MACROECONOMICS Presentation 2 CONSUMPTION, SAVINGS AND INVESTMENT Consumption - the total value of goods and services purchased by households Consumption function – the relationship between consumption and those economic variables that determine the decision to consume. in general, households spend more on consumption goods when they have higher incomes C = Co + C1 Y Where: Co = a positive constant; the intercept which represents the amount of consumption when income (Y) is zero C1 =the marginal propensity to consume; slope of the line IV. Macroeconomics Slide 2 CONSUMPTION, SAVINGS AND INVESTMENT Average propensity to consume (APC) - the fraction of income that households spend on consumption, expressed as a ratio C/Y. Factors affecting the level of aggregate consumption 1. level of income 2. level of interest rate 3. increase in the level of employment 4. level of output in the economy 5. price level 6. exchange rate movement 7. foreign trade Macroeconomics Slide 3 INVESTMENT AND SAVING Saving – is the part of income that is nor used for consumption Investment – gross private domestic investment is the total of new plant and equipment , non residential structures residential structures and inventory accumulation purchased in a given period. Inventory accumulation – the change in business inventory in a given period Saving – defined as income less consumption S=Y–C Y = C IV.+Macroeconomics I, which implies Y – C = I = S Slide 4 Investment and Savings Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) – the proportion of each added dollar of real disposable income that households devote to real consumption. the slope of the consumption function. It measures the dollar change in consumption for a $1 change in income Aggregate output = Y = C + I but Y = C + S then, C+I =C+S&S=I IV. Macroeconomics Slide 5 Multiplier – the ratio of the change in the equilibrium level of output to a change in some autonomous variable. Autonomous variable – a variable that is assumed not to depend on the state of the economy - that is taken as given. Investment multiplier – 1/MPS, that is ∆Y = ∆I x 1/MPS =∆I /1-MPC IV. Macroeconomics Slide 6 Example: Suppose the aggregate consumption function of Filipino is: C =5,000 + 0.75Y a. what is the aggregate consumption when income is zero? Ans: 5,000 b. what is the marginal propensity to consume? Ans: 0.75 c. how much is the consumption expenditure when income is P1 million? Ans: 750,000 d. derive the saving function and determine the MPS. Ans: S = Y – C or Y – [5000 + 0.75] so that the saving function is S = - 5000 + [1 – 0.75) Y or S = - 5000 + 0.25Y (Ans.) MPS = 0.25 IV. Macroeconomics Slide 7 Simple Income Determination The national income accountants’ framework in this economy is Y = C + Ir’ C = consumption Ir’ = net realized investment Realized investment – means the net investment regardless of whether it is intentional or unintentional An income is disposable income, so that Y = C + Sp IV. Macroeconomics Slide 8 Consumption Function Algebraically, if C = 0.75Y + 25 and if I = 20 then by substituting these quantities into the equation Y = C + 1 we get Y = 25 + 20 = 180 1 – 0.75 Another way of finding equilibrium is to find the point where the schedule of intended investment cuts the saving schedule. In both cases equilibrium is $180b. IV. Macroeconomics Slide 9 Consumption Function IV. Macroeconomics Slide 10 Application: Problem Solving Example : Consider a close economy, (no foreign sector) without government sector, that is described by the following equation: C = 700 + 0.6Ye Ip = 300 + 0.2Ye – 40r Assumed that the interest rate is fixed at 5% by the monetary policy. a. Calculate the magnitude of autonomous spending b. Calculate the multiplier and the level of income that gives goods-market equilibrium. c. What is the level of saving in equilibrium? d. If the level of autonomous investment, Io, were to rise to 400, what would be the effect on equilibrium income? IV. Macroeconomics Slide 11 Simple Income Determination IV. Macroeconomics Slide 12 Simple Income Determination IV. Macroeconomics Slide 13 MACROECONOMICS Presentation 3 UNEMPLOYMENT AND INFLATION The Meaning Inflation of Unemployment, Employment and Employment – refers to the population that is employed Labor force – the total number of people in the economy who are either employed or unemployed Unemployment – a situation wherein people in the labor force are unemployed but at actively looking for work. Unemployment rate - the percentage of people in the labor force who are unemployed. IV. Macroeconomics Slide 15 The Types of Unemployment Frictional Unemployment – is due to the normal workings of an economy. 1. Frictional unemployment occurs because: a. workers quit to find better jobs b. employers fire workers and look for better ones to replace them c. consumers change the goods they buy, thereby reducing jobs previously available in producing the goods they no longer want but increasing jobs elsewhere, and d. technological progress makes the skills of some workers obsolete. IV. Macroeconomics Slide 16 2. Structural unemployment 2. Structural unemployment – unemployment that is accounted for by people who are out of work for long periods because their skills do not match those required for available jobs. unemployment that arises from: 1. changes in the geographical; or 2. industrial structure of the economy. IV. Macroeconomics Slide 17 these two factors seriously affects certain industries, occupations, or areas of the country so that only with very high costs can workers relocate and/or retrain for new careers. IV. Macroeconomics Slide 18 3. Cyclical Unemployment 3. Cyclical Unemployment – arises from the downturns of the business cycle in the economy. • When economists say the economy is at full employment, they mean that there is no cyclical unemployment. However, both frictional and structural employment can and do exist when the economy is fully employed. IV. Macroeconomics Slide 19 Classification of employment status: 1. family members have jobs 2. family members are actively looking for work 3. those who are on temporary layoff from a job 4. do not want to take paid employment 5. are sick and unable to work IV. Macroeconomics Slide 20 CAUSES OF UNEMPLOYMENT 1. have quit jobs in order to look for better ones 2. discontentment with the salary/benefits receive 3. retrenchment of the company/closure of business 4. co-terminus work status or project basedemployment 5. do not want to take paid employment 6. Incapacitated 7. under qualified/overqualified 8. no vacancy IV. Macroeconomics Slide 21 EFFECTS OF UNEMPLOYMENT 1. Poverty as a consequence of unemployment for many workers 2. Unemployment also exacts a high human toll on the unemployed 3. Unemployment results in a level of aggregate output or real GNP which is less than the economy’s potential aggregate output or potential GNP IV. Macroeconomics Slide 22 MEASURES TO ADDRESS UNEMPLOYMENT 1. Rural agricultural mobilization 2. Promotion of industrialization and expansion of exports 3. labor policies 4. education 5. efficient resource allocation 6. improve the political environment 7. institutional reforms 8. infrastructure improvements IV. Macroeconomics Slide 23 MACROECONOMICS Presentation 2 The Meaning of Inflation Inflation - refers to sustained increases in the price level as measured by a price index a rise in the overall prices, an on-going increase in the price level Hyperinflation – a period of very rapid increases in the overall price level Stagflation – a period of low economic growth and abnormally high inflation Deflation - a decrease in the general price level IV. Macroeconomics Slide 25 The most common measures of inflation are: 1. Consumer Price Index – the index tracts the prices of the purchases made by typical households in a given year relative to the prices for the same collection of goods and services in a base year 2. Implicit price deflator for GNP - the price level for all GNP. The deflator is computed as the ratio of nominal GNP to real GNP. IV. Macroeconomics Slide 26 CAUSES OF INFLATION 1. Aggregate demand – if there are continuing increases in aggregate demand with a fixed aggregate supply, then prices will keep increasing. 2. Aggregate supply – a rise in the cost of goods and services can become built-in to costs and prices so that aggregate supply will catch up with shifts in aggregate demand. 3. Expectation of inflation – if increases in inflation are anticipated, upward shifts in aggregate supply can occur even with no increase in aggregate demand, so that inflation becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. IV. Macroeconomics Slide 27 CAUSES OF INFLATION 4. Sudden contractions of the supply of specific commodities/or shocks to aggregate supply (e.g. oil) - an inflationary supply shock is a sudden and significant increase in the price level at which a given level of output is produced. 5. Increase in cost of production – inflation brought about by increase in cost is called “cost-push or supply side inflation”. bad news to policy makers because prices are increasing at the same time output is falling(stagflation is experienced) IV. Macroeconomics Slide 28 CAUSES OF INFLATION 6. Increase in money supply- this will lead to sustained inflation or even to hyperinflation 7. Structural limitations – inability of some industries or sectors to adjust to the changes in the level of demand 8. Distortion of the price system mainly caused by price support policies IV. Macroeconomics Slide 29 EFFECTS OF INFLATION Economic Effects 1. living standards grew very slowly over the decade and even decline ins some years; 2. Unstable prices 3. Unemployment IV. Macroeconomics Slide 30 EFFECTS OF INFLATION 4. workers and firms change the conditions under which they are willing to supply output 5. change in the price-setting and wage-setting behavior 6. aggregate supply schedule keep rising overtime (it causes the output-inflation-trade-off to shift up) 7. higher costs drive up prices with no off-setting increases in output. IV. Macroeconomics Slide 31 Effects of Inflation b. Social and Political consequences it provides bad reputation to existing political leadership Depreciation (of a currency) – a decline in the value of a country’s currency relative to another. Purchasing Power Parity - a situation in which a given sum of money will buy the same market basket of goods and services when converted from one currency to another at prevailing exchange rates. IV. Macroeconomics Slide 32 EXCHANGE RATE Nominal exchange rate - the exchange rate expressed in the usual way: in terms of current units of foreign currency per current dollar Real exchange rate – the nominal exchange rate adjusted for changes in the price levels of both countries relative to a chosen base year. WHAT IS THE EFFECT OF INFLATION ON THE EXCHANGE RATE OF PESO TO A DOLLAR? Example: The rate of inflation is 10 per cent per year in the Philippines and three percent in the United States. The buying power of peso in the Philippines is falling 7 per cent faster than the buying power of the dollar in US. If the exchange rate between the pesos and the dollar were to decline by 7 percent from one year to the next, then American buyers would be getting 7 percent more peso for their dollars, but the decline in the exchange rate would be exactly undone by the changes in relative prices in the two countries. 3.3.4B. MEASURES TO ADDRESS INFLATION 1. Monetarism and market solution maximize the role of the government in individual markets by deregulation and to minimize the macroeconomic role of the government by replacing discretionary monetary and fiscal policies with a fixed-rate-of-growth rule for monetary authorities and a balanced-budget fiscal policy. 2. Demand-Management Fine Tuning fine-tuning the economy- is a strategy in which discretionary monetary and fiscal measures are used to stabilize the economy and promote full employment at low inflation rates. Depends on the accuracy of econometric models and economic forecasts. 3.3.4B. MEASURES TO ADDRESS INFLATION 3. Managing Aggregate Supply: Income Policies Income policies – seek to reduce inflation and promote higher levels of output and employment by restraining the ability of wages and prices to rise. It range from voluntary compliance with wage and price guidelines to mandatory wage and price controls. MEASURES TO ADDRESS INFLATION CONTN… 4. Managing Aggregate Supply: Indexing indexing as an anti-inflationary strategy would adjust money payments and taxes to changes in the price level. The logic is that this would eliminate unexpected losses of purchasing power from unexpected inflation. PHILLIPS CURVE Phillips curve – a curve showing the negative relationship between inflation rate unemployment Figure 1 The Phillips Curve, 1961–1969 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. Note: Inflation based on the Consumer Price Index. and 3.4 MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY 1. Policies are categorized as follows: Fiscal policies – policies concerning government purchases, taxes, and transfer payments 2. Monetary policies – policies that are used to control money supply 3.4.1.3 THE PHILIPPINE FINANCIAL SYSTEM The financial system - is composed of different institutions serving different markets and complementing each other in attaining the process of intermediation, providing a link between economic units with excess funds and those that use these funds. Structure of present financial system 1. Central bank – at the apex and all the major institutions under its regulations 2. Expanded Commercial banks (Universal banks) these banks can also undertake the functions of thrift banks, non-bank financial institutions and non-bank thrift institutions 3.BANKING INSTITUTIONS a. Commercial banks - these are institutions that accept deposits, including demand deposits, which are subject to withdrawal by checks e.g. (PNB, Veterans Bank of the Phils.) b. Thrift banks e.g. (Stock SLAs; Savings & Mortgage Banks; Private Devt. Banks) c. Rural banks BANKING INSTITUTIONS CONTN…. d. Specialized banks (DBP, LBP, Phil. Amanah Bank) DBP – created with a specific function of providing long term credit to finance private development projects LBP – set up (1970s) as a financial arm of the Land Reform Program PAB- created (mid 70s) especially designed to serve the banking needs of the Muslim areas in the South 4. NON-BANK FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS a. Investment houses f. Fund Managers b. Finance Companies g. Lending Investors c. Investment Companies h. Private Insurance d. Securities dealers/brokers Companies e. Pawnshops i. Specialized Non- banks NIDC) (GSIS, SSS, ACA, CONT… PHILIPPINE BANKING INSTITUTIONS 5. Non-bank thrift institutions a. Mutual Bldg. & Loan Assoc. b. Non-stock SLAs 3.4.2 FISCAL POLICY AND NATIONAL INCOME Fiscal System – a collective term for the combined operations of public expenditure, taxation and debt Public Finance – refers in particular to the subject of financing public expenditures a study of the fiscal system 3.4.2.1 COMPONENT OF NATIONAL BUDGET Standard Components of a National Budget 1.national revenue – taxes on income, taxes on international trade, excises and sales taxes, other taxes (taxes on property), non-tax revenues 2.Current operating expenses of government – personnel services, maintenance, interest, transfer of corporations, allotment to local governments COMPONENT OF NATIONAL BUDGET CONT…… 3. Capital outlays, which are dominated by infrastructure expenses infrastructure, other capital, capitalization (equity contributions), net lending 4. Summary of the overall deficit – foreign borrowing (net), borrowing from banking system, other domestic borrowing (including change in treasury cash balances) 5. Statement of the overall operating surplus, or the total revenues less current operating expenses TWO ASPECTS OF BUDGET: 1. Current operating expenses- provides for the maintenance of government expenditures for the year ex. expenditures for salaries of personnel & programs of existing offices, departments and agencies 2. Current operating expenditures – include the costs of maintenance of buildings and premises, interest of the public debt and transfers made by the national government to government corporations and local governments BUSINESS CYCLES Business cycle- a recurring fluctuation of real GNP or aggregate output in the economy. Each cycle consists of: a. peak - the highest level of output and employment reached before a sustained decline in output b. recession or contraction – where output is falling for at least two quarters c. trough – the low point for output d. recovery or expansion – where output is rising BUSINESS CYCLES Business cycles describe the fluctuations in business activity over time. Graph from Wikipedia EXPLANATION OF FOUR PHASES OF BUSINESS CYCLE 1. Prosperity Phase/Expansion When there is an expansion of output, income, employment, prices and profits, there is also a rise in the standard of living. This period is termed as Prosperity phase. The features of prosperity are :1. High level of output and trade. 2. High level of effective demand. 3. High level of income and employment. CONT… FEATURES OF PROSPERITY 4. Rising interest rates. 5. Inflation. 6. Large expansion of bank credit. 7. Overall business optimism. 8. A high level of MEC (Marginal efficiency of capital) and investment. 2. RECESSION PHASE 1. the economic activities slow down 2. When demand starts falling, the overproduction and future investment plans are also given up. 3. steady decline in the output, income, employment, prices and profits. RECESSION PHASE CONTN… 4. businessmen lose confidence and become pessimistic (Negative). a. It reduces investment b. The banks and the people try to get greater liquidity, so credit also contracts. c. Expansion of business stops, stock market falls. d. Orders are cancelled and people start losing their jobs. 5. increase in unemployment causes a sharp decline in income and aggregate demand 3. DEPRESSION PHASE When there is a continuous decrease of output, income, employment, prices and profits, there is a fall in the standard of living and depression sets in. The features of depression are : 1. Fall in volume of output and trade. 2. Fall in income and rise in unemployment. 3. Decline in consumption and demand. FEATURES OF DEPRESSION CONTN… 4. Fall in interest rate. 5. Deflation. 6. Contraction of bank credit. 7. Overall business pessimism. 8. Fall in MEC (Marginal efficiency of capital) and investment. 4. RECOVERY PHASE The turning point from depression to expansion is termed as Recovery or Revival Phase. 1. there are expansions and rise in economic activities. 2. When demand starts rising, production increases and this causes an increase in investment. 3. There is a steady rise in output, income, employment, prices and profits. RECOVERY CONTN… 4. businessmen gain confidence and become optimistic (Positive). a. increases investments. b. stimulation of investment brings about the revival or recovery of the economy. c. The banks expand credit, business expansion takes place and stock markets are activated. RECOVERY CONTN… 5. an increase in employment, production, income and aggregate demand, prices and profits start rising, and business expands. Thus we see that: a. during the expansionary or prosperity phase, there is inflation and b. during the contraction or depression phase, there is a deflation. POTENTIAL OUTPUT/GNP Potential output or Potential GNP - defined as the level of output that can be produced in a given year when the available capital and labor resources of the economy are fully utilized but not over utilized. The output ratio – the ratio of actual output to potential output, usually given in percent terms defined as the ratio of real GNP to potential real GNP, and the ratio is multiplied by 100 to express it as an index number Output ratio = output/potential output POTENTIAL OUTPUT/GNP CONTN… Output Gap- the difference between output and potential output defined either as a difference between output and potential output or the percent deviation of output from potential output Output gap(in base-year peso) = Output – Potential output Output gap (in percent) – percentage difference between output and potential output Example: If the output ratio is 90 percent, the output gap is minus 10 percent and the GNP is 10 percent below potential GNP. 3.5 MONEY AND BANKING 3.5.1 MONEY AND MONEY SUPPLY 3.5.1.1 Money – an asset that serves as a means of payment, a store of purchasing power, and a unit of account. Origins of Money 1. Barter 2. A medium of exchange emerges: commodity money 3. Paper money or currency 4. Managed currency FUNCTIONS OF MONEY 1. Money as a unit of value – the monetary unit serves as the unit of valuation or of accounting in which the value of goods and services is measured and expressed. 2. Money as a medium of exchange – means of payment for transactions money facilitates the exchange of goods for goods and thereby eases the trade FUNCTIONS OF MONEY CONTN… 3. Money as standard of deferred payments- once money is accepted as a unit of value and as a medium of exchange, it is inevitable that it becomes a standard for payments of debts or contracts in which payments are deferred. 4. Money as a store of value- Money is a good store of value with which to meet unpredicted expenditures MONEY SUPPLY What is a desirable supply of money? This depends on factors that are taken into account by the monetary authority. Among these factors are: 1. the desired level of economic growth or growth of GNP; 2. the desired level of governmental spending and the relationship of this with the government’s budget; MONEY SUPPLY CONT… 3. the level of credit consistent with the requirements of the rest of the economy to carry out normal activities; 4. the level of new money needed to meet the requirements of the country’s international trade and payments; and 5. the velocity of circulation of money CLASSIFICATIONS OF MONEY Economists have invented for convenience, therefore, several definitions of money. These are 1)general purpose of money, M1, and 2) broad money of M2. 1. General Purpose money, M1 (narrow money) – currency in circulation + demand deposits the use of money is confined to the two most commonly used instruments of payment – cash and checks a)coins - used to be the most important money in circulation b) paper money- paper currency is issued in most countries by governments through their central banks or monetary authorities CLASSIFICATIONS OF MONEY CONTN… demand deposit - a deposit which can be withdrawn by writing a check on demand. The check can be used to pay for obligations against the deposit in the bank. 2. Broad money, M2 – M1 + savings and time deposits a broader definition of money to include savings and time deposits deposits that are very “liquid” that is, easily convertible into cash – so that they are much like money in the sense of checking deposits. FIAT MONEY CONTN… Money which has no intrinsic value and cannot be redeemed for specie or any commodity, but is made legal tender through government decree. All modern paper currencies are fiat money, as are most modern coins. The value of fiat money depends on the strength of the issuing country's economy. Inflation results when a government issues too much fiat money. COMPONENTS OF THE PHILIPPINES MONEY SUPPLY 1. M1 2. M2 3. Currency in circulation 4. demand deposits 5. savings deposits 6. time deposits 7. savings and time deposits 8. deposit substitutes 9. marginal deposits 3.5.2 THEORIES ON DEMAND FOR MONEY 1. Transactions demand for Money - transaction motives arise from the need of households and firms to have money for the regular payments of goods and services 2. Precautionary demand for money – people and firms want to hold idle cash balances for precautionary or contingency reasons THEORIES AND DEMAND FOR MONEY CONTN…. 3. Speculative demand for money- also known as “asset demand for money”. It stems from the preference of households and firms to hold money as an asset that is perfectly liquid and free from risk of depreciation in terms of money in order to take advantage of market situation. Money velocity – the rate at which the supply of money is turning over or used per year, in order to undertake income transaction 3.5.4 FIAT MONEY The term fiat money is used to mean: any money declared by a government to be legal tender.[1] state-issued money which is neither legally convertible to any other thing, nor fixed in value in terms of any objective standard.[2] money without intrinsic value.[3] CHARTALISM Chartalism Chartalism is a monetary theory that states the initial demand for a fiat currency is generated by its unique ability to extinguish tax liabilities. Goods and services are traded for fiat money due to the need to pay taxes in the money. 3.5.3 COMMERICAL BANKING Commercial Bank – is a business institution that accepts deposits and lends to borrowers. Functions of Commercial Banks: The functions of commercial banks are provided for under Section 31 of the general Banking Act. Such functions are as follows: FUNCTIONS OF COMMERCIAL BANKS 1. To receive deposits; 2. To carry on the business of a commercial bank by accepting drafts and issuing letters of credit, by discounting and negotiating promissory notes, drafts, bills of exchange, and any other evidence of debt; 3. To buy and sell foreign exchange and gold or silver bullion, and 4. To lend money out against personal securities or against securities consisting of personal property or first mortgages on improved real estate, and other insured improvements. FUNCTIONS OF COMMERCIAL BANKS Briefly, the major functions of commercial banks may be divided under four broad categories: 1. depository functions 2. loan and discount functions 3. remittance and collection functions; and 4. trust or fiduciary functions FORM IN WHICH DEPOSITS COME TO A BANK: 1. money 2. checks issued by banks 3. items for collection from banks and others 4. proceeds of loans and discounts left on deposit FORM IN WHICH DEPOSITS COME TO A BANK CONTN… 5. traveler’s checks 6. drafts 7. promissory notes 8. money orders TRUST FUNDS While the common assumption is that trust funds are only for the wealthy, a trust fund can actually be leveraged into an effective financial tool for a larger range of income levels. The basic concept of a trust places a separate legal entity in control of financial assets (property, savings, etc.) for the benefit of the beneficiary of the trust. TRUST FUNDS Trust funds are arrangements that allow individuals to create sustained benefits for another individual or entity. Ex. Parents sometimes establish a trust fund to provide some degree of financial security for their children, with the trust providing resources to meet basic needs after the parents are deceased. A trust fund can also be established to benefit a charity or other non-profit organization. TRUST FUND CONTN… donor or grantor- refers to the individual who establishes the trust Trustee- the group or entity responsible for managing and executing the trust ONE OF THE MOST COMMON GOALS FOR ESTABLISHING A TRUST: 1) to separate the benefits of property ownership into current and future portions. 2) Common trust designs first pass trust benefits on to one's surviving spouse, and next to the remainder beneficiaries (children, grandchildren, etc.). WHAT ARE SOME REASONS FOR CREATING A TRUST FUND? 1. To help reduce certain types of estate taxes. 2. To establish supervision of your assets in case you become unable to personally oversee them 3. To transfer your assets more easily to your beneficiaries in the event of your death 4. To provide for minors (e.g. your children) who might lack the financial experience needed to appropriately administer their assets A TRUST CAN INCLUDE A WIDE RANGE OF ASSETS. 1. Cash 2. resources such as property, stocks, bond 3. any other type of financial instrument. The trust fund may be managed by a single trustee, or be structured to allow for more than one trustee. It is the responsibility of the trustee to see that the resources included in the trust fund are used in the best interests of the recipient of the trust. LIMITATIONS OF THE TRUST FUND: 1.the recipient may not be able to begin drawing any type of annual income from the trust until he or she reaches a certain age. 2. In the interim, the trustee may be empowered to disburse funds necessary to provide food, clothing, and shelter to the recipient, and possibly also cover education related expenses. 3. When the recipient reaches the age cited in the terms of the trust, he or she can normally begin to draw a limited amount of annual income from the trust, as well as petition for the right to assume full control of the trust. THE MAIN IDEA BEHIND TRUST FUND: 1.to allow grantor or donor who established the fund to rest assured that loved ones or a particular organization receive the benefit of his or her estate after the grantor dies. 2. The trust is aimed at providing sustained support in some manner, rather than simply leaving the assets to beneficiaries through a last will and testament. 3. efficient means of making sure that children are mature enough to manage the assets well before placing the responsibility in their hands. TEST TAKING PREPAREDNESS STAY IN FOCUS VICTORY OF PASSING THE BOARD EXAM “A successful individual typically sets his/her next goal somewhat but not too much above his last achievement. In this way he/she steadily raises her/his level of aspiration.” “Kurt Lewin”