1 Willingness to Pay Willingness to pay is the maximum amount someone would be willing and able to pay for a unit of a good, if it were available at that price. We can break down willingness to pay into benefits and costs. We add the benefits and subtract the costs. This value of benefits minus costs is called individual surplus. 2 Opportunity Cost Opportunity costs must be accounted for in decisions and refer to the value of the next-best alternative. For example, by going to college one must account for the foregone value of going directly into the workforce. 3 Sunk Costs Sunk costs refer to costs have already been lost and cannot be recovered. Sunk costs should not be accounted for in making decisions, because they have no effect, as they are already lost. However, people sometimes follow the sunk cost fallacy, and consider sunk costs relevant to making decisions. For example, when a business bails on a project that has caused losses, even if, after those losses, the project is now the best option available because it can be quickly and easily finished. 4 The Production Possibility Frontier The production possibility set describes all the possible combinations of goods that can be produced. For example, below we can produce 15, 000 oranges and zero apples, or zero oranges and 10, 000 apples. In between there is a trade-off between the number of apples and oranges. 1 20,000 Oranges 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 Apples The production possibility frontier is the subset of the production possibility set which is not wasteful, in the sense that maximal use is being made of the available resources. To be in the PPF means that we cannot increase the quantity of any one good without decreasing the quantity of another good. If we could, it would be wasteful not to, as the gain in one quantity comes for free. The PPF below is in red. 20,000 Oranges 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 Apples 5 Thinking on the Margin We can break down decisions about how much of something to choose by thinking on the margin. Here, we look at the benefit of getting one more unit (the 2 marginal benefit) compared to the cost of getting one more unit (the marginal cost). If the marginal benefit is greater than the marginal cost, we should get that extra unit. If the marginal benefit is lower than the marginal cost, we should not. For the purposes of this course, we always keep increasing our quantity until the marginal benefit exceeds the marginal cost. Marginal cost for suppliers is increasing because it’s harder to make an extra unit when you’ve already used up the good resources. Marginal benefit for consumers is decreasing: is a 125 ft yacht that much better than a 100 ft yacht? The marginal version of any quantity refers to the change in that quantity from getting one more. So marginal surplus is the extra surplus gained or lost from getting one more. It is equal to marginal benefit minus marginal cost. 6 Comparative Statics Comparative statics refer to examining the effects of a change in certain variables, while holding others constant. 7 Demand Individual demand, for a given individual, is the maximum quantity they would be willing and able to consume at a given price, if the good were hypothetically available in great enough numbers at that price. It is a function that takes in a price, and spits out the individual’s quantity demanded. When we graph it, we put price on the y-axis, and quantity on the x-axis. Demand is downwardsloping: when the price rises, we want less of a good. When it falls, we want more. This is referred to as the law of demand. 3 Price Individual demand 0 0 Qty. Demanded Price Market demand the maximum quantity the entire market would be willing and able to consume at a given price. We can find it by adding up individual demand for every consumer. For example, if in the market for cars, at $40, 000, Ali has individual demand 1, Brenda has individual demand 0 and Chandra has individual demand 2, and these three were the entire market, market demand would be 1 + 0 + 2 = 3 at the price $40, 000. Market demand inherits the law of demand from individual demand, and is downward-sloping as well. When we simply say “demand” in these notes, unless there is context suggesting otherwise, the statement applies to both individual and market demand. The same for supply. Market demand Some individual’s demand 0 0 Qty. Demanded 4 Price Both market demand and individual demand are relationships between price and quantity demanded. If the price changes, it does not change the demand curve. It causes a “movement” along the demand curve to another point, at the new price. It does NOT move the demand curve. Below we see the effect of an increase in price and then a decrease in price. New price Original price Original qty. New qty. 0 0 Price Qty. Demanded Original price New price New qty. Original qty. 0 0 Qty. Demanded There are many factors other than price that determine demand. Really, demand functions just shows the relationship between price and quantity holding many other factors constant. When we change these factors, we can change the shape of the demand curve. This can have all kinds of effects, but we look at simple changes which have simple effects, either increasing the quantity 5 demanded at all prices (a shift right), or decreasing the quantity demanded at all prices (a shift left). Below are a shift right and then a shift left. Price New market demand Original market demand 0 0 Qty. Demanded Price Original market demand New market demand 0 0 Qty. Demanded A change in income can shift demand. For most goods, quantity demanded at each price will increase with an increase in income, and decrease with a decrease in income. These are called normal goods. However, some goods, inferior goods, see quantity demanded decrease with income. This is because there are better goods which become more affordable with the increase in income. For example, with a rise in income, someone might switch from flying in economy to flying in business. The prices of other goods can shift demand. Usually, an increase in the 6 price of another good increases demand, and a decrease causes a decrease in demand. When prices rise, consumers switch to buying other things. This happens for goods called substitutes. Some substitutes are close, such as two different kinds of car. We would expect to see a larger increase in demand for one kind if the price of another increases than an increase in demand for, say, a bicycle. There are also complements, which enhance each other, like a car and fuel. If the price of fuel increases, a car is less desirable; it might be cheaper to use a bike. So for complements, we see demand decrease with an increase in price (of the complement good, NEVER the good for which we’re looking at the demand curve), and increase with a decrease in price. Expectations of future events effect demand. For example, if some expects higher prices in the future, they may buy more durable goods like furniture in the present, so they will not lose so much money by acquiring them later. Preferences also affect demand. If a consumer likes a good more they will demand more of it, and if they like it less they will demand less. All of these are shifters of individual demand, and change market demand through changing the individual demands that constitute it. Changes to market demand aren’t as simple, and can take other forms. What is, say, an inferior good or a normal good is in the eye of the beholder sometimes, so whether a change in income across the economy will increase or decrease demand depends on the composition of the market; the kinds of people in it. The size of the market also matters: population growth can increase demand without changing anyone’s individual demand. 8 Supply Just as we can consider the amount an individual will buy at a given price, we can also think about the amount an individual (or firm) will sell, if there were enough buyers available, at a hypothetical price. This gives us our individual supply curve. As always, price is on the y-axis and quantity demanded on the x-axis. Supply is upward-sloping: when the price rises, we want to sell more of a good. When it falls, we want to sell less. This is the law of supply. 7 Price Individual Supply 0 0 Qty. Supplied To find the maximum amount of a good that will be sold in an entire market, we again simply add up. We take every market participant’s individual demand at a given price, and we add them all together. For example, if in the market for cars, at $40, 000, dealer A has individual supply 50, dealer B has individual supply 0, because it’s a motorcycle dealership, and dealer C has individual supply 60, and these three were the entire market, market supply would be 50 + 0 + 60 = 110 at the price $40, 000. Market supply inherits the law of supply from individual supply, and is upward-sloping. Price Some individual’s supply Market Supply 0 0 Qty. Supplied Again, a change in price does not change the individual or the market supply curve. It merely gives a movement along the curve. Below is the result 8 of an increase in price, and then a decrease in price. Price New price Original price New qty. Original qty. 0 0 Qty. Supplied Price Original price New price Original qty. New qty. 0 0 Qty. Supplied Again, supply is contingent on many factors other than demand which may change the shape of the supply curve. Again, we’ll look at simple increases in supply at all prices (shifts right), or decreases (shifts left). Below we see a shift right and then a shift left. 9 Price Original market supply New market supply 0 0 Price Qty. Supplied New market supply Original market supply 0 0 Qty. Supplied The costs of the inputs for the production process of a supplier affect supply. Increases in costs cause a shift left, as suppliers now need a higher price to make the same profit, and decreases in costs cause a shift right. Another shifter of supply is prices of related outputs (outputs that can be made using the same production process). If a supplier can use the same resources to make a more expensive good, they will. Such a good is called a substitute-in-production. Therefore, if prices of substitutes-in-production increase, this shifts supply left, whereas if prices of substitutes-in-production decrease, this shifts supply right. Again being a substitute-in-production is a scale: closer substitutes have more similar production methods. There are also complements-in-production, where making one good makes it easier to make 10 another. If the price of a complement-in-production rises, it makes production of complements more desirable, and so it makes production of the other good (not the complement) more desirable because it’s easier. So an increase in the price of complements-in-production increases supply, whereas a decrease in price decreases supply. Another shifter of supply is productivity. This refers to the ability to get more out of the same resources. Improved technologies can achieve this, for example, better machines in manufacturing. Better educated workers can also be more productive. Productivity drives down the costs of producing more units, so it shifts supply right. Productivity can also go backwards, such as if a bad season hits a farm making it difficult to use the same land, plants, fertiliser, etc. to produce more. A decrease in productivity shifts suppply left. Like for demand, expectations of future events can affect supply. For example, if sellers expect higher prices in future, they might store units of a good to sell later. And just as with demand, we need to consider how different sellers’ shifts in individual supply aggregate to shift market supply, so the composition and size of supply can shift supply. 9 Fixed and Variable Costs Some costs of sellers are born out before they produce a single unit, like buying a factory. These are called fixed costs. These are sunk costs at the point of considering how much to produce, where the necessary facilities for production have presumably already been purchased. Typically, fixed costs cannot be changed in the short-run. Variable costs change with the number of units produced. For example, if you want to make more windows, you need to buy more sand to make the glass. Supply and demand accurately predict how much sellers or buyers are respectively going to be willing and able to sell or buy, given a hypothetical price and enough potential buyers or sellers. Not just the maximum amount. 10 Equilibrium In a competitive market, there are many small buyers and sellers who do not have a large impact on the market individually. In a competitive market, prices will be set where market demand is equal to market supply (WE CANNOT INFER EQUILIBRIUM FROM INDIVIDUAL DEMANDS AND SUPPLIES), at market equilibrium. Equilibrium consists of the quantity at which they are equalised, and the price achieving this quantity. At equilibrium, the quantity traded is the same as the quantity demand and the quantity supplied, as buyers and sellers can always find someone to sell to 11 them or buy from them respectively. Price Market Demand Equilibrium Price Market Supply Market Equilibrium Equilibrium Qty. 0 0 Quantity The law of one price states that in a perfectly competitive market, a good will only be sold at one price (or prices will tend toward a single value). This is because if goods can be sold at two prices, sellers at the lower prices could undercut the higher prices by just a little. Then, the low-prices sellers would either retain their old customers, or be able to steal high-price sellers’ customers, and make more money. At a price lower than equilibrium (WHEN WE SAY A PRICE OR QUANTITY IS HIGHER OR LOWER THAN EQUILIBRIUM, THIS IS SHORTHAND FOR SAYING IT IS HIGHER OR LOWER THAN THE EQUILIBRIUM PRICE OR QUANTITY, RESPECTIVELY), demand will exceed supply, because demand increases with the lower price, but supply decreases, relative to being equal at equilibrium. This situation is called a shortage. 12 Market Supply Price Market Demand Sub-equilibrium price Shortage 0 0 Quantity At this lower price, sellers would sell all of their units, and buyers would be left wanting more, because demand exceeds supply. Sellers would be able to set higher prices, and still sell all their units, since demand would still exceed supply. Buyers can only accept the price hike, since the market is perfectly competitive, and a buyer who refuses to accept the price will be priced out by one of many other buyers who accepts the higher price. Buyers compete. This pushes prices toward equilibrium. At a price higher than equilibrium, supply will exceed demand, because demand decreases with the higher price, but supply increases, relative to being equal at equilibrium. This situation is called a surplus. Market Demand Market Supply Above-equilibrium price Price Surplus 0 0 Quantity 13 At this higher price, buyers could buy everything they wanted, and sellers would be left with more to sell, because supply exceeds demand. Buyers could force lower prices, and still buy everything thing they want, since supply would still exceed demand. Sellers can only accept the price decrease, since the market is perfectly competitive, and a seller who refuses to accept the price will be undercut by one of many other sellers who accepts the lower price. Sellers compete. This again pushes prices toward equilibrium. Comparative statics for equilibrium break down into looking at how demand shifts, or supply shifts (or both), and then looking at the effect these shifts have on equilibrium quantity. An increase/shift right in demand causes a shortage, which drives prices up (be sure to explain why). As prices rise, quantity supplied increases, while quantity demanded decreases. At the original price, the (fixed) quantity supplied was the original equilibrium quantity. Therefore, as prices reach the new, higher equilibrium level, quantity supplied rises to the new equilibrium level. So equilibrium quantity increases. Original demand Price New equilibrium Original equilibrium New demand 0 0 Quantity A decrease in demand causes a surplus, which drives prices down. As prices fall, quantity supplied decreases, while quantity demanded increases. At the original price, the quantity supplied was the original equilibrium quantity, therefore, as prices reach the new, lower equilibrium level, quantity supplied falls to the new equilibrium level. So equilibrium quantity falls. 14 Original demand Price New demand Original equilibrium New equilibrium 0 0 Quantity An increase in supply causes a surplus, which drives prices down. As prices fall, quantity supplied decreases, while quantity demanded increases. At the original price, the (fixed) quantity demanded was the original equilibrium quantity. Therefore, as prices reach the new, lower equilibrium level, quantity demanded rises to the new equilibrium level. So equilibrium quantity increases. Original supply Price New supply Original equilibrium New equilibrium 0 0 Quantity An decrease in supply causes a shortage, which drives prices up. As prices rise, quantity supplied increases, while quantity demanded decreases. At the original price, the quantity demanded was the original equilibrium quantity. Therefore, as prices reach the new, higher equilibrium level, quantity demanded falls to the new equilibrium level. So equilibrium quantity decreases. 15 Original supply Price New equilibrium Original equilibrium New supply 0 0 Quantity A change, or multiple changes, may lead to a shift in both supply and demand. As an example below, there is a shift right in both demand and supply. The shift right in demand increases quantity, as does the shift right in supply. So the cumulative effect of both is an increase in quantity. However, the supply shift decreases price, while the demand shift increases prices. Either effect could dominate, so if asked to examine the effect of an shift right in both supply and demand, you would need to state this ambiguity. These two possibilities are depicted below, first an increase in price, then a decrease. Be aware that you may face other questions with ambiguities. Price New equilibrium Original equilibrium 0 0 Quantity 16 Price Original equilibrium New equilibrium 0 0 Quantity To calculate equilibrium from explicit an demand function QD (P ) of price P and supply function QS (P ), we first solve for the equilibrium price P ∗ by setting QS (P ∗ ) = QD (P ∗ ) (the definition condition of equilibrium is that quantity demanded equals quantity supplied) and solving. For example, if QS (P ) = 2 + 2P and QD (P ) = 10 − 2P , then we set 2 + 2P ∗ = 10 − 2P ∗ , for 4P ∗ = 8, for P ∗ = 2. To find the equilibrium quantity Q∗ , it is both quantity demanded and quantity supplied at P ∗ , so we just sub P ∗ into either demand or supply. In this case, subbing into supply, we have Q∗ = QS (P ∗ ) = 2 + 2P ∗ = 2 + 2 × 2 = 2 + 4 = 6. 11 Elasticity The elasticity of some A with respect to B (where A is determined by B) is built on the percentage change in A divided by the percentage change in B: ∆B ∆A × 100 / × 100 . A B If A goes from A1 to A2 , then ∆A is A2 − A1 . We calculate elasticities using 2 , the average of A1 and A2 , halfway the midpoint formula, where A is A1 +A 2 2 in-between them. If B goes from B1 to B2 , then ∆B is B2 −B1 , and B is B1 +B 2 This measures the sensitivity of A to a change in B. We don’t just use ∆A ∆B for elasticity, because we want it to be unit-invariant: if we changed the units to measure A or B (for example, from kilos to pounds), we would want the same value of elasticity. By looking at the percentage change instead of the absolute 17 change, we accomplish this, as a conversion rate representing a change of units in the numerator, will be cancelled out by the same conversion rate from the unit change in the denominator. The expression two paragraphs above simplifies to a ratio of proportional changes: ∆B ∆A / . A B In terms of A1 , A2 , B1 and B2 , this is: ! ! B2 − B1 A2 − A1 / . A1 +A2 B1 +B2 2 2 Cancelling out the factors of 12 in the denominators of the proportional changes gives us A2 − A1 B2 − B1 / . A1 + A2 B1 + B2 In this course we measure own-price elasticity, where B is the price of a good and A is either its quantity demanded or supplied. We also look at crossprice elasticity, where B is the price of a good and A is the quantity demanded or supplied of a different good. We also look at income elasticity, where B is income. When we are looking at A as quantity demanded, we are looking at the elasticity of demand (for example, the own-price elasticity of demand). When we are looking at A as quantity supplied, we are looking at the elasticity of supply. We said above that elasticity is built on the formula given above, and not actually equal to the formula ∆A ∆B / , A B because, in the case of own-price elasticity of demand, a slight tweak is made by putting a negative sign in front, so we have: ∆Q ∆P − / , Q P with Q for quantity demanded and P for price. All the other derived fromulae are the same, except that they have the negative sign as well. We make this alteration because the law of demand says that quantity demanded decreases with price. So if price increases, that is, P2 − P1 is positive, then demand decreases, so that Q2 − Q1 is negative. Similarly, if price decreases, P2 − P1 is negative, but Q2 −Q1 is positive. Q and P will always be positive, so without the tweak, we would always have negative own-price elasticity of demand otherwise. 18 Every other elasticity we look at does not have this slight tweak, because it will usually, be positive. Own-price elasticity of supply is positive because of the law of supply: ∆Q and ∆P will either both be positive or negative, cancelling out. Looking at the formula with A and B, we see that positive elasticity means that A and B increase in tandem, and negative elasticity means that one increases while the other decreases, and vice versa. Therefore, income elasticity of demand being positive means we are dealing with a normal good: increased income leads to increased demand. Negative income elasticity of demand means we are dealing with an inferior good. Positive cross-price elasticity of demand means we are dealing with a substitute: price increases lead to quantity decreases of the other good. Negative cross-price elasticity of demand means we are dealing with a complement. Looking at elasticity graphically is a little tricky for two reasons. Firstly, ∆A , but we’ll most often have B be the price P of a it’s kind of like a “slope” ∆B good, and A be the quantity demanded or supplied of that good. Then we can’t think things the way we normally think of slopes, because then we talk about slope as “rise over run”. The rise is on the y-axis, and the run is on the x-axis. But here, price is on the y-axis, and quantity is on the x-axis. So we have a case of run over rise. We are looking at the reciprocal of what we would normally call a slope. This makes things go backwards. A steeper curve corresponds to lower elasticity (think about it: in a steep curve, x does not change a lot when we change y, so our ∆x ∆y will be low), and a flatter curve corresponds to higher elasticity. The second point, is that elasticity is not a slope. Our A and B formula (which gets a negative sign put in front of it for own-price elasticity of demand only), can be rewritten as: ∆A B , ∆B A so we have a slope times this term for unit-invariance B A . So, at the same A ∆A and B, then a change in the slope ∆B corresponds to a change in elasticity. However, at we cannot visually compare slopes for different A and B. If we have elasticity η, then we can ask how large it is by taking its absolute value |η|. To get a sense of absolute value, it is the “magnitude” of a number: |0| = 0, |1| = 1, | − 1| = 1, |2| = 2, | − 2| = 2, and so on. We care about absolute value, because a large negative change in response to a change in something else, still indicates high sensitivity, that is, high elasticity. If |η| = 0 (that is, η = 0, then A does not change as B changes, and this is called perfect inelasticity. If |η| < 1, then the proportional change in A is smaller than the proportional change in B, and we call the situation inelastic. If |η| = 1, then the proportional change in A is equal to the proportional change in B, and we call the situation unit-elastic. If |η| > 1, then the proportional change in A is greater than the 19 proportional change in B, and we call the situation elastic. Below are graphs of own-price elasticity of demand and then supply. We see that perfectly inelasticity gives us a vertical curve, inelasticity gives us a relatively steep curve, and elasticity gives us a relative flat curve. At the extreme end we have perfect elastictiy, with a sudden jump in quantity from a horizontal curve. The difference for supply and demand is that supply goes up and demand goes down. There is a bit of hand-waving here, because it’s as if we’re talking about elasticity at a single point, but in this course, elasticity is always between two distinct points. This hand-waving is acceptable in an answer to a question where you are asked to refer to a graph. NOT in a question where you are asked to actually calculate elasticity. And, IMPORTANTLY, it is only because we set the point on the line x = y, that unit-elasticity corresponds to a slope of 1 or −1. With different ratios of Q and P , unit-elasticity might look different. Price P =Q Perf. elastic Elastic Unit elastic Inelastic Perf. inelastic 0 0 Quantity 20 Perf. inelastic Inelastic Unit elastic Price Elastic Perf. elastic P =Q 0 0 Quantity 12 Taxes and Subsidies There are many kinds of taxes and subsidies, but in this course we are concerned with per-unit taxes and subsidies. Taxes, as you presumably know, are charges by the government. Subsidies are grants of money from the government to encourage particular activities. A per-unit tax or subsidy means that for each unit you buy (if the tax or subsidy is on buyers) or sell (if the tax or subsidy is on sellers) you pay (for a tax) or receive (for a subsidy) a fixed amount of money. Subsidies are just the negative version of taxes. Instead of giving money to the government, you are getting it from the government. In a supply or demand graph, the y-axis will always denote price not including any taxes or subsidies. A per-unit tax of t on demand will move the demand curve down by t on the y-axis. This is because, at a given price, the buyer cares about the amount they actually spend per unit, which is not just the pre-tax price, but also the tax t. Therefore at a price p, they will demand the same quantity that their demand curve without any tax specifies at a price of p + t. A per-unit subsidy of s is just a negative tax, so it shifts demand up by s. Below are depicted the effects of a tax and subsidy of the same size c on demand. 21 Demand w/ subsidy Price p+c c c p Demand w/ tax 0 0 Qty. Demanded On the supply side, sellers receive the price p, so a tax of t has them receiveing p − t per unit, so supply shifts up by t, to the level as if the price were lowered by t. Similarly, if sellers receive a per-unit subsidy s, then this shifts supply down by s. Below are depicted the effects of a tax and subsidy of the same size c on supply. Supply w/ tax Price p+c c c p Supply w/ subsidy 0 0 Qty. Supplied In a particular market, after the introduction of a per-unit tax of t on demand, demand falls by t. So the new equilibrium will be at the quantity where market demand falls onto market supply (REMEMBER, EQUILIBRIUM IS DETERMINED BY MARKET DEMAND AND MARKET SUPPLY ONLY, NOT INDIVIDUAL DEMANDS AND SUPPLIES), the point at which the orig- 22 inal demand, before the tax, was t above supply. Similarly, if a subsidy of s is introduced on demand, the new equilibrium quantity will be where demand rises by s to meet supply, so that original demand must have been s below supply. Demand w/ subsidy Price Equilibrium w/ subsidy s t Equilibrium w/ tax Demand w/ tax 0 0 Qty. Demanded If a tax of t is introduced on supply, supply rises by t, at the new equilibrium quantity, demand must have been t above supply. If a subsidy of s is introduced on supply, supply falls by s, so at the new equilibrium quantity, demand must have been t below the original supply. Supply w/ tax Price Equilibrium w/ tax s t Equilibrium w/ subsidy Supply w/ subsidy 0 0 Qty. Supplied 23 13 The Statutory Incidence of Taxes and Subsidies The statutory incidence of a tax or subsidy refers to who (supply or demand) the tax or subsidy is levied on by the government. So the statutory incidence is on sellers if sellers are taxed or subsidised and on buyers if buyers are taxed or subsidised. Price We now consider the effects of swapping the statutory incidence of a perunit tax or subsidy of the same size. By super-imposing the last two graphs, we see that the equilibrium quantity for a tax of t on sellers is the same as that of a tax of t on buyers, and the same for a subsidy of size s. This is because the equilibrium for either tax occurs where supply is t above demand, and there is only one such point. Similarly for supply. For the tax, the equilibrium quantity is lower, because we have a shift left in one factor (be able to explain why). For the subsidy, the equilibrium quantity is higher because we have a shift right in one factor. s t 0 0 Qty. Demanded We can also see that the difference in equilibrium price between the buyer tax and the seller tax is t. We’ll call the buyer tax price p and the seller tax price p′ , so that p′ = p + t. We’ll call the equilibrium quantity under the taxes (which is the same) q. Then, under the buyer tax, buyers pay p (the buyer tax equilibrium price) per unit, but also tax t, so that they wind up spending p + t per unit. Under the seller tax, they just pay the seller tax equilibrium price p′ . But p′ = p + t, so they’re paying the same thing per-unit. Under the buyer tax, sellers receive p per-unit, since they aren’t being taxed. Under the seller tax, they receive p′ − t per unit. But these are again equal. The government receives t per-unit in either case. The amount of money everyone loses or gains 24 per-unit is the same whether the tax is on sellers or buyers, and the number of units q is the same, so every one is getting or giving up the same amount of the good, while getting or giving up the same total amount of money, which is just q times the per-unit amount of money (the latter being independent of the statutory incidence of the tax). For a subsidy of size s, we’ll reuse the name q for the quantity. Now, the price p for the buyer subsidy is s above the price p′ for the seller subsidy. So p = p′ + s. With the buyer subsidy, buyers pay p − s per-unit, since they’re getting the per-unit subsidy back. Under the seller subsidy, buyers pay p′ per unit. But these are equal. Under the buyer subsidy, sellers receive no subsidy, and receive the price p per unit. Under the seller subsidy, they receive p′ + s. Again these are equal. The government spends s per-unit in either case. Again, everyone spends the same amount per-unit, and the same number of units are traded. So everyone loses, and gets the same stuff. When we say everyone there, we mean supply as a whole, demand as a whole, and the government. But what about individual buyers and sellers? Well, we know that for a tax of t, buyers’ individual demand shifts down by t. But we’ve also seen that if the tax is on buyers instead of sellers, the equilibrium price that buyers are paying also comes down by t. This corresponds to just shifting the whole graph down by t, which doesn’t do anything on the x-axis, quantity demanded, so the amount the individual demands, (which is just what they consume in equilibrium, where buyers can always find sellers), does not change depending on whether the tax is on buyers or sellers. Similarly, for a subsidy of s for buyers as opposed to sellers, demand shifts up by s, but so does price, so quantity consumed is unchanged. In the diagram below, the two are merged and the size of the tax and the size of the subsidy are both c. Price Seller tax/buyer subsidy price c c Buyer tax/seller subsidy price Tax qty. 0 Subsidy qty. 0 Qty. Demanded 25 For sellers, under the seller tax supply shifts up by t, but so does price. Under the buyer tax, supply shifts down by s, but so does price. Again, the quantity sold is independent of the statutory incidence of the tax. Price Seller tax/buyer subsidy price c c Buyer tax/seller subsidy price Tax qty. 0 Subsidy qty. 0 Qty. Demanded So even at the level of individual buyers or sellers, again, the amount of money gained or loss and the amount of goods gained or lost is exactly the same. So, for a per-unit tax or subsidy of the same size, the statutory incidence has no meaningful effects within a given market. 14 The Economic Incidence of Taxation While the statutory incidence of a tax is meaningless in a market as to who pays more or less, the economic incidence of a tax does have meaningful effects. This refers to the relative difference in what buyers and sellers are respectively paying or receiving per-unit, relative to if there were no taxes. The amount buyers are paying per-unit when taxed is just the price given by their demand curve at the equilibrium quantity with a tax. Their demand curve with a buyer tax is just their no-tax demand curve shifted down by the tax t (as above). So, adding the tax t to what they pay per-unit, it shifts the curve back up to their no-tax demand curve. With no tax on buyers, buyers just pay the price, given by their no-tax demand curve. Either way, what buyers pay per-unit is given by their no-tax demand curve. If sellers are taxed, the amount they receive per-unit is given by their taxed supply curve at the equilibrium quantity. This is just supply shifted up by t. But they also lose t in taxes. So the amount sellers receive with a tax on sellers just shifts back down by t to the no-tax supply curve. If there is no tax on sellers, what they pay is just given by their no-tax supply curve, as they pay 26 no tax on top of this market price. Either way, what sellers receive per-unit is given by their no-tax supply curve. Now we can find the economic incidence. We just look at the equilibrium quantity with the tax: the point where demand is t above supply, and see if the difference between the no-tax demand curve and no-tax equilibrium price is greater or smaller than the difference between the no-tax supply curve and the no-tax equilibrium price, at that quantity. If the gap is bigger for buyers, it means that buyers, per-unit, have a worse deal than sellers, relative to no tax, because the amount that they pay has increased more than the decrease in the amount sellers receive. If the gap is bigger for sellers, then per-unit, sellers have a worse deal, relative to no tax. The economic incidence of a tax is determined by the relative elasticities of supply and demand. We can see this by noting that elasticity is roughly like slope. A steep curve has low elasticity, whereas a flatter curve has high elasticity. To find the equilibrium quantity with tax, we go back to find where supply exceeds demand by the per-unit tax t. A steep curve, with low elasticity, has a larger change in price as we move back. A flat curve, with high elasticity, has a smaller change in price. Therefore, when we get to the place when price for demand is above supply by t, the steep curve will have contributed more to that distance, and be further away from the no-tax price. That is to say, whichever factor, supply or demand, has lower elasticity, bears the economic incidence of the tax. We can see this in the graphs below. In the first, supply is more elastic (flatter) than demand, and the difference between demand and the no-tax equilibrium price, is greater than the distance between supply and the no-tax price. In the second, demand is more elastic than supply, and the difference between demand and the no-tax equilibrium price, is lesser than the distance between supply and the no-tax price. Price Buyer’s price Per-unit tax t No-tax price Seller’s price 0 0 Quantity 27 Price Buyer’s price No-tax price Per-unit tax t Seller’s price 0 0 Quantity 15 Price Controls Price controls refer to when the government regulates the price at which a particular good can be sold. Price floors forbid the good from being sold below a minimum price (like the minimum wage). Price ceilings forbid the good from being sold above a maximum price. The arguments presented in the section on equilibrium for the law of one price, and that prices will adjust to approach equilibrium still apply in a perfectly competitive market with price controls (try to get a handle on this). In fact, if a price floor below equilibrium price, then goods can legally be sold at equilibrium prices, and price can adjust closer to equilibrium from below or above, so such a price floor has no effect, and the good is sold at the equilibrium quantity and equilibrium price. Similarly, if a price ceiling is above equilibrium price, goods can legally be sold at the equilibrium price, and price can adjust closer to it from above and below, so such a price ceiling has no effect, and the good is sold at the equilibrium quantity and equilibrium price. We can see this in the graphs below. 28 Price Price w/ Floor Ineffective Floor Quantity w/ Floor 0 0 Quantity Price Ineffective Ceiling Price w/ Ceiling Quantity w/ Ceiling 0 0 Quantity When a price floor is set above equilibrium, prices still adjust down toward equilibrium from above, it’s just that, once they hit the floor, they can no longer go down any further, and that will be the price in the market. The floor binds. At this point, because we have a price higher than equilibrium, supply exceeds demand. Buyers can find sellers easily, but eventually they will get all the goods they want. Then, sellers will have no one left to sell to, even though they’d like to sell more, so the quantity traded with the binding floor will be supply at the floor, as on the graph below. 29 Binding Floor Price Quantity, Demand Supply 0 0 Quantity Price When a price ceiling is set above equilibrium, prices still adjust up toward equilibrium from below, it’s just that, once they hit the ceiling, they can no longer go up any further, and that will be the price in the market. The ceiling binds. At this point, because we have a price lower than equilibrium, demand exceeds supply. Sellers can find buyers easily, but eventually they will sell all the goods that they are willing to sell. Then, buyers will have no one left to buy from, even though they’d like to buy more, so the quantity traded with the binding ceiling will be supply at the ceiling, as on the graph below. Quantity, Supply Demand Binding Ceiling 0 0 Quantity In general, a binding price control will result in the quantity traded being the lesser of supply and demand at the limit on price set by the price control, 30 which will also be the price. Sometimes, agents in markets can legally get around price controls by changing other prices. For example, if a landlord has to sell with low rent, they might still be able increase the maintenance fees for an apartment. 16 Quotas When the government limits the quantity of a good that can be sold to some maximum level, this is called a quota. The arguments in the section on equilibrium justifying the law of one price, and prices and quantities moving toward equilibrium still hold, until the quantity hits the quota, similar to a how prices can adjust toward equilibrium until they hit a limit imposed by a price control (try to get a handle on this). So, when a quota is set above equilibrium quantity, it does not change the price or quantity sold in the market, relative to equilibrium. Price Ineffective Quota Price w/ Quota Quantity w/ Quota 0 0 Quantity When a quota is set below equilibrium quantity, it has meaningful effects. At a quantity lower than equilibrium (and therefore every quantity lower than the quota), the maximum price that buyers are willing to pay will exceed the minimum price at which sellers are willing to sell. This is because we can read their willingness to pay off the demand and supply curves. At a given quantity, buyers are willing to pay the price given by their demand curve for that quantity, by definition. But at any higher a price, they would decrease demand, so they would not be willing to buy the quantity. So at any quantity, we can look up to the demand curve and read off the maximum price buyers are willing to pay for the quantity, as below. This is not the maximum total amount they would 31 Price spend on the quantity, but the maximum per-unit price. Maximum price buyers will pay for it Some quantity 0 0 Quantity Price For sellers, by definition, sellers are willing to sell a given quantity at the price corresponding to that quantity on their supply curve. But, if the price were any lower, sellers would only be willing to sell a lower quantity, because of the law of supply. So at any quantity, we can look up to the supply curve and read off the minimum price sellers are willing to sell the quantity for, as below. This is not the minimum total amount they would sell the quantity for, but the minimum per-unit price. Minimum price sellers will sell it for Some quantity 0 0 Quantity So, below a quota which is itself below equilibrium, buyers are willing to pay 32 more than sellers need. Because buyers will compete with each other, sellers can sell at the maximum price buyers are willing to pay, as any buyer who refuses to accept that price will be priced out by another buyer. This maximum price is given by the demand curve, as above. This higher price incentivises sellers to increase production. They will do so, until they no longer can, because the quantity produced has hit the quota. Then the quantity produced will be stuck at the quota, and be sold at the maximum price buyers are willing to pay for it, given by the demand curve, as below. Binding Quota Price Price w/ Quota 0 0 Quantity 17 Pareto Efficiency A Pareto improvement is a change that can be made which makes some people better off, without making anyone else worse off. This is a very basic standard for when a change should be considered socially desirable. For example, vaccination against smallpox made everyone better off, at the cost of no one. As a counterexample, if the industrial revolution radically increased the world’s productive capacity, but it lead to a temporary increase in unemployment as jobs were automated. Those who lost jobs and did not later feel the benefits of the industrial revolution were made worse off. So even though the change had huge long-term benefits for humanity, it was not a Pareto improvement. Pareto efficiency refers to a situation in which no Pareto improvements can be made: if we try to make any one individual better off, it would force us to make another individual worse off. We would always want to make Pareto improvements if we could, so a necessary condition for a situation being socially optimal is that it is Pareto efficient. That doesn’t mean it is a sufficient condition. Pareto efficiency does not 33 necessarily care about equity. North Korea is a Pareto efficient country: no one can be made better off without making the supreme leader worse off. 18 Consumer Surplus To find individual surplus, we just add up marginal benefits, and subtract marginal costs. For buyers, marginal cost is just price. Their marginal benefit (there’s some background stuff you don’t have to know going on here) is specified by their individual demand curve. That is because their marginal benefit is defined as their willingness to pay for the next unit of a good. By definition, they are willing to pay the price corresponding to a quantity on their demand curve. But at any higher a price, because of the law of demand, they would demand less, and so not be willing to pay for that last unit. Therefore, buyers’ marginal benefit at a quantity is the price corresponding to that quantity on their individual demand graph. Price Individual demand Individual buyer’s marginal benefit for it Some quantity 0 0 Quantity It is just the same for the whole market, adding all consumers’ individual surpluses together. THIS IS CALLED CONSUMER SURPLUS. Given a certain price, and the corresponding market quantity demanded (we’re assuming everything demanded is consumed here), the last individual to buy the last unit up to that quantity (so that the willingness to pay for that last unit is lower than all previous units) must have that price below their willingness to pay, otherwise they wouldn’t buy that last unit. But at any higher a price, the quantity demanded would be lower, so that last individual wouldn’t buy that last unit, so the price must exceed their willingness to pay. Therefore, the marginal benefit to all buyers is given by market demand. 34 Price Market demand All buyers’ marginal benefit for it Some quantity 0 0 Quantity Maybe it’s a little strange to think of adding this up over all units when dealing with a continuous quantity, but for any unit demanded, given by some quantity below the total quantity demanded, we can see the marginal consumer surplus at that quantity as the line segment between demand (marginal benefit), and price (marginal cost), as below. Price Marginal consumer surplus Price for the market Some quantity 0 0 Quantity The consumer surplus is all of the marginal surpluses added up, up to the quantity consumed (quantity demanded). At a gut feeling level, it makes sense to think of adding up all these lines as giving the area, up to the quantity consumed, between demand and the price. 35 Price Consumer surplus Price for the market 0 Quantity consumed 0 Quantity In the depiction, with linear supply, consumer surplus is a triangle. So know how to calculate the area of a triangle. 19 Producer Surplus As we said in the last section, to find individual surplus, we just add up marginal benefits, and subtract marginal costs. For sellers, marginal benefit is just price. Their marginal cost (there’s some background stuff you don’t have to know going on here) is specified by their individual supply curve. That is because their marginal cost is defined as the minimum amount they are willing to accept to sell another unit of a good. By definition, they are willing to accept the price corresponding to a quantity on their supply curve. But at any lower a price, because of the law of supply, they would supply less, and so not be willing to sell that last unit. Therefore, sellers’ marginal cost at a quantity is the price corresponding to that quantity on their individual supply graph. 36 Price Market supply All sellers’ marginal cost for it Some quantity 0 0 Quantity It is just the same for the whole market, adding all sellers’ individual surpluses together. THIS IS CALLED PRODUCER SURPLUS. Given a certain price, and the corresponding market quantity supplied (we’re assuming everything supplied is sold here), the last individual to sell the last unit up to that quantity (so that the willingness to sell that last unit is lower than all previous units) must have that price above their marginal cost, otherwise they wouldn’t sell that last unit. But at any lower a price, the quantity supplied would be lower, so that last individual wouldn’t sell that last unit, so the price must be lower than their marginal cost. Therefore, the marginal cost to all buyers is given by market supply. Price Market supply Individual sellers’ marginal cost for it Some quantity 0 0 Quantity 37 Price Maybe it’s a little strange to think of adding this up over all units when dealing with a continuous quantity, but for any unit supplied, given by some quantity below the total quantity supplied, we can see the marginal producer surplus at that quantity as the line segment between price (marginal benefit), and market supply (marginal cost), as below. Price for the market Marginal producer surplus Some quantity 0 0 Quantity Price The producer surplus is all of the marginal surpluses added up, up to the quantity sold (quantity supplied). At a gut feeling level, it makes sense to think of adding up all these lines as giving the area, up to the quantity consumed, between price and the supply. Price for the market Producer surplus Quantity sold 0 0 Quantity 38 In the depiction, with linear supply, producer surplus is a triangle. So know how to calculate the area of a triangle. 20 Markets Maximise Surplus Total surplus is the surplus for everyone in the market added up, or just consumer surplus (for all the buyers) added to producer surplus (for all the sellers). If the government steps in, we need to add government revenue (if the government makes money) or subtract government spending (if the government loses money). Price So, in equilibrium, without government intervention, we just join up the two areas of producer and consumer surplus. Price for the market Total surplus Market quantity 0 0 Quantity Again, in our examples, with linear supply and demand, this is a triangle. So know how to calculate the area of a triangle. Our goal is now to show that markets maximise surplus. To do this, we’ll need to consider what would happen if the price and quantity for producer surplus or consumer surplus were not given, respectively, by the demand or supply curve (so, not by any possible equilibrium). We assume (which we will justify shortly), that the same individuals consume or produce up at a given quantity, as would consume or produce, respectively, were that quantity given by the market price. This means that we can still use demand for marginal benefit for consumers, and supply for marginal cost for producers. For consumer surplus, the first graph below depicts a quantity less than 39 Price the quantity demanded at the given price. Here we still add up all those line segments between price (marginal cost), and demand (marginal benefit), to give an area. But now the area consists of a triangle and a rectangle. So be able to calculate the areas of triangles and rectangles. For the quantity above that given by market demand for the price, we see that the price has exceeded willingness to pay. That is, marginal cost is greater than marginal benefit. So the lines past this point, up to the market quantity, must be subtracted, giving us an area to subtract in red. Market Price Market quantity 0 0 Price Quantity Subtract Price Add Quantity 0 0 Quantity For producer surplus, the first graph below depicts a quantity less than the quantity supplied at the given price. Here we still add up all those line segments between supply (marginal cost), and price (marginal benefit), to give 40 Price an area. But now the area consists of a triangle and a rectangle. So be able to calculate the areas of triangles and rectangles. For the quantity above that given by market supply for the price, we see that the price is below what we need to accept. That is, marginal cost is greater than marginal benefit. So the lines past this point, up to the market quantity, must be subtracted, giving us an area to subtract in red. Market Price Market quantity 0 0 Price Quantity Add Price Subtract Quantity 0 0 Quantity We don’t actually need to worry about the price when looking at total surplus. The price of each unit is added for suppliers, and subtracted for consumers. So, it won’t make a difference when looking at total surplus. Below we show total surplus by joining demand and supply (market demand and supply, total surplus is about the WHOLE EQUILIBRIUM), from a below equilibrium 41 Price quantity, and an above equilibrium quantity. Again, we use blue for the area we add, and red for what we subtract. Again, know how to add the areas of rectangles and triangles. Quantity 0 0 Price Quantity Quantity 0 0 Quantity Now let’s put all this to use. Markets maximising efficiency means that equilibrium maximises efficiency. Markets maximise efficiency because they achieve three things. Production efficiency: minimising the costs of the quantity produced. Allocative efficiency: maximising the benefits of the quantity consumed. Product-mix efficiency: choosing the best quantity, conditional on having production and allocative efficiency. For production efficiency, observe that in a free market, the people who 42 produce and sell the good are precisely those with their marginal cost lower than their marginal benefit; the price. If we fixed the quantity produced, then any change-up in who produces what would leave some people producing more, and others less. But because marginal cost is increasing in quantity, those who produce more have a higher marginal cost, and those who produce less have a lower marginal cost than the price that gave that quantity supplied. This means swapping units from a high-cost seller to a low-cost seller gives us the same quantity, at a lower cost. If we keep doing this, we will get back to the way the market did things, so markets must minimise costs for a given quantity: they are productively efficient. We depict this by looking at two different sellers’ individual supply curves. We suppose seller 1 decreases quantity from their individual quantity supplied at a given price (which they would sell in an equilibrium with that price), and seller 2 increases from their individual quantity supplied at the price to compensate. The blue quantities are given by the market price. The red quantities show the non-market deviation. Seller 1 Seller 2 Price Higher marginal cost Price Lower marginal cost 0 0 Quantity For allocative efficiency, observe that in a free market, the people who buy the good are precisely those with their marginal benefit higher than their marginal cost; the price. If we fixed the quantity produced, then any change-up in who produces what would leave some people consuming more, and others less. But because marginal benefit is decreasing in quantity, those who produce more have a lower marginal benefit, and those who produce less have a higher marginal benefit than the price that gave that quantity supplied. This means swapping units from a low-benefit buyer to a high-cost seller gives us the same quantity, at a higher total benefit. If we keep doing this, we will get back to the way the market did things, so markets must maximise total benefit for a given quantity: they are allocatively efficient. 43 We depict this by looking at two different buyers’ individual demand curves. We suppose buyer 1 decreases quantity from their individual quantity demanded at a given price (which they would consume in an equilibrium with that price), and buyer 2 increases from their individual quantity demanded at the price to compensate. The blue quantities are given by the market price. The red quantities show the non-market deviation. Price Higher marginal benefit Price Lower marginal benefit Buyer 1 0 Buyer 2 0 Quantity We’ve basically already shown product-mix efficiency. We considered what would happen if the same buyers as the market chose got the same amounts of a good, and the same sellers gave it up, but at the wrong price. But the market chooses the efficient levels of consumption of buyers and sellers for any quantity, as we have just shown. We then combined the two and found that the price didn’t make a difference. What mattered was the quantity. But let us return to the graphs above with total surplus at non-equilibrium quantities. A belowequilibrium quantity results in wasted surplus, when there are still buyers with their marginal benefits higher than sellers marginal costs. An above-equilibrium quantity results in sellers marginal costs getting higher than buyers marginal benefits, so we have to subtract marginal surplus past equilibrium, for a lower total surplus. Therefore, markets satisfy product-mix efficiency. 21 Example of Deadweight Loss with Taxation Deadweight loss refers to the difference in total surplus between on situation, and the optimal situation (given by the market in our analysis above, although under other circumstances, markets can fail). If the deadweight loss is positive, it means we are doing worse than optimal. Let’s consider the effects of a per-unit tax on buyers. Buyers pay price plus 44 tax now, shifting their demand (marginal benefit) down by the level of the tax (as in the section on taxes and subsidies). But they still consume until price is greater than marginal benefit, as they would without the tax. So the highest marginal benefits still are the ones that consume the equilibrium quantity, with tax. Allocative efficiency is still satisfied. We can think of buyers as getting their marginal benefit from the no-tax demand curve, but losing price plus tax. This just shifts both the curve and the price up by the tax, but it puts consumer surplus in a more convenient location on the graph we will show. Sellers have no tax, and just make exactly the same decisions as they would without one, given the market quantity. So we still have production efficiency, and we can depict as we would normally. The government is also making money, which needs to be counted to total surplus too, this is just the quantity times the tax. This add up to give us the right value for the quantity assuming production and allocative efficiency, but the quantity is lower than the, surplus-maximising, no-tax equilibrium, so we must have a deadweight loss. All this is depicted in the graph below. Consumer surplus is in red stripes, producer surplus blue, and government revenue in purple. Market surplus is all three added together. (DEMAND AND SUPPLY HERE ARE MARKET DEMAND AND MARKET SUPPLY, WE’RE TALKING ABOUT EQUILIBRIUM AND TOTAL SURPLUS, WHICH ARE ABOUT THE WHOLE MARKET.) Market surplus Price Deadweight loss Tax Equilibrium qty. Quantity 0 0 Quantity If the tax were on sellers, the only difference is that supply (marginal cost) would shift up by the tax, buyers would make the same choices as usual, since they weren’t being taxed, and we could depict consumer surplus as normal. But consumer surplus. Sellers still consume until marginal cost is greater than marginal benefit, so we still have production efficiency. We can think of sellers 45 having the marginal cost given by their no-tax supply curve, and losing price minus tax. This just shifts everything down by the tax, but puts producers surplus in a more convenient location for the graph. Deadweight loss is the same if the buyer and seller taxes are of the same size. We don’t need any special tools to show this, we’ve already seen that within a market, under a buyer or seller tax, everyone gives and gets the same things. So, they must all have the same marginal benefits and costs. Price Deadweight loss Tax Equilibrium qty. Quantity Market surplus 0 0 Quantity 46