Section 7–1 Confidence Intervals for the Mean When σ Is Known 379 3. What type of data collection technique would you use? 4. Assume you found out that from your sample of 85 people, an average of about 57 tissues are used throughout the duration of a cold, with a population standard deviation of 15. Use a confidence interval to help you decide how many tissues will go in the boxes. 5. Explain how you decided how many tissues will go in the boxes. See page 411 for the answers. Exercises 7–1 1. What is the difference between a point estimate and an interval estimate of a parameter? Which is better? Why? 2. What information is necessary to calculate a confidence interval? 3. What is the margin of error? 4. What is meant by the 95% confidence interval of the mean? 5. What are three properties of a good estimator? 6. What statistic best estimates 𝜇? 7. Find each. a. zα⧸2 for the 99% confidence interval b. zα⧸2 for the 98% confidence interval c. zα⧸2 for the 95% confidence interval d. zα⧸2 for the 90% confidence interval e. zα⧸2 for the 94% confidence interval 8. What is necessary to determine the sample size? 9. Fuel Efficiency of Cars and Trucks Since 1975 the average fuel efficiency of U.S. cars and light trucks (SUVs) has increased from 13.5 to 25.8 mpg, an increase of over 90%! A random sample of 40 cars from a large community got a mean mileage of 28.1 mpg per vehicle. The population standard deviation is 4.7 mpg. Estimate the true mean gas mileage with 95% confidence. Source: World Almanac 2012. 10. Fast-Food Bills for Drive-Thru Customers A random sample of 50 cars in the drive-thru of a popular fast food restaurant revealed an average bill of $18.21 per car. The population standard deviation is $5.92. Estimate the mean bill for all cars from the drive-thru with 98% confidence. 11. Overweight Men For a random sample of 60 overweight men, the mean of the number of pounds that they were overweight was 30. The standard deviation of the population is 4.2 pounds. a. Find the best point estimate of the average number of excess pounds that they weighed. b. Find the 95% confidence interval of the mean of these pounds. c. Find the 99% confidence interval of these pounds. d. Which interval is larger? Why? 12. Number of Jobs A sociologist found that in a random sample of 50 retired men, the average number of jobs they had during their lifetimes was 7.2. The population standard deviation is 2.1. a. Find the best point estimate of the population mean. b. Find the 95% confidence interval of the mean number of jobs. c. Find the 99% confidence interval of the mean number of jobs. d. Which is smaller? Explain why. 13. Number of Faculty The numbers of faculty at 32 randomly selected state-controlled colleges and universities with enrollment under 12,000 students are shown below. Use these data to estimate the mean number of faculty at all state-controlled colleges and universities with enrollment under 12,000 with 92% confidence. Assume σ = 165.1. 211 621 318 471 384 367 836 638 396 408 203 425 211 515 374 159 224 280 224 324 337 289 121 395 180 412 121 431 134 356 176 539 Source: World Almanac. 14. Freshmen GPAs First-semester GPAs for a random selection of freshmen at a large university are shown. Estimate the true mean GPA of the freshman class with 99% confidence. Assume σ = 0.62. 1.9 2.8 2.5 3.1 2.0 2.1 3.2 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.4 2.0 3.8 2.8 3.5 1.9 3.0 2.9 2.7 3.2 3.8 4.0 3.4 2.7 2.0 3.0 3.9 2.2 2.9 3.3 1.9 3.8 2.7 2.8 2.1 15. Carbohydrate Grams in Commercial Subs The number of grams of carbohydrates in various commercially prepared 7-inch subs is recorded below. The population 7–11 380 Chapter 7 Confidence Intervals and Sample Size standard deviation is 6.46. Estimate the mean number of carbs in all similarly sized subs with 95% confidence. 63 55 70 53 67 60 65 65 61 55 49 68 64 57 51 63 51 60 61 48 42 60 54 54 56 66 50 56 70 55 55 57 ing a sample mean of 190.7 days and the population standard deviation of 54.2 days. Estimate for all U.S. cities the true mean of the growing season with 95% confidence. 61 58 56 Source: The Old Farmer’s Almanac. 16. Number of Farms A random sample of the number of farms (in thousands) in various states follows. Estimate the mean number of farms per state with 90% confidence. Assume σ = 31.0. 47 8 68 29 95 90 7 54 3 15 33 49 21 64 4 4 44 52 6 8 79 78 57 80 109 9 48 40 80 16 50 Source: New York Times Almanac. 17. Gasoline Use A random sample of 36 drivers used on average 749 gallons of gasoline per year. If the standard deviation of the population is 32 gallons, find the 95% confidence interval of the mean for all drivers. If a driver said that he used 803 gallons per year, would you believe that? 18. Day Care Tuition A random sample of 50 four-yearolds attending day care centers provided a yearly tuition average of $3987 and the population standard deviation of $630. Find the 90% confidence interval of the true mean. If a day care center were starting up and wanted to keep tuition low, what would be a reasonable amount to charge? 19. Hospital Noise Levels Noise levels at various area urban hospitals were measured in decibels. The mean of the noise levels in 84 randomly selected corridors was 61.2 decibels, and the standard deviation of the population was 7.9. Find the 95% confidence interval of the true mean. Source: M. Bayo, A. Garcia, and A. Garcia, “Noise Levels in an Urban Hospital and Workers’ Subjective Responses,” Archives of Environmental Health 50(3): 247-51 (May-June 1995). 20. Length of Growing Seasons The growing seasons for a random sample of 35 U.S. cities were recorded, yield- Technology TI-84 Plus Step by Step 21. Christmas Presents How large a sample is needed to estimate the population mean for the amount of money a person spends on Christmas presents within $2 and be 95% confident? The standard deviation of the population is $7.50. 22. Hospital Noise Levels In the hospital study cited in Exercise 19, the mean noise level in 171 randomly selected ward areas was 58.0 decibels, and the population standard deviation was 4.8. Find the 90% confidence interval of the true mean. Source: M. Bayo, A. Garcia, and A. Garcia, “Noise Levels in an Urban Hospital and Workers’ Subjective Responses,” Archives of Environmental Health 50(3): 247-51 (May-June 1995). 23. Internet Viewing A researcher wishes to estimate the average number of minutes per day a person spends on the Internet. How large a sample must she select if she wishes to be 90% confident that the population mean is within 10 minutes of the sample mean? Assume the population standard deviation is 42 minutes. 24. Cost of Pizzas A pizza shop owner wishes to find the 95% confidence interval of the true mean cost of a large cheese pizza. How large should the sample be if she wishes to be accurate to within $0.15? A previous study showed that the standard deviation of the price was $0.26. 25. Water Temperature If the variance of the water temperature in a lake is 28°, how many days should the researcher select to measure the temperature to estimate the true mean within 3° with 99% confidence? 26. Undergraduate GPAs It is desired to estimate the mean GPA of each undergraduate class at a large university. How large a sample is necessary to estimate the GPA within 0.25 at the 99% confidence level? The population standard deviation is 1.2. Step by Step Finding a z Confidence Interval for the Mean (Data) 1. Enter the data into L1. 2. Press STAT and move the cursor to TESTS. 3. Press 7 for ZInterval. 4. Move the cursor to Data and press ENTER. 5. Type in the appropriate values. 6. Move the cursor to Calculate and press ENTER. 7–12