Xelor 1st Assessment MN7029 Financial Decision Making Group Members: Name ID Edyta Dorota Nowicka 22059437 Elena Constantinescu 22029513 Alaa Abdelhakam 22041073 Behnam Karami 22076160 Abhita Joshi 22075435 Agenda: INTRODUCTION KEY DECISIONS TAKEN FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE & ANALYSIS STRATEGIC DECISIONS FOR Y7-Y9 FINANCIAL FORECASTS APPENDIX Edyta Dorota Nowicka 22059437 INTRODUCTION Strategy: XELOR LTD's strategy is to reach business clients or customers with large wallets. We focus on selling high-end luxury products (luxury watches, smartwatches, modern watches and sports watches). To achieve our mission and vision, we will implement a comprehensive strategy that encompasses several key elements: Establish a Luxurious Brand Image Product Selection and Sourcing Online Presence an E-commerce Brand Reputation and Positioning Customer Experience and Engagement After-Sales Services Limited Edition and Customisation International Expansion Authorised Dealers Mission: Our mission is to provide discerning customers with an exquisite selection of luxury timepieces that epitomise craftsmanship, elegance and timeless sophistication. We are dedicated to curating a collection of exceptional watches that captivate the senses and resonate with individuals who appreciate the finer things in life. Through our unwavering commitment to quality and exclusivity, we aim to elevate the art of timekeeping and create a lasting legacy of luxury and refinement. We strive to build a reputation as a trusted and reliable watch retail company, earning the confidence and loyalty of our valued customers. Vision: Our vision is to be the premier destination for connoisseurs of luxury watches, smart watches or even sports watches synonymous with unparalleled customer service. We aspire to cultivate enduring relationships with clients who possess a penchant for the extraordinary, becoming their trusted curator of exceptional timepieces that transcend generations. By infusing every interaction, with a sense of prestige and sophistication, we seek to set the standard for luxury horology and inspire a lifestyle of unparalleled refinement and elegance. We are committed to cultivating long-term relationships with our customers and becoming the go-to destination for individuals seeking exquisite timepieces that reflect their lifestyles and personalities. Elena Constantinescu 22029513 KEY DECISIONS TAKEN Key Decisions taken for the Round 1 (Year 3) Change in Cash in year 3 is £169,231 Change in accounts receivable will enhance the cash inflow of the company. The Quality Control Checks is driven by the sustainable practice. Change in Supplier and Pricing Strategy The CEO change will create an outstanding impact on company’s culture, Market Research Investment Budgets Change in Reduced Accounts Marketing Receivable Terms Reduced Marketing BudgetsBudgets Budgets Reduced Marketing Change in Supplier and Pricing Strategy Supplier and Pricing Strategy Change In Quality Control checks CEO Change Increased Spending on Training and Salaries and Salaries Cutting Board Budget Inventory Management According to Market Demand Change in Marketing Communication Tactic in Marketing Communication Tactic Key Decisions Taken for Round 2 (Year 4) 2 (Years 4) Change in Cash in year 4 is £116,843 In round 2 i.e., year 4 there was a research and development investment Reducing the salesperson will be feasible only it does not affect the revenue generating capacity of Xelor. Change from Yord to Xelor will improve for better the identification and perception of brand. Cutting Salespeople from 20 to 15 to 15 Change in CEO Change in Company Name me Ordering Inventory According to Market Demand Filling in the Strategy the “Strategy” Part in the Game Key Decisions Taken for Round 3 (Year 5) Change in Cash in year 5 is £74,723 In round 3 i.e., year 5 there was a research and development investment The increase in salary has affected the operating cost of the company which reduced profit. Just-in-time inventory purchase is a significant step to reduce over/ under stocking Change CEO Ordering Inventory According to Market Demand Demand Increased Salespeople Salary and Reduced their Number Key Decisions Taken for Round 4 (Year 6) Change in Cash in year 6 is negative i.e., £279,412. This signifies that the profit growth is negative. The company lose its market share based on the customers in round 4. The productivity of Xelor’s staff and its staff satisfaction is at the lowest. Modern watches is the most sold-out product in round 4. Reduction in the research and development and marketing budget. Category Performance for Round 1-4 Smart Watch Smart Watch Smart Watch Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 400 Amount 350 180 160 300 Cost of Sales 134 134 134 174.2 300 200 100 0 Year 3 Luxury Watch Year 4 Year 5 Amount Cost of Sales Year 6 Luxury Watch Luxury Watch Amount Cost of Sales Year 3 250 159 Year 4 130 159 Year 5 250 159 Year 6 440 206.7 500 400 300 200 100 0 Year 3 Year 4 Amount Year 5 Cost of Sales Year 6 Category Performance for Round 1-4 Sports Watch Sports Watch 800 Sports Watch Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Amount 240 140 550 600 Cost of Sales 142 142 142 187.2 600 400 200 0 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Amount Cost of Sales Year 6 Modern Watch Modern Watch Modern Watch Amount Cost of Sales Year 3 460 144 Year 4 530 144 Year 5 140 144 Year 6 300 184.6 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Year 3 Year 4 Amount Year 5 Cost of Sales Year 6 Comparison of the Amount to sell for Rounds 1-4 The selling price and marketing budget for Xelor for Round 1-4 Amount to sell Round 2 584 544 651 509 600 584 Smart Luxury Modern Sports Watch Watch Watch Watch Round 1 651 517 460 544 530 517 509 440 613 460 474 613 474 Round 3 343 224 530 274 Round 4 300 440 600 300 343 300 274 300 224 SMART WATCH LUXURY WATCH MODERN WATCH SPORTS WATCH Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Market Performance for Round 1-4 Round 1 - Year 3 Round 2 - Year 4 Market Performance for Round 1-4 Round 3 - Year 5 Round 4 - Year 6 Business Growth Strategy for Round 1-4 Market Penetration • Xelor can focus on increasing its market share in the current market by aggressive marketing and sales strategies Market Development • The company can explore new geographical markets or demographics for its watches Product Development • Xelor can consider expanding its product line by introducing innovative or upgraded watches. Diversification • The company may explore diversification by entering related markets or introducing completely new products. Porter's Five Forces Analysis for Round 1-4 Threat of New Entrants The debt-to-equity ratio and debt to asset ratio, suggest that Xelor is using its equity capital more than debt. This is making it challenging for the new entrants to secure sufficient capital. Bargaining Power of Buyers The current and quick ratio of the company provides an overall structure regarding the company’s efficiency in generating liquidity which suggests it strengthen position in the market share and efficiency in meeting demand which provides the company some power over buyers. Bargaining Power of Suppliers There was a change in suppliers in round which indicates that the company re-structured its supplier strength. The company has a consistency in suppliers’ relation. This indicates a varying degree of bargaining power of Xelor over its suppliers. Threat of Substitute Products or Services The various watch categories including smart, luxury, modern, sports) offered by Xelor may provide some protection against substitutes within the watch industry. Competitiv e Rivalry Xelor faces competition from other watch companies like YORA Watches, YORB, YORC, YORE, and Timeless and the decline in sales is evident in the round 3 which indicates that the company requires to restructure its sales strategies against the competitors. Corporate Social Responsibility Strategy for Round 1-4 Sustainable Sourcing Reducing Environmental Impact • Xelor must evaluate its suppliers including Prodovski S.A. HongKong Ltd. Kansas Inc. Henderson Ltd., Schneider GmbH • Xelor must incorporate initiatives to reduce its environmental footprint Community Engagement • The company strengthen its engagement with the local communities where it operates Ethical Marketing • It is essential to enhance the company's reputation and build trust among consumers Employee Welfare and Development • Maintaining fair labour practices and ensuring a safe working environment with handsome salary Demand, Supply and Sales Analysis for Round 1-4: Inventory Performance Smart Watches Round 1- Year 3 Round 2- Year 4 Round 3- Year 5 Round 4- Year 6 Demand 390 381 396 303 Supply 584 544 343 160 Sales 390 381 343 160 Luxury Watches Round 1- Year 3 Round 2- Year 4 Round 3- Year 5 Round 4- Year 6 Smart Watches Demand 392 415 445 436 Supply 651 509 224 250 Sales 392 415 224 250 Luxury Watches 700 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Round 1 Round 2 Demand Round 3 Supply Sales Round 4 Round 1 Round 2 Demand Round 3 Supply Sales Round 4 Demand, Supply and Sales Analysis for Round 1-4 : Inventory Performance Modern Watches Round 1- Year 3 Round 2- Year 4 Round 3- Year 5 Round 4- Year 6 Demand 535 545 612 606 Supply 517 460 530 550 Sports Watches Demand Round 1- Year 3 379 Round 2- Year 4 340 Round 3- Year 5 381 Round 4- Year 6 362 Sales 517 460 530 550 Modern Watches Supply 613 474 274 140 Sales 379 340 274 140 Sports Watches 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Round 1 Round 2 Demand Round 3 Supply Sales Round 4 Round 1 Round 2 Demand Round 3 Supply Sales Round 4 Alaa Abdelhakam 22041073 PERFORMANCE & ANALYSIS Our Stock value: Past years Planned targets Competitors Profitability Profiltability Ratios Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Operating Profit Margin 11.8% 21.5% 24.2% 17.2% Gross Profit Margin 38% 45.4% 45.3% 43.9% Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) 8.6% 15.5% 16.2% 9.13% What went wrong in Year 5? Efficiency Efficiency Ratios Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Average Inventories Turnover Period 713 475 381 331 Sales Revenue to Capital Employed 0.72 0.72 0.67 0.53 22,051 30,201 25,065 Sales 18,960 Revenue Per Employee Liquidity Liquidity Ratios Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Current Ratio 26.6 25.5 47 Acid Test Ratio 11.3 17 35 Market Share Luxury Smart Modern Sport Year 2 16.67% 16.67% 16.67% 16.67% Year 3 22.73% 16.7% 18.74% 17.75% Year 4 24.23% 16.61% 17.12% 15.90% Year 5 13.69% 15.51% 17.59% 15.43% Year 6 Revenue 443,955 Revenue 285,300 Operating Profit Margin 29% Operating Profit Margin 11.9% Gross Profit Margin 51% Gross Profit Margin 43% Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) 21% Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) 6.5% Year 7 Revenue 434,000 (Y6) 285,300 Gross profit 123,092 125,030 Behnam Karami 22076160 STRATEGIC DECISIONS FOR Y7-Y9 Future Strategic Decisions for Rounds 5-7 (Years 7 to 9) Buy more market research in competitive prices and market analysis Informed decisions, Competitive advantage, Risk mitigation. Retaining current suppliers Consistency in Product Quality, Established Relationships, Cost Stability, Reduced Transition Costs, Faster Time-to-Market. Importing directly from factory Cost Savings, Better Profit Margins. Sample Footer Text 20XX 30 Future Strategic Decisions for Rounds 5-7 (Years 7 to 9) Retaining The Selling Prices Customer Loyalty, Brand Image and Perception, Ease of Budgeting for Customers. E-commerce marketing: shift to mobile advertisements Widespread Reach, 24/7 Accessibility, Cost-Effective Options, Easy Sharing and Virality. Ordering our inventory according to the market demand Reduced Risk of Obsolescence, Reduced Holding Costs, Improved Cash Flow, Optimized Stock Levels. Keeping Human Resources, Auction and Distribution the same Consistent Company Culture, Efficient Resource Allocation, better change management Sample Footer Text 20XX 31 Future Strategic Decisions for Rounds 5-7 (Years 7 to 9) Increase the salespeople's salary and reduce their number Increased Motivation and Job Satisfaction, Focus on Quality over Quantity, Improved Sales Team Collaboration, Better Sales Performance Measurement. Shift all products from full check to sufficient check Cost Efficiency. Increase the amount of money for Research and Development on all areas Efficiency Improvements, Market Leadership, Will not apply for loan Financial Independence, Debt Avoidance, Faster Decision-Making, Ownership and Control. Accounts receivable terms in months will be 1 Improved Cash Flow, Minimized Collection Efforts, Sample Footer Text 20XX 32 Abhita Joshi 22075435 FINANCIAL FORECASTS (Y7Y9) INCOME STATEMENTS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7y 8y 9y Net turnover 0 379,219 441,035 422,815 350,910 285,300 485,138 533,652 586,017 Cost of sales 0 234,770 241,007 231,377 196,806 160,270 91,070 93,800 93,800 Gross sales margin 0 144,449 200,028 191,438 154,104 125,030 394,068 439,851 492,216 Sales costs 41,000 63,500 59,000 48,500 53,000 46,950 46,950 46,950 46,950 General administration costs 35,100 35,830 46,284 40,752 40,800 44,120 44,120 44,120 44,120 Sum of costs 76,100 99,330 105,284 89,252 93,800 91,070 182,140 184,870 184,870 Operating profit -76,100 45,119 94,744 102,186 60,304 33,960 302,998 348,782 401,147 Other company revenues 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other company costs 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Interest revenue 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Interest costs 9,750 9,750 9,750 9,750 7,500 7,500 9,750 7,500 7,500 Net financing costs / income -9,750 -9,750 -9,750 -9,750 -7,500 -7,500 9,750 7,500 7,500 Operational earnings before taxes -85,850 35,369 84,994 92,436 52,804 26,460 293,248 341,282 393,647 Taxes over operational earnings 0 0 21,249 23,109 13,201 6,615 6,615 6,615 6,615 Operational earnings -85,850 35,369 63,746 69,327 39,603 19,845 286,633 334,667 387,032 Exceptional losses and profits 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Taxes over exceptional result 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Exceptional result after taxes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Net profit -85,850 35,369 63,746 69,327 39,603 19,845 286,633 334,667 387,032 Summary and Implications Net Profit Trends Year 7 £286,633.50 Year 8 £334,667.35 Year 9 £387,032.59 2. **Overall Business Performance:** 1- The company is projected to experience increasing net profits over the three years in the scenario of a 10% increase in sales, operating profit, and inventories. 2 - This suggests potential growth and positive momentum in the business, possibly due to effective strategies, market demand, or operational efficiency improvements. 3. **Considerations** 1 - It's essential to identify the key factors contributing to the positive trend and leverage them for sustained growth. 2- Continuous monitoring and adjustment of strategies may be necessary to capitalize on opportunities and maintain profitability. 3- Strategic investments or expansions might be considered to support the growth trajectory. Operational Earnings Percentage for year-7 to 9 % Year 7 59.14% Year 8 62.75% Year 9 66.11% Any questions? Thank you! Appendix Name ID Contribution Alaa Abdelhakam 22041073 1.Acted as the CEO and submitted all the game decisions. 2.Produced slides for the financial analysis part of the presentation; slides 22-28. Elena Constantinescu 22029513 1.Produced slides for the decisions taken part of the presentation; slides 7-20. Edyta Dorota Nowicka 22059437 1.Produced slides for the introduction part of the presentation; slide 5. Behnam Karami 22076160 1.Produced slides for the future decisions part of the presentation; slides 30-32. Abhita Joshi 22075435 1.Produced slides for the financial forecasts part of the presentation; slides 34-37.