DHG PHARMACEUTICAL Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) Closing price: USD/VND: Target price: Recommendation: COMPANY OVERVIEW FIGURE1: MARKET PROFILE T icker DHG Share Outstanding (mil) Hau Giang Pharmaceutical Joint Stock Company (DHG Pharma) originated from the state-owned pharmaceutical enterprise 2/9 and was established on September 2, 1974. After nearly 50 years of operation, DHG Pharma has maintained its leading position in the Pharmaceutical Industry in Vietnam in terms of revenue, profit and production capacity. DHG Pharma owns a team of highly qualified and capable officers and employees who are always devoted to the company. Thanks to that, DHG Pharma was able to produce large batches of products, shorten the production cycle, save costs and optimize business capital for production activities. Currently, DHG Pharma has more than 300 products circulating nationwide, divided into 12 product groups. Product groups include antibiotics, anti-parasitic fungi, nervous system, pain relief - fever reducer, eyes, ENT - asthma, runny nose, cardiovascular, diabetes, digestive - hepatobiliary, muscle bones and joints, beauty care, dermatology, vitamins and minerals. 130,75 Market Cap (bli VND) 14 447,44 91,00 – 140,00 52-week price range (VND) Dividend Yeild 3% LT M P/E Source: Investing FIGURE 2: VALUATION Price (VND) Weight FCFF P/E SO TD 149 870 119 487 50% 50% T arget price 134 679 Current price 112 800 Upside 19,40% Recommendation VISION AND MISSION BUY Source: Team estimate FIGURE3: SHARE PRICE MOVEMENT Vision of DHG Pharma company: "For a better life" Mission of DHG Pharma company: "DHG Pharma always provides high quality products and services that satisfy the desire for a healthier and more beautiful life." Core values of DHG Pharma: Throughout the development process, DHG Pharma always upholds 6 core values including: Take quality, safety and efficiency as the highest commitment Use knowledge and creativity as the foundation for development Take responsibility, cooperation, and compensation as the motto of action Taking Hau Giang Pharmaceutical Identity as company pride Take prosperity with partners as a long-term goal Take outstanding differences as a competitive advantage Take community interests as the starting point for all activities COMPANY STRATEGY Enhance brand value through increasing domestic market share, expanding exports, and exploiting distribution system advantages In today's competitive business environment, enhancing brand value is crucial for long-term success. One effective way to achieve this is by increasing domestic market share, expanding exports, and exploiting distribution system advantages. By reaching more customers both locally and internationally, a company can solidify its position in the market and increase brand recognition. 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Net Revenue (VND Billion) 3,896 3,755 4,003 4,676 5,105 Gross Profit 1,722 1,811 1,920 2,257 2,343 Gross Profit Margin 43,94% 48,23% 47,98% 48,28% 46,73% Net Margin 16,2% 19,66% 1939% 21,14% 20,97% EPS 4,828 5,649 5,937 7,560 8,042 ROE 18,3 20,4 20,27 22,9 21,5 VALUATION - GROUP 4 1 FIGURE 4: DHG'S HISTORICAL P/E COMPANY STRATEGY DHG PHARMACEUTICAL Source: Company data FIGURE 5: DHG'S PROFIT AFTER TAX FIGURE 6: DHG'S OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE Source: Company data Maximize production capacity and efficiency and product Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) quality Another important aspect of enhancing brand value is maximizing production capacity and efficiency, as well as product quality. By continuously improving these areas, a company can meet customer demands effectively and maintain a strong reputation for delivering high-quality products. Maximize the capacity and efficiency of business management, financial management, and supply chain management Furthermore, maximizing the capacity and efficiency of business management, financial management, and supply chain management is essential for sustainable growth. By investing in these areas, a company can streamline operations and improve overall performance. Expand investment cooperation towards diversification Additionally, expanding investment cooperation towards diversification can help a company stay competitive in a rapidly changing market landscape. By exploring new opportunities and markets, a company can further enhance its brand value. Fulfill social and environmental responsibilities well Moreover, fulfilling social and environmental responsibilities is becoming increasingly important for companies looking to enhance their brand value. By demonstrating good corporate citizenship and sustainability practices, a company can build trust with customers and stakeholders. Carry out good responsibilities towards employees Lastly, carrying out good responsibilities towards employees is crucial for maintaining a positive work culture and retaining top talent. By investing in employee development and well-being, a company can create a strong team that supports the overall success of the business. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW Source: Company data The pharmaceutical sector in Vietnam has grown rapidly, averaging roughly 10% annually between 2016 and 2022. A thorough analysis estimates the annual value of the Vietnamese pharmaceutical market to be between 6.2 and 6.4 billion USD. By 2026, it is anticipated that Vietnam's pharmaceutical market would generate 16.1 billion USD. VIRAC's report states that this industry group's industrial production index grew at a rate of almost 7% in the first quarter of 2023 compared to the same period the previous year. The hospital channel (ETC) and the retail channel are the two primary segments of Vietnam's pharmaceutical market (OTC). The ETC channel has a market share of roughly 60% and is growing at a rate of about 12% annually on average. The overthe-counter (OTC) channel holds approximately 40% of the market share and is growing at an average annual rate of 8%. Vietnam will have 228 domestic pharmaceutical manufacturing companies and about 51 foreign-invested pharmaceutical manufacturing companies by 2023. Of them, eighteen—including EU, PICS, JAPAN, and TCA—meet stringent GMP standards. VALUATION - GROUP 4 1 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS Steady Net Revenue Growth Platform And Wise Investment To Fuel Sustainable Revenue Growth The Covid-19 pandemic has changed the world, direct ly impact ing the global economy and international trade negatively. While most businesses struggled due to Covid-19, some, like Hau Giang Pharmaceutical (DHG Pharma), managed to go against the tide and thrive by leveraging their strengths to gain more market share. During the three years of the Covid-19 outbreak in 2020-2021-2022, the pharmaceutical industry faced challenges such as production disruptions, supply chain breakdowns, and reduced hospital channel demand due to social distancing measures. Against the odds, Hau Giang Pharmaceutical continuously achieved positive business results over these three years thanks to their strategy of ensuring a reserve of raw materials, stabilizing the supply chain, transportation, and production activities with the support of their information system. Part icularly in 2022, DHG Pharma experienced imp ressive growth with a net revenue of 4.676 VND, an increase of nearly 17% co mpared to 2021, demonstrating strong recovery and growth postpandemic. This excellent performance was driven by the Pharmaceutical sector (84%) and the Health Food sector (11%). The leading position that DHG Pharma has achieved is convincingly demonstrated across various aspects, fro m business strategy to expansion and growth. Therefore, we expect DHG's net revenue to grow at the highest rate of 8.9% during the 2023A-2028F period. The leading pharmaceutical enterprise in Vietnam has maintained a relatively superior and stable ROE With a sensible business strategy, along with own ing an additional Betalactam factory that meets Japan/EU-GMP standards, Hau Giang Pharmaceutical has further increased its competitiveness in the domestic pharmaceutical market. It not only maintains the number one position in the country's pharmaceutical industry but also steadily steps into the global pharmaceutical market. Thanks to these outstanding advantages, DHG can ensure a higher ROE co mpared to other co mpanies in the same industry (~ 1 to 1.5 t imes). Although the investment in starting the construction of Source: Company data, Team estimate the Betalactam factory meeting the JAPAN/EU-GMP standards has slightly slowed down the ROE growth rate, we believe that with continuous innovations, the ROE could reach an increasing trend from 21.52% in 2019 to 22.37% in 2028. This impressive performance is primarily fueled by the following factors: Leverage is healthy and generates strong cash flow to expand financial capacity The debt-to-total assets ratio of DHG fro m 2019A-2023A has varied, decreasing the burden of interest on loans as well as reliance on borrowed capital to invest in assets, which is seen as a good sign for the company. Additionally, in 2019, the debt-toequity ratio was 0.21, wh ich increased to 0.23 in 2020, then decreased to 0.2 in 2022, but surged to 0.24 in 2023. Th is could indicate that the co mpany is increasingly using debt compared to its own equity, especially in 2023. Also in 2023, DHG's total assetto-equity ratio showed slight fluctuations but remained stable, indicating that the company is making good use of financial leverage to support its business operations. Although DHG's D/ E ratio is projected to increase fro m 0.23 (2024A) to 0.27 (2028A), this ratio is always below 1 and lower than the industry average (1.37), showing that the strategy of using a capital structure without financial leverage can be ready to support continuous capacity expansion. VALUATION - GROUP 4 1