECISION MAKING – RESTRUCTURING): QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 288 of 690 Page 27 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2013 (DECISION MAKING – RESTRUCTURING): SOLUTION Particulars Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Savings in overheads (30.356 + 12) Cost after restructuring - W1 Payment of GHP - W2 Savings in staff salaries - W3 Net cash flows DF @ 15% PV NPV (49,356,000) (49,356,000) 1.0000 (49,356,000) 215,872,846 *DF for perpetuity = R/i This gives value at end of Year 2 so multiply by (1 + 0.15)^-2 as well. Cost after restructuring - W1 Flight meals (150,000 x 350) Janitorial services firm Fleets on rentals (45k x 40 x 12) Other support staff (50 x GS x 1.15) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 42,356,097 42,356,097 (98,520,000) (98,520,000) (78,969,600) (118,454,400) 49,356,000 84,453,600 (85,777,503) (90,164,703) 0.8696 0.7561 (74,589,133) (68,177,469) Year 3 and onwards* 42,356,097 (98,520,000) 137,100,000 80,936,097 5.0410 407,995,448 52,500,000 12,000,000 21,600,000 12,420,000 98,520,000 Page 289 of 690 Page 28 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Payment of GHP - W2 Annual Average cost Annual Overtime allowance (AC / 125 x 25) Annual Gross Salary Kitchen 390,000 (78,000) 312,000 Janitorial Van drivers 240,000 360,000 (48,000) (72,000) 192,000 288,000 Supp staff 270,000 (54,000) 216,000 Annual Basic Salary (75% of gross) GHP (36 monthly basic salaries = 3 annual) No of staff Total GHP departmentwise Total GHP on a company level 234,000 702,000 100 70,200,000 246,780,000 144,000 432,000 120 51,840,000 216,000 648,000 80 51,840,000 162,000 486,000 150 72,900,000 Overtime allowance departmentwise Overtime allowance total 7,800,000 27,420,000 5,760,000 5,760,000 8,100,000 Gross salaries departmentwise Gross salaries total 31,200,000 109,680,000 23,040,000 23,040,000 32,400,000 Savings in staff salaries - W3 Savings in overtime allowance Year 1 27,420,000 Year 2 27,420,000 Year 3 27,420,000 Annual gross salaries Less: Not opt for GHP Savings in gross salaries 109,680,000 109,680,000 (87,744,000) (52,646,400) 21,936,000 57,033,600 109,680,000 109,680,000 Total saving in salaries 49,356,000 137,100,000 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 290 of 690 84,453,600 Page 29 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL MIRR ICAP SUMMER 2018: QUESTION OJ Limited (OJL) is a manufacturer of industrial products and has decided to launch a new specialised industrial product “EDS-1”. Following information is available in this regard: i) Initial investment in the new plant including installation and commissioning is estimated at Rs. 45 million. The plant is expected to have a useful life of four years which would be depreciated at 25% on reducing balance method. ii) The new plant would be installed at OJL’s premises which were purchased several years ago for Rs. 40 million and have a market value of Rs. 25 million. These would be sold if not utilized for this project. iii) The residual values of premises and equipment would be Rs. 30 million and Rs. 10 million respectively after 4 years. iv) It is estimated that sales of EDS-1 would be 25,000 units in the first year and the selling price would be Rs. 1,660 per unit. v) The costs of production are estimated as under: Each unit would require: o material worth Rs. 210 o 2 hours of skilled labour at Rs. 145 per hour o 3 hours of unskilled labour at Rs. 125 per hour o variable overheads of Rs. 80 Annual fixed production overheads would increase by Rs. 5 million. Material price is expected to increase by 10% per annum, labour cost by 7% per annum and all other costs by 8% per annum. Management believes that the demand would be much higher if EDS-1 could be upgraded to “EDS-Adv”. The upgraded product would have the same production cost but would be sold for Rs. 1,850 per unit. However, after the introduction of EDS-Adv, the demand of EDS-1 would reduce significantly and it would not be feasible to produce it. Research on upgradation and its introduction in the market would require one year. A technical consultant would have to be hired at a cost of Rs. 20 million. Research materials would cost Rs. 10 million. 10% of the existing research department’s time would be used for this research. The annual administrative cost of OJL’s research department is Rs. 12 million. There is 80% probability that EDS-Adv would be developed successfully and demand would then be 33,500 units in the first year. If research does not prove successful, OJL would continue to sell EDS-1. The demand for both products and their selling prices are estimated to grow @ 5% and 12% respectively. OJL’s cost of capital is 12%. Required: On the basis of modified internal rate of return, determine whether OJL should carry out research on upgradation of EDS-1. (25) (Ignore taxation and assume that all cash flows arise at the end of each year except otherwise specified.) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 291 of 690 Page 30 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL MIRR ICAP SUMMER 2018: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 292 of 690 Page 31 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 293 of 690 Page 32 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL The problem of risk and uncertainty Investment projects are long-term projects, often with a time scale of many years. When the cash flows for an investment project are estimated, the estimates might be incorrect. Estimates of cash flows might be wrong for two main reasons: risk in the investment, and uncertainty about the future. Risk exists when the actual outcome from a project could be any of several different possibilities, and it is not possible in advance to predict which of the possible outcomes will actually occur. The simplest example of risk is rolling a dice. When a dice is rolled, the result will be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 or 6. These six possible outcomes are known in advance, but it is not possible in advance to know which of these possibilities will be the actual outcome. With risk assessment, it is often possible to estimate the probabilities of different outcomes. For example, we can predict that the result of rolling a dice will be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 or 6, each with a probability of 1/6. Risk can often be measured and evaluated mathematically, using probability estimates for each possible future outcome. Uncertainty exists when there is insufficient information to be sure about what will happen, or what the probability of different possible outcomes might be. For example, a business might predict that sales in three years’ time will be £500,000, but this might be largely guesswork, and based on best-available assumptions about sales demand and sales prices. Uncertainty occurs due to a lack of sufficient information about what is likely to happen. It is possible to assess the uncertainty in a project, but with less mathematical precision than for the assessment of risk. Management should try to evaluate the risk and uncertainty, and take it into account, when making their investment decisions. In other words, investment decisions should consider the risk and uncertainty in investment projects, as well as the expected returns and NPV. Methods of assessing risk and uncertainty There are several methods of analysing and assessing risk and uncertainty. In particular: Sensitivity analysis can be used to assess a project when there is uncertainty about future cash flows Probability analysis can be used to assess projects in which there is risk. Other methods of risk and uncertainty analysis include: risk modelling and simulation risk-adjusted discount rates adjusted payback discounted payback as one of the criteria for investing in capital projects. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 294 of 690 Page 33 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS The purpose of sensitivity analysis: assessment of project uncertainty Sensitivity analysis is a useful but simple technique for assessing investment risk in a capital expenditure project when there is uncertainty about the estimates of future cash flows. It is recognised that estimates of cash flows could be inaccurate, or that events might occur that will make the estimates wrong. The purpose of sensitivity analysis is to assess how the NPV of the project might be affected if cash flow estimates are worse than expected. Methods of sensitivity analysis Sensitivity analysis can be used to calculate the percentage amount by which benefits must fall below estimate or costs rise above estimate before the project NPV becomes negative. For example, by how much (in percentage terms) would sales volumes need to fall below the expected volumes, before the project NPV became negative? Or by how much (in percentage terms) would running costs need to exceed the expected amount before the NPV became negative? Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 295 of 690 Page 34 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Estimating the sensitivity of a project to changes in the cost of capital The sensitivity of the project to a change in the cost of capital can be found by calculating the project IRR. This can be compared with the company’s cost of capital. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 296 of 690 Page 35 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL The sensitivity of the project to changes in the cost of capital is quite small. The cost of capital is 10% but the cost of capital would have to be over 17.2% before the NPV became negative. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 297 of 690 Page 36 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ILLUSTRATIONS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS Illustration 01: Consider the following details for Company A. Sales 140,000 Variable Cost (56,000) Cont Margin 84,000 Fixed Cost (14,000) PBIT 70,000 Interest (20,000) PBT 50,000 Tax @ 30% (15,000) PAT 35,000 Required: Calculate the sensitivity of each of the above elements. Illustration 02: Consider the following details for Company A. Initial Outlay 100,000 Sales (8,500 units) 85,000 Variable Cost (8,500 units) 40,767 Discount rate 10% 3 years Term Residual value - Required: Calculate the NPV and sensitivity of each of the following elements. a) Initial Outlay d) Volume b) Selling Price e) Discount Rate Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 298 of 690 c) Variable Cost Page 37 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Illustration 03: Consider the following details for Company A. Initial outlay 450,000 Residual value 200,000 Annual Sales Variable Cost Year 1 300,000 Year 1 120,000 Year 2 400,000 Year 2 160,000 Year 3 600,000 Year 3 240,000 Depreciation (reducing balance) 20% Tax rate 30% Discount Rate 10% Required: Calculate sensitivity of initial outlay and allied cash flows. Illustration 04: Consider the following details for Company A. Cost of the asset 60,000 Residual value 10,000 Life of asset 3 years Per unit (Rs) Sale price 15.00 Material 5.00 Other variable OH 2.00 Production (units) Year 1 5,000 Year 2 2,400 Year 3 3,000 Fixed overheads per year 3,000 Depreciation (reducing balance) 25% Tax rate 30% Discount Rate 10% Required: Calculate safety margin for: a) Sales / Sale Price d) Fixed overheads g) Production/sales units b) Material Cost e) Cost of the asset h) Cost of capital or WACC Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 299 of 690 c) Other variable cost f) Residual value i) Project life Page 38 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2016 SUFFER LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 300 of 690 Page 39 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 301 of 690 Page 40 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2016 SUFFER LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 302 of 690 Page 41 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 303 of 690 Page 42 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP SUMMER 2017 TAHIR LODHI: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 304 of 690 Page 43 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP SUMMER 2017 TAHIR LODHI: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 305 of 690 Page 44 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 306 of 690 Page 45 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2019 GHAURI LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 307 of 690 Page 46 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 308 of 690 Page 47 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2019 GHAURI LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 309 of 690 Page 48 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2020 ECO ENERGY: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 310 of 690 Page 49 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 311 of 690 Page 50 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2020 ECO ENERGY: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 312 of 690 Page 51 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 313 of 690 Page 52 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 314 of 690 Page 53 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2021 COOLER LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 315 of 690 Page 54 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 316 of 690 Page 55 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2021 COOLER LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 317 of 690 Page 56 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 318 of 690 Page 57 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 319 of 690 Page 58 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 320 of 690 Page 59 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ACCA F9 2014 DECEMBER UFTIN CO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 321 of 690 Page 60 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ACCA F9 2014 DECEMBER UFTIN CO: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 322 of 690 Page 61 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 323 of 690 Page 62 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2015 SANDRA LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 324 of 690 Page 63 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2015 SANDRA LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 325 of 690 Page 64 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL DISCOUNTED PAYBACK PERIOD Instead of using the ordinary payback to decide whether a project is acceptable, discounted payback might be used as an alternative. A maximum discounted payback period is established and projects should not be undertaken unless they pay back within this time. A consequence of applying a discounted payback rule (and the same applies to ordinary payback) is that projects are unlikely to be accepted if they rely on cash profits in the long-term future to make a suitable financial return. Since longer-term estimates of cash flows are usually more unreliable than estimates in the shorter term, using discounted payback as a criterion for project selection will result in the rejection of risky projects. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 326 of 690 Page 65 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL A discounted payback period is calculated in the same way as the ‘ordinary’ payback period, with the exception that the cash flows of the project are converted to their present value. The discounted payback period is the number of years before the cumulative NPV of the project reaches $0. Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Annual cash flow $ (200,000) (40,000) 30,000 120,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 The discounted period for a capital investment is always longer than the ‘ordinary’ non-discounted payback period. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 327 of 690 Page 66 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL DISCOUNTED PAYBACK PERIOD Illustration: Consider the following for Company A: Initial outlay Residual value Year Annual Sales Variable Cost Fixed Cost = 500,000 = 100,000 1 400,000 40% 50,000 2 600,000 40% 50,000 3 500,000 40% 50,000 4 200,000 40% 50,000 Tax applies at 30% whereas tax depreciation is allowable on a straight line basis. Required: Calculate the discounted payback period using a discount rate of 10%. Solution: Particulars Initial outlay Residual value Sales (post tax) VC (post tax) FC (Post tax) Tax shield on depreciation Net Cash Flow PV @ 10% NPV Y-0 (500,000) (500,000) (500,000) 128,593 Y-1 280,000 (112,000) (35,000) 30,000 163,000 148,182 Y-2 420,000 (168,000) (35,000) 30,000 247,000 204,132 Year Opening 1 (500,000) 2 (351,818) 3 (147,686) CF 148,182 204,132 154,020 Closing (351,818) (147,686) Y-3 350,000 (140,000) (35,000) 30,000 205,000 154,020 Y-4 100,000 140,000 (56,000) (35,000) 30,000 179,000 122,259 2 years 11 months and 16 days = 147,686/154,020 0.96 x12 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 328 of 690 11.51 0.51 x30 15.20 Page 67 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL BAILOUT PAYBACK PERIOD Illustration 01: Consider the following for Company A: Initial outlay = 1,000,000 If exit at year 1 – RV = 700,000 If exit at year 2 – RV = 650,000 Cash inflow year 1 = 200,000 Cash inflow year 2 = 150,000 Required: Calculate the bailout payback period. Solution 1: Particulars Initial outlay Cash inflow Year 1 Year 2 Y-0 (1,000,000) Opening (1,000,000) (800,000) Y-1 200,000 Y-2 150,000 CF 200,000 150,000 Closing (800,000) (650,000) RV 700,000 Cannot opt for bailout here 650,000 Can opt out at this point Bailout pay-back period: 2 years Illustration 02: Consider the following for Company A: Initial outlay = 2,000,000 If exit at year 1 – RV = 1,400,000 If exit at year 2 – RV = 1,200,000 Cash inflow year 1 = 400,000 Cash inflow year 2 = 400,000 Required: Calculate the bailout payback period. Solution 2: Particulars Initial outlay Cash inflow Year 1 Year 2 Y-0 (2,000,000) Opening (2,000,000) (1,600,000) Y-1 Y-2 400,000 400,000 CF 400,000 400,000 Closing (1,600,000) (1,200,000) RV 1,400,000 Cannot opt for bailout here 1,200,000 Can opt out at this point Bailout pay-back period: 2 years Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 329 of 690 Page 68 of 68 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS Contents ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS ........................................................................................................ 2 THE NATURE OF ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS .................................................................... 2 THE EQUIVALENT ANNUAL COST METHOD .................................................................................. 3 LOWEST COMMON MULTIPLE METHOD ........................................................................................ 8 ICAP WINTER 2012 CDN: QUESTION ............................................................................................. 13 ICAP WINTER 2012 CDN: SOLUTION ............................................................................................. 13 ICAP SUMMER 2019 RED LIMITED: QUESTION ........................................................................... 14 ICAP SUMMER 2019 RED LIMITED: SOLUTION ........................................................................... 15 ICAP SUMMER 2022 GO LIMITED: QUESTION............................................................................. 18 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 330 of 690 Page 1 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS THE NATURE OF ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS An asset replacement decision involves deciding how frequently a non-current asset should be replaced, when it is in regular use, so that when the asset reaches the end of its useful life, it will be replaced by an identical asset. In other words, this type of decision is about what is the most appropriate useful economic life of a noncurrent asset, and how frequently it should be replaced. Here we are not dealing with a one-off decision about whether or not to acquire an asset. Instead we are deciding when to replace an asset we are currently using with another new asset; and then when the new asset has been used up, replacing it again with an identical asset; and so on in perpetuity. We are evaluating the cycle of replacing the machine – considering the various options for how long we should keep it before replacing it. The decision rule is that the preferred replacement cycle for an asset should be the least-cost replacement cycle. This is the frequency of replacement that minimises the PV of cost. The cash flows to consider The cash flows that must be considered when making the asset replacement decision are: The capital cost (purchase cost) of the asset The maintenance and operating costs of the asset: these will usually increase each year as the asset gets older Tax relief on the running costs (which are allowable expenses for tax purposes) Tax relief on the asset (tax-allowable depreciation) The scrap value or resale value of the asset at the end of its life. The main problem with evaluating an asset replacement decision is comparing these costs over a similar time frame. For example, how can we compare the PV of costs for asset replacement cycles of one, two, three, four and five years? For example, you cannot simply compare the PV of cost over a two-year replacement cycle with the PV of cost over a three-year replacement cycle, because you would be comparing costs over two years with costs over three years, which is not a fair comparison. Methods of evaluation A method is needed for comparing the different replacement cycles over a common period of time. There are three methods of doing this: the lowest common multiple method the finite time method the equivalent annual cost method: this is the method normally used. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 331 of 690 Page 2 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS The equivalent annual cost method is the method normally used, and the only one of these three methods that you need to know for your examination. It is the only method described here. THE EQUIVALENT ANNUAL COST METHOD The equivalent annual cost method of calculating the most cost-effective replacement cycle for assets is as follows: For each choice of replacement cycle, the PV of cost is calculated over one full replacement cycle, with the asset purchased in year 0 and disposed of at the end of the life cycle. This PV of cost is then converted into an equivalent annual cost or annuity. The equivalent annual cost is calculated by dividing the PV of cost of the life cycle by the annuity factor for the cost of capital, for the number of years in the life cycle. The replacement cycle with the lowest equivalent annual cost is selected as the least-cost replacement cycle. Example NTN is considering its replacement policy for a particular machine, which it intends to replace every year, every two years or every three years. The machine has purchase cost of $17,000 and a maximum useful life of three years. The following information is also relevant: The cost of capital for NTN is 10%. What is the optimum replacement cycle? Ignore taxation. Use the equivalent annual cost method. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 332 of 690 Page 3 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS Answer Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 333 of 690 Page 4 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 334 of 690 Page 5 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS Illustration 01: EQUIVALENT ANNUAL COST Persia Limited is considering its replacement policy for a particular machine, which it intends to replace every year, every two years or every three years. The machine has a purchase cost of Rs 20,000 and a maximum useful life of three years. The Company has a cost of capital of 10% and the following information is also relevant: Year 1 2 3 Maintenance/running costs of machine 2,000 2,500 4,000 Scrap value if sold at end of year 9,000 6,000 3,000 Required: Determine the optimum replacement cycle (ignore taxation). Illustration 02: EQUIVALENT ANNUAL COST Seljuk Limited is considering its replacement policy for an item of equipment which has a maximum useful life of four years. The machine has purchase cost of Rs 30,000. The Company has a cost of capital of 12% and following information is also relevant: Year 1 2 3 4 Maintenance/running costs of machine 4,000 5,000 6,500 8,000 Scrap value if sold at end of year 15,000 10,000 6,000 1,000 Required: Determine the optimum replacement cycle (ignore taxation). Illustration 03: EQUIVALENT ANNUAL COST Oghuz Limited is considering its replacement policy for an item of equipment which has a maximum useful life of three years. The machine has purchase cost of Rs 20,000. The Company has a cost of capital of 12% and following information is also relevant: Year Operating costs 1 2 3 9,000 10,500 11,900 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 335 of 690 Scrap value if sold at end of year 14,000 11,500 8,400 Page 6 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS Required: Determine the optimum replacement cycle (ignore taxation). Illustration 04: EQUIVALENT ANNUAL COST (With Taxation) Ottoman Limited is considering its replacement policy between a 4-years replacement cycle or a 5-years replacement cycle for an item of equipment which has a maximum useful life of five years. The machine has a purchase cost of Rs 2,500 million and is subject to: an initial allowance of 50%; and depreciation of 20% based on reducing balance method. The Company has a cost of capital of 10% and tax is applicable at 35% (payable in the same year). Following information is also relevant: Year Operating costs 1 2 3 4 5 100 150 225 320 450 Scrap value if sold at end of year ---1,200 900 Required: Determine the optimum replacement cycle. Solution 4 years' cycle Operating cost Depreciation (W1) Tax deductions Tax benefit @ 35% Add back depreciation Initial outlay / Res Value Net Cash Flows PV @ 10% NPV of expenditure Year 0 Year 1 (100.00) (1,500.00) (1,600.00) 560.00 1,500.00 (2,500.00) (2,500.00) 460.00 (2,500.00) 418.18 (1,628.67) NPV DF @ 10% for 4 years Equivalent Annual Cost 1,628.67 3.1698 513.81 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Year 2 (150.00) (200.00) (350.00) 122.50 200.00 (27.50) (22.73) Page 336 of 690 Year 3 Year 4 (225.00) (320.00) (160.00) 560.00 (385.00) 240.00 134.75 (84.00) 160.00 (560.00) 1,200.00 (90.25) 796.00 (67.81) 543.68 Page 7 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS Depreciation (W1) Opening Cost Initial allowance Depreciation Closing Cost Year 1 Year 2 2,500.00 1,000.00 (1,250.00) (250.00) (200.00) 1,000.00 800.00 5 years' cycle Operating cost Depreciation (W1) Tax deductions Tax benefit @ 35% Add back depreciation Initial outlay / Res Value Net Cash Flows PV @ 10% NPV of expenditure Year 0 Year 1 (100.00) (1,500.00) (1,600.00) 560.00 1,500.00 (2,500.00) (2,500.00) 460.00 (2,500.00) 418.18 (1,990.93) NPV DF @ 10% for 5 years Equivalent Annual Cost 1,990.93 3.7907 525.21 Depreciation (W1) Opening Cost Initial allowance Depreciation Closing Cost Year 3 Year 4 800.00 640.00 (160.00) 560.00 640.00 1,200.00 Year 2 (150.00) (200.00) (350.00) 122.50 200.00 (27.50) (22.73) Year 3 (225.00) (160.00) (385.00) 134.75 160.00 (90.25) (67.81) Year 4 (320.00) (128.00) (448.00) 156.80 128.00 (163.20) (111.47) Year 5 (450.00) 388.00 (62.00) 21.70 (388.00) 900.00 471.70 292.89 Year 1 Year 2 2,500.00 1,000.00 (1,250.00) (250.00) (200.00) 1,000.00 800.00 Year 3 800.00 (160.00) 640.00 Year 4 640.00 (128.00) 512.00 Year 5 512.00 388.00 900.00 4 years cycle is better since it has a lower equivalent annual cost. LOWEST COMMON MULTIPLE METHOD This approach involves choosing the lowest cost of the different possible cycles over a common time frame. The common time frame is a period (lowest common multiple) into which the lowest possible number of complete cycles for each possibility will fit. For example: If a company was considering a 1 year or a 2 years replacement cycle, the lowest common multiple would be 3. If a company was considering 1 year, 2 years or 3 years replacement cycle, the lowest common multiple would be 6 (as in the above example). If a company was considering a 4 years or a 6 years replacement cycle, the lowest common multiple would be 12. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 337 of 690 Page 8 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS This method is useful because it can take inflation into account whereas the equivalent annual cost method cannot do this. Whilst the method is straightforward, it is easy make a mistake when identifying the cash flows. Question 01: LCM METHOD Sogut Limited is considering its replacement policy for an item of equipment which has a maximum useful life of three years. The machine has purchase cost of Rs 20,000. The Company has a cost of capital of 5% and following information is also relevant: Year Operating costs 1 2 3 9,000 10,500 11,900 Scrap value if sold at end of year 14,000 11,500 8,400 Required: Determine the optimum replacement cycle using LCM method (ignore taxation). Solution 01: 1 year's 6 cycles: Initial outlay Residual value Operating costs Net Cash Flows PV @ 5% NPV Year 0 (20,000) (20,000) (20,000) (81,211) Year 1 (20,000) 14,000 (9,000) (15,000) (14,286) Year 2 (20,000) 14,000 (9,000) (15,000) (13,605) Year 3 (20,000) 14,000 (9,000) (15,000) (12,958) Year 4 (20,000) 14,000 (9,000) (15,000) (12,341) Year 5 (20,000) 14,000 (9,000) (15,000) (11,753) Year 6 14,000 (9,000) 5,000 3,731 2 year's 3 cycles: Initial outlay Residual value Operating costs Net Cash Flows PV @ 5% NPV Year 0 (20,000) (20,000) (20,000) (75,516) Year 1 (9,000) (9,000) (8,571) Year 2 (20,000) 11,500 (10,500) (19,000) (17,234) Year 3 (9,000) (9,000) (7,775) Year 4 (20,000) 11,500 (10,500) (19,000) (15,631) Year 5 (9,000) (9,000) (7,052) Year 6 11,500 (10,500) 1,000 746 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 338 of 690 Page 9 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS 3 year's 2 cycles: Initial outlay Residual value Operating costs Net Cash Flows PV @ 5% NPV Year 0 (20,000) (20,000) (20,000) (76,639) Year 1 (9,000) (9,000) (8,571) Year 2 (10,500) (10,500) (9,524) Year 3 (20,000) 8,400 (11,900) (23,500) (20,300) Year 4 (9,000) (9,000) (7,404) Year 5 (10,500) (10,500) (8,227) Year 6 8,400 (11,900) (3,500) (2,612) Option 2 is better with lowest NPV. Hence, replace machine every 2 years -- 3 cycles. Question 02: LCM METHOD WITH INFLATION Baghdad Limited is considering its replacement policy for an item of equipment which has a maximum useful life of three years. Currently, the machine has purchase cost of Rs 3,200,000. The Company has a cost of capital of 18% and following information based on current prices is also relevant: Year Maintenance costs 1 2 3 130,000 245,000 480,000 Scrap value if sold at end of year -1,280,000 700,000 Inflation applicable is as follows: Purchase cost of the machine Maintenance cost Scrap value : 10% : 15% : 8% Required: Determine the optimum replacement cycle using LCM method (ignore taxation). Solution 02: 2 year's 3 cycles: Initial outlay Residual value Operating costs Net Cash Flows PV @ 18% NPV Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 (3,200,000) (3,872,000) 1,492,992 (149,500) (324,013) (3,200,000) (149,500) (2,703,021) (3,200,000) (126,695) (1,941,267) (6,699,437) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 339 of 690 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 (4,685,120) 1,741,426 (197,714) (428,507) (261,476) (197,714) (3,372,201) (261,476) (120,335) (1,739,344) (114,294) Year 6 2,031,199 (566,700) 1,464,499 542,497 Page 10 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS Working = 3,200,000 x 1.1^2 AND x 1.1^4 = 1,280,000 x 1.08^2 AND x 1.08^4 AND x 1.08^6 = 130,000 x 1.15^1 AND 3 AND 5 = 245,000 x 1.15^2 AND 4 AND 6 3 year's 2 cycles: Initial outlay Residual value Operating costs Net Cash Flows PV @ 18% NPV Year 0 Year 1 (3,200,000) (149,500) (3,200,000) (149,500) (3,200,000) (126,695) (6,391,773) Year 2 Year 3 (4,259,200) 881,798 (324,013) (730,020) (324,013) (4,107,422) (232,701) (2,499,904) Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 1,110,812 (227,371) (492,783) (1,110,269) (227,371) (492,783) 543 (117,275) (215,400) 201 Working = 3,200,000 x 1.1^3 = 700,000 x 1.08^3 AND 700,000 x 1.08^6 = 130,000 x 1.15^1 AND 4 = 245,000 x 1.15^2 AND 5 = 480,000 x 1.15^3 AND 6 3 year's 2 cycles -- is a better option. Question 03: ICAP SUMMER 2016 LCM METHOD WITH INFLATION+TAX Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 340 of 690 Page 11 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS Solution 03: 3 cycles of 4 years Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Maintenance cost (660,000) (726,000) Depreciation (5,000,000) (3,750,000) Allowable deductions (5,660,000) (4,476,000) Tax benefit 1,698,000 1,342,800 Add back depreciation 5,000,000 3,750,000 Initial outlay (20,000,000) Residual value Net cash flows (20,000,000) 1,038,000 616,800 PV @ 15% (20,000,000) 902,609 466,389 NPV (38,017,594) Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 (1,331,000) (2,049,740) (966,306) (2,812,500) (6,006,488) (6,077,531) (4,143,500) (8,056,228) (7,043,837) 1,243,050 2,416,868 2,113,151 2,812,500 6,006,488 6,077,531 (24,310,125) 2,431,013 (87,950) (21,511,984) 1,146,845 (57,829) (12,299,547) 570,185 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 (1,062,937) (1,948,717) (3,001,024) (4,558,148) (3,418,611) (7,300,923) (5,621,085) (5,367,328) (10,301,947) 1,686,326 1,610,199 3,090,584 4,558,148 3,418,611 7,300,923 (29,549,109) 2,954,911 623,389 (338,519) (26,504,638) 269,508 (127,262) (8,664,413) Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 (1,414,769) (1,556,245) (2,853,117) (4,393,800) (7,387,277) (5,540,458) (4,155,343) (8,874,318) (8,802,046) (7,096,703) (7,008,460) (13,268,117) 2,640,614 2,129,011 2,102,538 3,980,435 7,387,277 5,540,458 4,155,343 8,874,318 3,591,713 1,225,845 572,766 (750,579) 3,178,348 348,462 141,579 (161,332) 594,056 Depreciation (2,812,500) (4,558,148) (3,418,611) (7,387,277) (5,540,458) (4,155,343) (5,000,000) (3,750,000) (6,006,488) (6,077,531) (7,300,923) (8,874,318) 4 cycles of 3 years Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Maintenance cost (660,000) (726,000) (1,331,000) Depreciation (5,000,000) (3,750,000) (15,880,500) Allowable deductions (5,660,000) (4,476,000) (17,211,500) Tax benefit 1,698,000 1,342,800 5,163,450 Add back depreciation 5,000,000 3,750,000 15,880,500 Initial outlay (20,000,000) (23,152,500) Residual value 4,630,500 Net cash flows (20,000,000) 1,038,000 616,800 (14,689,550) PV @ 15% (20,000,000) 902,609 466,389 (9,658,618) NPV (37,085,445) Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 (878,460) (966,306) (1,771,561) (1,169,230) (5,788,125) (4,341,094) (18,383,664) (6,700,478) (6,666,585) (5,307,400) (20,155,225) (7,869,708) 1,999,976 1,592,220 6,046,567 2,360,913 5,788,125 4,341,094 18,383,664 6,700,478 (26,801,913) 5,360,383 1,121,516 625,914 (17,166,524) 1,191,682 641,230 311,190 (7,421,562) 447,998 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 (1,286,153) (2,357,948) (1,556,245) (1,711,870) (3,138,428) (5,025,359) (21,281,389) (7,756,641) (5,817,481) (24,635,868) (6,311,512) (23,639,337) (9,312,887) (7,529,351) (27,774,296) 1,893,454 7,091,801 2,793,866 2,258,805 8,332,289 5,025,359 21,281,389 7,756,641 5,817,481 24,635,868 (31,026,564) 6,205,313 7,183,425 607,300 (20,087,398) 1,237,620 546,935 12,377,286 198,528 (5,710,092) 305,921 117,560 2,313,403 Depreciation (5,000,000) (3,750,000) (15,880,500) (5,788,125) (4,341,094) (18,383,664) (6,700,478) (5,025,359) (21,281,389) (7,756,641) (5,817,481) (24,635,868) 4 cycles of 3 years Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Maintenance cost (660,000) (726,000) (1,331,000) Depreciation (5,000,000) (3,750,000) (15,880,500) Allowable deductions (5,660,000) (4,476,000) (17,211,500) Tax benefit 1,698,000 1,342,800 5,163,450 Add back depreciation 5,000,000 3,750,000 15,880,500 Initial outlay (20,000,000) (23,152,500) Residual value 4,630,500 Net cash flows (20,000,000) 1,038,000 616,800 (14,689,550) PV @ 15% (20,000,000) 902,609 466,389 (9,658,618) NPV (37,085,445) Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 (878,460) (966,306) (1,771,561) (1,169,230) (5,788,125) (4,341,094) (18,383,664) (6,700,478) (6,666,585) (5,307,400) (20,155,225) (7,869,708) 1,999,976 1,592,220 6,046,567 2,360,913 5,788,125 4,341,094 18,383,664 6,700,478 (26,801,913) 5,360,383 1,121,516 625,914 (17,166,524) 1,191,682 641,230 311,190 (7,421,562) 447,998 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 (1,286,153) (2,357,948) (1,556,245) (1,711,870) (3,138,428) (5,025,359) (21,281,389) (7,756,641) (5,817,481) (24,635,868) (6,311,512) (23,639,337) (9,312,887) (7,529,351) (27,774,296) 1,893,454 7,091,801 2,793,866 2,258,805 8,332,289 5,025,359 21,281,389 7,756,641 5,817,481 24,635,868 (31,026,564) 6,205,313 7,183,425 607,300 (20,087,398) 1,237,620 546,935 12,377,286 198,528 (5,710,092) 305,921 117,560 2,313,403 Depreciation (5,788,125) (4,341,094) (18,383,664) (6,700,478) (5,025,359) (21,281,389) (7,756,641) (5,817,481) (24,635,868) - Option 2 is better. - (5,000,000) (3,750,000) (15,880,500) Option 2 is better. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 341 of 690 Page 12 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS ICAP WINTER 2012 CDN: QUESTION ICAP WINTER 2012 CDN: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 342 of 690 Page 13 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS ICAP SUMMER 2019 RED LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 343 of 690 Page 14 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS ICAP SUMMER 2019 RED LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 344 of 690 Page 15 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 345 of 690 Page 16 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 346 of 690 Page 17 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS ICAP SUMMER 2022 GO LIMITED: QUESTION ICAP SUMMER 2022 GO LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 347 of 690 Page 18 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 348 of 690 Page 19 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS Contents CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS ......................................................................................................... 2 SINGLE PERIOD CAPITAL RATIONING: NON-DIVISIBLE PROJECTS ......................................... 4 ICAP WINTER 2016 MALIK INVESTMENTS: QUESTION .............................................................. 8 ICAP WINTER 2016 MALIK INVESTMENTS: SOLUTION .............................................................. 9 MULTIPERIOD CAPITAL RATIONING ............................................................................................. 10 ICAP WINTER 2018 MARS LIMITED: QUESTION ......................................................................... 11 ICAP WINTER 2018 MARS LIMITED: SOLUTION ......................................................................... 11 ICAP SUMMER 2022 GO LIMITED: QUESTION............................................................................. 14 ICAP SUMMER 2022 GO LIMITED: SOLUTION............................................................................. 15 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 349 of 690 Page 1 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS The nature of capital rationing Capital rationing occurs where there are insufficient funds available to invest in all projects that have a positive Net Present Value. Capital is in short supply; therefore a decision has to be made about which investment projects to invest in with the capital that is available. There are two types of capital rationing. Hard capital rationing: This occurs when the shortage of capital is imposed by external factors, such as the refusal by a bank to advance any more money or an inability to raise more capital by issuing new shares or bonds. Soft capital rationing: This occurs when the shortage of capital is imposed internally by management decision, such as setting limits to the capital budget for the year. In other words, the directors of a company might decide that in the capital budget, total capital spending must not exceed a specified amount. Single period capital rationing: divisible projects Single period capital rationing describes a situation where the capital available for investment is in limited supply, but for one time period only (one year only). The limitation in supply is usually ‘now’ – in Year 0. In all other time periods, capital will be in unlimited supply. A decision needs to be made about which projects to invest in. Projects will not be undertaken unless they have a positive NPV, but when there is capital rationing a choice must be made between alternative projects that all have a positive NPV. The method of reaching the decision about which projects to select for investment depends on whether the investments are fully divisible, or indivisible. Fully divisible projects Assumption: Projects are fully divisible and therefore a part-investment can be made in a capital project leading to a partial return (proportional to the amount invested). For example suppose that an investment costing $100,000 is fully divisible and has an expected NPV of + $20,000. If capital is in short supply, it would be possible to invest a proportion of the $100,000, to obtain the same proportion of the NPV of + $20,000. For example, it would be possible to invest only $50,000 in the project and the expected NPV would then be + $10,000. Deciding which projects to invest in: When projects are fully divisible, the projects selected for investment should be those that maximise the total NPV per $1 of capital invested (in the year of capital rationing). The technique is to calculate for each project the NPV per $1 of capital invested (in the year of capital rationing), and to prioritise the projects for investment by ranking them in order of NPV per $1 invested. The ratio of NPV to capital investment is sometimes called the profitability index. The decision rule is therefore to invest in the projects with the highest profitability index, up to the limit of the investment capital available. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 350 of 690 Page 2 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 351 of 690 Page 3 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS SINGLE PERIOD CAPITAL RATIONING: NON-DIVISIBLE PROJECTS When investment projects are non-divisible, the investment in a project can be either 0% or 100%, and nothing else. Part-investment is not possible. The selection of investments should be those that offer the maximum NPV with the capital available. Finding the combination of projects that maximises NPV is a matter of trial-and-error, and testing all the possible combinations of investments that can be undertaken with the capital available. Question 01: DIVISIBLE PROJECTS A company has Rs 10,000 to invest and has the following projects which are fully divisible and mutually independent. Project A B C D Initial Outlay (Rs) 10,000 4,200 2,800 3,000 NPV (Rs) 12,500 8,400 3,080 3,900 Required: Devise the investment plan for the Company. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 352 of 690 Page 4 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS Question 02: DIVISIBLE PROJECTS A company has Rs 100,000 to invest and has the following projects which are fully divisible and mutually independent. Project A B C D E Initial Outlay (Rs) 100,000 20,000 10,000 40,000 30,000 NPV (Rs) 200,000 100,000 (5,000) 160,000 540,000 Required: Devise the investment plan for the Company. Question 03: INDIVISIBLE PROJECTS A company has Rs 3,000,000 to invest and has the following projects which are indivisible and mutually independent. Project A B C Initial Outlay (Rs) 1,600,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 NPV (Rs) 660,000 1,200,000 700,000 Required: Devise the investment plan for the Company. Question 04: A company has Rs 50 million to invest and has the following projects which are fully divisible and are mutually independent. Funds are only limited at the moment and will be available unlimited at WACC of 10% in coming years. Year 0 1 2 3 Project A (15) (15) 20 25 Cash Flows (Rs in million) Project B Project C Project D (30) (35) (10) -10 (20) -10 20 60 20 26 Project E -(25) 50 -- Required: Devise the investment plan for the Company at the moment. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 353 of 690 Page 5 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS Question 05: MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE PROJECTS A company has Rs 100 million to invest and has the following projects to consider against a discount rate of 20%. All projects are fully divisible, however, projects C and D are mutually exclusive. Funds are only limited at the moment and will be available unlimited in coming years. Year 0 1 2 Project A (20) (30) 80 Cash Flows (Rs in million) Project B Project C Project D (40) (50) (40) 5 (25) (5) 55 115 75 Project E (30) (20) 80 Required: Devise the investment plan for the Company. Question 06: MUTUALLY DEPENDANT/INDIVISIBLE PROJECTS A company has Rs 43 million to invest and has the following projects to consider. All the projects are indivisible. Projects A, B and C are mutually exclusive whereas Projects D and E are mutually dependant. Project A B C D E Outlay (10.5) (6.4) (9.7) (12.2) (13.1) NPV 4.74 1.32 5.73 1.31 10.67 Required: Devise the investment plan for the Company. Question 07: SCALING UP OF PROJECTS A company has Rs 1,500 million to invest and has the following projects to consider. Projects A and B are mutually exclusive whereas project C can be scaled upward by 20%. All the projects are fully divisible. Project A B C D E Outlay (400) (450) (600) (550) (800) NPV 220 232 232 92.4 (85) Required: Devise the investment plan for the Company. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 354 of 690 Page 6 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS Question 08: SCALING DOWN A company has Rs 1,000 million to invest and has the following projects to consider. Project A B C D E F Outlay (300) (120) (240) (512) (800) (400) NPV 223 25 136.6 204 374 163 Projects A and B are mutually dependant. Project C can be scaled downward but cannot be scaled upward. All other projects are indivisible. Required: Devise the investment plan for the Company. Question 09: SINGLE PROJECT INDIVISIBLE A company has Rs 1,200 million to invest and has the following projects to consider. Project 01 02 03 04 05 06 Outlay (620) (640) (240) (1,000) (120) (400) NPV 55 69 20 72 19 29 Project 01 is indivisible whereas all other projects are fully divisible. Required: Devise the investment plan for the Company. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 355 of 690 Page 7 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS QUESTION 10: PROJECT SYNERGY A company has Rs 100,000 to invest and has the following projects to consider. Project X Y Z Outlay (100,000) (50,000) (40,000) NPV 25,000 11,000 8,000 If projects Y and Z are conducted together, they will achieve a synergy of Rs 4,400 in NPV. All projects are fully divisible. Required: Devise the investment plan for the Company. ICAP WINTER 2016 MALIK INVESTMENTS: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 356 of 690 Page 8 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS ICAP WINTER 2016 MALIK INVESTMENTS: SOLUTION Projects A B C D E F Inv (150.00) (200.00) (250.00) (225.00) (60.00) (100.00) NPV 18.00 34.00 24.00 24.00 9.00 14.00 PI 0.12 0.17 0.10 0.11 0.15 0.14 Rank 4.00 1.00 6.00 5.00 2.00 3.00 Investment Plan 1: B E (Scale up 20%) F D Inv (200.00) (72.00) (100.00) (128.00) NPV 34.00 10.80 14.00 13.65 72.45 LO 300.00 228.00 128.00 - Investment Plan 2: B E (Scale up 20%) A F Inv (200.00) (72.00) (150.00) (78.00) NPV 34.00 10.80 18.00 10.92 73.72 LO 300.00 228.00 78.00 - Remaining available projects when Inv Plan 2 is adopted: Inv 2017 2018 2019 F (remaining 22%) (22.00) 6.60 6.60 6.60 C (scale up 20%) (300.00) 108.00 108.00 84.00 D (scale up 20%) (270.00) 120.00 120.00 120.00 Net Cash Flows (592.00) 234.60 234.60 210.60 Calculate the IRR of these combined projects: 2020 6.60 60.00 66.60 2021 6.60 60.00 66.60 15% This rate is effectively the maximum interest rate I can offer to the bank. Because this is the maximum I can earn on the investment financing by the bank. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 357 of 690 Page 9 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS MULTIPERIOD CAPITAL RATIONING Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 358 of 690 Page 10 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS ICAP WINTER 2018 MARS LIMITED: QUESTION ICAP WINTER 2018 MARS LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 359 of 690 Page 11 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 360 of 690 Page 12 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 361 of 690 Page 13 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS ICAP SUMMER 2022 GO LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 362 of 690 Page 14 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS ICAP SUMMER 2022 GO LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 363 of 690 Page 15 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CAPITAL RATIONING DECISIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 364 of 690 Page 16 of 16 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW Contents LEASE VS BORROW DECISION............................................................................................................... 2 ACQUISITION DECISION ..................................................................................................................... 2 FINANCING DECISION ......................................................................................................................... 2 QUESTIONS ON ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS ..................................................................... 3 ICAP SUMMER 2008 MOHANI LIMITED: QUESTION ................................................................... 6 ICAP SUMMER 2008 MOHANI LIMITED: SOLUTION ................................................................... 7 ICAP SUMMER 2010 DS LEASING: QUESTION............................................................................... 9 ICAP SUMMER 2010 DS LEASING: SOLUTION ............................................................................. 10 ICAP WINTER 2013 SUPREME GROUP: QUESTION .................................................................... 12 ICAP WINTER 2013 SUPREME GROUP: SOLUTION .................................................................... 13 ICAP SUMMER 2016 SILVERLINE: QUESTION .............................................................................. 15 ICAP SUMMER 2016 SILVERLINE: SOLUTION .............................................................................. 16 ACCA F9 DECEMBER 2018 MELANIE CO: QUESTION ................................................................. 18 ACCA F9 DECEMBER 2018 MELANIE CO: SOLUTION ................................................................. 18 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 365 of 690 Page 1 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW LEASE VS BORROW DECISION ACQUISITION DECISION Cashflows will be prepared in the same manner as for any project investment appraisal scenario. We will assume that the asset will be purchased by the company using available pool of funds (D + E). Accordingly, tax depreciation, tax gain or loss will be incorporated for tax working. Financing Cashflows will not form part of overall cashflows for decision here. Discounting will be done using company’s appropriate Cost of Capital/ WACC/ Required rate. FINANCING DECISION Plot all relevant cashflows separately for both option (Lease v/s Borrow & Buy) including financing cashflows where relevant: Discounting the cashflows under both options with same incremental borrowing rate (IRR of the loan) The option with either higher +ve NPV or lower -ve NPV (PV of costs) will be selected. The financing decision is considered separately from the investment decision. If NPV is +ve then decision is favorable. If NPV is -ve then decision is not favorable. For acquisition decision take all cashflows of the project (only project related no financing cashflows) and discount the same with After-tax Cost of capital/WACC: For financing decision, follow the steps: Step 1: Determination of Discount rate for lease or borrow decision If tax is payable in the same year then, take the interest rate I on loan (incremental borrowing rate) as given in the question. Make it after tax rate i.e. I x (1-t). this rate will be the IRR of loan and to be used as discount rate. If tax is payable in arrears then, calculate accurate IRR of the loan by plotting all loan cashflows including tax savings on interest. This IRR of loan will be used as discount rate. Step 2: Borrow or Buy Option If cashflows for acquisition decision have already been plotted, then the net cashflows of acquisition decision will be used without any further working. If the question is just a financing question, then cashflows will be prepared similar to those of acquisition decision. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 366 of 690 Page 2 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW Discount these Cashflows via IRR of loan – As discount rate being used is the IRR of loan so all loan cashflows when discounted with this rate will have zero PV. Accordingly, there is no need to incorporate loan cashflows in the working. Step 3: Leasing Option In preparing cashflows of this option include lease cashflows and also include all the operational costs/savings as included under both the acquisition & borrowing decisions to ensure we are comparing like with like. Points to remember Don’t include the initial investment under the leasing option. Instead include outflows of lease rentals also include tax benefits on lease payments. Don’t include tax savings on depreciation as tax benefit. If security deposit is given in the question then include it and it will be an outflow at time 0. If salvage vale is given in the question then Include it at end as an inflow net of any purchase cost for lessee. If the rentals are payable quarterly/semi-annually then discount them using equivalent periodic rate but the tax benefit will be discounted using annual rate. Discount rate will be the IRR of loan Step 4: Decision Making Compare the two NPVs calculated. The option with comparatively higher +ve NPV or comparatively lower -ve NPV (PV of costs) will be chosen. QUESTIONS ON ASSET REPLACEMENT DECISIONS Question 01: Crimson has decided to undertake a project which requires a new machine at a cost of Rs 3 million. The machine has a useful life of three years and a residual value of Rs 500,000 at the end of that time. The machine will produce cash operating surpluses of Rs.1.6 million each year. Allowable initial allowance is 25% and normal depreciation is 10% under the reducing balance method. Tax on profits is payable at the rate of 32% and Crimson has an after-tax cost of capital of 20%. The Company is considering two different forms of finance. It could borrow Rs 3 million in order to purchase the asset. A loan is available at a pre-tax interest rate of 14% (payable in arrears). The principal on the loan would be repaid at the end of the three years. Alternatively, Crimson could lease the asset at a cost of Rs.1.3 million each year for three years, with the lease payments payable in arrears at the end of each year. Required: Should the asset be acquired, and if so which financing method should be used? Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 367 of 690 Page 3 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW Solution 1: Particulars Machine Residual value Tax shield on depreciation Operating CF (net of tax) Net Cash Flows PV @ 20% NPV Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 (3,000,000) 312,000 64,800 1,088,000 1,088,000 (3,000,000) 1,400,000 1,152,800 (3,000,000) 1,166,667 800,556 131,111 Postive - the Company should invest Cost of the asset Year 1 initial allowance Year 1 - depreciation NBV Year 2 - depreciation NBV Year 3 - Balancing ch/all NBV = RV 3,000,000 (750,000) (225,000) 2,025,000 (202,500) 1,822,500 (1,322,500) 500,000 Cost RV 3,000,000 500,000 2,500,000 Year 3 500,000 423,200 1,088,000 2,011,200 1,163,889 240,000 72,000 64,800 423,200 In case of discounting financing cash flows (lease vs borrow), you have got 2 options: - Post tax weighted average cost of capital (Post tax WACC) - Post tax borrowing rate (rate of the loan) Loan rate x (1 - t) = 14% x (1-32%) = 9.52% when tax is payable in the same year Calculate the IRR of the loan if the tax is payable in arrear Option 01: Discounting based on WACC: In case of borrowing Year 0 Payment of interest Tax benefit on interest Repayment of principal Tax benefit on depreciation Scrap value Net Cash Flows PV @ 20% NPV @ 20% (1,498,463) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Year 1 (420,000) 134,400 312,000 26,400 22,000 Page 368 of 690 Year 2 (420,000) 134,400 64,800 (220,800) (153,333) Year 3 (420,000) 134,400 (3,000,000) 423,200 500,000 (2,362,400) (1,367,130) Page 4 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW In case of leasing Lease rentals Tax benefit on lease rentals Year 0 Net Cash Flows PV @ 20% NPV @ 20% (1,862,130) Year 1 (1,300,000) 416,000 Year 2 (1,300,000) 416,000 Year 3 (1,300,000) 416,000 (884,000) (736,667) (884,000) (613,889) (884,000) (511,574) Option 02: Discounting based on IRR of the loan: In case of borrowing Year 0 Payment of interest Tax benefit on interest Repayment of principal Tax benefit on depreciation Scrap value Net Cash Flows PV @ 9.52% PV @ 9.52% (1,958,323) Year 1 (420,000) 134,400 312,000 26,400 24,105 Year 2 (420,000) 134,400 64,800 (220,800) (184,082) Year 3 (420,000) 134,400 (3,000,000) 423,200 500,000 (2,362,400) (1,798,345) In case of leasing Lease rentals Tax benefit on lease rentals Year 0 Year 1 (1,300,000) 416,000 Year 2 (1,300,000) 416,000 Year 3 (1,300,000) 416,000 Net Cash Flows PV @ 9.52% PV @ 9.52% (2,217,088) (884,000) (807,159) (884,000) (736,996) (884,000) (672,933) - - OR In case of borrowing Amount borrowed Tax benefit on depreciation Scrap value Net Cash Flows PV @ 9.52% PV @ 9.52% Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Year 0 (3,000,000) (3,000,000) (3,000,000) (1,958,323) Year 1 312,000 312,000 284,879 Page 369 of 690 Year 2 64,800 64,800 54,024 Year 3 423,200 500,000 923,200 702,774 Page 5 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW In case of borrowing Payment of interest Tax benefit on interest Repayment of principal Net Cash Flows PV @ 9.52% PV @ 9.52% Equal to the loan amount Year 0 (3,000,000) Year 1 (420,000) 134,400 (285,600) (260,774) Year 2 (420,000) 134,400 (285,600) (238,107) Year 3 (420,000) 134,400 (3,000,000) (3,285,600) (2,501,119) ICAP SUMMER 2008 MOHANI LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 370 of 690 Page 6 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW ICAP SUMMER 2008 MOHANI LIMITED: SOLUTION Option 1: Leasing Year 0 Payment of security deposit (320,000) Lease payment (860,000) Tax benefit on lease payment Disposal value Tax on gain on disposal (400 - 320) x 0.35 Net Cash Flow (1,180,000) PV @ 7.15% (1,180,000) NPV @ 7.15% (2,590,567) = 11% x (1 - 35%) Year 1 (860,000) 301,000 - Year 2 (860,000) 301,000 - Year 3 (860,000) 301,000 - Year 4 (860,000) 301,000 - (559,000) (521,699) (559,000) (486,886) (559,000) (454,397) (559,000) (424,075) Year 5 301,000 400,000 (28,000) 673,000 476,490 7.15% PV of the borrowed amount 3,200,000 Interest rate 11% 3,200,000 = R x ((1-(1.11^-5))/0.11) Hence, R = 3,200,000 / ((1-((1-(1.11^-5))/0.11 PV of the borrowed amount Interest rate DF @ 11% - annuity for five years R (fixed annual payment) Option 2: Borrowing Loan repayment Tax benefit on interest Insurance (post tax) (96 x 0.65) Tax benefit on depreciation Salvage value Net Cash Flow PV @ 7.15% NPV @ 7.15% Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 3,200,000 11% 3.6959 865,824 Year 0 (2,323,974) Year 1 (865,824) 123,200 (62,400) 616,000 (189,024) (176,411) Page 371 of 690 Year 2 (865,824) 103,418 (62,400) 50,400 (774,407) (674,504) Year 3 (865,824) 81,459 (62,400) 45,360 (801,405) (651,441) Year 4 (865,824) 57,086 (62,400) 40,824 (830,315) (629,903) Year 5 (865,824) 30,029 (62,400) 227,416 400,000 (270,779) (191,714) Page 7 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW OR Option 2: Borrowing Amount borrowed Insurance (post tax) (96 x 0.65) Tax benefit on depreciation Salvage value Net Cash Flow PV @ 7.15% NPV @ 7.15% Year 0 (3,200,000) (3,200,000) (3,200,000) (2,323,976) Loan schedule Balance at Year 0 Interest @ 11% Depreciation schedule 3,200,000 352,000 123,200 Cost 3,552,000 Res value (865,824) Max. deductible 2,686,176 295,479 103,418 2,981,655 Year 1 - initial allow. (865,824) Year 1 - normal dep. 2,115,831 232,741 81,459 Year 2 - dep 2,348,572 Year 3 - dep (865,824) Year 4 - dep 1,482,748 Year 4 - balancing ch/all 163,102 57,086 1,645,850 (865,824) 780,026 85,798 30,029 865,824 (865,824) 0.00 Repayment at Year 1 Interest @ 11% Repayment at Year 2 Interest @ 11% Repayment at Year 3 Interest @ 11% Repayment at Year 4 Interest @ 11% Repayment at Year 5 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Year 1 (62,400) 616,000 553,600 516,659 Page 372 of 690 Year 2 (62,400) 50,400 (12,000) (10,452) Year 3 (62,400) 45,360 (17,040) (13,851) Year 4 (62,400) 40,824 (21,576) (16,368) Year 5 (62,400) 227,416 400,000 565,016 400,037 3,200,000 (400,000) 2,800,000 Tax benefit 1,600,000 160,000 1,760,000 144,000 129,600 116,640 649,760 2,800,000 616,000 50,400 45,360 40,824 227,416 Page 8 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW ICAP SUMMER 2010 DS LEASING: QUESTION DS Leasing Company Limited has been approached by BP Industries Limited, with a request to arrange a 4year lease contract in respect of a state-of-the-art machine. The cost of machine is Rs. 20 million and the expected useful life is 4 years. The residual value at the end of lease term is estimated at 10% of cost. DS would finance the purchase of machine by borrowing at 16% per annum. The interest would be payable annually and the principal amount would have to be repaid in four equal annual installments commencing from the end of first year. DS provides free-of-cost maintenance services for all its leased assets. These services are provided by the company’s Maintenance Department whose costs are mostly fixed. If BP acquires this service from any other vendor, it would have to pay an annual fee of 3% of the cost of machine. Insurance cost will be borne by BP and is estimated at 4% of the cost of machine. The tax rate applicable to both companies is 35% and the tax is payable in the next year. Allowable initial and normal deprecation on the machine is 25% and 10% respectively. The weighted average cost of capital of DS and BP are 18% and 20% respectively. Both companies follow the same financial year. It may be assumed that the purchase would be finalized on the last day of the financial year. Required: a) Calculate the annual rental (payable in advance) which DS should charge in order to break even on the lease contract. (08) b) Assume that BP has the following two options for financing the cost of machine: a. DS has offered to lease the machine at an annual rental of Rs. 7 million, payable in advance. b. EFT Bank has offered to finance the machine at 18% per annum. The loan including interest would be repayable in 4 equal annual installments to be paid at the end of each year. Insurance costs would be borne by BP. Determine which course of action BP should follow. (12) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 373 of 690 Page 9 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW ICAP SUMMER 2010 DS LEASING: SOLUTION Requirement a: PV of costs Amount borrowed Tax benefit on depreciation Residual value Net Cash Flows PV @ 11% (W1) Total PV of Costs Machine cost Res value Max deductible 20,000,000 2,000,000 18,000,000 Dep Y1 - initial Dep Y1 - normal Dep Y2 - normal Dep Y3 - normal Dep Y4 - balancing 5,000,000 1,500,000 1,350,000 1,215,000 8,935,000 18,000,000 IRR of the loan (W1) Amount borrowed Principal repayment Interest @ 16% Tax benefit on interest Net Cash Flows IRR Year 0 (20,000,000) (20,000,000) (20,000,000) (14,354,613) Year 1 - Year 2 2,275,000 2,275,000 1,846,441 Year 3 472,500 472,500 345,488 Year 4 425,250 2,000,000 2,425,250 1,597,587 Year 5 3,127,250 3,127,250 1,855,871 Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 20,000,000 (5,000,000) (5,000,000) (5,000,000) (5,000,000) (3,200,000) (2,400,000) (1,600,000) (800,000) 1,120,000 840,000 560,000 20,000,000 (8,200,000) (6,280,000) (5,760,000) (5,240,000) 11% Year 5 280,000 280,000 Tax benefit 1,750,000 525,000 472,500 425,250 3,127,250 At the break even position, PV of costs should be equal to PV of income (i.e. Rentals) Total PV of Costs (14,354,613) DF of income (W2) 2.3579 Retals (Component 'R') 6,087,987 DF for income (W2) Rental income Tax on rental income Net income DF @ 11% DF Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Year 0 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.3579 Year 1 1.00 (0.35) 0.65 0.5856 Page 374 of 690 Year 2 1.00 (0.35) 0.65 0.5276 Year 3 1.00 (0.35) 0.65 0.4753 Year 4 (0.35) (0.35) (0.2306) Year 5 - Page 10 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW Requirement b (a) Lease rental Tax benefit on rental Net Cash Flows DF @ 12.4% (W3) NPV in leasing option Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 (7,000,000) (7,000,000) (7,000,000) (7,000,000) 2,450,000 2,450,000 2,450,000 (7,000,000) (4,550,000) (4,550,000) (4,550,000) (7,000,000) (4,048,043) (3,601,461) (3,204,147) (16,318,678) IRR of the 18% loan (W3) Amount borrowed Principal repayment Interest @ 18% Tax benefit on interest Net Cash Flows IRR of the loan (post tax) Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 20,000,000 (5,000,000) (5,000,000) (5,000,000) (5,000,000) (3,600,000) (2,700,000) (1,800,000) (900,000) 1,260,000 945,000 630,000 20,000,000 (8,600,000) (6,440,000) (5,855,000) (5,270,000) 12.4% Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Int @ 18% 3,600,000 2,700,000 1,800,000 900,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 Borrowing Option Amount borrowed Residual value Tax benefit on depreciation Maintenance cost Tax saving on maintenance cost Net Cash Flows PV @ 12.4% NPV in borrowing option Year 0 (20,000,000) (20,000,000) (20,000,000) (15,848,363) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Year 1 (600,000) (600,000) (533,808) Page 375 of 690 Year 2 2,275,000 (600,000) 210,000 1,885,000 1,492,034 Year 3 472,500 (600,000) 210,000 82,500 58,097 Year 4 2,450,000 2,450,000 1,534,973 Year 5 - Year 5 315,000 315,000 Year 4 Year 5 2,000,000 425,250 3,127,250 (600,000) 210,000 210,000 2,035,250 3,337,250 1,275,124 1,860,189 Page 11 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW Machine cost Res value Max deductible 20,000,000 2,000,000 18,000,000 Dep Y1 - initial Dep Y1 - normal Dep Y2 - normal Dep Y3 - normal Dep Y4 - balancing 5,000,000 1,500,000 1,350,000 1,215,000 8,935,000 18,000,000 Cost of machine Percentage Maintenance cost 20,000,000 3% 600,000 1,750,000 525,000 472,500 425,250 3,127,250 Decision: Borrowing is better since NPV is less negative in this case. ICAP WINTER 2013 SUPREME GROUP: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 376 of 690 Page 12 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW ICAP WINTER 2013 SUPREME GROUP: SOLUTION Rental Company (SM Car i.e. 1000 CC) Car Purchase Residual value Down payment (10%) CF other than rental PV @ 12% Total PV Year 0 (1,000,000) 100,000 (900,000) (900,000) (786,515) Year 1 - Year 2 - Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 200,000 200,000 113,485 Since at IRR, the NPV is zero, therefore PV of rentals would be same positive PV i.e. 786,515 PV of rentals DF (annuity of 60 monthly payments) DF (annuity of 60 monthly payments) R = PV / DF 786,515 = [1 - (1 + 12%/12)^(-5 x 12)] / (12%/12) = [1 - (1 + 1%)^(-60)] / 1% 44.9550 17,496 Monthly rental for 1000 CC Car Rental Company (DGM Car i.e. 1300 CC) Car Purchase Residual value Down payment (10%) CF other than rental PV @ 12% Total PV Year 0 (1,500,000) 150,000 (1,350,000) (1,350,000) (1,179,772) Year 1 - Year 2 - Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 300,000 300,000 170,228 Since at IRR, the NPV is zero, therefore PV of rentals would be same positive PV i.e. 786,515 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 377 of 690 Page 13 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW PV of rentals DF (annuity of 60 monthly payments) DF (annuity of 60 monthly payments) R = PV / DF 1,179,772 = [1 - (1 + 12%/12)^(-5 x 12)] / (12%/12) = [1 - (1 + 1%)^(-60)] / 1% 44.9550 26,243 Monthly rental for 1000 CC Car Rental Company (GM Car i.e. 1800 CC) Car Purchase Residual value Down payment (10%) CF other than rental PV @ 12% Total PV Year 0 (2,000,000) 200,000 (1,800,000) (1,800,000) (1,573,029) Year 1 - Year 2 - Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 400,000 400,000 226,971 Since at IRR, the NPV is zero, therefore PV of rentals would be same positive PV i.e. 786,515 PV of rentals DF (annuity of 60 monthly payments) DF (annuity of 60 monthly payments) R = PV / DF 1,573,029 = [1 - (1 + 12%/12)^(-5 x 12)] / (12%/12) = [1 - (1 + 1%)^(-60)] / 1% 44.9550 34,991 Monthly rental for 1000 CC Car Rental per month Insurance (3% of car value)/12 Gross Rental Amount Maintenance allowance Fuel reimbursement Financing of down payment (DP x 13%/12) Total monthly cost for the Company SM (1000 DGM GM (1800 CC) (1300 CC) CC) 17,496 26,243 34,991 2,500 3,750 5,000 19,996 29,993 39,991 5,000 7,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 1,083 1,625 2,167 41,079 58,618 77,158 Total monthly cost for the Company Existing allowance Monthly additional cost / (savings) No of employees Total monthly additional cost / (savings) Net monthly additional cost / (savings) Net annual additional cost / (savings) 41,079 58,618 77,158 40,000 65,000 90,000 1,079 (6,382) (12,842) 80 16 8 86,315 (102,106) (102,737) (118,528) (1,422,338) Allowance vs lease Company should opt for the leasing option. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 378 of 690 Page 14 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW ICAP SUMMER 2016 SILVERLINE: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 379 of 690 Page 15 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW ICAP SUMMER 2016 SILVERLINE: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 380 of 690 Page 16 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 381 of 690 Page 17 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW ACCA F9 DECEMBER 2018 MELANIE CO: QUESTION ACCA F9 DECEMBER 2018 MELANIE CO: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 382 of 690 Page 18 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LEASE VS BORROW Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 383 of 690 Page 19 of 19 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE Contents ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE ................................................................................................................... 2 THE INVESTMENT DECISION ............................................................................................................. 2 PV OF DEBT ISSUE COSTS ................................................................................................................... 3 CALCULATING THE APV ...................................................................................................................... 5 ICAP WINTER 2018 VENUS: QUESTION .......................................................................................... 8 ICAP WINTER 2018 VENUS: SOLUTION .......................................................................................... 9 ACCA P4 JUNE 2018 TIPPLETINE CO: QUESTION ....................................................................... 11 ACCA P4 JUNE 2018 TIPPLETINE CO: SOLUTION ....................................................................... 13 ICAP SUMMER 2022 INFRAPOWER: QUESTION ......................................................................... 14 ICAP SUMMER 2022 INFRAPOWER: SOLUTION ......................................................................... 16 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 384 of 690 Page 1 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE The APV method is used if a new project has a different financial risk (debt-to-equity ratio) from the company, i.e., the overall capital structure of the company changes. APV consists of two different decisions: APV consists of two different decisions: APV Value of a geared project = investing decision + financing decision = Value of an all equity financed project + PV of financing side effects Illustration: Adjusted present value Base case NPV minus: PV of other costs plus: PV of tax relief on interest X Adjusted present value (APV) XXX (XXX) XXX XXX THE INVESTMENT DECISION The project is evaluated as though it were being undertaken by an all-equity company with all financing side effects ignored. The financial risk is quantified later in the second part of the APV analysis – the financing decision. Therefore: ignore the financial risk in the investment decision process use a beta that reflects just the business risk, i.e. ß asset. Find the project ß asset Calculate the base case discount rate = Keu by putting the ß asset in the CAPM formula Caclulate the base case NPV Once the base case NPV is identified, the PV of the financing is evaluated. The financing decision issue costs tax relief As all financing cash flows are low risk, they are discounted at either the Kd or the risk-free rate. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 385 of 690 Page 2 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE Grossing up A firm will know how much finance is required for the investment. Issue costs of finance will usually be quoted on top. It will therefore be necessary to gross up the funds to be raised. Example: The finance required for a planned investment is $2m (net of issue costs). Issue costs are 3%. And the finance raised will also have to cover the issue costs. What are the issue costs and what sum will need to be raised altogether? Solution The $2m is 97% of the amount to be raised: Therefore, ($2m/0.97) = $2,061,856 will be needed. Issue costs are 3% 3% × $2,061,856 = $61,856 Issue costs can be calculated in one stage as: $2m × 3/97 = $61,856 PV OF DEBT ISSUE COSTS As always, calculations involving debt must take account of the tax effects. Equity issue costs Not tax deductible Debt issue costs Are tax deductible Issue costs at To PV of the tax relief (issue costs x tax rate x discount factor) PV of the issue costs (XXX) XXX (XXX) Issue Costs Method: PV of the tax relief on interest payments The PV of the tax relief on interest payments is also known as the PV of the tax shield. The method adopted depends on the information given: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 386 of 690 Page 3 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE Debentures – interest paid at a fixed amount each year Annual tax relief = Total loan × interest rate × tax rate Annuity factor for n years Year one discount factor (if tax is delayed one year) PV of the tax shield XXX XXX XXX XXX The repayments will be made up of both interest and capital elements. Step 1: Find the amount of the repayment Annual amount = (Amount of the loan/Relevant annuity factor) Step 2: Compute the annual interest charge. Example: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 387 of 690 Page 4 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE CALCULATING THE APV Base case NPV minus: PV of other costs plus: PV of tax relief on interest X Adjusted present value (APV) XXX (XXX) XXX XXX Question 01: A company operating in the insurance industry is considering whether to diversify by investing in a project in the transport industry. The company has a gearing ratio of 30% debt and 70% equity, and its equity beta is 0.940. Its debt capital is risk-free. The transport industry has an average equity beta of 1.362, and firms in the transport industry on average have a gearing ratio of 40% debt to 60% equity. The risk-free rate of return is 5.3% and the expected market return is 8.3%. The rate of taxation on profits is 23%. The cash flows of the project after tax will be: Year 0 Years 1–3 Rs (600,000) Rs 250,000 The investment of Rs 600,000 would be financed by Rs 400,000 of new equity and Rs 200,000 of new debt. Issue costs are 5% of the funds raised for equity and 2% of the funds raised for debt capital. The company obtains borrows Rs 204,081 in the form of a three-year amortising loan at 5.3% interest. The risk-free cost of capital is 5.3%. The rate of taxation on profits is 23%. Issue costs are allowable for tax purposes. Required: i) ii) Calculate the base case NPV. Calculate the PV of the issue costs for financing the project. Assume that tax is paid in the year following the year in which the taxable profit occurs. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 388 of 690 Page 5 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE Solution 01: a) Base Case NPV Initial outlay Inflow Net CF PV @ 8% (W1) Base Case NPV Year 0 (600,000) (600,000) (600,000) 44,274 Year 1 250,000 250,000 231,481 Year 2 250,000 250,000 214,335 Year 3 250,000 250,000 198,458 W1: Beta asset = Beta equity x E / [E + D(1-t)] Beta asset = 1.362 x 60 / [60 + 40(1-0.23)] Beta asset 0.90 CAPM (Ke) = Rf + (Rm - Rf) x Beta asset CAPM (Ke) = 5.3% + (8.3% - 5.3%) x 0.90 Ke 8.00% Ke of an ungeared company in transport industry Amount needed Issue cost Amount raised Equity -- 400,000 / 95 x 100 Amount needed Issue cost Amount raised Debt -- 200,000 / 98 x 100 95% 5% 100% 421,053 98% 2% 100% 204,082 b) APV Base Case NPV Issue cost of equity (400,000/95 x 5) Issue cost of debt (200,000/98 x 2) PV of tax benefit of issue costs (W2) PV of tax benefit on interest (W3) Adjusted Present Value Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 44,274 (21,053) (4,082) 5,490 4,410 29,040 Page 389 of 690 Page 6 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE W2: PV of tax benefit on issue costs Issue cost of equity (400,000/95 x 5) Issue cost of debt (200,000/98 x 2) Tax benefit at the end of Year 1 Discounted at year 0 @ 5.3% Issue cost Tax @ 23% 21,053 4,842 4,082 939 5,781 5,490 W3: PV of tax benefit on interest Interest amount (W4) Tax benefit PV of tax benefit @ Pre-tax Kd/Rf (i.e. 5.3%) Total PV of tax benefit on interest Year 2 10,816 2,488 2,244 4,410 W4: Loan schedule Opening Balance (200,000/98x100) Interest Repayment (W5) Closing balance Year 1 204,082 10,816 (75,362) 139,535 W5: Yearly payment of loan PV of the loan DF @ 5.3% (annuity for 3 years) R = (PV / DF) 204,082 2.7080 75,362 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 390 of 690 Year 2 139,535 7,395 (75,362) 71,568 Year 3 7,395 1,701 1,457 Year 4 3,793 872 710 Year 3 71,568 3,793 (75,362) (1) Page 7 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE ICAP WINTER 2018 VENUS: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 391 of 690 Page 8 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE ICAP WINTER 2018 VENUS: SOLUTION Construction industry: - Mobilisation advance - Progress Billings - Retention Money Total contract value 1,000 Mob advance Mob advance (amount) 20% 200 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 SOC 40% 30% 30% Retention Money Bill 400 300 300 1,000 Adv (80) (60) (60) (200) Net 320 240 240 5% Ret. (16) (12) (12) (40) Cash 304 228 228 760 40 Billed amount - is for tax purposes Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 392 of 690 Page 9 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE Particulars Progress Billing (%) Year 0 Year 1 10% Year 2 25% Year 3 35% Year 4 30% Year 5 0% Progress Billing (Rs Mn) Direct Mat Subcontracting Other direct costs Depreciation (W1) Amount subject to tax Tax (W2) Depreciation (W1) 375.0 (250.0) 125.0 1.0000 125.0 (2.12) 150.0 (280.0) (103.0) (137.5) (370.5) 138 (233) (37.5) (7.5) (278.0) 0.8834 (245.6) 375.0 (140.0) (50.0) (103.0) (11.3) 70.8 11 82 (93.8) (18.8) (30.5) 0.7804 (23.8) 525.0 (140.0) (50.0) (103.0) (10.1) 221.9 10 232 (131.3) (26.3) 74.5 0.6894 51.4 450.0 (140.0) (50.0) (103.0) (9.1) 147.9 (21) 9 136 (112.5) 82.0 (22.5) 83.0 0.6090 50.6 75.0 75.0 0.5380 40.3 Year 2 (370.5) 70.8 (299.8) - Year 3 (299.8) 221.9 (77.9) - Year 4 (77.9) 147.9 70.0 (21) Mobilisation advance Plant / Res value Retention Money Net Cash Flows DF @ 13.2% (W3) PV @ 13.2% Base Case NPV W1 Cost Dep Year 1 Dep Year 2 Dep Year 3 Dep Year 4 250.0 (137.5) (11.25) (10.13) (9.11) (168.0) 82.01 Residual value W2 Brought forward losses For the year Brought forward losses Tax @ 30% Year 0 - Year 1 (370.5) (370.5) - W3: Ke of an ungeared company Ke = Rf + (Rm - Rf) x Beta asset Ke = 9% + 6% x 0.7 Ke = 13.2% Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 393 of 690 Page 10 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE Calculation of APV Base Case NPV Issue cost (250 / 99% x 1%) Tax benefit on issue cost discounted from year 1 Net impact of issue cost PV of tax benefit on loan interest (W4) Adjusted Present Value (2.12) (2.53) 0.69 (1.84) 24.01 20.05 W4 Loan interest Year 0 Loan amount Interest @ 10% Tax benefit PV @ 10% PV of tax savings on interest 24.01 Year 1 252.53 25.25 7.58 6.89 Year 2 252.53 25.25 7.58 6.26 Year 3 252.53 25.25 7.58 5.69 Year 4 252.53 25.25 7.58 5.17 W5 Running finance Opening cash Net cash flow for the year Interest payment Closing balance Year 1 375.00 (278.00) (17.68) 79.32 Year 2 79.32 (30.50) (17.68) 31.15 Year 3 31.15 74.50 (17.68) 87.97 Year 4 87.97 83.01 (17.68) 153.30 ACCA P4 JUNE 2018 TIPPLETINE CO: QUESTION Tippletine Co is based in Valliland. It is listed on Valliland’s stock exchange but only has a small number of shareholders. Its directors collectively own 45% of the equity share capital. Tippletine Co’s growth has been based on the manufacture of household electrical goods. However, the directors have taken a strategic decision to diversify operations and to make a major investment in facilities for the manufacture of office equipment. Details of investment The new investment is being appraised over a four-year time horizon. Revenues from the new investment are uncertain and Tippletine Co’s finance director has prepared what she regards as cautious forecasts. She predicts that it will generate $2 million operating cash flows before marketing costs in Year 1 and $14·5 million operating cash flows before marketing costs in Year 2, with operating cash flows rising by the expected levels of inflation in Years 3 and 4. Marketing costs are predicted to be $9 million in Year 1 and $2 million in each of Years 2 to 4. The new investment will require immediate expenditure on facilities of $30·6 million. Tax allowable depreciation will be available on the new investment at an annual rate of 25% reducing balance basis. It can be assumed that there will either be a balancing allowance or charge in the final year of the appraisal. The Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 394 of 690 Page 11 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE finance director believes the facilities will remain viable after four years, and therefore a realisable value of $13·5 million can be assumed at the end of the appraisal period. The new facilities will also require an immediate initial investment in working capital of $3 million. Working capital requirements will increase by the rate of inflation for the next three years and any working capital at the start of Year 4 will be assumed to be released at the end of the appraisal period. Tippletine Co pays tax at an annual rate of 30%. Tax is payable with a year’s time delay. Any tax losses on the investment can be assumed to be carried forward and written off against future profits from the investment. Predicted inflation rates are as follows: Year 1 8% 2 6% 3 5% 4 4% Financing the Investment Tippletine Co has been considering two choices for financing all of the $30·6 million needed for the initial investment in the facilities: A subsidised loan from a government loan scheme, with the loan repayable at the end of the four years. Issue costs of 4% of the gross finance would be payable. Interest would be payable at a rate of 30 basis points below the risk-free rate of 2·5%. In order to obtain the benefits of the loan scheme, Tippletine Co would have to fulfil various conditions, including locating the facilities in a remote part of Valliland where unemployment is high. Convertible loan notes, with the subscribers for the notes including some of Tippletine Co’s directors. The loan notes would have issue costs of 4% of the gross finance. If not converted, the loan notes would be redeemed in six years’ time. Interest would be payable at 5%, which is Tippletine Co’s normal cost of borrowing. Conversion would take place at an effective price of $2·75 per share. However, the loan note holders could enforce redemption at any time from the start of Year 3 if Tippletine Co’s share price fell below $1·50 per share. Tippletine Co’s current share price is $2·20 per share. Issue costs for the subsidised loan and convertible loan notes would be paid out of available cash reserves. Issue costs are not allowable as a tax-deductible expense. In initial discussions, the majority of the board favoured using the subsidised loan. The appraisal of the investment should be prepared on the basis that this method of finance will be used. However, the chairman argued strongly in favour of the convertible loan notes, as, in his view, operating costs will be lower if Tippletine Co does not have to fulfil the conditions laid down by the government of Valliland. Tippletine Co’s finance director is skeptical, however, about whether the other shareholders would approve the issue of convertible loan notes on the terms suggested. The directors will decide which method of finance to use at the next board meeting. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 395 of 690 Page 12 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE Other information Humabuz Co is a large manufacturer of office equipment in Valliland. Humabuz Co’s geared cost of equity is estimated to be 10·5% and its pre-tax cost of debt to be 5·4%. These estimates are based on a capital structure comprising $225 million 6% irredeemable bonds, trading at $107 per $100, and 125 million $1 equity shares, trading at $3·20 per share. Humabuz Co also pays tax at an annual rate of 30% on its taxable profits. Required: (a) Calculate the adjusted present value for the investment on the basis that it is financed by the subsidised loan and conclude whether the project should be accepted or not. Show all relevant calculations. (17 marks) (b) Discuss the issues which Tippletine Co’s shareholders who are not directors would consider if its directors decided that the new investment should be financed by the issue of convertible loan notes on the terms suggested. (8 marks) ACCA P4 JUNE 2018 TIPPLETINE CO: SOLUTION Base Case NPV Operating cash flows before mark Marketing costs Depreciation/Bal charge Amount subject to tax Tax @ 30% - in arrears Add back depreciation Initial outlay + Res value Working capital Net cash flows PV @ 9% Base case NPV Working capital Inflation rate Working Capital Additional working capital 0 1 2 2,000.00 14,500.00 (9,000.00) (2,000.00) (7,650.00) (5,737.50) (14,650.00) 6,762.50 7,650.00 5,737.50 (30,600.00) (3,000.00) (240.00) (194.40) (33,600.00) (7,240.00) 12,305.60 (33,600.00) (6,642.20) 10,357.38 (918.87) (3,000.00) (3,000.00) 3 15,225.00 (2,000.00) (4,303.13) 8,921.88 4,303.13 (171.72) 13,053.28 10,079.53 4 5 15,834.00 (2,000.00) 590.63 14,424.63 (310.31) (4,327.39) (590.63) 13,500.00 3,606.12 30,629.81 (4,327.39) 21,698.93 (2,812.50) 8.00% 6.00% 5.00% (3,240.00) (3,434.40) (3,606.12) (240.00) (194.40) (171.72) 4.00% 3,606.12 3,606.12 Depreciation Opening NBV Initial allowance Depreciation Closing NBV 1 2 3 4 30,600.00 22,950.00 17,212.50 12,909.38 (7,650.00) (5,737.50) (4,303.13) 590.63 22,950.00 17,212.50 12,909.38 13,500.00 Amount subject to tax Carry forward Taxable income (14,650.00) 6,762.50 8,921.88 14,424.63 14,650.00 (6,762.50) (7,887.50) 1,034.38 14,424.63 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 396 of 690 Page 13 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE Calculation of APV Base case NPV Issue costs (30,600/96 x 4) Tax shield on sub. Loan Subsidy benefit - net of tax Adjusted Present Value Tax shield on sub. Loan Loan amount Interest rate Tax rate Discount factor (AF for 4 years @ Kd = 5%) Tax shield on sub. Loan Subsidy benefit - net of tax Loan amount Benefit of interest (5% - 2.2%) Net of tax effect (1 - 30%) Discount factor (AF for 4 years @ Kd = 5%) Tax shield on sub. Loan (918.87) (1,275.00) 716.13 2,127 648.94 30,600 since issue costs are paid out of cash, not to gross up. 2.20% 30% 3.5459 716 30,600 2.80% 70% 3.5459 2,127 ICAP SUMMER 2022 INFRAPOWER: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 397 of 690 Page 14 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 398 of 690 Page 15 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE ICAP SUMMER 2022 INFRAPOWER: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 399 of 690 Page 16 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 400 of 690 Page 17 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 401 of 690 Page 18 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION Contents BUSINESS VALUATION ............................................................................................................................ 2 NATURE AND PURPOSE OF BUSINESS VALUATIONS ................................................................. 2 INCOME BASED VALUATION METHODS ........................................................................................ 3 DIVIDEND VALUATION MODELS ...................................................................................................... 5 SHAREHOLDER VALUE ANALYSIS .................................................................................................... 6 FREE CASH FLOWS TO THE FIRM (FCFF) ......................................................................................... 7 FREE CASH FLOWS TO THE EQUITY (FCFE) .................................................................................... 8 ASSET BASED VALUATION MODELS ................................................................................................ 9 EFFICIENT MARKET HYPOTHESIS (EMH) ...................................................................................... 10 ICAP SUMMER 2015 AJAR CEMENT: QUESTION ........................................................................ 14 ICAP SUMMER 2015 AJAR CEMENT: SOLUTION ........................................................................ 15 ICAP SUMMER 2017 MARS PTEROLEUM: QUESTION ............................................................... 19 ICAP SUMMER 2017 MARS PTEROLEUM: SOLUTION ............................................................... 20 ICAP WINTER 2020 DYNAMIC LIMITED: QUESTION.................................................................. 22 ICAP WINTER 2020 DYNAMIC LIMITED: SOLUTION.................................................................. 23 ICAP SUMMER 2022 PAMIR: QUESTION ...................................................................................... 26 ICAP SUMMER 2022 PAMIR: SOLUTION ...................................................................................... 28 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 402 of 690 Page 1 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION BUSINESS VALUATION NATURE AND PURPOSE OF BUSINESS VALUATIONS Reasons for business valuation This section describes various techniques for calculating a value for the shares of a company, or the value of an entire company (equity plus debt). There are several reasons why a valuation might be required. Quoted companies – Quoted companies already have a share price valuation: this is the current market price of the shares. The main reason for making a business valuation for a quoted company is when there is a takeover bid. In a takeover bid, the bidder always offers more for the shares in the target company than their current market price. A valuation might be made by the bidder in order to establish a fair price or a maximum price that he will bid for the shares in the target company. The valuation placed on a target company by the bidder can vary substantially, depending on the plans that the bidder has for the target company after the takeover has been completed. Unquoted companies – For unquoted companies, a business valuation may be carried out for any of the following reasons: The company might be converted into a public limited company with the intention of launching it on to the stock market. When a company comes to the stock market for the first time, an issue price for the shares has to be decided. When shares in an unquoted company are sold privately, the buyer and seller have to agree a price. The buyer has to decide the minimum price he is willing to accept and the seller has to decide the maximum price he is willing to pay. When there is a merger involving unquoted companies, a valuation is needed as a basis for deciding on the terms of the merger. When a shareholder in an unquoted company dies, a valuation is needed for the purpose of establishing the tax liability on his estate. Valuation models There are two broad approaches to valuing companies. Income-based valuation models which focus on the future earnings or cash flows of the company. Asset-based valuation models which focus on the value of the company’s assets. There are many different techniques within these two broad approaches and they lead to different valuations of the business. All the valuation methods described in this chapter have a rational basis. This means that there is logic to the valuation, and the valuation is obtained through objective analysis and assessment. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 403 of 690 Page 2 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION INCOME BASED VALUATION METHODS P/E ratio method A price/earnings ratio or P/E ratio is the ratio of the market value of a share to the annual earnings per share. For every company whose shares are traded on a stock market, there is a P/E ratio. For private companies (companies whose shares are not traded on a stock market) a suitable P/E ratio can be selected and used to derive a valuation for the shares. A simple method of estimating a value for a company in the absence of a stock market value is: Value = EPS × Estimated P/E ratio. The EPS might be the EPS in the previous year, an average EPS for a number of recent years or a forecast of EPS in a future year. The P/E ratio is selected as a ratio that seems appropriate or suitable. The selected ratio might be based on the average P/E ratio of a number of similar companies whose shares are traded on a stock market, for which a current P/E ratio is therefore available. Example The EPS of a private company, ABC Company, was $1.50 last year and is expected to rise to $1.80 next year. Similar companies whose shares are quoted on the stock market have P/E ratios ranging from 10.0 to 15.6. The average P/E ratio of these companies is 12.5. A valuation of the company might be to take the prospective EPS and apply the average P/E ratio for similar companies: Valuation = $1.80 × 12.5 = $22.50 per share. An alternative evaluation might be to take the actual EPS last year and apply the lowest P/E ratio of any other similar stock market company, reduced by, say, 10% to allow for the fact that ABC Company is a private company and does not have a stock market quotation. Valuation = $1.80 × (90% × 10) = $16.20. Here, a P/E ratio of 9 (= 90% × 10) has been used in the valuation. Another valuation might be to use the EPS for last year and a P/E ratio of 9. This would give a share value of $1.50 × 9 = $13.50. From this example, it might be apparent that the P/E ratio valuation method has a number of weaknesses: It is based on subjective opinions about what EPS figure and what P/E ratio figure to use. It is not an objective or scientific valuation method. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 404 of 690 Page 3 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION It is based on accounting measures (EPS) and not cash flows. However, the value of an investment such as an investment in shares ought to be derived from the cash that the investment is expected to provide to the investor (shareholder). However, the P/E ratio valuation method is commonly used as one approach to valuation for: the valuation of a private company seeking a stock market listing for the first time. the valuation of a company for the purpose of making a takeover bid. The main advantage of a P/E ratio valuation is its simplicity. By taking the annual earnings of the company (profits after tax) and multiplying this by a P/E ratio that seems ‘appropriate’, an estimated valuation for the company’s shares is obtained. This provides a useful benchmark valuation for negotiations in a takeover, or for discussing the flotation price for shares with the company’s investment bank advisers. Earnings yield method With the earnings yield method of valuation, a company’s shares are valued using its annual earnings and a suitable earnings yield. Earnings yield % = Annual earnings / Market value of shares Using the earnings yield method of valuation, this formula is adapted as follows: Market value of shares = Annual earnings / Earnings yield % A suitable earnings yield for a private company might be similar to the earnings yield on shares in similar quoted companies. It might be more appropriate to select an earnings yield that is higher than the earnings yield for similar quoted companies, to allow for the higher risk of investing in private companies. The earnings yield method of valuation is essentially a variation of the P/E ratio method of valuation and is subject to the same criticisms. Example The earnings of Kickstart, a private company, were $450,000 last year. Stock market companies in the same industry provide an earnings yield of about 9% to their shareholders. Using the earnings yield method of valuation, suggest a suitable valuation for the equity shares in Kickstart. Answer If an appropriate earnings yield for Kickstart is 9%, the valuation of its equity would be: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 405 of 690 Page 4 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION $450,000/9% = $5,000,000. However, since Kickstart is a private company, a higher earnings yield should possibly be used for the valuation. If an appropriate earnings yield for Kickstart is 10%, say, the valuation of its equity would be: $450,000/10% = $4,500,000. The valuation depends on arbitrary assumptions about a suitable earnings yield to apply, as well as assumptions about expected annual earnings. DIVIDEND VALUATION MODELS Dividend valuation and growth model: constant annual dividends Covered in the area of weighted average cost of capital. CASH FLOW VALUATION METHOD Discounted cash flow basis A discounted cash flow basis might be used when a takeover of a company is under consideration, to value either (1) the company in total (equity and debt capital) or (2) the company’s equity shares only. The basic assumptions in a DCF-based valuation are as follows. The acquisition of the target company is a form of capital investment by the company making the acquisition. Like any other capital investment, it can be evaluated by DCF, using the NPV method. After the target company is acquired, its cash flows will come under the control of the company making the acquisition. A maximum valuation for the target company can therefore be obtained by estimating the future cash flows from acquiring the company, and discounting these to a present value at a suitable cost of capital (perhaps the acquiring company’s WACC). Discounting estimated free cash flows and shareholder value analysis One way of estimating the cash profits or cash flows from a major acquisition is to estimate the free cash flows of the target company and discount these to a present value. Free cash flow is the annual cash flow after paying for all essential expenditures. This method makes the following assumptions: Free cash flow can be defined in a variety of different, although similar ways. One definition is that free cash flow in each year is the total earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation, less essential payments of interest, tax and purchases of replacement capital expenditure. Another definition of free cash flow is explained later. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 406 of 690 Page 5 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION The annual free cash flows that a company is expected to earn in perpetuity can be discounted to a present value, using the company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) as the discount rate. This discounted value of future free cash flows gives a total valuation for the company’s equity capital (shares) plus its debt capital. The fair value of the company’s shares is therefore the present value of these free cash flows minus the current market value of the company’s debt. This is known as shareholder value and the approach is sometimes known as shareholder value analysis (SVA). Note that free cash flow is based on annual operating cash flows, not annual operating profit. SHAREHOLDER VALUE ANALYSIS Shareholder value analysis estimates a value for the equity capital of a company by: Calculating the present value of all future annual free cash flows to obtain a valuation for the entire company, and then Deducting the value of the company’s debt capital. Value of equity Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 407 of 690 Page 6 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION Measuring free cash flow Free cash flow can be defined as the amount of cash that is available for management to use in any way they want (at their discretion), after all essential payments have been made. Essential payments include payments of taxation on profits, and should also include payments for the purchase of essential replacement non-current assets. FREE CASH FLOWS TO THE FIRM (FCFF) Profit before interest and tax (PBIT) Less: Taxation on PBIT Add: Depreciation Add: Non-cash expenses Operating cash flow Less investment: Replacement non-current asset investment Incremental non-current asset investment Incremental working capital investment Free cash flows to the Firm XXX (XXX) XXX XXX XXX (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) XXX Free cash flows to the firm are discounted by WACC to get the market value of the whole company (equity + debt). Deducting market value of debt will provide the market value of equity. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 408 of 690 Page 7 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION FREE CASH FLOWS TO THE EQUITY (FCFE) Free cash flows to the company (as calculated above) Debt financing cash flows Less: Interest paid Add: Tax savings on interest paid Less: Repayment of loan Add: Receipt of loan Free cash flows to the Equity XXX (XXX) XXX XXX XXX XXX Free cash flows to the equity are discounted by Cost of Equity (Ke) to get the market value of the equity only. A comparison of both the methods FREE CASH FLOWS (FCF) Free cash flows to the Firm (FCFF) Free cash flows to the Equity (FCFE) Cash available for both equity and debtholders Cash available only to the equityholders To be discounted from WACC of the company To be discounted from the Cost of Equity (Ke) MV of the Company = FCFF / WACC Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf MV of Equity = FCFE / Ke Page 409 of 690 Page 8 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION ASSET BASED VALUATION MODELS Asset based valuation models use the net tangible assets of a business as a valuation. Different figures arise from the different valuation placed on the business assets and liabilities. Net asset value (‘balance sheet basis’, taken from the statement of financial position) This approach uses the book values for assets and liabilities. These figures are readily-available from the account’s ledgers of the company. However, non-current assets might be stated at historical cost less accumulated depreciation, and this might bear no resemblance to a company’s current value. Some important intangible assets such as internal goodwill and the value of the company’s human capital (e.g., the skills of its employees) are ignored because they are not included in the balance sheet. At best this method will provide the minimum value of a target company. Net asset value (net realisable value) This method may be used when the assets of the company are valuable, and their current disposable value might be worth more than the expected future dividends or earnings that the company will provide from using the assets. This valuation may be appropriate if the intention is for the business to be liquidated and the assets sold. A company can never be worth less than its break-up value. Example A company has assets that have been valued at $20 million. This valuation is based on the current disposal value of the assets. The company has $4 million of liabilities. It has share capital of 200,000 shares of $0.25 each. A valuation of the shares based on the net asset value of the company would be: $(20 million − 4 million) / 200,000 shares = $80 per share. Net asset value (replacement value) Replacement value measures the value of net assets at their cost of acquisition on the open market. Whilst this is likely to be a more accurate cost than book values it will still undervalue the company as intangible assets will be excluded. In addition, it will be very difficult to identify and value individual assets and liabilities. All asset-based valuation methods can be criticised, because unless there is an intention to sell off all or some of a company’s assets, the value of a business comes from the expected returns it will generate, not the reported value of its assets. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 410 of 690 Page 9 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION THE VALUATION OF DEBT AND PREFERENCE SHARES Covered in the area of weighted average cost of capital. EFFICIENT MARKET HYPOTHESIS (EMH) The efficiency of capital markets and fair prices Investors in securities such as shares and convertible bonds want to be confident that the price they pay for their securities is a fair price. In order for market prices to be fair, it is important that the stock market should be able to process the relevant available information about companies and that investors should have immediate access to this information and act on it when making decisions about buying and selling shares. The efficient markets hypothesis provides a rational explanation of how share prices change in organised stock markets. The hypothesis is based on the assumption that share prices change in a logical and consistent way, in response to new information that becomes available to investors. The speed with which share prices change depends on how quickly new information reaches investors, and this varies with the efficiency of the market. The nature of capital market efficiency There are four types of capital market efficiency: Operational efficiency. A capital market is efficient operationally when transaction costs for buying and selling shares are low, and do not discourage investors from taking decisions to buy or sell. Informational efficiency. A capital market is efficient ‘informationally’ when available information about companies is processed and made available to investors. Pricing efficiency. A market has pricing efficiency when investors react quickly to new information that is made available in the market, so that current share prices are a fair reflection of all this information. For pricing efficiency to exist, a capital market must also be operationally and informationally efficient. Allocational efficiency. When there is allocational efficiency in a capital market, available investment funds are allocated to their most productive use. Allocational efficiency arises from pricing efficiency. Research into stock market efficiency focuses on pricing efficiency. Efficiency therefore refers to the speed with which information is made available to the market, and the response of market prices to this information. In an efficient market, all investors are reasonably well informed at the same time about new developments that might affect market prices, so that some investors with ‘insider knowledge’ cannot exploit their knowledge to make profits at the expense of other investors. If all relevant information is made available to all investors at the same time, all investors are able to make decisions at the same time about buying or selling investment, and about whether current prices are too high or too low. Although the concept of market efficiency applies to all financial markets, it is probably most easily understood in the context of equity shares and the equity markets. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 411 of 690 Page 10 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION The purpose of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) is a theory of market efficiency, based on research into share price behaviour in stock markets. The purpose of this research is to establish the extent to which capital markets show pricing efficiency. According to this theory there are three possible levels or ‘forms’ of market efficiency: weak form efficiency semi-strong form efficiency, and strong form efficiency. Each financial market can be categorised as being weak form, semi-strong form or strong form efficient. In equities markets, the way in which share prices move in response to available information varies according to the efficiency of the market. Weak form efficiency The efficient markets hypothesis states that when a market has weak form efficiency, share prices respond to the publication of historical information, such as the previous year’s financial statements. When the market displays a weak form, it also means that the current share price embodies all the historical information that is known about the company and its shares, including information about share price movements in the past. Until the next publication of more historical information about the company, there is no other information about the company that will affect the share price in any obvious way. The weak form suggests that the current price reflects all past prices and that past prices and upward or downward trends in the share price cannot be used to predict whether the price will go up or down in the future. Share prices do rise and fall, with supply and demand in the market, but the next price movement is equally likely to be up as down. Random walk theory (versus Chartism) A weak form of stock market efficiency is consistent with the random walk theory. This is the theory that share prices move up and down randomly over time, in response to the arrival of favourable or unfavourable information on the market. Random walk theory is opposed to the view that future share price movements can be predicted from patterns of share price movements in the past, since patterns repeat themselves, and historical trends can be used to predict future trends. Some stock market analysts believe that they can predict future movements in share prices from recognisable patterns of share price movement. These analysts are sometimes called chartists, because recognisable patterns of share price movements can be illustrated by graphs or charts of share prices over a period of time. Chartism does not have a rational justification. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 412 of 690 Page 11 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION Semi-strong form efficiency When a market has semi-strong form efficiency, current share prices reflect all publicly-available information about the company and its prospects, in addition to historical information. For example, share prices might respond to a new announcement by a company about its trading prospects for the remainder of the year. Similarly, the share price might also respond to an announcement that the company is seeking to make a new acquisition, or a major new investment. If a market displays semi-strong form efficiency, share prices should move when new information becomes available to the public, but not before. For example, if a company is planning a major acquisition, the share price should not be affected by unconfirmed rumours in the market. However, the share price will react to the official announcement of a takeover bid by a company. It also means that individuals who have access to information that has not yet been made public (‘inside information’) will be able to buy or sell the shares in advance of the information becoming public, and make a large personal profit. This is because the inside information will indicate whether the share price is likely to go up or down, and the individual can buy or sell accordingly. Using inside information to make a personal profit from trading in shares is called insider dealing, which is illegal in countries with well-established stock markets. Strong form efficiency When a market has strong form efficiency, current share prices reflect all relevant information about the company as soon as it comes into existence, even if it has not been made publicly-available. In other words, the share price reflects all inside information as well as publicly-available information. The market is so efficient that all information is immediately transmitted throughout the market instantly, and all investors have access to this same information. If the stock market has strong form efficiency, it is impossible for individuals to profit from insider trading, because there is no inside knowledge that the market has not already found out about. In practice, research suggests that most markets have weak form efficiency, but some well-developed markets such as the New York Stock Exchange and London Stock Exchange are semi-strong form efficient. Example A company decides to undertake a major capital investment. The investment will be in a five-year project, and over the course of the five years, the company’s directors believe that the net profits will add $125 million to the value of the company’s shares. The company made the decision to invest on 1st October Year 1, and the first year of profits from the investment will be Year 2. It announces the investment and the expected benefits to the stock market on 1st December. It is assumed that the stock market investors believe the company’s estimate that the project will add $125 million to share values. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 413 of 690 Page 12 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION If the stock market has strong form efficiency, the company’s share price should go up on 1st October, as soon as the decision to invest is made. The total increase in share value should be $125 million. If the stock market has semi-strong form efficiency, the share price should go up on 1st December, when the investment and its expected benefits are announced to the market and so become public information. (Between 1st October and 1st December, the information is ‘inside information’). If the stock market displays weak form efficiency, the share price will not be affected by the announcement on 1st December Year 1. The share price will eventually respond, after each of the next five years, when the actual historical profits of the company, including the profits from the new investment, are announced. Implications of strong capital market efficiency There are several theoretical implications of market efficiency. If a capital market has strong efficiency: Share prices will be fair at all times and reflect all information about a company. This means that there is no ‘good time’ or ‘bad time’ to try issuing new shares or bonds. Companies will gain no benefit from trying to manipulate their financial results and present their performance and financial position in a favourable light. In a market with strong-form efficiency, investors will see through the pretence and will understand the true financial position of the company. For investors there will never be any ‘bargains’ in the stock market, where share prices are under-valued. Similarly, there will be no over-priced shares that clever investors will sell before a share price fall. If the capital market has strong form efficiency, if a company invests in any new capital project with a positive net present value, the share price should respond by going up to reflect the increase in the value of the company represented by the project NPV. Factors that may have an impact on the market value of shares In practice, research suggests that most markets have either weak form or semi-strong form efficiency. Factors which may impact on the efficiency of the market include: The marketability and liquidity of shares. The greater the volume of shares traded the more opportunity there is to reflect new information in the share price. Availability of information. Not all information can be available to all investors at the same time. Shares which are traded more by professional dealers are more likely to reflect full information as they can afford to pay for better monitoring systems and may have better access to early information. Pricing anomalies. Share prices may be affected by investor behaviour at the end of the tax year. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 414 of 690 Page 13 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION ICAP SUMMER 2015 AJAR CEMENT: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 415 of 690 Page 14 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION ICAP SUMMER 2015 AJAR CEMENT: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 416 of 690 Page 15 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 417 of 690 Page 16 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 418 of 690 Page 17 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 419 of 690 Page 18 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION ICAP SUMMER 2017 MARS PTEROLEUM: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 420 of 690 Page 19 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION ICAP SUMMER 2017 MARS PTEROLEUM: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 421 of 690 Page 20 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 422 of 690 Page 21 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION ICAP WINTER 2020 DYNAMIC LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 423 of 690 Page 22 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION ICAP WINTER 2020 DYNAMIC LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 424 of 690 Page 23 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 425 of 690 Page 24 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 426 of 690 Page 25 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION ICAP SUMMER 2022 PAMIR: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 427 of 690 Page 26 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 428 of 690 Page 27 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION ICAP SUMMER 2022 PAMIR: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 429 of 690 Page 28 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 430 of 690 Page 29 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 431 of 690 Page 30 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | BUSINESS VALUATION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 432 of 690 Page 31 of 31 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Contents MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ............................................................................................................. 3 ICAP SUMMER 2009 MNO CHEMICALS: QUESTION .................................................................. 11 ICAP SUMMER 2009 MNO CHEMICALS: SOLUTION .................................................................. 12 ICAP WINTER 2009 TARBELLA ENTREPRISES: QUESTION........................................................ 14 ICAP WINTER 2009 TARBELLA ENTREPRISES: SOLUTION ........................................................ 15 ICAP WINTER 2009 BANNU HOLDINGS: QUESTION ................................................................. 16 ICAP WINTER 2009 BANNU HOLDINGS: SOLUTION ................................................................. 17 ICAP SUMMER 2010 MK LIMITED: QUESTION ............................................................................ 20 ICAP SUMMER 2010 MK LIMITED: SOLUTION ............................................................................ 21 ICAP WINTER 2010 PLATINUM LTD: QUESTION ........................................................................ 24 ICAP WINTER 2010 PLATINUM LTD: SOLUTION ........................................................................ 25 ICAP SUMMER 2011 ARA VENTURE: QUESTION ........................................................................ 27 ICAP SUMMER 2011 ARA VENTURE: SOLUTION ........................................................................ 28 ICAP SUMMER 2011 URD PAKISTAN: QUESTION ...................................................................... 30 ICAP SUMMER 2011 URD PAKISTAN: SOLUTION ...................................................................... 31 ICAP WINTER 2011 IBN SEENA: QUESTION ................................................................................. 34 ICAP WINTER 2011 IBN SEENA: SOLUTION ................................................................................. 35 ICAP SUMMER 2013 TAXILA POWER: QUESTION ...................................................................... 37 ICAP SUMMER 2013 TAXILA POWER: SOLUTION ...................................................................... 38 ICAP SUMMER 2014 MODERN GARMENTS: QUESTION ........................................................... 41 ICAP SUMMER 2014 MODERN GARMENTS: SOLUTION ........................................................... 42 ICAP WINTER 2015 NATIONAL AIRLINE: QUESTION ................................................................ 43 ICAP WINTER 2015 NATIONAL AIRLINE: SOLUTION ................................................................ 45 ICAP SUMMER 2018 TULIP TEXTILE: QUESTION ........................................................................ 46 ICAP SUMMER 2018 TULIP TEXTILE: SOLUTION ........................................................................ 47 ICAP WINTER 2016 MANGAL LIMITED: QUESTION ................................................................... 50 ICAP WINTER 2016 MANGAL LIMITED: SOLUTION ................................................................... 51 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 433 of 690 Page 1 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2019 YELLOW LIMITED: QUESTION ................................................................... 54 ICAP SUMMER 2019 YELLOW LIMITED: SOLUTION ................................................................... 55 ICAP WINTER 2019 KARAKORUM: QUESTION............................................................................ 58 ICAP WINTER 2019 KARAKORUM: SOLUTION ............................................................................ 60 ICAP SUMMER 2021 SUPERSKY: QUESTION ................................................................................ 62 ICAP SUMMER 2021 SUPERSKY: SOLUTION ................................................................................ 64 ICAP WINTER 2021 ALPHA FOODS: QUESTION .......................................................................... 67 ICAP WINTER 2021 ALPHA FOODS: SOLUTION .......................................................................... 68 ACCA AFM 2020 MARCH WESTPARLEY CO: QUESTION ........................................................... 72 ACCA AFM 2020 MARCH WESTPARLEY CO: SOLUTION ........................................................... 74 ACCA AFM 2019 SEPTEMBER KERRIN CO: QUESTION .............................................................. 79 ACCA AFM 2019 SEPTEMBER KERRIN CO: SOLUTION .............................................................. 80 DEMERGERS ......................................................................................................................................... 82 ICAP WINTER 2012 KLR: QUESTION .............................................................................................. 83 ICAP WINTER 2012 KLR: SOLUTION .............................................................................................. 84 ICAP WINTER 2015 RYAN GROUP: QUESTION ........................................................................... 88 ICAP WINTER 2015 RYAN GROUP: SOLUTION............................................................................ 89 ICAP 2018 WINTER SUN PUBLIC: QUESTION .............................................................................. 90 ICAP 2018 WINTER SUN PUBLIC: SOLUTION .............................................................................. 91 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 434 of 690 Page 2 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Merger or acquisition A merger is in essence the pooling of interests by two business entities which results in common ownership. An acquisition normally involves a larger company (a predator) acquiring a smaller company (a target). Generally, both referred to as mergers for PR reasons: o It portrays a better message to the customers of the target company. o To appease the employees of the target company. An alternative approach is that a company may simply purchase the assets of another company rather than acquiring its business, goodwill, etc. Types of mergers: The arguments put forward for a merger may depend on its type: Horizontal integration. Vertical integration. Conglomerate integration. Horizontal Integration: Two companies in the same industry, whose operations are very closely related, are combined, e.g. Glaxo with Welcome and the banks and building societies mergers, e.g. Lloyds and TSB. Main motives: economies of scale, increased market power, improved product mix. Disadvantage: can be referred to relevant competition authorities. Vertical integration: Two companies in the same industry, but from different stages of the production chain merger. e.g., major players in the oil industry tend to be highly vertically integrated. Main motives: increased certainty of supply or demand and just-in-time inventory systems leading to major savings in inventory holding costs. Conglomerate integration: A combination of unrelated businesses, there is no common thread and the main synergy lies with the management skills and brand name, e.g., General Electrical Corporation and Tomkins (management) or Virgin (brand). Main motives: risk reduction through diversification and cost reduction (management) or improved revenues (brand). Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 435 of 690 Page 3 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Corporate and competitive aspects of mergers Need to decide in an exam question what is happening – i.e. is it a: Merger Acquisition simply a purchase of assets demerger spinoff Management Buy Out, etc. Methods of mergers and acquisitions Though the terms are used loosely to describe a variety of activities, in every case the end result is that two companies become a single enterprise, in fact if not in name, the end result is achieved by: transfer of assets transfer of shares SYNERGY As in other areas of the syllabus the ultimate justification of any policy is that it leads to an increase in value, i.e., it increases shareholder wealth. As in capital budgeting where projects should be accepted if they have a positive NPV, in a similar way combinations should be pursued if they increase the wealth of shareholders. Example: Suppose firm A has a market value of £2m and it combines with firm B, market value £2m, with considerations at current market prices. If the resultant new firm AB has a market value in excess of £4m then the combination can be counted as a success, if less it will be a failure. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 436 of 690 Page 4 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Essentially, for a successful combination we should be looking for a situation where: Market value of combined companies (AB) > Market value of A + Market value of B If this situation occurs, we have experienced synergy, that is, the whole is worth more than the sum of the parts. This is often expressed as ‘the 2 + 2 = 5 effect’. Revenue synergy – Sources of revenue synergy include economies of vertical integration, market power/eliminate competition and complementary resources. Cost synergy – Sources of cost synergy include economies of scale, economies of scope, and elimination of inefficiency (e.g., best practice sharing). Financial synergy – Sources of financial synergy include: Elimination of inefficiency – including inefficient financial management practice Bargain buying: o Tax shields/accumulated tax losses. o Buying low geared companies with good asset backing in order that they may be geared up to obtain the benefit of the corporation tax shield on debt. Surplus cash. Risk diversification – diversification normally reduces risk. If the earnings of the combined companies simply stay the same (i.e., no operating economies are obtained) there could still be an increase in value of the company due to the lower risk. Diversification and financing. Other sources of synergy are surplus managerial talent and speed. The need for a valuation Valuation and the offer price are key issues in a merger or acquisition. When a merger is negotiated, the two companies need to reach agreement on the valuation of shares in each company for the purpose of deciding the terms of the merger. In a takeover: The acquiring company needs to decide what price it is prepared to offer for the target company The directors of the target company need to decide whether the offer is acceptable and whether it should be recommended to the shareholder, and The shareholders in the target company need to decide whether they are willing to accept the offer made for their shares. Types of acquisition Risk profile: Acquisitions might impact the risk profile of acquiring company. There are two aspects to it: Financial risk: the financial risk of the acquiring company might change because of a change in financial gearing due to the method used to finance the acquisition. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 437 of 690 Page 5 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Business risk. The target company might operate in an industry or market sector where the business risk is very different from the business risk profile of the acquiring company. When this happens, the business risk profile of the company will change as a result of the acquisition. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 438 of 690 Page 6 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 439 of 690 Page 7 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 440 of 690 Page 8 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 441 of 690 Page 9 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 442 of 690 Page 10 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2009 MNO CHEMICALS: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 443 of 690 Page 11 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2009 MNO CHEMICALS: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 444 of 690 Page 12 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 445 of 690 Page 13 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2009 TARBELLA ENTREPRISES: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 446 of 690 Page 14 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2009 TARBELLA ENTREPRISES: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 447 of 690 Page 15 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2009 BANNU HOLDINGS: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 448 of 690 Page 16 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2009 BANNU HOLDINGS: SOLUTION SIBBI ENGINEERING (PRIVATE) LIMITED [SEL] Equity of employees of ZEL BoD of BHL Total equity in SEL Value of assets Financed by debt Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 90% 10% 270 30 300 2,100 1,800 Page 449 of 690 Since the company, SEL, is new, the opening reserves will be zero. Page 17 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS OPTION 1: Commercial Bank Gross Profit Operating expenses Operating profit Other income Financial charges (1,800 x 11%) Profit before tax Tax @ 30% Profit after tax Share Capital Reserves Total equity Total debt Gearing % [D / (D + E)] Required Gearing Condition met Year 1 1,060.90 (488.00) 572.90 237.60 (198.00) 612.50 (183.75) 428.75 300.00 428.75 728.75 1,800.00 2,528.75 Year 2 1,092.73 (502.64) 590.09 261.36 (198.00) 653.45 (196.03) 457.41 300.00 886.16 1,186.16 1,800.00 2,986.16 Year 3 1,125.51 (517.72) 607.79 287.50 (198.00) 697.29 (209.19) 488.10 300.00 1,374.26 1,674.26 1,800.00 3,474.26 71% 75% YES 60% 70% YES 52% 60% YES Year 4 Year 5 1,159.27 1,194.05 (533.25) (549.25) 626.02 644.80 316.25 347.87 (198.00) (198.00) 744.27 794.67 (223.28) (238.40) 520.99 556.27 300.00 300.00 1,895.25 2,451.52 2,195.25 2,751.52 1,800.00 1,800.00 3,995.25 4,551.52 45% 50% YES Cash available at the end of 5 years (2,541.52 x 75%) Enough cash will be present to pay off the loan. The owners of SEL do not have to even dilute their equity in this option. 40% 50% YES 1,838.64 (1,800.00) 38.64 OPTION 2: Investment Bank Operating profit will be same as option 1 Other income Financial charges Profit before tax Tax @ 30% Profit after tax Year 1 572.90 216.00 (180.00) 608.90 (182.67) 426.23 Year 2 590.09 216.00 (180.00) 626.09 (187.83) 438.26 Year 3 607.79 216.00 (135.00) 688.79 (206.64) 482.15 Year 4 626.02 216.00 (90.00) 752.02 (225.61) 526.42 Year 5 644.80 216.00 (45.00) 815.80 (244.74) 571.06 Share Capital Reserves Total equity 300.00 426.23 726.23 300.00 864.49 1,164.49 300.00 1,346.64 1,646.64 300.00 1,873.06 2,173.06 300.00 2,444.12 2,744.12 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 450 of 690 Page 18 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Opening balance of cash Profit x 75% Repayment of principal Closing balance of cash 319.67 319.67 319.67 328.70 (450.00) 198.37 Equity at the end No of shares (300/10) Break up value per share 198.37 361.61 (450.00) 109.98 109.98 394.81 (450.00) 54.79 Year 3 1,646.64 30.00 54.89 Year 4 2,173.06 30.00 72.44 54.79 428.30 (450.00) 33.09 So at the commencement of Year 4, the break up value per share is almost Rs 55 which is greater than Rs 25. Hence, the investment bank will definitely exercise the option of conversion. And therefore, the owners will have to dilute their equity. Even the situation is same at the commencement of Year 5, hence equity seems sure to get diluted. Option of Rs 25 is far less than the expected break up value of the Company. Therefore, option 1 seems better in all the aspects: - Profitability - Cash composition - Equity protection Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 451 of 690 Page 19 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2010 MK LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 452 of 690 Page 20 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2010 MK LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 453 of 690 Page 21 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 454 of 690 Page 22 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 455 of 690 Page 23 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2010 PLATINUM LTD: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 456 of 690 Page 24 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2010 PLATINUM LTD: SOLUTION Value of the proposed bid based on PL's current share price: No of shares to be issued to DL (19.2/6 x 7) Existing EPS of PL (231/90) Value of shares of PL (2.57 x 15) Total value of bid (22.4 x 38.50) 22.40 2.57 38.50 862.40 Expected share price and earnings of PL post acquisition Earnings of PL before the acquisition Earnings of DL before the acquisition Post acquisition synergy Combined earnings post acquisition 231.00 58.00 24.00 313.00 Total no of shares (90 + 22.4) EPS after acquisition (313/112.40) Share price of PL post acquisition (2.78 x 18) 112.40 2.78 50.12 Will DL accept the offer of share for share exchange? Existing earning of DL No of shares of DL EPS of DL (58/19.2) P/E Multiple Share price of DL currently (3.02 x 19) 58.00 19.20 3.02 19.00 57.40 Six shares of DL will be taken PL (57.40 x 6) Seven shares of PL will be given (50.12 x 7) Gain in % 344.38 350.87 2% Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 457 of 690 Page 25 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Evaluate the offer of the debentures Share price of DL currently Value of 2 shares of DL (57.40 x 2) Present value of 3 zero coupon debentures Gain in % 57.40 114.79 130.18 13.4% Gain % is more in the case of opting for debentures. And practically, the risk is also reduced because debentures represent debt. Debt holders do not carry risks as compared to shareholders of a company. Hence the proposal of debentures will be looked into very favorably. Present value of 3 zero coupon debentures Redemption value (100 x 3) Redemption at the end of (years) Discount rate PV [300 x (1.11)^-8] Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 300 8 11% 130.18 Page 458 of 690 Page 26 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2011 ARA VENTURE: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 459 of 690 Page 27 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2011 ARA VENTURE: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 460 of 690 Page 28 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 461 of 690 Page 29 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2011 URD PAKISTAN: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 462 of 690 Page 30 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2011 URD PAKISTAN: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 463 of 690 Page 31 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 464 of 690 Page 32 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 465 of 690 Page 33 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2011 IBN SEENA: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 466 of 690 Page 34 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2011 IBN SEENA: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 467 of 690 Page 35 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 468 of 690 Page 36 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2013 TAXILA POWER: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 469 of 690 Page 37 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2013 TAXILA POWER: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 470 of 690 Page 38 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 471 of 690 Page 39 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 472 of 690 Page 40 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2014 MODERN GARMENTS: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 473 of 690 Page 41 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2014 MODERN GARMENTS: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 474 of 690 Page 42 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2015 NATIONAL AIRLINE: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 475 of 690 Page 43 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 476 of 690 Page 44 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2015 NATIONAL AIRLINE: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 477 of 690 Page 45 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2018 TULIP TEXTILE: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 478 of 690 Page 46 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2018 TULIP TEXTILE: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 479 of 690 Page 47 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 480 of 690 Page 48 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 481 of 690 Page 49 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2016 MANGAL LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 482 of 690 Page 50 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2016 MANGAL LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 483 of 690 Page 51 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 484 of 690 Page 52 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 485 of 690 Page 53 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2019 YELLOW LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 486 of 690 Page 54 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2019 YELLOW LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 487 of 690 Page 55 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 488 of 690 Page 56 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 489 of 690 Page 57 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2019 KARAKORUM: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 490 of 690 Page 58 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 491 of 690 Page 59 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2019 KARAKORUM: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 492 of 690 Page 60 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 493 of 690 Page 61 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2021 SUPERSKY: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 494 of 690 Page 62 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 495 of 690 Page 63 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP SUMMER 2021 SUPERSKY: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 496 of 690 Page 64 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 497 of 690 Page 65 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Both sets of shareholders gain from the merger, so are likely to approve the share for share exchange. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 498 of 690 Page 66 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2021 ALPHA FOODS: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 499 of 690 Page 67 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2021 ALPHA FOODS: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 500 of 690 Page 68 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 501 of 690 Page 69 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 502 of 690 Page 70 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 503 of 690 Page 71 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ACCA AFM 2020 MARCH WESTPARLEY CO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 504 of 690 Page 72 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 505 of 690 Page 73 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ACCA AFM 2020 MARCH WESTPARLEY CO: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 506 of 690 Page 74 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 507 of 690 Page 75 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 508 of 690 Page 76 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 509 of 690 Page 77 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 510 of 690 Page 78 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ACCA AFM 2019 SEPTEMBER KERRIN CO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 511 of 690 Page 79 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ACCA AFM 2019 SEPTEMBER KERRIN CO: SOLUTION Cash offer (per share) Danton - existing no of shares (35/0.25) Total cash offer (13.10 x 140) 13.10 140.00 1,834.00 Pre-acquisition valuations No of shares of Kerrin Co (375/0.5) MV of Kerrin Co shares (5.28 x 750) Post tax earnings [381.9 x (1 - 20%)] Current P/E ratio of Kerrin Co (3,960/305.52) 750.00 3,960.00 305.52 12.96 Danton co earnings [(116.3 + 2.5) x (1 - 20%)] Danton Co P/E Ratio [12.96 x (1 + 20%)] MV of Danton Co shares (95.04 x 15.55) 95.04 15.55 1,478.23 Combined Co pre-acquisition MV (3,960 + 1,478) 5,438.23 Post-acquisition valuation Post tax earnings post acquisition Kerrin Co Danton Co Revenue and cost synergies [15.2 x (1 - 20%)] Financial cost synergy [5.3 x (1 - 20%)] Post tax earnings post acquisition Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 305.52 95.04 12.16 4.24 416.96 Page 512 of 690 Page 80 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Combined Co P/E Ratio (12.96 x 1.1) Combined Co post-acquisition MV (416.96 x 14.26) 14.26 5,944.87 Allocation of wealth OLD SH NEW SH Kerrin Co Danton Co TOTAL Pre-acquisition MV 30% premium (1,478.23 x 30%) Remaining premium for old shareholders Total MV 3,960.00 63.17 4,023.17 5,438.23 443.47 63.17 5,944.87 MV of Kerrin Co's old shareholders Existing no of shares Post acquisition share price MV to new shareholders New shares to be issued (1,921.7/5.36) 4,023.17 750.00 5.36 1,921.70 358.24 Danton Co - existing no of shares 1,478.23 443.47 1,921.70 140.00 Kerrin Co will take 140 Mn shares of Danton Co and issue 358.24 Mn new shares of Kerrin Co to the shareholders of Danton Co Share for share exchange ratio (358.24/140) 2.56 Kerrin Co will issue 2.56 new shares for every 1 share of Danton Co. Kerrin Co will issue approximately 18 new shares for every 7 shares of Danton Co. (Multiplying both 2.56 and 1 by 7 to get whole numbers) Value achieved in share for share offer Value achieved in cash offer 1,921.70 1,834.00 Clearly, shareholders of Danton Co will be happy to have shares of Kerrin Co as the value is greater. However, existing shareholders of Kerrin Co will be happy to give cash offer as it increases their benefit. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 513 of 690 Page 81 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS DEMERGERS The aim of a demerger is to create separate businesses which together have a higher value than the original company. Following a demerger: shareholders own the same proportion of shares in the new business or businesses as they did in the previous one. each company owns a share of the assets of the original company. the new company or companies generally have new management who can take the individual companies in diverging directions. each company could eventually be sold separately. the original company may no longer exist, with all its assets distributed to the new business. Selloffs A company may selloff parts of the business for a number of reasons, such as: to raise cash to prevent a lossmaking part of the business from lowering the overall performance business to concentrate on the core areas of the business to dispose of a desirable part of the business to protect the rest from the threat of a takeover. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 514 of 690 Page 82 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2012 KLR: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 515 of 690 Page 83 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2012 KLR: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 516 of 690 Page 84 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 517 of 690 Page 85 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 518 of 690 Page 86 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 519 of 690 Page 87 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2015 RYAN GROUP: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 520 of 690 Page 88 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP WINTER 2015 RYAN GROUP: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 521 of 690 Page 89 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP 2018 WINTER SUN PUBLIC: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 522 of 690 Page 90 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ICAP 2018 WINTER SUN PUBLIC: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 523 of 690 Page 91 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 524 of 690 Page 92 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 525 of 690 Page 93 of 93 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Contents FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ....................................................................................... 3 DIRECT AND INDIRECT EXCHANGE RATES: ................................................................................... 3 MATCHING LONG TERM ASSETS AND LIABILITIES ..................................................................... 4 NETTING ................................................................................................................................................. 4 ICAP WINTER 2018 PLUTO: QUESTION........................................................................................... 5 ICAP WINTER 2018 PLUTO: SOLUTION ........................................................................................... 6 FORWARD CONTRACT ........................................................................................................................ 7 ICAP SUMMER 2008 MOMIN INDUSTRIES: QUESTION .............................................................. 8 ICAP SUMMER 2008 MOMIN INDUSTRIES: SOLUTION .............................................................. 9 ICAP SUMMER 2015 ZAIN EXPORTERS: QUESTION .................................................................... 9 ICAP SUMMER 2015 ZAIN EXPORTERS: SOLUTION................................................................... 10 MONEY MARKET HEDGE .................................................................................................................. 11 ICAP WINTER 2009 QALAT INDUSTRIES: QUESTION ................................................................ 12 ICAP WINTER 2009 QALAT INDUSTRIES: SOLUTION ................................................................ 13 ICAP WINTER 2010 SILVER LIMITED: QUESTION........................................................................ 14 ICAP WINTER 2010 SILVER LIMITED: SOLUTION........................................................................ 15 FUTURES CONTRACT ......................................................................................................................... 16 ICAP WINTER 2017 CPL: QUESTION .............................................................................................. 23 ICAP WINTER 2017 CPL: SOLUTION .............................................................................................. 24 ICAP SUMMER 2018 AQEEQ PAKISTAN: QUESTION ................................................................. 25 ICAP SUMMER 2018 AQEEQ PAKISTAN: SOLUTION.................................................................. 26 CROSS RATES....................................................................................................................................... 28 ICAP 2017 WINTER CAPTAIN (PRIVATE) LIMITED: QUESTION ............................................... 29 ICAP 2017 WINTER CAPTAIN (PRIVATE) LIMITED: SOLUTION ............................................... 30 OPTION CONTRACTS ......................................................................................................................... 31 ICAP SUMMER 2009 DEF SECURITIES: QUESTION...................................................................... 35 ICAP SUMMER 2009 DEF SECURITIES: SOLUTION...................................................................... 36 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 526 of 690 Page 1 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2019 GREENLINE INVESTMENTS: QUESTION ................................................... 37 ICAP WINTER 2019 GREENLINE INVESTMENTS: SOLUTION ................................................... 38 CURRENCY OPTIONS ......................................................................................................................... 38 ICAP SUMMER 2019 ORANGE LIMITED: QUESTION .................................................................. 44 ICAP SUMMER 2019 ORANGE LIMITED: SOLUTION .................................................................. 45 ICAP WINTER 2020 PESHAWAR ENGINEERING: QUESTION.................................................... 46 ICAP WINTER 2020 PESHAWAR ENGINEERING: SOLUTION.................................................... 47 ICAP SUMMER 2022 CM LIMITED: QUESTION ............................................................................ 49 ICAP SUMMER 2022 CM LIMITED: SOLUTION ............................................................................ 51 FOREIGN CURRENCY SWAP ............................................................................................................. 53 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 527 of 690 Page 2 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT DIRECT AND INDIRECT EXCHANGE RATES: An exchange rate is the value of a country's currency vs. that of another country or economic zone. Most exchange rates are free-floating and will rise or fall based on supply and demand in the market. Some currencies are not free-floating and have restrictions. The word buying and selling is always used from the perspective of foreign exchange dealer/bank. The rate at which the dealer buys is the Buying Rate (when a customer receives foreign currency as in case of exports, the customer sells and dealer buys. The applicable rate will be buying rate). The rate at which the dealer sells is the Selling Rate (when a customer has to make payment of foreign currency as in case of imports, the customer buys and dealer sells (applicable rate would be selling rate). Exchange Rates are quoted in two styles: Direct Quote Indirect Quote Units of Local currency per unit of foreign currency. E.g., Rs/$ Units of Foreign currency per unit of Local currency. E.g., $/Rs Buying will be on higher rate. Buying will be on lower rate. Selling will be on lower rate. Selling will be on higher rate. Question: Convert the following quotes into the required currencies: S No Particulars Amount Currency 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Payment to supplier Receipts from customer Receipts from customer Receipts from customer Importer to pay Importer to pay Importer to pay Importer to pay Receipts from customer Payment to supplier 2,000,000 5,000,000 250,000 250,000 600,000 600,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 10,000,000 500,000 USD ER ER ER USD USD GBP GBP Yen PKR Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 528 of 690 Req Currency PKR PKR PKR PKR PKR PKR USD USD GBP USD Rate Rs/USD 102.3 – 102.9 Rs/ER 120.1 – 120.8 Rs/ER 125 – 126 ER/Rs 0.0085 – 0.0084 Rs/USD 101 – 102 USD/Rs 0.009 – 0.0095 USD/GBP 1.55 – 1.58 GBP/USD 0.62 – 0.63 Yen/GBP 140 – 141 Rs/USD 105 – 106 Page 3 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK AND HEDGING: In the case of payment in foreign currencies, there is a risk that foreign currency might be appreciated against local currency. And in the case of receipt in foreign currencies, there is a risk that foreign currency might be depreciated against local currency. How to hedge the foreign currency risk? MATCHING LONG TERM ASSETS AND LIABILITIES A company might also try to match assets and liabilities in the same currency, to reduce exposures to foreign exchange risk. MATCHING RECEIPTS AND PAYMENTS When a company has receipts and payments in the same foreign currency due at same time, it can simply match them against each other. It is then only necessary to deal on the foreign exchange markets (like Forward contract) for the unmatched portion of the total transactions. The company can also invest its foreign currency income in the country of the currency and make overseas payments with these assets. NETTING Unlike matching, netting is not technically a method of managing transaction risk. The objective is simply to save transactions costs by netting off inter-company balances before arranging payment. Many multinational groups of companies engage in intra-group trading. Where related companies located in different countries trade with each other, there is likely to be inter-company indebtedness denominated in different currencies. In the case of bilateral netting, only two companies are involved. The lower balance is netted off against the higher balance and the difference is the amount remaining to be paid. Multilateral netting is a more complex procedure in which the debts of more than two group companies are netted off against each other. There are different ways of arranging multilateral netting. The arrangement might be co-ordinated by the company's own central treasury or alternatively by the company's bankers. The steps to be followed are: Construct a table with companies receiving money down the left side and companies making payments across the top. Enter all the amounts each company owes to the others and convert to the agreed settlement currency. Add across and down the table to determine total receipts and total payments for each company. Determine the net receivable or payable for each company. Note: For converting different currency amounts into common currency balances average of buying and selling rates are used. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 529 of 690 Page 4 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2018 PLUTO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 530 of 690 Page 5 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2018 PLUTO: SOLUTION The spot rate at time t0 is the price for delivery at t0. A forward rate at t0 is a rate for delivery at time t1. This is different from whatever the new spot rate turns out to be at t1. PURCHASE POWER PARITY THEORY: 𝐅𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐬𝐩𝐨𝐭 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐚/𝐛 = 𝐂𝐮𝐫𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐒𝐩𝐨𝐭 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐚/𝐛 Whereas (𝟏 + 𝐢%𝐚 ) (𝟏 + 𝐢%𝐛 ) a and b are currencies i%a and i%b are inflation rates of currencies a and b INTEREST RATE PARITY THEORY: 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐝 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐚/𝐛 = 𝐒𝐩𝐨𝐭 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐚/𝐛 Whereas (𝟏 + 𝐫%𝐚 ) (𝟏 + 𝐫%𝐛 ) a and b are currencies r%a and r%b are the interest rates of currencies a and b Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 531 of 690 Page 6 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT FORWARD CONTRACT A forward contract is a contract with a bank that covers a specific amount of foreign currency for delivery at an agreed date at an exchange rate agreed now. Forward contracts are over the counter (negotiated) & binding contracts. In case a forward contract cannot be honored, it has to be closed out. Close out is done by entering into an opposite transaction of equal foreign currency at spot rate or respective forward rate. The close out gain or loss is received or paid by the customer. Concept of Premium and Discount In case of Direct quote, to calculate forward rate from a given spot rate: o Premium is added o Discount is deducted In case of Indirect quote, to calculate forward rate from a given spot rate: o Premium is deducted o Discount is added Illustration: ABC Limited imports rice from Egypt and then exports it to Germany. The Company has undertaken two contracts for the purchase and sell of rice. Contract 1 Contract 2 Quantity 6,000 tonnes 7,000 tonnes Import price 10.0 EGP / ton 10.5 EGP / ton Export Price 2.80 € / ton 2.92 € / ton Delivery 1 month from now 2 months from now Following are the details of forward contracts: Forward (1 month) Forward (2 months) Forward (3 months) EGP Rs 10 – 11 Rs 11 – 12.5 Rs 11.6 – 12.9 Euro Rs 160 – 165 Rs 163 – 167 Rs 165 – 169 Payment is to be done on delivery. Receipt will be done in 1 month time of delivery Required: Calculate profit/loss over each of the contracts. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 532 of 690 Page 7 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Solution: Contract 1 6,000 tonnes Contract 2 7,000 tonnes Import (EGP) Payment time 60,000 1 month 73,500 2 months Export (Euro) Receipt time 16,800 2 months 20,440 3 months Contract 1: Payment: 6,000 x 10 EGP / Ton x Rs 11 Receipts: 6,000 x 2.8 Euro / Ton x Rs 163 Profit / (Loss) (660,000) 2,738,400 2,078,400 Contract 2: Payment: 7,000 x 10.5 EGP / Ton x Rs 12.5 Receipts: 7,000 x 2.92 Euro / Ton x Rs 165 Profit / (Loss) (918,750) 3,372,600 2,453,850 ICAP SUMMER 2008 MOMIN INDUSTRIES: QUESTION Momin Industries Limited (MIL) is engaged in the business of export of superior quality basmati rice to USA and EU countries. On May 15, 2008, MIL negotiated an order from TLI Inc. (TLI), a USA based company, for the supply of 10,000 tons of rice at the rate of US$ 2,000 per ton. Immediately after acceptance of the order by MIL, the Government imposed a ban on the export of rice. In view of the long-standing relationship, MIL has offered to supply rice through Thailand which has been accepted by TLI. After due consultation with the Thai Company, MIL and TLI agreed to the following terms and conditions on May 31, 2008: The quantity and price per ton will remain unchanged. First consignment of 4,000 tons will be shipped in the last week of June 2008 and the balance will be shipped during the last week of July 2008. Shipment will be made directly to TLI. TLI will make payment to MIL after one month of shipment. It was agreed with the Thai Company that MIL shall make the payment on shipment, at the rate of Thai Bhat 50,000 per ton. MIL has a policy to hedge all foreign currency transactions in excess of Rs. 25 million by obtaining forward cover. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 533 of 690 Page 8 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT MIL’s bank has arranged the forward cover and advised the following exchange rates on May 31, 2008: Spot 1 month forward 2 months forward 3 months forward Thai Bhat Buy Rs 2.33 Rs 2.30 Rs 2.28 Rs 2.26 USD Buy Rs 65.12 Rs 65.45 Rs 65.77 Rs 66.10 Sell Rs 2.36 Rs 2.33 Rs 2.31 Rs 2.29 Sell Rs 65.24 Rs 65.57 Rs 65.89 Rs 66.22 The bank charges a commission of 0.01% on each transaction. Required: Calculate the profit or loss on the above transaction if the shipments are made according to the agreed schedule. ICAP SUMMER 2008 MOMIN INDUSTRIES: SOLUTION Receipts: = 4,000 tons x USD 2,000 / ton x Rs 65.77 = 6,000 tons x USD 2,000 / ton x Rs 66.10 Payments: = 4,000 x THB 50,000 / ton x Rs 2.33 = 6,000 x THB 50,000 / ton x Rs 2.31 526,160,000 793,200,000 1,319,360,000 (466,000,000) (693,000,000) (1,159,000,000) Commission: Receipts -- 1,319,360,000 x 0.01% Payments -- 1,159,000,000 x 0.01% Profit over the contract (131,936) (115,900) 160,112,164 ICAP SUMMER 2015 ZAIN EXPORTERS: QUESTION On May 25, 2015, Zain Exporters Enterprises (ZEE) received an order from Windmill Inc. (WI), a USA based company for supply of 7,500 tonnes of cotton yarn. The price was agreed at USD 2,500 per ton. Payment is to be made within 30 days of shipment. On May 27, 2015, due to fire in warehouse, stock of yarn cotton was completely destroyed. Since ZEE was unable to get the required quantity locally, it offered to supply cotton yarn from Egypt, which was accepted by WI. It was agreed that the quantity and price per ton would remain the same. However, the order would be dispatched in two shipments as follows: 4,000 tonnes on June 30, 2015 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 534 of 690 Page 9 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT 3,500 tonnes on July 31, 2015 It was agreed between the Egyptian Company and ZEE that payments would be made on shipment, at the rate of Egyptian Pound (EGP) 18,000 per ton. ZEE has a policy to hedge all foreign currencies through forward cover. ZEE’s bank has arranged the forward cover and advised the following exchange rates on May 31, 2015: Spot 1 month forward 2 months forward 3 months forward EGP Buy Rs 13.36 Rs 13.45 Rs 13.60 Rs 13.80 USD Buy Rs 101.95 Rs 101.70 Rs 101.55 Rs 101.30 Sell Rs 13.56 Rs 13.65 Rs 13.80 Rs 14.00 Sell Rs 102.10 Rs 101.85 Rs 102.70 Rs 101.45 The bank charges a commission of 0.01% on the transactions. Required: Determined the profit or loss on the above transactions if shipments are made as per the agreed schedule. (05 marks) ICAP SUMMER 2015 ZAIN EXPORTERS: SOLUTION Receipts: = 4,000 tons x USD 2,500 / ton x Rs 101.55 = 3,500 tons x USD 2,500 / ton x Rs 101.30 Payments: = 4,000 x EGP 18,000 / ton x Rs 13.65 = 3,500 x EGP 18,000 / ton x Rs 13.80 Commission: Receipts -- 1,319,360,000 x 0.01% Payments -- 1,159,000,000 x 0.01% Profit over the contract Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 1,015,500,000 886,375,000 1,901,875,000 (982,800,000) (869,400,000) (1,852,200,000) (190,188) (185,220) 49,299,593 Page 535 of 690 Page 10 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT MONEY MARKET HEDGE Future Payment in Foreign Currency Steps Calculate the amount of foreign currency to be purchased and invested. (the amount of foreign currency payment will be equal to Amount of Foreign currency invested + interest to be earned) Amount to be borrowed in local currency to purchase the foreign currency above. (by converting the amount of foreign currency to be invested at spot rate) Total cost will be Amount borrowed + Interest paid Calculate the Effective rate (Total Cost / Foreign Currency Payment) Note: Foreign currency payment will be made by the amount invested. Future Receipt in Foreign Currency Steps Calculate the amount of foreign currency to be borrowed. (the amount of foreign currency receipt will be equal to Amount to be borrowed + interest to be paid). Amount borrowed will be converted into local currency at spot rate. The above amount of local currency will be invested. Total receipt will be Amount of local currency invested + interest earned. Calculate the Effective rate (Total Receipt / Foreign Currency Receipt). Note: Amount of loan taken in foreign currency will be paid by the foreign currency receipt. Illustration: ABC Limited has bought a shipment from USA and has to pay USD 4,000,000 in 90 days. The Company is planning to go for either forward cover or money market hedge: Spot rate Forward (3 months) Tenure 1 month 3 months Deposit Rate 7% 7% Rs / USD Rs / USD 84.5 – 85.0 85.6 – 86.2 USD Borrowing rate 10.25% 10.75% Deposit Rate 11% 12% PKR Borrowing Rate 14% 14.5% Required: Advise the management on the choice of the hedging instrument. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 536 of 690 Page 11 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2009 QALAT INDUSTRIES: QUESTION Qalat Industries Limited (QIL) is a medium sized company which carries out extensive trading (imports as well as exports) with various German companies. The management of QIL is concerned about the recent fluctuations in the exchange rate parity between Pak Rupee (Rs.) and Euro (€). They are considering hedging the following transactions which they expect to undertake, on December 15, 2009: Nature of transaction i) Import of IT equipment ii) Export of sports goods iii) Export of medical instruments iv) Import of machinery Amount € 223,500 € 98,500 € 77,000 Rs 22,500,000 Due date of payment/receipt June 15, 2010 March 15, 2010 June 15, 2010 March 15, 2010 Other relevant information is as follows: i) According to QIL’s bank the following exchange rates are expected to prevail on Dec 15, 2009: €1 Buy Sell Spot Rs 124.22 Rs 124.52 3 months forward Rs 123.62 Rs 123.96 6 months forward Rs 123.21 Rs 123.54 ii) Interest rate on borrowing and lending in respective currencies are as follows: Rs € 3-months / 6 months borrowing 11% 5% 3-months / 6 months lending 6.5% 3% Required: a) Calculate the net rupee receipts/payments that QIL should expect from the above transactions under each of the following alternatives: i) Hedging through forward cover ii) Hedging through money market Determine which would be the better alternative for QIL. (Ignore transaction costs) (12 marks) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 537 of 690 Page 12 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2009 QALAT INDUSTRIES: SOLUTION For exports goods receipts on Mar 15 (Euro): 98,500 Option 1: Forward contract (98,500 x 123.62) 12,176,570 Option 2: Money market hedge Borrow from FC account [98,500 x (1+0.05x3/12)^-1 97,284 Invest FC in LC (97,284 x 124.22) Interest on investment (@ 6.5% for 3 months) Total amount obtained in LC 12,084,618 196,375 12,280,994 Returned to FC account after obtaining receipt Net effective rate 98,500 124.68 Option 2 i.e. money market hedge is better. For payments/receipts on Jun 15: Import of IT equipment -- Payment Export of med ins -- Receipt Net Payment (223,500) 77,000 (146,500) Option 1: Forward contract (146,500 x 123.54) 18,098,610 Option 2: Money market hedge Invest in FC Account [146,500 x (1+3% x 6/12)^-1] 144,335 Borrow in LC (144,335 x 124.52) Interest on borrowing (@ 11% for 6 months) Total amount to be returned to LC account FC to be obtained after 6 months Net effective exchange rate 17,972,594 988,493 18,961,087 146,500 129.43 Option 1 i.e. forward contract is better. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 538 of 690 Page 13 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2010 SILVER LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 539 of 690 Page 14 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2010 SILVER LIMITED: SOLUTION For the transaction at June 30, 2011 Receipt $ 1,224,000 Payment $ (1,347,000) Net payment $ (123,000) Option 1: Forward contract [123,000 x (3.110 + 0.164)] 402,702 3.274 Option 2: Money market hedge Lend in USD (FC) [123,000 x (1+5.8% x 6/12)^-1] 119,534 To be borrowed in LC (MYR) (@ 3.110) Interest expense @ 7.9% for 6 months Total amount to be paid in LC (MYR) Amount to be received from FC account Net effective rate 371,749 14,684 386,433 123,000 3.14 Option 2 i.e. Money market hedge is better. For the transaction at March 31, 2011 Receipt $ 1,020,000 Payment $ (775,000) Net receipt $ 245,000 Option 1: Forward contract [245,000 x (3.030 + 0.071)] 759,745 3.10 Option 2: Money market hedge Borrow in USD [245,000 x (1+7.2% x 3/12)^-1] 240,668 Convert the borrowed FC in LC (MYR) (@ 3.030) Interest income Total amount to be obtained in LC (MYR) Amount paid back to FC account Net effective rate 729,224 12,032 741,256 245,000 3.03 Option 1 i.e. forward is better. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 540 of 690 Page 15 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT FUTURES CONTRACT A currency future is a standardized contract to buy or sell a fixed amount of currency at a fixed rate at a fixed future date. It is the standardized that makes it possible to trade them on an exchange which in turn increase liquidity. Buying the futures contract means receiving the contract currency. Selling the futures contract means supplying the contract currency. Hedge set up (at the date of hedging) Buy or Sell? Do now what has to be done in future. Which date contract to be selected? Choose the one which maturity date is post transaction date and which is comparatively closer to the transaction date too. No. of contracts? Use rounding off principle (actual transaction quantity / standard contract size) Note: In case of indirect currency hedge, convert transaction amount into local currency first, using futures rate. Hedge Outcome (at the transaction date) Purchase / Sell actual transaction quantity at the spot rate on the date of transaction. Close out futures contracts. This is done by doing an exactly opposite transaction in the futures market as compared to what was done at the time of hedging. Close out gain/loss is received or paid by the customer as the case may be. Note: In case of indirect currency hedge, convert this futures market gain/loss amount into local currency first, using spot rate at the date of transaction. Actual outcome is the sum of spot market outcome and futures market gain/loss. Hedge efficiency ratio can be calculated by: Futures market gain or loss / Spot market gain or loss Basis and Basis Risk It is the difference between future price and the spot rate (Basis = Future price – Spot rate). Basis risk is the risk that the price of a currency future will vary from the price of the underlying asset (the spot rate). It is assumed that the difference between the spot rate and futures price (the 'basis') falls over time but there is a risk that basis will not decrease in this predictable way (which will create an imperfect hedge). There is no basis risk when a contract is held to maturity. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 541 of 690 Page 16 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT In the absence of specific information in examination, we assume that Basis reduces steadily/equally over time. Other Important Points A future contract does not result in a perfect hedge (means actual outcome is not equal to target outcome) usually because of following two factors: o Quantity Risk i.e. standard qty under futures contract may not be exactly equal to the actual transaction qty. o Basis risk Note: In case when these two risks are eliminated (Standard Qty is equal to transaction qty & basis is constant), the actual outcome would be exactly equal to target outcome. A future contract involves payment of initial security deposit and periodic mark-to-market settlements. This is done by exchange to manage credit risk. If basis is greater than the sum of borrowing and transaction costs, then arbitrage gain is possible by purchasing on spot and selling in futures market simultaneously. Question 01: Today is Oct 1, 2014. Spot price of Jamal Limited is Rs 7.5 per share. Mr. Kamran wants to buy 3,150 shares of the Company on Oct 20, 2014. The Company acquired shares in future market (in a size limit of 1,000 shares) at Rs 7.6 per share. Settlement date of the future is Oct 29, 2014. Assumption 1: On Oct 20, 2014, spot rates and future rates turn out to be Rs 10 and Rs 10.09 per share. Assumption 2: On Oct 20, 2014, spot rates and future rates turn out to be Rs 6.5 and Rs 6.6 per share. Required: Calculate the net pay-offs in the strategy. Solution 01: Solving assumption 1: Step 1: Transaction in the futures market 1-Oct Future buy -- (7.6 x 3,000) 20-Oct Future sell -- (10.09 x 3,000) Gain received from futures (22,800) 30,270 7,470 Step 2: Transaction in the ready (spot) market 20-Oct Buy shares (10 x 3,150) Futures gain Effective cost (31,500) 7,470 (24,030) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 542 of 690 Page 17 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Step 3: Effectiveness of Hedge Target cost (3,150 x 7.5) Effective cost Net Loss 23,625 (24,030) (405) Step 4: Analysing the net loss -- 2 reasons: 1: Movement in both the markets Change in spot (10 - 7.5) = 2.5 Loss x 3000 Change in future (10.09 - 7.6) = 2.49 Gain x 3000 Movement in both the markets (7,500) 7,470 (30) 2: Unhedged portion (3,150 - 3,000) = 150 shares Loss on unhedged shares [150 x (7.5 - 10) (375) Step 3 is optional, step 4 is sufficient Alternate method of doing step 4 (calculation of hedge) Step 4: Calculation of hedge effectiveness (alternate method) Delta in spot market (10 - 7.5) x 3,150 (7,875) Delta in futures market (10.09 - 7.6) x 3,000 7,470 (405) Solving assumption 2: Step 1: Transaction in the futures market 1-Oct Future buy -- (7.6 x 3,000) 20-Oct Future sell -- (6.6 x 3,000) Loss paid in futures (22,800) 19,800 (3,000) Step 2: Transaction in the ready (spot) market 20-Oct Buy shares (6.5 x 3,150) Futures loss Effective cost (20,475) (3,000) (23,475) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 543 of 690 Page 18 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Step 3: Effectiveness of Hedge Target cost (3,150 x 7.5) Effective cost Net Gain 23,625 (23,475) 150 Step 4: Effectiveness of Hedge Delta in spot market (7.5 - 6.5) x 3,150 Delta in futures market (7.6 - 6.6) x 3,000 3,150 (3,000) 150 Question 02: A company is planning to sell 30,360 shares of Jack Limited on May 10. Spot rate today (April 5) is Rs 42. Following future contracts are available in the market of different maturities. (Standard contract size is 1,000 shares). April May June 42.5 44.2 45.5 Required: i) ii) Calculate the payoffs of the strategy if the spot and future rates on May 10 is Rs 38 and Rs 38.2. Calculate the payoffs of the strategy if the spot and future rates on May 10 is Rs 50 and Rs 50.3. Solution 02: Assumption 1 solution: Step 1: Transaction in the futures market Future sell (30,000 x 44.2) Future buy (30,000 x 38.2) Gain receved from futures market 1,326,000 (1,146,000) 180,000 Step 2: Transaction in the ready (spot) market Spot sell (30,360 x 38) Gain receved from futures market Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 1,153,680 180,000 1,333,680 Page 544 of 690 Page 19 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Step 3: Effectiveness of Hedge Target cost (30,360 x 42) Effective proceeds Net Gain 1,275,120 1,333,680 58,560 Step 4: Effectiveness of Hedge Delta in spot market (42 - 38) x 30,360 Delta in futures market (44.2 - 38.2) x 3,000 Net Gain (121,440) 180,000 58,560 Assumption 2 solution: Step 1: Transaction in the futures market Future sell (30,000 x 44.2) Future buy (30,000 x 50.3) Loss from futures market 1,326,000 (1,509,000) (183,000) Step 2: Transaction in the ready (spot) market Spot sell (30,360 x 50) Loss from futures market Net effective proceeds 1,518,000 (183,000) 1,335,000 Step 3: Effectiveness of Hedge Target cost (30,360 x 42) Net effective proceeds Net Gain 1,275,120 1,335,000 59,880 Step 4: Effectiveness of Hedge Delta in spot market (50 - 42) x 30,360 Delta in futures market (44.2 - 50.3) x 3,000 Net Gain 242,880 (183,000) 59,880 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 545 of 690 Page 20 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Question 03: A company is planning to buy 67,100 shares of Sultan Limited on November 15. Spot rate today (October 10) is Rs 132. Following future contracts are available in the market of different maturities. October November December Rs 133.0 Rs 134.5 Rs 135.0 Required: Calculate the payoffs of the strategy if the spot and future rates on Nov 15 is Rs 128 and Rs 128.6 Self-practice. Question 04: A US Company is expecting to pay GBP 2.1 million by mid of December. Current spot rate is 1.5 – 1.6 USD/GBP. The Company decides to hedge the position through futures contract. Price for future contract is as under: Sep 2011 Dec 2011 Mar 2012 Contract size 1.5552 USD/GBP 1.5556 USD/GBP 1.5564 USD/GBP 62,500 GBP Required: Set up the appropriate hedge and find the hedge outcome if spot on actual transaction date along with future prices are as under: Ready Futures 1.612 – 1.620 USD/GBP December 1.610 USD/GBP Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 546 of 690 Page 21 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Solution 04: Calculation of no of contracts: Required 2,100,000 Contract size 62,500 Required / Contract Size 33.60 Rounded off to 34.00 34 x 62,500 = 2,125,000 Step 1: Transaction in the futures market Future buy (2,125,000 GBP x 1.5556) Future sell (2,125,000 GBP x 1.610) Gain received from forward market (3,305,650) 3,421,250 115,600 Step 2: Transaction in the spot market Spot buy (2,100,000 x 1.620) Gain received from forward market Net effective cost (3,402,000) 115,600 (3,286,400) Step 3: Effectiveness of Hedge Target cost (2,100,000 x 1.6) Net effective proceeds Net Gain (3,360,000) (3,286,400) 73,600 Step 4: Effectiveness of Hedge Delta in spot market (1.6 - 1.62) x 2,100,000 Delta in futures market (1.5556 - 1.610) x 2,125,000 Net Gain Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 547 of 690 (42,000) 115,600 73,600 Page 22 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2017 CPL: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 548 of 690 Page 23 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2017 CPL: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 549 of 690 Page 24 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP SUMMER 2018 AQEEQ PAKISTAN: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 550 of 690 Page 25 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP SUMMER 2018 AQEEQ PAKISTAN: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 551 of 690 Page 26 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 552 of 690 Page 27 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT CROSS RATES A cross rate is an exchange rate between two currencies computed by reference to a third currency, usually the US dollar. The exchange rate for two currencies might be derived as a cross rate. This means that they are not traded directly on the FX markets, but both currencies are traded through the US dollar. For example, if the exchange rate for the US dollar against the Hong Kong dollar (HKD/USD) is 8.1000 and the rate for the US dollar against the Canadian dollar (CAD/USD) is 1.2475, the cross rate for the Hong Kong dollar against the Canadian dollar (HKD/CAD) is 8.1000/1.2475, which is C$1 = HK$6.4930. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 553 of 690 Page 28 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP 2017 WINTER CAPTAIN (PRIVATE) LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 554 of 690 Page 29 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP 2017 WINTER CAPTAIN (PRIVATE) LIMITED: SOLUTION Contract values: CNY (5,000 x 700) USD (3,000 x 92) 3,500,000 276,000 Bangladeshi contract - USD Contract value in USD (3,000 x 91) 276,000 Forward (276,000 x 107) 29,532,000 Money market Borrowing in USD @ 2.75% [276,000x(1+2.75%x3/12]^-1 Convert into PKR and invest (274,115.46 x 107.40) Deposit into PKR @ 6.5% [29,440,000x(1+6.5%x3/12)] 274,115.46 29,440,000 29,918,400 Spot 3 months discount Forward rate 107.40 (0.403) 107.00 In the case of Bangladeshi contract, money market is a better option because our receipts are higher. Chineese contract - CNY Contract value in CNY (5,000 x 700) 3,500,000 Spot rate CNY/PKR: (107.4/6.67) 3 months forward (107.40-0.403) / (6.67 + 0.067) Receipts under forwards (3,500,000 x 15.88) 16.10 15.88 55,586,982 Money market Borrow CNY @ 9% [3,500,000x(1+9%x3/12)^-1] Convert into PKR and deposit (3,422,983 x 16.10) Deposit in PKR @ 6.5% [55.116 x (1+6.5%x3/12)] 3,422,983 55,116,696 56,012,342 In the case of Chineese contract, money market is a better option because our receipts are higher. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 555 of 690 Page 30 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT OPTION CONTRACTS While futures act as liability on an investor, requiring him/her to follow up on a contract by a pre-set due date, an options contract gives an individual the right to do so. Options and futures are similar trading products that provide investors with the chance to make money and hedge current investments. Options are a type of derivative, and hence their value depends on the value of an underlying instrument. It has different types and styles, which can be used for different strategies. Definition of an option An option is something that gives its holder the right, but not the obligation, to take a particular course of action at some time in the future. Typically, an option gives its holder the right, but not the obligation, either to buy or to sell a quantity of a particular item on or before a specified date in the future, at a price that is fixed in the contract. Financial options, commodity options and real options There are different types of option. A financial option is a contract that gives its holder the right, but not the obligation, either to buy or to sell a quantity of a financial item on or before a specified date in the future, at a price that is fixed in the contract. There are financial options in currencies, interest rates, share prices and stock index values. For example, an option in shares of company Z might give its holder the right to sell 1,000 shares in company Z on 31st March at a price of Rs.100 per share. With a commodity option, the option holder has the right to buy or sell a quantity of a specified commodity, such as a quantity of wheat, or a quantity of a metal such as gold or copper. Call options and put options Financial options are either call options or put options. A call option gives its holder the right to purchase the underlying item in the option agreement. A put option gives its holder the right to sell the underlying item in the option agreement. For example, a call option on 1,000 shares in company Z gives its holder the right to buy 1,000 shares in company Z at the price agreed in the option contract, and a put option on 1,000 shares in company Z would give its holder the right to sell 1,000 shares in company Z at the agreed price. Expiry date: American, European and Bermudan options An option agreement has an expiry date, after which the option lapses and the agreement comes to an end. An American-style option can be exercised by its holder at any time on or before the expiry date. A European-style option can be exercised only at the expiry date for the option and not before. A Bermudan option can be exercised on a restricted series of dates. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 556 of 690 Page 31 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT The terms do not refer to the countries where these types of option are available. All three types of option agreement are made throughout the world. For example, if a company holds an American-style call option to buy US$500,000 in exchange for euros at a rate of 1.2000 (US$/€1) with an expiry date of 20 September, the company can exercise its right to buy the $500,000 at the agreed rate at any time up to and including 20th September. However, if the option is not exercised by that date, it will lapse (cease to exist). OTC and exchange-traded options Some financial options are arranged directly between buyer and seller. Directly-negotiated options are called over-the-counter options or OTC options. Examples of OTC options include borrowers’ and lenders’ options, caps, floors and collars. Currency options might also be arranged in OTC agreements. Some options are traded on an exchange. Traded share options and some currency options are exchangetraded. In addition, there are options on futures contracts, and all options on futures are traded on the futures exchange where the underlying futures are traded. BUYING AND SELLING (WRITING) OPTIONS When understanding option contract meaning, one needs to understand that there are two parties involved, a buyer (also called the holder), and a seller who is referred to as the writer. Exercise price or strike price – The exercise price for an option is the price at which the holder can: Buy the underlying item, in the case of a call option, or Sell the underlying item, in the case of a put option. With OTC options, the exercise price is agreed between the option buyer and the option seller. With exchange-traded options, options are available for buying or selling at a limited range of fixed strike prices, and buyers and sellers agree on the price at which they will make a transaction in the options at one of these prices. For example, the following table shows exercise prices that might be available on the CME exchange for US dollar/euro currency options on a day in the past, and the prices of the most recent transactions in those options. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 557 of 690 Page 32 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Rights and obligations of buyer and seller Options are bought and sold. The seller of an OTC option is often called the option writer. Selling an OTC option is often called ‘writing an option’. For exchange-traded options, it is more usual to refer to ‘sellers’ of options, who have a short position in the options. The option buyer or option holder has the right to exercise the option but is not obliged or contractually required to do so. On the other hand, the seller or writer of the option is contractually obliged to sell or buy the underlying item if the option is exercised by its holder. Option premium = option price Options are bought and sold at a price, which is called the option premium. This is paid by the buyer of the option to the option seller/writer when the option agreement is made. The option writer therefore receives the premium no matter whether the option is subsequently exercised or not. The table of currency options above shows current prices for US dollar/euro traded currency options. For example, September call options at a strike price of $1.22 in $/€ were being traded at a price of 0.34. In this particular example, this premium price is stated in US cents per euro. Each traded option on the CME exchange is for 125,000 euros in exchange for US dollars, and the cost of one September call option was therefore $425 (125,000 × $0.0034). Similarly, the premium for a December put option at a strike price of $1.25 was $6,125 (125,000 × $0.0490). Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 558 of 690 Page 33 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Exercising options: Options are in-the-money, at-the-money or out-of-the-money. An option is in-the-money when its exercise price (strike price) is more favourable to the option holder than the current market price of the underlying item. An option is at-the-money when its exercise price (strike price) is exactly equal to the current market price of the underlying item. An option is out-of-the-money when its exercise price (strike price) is less favourable to the option holder than the current market price of the underlying item. An option will only be exercised if it is in-the-money: When an option is exercised, the value of the option is the difference between the exercise price and the current market price of the underlying item. Exercising call options A call option will only be exercised if the market price of the underlying item is higher than the exercise price for the option. For example, a European call option on 1,000 shares in company Z with a strike price of Rs.100 per share will only be exercised if the market price of the share is above Rs.100 at expiry. Exercising put options Similarly, a put option will only be exercised if the market price of the underlying item is lower than the exercise price for the option. For example, a European put option on 2,000 shares in company XY with a strike price of Rs.80 per share will only be exercised if the market price of the share is below Rs.80 at expiry. HEDGING WITH OPTIONS: Financial options can be used to hedge exposures to the risk of adverse movements in exchange rates, interest rates, bond prices and share prices. Hedging with options differs from hedging with forward contracts, money market hedges, FRAs and futures, in several important ways. The hedge has a cost. A hedge should normally be created by buying options rather than selling/writing options, and the option buyer must pay the premium to obtain the options to create the hedge. An option does not have to be exercised. It will only be exercised if it is in-the-money. If it is out-ofthe-money, the option holder will let the option lapse and buy or sell the underlying item in the cash market, at the more favourable market price. This means that an option holder can use the options as a protection against adverse movements in the market rate, but can take advantage of any favourable movement in the market rate. Example: Hedging with options An investor holds 5,000 shares in another company, XYZ, which have a current market price of $6.00. The investor will want to sell the shares in a few months’ time, in April, but not before then. He is concerned that the share price might fall between now and April, but is also aware of the possibility that it could rise. The investor can hedge the exposure to market risk (share price risk) by purchasing a put option on 5,000 shares in XYZ, for expiry in April. Suppose the strike price of the option is $6.00, so that the option is at-themoney when written. If the share price falls below $6.00 before April, say to $5.50, the investor can exercise the option and sell at the strike price of $6.00. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 559 of 690 Page 34 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT On the other hand, if the share price rises above $6.00, say to $7.00, he can let the option lapse and sell the shares at the market price of $7.00. Creating a hedge – The rule for creating a hedge with options is as follows: To hedge against the risk of a rise in the price of the underlying item, buy call options To hedge against the risk of a fall in the price of the underlying item, buy put options ICAP SUMMER 2009 DEF SECURITIES: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 560 of 690 Page 35 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP SUMMER 2009 DEF SECURITIES: SOLUTION 1: Call Option -- American (can be exercised at anytime) a) Now (1 June) Marlet Price (Spot) Ex Price (Cost) Gain b) 30 June (at maturity) -- Close out 170 (155) 15 Marlet Price (Future) Ex Price (Cost) DF @ 14.5% (1 month) PV of gain in 1 month 173.00 (155.00) 18.00 0.9881 17.79 Conclusion in case of call options -- Give preference to close out 2: Put Option --- European -- Can only be exercised on June 30 Exercise price Spot @ 1 June 1 month future 3.50 4.25 Benefit to exercise in the market since both the 4.35 prices are higher than exercise price Conclusion in case of put options -- do not exercise the option Out of context strategy: Ready market -- buy Future -- sell (1 month) Interest cost (4.25 @ 14.5% for 1 month) Arbitrage gain Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 4.25 4.35 0.10 (0.05) 0.05 Page 561 of 690 Page 36 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2019 GREENLINE INVESTMENTS: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 562 of 690 Page 37 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2019 GREENLINE INVESTMENTS: SOLUTION LP1 -- Call Option Strike price = 240 10% gain -- 240 x 1.1 20% gain -- 240 x 1.2 264 288 250,000 x 60% x (264 - 240) 250,000 x 40% x (288 - 240) Premium (250,000 x 7) Net gain - LP1 SP2 -- Call Option Strike price = 16 10% gain -- 16 x 1.1 20% gain -- 16 x 1.2 3,600,000 4,800,000 8,400,000 (1,750,000) 6,650,000 960,000 720,000 1,680,000 (1,000,000) 680,000 142.74 126.88 500,000 x (158.6 - 155) Premium (550,000 x 4.5) Net Loss - LP1 NM4 -- Put Option Strike price = 285.5 10% gain -- 285.5 x 90% 20% gain -- 285.5 x 80% 17.6 19.2 1,000,000 x 60% x (17.6 - 16) 1,000,000 x 40% x (17.8 - 16) Premium (1,000,000 x 1) Net gain - SP2 BD3 -- Put Strike price = 158.6 10% gain -- 158.6 x 90% 20% gain -- 158.6 x 80% 1,800,000 All at maturity (2,250,000) (450,000) 256.95 228.40 300,000 x 60% x (285.5 - 256.95) 300,000 x 40% --- out the money Premium (300,000 x 8) Net gain - NM4 5,139,000 (2,400,000) 2,739,000 CURRENCY OPTIONS A currency option gives its holder the right to buy (call option) or sell (put option) a quantity of one currency in exchange for another, on or before a specified date, at a fixed rate of exchange (the strike rate for the option). Currency options can be purchased over-the-counter or on an exchange. Currency options are traded on some exchanges. Traded currency options are for a standard quantity of one currency in exchange for another currency, and strike prices are quoted as exchange rates. The premiums are normally quoted as an amount in one currency per unit of the other currency. For example, traded options on currency futures for US$ £ are for £62,500 and are priced in US cents per £1. Hedging with currency options The steps for using exchange-traded currency options to hedge an exposure to currency risk are as follows: Step 1: Determine the type of contract – call or put – by looking at the currency requirement in the contract currency. Decide on the exercise price, if necessary. Step 2: Determine number of contracts. Step 3: Buy calls/puts option contracts as required – a company will only buy option contracts for hedging purposes. Determine option premium – usually payable upfront. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 563 of 690 Page 38 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Include the opportunity cost of funds, i.e. assume the company will have to borrow the cost of the options between now and conversion date. Step 4: On the settlement date compare the option price with the prevailing spot to determine whether the option would be exercised or allowed to lapse. Ensure you state this in your answer! Step 5: Determine net cash flows. If the number of contracts required needed rounding then there will be some exchanges at the prevailing spot rate. Gains or losses on options and the effective exchange rate The effective exchange rate that is obtained from a hedge with options on currency futures depends on what happens when the settlement date arrives, and whether the option is exercised or not. Illustration 01: Perfect Hedge A US company expects to pay €1 million at the end of March and buys 8 call options on March euro currency futures at a strike price of 1.2400 US$/€ and a premium of 3.43 US cents per euro. Calculate the position of the US company if the spot exchange rate (US$/€1) in March is: a) b) c) d) e) $1.2000 $1.2200 $1.2500 $1.2800 $1.3000 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 564 of 690 Page 39 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Solution 01: Illustration 02: Imperfect Hedge The Pongo plc is a UK based import-export company. It has an invoice, which it is due to pay on 30 June, in respect of $350,000. The company wishes to hedge its exposure to risk using currency options with an exercise price of $1.50/£. The current $/£ spot rate is 1.5190 – 1.5230. On the exchange, the contract size is £25,000. Option premiums are given in cents per pound. Assume that it is now the 31 March and that UK £ interest rates are 12%. Required: Calculate the cash flows in respect to the payment if the spot rate is: 1.4810 – 1.4850 on the 30 June. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 565 of 690 Page 40 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Solution 02: Step 1: Determine the type of contract – contracts are in £, we need to sell £ to get $ so buy put options on £. Decide on the exercise price – not necessary here. Step 2: Determine number of contracts. $350,000 ÷ 1.5 ÷ 25,000 = 9.33 say 9 contracts. Step 3: Buy 9 June put contracts at an exercise price of $1.50. Determine option premium – usually payable upfront. Option premium = 0.124 × 25,000 × 9 = $27,900. Assume the option premium is payable upfront. $27,900/1.5190 = £18,367. Also include the opportunity cost of funds – final cost of options = £18,367 × 1.03 = £18,918. Step 4: On the settlement date compare the option price ($1.50) with the prevailing spot ($1.4810) to determine whether the option would be exercised or allowed to lapse.Exercise (‘sell the big number’). Sell 9 × 25 = £225,000. Buy 225,000 × 1.5 = $337,500. Step 5: Determine net cash flows. Payments in real world Buy $s and sell £s using options Shorfall Buy at spot (12,500 ÷1.4810) Cost of option $ (350,000) 337,500 ________ (12,500) ________ 12,500 Net payments in £s £ (225,000) (8,440) (18,918) ___________ (252,358) ___________ Illustration 03: Imperfect Hedge Using the circumstances described in illustration 02 above, suppose Pongo plc is also due to receive $275,000 from a US customer on 30 September. Exchange quotes for September option contracts are as follows: Required: Calculate the cash flows in respect to the receipt if the spot rate is 1.5250 – 1.5285 on the 30 September. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 566 of 690 Page 41 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Solution 03: Step 1: Determine the type of contract – contracts are in £, we need to sell $ to get £ so buy call options on £. Decide on the exercise price – not necessary here. Step 2: Determine number of contracts. $275,000 ÷ 1.5 ÷ 25,000 = 7.33 say 7 contracts. Step 3: Buy 7 September call contracts at an exercise price of $1.50. Determine option premium – usually payable upfront. Option premium = 0.08 × 25,000 × 7 = $14,000. Assume the option premium is payable upfront: $14,000/1.5190 = £9,217. Also include the opportunity cost of funds. Final cost of options = £9,217 × 1.06 = £9,770. Step 4: On the settlement date compare the option price ($1.50) with the prevailing spot ($1.5285) to determine whether the option would be exercised or allowed to lapse. Exercise (‘buy the low number’). Buy 7 × 25 = £175,000. Sell 175,000 × 1.5 = $262,500. Step 5: Determine net cash flows. Illustration 04: Imperfect Hedge A company in Belgium expects to pay US$2 million to a supplier in Arabia. It is now November and the payment is due in March. The current spot rate is 1.2100. The company wants to use currency options to hedge the exposure. Each currency option is for 125,000 euros and the value of 1 tick (0.0001) is $12.50. The strike price is of $1.2200 = €1 for the options, and that the premium for a March put option at this strike price is 2.75 US cents per euro. Calculate the payout if: a) the spot rate in March when the dollars must be paid is $1.2500 = €1 b) spot rate in March when the dollars must be paid is $1.1800 = €1 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 567 of 690 Page 42 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Solution 04: To hedge 1,639,344 euros, the company needs to buy 13.1 put options (1,639,344 euros/125,000 euros per contract). The company will probably buy 13 put options. The cost of the premium will be 13 contracts × 125,000 × $0.0275 = $44,687.50. The company will buy these dollars spot at $1.2100, and so the cost of buying the options (in euros) will be €36,931.82. (a) The spot rate in March when the dollars must be paid is $1.2500 = €1 The company will let the option lapse and purchase the dollars spot at $1.2500. The effective exchange rate is as follows: (b) The spot rate in March when the dollars must be paid is $1.1800 = €1 The company will exercise the option to sell the 13 futures contracts at $1.2200. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 568 of 690 Page 43 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP SUMMER 2019 ORANGE LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 569 of 690 Page 44 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP SUMMER 2019 ORANGE LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 570 of 690 Page 45 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2020 PESHAWAR ENGINEERING: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 571 of 690 Page 46 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2020 PESHAWAR ENGINEERING: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 572 of 690 Page 47 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 573 of 690 Page 48 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP SUMMER 2022 CM LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 574 of 690 Page 49 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 575 of 690 Page 50 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP SUMMER 2022 CM LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 576 of 690 Page 51 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 577 of 690 Page 52 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT FOREIGN CURRENCY SWAP A currency swap, also called cross-currency swap, is an agreement in which two parties exchange the principal amount of a loan and the interest in one currency for the principal and interest in another currency. It is commonly used to hedge against currency risk. However, it is also used exchanging two variable rate loans, or fixed rate borrowing for variable rate borrowing. The nature of currency swaps A swap is a contract under which two or more parties agree to exchange cash flows on underlying positions. Currency swaps have the following features: The swap is between two different currencies. One party pays interest on an amount of principal in one currency. The other party pays interest on an equivalent amount of principal in a different currency. The interest rates that are swapped need not be a fixed rate in exchange for a floating rate. A currency swap can be between a fixed rate in one currency and a (different) fixed rate in the other currency. There is an actual exchange of principal. There must be an exchange of principal at the end of the swap, at a rate of exchange that is fixed at the beginning of the swap. (There might also be an actual exchange of principal at the beginning of the swap, but this is not usual.) EXAMPLE: A UK company has taken an opportunity to borrow US$180 million in the bond markets, by issuing a sevenyear bond. However, it wants to have its interest liabilities in sterling, not dollars. It might therefore arrange a seven-year currency swap in which the agreed exchange rate is £1 = US$1.80. For the seven years of the swap, the UK Company will receive fixed rate interest in US dollars from the swap counterparty. The interest received on each interest payment date will be interest for the period at the agreed swap rate for US dollars, on $180 million. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 578 of 690 Page 53 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT The UK Company will pay interest in the swap on £100 million, also at a fixed rate agreed in the swap. The interest received in US dollars can be used to meet the dollar interest liabilities on the bonds. This leaves the company with net interest obligations in sterling. At the end of the swap, there is an exchange of principal. The UK company will receive US$180 million from the swap counterparty and in exchange must pay £100 million. It will use the US$180 million to redeem the dollar bonds. The effects of the currency swap may be summarised as follows: Bonds Currency swap Net effect Interest Principal payments (end of the swap) Pay dollars Receive dollars Pay sterling Pay sterling Pay dollars ($180 million) Receive dollars ($180 million) Pay sterling Pay sterling The effect of the currency swap has therefore been to borrow in one currency, but swap the interest and loan principal repayment liabilities into a different currency. Currency swaps are therefore used to hedge long-term currency risk. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 579 of 690 Page 54 of 54 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Contents INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ..................................................................................................................2 FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS .........................................................................................................................2 INTEREST RATE FUTURES ...................................................................................................................................7 ICAP WINTER 2016 RAMZI CORPORATION: QUESTION ...........................................................................15 ICAP WINTER 2016 RAMZI CORPORATION: SOLUTION ...........................................................................15 ICAP SUMMER 2017 JML: QUESTION ............................................................................................................16 ICAP SUMMER 2017 JML: SOLUTION ............................................................................................................16 ICAP SUMMER 2019 ORANGE LIMITED: QUESTION ..................................................................................17 ICAP SUMMER 2019 ORANGE LIMITED: SOLUTION...................................................................................17 INTEREST RATE OPTIONS .................................................................................................................................18 ICAP SUMMER 2021 ZEBRA LIMITED: QUESTION ......................................................................................21 ICAP SUMMER 2021 ZEBRA LIMITED: SOLUTION.......................................................................................21 ACCA AFM 2020 MARCH BOULLAIN CO: QUESTION .................................................................................26 ACCA AFM 2020 MARCH BOULLAIN CO: SOLUTION .................................................................................27 INTEREST RATE SWAPS .....................................................................................................................................29 INTEREST RATE SWAP: CREDIT ARBITRAGE ................................................................................................33 ICAP WINTER 2008 IMRAN LIMITED: QUESTION .......................................................................................39 ICAP WINTER 2008 IMRAN LIMITED: SOLUTION .......................................................................................39 ICAP WINTER 2016 RAMZI CORPORATION: QUESTION ...........................................................................40 ICAP WINTER 2016 RAMZI CORPORATION: SOLUTION ...........................................................................41 ICAP WINTER 2018 KS LIMITED: QUESTION ................................................................................................42 ICAP WINTER 2018 KS LIMITED: SOLUTION ................................................................................................43 ICAP WINTER 2021 MULTICORP LIMITED: QUESTION ..............................................................................44 ICAP WINTER 2021 MULTICORP LIMITED: SOLUTION ..............................................................................45 ACCA AFM SEPTEMBER 2020 FITZHARRIS CO: QUESTION ......................................................................48 ACCA AFM SEPTEMBER 2020 FITZHARRIS CO: SOLUTION ......................................................................49 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 580 of 690 Page 1 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT The effect of a change in interest rates Interest rates can move up or down, although economists are often able to predict the direction of future movements. A movement in interest rates can affect companies in either a positive or a negative way. If a company has borrowed at a variable rate of interest, it will have to pay higher interest costs if the interest rate goes up, and lower interest costs if the rate goes down. If a company has borrowed at a fixed rate of interest, for example by issuing bonds, it will continue to pay the same rate of interest even if market interest rates go down. However, competitors who have borrowed at a variable rate of interest, or competitors who decide to issue fixed rate bonds after the rate has fallen, will gain a competitive advantage. An investor in fixed rate bonds who expects to sell the bonds before their maturity will also be affected by a change in interest rates. A rise in interest yields will result in a fall in the price of existing fixed rate bonds. A fall in the market interest rate will send bond prices up. Hedging methods Some organisations might wish to hedge their exposures to interest rate risk. They might also want to take advantage, if possible, from any favourable movements in interest rates. There are several ways in which risks can be hedged and opportunities to benefit from interest rate changes can be exploited. Common methods include: forward rate agreements (FRAs); interest rate swaps; interest rate futures; and interest rate options FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS A forward rate agreement (FRA) is a forward contract for an interest rate. FRAs are negotiated ‘over-thecounter’ with a bank. In some respects, an FRA is similar to a forward exchange rate. It is a contract arranged ‘now’ that fixes the rate of interest for a future loan or deposit period starting at some time in the future. For example, an FRA can be used to fix the interest rate on a six-month loan starting in three months’ time. Banks are able to quote forward rates for interest rates because there is a large and active money market, and banks are able to borrow and deposit funds short-term. As a result, if a bank can borrow for nine months at one rate of interest and deposit funds for three months at another rate of interest, it can work out a rate to quote to a customer that wants to borrow between the end of month 3 and the end of month 9. A ‘forward rate’ can be fixed now that will guarantee the bank a profit on the transaction. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 581 of 690 Page 2 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT The features of an FRA agreement An FRA, like a forward exchange contract, is a binding agreement between a bank and a customer. It is an agreement that fixes an interest rate ‘now’ for a future interest period. a) An FRA for an interest period starting at the end of month 3 and lasting until the end of month 9 is a 3v9 FRA or a 3/9 FRA. b) Similarly, an FRA for a three-month period starting at the end of month 2 is a 2v5 FRA or a 2/5 FRA. An FRA is an agreement that fixes a forward interest rate on a notional amount of money. Buying and selling FRAs: FRAs are bought and sold: a) If a company wishes to fix an interest rate (cost) for a future borrowing period, it buys an FRA. In other words, buying an FRA fixes a forward rate for short-term borrowing. b) If a company wishes to fix an interest rate (income) for a future deposit period, it sells an FRA. Selling an FRA fixes a forward rate for a short-term deposit. The counterparty bank sells an FRA to a buyer and buys an FRA from a seller. Notional loans and deposits A forward exchange contract for currency is an agreement to buy and sell currency at a future date, when there will be an exchange of currencies between the two parties. An FRA is different. It is not an actual agreement to take out a loan or to make a deposit. An FRA is an agreement on a notional loan or deposit, not an actual loan or deposit. The size of the notional amount of principal (the notional loan or deposit) is specified in the FRA agreement. How an FRA works? An FRA works by comparing the fixed rate of interest in the FRA agreement with a benchmark rate of interest, such as KIBOR or LIBOR. The comparison takes place at the beginning of the notional interest period for the FRA. c) If the FRA rate is higher than the benchmark rate (KIBOR), the buyer of the FRA must make a payment to the seller of the FRA, in settlement of the contract. d) If the FRA rate is lower than the benchmark rate (KIBOR), the buyer of the FRA receives a payment from the seller of the FRA, in settlement of the contract. The amount of the payment is calculated from the difference between the FRA rate and the benchmark rate (LIBOR rate), applied to the notional principal amount for the FRA and calculated for the length of the interest period in the agreement. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 582 of 690 Page 3 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT EXAMPLE: Suppose that a company knows that it will need to borrow Rs.5 million in three months’ time for a period of six months. The company can hedge its exposure to the risk of a rise in the six-month interest rate by buying a 3 v 9 FRA for a notional principal amount of Rs.5 million. If the bank’s FRA rates for 3 v 9 FRAs are 5.40 – 5.36, the rate applied to the agreement will be 5.40%. The company has fixed the rate that it will pay on the loan at 5.4%. Settlement of the FRA Suppose that at the end of month 3, six-month KIBOR is 6.25%. The FRA is settled by a payment from the bank (seller) to the buyer of the FRA. The difference between the FRA rate and KIBOR is 0.85%. The payment to settle the FRA will therefore be based on an interest difference of: 0.85% × Rs.5 million × 6/12 = Rs.21,250. The actual payment will be less than this, because the FRA is settled immediately, at the beginning of the notional interest period, and not at the end of the period. The Rs.21,250 is therefore discounted from an end-of-interest period value to a start-of-interest period value, using the reference rate of interest as the discount rate. This PV is the amount received in settlement of the FRA. Suppose that at the end of month 3, six-month KIBOR is 4.75%. The FRA is settled by a payment from the buyer of the FRA to the bank (seller). The difference between the FRA rate and KIBOR is 0.65%. The payment to settle the FRA will therefore be based on this interest rate difference: 0.65% × Rs.5 million × 6/12 = Rs.16,250. Again, because the payment is at the beginning of the interest period and not at the end of the period, the Rs.16,250 is discounted to a present value at the reference rate of interest. This PV is the amount of the payment in settlement of the FRA. Conclusion: using an FRA to hedge an interest rate risk exposure An FRA can therefore be used by a borrower to hedge an exposure to a future increase in the spot interest rate, or to protect a depositor against a future fall in the interest rate. However, the user of an FRA cannot benefit from any favourable movement in the interest rate, because the FRA fixes the rate and is a binding contract. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 583 of 690 Page 4 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Question 01: A company knows that it will need to borrow £10 million in three months for a twelve-month period. It can borrow funds at LIBOR +50 basis points. LIBOR rates today are at 5% but the Company’s treasurer expects rates to go up to about 6% over the next few weeks. So the treasurer is concerned that the Company will be forced to borrow at higher rates unless some sort of hedge is transacted to protect the borrowing requirement. The treasurer decides to buy a 3-y-15 (‘three fifteens’) FRA to cover the twelve-month period beginning three months from now. A bank quotes 5½% for the FRA which the Company buys for a notional £10 million. Three months from now rates have indeed gone up to 6% so the treasurer must borrow funds at 6½% (the LIBOR rate plus spread). However, the Company will receive a settlement amount. Required: Results of FRA and effective rate of financing. Solution 01: Interest expense paid to the borrowing bank [10 million x 6.5%] Received from FRA bank Net cost of borrowing Effective rate of financing [600,000 / 10 million] [6% = 5.5% FRA and 0.5% spread] (650,000) 50,000 (600,000) 6% Question 02: A company might wish to borrow £10 million in six months’ time for a three-month period. It can normally borrow from its bank at LIBOR +0.50%. The current three-month LIBOR rate is 5.25% but the Company is worried about the risk of a sharp rise in interest rates in the future. A bank quotes FRA rates of: 3-v-9: 5.45% – 5.40% 6-v-9: 5.30% – 5.25% Required: a) How should the Company establish a hedge against its interest rate risk using an FRA? b) Suppose that at settlement date for the FRA, the LIBOR reference rate is fixed at 6.5%. What will be the effective borrowing rate for the Company? Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 584 of 690 Page 5 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Solution 02: Interest cost [10 million x (6.5% + 0.5%) x 3/12] Settlement of FRA [10 million x (6.5% - 5.3%) x 3/12] Net borrowing cost for 3 months Effective rate [145,000 / 10,000,000 x 12/3] [5.8% = 5.3% FRA + 0.5% Spread] (175,000) 30,000 145,000 5.8% Question 03: ACCA F9 DECEMBER 2015 GXJ Co, whose home currency is the dollar, wishes to borrow €12 million for a period of six months in three months’ time. The lending bank will fix the interest rate for the loan period at its prevailing lending interest rate when the loan is taken out. The finance director of GXJ Co believes this lending interest rate could be a minimum of 3·5% per year or a maximum of 5·5% per year. Interest on the euro loan would be payable at the end of the loan period. The finance director of GXJ Co would like to hedge the interest rate risk arising from the future loan and the company’s bank has offered a 3–9, 4·5%–3·5% forward rate agreement. Required: Evaluate the proposed forward rate agreement as a way of managing the interest rate risk anticipated by GXJ Co. (3 marks) Solution 03: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 585 of 690 Page 6 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT INTEREST RATE FUTURES An interest rate future is a financial derivative that allows exposure to changes in interest rates, where the price moves inversely to interest rates. These are futures contracts based on an interest-bearing financial instrument. Most often, futures are cash-settled. Like many other derivatives, futures contracts can be used for hedging or speculative purposes. Prices The futures price for interest rate futures is the annual interest rate. However, the rate is deducted from 100, which means that: A rate of 4% per year is indicated by a futures price of 96.0000 (100 – 4) A rate of 5.2175% is indicated by a futures price of 94.7825 A price of 93.5618 represents an annual interest rate for the three-month deposit of 6.4382%. A reason for pricing STIRs in this way is that: when interest rates go up, the value of a future will fall, and when interest rates fall, the price of the future will rise. Hedging short-term interest rate exposures with interest rate futures Interest rate futures can be used to hedge exposures to the risk of a rise or fall in short-term interest rates. Using short-term interest rate futures is similar to using currency futures to hedge a currency exposure. However, the following rules need to be applied. If the aim is to hedge against the risk of an increase in the short-term interest rate, the hedge is created by selling futures. If the interest rate does go up, futures prices will fall, and there will be a profit on the short position in STIRs If the aim is to hedge the risk of a fall in the short-term interest rate, the hedge is created by buying futures. If the interest rate does fall, futures prices will go up. Interest rate futures are futures for three-month deposits. If a company wishes to hedge an interest rate risk for a different interest period, such as two months, four months or six months, the number of futures to create the hedge should be adjusted by a factor: (Interest period to be hedged/3 months). Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 586 of 690 Page 7 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Illustration 01: Global Inc wishes to borrow €9,000,000 for one month starting in 5 weeks’ time. Calculate the number of contracts required (Note: one 3-months contract is for €1,000,000). Solution 01: Number of contracts = (9,000,000/1,000,000 ) × 1/3 = 3 Illustration 02: It is now the end of July. A company expects to borrow £10.5 million for two months from the end of October, in three months’ time and is concerned about the risk of a rise in the sterling interest rate. It decides to hedge the exposure with sterling futures. Each future is for a three-month deposit of £500,000. Required: Calculate the number of contracts required. Solution 02: Number of contracts = (10,500,000/500,000) x (2 months/3 months) = 14 contracts Illustration 03: A company will need to borrow 8 million euros from the end of May. It is now January. The company is concerned about the risk of a rise in the euro interest rate and it wishes to hedge its position with futures. The current spot euro interest rate is 3.50% (for both three months and six months) and the current June futures price is the same, 96.50. The value of 1 tick for futures contract is €25 (€1,000,000 × 0.0001 × 3/12). Required How should the company hedge its interest rate exposure if it plans to borrow the 8 million euros for three months. Suppose that in May when the company borrows the 8 million euros, the three-month and six-month spot rate is 4.25% and the June futures price is the same, 95.75 (100 – 4.25). Calculate the effective annual interest rate that the company has secured with its futures hedge if it borrows the 8 million euros for three months. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 587 of 690 Page 8 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Solution 03: Illustration 04: A company will need to borrow 8 million euros from the end of May. It is now January. The company is concerned about the risk of a rise in the euro interest rate and it wishes to hedge its position with futures. The current spot rate is 3.50% (for both three months and six months) and the current June futures price is the same, 96.50. The value of 1 tick for a 433urodol futures contract is: €25 (€1,000,000 × 0.0001 × 3/12). Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 588 of 690 Page 9 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Required How should the company hedge its interest rate exposure if it plans to borrow the 8 million euros for six months. Suppose that in May when the company borrows the 8 million euros, the three-month and six-month spot 433urodol rate is 4.25% and the June futures price is the same, 95.75 (100 – 4.25). Calculate the effective annual interest rate that the company has secured with its futures hedge if it borrows the 8 million euros for six months. Solution 04: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 589 of 690 Page 10 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Illustration 05: A UK company will need to borrow £4.75 million for three months from the beginning of September. It is now April. The company is concerned about the risk of a rise in the LIBOR rate and wishes to hedge its position with futures. The current spot three-month LIBOR 5.45% and the current futures price is the same, 94.55. Required: How should a hedge for the interest rate exposure be created, and what will be the effective interest rate for the loan from September if the spot LIBOR rate is 5.14% in early September and the September futures price is the same, 94.86? The value of one tick for a ‘short sterling’ future is £12.50 (£500,000 × 0.0001 × 3/12). Solution 05: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 590 of 690 Page 11 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Illustration 06: A company will need to borrow US$20 million for three months from the end of October. It is now the end of June. The company is concerned about the risk of a rise in the US$ LIBOR rate and wishes to hedge its position with futures. The current spot three-month US$ LIBOR is 4.30% and the current December futures price is 96.30. The value of 1 tick for a future is $25 (1,000,000 US$ x 0.0001 x 3/12). Required: How should a hedge for the interest rate exposure be created, and what will be the effective interest rate for the loan from October if the spot US$ LIBOR rate is 4.10% and the December futures price at this date is 96.06? Solution 06: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 591 of 690 Page 12 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Illustration 07: A company will need to borrow £60 million for four months from the end of April. It is now the end of November. The company is concerned about the risk of a rise in the LIBOR rate and wishes to hedge its position with futures. The current spot three-month LIBOR is 5.50% and the current June sterling interest rate futures price is 94.85. The company is able to borrow at LIBOR + 0.75%. One tick is 0.01% and the value of a tick is £6.25. The nominal three-month deposit in a sterling futures contract is £500,000. Required How should a hedge for the interest rate exposure be created? What will be the actual effective cost of borrowing the £60 million at the end of April if LIBOR at that time is 5.25%? What will be the actual effective cost of borrowing the £60 million at the end of April if LIBOR at that time is 5.75%? Solution 07: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 592 of 690 Page 13 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 593 of 690 Page 14 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2016 RAMZI CORPORATION: QUESTION ICAP WINTER 2016 RAMZI CORPORATION: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 594 of 690 Page 15 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP SUMMER 2017 JML: QUESTION ICAP SUMMER 2017 JML: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 595 of 690 Page 16 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP SUMMER 2019 ORANGE LIMITED: QUESTION ICAP SUMMER 2019 ORANGE LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 596 of 690 Page 17 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT INTEREST RATE OPTIONS Interest rate options are financial derivatives that allow investors to hedge or speculate on the directional moves in interest rates. An interest rate option gives a buyer the time-limited right to take delivery of an interest rate product at a pre-set rate in the future, in exchange for a premium. Interest rate options are cash settled, which is the difference between the exercise strike price of the option, and the exercise settlement value determined by the prevailing spot yield. Features of interest rate options An interest rate option grants the buyer of the option the right, but not the obligation, to deal at an agreed interest rate at a future maturity date. On the date of expiry of the option, the buyer must decide whether or not to exercise the right. An interest rate option is an option on a notional loan or deposit (or an option on an interest rate future), where the loan or deposit period begins: On the expiry date for the option for a European-style option; or On or before the expiry date for the option, for an American-style option. The option guarantees a maximum or a minimum rate of interest for the option holder, and interest rate options are therefore sometimes called interest rate guarantees or IRGs. A call option is the right to buy (in this case to receive interest at the specified rate). It guarantees a maximum rate of interest. A put option is the right to sell (that is, the right to pay interest at the specified rate). It guarantees a minimum rate of interest. The maximum or minimum rate of interest guaranteed by the option is the strike rate for the option, in comparison with an agreed benchmark rate of interest, such as LIBOR or euribor. An interest rate option is for a notional loan or deposit. If it is exercised, an actual loan or deposit is not created. Instead, the option is ‘cash-settled’ by a payment from the writer of the option to the option holder. Types of interest rate option Many interest rate options are arranged over-the-counter (OTC). These include: Borrowers’ options and lenders’ options; and Caps, floors and collars. Options on interest rate futures are traded on the futures exchanges where the interest rate futures are also traded. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 597 of 690 Page 18 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Borrowers’ options A borrower’s option guarantees a maximum borrowing rate for the option holder. The strike rate for the option is compared with an agreed reference rate or benchmark interest rate, such as LIBOR. It the reference rate of interest is higher than the strike rate when the option reaches expiry, the option will be exercised. The option writer must make a payment to the option holder for the difference between the actual interest rate (reference rate) and the strike rate for the option. It the reference rate of interest is lower than the strike rate when the option reaches expiry, the option holder will let the option lapse. The premium for the option might be expressed either: As an actual percentage of the notional principal amount, or As an annual rate of interest on the notional principal amount. A borrower’s option can be used to fix a maximum effective borrowing rate for a future short-term loan, but allow the option holder to benefit from any fall in the interest rate up to the expiry date for the option. EXAMPLE: Borrower’s Options A company intends to borrow US$10 million in four months’ time for a period of three months, but is concerned about the volatility of the US dollar LIBOR rate. The three-month US$ LIBOR rate is currently 3.75%, but might go up or down in the next four months. The company therefore takes out a borrower’s option with a strike rate of 4% for a notional three-month loan of US$10 million. The expiry date is in four months’ time. The option premium is the equivalent of 0.5% per annum of the notional principal. For simplicity, we shall suppose that the company is able to borrow at the US dollar LIBOR rate. (a) If the three-month US dollar LIBOR rate is higher than the option strike rate at expiry, the option will be exercised. If the three-month LIBOR rate is 6%, the company will exercise the option, and the option writer will pay the option holder an amount equal to the difference between the strike rate for the option (4%) and the reference rate (6%). The payment will be based on 2% of $10 million for three months. (This payment is discounted because a borrower’s option is settled at the beginning of the notional interest period, and not at the end of the interest period). (b) If the three-month US dollar LIBOR rate is lower than the option strike rate at expiry, the option will not be exercised. For example, if the LIBOR rate after four months is 3%, the option will not be exercised and will lapse. These possible outcomes are summarised in the table below, assuming (for the purpose of illustration) a spot LIBOR rate at the option expiry date of (a) 6% and (b) 3%. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 598 of 690 Page 19 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT If the borrower can borrow at the reference rate of interest, a borrower’s option sets the maximum borrowing cost at the strike rate plus the option premium cost. Lenders’ options A lender’s option guarantees a minimum deposit rate (savings rate) for the option holder. In all other respects, it is similar to a borrower’s option. The strike rate for the option is compared with an agreed reference rate or benchmark interest rate, such as LIBOR. If the reference rate of interest is lower than the strike rate when the option reaches expiry, the option will be exercised. The option writer must make a payment to the option holder for the difference between the actual interest rate (reference rate) and the strike rate for the option. If the reference rate of interest is higher than the strike rate when the option reaches expiry, the option holder will let the option lapse. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 599 of 690 Page 20 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP SUMMER 2021 ZEBRA LIMITED: QUESTION ICAP SUMMER 2021 ZEBRA LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 600 of 690 Page 21 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 601 of 690 Page 22 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 602 of 690 Page 23 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 603 of 690 Page 24 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 604 of 690 Page 25 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ACCA AFM 2020 MARCH BOULLAIN CO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 605 of 690 Page 26 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ACCA AFM 2020 MARCH BOULLAIN CO: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 606 of 690 Page 27 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 607 of 690 Page 28 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT INTEREST RATE SWAPS Interest rate swaps (IRS) are the exchange of one set of cash flows for another. Because they trade overthe-counter (OTC), the contracts are between two or more parties according to their desired specifications and can be customized in many different ways. The features of an interest rate swap An interest rate swap is an agreement between two parties, such as a company and a bank that deals in swaps, for a period of time that is usually several years. Swaps are therefore usually long-term agreements on interest rates. In a swap agreement, the parties agree to exchange ‘interest payments’ on a notional amount of principal, at agreed dates throughout the term of the agreement. The interest rate payments that are exchanged in a ‘coupon swap’ are as follows: One party to the swap pays a fixed rate (the swap rate). The other party pays interest at a reference rate or benchmark rate for the interest period, such as KIBOR. The purpose of an interest rate swap is to: swap a variable rate of interest payment (or receipt) into a fixed interest rate payment (or receipt); or swap a fixed rate of interest payment (or receipt) into a variable rate of interest payment (or receipt). Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 608 of 690 Page 29 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Example: ’plain-vanilla-swap’ A company arranges a four-year swap with a bank, with the notional principal amount of Rs.20 million under the following terms: The company pays fixed interest on the Rs.20 million every 6m at say, 4.25% The bank pays interest on the Rs.20 million every 6m at the six-month KIBOR rate for that period. The payment dates coincide so the swap payments are simply settled by a net payment for the difference in rates from one party to the other. There will be eight exchanges of interest payments over the life of the four-year swap but there is never an exchange of principal). If the 6m KIBOR rate for a period = 5.00% The bank pays the company 0.75% interest (5.00% – 4.25%) on Rs.20 million for 6m. If the 6m KIBOR rate for a period = 3.00% The company pays the bank 1.25% interest (4.25% - 3.00%) on Rs.20 million for six months. The payments in a plain vanilla swap are at the end of each notional interest period, therefore the amounts payable are not discounted (unlike an FRA). The advantage of using swaps is that a company can alter its net liabilities from fixed to floating rate or floating to fixed rate, without having to alter or re-negotiate its actual loans or bond issues. For example, a company with fixed rate bonds can swap from fixed to floating rate liabilities with a swap, without having to redeem the bonds early and negotiate a floating rate loan with a bank. Example: Interest rate swap A company borrows from its bank for five years at KIBOR plus 150 basis points. It wants its interest rate liabilities to be fixed, so it makes a five-year swap transaction with a bank, in which it pays a fixed rate of 5.8% and receives KIBOR. As a result of the swap, the company’s net interest obligations are fixed at 7.3%. Loan payments (KIBOR + 1.50%) Swap Receive the floating Pay the fixed Net interest cost KIBOR (5.80%) (7.30%) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 609 of 690 Page 30 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT The effect of a coupon swap In a coupon swap, one party pays a fixed rate of interest and the other pays ‘the floating’, which is the variable reference rate of interest, such as six-month KIBOR. For a company with a loan or bonds in issue, the effect of arranging a swap can therefore be: to swap from floating rate liabilities to fixed rate liabilities, or to swap from fixed rate interest liabilities to floating rate liabilities. Example: Floating to fixed interest rate swap A company has a bank loan of £10 million on which it pays variable rate interest at KIBOR + 1%. The loan has five more years to maturity. The company is worried about the risk that interest rates will soon rise, and it wants to set a limit on its interest costs. It might therefore arrange a five-year swap with a bank, with swap settlemts to coincide with the interest payments on its bank loan. The bank might quote rates of 5.34 – 5.39 for a five-year swap in sterling. Under the SWAP the company will receive the floating rate to offset the floating rate payments on its bank loan and will pay fixed rate of 5.39%. The swap therefore alters the net interest payments for the company as follows: The company had a floating rate liability of KIBOR + 1%, and has now changed this into a net fixed interest liability of 6.39%. On each interest payment date, the company will pay KIBOR + 1% in interest on its bank loan, and under the swap agreement will receive or pay the difference between KIBOR for the period and the fixed rate of 5.39%. The company might subsequently change its mind. For example, after two years, it might decide that it wants a floating rate liability again. If so, it can go back to a floating rate liability by arranging with the bank to cancel the swap and agreeing a cancellation payment (for the value of the swap at the date of cancellation). It can be easier to see how a swap works by considering cash flows. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 610 of 690 Page 31 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 611 of 690 Page 32 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Fixed to floating Example: Fixed to floating interest rate swap A company has 5% bonds in issue with a nominal value of 40 million euros. The bonds have ten more years to maturity. The company wants to exchange its fixed rate liability for a floating rate liability in euros. A bank quotes the following rate for a ten-year swap: 4.22 – 4.25. The company can achieve an effective interest cost by arranging a swap as follows: INTEREST RATE SWAP: CREDIT ARBITRAGE Swaps can be used to obtain a lower interest rate on borrowing. This is possible because banks can identify opportunities for ‘credit arbitrage’ which arise as a result of differences in the rates of interest at which different companies can borrow. When an opportunity for credit arbitrage exists, one of the following situations will occur: Example: Credit arbitrage – situation 1 Company A wants to borrow at a variable rate of interest and Company B wants to borrow at a fixed rate. Company A pays higher rates of interest than Company B on both variable and fixed rate borrowing as follows: The difference between the fixed borrowing costs of the two companies (0.75%) is less than the difference between the variable rate borrowing costs (1%). There is a gain of 0.25% available. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 612 of 690 Page 33 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT This can be shown by comparing the difference between A borrowing fixed and B borrowing variable to A borrowing variable and B borrowing fixed. Therefore, the companies could save 0.25% between them if A borrows fixed, B borrows variable but they construct a swap so that A ends up with variable and B ends up with fixed. Assume that the saving is divided equally giving them 0.125% each. This means that after the swap A’s variable rate of interest should be KIBOR + 1.375 which is 0.125% less than it would be able to obtain without the swap. Similarly, B’s fixed rate interest should be 6.375% which is 0.125% less than it would be able to obtain without the swap. Setting up the swap Step 1: Identify the potential saving (if any). Step 2: Decide on how the saving is to be shared and the expense that should be achieved after the swap. Step 3: List the interest on the actual borrowings in a column for each company. Step 4: Write the total interest that should be achieved after the swap for each company as the totals in the columns. Step 5: Set one payment under the swap to reduce the recipient’s cost to zero. Step 6: Set the second payment so as to increase the nil cost of the first recipient to its expected total expense (see step 2). Example: Credit arbitrage – situation 2 Company C wants to borrow at a fixed rate of interest and Company D wants to borrow at a variable rate. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 613 of 690 Page 34 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Company C pays higher rates of interest than Company D on both variable and fixed rate borrowing as follows: The difference between the variable borrowing costs of the two companies (1.0%) is less than the difference between the fixed borrowing costs (1.25%). There is a gain of 0.25% available. This can be shown by comparing the difference between C borrowing fixed and D borrowing variable to C borrowing variable and D borrowing fixed. Therefore, the companies could save 0.25% between them if C borrows variable, D borrows fixed but they construct a swap so that C ends up with fixed and D ends up with variable. Assume that the saving is divided equally giving them 0.125% each. This means that after the swap C’s fixed rate should be 7.625% which is 0.125% less than it would be able to obtain without the swap. Similarly, D’s variable rate should be KIBOR + 0.375%which is 0.125% less than it would be able to obtain without the swap. The swap is set up as follow: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 614 of 690 Page 35 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Question 01: Company A can borrow at 13% fixed rate or KIBOR + 4%, whereas Company B can borrow at 12% fixed or KIBOR + 2%. Company B wishes to borrow at fixed rates whereas Company A wants variable rates. Both the companies wish to create swap which would benefit both. Any benefits accruing from swap will be shared by both entities equally. Required: Calculate the payoffs of swap for both parties. Solution 01: Company A Fixed rate = 13% Variable rate = K + 4% Company B Fixed rate = 12% Variable rate = K + 2% WISH: Company A wants 'variable rate' WISH: Company B wants 'fixed rate' Case 1: Rates Company A Variable rate = K + 4% Company B Fixed rate = 12% ----------> Total outcome = K + 16% Case 2: Rates Company A Fixed rate = 13% Company B Variable rate = K + 2% ----------> Total outcome = K + 15% Saving = 1% (16% - 15%, K = constant) Cash Flow Want/Wish Saving (equally div) Net Co. A Variable K + 4% (0.5%) K + 3.5% Co. B Fixed 12% (0.5%) 11.50% SWAP (Hedge Setup) To original bank From Co A to Co B From Co B to Co A Net Co. A ( 13% ) (K) 9.5% K + 3.5% Co. B (K + 2%) K (9.5%) 11.50% Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 615 of 690 Page 36 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Question 02: Shakir Limited wishes to borrow 300 million euros for five years at variable rates to start a project in Germany. The cheapest rate at which it can borrow is LIBOR + 1%. The bankers to the Company have suggested to setup a swap arrangement with a German Company, that is planning to borrow at fixed rate. Finance available to that German Company is 11% or LIBOR + 1.5%. Shakir Limited can borrow at fixed rates of 9%. Devise a hedge which would benefit both the parties. Required: Calculate the payoffs of swap for both parties. Solution 02: Variable Fixed Shakir Limited L + 1% 9% German Company L + 1.5% 11% Case 1: WISH Shakir Limited Variable rate = L + 1% German Company Fixed rate = 11% ----------> Total outcome = L + 12% Case 2: SWAP Shakir Limited Fixed rate = 9% German Company Variable rate = L + 1.5% ----------> Total outcome = K + 10.5% Arbitrage Savings -- 1.5% Cash Flow Wish Saving (equally div) Net Shakir L + 1% (0.75%) L + 0.25% German Co 11% (0.75%) 10.25% SWAP (Hedge Setup) To original bank From Shakir to German Co From German Co to Shakir Shakir ( 9% ) (L) 8.75% L + 0.25% German Co (L + 1.5%) L (8.75%) 10.25% Question 03: Matured Limited, a manufacturer of tomato ketchup, is in the process of expanding its existing manufacturing facility in view of a surge in demand in the market. The cost of the new facility is estimated at Rs 174 million, to be financed by equity and bank borrowings in equal proportion. The borrowing is available at a fixed mark-up of 10% or at KIBOR + 2.0%. Another Company, Golden Age Limited, engaged in garment manufacturing, has been awarded a threeyear contract for factory uniforms by a large group of industries. This order requires expansion in facilities, Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 616 of 690 Page 37 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT the cost of which is estimated at Rs 250 million. 70% of the cost is to be financed through equity and 30% through debt. Negotiations finalised with the bank indicate a fixed mark up of 12.5% or KIBOR + 4.25%. Required: a) An investment bank has offered an interest swap arrangement to the two companies. Should the Companies accept its offer? (06) b) Assuming that both the companies agree on a swapping arrangement on loans amounting to Rs 75.0 million each and the actual KIBOR for the year is 9.0%, compute the amount that will be paid by one company to the other. (Assume profit on the swap arrangement is to be shared equally). Solution 03: Variable Fixed Mature K + 2% 10% Case 1: WISH Mature Variable rate = K + 2% Golden Fixed rate = 12.5% ----------> Total outcome = K + 14.5% Case 2: SWAP Mature Fixed rate = 10% Golden Variable rate = K + 4.25% ----------> Total outcome = K + 14.25% Arbitrage Savings -- 0.25% Loan amount Golden K + 4.25 12.5% Mature 87 Wish Saving (equally div) Net SWAP (Hedge Setup) To original bank From Mature to Golden From Golden to Mature Golden 75 Hedge is always setup on the lower amount Mature K + 2% (0.125%) K + 1.875% Golden 13% (0.125%) 12.375% Mature ( 10% ) (K) 8.125% K + 1.875% Golden (K + 4.25%) K (8.125%) 12.375% Payment about if K = 9% Mature to Golden From Golden to Mature Net - From Mature to Golden Loan amount Net - From Mature to Golden Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf 9% -8.125% 0.875% 75,000,000 656,250 Page 617 of 690 Page 38 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2008 IMRAN LIMITED: QUESTION Imran Limited wants to borrow Rs. 70 million for two years with interest payable at six monthly intervals. Due to recent hike in inflation, the company expects that the rate of interest is likely to rise over the next 2 years. The company can borrow this amount from a local bank at a floating rate of KIBOR plus 2% but wants to explore the use of swap to protect it from any interest rate increase, during the next two years. Another bank has offered the company that it will be willing to receive a fixed rate of 11% in exchange for payments of six-month KIBOR. Required: a) Calculate the six-monthly interest payments if the swap arrangement is in place. b) Calculate the net amount receivable/payable by each party to the swap at the end of the first 6 months if: KIBOR is 13.5%. KIBOR is 9%. ICAP WINTER 2008 IMRAN LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 618 of 690 Page 39 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2016 RAMZI CORPORATION: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 619 of 690 Page 40 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2016 RAMZI CORPORATION: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 620 of 690 Page 41 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2018 KS LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 621 of 690 Page 42 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2018 KS LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 622 of 690 Page 43 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2021 MULTICORP LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 623 of 690 Page 44 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP WINTER 2021 MULTICORP LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 624 of 690 Page 45 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 625 of 690 Page 46 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 626 of 690 Page 47 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ACCA AFM SEPTEMBER 2020 FITZHARRIS CO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 627 of 690 Page 48 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT ACCA AFM SEPTEMBER 2020 FITZHARRIS CO: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 628 of 690 Page 49 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT (b) Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 629 of 690 Page 50 of 50 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Contents INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL...................................................................................... 2 FEATURES OF INVESTMENT IN A FOREIGN COUNTRY ............................................................... 2 NPV ANALYSIS FOR FOREIGN PROJECTS ....................................................................................... 6 INTERNATIONAL COST OF CAPITAL ................................................................................................ 7 COUNTRY RISK PREMIUM .................................................................................................................. 8 ICAP SUMMER 2014 MODERN GARMENTS: QUESTION ............................................................. 9 ICAP SUMMER 2014 MODERN GARMENTS: SOLUTION ........................................................... 10 ICAP WINTER 2017 MODERAX: QUESTION ................................................................................. 12 ICAP WINTER 2017 MODERAX: SOLUTION ................................................................................. 13 ICAP SUMMER 2021 QUICKCOOK: QUESTION ............................................................................ 15 ICAP SUMMER 2021 QUICKCOOK: SOLUTION ............................................................................ 17 ACCA AFM 2020 SEPTEMBER COLVIN CO: QUESTION .............................................................. 20 ACCA AFM 2020 SEPTEMBER COLVIN CO: SOLUTION .............................................................. 21 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 630 of 690 Page 1 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL FEATURES OF INVESTMENT IN A FOREIGN COUNTRY The features of investing in a foreign country include the following: The investment could be a very high-risk investment, and you might be required to establish a special cost of capital for evaluating the project, possibly using the CAPM and a beta factor for the project. Most of the cash flows for the foreign investment will be in the currency of the foreign country, although some cash flows might be in the currency of the parent company. If the foreign country is a developing country, there will probably be expectations of high rates of inflation in future years. If so, estimated cash flows should be calculated allowing for the expected inflation rates. (These cash flows including an allowance for inflation should be discounted at the money cost of capital.) If the foreign country is a developing country, there might be restrictions on the amount of payments that can be made from the foreign country, due to exchange control restrictions. This means that the cash profits from the project might not be payable immediately in full as dividends to the investing company. International DCF appraisal: Market perfection There are two methods for calculating the NPV of an overseas project. A Pakistani company investing overseas could either: discount the cash flows in the foreign currency using a foreign rate appropriate to that currency, and then convert the resulting NPV to rupees at the spot exchange rate or convert the project cash flows into rupees and then discount at a rupee discount rate. In conditions of capital market perfection, the two methods would result in the same rupee NPV. This is because the future spot rates would be linked to the current spot rates by the differential interest rates and inflation rates inherent in the discount rate. Future spot rates might be found using interest rate parity, purchasing power parity or the international Fisher effect. Example: Foreign investment appraisal A Pakistani company is considering an investment in a project in Fiji. The current exchange rate for the Fijian dollar is Rs.50 = $1. The discount rate for the project in Fiji would be 10%. The discount rate for similar projects in Pakistan is 8%. The project requires an initial investment of $100,000 and will lead to cash inflows of $50,000 per annum for the next three years. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 631 of 690 Page 2 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL The NPV of the project in rupees can be found as follows: Method 1: Discount the foreign currency cash flows using the foreign currency rate and translate to rupees at the spot rate Method 2: Translate the future cash flows in rupees using the future spot rate and then discount these using the rupee discount rate. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 632 of 690 Page 3 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL International DCF appraisal: Market imperfection In the above example, the two approaches give the same answer. However, this would not be the case if there were market imperfections, for example exchange controls. Market perfection does not exist in reality (though markets can be very efficient). If there are imperfections DCF analysis should be carried out in two stages, and two net present values should be calculated. Stage 1. Calculate an NPV for the project on the basis of cash flows for the subsidiary in the foreign country. This should be an NPV based on foreign currency cash flows. If the NPV is positive and the risk seems acceptable, you should proceed to Stage 2. Stage 2. Consider the project from the viewpoint of the parent company, and estimate the cash payments and receipts for the parent company in its own currency. These might include costs incurred in the parent company’s own country to set up the project. They will also include the dividend or interest payments received from the foreign subsidiary, in the currency of the parent company. These cash flows should be discounted at an appropriate cost of capital, which might be different from the cost of capital used in Stage 1. The Stage 2 analysis uses different cash flows from the Stage 1 analysis. Stage 1 evaluates the cash flows and cash profits in the foreign country. Stage 2 evaluates the actual returns received by the parent company. This approach to evaluating the NPV of a foreign investment therefore involves two separate NPV calculations: Calculating the NPV of the cash flows in the foreign country, at an appropriate cost of capital. If this NPV is positive, calculating a different NPV for the estimated cash flows for the project in the company’s domestic currency, probably using the WACC as the discount rate. The cash flows in the company’s domestic currency will be different from the cash flows in the currency of the foreign country for several reasons: There may be some costs incurred in the company’s domestic currency and outside the country where the investment is made. For example, the company’s head office may incur costs in its own currency to establish the project in the foreign country. There may be restrictions on dividend payments and other cash transfers out of the country where the investment is made. The amount paid as dividends from the foreign country will also vary over time with changes in the foreign exchange rate between the currency of the investment country and the currency of the investing company. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 633 of 690 Page 4 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL The project is financially viable only if both NPVs are positive. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 634 of 690 Page 5 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL The project has a positive NPV for the Pakistani company so it should be accepted. Note, that the NPV is much smaller (at Rs.635,000) than it was under conditions of market perfection (at Rs.1,217,000). NPV ANALYSIS FOR FOREIGN PROJECTS NPV Analysis on Projects Step 1: Estimate the project's cash flows post-tax in the overseas currency Step 2: Step 2: Convert the company cost of capital to an overseas equivalent Convert the flows to home currency Step 3: Step 3: Add any home country cash flows e.g. tax Use adjusted cpst of capital to find NPV in overseas currency Step 4: Step 4: Discount the net home country cash flows at the company cost of capital Convert the currency into local currency equivalent Step 5: Calculate the NPV Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Step 5: Add in the PV of any additional home country flows e.g. tax Page 635 of 690 Page 6 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL INTERNATIONAL COST OF CAPITAL CAPM revisited Evaluation of an investment requires a company to estimate future free cash flows, and discount these cash flows at an appropriate discount rate. The appropriate discount rate is the opportunity cost of capital that will prevail over the life of the investment. Models used to estimate the cost of capital use capital markets as a basis of comparison to find the appropriate rate. Investors on the market assess the risk of shares and decide the level of return that they require to compensate them for that level of risk. They then price the shares accordingly to equate their expectation of future cash flows from the shares to the return they demand. The CAPM is based on the recognition of a single source of risk and one risk premium to be charged on a share. This is the systematic risk which is a measured using the β of the share. The formula for the CAPM is repeated here for your convenience. As can be seen above, using the CAPM involves estimating a risk free rate, identifying the market and identifying the average return on the market. It also involves comparison of a share’s returns to those of the market in order to identify the β value of the share. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 636 of 690 Page 7 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL COUNTRY RISK PREMIUM Using CAPM to estimate the cost of equity in developing countries is problematic because the beta does not adequately capture the country risk. To reflect the increased risk associated with investing in a developing country, a country risk premium is added to the market risk premium when using the CAPM. The general risk of the developing country is reflected in its sovereign yield spread. This is the difference in the yields between the developing country’s government bonds (denominated in developed market’s currency) and treasury bonds of similar maturity. To estimate the equity risk premium for a country, adjust the sovereign yield spread by the ratio of volatility between country’s equity market and its government bond market (for bond denominated in the developed market’s currency). A more volatile equity market increases the country risk premium, all other things being equal. The revised CAPM equation is stated as follows: The country risk premium can be calculated as follows: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 637 of 690 Page 8 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP SUMMER 2014 MODERN GARMENTS: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 638 of 690 Page 9 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP SUMMER 2014 MODERN GARMENTS: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 639 of 690 Page 10 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 640 of 690 Page 11 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2017 MODERAX: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 641 of 690 Page 12 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP WINTER 2017 MODERAX: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 642 of 690 Page 13 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 643 of 690 Page 14 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP SUMMER 2021 QUICKCOOK: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 644 of 690 Page 15 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 645 of 690 Page 16 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ICAP SUMMER 2021 QUICKCOOK: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 646 of 690 Page 17 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 647 of 690 Page 18 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 648 of 690 Page 19 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ACCA AFM 2020 SEPTEMBER COLVIN CO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 649 of 690 Page 20 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ACCA AFM 2020 SEPTEMBER COLVIN CO: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 650 of 690 Page 21 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT APPRAISAL Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 651 of 690 Page 22 of 22 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT Contents CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT ................................................................................................................. 2 COSTS AND BENEFITS OF GIVING CREDIT ..................................................................................... 2 DEBT FACTORS AND INVOICE DISCOUNTING .............................................................................. 7 SETTLEMENT DISCOUNTS ................................................................................................................ 11 ICAP 2019 WINTER AWAM LIMITED: QUESTION ....................................................................... 16 ICAP 2019 WINTER AWAM LIMITED: SOLUTION ....................................................................... 17 ICAP SUMMER 2019 BLUE LIMITED: QUESTION ......................................................................... 19 ICAP SUMMER 2019 BLUE LIMITED: SOLUTION ......................................................................... 20 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 652 of 690 Page 1 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT COSTS AND BENEFITS OF GIVING CREDIT Business entities that sell to other businesses normally sell on agreed credit terms. Often ‘standard’ credit terms are applied for most business transactions, such as 30 days or 60 days from the date of the invoice. Most sales to consumers are for cash, but some businesses might even sell to consumers on credit. Benefits of giving credit By giving credit, sales volume will be higher. Higher sales volumes result in higher contribution, and higher profit. If a business does not give credit to customers, customers are likely to buy from competitors who do offer credit. Cost of giving credit – There are several costs of giving credit. Finance costs: There is a finance cost. Trade receivables must be financed. The longer the period of credit allowed to customers, the bigger the investment in working capital must be. The cost of investing in trade receivables is usually calculated as: Average trade receivables in the period × Cost of capital for the period Bad debt costs: Selling on credit creates a risk that the customer might never pay for the goods supplied. The cost of bad debts is usually measured as the amount of sales revenue due from the customers, that is written off as non-collectable. Administration costs: Additional administration costs might be incurred in negotiating credit terms with customers, and monitoring the credit position of customers. In dealing with problems about the cost of trade receivables, you should consider only the incremental administration costs incurred as a consequence of providing credit. Example: Cost of giving credit Green Company currently offers customers 30 days’ credit. Annual credit sales are Rs.12 million, the contribution/sales ratio is 25% and bad debts are 1% of sales. The company has estimated that if it increased credit to 60 days, total annual sales would increase by 10%, but bad debts would rise to 1.5% of sales. The cost of capital for Green Company is 9%. Assume that a year has 360 days. Required: Estimate the effect on annual profit of increasing the credit period from 30 to 60 days. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 653 of 690 Page 2 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 654 of 690 Page 3 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT Giving credit to customers results in higher costs, in particular higher interest costs and some bad debts. These costs must be kept under control. To do this, trade receivables must be properly managed. Good management of trade receivables involves systems for: Deciding whether to give customers credit, and how much credit to give them Monitoring payments Collecting overdue payments. Giving credit There should be procedures for deciding whether to give credit to a customer, and if so, how much. The procedures should differ between existing customers wanting extra credit, and new customers asking for credit for the first time. This is because existing customers already have a credit history. A company knows from experience whether an existing customer is likely to pay on time, or might have difficulty with payments. When deciding whether or not to give extra credit to an existing customer, the decision can therefore be based largely on whether the customer has paid promptly in the past, and so whether on the basis of past performance the customer appears to be a good credit risk. For new business customers, a variety of credit checks might be carried out. Asking for trade references from other suppliers to the customer who already give credit Asking for a reference from the customer’s bank Making credit checks to discover whether any court judgements have been made against the customer for non-payment of debts Credit checks on small businesses can be purchased from credit reference agencies For business customers, asking for a copy of the most recent financial statements and carrying out a ratio analysis. Banks can usually persuade a business customer to provide a copy of its financial statements for decisions about granting a bank loan; but it is much more difficult for nonbanks to do so, for decisions about giving trade credit Using reports from the company’s salesmen. If a company sales representative has visited the business premises of the customer, a report about the apparent condition of the customer’s business might be used to decide about whether or not to offer credit. Usually, a company establishes credit policy guidelines that should be followed when giving credit to a new business customer. For example, a company might have a credit policy that for a new business customer, subject to a satisfactory credit check, it would be appropriate to offer credit for up to Rs.2,000 for 30 days. This credit limit might then be reviewed after several months, if the customer pays invoices promptly within the credit terms. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 655 of 690 Page 4 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT The credit terms set for each customer will consist of: A credit period: The customer should be required to pay invoices within a stated number of days. Credit limits of 30 days or 60 days are common. A credit limit: This is the maximum amount of credit that the customer will be permitted. The limit is likely to be small at first for a new customer, increasing as the trading relationship develops. Interest charges on overdue payments: It might also be a condition of giving credit that the customer agrees to pay interest on any overdue payment. However, interest charges on late payments can create bad feeling, and customers who are charged interest might take their business to a rival supplier. Interest charges on late payments are therefore uncommon in practice. (Note: Credit checks on individuals should be carried out by companies that give credit to customers, such as banks and credit card companies. Many companies, however, might give credit to corporate customers but ask for cash payment/credit card payment from individuals.) Monitoring payments A company should have a system for monitoring payments of invoices by customers. A regular report should be produced listing the unpaid debts, and which of these are overdue. This report might be called an aged debtors list’or aged receivables list. A typical report might summarise the current position by showing how much money is owed by customers and for how long the money has been owed. A simple example of a summary is shown below. The report will also provide a detailed list of the unpaid invoices in each time period. By monitoring regular reports, the team responsible for collecting payments can decide which customers to ‘chase’ for payment and also to assess whether collections of receivables is under control. In the example above, if the company has normal credit terms of 30 days, it might be concerned that such a large amount of receivables – over Rs.5 million, remain unpaid after 30 days. Efficient collection of debts When credit is given to customers, there should be efficient procedures for ensuring that customers pay on time, and that action is taken to obtain overdue payments. Procedures for efficient debt collection include the following: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 656 of 690 Page 5 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT Sending invoices to customers promptly, as soon as the goods or services have been provided. Sending regular statements to credit customers, showing how much they owe in total and how much is currently due for payment. Statements act as a reminder to customers to make a payment. Ensuring that credit terms are not exceeded, and the customer is not allowed to take longer credit or more credit than agreed. Procedures for chasing overdue payments include: Telephone calls Reminder letters Taking a decision to withhold further supplies and further credit until an overdue debt is paid. In extreme cases, measures might include: Using the services of a debt collection agency. Sending an official letter from a solicitor, threatening legal action. Legal action – obtaining a court judgement against the customer to force the customer to pay. This is a measure of last resort, to be taken only when there is a breakdown in the trading relationship. Bad debts and reducing bad debts When a company gives credit, there will be some bad debts. Bad debts are an expense in the income statement and have a direct impact on profitability. A company should try to minimise its bad debts, whilst accepting that even with efficient collection procedures some losses are unavoidable. For example some customers might become insolvent and go out of business still owing money. There are several ways in which bad debts can be reduced: More extensive and careful credit checking procedures when deciding whether to give credit to customers More efficient collection procedures Reducing the amount of credit in total. As the total amount of credit given to customers increases, there will be an increase in the cost of bad debts, and the proportion of receivables that become bad debts. Reducing the total amount of credit will therefore reduce bad debts. However reducing the amount of credit to customers will probably result in lower sales revenue and lower gross profit. Example: Bad debts A company has annual sales of Rs.20 million and all customers are given credit of 60 days. Gross profit on sales is 40%. Currently bad debts are 1.5% of sales. The cost of capital for the company is 10%. Management is concerned about the high level of bad debts and they estimate that by reducing credit terms to 30 days for all customers, bad debts can be reduced to 0.5% of sales. However total sales revenue is likely to fall by 5% as a consequence of making the credit terms less generous. Required: Calculate estimated effect on annual profit of reducing the credit terms from 60 days to 30 days. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 657 of 690 Page 6 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT DEBT FACTORS AND INVOICE DISCOUNTING Debt factors and the services they provide Companies might use a factoring organisation to assist with the management of receivables and also to help with the financing of receivables. Debt factors are specialist organisations. They specialise in: assisting client firms to administer their trade receivables ledger; providing short-term finance to client firms, secured by the trade receivables; Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 658 of 690 Page 7 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT in some cases, providing insurance against bad debts. The services of a debt factor can be particularly useful for a small-to-mediumsized company that: has a large number of credit customers; does not have efficient debt collection procedures and therefore has a fairly high level of bad debts; and does not have sufficient finance for its working capital. A debt factor offers three main services to a client business: the administration of the client’s trade receivables; credit insurance; and debt finance. Trade receivables administration A factor will take over the administration of trade receivables on behalf of a client. It sends out invoices on behalf of the client. Each invoice shows that the factor has issued the invoice, and the invoice asks for payment to be made to a bank account under the control of the factor. The factor collects the payments, and chases customers who are late with payment. The factor is also responsible for the client’s trade receivables ledger, recording details of invoices and payments received in the ledger on behalf of the client. The factor makes a charge for this service, typically an agreed percentage of the value of invoices sent out. Credit insurance If the factor is given the task of trade receivables administration, it may also agree (for an additional fee) to provide insurance against bad debts for the client. This is known as without recourse factoring or nonrecourse factoring. If a customer of the client fails to pay an invoice that was issued by the factor, the factor will accept the bad debt loss itself, and the factor will pay the client the full amount of the unpaid invoice. A factor will only provide without recourse factoring for invoices that are approved in advance by the factor. This is to prevent the client from giving credit to highrisk customers and exposing the factor to the risk of bad debts. However, factors also provide with recourse factoring. With this type of arrangement, if a customer of the client fails to pay an invoice, the factor will not pay anything to the client, and the client must suffer the bad debt loss. (If the factor has already made a payment to the client against the security of the receivable, the client must repay the money it has received.) Debt finance The factor will provide advances of up to 80% of the face value of the client’s trade receivables, for all receivables that are approved by the factor. The finance is provided at an agreed rate of interest, and is Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 659 of 690 Page 8 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT repayable when the customers’ invoices are eventually paid. In effect, this means that when a customer pays the factor will remit the remaining 20% of the money to the client, less the interest (and other fees). The costs of factoring services The costs of a factoring service might therefore consist of: a service fee for the administration and collection of trade receivables; a commission charge, based on the total amount of trade receivables, for a non-recourse factoring service; and interest charges for finance advanced against the trade receivables. Benefits and disadvantages of using a factor There should be savings in internal administration costs, because the factor administers the trade receivables ledger. With non-recourse factoring, there is a reduction in the cost of bad debts. A factor is a source of finance for trade receivables. The disadvantages of using a factor are as follows. Interest charges on factor finance are likely to be higher than other sources of finance. Effect on customer goodwill. The factor is unlikely to treat the client’s customers with the same degree of care and consideration that the client’s own sales ledger administration team would. The client’s reputation may be affected by the need to use a factor. Customers might believe that using a factor is a sign of financial weakness. Evaluation of a factor’s services To assess the cost of using the services of a factor, you need to compare the total costs of the alternative policies. As indicated above, the costs you will probably need to consider are: Costs of receivables ledger administration Costs of bad debts Financing costs for trade receivables. Example: Debt factoring Blue Company has annual credit sales of Rs. 1,000,000. Credit customers take 45 days to pay. Bad debts are 2% of sales. The company finances its trade receivables with a bank overdraft, on which interest is payable at an annual rate of 15%. A factor has offered to take over administration of the receivables ledger and collections for a fee of 2.5% of the credit sales. This will be a non-recourse factoring service. It has also guaranteed to reduce the payment period to 30 days. It will provide finance for 80% of the trade receivables, at an interest cost of 8% per year. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 660 of 690 Page 9 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT Blue Company estimates that by using the factor, it will save administration costs of Rs.8,000 per year. Required What would be the effect on annual profits if Blue Company decides to use the factor’s services? (Assume a 365-day year). Invoice discounting Invoice discounting is similar to the provision of finance by a factor. A difference is that whereas a factor provides finance against the security of all approved invoices of the client, an invoice discounter might provide finance against only a small number of selected invoices. Another difference between a debt factor and an invoice discounter is that the invoice discounter will only provide finance services. An invoice discounter will not administer the trade receivables ledger or provide protection against the risk of bad debt. The invoice to the customer is sent out by the client firm, and payment is collected by the client firm (and paid into a special bank account set up for the purpose). Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 661 of 690 Page 10 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT Steps in invoice discounting The company issues an invoice to a customer for the stated amount The invoice is then discounted with the discounter resulting in the company receiving an agreed percentage of the invoice value. The discounter collects the cash from the customer and returns the remaining balance (after deduction of the amount advanced and the interest cost) to the company. Example - Invoice discounting: A company might need to arrange finance for an invoice for Rs.3 million to a customer, for which the agreed credit period is 90 days. An invoice discounter might be prepared to finance 80% of the invoiced amount, at an interest rate of 10%. The company will issue the invoice to the customer for Rs.3 million. The invoice discounter provides the company with a payment of Rs.2.4 million (80% of Rs.3 million). After 90 days, the invoice discounter will expect repayment of the Rs.2.4 million advance, plus interest of Rs.59,178. If the customer pays promptly, this repayment will be made out of the Rs.3 million invoice payment by the customer. The invoice discounter will take Rs.2,459,178 and the remaining Rs.540,822 will go to the company. SETTLEMENT DISCOUNTS The nature and purpose of settlement discounts: The cost of financing trade receivables can be high. More important perhaps, if a company has a large investment in trade receivables, it might have cash flow problems and liquidity difficulties. A company might therefore try to minimise its investment in trade receivables. One way of doing this is to ensure that collection procedures are efficient. Another policy for reducing trade receivables is to offer a discount for early payment of an invoice. This type of discount is called a settlement discount (or early settlement discount, or cash discount). For example, a company might offer its customers normal credit terms of 60 days, but a discount of 2% for payment within ten days of the invoice date. If customers take the discount, there will be a reduction in average trade receivables. Evaluating a settlement discount: The benefit of a settlement discount is that it reduces average trade receivables, and this reduces the annual interest cost of investing in trade receivables. On the other hand, the discounts taken by customers reduce annual profit. Evaluating a proposal to offer settlement discounts to customers therefore involves comparing the improvements in cash flow and reductions in interest cost with the cost of the discounts allowed. The implied interest cost of settlement discounts One way of evaluating a settlement discount is to calculate the implied interest cost of offering settlement discounts. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 662 of 690 Page 11 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 663 of 690 Page 12 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT The cost calculated above is the cost associated with a 50 day period. The annual cost can be estimated in one of two ways: as a straight multiple; or as an equivalent period rate Annualised interest cost of settlement discounts as a straight multiple The implied interest cost is multiplied by the number of times the length in the reduction of the payment period fits into a year. Annualised interest cost of settlement discounts as an equivalent period rate Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 664 of 690 Page 13 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT Calculating the total annual costs An alternative method of calculating the cost of settlement discounts, compared with a policy of not offering discounts, would be to compare the total annual costs with each policy. Example: Entity X borrows on overdraft at an annual interest rate of 15%. It has annual credit sales of Rs.5 million, and all customers buy on credit. Customers are normally required to pay within 45 days. Entity X offers a 1.5% discount if payment is made within ten days. 60% of customers take the discount. What is the annual cost of the discount policy? Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 665 of 690 Page 14 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 666 of 690 Page 15 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP 2019 WINTER AWAM LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 667 of 690 Page 16 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP 2019 WINTER AWAM LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 668 of 690 Page 17 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 669 of 690 Page 18 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP SUMMER 2019 BLUE LIMITED: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 670 of 690 Page 19 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP SUMMER 2019 BLUE LIMITED: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 671 of 690 Page 20 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 672 of 690 Page 21 of 21 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT Contents LIQUIDUITY RISK MANAGEMENT ........................................................................................................ 2 LIQUIDITY ............................................................................................................................................... 2 THE LENGTH OF CASH OPERATING CYCLE .................................................................................... 5 ANALYSING THE CASH OPERATING CYCLE ................................................................................... 8 ACCA F9 JUNE 2017 PANGI CO: QUESTION ................................................................................... 9 ACCA F9 JUNE 2017 PANGI CO: SOLUTION ................................................................................. 10 ACCA F9 2013 JUNE TGA CO: QUESTION ..................................................................................... 11 ACCA F9 2013 JUNE TGA CO: SOLUTION ..................................................................................... 12 CASH FLOW FORECASTS................................................................................................................... 13 ICAP SUMMER 2021 CRAFT FURNITURE: QUESTION ................................................................ 15 ICAP SUMMER 2021 CRAFT FURNITURE: SOLUTION ................................................................ 17 Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 673 of 690 Page 1 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT LIQUIDUITY RISK MANAGEMENT LIQUIDITY Liquidity for an entity means having access to sufficient cash to meet all payment obligations when they fall due. The main sources of liquidity for a business are: Cash flows from operations: a business expects to make its payments for operating expenditures out of the cash that it receives from operations. Cash comes in when customers eventually pay what they owe (and from cash sales). Holding ‘liquid assets’: these are assets that are either in the form of cash already (money in a bank account) or are in the form of investments that can be sold quickly and easily for their fair market value. Access to a ‘committed’ borrowing facility from a bank (a ‘revolving credit facility’). Large companies are often able to negotiate an arrangement with a bank whereby they can obtain additional finance whenever they need it. A key element of managing working capital is to make sure the organisation has sufficient liquidity to meet its payment commitments as they fall due. Having sufficient liquidity is a key to survival in business. If there is insufficient liquidity, then even if the entity is making profits, it will go out of business. If the entity cannot pay what it owes when the payment is due, legal action will probably be taken to recover the unpaid money and the entity will be put into liquidation. In practice, banks are usually the unpaid creditors who put illiquid entities into liquidation. The liquidity of a business entity can be assessed by analysing: Its liquidity ratios; and The length of its cash operating cycle. Liquidity ratios A liquidity ratio is used to assess the liquidity of a business. There are two liquidity ratios: Formula: Current ratio Current ratio = Current assets / Current liabilities Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 674 of 690 Page 2 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT Key assumptions and aspects of the current ratio Focuses on 12 months horizon (does not deal with immediate liquidity). Assumes all current assets can be liquidated in 12 months. It is assumed that inventory will be converted into cash within 12 months. Affected by maturity mismatch problem (Liabilities due in 12 months maturing before the assets realising in 12 months) Formula: Quick ratio Quick ratio = Current assets excluding inventory / Current liabilities Key assumptions and aspects of the quick ratio Focuses on 12 months horizon (does not deal with immediate liquidity). Assumes all current assets can be liquidated (except inventories in all forms) in 12 months. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 675 of 690 Page 3 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 676 of 690 Page 4 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT THE LENGTH OF CASH OPERATING CYCLE There are three main elements in the cash operating cycle: The average length of time that inventory is held before it is used or sold The average credit period taken from suppliers The average length of credit period taken by (or given to) credit customers. A cash cycle or operating cycle is measured as follows. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 677 of 690 Page 5 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT Calculating the inventory turnover period For a company in the retail sector or service sector of industry, the average inventory turnover period is normally calculated as follows: Calculating the average collection period The average period for collection of receivables can be calculated as follows: Calculating the average payables period The average period of credit taken from suppliers before payment of trade payables can be calculated as follows: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 678 of 690 Page 6 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 679 of 690 Page 7 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT ANALYSING THE CASH OPERATING CYCLE The cash operating cycle can be analysed to assess whether the total investment in working capital is too large or possibly too small. The analysis can be made by comparing each element of the cash operating cycle, and the cash operating cycle as a whole, with: the cash operating cycle of other companies in the same industry the company’s own cash operating cycle in previous years, to establish whether it is getting longer or shorter. Comparisons with other companies in the industry As a general rule, the inventory turnover period, average collection period and average payment period should be about the same for all companies operating in the same industry. If there are differences, there might be reasons. For example a company with an unusually large proportion of sales to other countries might have a longer average collection period because of the longer time that it takes to deliver goods to customers. If it is not possible to explain significant differences in any ratio between a company’s own turnover periods and the industry average, the differences might be due to inefficient working capital management (or possibly efficient management). For example an unusually long inventory turnover period compared with the industry average might indicate inefficiency due to excessive holding of inventory. Slow-moving inventory might also indicate that a write off of obsolete inventory might be necessary at some time in the near future. Comparisons with previous years: trends There might be a noticeable trend over time in a company’s turnover ratios from one year to the next. A trend towards longer or shorter turnover and cycle times should be investigated. A particular cause for concern might be a trend towards longer inventory turnover periods and longer average collection times, which might be an indication of excessive inventories (inefficient inventory management) or inefficient collection procedures for trade payables. Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 680 of 690 Page 8 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT ACCA F9 JUNE 2017 PANGI CO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 681 of 690 Page 9 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT ACCA F9 JUNE 2017 PANGI CO: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 682 of 690 Page 10 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT ACCA F9 2013 JUNE TGA CO: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 683 of 690 Page 11 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT ACCA F9 2013 JUNE TGA CO: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 684 of 690 Page 12 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT CASH FLOW FORECASTS Cash flow forecasts, like cash budgets, are used to predict future cash requirements, or future cash surpluses. However, unlike cash budgets: They are prepared throughout the financial year, and are not a part of a formal budget plan They are often prepared in much less detail than a cash budget. The main objectives of cash flow forecasting, like the purposes of a cash budget, are to: Make sure that the entity is still expected to have sufficient cash to meet its payment commitments as they fall due. Identify periods when there will be a shortfall in cash resources, so that financing can be arranged Identify whether there will be a surplus of cash, so that the surplus can be invested Assess whether operating activities are generating the cash that is expected from them. The main focus of cash flow forecasting is likely to be operating cash flows, although some investing and financing cash flows might also be significant. Techniques for preparing a cash flow forecast There are no rules about how to prepare a cash flow forecast. A forecast need not be in the same amount of detail as a cash budget. However there are two basic approaches that might be used: Producing a cash flow forecast similar to a statement of cash flows prepared using the indirect method Forecasting cash flows by estimating revenues and costs to arrive at an estimate of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation (EBITDA). Cash flow statement approach One way of preparing a cash flow forecast for a period of time is to produce a statement similar to a statement of cash flows in financial reporting. The general structure of the forecast will therefore be as follows: Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 685 of 690 Page 13 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 686 of 690 Page 14 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP SUMMER 2021 CRAFT FURNITURE: QUESTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 687 of 690 Page 15 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 688 of 690 Page 16 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT ICAP SUMMER 2021 CRAFT FURNITURE: SOLUTION Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 689 of 690 Page 17 of 18 IQ SCHOOL OF FINANCE CFAP 04 – BUSINESS FINANCE DECISIONS BY MUZZAMMIL MUNAF | ACA | ADVISOR | TRAINER | LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT Always a mentor | Muzzammil Munaf Page 690 of 690 Page 18 of 18