Material Flow Analysis March 28, 2024 Jooyoung Park Resource accounting is at the heart • Sustainable Engineering – It is about designing and operating systems in such a way that resources are used at a rate that does not compromise the natural environment and its ability to be used by future generations to meet their own needs • Industrial Ecology – It examines the physical dimensions of human production and consumption activities to understand their environmental impacts in a holistic way Source: © 1994 Peter Menzel www.menzelphoto.com Material World Global use of materials in the 20th C Source: European Commission, 2021. Raw Material Scoreboard OECD, 2018. Global Material Resources Outlook to 2060 Circle Economy, 2022. Circularity Gap Report Two implications of resource use Resource scarcity and security Source: EU JRC, Raw Material Information System Resource and impact decoupling Two main objectives of MFA • Dematerialization – Increase of resource efficiency (factor 4/10) – Such goal has been adopted by international organizations and national governments (e.g., UN, WBCSD, OECD, Scandinavian countries, EU) • Detoxification – Mitigation of the release of critical substances to the environment by pollution reduction – Relates to any specific environmental impact What useful management questions can be addressed by material/energy flow analysis? A question “Is a complete transition from a fossil fuel based energy systems to a system of renewable energy possible?” – Hydrogen economy based on renewable energy – 80% PV solar, 15% wind, and 5% other renewables – Hydrogen & electricity as only energy carriers Source: Kleijn and van der Voet 2010 Some results • Energy collection (thin-film PV solar, wind) – 10,000 Gg of Cd is needed vs. 600 Gg of reserve – 11,000 Gg of Te is needed vs. 20 Gg of reserve – 4,800 Gg of In is needed vs. 2.6 Gg of reserve – x1800 Neodymium of 2008 production is needed • Hydrogen production & transmission – Pt (catalysts for electrolysis) constraints – Stainless steel pipelines may demand Ni of about 45 times the current annual mine production and for Cr of about 5,500 times. Source: Kleijn and van der Voet 2010 How efficient are we in using phosphorus and/or food? Source: Cordell et al. 2009 Unit: Mton/yr Food loss and waste, 2009 1.3 billion tons (32% of food production) 1.5 quadrillion kcal (24% of total calories) Questions about plastics • To what extent are we recovering value out of the plastic waste – in Korea or globally? • To what extent can the separate collection of PET bottles contribute to reduction of virgin plastic consumption through bottle-to-bottle recycling? • How much carbon emissions can be avoided if we adopt multi-use packaging for food delivery to replace single-use plastic packaging? Cumulative plastic flows in Korea, 1982-2020 Source: Park et al. 2023 How much carbon emitted in Korea is associated with its export? “Embedded/hidden” resource use 1,672 g Inputs DRAM Microchip 2g Source: E. Williams Product et al., Env. Sci. Tech., 36, 55045510, 2002 132 L Water per cup (125 mL) Carbon emissions embodied in trade Source: Davis and Caldeira, 2010. Energy savings through reuse Source: Cooper and Gutowski, 2017. To what extent can we reduce carbon emissions through resource efficiency? Decarbonization effect of circular economy Source: Pauliuk and Heeren, 2020 Global cumulative and annual 2050 potential emission reductions of material efficiency strategies Source: Pauliuk et al. 2021 Spatially-explicit MFA for building stock estimation Source: Harberl et al. 2021; Dominik Weidenhofer To what extent are we decouple resource consumption from economic development? Socio-economic metabolism Source: Haas et al. 2015 Economy-wide MFA (EW-MFA) • Characterize overall characterization of the metabolic performance of economies • Understand the volume, structure, and quality of the throughput and to assess the status and trend with regard to sustainability • Support policy debate on goals/targets on resource productivity and efficiency EW-MFA framework Source: Bringezu et al. Journal of Industrial Ecology 7(2), 2003 Material footprint Source: Eurostat, 2018; materialflows.net Mining and purification of zinc: hidden flows Impure zinc Zinc ore plus waste rock Zinc ore Mass ratio: 50 18 Refined zinc 2 1 Source: Thomas Graedel Use of the indicators • What can measure the material use of the production system? • What can measure a generic environmental pressure associated with the overall turnover of material exchange? • Which represents the apparent consumption? • What represents the physical growth of an economy? – Future waste generation – Expansion of the built-up area at the expense of land EW-MFA in the EU EU’s CE Monitoring Framework Exercise • Explore the results of EW-MFA of a country of your interest: http://www.materialflows.net/visualisationcentre/country-profiles/ – Analyze the pattern of domestic extraction, trade, consumption, and productivity. Is there a gap between DMC vs. RMC? Why? – How would you evaluate the level of material consumption and productivity of the selected country, compared to other countries, and compared to some targets in (K-)SDGs? Assignment #1, due April 10 • Review a study that adopted material flow analysis to address a resource management question of your interest – What is the objective of material flow analysis? What are the questions to be addressed? – What type of data were used? What were the sources of data? – What were the findings? What do you think the limitations of the study are?