September 13, 2018 12:17 AM GMT MORGAN STANLEY & CO. LLC Apple, Inc. Katy L. Huberty, CFA Raising iPhone ASPs Post iPhone Launch Stock Rating Industry View Overweight Attractive Price Target $247.00 EQUITY ANALYST Kathryn.Huberty@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-6249 Erik W Woodring RESEARCH ASSOCIATE Erik.Woodring@morganstanley.com +1 212 296-8083 Elizabeth Elliott, CFA RESEARCH ASSOCIATE Elizabeth.Elliott@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-3632 Kieran Kenny RESEARCH ASSOCIATE Kieran.Kenny@morganstanley.com +1 212 296-5137 Apple, Inc. ( AAPL.O, AAPL US ) Higher iPhone ASPs and dual-SIM are the pos. surprises out of yesterday's product launch. We raise FY19e ASPs to +6% Y/Y growth (from -2%) lifting our FY19 Revenue and EPS by 4.3% and 4.0%. Our SOTP-based $247 PT increases $2. We're buyers post the event. WHAT'S CHANGED Apple, Inc. (AAPL.O) From Price Target $245.00 To $247.00 Estimates move higher on iPhone ASP uplift. Today's product event largely met our expectations heading into the event. While this iPhone launch was marketed as an "S" cycle, iPhone ASPs and larger storage SKUs across the portfolio surprised to the upside, as did the inclusion of dual-SIM capabilities. On the negative side, the availability date for the iPhone XR (October 26th) was a bit later than we expected but still in-line with last year's iPhone X availability date. We don't see the later ship date materially impacting unit demand in C2H18, particularly given most early adopters will skew to the XS Max, in our view. While we keep our FY19 unit expectations unchanged, we raise our FY19 iPhone ASP estimate to $793, up 6% Y/Y vs. our prior estimate of $739 (-2% Y/Y). Furthermore, with higher pricing we'd expect a stronger gross margin profile for the new iPhone SKUs, especially considering the falling price of both DRAM and NAND. Net, our FY19e EPS increases to $14.69 (from $14.12) and our CY19e EPS increases to $15.35 (from $14.76). Our $247 price target is up from $245 previously, with higher revenue partially offset by recent multiple compression at internet/platform comps, most notably SNAP, TWTR, Tencent and Alibaba. We reiterate our Overweight rating and recommend buying shares on any post-event weakness due to de-risked FY19 iPhone expectations, a Services business that continues to outpace consensus expectations, and underweight allocations with large institutional investors. What we learned from Apple's 'Gather round' product event: (+) iPhone pricing and larger storage SKUs surprise to the upside. The most significant investor concern entering FY19 has been that without strong ASP growth, FY19 iPhone revenue growth is likely to flatline. Today's iPhone announcement is likely to dispel that fear. Apple's new highest end iPhone, the iPhone XS Max, is $100 more expensive than last year's iPhone X, while the iPhone XS is in line with last year's iPhone X pricing (Exhibit 1). Additionally, each IT Hardware / United States of America Stock Rating Industry View Price target Shr price, close (Sep 12, 2018) Mkt cap, curr (mm) 52-Week Range Fiscal Year Ending ModelWare EPS ($) Prior ModelWare EPS ($) P/E Consensus EPS ($)§ Div yld (%) Overweight Attractive $247.00 $221.07 $1,080,369 $229.67-149.16 09/17 09/18e 09/19e 09/20e 9.21 - 11.75 - 14.69 14.12 17.11 16.49 16.7 9.00 1.6 18.8 11.77 1.3 15.1 13.58 1.4 12.9 15.02 1.6 Unless otherwise noted, all metrics are based on Morgan Stanley ModelWare framework § = Consensus data is provided by Thomson Reuters Estimates e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates QUARTERLY MODELWARE EPS ($) Quarter Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017 3.36 2.10 1.67 2.07 2018e Prior 2.75 2018e Current 3.89a 2.73a 2.34a 2.75 2019e Prior 4.56 3.37 2.80 3.34 2019e Current 4.86 3.47 2.87 3.44 e = Morgan Stanley Research estimates, a = Actual Company reported data Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of Morgan Stanley Research. Investors should consider Morgan Stanley Research as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For analyst certification and other important disclosures, refer to the Disclosure Section, located at the end of this report. 1 iPhone XS model is available in 64GB, 256GB and now, a 512GB SKU, meaning there is even greater uplift to average pricing on a Y/Y basis than we expected. As it relates to the iPhone XR, a starting price of $749 is $80 above our prior expectations, and while it's $50 cheaper than the iPhone 8 Plus starting price last year at launch, the general migration of higher pricing across the portfolio means that iPhone ASPs should grow Y/Y vs. our prior estimate for 2% ASP declines and street expectations for 1% ASP growth in FY19. Our new $793 iPhone ASP estimate for FY19 (+6% Y/Y) implies 65% shipment mix of the lowest storage capacity SKU, on par with mix over the last year. We then assume 25% of shipments are of the mid-level SKU and only 10% are the highest storage SKU (Exhibit 2). Expanding from two to three storage capacity options is more likely to reduce the mix of the lowest capacity, in our view, with our bull case reflecting this dynamic, implying FY19 ASPs could be up nearly 8% (Exhibit 4). (+) Integration of dual SIM a potential new demand driver, especially in China. In our view, the biggest technological upgrade in the new iPhone models that could influence unit growth is the integration of dual SIM capabilities, which will enable users to have two mobile numbers on one device. This potential catalyst is especially important in China, as it puts Apple on par with local brands in a market where the typical wireless subscriber owns more than one SIM card because many users have 1) separate WeChat accounts for personal and professional purposes, 2) separate data plans to maximize pricing and consumption levels or 3) separate phones for domestic and international travel. With 55% of the iPhone base in China owning an iPhone 6s or older (Exhibit 5), China has a more aged installed base than other regions, which combined with more users planning to upgrade their smartphone (Exhibit 6) and choose Apple relative to our past surveys (Exhibit 7), suggests dual-SIM could become a real demand driver. (=/+) iPhone technology upgrades in-line with "S" cycle expectations; Apple Watch moves further into Health. Most of the technological enhancements to the iPhone XS, XS Max, and XR were in-line with expectations heading into the event, and the integration of iPhone X technology into a greater portion of the iPhone portfolio is a positive, in our view. Nevertheless, based on past survey work we have done, camera functionality and battery life are the most important factors to smartphone purchasers and therefore the smart HDR and improved depth control features of the new camera module (enabled by the upgraded A12 Bionic chip), plus the improved battery life vs. last years models are the most compelling upgrades, in our view (Exhibit 8). On the Apple Watch front, new technology features such as a 30% larger screen face, the S4 chip that delivers 2x the performance of the previous AW processor, and a new accelerometer are clear upgrades. However, the inclusion of advanced heart monitoring capabilities, such as rhythm detection and electrocardiogram (ECG) support, which has been cleared by the FDA, was the biggest incremental in our mind and shows that Apple continues to expand their TAM by further disrupting the healthcare market. (-) What we didn't hear that we wish we did. The iPhone and Apple Watch updates were largely in line with our expectations, however we also were hoping to hear about new iPad and/or Mac portfolio launches, especially an upgrade to the iPad Pro (including the integration of front facing 3D sensor and FaceID). Additionally, Apple made no mention of the AirPower wireless charging pad, 2 which they introduced at last year's iPhone launch event but has been effectively unspoken of since. And while the October 26 ship date for XR is a bit later than expected, the faster geographic roll out - 59 initial countries for XS and XS Max versus 28 countries for 8 and 8 Plus a year ago - likely neutralizes any near-term unit impact. 3 Exhibits Exhibit 1: The average price of new iPhone models is higher this cycle than last, while legacy iPhones received their normal $100 price cut. Old Pricing New Pricing iPhone XS Max iPhone XS Max iPhone XS Max 64 256 512 Retail Price $ 1,099 $ 1,249 $ 1,449 iPhone XS iPhone XS iPhone XS 64 256 512 $ 999 iPhone X $ 1,149 iPhone X $ 1,349 iPhone XR iPhone XR iPhone XR 64 128 256 $ 749 $ 799 $ 899 iPhone 8 Plus iPhone 8 Plus 64 256 iPhone 8 iPhone 8 Model Storage (GB) Model Storage (GB) Retail Price Diff. 64 256 $ 999 $ $ 1,149 $ - $ 699 iPhone 8 Plus $ 849 iPhone 8 Plus 64 256 $ 799 $ $ 949 $ (100) (100) 64 256 $ 599 iPhone 8 $ 749 iPhone 8 64 256 $ 699 $ $ 849 $ (100) (100) iPhone 7 Plus iPhone 7 Plus 32 128 $ 569 iPhone 7 Plus $ 669 iPhone 7 Plus 32 128 $ 669 $ $ 769 $ (100) (100) iPhone 7 iPhone 7 32 128 $ 449 iPhone 7 $ 549 iPhone 7 32 128 $ 549 $ $ 649 $ (100) (100) $ 329 $ 399 $ 329 $ 1,149 (50) (20) 70 100 Apple Watch Series 4 Apple Watch Series 4 + Cellular Apple Watch Series 3 Apple Watch Series 3 + Cellular Apple Watch Nike+ Apple Watch Hermes $ 399 $ 499 $ 279 $ 379 $ 399 $ 1,249 Apple Watch Series 3 Apple Watch Series 3 + Cellular Apple Watch Nike+ Apple Watch Hermes $ $ $ $ Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research 4 Exhibit 2: Our new FY19 iPhone ASP estimate of $793 assumes that ~2/3 of new iPhone model shipments are from the lowest storage SKU, in line with FY18 mix. Storage Model (GB) 6.5" OLED (iPhone XS Max) 64 256 512 5.8" OLED (iPhone XS) List Price $1,172 $1,099 $1,249 $1,449 FY19 Sales Mix Est SKU Mix Est 26% 17% 65% 6% 25% 3% 10% 64 256 512 $1,072 $999 $1,149 $1,349 9% 6% 2% 1% 65% 25% 10% 64 128 256 $777 $749 $799 $899 35% 23% 9% 3% 65% 25% 10% 64 256 $762 $699 $849 6% 3% 2% 58% 42% 64 256 $655 $599 $749 8% 5% 3% 62% 38% 32 128 $598 $569 $669 3% 2% 1% 71% 29% 32 128 $478 $449 $549 4% 3% 1% 71% 29% 32 128 $474 $449 $549 0% 0% 0% 75% 25% 32 128 $367 $349 $449 4% 3% 1% 82% 18% $334 $299 $399 $793 5% 3% 2% 100.0% 6.1" LCD (iPhone XR) iPhone 8 Plus iPhone 8 iPhone 7 Plus iPhone 7 iPhone 6/6s Plus iPhone 6/6s iPhone SE 32 128 Total 65% 35% Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research 5 Exhibit 3: Our new FY19 iPhone mix estimate implies that FY19 iPhone ASPs grow 6% Y/Y, to $793. FY19 iPhone Blended ASP Model iPhone XS Max iPhone XS iPhone XR iPhone 8 Plus iPhone 8 iPhone 7 Plus iPhone 7 iPhone 6/6s Plus iPhone 6/6s iPhone SE Blended Average Y/Y Growth Shipments Mix (000s) List Price 26% 56,815 $1,172 9% 19,962 $1,072 35% 76,777 $777 6% 12,817 $762 8% 18,290 $655 3% 5,753 $598 4% 8,012 $478 0% 971 $474 4% 8,822 $367 5% 11,781 $334 100.00% 220,000 % of Units Retail Sale Through Retail ASP to Retail Discount Apple 87% 6% $1,101 87% 6% $1,005 87% 6% $728 83% 6% $715 83% 6% $613 82% 6% $560 82% 7% $446 100% 7% $443 100% 6% $343 83% 6% $313 Total ASP $ 1,110 $ 1,013 $ 735 $ 723 $ 620 $ 567 $ 452 $ 443 $ 343 $ 317 $ 793 5.6% Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research Exhibit 4: Our current FY19 ASP assumption of $793 implies 6% Y/Y ASP growth. If we assume the larger storage SKU of new models comprise closer to 50% of shipments, then FY19 ASPs could increase 8% Y/Y. FY19 iPhone ASP Expectations $850 $808 $793 $781 $800 $750 $750 $739 $700 Bull Case Estimate Current Estimate Bear Case Estimate Prior FY19 Estimate $675 $651 $650 $641 $600 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E Source: Company Data Morgan Stanley Research 6 Exhibit 5: The base of aged iPhones is higher entering this cycle than last cycle, a potential sign of more iPhone upgrades in FY19 or FY20. % of iPhone Installed Base Considered "Aged" Entering iPhone X Cycle Size of Currrent Installed Base (M; RHS) Entering iPhone Xs Cycle 70% 700 60% 60% 55% 46% 50% 40% 49% 43% 39% 500 45% 44% 38% 600 55% 35% 32% 400 30% 300 20% 200 10% 100 0% 0 Global North America EMEA China Asia Pac Latam Source: IDC, Morgan Stanley Research; "Aged" iPhones are considered those that were launched 3 years ago. Entering the iPhone X cycle, this would include all models from iPhone 6 and older. For the iPhone Xs cycle, this would include all iPhone 6s models and older. Exhibit 6: 86% of our August 2018 survey respondents in China indicated they are likely to buy a new smartphone in the next 12 months vs. 73% in the spring of 2016... Exhibit 7: ...and for those respondents that indicated a likelihood to upgrade, 34% said they would likely buy an iPhone, up from 27% of total respondents that currently own an iPhone. China: Intentions to Buy a Smartphone in the Next 12 Months Apr '16 Aug '18 China: Current Smartphone Brand vs. Purchase Intentions 50% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 8% 4% 1% 2% 0% Extremely Likely Somewhat Likely Source: AlphaWise, Morgan Stanley Research Neutral Somewhat Unlikely Extremely Unlikely 10% 9% 7% 8% 7% 5% 7% 6% Other 8% 10% 14% 10% Samsung 18% 20% 26%28% VIVO 30% 34% 27% OPPO 33% Brand Most Likely to Buy Next Xiaomi 40% 41% Huawei/ Honor 40% Current Brand Apple 45% Source: AlphaWise, Morgan Stanley Research 7 Exhibit 8: Longer battery life, camera upgrades and faster performance are the most notable spec improvements. Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research 8 AAPL Risk Reward Growth Contribution from Services Underappreciated by Investors Investment Thesis $ 400 $363.00 (+64%) 350 300 250 $247.00 (+12%) $221.07 200 $151.00 (-32%) 150 100 Apple has the world's most valuable technology platform with 1.3Bn active devices, and is well positioned to capture more of its users' time in areas such as video, augmented reality, health, autos and home. Accelerated Services growth, margin expansion, and tax reform / cash repatriation are catalysts that can help sustainably re-rate shares. 50 0 Sep-16 Key Debates Mar-17 Sep-17 Price Target (Sep-19) Mar-18 Historical Stock Performance Sep-18 Mar-19 Current Stock Price Sep-19 WARNINGDONOTEDIT_RRS4RL~AAPL.O~ Source: Thomson Reuters, Morgan Stanley Research Price Target $247 Derived from base-case scenario. Bull $363 20.3x Bull Case CY19e EPS of $17.85 Services revenue per device accelerates to 10%+ growth annually as Apple converts more users to services customers and launches new AR and original video content. The majority of growth comes from services but hardware grows slightly as replacement cycles level off earlier than in the base case and Apple continues to gain new users in markets like China and India. Gross margins move above 40% due to higher Services revenue mix. Investors focus on monetization of Apple's 1.3B and growing device base and value Apple closer to that of a platform company given the more stable growth trajectory. We assume a 20-21x P/E multiple on CY19 EPS of $17.85. Our bull case valuation is supported by SOTP analysis assuming Apple Services garners an EV/Sales multiple in-line with high growth platforms like FB, SNAP, TWTR, and NFLX. Base $247 16.1x Base Case CY19e EPS of $15.35 Continued 25%+ services growth with the mix shift to higher margin services, slightly growing iPhone ASPs and more share repurchases translating to faster, and more sustainable, EPS growth. With longer replacement cycles in the broader device market translating to flat device units in FY17-20, we see accelerating Services growth combined with increased share buybacks and a lower tax rate driving multiple years of double digit EPS growth. With Services becoming the primary driver of our forward estimates we fully shift to our sumof-the-parts analysis, which credits Apple's hardware business with a multiple that blends HPQ and MSFT and Apple's services business with the average of 10 consumer platform peers and drives our $247 PT, translating to a 16.1x P/E, slightly higher than Apple's 10-year CY+1 P/E trading range. Bear $151 12.1x Bear Case CY19e EPS of $12.51 Weakening global smartphone market overshadows Services growth, resulting in total company revenue declines and margin pressure. Apple continues to invest in future products and services, driving negative operating leverage, offset by continued share repurchases. Our sum of the parts analysis assumes lowerend of platform multiples, in-line with Google, for Apple Services and a more Can Apple sustainably grow revenue and EPS? Yes, the combination of increased services mix, strong wearables growth, higher share repurchases, potential M&A, and investments in new categories like video, augmented/virtual reality, artificial intelligence, health, and autos are drivers of sustainable growth longer-term. Can Services growth help re-rate shares? Yes, we believe so. Apple is a structurally different company today than it was just 5 years ago, with a larger cash balance and a Services business that accounts for ~15% of revenue and 22% of gross profit dollars, growing to 27% of revenue and 40% of gross profit dollars by FY22. And we see accelerating Services data points as evidence of this transformation that can act as catalysts to re-rate shares higher. Can Apple accelerate innovation? Yes, FY17 was the fifth year in a row that R&D growth outpaced revenue growth, translating to new products and services over time. Over the past three years, Apple spent an incremental $11.6B on R&D compared to less than $1B ahead of iPhone and iPad. This compares to minimal incremental spend at top auto makers (ex-Tesla) and $10.2B of incremental spend at Alphabet on far more projects. Potential Catalysts Increasing services mix, driven by increased penetration of the user base and new services. Rising iPhone ASPs, strong wearables growth speak to increasing customer engagement and spend and help shift 9 hardware skewed multiple on Apple's device revenue, implying a roughly 12x P/E, the lower end of where large cap hardware stocks have traded over the last year and significantly below Apple's 10-year average historical P/E. narrative from product cycles to a platform story Expanding the platform to new industries, for example healthcare, autos or homes, drives “halo effect” across Apple's businesses Expanding points-of-sale, especially in emerging markets like India Risks to Achieving Price Target Weak global consumer spending or increased price elasticity on the back of higher priced iPhones Maturing markets, and Android competition in smartphones and tablets Lack of traction with new product categories and/or services limits multiple expansion Carriers lengthening replacement cycles and/or lower subsidies or users replace batteries instead of upgrade Political, regulatory and legal risk as Apple gains profit share in mobile devices and remains dependent on Asian suppliers (i.e. Tariff risk) and consumers to deliver results 10 Model Exhibit 9: Apple Income Statement Dec-16 78,351 2017A Mar-17 Jun-17 52,896 45,408 Sep-17 52,579 Dec-17 88,293 2018E Mar-18 Jun-18 61,137 53,265 Sep-18 61,026 Dec-18 93,922 2019E Mar-19 Jun-19 69,117 59,374 Sep-19 66,981 Fiscal Year 2016A 2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E 215,639 229,234 263,721 289,394 301,753 54,378 5,533 7,244 7,172 4,024 33,249 3,889 5,844 7,041 2,873 24,846 4,969 5,592 7,266 2,735 28,846 4,831 7,170 8,501 3,231 61,576 5,862 6,895 8,471 5,489 38,032 4,113 5,848 9,190 3,954 29,906 4,741 5,330 9,548 3,740 34,851 5,023 6,729 10,031 4,391 63,369 5,815 7,086 10,875 6,777 42,101 4,084 6,006 11,773 5,153 32,098 4,540 5,468 12,126 5,143 36,756 4,928 6,580 12,900 5,817 136,700 20,628 22,831 24,348 11,132 141,319 19,222 25,850 29,980 12,863 164,365 19,739 24,802 37,240 17,574 174,324 19,368 25,140 47,674 22,889 172,213 17,613 24,616 60,045 27,265 Cost of Sales 48,175 32,305 27,920 32,648 54,381 37,715 32,844 37,690 58,037 41,977 35,615 40,377 131,376 141,048 162,630 176,006 180,024 Gross Profit 30,176 20,591 17,488 19,931 33,912 23,422 20,421 23,335 35,885 27,140 23,759 26,605 84,263 88,186 101,090 113,389 121,729 38.5% 38.9% 38.5% 37.9% 38.4% 38.3% 38.3% 38.2% 38.2% 39.3% 40.0% 39.7% 39.1% 38.5% 38.3% 39.2% 40.3% 6,817 6,494 6,720 6,811 7,638 7,528 7,809 8,000 9,298 8,778 8,906 9,076 24,239 26,842 30,975 36,058 38,605 2,871 3,946 2,776 3,718 2,937 3,783 2,997 3,814 3,407 4,231 3,378 4,150 3,701 4,108 3,738 4,263 4,320 4,978 4,078 4,700 4,216 4,691 4,253 4,823 10,045 14,194 11,581 15,261 14,224 16,752 16,867 19,191 18,225 20,380 Operating Income 23,359 14,097 10,768 13,120 26,274 15,894 12,612 15,335 26,587 18,362 14,853 17,529 60,024 61,344 70,115 77,330 83,123 PTOP Margin 29.8% 26.7% 23.7% 25.0% 29.8% 26.0% 23.7% 25.1% 28.3% 26.6% 25.0% 26.2% 27.8% 26.8% 26.6% 26.7% 27.5% 821 24,180 587 14,684 540 11,308 797 13,917 756 27,030 274 16,168 672 13,284 305 15,640 486 27,073 558 18,921 484 15,337 471 17,999 1,348 61,372 2,745 64,089 2,007 72,122 2,000 79,330 1,809 84,933 GAAP Income Tax Provision 6,289 Operating Tax Provision (excl one time tax effect) 6,289 Effective Tax Rate 26.0% 3,655 3,655 24.9% 2,591 2,591 22.9% 3,203 3,203 23.0% 6,965 6,965 25.8% 2,346 2,346 14.5% 1,765 1,765 13.3% 2,346 2,346 15.0% 4,061 4,061 15.0% 2,838 2,838 15.0% 2,301 2,301 15.0% 2,700 2,700 15.0% 15,685 15,685 25.6% 15,738 15,738 24.6% 13,422 13,422 18.6% 11,900 11,900 15.0% 12,740 12,740 15.0% Operating Net Income 17,891 11,029 8,717 10,714 20,065 13,822 11,519 13,294 23,012 16,082 13,037 15,300 45,687 48,351 58,700 67,431 72,193 22.8% 20.9% 19.2% 20.4% 22.7% 22.6% 21.6% 21.8% 24.5% 23.3% 22.0% 22.8% 21.2% 21.1% 22.3% 23.3% 23.9% ($ in millions) Revenues iPhone iPad Mac Services Other Products Gross Margin Operating Expenses Research and Development Selling, General and Administrative Total Interest & Other Income Pretax Income Operating Net Income Margin Total Non-recurring Charges - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 17,891 11,029 8,717 10,714 20,065 13,822 11,519 13,294 23,012 16,082 13,037 15,300 45,687 48,351 58,700 67,431 72,193 $3.36 $2.10 $1.67 $2.07 $3.89 $2.73 $2.34 $2.75 $4.86 $3.47 $2.87 $3.44 $8.31 $9.21 $11.75 $14.69 $17.11 EPS - Reported $3.36 EPS - ModelWare excl. Stock Option Expense $3.59 $2.10 $2.33 $1.67 $1.89 $2.07 $2.29 $3.89 $4.14 $2.73 $2.99 $2.34 $2.61 $2.75 $3.03 $4.86 $5.15 $3.47 $3.81 $2.87 $3.21 $3.44 $3.77 $8.31 $9.07 $9.21 $10.13 $11.75 $12.81 $14.69 $16.00 $17.11 $18.49 3,130 $0.59 3,004 $0.57 3,365 $0.65 3,270 $0.64 3,339 $0.65 3,190 $0.63 3,653 $0.75 3,530 $0.74 3,553 $0.76 3,380 $0.74 3,697 $0.82 3,562 $0.81 12,150 $2.22 12,769 $2.45 13,712 $2.77 14,192 $3.12 14,320 $3.44 5,255.4 5,298.7 5,328.0 5,205.8 5,225.8 5,261.7 5,169.8 5,195.1 5,233.5 5,126.2 5,149.4 5,183.6 5,081.7 5,112.9 5,157.8 4,943.3 5,024.9 5,068.5 4,842.9 4,882.2 4,926.6 4,740.4 4,791.7 4,838.3 4,639.7 4,690.1 4,737.7 4,540.7 4,590.2 4,638.7 4,443.5 4,492.1 4,541.6 4,348.2 4,395.8 4,446.4 5,336.2 5,470.8 5,500.3 5,126.2 5,217.2 5,251.7 4,740.4 4,952.9 4,997.8 4,348.2 4,542.0 4,591.1 3,988.1 4,166.3 4,219.4 GAAP Net Income Fully-diluted EPS EPS - ModelWare Dividend Payment Dividend Per Share Period Ending Outstanding Shares Avg Shares (Basic) Avg Shares (Fully Diluted) Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research 11 Exhibit 10: Apple Income Statement Analysis ($ in millions) Margin Analysis Gross Margin iPhone iPad Mac Services Other Products R&D SG&A Operating Expenses EBITDA Margin PTOP Margin Pretax Margin Net Income Year-Over-Year Growth (%) Revenue iPhone iPad Mac Services Other Products Gross Margin iPhone iPad Mac Services Other Products R&D SG&A Dec-16 2017A Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 2018E Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 2019E Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 2016A 2017A Fiscal Year 2018E 2019E 2020E 38.5% 38.9% 38.5% 37.9% 38.4% 38.3% 38.3% 38.2% 38.2% 39.3% 40.0% 39.7% 39.1% 38.5% 38.3% 39.2% 40.3% 39.3% 24.5% 24.5% 58.0% 38.3% 3.7% 5.0% 8.7% 29.8% 29.8% 30.9% 22.8% 39.5% 24.0% 24.0% 57.0% 38.6% 5.2% 7.0% 12.3% 26.9% 26.7% 27.8% 20.9% 38.5% 24.5% 25.0% 58.5% 38.6% 6.5% 8.3% 14.8% 23.9% 23.7% 24.9% 19.2% 37.3% 24.5% 25.0% 58.5% 38.3% 5.7% 7.3% 13.0% 25.1% 25.0% 26.5% 20.4% 38.4% 25.0% 25.0% 58.5% 38.7% 3.9% 4.8% 8.7% 29.9% 29.8% 30.6% 22.7% 37.2% 24.0% 24.0% 58.5% 38.1% 5.5% 6.8% 12.3% 26.2% 26.0% 26.4% 22.6% 36.7% 24.0% 24.0% 58.5% 38.8% 6.9% 7.7% 14.7% 23.9% 23.7% 24.9% 21.6% 36.8% 24.5% 24.5% 59.0% 39.0% 6.1% 7.0% 13.1% 25.4% 25.1% 25.6% 21.8% 37.2% 25.0% 25.0% 59.3% 39.0% 4.6% 5.3% 9.9% 28.5% 28.3% 28.8% 24.5% 37.2% 25.0% 25.0% 59.0% 39.0% 5.9% 6.8% 12.7% 26.9% 26.6% 27.4% 23.3% 37.5% 25.0% 25.0% 59.5% 39.0% 7.1% 7.9% 15.0% 25.5% 25.0% 25.8% 22.0% 37.5% 25.0% 25.0% 59.5% 39.0% 6.4% 7.2% 13.6% 26.9% 26.2% 26.9% 22.8% 41.1% 23.6% 23.9% 56.1% 37.4% 4.7% 6.6% 11.2% 32.7% 27.8% 28.5% 21.2% 38.8% 24.4% 24.6% 58.0% 38.4% 5.1% 6.7% 11.7% 31.2% 26.8% 28.0% 21.1% 37.5% 24.4% 24.4% 58.6% 38.6% 5.4% 6.4% 11.7% 31.1% 26.6% 27.3% 22.3% 37.3% 25.0% 25.0% 59.3% 39.0% 5.8% 6.6% 12.5% 30.8% 26.7% 27.4% 23.3% 37.5% 25.0% 25.0% 59.9% 39.0% 6.0% 6.8% 12.8% 32.2% 27.5% 28.1% 23.9% 3% 5% 7% 12% 13% 16% 17% 16% 6% 13% 11% 10% -8% 6% 15% 10% 4% 5% -22% 7% 18% -8% 1% -12% 14% 18% 31% 3% 2% 7% 22% 23% 2% 14% 25% 34% 36% 13% 6% -5% 18% 36% 14% 6% 0% 31% 38% 20% -5% -5% 31% 37% 21% 4% -6% 18% 36% 3% -1% 3% 28% 23% 11% -1% 3% 28% 30% 7% -4% 3% 27% 38% 5% -2% -2% 29% 32% -12% -11% -10% 22% 11% 3% -7% 13% 23% 16% 16% 3% -4% 24% 37% 6% -2% 1% 28% 30% -1% -9% -2% 26% 19% -1% 3% 9% 12% 12% 14% 17% 17% 6% 16% 16% 14% -10% 5% 15% 12% 7% -4% -19% 10% 24% -4% 19% 3% -3% -10% 14% 20% 36% 11% 9% 1% 6% 11% 26% 28% 15% 10% -2% 18% 33% 39% 36% 17% 10% 11% 8% -3% 19% 38% 19% 7% 8% 6% 0% 34% 36% 22% 12% 15% -7% -9% 31% 37% 26% 9% 19% 4% -8% 19% 38% 25% 12% 0% -1% 3% 30% 25% 27% 18% 11% 3% 7% 29% 33% 21% 13% 10% 0% 7% 29% 38% 14% 14% 7% 0% 0% 30% 32% 14% 13% -16% -15% -12% 25% 17% 25% -1% -2% -4% 17% 27% 19% 15% 8% 12% 3% -5% 25% 37% 23% 10% 6% 0% 4% 30% 31% 19% 15% -1% -9% -2% 27% 19% 8% 6% Operating Expenses 9% 9% 12% 13% 12% 16% 16% 17% 22% 17% 14% 13% 8% 11% 15% 16% 7% PTOP Margin Pretax Margin Net Income ModelWare EPS -3% -2% -3% 2% 1% 4% 5% 10% 7% 8% 12% 17% 12% 14% 19% 24% 12% 12% 12% 16% 13% 10% 25% 30% 17% 17% 32% 40% 17% 12% 24% 33% 1% 0% 15% 25% 16% 17% 16% 27% 18% 15% 13% 23% 14% 15% 15% 25% -16% -15% -14% -10% 2% 4% 6% 11% 14% 13% 21% 28% 10% 10% 15% 25% 7% 7% 7% 16% 63% 10% 11% 11% 5% 62% 8% 11% 13% 6% 62% 7% 9% 14% 7% 60% 7% 9% 16% 8% 57% 6% 8% 20% 9% Sequential Growth (%) Revenue 67% -32% -14% 16% 68% -31% -13% 15% 54% -26% -14% 13% iPhone iPad Mac Services Other Products 93% 30% 26% 13% 70% -39% -30% -19% -2% -29% -25% 28% -4% 3% -5% 16% -3% 28% 17% 18% 113% 21% -4% 0% 70% -38% -30% -15% 8% -28% -21% 15% -9% 4% -5% 17% 6% 26% 5% 17% 82% 16% 5% 8% 54% -34% -30% -15% 8% -24% -24% 11% -9% 3% 0% 15% 9% 20% 6% 13% Gross Margin 69% -32% -15% 14% 70% -31% -13% 14% 54% -24% -12% 12% iPhone iPad Mac Services Other Products R&D SG&A 94% 36% 32% 16% 70% 12% 13% -38% -31% -21% -4% -28% -3% -6% -27% 30% 0% 6% -5% 6% 2% 12% -3% 28% 17% 17% 2% 1% 120% 24% -4% 0% 72% 14% 11% -40% -33% -19% 8% -29% -1% -2% -22% 15% -9% 4% -4% 10% -1% 17% 8% 29% 6% 18% 1% 4% 84% 18% 7% 9% 54% 16% 17% -34% -30% -15% 8% -24% -6% -6% -23% 11% -9% 4% 0% 3% 0% 15% 9% 20% 6% 13% 1% 3% Operating Expenses PTOP Margin Pretax Margin Net Income ModelWare EPS 13% -5% 3% 1% 12% -1% 4% 2% 16% -6% 1% 2% 99% 98% 98% 101% -40% -39% -38% -38% -24% -23% -21% -21% 22% 23% 23% 24% 100% 94% 87% 88% -40% -40% -31% -30% -21% -18% -17% -14% 22% 18% 15% 18% 73% 73% 73% 77% -31% -30% -30% -29% -19% -19% -19% -17% 18% 17% 17% 20% 69% 7% 9% 9% 5% 63% 7% 11% 13% 5% 55% 11% 12% 16% 6% 55% 9% 14% 16% 6% 70% 7% 8% 10% 6% 62% 7% 10% 15% 6% 56% 9% 10% 18% 7% 57% 8% 11% 16% 7% 67% 6% 8% 12% 7% 61% 6% 9% 17% 7% 54% 8% 9% 20% 9% 55% 7% 10% 19% 9% Revenue Mix iPhone iPad Mac Services Other Products Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research 12 Exhibit 11: Apple Balance Sheet ($ in millions) Dec-16 2017A Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 2018E Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 2019E Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 2016A 2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E Assets Current Assets: Cash and cash equivalents Short-term investments Accounts receivable Inventories Deferred tax assets Other current assets 16,371 229,719 14,057 2,712 5,546 20,565 15,157 241,684 11,579 2,910 5,546 14,854 18,571 242,945 12,399 3,146 5,546 15,025 20,289 248,606 17,874 4,855 5,546 26,189 27,491 257,606 23,440 4,421 5,546 33,250 45,059 222,167 14,324 7,662 5,546 14,581 31,971 211,772 14,104 5,936 5,546 19,205 24,573 211,772 19,236 6,145 5,546 25,631 34,513 211,772 26,089 7,738 5,546 28,909 66,267 161,772 18,988 4,613 5,546 17,451 60,118 161,772 15,489 3,484 5,546 19,205 50,936 161,772 21,842 3,511 5,546 25,631 20,484 217,101 15,754 2,132 5,546 16,282 20,289 248,606 17,874 4,855 5,546 26,189 24,573 211,772 19,236 6,145 5,546 25,631 50,936 161,772 21,842 3,511 5,546 25,631 82,195 111,772 22,117 3,607 5,546 28,434 288,970 291,730 297,632 323,359 351,754 309,339 288,534 292,904 314,568 274,637 265,614 269,238 277,299 323,359 292,904 269,238 253,671 Property, Plant & Equipment, net 26,510 Acquired Intangible Assets 8,271 Other assets 7,390 Non-current debt and equity investments- 27,163 8,090 7,549 - 29,286 8,105 10,150 - 33,783 8,015 10,162 - 33,679 8,038 13,323 - 35,077 8,687 14,399 - 38,117 8,484 14,062 - 38,413 8,496 14,227 - 39,079 8,510 13,989 - 40,145 8,524 15,119 - 41,107 8,540 14,765 - 42,666 8,556 14,938 - 27,010 8,620 8,757 - 33,783 8,015 10,162 - 38,413 8,496 14,227 - 42,666 8,556 14,938 - 46,682 8,628 15,685 - 42,171 331,141 42,802 334,532 47,541 345,173 51,960 375,319 55,040 406,794 58,163 367,502 60,663 349,197 61,137 354,040 61,579 376,146 63,789 338,426 64,412 330,027 66,160 335,397 44,387 321,686 51,960 375,319 61,137 354,040 66,160 335,397 70,995 324,666 Accounts payable Accrued expenses Current Debt Other current liabilities 38,510 31,628 13,992 - 28,573 30,778 13,991 - 31,915 30,912 18,475 - 49,049 33,292 18,473 - 62,985 34,325 18,478 - 34,311 34,531 20,478 - 38,489 32,587 17,472 - 47,113 37,566 17,472 - 66,420 39,061 17,472 - 38,748 34,868 17,472 - 41,035 33,258 17,472 - 49,593 36,914 17,472 - 37,294 30,107 11,605 - 49,049 33,292 18,473 - 47,113 37,566 17,472 - 49,593 36,914 17,472 - 51,853 39,832 17,472 - Total Current Liabilities Non-Current Liabilities 84,130 73,342 81,302 100,814 115,788 89,320 88,548 102,151 122,953 91,088 91,765 103,979 79,006 100,814 102,151 103,979 109,157 Long-term debt 73,557 Deferred revenue - non-current 3,163 Deferred tax liabilities 37,051 Other non-current liabilities 850 84,531 3,107 38,620 850 89,864 2,984 37,748 850 97,207 2,836 39,565 850 103,922 3,131 42,904 850 101,362 3,087 46,005 850 97,128 2,878 44,844 850 97,128 2,917 44,844 850 97,128 3,267 44,844 850 97,128 3,040 44,844 850 97,128 3,006 44,844 850 97,128 2,880 44,844 850 75,427 2,930 35,224 850 97,207 2,836 39,565 850 97,128 2,917 44,844 850 97,128 2,880 44,844 850 97,128 2,966 44,844 850 127,108 200,450 131,446 212,748 140,458 241,272 150,807 266,595 151,304 240,624 145,700 234,248 145,739 247,890 146,089 269,042 145,862 236,950 145,828 237,593 145,702 249,681 114,431 193,437 140,458 241,272 145,739 247,890 145,702 249,681 145,788 254,945 Total Current Assets Total Fixed Assets Total Assets Liabilities Current Liabilities: Total Non-Current Liabilities Total Liabilities Series A preferred stock 114,621 198,751 - Total Shareholder's Equity 132,390 Total Liabilities and Shareholder's 331,141 Equity 134,082 334,532 132,425 345,173 134,047 375,319 140,199 406,794 126,878 367,502 114,949 349,197 106,151 354,040 107,104 376,146 101,476 338,426 92,434 330,027 85,716 335,397 128,249 321,686 134,047 375,319 106,151 354,040 85,716 335,397 69,722 324,666 Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research 13 Exhibit 12: Apple Cash Flow Statement Dec-16 2017A Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 2018E Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 2019E Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 17,891 11,029 8,717 10,714 20,065 13,822 11,519 13,294 23,012 16,082 13,037 15,300 45,687 Cumulative effect of accounting change Adjustments to reconcile net income: Depreciation & Amortization 2,987 Stock based compensation expense 1,256 Provision for (benefit from) deferred income 1,452 taxes Gain on non-current investments, net Gain on short-term investments, net Unrealized loss on conv. securities Loss on sale of PP&E Non-cash restructuring In-Process R&D Tax benefit from ESO Changes in Operating Assets and Liabilities: Accounts receivable 1,697 Inventories (580) Other current assets (1,446) Other assets (375) Accounts payable 2,460 Deferred revenue 42 Accrued restructuring costs Other current liabilities 1,672 Deferred tax liabilities - 2,332 1,217 1,370 - 2,354 1,193 1,942 - 2,484 1,174 1,202 - 2,745 1,296 (33,737) - 2,739 1,348 (498) - 2,665 1,351 1,126 - - - - - - - 3,875 1,343 - 3,106 1,409 - 2,836 1,590 - 2,875 1,544 - 2,974 1,474 - 2,486 (198) 550 4,887 (9,322) (263) (1,565) - (802) (236) (2,333) (1,200) 1,650 (197) (2,725) - (5,474) (1,709) (2,089) (7,566) 14,830 (208) 2,298 - (5,570) 434 (197) (9,660) 14,588 791 37,538 - 9,093 (3,241) (856) 19,375 (27,808) (313) 1,469 - 233 1,693 988 (4,179) 2,081 (581) (2,408) - (5,132) (209) (6,426) (165) 8,624 39 4,979 - (6,853) (1,593) (3,278) 238 19,307 350 1,495 - 7,101 3,125 11,458 (1,130) (27,672) (227) (4,193) - 3,499 1,129 (1,754) 354 2,286 (33) (1,610) - ($ in millions) 2016A 2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E 48,351 58,700 67,431 72,193 - - - - 10,505 4,210 4,938 - 10,157 4,840 5,966 - 12,024 5,338 (33,109) - 11,791 6,016 - 13,950 5,824 - (6,353) (27) (6,426) (173) 8,559 (126) 3,656 - 1,095 217 (51) 1,090 1,791 (1,554) (2,104) - (2,093) (2,723) (5,318) (4,254) 9,618 (626) (320) - (1,376) (1,323) (6,491) 5,371 (2,515) (64) 41,578 - (2,605) 2,634 (711) 2,480 (37) (652) - (275) (96) (2,803) (747) 2,260 86 2,918 - 65,824 63,598 78,132 86,346 93,309 (142,428) (159,486) 21,258 31,775 90,536 94,564 (12,734) (12,451) (2,499) (344) (110) (504) (56,133) 46,290 41,614 119 (14,448) (557) (2,001) 50,000 514 (16,113) (504) - 50,000 592 (18,126) (504) - Cash Flow Statement (Non Cumulative) Operating activities: Net Income / (Loss) Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities 27,056 12,523 8,363 15,656 28,293 15,130 14,488 20,221 37,192 8,971 21,327 18,857 Investing activities: Purchase of short-term investments (54,272) Proceeds from maturities of short-term investments 6,525 Proceeds from sales of short-term investments32,166 Purchases of long-term investments Net Proceeds from sale of PP&E Purchase of PP&E (3,334) Cash paid for acquisition of technology (103) Proceeds from sale of ARM shares Other (104) (45,549) 5,904 28,288 (2,975) (90) 220 (23,960) 6,918 16,293 (2,277) (351) 197 (35,705) 12,428 17,817 (3,865) 200 (817) (41,272) 14,048 16,801 (2,810) (154) (203) (7,177) 17,836 22,141 (4,195) (151) 256 (7,684) 14,406 2,672 (3,267) (126) (2,054) 119 (4,176) (126) - 119 (3,779) (126) - 50,000 124 (3,914) (126) - 133 (3,860) (126) - 138 (4,560) (126) - Net cash used in investing activities (14,202) (3,180) (9,942) (13,590) 28,710 3,947 (4,184) (3,786) 46,084 (3,852) (4,548) (45,977) (46,446) 14,883 33,897 31,962 Financing activities: Proceeds from issuance of common stock 273 Excess tax benefits from stock-based compensation 178 47 Taxes paid related to net share settlement of equity (629) awards (159) Dividends and dividend equivalent rights paid (3,130) (3,004) Repurchase of common stock (10,851) (7,161) Increase (decrease) in long-term borrowings 10,975 Increase (decrease) in notes payable to banks 2,385 (506) (19,122) 1 309 (858) (3,365) (7,093) 10,750 (1,513) 281 93 (228) (3,270) (7,795) 6,937 (14) (1,038) (3,339) (10,095) 6,971 - 327 (152) (3,190) (22,756) (502) 1 1 (1,077) (3,653) (20,783) (6,000) (11) 95 (3,530) (20,000) - 86 (3,553) (20,000) - 80 (3,380) (20,000) - 75 (3,697) (20,000) - 71 (3,562) (20,000) - 495 407 (1,570) (12,150) (29,722) 22,454 (397) 555 627 (1,874) (12,769) (32,900) 28,662 352 423 (2,267) (13,712) (73,634) 469 (10) 312 (14,192) (80,000) - 309 (14,320) (80,000) - Net Cash used in Financing Activities (12,047) Increase/(decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents (4,113) 465 (1,214) (1,769) 3,414 (3,996) 1,718 (7,501) 7,202 (26,272) 17,568 (31,523) (13,088) (23,435) (7,398) (23,467) 9,940 (23,301) 31,754 (23,622) (6,148) (23,491) (9,183) (20,483) (636) (17,347) (195) (88,731) 4,284 (93,881) 26,363 (94,011) 31,259 Adjustments for restatements Cash and Cash Equivalents at Beginning of Period 20,484 16,371 15,157 18,571 20,289 27,491 45,059 31,971 24,573 34,513 66,267 60,118 21,120 20,484 20,289 24,573 50,936 Cash and Cash Equivalents at End of Period 16,371 15,157 18,571 20,289 27,491 45,059 31,971 24,573 34,513 66,267 60,118 50,936 20,484 20,289 24,573 50,936 82,195 Source: Company Data, Morgan Stanley Research 14 Disclosure Section The information and opinions in Morgan Stanley Research were prepared by Morgan Stanley & Co. 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For disclosure purposes only (in accordance with NASD and NYSE requirements), we include the category headings of Buy, Hold, and Sell alongside our ratings of Overweight, Equal-weight, Not-Rated and Underweight. Morgan Stanley does not assign ratings of Buy, Hold or Sell to the stocks we cover. Overweight, Equal-weight, Not-Rated and Underweight are not the equivalent of buy, hold, and sell but represent recommended relative weightings (see definitions below). To satisfy regulatory requirements, we correspond Overweight, our most positive stock rating, with a buy recommendation; we correspond Equal-weight and Not-Rated to hold and Underweight to sell recommendations, respectively. 15 COVERAGE UNIVERSE STOCK RATING CATEGORY Overweight/Buy Equal-weight/Hold Not-Rated/Hold Underweight/Sell TOTAL INVESTMENT BANKING CLIENTS (IBC) OTHER MATERIAL INVESTMENT SERVICES CLIENTS (MISC) COUNT % OF TOTAL COUNT % OF TOTAL IBC % OF RATING CATEGORY COUNT % OF TOTAL OTHER MISC 1156 1363 50 553 37% 44% 2% 18% 296 348 5 82 40% 48% 1% 11% 26% 26% 10% 15% 546 635 7 223 39% 45% 0% 16% 3,122 731 1411 Data include common stock and ADRs currently assigned ratings. Investment Banking Clients are companies from whom Morgan Stanley received investment banking compensation in the last 12 months. Due to rounding off of decimals, the percentages provided in the "% of total" column may not add up to exactly 100 percent. Analyst Stock Ratings Overweight (O). The stock's total return is expected to exceed the average total return of the analyst's industry (or industry team's) coverage universe, on a risk-adjusted basis, over the next 12-18 months. Equal-weight (E). The stock's total return is expected to be in line with the average total return of the analyst's industry (or industry team's) coverage universe, on a risk-adjusted basis, over the next 12-18 months. Not-Rated (NR). Currently the analyst does not have adequate conviction about the stock's total return relative to the average total return of the analyst's industry (or industry team's) coverage universe, on a risk-adjusted basis, over the next 12-18 months. Underweight (U). The stock's total return is expected to be below the average total return of the analyst's industry (or industry team's) coverage universe, on a risk-adjusted basis, over the next 12-18 months. Unless otherwise specified, the time frame for price targets included in Morgan Stanley Research is 12 to 18 months. Analyst Industry Views Attractive (A): The analyst expects the performance of his or her industry coverage universe over the next 12-18 months to be attractive vs. the relevant broad market benchmark, as indicated below. In-Line (I): The analyst expects the performance of his or her industry coverage universe over the next 12-18 months to be in line with the relevant broad market benchmark, as indicated below. Cautious (C): The analyst views the performance of his or her industry coverage universe over the next 12-18 months with caution vs. the relevant broad market benchmark, as indicated below. Benchmarks for each region are as follows: North America - S&P 500; Latin America - relevant MSCI country index or MSCI Latin America Index; Europe MSCI Europe; Japan - TOPIX; Asia - relevant MSCI country index or MSCI sub-regional index or MSCI AC Asia Pacific ex Japan Index. 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Morgan Stanley Research, or any portion thereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Morgan Stanley. INDUSTRY COVERAGE: IT Hardware COMPANY (TICKER) RATING (AS OF) PRICE* (09/12/2018) O (05/26/2009) E (08/06/2013) U (08/03/2017) O (01/23/2018) E (01/23/2018) O (02/18/2016) E (09/25/2011) E (01/23/2018) E (05/10/2017) E (05/18/2017) O (04/09/2018) E (08/27/2018) E (01/23/2018) ++ $221.07 $88.98 $32.51 $16.40 $24.60 $146.57 $28.28 $85.19 $51.48 $28.40 $49.47 $17.16 $39.60 $27.40 U (04/01/2018) E (01/07/2015) U (01/23/2018) $5.53 $68.45 $6.35 Katy L. Huberty, CFA Apple, Inc. (AAPL.O) CDW Corporation (CDW.O) Electronics for Imaging Inc (EFII.O) Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE.N) HP Inc. (HPQ.N) IBM (IBM.N) NCR Corp. (NCR.N) NetApp Inc (NTAP.O) Nutanix Inc (NTNX.O) Pure Storage Inc (PSTG.N) Seagate Technology (STX.O) Sonos Inc. (SONO.O) Teradata (TDC.N) Xerox Corp (XRX.N) Yuuji Anderson Fitbit Inc (FIT.N) Garmin Ltd (GRMN.O) GoPro Inc (GPRO.O) Stock Ratings are subject to change. Please see latest research for each company. * Historical prices are not split adjusted. © 2018 Morgan Stanley 19