India’s Largest College Case Study Competition NationBuilding Case Study Competition: Case Study Enabling 100 World-Class Higher Education Institutions and 75% Tertiary GER by 2047 TABLE OF CONTENTS Task at a Glance 03-04 Introduction 05 Relationship Between Higher Education and National Development 06-07 Higher Education and Viksit Bharat 08-09 NationBuilding Case Study on Higher Education 10-12 Transformation Model for NationBuilding Case Study Competition 13-27 Overview of the Current Situation of India’s Higher Education Sector 28-50 Visionary Initiatives in Higher Education Since 2014 51-52 References 53-54 02 Task at a Glance For the purpose of the competition, we define the transformational vision for a world-class higher education system in the form of two specific impact goals: Prime Minister Narendra Modi has articulated India's collective resolve to become a Viksit Bharat by the year 2047. In the journey to this cherished milestone, a fundamental transformation of many areas of our social and economic landscape will be essential. No country in the world has achieved greatness without an excellent higher education system. A higher level of educational attainment, enabled by a well-developed and mature tertiary education system, is often a notable feature of any developed nation. A world-class higher education system par excellence, thus, will not just be a desired outcome but also an enabler of India's lofty national ambitions for 2047. In its inaugural edition, the NationBuilding case study competition invites the youth of this country to engage with the journey to Viksit Bharat by participating and contributing their transformational solutions to create a world-class higher education system for Viksit Bharat. ● Creation of 100 world-class higher education institutions (HEIs) by 2047. ● Gross Enrolment Ratio (GER) of 75% at the tertiary level by 2047. The participants are expected to craft and propose a solution that enables the achievement of the two impact goals as defined above. The solutions proposed by the participants should ideally be in the nature of one or more levers covering at least one area of impact of the higher education system as defined in the Transformation Model (See the full document for details of the model). The solution should preferably be within the mandate and capacities of the government. Solutions can be completely afresh or some creative combination of existing levers. The solution should also be cognizant of the current policy and regulatory landscape which should ideally form the starting point. 03 The proposed solution, in the first round, will be submitted in the form of a 3-slide presentation which should articulate the broad contours of the solution and its linkage with the defined impact goals. Over the later rounds, the participants will be expected to build upon the proposed solution in terms of format, detailing, and overall integration; while articulating its modalities, resourcing, stakeholder relationships, execution, evidence, alternative assessments, and performance against the principles of impact defined in the Transformation Model. The solution proposed by the participants will be assessed based on the creativity/originality of the solution, understanding of the landscape, critical application of mind, strength of impact, feasibility/workability, along with the content and presentation of the submission, and other relevant factors. For the benefit and reference of the participants, the following document provides further details as to the Transformation Model for the higher education system, its critical elements, and their interrelationships. It also further provides an overview of the current situation of the Indian higher education system on various aspects relevant to the transformation of the system. The document also gives an overview of the bold initiatives initiated under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi since 2014 which forms the foundation of any transformation of the system over the next few years. 04 Introduction Prime Minister Narendra Modi has articulated India's collective resolve to become a Viksit Bharat by the year 2047. In the journey to this cherished milestone of a developed nation status, a fundamental transformation of many areas of our social and economic landscape will be essential to enable India's well-deserved rise. The 'Amrit Kaal' spanning from today to India's 100th year of independence will be a vibrant phase of collective NationBuilding wherein every section of the Indian society will have a contribution to make. " Every country experiences a phase in its history when it propels its developmental journey multiple folds ahead… For Bharat, this 'Amrit Kaal' has arrived now. This is the period in the history of Bharat when it is about to take a quantum leap… That's why I say, now is the time for Bharat, this is the right time. We must make the most of every moment of this 'Amrit Kaal'; we can't afford to lose even a single moment. Prime Minister Narendra Modi 11 December 2023 In its inaugural edition, the NationBuilding case study competition competition invites the youth of this country to engage with the exciting journey to a Viksit Bharat by contributing to the transformation, with their intellect and experiences, an area which they know best: higher education in India. 05 Relationship Between Higher Education and National Development No country in the world has achieved greatness without an excellent higher education system. The seeds of many a social epoch in world history can invariably be linked to a major reorientation in higher education. The p re m i e r s t a t u s o f a n c i e n t I n d i a n civilization in the world owed a lot to our great learning centres like Nalanda and Takshila. The pursuit of rationality and science and its dissemination through a higher education system was central to European enlightenment both as a cause and an outcome. The Oxbridge-educated archetype of the colonial administrator was the backbone of the British empire. America’s 20th century economic and industrial successes can be traced to the expansion of higher education avenues through the land-grant colleges established late 1800s. More recently, modern economies are knowledge economies/societies more than anything else which have higher education at their core. Given this t r a j e c t o r y, h i g h e r e d u c a t i o n i s understandably growing in importance at a rapid pace across the world (Marginson, 2016; Schofer & Meyer, 2005). 06 A higher level of educational attainment, enabled by a well-developed and mature higher/tertiary education system, is often a notable feature of any developed nation. Mean years of education in developed countries like the US and the UK can be as high as 13.6 years indicating some tertiary education for a substantial proportion of the population (UNESCO Institute of Statistics, 2024). Developed countries tend to have a higher proportion of population with tertiary education within the overall working population as well as within the 25-34 years age group (OECD, 2023). Jobs requiring tertiary education contribute the biggest share of the employment pool in developed countries like the US (US Bureau of Labour Statistics, 2023). Developed countries also account for a significant chunk of the overall tertiary enrolments across the world. As of 2021, the group of High-Income Countries1 (HICs) accounted for nearly a fourth of the tertiary students in the world, while constituting only about a sixth of the world’s population (UNESCO Institute of Statistics, 2024). HIC also attract nearly two-thirds of the internationally mobile students globally (UNESCO Institute of Statistics, 2024). Developed nations also eclipse other countries in global university rankings with only two universities from non-developed countries managing to find a place in the top 25 universities in the Times Higher Education (THE) World University Ranking 2024 as well as the QS World University Rankings 2024. The integral role of higher education in developed economies is, thus, undoubtedly evident. 1. As classified by the World Bank. 07 Higher Education H i s to r i c a l e x p e r i e n c e a n d g l o b a l evidence leave no doubt that creating a higher education system that is worthy of a developed India will be a vital and impactful area of national endeavour during the Amrit Kaal. A higher education system par excellence will not just be a desired outcome but also an enabler of the lofty national ambition for 2047. & Viksit Bharat " India has proved that it has its own mind, which has deeply thought and felt and tried to solve according to its light the problems of existence. The education of India is to enable this mind of India to find out truth, to make this truth its own wherever found and to give expression to it in such a manner as only it can do. Rabindranath Tagore's Lecture “The Centre of Indian Culture” (1919) It is hardly surprising that it was through a worthy higher education, that great nationalists like Madan Mohan Malviya and Rabindranath Tagore believed, the destiny of an independent India can be forged. 08 The time to reorient the higher education system in India to give a boost to the ambition of Viksit Bharat is now. A child born this year, in 2024, will most likely complete her tertiary education in 2047. Her's will probably be the first cohort to graduate into working in a developed economy. Between 2024 and 2047, nearly 688 million individuals2 will pass through the typical higher education age pool of 18-23 years accounting for more than half of the working age (15-64 years) population in 2047. Even assuming a constant tertiary GER of 30%, the Indian higher education system will have processed no less than 210 million during the Amrit Kaal, equivalent to providing tertiary education nearly the entire 2022 population of Brazil. Few other components of Indian society will have touched the lives of such a large number of people on the road to 2047. The opportunity to enlighten and actively harness more than half a billion educated minds from the Amrit Peedhi in the progress of the nation is an opportunity which cannot be wasted. 2. Calculations based on the population projections by United Nations (2022) 09 NationBuilding Case Study on Higher Education Through the NationBuilding Case Study Competition, we invite the youth of this country to participate and contribute their transformational solutions to create a world-class higher education system for Viksit Bharat. While a world-class higher education system is a very broad notion and can be defined in many diverse ways, we define this vision in terms of two specific impact goals for the purpose of the case study competition: ● Creation of 100 world-class higher education institutions (HEIs) by 2047: This goal entails the presence of 100 unique Indian HEIs in the global top 500 university rankings of either the QS World University Rankings or the World University Rankings. We believe that the youth, as the primary stakeholders in the higher education system, know the system best and are most capable of taking up the challenge. Their immersion into this system and their experiences are vital to shape the transformation of India’s ter tiar y education. The creativity, vitality, and energies of the youth can most impactfully light up the pathway to a world-class system. ● Gross Enrolment Ratio (GER) of 75% at the tertiary level by 2047: This goal entails that the enrolments in tertiary education in 2047 should be at 75% of the population cohort of 18-23 years in that year. 10 The Task: Format and Content of Solution: The participants are expected to craft and propose a solution which enables the achievement of the two impact goals as defined above viz. 100 world-class HEIs and tertiary GER of 75% by 2047. The proposed solution, in the first round, will be submitted in the form of a 3-slide presentation which should articulate the broad contours of the solution and its linkage with the defined impact goals. Nature of Solution: Over the later rounds, the participants will be expected to build upon the solution in terms of format, detailing, and overall integration as per the following indicative progression: The solutions proposed by the participants will, ideally, be in the nature of one or more levers that indicatively include but are not limited to policy guidance, legislation, policy, regulation, schemes, resources, communication, behaviour change, taxation, incentives etc. The solution should ideally cover at least one area of impact (Refer the detailed Transformation Model later in the document) of the higher education system. The solution should preferably be within the mandate and capacities of the government, either explicitly or implicitly. Solutions can be completely afresh or some creative combination of existing levers. The solution should also be cognizant of the current policy and regulatory landscape which should ideally form the point of departure. The overarching expectation for the solution is, however, that it must establish a clear and causal path to the impact goals as defined above. ● Zonal Rounds: The submission will include greater details and modalities of the solutions proposed, roles of stakeholders, resourcing of the solution etc. ● National Round: The submission should provide a comprehensive view of the solution including execution level detailing, supporting evidence, assessment against alternatives, and assessment against the principles of impact. (Refer the detailed Transformation Model later in the document) 11 Assessment Criteria: The solution proposed by the participants will generally be assessed based on the creativity/originality of the solution, understanding of the landscape, critical application of mind, s t r e n g t h o f i m p a c t , feasibility/workability along with the content and presentation of the submission etc. As the rounds progress, these general assessment criteria will be applied in the context of the changing formats and expectations from the submissions. The capstone assessment principle will, however, be the potential for impact created by the solution. 12 Transformation Model for NationBuilding Case Study Competition Areas of Impact Impact Goals Principles of Impact Channels of Impact Transition In Indian Society & Economy Stakeholders Levers of Impact Curriculum Student Success Infrastructure Student Experience Institutions Indian Higher Education System Systems Resources Increased Earnings and Opportunities Quality Social Mobility and Equity Fiscal Benefits Responsiveness 100 World Class HEIs | 75% Tertiary GER Benefits for Economy and Innovation Affordability National Identity and Values Equity Societal and Democratic Engagement Scale Fulfillment of Aspirations Viksit Bharat @ 2047 Transition Out Efficiency International Commitments and Rankings 13 For benefit of the participants and to define the problem space for the NationBuilding Case Study Competition, we articulate a 'Transformation Model for NationBuilding Case Study Competition' to provide an at-glance view of the setting and dynamics of the higher education system in India. Participants may refer to this model to inform their understanding of the problem space and potential levers. Placed within the overall context of Indian society and economy, the higher education system will be influenced through stakeholders and levers of impact across the enumerated areas of impact that encompass the critical aspects of the tertiary education system in India. By applying transformational solutions to these areas of impact, a world-class higher education system can be achieved. The transformational solutions, if supportive of the principles of impact, will through the various channels of impact lead to the destination of Viksit Bharat. Areas of Impact For the purpose of delineating the areas of impact as articulated in the Transformation Model, the following coverage is defined. However, this is indicative only, as in view of the complexity of the system overlaps can be expected: higher education including issues related to access to HEIs, cost of education, opportunity costs, financial aid etc. It covers the information processes based on which the student makes her choice of entry and institutions, along with the pathways available to her. It also includes the admission/student recruitment policies and processes including various methods for student screening, admission testing, and recruitment of International students. This area also includes the re-entry of students into the higher education system at higher levels or the same levels and includes re-entry for skill enhancement, encompassing the educational mobility of students over a lifetime. Transition In: This area of impact covers the intent, ability, and act of the student to enter the higher education system. This area mainly spans the transitional phase between the output of the lower levels of education, including the effects of quality at lower levels. This also covers the student’s motivations, incentives, and disincentives for the choice to opt for 14 Systems: Institutions: This area of impact covers the intent, ability, and act of the student to enter the higher education system. This area mainly spans the transitional phase between the output of the lower levels of education, including the effects of quality at lower levels. It covers the student’s motivations, incentives, and disincentives for the choice to opt for higher education including issues related to access to HEIs, cost of education, opportunity costs, financial aid etc. It covers the information processes based on which the student makes her choice of entry and institutions, along with the pathways available to her. Additionally, it includes the admission/student recruitment policies and processes including various methods for student screening, admission testing, and recruitment of international students. Furthermore, this area includes the reentr y of students into the higher education system at higher levels or the same levels. It includes reentry for skill enhancement, encompassing the educational mobility of students over lifetime as well. Institutions are the formal or informal entities that are involved in the actual delivery of the core objectives of higher education. This area of impact comprises the full range of institutions obviously including traditional HEIs but also others like research bodies, university associations, placement bodies, testing agencies, etc. This area includes the design of institutions, the institutional mix, the relationship between various institutions, size/intakes/capacities etc. It also includes the governance, management, and decision-making systems and practices within the institutions. Further, it encompasses the visioning and planning methods of the institutions. It also covers the mechanisms through which institutions interact with the society and other stakeholders including local communities. 15 includes what roles institutions will play in design and delivery of the curriculum. It also encompasses the process for identifying and revising curriculums and includes the curriculum-related role of professional standards bodies. It covers various modes of learning delivery including online and MOOCs. Infrastructure: This area of impact covers the physical infrastructure and facilities that have an impact on the higher education system located within or outside the institutions. This includes the choice, form, use, and utilization of the physical infrastructure. This covers academic campuses, laboratories and research facilities, residential facilities, libraries, sports facilities, administrative buildings etc. It encompasses the physical tools and aids available in the classrooms for learning enhancement. This area of impact also includes the digital and technology infrastructure including access to online resources, prototyping systems, computer networks etc. This area also covers shared facilities and leveraging of infrastructural assets for the furtherance of the HEI's objectives. Resources: This area of impact includes the tangible as well as non-tangible resources available to the institutions. It encompasses the financial resources including public and private investment and funding, along with the own financial models of the institutions. This includes funding mix that institutions choose to opt for along with their budgets and expenditure priorities and plans. It also covers development and application of human resources in the form of teaching and non-teaching staff and includes systems and programs for teacher education. The mix, recruitment, pay and benefits, career progression, evaluation, motivation etc. of the teaching and nonteaching staff are covered in this area along with mechanisms for pedagogical training and reskilling. Further, it also includes knowledge resources like i n t e l l e c t u a l p ro p e r t y ( I P ) a s s e t s , institutional knowledge bases etc. As a critical resource, the research output of an institution is covered under this area of impact along with the mechanisms to Curriculum: This area of impact deals with the objectives and coverage of the learning experience delivered by the higher education system along with the levels and mix of curriculum. It also includes the choice of skill sets chosen to be delivered by the system to the students and its relationship with the socio-economic context. It covers the organization, content, delivery, language, duration of the curriculum, along with the academic evaluation/examination systems. It 16 encourage and leverage this output. This also includes academia/industry collaborations on academics and research including visiting faculties, exchange programmes etc. outcomes. The delivery and quality of non-teaching student services is also a part of this area of impact. Mechanisms to increase the richness of the lived experience when enrolled in the form of the residential, transport, nutrition, and extra-curricular facilities are also central to this area of impact. It also covers the interaction and integration of students with their peer community within and outside the classroom through formal and informal opportunities. Further, this includes participation of students in governance processes and critical decision-making at the institutions along with channels and methods of grievance redressal. It also encompasses all the dimensions of the quality of their life including physical and mental well-being and overall satisfaction while enrolled. Student Experience: This area of impact covers the full spectrum of the experiences of students once they are a part of the tertiary education system and encompasses mechanisms for a student-centric delivery of comprehensive higher education services. This includes their interaction with the facilities, processes, and systems of the institutions for teaching as well as non-teaching purposes. This covers effective access to faculty, study materials, learning methods etc. and clarity on the learning 17 Student Success: Transition Out: This area of impact covers a wide range of ways in which student success manifests within the system and outside. This covers the mechanisms of how institutions optimize the positive effects for their individual students. This entails mechanisms for enabling academic success in the form of improved learning outcomes, higher grades, engagement with curriculum and classes, and also covers augmented learning experiences, remedial measures, academic guidance, mentoring etc. This also includes the retention of students within learning systems with alternative pathways, interinstitution mobility etc. This area also covers the mechanisms that enable students to achieve greater successes in life building on their learning which i n c l u d e s d eve l o p m e n t o f g e n e ra l cognitive skills and soft skills, internship programmes, financial skills, social engagement, alumni networking etc. This area also covers student suppor t mechanisms like incubators, commercialization, seed funding etc. This area of impact covers the stage where a student moves out of the system with or without a degree. This includes the information and readiness of the students relative to the workforce she is entering into and the mechanisms through which they are connected including placement policies etc. This also covers the matching of the student, employment, and employer for optimal outcomes. This also encompasses the overall quality and reputation of the output of the institution. This further covers the student decisions to drop out of the system and the mechanisms and policies to address the same. 18 Principles of Impact The impact goals in the Transformation Model can only create an optimal effect for the ambition of Viksit Bharat if it adheres to the principles of impact. The principles of impact provide the values framework for a Viksit Bharat. Only by ensuring that the principles of impact are considered in the solution it will be possible to gain the desired effect. The proposed solutions, therefore, should be cognizant of how the principles of impact are integrated in the solution. An indicative relevance of the principes of impact is as below: Solutions for transforming the education system, therefore, must be scalable at the national level and applicable for a large system footprint. Equity: A holistic view of Viksit Bharat calls for the society and economy in 2047 to be fair and equitable in terms of opportunities, outcomes, and experiences. The notion of equity in the context of higher education must cover the full spectrum from entry choice to lifetime success. Bridging the various dimensions of inequity – gender, urbanrural, caste, economic status along with disparities amongst regions will have to be central to the solutions for leveraging the higher education system for Viksit Bharat. Removal of disparities in access is not adequate; sustainable and longterm equity should be enabled. Considerations of how equity can be embedded in conceptualization, design, and implementation of the solutions will be a primary consideration for suitability of the solution for the ambition for a world-class higher education system. Transformation of the educational system must also be mindful of how factors outside the higher education system (like social context, attitudes etc.) can affect equity within the system. Scale: Any solution to reshape the Indian higher education system for Viksit Bharat will require solutions that can be scaled at a rapid pace. A 75% tertiary GER in 2047 will require servicing an enrolment of 98.7 million, nearly double of today’s levels. This will entail adding in mere 23 years a capacity equal to what was created in the past 75 years. The need for scaling would also extend to the diverse aspects of systems, infrastructure, resources, delivery etc. Scale however does not just mean capacity; it also means the reach and coverage of impact. It must take into account the diversity of context of the higher education system. It also implies increasing, or at least constant, rate of return for efforts for additional coverage. 19 implies transparency and accountability against the standard sought to be achieved, and the possibility of seeking incremental and continual improvements. Quality, ideally, should not just manifest in aggregate but at a student level. Harnessing all aspects of higher education for improving quality and ensuring integration of quality aims is critical. Affordability: Affordability as a remover of economic barriers making the benefits of higher education system accessible to the widest possible pool of individuals irrespective of their past or present future economic situation and without unduly affecting their future freedom of choices must be a critical feature of the solutions for transforming India’s higher education system. A comprehensive view of affordability which includes not only direct and monetary costs, but also indirect non-monetary costs will have to be taken. The lifetime effects for the beneficiaries will have to be net positive. The fluid conception of affordability based on levels, life stage, gender must be considered. The solutions must be built around the core of cost reduction for individuals and society without adverse impact on other desired principles. Responsiveness: The higher education system can continually contribute to the creation and working of Viksit Bharat only if it is responsive to the changing context, demands, and priorities of the nation. An inherent flexibility to reorient is desired in the solutions for transformation of the tertiary system. This encompasses the awareness, intent, and capabilities to respond to the expectations; and the ability to evaluate and refine those responses. Responsiveness spans both the society and the economy. In terms of responsiveness to the society, it aims to contribute to furtherance of social values and solving societal problems. In the economic context, it seeks to respond to the changing needs of workforce and technology while reorienting the pathway of economy through innovation. Finally, the higher education system must be responsive to its most immediate stakeholders: students, staff, and state. Quality: Quality implies delivering an experience and outcome which is optimized for achieving a standard which is set at the highest level which can be aimed by human capacities. This is an ambition for world-class excellence. It entails a consideration for quality inherent in the solutions for transformation and aims for a culture of quality where excellence is central to thoughts, plans, behaviours, and incentives of the stakeholders. This 20 ensuring timely and competent execution. Creating the right incentives and harnessing market forces for enabling efficiency is central to achieve sustainable efficiency. Especially, the focus on increasing the efficiency of public resources in the context of competing national priorities is essential. Efficiency: The approach for transforming India’s higher education system for Viksit Bharat should aspire to be efficient in terms of resources and deliver greater value for investments for all actors involved. For a given level of resources, highest outcomes and quality should be enabled. This entails identifying the most appropriate application for resources and " Education is a great leveller and is the best tool for achieving economic and social mobility, inclusion, and equality. This National Education Policy envisions an education system rooted in Indian ethos that contributes directly to transforming India, that is Bharat, sustainably into an equitable and vibrant knowledge society, by providing high-quality education to all, and thereby making India a global knowledge superpower. National Education Policy 2020 21 Channels of Impact A well-developed higher education system has a dual role in the devel op men t of a n a ti on . G l ob a l experience suggests that it is not only an indicator but an enabler of developed status. A world-class higher education system can, thus, be expected to further the goal of Viksit Bharat through multiple channels of impact: with higher education are more likely to be aware and connected with the society around them and they can contribute to society in many more ways than just as e c o n o m i c a c t o r s ( O E C D, 2 0 0 8 ) . Democratic engagement, along with transparency and accountability of governance, also tends to improve with higher educational attainment in a society (Dee, 2004). This can help in cultivating a deeper civic sense and reduce undesirable activities like crime etc. These social capital effects of higher educational attainment have been known to extend not only to the tertiary-educated cohort but also to the overall society in general (Helliwell & Putnam, 2007). Fulfilment of Aspirations: A world-class education system is a precious normative goal in itself. As a pioneering developed nation, leadership in higher education, a historically crucial feature of human civilization, is an aspirational objective. Further, as one of the defining features of a Viksit Bharat must be the ability of its people to access multitudes of opportunities and pursue highest self-actualization, a critical social service like good higher education will be highly necessary and advantageous to meet aspirations. National Identity and Values: Higher education is an important medium of helping people to develop a consciousness and better understanding of national history and culture and shape a collective identity built on a shared perception of the nation’s experiences and values. In a diverse country like India, higher educational attainment can also be a major force for greater national integration. Societal and Democratic Engagement: The intellectually liberating effects of higher education on human dignity and enlightenment can have beneficial effects for society. Importantly, persons 22 automation takes over routine tasks. Increased educational attainment will also be critical for triggering an accelerated structural transformation of the economy with an expanding high-skill high-productivity manufacturing/service sector supporting the transition from a low-productivity but large agricultural sector while creating a suitably skilled workforce. Developed economies like the US tend to require more workers with graduate education (US Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2023). Workforce participation for college-educated individuals is typically higher as compared to lower levels of educational attainment which can help expand the productive pool for the economy. As innovation takes a premier position in accelerated economic growth, the skills required for producing and leveraging new ideas or practices are more likely to be cultivated by higher education than by lower levels of attainment. (Bouhajeb, Mefteh, & Ben Ammar, 2018; Hoidn & Kärkkäinen, 2014). Higher education can be a significant source of “national technological development” which is foundational for innovation and research (Galan-Muros & Alep Liu, 2023). Higher educational attainment can also amplify the benefits for technological progress as a bigger starting knowledge base is likely to have greater production of knowledge. The linkage between higher education and innovation is evident in examples like Benefits for Economy and Innovation: A world-class higher education system can be an economic force multiplier in India’s journey to achieve greater prosperity and a higher level of development. Higher education is considered a significant contributor to human capital which has an increasingly impor tant role to play in modern knowledge-driven economies (Flabbi & Gatti, 2018). Higher educational attainment is evidently correlated with higher levels of economic growth (Barro, 2001). In its instrumental role in economic growth, a higher level of educational attainment (and thus, accumulation), by improving the skills and technological know-how in an economy, can boost its productivity. Quantitative improvements in educational attainment (in terms of mean years of education) can positively contribute to improving the multi-factor productivity of the economy (nearly 1.82.2% improvement in productivity for every 1.2 additional years of schooling) in the long run while the effects can be twice as large for qualitative improvements (Égert, de la Maisonneuve, & Turner, 2022). Higher education is also the primary medium for delivery of skills (like non-routine cognitive skills) which are now relatively more important in the modern economic structure as 23 the Silicon Valley where the community of technological advance is built around a nucleus of a higher education institution. To be competitive with developed economies in traditional as well as new sectors of the economy, it is essential to match their existing knowledge and technological base. Higher education, as a sector, can be a source of vibrant economic activity and contribute significantly to the national output and employment, especially when export of educational services by an economy is large. The higher education sector (directly and indirectly) contributed nearly £130 billion to the UK’s economy in year 2022 (nearly 5% of the national GDP) and provided employment to nearly 0.77 million people (Booth, Miller, Halterbeck, & Conlon, 2023), of which international students contribute over £42 billion. International students alone contribute nearly $40 billion to the US economy (0.2% of the national output) (N AFSA, 2023). Higher education institutions, depending on their size and location, can also generate a significant level of dependent economy along with indirect activity and employment. This creates an economic opportunity to be developed to add to the national output on the path to 2047. Increased Earnings and Opportunities: At an individual level, a higher level of edu catio nal attainment can have increased individual benefits, both in monetary and non-monetary terms (OECD, 2008). Tertiary education is generally associated with a higher level of employment rates as compared to mere secondary or upper secondary education. Evidence from OECD countries indicates that this difference could be as high as 27 percentage points and 9 percentage points respectively (OECD, 2023). A tertiary level educational status often creates an earnings premium for the individual, both at a wage level as well as cumulative lifetime earning level. The annual earnings of a tertiary-educated worker in an average OECD country can be nearly twice that of a worker with secondary-level education (OECD, 2023). In both the US and the UK, the education 24 premium over a non-graduate worker accounted for nearly a third of a graduate workers mean annual salary (Department for Education (UK), 2023; US Bureau of Labour Statistics, 2023). In the US, the lifetime earnings advantage of a college graduate over a high-school-educated worker was assessed to be nearly $400,000 (Ma & Pender, 2023). For individual workers, higher educational attainment is also likely to increase employment options by opening up diverse career pathways and increase general resilience to economic changes or shocks through greater ability to transition and learn new skills. OECD evidence shows that tertiary-educated workers are twice and thrice more likely to participate in some non-formal education or training programme relative to uppersecondary-educated and below-uppersecondary-educated workers respectively (OECD, 2023). Social Mobility and Equity: For individuals and households, higher education is often the single most important driver of socio-economic mobility. In the words of the National Education Policy (2020), it can be a “great leveller”. Higher educational attainment is also associated with a progressively better standard of living which can help take masses of people out of poverty. Increased incomes and consequent access to better services can help households rise in socio-economic status. A diversity of human development measures like nutrition, infant mortality, health behaviours, addiction rates, and mental health are generally seen to be better in a society with greater educational attainment (OECD, 2008; Ma & Pender, 2023). Parental education is one of the most significant contributors to inter-generational income mobility (Narayan & Weide, 2018; D'Addio, 2007). Higher educational attainments also support a virtuous cycle of sustainable levels of education within a society as tertiary-educated parents (especially mothers) are more likely to educate their children at the same or higher levels (Suhonen & Karhunen, 2019). Further, the socio-economic spillover effects of higher educational attainment are societal as a higher level of tertiary educational attainment within a society 25 not only raises the incomes for those with tertiary education but also for those with lower educational attainment (Moretti, 2004). Higher levels of educational attainment can have notable effects on social equity for disadvantaged groups too and cultivate a level of egalitarianism. Evidence from the OECD shows that there is increasing access to ter tiary educational opportunities for economically and socially disadvantaged groups worldwide (OECD, 2008). Once admitted to a graduate programme, the monetary returns from higher education for circumstantially disadvantaged students are nearly equal to advantaged students which levels the field for them (Oreopoulos & Petronijevic, 2013). Women, specifically, are more likely to access higher education generally among OECD countries and once educated are likely to participate more in the workforce (OECD, 2023). Within the women cohort, individuals with tertiary education are likely to have higher employment rates than individuals with lesser attainment and the male-female gap in employment rate is the narrowest at the tertiary-educated levels (OECD, 2023). Jobs requiring higher education attainment typically have lower entry barriers for disadvantaged groups and can be a vital force for empowerment and participation. Higher education also legitimizes the success of members of 3. This includes central and state expenditure. This includes the expenditure on technical education excluding which the expenditure on higher education accounts for nearly 0.62% of GDP and $15.3 billion as of 2021. USD-INR exchange rate is assumed to be ₹ 80. the disadvantaged groups enabling them to access the social benefits of their achievements. Finally, higher education can elevate the level of engagement and confidence of the disadvantaged groups in interaction with the surrounding society enabling them to develop and access greater opportunities for equity. Fiscal Benefits: Level of educational attainment also has some positive fiscal effects for the governments. Higher educational levels also generally mean higher tax revenues from these individuals for the public exchequer. Further, tertiary-educated individuals are less likely to access welfare programmes freeing up critical public resources for improved targeting. As a major area of expenditure for the public exchequer, nearly 1.57% of the GDP in India as of 2021 amounting to nearly $38.9 billion 3 (Ministry of Education, 2022), higher education is an area which must be transformed to enable effective and impactful allocation of precious public resources in a Viksit Bharat. 26 related skill levels and education (Schwab & Zahidi, 2020). Improved performance in these global measures of socioeconomic success will require improvement in the higher education system. International Commitments and Rankings: Higher education is also integral to India’s international developmental commitments like the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). SDG-4 seeks to “ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all” by 2030 and includes specific targets related to access, equity, affordability, and quality for tertiary education (SDG Targets 4.3, 4.4, 4.5, and 4.b). Higher education can also contribute significantly to achieving other SDGs. This requires a focus on higher education on the journey to allround development. Higher education also has a significant influence on many global indicators of development status like UNDP’s Human Development Index (through expected and mean years of education parameters), UNDP’s Gender Development Index (through expected and mean years of education, wage ratios and workforce participation rates), WIPO’s Global Innovation Index (through the tertiary education, research and development, knowledge workers, innovation linkages, knowledge creation sub-pillars) among others (UNDP, 2022; WIPO, 2023). Higher education was also a major part of the now-discontinued WEF’s World Competitiveness Report through multiple priorities and indicators Within these contours of the Transformation Model, we believe, lie the transformational solutions which will have the potential of creating an impactful change in the journey to Viksit Bharat by reorienting India’s higher education sector. 27 Overview of the Current Situation of India's Higher Education Sector 4 The endeavour of transforming India's higher education system for Viksit Bharat must be informed by a clear understanding and assessment of its current situation. The evolution of a nation's higher education system is shaped by a complex interaction of social, economic, governance, and (increasingly) global forces. The extant landscape of Indian higher education, along with the peculiar features and challenges resulting from the legacy of its development, should be the starting point for its transformation. system in many different ways like community attitudes towards higher education, limited supply of teaching resources, and skewed educational decisions. While the participation in the higher education system in India has been increasing, it remains modest as compared to most developed countries. As per AISHE, the tertiary GER (for the 1823 age group) as of 2021-22 stands at 28.4, an improvement from 23.7 in 201415. UNESCO (2024) even reports a slightly higher tertiary GER for India at 32 for 2022. In comparison, the average tertiary GER for HICs as well as OECD countries is 79, while for China it was 72. The low levels of tertiary participation are also reflected in India’s school life expectancy at the tertiary level, which is a mere 1.58 years, less than the global average of 2.03 years. It is also lower than the HIC aggregate (3.83 years) and individual advanced countries like Australia (5.19 years), the US (4.18 years), the UK (3.61 years) as well as China (3.33 years). While accessibility and financial constraints are usually the most common reasons for low enrolment rates, complex dynamics of social signaling on the value of education, perceptions of socio-economic utility, and policy prioritization among others can Attainment and Participation: As compared to advanced countries, the tertiary education system in India operates in an environment of overall low educational attainment. Currently, overall tertiary attainment for India for the 25-64 years age group is around 13% as compared to the OECD average of 40%. It can be as high as 63% in Canada, 56% in Japan and around 50% in the US and the UK. The mean years of schooling for an average Indian currently stands at 6.57 years; while for the US, it is 13.58 years. Low levels of attainment in society can affect the context of the higher education 4. Data in this section is primarily sourced (or calculated) from All India Survey of Higher Education (Ministry of Education, 2023), NSSO’s 75th Round Survey on Household Social Consumption on Education in India (National Sample Survey Organization, 2020), UNESCO UIS.Stat (UNESCO Institute of Statistics, 2024) unless mentioned otherwise. For the US, it is based on Digest of Educational Statistics (National Centre for Education Statistics , 2021). For the UK, it is based on (Higher Education Statistics Agency, 2023). 28 also have an impact on the GER. There is also a significant dichotomy between participation at the tertiary level and lower levels of education. The GER for secondary level (as per UNESCO definition) is nearly double (at around 79) that of the tertiary GER, while the GER gap between India and advanced countries is much lower than tertiary education. This dichotomy is also reflected in the n a r ro w e r g a p b e t w e e n I n d i a a n d advanced countries in school life expectancy at secondary levels (5.47 years as compared to HIC average of 6.87 years) where India’s performance is actually higher than the global average (4.92 years) in this case. Expansion of school education has been (and continues to be) a global priority for a long time, especially in the developing world. Tertiary education has acquired focus relatively recently. The accumulated effects of the efforts and resources put into pre-tertiary education have partly contributed to the dichotomy through differential access and affordability. Moreover, this reflects the distinctive position in an individual’s life when the decision to opt for tertiary education is taken. Faced with a much higher opportunity cost of not joining the workforce and social expectations associated with the typical age of such a decision, individual choices emanate out of complex processes. Further, the dichotomy is also a result of the availability of multiple educational (and work) pathways at this juncture unlike lower levels of education which are more regimented in their progression. 29 India’s tertiary education system is distinctive for the wide diversity in HEI typology which is likely to undergo a fundamental transformation over the next few years. Different types of HEIs like central and state universities, affiliated colleges, Institutes of National Importance (INI), standalone colleges, specialized universities etc. constitute the national tertiary education system in India. Unlike most advanced countries, India has until now been dominated by the “affiliated college” model with the nearly 4 5 , 4 7 0 c o l l e g e s a t t a c h e d to 3 5 8 universities delivering a bulk of higher education services accounting for nearly 72% of the student enrolments. Attached to universities, the affiliated colleges have limited opportunities on various critical aspects like curriculum, evaluation etc. National Education Policy 2020 (NEP2020) aims to phase out the affiliated college model over the next fifteen years to create multi-disciplinary and autonomous HEIs which would reshape the landscape of tertiary education considerably. Currently, universities show a relatively larger presence at postgraduate and doctoral levels. A major proportion of PhD enrolments (87.6%) are hosted at the universities along with n e a r l y 5 0 % o f t h e p o s t - g ra d u a t e enrolments. Size and Composition: Within the above context, the current footprint of the Indian higher education system is very large and has been expanding at a rapid pace. A swift spurt in tertiary enrolment in the last two decades has significantly swelled the tertiary system in India. By enrolment, the Indian system is currently the second largest in the world (after China) servicing nearly 43.3 million students. Between 2014-15 and 2021-22 alone, the total enrolments increased by 26.5%. India is also home to nearly 1,168 universities (with over 45,000 affiliated colleges) and 12,000 stand-alone institutions. About a third of these universities and nearly a fifth of the affiliated colleges were added after 201415. Over the last five years, 53 new universities, 1284 new colleges, and an enrolment of 1.3 million students was added to the national tertiary system annually on average. In comparison, the US had around 3,799 degree-granting institutions with an enrolment of 18.6 million students. In terms of degrees awarded in 2022, the Indian higher education system turned out nearly 10.7 million students. In comparison, the US turned out nearly 3.1 million tertiary students (excluding certificate and associate degrees); while the UK conferred over 0.91 million tertiary students. 30 Diversity is also seen in the management of HEIs with private sector involvement expanding rapidly. Like other levels of education, the expansion of the private sector is a major area of change in the landscape of tertiary education. However, the presence of private sector (in terms of share of enrolments) is the maximum at the higher education level among all levels of education in India. The rapid expansion of the tertiary capacity and enrolment in the last two decades has been mostly supported by the private sector. The private sector is, however, more present at the college level than at the university level. Among the universities, nearly 59% are publicly managed, either by the central government (20.5%) or the state governments (38%). These public universities accounted for nearly 73.7% of the university enrolments. Among affiliated colleges, only 21% were government-managed while the rest were private. In terms of enrolment, however, government-managed colleges account for nearly 35% of the students. A similar pattern of private-sector prevalence is apparent for stand-alone colleges with around 76% being privately managed. In comparison, almost half of the HEIs in the US are publicly controlled while accounting for nearly 75% of the overall enrolments. The role of the private sector in augmenting state capacity and delivering educational efficiency can be 31 important for greater tertiary attainment; however, the balance with other factors becomes critical. Private HEIs are generally more responsive to market demands and can allow quicker reorientation of graduate output. Private institutions also tend to be less equitable, costlier, and may yet lack quality. Leveraging the potential of private HEIs in achieving national roles is possible through deliberate policy and regulatory mechanisms. Proliferation of the affiliated college model has meant that the tertiary education system in India is fragmented. Indian (non-university) HEIs are typically smaller than those around the world. The average size of an affiliated college is 708 students. In some states like Bihar, however, it can be as high as 2,000 students. At 588 students per college, private colleges tend to be even smaller than public colleges (1150 students). However, the average size of the student body at the universities is 8,294 students. In comparison, HEIs in the US are sized at around 4,800 students per institution, while the UK universities have an average student body of 7,800 students. The size of a HEI becomes relevant in terms of scaling the infrastructure, f a c i l i t i e s , a n d t e a c h i n g t a l e n t by concentrating the students. China has adopted this approach for its tertiary system. The universities in China tend to be bigger with an average student body of around 13,200. The scale benefits, however, must be seen in the context of the potential negative effects on the quality and access of HEIs. NEP-2020 seeks to develop larger (more than 3,000 students) HEIs over time to harness these benefits. 32 doctoral degrees. The UK conferred over 0.52 million graduate and 0.34 million post-graduate degrees. This indicates lower uptake or capacity for advanced tertiary education. Various factors like differential employment linkages, quality, presence of research opportunities etc. can have an impact on this ratio. The divergences with advanced countries are even starker at the doctoral level. The post-graduate to doctoral enrolment ratio for India was 24.76; while for the UK it was only 5.33. India produced nearly 32,558 PhDs in 2022. On the other hand, the US and the UK conferred a doctoral5 degree to nearly 1,90,000 and 23,000 students respectively. Doctoral enrolments often reflect the focus on research as well as the size of the potential teaching pool quality for the higher education system. Attracting, retaining, and supporting doctoral talent creates a spectrum of benefits for the HEIs. Performance at this level of education is essential for building a high-performing education system in the modern economy. Level Patterns in Higher Education: Entry-level tertiary education has a dominant presence in the Indian higher education system as compared to other developed countries often at the expense of advanced tertiary education at postgraduate levels. In India, the highest number enrolments (34.1 million) are at the undergraduate levels accounting for nearly 79% of the overall enrolments. A more modest 5.2 million (12.5% of total) were enrolled at the post-graduate level, while another 0.21 million students were e n ro l l e d f o r P h D p ro g ra m m e s . A substantial 6.7% were also enrolled in diploma programmes. Reclassified into only two groups viz. undergraduate and post-graduate, the undergraduate share in enro lments will be 86. 7%. Fo r comparison, undergraduate students in the US account for a relatively lower 83% of the student body; while for the UK, it is further lower at 71%. The undergraduate to post-graduate ratio (6.5) for India was higher than both the US (4.9) and the UK (2.44). Among the 10.7 million degrees awarded in 2022, 7.75 million students graduated out of the Indian higher education system at undergraduate level. It also turned out nearly 1.77 million post-graduates. On the other hand, the US turned out nearly 2.1 million graduates, 0.86 million postgraduates, and nearly 0.19 million 5. In the case of US, doctoral degrees include professional qualifications in medicine and law. Adjusting for these areas of study, the US still turns out nearly 90 thousand doctoral degrees. 33 with a degree in health professions, social sciences, and engineering have a major presence. In the UK, business and management degrees along with medical subjects and social sciences are the major fields at the undergraduate level. In both the US and the UK, degrees in business and management, health professions, and education are the major fields at the post-graduate level. At the doctoral level, however, engineering and education are the biggest contributors to 6 doctoral turn-out in the US. This pattern, while reflective of the non-specialization preference, is also a result of the difficulty of choosing narrow educational pathways early in the careers. Fast changing demands of the market can also disincentivize the choice of narrower areas of study. A need for greater balance between generic and specialized content may thus be necessary at the higher education level. NEP-2020 has sought to pursue this path through a multidisciplinary curriculum and institutions allowing greater flexibility to students in terms of choosing their courses. The skew towards general education is also reflected in the orientation of HEIs which creates a foundation for greater multidisciplinary education. A large proportion of the universities (56.4%) are general in terms of curriculum with technical universities (16.5%) and medical universities (7%) constituting the second and third largest categories. The Discipline Preferences in Higher Education: In terms of fields of study, the Indian higher education system is also skewed toward general disciplines (like arts, commerce, and science). More than a third of the enrolments at the undergraduate level were in the discipline of arts followed by science (14.8%), commerce (13.3%), engineering (11.8%), and education (5.2%). At the postgraduate level, social science was the most popular discipline accounting for about a fifth of the enrolments followed by science (14%), management (14%), and commerce (10%). There are over 230 programmes offered by Indian HEIs but the basic BA, BSc, and BCom (including respective Honours programmes) degree contribute nearly 27% of the enrolments. Even among the degrees awarded, at the undergraduate level as well as the post-graduate level, a similar pattern of discipline preference was visible. At the doctoral level, however, science (22.7%) and engineering (19.2%) are the largest disciplines followed by social science (14%) and management (13.4%). In the US, the liberal arts/sciences degree accounts for nearly two-fifths of the associate degrees and along with health professions and business account for nearly 70% of the degrees awarded; while for the bachelor’s programme, a business degree along 6. After adjusting for the law and medical professional degrees 34 bulk of affiliated colleges (60%) are also general, followed by those specializing in teacher education, engineering, and nursing. Stand-alone colleges are more likely to be specialized with polytechnics, teacher training, and nursing colleges contributing the largest share. Institutional specialization has the benefits of scale and concentration of knowledge and talent which are likely to translate into better quality. A HEI is more often than not likely to excel in one area of knowledge than all. Many of India’s best performing HEIs are focused on one discipline. However, this can limit the overall reach and efficacy of investment while restricting student options. The multi-disciplinary HEIs envisaged under NEP-2020 will thus play a major role in transforming this aspect of tertiary education landscape. STEM enrolments in India are higher than many advanced countries but related outcomes are muted. The enrolment in STEM fields at all tertiary levels was around 25.6% of the overall enrolments for India. In terms of graduate out-turn, UNESCO reports a higher STEM share of 29.33% for India. This is higher than both the US (20.07%) and the UK (22.26%). However, the benefits of the STEM enrolment may be skewed by the general undergraduate science degree (BSc) which accounts for nearly 50% of the STEM enrolment and may not deliver the quality required for improved outcomes in the field. This is reflected in the general underperformance in various STEM indicators related to research and development, publications etc. STEM educational attainment is increasingly being considered critical for economic success of nations in the modern global economy. It is a source of competitiveness, technological advance, and workforce flexibility. The place for STEM in higher education is set to rise and will have to be addressed proactively. 35 teaching positions in India are at the lecturer/assistant professor level, while professor-level positions constitute only 10%. Only 0.8% are visiting teachers. In comparison, in the US, professors constituted nearly 22.4% of the faculty which was distributed almost evenly over different levels of teaching positions. In India, there are also around 1.2 million non-teaching staff employed in HEIs which makes the teeth-to-tail ratio for HEIs to 1.325. As one of the most critical components of the tertiary system, the adequacy of teachers and maintenance of their standards is important for success of the system. A range of demand-side factors like lack of financial re s o u rc e s , d e l ay s i n re c r u i t m e n t , mismatches in openings and skills, inadequate career progression, overburdening with non-academic responsibilities etc. can affect the situation of teaching staff. Further, supply-side factors like lack of subject competencies, mismatch in pedagogical and subject skills, withdrawal due to inadequate compensation, lack of familiarity with technological tools etc. can result in sub-optimal outcomes. As one of the biggest expenditure heads in the spending on education, the situation of teachers can be a source of significant efficiencies and effectiveness. Staff in Higher Education: Quantity and quality of teaching staff in the tertiary education system in India generally underperforms the advanced countries and is also highly uneven. There are over 1.59 million higher education faculty members in the country. In comparison, the US had around 0.8 million full-time faculty members, while the UK had around 0.2 million full-time faculty members. The pupil-teacher ratio (PTR) for all HEIs nationally is around 23 for regular students. In the case of universities, it stands at 18. The OECD average PTR for tertiary education is around 15.6 with a much lower ratio for the US (13.5) and the UK (13). In India, the distribution of teachers and quality is also very lumpy with higher ranking colleges having a high concentration of quantity and quality. The average number of faculty is around 645 for the NIRF overall top 100 HEIs, but for the remaining HEIs it was a more modest 162. For NIRF top 100 colleges, the average faculty size was 173 but for remaining colleges it was only 71. A fourth of the total faculty was employed in the NIRF overall top 100 HEIs, while they also accounted for nearly 35% of the PhD faculty. The disparity was only marginally less stark in the case of colleges where the NIRF top 100 colleges accounted for 17% of the overall faculty but hosted nearly 22% of the doctoral faculty. About 68% of the tertiary 36 HEI in the QS rankings is 147 (IISC in 2016). In the case of the THE World University Rankings 2024, only one university ranked among the top 500 (IISC in the 201-250 band). In comparison, 83 and 107 US universities are listed in the QS and THE top 500 rankings in 2024 respectively, along with 49 and 53 UK universities. In 2024, 29 and 32 Chinese universities also made to the top 500 of the QS and THE rankings respectively. Within the sub-categories for these ra n k i n g s , t h e ra n ke d I n d i a n H E I s performance was highly varied. Quality: The quality of the Indian higher system as measured by global rankings is limited and can be highly uneven within the country. In terms of global rankings, Indian HEIs have a sparse presence. The QS World University Rankings 2024 enumerated 11 Indian HEIs among the world's top 500 universities and none in the top hundred. Of the 11 ranked HEIs, seven were IITs and one was IISC. All the ranked HEIs were publicly managed. The highest-ever rank achieved by an Indian SCORES AS PER QS WORLD UNIVERSITY RANKINGS 2024 India Last in World 500th World Best India Best in (University Top 500 Top 500 (IITB) (IIT (MIT) of Delaware) Indore) Overall Score 100 51.7 25.2 23.2 Academic Reputation 100 55.5 5.6 10.2 Employer Reputation 100 81.9 4.3 7.9 Faculty Student Ratio 100 18.9 33.3 6.9 Citations Per Faculty 100 73.1 94.4 59.1 International Faculty Ratio 100 4.7 2.3 36.3 International Student Ratio 88.2 1.4 1.1 13.7 International Research Network 94.3 8.5 1.2 28.2 Employment Outcomes 100 47.4 8.4 19.8 Sustainability 95.2 54.9 2 31.8 37 SCORES AS PER THE WORLD UNIVERSITY RANKINGS 2024 World Best World 500th (University of Oxford) India Best in Top 500 (IISC) (National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University) Overall Score 98.5 55.9–58.6 45.4–49.0 Teaching 96.6 62.9 44 Research Environment 100 57.8 44.3 Research Quality 99 53.9 52.9 Industry 98.7 96 99.9 International Outlook 97.5 31.1 41.4 India’s own HEI quality measurement systems shows significant divergences among Indian HEIs and their quality. A B C The National Assessment and Accreditation Council UNIVERSITIES 55 41 4 (NAAC) system, a more comprehensive quality system than annual rankings, has (till 2023) only accredited about twoCOLLEGES 21 67 12 fifths of the universities and a quarter of the colleges (including affiliated and standalone colleges) indicating a limited coverage of quality assurance. A quality dichotomy between accredited universities and colleges is also apparent. While about 55% of the universities were categorized in the top-most grade (A), only 21% of colleges were graded thus. The high variability in quality can be seen in the National Institutional Ranking Framework (NIRF) also. In the overall category for NIRF-2023, the highest-ranking HEI (IIT-M) scored an overall score of 86.69 with the scores for the 100th HEI (Christ University) almost halved to 45.65. Even among the NIRF rankings, IITs and other INIs remain dominant. Public HEIs and larger HEIs tend to perform better in overall category. Most top ranked institutions, however, perform relatively poorly on Research and Professional Practice and Perception parameters as compared to others. (National Institutional Ranking Framework, 2023) (KPMG, 2023). NAAC ACCREDITATIONS GRADES AS OF 2023 HEI SCORES AS PER NIRF-2023 NIRF OVERALL 1ST NIRF OVERALL 100TH Total Score 86.69 45.65 Teaching and Learning Resources 86.45 52.14 Research and Professional Practice 89.88 18.96 Graduation Outcome 87.22 67.20 Outreach and Inclusivity 63.59 69.84 Perception 100 39.05 38 This pattern of variable and lumpy quality generally emanates from the policy choice of creating a few public institutions that are of high quality with focused investments. These “centres of gravity” for higher quality tend to attract the best of resources, teaching talent, and students. Most INIs fall in this category. While this choice enables effectiveness of resources and creates role models for other institutions, it can also lead to limited progress in quality of other institutions. This also severely constraints supply for students which can lead to a mismatch with demand, increase the cost for competing for limited seats, and forge new psychosocial dynamics. Admissions to these institutions are aspirational and highly competitive. Nearly a third of secondary and higher secondary students report taking coaching classes. The equity principle may also be affected due to disadvantages of economic status. The dichotomy of elite and mass institutions (in terms of quality) has defined many aspects of India's educational landscape and remains its prominent feature. Outcomes: The relative advantages of higher education over other levels are undoubted, however the expected outcomes may not always be fully realized. The scale of outcomes realized for individuals is generally dependent on academic success, which in itself is a result of many complex factors. The record of Indian students in terms of academic success is mixed. Level of foundational skills like reading and numeracy, which are outcomes of the lower levels of the education system, can have a big impact on student achievement. Pass percentages vary widely between levels and gender. For undergraduate courses, the pass percentage stands between 48-53%. Women tend to have a higher pass percentage except in diploma and integrated courses. Around 5% of the individuals enrolled in courses are likely to d ro p o u t b e f o re c o m p l e t i o n . T h e knowledge and skills gained even after completing tertiary education may not bring adequate expected benefits for individual and structural reasons. Employment rates for tertiary educated individuals are lower as compared to other OECD countries at all levels. A significant propor tion of college graduates are known to lack skills which are required by the market affecting their employability. Further, sorting patterns based on institutional credentials and socio-economic status can create inequalities of outcomes. 39 colleges. Privatization also showed a significant regional skew with larger and more developed states showing a relatively larger presence of private colleges; while smaller states were more likely to have a more balanced or publicleaning landscape. In the case of enrolments, however, the picture is more mixed with the private-public ratio being less stark (except for Andhra Pradesh). In some states like Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand, and West Bengal, public colleges were servicing more enrolments even while being fewer in number. States like Gujarat, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh have nearly 90 universities each with a significant number of state private universities. Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, and Karnataka have a large number of private deemed universities. Some states like Tamil Nadu, Delhi, Kerala, Gujarat, and Andra Pradesh have higher levels of PhD enrolments relative to their undergraduate pools. The regional diversity of landscape thus creates different challenges for transforming the higher education system and calls for a tailor-made approach. Regional Variations: There are significant state-wise variations in India’s performance in the higher education sector in almost all aspects. The participation in the higher education system is highly uneven across states. The tertiary GER in India was highest in the UTs of Chandigarh (64) and Puducherry (61). Among major states; Delhi (49), Tamil Nadu (47), Kerala (41.3) had some of the highest tertiary GERs; while Assam (16.2), Chhattisgarh (17.4), Bihar (17.8) reported the lowest tertiary GERs. Over the last five years, an improvement has been observed in tertiary GER in almost all major states with some states like Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, Kerala etc. showing bigger gains. Access and distribution of HEIs also show significant regional divergences. Based on the age pool of 18-23 years, the college-population density nationally is around 300 colleges per million population. States like Bihar, Jharkhand, 7 Delhi, Tripura, Assam, and West Bengal report a density of less than or equal to 150 colleges per million; while other states like Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Kerala, and Himachal Pradesh have a density higher than 450. States like G u j a ra t , M a h a ra s h t ra , K a r n a t a k a , Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, and Tamil Nadu have a relatively greater presence of specialized colleges than other states apart from the general curriculum 7. Due to large presence of non-affiliated institutions 40 women have a lower (42%) share in enrolment. They outnumber men in general sciences stream at all levels; but remain grossly underrepresented in engineering and technology streams at all levels. Women are also more likely to drop out at the graduate level than men. Women are underrepresented in teaching positions with only 77 female faculty for every 100 male faculty. Ensuring an equal share for women in the higher education system is highly desirable. Equitable participation of women in the higher education system is also central to achieve the socioeconomic goals as the marginal impact of greater women participation in education can be much higher. Gender Equity: In terms of equitable opportunities and outcomes for women, the higher education system presents a mixed picture. The tertiary GER for women was marginally higher than men (28.5 and 28.3 respectively) and the improvement in GER in the last five years for both genders has been in lockstep. The pattern of higher female GER was prevalent across most major states except Odisha, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Rajasthan etc. Within disadvantaged groups, a higher female tertiary GER is also observed among SCs; however, in the case of STs, it is marginally lower by 0.5 points. However, in terms of absolute numbers, fewer women are enrolled in tertiary education (915 for every 1000 men). It is only at the post-graduate levels that women outnumber men in terms of enrolment. Women also outnumber men when only enrolments in affiliated colleges are considered indicating some constraints of physical mobility as colleges are more likely to be situated geographically closer. Gender patterns are also reflected in course choices. Women enrolments tend to be higher in programmes like general degrees, education, architecture, nursing, dentistry etc. at the undergraduate level, while the general post-graduate programmes also tend to attract higher female enrolments. In STEM fields, 41 smaller states, ST-GERs are marginally higher than overall tertiary GER. For most states, the improvement in the overall GER over the last five years is reflected in comparable improvements in the SC-GER and ST-GER. SC students accounted for around 15.4% of the total enrolments, while ST enrolments contributed around 6.3%. SC and ST enrolments have grown faster (25.4% and 41.6% respectively) than the overall growth in enrolments (18.1%) between 2017-18 and 2021-22. Affirmative action policies, including reservations, have enabled to improve the equity of participation for the disadvantaged groups. However, this does not always ensure equity in outcomes as compared to other groups (Frisancho Robles & Krishna, 2012). Social Equity: Among the historically disadvantaged groups of SCs and STs, educational participation and outcomes remain generally lower than average even in midst of large variations. For SCs, the tertiary GER was lower by around 2.5 points nationally as compared to the overall tertiary GER. In the case of many small states, however, the SC-GER is higher than the overall GER along with the major states of Maharashtra and Gujarat. Major negative gaps in SC-GER as compared to average are seen in states like Karnataka, Kerala, Himachal Pradesh. STs have a tertiary GER lower by almost 7.2 points nationally vis-à-vis overall GER. In some states like Madhya Pradesh, Karnataka, and Maharashtra, the gap can be higher than 10 points; while in some 42 course choices also. A rural student is less likely to take up a technical course as compared to a general course. She is also more likely to take a humanities course after 10th standard in lieu of a science or commerce course. A rural student taking up a professional course is half as likely as an urban student to opt for engineering, medicine, or law course; but is more likely to take agriculture, education, or vocational courses. Students8 from rural areas are more likely to move to urban areas for education; but almost a third of those who move from their original residence remain in rural areas. While students from urban areas are also likely to move to other urban areas within the state for education, nearly two-fifths of those who move are likely to go to other states. The urban-rural geography of higher education is critical in terms of expanding access to higher education. The factors shaping this aspect may lie within the tertiary system (provider choices, quality etc.) as well as outside (transport, proximity to job markets, perceptions etc.). Urban-Rural Differences: There appears to be a notable rural-urban divide in terms of attainment, access, and outcomes of higher education. There is a clear divide on attainment levels with the tertiary attainment (15 years and above) in urban areas (21.7%) being nearly four times higher than rural areas (5.7%). For the 15 years and above age cohort, while the average years of schooling completed by an urban person was 10.9 years; for a rural person it was only 9 years. For 25 years and above, the urban rate remained almost the same (10.8) but dropped to 8.4 in the case of a rural person indicating the legacy effects of lower tertiary participation. While the rural-urban distribution of institutions and enrolment is not available, the agespecific attendance ratio for 18-23 years for rural areas was lower than urban areas by almost 14 points. Disadvantages of economic status are aggravated by the urban-rural disparity. There is a significant difference in tertiary attendance for lowest quintile of expenditure (as an indicator of economic status) for rural areas which was nearly half of the lowest quintile in the urban areas. In rural areas, the Gross Attendance Ratio for the highest quintile of expenditure was nearly three times that of the lowest quintile; but for the urban areas, it was a relatively lower 2.75 times. The disparity is reflected in the 8. Includes tertiary and non-tertiary students 43 most tangible return for the higher education service providers, cost of education can shape choices and attitudes in many different ways. Cost is the strongest channel through which market forces work in the education sector. It also has a direct impact on the equity of higher education by creating barriers. The cost factor has become even more important since the expansion of the private education sector. On one hand, while recovery of costs by HEIs is desirable to make them self-sustaining and trigger a virtuous cycle of investment into the education sector; on the other hand, affordability is essential to protect open and equitable access to the tertiary system. Cost, thus, has impact on the state and structure of higher education across multiple outcomes and will be a critical aspect of India's education system. Cost of Higher Education and Financial Aid: Cost of general tertiary education in India is comparable with advanced nations but location, choice of course, and institutions can have a significant effect on affordability. In 2017-18, average annual cost for a general undergraduate course was around ₹14,624 which amounts to around 13% of GDP per capita. In the same year, the annual cost of a general undergraduate course in the US was around 10.8% of the GDP per capita. It is notable that the annual cost of a general undergraduate degree is only marginally higher than higher secondary level (₹13,845). Higher secondary education in urban areas tends to be costlier than a graduate course on average. A technical/professional course at the tertiary level is four times costlier than a general course. The expenditure incurred in public institutions at graduate level is around half of the private (aided and unaided) colleges, for general as well as technical/professional courses. It is obvious that cost is a function of many variables including location, level, course, institution, quality and has many components including tuition fees, boarding costs, study material, other expenditures etc. As the most tangible negative payoff of opting for higher education for students and as the 44 Financial aid to enable affordability is available to a section of the tertiary student body but there is more room for broader access. Nearly 7.5% of the individuals studying at the tertiary level received free education, with a higher 9.1% in rural areas and 5.5% in urban areas. This is the lowest proportion of free education among all levels of education in India. However, around 19% of the tertiary students also report receiving scholarships, with a higher 23.2% in rural areas and 15.7% in urban areas. Generally, this is the secondhighest propor tion of scholarship beneficiaries among all levels of education after non-tertiary diploma and certificate courses. In this financial year alone, post-matric scholarships worth more than ₹1,100 crores were disbursed through the National Scholarship Portal and many state governments provide their own scholarships in addition. However, as compared to the US where nearly 63% of first-time undergraduates received aid in the form of grants, there remains significant room for expanding the financial aid programmes. Further, the structure and eligibility of the financial aid programme can be optimized for furthering the goal of best education for all as financial need may be variable across level of education, phase of life, gender, nature of programme etc. A comprehensive financial aid system will have to be complementary to the tertiary system. Investment in Higher Education: Public expenditure on tertiary education in India normalized for the size of GDP is comparable with advanced countries, however the differences in absolute size of the economy and enrolments results in a wide gap in available resources. For international comparison, in 2020, public expenditure on tertiary education as a percentage of GDP was around 1.5% for India as compared to 1.51% for the UK and 1.81% for the US as per UNESCO data. Average public funding to tertiary education in OECD countries is around 1.1% of the GDP. In absolute terms, however, India’s public expenditure on tertiary education was around $43 billion as compared to the US which spent $386 billion and the UK which spent $48 billion for much smaller student populations. As a percentage of total government expenditure on education, ter tiary education accounted for 35% of the spending in India, while it was comparable 33% for the US and 30.5% in the UK. As of 2020-2021, the total government expenditure on education was budgeted to be around ₹ 9.19 lakh crore; of which higher education accounted for 13.3% and technical education accounted for another 20.5%. In 2021-22, as a percentage of GDP, spending on higher education was about 0.62% of the GDP, 45 and combined with technical education it was around 1.57% pointing to an increasing trend. Public expenditure on tertiary education is a critical feature of most major economies since it is i m p o r t a n t to l eve ra g e t h e h i g h e r education sector for national priorities. Governments tend to be the biggest financers of tertiary education in OECD countries with nearly four times as much spending as private sources. Over the next few years, with its resources and mandate to fill gaps, the public sector will continue to play a major role in the higher education sector. Public expenditure is thus one aspect of the public sector’s commitment to the sector and can be relatively most impactful for national goals. Nature, composition, and quality of public investment in tertiary education in India are notable for their peculiarities and can affect the evolution of the system. A major proportion of the public investment in India is in the nature of revenue expenditure. In advanced countries, nearly 8-9% of the public spending is capital expenditure. This affects the longterm returns of the investment by limiting spending to short-term uses. The relative prioritization of public expenditure for lower levels of education is also apparent in India. The public spending on secondary education is just marginally higher than secondary education. In the OECD countries, the public expenditure for tertiary education tends to be 1.4 times higher than secondary education. India also routes a greater proportion of public funding through private channels. Nearly 41% of India’s government spending on higher education through education departments was for “assistance to u n i v e r s i t i e s ” a n d “a s s i s t a n c e t o government colleges”. Another 27% accounted for “assistance to nongovernment colleges”, just above half of the proportion of assistance to public HEI. For OECD countries, public expenditure through private institutions is only about a fourth of that through public institutions. 46 Policy and Regulatory Landscape: Focus on Research: Research as a critical area of the higher education system still remains below its potential with limited representation for India in the global landscape and is mostly clustered in few institutions. India’s overall research and development (R&D) expenditure remains at around 0.65% of the GDP; while high income countries spend nearly 2.9% of the GDP on R&D. China also spends around 2.4% of GDP on research. This underperformance is also reflected in the number of researchers and publications. India has only 260 researchers per million while highincome countries and China report nearly 4400 and 1687 researchers per million respectively. As per NIRF-2023, India’s share (over the period of 2019-2021) in the global scientific publications is just 4.81%. In engineering, however, India notably contributes around 7% of the global publications. There is a significant concentration of publications in top ranking institutions in India. Around 1.4% of the overall HEIs produce nearly 26% of the Indian publications emanating from this HEI category. Over 64% of the publications by HEIs in the NIRF overall category came from the top 100 HEIs. In the case of colleges, however, NIRF sub100 colleges contributed nearly twothirds of the research papers. The absolute output was also moderate and The higher education sector is majorly influenced by a myriad of stakeholders, with the central and state governments being most prominent. Central and state governments are the two most important and influential stakeholders in the system with a major presence in policy, resource allocation and execution. As higher education is a part of the Concurrent List, both the Center and the states exercise control over the sector. A gamut of regulatory bodies at the central level like the University Grants Commission and professional education bodies like the AICTE and many state level legislations have an impact in the respective areas. Many ministries and departments are involved in controlling standards for professional courses or providing financial aid at both state and central levels. Both states and the Center run universities and colleges. However, states contributed around 68% of the public expenditure on university and higher education; while in case of technical education, states cumulatively spent only marginally more than the Center. The shared jurisdiction creates a need for coordination of intent and resources for optimizing the outcomes over the next few years. 47 uneven. HEIs classified as research institutions published nearly 1990 papers per institution. Universities published around 706 papers per college. Average papers published by all NIRF-2023 overall HEIs is around 377; while for colleges it was a meagre 17 papers per college. However, it is critical to note that a significant share of the scientific publications from India came from NIRFranked institution, which points to the primacy of the academic sector in the research output in India as compared to t h e i n d u s t r y. T h i s h i g h l i g h t s t h e importance of the higher education sector in the research landscape of India. A complex interaction of talent and facilities drives the research output of the higher education system with the underlay of quality and resources. The quality of research output is also important as only the research advancing the state of knowledge can deliver the relevant social and economic outcomes. Issues like IP rights, academic integrity, and predatory publications can affect the research function of the higher education system significantly. Extension of research is another critical aspect which defines the utility of the research function. The newly created Anusandhan National Research Foundation defines a new epoch for Indian research and will influence the area deeply over the years to come. Alternative Learning Modes: Off-campus modes of learning also form a big part of higher education delivery in India. Among the overall university enrolments, nearly a third are enrolled in open universities providing distance education. In total, nearly 4.5 million of the 43 million enrolments are enrolled for the distance mode. New online programmes and broader access to facilities for internet-enabled distance learning along with the expanding use of MOOCs are changing the landscape for tertiary education rapidly, a process which was only accelerated by the Covid19 pandemic. The ease, efficiency, and scale of delivering higher education through these modes is a critical pathway for rapid expansion of the tertiary system. However, the nature of this expansion is subject to the context of differential access to the internet and technology a l o n g w i t h t h e n e e d to m a i n t a i n standards of learning. 48 engineering fields (National Science Board, 2022). The quest for quality education, better research facilities, as well as other outcomes of studying in foreign universities is obviously leading to this massive outflow of talent. A complex set of factors is also at work which drives this situation which includes limited domestic capacity in some fields, IP regime issues, cultural preferences etc. On the other hand, similar factors limit the inflow of students to India. Good education systems that attract the best of talent from across the world enable the countries to not just use their own resources for national priorities but expand the pool of human and financial resources further. The dynamics of internationalization will have a major impact on the Indian tertiary education system over the next few years. Internationalization of Higher Education: Internationalization of tertiary education is notably present but mainly as a oneway phenomenon in India emanating from both positive and negative preferences. As of 2022, nearly 46,800 international students studied in India. Nearly three-quarters of these were enrolled at undergraduate levels. The biggest contributors to international students were Nepal (13,126), Afghanistan (3,151), the US (2,893), Bangladesh (2,606), UAE (2,287) and Bhutan (1,562). Nearly a tenth of these international students were enrolled in the B.Tech. programme, which was the biggest contributor to international students. In contrast, the outgo of Indian students to foreign universities is massive. Nearly 1.32 million Indians were enrolled abroad as of 2022, with the largest proportion of these being located in the US (35.7%), followed by Canada (14%), UAE (12%), Australia (7.7%), Saudi Arabia (5%) and the UK (4.2%). A large majority of the Indian students going to US pursue post-graduate courses with 77% among these opting for science and engineering courses. Between 2000-2020, Indians accounted for nearly 12.5% of the doctoral degree awarded in the US to international students with a significant share of degrees being in the science and 49 This is but only a snapshot of the multifaceted dynamics at play affecting the higher education system in India. There are other critical aspects like content of the curriculum, industry linkages, availability of facilities, innovation and incubation, language of instruction, pedagogical training, evaluation systems, international collaborations etc. with their own features affecting the state of the higher education system in India. The higher education system also must be looked at in the context of the global trends that are fast reforming the milieu of the sector. These include the access to large resources of i n f o r m a t i o n t h ro u g h t h e i n t e r n e t , emergence of new areas like AI, strategic importance of research etc. 50 Visionary Initiatives in Higher Education Since 2014 Against this background, since 2014, India has made great progress on the front of higher education with improved outcomes and visionary changes in this sector. There has been brisk progress in key indicators like enrolment, capacity, gender parity etc., while research and innovation have also shown accelerated advance. The most important reform in the higher education sector which lays the groundwork for all future activity in the sector is the National Education Policy 2020. This policy seeks to “transform India into a vibrant knowledge society and global knowledge superpower through broad based, flexible, multidisciplinary education suited to 21st century needs”. For higher education, it sets the target for achieving a tertiary GER of 50% by 2035 while makes fundamental changes to the landscape of the sector in the form of flexible curriculum, multidisciplinary HEIs, graded autonomy to colleges, promotion of digital education, focus on multiple entry/exit options etc. Apart from this, structural reforms like the establishment of the Anusandhan National Research Foundation are overhauling the sector in a major way. Initiatives like the National Credit Framework, National Higher Education Qualification Framework, Academic Bank of Credit have been launched for greater fl e x i b i l i t y f o r l e a r n e r s . S W AYA M regulations allowing learners to avail credits through online and ODL learning have been introduced. In order to enable internationalization, regulations for campuses of foreign HEIs in India have been issued along with regulations for 'Academic Collaboration between Indian and Foreign HEIs to offer Twinning, Joint Degree and Dual Degree Programmes'. Foreign universities have been permitted to offer select courses in GIFT City in Ahmedabad. The World Class Institutions Scheme was also launched under which 20 institutions are slated to be developed as 'Institutes of Eminence'. Further, initiatives like GIAN, SPARC etc. have been leveraged to improve varied aspects of higher education. The National Scholarship Portal has streamlined the process of financial aid disbursement significantly. All these measures have been adequately supported by intent and resources. The last 10 years have created a solid foundation for taking the higher education sector to new heights. 51 The stream of progress has been constantly flowing in the t e r t i a r y e d u c a t i o n s e c to r, however, the aspiration for creating a Viksit Bharat by 2047 calls for even loftier ambitions. Through this inaugural NationBuilding case study competition, we invite the youth of this country to build on the progress since 2014 and collectively envision, engage with, and enable the nation's highest destiny of a In order to leverage the higher education system for enabling Viksit Bharat and to make the higher education system worthy of the nation's developed status, a comprehensive transformation of the higher education system will be required. Viksit Bharat needs a world-class higher education system. Viksit Bharat status… one transformation at a time! 52 References Barro, R. J. (2001). Human Capital and Growth. The American Economic Review, 91(2). 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