KEYNESIAN THEORY OF EMPLOYMENT DR. REETA CHOUHAN Department of Economics St. Aloysius’ College (Autonomous), Jabalpur (M.P.) Reaccredited ‘A+’ Grade by NAAC : (CGPA:3.68/4.00) College with Potential for Excellence by UGC DST – FIST Supported & DBT - STAR College Introduction The theory of Keynes was against the belief that the market forces in capitalist economy adjust themselves to attain equilibrium. Keynes criticized classical economists and advocated his own employment theory. The Great Depression had proved that market forces cannot attain equilibrium themselves. The Keynes theory of employment was based on the view of the short run. He assumed that the factors of production remain unchanged while determining the level of employment. Therefore, according to Keynes, level of employment is dependent on national income and output. He advocated that if there is an increase in national income, there would be an increase in level of employment and vice versa. Assumptions of the Theory Short-period analysis. Perfect competition in the market. Closed economy. Macro-economic analysis that deals with aggregates. Operation of the law of diminishing returns or increasing costs. Neutrality of government. He assumes that labour has money illusion. Principle of Effective Demand The level of employment in the short run is dependent on the aggregate effective demand. An increase in the aggregate effective demand would increase the level of employment and vice-versa. A decline in total effective demand would lead to unemployment. Effective demand signifies the money spent on the consumption of goods and services and on investment. Therefore, effective demand is equal to total expenditure as well as national income and national output. Effective demand = National Income = National Output Therefore effective demand affects employment level of a country, national income, and national output. It declines due to the mismatch of income and consumption and this decline lead to unemployment. Therefore, the gap between the income and consumption rate should be reduced by increasing the number of investment opportunities. Consequently, effective demand also increases, which further helps in bringing full employment condition. Determination of Effective Demand Aggregate Demand Price Aggregate Supply Price Aggregate Demand Price The aggregate supply price is an amount of money which a producer expect from the sale of output at different levels of employment. The aggregate demand price represents the expected receipts when a given volume of employment is offered to workers. The essence of aggregate demand function is that the greater the number of workers employed, the larger the output. Thus the aggregate demand price increases as the amount of employment increases, and vice versa. Aggregate Supply Price The aggregate supply price is an amount of money which a producer must receive from the sale of output at varying level of employment. According to Dillard, the minimum price which will induce employment on a given scale, is called the ‘aggregate supply price’ of that amount of employment. If the output does not fetch sufficient price so as to cover the cost, the entrepreneurs will employ less number of workers. Therefore, different numbers of workers will be employed at different supply prices. Difference Between the Aggregate Supply Price and Aggregate Demand Price In aggregate supply price, organizations should receive money from the sale of output produced by, while in aggregate demand price the amount of money may or may not be received employing a specific number of workers. However, in aggregate demand price, organizations expect to receive from the sale of output produced by a specific number of workers. Therefore, in aggregate supply price, the amount of money is the necessary amount that should be received by the organization. Determination of Equilibrium Level of Employment The equilibrium level of employment is ON2, as at this point the AD curve intersects the AS curve or the AD is just equal to AS. The amount of proceeds, i.e., OM which entrepreneurs expect to receive from providing ON2 number of jobs is just equal to the amount i.e. OM which they must receive if the employment of that number of workers is to be worthwhile for the entrepreneurs. Beyond the N2, the AD curve lies below AS curve, which means that the amount expected by the entrepreneurs is less that the amount they considered necessary to receive. Therefore, the number of persons employed will be reduced in the economy. The slope of AS curve, at first rises slowly and then after a point it rises sharply. It means that at beginning as more and more men are employed, the cost of output rises slowly. But as the amount received by the entrepreneurs increases they employ more and more men. As soon as the entrepreneurs start getting OT amount, they will be prepared to employ all of the workers. It is not necessary that the equilibrium level of employment is always at full employment level. It can be in equilibrium at less that full employment or an underemployment equilibrium. Actually there is always some unemployment in the economy, even in economically advanced countries. According to Keynes, full employment is the level of employment beyond which further increases in effective demand do not increase output and employment. At the point of intersection of AS and AD, the entrepreneurs are maximising their profits. The profit will be reduced if volume of employment is more or less that this point. Even if the point does not represent full employment. In this situation, the economy has not yet reached the full employment level, and there are still NN’ number of workers unemployed in the economy. If the favorable circumstances push the economy and the AD increases so much that the entrepreneurs now find it worthwhile to employ ON’ men at the equilibrium point E’, where the economy is in full employment level. The root cause of the underemployment equilibrium is the deficiency of AD. This deficiency is due to the gap between income and consumption. As income increases consumption increases but not proportionately. If the investment is increased sufficiently to cover this gap, there can be full employment. Hence the gap between income and consumption and insufficiency of investment to this gap are responsible for under-employment equilibrium. Two Important Points i) The equilibrium level of employment does not necessarily indicate a full-employment equilibrium. There exists NN1 amount of unemployment at E point of effective demand. Keynes’ main contribution is the demonstration that less- thanfull employment equilibrium is possible and, in a capitalist economy, this is normal situation. i) Aggregate supply function cannot be manipulated and thus is not of much practical significance. In order to attain full-employment level of ON1 aggregate demand must be raised from AD curve to AD1 curve. Criticisms of Keynesian Theory It does not provide a comprehensive treatment of unemployment. There exists no direct and determinable relationship between effective demand and volume of employment. It assumes perfect competition which is not a very realistic assumption. It deals with short-run phenomenon, no attention in the long-run problems. Keynesian economics is static in nature. This theory is purely macro-economic theory which deals with aggregates. This analysis does not take into account the impact of international trade. It pays little attention to deal with the inflationary situation. This theory fails to deal socialist economic system. Keynesian theory is not applicable in underdeveloped countries. Keynes suggested expansion of aggregate demand and discouragement to savings. Conclusion In short, the Keynesian theory is not general; it is not applicable in all places and at all times. As Harris has remarked“Those who seek universal truths, applicable in all places at all times had better not waste their time on the General Theory.” THANK YOU