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ATFM Daily Plan (89)

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OFFICIAL
#
ATFM Daily Plan - Monday 05 February 2024
ADP Version 1
Airport
Planned GDPs
Total Arr/Dep
Affected Flights
YSSY
YSSY GDP-A 0400-1100
886
130
1,198
9.20
YMML
YMML GDP-A 1900-1100
696
244
3,583
14.70
YBBN
NONE
596
n/a
0
0.00
YPPH-A
YPPH GDP-A 0030-0600
471
YPPH-D
YPPH GDP-D 2130-0030
Totals
2649
36 Hr Synoptic Forecast
Total Ground Delay Av. Ground Delay
77
963
12.50
102
640
6.30
553
6,384
9.16
Synoptic not AVBL
Please see BOM Website
* denotes a revision has taken place
ATFM Daily Plan Summary Notes
YSSY
YMML
YBBN
YPPH
Other Significant
Uncertainty in wind direction with showers and risks of storms, increasing in the afternoon. A METCDM review is planned for any significant variation in weather development from
the current plan.
Low cloud expected in the morning which mmight dissipate quickly with a risk of storms in the early afternoon. RWY 09/27 NAVBL as per NOTAM.
Nil significant operational risks identified.
Nil siginificant operational risks identified. GDP-D and GDP-A (0030-0600UTC) active due to demand.
Refer NOTAM for latest estimated airborne traffic delay advice.
Change Summary: [06:53pm] Version 1: Initial.
Teleconference Details
1800 062 923
Participant Code 7207 9651
Guest Code 3064#
CAP THREAT: Nil
YMEN SLOT SCHEME: YES: 22300500
NCC: 1800 020 626
atfmu@airservicesaustralia.com
Issues expected to impact service delivery
Location
Issue/NOTAM Details
YSSY
C386/24 RWY 07/25 CLOSED DUE WIP FM 02 021900 TO 02 041200. DAILY 1900-1200UTC
YMML
C151/24 RWY 09/27 CLSD DUE WIP REF FM 02 042230 TO 02 080500. DAILY 2230-0500UTC
YSSY
C297/24 RWY 07/25 CLOSED DUE WIP FM 02 041900 TO 02 091200 DAILY 1900-1200
Report generated by the NCC at 7:01 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
PRM: NOT REQ
OFFICIAL
#
Network Weather Overview
Monday 05 February 2024
From now to +72 hours
Weather Overview
Mean Sea Level Pressure
Satellite Picture
Rainfall Outlook for tomorrow
Picture NOT AVBL - please see BOM website
Picture NOT AVBL - please see BOM website
Picture NOT AVBL - please see BOM website
Brisbane
Weather impact risk assessment Major Airports
Melbourne
Perth
Sydney
AM Monday
Cloud 2500-3500ft. Light showers,
mainly offshore. Light S to SW
winds, tending moderate NE from
late morning.
Cloud 1500-2000ft, lifting to 3000ft
by late morning; possible showers.
Light to moderate S to SW winds.
CAVOK. Moderate SE winds,
reaching 30 knots aloft.
CAVOK with high-based showers in
the area. Light NW winds turning
ESE late morning.
PM Monday
Cloud 2500-3500ft. Light showers
clearing early afternoon. Moderate
NE winds.
Cloud 3000-4000ft. Chance TS in
the NE TMA. Moderate S winds.
CAVOK. Moderate SE winds, then
SW sea breeze late afternoon.
Showers and possible
thunderstorms moving in from the
west. Evening cloud 1500-2500ft.
Winds uncertain – most likely E to
NE.
AM Tuesday
Patchy cloud 2000-2500ft lifting
above 2500ft during the morning.
Light W to SSW winds becoming
NE late morning.
Cloud 3000-4000ft. Light to
moderate S to SW winds.
PM Tuesday
Patchy cloud above 3000ft possibly
lowering to 2000ft late evening.
Moderate NE winds.
Patchy cloud above 4000ft.
Moderate S’ly winds.
Showers. Chance of thunderstorms
CAVOK. Moderate and gusty E to
in the TMA. Cloud 1000-2000ft.
ESE winds easing. 25-30 knots E’ly
Variable winds, tending strong and
winds aloft easing.
gusty southerly.
CAVOK. Moderate E’ly winds
possibly becoming SSW late
afternoon.
Showers, possibly easing later.
Chance of storms in N TMA early
afternoon. Cloud 1500-3000ft. Gusty
S’ly winds. 30-40kt S’ly winds aloft.
AM Wednesday
Light morning showers. Cloud 1500CAVOK. Moderate E’ly winds, gusty
2500ft lower in showers. Light S’ly Patchy cloud at and above 2000ft.
Showers mostly offshore moving
at times. 30 knots E’ly winds aloft
winds increasing and possibly
Light winds mostly from W to SW
inland. Cloud 2000-4000ft. Moderate
easing turbulence possible early
becoming gusty late afternoon.
becoming S’ly.
S to SE winds gusty at times.
morning.
Aloft winds increasing 20-30 knots.
PM Wednesday
Light showers mostly inland.
Chance of inland thunderstorms.
Showers, chance of thunderstorms
CAVOK. Light to moderate E to NE
Cloud 2000-4000ft lower in
Patchy cloud above 3000ft. Light to
in far west TMA. Cloud 2000-4000ft.
winds becoming S to SW late
showers. Moderate SE winds gusty
moderate S’ly winds.
Moderate SE winds gusty at times
afternoon.
at times easing. 25-35 knots SE
easing.
winds aloft.
Significant other phenomena potentially affecting Australian FIRs
Volcanic Ash (VA) ≥ FL200
Space Weather
Tropical Cyclones
Nil current. For the latest information refer to http://www.bom.gov.au/aviation/volcanic-ash/darwin-va-advisory.shtml
Nil current. For the latest information refer to http://www.bom.gov.au/aviation/space-weather-advisories/
A Tropical low (06U) in the Coral Sea has a low chance of developing into a Tropical Cyclone later in the week; most likely it will be
moving away from Australia by then. For the latest outlook information refer to http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
Weather risk assessment provided by NCC Meteorological Unit – Bureau of Meteorology
Contact NCCMET for further detail or advice
Phone: 02 6268 4448
Email: nccmet@bom.gov.au
Detailed advice from major Airport MET CDM products available at Airservices NOC Portal, https://www.airservicesaustralia.com/noc/
Report generated by the NCC at 7:01 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
OFFICIAL
#
SYDNEY - YSSY GDP-A 0400-1100
Monday 05 February 2024
ATFM-CDM Notes
METCDM Notes:
[1] 1900-2259: Complicated and uncertain weather on Monday with the remnants of TC Kirrily moving from NW NSW in the morning to southern NSW by the end of the day. CAVOK at first with
dry northwesterly flow over Sydney; light N to NW surface winds with 20-30kt NW winds above 3000ft. High-based showers in the area and the chance of a thunderstorm in the outer southern
TMA. An x-factor is applied due to uncertainty in the winds (see below).
[2] 2300-1159: Wind direction becomes uncertain in the late morning and afternoon; winds likely to turn onshore as a light E to SE breeze develops in the late morning, then tending E to NE later
in the afternoon. Winds could fluctuate around 060-080° for a lengthy period in the afternoon.
[3] 0200-1159: Showers and thunderstorms developing in the afternoon, particularly in the SW TMA, then becoming more likely closer to the port in the evening. Slight chance of isolated storms
developing in the N-NW TMA in the afternoon which could impact the aerodrome earlier; an x-factor is applied to the TS>20 rate to account for this risk. Cloud mostly remaining above 5000ft
although a few patches around 1500-2000ft may develop towards the end of the day. More widespread rain and storms will develop further away over the Southern Highlands in the afternoon, then
moving into the SW TMA in the evening, impacting en route traffic. Variation in the position of the low as it crosses NSW on Monday could lead to significantly different weather at YSSY - a review
will be conducted tomorrow.
NCC DLM Notes:
[Nil DLM Notes]
SM Notes:
[1] 0200-0259: No SYTM available
GDP Notes
Uncertainty in wind direction with showers and risks of storms, increasing in the afternoon. A METCDM review is planned for any significant variation in weather development from the current plan.
Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC)
041900
042000
042100
042200
042300
050000
050100
Runway Mode
34 IVA
34 IVA
34 IVA
34 IVA
34 IVA
16 IVA
16 IVA
Rate
34
46
46
46
46
46
46
METCDM Notes
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
Segmentation
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
050200
050300
050400
050500
050600
050700
050800
050900
051000
051100
0
16 TS>20 16 TS>20 16 TS>20 34 TS>20 34 TS>20 34 TS>20 34 TS>20 34 TS<20 34 TS<20 34 TS<20
30
34
32
32
32
32
32
26
22
21
Segmentation and Notes
2&3
2&3
2&3
2&3
2&3
2&3
2&3
2&3
2&3
2&3
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Bar Graph
Report generated by the NCC at 7:01 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
0
OFFICIAL
#
MELBOURNE - YMML GDP-A 1900-1100
Monday 05 February 2024
ATFM-CDM Notes
METCDM Notes:
[1] 1900-2359: A cool change will move through Melbourne in the early hours of Monday morning. Moderate SW winds will be established at the aerodrome by the start of this program, with areas of cloud around
800-1200ft in the early morning, lifting quickly to 1500-2000ft. It is possible the cloud will not get any lower than SCT 1800ft in which case a review would improve the rates in the morning. A few light showers across
the TMA, both from the mid-level cloud band above 12000ft and also in the low-level southwesterly flow, but only a low chance of reducing visibility significantly - IMCA with x-factors is planned to account for this
risk.
[2] 0000-1259: Cloud lifting above 3000ft in the late morning and afternoon. Showers clearing east. Moderate S winds varying 160-200°, easing in the evening with a return to RWY 16/27 planned. Slight chance of
an early afternoon storm in the far eastern TMA about the hills, but more likely further east.
[3] 2200-0459: RWY 09/27 closed from 2230-0500Z (NOTAM C151/24).
NCC DLM Notes:
[Nil DLM Notes]
SM Notes:
[Nil SMTM Notes]
GDP Notes
Low cloud expected in the morning which mmight dissipate quickly with a risk of storms in the early afternoon. RWY 09/27 NAVBL as per NOTAM.
Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC)
041900
042000
042100
042200
042300
050000
050100
050200
050300
050400
050500
050600
050700
050800
050900
051000
051100
051200
Runway Mode
16/27
IMCB
16/27
IMCA
16/27
IMCA
16 IMCA
16 VMC
16 VMC
16 VMC
16 VMC
16 VMC
16 VMC
16 VMC
16 VMC
16 VMC
16 VMC
16/27
VMCB
16/27
VMCB
16/27
VMCB
16/27
VMCB
Rate
20
21
22
22
23
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
25
25
25
25
Segmentation and Notes
METCDM Notes
1
1
1
1&3
1&3
2&3
2&3
Segmentation
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2&3
2&3
2&3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Bar Graph
Report generated by the NCC at 7:01 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
OFFICIAL
#
BRISBANE - Nil GDP
Monday 05 February 2024
ATFM-CDM Notes
METCDM Notes:
[1] 2000-1259: Light northeasterly flow continues on Monday with a ridge of high pressure overhead. Cloud mostly above 3000ft, with some patches around 2000ft early, then clearing to CAVOK
for most of the day before returning around 2000ft late evening. A few showers well offshore in the eastern TMA in the morning. Light to moderate NE winds all day; slight chance of a light SSW
surface wind for the first few hours of the program.
NCC DLM Notes:
[Nil DLM Notes]
SM Notes:
[Nil SMTM Notes]
GDP Notes
Nil significant operational risks identified.
Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC)
042000
042100
042200
042300
050000
050100
050200
050300
050400
050500
050600
050700
050800
050900
051000
051100
051200
Runway Mode
01 VMC
01 VMC
01 VMC
01 VMC
01 VMC
01 VMC
01 VMC
01 VMC
01 VMC
01 VMC
01 VMC
01 VMC
01 VMC
01 VMC
01 VMC
01 VMC
01 VMC
Rate
32
32
32
32
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
32
32
METCDM Notes
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Segmentation
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Segmentation and Notes
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Bar Graph
Report generated by the NCC at 7:01 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
0
OFFICIAL
#
PERTH
Arrivals - YPPH GDP-A 0030-0600
Arrivals - YPPH GDP-D 2130-0030
Monday 05 February 2024
ATFM-CDM Notes
METCDM Notes:
[1] 2200-1359: Dry southeasterly flow with a ridge of high pressure to the south. Moderate SE surface winds, tending light southerly in the early afternoon and then turning moderate SW with a
late afternoon sea breeze. CAVOK all day. 20-25kt ESE winds aloft in the early morning may cause some issues on approach with a risk of wind shear.
NCC DLM Notes:
[Nil DLM Notes]
SM Notes:
[Nil SMTM Notes]
GDP Notes
Nil siginificant operational risks identified. GDP-D and GDP-A (0030-0600UTC) active due to demand.
Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC)
042200
042300
050000
050100
050200
050300
050400
050500
050600
050700
050800
050900
051000
051100
051200
051300
Runway Mode
21 VMC
21 VMC
21 VMC
21 VMC
21 VMC
21 VMC
21 VMC
21 VMC
21/24
VMC
21/24
VMC
21/24
VMC
21/24
VMC
21/24
VMC
21/24
VMC
21/24
VMC
21/24
VMC
Rate-Arrs
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
40
40
40
METCDM Notes
1
1
1
1
1
1
Segmentation
1
1
1
1
1
1
Rate-Deps
42100
40
Segmentation and Notes
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Bar Graph
Report generated by the NCC at 7:01 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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