Collins Cambridge AS and A Level Geography Barnaby Lenon lain Palöt Robert Morris Rebecca Kitchen Andy Schindler William Collins’s dream of knowledge for all began with the publication of his first book in 1819. A self­ educated mill worker, he not only enriched millions of lives, but also founded a flourishing publishing house. Today, staying true to this spirit, Collins books are packed with inspiration, innovation and practical expertise. They place you at the centre of a world of possibility and give you exactly what you need to explore it. Collins. Freedom to teach. Published by Collins An imprint of HarperCollins Publishers 1 London Bridge Street London SEı 9GF HarperCollins Publishers 1 st Floor Watermarque Building Ringsend Road Dublin 4 Ireland Browse the complete Collins catalogue at www.collins.co.uk © HarperCollinsPublishers Limited 2016 Published 2016 ISBN 978-0-00-812422-9 10 9 8 7 All rights reserved. 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Cover image: Dead Sea sinkholes © Photostock-lsrael/Science Photo Library Contents Introduction How to use this book Locations of case studies used in the book i: Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology 5 6 7 r 8-37 The drainage basin system Discharge relationships within drainage bas ins River channel processes and landforms The human impact 10-15 15-20 20-29 29-37 2: Atmosphere;and weathei• 38-59 Diurnal energy budgets The global energy budget Weather processes and phenomena The human impact 40-41 41-48 48-52 52-59 r Plate tectonics Weathering Slope processes The human impact 60-85 62-68 68-74 74-79 79-85 86-107 f Natural increase: as a component of population change Demographic tr ansition Population-reso urce relationships The managemeint of natural increase 88-96 96-98 98-106 106-107 Migration as a c:omponent of population change Internal migrati on (within a country) International miigration The managemeint of international migration 108-129 110-119 119-124 124-129 114-115 130-155 Changes in rural settlement:s Urban trends and issues of urbanisation The changing structure of u rban settlements The management of urban :settlements f Tropical climates Landforms of tropical envirtanments Humid tropical ecosystems and seasonally humid tropical ecosystems Sustainable management oiFtrdpical environments F Coastal processes Characteristics and formatican of coastal landforms 132-137 137-147 147-153 153-155 156-177 158-162 162-166 166-173 173-177 178-205 180-187 187-197 Contents 1 J Coral reefs Sustainable management of coasts 197-201 201-205 9: Hazardous environments 206-231 Hazards resulting from tectonic processes Hazards resulting from mass movements Hazards resulting from atmospheric disturbances Sustainable management in hazardous environments 208-215 215-219 219-225 225-231 10: Hot arid and semi-arid environments 232-255 Hot arid and semi-arid climates Landforms of hot arid and semi-arid environments Soils and vegetation Sustainable management of hot arid and semi-arid environments 235-242 242-250 250-254 254-255 11: Production, location and change 256-281 Agricultural systems and food production The management of agricultural change Manufacturing and related service industry The management of change in manufacturing industry 258-268 268-271 271-278 278-281 12: Environmental management 282-307 Sustainable energy supplies The management of energy supply Environmental degradation The management of a degraded environment 284-291 291-295 295-302 302-307 13: Global interdependence 308-337 Trade flows and trading patterns International debt and international aid The development of international tourism The management of a tourist destination 310-318 318-324 324-334 334-337 14: Economic transition 338-367 National development The globalisation of economic activity Regional development within countries The management of regional development 340-351 351-359 359-362 362-367 15: Geographical skills 368-384 Diagrams and graphs Maps Satellite images and aerial photographs Data types 370-373 373-380 380-380 380-384 Glossary Index Acknowldegements Key concepts 385-399 400—416 417-418 419 0 Introduction Collins Cambridge International A and AS Level Geography Student Book, written by a team of experienced geography teachers, is fully matched to the Cambridge A and AS Level Geography syllabus (9696). The book covers all the core syllabus topics, as well as the physical and human geography options. The aim of the book is to help the student obtain the knowledge, understanding and skills to succeed in their geographical studies. Content is accessible and clearly organised, with a student-friendly layout. Content coverage is suitable for the whole range of abilities. Illustrated throughout, it contains a wealth of maps, photographs, graphs, diagrams and info-graphics to support the geographical content. Case studies and locational examples are included to help provide context and real-life meaning. As well as supporting studies at A Level and helping students to fulfil their potential in the subject, it is to be hoped that they gain an awareness of some of the wider issues related to specific topics. The understanding of current human and environmental problems, the processes at work that create them and their possible solutions form the basis of geographical study. In order to do this effectively, students need to be reading widely and developing their own local case studies to supplement the examples given in the book. Another important aspect of geographical study at this level is learning about the complexity of many of the topics, namely the inter-relationships between human and physical processes, the concepts of space and time and the impact they have on change within both the physical and human landscape. The development of a range of geographical skills also underpins A Level Geography and the value of geography as a subject in today’s world. By undertaking fieldwork, students collect both primary and secondary data to research an issue, then present and interpret the data using a range of illustrative and statistical techniques. Finally, they analyse that data to reach a conclusion about the issue under investigation before critically evaluating the methodology they used. All these techniques are valuable transferable skills to take into higher education and/or the workplace. How to use this book Sections of the book This Student Book covers all the content in the Cambridge International AS and A Level Geography syllabus. It follows the sequence of the syllabus and is divided into several sections. Section i is colour codedEB0and matches the first three themes of the syllabus - hydrology and fluvial geomorphology; atmosphere and weather; and rocks and weathering. This section covers all topics included in Paper i - Core Physical Geography. Section 2 is colour coded El and matches the next three themes of the syllabus - population; migration; and settlement dynamics. This section covers all topics included in Paper 2 - Core Human Geography. Section 3 is colour coded green and matches the next four themes of the syllabus - tropical environments; coastal environments; hazardous environments; and hot arid and semi-arid environments. This section covers all topics included in Paper 3 - Advanced Physical Geography Options. Section 4 is colour coded brown and matches the last four themes of the syllabus - production, location and change; environmental management; global interdependence; and economic transition. This section covers all topics included in Paper 4 - Advanced Human Geography Options. Topics within each section follow the order of content within the syllabus. Case studies Case studies in every topic focus on particular locations around the world, providing real-life examples and consolidating the themes being discussed. These different locations are shown on the world map on the page opposite. Now investigate Each chapter also has suggestions of further topics for research, to expand your knowledge and understanding. Geographical skills The last section, colour coded purple is an illustration and explanation of the many different types of data that geographers collect, process and analyse. Many examples of how data can be presented visually are illustrated in this section. Glossary The key terms are highlighted in the text like this, and are explained in the glossary. These are words and phrases which have specific meanings in Geography- check out the meaning of geographical vocabulary that you come across. 0 Locations of case studies used in the book 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Inter-basin water transfer: The Aral Sea: Kazakhstan/Uzbekistan Harnessing the River Harbourne: UK Urban climate in Chicago: USA Nevado del Ruiz volcano: Colombia Aberfan mudflow: UK Population growth: China Inadequate food supply: Yemen One-child policy: China Seasonal migration to Goa: India Push and pull factors: Turkey Deadly migration routes: Mediterranean Sea Urbanisation: Fiji Rural economy, Hilmarton: UK Mwandama: Rural issues: Malawi Suburbanisation: Los Angeles and Tyson’s Corner: USA Melbourne Docklands: Australia Slum housing, Mtandire: Malawi City transport infrastructure, Bogota: Colombia Tropical rainforest ecosystem: Papua New Guinea Savanna ecosystem, Queensland: Australia 32 35-37 55-58 77-78 82 89-90 105 106-107 111 112 114-115 121-122 135 136-137 140-141 144 153-154 155 173-175 175-177 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Coastal erosion at Wamberal Beach: Australia The Columbia River littoral cell: USA Sand dredging at Diani Beach: Kenya Tourism and coral reef management issues: East Timor Managing the effects of earthquakes: Japan Sustainable management of volcanic hazards: Montserrat Sustainable management of areas of mass movement:Malaysia Sustainable management of arid and semi-arid environments, Rajasthan: India The Mojave desert: an arid area in a HIC: USA Beef rearing, an extensive pastoral system: Australia Market gardening, an intensive arable system: UK The management of industrial change: Bangladesh Electrical energy strategy: China The Three Gorges Dam: China Darfur: Sudan FairTrade coffee: Vietnam The Butler Model, Majorca: Spain Ecotourism in the Galapagos Islands: Ecuador A Transnational Corporation-Toyota The management of development: Morocco 185 186-187 203 204-205 227 228-230 230-231 254 254-255 263-264 264-265 278-281 291-293 294-295 302-307 317 332 334-337 356 362-367 Drainage basins are areas of land where surface water converges and joins another waterbody such as a sea or ocean. Over 47% of the world’s land drains into the Atlantic Ocean, 13% into the Pacific Ocean, 17% into the Arctic Ocean and 13% into the Indian Ocean. Endorheic basins do not drain into an ocean. These are closed basins where water converges on one point inside a basin known as a sink. Ob’-Irtysh basin 2 990 000 sq km Karskoye Finlay basin Arctic Ocean 1 1 114 000 sq km © Indus basin 1 166 000 sq km Zambezi basin 1 330 000 sq km Ganges-Brahmaputra basin 1 621 000 sq km Hydrology and fluvial geomorphol Lena-Kirenga basin 2 490 000 sq km Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology Amongst the hillslopes and valleys of Earth, water has played a clear part in shaping the landscape. This chapter will look at the hydrological cycle and its interactions between the atmosphere, lithosphere (geological world) and biosphere (living world). The drainage basin system The drainage basin system is a complex system that is governed largely by the impact of hydrological conditions interacting with geology over time. It is an area of land surrounding a principal waterway and its tributaries on a local scale. The boundary of a drainage basin is known as the watershed and is simply the highest contour of land surrounding a river or stream. Factors such as climate, vegetation, soil structure and land use may influence the character and geomorphological development of a drainage basin resulting in wide and varied spatial differences. Drainage basins can vary in size from the most extreme example; the Amazon basin, which covers 40 per cent of South America - nearly 7 000 000 sq km and contains over 1100 tributaries, to the micro-scale that may contain just one figure figure 0 i.i A small tributary river of the upper Amazon Basin. river or stream. 1.2 The major waterways of the Amazon Basin stretching across the northern part of South America. Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology figure 1.3 The forested banks of the Amazon River. Drainage patterns The pattern of streams and rivers within a catchment can vary greatly. Often there are similar characteristics based on the underlying geology and structure of the drainage basin. Here are four common types: • • • • Dendritic Dendritic - a tree-like pattern where water may converge (meet) from a variety of directions before joining a main river channel. Rectangular-where the streams and channels follow geological weaknesses and gaps in blocky bedrock. Radial-where water drains away from a central high point, hill or mountain into separate channels. Trellised - where streams follow slopes downhill and converge along areas of eroded rock. Rectangular Endorheic drainage basins Endorheic drainage basins are inland basins that do not drain to an ocean. Instead their base level is an inland lake or sea. Around 18 per cent of all land drains to endorheic lakes or seas or sinks. The largest of these consists of much of the interior of Asia, which drains into the Caspian Sea, the Aral Sea and numerous smaller lakes. The drainage basin is known as an open system as water is not confined to a specific location and can move from one state to the next at any given time. The different stages are explored in Figure 1.5 in a simplified systems diagram. Trellised figure 1.4 Drainage basin morphology Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology *** ** storage in figure 1.5 The hydrological cycle Inputs Drainage basins principally have one main input- precipitation (ppt), which includes all forms of rainfall, snow, frost, hail and dew. Water is then stored or transferred in the system for an indeterminate amount of time before its eventual output in the form of evaporation (EVP), evapotranspiration (EVT) and runoff. Precipitation refers to the conversion and transfer of moisture from the atmosphere to the land. Precipitation can be very variable and several factors may impact the hydrology of an area: amount and extent of precipitation, intensity, type, duration and geographical distribution. Storage Storage refers to the parts of the system that hold or retain water for periods of time. They can be open stores on the surface of the land, within vegetation or hidden deep within the rock structure. The amount of time that water is stored for is dependent on the processes acting on it. Interception refers to water that is caught and stored by vegetation. It is affected largely by the size and coverage of plants, with large broadleaved trees catching the most water (in summer). Intercepted water may still transfer through the system using three main mechanisms: • • • interception loss - water retained by plants and later lost as evaporation throughfall and leaf drip-water that is slowed by running off and dropping from leaves, twigs and stems stemflow-water that runs down branches and trunk to the ground. Urban areas and areas that have been cleared for cultivation have much lower rates of interception. Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology input precipitation I output interception transfer I store stemflow/ leaf drip I surface storage surface runoff (overland flow) I infiltration I soil moisture storage storage th roughflow -*■ channel storage -► channel flow I variable level percolation I water table figure groundwater storage groundwater/ base flow river discharge 1.6 Systems diagram - inputs, transfers, stores and outputs When vegetation absorbs moisture directly through its root system it becomes stored within the organism/plant and is called vegetation storage. The amount of water stored relates to the size and variety of plant and the local conditions at any given time. A large leafy and ‘thirsty’ plant will require more than a well-watered shrub. Surface storage is the name given to any parts of the system where water lies above the ground on the Earth’s surface. Within a drainage basin water may naturally accumulate in lakes, ponds and puddles or through human intervention whereby engineering creates structures to contain water such as reservoirs and swimming pools. Surface stores have a high potential evapotranspiration rate as there is a large amount of moisture available with limited cover. Channel storage refers to water that is contained within a river channel or stream at any given time. Groundwater storage refers to water that has become stored in the pores and spaces of underlying rocks. Despite being hidden, this water is fundamentally important to the hydrological system accounting for almost 97 per cent of all freshwater on Earth. Although a significant part of the hydrological cycle, water contained here may be stored for 20 000 years. Any large quantities of water are contained in aquifers. An aquifer is an underground layer of water-bearing permeable rock or unconsolidated materials (gravel, sand, or silt) that can be found at any depth. Those nearest the surface are often used for water supply and irrigation. Areas that suffer from a large extraction of groundwater through wells and pumps require good recharge rates (where water stores naturally fill back up). Those areas with little recharge consider groundwater to be a non-renewable resource. Many groundwater reserves are being used at an unsustainable rate too. Groundwater recharge occurs as a result of percolation, infiltration from precipitation, leakage and seepage from the banks and beds of water bodies as well as artificial recharge through from reservoirs and irrigation. In 2013 large freshwater aquifers were discovered under continental shelves off Australia, China, North America and South Africa. They contain an estimated halfa million cubic kilometres of low salinity water that could be economically processed into potable (drinkable) water. Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology Transfers Overland flow is the movement of water over the land, downslope to a body of water. It has two main mechanisms. Where precipitation exceeds the infiltration capacity accumulated water will flow downslope due to the effects of gravity. An alternative mechanism occurs when the soil saturation exceeds its maximum capacity due to groundwater uplifting, base flow, and lateral subsurface water discharges, resulting in the appearance of saturation excess overland flow. Channel flow is the movement of water within a defined channel such as a stream or river. The speed and flow of the water will depend on a variety of factors such as gradient and efficiency; these are considered in more detail in river channel processes and landforms (pages 20-29). Base flow is considered to be the lowest flow within a channel, often occurring due to a lack of precipitation leaving only the influence of water trapped in rocks and soil. It is maintained by groundwater seeping into the bed of a river. The channel is topped up by precipitation events and the arrival of water through other mechanisms such as throughflow, overland flow etc. It is relatively constant but increases following wet conditions. Throughflow refers to the movement of water through the soil substrata. As the soil type of an area is closely linked to the underlying bedrock flow rates through different soil profiles can be varied. Clay-rich soils are known for their water retention whereas sandy loams are characteristically free draining. The influence of land use also plays a part as it can influence soil density and aeration (page 19). Ground water flow is subsurface water (lies underthe surface of the ground) that travels downwards from the soil and into the bedrock through cracks and pores. This process is called percolation. Differing rock types and structures will affect the flow of water into underlying layers, with porous sedimentary/carboniferous rocks such as chalk and limestone being the most effective carriers of water. The layers of rock that become saturated form the phreatic zone (Figure 1.7 (a)) in which the uppermost layer is known as the water table. Where there is a small area of underlying impermeable substrata (aquiclude), water may be held higher up the basin profile as a perched water table (Figure 1.7 (b)). Water that cannot pass through the rock layers will emerge as a spring. Outputs Evaporation is the process by which water is converted to water vapour in the atmosphere. This is most significant where there are large bodies of water such as the oceans and seas and on a local scale - rivers and lakes. Rates of evaporation are dependent on climatic variables such as temperature, humidity and wind speed. Other factors include the Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology amount of water available, vegetation cover, and albedo (reflectivity of the surface). Evaporation rates change throughout the day and with seasonality. Transpiration is the process of evaporation of water from plants through pores (stomata) in their leaves. Broadleaved trees, such as beech, can hold more water and so have greater potential for high transpiration rates. Some species of plant, such as the saguaro cacti, are specially adapted to retain moisture by reducing their rates of transpiration. Evapotranspiration is the combined effect of evaporation and transpiration and represents the major output from the drainage basin system. In humid areas 75 per cent of moisture may be lost in this way and up to 100 per cent in arid areas. River discharge is a measure of the volume of water moving in a river. It can also be used to describe the output of river water from a drainage basin. At its lowest point a river will discharge into an ocean. Although a river cannot change catchments its drainage basin may be part of a larger complex system that links a number of drainage basins. In some cases water may escape from the system by other means not highlighted by Figure 1.6. Some examples may include when geology at lower levels may cause leakage allowing water to seep from one drainage basin to the next; human water management initiatives may also modify the system by creating reservoirs and dams affecting channel flow, by abstracting water for irrigation, domestic and industrial use or through cross-basin transfers to aid water shortages in adjacent areas. Discharge relationships within drainage basins River discharge A river operates as a main conduit for water within a drainage basin. It is essentially the equivalent route for water, as motorways are for cars, offering the most efficient route for transportation. Precipitated water has a direct influence on the level of water in the river. The quicker the response the greater the influence on the existing flow. Additional water in the form of precipitation will raise the water level above its base level. As water enters the river the river level will rise. After a period with little or no water, river levels will fall. The volume of water moving past a point in a river per given time (usually cubic metres per second/litres per second) is called the discharge. Discharge can be calculated as: Q = AxV Where: Q = discharge, A = cross-sectional area, V = velocity The level of discharge is influenced by the rate of precipitation and the speed at which water is transferred to the river. Variations in discharge A river’s flow is inherently influenced by the characteristics of the area and the prevalent weather conditions acting on it. Different conditions in differing locations may produce very different discharges over the course of a year. This annual variation is known as its river regime. Using data from Sauquet et al. (2008), we can see the huge range in variation both over the year and from region to region throughout France. Rivers of similar characteristics have been categorised into twelve colour-coded types. From the data we can see there are some common trends. For example there is a decrease in summer runoff, with the exception of mountainous rivers to the south and east (see Figure 1.8 (a) and 1.8 (b)). Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology River groups figure 1.8 (a) Drainage patterns in France. The map shows the drainage basins colour coded to their respective graphs on the facing page. Storm hydrographs Hydrographs enable us to look at the relationship between rainfall and discharge after each rainfall event as river levels top up and subsequently drop over time. The response of a catchment to a rainfall event may be rapid or gradual depending on many factors (outlined below). The shape of the hydrograph may reflect the speed at which the water has travelled and the obstacles and stores in its way. Hydrographs are particularly important for identifying the potential risk of flooding to an area. There are several key features to any hydrograph. They represent the various stages to the graph and help to identify the nature of the discharge. Most hydrographs show time or duration on the x-axis followed by two scales on the ji-axis- one for the rainfall/precipitation and one for discharge. Be sure to identify which is which. J Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology Group 9 Group 5 Group 1 0.25 0.20 Group 7 0.251--------------------------------- Group 8 0.251--------------------------------- 0.20 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1.8(b) Drainage patterns in France. The graphs show monthly variation in discharge for selected streams throughout France. ra in fe ll (m m ) figure figure 1.9 Hydrographs showing low peak discharge and storm discharge. Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology 0 Base flow/groundwater flow-this is the ‘normal’ level of water in the channel determined by the groundwater flow prior to a rainfall event. Lag time-this is the period between the peak precipitation and the peak discharge. Peak flow/discharge - this is the maximum river discharge for any given event measured in cubic metres per second m3s‘(cumecs). Rising limb-this is the part of the graph that initially rises, indicating the increasing level of water as determined by the combined rate of surface runoff, throughflow and groundwater flow following a precipitation event. Storm flow-this is the additional discharge created as a result of a precipitation event. Falling limb/recession - this is the part of the graph that shows the discharge decreasing and river levels falling back towards base level. As the rain falls within the catchment it takes a variety of routes before some of it enters the river (see Figure 1.5). As that water joins the river the volume of water increases, thus increasing the discharge. Water that rapidly flows into a river will have a more rapid rise in discharge. Water that travels slowly to the river will have a more gradual effect on the level of discharge. Catchment hydrology Catchment hydrology refers to the movement, distribution and quality of water within a drainage basin. Whilst drainage basins vary in form there are common principles that will shape the response of the area to any given event. Infiltration rate Infiltration is the flow of water (precipitation, irrigation) through the soil surface into a porous medium under gravity action and pressure effects. The maximum rate of infiltration for an event is the infiltration capacity. Several factors control the rate of infiltration within the catchment/drainage basin. The morphology of the drainage basin affects discharge in a number of ways. The larger the drainage basin the greater potential discharge but longer lag time as precipitation is caught over a wider area. Roughly circular shaped basins are more likely to result in a ‘flashy’ rapid response as precipitated water is more likely to reach the river at the same time having travelled an equal distance. Steeper drainage basins will have a short lag time as the influence of gravity will increase the rate of flow to the river. Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology Types of precipitation Flooding most frequently occurs after prolonged periods of rainfall when soil stores are full and there is less drainage possible. The conditions preceding a rainfall event can be referred to as antecedent conditions. During cold conditions, water may be temporarily stored as snow or ice. This means there is less water circulating through the system. It also means that there may be a sudden release of water during times of thaw. Annual flooding in Bangladesh is largely attributed to the combined effects of monsoonal rain and seasonal snow-melt from the Himalayas to the north. There has been much speculation on the effects of climate change. Though storms are not necessarily increasing in frequency, there does seem to be a correlation with an increasing intensity. Intense storms are more likely to cause floods as the ground is unable to absorb high quantities of water in a limited amount of time. Relief The size and shape of the land affects the rate at which water can flow down it. Slopes with an angle of less than 50 will have significantly greater rates of infiltration. The greater the gradient, the greater the rate of surface runoff as there is less opportunity for infiltration. Higher in the catchment, rivers may cut steep incised valleys acting under the influence of gravity (as they seek to reach the lowest point). As they travel downstream this influence is lessened and rivers erode laterally creating flat, wide floodplains. Parent material The parent material refers to the underlying geology of an area and the origins of the formed soil. The characteristics of the geology will determine the permeability and ultimately how well the ground will drain. Rock type Rocks can be classified into three types based on their formation. Sedimentary rocks are formed through the deposition of sediment and the subsequent compression as additional layers are deposited above. They often are porous (with air spaces), such as sandstone, or pervious (with cracks and bedding planes), such as limestone. This means that water can pass through sedimentary rocks. Rocks that allow water to pass through them are termed permeable. Metamorphic rocks are sediments and rocks that have been transformed by heat and pressure. The permeability of metamorphic rocks will depend on the nature of the transformation. Igneous rocks are formed by extreme heat and pressure in magmatic environments and are more simply referred to as volcanic rocks. Examples include basalt, usually formed in ocean environments, and granite, more commonly found on land. Rocks such as these do not let water pass through them and are called impermeable. Soil type, structure and density Soil is composed of rock fragments, organic matter, water, air, organic material and organisms in varying proportions. The greater the clay content, the more water retentive the soil is as clay particles bond together tightly restricting the flow of water. A sandy soil is free draining as the larger sand particles provide gaps and spaces for water to pass through. Most soils contain a mix but soils become saturated easily when there are greater proportions of clay. Compare the waves draining on a beach to boggy areas surrounding a river, for example. Often floodplains contain a lot of small particles deposited by floods known as alluvium. Beaches are almost exclusively sand. Drainage density The drainage density refers to the number of rivers and streams in an area. The greater the number of rivers, the more easily the catchment will be able to drain. This may produce a quick rise in the hydrograph and a greater probability of flooding. Antecedent conditions These relate to the previous conditions that have affected an area such as precipitation rates. An area that has experienced a high amount of precipitation may have partially or fully saturated soil, increasing the rate of surface runoff. Dry conditions would allow for greater water storage but too dry may mean the ground has a baked impermeable crust, which makes infiltration difficult. In this scenario water may run off the land creating a flashy response hydrograph. Land use The land use of an area may be hugely influential in determining catchment response. ‘Land use’ simply refers to how the land is used or managed. Urbanisation Settlements are often heavily concreted spaces very different to those on open moorland or arable farms. World urban populations are growing, resulting in greater urbanisation and an increase in the risk of flooding. Water cannot infiltrate through tarmac and concrete and, combined with gutters and drains that channel and direct runoff, water can be carried at great speed to the nearest waterways. Often runoff from roads and urban landscapes contains pollutants and waste that are unnatural to a river environment and this causes damage to the freshwater ecosystem. figure i.io These diagrams show the relationship between drainage density and discharge. Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology Vegetation Vegetated areas have a greater capacity to intercept precipitation and absorb soil moisture. The type, nature and extent of vegetation will determine its ability to retain moisture. Estimates suggest that tropical rainforests intercept up to 80 per cent of rainfall (30 per cent of which may later evaporate) whereas arable land may only intercept 10 per cent. In the United Kingdom, large broadleaved deciduous trees have a larger biomass and expansive canopy in the summer months leading to greater interception rates than in winter where intake is greatly reduced due to the loss of leaves in autumn months. Deforestation is an activity widely associated with flooding. The removal of vegetation whether for the clearance of land for development or harvesting of a cash crop often has negative consequences and widespread implications on a river regime. Flows can be considerably faster. In addition, the stability of soil profiles can be compromised by logging trails and disturbed ground with further areas vulnerable to erosion by the fast flowing surface flows. The resultant runoff is often heavily silted, which makes rivers thick and dirty with sediment. Areas heavily reliant on rivers for washing and drinking are the first to suffer. Tides and storm surges The daily rise and fall of the tides affects the relative base level to which a river flows. High spring tides may prevent water from discharging into the sea, increasing the potential for flooding. Low pressure systems such as depressions and tropical storms reduce the amount of air pressure acting on sea level leading to a slight rise in water level at these times. This coupled with strong winds create further pressure on low-lying coastal areas. Storm surges occur when strong wind conditions affect a coastline, forcing waves landward and inland through estuaries. River channel processes and landforms The long profile The long profile is the name given to the gradient of a river from the start of the river (source) to its mouth. Rivers always work under the influence of gravity, cutting a path downhill through the landscape. The higher up a river’s MIDDLE COURSE UPPER COURSE LOWER COURSE cross profiles Vertical erosion Channel is deeper and characteristics with hydraulic wider and processes action, abrasion and Vertical erosion Deposition more important attrition dominant decreasing in than erosion processes importance, more lateral erosion and Fine material deposited Traction and saltation at high 500 - 400 - deposition flow Suspension is the Load size is large main transportation and angular type V-shaped valleys Channel is at its widest and deepest, and may be tidal Large amount of load but the size is very small and very rounded Load becomes smaller and less angular 300 - o 200 100 - ÖD 'Ö Long profile is the change in gradient with distance. It starts off steep but reduces with distance from source, and has a concave profile sea or ocean 0-1 -100 Source figure 1 Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology Increasing distance downstream 1.11 Long and cross profiles on a typical river. Mouth source is, the higher the gravitational potential. As a result the upper reaches of a river are often steep with deeply incised valleys: the result of vertical erosion. In the lower reaches however, as the gravitational pull is lessened, rivers tend to expel their energy by eroding laterally across the landscape. A graded profile shows an idealised view of a river’s change in altitude that is in equilibrium, starting steeply and becoming ever more flattened. In reality changes in the underlying geology and human influences (such as dams) may distort this idealised view. As water flows downhill under gravity it seeks the path of least resistance. In the higher reaches the river has greater potential energy but channels are often rough and poorly formed. Further downstream channels become wider, deeper and more efficient as more water joins from tributaries and is able to shape a smoother route. The upper course The upper course is a high-energy environment that experiences a high level of erosion and turbulent flow. The source of the river can often be found in boggy upland areas with no distinct channel or form. As water accumulates it starts to carve out shallow paths in the soil and vegetation before descending more rapidly under the influence of gravity. At altitude the combined processes of weathering and fluvial erosion contribute to the high level of bedload (sediments that lie on the riverbed) and large angular material including frost shattered boulders and scree. Partly as a result of the large material, traction (the largest stones, boulders and cobbles rolled along the riverbed by strong turbulent flow) and saltation (a transportational process where smaller bedload such as pebbles bounce along the riverbed) are common. figure 1.12 Characteristic turbulent flow of the upper course, showing large rock debris. figure 1.13 A sweeping curve of the middle course. Rivers become more sinuous as they have more energy to expel downstream. The middle course The middle course is a longer section of river characterised by a decreasing gradient and greater lateral erosion. As a result the valley sides are less incised than the upper reaches and the river starts to become more sinuous (winding). The river itself here becomes more established with a greater number of tributaries bringing additional water. There is a high proportion of suspended load and bedload is smaller and less angular than upstream. The lower course The lower course is the low-lying portion of the river that joins with the sea. It is characterised by wide flat sweeping floodplains and large meander bends. It is the depositional zone of the river, featuring small rounded stones that have been worked on by fluvial action and erosion. There is a high proportion of suspended material in the low profile. figure 1.14 The lower course where the river joins the sea at the depositional zone. Flow A river’s function is to transport water to the lowest point of its catchment. In doing so the water interacts with the landscape, channel and underlying geology. The flow of the river is the manner in which the water travels. There are three types of flow: • • Laminar flow is characterised by a smooth horizontal motion often too simplistic for complex natural river environments that have many changes, steps and gradients. A laminar-style flow may be found in carefully managed channellised sections on a relatively small scale where there are few additional influences. Turbulent flow is characterised by a series of erratic horizontal and vertical spiral flows (known as eddies) that disturb the smooth appearance of the water. Turbulent flow is the dominant method of flow in a river figure 1.15 Turbulent glacial water in Norway. Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology environment. The amount of turbulence varies depending on the velocity of the flow as well as the influence of friction and the energy available. The greater the velocity, the greater the amount of spare energy after friction and so the greater the turbulence. • Helicoidal flow is a corkscrew-like flow that is mainly found as water travels around river bends. It is associated with meanders and the formation of sediment bars and slip-off slopes. The thalweg is the name given to the path of least resistance where water flows the fastest. In a straight channel it can be found in the middle of the channel under the surface of the water furthest from the influence of friction from the riverbanks, riverbed and the air. On a bend, however, the fastest flow will continue in a straight line before hitting the outside of the bend and being reflected downstream. Factors affecting river velocity The velocity of a river is not determined by one single factor. There are many factors that impact a river’s ability to transport water and sediment downstream. Gradient, efficiency and bed roughness all determine how well the water flows. The differing velocity will in turn affect the erosive and depositional capacity of the river and its potential to shape the channel. Drainpipes and waterslides are built the way they are for an efficient flow to move water quickly. The closer the river is to a smooth semicircular form the more efficient it will be. Man-made channels are often much more efficient than natural ones. The measure of efficiency can be determined by calculating the hydraulic radius (HR). HP _ cross-sectional area wetted perimeter (the width of the river across the contours of the riverbed) It is a ratio and has no units. figure Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology 1.16 Cross section showing velocity at a meander. Erosion The power of the water and the material that is carried will continually shape and wear away the bed and banks of a river channel. There are four main processes important in fluvial (water) environments: • • • • Hydraulic action is the force of the water pushing into cracks and hitting against the river’s banks. This repeated action weakens the riverbank as air in the cracks is compressed and pressure builds up. Collapsing air bubbles create small shock waves in a type of hydraulic action known as cavitation. Unlike coastal environments where waves may be large and powerful, hydraulic action is a slow and ineffective process of erosion. Corrasion occurs when sediment in the river is thrown into or scraped along (abrasion) the banks and bed of the river. This process is extremely common and is the main form of erosion within a river. During times of high flow or flood the river has a greater capacity to transport larger material, which results in the greatest amount of damage. Potholes may form as stones become trapped in depressions and hollows and are continually swirled around by eddies in the turbulent flow. Attrition is the process by which stones and sediment within the river become increasingly rounded. As material is transported it collides with other objects in the river. The collisions cause the stones to break into smaller pieces and the edges and points of the stones to break off. Corrosion or solution is a continuous chemical process that occurs independently from river flow. Water that has slightly acidic properties, for example as a result of decomposing organic material (humic acid) or acid rain (carbonic acid), will chemically dissolve and weaken certain types of rock. Limestone is composed of calcium carbonate and is particularly vulnerable to corrosion. Transport In addition to the movement of water, rivers also become important conduits forthe transport of sediment. Rivers transport sediment in a number of ways. The mode by which sediment is transported is related to the speed of flow and its size. Unsurprisingly, faster flows can transport larger material. This is perhaps most noticeable in times of flood when large boulders, trees and even cars may be carried by a river. Material carried by a river is referred to as its load. Rivers can only carry so much load depending on their energy. Capacity is the name given to the total load of material actually transported. Competence is the name given for the maximum size of material that a river is capable of transporting. The load is transported by four main processes: • • • • Traction is when the largest stones, boulders and cobbles are rolled along the riverbed by strong turbulent flow. Often these sediments will lie undisturbed on the riverbed until sufficient discharge is reached to displace them. Saltation is where smaller bedload such as pebbles, stones and gravel are lifted and carried temporarily in the flow in a hopping or bouncing motion. As turbulent flow is not constant the river will have varying amounts of energy to lift and carry the load. Suspended load is when very fine particles of sand and silt are carried in suspension in fast flowing water. The faster and more turbulent the water, the greater the amount and size of material that can be transported. Suspended load is easier to see in the lower reaches of a river or after a rainfall event where the water has a muddy brown appearance. Dissolved load or solution is the process by which small dissolved sediments and minerals are transported within the river. They form just a small proportion of the total load but are significant as corrosion (or solution) is constantly occurring. Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology Deposition If the river no longer has energy to transport material it will be deposited. As the competence (maximum particle size) and capacity (maximum load) to carry material falls the largest boulders will be deposited first followed by progressively smaller material. The amount of energy that a river has and the likelihood it will deposit material is closely linked to flow conditions. Deposition is more likely to occur: • • • • following low periods of precipitation where river levels drop where the river flow meets the sea in areas of slow flow within a channel, such as on meander bends when the load suddenly increases above the capacity, for example following • a landslide when the water has carried the material outside of the channel, such as in times of flood. With the exception of material in solution, which will never be deposited, river deposits tend to become smaller and more round closer to the sea. However it must be noted that larger stones may be present along the entire course of the river as the bed and banks are constantly being acted on by other processes such as weathering and erosion. Hjulstrom’s Curve The relationship between particle size and velocity can be seen using Hjulstrom’s Curve (Figure 1.17). The mean or critical erosion velocity curve shows the approximate velocity needed to pick up and transport (in suspension) particles of various sizes. The capacity of the river is responsible for most of the subsequent erosion. The mean fall or settling velocity curve shows the velocities at which particles of a given size become too heavy to be transported and so will fall out of suspension and be deposited. There are three important features of Hjulstrom’s curves: • The smallest and largest particles require high velocities to lift them. For example, particles between 0.1 and 1 mm require velocities of around 100 mm/sec to be entrained, compared with values of over 500 mm/sec to lift clay and gravel. Clay resists entrainment due to cohesion, gravel due to • • weight. Higher velocities are required for entrainment than fortransport. When velocity falls below a certain level those particles are deposited. figure 9 Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology 1.17 Hjulstrom’s Curve Fluvial features: erosion V-shaped valleys and interlocking spurs The upper reaches of a catchment often experience large seasonal variations and as a result the rate of erosion can vary greatly. Large angular boulders often choke the upper channel, creating more friction and disrupting flow. During times of peak discharge, such as periods of snow-melt, vertical erosion will be high as there is a greater capacity for erosion. Though the generalised image of a V is common, the extent and angle of incision will be dependent on local factors such as rock type. Interlocking spurs As the river flows downstream it may be forced to wind through the landscape creating protrusions of the riverbank in the valley known as spurs. As the river continues to wind downstream in a zig-zag pattern the view along the course of the river may be restricted as the spurs appear to knit together like clasped fingers. figure 1.18 Interlocking spurs, Oxendale, England, UK waterfall retreats overhang steep-sided gorge develops as waterfall retreats ridges of hard rock create an uneven slope; this creates rapids figure 1.19 Gorge formation Rapids, waterfalls and pools Rapids are areas of high velocity, turbulent flow. They are created by a sudden change in gradient or a narrowing of the river. Contrastingly, pools are areas of slow moving deep water that have low erosive capability and greater deposition. Waterfalls are large steps in the river as a result of differential erosion usually attributed to bands of hard and soft rock. Water flowing over hard rock will have relatively little impact erosively. Once it then meets a band of softer rock there will be greater erosion. Over time the amount of erosion will be so great that a noticeable step in the profile may be created. Continued erosion may cause undercutting of the rock layers eventually resulting in rock collapse. The fallen material is often large and angular and is forced to swirl around scouring out a depression known as a plunge pool. As the process is repeated waterfalls migrate upstream, leaving a deep steep-sided gorge, for example the falls at Niagara are retreating at a rate of 1 m a year. Fluvial features: erosion and deposition Meanders Meanders are created as the result of both erosion and depositional activities. The snake-like path of a river (sinuosity) increases downstream. _. .. actual channel length S in u os ity =-------- ;;:------ 5— straight-line distance Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology figure i.2o Ho-seshoe Falls, part of Niagara Falls on the USA/Canadian border. figure 1.21 Retreat of Niagara Falls, 1678-2015 A low sinuosity river has a value of 1.0 (straight) whereas a high sinuosity river may have a value above 4.0. A meander is the term used for a bend in the river with a sinuosity greater than 1.5. Though no agreed explanation for their formation occurs, it is generally considered to relate to the energy balance of the river and not the result of an obstruction within the channel or floodplain. Meander form Meanders have an asymmetric cross section (Figure 1.23). On the outside of the bend, where flow is fastest, erosion deepens the channel. On the inside of the bend, where flow is slower, deposition occurs. Helicoidal flow occurs where surface water flows towards the outer banks while the bottom flow is towards the inner bank. Variations in the flow create differences in the river cross sections. The most characteristic features of meanders are river cliffs and slip-off slopes or point bars. River cliffs are formed on the outside of the bend where erosion is greatest. The combined effect of hydraulic action and abrasion weaken the riverbank causing it to collapse. Over time a steep bank will be formed with some of the collapsed material remaining on the riverbed. Conversely, on the inside of the meander bend where discharge is ata minimum and friction is at its greatest, deposition is greatest. Sediment accumulates to create a gentle sloping bar known as a slip-off slope or point bar. The particles are usually graded in size with the largest material being found on the upstream side of the bar. Riffles and pools are a sequence of alternating fast and slow flows as a result of the differing energy states of the river. Riffles are shallow areas of fast flowing oxygenated water. Pools are deeper areas with slow moving water. Not all meanders have a regular form but they do have several key characteristics: • The meander wavelength tends to be 10 times the channel width (X = 10 -14 W). • Riffles and pools are spaced 5-7 times the channel width (riffle spacing = 5 - 7 W or ~ Vz X). figure J 1.22 A sweeping meander Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology • • The radius of curvature of the bend is proportional to 2-3 times that of the channel width (rc ~ 2 - 3 W). Meander amplitude is 5-7 times the channel width (MA = 5- 7 W). Meanders over time Meanders constantly change and evolve. Whilst these changes may be relatively gradual, the curvature of a meander grows with time. As continued erosion occurs the river cliff will migrate back as deposition on the inside becomes more stabilised, leading to movement of the river across the landscape. Meander bends become more pronounced so that the path of the river no longer becomes the most efficient route. The river may continue to erode the outside of the bend before eroding a shortcut between meander bends, causing a temporary straightening of the channel. Where this occurs a bend may eventually become redundant. Isolated bends will become detached creating a feature known as an oxbow lake or cutoff, which, due to its lack of fluvial input, will dry up. Evidence of past meanders may be visible on the landscape as meander scars. A tributary that runs parallel to a river within the same valley for some distance before eventuallyjoining it is known as a yazoo tributary. figure 1.23 Cross section of a meander showing its asymmetric shape. ------ backswamp figure 1.24 The middle course of a river highlighting the life cycle of a meander and oxbow lakes. Rejuvination and sea level change The lowest point of a river’s course is known as its base level. In most cases this is the sea but on a localised scale it may be a pond, lake or reservoir. The river is constantly trying to produce the most efficient route to its base level whilst continually being influenced by the energy balance and outside factors. Changes in base level affect the energy balance and a river’s ability to erode. Over our history there have been many changes to our sea levels. During the last interglacial, 125 000 years ago, sea level was approximately 4 metres higher (eustatic rise) than the present day due to thermal expansion and ice melt. During the last ice age, 18 000 to 10 000 years ago, sea level was much lower (eustatic fall) due to thermal contraction and as water was trapped as ice on the land. Sea levels reduced by up to 120 metres on the west coast of England, which encouraged deep vertical erosion. As a result many parts of Britain have very deep estuaries known as rias that were scoured out when the sea level was much lower, such as at Dartmouth in Devon. figure 1.25 Dartmouth Ria. A ria is a drowned river valley formed in glacial periods with characteristic deep channels. Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology figure 1.26 An entrenched meander on the San Juan tributary of the Colorado River, USA. Effect on fluvial features In situations where a meandering river has been influenced by a change in base level then entrenched meanders or incised meanders may form. The distinction between the two forms relates to the speed of erosion. Incised meanders are asymmetrical in shape as they are eroded more slowly. As the river channel erodes vertically as well as laterally it will start to undercut on the outside of the bend creating an overhang in the river cliff. The inside of the bend, due to the continued deposition, will take the form of a gentle sloping bar. Entrenched meanders are formed, geologically, more rapidly. As a result the meanders tend to take a more symmetrical shape as they carve out a deep winding gorge across the landscape such as the Grand Canyon. Entrenched and incised meanders are more visual where they have cut through different layers of bedrock. Gooseneck on the San Juan river, a major tributary of the Colorado River, is a well known example of an entrenched meander heavily influenced by the distorted uplift (or upwarp) of the Monument Plateau. River terraces are areas of higher ground surrounding a river. They are the former floodplains of the river that were carved out when it was higher up, which are now above the current levels of flooding. Due to a change in base level an increase in vertical erosion creates a newly cut river. Fluvial features: deposition Deposition of sediment occurs when there is a decrease in energy or an increase in capacity that makes the river less competent to carry its load. Deposition can occur at any stage along the river but it is most common in the lower reaches. figure 1.27 The river terraces of the River Dovey, Wales, UK. Floodplains Floodplains are large areas of flat land surrounding a river channel. They are the areas most susceptible to flooding. Initially cut by a river, a floodplain is made up of a large amount of alluvial deposits (silt) dropped during times of flood. As a result they are often fertile and used extensively for agriculture. As the river spills over the floodplain in times of flood, there is an increase in friction, a loss of energy and resultant deposition of material. Repeated flooding causes the deposits to build up in height forming a series of layers high above the bedrock. The edge of the floodplain is marked by a slightly raised line known as a bluff. Levees When a river floods its banks the coarsest material is often deposited first creating a ridge along the edge of the river channel. Over time more sediments may be added to the ridge thus creating a natural preventative barrier to flooding. In low lying areas such as in Holland and New Orleans artificial levees have been built in response to the threat of flooding. figure 1.28 Braiding on the White River, Washington, USA. figure 1.29 The Nile Delta, Egypt, flowing into the Mediterranean Sea. 0 Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology Braiding Braiding occurs when there is a high proportion of load in relation to the discharge. This may be the result of seasonal changes and snow-melt, such as in the Alps. At times of low flow the river may be forced to cut a series of paths that converge and diverge as they weave through large expanses of deposited material. Braiding begins with a mid-channel bar that grows downstream as the discharge decreases following a flood. The coarse bedload is deposited first. This forms the basis of bars and, as the flood is reduced, finer sediment is deposited. The upstream end becomes stabilised and overtime can become vegetated. These islandscan alter subsequent flows, diverting the river and increasing friction. Deltas Deltas are formed when large amounts of river load meet the sea and are deposited. Deltas are usually composed of fine sediments that are dropped during low energy conditions and are so called because they are triangular in shape, which is similar to the shape of‘delta’, the fourth letter of the Greek alphabet. As freshwater and saltwater mix, clay particles coagulate (stick together) and settle to the seabed in a process known as flocculation. The finest sediments are carried furthest and are the first to be deposited as bottomset beds. Slightly coarser material is transported less far and deposited as foreset beds, while the coarsest material is deposited as topset beds. There are three main types of delta: • • • Arcuate delta - having a rounded convex outer margin, such as the Nile River. Cuspate delta-where material is evenly spread on either side of the channel, such as the Ebro Delta, Spain. Bird’s foot delta - where the sediment is distributed around many branches of the river (distributaries) in the shape of the claw of a bird’s foot, such as the Mississippi Delta. The human impact The influence of humans on the hydrological cycle Water resources are important to both society and ecosystems. As humans we depend on reliable and clean supplies of freshwater water to sustain our health. We also need water for agriculture, energy production, navigation, recreation and manufacturing. Many of these uses put pressure on water resources and these stresses are likely to be exacerbated by climate change and population growth. In many areas, climate change as well as population expansion is likely to increase water demand, while shrinking water supplies. Spatially, in some areas, water shortages will be less of a problem than increases in runoff, flooding, or sea level rise. Human influences on the hydrological cycle may be both intentional and unintentional. We have been naive in our approach to resource management and continue to mismanage many of our resources such as water. There are 1.30 The bird’s foot shape of the Mississippi Delta, USA. figure many components to the hydrological cycle and humans can have an impact at each stage, affecting both water quantity and water quality. Water quantity simply refers to the amount of water available. The flows of the hydrological cycle vary both spatially with location - latitude, altitude and continentality-and temporally, through seasonal changes. It has long been documented that the climate has fluctuated and changed since our atmosphere formed some 4 billion years ago, but there is more and more evidence to suggest that human activities on the planet have increased global temperatures by 0.8 °C over the last 30 years bringing about greater disturbances. Whilst our understanding of weather and climate mechanisms has never been better, the unpredictability of the weather means there is greater potential for extreme events such as drought or flooding. Water quality refers to the cleanliness and ultimately the usefulness of water to our societies and environment. Humans are harnessing more water than ever before and not all the practices we use to do this are efficient, clean or sustainable. figure 1.31 Water polluted by copper mining at Geamana Lake, Romania. Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology Precipitation In heavily industrialised areas and urban spaces precipitation rates are as much as 10 per cent higher due to an increased number of pollutants and particulate matter creating a greater extent and frequency of clouds. For moisture to fall as rain, water vapour must attach to small particulate matter in the atmosphere known as hygroscopic nuclei. As water vapour accumulates and condenses to form clouds, droplets of water increase in size before falling under the influence of gravity. According to Colorado’s National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) there are over 150 legitimate weather modification programmes taking place in 37 countries, though their complexity and cost vary greatly. Cloud seeding is one strategy designed to encourage precipitation. Cloud seeding injects more particulate matter into the atmosphere in order to create rain. Silver iodine, carbon dioxide and ammonium nitrate are used and dispersed either by aircraft or more commonly fired by cannon or rocket into the air. The result of cloud seeding is largely inconclusive, in Australia it has been suggested that precipitation has increased by 10-30 per cent on a small scale and short-term basis. China is investing heavily in the technology with the introduction of 40 000 field operatives. Land use change Urbanisation An increase in urbanisation creates large impermeable surfaces, which reduce the amount of interception and infiltration. Urbanisation has a close relationship with flashy hydrographs. As water runs over impenetrable surfaces and into drains it is carried rapidly resulting in a quicker response in the river, raising levels and increasing flood risk. An increase in urban surfaces increases runoff and the potential for flooding. Deforestation and afforestation The effect of vegetation removal on hydrology and streams, through land clearance, is a common theme on populated landscapes. Now less than 1 per cent of Britain is covered by natural woodland due to the expansive activities of humans. Whether for land clearance, development or crop harvesting, the removal of vegetation can have profound effects on the hydrological balance of an area. Where clearance is large in relation to the vegetative coverage the effects will be heightened. The rates of interception are determined by the type and extent of vegetative cover. Much of the land’s surface has experienced some level of clearance and modification, resulting in widespread deforestation. Deforestation reduces evapotransipiration rates and increases surface runoff, resulting in a flashier response and shorter lag time. Afforested areas will have a greater capacity to absorb moisture and help bind the soil. Afforested areas are largely planted for figure Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology 1.32 Forest removal, Derbyshire, UK commercial reasons though there are additional benefits in the form of habitat creation and flood management Infiltration is up to five times greater under forest compared to pasture. Forested areas intercept precipitation before funnelling it ground-ward. Bioturbation (the reworking of soil by animals, for example earthworms, or plants) is often high in fertile forest with macro-invertebrates constantly aerating the soil. Pore spaces are often larger and more plentiful than pastoral land where the ground is heavily compacted where animals have trodden. Storage Dams and reservoirs Although the impact is relatively small in relation to the rest of the hydrological cycle, the effect of dams and reservoirs on evaporation and evapotranspiration is significant. Large stores of open water such as reservoirs increase the potential for evaporation. Where temperatures are high evaporation rates are also high. Lake Nasser, for example, behind the Aswan Dam, loses up to a third of its water per year due to evaporation. Water loss through evaporation can be reduced by creating underground and covered storage using plastics or by using sand-filled dams, both of which can be impractical for large applications. In warmer environments and drought-prone areas many underground storage containers and water tanks are used. In Africa they are known as jo-jo tanks and in China they are called shuijiao. Water abstraction Water abstraction is the removal of water either temporarily or permanently from lakes, rivers, canals or from underground rock strata. The redirection of this water from the natural flows within a drainage basin can be done for commercial, industrial or domestic purposes. In many countries the use of water resources are closely regulated. In the UK the Environment Agency is responsible for assessing the impact of activities using their Catchment Abstraction Management Strategy to ensure a sustainable approach to water usage. Water abstraction laws in the UK are based on weather and climatic predictions and trends. There are many different reasons for water abstraction including irrigation, groundwater withdrawal and inter-basin transfer/trans-basin diversion. figure 1.33 Lake Nasser behind the Aswan High Dam, Egypt. Irrigation Irrigation is used to increase the productivity of an area through water re­ direction, though the amount of water must be carefully managed to suit the crop. The lea Valley is a desert area in the Andes and one of the driest places on Earth. The asparagus beds developed there in the last decade require constant irrigation, with the result that the local water table has plummeted since 2002 when extraction overtook replenishment. Two wells serving up to 18 500 people in the valley have already dried up. Traditional small- and medium-scale farms have also found their water supplies severely diminished. Groundwater withdrawal per sector on the Peruvian coast The rate of extraction for large-scale commercial agricultural purposes is rapidly exceeding that of domestic and industrial use. As a result many local people are suffering from a lack of accessible water in their neighbouring aquifers as many large farms redirect the flow in order to ready their produce for export and profit. Agriculture consumes 50 per cent of all water withdrawn. Little of this is for smallscale subsistence farming. Conversely, the reduction in agricultural and industrial extraction in some areas has led to an excess of water at groundwater level. There are several associated problems with this: • • • • • figure 1.34 Freshly cut asparagus an increase in spring and river flows surface flooding and saturation of agricultural land flooding of basements and underground tunnels re-emergence of dry rivers and wells chemical weathering of building foundations. Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology Case Study The Aral Sea West Siberian Plain % Ob' Ş. </> \JraZ Kazakh Steppe Aral Sea t»'' Elbrus Z ^urt o a5642 & Plateau ^ucasus <> 2 4^^ \ - v „J '^Urri Desert ■A? bounta'h* Dasht-e Kavir Lake Balkhash Alai Ra"9e pamir A r figure 1.35 Aral Sea catchment area figure 1.36 The shrinking waters of the Aral Sea. K2 8611 The Aral Sea is one example of how irrigation can have significant consequences on an area. Formerly the fourth-largest lake in the world, spanning 68 000 sq km, the Aral Sea has been steadily shrinking since its waters were first redirected by Soviet irrigation projects in the 1960s. The loss of water from the Aral Sea to a catchment some 500 km away has meant there has been a reduction in the amount of evaporation and evapotranspiration in the basin, contributing to a lack of cloud cover and resultant rain. The frequency and intensity of rainfall is thought to have declined over the past 30 years. The drying up of the Aral Sea is often considered to be one of the greatest management disasters in history. Between 1954 and i960 the government of the former Soviet Union ordered the construction of a 500 km-long canal that would take a third of the water from the Amudar’ya River to an immense area ofirrigated land in order to grow cotton in the region. Some 5 per cent of the nearby reservoirs and wetlands have become deserts and more than 50 lakes from deltas, with a surface area of 60 000 hectares, have dried up. Although irrigation made the desert bloom, it devastated the Aral Sea. The blowing dust from the exposed lakebed, contaminated with agricultural chemicals, became a public health hazard. The salty dust blew off the lakebed and settled onto fields, degrading the soil. Croplands had to be flushed with larger and larger volumes of river water. The loss of the moderating influence of such a large body of water made winters colder and summers hotter and drier. As the lake dried up, fisheries and the communities that depended on them collapsed. The increasingly salty water became polluted with fertilisers and pesticides. In 2005 the World Bank and the government of Kazakhstan constructed a 13 km dam at a cost of US$85 million. By 2008 fish stocks had returned to their i960 levels. In 2008 the North Aral was subject to a US$250 million project to rejuvenate the area, though progress is slow. figure 1.37 Boats in what is now desert around the Aral Sea, Uzbekistan. Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology Groundwater Human activity has seriously reduced the sustainable potential of groundwater in some parts of the world. If the use of groundwater exceeds the recharge of groundwater, the water table will drop. Many groundwater stores are in a stable state of equilibrium where recharge and discharge are equal. One of the main problems of groundwater abstraction is in coastal areas, namely saltwater intrusion. This is the movement of saltwater into an aquifer that previously held freshwater. For decades many coastal communities around the United States have experienced saltwater intrusion. Overextraction can lead to subsidence. As water is moved from the rock, sediment particles fill pore spaces previously filled with water. The result is a compression of the land and a reduction in height of the land. This can be particularly problematic when occurring under structures and buildings. Railway lines and pipes can be ruptured. Industrial usage Mining Mining can deplete surface and groundwater supplies. Groundwater withdrawals may damage or destroy streamside habitat many miles from the actual mine site. In Nevada, the driest state in the United States of America, the Humboldt River is being drained to benefit gold mining operations along the Carlin Trend. Mines in the northeastern Nevada Desert pumped out more than 580 billion gallons of water between 1986 and 2001-enough to feed New York City’s taps for more than a year. Mining can affect water quality in a number of ways, for example heavy metal contamination, such as arsenic being leached out of the ground, sulphide-rich rocks reacting with water to create sulphuric acid, chemical agents designed to separate minerals that leak into nearby water bodies, erosion and sedimentation from ground disturbance that can clog waterways and smother vegetation and organisms as well as silting up fresh drinking water. Energy generation Hydropower uses the force of water to turn turbines. This has little impact on the quantity and quality of water as it is largely returned with little change in state. Less sustainable energy uses involve the use of water for fossil fuel and nuclear energy production. In each, water is converted to steam that powers the turbine in order to generate electricity. This water is then returned to surrounding bodies of water, rivers and lakes with a lower oxygen content at differing temperatures, threatening fish populations and freshwater habitats. Several types of data can be collected to help hydrologists predict when and where floods might occur: • Monitoring the amount of rainfall occurring on a real-time basis. • Monitoring the rate of change in river stage on a real-time basis, which can help to indicate the severity and immediacy of the threat. • Knowledge about the type of storm producing the moisture, such as duration, intensity and aerial extent, which can be valuable for determining the possible severity of the flooding. • Knowledge about the characteristics of a river’s drainage basin, such as soil­ moisture conditions, soil saturation, topography, vegetation cover, impermeable land area and snow cover, which can help to predict how extensive and damaging a flood might become. In the UK the Met Office collects and interprets rainfall data and works with the Environment Agency to issue flood watches and warnings as appropriate. Recurrence intervals refer to the probability of a flood occurring based on past flow states compiled over at least a 10 year period. Often people use them to infer magnitude where a i in 100 year flood will exceed that of a i in 40 year flood. Hydrologists determine the recurrence in­ terval based on previous flow states and the probability that the discharge will exceed that able to be contained by the channel. A 1 in 100 recurrence interval refers to a 1 per cent probability that the river will reach a certain discharge for that river. Several 100 year floods could still occur within 1 given year as the data is based on averages. A100 year storm over a catchment may not nec­ essarily equate to a 100 year flood as many factors will influence the rate of drainage. ■ Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology Causes of flooding Flooding can be classed as an inundation of water covering the land’s surface. Most commonly flooding is the result of excessive precipitation caused by low pressure depressions that bring storm clouds with great vertical extent. Flooding occurs when water exceeds the capacity of a river channel although it can be the result of a rising water table or coastal inundation. In situations where floodwater travels at great speed there is increased likelihood of damage. In the case of the Boscastle flood (2004), the extreme nature of the flood uprooted trees and carried cars into a narrow channel, further exacerbating the flood. Prediction: forecast and warning Floods are considered the most serious type of natural disasters in the world due to their frequency and intensity affecting widespread populations. On average flooding contributes to 10 000 deaths per year globally with projections showing an increase due to climatic instability and population growth. Much of modern flood prediction utilises technology and relies on computer models and simulation software that use algorithms (mathematical formulas) based on the characteristics of an area. The use of precipitation data as well as relief, land use and saturation rates may all be used to help forecast flow rates from a few hours to a few days. Due to recent technological advances such as greater computing capability, reduced errors and better physical modelling, more effective use of data, flood forecasting and warning has never been better. However, despite this, due to the unpredictable nature of our weather there is still a high percentage of risk in many areas. Satellites, radar and climate modelling have all helped to track global weather systems and statistical models are used with flood histories to try to predict the results of expected storms. In the UK the Environment Agency has thousands of monitoring stations across many major river networks. Most of the measurements used to make predictions are taken electronically by sensors in the river, stored on site and then automatically sent back to databases used by forecasting systems. River and seawater level measurements are now also sent from telemetry systems and published online. Despite this, due to the flashy nature of many of our river systems, many properties in England and Wales have less than six hours of flood warning time. In the case of Boscastle in 2004, the town had less than three hours’warning. Scale and impact Large drainage basins often provide greater opportunity for warning as the water has further to travel, delaying its impact. In the case of the Brahmaputra and Ganges rivers that run into Bangladesh, bringing meltwater down from the Himalayas, settlements may have up to 72 hours to prepare for a flood event. However the extent of the flood has the potential to be more severe. In the 2007 Bangladesh flood 1000 people lost their lives and 9 million more were made homeless. Prevention and amelioration Extreme weather events only become hazardous when there is a population that may be affected. As the global population grows more and more people are marginalised and forced to live in hazardous areas simply due to a lack of space. This, combined with the greater frequency and intensity of some weather events, increases a population’s vulnerability and their capacity to cope. Often in Middle Income Countries (MICs) economic losses exceed social losses as more and more buildings are built on floodplains. Floodplains are desirable places to build because of their building potential as easily accessible flat land. However this is not without risk. Flood protection can take a number of forms, such as loss-sharing adjustments and event modifications. Loss-sharing refers to mechanisms designed to help cope with a flood. They include insurance payments and disaster aid, the latter of which may take the form of money, equipment and technical assistance. In MICs insurance is an important loss-sharing strategy though not all houses will be eligible for insurance and many homeowners underestimate the impact of flood damage. Event modifications refer to actions that limit the ability of the flood to do damage and impact on people’s lives. River management Rivers can be managed in a variety of ways but are most commonly managed to minimise flood risk. There are several approaches to river management that can be categorised into hard engineering and soft engineering. Hard engineering requires the use of rock or concrete structures that have been purposely constructed to protect an area. Often these are less in keeping with the natural aesthetics of an area but are much more responsive to flood risk and erosion though not without consequence. Types of hard engineering include dams, channelisation, levees, storm drains and culverts, and barrages. Channel modification is the term used to describe a change in stream flow as a result of human activities. In many cases channel modification is the result of hard engineering and channelisation but in some instances channel modification may include a softer approach and the inclusion of natural features such as riffles and pools. Soft engineering tends to follow a more sensitive approach to maintaining and controlling river flow. Approaches seek to utilise the natural environment where possible and use natural and local materials to modify the river whilst still maintaining its character. Washlands are areas of land that are periodically allowed to flood in order to reduce pressure on settlements further down river. The land is often agricultural where loss of earnings may be in some part subsidised. Riffles and pools can be ‘manufactured’ Case Study River Harbourne: Harnessing Examples of soft engineering approach­ es include afforestation, washlands and riffle and pool sequences. Afforestation refers to the planting of water tolerant trees to stabilise soil and slopes whilst increasing the potential for intercep­ tion and absorption. Though not as aggressive as many hard engineering techniques they often are utilised as part of an integrated management strategy which has the added benefit of habitat construction. the Harbourne As far back as 1938 the rural Devon village of Harbertonford has recorded regular flooding. In the past 60 years the village has been flooded 21 times. The River Harbourne flood defence scheme was constructed in 2002 to combat regular flooding of properties and access roads to the village. Though not a large scale construction, it is perhaps one of the best examples of sustainable river management in Southwest England. Flow in the River Harbourne varies from less than 1 cumec at low flows, to 28 cumecs for a 10-year flood flow, through to 300 cumecs for a PMF event (Probable Maximum Flood). The flashy nature of the catchment means there is little warning for the residents of the village to prepare for the flooding and the misery it may cause. One elderly resident of the village had resorted to living solely on the upper floor of her house much like a weir to encourage the river to respond differently. Fast flowing areas can be created to move water quickly from an area and pool sequences can be used to reduce the erosive capacity. 1.39 The Palmer Dam is an earth mound dam designed to control the flow of water entering Harbertonford, South Devon. figure Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology Why does the river flood? The River Harbourne is a small river tributary of the River Dart, in Devon. There are a number of reasons for flooding. Physical factors • There has been an increased frequency in the number of intense rainfall events. • The river starts 350 m above sea level on the impermeable granite bedrock of Dartmoor. • Dartmoor receives 2020 mm of rainfall annually, twice as much rain as lower surrounding coastal areas. • From the moor the river cuts through steep narrow valleys on to slate bedrock descending 300 m in 12 km. • For the size of catchment the river has a high drainage density. • The village of Harbertonford lies at the confluence of three rivers - the River Harbourne, the Harberton Stream and the Yeolands Stream. Human factors • Many properties are built on the low-lying floodplain in the central area of • • the village. The A381 road has been widened over the years to cope with traffic pressures, thereby increasing the amount of runoff flowing directly to the river. Traditionally some water was extracted along mill leats to power the local mills, which have since closed. How is the river managed? Harbertonford is designated as a Conservation Area and several listed structures, including the village bridge, are contained within it. Atlantic salmon, bullhead, sea trout and brown trout occur in the river and protected species are also present within the catchment, including otter and common dormouse. With this in mind it was important that any flood management works must be sensitive to the environment. The river is managed using a variety of hard and soft engineering techniques. The aim of the scheme was to provide a range of flood defence measures whilst enhancing the local environment. As a result it was decided that the scheme should use natural local materials where possible in keeping with the surroundings with minimum need for maintenance. The scheme has two main features - an upstream flood storage reservoir, and flood defence works through the village. This option has reduced the risk of flooding from one in three years to a minimum of once in 40 years. Upstream • Wetland area and flood storage area: 1 km upstream from the village of Harbertonford a wildlife area was created containing flood-resistant trees and shrubs. The area directly upstream from the dam will become a 41 000 sq m water storage area in times of flood. Local schoolchildren will monitor the afforested area as part of an ongoing partnership. • The Palmer Dam: Built to control the flow of the river, this earthen mound was constructed using locally excavated materials. The dam gates can be controlled to restrict river flow in times of flood. A culvert was created to allow the free movement offish up and downstream of the dam, whatever the flood conditions. figure 1.40 Students measuring the channel at Harbertonford village green. Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology Through the village • Bed-lowering: In order to keep the aesthetic quality of the central village green, the riverbed was lowered to increase the river’s carrying capacity without the need for flood walls. • Channelisation: Throughout the lower sections of the village, along Bow Road, a 200 m wall has been created to protect the residential area from overtopping. The river is now twice as wide. The wall on the bend of the river is reinforced to reduce erosion. • • • Storm drains: Storm drains have been added to reduce the impact of flood water entering the main channel from Harberton Stream. Riffles and pools: Due to the extensive work a system of riffles and pools were created to maintain the river’s natural flow whilst providing habitats for macro-invertebrates. New culvert: A new culvert to allow water to flow under the main road was installed to relieve pressure on the existing drainage network. figure 1.41 Plan of the Harbertonford flood defence scheme. Flood hazard mapping Food hazard mapping is used to identify areas that are susceptible to flooding when the discharge of a stream exceeds the bankfull stage. Using historical data on river stages and the discharge of previous floods, along with topographic data, maps can be constructed to show areas expected to be covered with floodwater for various discharges or stages. They can also be used to highlight properties and infrastructure at risk, which allows planners and insurance companies to produce cost benefit analysis. NOW INVESTIGATE 1 Suggest reasons why a hydrograph for one location will experience changes overtime. 2 Suggest reasons why two hydrographs in adjacent catchments may show different characteristics for the same rainfall event. Hydrology and fluvial geomorphology ning Rainfall 900 million tonnes 22 531 km per hour the amount of rainfall the the speed of a lightning bolt Grand Banks, Newfoundland, Canada is the foggiest place in the world with 206 300 000 volts foggy days per year the average amount of electricity lightning discharges to the ground 158 Antarctica gets only 16.5 cm of rain the number of lightning or snow per year - the driest continent strikes a year in Kifuka, on earth is not a hot desert Democratic Republic of the Congo Blizzards ice 4000 the weight of the heaviest hailstone, the number of fatalities caused by the Gopalganj, Bangladesh 1986 deadliest recorded blizzard which struck 31102 mm the greatest annual snowfall, Mount Rainier, Washington, USA, Feb 1971 - Feb 1972 38 cm wide by 20 cm thick the size of the world's largest snowflake, Fort Keogh, Montana, USA in 1887 2200 fatalities On 12 March there were Over 4 simultaneous tropical were due to a deadly heatwave storms in the South Pacific: in India in May-temperatures Olivyn, Western Australia; rose to 45-47 °C Nathan, Queensland, Australia; Bavi, Western Pacific and 0 - no severe thunderstorms In May the Antarctic sea ice in the USA between 1 January extent was and 25 March’, the first time above the 1981-2010 average since records began in 1970 12.1 per cent Tornadoes Storms 2 In 1931 a tornado in Mississippi lifted an Atm osphere and weather the duration of the longest lasting tropical 83 tonne train cyclone, Hurricane/Typhoon John in 1994, 3 out of 4 tornadoes occur in the USA Typhoon Haiyan, also known as Typhoon Yolanda in the Philippines, was one of the strongest tropical cyclones ever recorded, with gusts of 275 km per hour ^Sunshine________________ re The ten warmest years ever recorded have all occurred since 1998 Yuma, Arizona, USA has around 4015 hours 56.7 °C on earth of sunshine per year (11 hours per day) making it one of the sunniest places the highest shade temperature recorded, Death Valley, California, USA in July 1913 47.3 °C the hottest March temperature ever recorded in Africa, at Vioolsdrif, South Africa in 2013 14 802 the number of heat related deaths during a heatwave in France in 2003 °C °C By comparison the Sichuan Basin in southwest China has as little as 1000 hours of sunshine per year or 2.7 hours per day The World’s average The May Arctic sea ice May temperature was extent was the warmest since below the 1981-2010 average 5.5 per cent records began May was the all-time The Atacama Desert, one wettest of the driest places on earth, month on record in central USA had 24 mm of rain in a thunderstorm in March 39 Atmosphere and weather Diurnal energy budgets 100 units scattered at edge of atmosphere absorbed by water vapour, ],£ dust,CC>2 reflected by clouds a absorbed by clouds r-i heats land or sea LAND or SEA figure reflected by surface 2.1 Typical incoming (short-wave) solar radiation (loo units) IQ passes into space The net radiation balance at the Earth’s surface is therefore: (incoming solar radiation + atmospheric counter-radiation)(reflected solar radiation + outgoing terrestrial radiation) atmospheric counter-radiation absorbed by atmosphere and reraaiated back to surface terrestrial radiation qq LAND or SEA figure 100 units 2.2 Typical outgoing (long-wave) radiation (100 units) long-wave radiation to space clouds block (much greater if skies are clear) radiation escaping sensible heat transfer by winds latent heat from condensation as fog or dew forms Sensible heat conducts to the surface and at first warms the air above it. Once the ground has lost all its heat, it becomes cold and cools the air above it figure J Daytime energy budgets The word ‘diurnal’ means the 24-hour period of day and night During the day heat comes from the Sun (in the form of short-wave solar energy). Some of the solar radiation from the Sun (sometimes called insolation) is scattered at the edge of the atmosphere, some is reflected back from clouds, some is reflected off the Earth’s surface, some is absorbed by water vapour, dust or carbon dioxide (CO J, and some is absorbed by the ground, which then heats up (Figure 2.1). The proportion of solar radiation reflected from areas of the Earth’s surface is called the albedo. The albedo of a snow-covered mountain is 60 %, for a desert it is 30 %, 13 % for an equatorial forest, 8 % for an ocean. Surfaces with a low albedo, like the sea, are better able to absorb more heat. The energy coming from the Sun is short-wave radiation. It heats the ground and is then reradiated as infrared long-wave radiation known as terrestrial radiation. Some of this terrestrial radiation passes into space but most is absorbed by water vapour, CO2 and other gases in the atmosphere, which then heats up. It is then returned as counter-radiation to the ground - atmospheric counter-radiation (Figure 2.2). This is a vital source of heat - without it the surface temperature of the Earth would fall by 25 °C. 2.3 The night-time energy budget. Atmosphere and weather Most of this net radiation balance is used to evaporate water turning it into water vapour. When heat is used to evaporate water it becomes latent heatthat is, ‘hidden heat’ because when the water vapour condenses back into water droplets it emits heat- the latent heat. Because energy is needed to overcome the molecular forces of attraction between water particles, the change from liquid water to water vapour- evaporation - requires an input of energy, causing a drop in temperature in its surroundings. If the water vapour condenses back to a liquid the latent energy absorbed during evaporation is released. Sensible heat is the heat we feel. When air or water moves from one place to another, taking its temperature with it, this is called sensible heat transfer. Night-time energy budgets At night with a cloudless sky the ground reradiates heat back into space and eventually becomes cold. The air just above the ground is cooled by the cold ground and if the humidity is high this causes water vapour in the air to condense (turn to liquid), which is a cause of dew - water droplets on grass - or fog. If the sky is cloudy, however, there is less loss of long-wave radiation to space. The clouds will return some of the radiation back to the ground and temperatures will not fall as much. The difference in temperature between day and night is called the diurnal range. The diurnal range is greater in places with no clouds (such as deserts) because there are no cloud barriers to solar radiation arriving in the day and no cloud barriers to stop heat from the ground reradiating back into space at night. Deserts are hot in the day and cold at night as a result. The diurnal range is also influenced by the sea. The sea is cooler than the land in summer so coasts affected by strong onshore breezes will be cooler than places further inland. The global energy budget More heat is received in places nearer to the equator than places nearer to the North or South Poles. In fact there is a net gain of radiation equatorward of 40° from the equator, a net loss poleward of 40°. These two zones would get progressively warmer and colder respectively if there was not some transfer of heat from the warming to the cooling zones; this heat transfer is carried out by wind and ocean currents. One important way in which heat is transferred is the thermohaline circulation (Figure 2.4). Thermo means temperature and haline means salt, and these currents reflect variations in temperature and salt content. The thermohaline circulation is sometimes called the ocean conveyor belt. Warmer, less saline water flows at the surface, cooler, saltier water flows in the deep oceans. For example, the Gulfstream flows polewards on the surface from the equator up towards Europe, cooling as it does so. Eventually the water sinks in the North Atlantic because it is cold and more saline, both of which increase the density, and it then moves back south as deep water. The surface current becomes more saline over time because wind on the sea surface causes evaporation but this removes only water molecules, resulting in an increase in the salinity of the seawater left behind. figure 2.4 Thermohaline circulation Seasonal variations in pressure and wind belts Figure 2.5 (a) is a simplified model of the distribution of pressure belts around the globe. In reality these pressure belts are interrupted by the effect of the irregular distribution of land and sea on pressure, but the general model still applies as can be seen from Figure 2.5 (b) and Figure 2.5 (c) with cloud over the equator (low pressure) and clear skies in the sub-tropics (high pressure). Atmosphere and weather air POLAR CELL . figure sinks figure 2.5 (c) Global pressure belts and winds: view of Africa and Europe from space. 2.5 (a)Theoretical model of global pressure belts and winds. The overhead sun moves north in the northern hemisphere summer and south in the northern hemisphere winter and this causes the pressure belts to move a little north and south, following the Sun (Figure 2.6). Winds blow from high to low pressure but are deflected by the Coriolis Force (spinning of the Earth) so, instead of going directly from high to low they approach at an angle. Around the equator where heating is greatest, air rises because warm air is less dense; this gives the Equatorial low pressure belt. Low pressure is simply air that is rising. This area is also called the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) because winds from north and south converge here. Around 30° north and south of the equator the air which rose at the equator starts to descend. Descending air creates high pressure so this is called the sub-tropical high pressure belt. At ground level the air returns to the equator as trade winds, completing a cycle called the Hadley Cell (Figure 2.5 (a)). Warm air from the sub-tropical high pressure belt also moves poleward in the Ferrel Cell until it meets cold air from the Arctic at the Polar Front. At this point the air rises, creating low pressure - the temperate low pressure belt (temperate means mild temperatures). Air rising at the Polar Front moves poleward at high levels and descends at the poles (forming the polar high pressure system) and then returns at ground - 50" 40“ level as polar easterly winds, completing a cycle called the Polar Cell. The pressure/wind belts shift north then south with the overhead sun (Figure 2.6). Places in the centre of a pressure belt, such as the Sahara Desert, are in the same pressure belt all year round; in the case of the Sahara this is the sub-tropical high pressure belt. It rains very little when pressure is high. The Mediterranean, however, is covered by the sub-tropical high pressure belt in summer (when it is hot and dry) but in winter that belt shifts south and the Mediterranean comes under the temperate low pressure belt and this creates - 30' their wet season. Latitude polar high north - 90' 80' 70'temperate low sub-tropical high 60' 20" - - 10' Seasonal pressure cells The model shown in Figure 2.5 is disrupted by the irregular distribution of land - 0" - equatorial low 10" -20" -30" sub-tropical high 40" 50° temperate low polar high JANUARY figure sub-tropical high -60" temperate low 70“ 80" 90" south polar high JULY 2.6 Global pressure belts move north and south with the seasons. Atmosphere and weather and sea. High pressure tends to form over cold continental interiors in winter (cold air sinks) and low pressure forms over heated continents in summer (because hot air rises) (Figure 2.7). The Indian monsoon is a product of this phenomenon. In winter high pressure dominates over India and as a result winds blow out and it is dry. In the summer low pressure builds and winds blow in; having come from Australia across the Indian Ocean they are warm and humid and bring heavy rain - the monsoon. The effect of seasonal pressure cells is less in the southern hemisphere because the continents taper and less land is far from the sea. January pressure and winds H/ru H An area of high air pressure " An area of low air pressure ~ ► figure Wind direction 2.7 (a) Pressure cells in January. July pressure and winds HIGH n,'an An areaofhigh air pressure IOW An area of low air pressure ----------- ► figure Wind direction 2.7 (b) Pressure cells in June. Atmosphere and weather Atmosphere and weather Global temperature There are six main influences on global temperature - latitude, the sea, ocean currents, altitude, cloud and winds. Latitude Latitude is the distance a place is from the equator. The Sun is overhead or nearly overhead at the equator all year round but at the poles the Sun is at a greater angle to the ground (Figure 2.10). This means that when the Sun’s rays pass through the atmosphere the angle of incidence is greater at the poles and they therefore have a greater thickness of atmosphere to pass through - so more heat is lost in warming the atmosphere. This greater angle of incidence means that any given unit of energy is spread over a greater area at the poles and more is reflected. The key factor is the angle of incidence: it is wrong to say that ‘the equator is closer to the Sun than the poles’. figure 2.10 The influence of latitude on temperature. Latitude also affects the length of summer and winter. The Earth is tilted at an angle of 66|° to the Sun and it moves round the Sun once every 3651 days. In January the South Pole is tilted towards the Sun and it is summer in the southern part of the globe (the southern hemisphere). In January the North Pole is tilted away from the Sun so it gets less heat - it is winter. By July these positions have reversed: the South Pole is tilted away from the Sun, giving it winter, the North Pole is tilted towards the Sun, giving summer (Figures 2.8, 2.9 and 2.11). JANUARY figure 2.11 The tilt of the Earth creates the seasons. The equator remains the same distance from the Sun all year round so areas on the equator have no summer or winter. Figure 2.11 also shows how the movement of the Sun round the Earth affects the length of day and night. In January the North Pole is pointed away from the Sun and the Sun’s rays only reach the northern hemisphere for a smaller part of the day. But in January the South Pole is tilted towards the Sun so it gets long days and short nights. By July the reverse is true - north of the equator days are longer, south of the equator nights are longer. All year round the lengths of the days do not vary at the equator: there are 12 hours of daylight and 12 hours of darkness every day of the year. Atmosphere and weather E The sea Water has a greater specific heat capacity than land (specific heat is the amount of heat required to raise the temperature of one unit of a substance by i °C). The specific heat capacity of water in Joules/kg °C is 4181 but for soil it can be as low as 2000. So it requires more heat to warm up water than ground. This is one reason why water is cooler than the land in summer, so places close to the sea or a large lake are cooler than places further inland. Furthermore, the sea conducts heat down to greater depths whereas on land heat is concentrated on the surface. Water also reflects more solar radiation than land and it can evaporate, which cools it. Once the sea or lake has been warmed by the summer sun, however, it retains its heat better than the land. So the sea is warmer than the land in winter. So the effect of the sea is to make nearby land areas cooler in summer and warmer in winter. Such places have a maritime climate - a lower annual temperature range. Places inland have hotter summers and colder winters and this is called a continental climate. If the sea had no influence then the hottest month of the year would be the month when the Sun is most directly overhead -June/July in the northern hemisphere-and the coldest months would be those when the Sun is at the lowest angle and days are shortest- December/January in the northern hemisphere. But because the sea takes a long time to cool down and then warm up there is a seasonal lag - in the northern hemisphere the warmest month is often August and the coldest month is often February. figure 1.12 Maritime and continental climates in summer and winter. Ocean currents The spinning of the Earth creates a force (the Coriolis Force) that makes oceans flow in currents, which are clockwise in the northern hemisphere and anticlockwise in the southern hemisphere (Figure 2.13). If a current is flowing from the poles towards the equator it carries cold polar water into warmer areasthese are cold currents. If a current flows from the hot equator towards the poles it carries warm water into colder areas - these are warm currents. For example, the North Atlantic Drift makes south-west England 12 °C warmer in January than it would otherwise be. Altitude If you walk up a mountain it becomes colder at a rate of about 6.5 °C for every kilometre. This is because the thin air of higher altitudes cannot hold heat. Cloud The hottest parts of the world are not on the equator but a little to the north and south of it (Figure 2.9). This is because equatorial regions have much cloud, which reflects the heat of the Sun. Further from the equator, in the sub-tropics, the sky is clearer and temperatures higher. Atmosphere and weather Ocean currents ------- ► Cold —i► Warm ' ► Seasonal (changes speed or direction due to seasonal winds) figure 2.13 Ocean currents Warm figure 2.14 Air masses over North America, January and July Atmosphere and weather Winds Winds transfer warm or cold air from one place to another. So places in the northern hemisphere, for example, are cold when winds blow from the north - or from the east in winter (when the interiors of continents, with their continental climate, are so cold). When winds blow from the south, temperatures rise. Winds that blow regularly and have uniform characteristics are called air masses. Figure 2.14 shows which air masses affect North America. Warm winds are called Tropical, cold winds are called Polar (T and P). Wet air masses from the sea are called maritime (m), dry air masses from the land are called continental (c). The hottest winds areTc (Tropical continental) because they blow from the hot land. Weather processes and phenomena Atmospheric moisture Humidity means the amount of moisture in the air. Warmer air can hold more water than cold air. When air is holding the maximum amount of water possible at a given temperature it is saturated. Air holding less moisture than this is unsaturated. If you try to add water vapour to saturated air or if you lower the temperature, water vapour will condense out as water droplets. Absolute humidity is the water content of air expressed in grams per cubic metre. Air will be more humid if it has passed over water but dry if it has dropped all its moisture as precipitation and moves inland. Relative humidity is the amount of water vapour in the air expressed as a percentage of the amount that would be present if the air was saturated. If the temperature of a body of air rises, it can hold more water vapour and the relative humidity therefore falls. If the temperature falls, it can hold less water vapour and the relative humidity rises. At 100 per cent relative humidity the air is saturated and the temperature at that point is called the dew point. The height at which a body of air reaches the dew point is called the condensation level. If you heat water it evaporates, changing from a liquid (water) to a gas (water vapour). If you cool air to below its dew point temperature some water vapour will condense out as water droplets. This is what happens in a cloud that is rising (and getting cooler). Condensation is when water droplets form after air is cooled to its dew point. There are several ways this can happen: • radiation from the ground during a clear night-the cold ground cools the • • • • layer of air above it a warm wind blowing over cold ground warm air meeting cold air movement of air from warmer to colder latitudes by ascent up a mountain. Frontal Sublimation is the transition of a substance directly from a solid to gas without passing through the intermediate liquid phase, for example snow evaporating without first melting. sudden heavy rain hot sun warm air rises air heated by ground Precipitation Precipitation includes rain, snow and hail. Precipitation happens when a body of moist air is forced to rise. It rises, cools to below the dew point and water vapour (a gas) condenses into water droplets (a liquid) creating a cloud. There are three ways air can be forced to rise and this leads to three types of precipitation (Figure 2.15): 1 2 Orographic-forced up by a mountain. Frontal - warm air meets cold air and the lighter warm air is forced up over the cold. The line where warm and cold air meet is always called a front. 3 Convectional - hot ground heats the air above it. The heated air becomes ground heats up Convectional figure 2.15 Causes of precipitation Atmosphere and weather less dense as a result and rises. Different parts of the world are affected by these three types of rainfall in different ways. Orographic rain obviously occurs where there are mountains. When winds have passed over mountains they descend, making rain unlikely; this is called a rain shadow. This is why one side of the mountains is often wet, and the other side is dry. Frontal rain is commonest in the mid-latitudes where warm air coming up from the tropics meets cold air from the poles. The weather systems that result are called mid-latitude depressions. Convectional rain is most common in equatorial and tropical regions which are hot and where air is rising (the equatorial low pressure belt). Sub-tropical deserts avoid much convectional rain because the prevailing high pressure (descending air) prevents air rising far enough to reach the dew point. Figures 2.16 and 2.17 show the distribution of precipitation in two halves of the year. You can see that equatorial and mid-latitude areas are wet all year round because they are low pressure all year round. In low pressure air rises, cools and water vapour condenses to give rain. The sub-tropics, such as the Sahara Desert, are dry all year round because air is descending in the sub­ tropical high pressure belt. North Africa is dry in the summer (high pressure) and wet in the winter (low pressure). India is wet in the summer (low pressure) and dry in the winter (high pressure). Figure 2.18 shows the total precipitation for the year. You can see that equatorial areas are the wettest (low pressure all year; heavy convectional rain due to heat). The driest areas are: • • • in the sub-tropical high pressure belt, such as the Sahara Desert In high latitudes in the northern hemisphere (polar high pressure and also because cold air cannot hold much moisture) in the rain shadow of mountains, such as the Andes in South America, the Rockies in North America and the Himalayas in central Asia. 400- 599 mm 200- 399 mm under 200 mm figure 2.16 World distribution of precipitation during northern summer (May to October). Atmosphere and weather 200 - 399 mm under 200 mm figure 2.17 World distribution of precipitation during northern winter (November to April). figure 2.18 World distribution of total annual precipitation. Ta Atmosphere and weather stratus (2 km or lower) figure 2.19 Cloud types Clouds Clouds are of course caused in the same three ways as precipitation - by air rising. Not all clouds produce rainfall because clouds are caused by rising air- so the raindrops have to be heavy enough to overcome the force of this rising air. Furthermore, the droplets in clouds are too small to fall - their average size is 0.1 mm while a raindrop is 0.5- 2.0 mm - so for a raindrop to form one or more things have to happen: 1 2 3 There must be sufficient turbulence in the cloud to allow cloud droplets to hit each other and coalesce (merge) to form raindrops. Raindrops need a small particle of salt, soot, or dust to form around these are called condensation nuclei. If these are not present, droplets of sufficient size will not form. Snowflakes are formed and melt before they reach the ground. figure 2.20 Cumulus clouds over Swifts Creek, Australia. Snow Snow is formed when water vapour condenses at a temperature below freezing­ point, passing directly from gas to solid state and forming small spicules of ice. These unite into crystals that are either flat hexagonal plates or prisms. If condensation continues these crystals unite into snowflakes and if the lower atmosphere is cold enough they will reach the ground without melting. For snow to form and fall there must be plentiful moisture in the atmosphere, a sufficiently low temperature and fairly calm conditions inside a cloud. Hail Hail is common in mid-continental interiors in summer. It falls from lofty cumulonimbus clouds, frequently at the passage of a cold front and after exceptional local heating. Ascending air currents carry drops of water up until they freeze into ice pellets. Drops of super-cooled water (water which has figure 2.21 Cirrus clouds over the La Silla Observatory, Chile. Atmosphere and weather managed to remain liquid even when the air around is below freezing) collide with these ice pellets and freeze round them as a layer of clear ice. The pellets may be carried still higher so water vapour freezes directly onto them. Hailstones may rise and fall several times in a cloud before becoming so heavy they fall to earth. This is why, if a large hailstone is cut in half, it may have layers of clear ice (frozen water) and opaque ice (frozen water vapour). Dew Dew is water droplets on the surface of bodies such as grass that have been cooled by the cold ground so the water vapour condenses as water droplets. This normally happens when night-time radiation of heat from the ground makes the ground cold - it then cools the layer of air immediately above it. The necessary conditions for dew are air with a high humidity, clear skies to allow radiation from the ground back into space, and calm conditions so that the layer of air just above the ground remains in place long enough for it to be cooled. High pressure creates these conditions. Dew is a vital source of water for plants and crops in semi-arid countries such as the Canary Islands and Israel. night calm air high pressure clear sky heat radiates out to space cold ground cools air above it ------------------------------------------- --------------- — Radiation fog TadiationTog «round cools Fog Fog is humid air that has fallen below the dew point and condensation has formed a dense cloud of water droplets. To create fog you need calm conditions (otherwise the fog is simply blown away), humid air and cooling. There are four types of fog (Figure 2.22): radiation, advection, frontal and hill fog. Radiation fog forms when the ground has cooled due to radiation from the ground, usually at night in an anticyclone (high pressure)- clear skies with little wind. This is common in river valleys because the air is humid and cold air, being denser than the surrounding air, sinks down into the valley. Advection fog forms when warm air passes over a cold surface - such as warm air from the sea passing onto the land in winter or warm air from the land passing over a colder sea in summer. For example, the Grand Banks off Newfoundland in eastern Canada has fog 70-100 days a year caused by warm air from the Gulf Stream meeting cold air from the Labrador Current a mid-latitude depression (Figure 2.13). Frontal fog occurs when warm air meets cold air at a front. A front is a line between warm and cold air. Hill fog occurs when air is forced to rise up a slope and cools. For fog to form you need condensation nuclei such as salt, dust or soot. Fog is common in urban areas where coal is burnt including many cities in China and such fog is often called smog. The human impact The greenhouse effect and global warming The glass of a greenhouse admits short-wave solar radiation but blocks the outgoing long-wave radiation, causing the inside of the greenhouse to heat up. Carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere do the same thing - they block some of the radiation trying to escape from the Earth into space, they absorb that heat and reradiate it back into the atmosphere. In this way they can cause the temperature of the Earth’s atmosphere to rise-this is Hill fog figure 2.22 Fog types Atmosphere and weather the enhanced greenhouse effect. Carbon dioxide emissions have risen because of burning coal, oil and gas since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution. The current level of CO2 in the atmosphere is measured at the scientific recording station at Mauna Loa in Hawaii. For periods in the distant past carbon dioxide levels are measured in air bubbles trapped in the Antarctic or Greenland ice sheets. These measurements together show that CO2 levels before industrial emissions began were 260-280 parts per million (ppm) and are now 401 ppm, possibly the highest level for 20 million years (Figure 2.23). So carbon dioxide levels have risen by 45 per cent so far. 410 figure 2.23 Commissions show seasonal oscillations with each year’s maximum occurring during late spring and then declining during the growing season as plants remove some of the atmospheric CO . In addition to burning coal, oil and gas, carbon dioxide is produced by burning wood and peat. Deforestation is another cause of global warming because trees absorb carbon dioxide and the decomposition or burning of cut trees releases CO2. Other greenhouse gases are methane, ozone, chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and nitrous oxide. Methane levels have risen 0.5-2 per cent a year due to increasing numbers of cattle and paddy fields. CFCs are a man-made gas used in aerosols, solvents and refrigerators. Nitrous oxides in the atmosphere have increased by 8 per cent since the Industrial Revolution and come from farming-from nitrogen fertilisers used on farms and the waste products of farm animals. The increase in greenhouse gases is thought to be a cause of global warming. The Earth’s average surface temperature has risen about 0.7 °C since 1900. More than 90 per cent of the additional heat has gone into ocean warming with the remainder warming the atmosphere, so this is thought to lead to the melting of snow and ice, glacier retreat, a decline in Arctic sea ice and subsequent sea level rises. It might also result in the earlier timing of the spring flowering of plants, reduced precipitation in sub-tropical latitudes and increased precipitation at subpolar latitudes and on the equator. Many scientists also believe that global warming is a cause of more extreme weather such as heat waves and tropical cyclones. It terms of the impact on plants and animals, it is expected that global warming will lead to the poleward shift of plant and animal ranges and damage to species most sensitive to temperature change such as Arctic tundra, mangroves and coral reefs. Sea water is naturally alkaline; increases in CO2 may lead to a decrease in alkalinity because the carbon dioxide dissolves in sea water. This relative acidity could further damage coral reefs and fish stocks. Climate change is monitored by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), set up under the auspices of the United Nations. The IPCC predicts that global mean sea levels could rise by 0.18-0.59 metres over the course of the current century. Coastal flooding would be expected as a result of this rise and the flooding would be worst in areas close to sea level, such as the delta of the River Ganges in Bangadesh and low-lying islands such as the Maldives. The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) is an international treaty first negotiated in 1992 that has been signed by over 190 countries. In 1997 the Kyoto Protocol gave all High The 2015 UN Paris Conference was significant because all 196 countries agreed to try to limit global warming to a figure under 2 °C and to transfer resources from richer to poorer countries to help them achieve this. In a bid to spur governments to lift their ambition, the agreement includes a series of reviews of emissions targets that countries will need to undertake. These reviews will start in 2020, and then happen every five years. The agreement says greenhouse gas emissions should reach a peak as soon as possible and then slide rapidly, so the total amount of atmospheric pollution is brought to zero by the latter half of the century. Atmosphere and weather Income Countries (HICs) targets for cutting emissions from the 1990 level by 2008-12; the European Union agreed to cut emissions by 8 per cent. These targets were succeeded by the Doha Amendment in 2012, which established further targets. In the UK, for example, the government’s new goal (set in 2013) was to produce 30 per cent of electricity in the UK through renewable methods (wind, solar, tidal) by 2020 and to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 50 per cent by 2025 from 1990 levels. Issues with climate change policies Most scientists agree that the increase in carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases is causing global warming. A minority are less sure-the temperature of the Earth is not steadily rising but going in fits and starts and the temperature of the planet has been higher than it is today in the distant past. Since the end of the Little Ice Age 200 years ago there have been two warming periods1860-80 and 1910-40-just as great as that of the past 30 years. In other words, greenhouse gases are only one of several influences on temperature: other important influences are the amount of heat emitted by the Sun (which varies), the distance of the Earth from the Sun (which also varies), variations in the tilt of the Earth’s axis, changes in the amount of volcanic dust in the atmosphere and the movement of the continents by continental drift. Global warming over the past 35 years has been slower than many scientists originally predicted - only two-tenths of a degree per decade and slowing almost to a halt in recent years. As for the other predicted effects of global warming, there has been no clear increase in the frequency or severity of storms or droughts and no acceleration of sea-level rise. Arctic sea ice has decreased but Antarctic sea-ice has increased. Scientists who research climate change have a strong vested interest in proving that it is a big problem - they need the problem to exist if they are to get research grants. There is always the danger of bias in their research. Another big unknown is the extent to which global warming and the associated changes can be seen as a slow and gradual process happening over many years, or whether there is a tipping point at which suddenly problems will escalate. For example, it has been postulated that the melting of the Arctic ice could trigger changes in ocean currents in the North Atlantic. The thawing of the permafrost in northern Russia and Canada could release carbon dioxide and methane, which would accelerate global warming. Some people may benefit from global warming while others will suffer. Farms in Canada and northern Europe, for example, may benefit from warmer conditions. Farming zones will shift poleward 250 km for each 1 °C of warming. MICs and Low Income Countries (LICs) are likely to suffer more: figure 2.24 Projected annual mean temperature change. These maps show projected change in annual mean surface air temperature given moderate growth in CO2 emissions, for three time periods, compared with the average temperature for 1980-99. Atmosphere and weather if temperature rose 3 °C, for example, there might be a drop in crop yields across Africa of 35 per cent. There is much uncertainty about what level of warming will be manageable. The level recommended by the IPCC is 2 °C but there is debate about whether this is too much. Another difficult area is knowing what should be done about global warming. LICs object to MICs and HICs suggesting that they should burn less coal, oil or gas - after all, developed countries are prosperous partly because of the economic progress they have made on the back of burning fossil fuels. China is building one coal-fired power station every week because to not do so would be hugely harmful to their economy and the poor in that country. The disadvantages of global warming, to which humans can adapt, are outweighed by the massive benefits of fossil fuels. Some countries feel that there is little point in their cutting back on use of fossil fuels while India and China continue to build large numbers of fossil-fuel based power stations. Unless all countries work together, the efforts of those cutting back will have little impact. 11 Mean temperature llllllll Annual mean temperature °C figure 2.25 Mean temperatures in New Zealand show tremendous annual variation, and are far more significant than the modest long-term trend shown by the blue line. figure 2.26 Sea levels in Vanuatu in the South Pacific peaked in 2009 then fell back. Fossil fuels are still the cheapest and most reliable form of energy for the majority of countries. In the UK the government has encouraged the construction of wind farms as a more sustainable form of energy and one that does not produce greenhouse gases. But wind farms are expensive, they are regarded by many people as ugly, and they are only efficient when the wind is blowing. It is hard to store electricity so conventional power stations burning coal, oil or gas are a more reliable source of energy than wind farms. At a global level renewable energy sources such as wind and solar have contributed almost nothing to cutting carbon emissions. Wind power generates i per cent of the world’s energy, solar power generates even less than that. Case Study Urban climate: Chicago The flat terrain of the Midwest and Lake Michigan make Chicago’s weather unpredictable and frequently extreme. Summer is very warm and often humid. The highest temperatures occur throughout July and August and can reach 35-38 °C. The coldest days are usually in January when the temperature can drop below-18 °C. Chicago receives an average annual rainfall of 80.5 cm per year. Temperature Chicago, with a population of 2.7 million people, is warmer than the surrounding rural areas - it is an urban heat island. The temperature difference Atmosphere and weather Figure 2.27 Chicago can be as great as 3 °C on a sunny day and 6 °C at night in winter. These temperature differences have a number of causes: Building materials have a lower specific heat capacity than grass and trees. Specific heat capacity is the amount of heat required to raise one unit of the material 1 °C. The specific heat capacity of concrete is 800 Joules/kg °C 1 2 3 whereas for soil it can be 2000 Joules/kg °C. So concrete heats up more quickly in the day, warming the air around it. Rural areas have more wet surfaces (in towns, rivers are often covered and water runs off into drains). Evaporation from these wet surfaces produces cooling because heat is absorbed by the process of evaporation. Buildings are heated, and vehicles and air conditioning systems generate heat. Types of area figure Atmosphere and weather 2.28 Temperature profile across Chicago in June. 4 5 Buildings act as a barrier to winds. As winds could in theory convey cooler temperatures from Lake Michigan, this has the effect of keeping the city warmer. Buildings with dark surfaces such as roof tiles have a lower albedothey reflect less solar radiation, absorb more and become hotter. Dark­ coloured tarmac, often used as a road surface, has a low albedo. The denser the built-up area, the hotter it tends to be, so the central business district is the warmest part of the city. Temperature contrasts are greatest when wind speeds are low because wind will carry in cool air from outside the city. Wind speeds are always lowest when air pressure is high. The urban heat island effect tends to be greater in winter because more heat is being generated to keep buildings warm. The effect is also greater at night because buildings store heat generated during the day and slowly emit it at night. A field in a rural area is pointing towards the sky and will reradiate long-wave radiation back into space if the sky is clear. A canyon of buildings does not point towards the sky and this lack of a ‘sky view’ impedes reradiation. The City of Chicago government aims to mitigate the urban heat island effect by giving grants to residents and firms who plant rooftop gardens and trees in their gardens. They have also resurfaced pathways in the city with surfaces that have a higher albedo and thus reflect more solar energy. Figure 2.29 shows the resulting decline in the albedo in recent years. figure 2.29 Chicago albedo change, 1995-2009. Atmosphere and weather figure 2.30 Chicago tries to cool the urban heat island. Humidity Chicago is less humid than the surrounding rural areas because: 1 2 The city is warmer, and higher temperatures lower the relative humidity. Precipitation is quickly removed from the surface into drains. Surfaces in 3 towns are impermeable and water runs off quickly into drains. In rural areas water is held in the soil and this raises the humidity of the air above. Vegetation in rural areas emits water vapour by the process of transpiration. Precipitation Because Chicago is warmer, the hot air is more likely to rise and if it has a high humidity it will cause convectional rainfall (page 48)- short intense bursts of rain and thunderstorms. Urban areas produce particles of dust (notably soot) and these act as condensation nuclei, which encourage rain production (page 49). Because of the warmer temperatures there is less snow in the city than surrounding areas. Winds Winds are lower in Chicago than the countryside because the buildings act as barriers (wind breaks). On the other hand, long streets with tall buildings can act as wind tunnels-winds are funnelled down the street - and Chicago is notoriously gusty as winds are channelled round buildings (eddying). Atmosphere and weather NOW INVESTIGATE 1 Investigate the climate of the country in which you live. What are the precise influences on month-by-month temperature and rainfall averages? 2 Look up the temperature and precipitation levels in different parts of the country where you live. What are the reasons for these variations? 3 Look at the map of weather records shown in Figure 2.31. Research these places and explain why each experienced the record they did. 4 Make a list of all the possible consequences of climate change. 5 Research the various responses in different countries to the challenge of climate change. Atmosphere and weather Intermediate Porphyritic-aphanitic Raindrop impressions Ultramafic Felsic Mafic Abrasion Obsidian Fine grained Basalt Rhyolite Glassy Composition types Vesicular Scoria Root wedging Erosional agents Andesite Tuff Composition Sediments Peridotite Coarse grained Texture Diorite Classification Pegmatitic Sedimentary structures Weathering agents Examples of volcanic igneous rocks Volcanic Plutonic Flute casts Ice wedging Pyroclastic Porphyriticphaneritic Exfoliation Granite Gabbro Weathering and erosion Examples of plutonic igneous rocks Subduction zones The Rock Cycle Divergent boundaries Boundary types Igneous rock Magma pockets Igneous Rocks Formation Lava domes Igneous rock identification methods Volcano types Cinder cones Igneous Rocks Formed from molten rock called magma. Made up of interlocking crystals and usually very hard to break. Volcanoes Visual Composite Modal analysis Petrographic Melting Shield Geochemical Hazards Lava flows Directed blasts . , , . Avalanches and landslides Earthquakes Pyroclastic flows Tsunamis Tephra Volcanic gases Lahars Pyroclastic surges The Rock Cyc e is a continuous process which can take millions of years. The physical characteristics of a rock will depend on its origin, the environmental conditions in which it is found and the processes of weathering and erosion it is exposed to on the surface of the earth. Magma Melting Metamorphic Rocks Igneous or sedimentary rocks changed (metamorphosed) as a result of intense heat and/or pressure within the Earth’s crust. Ripple marks Fossil plant roots Mud cracks Well rounded Sand Animal tracks Reaction with hydrochloric acid Poorly sorted Graded bedding Size of particles Relative smoothness Well sorted Hardness Range of clast sizes Clast size Compacting and cementation etc. Calcite Clast rounding Dolomite Physical properties Sedimentary identification Gypsum Minerals Sedimentary breccia Sedimentary rock Dolostone Sedimentary Rocks Sandstone Examples of sedimentary rocks Sedimentary Rocks Formed from sediment grains deposited by water, wind or ice. Formed in layers, called “beds’1 or “strata”, and often contain fossils. U Mudstone Limestone Formation and lithification Evaporite Metamorphic rock Conglomerate Pressure and heat Cementation — Types of metamorphism Heat Low Impact Fluids present Pressure Intermediate Contact High Formation Meteorites and comets High Significant Low Fault zones Subduction zones Shear Bake zones None Some Intermediate Rocks and weathering Cross bedding It is estimated that the Earth was formed about 4.6 billion years ago (4600 million years ago) by mass planetary movements in space. It is believed that the explosive energy resulting from the birth of our Sun was the momentum needed for space debris to combine for over 20 million years before forming the planets we now recognise in our solar system. A complex process of meteor showers, gravitational movements and volcanism would then slowly help to sculpt a home for life. Most of what we recognise on Earth today is the result of the last 600 million years with human life only identified as existing within the last 195 000 years. The Earth and its features have been in constant evolution being continually grown, shaped and eroded through many physical processes that are still operating today. The continued movement of the Earth and corresponding shifts in climate and global position have resulted in varying characteristics. The characteristic formed at a particular time or period has been given a name based on modern interpretation and discovery. Through each time period the Earth’s creatures have lived and died. Plate tectonics The notion of plate tectonics was first instigated in 1912 by German meteorologist Alfred Wegener whose work included the theory of continental drift. Though many people had professed to notice the similar shapes and jigsaw-like fit of some continents and land masses, Wegener sought to find evidence from a variety of sources to prove his theory that the continents were slowly drifting across the surface of the Earth. Many were sceptical, seeing no clear mechanism for such large scale movements. From the evidence outlined below, Wegener deduced that at one time the Earth was one land mass - a super continent known as Pangaea. Pangaea later split into Gondwanaland and Laurasia before breaking into additional landmasses over time. Now it is widely accepted that the continents are indeed moving in different directions under the influence of large thermic currents under the surface of the Earth. Wegener’s pioneering discoveries have led to greater depth of study and more comprehensive evidence. Evidence for plate tectonics • Geology: Many rocks of a similar age, structure and composition have been found on land masses now thousands of miles apart. For example, the Blue schist of North Wales were formed with those of the east coast of the USA. • Fossils: Fossils have been found of key species in Africa, India and Antarctica. Fossils of the fern Glossopteris have been found in all southern continents as well as Lystrosaurus- a large mammal-like dinosaur that was not known to swim or fly. figure 3.1 Pattern of continental drift from Pangaea to the present day. Rocks and weathering figure 3.2 Lystrosaurus, fossil evidence for plate tectonics • Climatic evidence: Evidence of ice sheets and glaciers has been found in the tropics. Even during the Earth’s coldest periods it was impossible for ice to be formed there unless these areas were once closer to the poles. Coal has been found in Antarctica. Coal forms in tropical conditions. • • This means that Antarctica must have been closer to the equator at some stage. Sea floor spreading: In 1962 Harry Hess studied the age of rocks across the Atlantic. He determined that as new rock is created from plate movements widening the Mid-Atlantic Ridge older rocks are pushed to the edges. Estimates suggest that the Atlantic is widening by an average of 2 cm each year. Paleomagnetism: During underwater volcanic eruptions, basaltic lava is intruded into the crust and cools. Everytime new rock or minerals are created, the magnetic orientation of the time is imprinted in them. Experiments have shown a periodic reversal of the magnetic field showing a pattern of alternating north-south aligned sediments. The structure of the Earth The Earth is often classed as spherical though its equatorial diameter is slightly wider than its polar diameter. It is composed of a series of layers ranging in density and thickness to its centre. Each layer has specific characteristics that are fundamental to the mechanisms of plate tectonics and continental drift. Many comparisons are made to the structure of an egg, which clearly defines three parts - the shell, white and yolk corresponding to the crust, mantle and core respectively. Whilst this is useful as a visual aid, the true nature of the complex interactions can only be explained with a more detailed understanding. north pole figure 3.4 Structure of Earth The lithosphere The lithosphere is the outermost layer composed of the crust (the Earth’s outer layer) and the rigid upper part of the mantle. It is the lithosphere that was ‘cracked’ into tectonic plates during the Earth’s formation. There are seven major plates, eight minor plates and a number of smaller fragments known as micro plates. These plates are rigid and sit on the semi-molten mantle below known as the asthenosphere. The largest plates are the Antarctica, Eurasian and North American plates. Rocks and weathering & Active volcano figure 3.5 Plate boundaries and direction of movement Recent volcanic eruption between 1965 and 2015 Major earthquake zone 0 Major earthquake between 1965 and 2015 Plates can be divided into two main categories based upon their formation and the composition of the rocks or crust they are made up of. Continental plates are on average 125 km thick, reaching their greatest thickness at large mountain ranges. The continental crust (known as sial) is composed of older lighter granitic rock that is rich in minerals such as silica and may range from 5-70 km thick. Oceanic plates are thinner than continental plates, only reaching a thickness of 50-100 km thick, of which the upper 5-10 km may be crust. They are composed of younger and denser rock of balsaltic origin. The boundary between the crust and the mantle is known as the Mohorovicic Discontinuity or Moho for short. Plate movement and boundaries The Earth’s core still retains much of its radioactive heat from its early formation. As the radioactive isotopes break down, the immense heat generated creates convection currents within the mantle. The hot molten, viscous rock is then forced to rise and older rock descends creating a cycle that allows the overlying plates to drift along. However this process is impossible to verify, even with modern technology, and as a result several additional theories have been sought to explain continued plate movements. The slab-pull mechanism is also referred to as dragging theory. In this scenario the oldest edge of a plate furthest from the molten magma becomes cooler and more solid. This solid denser material descends at a subduction zone. Hotspots are vertical plumes of magma that can be found both at plate boundaries and within the middle of a plate. Hotspots occurring within a plate, such as Hawaii which is centrally located in the Pacific Plate, are referred to as intraplate hotspots and are characterised bu volcanic activity. As the tectonic plates move, upsurging magma will continue to be extruded creating a trail of volcanic islands. The mechanism for plate movement is still a subject of debate. The edge of a plate is called its boundary or margin. Plates interact with each other as they move. This movement is largely restricted to three main directional motions - convergent (together), divergent (apart) and transform (side-by-side) — but there are four associated margin types, which are summarised in Table 3.1. Rocks and weathering table 3.1 Types of plate boundary Image Name Explanation Divergent Atlantic Ocean North Amerle,n , , Mid-Atlantic Eurasian plate Constructive plate boundary Transform Conservative margin Conservative plate boundary Destructive plate boundary oceanic crust continental crust lithosphere thosphere asthenosphere A constructive plate boundary occurs when tectonic plates move apart creating an upwelling of magma from beneath. As the plates rarely move rapidly and with little contact with each other, seismic activity is less. Volcanic activity may be present. The North American and Eurasian plates are moving away from each other along the line of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge. Iceland lies on this divergent boundary and has formed due to this and a hotspot. A conservative or transform boundary is characterised by two plates moving side by side. Often plates will move at different rates or in different directions, which puts increased stress between the two ‘slabs’. As friction increases so too will the potential for earthquakes. A classic example is the San Andreas fault in California. The Pacific plate is moving more rapidly northwest than the North American plate by an average of 30 mm a year. The fault is 1300 km long, extends to at least 25 km in depth, and has a northwest-southeast trend. A destructive plate boundary results from a convergence of oceanic and continental plates. As they are forced into each other the denser oceanic plate subducts under the thicker less dense continental plate. The subducting plate becomes increasingly magmatic due to intense heat and pressure as it is destroyed. Volcanic activity may result along with seismic The Andes have been created by the eastward movement of the Nazca plate towards the South American plate by 79 mm each year. The descending Nazca plate is forced down beneath the South American plate causing it to fracture and deform. This results in shallow focus earthquakes and a deep ocean trench. Explosive andesitic magma creates volcanoes such as the stratovolcano Lascar in Chile. Convergent activity. Collisional plate boundary continental crust continental crust lithosphere " asthenosphere J lithosphere — ancient oceanic crust continental-continental convergence Ocean plate­ ocean plate boundary oceanic crust continental crust lithosphere asthenosphere oceanic-oceanic convergence lithosphere Example A collisional plate boundary occurs when plates of equal thickness and densities collide. Though this may be at a relatively slow rate, the extreme pressure is great enough to develop huge mountain chains. Continental crust is thickest here and as a result magmatic intrusions are rare. The Himalayan mountain range and Tibetan plateau formed as a result of collision between the Indian plate and the Eurasian plate. The Himalayas are still rising by more than 1 cm per year as India continues to move northwards into Asia, which explains the occurrence of shallow focus earthquakes in the region. According to seismological data, the ground beneath Kathmandu may have moved about 3 m southward as a result of the 2015 earthquake. Subduction zones may also be formed at an oceanicoceanic convergence zone. In this situation the melted subducting plate may result in submarine volcanoes that may eventually breach the surface to form islands. As these islands occur along a boundary several chains may be formed and are referred to as Island Arcs. Oceanicoceanic subduction results in seismic and volcanic activity. The islands of Japan and the Philippines sit at the junction of several plates, the Eurasian plate, the Philippine plate and the Pacific plate. The Ryukyu Islands are an island arc created by the Philippine plate subducting below the Eurasian plate. Rocks and weathering (b) Period of reverse magnetism (c) Period of normal magnetism figure 3.6 (a), (b) and (c) Divergent plate boundaries, sea floor spreading. Sea floor spreading Divergent plate boundaries occur more commonly in the oceans and are responsible for creating large oceanic ridges and, in combination with other factors, islands such as Iceland. It was not until the early 1960s that the concept of sea floor spreading was considered one of the mechanisms of continental drift. In the Atlantic this constant ‘conveyor belt’ motion is creating enough new ocean floor to widen the Atlantic ocean by 2 cm a year, meaning continental North America and Europe are slowly moving further apart. Since the 1960s, sea floor spreading has been investigated extensively. When lava cools on the sea floor magnetic grains in the rock align themselves in accordance with the Earth’s magnetic field at the time of cooling. This effect of paleomagnetism can be seen in Figure 3.6. Subduction zones Subduction zones occur at collisional plate margins where there is a difference in plate density. In oceanic-continental plate collisions they are generally formed where denser oceanic plates descend under a continental plate into the hot molten layers of the upper mantle. Subduction usually takes place at angles of 30-70°, experiencing an increase in gradient with depth. The dip of the subducting plate is inversely proportional to the speed at which the plates converge. There are several features associated with subduction zones: • • Oceanic trenches or deep-sea trenches are long narrow depressions in the surface of the seafloor along a plate boundary formed as a result of the descending oceanic plate. Oceanic trenches form the deepest parts of the ocean and range between 6000 and 11 000 metres deep where the Mariana trench lies to the east of the Pacific Ocean. A Benioff zone (sometimes referred to as a Wadati-Benioff zone) is a planar zone of seismicity corresponding to a subducting plate. A planar zone is a zone along a line or plane within the rock structure. Wadati-Benioff zone earthquakes develop along the boundary between the two plates as friction dictates (Figure 3.7). 3 Rocks and weathering • Fold mountains and folded sediments are formed by the compression of marine sediments trapped between the converging lithospheric plates at a convergent boundary. These marine sediments are distorted under extreme pressure and thrust upward creating a chain of mountains and volcanoes. The Himalayas are a fine example of fold mountains created by sediments in the Tethys Sea that are now influenced by orographic uplift and continue to shape the greatest mountain range and highest mountain on Earth, Mount Everest. • deep earthquakes (mainly thrust faulting) figure 3.7 Benioff zone figure 3.9 Mount Everest and nearby Himalayan peaks including Nuptse and Lhotse. figure 3.8 Formation of fold mountains Rocks and weathering F Orogenesis Mountain building is the term given to areas of the Earth's surface that experience up-thrusting as a result of convergent plate boundaries. All of the major mountain chains are the result of this process of mountain building or orogenesis and are formed by a combination of inter-plate deformities. The Himalayas is perhaps the best example of orogenesis, created by the AustralianIndian plate forcing into the Eurasian plate some 70 million years ago. Though the effects of this are still ongoing, the rate of uplift is lessened and countered by the effects of weathering and erosion on the mountaintops. The Andes is another example of mountain building, this time created by the force of the collision and resultant subduction of the Nazca plate under the South American plate. Weathering Weathering is the natural process of decomposition and disintegration of rock in situ (original position). Unlike fluvial erosion (river erosion), weathering is brought about by changes in atmospheric conditions such as temperature, moisture and wind acting on a stationary object. The intensity of the weather conditions will be reflected in the rate of weathering, decomposition and disintegration. The rate of weathering will also be heavily influenced by the type and structure of the rock. Weathering is greatest where: • • • there are extreme weather conditions there are poorly resistant rock types the rock has been exposed for a long time. There are two main types of weathering: mechanical (physical) weathering and chemical weathering. Mechanical weathering Mechanical or physical weathering is the disintegration of rock into smaller particles through mechanical processes without a change in the chemical composition of the rock. Mechanical weathering is more likely to be as a result of forces acting on the rock. This type of weathering is more common in high altitude areas, arctic areas and deserts where vegetation is sparse. The weathered material usually forms sand. There are four main types of mechanical weathering: freeze-thaw, salt crystallisation, thermal expansion and pressure release. Freeze-thaw (frost shattering) This process occurs when ice crystals are formed from water in cracks and joints at o °C. As water, on freezing, occupies 9 per cent more volume, it exerts pressure within the joints. Eventually, after continued freeze-thaw, pieces of rock figure 3.10 Frost shattered rock litter on the slopes surrounding Great Staple Tor, Devon, UK. may be shattered from the main body. Freeze-thaw is most effective in periglacial and alpine regions where moisture is plentiful and there are frequent fluctuations above and below freezing point. As a result it is often possible to see evidence in the form of scree and blockfields. Scree or talus are the names given to a collection of shattered material that lies at the foot of a steep slope. Blockfields (felsenmeer) are large angular blocks that have become detached from the main rock body and are usually found on gentler slopes. On Dartmoor much of the granite tors have been subjected to frost shattering, creating large expanses of‘rock litter’ on the slopes below them known as clitter fields. figure 3.11 Honeycomb weathering in a Cambrian sandstone,-Timma Valley, Negev Desert, Israel. 0 Rocks and weathering Salt crystallisation (salt weathering) Salt crystallisation results from the expansion of salt particles that have entered pore spaces within the rock. It is particularly common in coastal environments where sea cliffs are exposed to sea spray but can be found wherever there is water with a high proportion of salt, usually as a result of high evaporation rates. As temperature rises the salt crystals expand and grow exerting pressure on the rock. A type of salt weathering that creates cavities in a rock surface is known as pitting or honeycomb weathering due to its aerated appearance. Thermal expansion (insolation weathering) Thermal expansion is found in areas with a large diurnal (daily) temperature range such as hot deserts. One such example is Snake River Plain in the USA, which experiences an average daily high of 38 °C and a night-time low of 5 °C. Rocks heat up and expand by day but contract at night weakening the outer layers of rock and creating peeling or exfoliation. Despite the dry conditions of deserts it is widely believed that moisture or mineral particles are essential ingredients for rock disintegration. Temperature may affect rocks in a number of ways. Block disintegration occurs in heavily jointed rock, where splits are formed along weaknesses which then break in to large easily defined pieces. Granular disintegration is the breakdown of rock into small pieces, where joints and weaknesses are less defined. In addition to these, layers of rock may peel off the exterior surfaces exposing new surfaces underneath, this is known as exfoliation. Pressure release Pressure release is the process where overlying rocks are removed by erosion. Many rocks have been formed under extreme amounts of pressure over millions of years. One example is the granite batholith of Dartmoor, which was formed by an igneous intrusion into overlying sedimentary layers. The weight of overlying layers squashes lower layers during formation and forces the rock to contract under pressure. The eventual erosion of these upper layers allows the unroofed lower layers to relax and crack. A common comparison is the feeling you get when you take off a large rucksack and your back and spine is able to relax after carrying a heavy weight. Pressure release can be identified by large horizontal cracks and joints that resemble bedding planes but are not bedding planes. These are known as pseudo bedding planes. As the cracks and joints are further worked on by other processes they become wider and deeper. Rocks that may be exposed to a horizontal shift in pressure through such things as a landslide or coastal rockfall may experience vertical pressure release cracks, though they are often smaller and further apart due to relatively less pressure. 3.12 Granite batholiths in Dartmoor National Park, UK. figure Chemical weathering Chemical weathering is the decomposition of rock resulting from a chemical change. Often this is the result of the interaction between rocks and moisture, which leads to dissolved particles and the formation of clays. Chemical weathering is more likely to take place in warm moist vegetated areas. There are several processes of chemical weathering that may operate in isolation or in combination. • Oxidation: occurs when rocks become exposed to air. Often this can be seen as earth is moved, holes are dug or mass movement exposes underlying rock and soil. Iron-rich soils and rocks may appear grey or blue in colour until exposed to the air. The previously ferrous soil and rock will then oxidise and change to a ferric state, turning a rusty orange colour. This same process occurs in iron-rich metals that become exposed to air. Cars, for example, will rust once the outer paint layers have been stripped away and the metal becomes exposed to weathering. 4FeO + O; = 2Fe2O3 ferrous oxide + oxygen = ferric oxide • Hydrolysis: is particularly significant in the decomposition of rocks to form clays. Hydrolysis is the process by which chemical bonds are broken and the components partner up to form different elements. Hydrolysis literally means reaction with water. Hydrolysis is a reaction involving the breaking of a bond in a molecule using water. The reaction mainly occurs between a hydrogen ion in water molecules and often changes the pH of a solution. Rocks and weathering On granite landscapes hydrogen in water reacts with minerals in the rock and are washed through attaching to silicic acid and potassium hydroxyl in • figure 3.13 Malham’s limestone pavement, Yorkshire, • UK, where carbonation has been accentuated by biological weathering. a process known as chelation. Here positive ions attach to negative ions to form a bond. The end product is a fine grey clay called kaolin (also known as china clay), which is considered a mineral of national strategic importance in many countries for its widespread use in glossy paints, magazine print and even as a bulking agent in pharmaceuticals. Acidification: is the process by which liquids become acidic and is a common way in which rocksand minerals are dissolved. The greaterthe concentrations of acids, the greater the effect of weathering. Carbonation: is the process where carbon dioxide, often from rainwater, produces carbonic acid (H;CO3). This is a weak acid solution that reacts with calcium carbonate rocks, such as chalk and limestone. As a result of this interaction rock will dissolve away rock, creating such features as limestone pavements. Carbonation: CaCtJ heat > CaO + CO2 • Acid rain and solution: is caused by greater concentrations of carbon dioxide, sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxide as a result of human activities. These gases then form acids as they combine with water vapour and fall as rain. As with carbonation, acid rain attacks limestone and chalk more readily but also other soft rocks such as sandstone. • Hydration: is related to the absorption of water by rocks. Certain rocks are particularly capable of absorbing water into pores and cracks in their structure. The rocks then swell, sometimes repeatedly in alternating dry and wet conditions and can even change state. One such example is gypsum, which is produced as a result of anhydrite absorbing and locking away moisture. This process is reversible but only if the gypsum is heated to around 200 °C. This process is actually known as a physio-chemical process as a result of the water exerting a pressure on the rock. Biological weathering Biological weathering is the combined processes of mechanical (physical) and chemical weathering. Tree roots and plants have the ability to grow in cracks and joints in rock. As they grow they force the cracks and joints to widen figure 3.14 The effects of chemical and biological weathering often do not occur in isolation. Generally there is a combination of processes present in the decomposition through physical pressure until they eventually become detached. It is also claimed that burrowing animals and macro invertebrates may play a small role of rocks. in this process. 2] intense weathering □ moderate weathering figure Rocks and weathering | slight weathering I I unweathered rock 3.15 The relationship between temperature and precipitation and its effect on depth of weathering (from Strakhov, 1967). 0 | The decomposition and decay of organic material is also responsible for the chemical breakdown of rocks. The greater the amount of moisture, acidity and temperature acting on a rock can all increase the rate of chemical weathering. This is often referred to as organic action. Controls of weathering Climate Climate is a major control in the type and rate of weathering taking place in an area. Whilst it may be expected that the greater the extremes in climate the greater the weathering, the pattern is not always so clear to see. There is a complex relationship between temperature and precipitation and its effect on the depth of weathering, which can be seen in Strakhov’s diagram (Figure 3.15). Attempts to map weathering across the United States showed that there were too many variations to produce a conclusive pattern over large spatial scales. However on a local scale it can be observed that as temperature and precipitation increase so too does the depth and extent of weathering on a rock face. In 1950 Louis C. Peltier, an American physicist and climatologist, attempted to predict the global variation of weathering for any given place based on mean annual temperature and mean annual rainfall. He noticed some important characteristics: Mechanical weathering - frost shattering is an important process that operates around o °C but will not operate: • • • • • during extreme cold or prolonged periods of freezing temperatures during prolonged periods of warm temperatures when there is little moisture available to freeze and expand in cracks and joints when there is too much moisture to freeze when thick vegetative cover protects against insolation. Figures 3.16 (a), (b) and (c) highlight the relationship between types of weathering and atmospheric conditions. Rainfall (mm) figure 3.16 (a) Mechanical weathering: X = too warm and heavy rainfall, Y = too warm and insufficient moisture. figure 3.16 (b) Chemical weathering: Z = insufficient temperature and moisture to allow the chemical breakdown of rocks. figure 3.16 (c) Weathering in relation to mean annual temperature and rainfall. Chemical weathering: • It is thought that the rate of chemical weathering doubles with every 10 °C temperature rise. • In tropical environments surface flows are considered an influential mechanism for removing the heavily decomposed rock material that has led to a lowering of the landscape. Rocks and weathering 0 Geology The type and structure of rock also determines the rate of decomposition and figure disintegration. Rocks can be categorised into sedimentary, metamorphic and igneous based on their formation. Compressed sedimentary rocks tend to have a weaker structure than those formed with intense heat and pressure. Due to the extremes experienced igneous rocks tend to be the most structurally resilient. However it is important to note that different rock types are susceptible to different weathering agents. Limestone, for example, is a sedimentary calcium carbonate rock formed from the decomposition of marine life. Limestone is particularly susceptible to acid carbonation. Granite on the other hand, an extremely resistant igneous rock formed from the cooling of molten magma, is prone to hydrolysis due to the presence of feldspar. Therefore, whilst degree of resistance is an important control of the weathering process, chemical composition and mineral content are also crucial in determining the rate of decomposition. Quartz also has an influence on weathering. Rocks composed of quartz may be more resistant to weathering than rocks made up of less-resistant minerals. Quartz is rarely affected by dissolution (dissolving a solid to form a solution), hydrolysis, and oxidation, therefore rocks composed almost exclusively of the mineral quartz will break down more slowly than other common rock types. Sand on a beach is made up almost completely of quartz grains because chemical weathering alters less resistant feldspar minerals and the resulting 3.17 The relationship between rock types. clays are deposited elsewhere by streams or shoreline currents. Weathering rate SLOW --------------------------------------► FAST BEDROCK TYPE Mineral solubility in water Low (e.g. quartz) Moderate (e.g. feldspar) High (e.g.) calcite Massive (e.g. basalt) Some zones of weakness (e.g. schist) Very fractured or thinly bedded (e.g. slates and shales) Rock structure , CLIMATE Extreme variation, moderate temperature variation (and/or exposure to extreme temperatures, hot OR cold) Stable temperature and/or no exposure to extremes in temperature Temperature High Moderate Low Rainfall SOIL AND ORGANIC CONTENT Thickness of soil layer None-bare rock Thin to moderate Thick Low Moderate High Organic content LENGTH OF EXPOSURE Short Moderate Long Moderate Gentle slopes TOPOGRAPHY Steep slopes figure 3.18 Factors controlling rates of weathering Rocks and weathering Arctic Circle Equator Mountain I Ice cap Tundra climate —Polar Sub-arctic Continental climate (1) Continental climate (2) —Temperate Temperate Wet subtropical^ figure table | Mediterranean Semi-arid . . , i*. HAnd Desert climate J Rainy tropical climate (3)"1_ . Rainy tropical climate (4)J roPlca (1) - with warmest month below 22 °C (2) - with warmest month above 22 °C (3) - with no winter, coolest month above 18 °C (4) - constantly wet throughout the year 3.19 Climate regions 3.2 Climate regions and conditions Climate region Conditions Polar Characterised by heavy mechanical weathering as a result of freeze-thaw and frost shattering. During permanently frozen periods weathering will be minimal. There is a lack of biological activity. Temperate Temperature and precipitation levels fluctuate throughout the year. Mechanical and chemical weathering both prominent. Breakdown of rock moderate. In deciduous forests biological weathering high and coniferous low with acidic soils and chemical breakdown. Arid Evaporation exceeds precipitation as rainfall levels are low and temperature is high. High mechanical weathering and low chemical weathering due to a lack of moisture. High diurnal temperature range leading to thermal expansion (disintegration), salt weathering. Tropical High temperature and rainfall throughout the year with some seasonal variation in moisture. A high proportion of chemical weathering especially limestone areas. Usually intense deep weathering with iron, hydroxides and alumina oxides. Biological weathering also predominant due to the extensive vegetative cover. Mediterranean Dry conditions predominate, which limit the amount of chemical breakdown though there is some seasonal variation. Hot summer temperatures lead to greater amounts of mechanical weathering, such as thermal expansion and salt weathering. Mountains High altitude provides cold conditions characteristic of both polar and temperate regions. High rainfall associated with unstable air and orographic uplift provides high moisture content required for much weathering. During winter months freeze-thaw and frost shattering will be common on exposed slopes. At lower altitudes coniferous trees may cover the slopes, offering some limited chemical weathering especially hydrolysis of granite massifs. Rocks and weathering Slope processes Slope processes are exogenetic processes operating on an inclined surface of the Earth. These surfaces may vary in inclination and be found within any environment including sub-aerial (exposed) and sub-marine (underwater). Generally however the term refers to hill slopes where gravitational influence exceeds the force of resistance. Slope development occurs over time and results largely from the interaction of the climate and rock type as well as the vegetation, soil and human activity occurring there. The nature of the slope influences the hydrology of a drainage basin, its form and features. Sheetwash or sheet erosion is the process by which soil is washed downstream following rainfall activity. Usually it involves two mechanisms. Firstly, soil particles are loosened or detached from the top soil layer by the impact of rain splash. Secondly, sheet erosion or wash carries material away within the surface wash or surface flow (also known as overland flow). Continued sheet wash can eventually cause the scouring of channels within the slope system leading to a series of micro-channels known as rills, which may later form in to larger gullies. Rocks and weathering Rock geology, structure and lithology Whilst geology refers generically to the study of the Earth, the rock structure refers to the rock form and lithology to its physical characteristics. The shape of a slope may be heavily influenced by individual properties of a rock or indeed combination of rocks within an area. Degree of resistance, angle of orientation and dip, type and extent of faults and folds all play their part in the resultant forms. One example is the African Rift Valley. Here divergence of the tectonic plates has allowed the land to fall relative to the surrounding area. Faults may create steep slopes as land is displaced, which creates rift valleys. More gentle activity may cause the land’s surface to buckle but not break, creating fold mountains and gentle slopes. Heavily jointed rock is vulnerable to weathering and erosion as water and chemicals can weaken deep within the rock structure. Soil and aspect The soil profile is largely determined by the parent material underlying the slopes but is in part formed by the breakdown of organic material on the surface. Its structure and texture will largely determine how much water it will hold and the ability of vegetation to grow. Clay soils have the ability to bind or coagulate and form large impermeable layers that may be prone to waterlogging. Large angular rock fragments that are partially decomposed parent rock are referred to as regolith. Regolith is often unconsolidated (loose stones, randomly distributed within a soil profile), with irregular orientation and dip, and can affect the stability of the slope. Heavily periglacial head deposits often contain frost-shattered material that was added to the creeping soil during the last glacial phase 15 000 years ago. Frozen slopes that faced the sun were more prone to seasonal melting allowing soil and debris to flow downslope by solifluction (‘solum’ meaning soil and ‘Auction’ meaning Aow). North facing slopes by contrast receive less sunlight, which creates an asymmetric form. South facing slopes tend to be Aatter and longer, which means greater movement and slip, whereas north facing slopes are shorter and steeper. In this regard aspect is also a key component in shape morphology. Vegetation Whilst there is much variation in the shape and extent of vegetation the nature of plant forms allows roots to bind soil and stabilise the land. According to Osman (2006), studies in Malaysia have shown that there is a signiAcant relationship between root length density, soil water content and slope stability. Slopes with high root density (due to dense vegetation on the surface) are less likely to undergo slope failure. This is because a high root length density results in low soil water content, which in turn results in an increase in shear strength and a decrease in soil permeability. It is suggested that root length density and soil water level could be used as indicators of slope stability and possibly could be used to predict future slope failure. Climate and weather The impacts of climate on weathering have to a certain extent been explored in Weathering (pages 68-73). As a general rule warm moist areas are more susceptible to weathering, which allows a greater range of weathering to occur. In terms of form though, environments that have a greater level of moisture and Auvial action (inAuence of rivers and streams) will experience more rounded slopes and debris. The chemical breakdown of material is more likely to form clays, which in turn produce low slope angles. Arid areas conversely tend to form more angular jagged cliffs and slopes with sharp angular debris with larger more grainy materials. Where heavy rain is present the land may become heavily saturated and the resultant increase in weight can lead to slumping and mass movement. figure 3.21 Mass movement features Rocks and weathering Mass movement and landforms Mass movement is the movement of downhill weathered rock material (regolith, soil, rocks and loose stones) underthe influence of gravity. It differs from mass transport, which is the movement caused by water, wind and ice. In mass movement this weathered material falls, rolls, slides or flows downhill and can create both subtle and dramatic changes to a slope profile. Three basic mechanisms of mass movement can be identified: slide, flow and heave. • • • figure Slide is the movement of a cohesive unit with minimal internal dislocation and deformation. Flow, in contrast, distorts and shapes to the land over which it travels like a viscous liquid. The rate of flow, just like a river, is influenced by its gravitational potential. Heave refers to the slow expansion and movement of debris to the surface perpendicular to the slope. Heave raises the slope profile, often in a series of ridges or mounds. 3.22 Carson and Kirkby mass movement classification model In attempting to classify mass movements Carson and Kirkby (1972) identified the importance of moisture in assisting the process. The result is a classification based on three factors: the speed of flow, angle of slope and moisture content. Slow movements Soil creep is a slow moving phenomenon that usually occurs on vegetated slopes in temperate regions at a rate of less than 1 cm/yr. There are two main causes of soil creep: alternating wet and dry periods cause the soil to expand then contract. During wet periods the soil absorbs more water, becomes heavier and moves downhill under the influence of gravity. In periods with little or no rainfall the soil dries out and contracts. An alternative cause is from freeze-thaw. During freezing ice crystals expand forcing regolith closer to the surface of the slope. When the ground later thaws the displaced material falls back but underthe influence of gravity will end up further down the slope. Soil creep occurs on slopes greater than 50 and can be identified by a series of horizontal ridges running across slopes with a similar shape to that of shallow Rocks and weathering steps. Further evidence may be seen from the displacement of fences and vegetation, which may be stretched or torn. Solifluction is related to the seasonal melting of frozen layers in periglacial environments. It is often considered to be soil flow though the exact translation relates to the influence of the sun (sol) rather than the soil itself. Soliflucted material can travel between 5 cm and ı m per year where vegetation cover is limited. In summer months the topsoil will become saturated from the melting of ice, not only increasing the weight within the soil but also lubricating its descent under the influence of gravity. Flow movements Earthflows are caused by heavily saturated slopes averaging between 50 and 15° at a rate of 1-15 km per year. Mudflows however are often more dramatic and rapid and exceed 1 km per hour. Mudflows require a higher saturation level than earthflows, which can be the result of extreme rainfall or, as in the case of Nevado del Ruiz (see Case Study), rapid glacial melting. Case Study Nevado del Ruiz figure 3.23 Nevado del Ruiz location map On 13 November 1985 a small eruption produced an enormous lahar that buried and destroyed the town of Armero in Tolima, Colombia, causing an estimated 25 000 deaths. A lahar is a large mud and debris flow as a result of volcanic activity. The combination of seismic activity, glacial instability and extreme temperatures all played their part in the deadliest mudflow in history. Below is the BBC news report. 13 November 1985 About 20 000 people are feared dead after a volcanic eruption in northern Colombia. Four towns in the Andes region are reported to have been buried when ash spewed out of the volcano Nevado del Ruiz, causing a mudslide. Rocks and weathering The worst-affected town was Armero, the province of Tolima’s second largest city, about 50 miles from the Colombian capital, Bogota. Armero, which lay in a valley below the 4937 m high volcano, was virtually destroyed - buried by the mud and rubble that swept down onto it The fatal eruption happened during the night when most of the town’s 27 000 residents were in bed. Nevado del Ruiz, known locally as the ‘Sleeping Lion’, had not erupted for nearly 150 years. Increased activity Even though it is located only 500 km from the equator, the volcano’s summit is figure 3.24 Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia covered with snow. The volcano had given some warning of increased activity - in recent months there had been some rumblings from the crater- but the authorities had told Armero residents it was safe to remain in the city. The initial blast began on Wednesday afternoon when ash came showering down. An evacuation was ordered but abandoned when the volcano went quiet at about 1900 local time. However, just after 2100 local time a more serious eruption began causing the summit’s icecap to melt and carry mud and debris down the mountain at speeds of up to 50 km an hour. Rapid movements Slides The fundamental difference between slides and flows is that flows suffer internal deformation whilst slides move together and are not affected by internal derangement. Rocks that are orientated with the angle of slope are particularly susceptible to movement. There are two main types of slide: • J Rocks and weathering Planar landslides are caused when weathered rock becomes detached from the parent rock usually along a plane or joint. As a result the break is often clean and straight. Gravity pulls the material as one down the angle of slope until it reaches the bottom or a point of friction where resistance is greater than gravity. The exposed upper cliff is known as a scarp. • Rotational slides are sometimes referred to as slumping and are formed on a curved failure surface, causing the upper surface to tilt back. This is often caused as saturated weaker rocks such as clays slide over stronger or impermeable rock. Such features are common in areas of seasonal melt and coastal cliffs. Sudden movements Rockfalls are sudden debris movements caused by extreme chemical and/or mechanical weathering, earth movements or coastal wave action. They occur on exposed slopes exceeding 40° with rocks that can become fragmented as a result of their structure. A debris avalanche is a sudden catastrophic collapse (landslide) from an unstable steep-sided mountain, most frequently on volcanoes. They can either be hot-forming as the result of an expanding magma chamber within the cone, or cold - as a result of seismic instability. The Mount St Helens eruption of 1980 experienced a highly unstable bulge on its northern flank 2.9 km3 in volume that ultimately gave way to a devastating debris avalanche. figure 3.26 Rockfall warning sign The human impact The physical processes leading to slope development are varied and complex. Slopes and slope processes are further complicated by the modification of the landscape by humans. The human impact is identified as the intentional or unintentional, beneficial or harmful, direct or indirect effects human activities have on the environment and living things. There are many examples of how human activities have altered weathering and rocks, slope stability and have influenced mass movement. figure 3.27 Landslide during the rainy season in Thailand. Rocks and weathering figure 3.29 Scarred earth where tropical rainforest has been cleared by human activity. Land overuse and clearance Deforestation Deforestation is the clearing of the Earth’s surface, often resulting in land degradation and disturbed ecosystems. Forest clearance is largely done for financial gain though some small-scale sustainable approaches are readily practiced by many societies. Not all deforestation is intentional and clearance may be the result of overgrazing following wildfires or climatic pressures or more simply through mismanagement. Largely however farmers and agri-businesses intentionally clear forest to plant crops and graze livestock. Loss of vegetation has wide implications for the stability and structure of underlying soil and rock, although much profitable agricultural land occurs on low gradient accessible slopes. Other includes fires, mining, urbanisation, road construction, dams. Logging generally results in degradation rather than deforestation, but is often followed by clearing for agriculture. figure 3.30 Causes of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon rainforest, 2000-2005 figure 3.30 Aggregated forest loss in the Brazilian Amazon, 1988-2013 Urbanisation and slope stability Overcrowded areas such as Rio dejanerio have simply run out of space. The safest building land has already been used forcing the newest settlers to find space on already crowded hillsides. As the climate is hot and wet year-round there are optimum conditions for chemical weathering of the bedrock and high saturation risk due to the soft impermeable terrain. Many recent migrants have built temporary shelters in slum or favela areas on steep impractical hillsides. The excessive numbers of these temporary settlements puts increased pressure on the slopes making them even more vulnerable. Mining and extraction Mining and extraction are concerned with the removal of minerals and deposits from under the Earth’s surface. More often than not it is done at great expense and effort with detrimental effects on the landscape for a monetary gain. Mining can be broadly split into surface mining and underground mining. Quarrying is a form of extraction where rock material is removed through cutting and blasting of exposed rock faces. Quarrying is often used in the construction industry. Environmentalists and conservationists have held mining and extraction operations responsible for some of the most devastating and far-reaching effects on the environment. The process of mining fossil fuel and minerals defaces the land with great scars and pits, destroys ecosystems and has many undesirable side effects such as water pollution and the disturbance of hydrologic systems. The movement and relocation of rock debris, soil and unwanted matter is necessary for many excavation activities. Processes involved in extracting valuable minerals are often heavily concerned with what to do with the waste material or overburden. Granite landscapes are particularly desirable for their source of kaolin (china clay), which is a mineral of National Strategic Importance. The granite is made up of quartz, mica and feldspar, but it is only the weathered kaolin contained within the feldspar that is extracted. Using extreme pressure rock fragments are hosed to extract the fine particulate clays before being transported in suspension to large settling pools. Over 80 per cent of the rock material that is extracted from the ground is discarded. The resultant waste material has then to be landscaped and often forms a series of shapely terraced mounds or ridges of huge vertical extent. Much care is taken to landscape the unconsolidated rock material in order to effectively minimise the risk of slope instability and landslides. Overtime the slopes may again become vegetated. figure 3.32 A China clay pit showing the characteristic aqua blue settling pools and heavily uniform landscaped hills resulting from the waste material. Rocks and weathering Case Study The mudflow atAberfan Where dumping occurs in populated places there is greater potential for hazard. In the case of the Welsh mining village of Aberfan, near Merthyr Tydfil, the mismanagement of coal waste led to a devastating mudflow. The disaster at Aberfan is an example of slope overloading. The South Wales coalfield was one of the largest coal deposits across Britain, with large thick deposits that could be accessed through deep mines. In order to access the desired seams much rock waste was removed but with little space to put it in the narrow Welsh valleys, it was deposited on high ground away from the surrounding settlements. On 21 October 1966, following high levels of precipitation, saturated soil, rock and shale started to flow downhill. Over 100 000 m3of debris engulfed part of the town in minutes, including a local junior school. The disaster occurred at 9:00 am, just minutes after the children had moved inside. Of the 147 deaths 116 were children and five were teachers. Just a few hours later and the school would have broken up for half term. Great rescue efforts were made but only a few lives were saved. The official enquiry blamed the National Coal Board for extreme negligence. Since then legislation has been passed regarding the removal and storage of waste material and potentially dangerous heaps have been lowered and landscaped. figure 3.33 British coalfields in the nineteenth century. water spring buried by tip 7 railway canal footpath building spoil heap tip 7 spoil heaps muc and waste slide --------- 1100 m figure 3.34The Aberfan mudflow Rocks and weathering gardens Excavation Excavation refers to the cutting and removal or displacement of rocks and soil. Excavation must be done before any modern construction may begin, whether it is a building such as property and housing or infrastructure such as roads or to lay communications. Often the larger the structure the bigger the excavation must be. The 828-metre-high Burj Khalifa in Dubai was constructed at a cost of US$1.5 billion and covers 309 000 sq m. In preparation the site was extensively excavated and 196 sheet piles were added, each at 50 m depth. To stabilise the disturbed land and to strengthen any weaknesses within the rock 45 000 sq m’of concrete weighing no 000 tonnes was laid. During the construction process engineers had to be aware of the implications of thermal expansion of the building materials, the shift of the ground layers, and the shear stresses resulting from building tilt. Digital clinometers and thermal sensors were used to monitor the building throughout construction and an integrated measurement system was used to monitor ground displacement and disturbance. figure 3.35 Landslide damage in Kas, Antalya.Turkey, 2014. Heavy rainfall caused the road to collapse, sending earth and rock onto the town below. Water on the land Water leakage has often been linked to landslides. Whereas rainfall is a natural incidence, leaking from pipes or sewage is not. The water gets absorbed in the land and makes it heavier. When soil gets heavier gravity has more influence and the excess moisture can act as a lubricant, reducing friction and increasing the potential for sliding. In addition to leakage widespread urbanisation is increasing the amount of the Earth’s impermeable surfaces. Rather than allowing the slow infiltration of water, excessive runoff in combination with extreme weather events has increased the potential for land disturbance. Acid rain or acid precipitation is caused by a chemical reaction that begins when compounds such as sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides are released into the air. These substances can rise very high into the atmosphere where they mix and react with water, oxygen and other chemicals to form more acidic pollutants, known as acid rain. Heavy industry over the last 150 years is largely the cause of such concentrations of acids in the atmosphere. At Bleaklow in the Rocks and weathering Peak District, UK, atmospheric pollution from the surrounding collieries has made the peat moorland more acidic than lemon juice. The implications for this are widespread. Acid conditions of such proportions create uninhabitable environments for plant and animal life. As a result of these biodiversity deserts there is also a lack of vegetation to bind the peat together. Not only is the exposed peat a huge releaser of carbon dioxide, it is also easily eroded. Peat lands are highly absorbent and as a result are very effective at flood prevention in upland areas, storing water and releasing it gradually. Eroded peat also poses problems for our water supply as water companies have to spend more on cleaning the water. figure 3.36 Eroded peat bogs in the Peak National Park, UK. Solutions With greater understanding of our rocks, soils and slopes and the mechanisms that affect their stability, humans have sought ways to reduce their impact on the landscape. Extensive research has been carried outas well as important technological advances that allow us to not only improve our existing practices but also push boundaries in new areas. Slope stability analysis is designed to assess human-made (e.g. embankments, road cuts, open-pit mining, excavations, landfills etc.) or natural slopes using mathematical models to measure the angles of slopes and weight of soil, rock and debris and whether the forces of gravity and friction are in balance. Stable slopes are ones in which these forces are balanced or heavily weighted towards a rigid, stable structure. The main objective of slope stability analysis is to find areas that are potentially at risk of movement and therefore potential hazard. Since 2003, slope stability radar has been developed to remotely scan a rock slope to monitor the spatial deformation of the face. Small movements of a rough wall can be detected with sub-millimetre accuracy by using interferometry techniques. Landslide hazard analysis and mapping can provide useful information for catastrophic loss reduction and can assist in the development of guidelines for sustainable land use planning. Since many factors are considered for landslide hazard mapping, a Geographic Information System (GIS) is an appropriate tool because it has functions of collection, storage, manipulation, display and analysis of large amounts of spatially referenced data that are increasingly used in hazard prediction and mitigation. Structural engineering refers to the design and implementation of stabilising strategies and equipment. There are soft engineering and hard engineering approaches that can be used with varying effect. Soft engineering strategies utilise more natural approaches in keeping with the surrounding Rocks and weathering local environment. Such strategies may involve the use of plant vegetation to bind the soil and intercept rainfall. In addition improved drainage channels may prevent slopes becoming saturated and divert moisture away from lines of weakness such as rock joints and bedding planes. Landscaping is another approach that may seek to reduce the gradient of a slope or rock face in order to limit the likelihood of slippage, deformation or rockfall. Hard engineering approaches rely on the construction of physical structures that may support or hold earth and rock in place. Along many alpine roads wire nets and gabion baskets are used to protect from rockfall. In addition sheet piling may be used to stake the slope, holding hard structures together. Other examples include retaining walls that are designed to restrain soil to unnatural slopes. Retaining walls are used to bind soils between two different elevations, often in areas of terrain possessing undesirable slopes or in areas where the landscape needs to be shaped severely and engineered for more specific purposes, such as hillside farming or roadway overpasses. NOW INVESTIGATE 1 Investigate how tectonic forces have helped shape islands such as Iceland or Hawaii. 2 Investigate the formation of granite landscapes and the processes that help shape them today. 3 Investigate world examples of mining and mineral extraction and how they have impacted the landscape. Rocks and weathering . ue\°Vrt'e<' a ^e35UrefT'e"t of a country’s achievements in three areas: longevity, bv life expectancy at birth; knowlegde is measured n(ievity « rneaSUre hined gross primary, secondary and tertiary school ....... .. ...... In 2014 the UN Development Programme introduced a system of fixed cut-off points (0.55. 0.7 and 0.8) between HDI categories. These points will be used for at least five years. Gr°uPs Population 87 ion Natural increase as a component of population change World population growth Figure 4.1 shows the way that the world’s population has grown - very slowly from the time humans evolved as a species, reaching the first billion (1000 million) in 1804. After 1850 the growth started to accelerate, reaching 2 billion by 1927, 3 billion by i960, 4 billion by 1974, 5 billion by 1987, 6 billion by 1999 and 7 billion in 2011. The acceleration of population growth after 1850 was because of the fall in the death rate. Since the late 1960s the rate of population growth has started to decline because of a fall in the birth rate across all continents. Because so many people had been born in the previous 30 years even if couples only had two children per family the population still grew- many more being born than dying. This is why the world population is expected to rise to 8 billion by 2029 and probably 9 billion by 2150. Some but not all estimates believe the world’s population will peak at 10 billion after which it will fall. Within the lifetime of most people reading this book, the population of the world will decline. The growth rate is currently 1.2 per cent a year; this will fall to less than 1 per cent by 2020 and less than 0.5 per cent by 2050. Table 4.1 shows the variability of growth rates across different continents. Africa has easily the highest growth rate but Asia has easily the largest population. table Population 4.1 Populations and growth rates, 2015 Total population Growth rate per year World 7.5 billion 1.2% Africa 1.2 billion 2.5 % North America 360 million 0.4 % Latin America 650 million 1.2% Asia 4.5 billion 1.1% Europe 745 million 0% Oceania 42 million 1.1% It is important to understand that a high proportion of the world’s population is concentrated in just a few countries. What happens in these countries will determine the future of global population change (Table 4.2). Some terminology • Natural increase is the balance between births and deaths in any year and is expressed as a percentage of the total population size at the beginning of that year. • Birth rate is the number of live births in a year per 1000 people alive at the beginning of that year. • Death rate is the number of deaths in a year per 1000 people alive at the beginning of that year. • Fertility rate represents the number of children that would be born alive to a woman if she were to live to the end of her childbearing years. • Infant mortality rate is the number of children who die before the age of one per 1000 children born alive. • Life expectancy indicates the number of years a newborn infant would life if prevailing patterns of mortality at the time of its birth were to stay the same throughout its life. table 4.2 The most populous countries in the world, 2015 Country Population (millions) China 1360 India 1300 USA 325 Indonesia 260 Brazil 210 Pakistan 193 Nigeria 190 Bangladesh 165 Russia 142 Mexico 130 Japan 126 Philippines 106 Ethiopia 103 Vietnam 97 Egypt 88 Case Study China China has the largest population in the world (1.36 billion in 2015), which is around 20 per cent of the world total. Table 4.3 shows that China’s population has been very high compared to other countries for the past 2000 years. table 4.3 Population growth in China Date Population AD 2 58 000 000 800 70 000 000 1000 87 000 000 1200 105 000 000 1500 110 000 000 1800 260 000 000 1900 400 000 000 1964 695 000 000 1990 1134 000 000 2000 1 266 000 000 2010 1 340 000 000 United Nations projections figure 2030 1 393 000 000 (peak) 2050 1 296 000 000 2100 941 000 000 4.2 Population growth in China In 1950 the death rate was 18 per 1000 and the life expectancy only 35 years. After that date the death rate fell steadily except during a famine between 1958 and 1961 caused by the Chinese government’s failed reorganisation of agriculture. The death rate fell to 6.4 per 1000 in 2002 and has since risen to 7.2 as the population has aged. Life expectancy is now 74. The birth rate in 1950 was 37 per 1000. During the 1970s the birth rate fell from 33 per 1000 to 18 per 1000 because of reduced infant mortality, the increased employment of women, urbanisation and birth control campaigns. Today the figure is 12 per 1000. The natural increase rate in 1950 was 1.9 per cent. With the decline in the Population death rate it rose to a peak of 2.8 per cent in 1964 and then, with the fall in the birth rate, to 0.5 per cent today. The population will decline after 2030 because the death rate will exceed the birth rate (Figure 4.2). Year figure 4.3 Birth and death rates in China Death rate and mortality across the world The death rate may be influenced by: 1 The age structure: When a high proportion of the population is old, the death rate is higher because old people are more likely to die than younger people. 2 Health and nutrition: The death rate has fallen in all countries in recent years because of a combination of improved agriculture, the availability of food aid and the growth of medical services. In some countries the death rate has risen locally because of famine, war, AIDS or Ebola disease but in most parts of the world mortality is declining as conditions improve. In Bangladesh, for example, child mortality (deaths of children under five per 1000 live births - a good index of health) fell from 144 in 1990 to 41 in 2012. Within countries poorer people will have lower life expectancy. The average life expectancy in the USA for black men is 72.2 compared to 76.6 for white 3 4 5 men, who are richer on average. Urbanisation: In the nineteenth century in Britain death rates were higher in cities because of the greater prevalence of infectious diseases; rural areas had cleaner air and better access to food. Today death rates are lower in cities than in rural areas in most LICs because of the greater availability of medical services in urban areas. Level of economic development: As countries develop, a higher proportion of the population go to live in cities, where the death rate is lower. As a country develops it goes through an epidemiological transition - a shift from death caused by infectious disease such as cholera and tuberculosis or insect-carrying disease such as malaria to degenerative diseases associated with a higher standard of living: cancer, heart attacks and strokes. Gender: Women generally live longer. In the USA, for example, life expectancy for white females is 81.3 while for white males it is 76.6. Women also have lower rates of infant mortality, except in a very few LICs where 6 there is relative neglect of female children. Wars: In the Second World War (1939-45) 24 million people were killed in the Soviet Union, which was 14 per cent of the 1939 population. A high proportion of these were men, so the impact on the demography of the country was significant. Population figure 4.4 Death rates across the world Birth rate and fertility across the world There are many influences on the birth rate and fertility. Economic A country’s level of economic development is very important In countries where most people are still farmers and children can help farm the land birth rates are higher. In places with a lower life expectancy due to hunger or disease parents may have more 'insurance children’ to ensure that a few survive. In LICs children are needed to support parents in their old age. Compulsory education of children tends to lower birth rates as does raising the status of women - the more educated women are and the higher their status, the lower the birth rate. As more women take paid jobs, fertility rates tend to fall. Related to economic development is urbanisation. Fertility rates tend to be lower in cities because children are harder to support than in rural areas and family planning is more freely available. Rural areas in MICs/LICs have higher birth rates partly because contraception is expensive, supplies harder to come by and the population may have less knowledge of family planning. Social If a country experiences large-scale immigration from a country that typically has a high fertility rate, then these people may bring their expectations about large families with them. For example, migrants to Britain in the period 2000-15 had larger families than was usual for the UK. The age structure of the population is an important influence on birth rate. If there are many people in the child-bearing age bracket (15-45) then the birth rate will be higher. That is the reason why the birth rate tends to be higher in places with recent immigration of large numbers of working-age people. The same is true of sex ratios. In places with an imbalanced sex ratio such as China, where more boys are born than girls, the birth rate will be depressed. Religious belief has historically had a big impact on birth rates. Some religions, such as Catholicism, oppose the use of contraception and historically this has resulted in Catholic countries having higher birth rates. In times of war the birth rate is low but this is compensated for by a ‘baby boom’ immediately after the war- families who delayed having children during a war have these children when the war ends. Population Educational attainment level normally has a bearing on the birth rate. From U.S. Census Bureau data we know that, among women who were finishing their childbearing years (ages 40-44) in 2010, those with less than a high school qualification had the most children (2.56), and those with advanced degrees had the fewest (1.67) (Figure 4.5). figure 4.5 Number of children born to women in the USA, grouped by educational achievement of the mother. Political Government policies can influence the birth rate. Pro-natalist polices encourage couples to have children. For example, in 1987 pro-natalist policies were introduced in Singapore because the birth rate had fallen to only 1.4 children per couple. The government’s policy was defined by the phrase ‘Have three or more children if you can afford it’- which was essentially a way of saying they wanted educated couples with good jobs to have children, not uneducated citizens who would require more welfare aid if they had larger families. The government’s Social Development Network (SDN) encourages educated Singaporean couples to marry and procreate. Mothers with a third or fourth child get generous financial benefits. If a mother had three O level passes in one sitting, she would qualify for an enhanced child benefit. Families with more than two children get priority access to schools and housing. There are subsidies for each child in a government-run or government-approved childcare centre. The hospital costs of a third child are reduced. Abortions of convenience are discouraged. Women undergoing sterilisation with fewer than three children receive compulsory counselling. A tax rebate is given to mothers who had their second child before the age of 28. The Singaporean policy has had limited effect so far. The majority of women in Singapore are very well educated, have good jobs and prefer to devote their early lives to their careers and leisure. The fertility rate remains low at 1.25. Anti-natalist polices (to limit births) are described in the Case Study (on China) on pages 106-7. The means by which the birth rate changes are use of contraception, age of marriage and proportion of people marrying. Countries where people do not get married or form partnerships before they are 28 or so have lower fertility rates than countries where the average age of marriage is ten years younger because the latter group have more years available to them within which to have children. Historically, in times of hardship the proportion of women who never marry and have children rises. Population Birth rate is the number of births per thousand of the population in one year. figure 4.6 Birth rates across the world The natural increase rate is the difference between the crude birth rate and the crude death rate. Arctic Circle Tropic of Cancer Natural increase rates -1--0.1 0-0.9 1-1.9 >ic ofCapricorn 2-2.9 3-3.9 no data Statistics are for 2013. World average 1.1 figure 4.7 Natural increase rates across the world. Population 0 Dependency ratio The dependency ratio is the ratio between the number of dependents and those who are economically active. ‘Dependents’ are defined as being of two types: those aged under 15 and those over 64 (too young and too old to have a job). So the dependency ratio expressed as a percentage is calculated from the following formula: Number of children (0-14) and elderly (over 64) x Number of people aged 15-64 Obviously the dependency ratio is inaccurate because it does not take into account those who are unemployed, those who choose not to work, those who work after the age of 64 (which more do as pensionable age has risen) and the fact that in many countries children aged 16-21 do not have paid jobs. But it is useful as an indicator of the burden of support that is likely to fall on economically active people. So if the dependency ratio is the proportion of dependents per 100 working­ age population, 40 is low, 60 is high. The average for the whole world is 51. Countries with high birth rates have high dependency ratios because there are so many children: Uganda’s dependency ratio is 102. Countries with long life expectancy have high dependency ratios because old people live longer: Japan’s dependency ratio is 62. Countries which had a high birth rate 65 or more years ago have high dependency ratios because all those babies are now aged 65 or above. This is true of much of Europe because of the baby boom after the Second World War. The birth rate in China was high 40-55 years ago; since the 1970s the country has had a very low birth rate so in 10 or so years’ time, when the large number of people aged 40-55 start to retire, the dependency ratio will worsen - there will be many old people as a proportion of those of working age. Countries with a large number of migrant workers have a low dependency ratio. In the United Arab Emirates the dependency ratio is just 19. See Table 4.4 for the current pattern of young and old people per continent. table 44 Young and old people per continent, 2015 % aged under 15 Africa % aged over 64 41 4 North America 19 14 South America 26 8 Asia 25 7 Europe 6 17 Oceania 24 11 Issues with a young population Having a very young population means that a higher proportion of a country’s income has to be spent on pre- and post-natal care and on schools. Women are less likely to have paid employment because they are looking after children. Issues with an old population Having a large number of old people (see the age/sex structure diagram for Japan on page 95, for example) means that a higher proportion of a country’s income has to be spent on healthcare, welfare services and pensions in HICs. There is an increased demand for small homes suitable for the elderly. Buildings need to be adapted for wheelchair access and disabled facilities. Pressure grows population (in thousands) figure 4.8 Age/sex structure diagram of Zimbabwe, 2015 Population to raise the age at which people can retire. Because old people are more likely to vote than younger people, and because there are many of them, old people become important politically: political parties adjust their policies to appeal to the retired. Age/sex structure diagrams Age/sex structure diagrams are bar graphs of population age with the population divided into males and females. The number of people in any age male 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 6S-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 group will always be affected by the combined effect of death rates, birth rates, immigration and emigration. Zimbabwe An age/sex structure diagram typical of a LIC: high birth rate (many children), high death rate (few old people). (Figure 4.8) Brunei There are fewer people in each five-year group over the age of 50 than those younger than 50. This is despite the fact that the birth rate was higher when the older people were born (40-80 years ago). There are two possible explanations for the smaller number of older people: one is that they have died - the death rate was higher in the past- and the other is that there has been migration into the country of younger people in the past 40 years. We know that a third of the workforce in Brunei is foreign-born so it is likely to be a combination of these two factors. female age group 20 15 10 5 0 population 0 10 5 15 20 (in thousands) figure 4.9 Age/sex structure diagram of Brunei, 2015 figure 4.10 Age/sex structure diagram of China, 2015 China The 2015 age/sex structure diagram of China shows various features: 1 2 3 4 5 Fewer people aged 50-59. This was due to a fall in birth rates during a period called the Great Leap Forward (1958-61) when the communist government began forced industrialisation and private farms became state collectives. Farm yields fell leading to famine; an estimated 30 million people died. During that time infant mortality rates rose and birth rates fell. Rise in number of people aged 40-49. The Great Leap Forward was abandoned and the birth rate rose to its normal level. Fewer people aged 30-39. This was due to the one-child per family policy introduced in 1979. Rise in number of people aged 20-29. This was because the many people born in 2 (above) now had children. Fall in number of people aged 0-19. This is due to the one-child per family policy. The numbers of people aged 0-4 show a slight rise, reflecting a relaxation of the one-child policy since 2000. United States The age/sex structure diagram of the United States shows: 1 Little variation in the birth rate/immigration rate between 1956 and 2015 (people aged 0-59). 2 After the age of 59 people start to die off. 3 In the case of the smaller aged 65-69 bar, there was a low birth rate during the Second World War. 4 There are more elderly women than men. population (in millions) male female age group 100+ 95-99 c 90-94 85-89 80-84 _____ 1 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 12 8 4 00 4 8 12 population (in millions) figure 4.11 Age/sex structure diagram of USA, 2015 male age group female Japan The age/sex structure diagram forjapan shows: 1 A large number of people aged 65-69 - these are people born between 1948 and 1952. This represents a baby boom after the Second World War caused by the fact than many couples delayed having children during the war itself. 2 3 Some 20-30 years later these same baby boomers (born 1948-52) had babies, producing more people now aged 40-49 years old. A low birth rate in recent years together with a large number of old people. population figure (in millions) 4.12 Age/sex structure diagram ofJapan, 2015 Population Demographic transition Demography is the study of human population. The five-stage demographic transition model (Figure 4.13) is based on the experience of England after 1700. figure 4.13 Demographic transition model Stage 1: Before 1750 Death rates were high because of disease (the Black Death wiped out a third of the population of Europe in the fourteenth century), famine caused by bad weather and poor harvests, and wars. The birth rate was high because there was high infant mortality - so families needed several children in order to ensure that enough survived, because at a time when most people were farmers children were a useful form of labour, and because there was no support for elderly parents other than their children. The birth rate tended to rise and the death rate fell when there were good harvests. When harvests were bad or there was an outbreak of war or disease the birth rate fell because people married later (so women had fewer child-bearing years available to them) and a higher proportion of people did not marry. So there was some fluctuation. Overall, however, both the death rate and birth rate were high so they cancelled each other out and natural increase rates were low. Stage 2:1750-1880 The death rate fell for three reasons: • Hygiene improved and this reduced death from disease. Cotton was imported from America, Egypt and India and cotton clothes, which are easier to keep clean, replaced wool. Soap began to be used. There was a growing awareness of the link between hygiene and health, such as John Snow’s research, which showed the link between a polluted well in Soho • (part of London) and the distribution of cholera victims. In the late nineteenth century governments tried to improve the urban environment. Municipal corporations were created and they built sewers to take waste away from cities and treat it. Population • More food was available because of the Agricultural Revolution (improved farming methods) and the import of grain from North America (made possible by the invention of the steel plough to cultivate the prairies and the steel ship to transport grain). The birth rate was little changed because at this stage the factors keeping the birth rate high were still in place. The increased supply of food even caused the birth rate to rise in some areas. Because the death rate fell and the birth rate remained high, the natural increase rate rose. Stage 3:1880-1930 Now the birth rate began to fall. The death rate had fallen so there was less need to have ‘insurance children.’ Because of the Industrial Revolution more people moved from the countryside to towns for work; in towns children were less useful. Laws were passed to limit the age at which children could work and education became compulsory. There was a growing realisation that having many children could depress the family’s standard of living. Because the birth rate fell, the natural increase rate fell. Stage 4:1930-1980 The death rate fell further because of the development of modern medicine and rising standards of living. The birth rate fell further because of the rapid expansion of education for women and the development of contraception. The birth rate fluctuated - down during periods of economic austerity such as the 1930s and during wars (1914-18 and 1939-45), up during periods of economic boom (the 1960s), up after the wars because parents had delayed having children during the war. Baby booms repeat themselves after 20-30 years because if many children are born in the 1960s, for example, then 20-30 years later those same people have children. Because the birth rate fell, the natural increase rate fell. Stage 5:1980-present Old people are now living longer and the birth rate remains low. So the proportion of the population who are older has risen. This fact pushed the death rate up simply because old people are more likely to die. The birth rate was pushed up by the arrival of immigrant families, especially in the period 2000-2010. Immigrants from Eastern Europe tended to be aged 20-30, which is in the child-bearing age bracket. Many immigrants went to work in London so the birth rate in London was especially high. Natural increase remained low. How useful is the demographic transition model? 1 It is a simplification. In England in the nineteenth century urban areas had a lower birth rate but their death rate remained high because of disease. Different social classes had different experiences, with the death rate remaining higher for poorer groups. 2 France had no stage 2 at all. The birth rate fell earlier than in England because under the 1804 Napoleonic Code when parents died their land had to be divided amongst all their children; if you had many children, their individual plots of land would be too small to be useful. Italy, in contrast, had a long stage 2: most people in Italy were Catholic, a religion which banned abortion and the use of contraception. In the 1930s the fascist 3 government encouraged families to have many children. Although most LICs have passed through stages 2 and 3 of the demographic transition, comparisons with England could be misleading: Population & • • • • • • The death rate in LICs has fallen for different reasons. In England modern medicine played little part in the early fall of the death rate. In LICs successful campaigns against the killer diseases of cholera, polio, typhoid, malaria, yellow fever, tuberculosis and smallpox have been important. In Sri Lanka, for example, the death rate fell 34 per cent between 1946 and 1947 because spraying coastal areas with DDT eliminated malaria-carrying mosquitoes. In LICs the death-delaying innovations (improved agriculture, food imports, hygiene and medicine) all arrived in a short period of time. The birth rate was and is higher in many MICs/LICs than it ever was in England. The birth rate in England in 1720 was 33 per 1000 but in some African countries today it is over 40 per 1000. The reason for this higher birth rate is that people are marrying younger and a higher proportion are marrying than was the case in England at an equivalent stage. This is why the highest level of natural increase ever reached in England was below 2 per cent; the natural increase rate for Africa is currently 2.5 per cent and in Uganda it is 3.4 per cent. When England went through stage 2 the population size was small (20 million); in many MICs/LICs the populations are very large (China1360 million, India-1300 million, Indonesia - 260 million). LICs are at the beginning of their economic development; when England went through stage 2 it was one of the most prosperous countries in the world. The ‘excess population’ of England migrated in the nineteenth century to North America, Australia, New Zealand and South Africa; today few countries have this pressure-release valve of mass emigration. Population, development and age structure As a country develops and passes through the demographic transition so the age structure will change (Figure 4.14). Stage 2: Early expanding Stage 1: High stationary Zimbabwe, 2015 Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2015 male age group 9876543210 male age group 100+ 100+ 95-99 95-99 90-94 90-94 85-89 85-89 80-84 80-84 75-79 75-79 70-74 70-74 65-69 65-69 60-64 60-64 55-59 55-59 50-54 50-54 45-49 45-49 40-44 40-44 35-39 35-39 30-34 30-34 25-29 25-29 20-24 20-24 15-19 15-19 10-14 10-14 5-9 5-9 0-4 0-4 0123456789 percentage of total population figure female 9876543210 0123456789 percentage of total population 4.14 Age/sex structure diagrams showing how the shape of the age/sex structure diagram of a country changes as it develops. Population female Stage 4: Low stationary Stage 3: Late expanding Argentina, 2015 male age group UK, 2015 female age group female 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 percentage of total population Stage 5: Declining Japan, 2015 age group female 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 percentage of total population Population-resource relationships Population-resource relationships: theories In this section we first consider three theories relating to population-resource relationships: • • • Rev. Thomas Malthus’s theory Ester Boserup’s theory the concepts of overpopulation, underpopulation and optimum population. Rev. Thomas Malthus In 1798 Rev. Thomas Malthus published an influential book, An Essay on the Principle of Population. He claimed that populations would always tend to rise to a level where they exceeded the resources (especially food) able to support them, at which point population levels would crash. Population, he said, tends to double -1, 2,4, 8,16 - while food supplies at the same time only grow arithmetically-1,2, 3,4, 5. When the population became too great the death rate would rise due to war, disease and famine - all caused by food shortages. In addition, when food was expensive the birth rate would fall because people would marry later and avoid having so many children. figure 4.15 Rev. Thomas Malthus Population In the 1960s and 1970s, when the world’s population was growing fastest, a number of books were published which echoed the Malthusian theory that population rose to exceed resources. In 1968 the American biologist Paul R. Ehrlich published The Population Bomb, which begins with the statement “In the 1970s hundreds of millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked on now.” In 1972 a research association called The Club of Rome published a report called Limits to Growth that used computer modelling to show that the rapidly growing population was about to exceed the resources available to support it. These people are sometimes called neo-Malthusian because they all echo Malthus’s early theory- they assume that there are ecological limits to growth, whether food, water, soil, fertiliser or fossil fuels. Biologists also talk about the carrying capacity of an area - the population it can support without environmental degradation. Carrying capacity is an ecological term that applies to animals - when the population of a species of, for example, red deer exceeds the capacity of the environment there will be inadequate fodder, soil erosion will take place, and the population of deer will collapse. These concepts are of some but limited value. Malthus wrote his book right at the beginning of the Agricultural Revolution and the Industrial Revolution in England - the application of technology to farming and manufacturing in England, technologies which would spread around the world in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. This was bad luck for him because both these events allowed food and industrial production to move ahead much faster than population growth. Malthus was proved wrong. Food shortages affecting humans (as opposed to wild animals) are not normally due to population growth. Over the past 40 years food production has grown faster than population in most parts of the world, largely due to technological innovation. Between 1950 and 2000 the human population increased two-and-a-half times but food production more than tripled. Food shortages affecting humans are more often due to inequality and poverty - there is enough food to feed the world but the poorest people cannot afford it. Sometimes food shortages are due to wars, which prevent food getting to places it is needed and which generate refugees who lack the resources needed to grow or buy food. The International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Austria has looked in detail at areas of as-yet uncultivated land in the world that could be brought into production: land with good soil which would be watered by rain and would not need deforestation. They have concluded that 1.3 billion hectares of unused land could be profitably farmed - equivalent to 80 per cent of all the crop fields today. Some of this ‘spare’ land is in North America and Russia but most of it is in South America and Africa. So the world has plenty of farmland. The huge gap in crop yields between Eastern Asia and Africa suggests that the best way of increasing the world’s food supply is to apply western technology to areas which have not yet had access to it (Africa). Large parts of sub-Saharan Africa have good soils, good rainfall, but crop yields that are less than a quarter of what they could be. The problems are neither ecological nor demographic-the problems are poverty, poor infrastructure, weak markets, lack of skills, harmful government regulations and poor trade terms. Malthus believed that population growth always led, overtime, to hunger. There is a completely contrary school of thought which states that when population grows and food shortages loom this stimulates innovation and food supplies grow. This is shown in Ester Boserup’s model (Figure 4.18). figure 4.17 Crop yields per hectare compared to attainable yields 100 Population Ester Boserup Ester Boserup (1910-99) was a Danish economist who studied agricultural development. She found, for example, that traditional farming methods involved ‘slash-and-burn’- cutting down the forest, burning it and planting crops. If yields began to decline after a couple of years the farmers would move on and clear another area of forest. But once the population began to rise there was inadequate land to feed the population using the slash-and-burn method so farmers were forced to experiment with fertilisers, hoes and other technologies - which led to significant yield improvements. figure 4.18 Ester Boserup’s model All the evidence suggests that as a country develops economically the birth rate falls until natural increase is at a low level. In 1965 the world population was growing at 2.0 % a year; this has fallen to 1.2 % in 2015, will fall to less than 1 % by 2020 and less than 0.5 % by 2050 (Figure 4.19). Overpopulation, underpopulation and optimum population Overpopulation means a situation where the population of an area exceeds the carrying capacity of that area. The term can apply to a country or to the whole planet. Symptoms of overpopulation are: • • • • • as the population grows the average standard of living or quality of life declines food shortages water shortages environmental deterioration such as soil erosion, air pollution, deforestation, declining fish stocks, species extinction or, in the context of the whole planet, global warming congestion. Population EE Underpopulation means a situation where the population is at too low a level to make full use of the resources it possesses. An increase in the population would lead to a bigger workforce and more production per person. Optimum population is a theoretical state where any increase or decrease in population might lead to a lower standard of living or lower quality of life. The concepts of overpopulation, underpopulation and optimum population are also controversial. Malthus’s theory implied that populations would always rise until they exceeded the carrying capacity of the area, leading to war, disease and famine. His theory persuaded people in nineteenth-century Britain that giving help to the poor could be counterproductive - they would simply have more children and the situation would become even worse. But as we know, Malthus was wrong. Since i960 populations have risen fast with limited numbers of wars and rapidly declining numbers of deaths from disease or famine. Technology has greatly increased food supply. Improved transport and communications have enabled food aid to reach areas of shortage. Residents of a city may feel that it is overpopulated (too much traffic, high house prices, air pollution) but at the same time incomes and production levels are high. Many environmental problems caused by humans have been overcome. Air pollution caused by burning coal, a huge problem in Britain before i960, was largely eliminated by government legislation (the Clean Air Acts), which forced people to use smoke-free coal and alternative cleaner sources of energy. Today most informed people believe that hunger is caused not by population levels but by poverty and inequality-there is enough food in the world, but it is unequally distributed. Population-food supply relationships: reality The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) estimated that about 805 million people were chronically undernourished in 2012-14, down more than 100 million compared to the previous decade. Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest prevalence of undernourishment, with only modest progress in recent years; around one in four people in the region remains undernourished. Famines (many dying because of hunger) are much less frequent than they used to be. In the first part of the twentieth century millions died in famines in China and India. The last famine on this scale was in China between 1959 and 1961 and was caused by the communist government reorganising agriculture, rather than a natural event. Large famines in the past 20 years have been: • • • 1998 Sudan, caused by war and drought 1998-2000 Ethiopia, caused by drought and war with Eritrea 1998-2004 Democratic Republic of the Congo, caused by war • • 2011-12 Somalia, due to drought 2012 Sahel region of Africa, due to drought. But none of these was as severe as famines in the past, partly because of food aid from the international community. figure 4.20 Norman Borlaug 102 Population Technology to the rescue The American Norman Borlaug, working out of a research centre in Mexico, developed high-yielding varieties (HYVs) of wheat suited to hot climates and these were introduced to India in the late 1960s, helping to double their wheat production in only six years. This, and other measures, was called the ‘Green Revolution’. At the same time another American, Henry Beachell, developed a highyielding variety of rice at the International Rice Research Centre in the Philippines and this was adopted throughout Asia. Within 20 years wheat and rice production in Asia had doubled. HYVs are not without their critics. The HYVs need additional water and fertiliser to grow well. They are not ‘miracle’ seeds but plants better able to grow if they are given extra inputs. So HYVs were more easily adopted by wealthier farmers. As a result richer farmers benefitted most and were able to buy the land of poorer farmers. HYVs need fertiliser and this is made from fossil fuels. Fossil fuels are expensive, finite in quantity and are of course implicated in climatic change. The introduction of HYVs meant that a wider variety of types of wheat and rice were replaced by one species. This carries the risk of disease that attacks the new strain, thereby causing disaster. HYVs, genetically-modified crops, animal breeding to produce larger or more productive animals, fertilisers, pesticides, irrigation, new forms of machinerythese technological innovations have all hugely increased agricultural production. A dairy cow in 1900 produced 2000 litres of milk a year; now, with enough feed, she can produce up to 10 000 litres. This technology is unevenly distributed. The gap in production between the HICs and the MICs/LICs has widened. Lagging behind has been sub-Saharan Africa where many farmers still use hand tools, make little use of industrial fertilisers and where yields per hectare are little higher than they were a hundred years ago. So the world as a whole produces enough food for everyone, but it is unevenly distributed and the poorest areas suffer food shortages. Population: food relationships - five types of country 1 Big traditional food producers According to the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations, only 41 countries are net exporters of food. The HICs that export food include the USA, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and France. Most of these countries have a good climate and rich soil. The USA, for example, has a long growing season and much good soil. Farmers use hybrid seeds, nitrogen fertilisers and pesticides. The road, rail and air infrastructure is excellent, markets are efficient, the government is well organised. So the biggest food exporter in the world is the USA where less than 3 per cent of workers are engaged in agriculture. Much of this food is exported to MICs/LICs where up to 75 per cent of the workforce are farmers. 2 Emerging food exporters These are countries that have started to export food relatively recently - Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay, Bolivia, Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Thailand, Vietnam and Myanmar. Some, like Russia and Ukraine, have a great deal of arable land per person, some have rich soils such as the deep loess soil of Argentina. The fertile river deltas of Thailand, Vietnam and Myanmar have good rainfall and year-round warmth allowing three rice harvests a year. Brazilian food production grew after the discovery in the 1960s that the infertile soils of the central plains could be improved by adding lime and phosphorus. A version of the soybean, which grew in temperate parts of China, was developed for tropical Brazil and production of this has increased greatly. 3 Countries that are just self-sufficient This includes some countries with huge populations such as China, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Indonesia. These are countries where food production has kept up with population growth but they need most of this production to feed their own people. They have benefitted from the use of high-yielding seed varieties and other western technologies. 4 High income food importers These are countries with limited land or limited water or dense populations. They are not able to grow enough food but they are high enough in income to import food. These include oil-rich Middle East states such as Saudi Arabia, as well as Japan, South Korea and the UK. figure 4.21 Major commodity exporters and importers, 2011. Population 103 5 Low income food importers Low income countries that do not produce sufficient food include parts of Central America, Asian countries like the Philippines, as well as North Africa and the Middle East. But the largest group of countries in this category are in subSaharan Africa; this region has average yields of 1.2 tonnes of grain per hectare compared to 8 tonnes in North America and Europe. Coastal cities survive by importing food from abroad while inland farmers grow food forthemselves with limited connection to urban markets. These farmers have too low an income to buy the technology that would allow yields to improve. The populations of these countries have grown fast- Egypt, for example, from 28 million in i960 to 88 million in 2015. Governments are often corrupt or weak, wars and civil unrest are common. Possible limits to food production There is some concern that, despite the marvellous progress in terms of food production of the past 50 years, we cannot expect the same rate of progress in the future. Crop yields are no longer rising as fast as they did in the period from 1960-90. High-yielding plant varieties may have now reached the limit of increased yield. Bacteria, fungi and weeds have evolved to become resistant to chemicals. In some parts of the world land is in short supply: most suitable agricultural land is already in use and much good land is being lost to construction, to house a growing population. Since 1945 Japan has lost a third of its arable area to urban development. Over-cultivation and over-grazing are causing some farmland to become degraded, especially in drier areas. Water supplies are finite. Around 40 per cent of the world’s food is produced on land which is irrigated. Much of this comes from aquifers under the ground. Some of the water stored in such aquifers fell as rain in a previous wetter climate and will not be replenished. Some others are replenished but not as fast as the water is pumped out. For example, the aquifer under the North China Plain, which produces half of China’s wheat, is falling by 3-6 metres a year. Climate change may be worsening the situation: one of the hottest years recorded in the USA was 2012. In the Great Plains there was little rain for two months of the summer. The US Department of Agriculture declared natural disasters in over half the states in the country. The hot, dry weather destroyed a sixth of the maize crop and an eighth of the soybeans. Weather events like this may be becoming more frequent. The insurance group Munich Re suggests that the number of extreme weather events has tripled since 1980- possibly due to climate change. Finally, more and more farms are producing non-food crops, especially biofuels. Maize contains starch that can be broken down into sugars and distilled into ethanol. The ethanol can then be blended with petrol to produce a fuel that works in vehicles. In 2007 the US Congress passed the Energy Independence and Security Act, which required the use of 164 billion litres of renewable fuel by 2022 with up to 68 billion litres coming from maize, all of it subsidised by the US government. The aim was to reduce US dependence on oil imports. As a result, by 201140 per cent of US maize was used to make petrol. This has limited maize exports to the rest of the world. 104 Population Case Study A COUNTRY WITH INADEQUATE FOOD: YEMEN Yemen in southern Arabia is one of the poorest countries in the world. Progress in economic and social development over recent years has been slow, mainly as a result of political instability and weak governance. The security situation is fragile and unpredictable, with conflict in the north, secessionists in the south and an increasing presence of militant groups, including Al-Qaeda. In 2015, 26 per cent of the population was undernourished. The population of Yemen is 25 million and the fertility rate of 4.4 children per woman is amongst the highest in the world. Food supply cannot match this. There is limited availability of land suitable for cultivation because much of the country is mountainous. Water is scarce because of low rainfall and limited piped water. Despite this nearly two-thirds of the country’s people depend on agriculture, and more than 90 per cent of water is used for irrigation. Farming methods are primitive and there is little use of modern technology. Much of the available land is not used for growing food but for the narcotic leaf qat, which commands a high price on local markets; 40-50 per cent of water for agriculture is used to irrigate qat. For these reasons Yemen is highly dependent on food imports. About 90 percent of wheat and 100 percent of rice, the country’s two main staples, are imported. Such high exposure to the international food market makes the country vulnerable to international food price rises. Most export revenue comes from oil; in 2015, more than 90 per cent of foreign exchange earnings were from exports of oil and gas. Oil exports have been reduced by attacks on the pipelines that carry crude oil to the ports, resulting in lower foreign exchange earnings and limiting the funds available for importing essential commodities, including food. Low agricultural productivity contributes significantly to poverty, as nearly two-thirds of the country’s people depend on agriculture for their livelihoods. Currently, about 5 million people in Yemen depend on food aid. To support the restoration of stability, the government’s National Food Security Strategy (NFSS) aims to make 90 per cent of the population foodsecure by 2020. To meet these goals, the NFSS action plan includes measures to decrease qat production and consumption, reduce Yemen’s vulnerability to global food price shocks and promote the sustainable use of water. Efforts to fight poverty in rural areas, increase farm incomes and create more jobs are centred on measures to increase access to inputs - such as improved seed varieties of grains and oilseeds-and to upgrade agricultural marketing. figure Yemen. 4.23 Qat being sold in the local market in Lahij, The management of natural increase Case Study China: the one-child policy The Chinese one-child per family policy ran from 1979 to 2015. The aim was to reduce the rate of population growth because the government could see that at prevailing rates of growth the country would face shortages of food and other resources in the future. The population had risen from 550 million in 1950 to nearly 1000 million in 1979-a much greater size than any other country in the world. The population was rising fast because of the falling death rate- life expectancy had risen from 36 in 1950 to 67 in 1979. Chinese planners estimated that the optimum population for China was 700 million and the plan was to reduce the population to that level by 2080. During the 1960s the government had encouraged couples to have children so by 1979 there were huge numbers of people coming into child­ bearing age; even if each couple had only one child there were so many of them that the population was set to grow rapidly for some years to come. The rules were that no woman could marry under the age of 20, that in order to have a baby a permit was required and permits would only be granted to women of the right age who had not already had a child. If a woman became pregnant without a licence she would be ‘encouraged’to have an abortion. Women were given free contraception and pre-natal classes. Individual areas were set targets for enforcing these rules. If a woman managed to have a child with a licence, that child would receive free nursery care and education. Women with one child would be sterilised. If a woman went on to have a second child without a licence the couple would face a severe fine, but there were no penalties for having twins. The policy was largely applied to urban areas. In rural areas couples were allowed two children but with a two-year gap. j.ta Population The policy worked only because China had long been a country where the government had a big influence over the daily lives of people and most were accepting of the government’s rulings. Decisions by the government could be enforced by provincial governments and by nominated leaders in state-owned factories and farms. Even at street level women known as the ‘granny police’ were chosen to check that local couples were following the new rules. Results of the policy • The birth rate fell dramatically. Between 1979 and 2011 200-400 million births that would have happened were prevented. It is now thought that the population will peak at around 1.4 billion in 2030 and then fall. • Because many couples preferred a boy to a girl many girl babies were aborted or killed at birth or given away for adoption. As a result there are now 117 boys for every 100 girls. • Most children have no brothers, sisters, cousins or aunts/uncles. • There are fewer children to support parents and grandparents in their old age. This leaves the older generations relying on retirement savings or charity. • The only-children are often spoilt, over-indulged and have been dubbed ‘little emperors.’ • The policy violates human rights by forcing women to have abortions or be sterilised. People have a right to have as many children as they wish. In 2013 the rules were relaxed and more couples were permitted to have two children. However, relatively few chose to do so. Since 1979 China has become much more educated and children are expensive. The government is anxious that so few young people will have to support so many old people, and in 2015 the two-child policy became universal. NOW INVESTIGATE 1 Look up the current age/sex structure diagram of the country in which you live and explain it in terms of birth rates, death rates and migration. 2 Find an example of a country that has pro-natalist policies - policies designed to increase the birth rate. Why were such polices needed? What steps did the government take? Have they worked? 3 In the country where you live, what are the issues relating to the age structure of the population and the way it is expected to change over the next 50 years? Population 107 The graphics on this page represent the migrant population situation in the world and for selected countries. Migrant population is defined as an estimate of the number of people living in a country or area other than that in which they were born. Spain -296 036 North America 53.1M World International Migrant Population 2013 231.5M Latin America and the Caribbean 8.5M 5 Migration Qatar -17 422 Europe 72.4M Asia 70.8M Africa 18.6M Oceania 7.9M 109 Migration as a component of population change What is migration? Migration is a subject that academic geographers have devoted more time to than the other aspects of population geography, so what is migration? It is defined by the United Nations as “the permanent or semi-permanent change of residence of an individual or group of people”, where permanent means for more than one year. It is however a much more complex picture than that statement suggests and it is a topic that provokes discussion throughout the world. The three criteria of distance, time and origin are often used in an attempt to classify migration patterns. To explain these movements further it is usual to subdivide them into internal migration where people move within international boundaries, such as from province to province, and international migration where migrants cross from one sovereign country to another. International migration has specific terms for the people making these moves referring to immigration and immigrants for people moving into a country and emigration and emigrants for people moving out. The terms in-migration and out­ migration refer to the corresponding internal migratory movements. If the total number of people entering an area exceeds the number leaving it is said to have a positive net migration balance and if the reverse is the case then the net migration will have a negative balance. figure 5.1 Issues relating to migration Types of migration Migrations start from an origin or source nation and end at a destination or host nation depending on whether the migration is internal or international. A migrant stream might develop if sufficient numbers of migrants share a common origin and destination; a good example of this would be the 1950s and 1960s migration from the West Indian islands to the UK. Where migrants make the reverse journey, for whatever reason, a counterstream might develop, such as UK migrants going to Australia and then becoming dissatisfied with their new home and returning to the UK. These counter-streams tend to have fewer people moving along them. Most migrations take the form of step migrations, with migrants making several short moves but each time moving to a slighter larger or more important settlement. 110 Migration Village to market town Market town to regional city Regional city to national conurbation The West Indian migrations also exhibited chain migration where migrants from specific islands migrated to specific areas of London following earlier arrivals who had established themselves in these districts. Circular migration, sometimes called repeat migration, is the temporary and usually repetitive movement of a migrant worker between home and host areas, typically for the purpose of employment It represents an established pattern of mobility, whether cross-country or rural-urban. Case Study Seasonal migration to Goa, India Raj is a DVD salesman. He is married with a nine-month-old daughter and comes from the ancient city of Hampi in Karnataka, India. For the last 13 years he has spent eight months a year selling to tourists on the beaches of Goa. The rest of the year, during the monsoon season, he is a farm labourer back home. It is a precarious way to earn a living but it is his job - he has no other skills other than his winning ways and ready smile. His income is dependent upon the number of tourists in Goa and a bad tourist year means a difficult year for him and his family. Nevertheless he supports his immediate family and his extended family back home to whom he sends money (remittances) every month. Of course the DVDs are copies but at the equivalent of US$1.50 each, with all the most recent titles available long before they are in the shops at home, tourists are happy to buy. figure figure 5.2 The SS Empire Windrush carried immigrants from the West Indies to England for the first time in 1948. 5.3 Beach DVD seller Migration So why do people migrate? Pull factors: Perceived by migrant Push factors: Reality Greater job opportunities Poor qua ity of life Higher standard of living Disasters City life - ‘bright lights’ Marriage Area able to support population Harsh environment Family members already there Economic hardship Persecution Permitting factors: Population pressure Infrastructural improvements, new roads/ rail connections, internal air traffic etc. Lack of work Major development project, needing labour figure 5.4 Push and pull factors Case Study Push and pull factors in Turkey Whilst considering all the possible factors for migration it is important to look at a real world example to see if the negative pushes and the positive pulls apply to reality. In Turkey according to a recent census nearly 28 per cent of the population was born in a different province to the one they now reside in. This figure goes up to 62 per cent for the area around Istanbul, a major province that has attracted migrants for years. Over half of the migrants are in the 15-29 age group and have a better than average level of education. Push factors include: • low rural incomes • lack of job opportunities • inadequate infrastructure in rural areas • poor facilities in the villages • a lack of services in villages and remote rural areas. These factors all encourage out-migration but there are also the issues of: • improving education levels, especially for girls • improving transportation and communications • skill and information levels of would-be migrants • presence of earlier migrants in destination areas. It is important to note that information, a willingness to take risks, and the existence of social networks are important push factors. Some of these push factors could also be described as pull factors. Whilst rural-urban migration was important in the mid twentieth century, towards the end of the century two changes occurred; urban-urban migration and, to a lesser extent, urban-rural migration. The pull factors encouraging these would-be migrants included: • job seeking, 20 per cent for men and 10 per cent for women • education beyond secondary level • issues related to a member of the household, for women this was very important with over 50 per cent of female migrants moving for marriage or Migration • following a husband/partner the level of socio-economic development of a province • • • being located in a coastal area development in terms of industry and tourism having developed provinces as neighbours. Voluntary or forced migration? Most migration is the result of free choice made by a migrant as an individual or as part of a group. However, more than 20 million people are currently being forced to migrate or feel that they need to leave their homes and/or country. Examples of these migrations are shown in the following table. table 5.1 Types of migration Voluntary Example Forced Example Between High Income Countries (HICs) Workers from across Europe moving to the UK following EU expansion Between HICs Eastern to Western Europe after the fall of the Iron Curtain Skilled labour Engineers moving throughout the world Between Low Income Countries (LICs) Botswana, Eswatini (Swaziland) and Lesotho to South Africa for work Between LICs Rwanda to DR Congo, also in Sudan and Ethiopia after conflict Labour migrants Mexicans to the USA Labour migrants Horn of Africa to Mozambique, sub-Saharan Africa to Europe (Italy and Spain) Refugees Montserrat to Antigua following the volcanic eruption Refugees Balkan ethnic cleansing, Kosovans to Albania Asylum seekers Vietnamese to Australia Asylum seekers Kurds from Iraq to Europe, Syrians from the civil war to Greece and then on into other European countries. Some theoretical considerations Various researchers and academics have attempted to classify migration types and to try and explain the factors at work and the likely outcomes. These can be divided into four main categories: typologies, general principles, gravitational models and push-pull models. These categories have been followed in recent years by a number of other approaches. An attempt to identify types of migration was made by William Peterson in the late 1950s. He identified five types of migration: primitive, impelled, forced, free and mass. Each type was further subdivided into conservative migration and innovative migration. The former was when migration was undertaken to preserve a certain standard of living and the latter was an attempt to improve the individual’s standard of living. 1 2 3 Primitive migrations are best described as the movements of nomadic pastoralists and that of shifting cultivators. Availability of rainfall and the fertility of soils being the main determinants of migration patterns, such as in parts of the Sahel. Impelled migration takes place under threat or perceived threat, either physical or human. The evacuation of a region prior to a volcanic eruption, such as the area around Mt Pinatubo in the Philippines or the wholesale movement of the population of Montserrat. Since the Boxing Day tsunami (2004) countries likely to be affected by similar events have procedures in place to move people to places of safety should such a threat present itself. From the human point of view the movement of people with the partition of India in 1946 remains one of the largest ‘migrations’ under duress in modern times although the movements of people in the Middle East as a result of the upheavals in that region are beginning to rival it. Forced migrations are similar to impelled migrations but without the lack of choice. Indeed following the partition of India minority groups of Hindus remained in the new largely Muslim state of Pakistan and groups of Muslims remained in the now Hindu India. Forced migrations are all too common, slaves from West Africa to the Caribbean and southern states of the USA, Asian Indians form Idi Amin’s Uganda in the 1970s, movement of ethnic groups during the Balkan conflicts of the 1980s and 1990s, and the conflicts between Burundi and Rwanda (1993-2005), which resulted in the displacement of many thousands of people. Physical events can also cause forced migrations. Natural disasters, such as volcanic eruption, flood and drought, as well as environmental tragedies, such as the Chernobyl disaster (1986), can also be factors in forced migrations. Migration 4 The distinction between free and mass migrations is only one of the numbers involved. In terms of size the largest movement of people was that of Europeans to North America from the mid seventeenth century onwards. Case Study The Mediterranean’s deadly migrant routes Figures reported in September 2015from the International Organization for Migration (IOM) showed that more than 3000 migrants were believed to have died crossing the Mediterranean Sea, compared with 96 for the same period in 2014. As many as 800 migrants were feared drowned after one incident when their boat capsized in Libyan waters south of the Italian island of Lampedusa. The IOM estimated that as many as 30 000 migrants could die in 2015 were this rate to continue. figure 5.5 Migrant deaths, January-November 2014. These figures refer only to deaths that have been reported; unknown numbers are not recorded, and as such this map represents only a base minimum. Migration The Mediterranean crossing is by far the most dangerous. According to the IOM, taking all international migrant crossings up to mid-April 2015 into account nearly 8 out of 10 deaths had taken place in the Mediterranean. Within the Mediterranean, the Central migration route from North Africa to Italy and Malta is the deadliest. In 2014 a total of 3279 migrants were killed on the journey across the sea to Europe. The majority perished on the Central Mediterranean route. Some 912 out of 954 of the deaths by mid-April 2015 had been on routes towards Italy, however the IOM estimate some 21191 migrants have reached the Italian coasts alive during the same period. The vast majority of the migrants who die on this Central Mediterranean crossing began their journey in sub-Saharan Africa. In 2015 the second highest number of migrants died in the Horn of Africa where less than 1 in 10 deaths occurred. In 2014 the African nations with the most migrants reaching Italy were Eritrea, Mali and Nigeria. Mediterranean deaths by region of origin figure table 5.7 Migrant deaths, January-April 2015 5.2 Migrant arrivals in Italy, 2014 Migrant arrivals to Italy by sea, 2014 Country of origin Men Women Minors Total 25 155 6203 10 965 42323 24 061 6076 4192 34 329 Mali 9382 27 529 9938 Nigeria 6989 1454 557 9000 7409 28 1270 8707 Syria Eritrea The Gambia General principle theories of geographical mobility General principle theories were largely developed to explain geographical mobility. The Laws of Migration, proposed by Ernst Georg Ravenstein in 1889, were intended to explain the movement of people without regard to any particular temporal situation or location. Ravenstein’s work was based on movements within Great Britain and he was writing at a time of intense internal and international migration. He gave migration a number of characteristics, namely: the greatest body of migrants travel short distances this produces currents directed towards great commercial centres Migration • each current has a compensating counter-current in the opposite • • • • direction both currents display similar characteristics long distance movements are directed towards great commercial centres people in urban areas migrate less than people in rural areas males migrate more over long distances and females migrate more over short distances. Additions to these laws: • Most migrants are between 20-34 years of age. • People mainly move for economic reasons. • Urban housing development is inadequate for the influx of migrants so ghettos/shanties are formed. The Gravitational model developed by Stouffer is an attempt to explain why migrants might settle for a location other than their intended destination. Sometimes referred to as an ‘intervening opportunity’ model, the Gravitational model states that: "The number of persons going a given distance is directly proportional to the number of opportunities at that distance and inversely proportional to the number of intervening opportunities.” Having studied 116 interstate migration flows within the United States, Stouffer argued that the volume of migration had less to do with distance and population totals than with the opportunities available in each location. More recent work by Wadycki analysing over 2000 migration flows has confirmed Stouffer’s original assertions. intervening opportunities r allow migrants to - become satisficers obtaining what they are content to accept Current \ locations/ source region with negative \ feel / / better housing figure more job opportunities 'Desired \ location/host region with positive perception/ better environment 5.8 Stouffer’s intervening opportunity model The Stouffer model was later revised by Zipf with his Inverse Distance Law, which states that: "The volume of migration is inversely proportional to the distance travelled by the migrants and directly proportional to the populations of the source and the destination.” The push-pull model was refined by Lee in his Principles of Migration. He was attempting to bring together and simplify all aspects of migration ‘theory’ that existed at that time. His revision of Stouffer was to introduce intervening obstacles that needed to be overcome before migration could take place. He further suggested that both source and destination possessed a range of attributes and that each possible migrant would view these attributes differently depending on their age, gender, class and marital status. What might be seen in a positive light by one person may well be a negative factor in the eyes of someone else. These factors would operate differently at the source than at the destination as the latter would always have a degree of uncertainty about it. This would be particularly true in the case of international migration. 3 Migration figure 5.9 Lee’s push-pull theory The idea of push and pull factors has been further explored by Mabogunje in attempting to explain rural-urban migration patterns in Africa. In Mabogunje’s framework the model takes into consideration both economic and social factors but also the environment of change operating within the continent at present. The model sees not just cause and effect but a system where there is interdependence and self-regulation and modification. There is a continuous action and reaction, so urban economic expansion will stimulate migration from villages close to urban areas; whilst a decline in the economy will reduce those flows of migrant labour and may lead to a reversal of the flow. Equally important are any adjustments that may occur in the source region. Fewer agricultural workers as a result of the out-migration may lead to an increase in per person income for those remaining in the rural economy. These families remaining may benefit from monies sent back to the village in the form of remittances. Although it is possible that the new urban arrivals will use any increases in income to spend on their new homes. A further consideration is developed by Byerlee who uses a cost-benefit model by which he considers migration as the outcome of a cost-benefit calculation. He suggests that the decision to migrate will be taken when the benefits of such a move are exceeded by the costs. This was an approach pursued by Todaro. Migrants usually are quite well informed as to what to expect when they arrive at their destination as there is a steady flow of information back to the source region from earlier migrants. Although they may not find employment immediately they are prepared to take a risk and stay in the city rather than return to the country. In this way if they are successful in finding work the financial rewards are far higher than in their home area. Stark extended this idea by suggesting that families make the decision to migrate in order to improve their economic status. One member of the family migrates, sends remittances home, and then if the migration is successful economically other members of the family follow. table 5.3 Recent approaches to migration studies Migration Effects determinants Economic Method of analysis Family Individual Positive Todaro Institutions Stark Push-pull Negative Sociological Marxist Structuration theory Gender analysis Marxist theory sees labour migration as an inevitable process as economies move towards a capitalist model and workers become divorced from the land. Migration is essential for capitalist production, which is located in urban areas Migration thus initiating the scale of rural-urban migrations seen in China over the last 20 years. Structuration theory includes individual motives and those structural and cultural factors and rules within which migrants have to operate. Gender analysis has become a significantly more important approach in recent years, examining the different approaches to migration by men and by women. Income per person (USS) figure 5.10 Income and migration So what might stop you? Obstacles and barriers to migration When considering internal migrations the only real issues are distance and cost and this will vary from country to country. Clearly internal migration in the USA is a more significant issue than in the UK. International migration however is a more difficult scenario. The major constraints are the immigration laws operated by individual countries, the lengths to which some governments will go to enforce these laws, and the risks that people will take to avoid these laws in orderto get into a country. In the period prior to World War I the international movement of people was almost totally unrestricted, indeed the USA would take anyone just as long as they were not a convict, lunatic or prostitute although these restrictions were extended to include Chinese, a group that was also discriminated against by the British government immediately after the Second World War. After the Second World War (particularly in Europe) there was such a shortage of workers that although there were controls they were hardly applied. This was a time of West Indian immigration to the UK and of considerable immigration of‘Gastarbeiters’ (guestworkers) to West Germany, especially from Turkey. Since 1800 Australia has built its population through immigration. Between 1788 and the 1940s government policy was to exclude anyone not of European descent. However in recent years the Migration Program has shifted in favour of a skill based selection regardless of where people came from, the aim being to attract those professions and trades which would benefit the country as a whole. In 2002-3 71 per cent of the 93 000 migrants qualified in the skilled migration category with a further 20 000 skilled workers to boost the labour force, and targets announced for another 97 500. Despite the increased ethnic and cultural diversity this has brought, many in Australia argue that immigrants should speak English and behave like the rest of the population in order to figure 5.11 Armed guard on the Mexican side of the US-Mexico border. 118 Migration integrate as quickly as possible. Surface Management MB &LW ■i IMitvy Humane Borders Fro nt eras Compasivas m6söN! 243W 33 St. Tucson, AZ 86713 52 0-398-50 S3 hap://www humaneboniers org figure 5.12 Deaths on the Arizona border, 1999-2015 Internal migration (within a country) The movements within this topic are of four main types: • rural-rural • rural-urban • urban-urban • urban-rural. In LICs the main movement is rural-urban, although there are examples of agricultural expansion in previously unexploited areas such as in parts of the Amazon Basin. The Brazilian government has been encouraging farmers from other regions within the country to move. The most common form of movement is rural-urban, often from peripheral regions into core areas. In LICs there are marked economic differences between these types of regions when compared to the differences in HICs. Urban-urban movements usually take the form of step migration with migrants moving to small market towns before moving again and finally ending in a major urban centre, often the capital. Urban-rural migration, a counter-stream movement, is dominated by urban dwellers returning to their rural home region often as a result of a failure to adapt to urban life and find work. Following the global recession many Chinese workers who had retained their rural registration, or Hukou, returned to their villages in the hope of finding work on the family farm. In HICs there is a much stronger stream of counterurbanisation with city dwellers moving out to rural regions because infrastructure and communication networks allow them to live in the countryside but work in the city. The causes of internal migration Whilst the underlying specific causes may vary from LIC to HIC, the influence of the core-periphery concept remains the same. In many ex-colonial countries the development of an economy based on the exploitation of primary resources will have led to the movement of people to the coast and the inevitable port development and the processing of those raw materials. Post-colonial development will have seen varied levels of inward investment and limited industrialisation. figure 5.13 Hukou registration book figure 5.14 Beijing railway station, China As seen in earlier sections, migration occurs as a response to two sets of factors - one in the origin and one at the destination. It is often these perceived factors at the destination that set migration in motion. More often than not it is economic factors that precipitate such a move and not just population growth. Increasing populations often outstrip the ability of local resources to cope and migration acts as a release valve. figure 5.15 Urban growth rate in Africa 120 Migration Case Study Fiji Walsh in his study of the urbanisation of Fiji examined the reasons why islanders migrated to the capital, Suva, and other towns around the coast. PAPUA? NEW GUINEA *1 SOLOMON 1 »ISLANDS Honiara B a Port Moresby C oral TUVALU Ç. ■ Vaiaku 'American Futuna Islands JSamoa L (^ance)^^p-iai^ (USA) Sea jCairns Coral Sea Islands Territory (Australia) Tokelau (New Zealand) Port Vila New Caledonia (France) ' • Fl^ -J O; ■ -Suva TONGA Noumea' Rockhampton (New Zealand) Nukualofa AUSTRALIA ^/coast"°™ ^land oasr ■a Kermadec Islands (New Zealand) Lord Howe Island o Newcastle (Australia) °Sydney ■ r„ J : ^Melbourne 1 Q s m a n Geelong 0 L. Tasmania 0 Hobart figure (Australia) O c fz ç ,, A ea -Auckland North $ Island ' ' NEW ZEALAND / , oChristchurch South r Chatham Islands Island (New Zealand) Dunedin 5.16 Fiji location map Some 52 per cent of the population of the islands is now urban based and Walsh suggests the following reasons for this move from a largely rural sugar growing economy to one that includes garment making, processing of sugar, coconuts and ginger and a growing tourist industry. • • • • • Indians, originally brought in as plantation workers, are not allowed to own land so drift to the towns. After independence many locals went in search of administrative jobs. Incomes in rural areas are only 25 per cent of those in Suva. Urban incomes have been growing six times faster than in rural areas. Many people move to escape the traditional social structure based on communalism in order to accumulate individual wealth. However there are consequences of such movements and in Fiji: • Severe rural depopulation has threatened the livelihoods of those who remain. • Rural families become dependent on remittances from urban family members. • Disruption of family life - often children are left behind in the care of elderly relatives. • Severe housing shortages in the towns to which the migrants have moved, with large numbers of people ending up as squatters. • Pressure on services such as health and education. • Large numbers of migrants who despite their level of education lack the necessary skills to do the jobs that become available and so work in the informal economy. Migration Urban-urban migration Urban-urban migration takes two forms: the step migration already referred to but also movement within the same urban area, which is a largely HIC occurrence. Migrants will often initially stay with friends or relatives when they first arrive in the city but as they become more established they are able to move away from squatter camps and migrant areas. Intra-urban migration Improved income levels mean that property can be acquired in ‘better’ areas and housing improvements can take place. Changes in family status often mean a move to a larger property or the building of additional rooms. In cities in HICs the movement of people out towards the suburbs used to be a characteristic life stage movement. The reason for this movement is to improve lifestyle, or to move to a more desirable school catchment area. However the movement of people in cities has become confused as areas in the centre have become available for residential use with the decline of old industries and people have moved back into the centre. Counterurbanisation Counterurbanisation is almost entirely a phenomenon of the developed world, although the twenty-first century has seen it begin in Chile, Argentina and Brazil. This process involves the shift of populations from older industrial core areas into peripheral areas as well as a move from larger centres to smaller towns. Initially in western countries this was a response in major industrial cities to inner city deprivation and overcrowding with people moving from towns and cities to new towns, estates or commuter towns and villages. In the UK new towns, such as Harlow and Crawley just beyond London’s Green Belt, and estates were built mainly as a result of government schemes launched after the Migration figure 5.18 A squatter settlement in Kenya, potentially the first home for some migrants. Second World War to re-house people from deprived inner cities. The intention was that the largely working class population of these inner areas would be re­ housed in areas that were fully planned and that provided modern housing and facilities and new industrial estates. Housing developments in commuter towns and villages in rural areas some distance from urban centres are mainly aimed at middle class or socially mobile people because they can easily access nearby towns and cities by car, bus or maybe train. The cause of this movement was that after the Second World War people wanted a better quality of life, with less pollution and without the crime of urban environments. During the war years and immediately afterwards employers started to move to rural areas following damage to buildings from bombing, and this added to the cause of counterurbanisation by attracting people with new jobs. Between 1981 and 1996 rural areas gained more than 1 million jobs. In more recent years internet use and the British government’s proposals to roll-out high speed broadband into rural areas has allowed people to move away from the towns and cities where they previously worked to more pleasant environments. There has been increasing demand for second homes or homes to be bought by retired people, particularly in attractive rural areas such as National Parks and Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty, due to generally higher levels of affluence. This comes at a time when rural economies need to generate a higher level of income. Many agricultural businesses are struggling and one way for them to make money is to sell unwanted land or buildings for residential use. One of the effects of counterurbanisation has been the impact on local services. With large numbers of commuters moving into nearby towns and cities to work many of the services they require, such as shops, schools, post offices and other professional services, are accessed in these urban areas. This has had the effect of forcing village and small town providers to close because they are not getting enough business. Counterurbanisation also affects the figure 5.19 The reliability of rural broadband is the subject of much debate. figure 5.20 Rural business park, Chichester, West Sussex, UK Migration 123 CHICHESTER BUSINESS PARK Meteor Court 8 NEW AIR-CONDITIONED OFFICES 3,100 - 30,850 SQFT TO BE BUILT K layout of rural settlements; modern housing is built on the outside of the area and industrial estates are built on large main roads leading into settlements, often on land that was previously farmed. Local young adults may be forced to leave the area to find jobs. House prices rise dramatically as a result of the rise in demand from people wanting to live in, and commute from, rural areas. Older properties are sometimes cleared to make way for executive housing developments, which in turn contributes to the rise in house prices at the lower end of the market for first time buyers. Some farmland is given over to the provision of golf courses to provide for the new inhabitants of rural areas. figure 5.21 New development figure 5.22 Derelict property 5.23 New housing International migration International migration is a major global issue creating great debate and confusion over the terms used to describe the migration. Very few countries are willing to accept large numbers of migrants no matter how desperate the need of the migrant, no matter what benefits they may bring to the receiving country. In an earlier section the term ‘voluntary migration’was dealt with and the factors that might determine such a decision. So what has led to the situation where, by 2013, nearly 214 million people live outside the country of their birth? There has been a massive rise in migration linked to work and to education. It is estimated by the British government that there could be as many as 660 000 foreign students in the UK by the 2020s. The number of foreign-born people of working age in the UK more than doubled from 2.9 million in 1993 to slightly more than 6 million in 2013. A significant change has been the increase of female migrants who now make up nearly 50 per cent of all migrants worldwide and in 2013 female migration to the UK exceeded male migration. There has also been migration between HICs, which is a more recent occurrence, with skilled workers going from one city hub in one country to another to do much the same job. This is in the face of the many controls that have been introduced by HICs in an effort to reduce the amount of illegal immigration, which was 863 000 in the UK according to one newspaper (2012). People trafficking is also a problem, with 2744 victims identified by the National Crime Agency in the UK in 2013. Of course globalisation in its many aspects has made migration more possible and the improvements and extent of airtransport networks have played a major role. 124 Migration figure 5.24 Total number of foreign-born working age people in the UK, 1993-2013 Forced migration from a Low Income Country (LIC) can in the past be associated with the forcible removal of some 15 million people from Africa to work on plantations in the Americas. Even now there is considerable trade in people trafficking and as a result there are estimated to be between 10 and 30 million slaves in the world today. The latter years of the last century saw a dramatic increase in the number of people who suffered internal displacement in their own country. This led to a tide of 16.7 million refugees (2013) fleeing from political and environmental upheaval. The 1951 Refugee Convention defines a refugee as someone who “owing to a well-founded fear of being persecuted for reasons of race, religion, nationality, membership of a particular social group or political opinion, is outside the country of his nationality, and is unable to, or owing to such fear, is unwilling to avail himself of the protection of that country.” An asylum seeker is someone who has applied for asylum and is waiting for a decision as to whether or not they are to be regarded as a refugee. The two terms are very different although they are often confused. figure 5.25 The advent ofcheap air travel has made migration easier. Migration figure 5.26 The departure lounge at Beijing airport, China. Airports can be the point of arrival for many international migrants. Migration Estimated number of persons displaced or evacuated from their homes or made homeless by the threat or impact of a disaster. Bangladesh Cyclone Mahasen 1 100 000 evacuated Arctic Circle Japan Typhoon Man-yi 520 000 evacuated T Philippines Typhoon Haiyan Ci 4 095 280 displaced Tropic of Cancer Typhoon Trami 1 744 062 displaced Typhoon Nari ar 405 965 displaced Niger >2^ Rainy season floods ;==; 200 961 homeless Bohol earthquake SU 348 507 displaced -2» Tropical depression Equator Sudan season floods 319 746 homeless jfjlr c China Monsoon floods in 13 provinces 1 576 900 displaced Typhoon Fitow 826 000 evacuated Lushan earthquake - 223 134 displaced K 4 2» 694 800 displaced over 1 000 000 100 000-1 000 000 10 000-99 999 1000-9999 under 1000 no data Typhoon Usagi ft 586 743 evacuated India Monsoon floods in Bihar, Kerala, Uttarakhand, Assam, Andhra Pradesh, West ““ Bengal, Uttar Pradesh 1 042 271 displaced Cyclone Phailin cr 1 000 000 evacuated Statistics are for 2013. figure Tropic of Capricorn Typhoon Utor 513 000 evacuated Typhoon Soulik G. 500 000 evacuated 2^. Russia-China floods — 354 000 displaced Gansu earthquake 226 700 homeless Vietnam Typhoon Haiyan 800 000 evacuated 5.27 Disaster-induced displacement worldwide Estimated number of persons displaced by conflict and violence. figure 5.28 People internally displaced by conflict and violence worldwide Migration The impacts of international migration The impacts of international migration are felt both in the country of origin and in the receiving country. These impacts are social and economic, cultural and political as well as environmental; there is also a temporal element as these impacts are felt both over the short term and over a longer time frame. Socio-economic impacts • Dustmann and Frattini (2013) conducted a study on the fiscal impact of immigration and found that between 2000-2011 European migrants made a net contribution of US$31 billion to UK finances, divided between migrants from the original EU member states, who contributed US$23 billion, and a further US$8 billion from A8 migrants (migrants from the eight countries that joined the EU in May 2004). They also found that European migrants were 43 per cent less likely to be in receipt of state benefits and 7 per cent less likely to live in social housing. Between 1995-2011 EU migrants in Britain made a net contribution of US$6.8 billion, non-European migrants cost Britain US$182 billion, while British citizens were a net cost to Britain of • • • • • US$833 billion. It is accepted that many migrants are in the UK to do the 3D jobs-dirty, difficult or dangerous jobs-and as a result migrants are over represented in industries such as construction, agriculture, hospitality and catering and in household services. In some cases migrant labour offsets the declining and ageing population with a low natural growth commonplace across Western Europe. Examples are the Turkish migration to West Germany in the 1960s and 1970s and of Eastern Europeans to France, Spain and the UK. In 2002 the UK government introduced the Highly Skilled Migrant Programme to attract the best foreign workers to fill skill shortages in key areas of the economy. The Highly Skilled Migrant Programme also attracted workers to do jobs in areas where vacancies were difficult to fill. The remittances that get sent ‘home’, which according to the World Bank will amount to US$685 billion in 2015, help alleviate poverty, provide investment opportunities and help to strengthen the economy of the home country. table 5.4 Asylum claims submitted in major receiving countries, 2013. Germany 109 600 United States 84 400 South Africa 70 000 France 60 200 Sweden 54 3 00 Malaysia 53 600 Turkey 44 800 UK 23 507 table 5.5 Remittances across the world US$ million received in 2011 128 Migration % GDP 2011 I India 63 663 Tajikistan 31.0 China 62 497 Lesotho 28.6 Mexico 23 610 Moldova 23.2 Philippines 22 974 Samoa 22.5 France 16 379 Kosovo 20.8 table 5.6 UK to Poland remittances Remittances UK to Poland (US$ millions equivalent) 2004 7276 2005 10 591 2006 13 075 2007 16 153 2008 16 077 2009 12 505 2010 11 658 2011 11578 NOW INVESTIGATE 1 Where do the people in your class come from, where were they born and where were their parents born? How well do the theories explained in this chapter apply to the people in your class? 2 Do the theories outlined in this chapter apply to modern day movements of people? 3 Can you identify any‘internal migration’types of movement of people where you live? Is the countryside being built on? If the answer is ‘yes’ to either of these questions, why is this building taking place? 4 What do the remittance figures shown in Table 5.5 and Table 5.6 tell you? Migration 129 2030 6 Settlem ent dynam ics The shape of growth 1950-2030 A Megacity is a metropolitan area with a total population in excess of 10 million people. In addition, some definitions set the minimum level for population density at 2000 people per square kilometre. A megacity can be a single metropolitan area or two or more metropolitan areas that converge. 131 Settlement dynamics Changes in rural settlements Rural settlements have undergone huge changes in character both in HICs and LICs in recent decades as a result of: rural-urban migration urban-rural migration rural planning policies the impacts of urban growth technological change national government policies. • • • • • • figure 6.1 Settlement hierarchy Contemporary issues in rural settlements in the UK Up until World War I the rural landscape and its many integral parts was viewed as being uniquely different to the urban landscape. This landscape was characterised by the following factors: • • • • • • close-knit community considerable homogeneity in social traits family ties much stronger than in urban society religion more important than in towns class differences less pronounced than in urban society less mobility than in urban society. Since 1918 change in rural areas began to reflect the wider changes in society, largely as a response to the lack of manpower, and since the Second World War these changes have continued to gather momentum. As a result the traditional ‘model’ of rurality needed a more flexible approach. urban built environment figure Settlement dynamics urban-rural fringe 6.2 The urban-rural continuum farming and deep commuter zone countryside remote rural environments However other researchers suggest that the question of what is rural is far more complex than might have been first thought. The complexity has increased as a result of the changes to the rural economy where, whilst agriculture remains important, the rural economy is no longer the sole responsibility of farmers and landowners. Agricultural jobs declined throughout the twentieth century and this acted as an impetus for rural-urban migration. However new employers have moved to rural areas and have established themselves as providers of employment in high-tech industries, light manufacturing and the Industry LQ is a way of showing how concentrated a particular industry is in a region compared to the rest of the country. The higher the LQ, the higher the concentration of the featured industry in that region. Location quotient (LQ) LQ >= 3.0 2.5 <= LQ < 3.0 2.0 <= LQ < 2.5 1.5 <= LQ < 2.0 1.0 <= LQ < 1.5 0.5<=LQ<1.0 0.0 <= LQ < 0.5 no data Statistics are for 2011. figure 6.3 Manufacturing employment in Great Britain. service sector. High-tech industries prefer greenfield sites in attractive locations. Their workforce is well educated and well paid and because they tend to be fairly mobile will choose to live in or near attractive locations. This explains the growth of such industries near or close to Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty or the National Parks. The growth of new industry has attracted new workers to rural areas just as conditions in urban areas have encouraged a compensatory urban-rural Settlement dynamics 133 figure 6.4 Two old estate cottages knocked into one home in a village with good access to the M4, England, UK. movement of people, aided by increased car ownership and improved transport accessibility. Second home ownership has also been promoted by transport access and greater affluence. This growth has both positive and negative impacts. Rural gentrification has provided a second life for derelict buildings as well as providing some iconic housing but these changes often cause resentment amongst the local population. Retirement migration, especially into attractive rural areas, is a growing phenomenon having both positive and negative impacts. Attempts have been made by government since the Second World War to restrain this movement of people and the inevitable expansion of small market towns and villages close to cities. Green belt policies now apply to major urban areas with housing and services being directed to key villages to allow these to be provided at hubs rather than being diluted across a number figure 6.5 Green belts in England of settlements. Reinventing rural policy In OECD countries rural areas account for three quarters of the land area and house a quarter of the population. Rapid changes in society and in the economy have led to the need for new strategies for rural development which take account of the different development needs of rural areas, many of which are based on the exploitation of specific local resources. For example, the development of mountain and winter sports are clearly not suitable for all rural areas. Three factors are influencing rural policy across OECD countries as new approaches are explored to address domestic and international requirements. • • • An increased focus on amenities: the value that society places on natural and cultural amenities like World Heritage Sites. Pressures to reform agricultural policy: there is a need to address the question of farm subsidies, the role of the World Trade Organisation and international trade in farm produce. Decentralisation and trends in regional policy: a move from being top-down to more locally focussed set of policies, involving local stake holders and with central government having a reduced role. Settlement dynamics Canada’s Community Futures Programme actively promotes bottom-up economic development in rural areas while Finland has, since 1990, had a multi-year Rural Policy programme. This programme has "broad” policies which integrate the specific needs of rural areas into the decision making processes of central government while a “narrow” set of policies target specific rural areas. The Mexican government has a “micro-region” strategy which adopts a holistic approach to rural development by co-ordinating policies directed at 263 rural micro regions. Each region has a community centre which, through a highly participatory process involving all members of the local community, focuses local priority actions. Similar programs exist in the UK, in Germany, the Netherlands and through the LEADER project across Europe as a whole. Case Study HiLMARTON: A VILLAGE IN SOUTHERN ENGLAND The Council for the Protection of Rural England (CPRE) is reported as saying that nobody should be disadvantaged by where they live but poor rural dwellers can be disadvantaged in multiple ways. Closures of key amenities such as the post office can have drastic consequences for the village shop and threats of closure to village schools add to the problem. The government’s desire to locate more medical services in polyclinics threatens the existence of the village GP and the village pub is already in terminal decline. Hilmarton is a village in North Wiltshire in the North Wessex Downs area. The village is situated on the A3102 between the towns of Caine and Royal Wootton Bassett. The parish population peaked at 828 in 1851 but then began to decline due mainly to fewer labourer inhabitants as farming mechanised and families sought work in nearby Swindon with its large railway works. The 2011 census listed agriculture in the county as only the fourteenth-largest employer. Since 1971 greater car ownership has meant that more people can live in villages. This development encouraged the creation of an executive housing estate in Hilmarton in the 1970s and by 2011 the population had risen to 745 people. Hilmarton does have a thriving primary school for 113 pupils, but this is the only village amenity. To visit the doctor or dentist, to buy stamps, milk or newspapers the nearest town is three miles away. To buy anything other than day-to-day items a visit to Swindon or Bath is required some 30-40 minutes by car or even longer by bus. European funding to improve the rural economy is channelled in the form of the Rural Development Programme for England (RDPE) and delivered in a limited way through LEADER projects. These projects are bottom-up community-led with public, private and community sectors working together on a range of local issues. The current programme will concentrate on investment in the rural economy: • farming • • • • • micro and small businesses (including farm diversification) tourism/the visitor economy forestry rural services and connectivity culture and heritage. figure 6.6 Hilmarton, Wiltshire. Settlement dynamics 135 Case Study Mwandama: Contemporary issues in rural Malawi Malawi has a population of 15.9 million (2011) and a growth rate of 3.33 per cent (2014), which is well above the total fertility rate (TRF) of 2.2 per cent. Some 3.18 million people live in urban areas but the majority of people live in rural areas as subsistence farmers. As well as feeding themselves most families grow tobacco, which makes up 54 per cent of Malawi’s commodity exports along with coffee, peanuts, cotton and wood products. Malawi is one of the poorest countries in Africa with around 74 per cent of people living below the US$1.25 a day poverty line and 90 per cent of people surviving on less than US$2 a day. The country is ranked 160 out of 182 on the Human Development Index (HDI) and is in the top 15 countries for deaths as a result of HIV/AIDS, which accounts for a quarter of all deaths. Issues related to deforestation, land degradation, water pollution, corruption and poor governance all contribute to rural poverty and rural-urban migration. A solution has been the establishment of the Millennium Villages Project (MVP), which includes the village of Mwandama. figure 6.7 Mwandama, Malawi, location map. figure 6.8 Most of Malawi’s population lives in rural areas such as the mountains of the Nyika Plateau. Settlement dynamics The Mwandama cluster is located in the south of the country about 24 km from the town of Zomba between 900-1200 m above sea level. Mwandama sits in the only region in the world that has seen both a rise in temperature and a drop in rainfall in recent years, which has led to recurrent famines. The seven villages that make up the cluster account fora population of 35 000 across 8600 households. The region is intensively cultivated both by smallholders growing maize, pigeon peas, cassava and groundnuts, and by commercial estate owners growing tobacco and maize. Large privately owned tobacco plantations, which surround the seven villages in the Project cluster, provide work for many local people at wages of US$0.50 per day, but these plantations have had significant impacts on the development of surrounding communities. Plantation owners restrict the use of roads to the villages, and the availability of work gives families an excuse to keep their children out of school. As a result school attendance rates have historically been extremely low. However the MVP has brought new classrooms in 14 new primary schools and meals are provided in primary schools, which helped increase attendance to 95 per cent in 2011 and decrease the dropout rate by half. In addition four health centres have contributed to better levels of school attendance and improved quality of life generally in the area. Other benefits of the Millennium Villages Project include: • • Increased yields of maize by five times to over 4 tonnes per hectare. • A contract with the World Food Programme worth US$47 500 for its members in 2010. A mobile bank offering savings accounts and micro loans. Almost universal coverage for households for improved supplies of drinking water. A reduction of one-third in the number of children who suffer from stunting • • as a result of chronic malnutrition, and universal immunisation for measles. A 400 per cent increase in the numbers of women tested for HIV/AIDS. The installation of two mobile phone towers to increase coverage in the area. • • Urban trends and issues of urbanisation Cities first formed after the Neolithic revolution around 8000 BC. This brought organised farming, which encouraged hunter-gatherers to abandon their nomadic lifestyles and settle near others who lived by agricultural production. This in turn led to denser populated areas, thus supporting city development. The first true towns developed where the inhabitants began to take on specialised occupations and where trade, food storage and power were centralised. It was in the fertile river valleys of modern-day Iraq that the first cities began to appear. The spread of urbanisation was to take another 3500 years before cities in ancient Greece and Rome were recognised and even longer before towns in northern Europe could claim city status. The Middle Ages saw the rapid growth of towns in Europe as trade flourished but it was not until the mid seventeenth century that the major technological shock would occur that would start the process to propel the world into an urban setting. The Agricultural Revolution of the early seventeenth century freed labour from the land providing the necessary workforce for the Industrial Revolution, methods of mass production and the urbanisation that followed. The Industrial Revolution Cities of over 100 000 people only accounted for 10 per cent of the population in England and Wales in 1801. The total population was just under 9 million and of those nearly 1 million (960 000) lived in London. Areas of high density Settlement dynamics 137 figure 6.9 World urbanisation, 2014 population were isolated and very small. They were commercial centres such as the industrial West Midlands, South Lancashire and West Yorkshire. Whilst the countryside between East Anglia and the West Country was well populated, embryonic industrial areas in northern and midland England were growing faster. Between 1801 and 1851 London’s population grew from 960 000 to 2.7 million - a remarkable concentration of people not replicated anywhere else in the world. As industrialisation spread so the pace of urbanisation speeded up. It took 80 years for 30 per cent of the population of England and Wales to become urbanised but only 66 years in the USA, 48 years in Germany and 36 years in Japan. In the LICs urbanisation was focused on port cities such as Mumbai and Kolkata, which grew from the export of textiles and jute, while cities in South America prospered from the export of coffee from Sao Paulo and sugar from Recife. Urban growth spurt in LICs Research suggests that urbanisation and economic development have gone hand in hand but in recent years particularly in the LICs economic progress has lagged behind the rate of urbanisation. Cities in many of these countries have grown at an alarming rate, outstripping the ability of the city to cope with its population. In India, predicted to be the fastest growing economy in 2016 and with some of the world’s largest cities containing a third of the country’s population, many people live in appalling slum conditions. This disproportionate distribution can be explained by the impacts of globalisation on cities and indeed whole regions being part of the ‘global village’ while other areas remain divorced from it. The influence 138 Settlement dynamics of Transnational Corporations (TNCs) in focussing activities in one particular area is clear to see. The growth of a city such as Guangzhou in China is a good example of where government policy has favoured an urban area rather than a rural area. Only in recent years has the Chinese government encouraged industrial development away from the coast to overcome this. An emphasis on export-driven production creates higher wages and improved standards of living, drawing rural workers in. table 6.1 Global city populations i960 Rank Population 2008 (millions) Population (millions) 1 New York 14.2 Tokyo 36.9 2 London 10.7 Seoul 25-3 3 Tokyo 10.7 Shanghai 24-7 4 Shanghai 10.7 Delhi 21-7 5 Beijing 7-3 Mexico 21.2 6 Paris 7-2 Beijing 21.1 7 Buenos Aires 6.9 Sao Paulo 20.9 8 Los Angeles 6.6 Mumbai 20-7 9 Moscow 6.0 Jakarta 20.0 10 Chicago 6.0 New York 19.9 Urbanisation in Africa Africa has experienced the highest rate of urban growth of 3.5 per cent per year over the past 25 years. The African urban population in 2010 was 36 per cent and it is estimated that it will rise to around 55 per cent by 2040. However urbanisation has not brought with it improvements. Instead it has resulted in a mushrooming of slums with their associated poverty, insecurity, crime and inequality. North African countries have benefitted from higher levels of overseas investment and as a result have fewer slums. Sub-Saharan Africa on the other hand has a lower urban population (33 per cent) but a much higher slum dwelling population (65 per cent) and the cities suffer from a lack of basic infrastructure - 60 per cent of Africans live in areas where potable water and sanitation are inadequate. Access to three basic facilities for the population of these sub-Saharan cities are reflected in the figures below: • • • access to electricity: 20 per cent fixed telephone: 3 per cent mobile phone: 54 per cent (this figure demonstrates the ‘leapfrogging effect’ of using new technology without having had the ‘old’technology). Most migrants to LIC cities lack a good standard of education and the necessary skills to join the urban work force immediately. As a result they end up working in the informal sector, which accounts for 93 per cent of all newjobs and 61 per cent of all urban employment. Wages are therefore low and irregular, which is the main reason why migrants gravitate towards the slum housing on the periphery of cities. As cities have expanded the peri-urban areas have been built on, destroying natural vegetation and important farmland. People living in slums also experience unacceptably high levels of water and air pollution and the associated health risks. Settlement dynamics 139 figure 6.10 The growth of African cities. The cycle of urbanisation Case Study Suburbanisation US style: and Tysons Corner Los Angeles Los Angeles has always had a love affair with the automobile. As a result the city and suburbs sprawl over nearly 90 000 sq km in order to house an estimated 14.5 million citizens. This is 120 times the size of Nairobi and results in a population density of 165 people per sq km rather than the 4850 of Nairobi. figure 6.11 Tysons Corner skyline 140 Settlement dynamics Immigration and economic strength have led to the growth of the city and a series of factors have contributed to the particular suburban form that it has acquired: • • • • • arrival of the automobile at the same time as economic ‘take-off availability ofcheap land and cheap petrol high levels of personal wealth weak planning legislation promotion of the ‘suburban dream’ in the media and film industry. Tysons Corner is on the eastern side of the USA, just outside the capital Washington DC, and it is an edge city. To qualify as an edge city there are certain criteria that must be fulfilled: • • • • • it must have been a largely rural area 30 years ago there must be more jobs than homes there has to be a ‘single end’ destination, the centre must have shopping, leisure and entertainment it must include over 55 000 sq m of retail space it must include over 464 500 sq m of office space. Tysons Corner stands at a major highway crossroads and has links into Washington DC. It has a population of 19 627 (2010 U.S. Census Bureau) and a population density similar to London at 4600. The influx of high-tech companies and the building of shopping malls has enhanced its standing as an edge city. With 100 000 jobs, nearly 232 300 sq m of office space, 3400 hotel rooms and 230 stores, Tysons Corner is an attractive place to live and work. Counterurbanisation Counterurbanisation is the movement of people out of cities, to smaller towns in the surrounding areas. Since the 1950s this process has been occurring in HICs and more recently in countries that have experienced rapid industrialisation such as China. There are a number of reasons for counterurbanisation: 1 The increase in car ownership means people are more mobile. This has led to an increase in commuting. The growth in information technology (email, video conferencing) means more people can work from home. figure 6.13 Derelict docks figure 6.14 New offices, Cardiff Docks, Wales, UK Settlement dynamics 2 Urban areas can sometimes be an unpleasant place to live, as a result of 3 pollution, crime and traffic congestion. Some people move when they retire or when they start a family and want a 4 different environment in which to live. New business/office/science parks in previously rural towns mean people no 5 longer have to travel to the city centre. Developments on greenfield sites are often cheaper than the cost of cleaning up an inner city brownfield sites. Reurbanisation Reurbanisation refers to the movement of people back into an area that has been previously abandoned. Reurbanisation is usually a government’s initiative to counter the problem of inner city decline caused by pollution, perceived levels of crime and overcrowding, eurbanisation can be achieved by direct action on the part of the government or by encouraging developers through the planning system to improve an area. Competition for land Models and arguments developed to describe ‘western’ cities by their very nature fall short when applied to ‘non-western’ cities. Many of the cities of southern Africa fall into this category despite many having an ex-colonial heritage. The cities of this region reflect the rapid urbanisation trends of Sub Saharan Africa with Angola, Botswana and South Africa reporting in 2010 that some 60 per cent of their population lived in cities, a figure that is estimated to rise to 80 per cent by the middle of the century. This growth, as discussed earlier, had been fuelled by natural increase, rural-urban migration and the extension of city boundaries to include peri-urban villages. Competition for land in African city regions is largely the result of two differing tenure systems: • • Customary tenure, or community land or masimo, that is not registered Statutory tenure of registered land with rights held through a freehold or leasehold agreement Competition for land in Maseru - Lesotho In Maseru, the capital of the southern African country of Lesotho, until 1979 the usual way of acquiring land was to buy customary land [masimo] from the local chiefs. Despite this type of transaction being made illegal by the government in 1979 recent estimates suggest that three quarters of land demand was being met by the informal purchase of customary land. Since the early 1980s many of the peri-urban villages have been incorporated within the city boundaries in an attempt to stop the sub-division of the customary land into building plots. An attempt to limit informal development and in order to make land available for more formal housing the state ‘nationalised’ land and this enabled the government to set aside land as Special Development Areas (SDAs). Two projects were started, one in 1980 and another in 1984. At Khubetsoana a low income housing project financed by the World Bank was established on the edge of the city. Four years later a mixed income site and service project was set up close by. p Settlement dynamics Local land owners having received no compensation from the state in 1980 quickly sold their land in 1984, however the plots were ‘illegally’ occupied and eviction proved difficult when the government came to implement the project. Subsequently the government now recognises those occupations in law which allows for greater security of tenure than would otherwise have been the case for the occupants. It also means that the owners are more prepared to invest in developing their land and property than would have occurred in a previously informal setting. Unfortunately many plots in the informal settlements have become commercialised resulting in land becoming even more expensive and inaccessible to the very poorest of households. Urban renewal Greater Noida, with a population of 100 000, is in the Gautam Budh Nagar district of the northern Indian state of Uttar Pradesh. It lies within the National Capital Region (NCR) of India’s captial New Delhi which is 30 km away. In the early 1980s the government of India realised that the rapid rate at which Delhi was expanding would result in chaos, so they planned to develop residential and industrial areas around the capital to reduce the demographic burden. Before Greater Noida, there were two areas that had been developed - Gurgaon, across the border from Haryana, and Noida, across the border with Uttar Pradesh. Noida’s infrastructure was carefully laid out, but the 1990s saw huge growth in the Indian economy. Migration to cities like Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, and Bangalore exceeded planning estimates. Noida was developed to accommodate population growth for 20-25 years. The massive population influx to Delhi, however, caused it to overload within 15 years. The government of Uttar Pradesh decided to develop another city as an extension to Noida with better planning. The idea was to create a world-class city. It was planned to be approximately 25 km from Noida. Greater Noida is a planned township. Roads are wide with service lanes for every major road, and all cabling and utilities running underground. It is planned to have excellent connectivity to the other parts of the region using Metro, road and rail. Plans to create residential and commercial spaces in the same region fuelled its commercial growth. Planned IT parks and industries in this area along with innumerable housing projects are important for providing employment in this region. FFFir FFF figure 6.15 View of Greater Noida 6.16 Galgotias College of Engineering ^Technology, Greater Noida Settlement dynamics figure 6.17 Melbourne Docklands Case Study Melbourne Docklands The Docklands area is located on Victoria Harbour in the heart of the city, close to the Yarra River and immediately southwest from Melbourne’s central business district. The area was once Melbourne’s largest and busiest port but by the late 1980s it had become a derelict contaminated industrial wasteland. The area was a serious source of pollution, which discouraged any major investment. The need for industrial quayside locations had declined as this type of activity increasingly relocated to developing nations such as China. With inner- city living becoming more popular and Melbourne’s population set to soar, the Victorian Government saw an opportunity to extend the western edge of Melbourne’s central business district and reconnect the city to its historical waterfront. The Melbourne Docklands now: • • • has almost 10 000 residents and 39 500 workers attracts more than a million visitors a year is home to the national headquarters of some of Australia’s largest companies including Australia New Zealand Bank, National Australia Bank, • Medibank Private and Myer has the highest concentration of top-rated commercial buildings in the • • • southern hemisphere is home to 42 public artworks has 741 marina berths includes 3.7 hectares of open space. The Docklands community has also evolved, assisted by the delivery of community facilities including: • • • sports courts a community garden the state-of-the-art Library at The Dock. Docklands is still a work in progress. It is one of Australia’s largest urban renewal projects under construction. J Settlement dynamics Filtering Filtering is the process by which housing passes from high-income occupancy to lower income owners and forms a part of suburbanisation. As people become more affluent they seek to move to new houses in a more pleasant environment and as they move out so the houses they move from are occupied by less affluent families. In turn the houses they leave close to the central area are occupied by people even further down the scale. In this way housing filters downwards as people take the opportunity to move up the housing scale. This creates divisions in the city based on wealth and socio-economic class. Changing accessibility and lifestyle Suburbanisation and the desire for a suburban lifestyle is a characteristic of cities across the globe. Both have been made possible by increasing levels of affluence and because the suburbanites have access to improved transportation. The situation in Los Angeles is that commuters are willing to spend up to three hours a day in the car driving to work through polluted air in order to own their apartment in a child-friendly environment with quiet streets and a pool. figure 6.18 (a)Traffic congestion in Los Angeles figure 6.18 (b) Los Angeles apartment In 2013 ITV News reported that commuters living in and around London spent an average of 56 minutes a day getting to and from work. The London Evening Standard in 2015 calculated that for a man in his 40s this figure had risen to 84 minutes, which equates to 42 days a year! So despite the increased spend by the individual on access to transport, both private and public, it is clear in London that more investment in transport infrastructure is required at significant levels. According to a survey carried out by the oil company Castrol, Indonesia’s capital, Jakarta, ranked as the city with the highest number of traffic stops and starts, with an average of 33 240 per driver per year. Jakarta was followed by Istanbul, Turkey, with 32 520 stops and starts per year and Mexico City with 30 840 per year. East Java’s Surabaya, Indonesia, was also included in the list as the city with the fourth-highest stop-start average, reaching 29 880 per year. The greater use of technology allows people to work flexibly: working from home or out of the office reduces the time and money spent commuting. Although the technology exists many employers have yet to be persuaded to change their attitude towards the old-fashioned nine-to-five routine. Linfen in China is the most polluted city in the world. The pollution here is a result of coal mining- the air is loaded with so much burning coal that most residents are hospitalised for respiratory conditions such as black lung, chronic bronchitis and asthma. The most definitive proof of excessive coal levels in the air is the fact that laundry can turn black if hung outside for even a few minutes. Settlement dynamics Mexico City’s pollution problems arise from other factors. In 1992 the UN described Mexico City’s air as the most polluted on the planet and by 1998 the city had the reputation of being the most dangerous city in the world for children. Despite more than 10 years of stringent pollution control measures a haze still hangs over the city most days, endangering the health of its inhabitants. This situation is a result of industrial growth, a population boom, from 3 million people in 1950 to over 21 million in 2010, and the proliferation of vehicles. More than 3.5 million vehicles are now driven through figure 6.19 Mexico City smog the city’s streets. The solution to the problem of urban air pollution is complex but nevertheless achievable in some small measure. An effective regime of urban planning such as that in the Brazilian city of Curitiba with its high-speed bus corridors has been shown to reduce not only car use, but petrol consumption and air quality. Many cities are now forcing people onto public transport with the introduction of tram systems, expensive parking costs and the pedestrianisation of central areas. In south London the tram system not only links outlying suburbs with the centre but also links in the existing overground and underground train systems, making for a much more integrated approach to urban transport planning. The application of technology has allowed passengers to buy smart cards that they can load with money and then replenish as they ‘spend’each time they travel. This method offers a slightly cheaper rate than buying individual tickets for each journey. A further approach has been to make city centres more bike friendly although this has some way to go in many cities! Global cities, megacities, world cities The exceptionally rapid growth of cities especially in MICs and LICs has led to the creation of megacities - cities with a population of over 10 million people. In the 1950s this definition only applied to London and New York but by 2011 there were 27 megacities, of which only seven are in HICs. Dhaka and Istanbul have become megacities as a result of being the capital city of their respective countries, whilst other cities, such as Osaka and Sao Paulo, have grown as a result of industrialisation or inward investment from HICs. Global or world cities are those that have an important function within the global economic system and as such need not be capital cities, although they often are. 146 Settlement dynamics Saskia Sassen introduced the term ‘global city’ in her seminal text The Global City (1991), which described these cities as playing a major role in global affairs, culture, economics and politics. Along with other academics, Sassen helped found the Globalisation and World Cities Research Network based at Loughborough University, which has identified various levels of global city from Alpha++ to Gamma-, with only London and New York being placed in Alpha++, the highest category. Global cities have grown for three main reasons: first, as a result of demographic changes attracting larger and larger workforces; second, they have expanded as economic development has gathered pace and with it the rapid growth of major manufacturing and service centres; and third, these two growth areas have necessitated growth of key transport networks. Global cities also attract cultural and social status through tourism and major cultural and sporting activities, which in turn leads to further investment. Global cities are often national capitals and as such are magnets for high levels of infrastructural investment. They are considered to be the engines of growth fortheir countries and the gateways to the resources of their regions. The changing structure of urban settlements Urban structure is a blend of form and function. As towns grew different functions grouped themselves in the same areas of the town, even in the same street, such as oral surgeons and dentists in the Frame Street area of Adelaide, South Australia. The shape of the town, its form, is often a result of the physical geography of the area, but its ethnic mix and cultural aspects will all contribute to the urban morphology. In the early years of the twentieth century geographers tried to find, describe and explain the patterns that existed in towns. Research on this was done in Chicago by Park and Burgess. Their model made a number of assumptions on which the concentric zone model (1925) is based: • • • • a uniform land surface free competition for limited space equal access to the single city centre continuing in-migration and expansion out from the centre. Park and Burgess concluded that these assumptions led to a situation where the best locations are available to those who can afford them while the poorest groups of people end up in the worst locations. This leads to the emergence of different functional zones within the city, which can be arranged concentrically. In the centre of the model is the central business district (CBD). The central business district is the most accessible part of the city and is dominated by high-end retail and service functions as these businesses can afford to pay the high rental prices of the area. Surrounding this central area is the zone in transition. Older housing is subdivided into flats for poorer immigrants, there is mixed land use and evidence of some dereliction. The immigrants group in ‘ghettoes’ although as they become assimilated into the host population they seek to move out to better quality housing. The zone of working men’s houses is older housing for city centre manual workers. The residential zone is occupied by the middle classes, often living in semi­ detached houses, and on the outskirts of the city lies the commuter zone. Park and Burgess also recognised that within a city there would be ethnic groupings and in Chicago they identified a Chinatown and Little Sicily. The concentric rings of the model were however disrupted by features such as the shoreline of Lake Michigan, the Chicago River, numerous railway lines and the resistance to change of local communities, all of which were recognised by these early model makers. figure 6.21 Downtown Los Angeles, USA. figure 6.22 Nineteenth-century housing in Leeds, UK. figure 6.23 Chinatown, San Francisco, USA. Settlement dynamics Concentric zone model Central Business District Zone of transition Multiple nuclei model Hoyt's sector model Central Business District Education and recreation Central Business District Low class residential Wholesale, light manufacturing Mi Heavy manufacturing Low class residential Working class zone Residential zone Commuter zone Middle class residential High class residential ■■ Outlying business district High class residential BH Industrial suburb Industrial HH Transportation figure Middle class residential Residential suburb 6.24 Urban models Bid rent theory Bid rent theory was developed by Alonso in the 1960s and also produced a model of concentric rings. It is based on the ability of different land users to pay the higher costs at the centre of a city. Land at the centre is in short supply but being the most accessible commands a high price, which in turn creates intense competition between land users wishing to use the same plots of land. The land use that will earn the most can pay the most and so can locate at the centre: banks, offices, high-end retail, for example. The land use bidding the lowest will be consigned to the more peripheral locations. The paradox of poorer sections of the community living in the expensive centre is explained by the fact that these sections of the urban population tend to live in much higher densities and the better-off populace trade the convenience of being close to the centre against living in large houses on bigger plots of land in the suburbs. 1 - CBD with commerce/retail and offices 2 - Industry/maufactacturing 3 - Residential with highest density nearest centre figure 148 Settlement dynamics 6.25 Urban bid rent model For most western cities and for a number of cities in other parts of the world, the bid rent model now has a number of variations, with ‘spikes’ of activity in retail, housing and industry occuring at locations both further out and closer in towards the centre, reflecting the dynamic and changing nature of urban areas in the twenty-first century. Hoyt’s Sector theory Hoyt’s Sector theory (1939) was also developed in the USA and, like Burgess, Hoyt placed a CBD at the accessible centre of his model. He observed that as differences in function occurred in the growing city those variations tended to endure. Low income housing tended to occur in the least favoured locations while high income housing sought out more favourable locations. Transport routes, especially rail lines, tended to attract industrial land use and this had an effect on the development of adjacent housing patterns. New land developed at the edge of the city took on the function of the adjoining sector. Harris and Ullman multiple nuclei theory Harris and Ullman’s multiple nuclei theory (1945) challenged the idea that a city developed around a single central nucleus, rather than a number of separate nuclei. These nuclei might be suburban village centre/s or town centres that become enveloped as the town spreads outwards. Croydon in south London is an example of a suburban centre developing as a major commercial nucleus. Housing areas would be aligned in much the same manner as the other models with the poorest members of society close to the industrial areas and the high earners seeking out those parts of the city with the greatest environmental benefits. So far most of the model making had taken place in the USA however the American city model did not fit the British experience. In 1965 Mann researched three northern British cities: Huddersfield, Nottingham and Sheffield. His work was influenced by that of Burgess and Hoyt and the resulting model is very much an amalgamation of the two ideas. However he importantly included the influence of the westerly prevailing wind and the effect that this has on housing in the UK (the westerly wind ensures that the smelly industries are always on the eastern sides of towns and cities blowing the smell away from the expensive housing, which is why the workers houses are always on the east side of a city). It is noticeable that much of the Victorian development in London took place in the east while the gentry and their estates were largely in the west. Limitations of the traditional models of urban structure The early models of urban structure have a number of limitations when explaining the modern western city including: • • • • • • • They all assume a single central area that dominates the rest of the city. They largely lack, Mann apart, any consideration of intervention processes by government policies. Their main focus is residential land use, which is only one of many land uses. Very little consideration is given to the physical geography of the city or historic land uses. People’s choices and behaviours about where they live are not allowed for. The models are unable to accommodate issues such as post-industrial decline. The models do not consider the use of land for unprofitable but socially desirable uses. Consequently, while these models ‘fit’ some districts of established cities, they fail to show the dynamic nature of urban areas and the complexity that is the city in the twenty-first century. m squatter areas suburbs figure alien commercial zone western commercial zone 6.26 Model of a large Southeast Asian city. Settlement dynamics EE Models of cities in Latin America Much of the research has been in western cities but as cities in the LICs and MICs have expanded interesting patterns have emerged. Work done by Gilbert and by Griffin and Ford summarise the features of these cities. • • • • • The CBD now resembles most western cities although originally it would have been laid out to a strict plan overseen by government officials from Spain or Portugal. The high cost housing zone of the rich and high ranking officials also contains the high value shopping malls. The industrial areas or areas of disamenity are located along main transport routes and contain the polluting industries. Immediately around the CBD is an area of more mature housing where early slum properties have been improved by their owners. Beyond this zone is an area of rapid urban expansion, this is the zone of shanty settlements, (variously called favelas, bidonvilles, barriadas, barrios, villas miseras) with poor service provision and housing made of a variety of materials. periferia - older informal housing (permanent houses and upgraded gradually) CBD-Central Business District industry- along transport routes high cost housing- luxury flats or detached houses favelas- recent informal housing (often self-built housing = poor quality) figure 6.27 Model of a Latin American city Urban activities and their location There are two main sets of factors that will determine the location of most urban activities: first, the influence of market forces, which will affect the availability and therefore the price of land within the urban area; and second, local and national government planning policies and decisions. Such policies and decisions may well, in certain circumstances, disregard the market if it is considered that a greater benefit may accrue for the public. figure 6.28 Hillside/iwe/a in Brazil 150 Settlement dynamics The manufacturing industry In the UK and Europe the Industrial Revolution occurred in relatively small towns and before the age of the car and mass transportation systems and as a result factories and housing were built next to each other. The twentieth century has seen the separation of manufacturing and housing as cities have expanded and developments on greenfield sites have taken place. The disadvantages of inner city factory sites had become evident and in the period after the Second World War new suburban sites were identified for manufacturing, which then moved out into the surrounding rural areas. At the same time there was a move towards deindustrialisation with former industrialised countries (HICs) seeing their industries move to lower cost bases in other countries, often LICs. As a result many industrial cities in the HICs can now be termed post-industrial cities. The congested nature of industrial sites and their associated housing has meant that expansion has not been possible and so the land is often converted to other uses such as housing. Some large sites do exist from the nineteenth century but often levels of toxic contamination mean that they are unsuitable for any use without expensive remediation works. The only manufacturing that remains in the city is often high value production, jewellery for instance, as the competition for and the cost of land is so prohibitive. In addition restrictive post-war planning has discouraged industry in urban areas and the decentralisation programmes of many governments has actively encouraged industry to move to other parts of the country or to unindustrialised rural areas. Suburban growth has meant that the workforce is closer to any industry that moves away from the centre. Retailing Increased car ownership has played a large part in changes to the mobility of shoppers and to shifts in the location of shopping areas. With less need to use public transport high street shopping has suffered greatly as large retailers have moved to out-of-town locations where they can provide car parking and a huge retail complex. Some of these complexes are located close to motorwayjunctions to allow a far greater sphere of influence than would be available to a high street shop. Cape Town’s Tyger Valley Shopping Centre is a shopping mall on the outskirts of the city and is situated just off the Ni, a 12 minute drive from the centre of the city. Located in the fast growing Tyger Valley business district, the shopping centre encompasses 275 shops on three levels, a banking mall with bureau de change facilities, medical and dental facilities and a 10 screen cinema complex. There is provision of over 5 000 parking bays and a choice of either undercover parking or free parking. Gunwharf Quays, in Portsmouth, is a waterfront development on land released from the naval depot. figure 6.29 Derelict factory figure 6.30 Shopping mall in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil figure 6.31 Gunwharf Quays, Portsmouth, UK Consisting largely of outlet shops, it combines shopping with recreational activities, boat trips, a multiplex cinema, nightclub and numerous bars and restaurants. The changing central business district The CBD is the most accessible part of the city. It acts as a focus for the transport systems feeding in from the suburbs and further afield. Here land values are at their highest, attracting high-value businesses and functions not found elsewhere such as government, central banks and the headquarters of multinational and transnational corporations. Pressure on land encourages vertical development, the high-rise blocks of Lower Manhattan and the City of London being good examples, but the CBD is also an area that is constantly changing. In small cities and towns the CBD may well spread out into residential areas where houses can be converted into offices for smaller enterprises, or the housing may be demolished to accommodate new developments. This is known as the area of assimilation, unlike the area of discard where demolition of old, cramped and unsuitable buildings takes place. Decline in the CBD has occurred for the reasons discussed above but since the mid-1990s government policies have restricted the growth of large out-of-town shopping centres and encouraged the reimaging of the city centre. City councils have fostered plans to promote business tourism, Settlement dynamics frame better-off residential properties assimilation zone autosales and services outer core residential areas development inner core education smaller shops transport terminals, multistorey car parks retail stores, specialist shops, high-rise office blocks, commercial offices (banks) offices (insurance, solicitors), public administration theatres and small shops social services neglected/ derelict land discard zone heavy industry and poor residential light manufacturing properties wholesale services figure 6.32 CBD under pressure especially conferences, as well as marketing an image for their city designed to appeal to international businesses. This has been done by the use of flagship projects, which are high-profile schemes that subsequently attract further investment from other companies and developers. Birmingham, Liverpool, Newcastle and Manchester as well as areas of cities overseas such as Battery Park in New York and La Defense in Paris have all benefitted from this approach. The refurbishment of old iconic buildings and the redevelopment of waterfront sites have also seen a return to the CBD of residential land uses. Residential segregation Residential segregation is common in all cities. Residents with a high income will have the widest selection of properties and areas to choose from. Conversely, people on low incomes will be restricted in where they can live. Residents from ethnic minorities tend, as we have seen, to group together for social and cultural reasons into ethnic villages. The stage of the family cycle also influences where people live, with people moving several times during their family’s life time. The trend to rent has grown in recent years in the UK but for many people home ownership remains an important stage in the family life cycle. Ethnic minority percentage over 40 30-40 20-29.99 10-19.99 0-9.99 no data Statistics are for 2011. figure 6.33 Distribution of ethnic minorities in London boroughs 152 Settlement dynamics Middle-income life cycle Low-income life cycle Family home Childhood Divided older house (Rented room/bedsit) Pre-parenthood @ Starter home ® (owned) Family home ® (owned) Family home ® (owned) Retirement house ©(owned) figure Local authority house ® (1930s) rented ©Private room authority ©Local inner-city flat Local authority ©semi-detached house authority ©Local semi-detached house Local authority ©care home Child-rearing Primary-age children Adolescent children G rand-pa renthood/elderly Childhood Pre-parenthood Child-rearing Primary-age children Adolescent children Grand-pa renthood/elderly 6.34 Family life cycle in western cities The management of urban settlements Only 20 per cent of the population of Malawi is classified as urban and it is one of the least urbanised countries in Africa - but Malawi is nonetheless one of the most urbanising counties on the continent with this change taking place at a rate of 5.3 percent per year. Urbanisation in Malawi has become synonymous with poverty and slum growth with some 67.7 per cent of the urban population of the country living in slum conditions. The Malawi City Development Strategy and Slum Upgrading Programme (CDS/SUP) seeks to improve the lives of people living and working in the slums and informal settlements in the major urban areas. The slum housing problem Lilongwe is the capital of Malawi and it has been stated that the city does not have slums as yet but ‘informal settlements’, which are characterised by the interrelated factors described in the case study below. Case Study Mtandire:The slum housing problem Mtandire is the largest informal settlement in Lilongwe and it is a community inhabited by poor people with high levels of unemployment. The overwhelming reason for living in this settlement is employment-74 per cent of people who live in Mtandire cite work as their reason for being there- and this is reflected in the gender imbalance, which is 65 per cent male to 35 per cent female. Rapid urbanisation from rural areas means that 54 per cent of the households rent. Rented properties are often subject to poor sanitation as there is a lack of investment in sanitation on the part of landlords. People draw water from different sources including public water kiosks, boreholes, shallow wells and local streams. In low income areas the use of the water kiosk acts as a form of rationing as there is a limit to how much water a person can carry home. For 29 per cent of families water is available for less than three hours a day. The use of unprotected sources contributes to an increasing prevalence of water-borne diseases. Some 78 per cent of the population walk for up to 20 minutes to get to a water point and one in five people live further away. An average family uses nine pails of water a day, which cost between USÎ4 and US$8. A total of 27 per cent of households do not have access to a toilet and instead use their neighbours’toilets, public toilets, the river or the bush. Some 91 per cent of families use unimproved pit latrines and a mere 1.6 per cent use flushing toilets with a septic tank connected to a sewer line. A further 54 per cent of the population do not have a hand washing facility, figure 6.35 Mtandire, Lilongwe. Settlement dynamics which increases the risk of diarrhoeal diseases. Waste collection is intermittent owing to a lack of accessibility to low income areas so most households burn their waste. Further challenges faced by the poor in Mtandire include: • • • • figure 6.36 Slums on the outskirts of Lilongwe poor natural drainage river flooding settlement accessibility challenges unattended waste and unmoving drains create a breeding environment for mosquitoes causing high rates of cholera/diarrhoea and malaria. The Urban Household Sanitation Improvement Project’s overall goal is to improve the living conditions of the urban poor. It will achieve this by: • facilitating access to sanitation facilities • • • better sanitation practices improved personal hygiene and food security better management of human excrement. Much is being done to encourage community-led or grassroots solutions, which are often funded by outside agencies such as the World Health Organization (WHO), the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the UK Department for International Development (DFID). Some of the solutions suggested include the following: • • • • • • the construction of a drainage system for wastewater and rainwater the building of a dyke and the planting of trees and grass alongside the river the erection of improved foot bridges installation of protected and adequate water kiosks the addition of household bathrooms and latrines training in waste management techniques. Solving the slum housing problem - the government view Much of Lilongwe’s housing problem is related to low levels of income, lack of education and the extensive informal economy, currently employing some 161 000 people. The solution is partly addressed in the 2013 Urban Structure Plan, which highlights the need of the population to access utilities such as water supply, sewerage and waste management. The plan recognised that the previous zoning scheme no longer met the needs of the city. The plan also recognised that land in the south and east of the city needed to be zoned to accommodate the urban sprawl. Further urban sprawl is to be controlled by the preservation of green areas of grassland, forest and open space. However limited provision has been made for those who can only afford low cost housing. It is planned that by 2030 all residents will have access to piped water and 98 per cent of people will have access to safe sanitation. Although government and NGOs have made huge investments in Malawi, these have not led to improvements in the informal settlements. National figures show that the number of people with access to improved sanitation in the country is slightly above 50 per cent in the urban areas, whereas almost 91 per cent of households in the informal settlements have unimproved sanitation. Given that at least 70 per cent of the urban population live here, these figures paint a gloomy picture of the reliability of national statistics. Finally, it seems there is little or no investment of human or financial resources from central government to improve the growing slum situation in Malawi. Settlement dynamics Case Study The provision of transport infrastructure for a city: Bogota, Colombia Bogota has more than 8 million inhabitants and a population density of nearly 4310 inhabitants per sq km. Areas of higher economic status tend to be located to the north and northeast, close to the foothills of the Eastern Cordillera. Poorer neighbourhoods are located to the south and southeast and many of them are shanty areas. The middle classes usually inhabit the central, western and northwestern sections of the city. figure 6.37 Bogota, Colombia figure 6.38 Traffic in Bogota figure 6.39 Air pollution in Bogota Transport and pollution controls At 2640 m above sea level, Bogota experiences terrible air pollution problems. A recent study reported that 70 per cent of the city’s air pollution problems stem from automobiles-the city has in excess of 1 million vehicles. Although only a small number of people own automobiles in the city, traffic is so congested that it can take over an hour to travel five miles. There is also a large number of small industries and consequently high levels of air pollutants are detected. In an attempt to improve air quality a green transport initiative was introduced - the Transmilenio BRT system - in 2000. Over 1000 buses transport 1.6 million commuters using dedicated lanes across the city. A smartcard system allows passengers to access transport from elevated platforms and a feeder system of a further 400 buses and a 300 km network of cycle paths connect to the main routes. In an attempt to reduce the number of cars on the roads, cars with certain license plate numbers are prohibited during peak hours, a scheme known as Picoy placa, which means Peak and [license] plate. Another scheme reduces the number and size of parking areas to discourage drivers from bringing their cars into the city. Despite this Bogota still has poor air quality. However 13 air quality monitoring stations have been established and a national law passed in 2008 requires fuel distributors to reduce the amount of sulfur in diesel fuels, initially from 1200 parts per million to 500 and ultimately to 50 parts per million. The Transmilenio uses low sulfur fuel and is working with the city authorities and the university on an air decontamination plan to raise air quality. NOW INVESTIGATE 1 Conduct a traffic survey on a main road leading into the town/city where you live. You might want to measure noise levels, levels of pollution (visible and invisible) and numbers of people in each car. Prepare a report on traffic issues. 2 Investigate where your classmates families have lived. What conclusions can you reach about rural-urban, intra-urban and counter-urban movements of people? 3 Using census data investigate the growth of the capital city and compare this to the growth of other towns within your country. What conclusions can you draw? 4 For an area known to you investigate the different shopping areas. How do the differ in terms of services provided, local and national usage and types and numbers of customers? Settlement dynamics 155 The belt of land and sea lying between the Tropic of Cancer and the Tropic of Capricorn is generally known as the tropical environmental zone. Climates classified by Koppen as ‘tropical’ are typical of this belt and include tropical rainforest climate (Af), tropical monsoon climate (Am) and tropical wet and dry or savanna climate (Aw). All tropical climates have relatively constant temperatures through the year and seasonal variations are dominated by precipitation. Tropical Environments Hb- Af-Tropical rainforest climate ► Am-Tropical monsoon climate Aw-Tropical wet and dry or savanna climate P recipitation Zonal mean precipitation (1979 - 2004) --------- January --------- February ---------- May — June ----------October ---------- November March --------- April ---------- September ----------August --------- December Equator Latitude 3 Davao (Af) 7 Tropical environm ents 11 Pune (Aw) 157] Tropical environments Tropical climates Global distribution and climatic characteristics of humid tropical and seasonally humid tropical environments Tropical environments are located between the Tropics of Cancer and Capricorn, 23.50 north and south of the equator respectively. The Köppen climate classification distinguishes three different types of tropical climate; rainforest (Af), monsoon (Am) and Savanna (Aw). The tropical rainforest climate tends to occur between 50 and io° either side of the equator, although it can extend to 25°north and south of the equator in eastern and coastal areas. For example, in Mexico tropical rainforest is found along the Gulf of Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula and the state of Chiapas. The climate is characterised by average temperatures of over 18 °C per month, an average of 60 mm of rainfall per month throughout the year and the absence of natural seasons. In contrast, the tropical monsoon and savanna climates have distinctive wet and dry seasons. However, the main difference between the two is that the tropical savanna climate experiences either less rainfall than the tropical monsoon climateduring the monsoon wet season precipitation totals can exceed 1000 mm per month - or the savanna tends to have more pronounced dry seasons. The distribution of the tropical rainforest climate coincides with the I ntertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ)-the area where the northeast and southeast trade winds meet and air rises as the ascending branch of the Hadley Cell. The climate is most commonly found in Southeast Asia, South America and Central Africa, although tropical microclimates can be found further afield and not every location in this equatorial region is dominated by the tropical rainforest climate. Examples of cities that experience tropical rainforest climates include Kampala in Uganda, Fort Lauderdale in the USA, Manaus in Brazil and Singapore. 158 Tropical environments figure 7.2 The general circulation of the atmosphere The tropical monsoon climate is most commonly found in South and Central America, although there are regions of South and Southeast Asia, Africa, the Caribbean and North America that also experience these conditions. The distribution is controlled by the monsoon circulation, which is a seasonal change in wind direction. In summer the land heats more rapidly than the surrounding ocean and the resulting difference in temperature causes air to flow onshore from the ocean across the land. During winter the opposite occurs and as the land area cools the winds flow offshore from land to sea. Examples of cities that experience tropical monsoon climates include Miami in the USA, Chittagong in Bangladesh and Cairns in Australia. The tropical savanna climate is typically found towards the outer reaches of the tropical zone in the continents of Africa, Asia, South America, northern Australia and southern North America. Examples of cities that experience tropical savanna climates include Dar es Salaam in Tanzania, Darwin in Australia and Rio de Janeiro in Brazil. The role of the ITCZ, sub-tropical anticyclones and monsoons The ITCZ occurs where solar heating causes the vertical movement of air through convection and creates a band of clouds several hundred kilometres wide. On average the ITCZ lies approximately 50 north of the equator, however it varies seasonally, following the position of the overhead Sun. Due to the ocean’s ability to retain heat and its subsequent stable temperatures, the position of the ITCZ is less variable over oceans. In contrast, land temperatures are much more variable and are affected by altitude and relief, and so the position of the ITCZ shifts dramatically north and south of the equator over land. For example, over the Indian Ocean the position of the ITCZ is most pronounced due to the large Asian continental landmass to the north. The position of the ITCZ is the most important factor in the migration of low pressure zones and the resulting shift in seasonal tropical rains. Winds at the ITCZ are very light, which creates calm conditions known by sailors as ‘the doldrums’. Tropical environments Arctic Circle Sub-tropical anticyclones are areas of high pressure caused by descending air at the tropopause. The position of high pressure typically lies between 30° and 350 north and south of the equator however, due to the fact that it corresponds to the descending branch of the Hadley Cell, it alters in response to the seasonal drift of the ITCZ. The high pressure belt tends to lie over the oceans (particularly in summer) as the continents are dominated by low pressure due to heating. For example, two semi-permanent sub-tropical highs are anchored over the eastern Pacific and Indian Ocean. Sub-tropical anticyclones tend to be large-4000 km east to west and 2000 km from north to south - and, due to the fact that temperatures are fairly consistent over this area, pressure gradients are small and winds are consequently light. Where anticyclones, and thus descending air, dominate, conditions are arid. The term ‘monsoon’ is derived from the Arabic for ‘season’ and is used to describe winds that experience a seasonal reversal. This is a result of the differential heating of land and sea on a continental scale. Whilst the monsoon is a feature of climates in several continents, including South and Central America and Africa, perhaps the most well-known example is India, which experiences two monsoon seasons annually. The monsoon wet season typically lasts from June until October. In June the ITCZ extends northwards to around 30° north as a result of the intense heating of the landmass and so northern India experiences low pressure. At the same time the surrounding oceans heat up more slowly and create an area of high pressure off India’s south coast. Due to the fact that winds blow from high to low pressure, air moves in a south-westerly direction from the ocean over the Indian subcontinent. The low pressure draws in the warm, saturated and unstable air, causing heavy rain to spread across India. The rains start in the south, in the state of Tamil Nadu, and it takes approximately six weeks for the rains to reach Rajasthan in the north of the country. Despite the later arrival of the monsoon rains in the northern regions, the monsoon contributes a greater percentage of annual rainfall in the north compared to the south of India. For example, Cherrapunji in northeast India is one of the wettest places on Earth, experiencing nearly 12 000 mm of rainfall annually. The monsoon rains cool the Indian landmass causing the temperature differential between land and sea to reverse. This causes the wind to change direction and become a dry, north-easterly wind. The dry monsoon occurs in January where the ITCZ and the sub-tropical jet stream move southwards. At the same time the landmass around the 33 Tropical environments Himalayas cools due to the fact that the northern hemisphere is pointing away from the Sun. This intense cooling causes an area of high pressure in northern India, whilst southern India experiences low pressure due to the location of the ITCZ. The winds blow from high to low pressure causing winds which blow from the north-east over the continent. This results in dry conditions as the air blows over land. figure 7.4 Onset dates and prevailing wind currents of the Indian monsoon Tropical rainforest climate Singapore is located i° north of the equator and has a tropical rainforest climate with no distinct seasons. It is characterised by a consistent temperature (27 °C throughout the year), high relative humidity (the yearly average is 84 per cent) and abundant rainfall (over 2300 mm per year). The diurnal range in temperature (difference between daytime and night time) is 9 °C; daytime temperatures are consistently around 32 °C, whilst night-time temperatures are 23 °C. April and May are typically the warmest months of the year as they experience the strongest sunshine and lightest winds, however temperatures rarely exceed 35 °C (the highest recorded temperature in Singapore was 36 °C, on 26 March 1998). Whilst the average relative humidity is high, the diurnal relative humidity is variable. It is at its highest (around 90 per cent) in the early morning and falls to around 60 per cent by mid-afternoon, although relative humidity can reach 100 per cent during rainfall events and figures as low as 50 per cent have also been recorded. Rain is abundant throughout the year. The numberof rainy days per month varies from 11 in February to 19 in November and December and even though February is relatively dry it still experiences 80 mm of rainfall. It is thought that climate change may have a significant impact Tropical environments on Singapore’s climate. The annual mean surface temperature has increased by 0.8 °C since 1948 and rainfall has become more intense in the last decade. Also, in 2001 Typhoon Vamei, the first recorded cyclone to occur near the equator, swept north of Singapore killing five people and causing US$3.6 million worth of damage. Tropical monsoon climate Miami, Florida, at 250 north of the equator has a tropical monsoon climate with hot humid summers and warm dry winters. It is characterised by a more variable temperature than the tropical rainforest climate (20 °C in January to 29 °C in August), high relative humidity (the yearly average is 73 per cent) and high rainfall (around 1500 mm per year), which mainly falls during a distinct wet season The warm season lasts from May to October with the JFMAMJ JASOND 7.5 (b) Climate graph for Miami figure warmest temperatures occurring at the beginning of August. During this period, temperatures vary between 26 °C and 29 °C. The cold season lasts from December to February, with the lowest temperatures being recorded in January. During this period temperatures vary between 15 °C and 24 °C. The diurnal range is 8 °C and this is fairly consistent throughout both the warm and the cold seasons, although during August it falls to around 6 °C. The tropical monsoon climate has high average relative humidity of 73 per cent although, in a similar way to the tropical rainforest climate, diurnal relative humidity is variable. Relative humidity is 84 per cent in the morning and falls to 62 per cent in the afternoon. Rain occurs seasonally in Miami. The cold season is also relatively dry; from November to April the number of rainy days per month hovers around seven and these months experience rainfall that ranges from 40 mm to 100 mm. During the warm season rainfall is higher, with the number of rainy days increasing to 17 and average rainfall varying between 135 mm and 260 mm. Tropical savanna climate Darwin, Australia, lies 120 south of the equator and experiences a tropical savanna climate with distinctive wet and dry seasons. Like the tropical rainforest figure 7.5 (c) Climate graph for Darwin climate it is characterised by a consistently high temperature all year round (25 °C to 30 °C throughout the year) but, unlike the tropical rainforest, the relative humidity is relatively low (the yearly average is 53 per cent). Diurnal temperature ranges are similar to both the tropical rainforest and tropical monsoon climates, averaging 10 °C in June. The savanna climate is seasonal with the dry season running from May to September and the wet season running from December to March. During the dry season days are warm and sunny and there is virtually no rainfall; the average number of rainy days during this period is less than one and monthly rainfall totals are in the region of a few millimetres. In the 2012 dry season Darwin recorded no rainfall for 147 days. Relative humidity is low, on average around 40 per cent, but this figure drops to below 30 per cent during the afternoons. In the wet season the average relative humidity increases to around 70 per cent. Whilst rainfall does not occur every day, there are around 20 rainy days per month during this period and average monthly totals vary between 200 and 400 mm. Rainfall totals in Darwin average 1800 mm per year. However in February 2011,1110 mm of rain fell in one month alone. Since the beginning of the twentieth century Darwin has seen an increase in its average temperature of 1 °C, although the first 50 years of the century warmed at a slower rate than the last 50 years. Temperatures have warmed at night in particular and this has led to an increase in fires, droughts and floods as a result of climate change. Landforms of tropical environments The formation of characteristic landforms Tropical environments are characterised by diverse and complex landforms that are the result of a range of factors including climate, vegetation, geology, tectonics, scale, time and, increasingly, human impact. The warm and moist nature of tropical climates means that both mechanical and chemical Tropical environments weathering are common; particularly the processes of hydrolysis and exfoliation. Hydrolysis is a form of chemical weathering that occurs on rocks that contain feldspar, notably granite. Rainwater (which is typically slightly acidic) changes the chemical composition and size of minerals in the rock making them less resistant to weathering. When feldspar undergoes hydrolysis clay minerals are produced and kaolin, silicic acid and potassium are released. Exfoliation is a form of mechanical weathering that tends to occur in tropical savanna areas that experience less moisture in comparison to their tropical rainforest counterparts. Tropical savanna regions are characterised by a large scale diurnal range in temperature. Rocks are heated and expand during the day when temperatures are high and cool and contract during the night when temperatures are significantly cooler. As rocks are poor conductors of heat, this expansion and contraction only occurs in the outer layers of the rock causing them to peel or exfoliate. figure 7.6 Effects of hydrolysis figure 7.7 Exfoliation joints in granite. Laterites (also known as duricrust) are concentrations of iron (ferricrete), aluminium (alcrete), silica (silcrete) and calcium carbonate (calcrete) found within the zone of weathering in tropical areas. Calcrete tends to dominate in tropical regions with low average rainfall (less than 840 mm) whilst ferricrete, alcrete and silcrete tend to be found in more humid regions. Laterites form under the surface to a thickness of 1.5 m, where groundwater flow concentrates iron and aluminium oxides. Laterites are soft whilst in the ground and moist but, when exposed to the air they harden irreversibly. Laterites therefore have a vital role in tropical geomorphology forming cap rocks to escarpments, terraces and mesa and affecting drainage patterns within soils. figure 7.8 Laterite bricks in a quarry in Koovery, India figure 7.9 A duricrust inselberg near Dori, Burkina Faso Tropical environments figure 7.10 Tor formation Granite: (deep weathering profiles) tors, inselbergs and bornhardts Granite is an igneous rock that, by definition, is composed of at least 20 per cent quartz and 65 per cent feldspar. Granite is widely distributed throughout continental crust and often occurs as smaller (less than 100 km2) intrusions known as batholiths. However the warm moist climate of the tropics encourages hydrolysis, which in turn shapes the landscape to create a range of distinctive landforms including tors, inselbergs and bornhardts. An inselberg is an isolated hill (or hills) that stands over a plain; thus, tors and bornhardts are examples of inselbergs. Inselbergs are best developed in the seasonal tropics on rocks such as granite and gneiss, which have widely spaced joints and a high potassium content. The term inselberg is mostly used to describe an abrupt rise from the plain below, whilst tor (or boulder inselberg) is used to describe rounded weathered boulders embedded in the bedrock. Bornhardt (or monolithic domed inselberg) are characterised by steep slopes that end in a convex upper slope. Inselbergs are relict features, meaning that they have maintained their relief as the adjacent surrounding landscape has been lowered. Uluru in south-western Northern Territory, Australia, is an example of a sandstone inselberg, which rises 348 m above the surrounding desert plain. Tors (or castle kopjes) are thought to form when joints in the granite are widened by sub-surface chemical weathering. Where the joints are spaced widely spherical core stones are formed, shaped by spheroidal weathering (chemical weathering which is a small-scale form of exfoliation). Where the joints are closer together, the rate of weathering increases to create either day-filled depressions or small core stones. The formation of the tor occurs below the surface and so it is only exposed if denudation occurs, removing the surrounding sediment. When the tor is exposed chemical weathering continues to act below the surface, which can lead to the collapse of the tor. Tors are typically 20 to 35 m in height and have core stones up to 8 m in diameter. The Jos Plateau rises between 1200 and 1400 m above sea level and covers 8600 sq km of central Nigeria. It is dominated by Cambrian and Jurassic granites and Pliocene basalt and is the location of a number of tors. Bornhardts are dome-shaped outcrops which are common in the tropical savannas of Africa but can also be found in more humid tropical regions. They typically are composed of granite or gneiss but can equally be formed from 1. Laterite mesa landscape 2. Bornhardts begin to emerge 2. Bornhardts dominate olain figure 7.11 Bornhardt formation Tropical environments figure 7.12 Kopje, Serengeti National Park,Tanzania other rocks such as dacite, limestone and conglomerate. Sugar Loaf Mountain in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, and Mount Hora in the Mzimba region of Malawi are examples of bornhardts. Vertical joints are formed in the rock below the surface to a depth of 35 m during the process of pressure release (where overlying materials are removed, usually by erosion, which causes the underlying rocks to expand). It is therefore thought that chemical weathering exploits these joints to partition the rock into a series of domes. These are then exposed as the surrounding regolith (loose material) is removed, revealing the bornhardts below. However there are several alternative explanations including parallel retreat and pedimentation. Another theory is that of etchplanation. This is a term used to describe progressive rock decomposition occurring within deep weathering profiles and suggests the evolution from bornhardt to inselberg and then to residual tor. This theory takes account of varying periods of deep weathering, uplift and climatic change. Limestone: tropical karst (cone karst, tower karst and cockpit karst) Limestone is a sedimentary rock composed mainly of calcium carbonate. Most of the grains present within limestone are the skeletal remains of sea organisms such as coral or foraminifera. Limestone can also include other materials such as clay, sand or iron oxide, which can cause the rocks to exhibit different colours when weathered. Karst topography is a landscape formed as limestone dissolves through the process of solution, although it can also form in other soluble rocks such as dolomite and gypsum. In tropical regions there are three major landform features associated with karst scenery; cockpit, cone and tower karst. The latter two only exist in sub-tropical and tropical climate zones. Some geographers believe that limestone landscapes evolve from cockpit (cave systems that have collapsed to leave large valleys with the remaining limestone forming hills) to cone (more common and less spectacular with residual cones usually covered in rainforest) to tower karst (spectacular 30-300 m high towers with bare vertical sides). Others believe that the hydrological and tectonic conditions that form each type of karst make them quite distinctive. They suggest that cockpit karst develops in areas of high tectonic uplift where there is intense vertical erosion by rivers. In contrast, tower karst develops where tectonic uplift is absent or limited, where the limestone lies in close proximity to other rocks and where the water table is close to the surface. Cockpit karst is a limestone landscape pitted with smooth-sided, soil-covered depressionsand cone-shaped hills. The Chocolate Hills in Bohol Province, Philippines, are a stunning example of cockpit karst. There are approximately 1500 hills which cover an area of over 50 sq km and are fairly uniform in height, ranging from 30 to 50 m. It is thought that the hills were formed through a combination of dissolution of limestone by water (by rainfall, surface runoffand groundwater) and sub-aerial erosion by rivers following a period of uplift by tectonic processes. In Southeast Asia, rounded cone karst hills are termed ‘Fengcong’ when they cluster together whereas, isolated tower karst, surrounded by flat plains are termed ‘Fenglin’. The best developed form of these types of karst are found in Guangxi Province, China where the Li River cuts through the karst scenery. In its flood plain, fenglin karst is common whereas further away from the river lie multi-peaked clusters of fengcong karst. Tower karst tends to be more variable in size than cockpit karst measuring just a few metres high to over 150 m. They are formed when cone karst is vertically steepened by water table undercutting (see Figure 7.14). As a consequence they have steep, almost vertical sides, tend to form isolated ‘towers’ and are characterised by caves and solution notches that form at the base. Khao Phing Kan and the neighbouring Ko Tapu are examples of tower karst located in the Ao Phang Nga National Park in Thailand. Since 1998 tourists have been forbidden from approaching the 20-metre-high Ko Tapu as it is feared that the erosion of limestone that could result may lead to its collapse. figure 7.13 Sugar Loaf Mountain, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil honeycombed solution hole surface figure widened joints 7.14 Tower karst formation Tropical environments figure 7.15 Cockpit karst,The Chocolate Hills, Bohol, Philippines Humid tropical (rainforest) ecosystems and seasonally humid tropical (savanna) ecosystems Plant communities: development of climax, subclimax and plagioclimax Succession is the process of temporal and spatial change in plant communities. Each stage of succession (or sere) is characterised by a group of species that have adapted to and alter the micro-environment, thus allowing another group of species to subsequently dominate. At the beginning of succession nutrients and organic matter are limited, biodiversity is low, and the organisms that are able to survive in such harsh conditions (pioneer species) tend to be small. In late succession, as the ecosystem moves towards climatic climax, there is more organic matter available and greater biodiversity of species. On a global scale climate is the dominant factor in determining the location of biomes (large-scale ecosystems) such as the tropical rainforest. However, in some areas the distribution of vegetation is controlled by soil type rather than climate (edaphic control) and, even where climate is dominant, soil type can affect plant groupings. For example, in savanna regions clay soils result in forested areas whereas sandy soils result in grassland areas. A plagioclimax is where succession is prevented from reaching climatic climax due to human activity such as burning or grazing. Sometimes the succession is prevented from reaching climatic climax and stops at a stage prior to this, due to some arresting physical factor such as forest fire or volcanic activity. This is known as figure 7.17 Sub-climax and plagioclimax a sub-climax. The rainforest on Chances Peak in Montserrat had high biodiversity of plants, insects, lizards and birds. By the mid-1990s, as a result of volcanic activity, the cloud forest that dominated the summit had been destroyed by acid rain, heat, dust and gases and the forests in the Tar River valley on the east side had been destroyed by lahars. Reforestation will only begin to occur when volcanic activity on Chances Peak is arrested for a significant period of time (studies in Puerto Rico suggest a period of about 40 years). Pioneer species, such as Cercropia, are able to tolerate high light intensities and temperatures and their seeds are easily distributed by birds and bats. Once these pioneer species have become established they will provide shade, which will allow new shade-tolerant species to germinate and survive. 33 Tropical environments primary succession pioneer species intermediate species hundreds of years figure 7.18 Primary succession Vegetation characteristics Tropical rainforest vegetation The tropical rainforest is the world’s most biodiverse ecosystem but it is also incredibly fragile. This is because the species that live in rainforests have adapted to the constant high temperature and humidity and, due to the fact they are so specialised, their food sources are limited. This means that if deforestation occurs, it is very difficult for the rainforest to return to its original state. The Net Primary Productivity (NPP) is the amount of organic material produced by plants and available to herbivores. It varies dramatically between ecosystems and is determined by heat, water and nutrient availability, age and the health of the plant species. The NPP for the tropical rainforest is 2200 g/m2/year compared to the savanna, which has NPP of 990 g/m2/year. Due to the fact that there are no seasons in the tropical rainforest trees shed their leaves throughout the year. The trees are tall and thin with a crown of leaves at the top and buttress roots at the bottom. Buttress roots serve a dual purpose; they prevent the tree from falling over and they gather nutrients over a wider area. Trees in the rainforest broadly grow in three layers. The emergent layer is composed of those trees that have grown rapidly to reach the sunlight, thus overshadowing their competitors. Trees are typically between 45 m and 50 m in height although they can reach 70-80 m on occasion. Species that live in the emergent layer include the harpy eagle, the sparrowhawk, the vampire bat and the gibbon. The canopy is composed of trees that reach 25-30 m in height. This layer is dense and almost continuous and so blocks out 70-80 per cent of the available light. The fauna is similar to that which is found in the emergent layer although it is more diverse; the canopy is estimated to be home to a quarter of all insect species. Epiphytes (plants that grow harmlessly upon other plants) are abundant in this layer and include ferns, orchids and bromeliads. There are also lianas (long-stemmed, woody vines) that are rooted in the soil but use the canopy trees as a vertical support to climb to access the sunlight. The final layer of trees is the understorey, which receives only about 5 per cent of the available sunlight, although where the canopy is broken by falling trees the understorey vegetation is much denser. Plants in the understorey tend to have large colourful flowers so that the animals and insects that carry their pollen can find them in the dim light. The high humidity in this layer suits amphibians such as salamanders and frogs; tree frogs have evolved feet with tiny suction pads covered with sticky mucus that help them to hold onto branches. Below the tree layers the forest floor is covered with decaying vegetation, which decomposes rapidly due to the hot and humid climate. Tropical environments figure 7.19 Tropical rainforest, Amazonia, Brazil Emergent layer: Trees grow rapidly up to 50 m tall to reach the sunlight. This layer is where most of the mammals and birds live off the fruit, flowers and leaves. Canopy layer: this layer is made up of trees, growing up to between 25 and 30 m tall, forming a dense canopy. The canopy blocks out 70 - 80 per cent of the available light. There are many epiphytes growing in this layer - plants that grow harmlessly on other plants. There are also many climbing plants (lianas) with long-stemmed and woody vines and long rope-like stems. It is estimated that 25 per cent of all insect species live in the canopy. Understorey layer This layer only receives about 5 per cent of the available light. The vegetation in this layer is dense with broaded- eaved plants and large colourful flowers. Buttress roots help to support the trees, preventing them from falling over. At ground level it is very humid and there is a lot of decaying vegetation, which is broken down quickly by fungi, insects, moulds and bacteria. This produces valuable nutrients for the growing trees, which they access using their roots. figure 7.21 Cross section of rainforest Tropical environments figure 7.20 Buttress roots in Daintree Rainforest, Queensland, Australia Savanna vegetation Savanna vegetation includes a mosaic of grasses, trees and shrubs that have adapted to survive the dry season. Species are xerophytic (adapted to drought) with adaptations that include deep tap roots to reach the water table and sunken stomata on the leaves to reduce moisture loss. Species are also pyrophytic (adapted to fire) meaning that many trees have a thick bark, a large amount of biomass (stored energy) below the ground and the ability to regrow rapidly after burning. Savanna grasses have their growth tissue located at the base of the shoot close to the soil surface so that burning or grazing actually encourages its growth. Examples of plant species in the savanna include the acacia, palm and baobab trees and elephant grass, which can grow over 5 m tall. figure 7.22 Acacia savanna,Taita Hills, Kenya Nutrient cycling: Gersmehl diagrams, soil fertility, energy flows and trophic levels Within ecosystems nutrients are circulated and reused frequently. Macronutrients (those used in large quantities) such as oxygen, carbon, hydrogen and nitrogen and micronutrients (trace elements used in small quantities) such as magnesium, sulfur and phosphorus can all be absorbed by plants. Animals eat the plants and take on the nutrients. The nutrients are eventually returned back to the soil when the plants and animals die and are broken down by decomposers. All nutrient cycles involve stores and flows between the soil, litter and biomass, the proportions of which can be shown in the Gersmehl diagram (Figure 7.23). In the tropical rainforest the warm humid climate results in a high input of nutrients from weathering and precipitation. The continual growing season means that most of the nutrients are held in biomass storage; there are few nutrients held in the litter layer as the breakdown of nutrients is rapid. Where trees have been removed, precipitation is not intercepted and nutrients are leached out of the soil store; as a result, rainforest soils are relatively infertile despite appearances. In contrast, the biomass and litter stores in the savanna are relatively small as a result of the shorter growing season and fire respectively. The soils are quite fertile as most of the nutrients are found in this store so they are not burned or leached out of the system. Tropical environments MV rircles - compartment size proportional circles - compartment size proportional to amounts of nutrient stored to amounts of nutrient stored rrows- width proportional to amounts arrows - width proportional to amounts of nutrient flow of nutrient flow figure 7.23 Gersmehl diagram showing nutrient cycling in the tropical rainforest figure 7.24 Gersmehl diagram showing nutrient cycling in the tropical savanna The main driving force in terms of energy within an ecosystem is sunlight- it provides the energy required for photosynthesis and drives the hydrological cycle. The flow of energy can be shown in food chains and webs, which are the natural systems in which organisms feed on each other to survive. An organism’s place within that web is the trophic level. There are four trophic levels; primary producers, primary consumers, secondary consumers and tertiary consumers. Between each trophic level it is estimated that there is a 90 per cent loss of energy, which is a result of respiration and excreta. In the tropical rainforest the primary producer trophic level consists of ferns, bamboo and moss. Insects, spiders, fish and parrots are the herbivores that eat the producers; they are known as primary consumers. The secondary consumers, which eat the primary consumers, are animals such as bats, amphibians and reptiles. The tertiary consumers are at the top of the food chain and include snakes and carnivorous mammals such as jaguars. In contrast, savannas are dominated by tall grasses, which are the main primary producers, however shrubs and sparse trees such as the acacia are also found within this trophic level. Primary consumers include giraffes, antelopes, wildebeest, elephants, rhinos and, in Australia, kangaroos. These herbivores frequently coexist peacefully, each with their own niche (role within the ecosystem). Secondary consumers are carnivores such as cheetahs, jackals, snakes and lizards whilst tertiary consumers include lions, which prey on other creatures. Scavengers are also important in the trophic systems of the savanna. Vultures, hyenas and termites form an integral part of the nutrient cycling system as they break down organic material into smaller pieces so that it can be eaten by decomposers. figure 7.25 Factors which influence the formation of soils. Tropical environments Soil formation: soil forming processes, soil types and profile characteristics There are five major factors that influence the formation of soils: parent material, climate, living organisms, topography and time. Despite the tropical rainforest thick leaf litter layer L thin humus layer due to rapid decomposition O concentration of iron and aluminium oxides, red horizon B 0 Oz> similar to A, iron and aluminium oxides, clay-rich parent material subject to rapid chemical weathering, clays form figure 7.26 Soil profile of 3 latosol fact that tropical rainforests and tropical savannas have vastly different extents and organisms they both have climates that result in deep highly-weathered soils. They are also both ferralitic with accumulations of iron, aluminium and manganese, although a distinction can be made between the leached ferralitic soils of the rainforest and the weathered ferralitic soils of the savanna. These soils are formed in ancient shield areas that are tectonically stable and were unaffected by glaciation during the Pleistocene. As a result they have had time to develop and are deep (up to 30 m) and infertile. In the tropical rainforest latosols dominate. It is the general name given to red soils of the humid tropics which are rich in iron and aluminium. They cover 7.5 per cent of the world’s total non-glaciated land area and, despite supporting the richest and most biodiverse vegetation on the planet, are heavily leached and infertile. The soil is moderately acidic as the rapid absorption of nutrients by vegetation prevents the soil from becoming more acidic. However, if forest clearance occurs then the acidity of the latosol rapidly rises. In the latosol soil profile the O horizon (humus layer) is very thin due to intense bacterial activity that rapidly decomposes the dead organic matter in the litter layer. The next layer down, the A horizon, contains aluminium and iron oxides that sometimes build up to form a hard laterite layer further down the soil profile. The B horizon extends deep into the ground and is often uniform in texture due to the intense leaching the soil experiences. Finally, the C profile consists of the parent rock of the area. In Brazil the parent materials Tropical environments found under latosols range from metamorphic to sedimentary rocks and these different parent materials cause the latosol to vary in colour from red to yellow. In the tropical savanna the seasonal rainfall, high temperatures and abundant grass-based litter layer result in red earths. These soils are similar to rainforest soils but tend to exhibit less leaching. During the wet season precipitation exceeds evapotranspiration, which results in the leaching of minerals through the soil to a considerable depth. However, during the dry season evapotranspiration exceeds precipitation and water is therefore drawn back to the surface through capillary action. This carries dissolved salts to the surface, creating a hard, cement-like layer called laterite. Laterite layers tend to occur in soils where the water table is not too far below the surface and it can leave the lower horizons soft and vulnerable to erosion. figure 7.27 Gully erosion in tropical oxisols. processes humification eluviation oxidation and dehydration alternate oxidation and reduction silicification reduction weathering figure 7.28 Soil profile of a ferruginous mollisol found in the savanna. Tropical environments Sustainable management of tropical environments These case studies show some of the threats to (exploitation) and problems of sustainable management of areas within either the tropical rainforest ecosystem or the savanna ecosystem, along with evaluation of attempted solutions. Case Study Tropical rainforest ecosystem Papua New Guinea occupies the eastern half of the island of New Guinea and, together with a series of offshore islands, is located between o° and 120 south of the equator. A ridge of mountains, the New Guinea Highlands, runs the length of the island to an elevation of 4000 m and dense tropical rainforest is found in the lowland and coastal areas. 4700 A oJayapura -AitaPe r- Bismarck Sea Mountain height (in metres) ■ National capital ° Other town = Pipeline Oil fields PAPUA Bougainville Island Siew guinea Kererna I Gulf \ of Papua Strait Collir (BayQ , D’Entrecasteaux Islands a, AUSTRALIA figure C o r a I Sea 7.29 Papua New Guinea The area covered by tropical rainforest is 160 930 sq km in total, which is approximately 75 per cent of the original forest cover. The rainforest is biologically diverse and home to over 200 species of mammal, 20 000 species of plant, 1500 species of tree and 750 species of bird, of which over half are endemic to the island. Examples of species include the giant orchid, which has flowers each 10 cm wide, the monitor lizard, which grows to over 2.4 m long, and the buff­ faced pygmy parrot, which, at 11.5 g in weight and 8.6 cm high, is the world’s smallest parrot. As well as being a diverse habitat for plants and animals the forests are also home to the Maisin people. There are approximately 3000 indigenous people living in Oro province, most of whom live in villages along the south­ western coast of Collingwood Bay. The villagers depend upon the forest for shifting cultivation (slash and burn) gardens, material for houses and canoes and hunting for food. Despite a largely traditional and subsistence way of life, the Maisin are integrated into wider Papua New Guinean society. Anglican missionaries originally set up schools in the villages at the beginning of the twentieth century and, as a result, most Maisin adults can communicate in basic English as well as Tok Pisin (a creole language spoken throughout Papua New Guinea) and their own Maisin language. Approximately 25 per cent of the Maisin now live in urban areas elsewhere on the island and send remittances back to their families. These remittances make up a large proportion of the local economy. Tropical environments figure 7.30 Giant orchid figure 7.31 Monitor lizard The Papua New Guinea constitution states that the Maisin people are the legal owners of their traditional lands. However over the last 20 years they have been under increasing threat from large scale logging companies. The KiungaAiambak road project, located in Maisin-owned forests in Western province, was driven by a Malaysian-owned logging company called Concord Pacific. The project was intended to improve communications and provide benefits to the local people but between 1995 and 2002 over 600 000 sq m of logs with an export value of US$60 million were exported to Japan and China yet no road was built. The exploitation of timber has caused a number of problems for the Maisin including the loss of biodiversity in the surrounding rainforest, the loss of a clean water supply through sedimentation, an increase in the spread of disease due to increased contact with the timber cutters and ecological changes caused by deforestation. Palm oil exploitation around Aitape has also resulted in problems for the Maisin. Most of the palm oil plantations are not for the growth of edible oil for the local population but instead are destined for the export market. Forest clearance for the plantations has caused both sedimentation and eutrophication as a result of soil erosion. The use of pesticides and fertilisers has also figure 7.32 Buff-faced pygmy parrot Tropical environments threatened the nearby Sissano lagoon, killing the coral reef and threatening the prawn and fishing industry in the area. Following a court case in 2002, which the Maisin people won, the Papua New Guinean government has been put under pressure from the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Australian government to enforce more sustainable practices in their development of the local forests. An example of a project that has attempted to produce commercial oil in a sustainable way is the Kutubu Petroleum Development Project funded by Chevron Texaco. The project is centred on Lake Kutubu, a lake in the Southern Highlands province, and extends south to the Gulf of Papua through the Kikori River Delta. Flow lines bring the hydrocarbons to a central production facility and these are then transported along a 264 km pipeline to a marine terminal in the Gulf of Papua. A number of sustainable practices have been implemented at every stage of the process; project pipelines have been buried, spills have been eliminated, waste has been comprehensively managed and road construction has been minimised. The World Wide Fund for Nature has also worked with a number of partners, including Chevron Texaco, to develop a long-term strategy to ensure economic and environmental viability. Areas of focus include conducting extensive biodiversity surveys, raising community awareness of the negative impacts of industrial scale logging, helping local villagers to develop a sustainable fisheries strategy and establishing environmentally friendly and locally developed businesses. The project has also worked with the local community to promote self-reliance in their dealings with both the Papua New Guinean government and NGOs. Village Development Committees have been established to train local personnel to help villagers; health workers have provided information on malaria control and sanitation and agricultural workers have assisted farmers in improving subsistence gardens. Case Study The savanna ecosystem The tropical savanna located in Australia covers the northern parts of Queensland and the Northern Territory, from Townsville in the east to Broome in the west. This region is located 17° south of the equator with a dry season lasting from May to October. During this season fires occur which maintain the ecosystem. The fires destroy those plants that are not resistant to burning and, as a consequence, the savanna landscape in Australia has very few trees and shrubs. Two examples of plant that do thrive in the savanna are the jarrah tree figure 7.33 Jarrah tree Tropical environments and kangaroo paw. Jarrah trees usually grow to between 40 and 50 m and have no branches. They have a lignotuber (large swelling located beneath the soil) that stores carbohydrates and makes it possible for a young jarrah tree to grow healthily after a fire. The kangaroo paw is a biennial green and red flowering figure 7.34 The Eastern grey kangaroo. plant that thrives in sandy or gravelly soils in previously disturbed or burnt areas. Plants have also adapted to the savanna climate which experiences long periods of drought. Trees such as the acacia have long, thin tap roots in order to reach the deep water table, and many trees do not lose their leaves in order to conserve water. Trees such as the baobab have thick trunks in order to store vast quantities of water, typically up to 100 000 gallons. Marsupials (mammals whose young are born undeveloped) are dominant in Australia’s tropical savanna. Animals such as the echidna, Eastern grey kangaroo and possum live in or near the trees for shade, food and water. Reptiles are also common and estimates suggest that the savanna is home to between 100 000 and 200 000 adult saltwater crocodiles. This species of crocodile is the largest of all living reptiles and can reach up to 6.7 m in length and 2000 kg in weight. There are a number of threats to Australia’s savanna. Mimosa pigra (mimosa) is an aggressive shrub that has been present in this area for 100 years. It has a number of features that make it highly invasive; it grows rapidly, has low nutrient requirements and its seeds are easily dispersed. As a consequence, mimosa has turned large swathes of savanna into homogenous shrubland, which has reduced the diversity of the species present, some of which are endangered. It can also affect the hydrological regimes of water bodies, which can increase sediment deposition and, due to the fact that it provides an ideal habitat for feral pigs, this has led to an increase in these animals, which are considered pests. In the past few decades much has been learned about the management of mimosa. As mimosa poses a national threat, a coordinated National Strategic Plan has been implemented by the Australian government and Aboriginal agencies from Northern Territory, Western Australia and Queensland. The plan has four main aims: • • to inform and educate local communities to prevent mimosa from spreading to new areas • • to develop methods for managing mimosa to reduce the impact of current mimosa infestations. There has been progress since the plan’s inception with most new occurrences of mimosa being reported by the public. Communities are also becoming more aware that overgrazing and inappropriate fire regimes can remove the native vegetation, making areas prone to weed invasion. figure 7.35 Kangaroo paw Tropical environments figure 7.36 Mimosa pigra Another threat has been government-sponsored clearance of the native vegetation, although only 2 per cent of Australia’s savanna has been removed compared to 22 per cent of natural forest and woodland. The majority of the land has been cleared for agriculture, predominantly sheep and cattle, as the climate is unsuitable for other types of cultivation. However land clearance disrupts the habitats of native species and makes them more prone to weed invasion. Land clearance also releases over 1 million tonnes per year of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere and damages river catchments such as the River Daly and River Roper. Soil degradation, in the form of increased erosion and salinity, can also occur, which in turn has a negative effect on water quality. The Vegetation Management Act (1999) works in Queensland to control the clearing of native plant species and was amended in 2004 to phase out large scale clearance. Whilst some small scale tree removal activities are exempt from the regulations, the remainder must apply to the Department of Natural Resources and Mines for a permit for permission to clear. NOW INVESTIGATE 1 Investigate the formation of features of karst scenery, including limestone pavements, sinkholes, dolines and caves. 2 Investigate how particular plants have adapted to the tropical savanna climate. 3 Investigate how tropical soils are likely to change in the future if rates of deforestation and other human activities increase. Tropical environments 240 250 260 -Congo --------------------- Israel ------------------------------- Syria --------- Reunion Grenada -------------- Bahrain Lithuania -Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Canada 265 523 km --------------------- Bru nei -------- -------Sâo Tome and Principe Antigua % Barbuda --------------- Lebanon Martinique ------- ----------- Georgia -Virgin Islands (US) -- -- Djibouti rtemala Bulgaria Samoa — Comoros ------------------- Mauritius ------------------------------------ The Gambia ----------------------- Latvia ------------------------- Guadeloupe - Equatorial Guinea ------------------ Suriname — Albania ----------------- Cyprus Romania ---------------- Trinidad and Tobago Seychelles — El Salvador __ — Kuwait ■-----------Ghana French Guiana Cote d'Ivoire -------------------- Liberia ------------------------- Azerbaijan ----------- Jamaica Qatar Tonga Poland —- Puerto Rico — Uruguay -------------Cape Verde Cambodia ----------------- Guyana ------------------------------- Mauritania ---------------------------------------------------- Turkmenistan Federated States of Micronesia ------------------------ Senegal Algeria Kenya Dominican Republic ----------------------------------Guinea Sierra Leone ----------------------- — Uzbekistan --------- Nam bia Cameroon ----------- Honduras ----------------------------- Netherlands ----------- Nicaragua Tunisia Ki ri bati — Haiti - Belize Maldives _______ Taiwan —----------Morocco ------------ _ Gabon ------------------------------ Libya --------------------- -—-—-—— Costa Rica --------- Marshall Islands -------------------------------------- Sudan -------------------------------------------------- Angola ---------------------------------------------------------------- Pakistan -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Oman ------ — - Sri Lanka ---------------------------------------------------- ------- ----------------- Portugal United Arab Emirates ------------------------ Estonia ------------Nigeria -------------------------- Vanuatu Yemen Guinea-Bissau -------------------------------------- Bangladesh ----------------------------- Peru Eritrea Tanzania ------ Germany New Caledonia - South Africa — - Somalia North Korea ----------------------------------------------- Kazakhstan Ecuador Fiji Ukraine Denmark ------------------------------ Panama ---------------- Croatia French Polynesia Colombia Iran Egypt Ireland Venezuela Mozambique — Thailand Spain Cities of more than 1 million inhabitants that live within 200 km of the coast Land area within 200 km of a coast Canada’s coastline is four times longer than Australia’s and eight times longer than Brazil’s 53% of the United States population lives near the coast Saudi Arabia Turkey - Argentina ------------------------------ Iceland Italy — Malaysia Solomon Islands Madagascar The Bahamas Vietnam ------------ South Korea — Cuba Myanmar (Burma) ------------------------------ Greece ------------------------------------------- India ------------- New Zealand — United Kingdom Papua New Guinea Mexico Sweden ---------- Japan China -------Finland Brazil . , Philippines 230 220 210 200 190 Coastal environm ents 170 In China, over 400 million people live on the coast Coastal areas comprise 20% of the earth’s surface, yet contain over 50% of the entire human population United States of America-- 44% of the world's population live within 150 kilometres of the coast The coast is the area where landmasses meet the sea or ocean. Measuring a coastline length is not an exact science and cannot be precisely determined as the forces of nature, in particular waves and tides, are constantly sculpting the coastal zone. The graphic of costline lengths includes only countries with coastlines of over 200 kilometres. 120 Russia -- Australia —- Chile I— Indonesia 179| 60 70 km (thousands) 80 90 100 Coastal environments Coastal processes The coastal zone extends from 40 km inland to 320 km offshore, the latter being the political limit of a nation’s offshore jurisdiction. Coastal environments are shaped by a range of physical and human factors, which in turn produce a variety of coastal landscapes. table 8.1 Factors impacting on coastal environments Impact Factor figure Lithology Hard rocks (granite and schist) give rugged coastlines such as the west coast of Scotland. Soft rocks (clays and sands) give low flat coastlines such as North Carolina, USA. Geological structure Concordant (Pacific or Dalmatian) coasts occur when the geological strata run parallel to the coast. Discordant (Atlantic) coasts occur when the geology runs at right angles to the coast, as it does in southwest Ireland. Processes Erosional coastlines where the coast is retreating rapidly, as along much of England’s east coast, or depositional coastlines such as Denmark’s west coast. Sea level changes Interact with other processes and produce advancing coasts, such as the east coasts of Scotland or the submerging islands of the South Pacific. Human impacts Where coasts have been modified, for example by defence works, such as in Japan. Ecosystem types Coral, mangrove, salt marsh, sand dune, shingle and rocky shores add variety to coastlines around the world. 8.1 Cliff encroachment, Isle of Wight, UK Shoreline Coastline beach littoral zone MHWL- mean high water level MSL- mean sea level MLWL- mean low water level backshore fore­ shore MHWL MSL MLWL closure depth breaker zone zone of nearshore currents figure 5j 8.2 The coastal zone Coastal environments offshore zone Waves Waves are created by the friction of the winds acting on the surface of the sea. Deep sea waves, waves of oscillation, are merely surges of energy and are very different to the waves that break on the shore. This type of wave moves in circular orbit, which dictates the shape of the wave. little motion shallow depth elliptical paths below half wave length shortens wave length of orbiting water (depth less than particles one-half wave length) figure 8.3 Types of waves Waves in the oceans can travel thousands of kilometres before reaching land. The potential distance waves can travel is referred to as theirfetch and this can influence wave height and their energy. Wind waves range in size from small ripples to waves over 30 m high. More generally, a swell consists of wind-generated waves that are not significantly affected by local wind. Waves that break on the shoreline are known as waves of translation. Friction with the seabed slows down the base of the wave causing the wave length, the distance between two wave crests, to shorten, the wave height, from trough to crest, to increase and the wave fronts to close up. This leads to the formation of breakers, of which there are three types: • • • Spilling breakers: are usually found on gentle gradient beaches and steep waves, which result in the crest becoming unstable and spilling forward up the beach. Plunging breakers: occur on steeper gradient beaches. These waves develop an almost vertical front before plunging down as an intact mass of water. Surging breakers: are found on steep beaches but with waves where the front and crest remain relatively smooth and consequently the wave runs up the beach without breaking. Once the wave has ‘broken’the water surges up the beach as swash while gravity pulls the water back as backwash giving rise to two basic types of wave translation, namely constructive waves and destructive waves. figure 8.4 (a) Spilling breakers figure figure 8.4 8.4 (b) Plunging breakers (c) Surging breakers Coastal environments Destructive waves Constructive waves wave crests far apart gently sloping wave front strong swash pushes material up the beach breaking wave plunges forward steep wave gently sloping beach Swash is stronger than backwash, so waves run gently up the beach material is carried onto the beach and deposited there. figure waves close together breaking wave spills forward Backwash is stronger than swash, so waves crash onto the beach material is eroded from the coastline. 8.5 Constructive and destructive waves. Constructive waves have a low frequency, 6-8 a minute, and are generated offshore. They are spilling breakers and their low frequency means the backwash has time to return to the sea allowing the nest wave to retain all its energy. Destructive waves, at 12-14 a minute, are generated by local winds. They are plunging breakers and the energy transmitted down the beach as a result of the steeper gradient breaks up the beach material. figure 8.6 Bay of Fundy, Canada Tides and the tidal cycle Tides are caused by the passage of and gravitational pull of the Moon and the Sun on the oceans. The new moon, the start of the 28-day lunar cycle, creates a low spring tide and the full moon, halfway through the cycle, creates the high spring tide. Mid-way between these two points when the Sun and the Moon are at 90° to the Earth neap tides occur. Other factors also affect the tides: the effects of the Coriolis Force, which causes moving objects to be deflected to the right in the northern hemisphere as a result of the Earth’s easterly rotation, the shape and size of the oceanic basin, offshore geometry and local meteorological conditions. Tides are generally accentuated in bays and constricted estuaries such as the Bay of Fundy in Canada, where some of the highest tides in the world are experienced. The difference between high and low tides is called the tidal range and can vary from almost nothing in the Mediterranean Sea to the exceptional 15 m tides found in the Bay of Fundy. In the Severn Estuary in the west of England the narrowing shape of the estuary causes water to be rapidly funnelled and rise as the tide makes its way up the channel, creating the Severn Bore, which can reach over 1 m in height and move at a speed of 30 km/hr. The dominance of wave, wind or tide on a coastal environment can produce a range of coastal landscapes. table figure 8.7 The Severn Bore, England, UK 8.2 Coastal landscapes produced by wave, wind and tide Wave dominated Beaches Wind dominated Sand dunes Tide dominated Deltas Mangroves Cliffs Deltas Mudflats Shore platforms Salt marshes Spits, tombolos High energy High energy Low energy Storm surge The main cause of a storm surge is high winds pushing seawater towards the coast, causing it to pile up there. A smaller contribution is also made from the low pressure at the centre of the storm ‘pulling’ the water level up by about 1 cm for every 1 millibar change in pressure. Some intense storm pressures can drop by as much as 100 millibars below normal resulting in a corresponding rise in local sea level of 1 m. Strong winds in the storm generate large waves on top of the surge that can cause damage to sea defences or increase the risk of flooding. In the case of tropical storms (such as typhoons) there may also be a very large amount of rain, which further increases the risk of flooding. Coastal environments figure 8.8 The devastation caused by Hurricane Katrina USA, 2005. When Hurricane Katrina approached the coast of America in 2005, it generated a storm surge of more than 8 m in some areas. The widespread flooding included almost all of the city of New Orleans where the sea defences could not cope, resulting in more than 1800 people being killed. Wave refraction As waves approach the shoreline friction with the seabed reduces their speed. This shallowing and reduction in speed causes the waves to be ‘bent’towards that part of the shore where they are moving slowest. As waves slow down the wave height increases and they break. This increases the energy released against the headlands while in the deeper water of the bay the wave crests diverge and release less energy when they break. On an Atlantic-type coast headlands will be eroded by the high energy waves and the bays will experience deposition by the low energy waves. reduced wave energy refracted in embayment z wave fronts headland concentration of wave energy onto headland concentration of wave energy onto headland parallel wave fronts Figure 8.9 Wave refraction Where refraction does not take place longshore drift occurs. This leads to a build-up of material along the shore in the direction of the prevailing wind (called downdrift). The swash of constructive waves move in the direction of the prevailing wind, taking material up the beach. The backwash of destructive waves runs at right angles down the beach following the steepest slope and removing material. Coastal environments mb? figure 8.10 Waves approaching the beach at an angle. figure 8.11 Oblique waves Sub-aerial processes Sub-aerial processes at the coast weaken and break up the cliff making material available for the erosion processes. Cliff falls provide protection at the foot of the cliff to reduce briefly the effects of the sea in eroding the cliff. These processes occur at the coast throughout the year although some are seasonally more active. A combination of seawater and frost action can be very active under severe weather conditions. Clays present in cliff formations are highly susceptible to alternate wetting and drying. salt weathering and solution weathering biological weathering freeze-thaw weathering figure table 8.12 Sub-aerial processes 8.3 Weathering from sub-aerial processes Types figure 8.13 Differential erosion Coastal environments mass movement Effects Biological weathering Plant roots, birds, animals and molluscs (piddocks) burrow into softer rocks allowing water to access the rock and accelerate chemical weathering. Freeze-thaw weathering Water that has entered jointed rocks freezes, expands and weakens the rock for further weathering, mechanical and chemical. Salt weathering Rock structures are weakened by the expansion of sodium and magnesium compounds in jointed rocks. Slaking or hydration Some minerals will disintegrate when exposed to water, weakening the structures around them. Solution weathering More chemical weathering, particularly of calciumbased rocks by water. Often found in rock pools where organisms excrete organic acids. Erosion There are three main erosional processes at work on all coasts although the impact they have will be affected by the lithology of the shore area. • • • Wave quarrying (hydrostatic pressure) will affect unconsolidated sands and gravels, cliffs of glacial till and previously loosened materials. The energy of a wave is proportional to its height and storm waves consisting of hundreds of tonnes of water have recorded pressures of up to 50 kg/sq cm. The weight of water traps air against the cliff and pneumatic pressure can help in weakening jointed rocks. Wave abrasion or corrasion is the most effective form of wave erosion. The wave, loaded with materials from sand particles to boulders, hurls itself at cliff lines causing the greatest effects between the high and low tide levels. In hard rocks the effect is to smooth the surface whereas in jointed rocks of alternate resistance the effect is to wear away the softer material leaving the harder part more prominent and more exposed to erosion. Wave attrition affects the loose material on the shoreline produced by wave quarrying and particles will become rounded. Most attrition will take place in the breaker zone and during the tidal cycle the whole area between high and low tide levels will be affected. figure 8.14 Rough sea Case Study Erosion at Wamberal Beach, NSW, Australia Wamberal Beach on the New South Wales coast of Australia, some 50 km north of Sydney, is part of Gosford City. Beach materials extend to a depth of 26 m but recent losses of sand have put the dunes behind the beach at risk. Possible causes of this loss are: • • • • longshore transport out to the offshore reefs, which is not returned owing to the nature of the reef surface offshore transport during storm events by rip currents infilling of the lagoon behind the beach wind, or aeolian, transport when onshore winds are blowing. /coffs Harbour ■ The southern section of the bay and headland complex is susceptible to erosional damage during storm conditions. During storm and heavy rain events the lagoons break out across the beach area at the same time that it is being eroded and this can exacerbate the erosion that is taking place. Using surveys done in 1995 and comparing them to today’s figures it seems probable that over the next 20-50 years the coastline could retreat between 6 and 15 m. The quantity of material that could be lost over the same period could be between 140 and 345 m3/m. The building of a sea wall in the 1970s has resulted in coastal squeeze restricting the amount of materials that make their way into the system. TarmTOrth<® NEW SOUTH WALES C* - o Jr Port Macquarie ubbo ^Newcastle Wamberal Beach Sydney Wollongong erra Alb O' CTORIA figure Tasman Sea 8.15 Wamberal Beach, NSW, Australia Wave transportation and deposition Sediment is transported as either bedload or suspended load. Bedload is moved either in constant contact with the seabed, traction, or in intermittent suspended contact (saltation). Larger pebbles, shingle and boulderswill only be moved under storm conditions. Suspended load exists in a sea that is turbulent or in a strong current where the water is able to support the particles. Deposition will be governed by the size, weight and shape of the materials being transported. Some particles, such as clay, will stick together, flocculate, become heavier and be dropped as a deposit. Coastal environments Figure 8.17 Sediment budgets Sediment cells Sediment cells or littoral cells are the unit of study when examining and/or managing coastal processes and their effects in a named area. The UK coast is divided into a number of sediment cells and around the world coastal managers use the same methodology. In southern California there are five cells stretching from the Santa Barbara cell in the north to the Silver Strand cell on the USA-Mexico border at Tijuana. An important aspect of the study of sediment cells is the concept of dynamic equilibrium. This is the result of the inputs, processes and outputs that operate within the cell. A change to one input, such as the concreting of a crumbling cliff face, deprives the process relying on that material and as a consequence there is a change to a downdrift landform. Case Study The Columbia River sediment cell The Columbia River sediment cell extends from Tillamook Head in Oregon to Point Grenville in Washington State, USA. It has four major concave-shaped barrier beach sections of shoreline separated by the Columbia River and the two large estuaries of Willapa Bay and Grays Harbor. The inputs to the cell include: • • • sediment from the Columbia River winter waves and coastal currents produce net northward sediment transport summer conditions tend to see onshore sediment transport and accumulation at relatively high rates. Changes to the cell • The construction of entrance jetties at Columbia River and Grays Harbor had serious implications for the immediate coastline by interrupting the longshore transportation of sediment, resulting in erosion of the inlets and • • • • offshore migration of tidal deltas. The beaches have grown seaward by many metres per year for several decades. Jetties have influenced accumulation and possibly erosion patterns on the beaches over distances of 20 km or more. Accumulation rates along the coast have slowed dramatically over the past few decades. High rates of erosion are occurring along sections of beach that had previously grown most rapidly. figure 8.18 Columbia River sediment cell Coastal environments • • Local erosion sites have either increasing rates or an expanding scale of erosion along the coast. Beaches have experienced severe shoreline retreat caused by large subduction-zone earthquakes. Longshore drift Many of a coast’s depositional features are formed by the process of longshore drift, which transports sand and shingle along the coast. Waves approaching the coast at an angle will ‘break up’the beach at that angle but the returning water will follow the steepest path. This pattern repeated will result in a movement of sediment downdrift, i.e. along the beach. Waves approaching the coast at an angle of 30 0 seem to have the maximum effect. Beaches affected in this way are said to be drift-aligned. To slow this process down groynes are often built. Differing heights of beach updrift and downdrift are evidence of the presence of this process. BEWARE caution/^ BEACH LEVELS MAY CHANGE FALLING ROCKS INCOMING TIDES figure 8.20 Beach warning signs figure 8.21 An avalanche fence to stop falling rocks wind blows waves towards the beach sand and pebbles are transported along the coastline by waves waves approach the beach at an angle backwash drags the sand and pebbles straight back down the beach figure waves break and swash carries sand and pebbles diagonally up the beach at Hastings, England, UK. 8.19 Longshore drift Other structures, jetties and breakwaters built to protect harbour entrances have the same effect of trapping material but also starving downdrift sections of the coast and exacerbating the erosional process. A major groyne built at the downdrift end of the beach in Hastings, southern England, in order to retain the beach at the seaside resort has led to starvation further east and resulted in major erosional problems and cliffs falls, (see figures 8.20 to 8.22) Characteristics and formation of coastal landforms Cliff profiles are dependent on a number of variables: • Structure-the arrangement of the rocks in the landscape including such features as strata (layers), dips (angle) and faults (displacements). • • Lithology - the composition of the rock will determine how vulnerable it might be to weathering processes. The orientation of the cliff to the prevailing wind and therefore storms and high energy waves. 8.22 A granite bund to protect cliffs at Fairlight, England, UK. figure Coastal environments stack figure wave-cut 8.23 Headland erosional features on the northeast coast near Sunderland, England, UK. Wave refraction will focus the waves’ energy on the sides of headlands - any points of weakness will be exploited and eroded creating first a wave-cut notch, which in time will enlarge to form a cave. With erosion taking place on both sides of the headland the cave may eventually be eroded through the headland to form an arch, which, if it collapses, leaves a geo (a word taken from Old Norse gja, meaning a ravine) and a stack. The process repeats causing the headland over time to retreat further. high tide mark jointed limestone strata wave-cut platform figure 8.24 A stack and cave on the northeast coast near Sunderland, England, UK. While the lithology of a cliff is important the structure is the defining factor when it comes to determining the shape of the cliff profile. If the strata dip vertically or horizontally then the cliff will develop a steep profile, however, if the strata dip towards the sea, then shelving cliffs prone to landslides will develop. Both these patterns will be disrupted if faults are present in the rocks; this may cause strata of more vulnerable rocks to be lowered into the erosion zone and undermine the integrity of the surrounding rocks. Most cliffs are composed of more than one rock type and their relative resistance to erosion will play a large part in the shaping of the cliff profile and the rate at which it retreats. Clay cliffs are highly susceptible to collapse as they retain large amounts of water, which makes them unstable. Coastal environments block of softer rocks lowered figure fault 8.25 Fault plane diffs massive limestone with master joints and bedding planes hard, igneous rock fault line sedimentary rocks dipping towards the sea figure 8.26 Varying cliff profiles figure 8.27 Collapsing day diff Coastal environments Coastal platforms Cliff retreat normally results in the formation of a platform along the coast. Until recently this has been called a wave-cut platform as it was assumed that it was the result of wave action. New research has questioned this assumption and in particular the ability of wave action to create some of the more extensive platforms found around the coast. It is now believed that because the sea level has not been sufficiently constant in post glacial times, the last 10-15 000 years, these features may have other origins. figure 8.28 Inland effects of collapsed cliff Deposition Depositional coastlines are of two major types: swash-aligned and drift-aligned. Swash-aligned beaches are influenced by constructive wave patterns, which are also important for building up large beaches. In contrast, drift-aligned coasts bring in waves at an angle to the shoreline and therefore the waves tend to transport sediment down the coast, which keeps beaches narrow. Drift-aligned beaches are associated with spits, bars and tombolos. Swash beaches are associated with large beach profiles, with dunes and a variety of berms and ridges. Beaches Beaches consist of a variety of materials that are brought in by waves and material that falls from cliffs. The coarser material is found in the backshore and foreshore areas as littoral deposits while finer materials, worn down by attrition, are found in the offshore zone. The beach area is the material between the spring tide low water mark, LWM, and the spring tide high water mark, HWM. upper beach I J] Coastal environments lower beach ___ I___ Most beaches can be divided into three zones: a backshore zone, a foreshore zone, and an offshore zone. The backshore, above the HWM, is marked by dunes or a cliff. There may also be a ridge or berm which has been thrown up by storm waves, sometimes referred to as a storm beach. The edges of these ridges may be scalloped into cusps due to the action of the swash depositing material and the backwash drawing out material. The foreshore is the area exposed only at low tide. The surface may be undulating with ridges or fulls and troughs, swales, running parallel to the waterline. Offshore is where the finest material is deposited and where the waves disturb the seabed this material can be pushed up as offshore bars. The formation of beaches is the product of constructive waves operating in a sheltered aspect where they can be supplied by longshore drift with a plentiful supply of material. Steep destructive storm waves will tend to reduce the angle of a beach whereas the summer’s constructive waves will increase it figure 8.30 Seasonal fluctuation in beaches Sediment size, which affects the rate of percolation, will have an effect on the beach angle. Coarse grade material, shingle, allows rapid percolation so the impact of the swash element is unimpeded as a result of the backwash effect being reduced. This means that deposition will occur. By contrast, sand only produces a low angle beach as there is far less percolation and much more backwash. These processes are futher complicated by the fact that particle size will vary across the beach. At the low water mark particles are constantly being moved so the process of attrition will be continuously at work and particles will be much smaller as a result. Localised depositional features Bars, barrier islands, spits, tombolos and forelands will develop when: • there is an abundance of material, mainly sand and shingle • the local geology creates an irregular and indented coast • deposition is encouraged by the presence of vegetation, which decreases wave speed and energy • there are estuaries and/or major rivers. Offshore bars develop on gently shelving seabeds and are composed of sand and/or shingle. Waves encounter friction with the sea floor some distance offshore and the turbulance this creates leads to deposition and the creation of a bar. The water inside the bar towards the coast, sometimes called a lagoon or sound, can be much calmer and if fed by rivers then terrestrial deposition can lead to the development of mudflats and salt marsh. Spits are commonly found along indented coasts. Material moved by longshore drift and other currents is moved into a low energy environment such as a sheltered river mouth or estuary. The long narrow ridge of sand and shingle that forms is always attached at the updrift, proximal end and at the downdrift: or distal end it may be curved. This curved effect is the result of wave refraction or local currents remodelling the sediment to form a simple straight ridge. Recurved spits develop if this remodelling becomes extensive and compound recurved spits show signs of widening as they approach the distal end. Close examination often reveals a number of relict spit features demonstrating previous extensions of the spit as it grew to its current shape and position. figure 8.31 Tombolo and white sandy beach, New Zealand. Coastal environments figure 8.33 Aerial view, East Head spit East Head to Pasdam, West Sussex Sediment Transport figure 8.32 Seasonal flows, Chichester, England, UK Bars Bars are ridges of deposited sediment that attach at either end to the mainland. They usually form when a spit extends across a small bay or irregularity in the coast. In the Baltic Sea on the north Polish coast these sandy bars or nehrungs enclose extensive lagoons or haffs. figure 8.35 The Szczecin Lagoon, on the Germany-Poland border. Area 687 sq km, average depth 4 m. Coastal environments Barrier islands Barrier islands are naturally formed sandy breakwaters parallel to the coastline. The eastern seaboard and Gulf coast of the USA has over 300 such islands. At Cape Hatteras some islands are 20 km offshore while in Florida it is difficult to recognise that islands actually exist as they are so close to the mainland, with the resort of Palm Beach actually built on an island. These huge beaches have been slowly driven onshore during periods of rising sea levels and, while no single theory can explain the development of barrier islands, scientists now generally accept the idea that barriers can be formed by a number of different mechanisms, often acting in concert. Barrier island systems develop most easily on wave-dominated coasts with a small to moderate tidal range. Coasts are classified into three groups based on tidal range: • • • microtidal, 0-2 m tidal range mesotidal, 2-4 m tidal range macrotidal, >4 m tidal range. Barrier island systems tend to form along microtidal coasts, where they are well developed and nearly continuous. Along with a small tidal range and a wave-dominated coast, there must be a relatively low gradient shelf. Otherwise, sand accumulation into a sandbar would not occur and would instead be dispersed throughout the shore. An ample sediment supply is also a requirement for barrier island formation. The last major requirement is a stable sea level. If sea level changes are too drastic, there will not be enough time for wave action to accumulate sand into a dune, which will eventually become a barrier island through accumulation. The best known example of an barrier island system is the Isles Dernieres, which was built up along the Gulf Coast over a period of 7000 years as deltas of the Mississippi. They are now one of the fastest eroding coasts in the world and are overtopped at least six times a year, most spectacularly under Hurricane Katrina, which removed the pleasure beach completely. The combination of subsidence and reduced sediment supply has remodelled the sediments forming beach ridge complexes and as a consequence the wetlands behind these barriers have converted to open-water areas. 1978 figure 8.36 Isles Dernieres, Louisiana, USA Tombolos Where a ridge of deposits links an island to the mainland it is called a tombolo. Chesil Beach extends 25 km from Burton Bradstock on the Dorset coast and links the Isle of Portland to the mainland. Recent research suggests that this is a relatively new feature, geologically speaking. Around 18 000 years ago sea levels had fallen by as much as 100 m, meaning that the English Channel at this point was probably dry. During and immediately after the last ice age huge amounts of sediment were transported by meltwaters into the dry English Channel and as sea levels rose this material was pushed onshore by wave action to form the feature seen today. Cuspate forelands Cuspate forelands, also called ‘nesses’ in Great Britain, are triangular-shaped beach features that vary in size from a few square metres to 250 sq km (for example, Dungeness in Kent). Some cuspate forelands are stabilised by vegetation, while others may migrate along the shoreline downdrift. The foreland at Dungeness was undoubtedly formed by the action of longshore drift, however it seems likely that sheltered conditions from the west, river deposition from the streams entering Rye Bay, wave refraction and early colonisation by vegetation may all have contributed to the formation of this strange landscape feature. Coastal environments figure 8.37 Localised depositional coastal features coastline forwards (marsh area only) ■ Shore fort at Lympne spit changes orientation with accretion (deposition) to the NE edge and erosion in the SW. Beach ridges reflect this movement figure 8.38 (a)—(d) Development of a cuspate foreland 194 Coastal environments ----------- Present day extent of foreland I Alluvium Degraded cliffline Sand dunes Sand dunes will form under certain conditions: • a reliable supply of sand • strong onshore winds • a large tidal range • vegetation to trap the sand. Windy sandy beaches are invariably backed by sand dunes because strong winds transport sand inland as it dries out at low tide. Vegetation will reduce wind speeds and cause sand grains to be deposited. Sand dune succession Sand grains are moved by the wind so the strength of the wind and the nature of the surface is important. Sand grains will be moved initially by saltation but uneven surfaces will cause eddying and the speed to fluctuate and some material may be moved in the air. On the leeward side of obstructions wind speeds decrease and so deposition will take place. In order for dunes to stablise vegetation needs to be present. The youngest or embryo dunes are nearest the sea. Few nutrients are present and as few plants can tolerate the arid, salty windy conditions they need to be 8.39 Sand dunes and grass vegetation, Wharariki Beach, New Zealand. figure sediment deposited and moved by wind, wave and tidal action xerophytic and halophytic (drought and salt tolerant). These dunes therefore remain largely sand and fairly mobile and are referred to as yellow dunes. Increasing distance from the sea causes conditions to ameliorate and a greater number of plant species are able to establish themselves and the dunes become less mobile as plants bind the dune together; this is the zone of the semi-fixed dune. Fixed dunes or grey dunes develop as more species become established and start to provide a humus content to the dune, making the soil richer and damper allowing pioneer species to be replaced by less tolerant species of grasses and flowering plants. Between the dunes damp areas collect known as dune slacks and here marsh vegetation may start to grow. Towards the back of the dune system climax vegetation is governed by the nature of the soil. Calcium rich, alkaline soils provide grasscover and the presence of broad-leaved trees but more usually the soil is acidic, which gives rise to a climax vegetation of pine trees and heather, potentially giving the oldest part of the dune system complex vegetation cover. embryo dunes yellow dunes blow out semi-fixed dunes dune slack grey dunes succession plagio-climax__ dune heath plagio-climax Fixed dune (or grey dune): as time goes on the soil develops and becomes damper and richer. Lichens, mosses and flowering plants can grow on the dune. They form a continuous cover over the sand. Marram grass is replaced by red fescue grass. dune scrub climax woodland vegetation embryo dune semi-fixed du ne wet dune slack slack dune slack As the dune system gets older and larger, water can collect towards the back of a dune. figure slack 8.40 Sand dune succession dune healthland succeeds grasses and flowering plants as small trees mature. These damp hollows are known as dune slacks. Marsh plants and small willow trees can grow here. figure 8.41 Sand dune succession Coastal environments figure 8.42 A spit at Axmouth, southwest England, UK. figure 8.43 Mudflats developing behind a spit. Mudflats and salt marshes Mudflats and salt marshes develop where there is fine sediment available, sheltered conditions and low wave energy. The main inputs, which are fine clays and silts, are transported in suspension by rivers and tides. The particles flocculate, giving them a greater settling capacity, and once deposited they are less likely to be entrained into the water flow as larger sand particles. Deposition will take place as the tide turns when the water flow and velocity are at a minimum. As the mud builds up the frequency with which it is flooded decreases and vegetation can colonise the area to start the process of establishing a salt marsh environment The presence of plants further slows the movement of water and allows deposition to take place throughout the tidal cycle; this process is known as bioconstruction. figure 8.44 Marsh samphire is a typical pioneer species along with marsh cord grass. Both of these are halophytic species, which flourish in marsh conditions. concave landward edge figure 8.45 Salt marsh 196 Coastal environments Mangroves Mangroves are a range of species of trees and bushes that have adapted to living in the coastal swamps and the creeks and estuaries in tropical regions. There are hundreds of different species of mangrove with each area having its own distinctive association of plants. Mangroves are colonising plants and will reclaim muddy areas that can, in time, develop into much more complex ecosystems. Although extremely hardy plants a number of factors lead to the degradation and destruction of mangrove swamps and forest. In many LICs clearing has taken place in response to a growing population, the need for building materials and for firewood. Commercial activities such as prawn farming in countries like Bangladesh has led to further clearing. Urbanisation in its many forms - housing, port development and tourist facilities - has had a major impact. Pollution from chemical effluent and from oil spills can choke the delicate root systems starving the plant of oxygen which results in die back. • • • • The dense nature of mangrove vegetation makes it a useful barrier for the coast, absorbing wave energy, holding material together and reducing the impact of coastal erosion. With their removal many countries have had to invest heavily in hard engineering projects to protect what has become a vulnerable coastline. Organisations like ‘Mangroves for the Future’ and ‘Wetlands International’ are encouraging governments to adopt a more sustainable and holistic approach with programmes of mangrove conservation and regeneration. The particular conditions for growth are: • Brackish water • • Three different types of root system develop in response to the local tidal and drainage conditions. Between the high water mark and the mid tidal mark figure 8.46 (a) Species growing in anaerobic figure Pioneer species will grow closer to the low water mark conditions have horizontal develop aerial roots providing the plant with oxygen. roots which send up vertical shoots to get oxygen. 8.46 (b) Further inland different species Sonneratia figure 8.46 (c) Away from waterlogged mid and high tide areas mangroves develop buttress roots which provide oxygen and anchor the trees. Bruguiera Coral reefs Coral polyps are tiny, soft-bodied organisms. At their base is a hard protective limestone skeleton called a calide, which forms the structure of coral reefs. Reefs begin when a polyp attaches itself to a rock on the sea floor then divides, or buds, into thousands of clones. The polyp calicles connect to one another to create a colony that acts as a single organism. As colonies grow over thousands of years, they join with other colonies and become reefs. Some coral reefs began growing over 50 million years ago and the Great Barrier Reef off the Australian east coast is at least 5 million years old. Global limiting factors • Temperature: reef-building corals are rarely found in areas where the water temperature drops below 18 °C for more than a few days. • Water depth: corals can only grow in relatively shallow water with few growing below a depth of around 90 m. • Light: corals need sunlight to support the algae that live within their tissues. Although corals need nutrients, they cannot thrive in areas where there are large amounts of nutrients. Typically plankton or seaweeds (macroalgae) grow to excess in nutrient-rich water and smother the corals, blocking out the light. Coastal environments 197 • Salinity: coral is intolerant of seawater with a salt content of less than 32 • practical salinity units (psu). Conditions must support the presence of the zooanthellae (the algae that provides the coral with food, energy and colour) which exist in a symbiotic relationship with the coral. Local limiting factors • Sediment: corals require clean clear water as any sediment will clog up their feeding and cleansing mechanisms as well as reduce the light for photosynthesis required by the algae on which they feed. • Wave action: being supported by limestone skeletons, corals can survive in very tough conditions. However, in the strongest storms many corals will be smashed to pieces. • Exposure to air: coral cannot survive being exposed to the air for any length of time and so they always grow below the LWM. Types of reef There are four main types of reef, which can be identified as: • Fringing reef: this is located very close to land and often forms a shallow • • figure 8.47 (a) Fringing reef • lagoon between the beach and the main body of the reef. Barrier reef: this resembles a fringing reef but is located further from the shore and can be much bigger than a fringing reef. For example, the Great Barrier Reef in Australia lies 300-1000 m from shore and is 2000 km long. Atoll: these circular or horseshoe-shaped reefs encircle a lagoon. No apparent landmass is normally associated with an atoll. Patch reef: these outcrops ofcoral usually lie within a lagoon. Origins Fringing reefs, barrier reefs and atolls are thought to represent stages in coral reef formation. Charles Darwin first proposed this theory of coral reef formation in 1842. figure figure 3 8.47 (b) Barrier reef 8.47 (c) Atoll Coastal environments Step 1: A fringing reef forms first and starts growing in the shallow waters close to a tropical island. Step 2: Over time the island subsides and the reef grows outwards. The distance between the land and the reef increases. The fringing reef develops into a barrier reef. Step 3: If the island completely subsides, all that is left is the reef. The reef retains the approximate shape of the island it grew around, forming a ring enclosing a lagoon. Darwin speculated that underneath each lagoon should be a bedrock base- the remains of the original island. Subsequent drilling into atolls proved this hypothesis to be true. Two other theories are those of Murray (1872) and Daly’s Glacial Control theory (1909). Murray believed that the base of the reef was a submarine mountain consisting of volcanic peaks or wave worn remnants that reached close enough to the surface for it to be a foundation ofcoral growth. Coral fragments would accumulate and be cemented into a solid mass. Daly on the other hand favoured a sea level change mechanism brought about by post-glacial ice melt. He found evidence of glaciation in the Hawaiian Islands and postulated that the sea would have been colder and sea levels lower so the coral would have died off. Once conditions became more favourable to coral growth the new reefs would have grown on the base provided by the old dead reefs. Recent research done by the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory at Columbia University in New York has shown that sea level changes around Barbados occurred many times between 70 000 and 250 000 years ago by as much as 30 m in a very short period of time. All of which lends support the theories of Darwin and Daly. The likelihood being that no one single process operated on its own. figure 8.48 Coral bleaching caused by high water temperatures, Indonesia. Human threats to coral reefs Data collected by the World Resources Institute suggests that over half of the world’s coral reefs are at high or medium risk of degradation and in Southeast Asia this figure rises to 80 per cent Overfishing, industrial pollution and domestic waste threaten not only the coral but also the fish stocksand marine environment in general. Impacts are indicated by events such as coral bleaching. When conditions for coral growth alter the first noticeable effect is the breakdown of the symbiotic relationship between the coral and the zooanthellae. This effect is most noticeable when temperatures increase by no more than 1 or 2 °C and in shallow waters the potential for this to occur is great. In 1998 extensive bleaching worldwide resulted in considerable damage to 16 per cent of the world’s coral reefs. Much of this was due to abnormally high temperatures, in some cases as much as 4 °C higher at a depth of 20 m. Reports of global coral health A global assessment carried out in 2004 by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) reported that 20 per cent of reefs were damaged beyond repair. Much of this decline was attributed to climate change, poor farming practices, overfishing and coastal developments. The report also noted that recovering reefs were continuing to improve, particularly in the Indian Ocean and in Australian waters. In 2010 the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) released a report outlining the threat to coral reefs caused by climate change and subsequent coral bleaching, as well as by ocean acidification. This report highlighted the fact that coral reefs were the first ecosystem to demonstrate the effects of climate change and that unless significant reductions in greenhouse emissions took place there was likely to be a catastrophic collapse of the ecosystem. The report noted: • • • Increased bleaching and possible extinctions of some species likely to occur as sea temperatures rise. Increased ocean acidification reducing the ability of the coral to calcify, weakening structures and slowing growth. Increased storm activity leading to damage and erosion along coastlines. In seawater carbon dioxide becomes carbonic acid, which in turn forms bicarbonate and carbonate ions. The levels of these are important because they control the pH of seawater. This is a measure of how alkaline the water is, In fact, seawater has a relatively stable pH of about 8.3. Coastal environments 199 Sustainable reef management Given time and improved conditions reefs can recover, especially from once only incidents such as a pollution spill, but not necessarily from longer-term stress. It is important therefore to look for longer-term strategies in order to maintain reefs. In 2015 researchers discovered a new species of algae that helps corals to survive in the temperatures of up to 36 °C found in the coastal water of the United Arab Emirates (UAE). These temperatures would be expected to kill corals figure 8.49 Coral that is tolerant of the warm water off the coast of the United Arab Emirates. elsewhere. The algae live in a symbiotic relationship with the coral. The discovery of this new species of algae means that corals might be able to survive increased sea temperatures, although other threats remain. In 2015 University of Plymouth researchers highlighted another recent concern - ocean acidification (OA)- and the effect that it might have on coral. The rate of acidification has been rapid although so far quite small. On average the pH measure of acidity/alkalinity at the surface of the oceans has fallen by 0.1 since burning coal for steam power become widespread in the eighteenth century. The area of concern is the rate at which this is happening because the oceans are becoming corrosive enough to dissolve many marine plants and animals. Research conducted around volcanic seeps, where COa naturally bubbles into the sea, has attempted to determine which organisms survive by capturing the CO;. Coral reefs are severely weakened as CO; rises and in the tropics weakened reefs will contribute to increased coastal erosion. Some organisms can however adapt to the effects of long-term acidification with soft corals doing particularly well, however transplanting these corals into waters of pH 7.8 results in them dissolving away. So acidified oceans could end up with fewer species of crumbling reefs and other species, such as jellyfish and seaweed, moving in and taking their place. A few species have an outer protective layer that allows them to survive in acidified waters but their survival is also reduced by other stress factors. Rising temperatures and acidification destroys coral and reduces biodiversity. It is time for governments to reduce emissions and invest in research as these and other systems are much more resilient when stress levels are reduced. Increasing diversity and value of local economies by providing fishermen Establish guidelines of with better boats sustainable quotas for all and on-shore activities, fishing, diving, refrigeration and boat anchorages Developing alternative strategies for income generation to prevent illegal fishing Setting up a programme of research to monitor and assess health and impacts of training to encourage public support and any of the improvement schemes expertise locally for better management and to promote bottom-up involvement Developing codes of conduct for all users figure 200 Coastal environments 8.50 Strategies for reef management Sustainable management of coasts Coastlines present a range of challenges as more people demand to live, work and holiday there. Consequently the coastal area has become overdeveloped, overexploited and overcrowded. In the USA half the population lives within 6 km of the sea or the Great Lakes and three-quarters of the population live within loo km of the coast. In England and Wales Shoreline Management Plans (SMPs) are designed to ensure a holistic approach to coastal defence by taking into consideration all the interacting factors that contribute to, or are affected by such defence schemes (Table 8.4). table 8.4 Shoreline Management Plan Defence options Allow coastal retreat Do nothing Improve coastal defences Beaches on chronically eroding shores can maintain their natural width as they slowly retreat landward. Maintain existing levels of defence Management options Cliff stabilisation Coastal infrastructures, sea walls, paths Beach cleaning Pollution, spills Offshore dredging Land management issues Recreational Coastal defence includes protection from the effects of the sea, both erosion and deposition, and protection against coastal flooding. Coastal Zone Management includes all activities within the coastal zone both human and physical and in dealing with these issues there is great potential for conflict. Coastal protection takes two forms: hard engineering and soft engineering. Beach loss eventually occurs in front of a sea wall where there is chronic erosion. figure 8.51 Hard engineering and beach loss Hard engineering Hard engineering is the use of structures put in place to resist the energy of the tides and waves. They are expected to resist considerable variation in conditions and usually require expensive and on-going maintenance. They are nevertheless effective in permitting the development of the coastline although they can also have negative impacts upon the shoreline, causing it to narrow, which can lead to a reduction in biodiversity as habitat is reduced as well as exacerbating the effects of erosion and sediment movement along the coast. Table 8.5 shows the main types of hard engineering and their limitations. Soft engineering Soft engineering attempts to devise solutions that work with the processes. These schemes are sometimes less expensive to implement and need less maintenance. However, they can have a potentially negative impact where landowners have to give up land and/or property so that a scheme can be implemented. Table 8.6 shows the variety of soft engineering options and their limitations. Coastal environments 201 table 8.5 Types of hard engineering Limitations Operation Technique Breakwaters Offshore structures of concrete or rocks that deflect waves before they reach the shore; the term can also refer to protective walls near harbours Tend to deflect waves along new paths, which may cause scouring of foundations or erosion elsewhere Gabions Metal cages filled with rocks, which can be stacked to build walls (often 1 m cubes); may also be arranged as a mattress so that waves can percolate Metal cage may fail relatively quickly, spilling contents; if stacked, they may move in strong waves Geotextiles Permeable fabrics that accumulate materials yet allow water to pass through; modern types (geotubes) are filled with dredged sand Relatively new and there is limited evidence of results on a large scale Groyne fields These wooden or rock barriers, sited perpendicular to the shore, trap and retain drifting sand; repairable; the key is to get a balance of sand stored and sand still moving Likely to interfere with the sediment budget along a coastline, causing deficit or even starvation downdrift Revetments Sloping ramps (concrete, rock or open wooden baffles) to absorb wave energy; modern versions have large blocks placed in a finer mix foundation Despite sloping design, revetments have similar problems to sea walls; they may damage foreshore ecosystems Rip rap (rock armour) Similar to sea walls, but permeable and able to adapt to change; larger rocks are not easily moved; can look relatively natural depending on location Rocks can roll in severe weather or be under-scoured by backwash; not always visually attractive and usually expensive Sea walls These bulkheads separate land from water, supporting the land as well as holding back the sea; modern designs can absorb and deflect as well as resist wave attack; seen as appropriate, if not mandatory, in promenade and harbour situations Wave return walls may accelerate beach erosion due to downward motion of water and scour at toe of wall; often the most expensive option both in terms of capital and maintenance costs table 8.6 Types of soft engineering Operation Technique Limitations Beach drainage Drainage improvement for swash-aligned beaches using coarser sand; reduces surface backwash and gives better beach colour (for beach users) A new concept not tested fully; will not work on drift-aligned beaches Beach nourishment Artificial replacement of sand from land or water (pumped onshore as slurry) Exogenous (imported) sediments may have environmental and visual drawbacks Beach reprofiling Economical way to resist erosion by changing the shape of the beach ‘Scraping’only works in low energy environments; storms can deconstruct the shape Cliff drainage Reduces saturation by piping water out of cliffs and so prevents landslips Only applicable to some rock types Cliff profiling Slope of cliff face lessened (regraded) to improve stability (critical angles involved) Requires detailed research into the geology of the cliffs Cliff toe protection Blocks placed at cliff foot beneath potential failure sites Largely a temporary response, as this method does not halt erosion Creating stable bays Increasing length of bays in an attempt to spread wave energy along the coast and focus wave erosion on headlands; protects bays Not yet tried in Europe; long-term approach Dune regeneration Wind velocity reduced by fences or planting above beach level to encourage sand deposition; generally effective if managed properly Effective only in aeolian environments and where public access can be controlled Marsh creation Planting mudflats with pioneer species like spartina to increase stability in tidal flow; seem as an affordable and perhaps sustainable solution Technique may be jeopardised by an accelerated rise in sea level if marsh plants cannot adapt quickly enough Mudflat recharge Similar to beach nourishment but uses cohesive sediments (for example, in Dutch Polders) Similar limitations to marsh creation Rock pinning Bolting rock layers to prevent slipping along cliff faces Only applies to some cliffs and does not prevent wave erosion Sand bypassing Removal and re-injection of sediments into a sediment cell; used to bypass important harbour breakwater features, which keep navigation channels clear Despite common use, the costs are becoming increasingly prohibitive Vegetation planting Use of planting to stabilise cliffs and dunes (e.g. kudzu and marram grass) These fragile environments need careful management 202 Coastal environments Case Study Sand dredging at Diani Beach, Kenya Diani Beach is listed as one of the world’s great resorts. A proposal to extract 5 million tonnes of sand just offshore from the beach has created a furore locally with tourism stakeholders and local residents. Sand is a vitally important component of modern society and clean sand is rarely found on land but sea­ based deposits only require washing to remove the salt. The sand at Diani is required for construction work in and around the port of Mombasa. This project is seen by the government in Kenya as a major step forward in the development of the country. Local people, fishermen, tourism managers, environmentalists, the Kenyan Wildlife Service and marine scientists are not so sure. The South Coast Residents Association (SCRA) is involved in monitoring the dredgers working offshore and the effects that the work is having. The SCRA has found the following: • • • • • Dredging is damaging the reef and adversely affecting the fish stocks. Coastal mangroves are being killed off; they are an important part of the coastal defence system. Changes to the seabed morphology are affecting local currents and tidal patterns, which in turn increase erosional effects on beaches. There is potential for the collapse of the tourist industry. Rubbish and heavy metal contaminants are dumped offshore and are being brought onto beaches by the tides. figure 8.52 The location of Diani Beach in Kenya. Currently (2015) it seems that the Kenyan government appears to be ignoring these environmental concerns. Locals would like a way to be found to source the sand from elsewhere and not condemn Kenya’s prized beaches to a slow death. To make matters worse, sea sand needs to be washed with fresh water, an equally scarce resource at the coast. However with monies available from Chinese investors it seems very likely that this project will continue to progress at the ultimate expense of the beaches of southern Kenya. figure 8.53 Diani Beach, Kenya Coastal environments 203 Case Study Tourism and management issues in EastTimor East Timor is a ‘new’ tourist destination in Southeast Asia. East Timor’s main attractions are spectacular coral reefs and their biological diversity. These reefs are important not just for tourism and the habitat and biological diversity they support but as the provider of food for the many fishing communities around the coast. INDONESIA. Pulau Flores Sea Romang Banda Sea Wetar • ? INDONESIA Flores Adonara ' Larantuka Lomblen Solor o Laliki Manatuto Pantar Foho Tatamail EAST TIMOR <0 Pante Macassar 9 Gunung Mutis V 2427 S ■ Savu Ssmau Huaki \ Set® HhadeAtauro Dili o < .» Kisar Laute^SLa|a Baucau spalos Viqueque EAST TIMOR ' dBesikama INDONESIA °KJpang Timor Sea EASTTIMOR figure 8.54 EastTimor The tourism emphasis has two main strands: • Ecotourism, defined by Ecotourism Australia (2006) as “ecologically sustainable tourism with a primary focus on experiencing natural areas that foster environmental and cultural understanding, appreciation and conservation”. • Pro-poor tourism (PPT), which is defined as “tourism that generates net benefits to the poor” (UN 2002). These include economic, environmental, cultural and social benefits. Significantly, pro-poor tourism differs from sustainable tourism because PPT has poverty alleviation as its first objective, while sustainable tourism focuses on the environment. figure 8.55 (a) and (b) Vibrant coral reef in EastTimor. 204 Coastal environments Specific centres for tourism development have been identified along the coastal margins at Dili, Manatuto, Baucau and Lautem. A comprehensive list of objectives has been drawn up by the government to ensure the greatest benefit for the people of East Timor as they exploit the island’s tourist potential. Many of these objectives revolve around training in all aspects of the tourism industry and the provision of infrastructure to support tourism and prevent indiscriminate development of facilities. The need for local people to be involved and to benefit economically from tourism has been recognised. Diving and fishing has to be controlled in order to protect the reefs from damage but also to ensure that commercial fishing does not suffer adversely. The development of alternative sustainable coastal-marine livelihoods (such as ecotourism) are essential for the conservation and protection of the island's unique marine and coastal ecosystems and biodiversity. Underpinning all of this is the need for legislation to protect the natural and complex cultural heritage of the island for future generations. There are a range of potential negative impacts that could arise from an influx of foreign tourists and visitors to local communities. The establishment of tourist precincts that offer enhanced amenities and services could assist in minimising access to places of cultural or environmental sensitivity. The designation of marine parks would go some way to protecting the reefs and the coastline and limiting access to more fragile areas. NOW INVESTIGATE 1 Describe and explain the formation of tombolos, offshore bars, barrier beaches and coastal dunes. To what extent can these coastal landforms be changed by physical processes and human activities? 2 Explain how weathering, rock type and rock structure influence the erosion and form of coastal landforms. 3 Using examples, explain why different stretches of rocky coastline produce different landforms. 4 Explain how far the conditions that allow the growth and develop­ ment of coral reefs are under threat. Coastal environments 205 Natural disaster classification Extreme Temperature: HeatWave, Cold Wave, Extreme Winter Condition Wildfire: Forest Fire, Land Fire Drought Mass Movement (dry): Rockfall, Landslide, Avalanche, Subsidence Earthquake Volcano Flood: General Flood, Flash Flood, Storm Surge/Coastal Flood Mass Movement (wet): Rockfall, Landslide, Climatological Storm: Tropical Cyclone, Extra-Tropical Cyclone, Local Storm Geophysical Hydrological Meteorological Disaster occurrences by continent, 2014 •••••• •••••• •••••• ••••••••• ••••••••• ••••••••• ••••••••• ••••••••• Americas disaster occurrences 72 •••••• •••••• ••••••••• ••••••••• ••••••••• ••••••••• •••••• •••••• •••••• •••••• •••••• Europe disaster occurrences 48 Africa disaster occurrences 34 France Top 10 countries by total number of disasters 2014 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 China USA India Japan Philippines Indonesia Mexico Thailand France Nepal 39 20 15 12 12 11 8 8 7 7 Americas people affected, 2014 Mexico Europe people affected, 2014 Africa people affected, 2014 2.3 million 77 000 people 6 million people were affected by climatological disasters were affected by geophysical disasters were affected by climatological disasters 1.1 million were affected by geophysical disasters 2.7 million people 15 000 people were affected by hydrological disasters were affected by geophysical disasters 1.3 million 111 000 people 646 000 people were affected by hydrological disasters were affected by meteorological disasters were affected by hydrological disasters 180 000 131 000 people were affected by meteorological disasters were affected by meteorological disasters Serious destruction of a community or an environment is categorised as a disaster when one of the following criteria is fulfilled: Avalanche, Subsidence Ten or more people are reported dead One hundred or more people are affected A state of emergency is declared There is a call for international assistance Hazardous environm ents • • • • Natural disasters are classified by the climatological, geophysical, hydrological or meteorological event that triggered the disaster. ••• • ••• • ••• Asia disaster occurrences 142 Oceania disaster occurrences 11 Indonesia Asia people affected, 2014 Oceania people affected, 2014 31.5 million people 170 people were affected by climatological disasters were affected by climatological disasters 2.6 million people 1380 people were affected by geophysical disasters ; 32.1 million people 80 000 people were affected by hydrological disasters were affected by hydrological disasters 26.3 million people 89 000 people were affected by meteorological disasters were affected by meteorological disasters 207 Hazardous environments Hazards resulting from tectonic processes The global distribution of earthquakes and volcanoes related to plate tectonics A hazard can be defined as a naturally occurring process that has the potential to cause damage to property and loss of life. Tectonic or geological hazards include seismic activity (earthquakes), volcanic activity and tsunami, which mostly occur in a clear linear pattern. This pattern is determined by the position of plate boundaries with collisional and destructive plate boundaries, which result in broad linear chains, and conservative and constructive plate boundaries, which result in lines of earthquakes and volcanoes that are relatively narrow (although they can still exceed 100 km in width). For example, where the continental crust of the Indian subcontinent is moving northwards into the continental crust of the Eurasian plate (collisional boundary) a broad belt of earthquakes can be found in the Himalayas. Volcanoes and earthquakes in broad chains can also be found on the west coast of South America where the dense oceanic Nazca plate is subducting (plunging) beneath the less dense continental South American plate (destructive boundary). Narrow chains of volcanoes and earthquakes can be found in the centre of the Atlantic Ocean where the North American plate and Eurasian plate are moving slowly apart (constructive boundary). Similarly, narrow bands of seismic activity can be found on the San Andreas fault where the North American plate and Pacific plate are moving past each other in opposite directions (conservative boundary). Whilst approximately 85 per cent of seismic and volcanic events occur at plate boundaries there are also isolated occurrences of these phenomena that do not conform to this pattern. For example, the Hawaiian hotspot is an example of intraplate volcanism that is likely to be formed as a result of isolated magma figure 9.1 Distribution of plate boundaries, volcanoes and earthquakes 208 Hazardous environments plumes. Outlying earthquakes can also be caused by human activity rather than naturally occurring processes. For example, groundwater extraction is thought to have contributed to the 2011 Lorca earthquake in Spain, whilst fracking (the mining of shale gas by the process of hydraulic fracturing) was linked to an earthquake in Oklahoma in the same year. The relationship of hazards to plate tectonics Temperatures of over 6000 °C in the Earth’s core and the heat released by radioactive decay of elements in the mantle work together to create convection currents. This circular motion in the asthenosphere (semi-molten part of the mantle) results in the movement of the seven major and over 50 minor plates that make up the Earth’s crust. The rate of movement of the plates is variable although the average is between 5 and 10 cm per year. Divergent plates Where convection currents rise and diverge, tensional stresses are produced in the crust. Magma (molten rock) rises from deep in the mantle and, as the upper parts of the mantle begin to melt, fluid basaltic lava erupts to form a new oceanic crust. The explosivity of volcanic eruptions depends upon the viscosity and composition of the lava. Basaltic lava has a low silica content (between 48 and 52 per cent) and can reach temperatures of 1200 °C. As a consequence, the lava is fluid and any gas bubbles that are formed rise to the surface creating a gentle, effusive eruption. Earthquakes at constructive boundaries tend to occur as a result of this volcanic activity. They have shallow foci (0-70 km deep) and are usually submarine so are of minimal hazard to people. P A Active volcano A Recent volcanic eruption between 1965 and 2015 | Major earthquake zone Major earthquake between 1965 and 2015 figure 9.2 Plate boundaries; their directions and current rates of movement Hazardous environments destructive (convergent) plate boundary oceanic volcanic ridge - new oceanic crust forms pushing the plates apart depth (km) the denser ocean crust descends and the less dense continental crust remains on the surface constructive (divergent) plate boundary mantle extends to 2900 km Melted asthenosphere flows upward as magma along the volcanic oceanic ridges and cools to form new ocean floor/ lithosphere. The new lithosphere moves away from the ridge on top of the asthenosphere (sea-floor spreading). Where the denser oceanic crust meets the older, the oceanic crust back into the asthenosphere. The edge of the continental crust is deformed downwards to form an ocean trench. The time between the formation of new oceanic crust and its melting back into the asthenosphere is commonly 250 million years. less dense continental crust, gravity pulls figure 9.3 Plate tectonics Convergent plates When plates move together or converge they create either a collisional or a destructive boundary. If the plates are both composed of continental crust and therefore have similar densities they will collide, pushing and compressing sediments from the ocean floor into young fold mountain chains. For example, the Indian subcontinent first collided with the Eurasian plate approximately 40 million years ago forming the Himalayas. The focus of the earthquake is the point inside the crust where pressure is released. Significant seismic events, which typically have a shallow focus, regularly occur in the Indian subcontinent and include the 2005 Pakistan and 2011 Sikkim earthquakes. Where two plates of differing densities converge, the denser of the two will be subducted below the other. This occurs at continental/oceanic margins where the denser oceanic plate is subducted below the more buoyant continental plate, but can also occur at oceanic/oceanic margins where the slightly more dense or faster moving plate will subduct below the other. Friction builds up between the two plates during the process and is suddenly released, creating both shallow and deep focus (300-700 km) earthquakes. The heat generated from the friction also causes partial melting of the crust. This molten rock (magma) rises up through fissures (cracks) to form volcanoes. Lava at destructive boundaries has a high silica content (rhyolite, the most viscous type of lava, is composed of over 70 percent silica) and relatively low temperatures (approximately 600-900 °C). As a consequence this lava is viscous and gas bubbles, which do not escape easily, build to create highly explosive eruptions. Lava at destructive boundaries where oceanic and oceanic plates converge is basic. Approximately 80 per cent of the world’s active volcanoes occur on destructive boundaries with about three quarters of these, including Mt St Helens (USA) and Nevado del Ruiz (Colombia), lying on the Pacific ‘Ring of Fire’. Conservative boundaries Subduction does not occur at conservative margins and so these are not associated with active volcanism. However, as two parallel plates move past each other- either in different directions or in the same direction but at different speeds - friction builds. 210 Hazardous environments figure 9.4 Conservative plate boundaries in the San Francisco area. figure 9.5 San Andreas fault, California, USA figure 9.6 Hawaiian-Emperor seamount chain figure 9.7 Hot spot volcano cross section The subsequent release of this energy creates frequent, shallow focus earthquake events such as the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake on the San Andreas fault. Hot spots Not all volcanic activity occurs at plate boundaries. The Hawaiian Islands, which can be found over 3000 km from the nearest plate boundary, are a series of volcanic islands that vary in age and stretch north-west in an arc across the central Pacific Ocean. It is thought by some geologists that a mantle plume, or ‘hot spot’, rises from the mantle here. The overlying plate moves slowly across this plume with volcanoes erupting when they are over the heat source. As the plate continues on its journey these volcanoes move away from the heat source and become extinct. The main island of Hawaii is over the hot spot at this moment in time; it consists of five currently active volcanoes including Mauna Loa and Kilauea. Earthquakes and resultant hazards Seismic waves radiate outwards from the focus. There are four types of seismic waves which travel at different speeds and which can be detected by seismometers. Waves that travel through the earth are known as body waves and include P (Primary) waves, which can travel through both solids and liquids at 5.5 km per second, and slower S (Secondary) waves, which can only travel through solids. Love and Rayleigh waves are surface waves that travel more slowly. The shaking of the ground caused by these seismic waves and the surface faulting that occurs are the primary hazards of earthquakes. Surface waves are responsible for most damage to buildings and structures, which present the greatest hazard to humans given that buildings can collapse and injure or kill their occupants. Underground pipes and power cables may also be ruptured resulting in fires and explosions and infrastructure such as road networks may be seriously affected. In the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake about 98 per cent of the economic losses were as a result of ground shaking and two-thirds of the deaths occurred when part of the Nimitz Freeway collapsed. Aftershocks, which tend to be of a lower magnitude than the main tremor but last for longer and occur more frequently, can sometimes cause more damage than the original quake due to the fact that structures are already weakened. For example, the 7.1 magnitude Darfield earthquake occurred near Christchurch, New Zealand, on 4 September 2010 and injured over 100 people. Whilst there were over 9000 recorded aftershocks which lasted until early January 2012 the strongest and most devastating occurred on 22 February 2011. This was a magnitude 6.3 event but, due to the fact that the epicentre was located close to the city of Christchurch and structures had been weakened by previous shocks, it resulted in the deaths of 185 people. Hazardous environments 211 earthquake starts tsunami figure figure tsunami waves spread 9.8 How tsunamis are triggered 9.9 Liquefaction Secondary hazards (caused by primary hazards) include liquefaction, landslides, mudflows and tsunamis. Liquefaction occurs where the shaking of the ground causes unconsolidated and saturated sediments to act as liquids. Building foundations, underground pipes and sewerage systems can all be destroyed or severely damaged as they subside. The shaking of the ground can also result in landslides, rockfalls, mudflows and avalanches on even gentle slopes. The 2010 Chile earthquake had a magnitude of 8.8 and triggered landslides which caused the loss of approximately 9 per cent of homes in the affected region and over 500 deaths. It also activated a tsunami causing warnings to be issued in 53 countries. Whilst the tsunami caused localised damage, it also travelled over 17 000 km to the coast of Tohoku, Japan, where over US$66 million of damage to the fish industry was recorded. Tsunamis are a result of the vertical movement of the sea floor and, whilst they can be triggered by volcanic activity and landslides, the majority occur as a result of seismic activity. Not every earthquake will trigger a tsunami; most require a magnitude of at least 6.5 and a relatively shallow focus of 50 km or less. Around 90 per cent of tsunami occur in the Pacific Basin and over a third are generated in the deep sea trenches off the coast of Japan, South America and the Aleutian Islands. Perhaps the most devastating tsunami in recent memory is the Boxing Day tsunami of 2004, which was triggered by a 9.2 magnitude earthquake off the western coast of northern Sumatra. The Boxing Day tsunami hit 14 different countries and affected over 5 million people. The 2011 Tohoku earthquake and tsunami that occurred off the coast ofJapan was also devastating, causing nearly 16 000 deaths and triggering a meltdown of the Fukushima nuclear power plant. Volcanic hazards; types of eruption and their products The shape, nature of eruption and hazards presented by volcanoes depend largely on the viscosity and silica content of their lava. Therefore, very hot runny lava with a low silica content produces gently sloping shield volcanoes with associated effusive Hawaiian eruptions, whilst cooler viscous lava with a high silica content produces steep-sided cone volcanoes with explosive Plinian eruptions. The strength of a volcano’s eruption is measured by the Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) and is dependent upon the amount of material ejected in the explosion, the height of the ash cloud and the resultant damage. Typically effusive Hawaiian eruptions have a low VEI of o or 1, whilst more explosive Plinian eruptions have a higher VEI of 5 or above. 212 Hazardous environments Effusive eruptions pose a limited hazard to people; they are usually associated with lava flows that are spectacular but tend to pose more of a threat to property than human life. Explosive eruptions, on the other hand, are much more unpredictable and violent and therefore hazardous. The primary and secondary hazards associated with volcanic activity are summarised in Table 9.1. table 9.1 Hazards associated with volcanic activity Primary (direct) hazards Secondary (indirect) hazards Pyroclastic flows (nuees ardentes) Atmospheric ash fallout Volcanic bombs (projectiles) Volcanic landslides Lava flows Tsunamis Ash and tephra fallout Acid rainfall Volcanic gases Lahars (mudflows) Earthquakes Jökulhlaups (glacier bursts) Primary hazards Pyroclastic flows (sometimes known as nuees ardentes) are mixtures of hot rock fragments, lava, ash and hot gases that can surge downhill, reaching speeds of 700 km/h. They are often accompanied by ash (<2 mm diameter) and tephra (>2 mm diameter) particles that are created by the explosion of magma or the fragmentation of solid rocks. figure 9.10 Pyroclastic flow, Soufriere Hills volcano, Montserrat, Caribbean. The low-viscosity basaltic magma results in the easy release of gases. The eruption is non-violent. Low-angle volcanic domes or lava plateaux are the result, e.g. Hawaiian islandsand Icelandic volcanoes. (b) Andesitic magma plume penetrates into the troposphere The high-eruption columns spread gases over large distances. As the eruption wanes there may be collapse of lava columns and resulting pyroclastic flows and surges. The eruption of Mount Pinatuboin 1991 sent a plume oftephra 30 km high into the atmosphere. (c) Rhyolitic magma eruption through a weakness in the flank of the volcano dome of solid lava blocks vertical eruption the magma fragments into pyroclastic materials and gases figure lateral blast of great force The lava dome blocks the volcano so that the eruption is sudden and violent through a weakness in the side of the volcano or in some cases the top to produce a summit crater called a caldera. Examples include Mount Pele, Mount St Helens and Krakatoa. 9.11 (a)-(c) classifications of volcanic eruptions Hazardous environments The smallest particles can be ejected into the stratosphere (20-50 km up into the atmosphere) and can alter global climate patterns, cause breathing difficulties, cause poorly built houses to collapse or present a hazard to aircraft. Eyjafjallajokull, a Strombolian Icelandic volcano, erupted in 2010 covering large areas of northern Europe with ash. As a result 20 countries closed their airspace to commercial air traffic, disrupting the journeys of over 10 million travellers. FIGURE 9.12 Ash cloud figure 9.13 Lahar Secondary hazards Lahars or mudflows represent the second greatest volcanic hazard, after pyroclastic flow. They are caused when volcanic material mixes with water and then moves rapidly (over 60 km/h) over long distances. Lahars can be triggered by volcanic landslides. The source of the water can be heavy rainfall, the collapse of a crater lake or the rapid melting of snow or a glacier (jökulhlaup). This means that people living in tropical regions such as Indonesia and in glaciated environments such as Iceland can be particularly susceptible to lahars. Primary and secondary impacts on lives and property The effects on lives and property of tectonic hazards can be mitigated by either modifying the event (by attempting to control lava flows with water sprays or artificial barriers) or vulnerability (by building earthquake-proof buildings, carrying out earthquake drills or evacuating residents from high risk volcanic zones). Clearly, the areas that are most vulnerable and have the highest number of deaths tend to be the poorer regions of the world although more industrialised regions tend to suffer economically. Nyiragongo is a stratovolcano located in the East Africa rift valley on the border between the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda. Formed at a divergent boundary, its lava is low in silica and therefore flows rapidly posing a danger to life and property. It also emits toxic gases such as sulfur dioxide at a rate of up to 50 000 tonnes per day, which has the potential to affect human health and natural environments. Nyiragongo is unusual in that it also has a 500 m deep lava lake in its crater that can be rapidly drained when cracks appear in its flanks. In 2002 lava drained from the crater and flows 50 m across and 6 m deep covered the nearby city of Goma. In total 147 people were killed, mainly from carbon dioxide asphyxiation and building collapse, and over 120 000 people were made homeless. Despite being an effusive eruption, the 2002 event was devastating due to the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s exposure to the hazard and the people’s vulnerability. Over half a million people live on the flanks of Africa’s most active volcano. They are poor and largely depend on subsistence agriculture, 80 per cent of which was devastated in the eruption. Coupled with this, war has raged in the area for much of the past decade, which has increased the population’s vulnerability to the hazard. Prediction, hazard mapping and monitoring of earthquake and volcanic hazards and perception of risk Whilst earthquake and volcanic hazards both present significant risks for people, volcanic activity in particular can provide significant opportunities. The attractive scenery encourages tourism, geothermal energy can be generated and volcanic soils contain minerals that make them some of the most fertile soils on the planet. It is no wonder that over 500 million people currently choose to live on or near active volcanoes and that this number is set to grow due to the dramatic population growth of LICs around the Pacific Basin in particular. Given the long timescales of the recurrence intervals of volcanic eruptions compared to relatively short human timescales, many people perceive the benefits of living next to an active volcano to outweigh the risks. Other factors that may affect an individual’s perception of risk include their experience (those who have greater experience of hazards are more likely to adjust to the situation of living in a hazardous environment), their material well-being and their personality. Predicting seismic activity is notoriously difficult and there is no current method of reliable earthquake prediction. However China is developing a network of Seismo-Electromagnetic Satellites (CSES) as part of their earthquake Hazardous environments figure 9.14 Geothermal energy generation monitoring network. Strong seismic activity can cause anomalies in the Earth’s atmosphere and magnetic field, which has the potential to be detected by satellites. Indeed, two days before Japan’s March 2011 earthquake, Chinese researchers detected abnormal electromagnetic signals in the area using ground based systems. Given that predicting seismic activity remains a challenge, most research is concerned with hazard mitigation by assessing the earthquake hazard and the vulnerability of the population. Volcanoes are easier to predict as physical changes occur that can be monitored. For example, GPS can be used to monitor the swell of the surface of the volcano, chemical sensors can monitor increased sulfur levels and seismometers can be used to record the low magnitude earthquakes that occur as the magma rises. Hazards resulting from mass movement Mass movement and resultant hazards: nature and causes Mass movement is the movement of surface material due to gravity that occurs either as a result of natural and/or human activity. These geomorphological hazards can be classified according to their speed or type of movement; for example falls, flows, slides and slumps. The likelihood of a slope failing is a combination of the strength of the slope and the force that is acting upon it. Most of the time there is a balance between the stick and the slide forces, however, if this balance is upset by either increasing shear stress or decreasing the shear strength, then mass movement will occur. Decreasing the shear strength by increasing the amount of water in the slope materials is the most common cause of mass movements. Saturation reduces internal cohesion and friction, increases pore-water pressure and adds weight to the slope, which is often enough to figure 9.15 Types of mass movement. Hazardous environments 215 tall heavy trees add weight to the slope and may impose high lateral stresses in strong winds irrigation of lawns may cause higher water tables . slope fill used to create a flat surface may become saturated with water if the air spaces have not been \ squeezed out vegetation clearance may promote development of shrinkage cracks in clayey soils and lead to increased infiltration of runoff toe support removed by excavation \ downpipe directing run off from roof into ground building adds weight to slope increased weight of‘fill1 on the slope y ’ infiltration from effluent irrigation field water enters movement cracks as they open up rise in groundwater table results in increased porewater pressure and reduction in shear strength on potential failure sürfece leakage from underground services increase in saturation in the unsaturated zone above the groundwater table resulting in a reduction in soil cohesion fluvial erosion may result in local slumping and oversteepening of slope base \ high groundwater table following period of prolonged rainfall relatively low groundwater table during dry season percolating water reduces internal cohesion figure soil rock interface or upper surface of stronger material 9.16 Factors detrimental to the slope stability of a building site. trigger an event. In addition, removal of overlying material or vegetation can decompress and loosen sediments. This, combined with natural weathering processes and the burrowing of animals, can open up cracks that cause the porosity to increase and allow more water to enter. Increasing the angle of the slope, particularly at the base, adding weight to the slope through saturation or building, or shocks from earthquakes can increase the shear stress, contributing to the likelihood of mass movement. On 31 January 2015 a landslip at the Harbury cutting between Banbury and Leamington Spa in the UK caused significant disruption to the Birmingham to London rail network. This cutting is one of the deepest and steepest in the country and, until 2006, was heavily forested. Since then, most of the trees have been removed, which, at first glance, appears to have been the main cause of the landslip. However, the slope had also been reprofiled to increase stability and drains installed to reduce saturation; both of these factors suggest effective management of the slope to reduce the likelihood of failure. It could also be argued that the removal of the trees was necessary given that large tree roots can perforate drainage systems, which focuses water at specific points and makes the slope more vulnerable. Whilst the argument is that poor slope management is increasing the frequency and severity of mass movement events, it appears that in the case of the Harbury cutting the situation is complex and probably not a straightforward consequence of deforestation. Impacts on lives and property Whilst mass movement events account for relatively few deaths compared to other hazards such as earthquakes, flooding and tropical cyclones, they do account for huge financial losses as a result of damage to buildings and infrastructure. Since 2000 there have been 12 mass movement events, which have killed 50 or more people. The most devastating of these occurred in Kedarnath, India, on 16 June 2013 and was a direct result of the monsoon rains and the subsequent melting of the Chorabari glacier. An estimated 5748 people were killed in the flash flooding and landslides that resulted and over 110 000 people were evacuated. Unsurprisingly, these high magnitude, low frequency events are associated with the unstable steep slopes found on fold mountain belts such as the Himalayas, the Alps and the Andes. Mass movement events are the result of hydrological, geological and atmospheric interaction. As in the example above, the impacts of the landslide 3 Hazardous environments cannot be separated from the impacts of the heavy rainfall and flooding. This makes individual assessment of the significance of a mass movement event problematic. Increasingly, human activity plays an important role in determining landslide activity. Whilst careful management of slopes can reduce the risk of failure, increased urbanisation, particularly in less industrialised areas, has made urban areas more vulnerable. The development of shanty towns on marginal, steep and often unstable slopes puts large numbers of people at risk. For example, official census data suggests that nearly 70 000 people live in Rochinha, the largest hillside slum in Rio de Janeiro, although unofficial estimates put the population between 150 000 and 300 000. Part of Rochinha is built on a former landfill site, which makes the residents highly vulnerable to mass movement events; in April 2010 over 200 people were killed when higher than average rainfall saturated the already unstable slopes. On 13 November 1985 Nevado del Ruiz, a stratovolcano in Colombia, erupted after nearly 70 years of dormancy. Pyroclastic flows melted the mountain’s glaciers sending four lahars down the slopes at 50 km/hour. As the lahars reached the river valleys at the bottom of the mountain they gained in speed, engulfing the town of Armero. Out of the town’s 29 000 inhabitants, 20 000 were killed and casualties in other towns increased the death toll to 23 000. Some 5000 people were injured and 5000 homes in 13 villages were destroyed resulting in over 20 000 refugees. The damages were estimated at US$7 billion, which equates to about one-fifth of Colombia’s GDP. Relief efforts were hampered by the soft mud, which was difficult to move through and up to 4.5 m deep in places. Several of the highways connecting Armero had been destroyed by the lahars, which meant that it took 12 hours for the first survivors to be rescued. The main hospital in the town was destroyed, so survivors were airlifted to makeshift emergency clinics set up in nearby towns. It was difficult to get antibiotics to all of these clinics and over 150 people in the clinics died due to infections. figure 9.19 Glacier at the summit of Nevado del Ruiz figure figure 9.18 Rochinha shantytown, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil 9.20 The direction taken by the mudflows after the 1985 eruption. Hazardous environments The government was criticised because although a detailed hazard map was published in the month before the eruption it was poorly distributed and highlighted pyroclastic flows as the main hazard rather than lahars. Following the disaster the Colombian government set up the Directorate for Disaster Prevention and Preparedness to prevent such devastating mass movement events in the future. This has inspired a warning system for Mount Rainier, an active volcano in Washington state, USA, which has a similar potential for lahars. Due to climate change, the glacier on top of Nevado del Ruiz has retreated dramatically. Nevertheless, melting of only 10 per cent of the glacier by another eruption could produce lahars with a volume similar to those seen in 1985. Over 500 000 people currently live in the surrounding valleys and their lives would be at risk should another event of similar magnitude occur. Prediction hazard mapping, monitoring of the hazard and perceptions of risk The short-term prediction of mass movement hazards is difficult due to the fact that the triggers themselves are usually difficult to predict. For example, landslides are often triggered by earthquakes and volcanoes where the problems of prediction have already been discussed. Hydrologic triggers, such as prolonged and heavy rainfall, are easier to forecast but it is difficult to know which slopes are likely to be affected or exactly when the landslide will occur. Having said that, the United States Geological Survey (USGS) has published a series of warning signs that may be observed shortly before a mass movement event. These include leaning telegraph poles, new cracks or bulges in the ground and springs occurring in ground that has not previously been wet. Scientific monitoring can also take place with instruments being used to measure ground deformation, the expansion of fissures and groundwater pressure. In the longer term, mass movement events tend to leave distinctive deposits and geological scars in the landscape and so it is possible to create hazard maps that show the areas most likely to be at risk. These maps are available for most parts of the world but are expensive and require technical expertise to produce. They can be used by planners to make decisions about construction policies or to determine how slopes at risk can be stabilised. However, in places where the pressure for urban development is high, the short-term demand for housing may outweigh the longer-term risk of a mass movement event occurring. In 2012 researchers investigated the perception of landslide risk in Italy. They found that people in Italy were more concerned about technological risks (environmental pollution, car accidents) than natural risks. Of the natural risks, they were most concerned about earthquakes, followed by floods, landslides and volcanic eruptions. Geographically, people’s perceptions of risk were influenced by recent landslide events; for example, in Calabria the perception of landslide figure 218 Hazardous environments 9.21 Rates of ground deformation or the presence ofcracks can be monitored. risk was very high but the risk to life and property was moderate. Researchers attributed this to the number of non-fatal landslides that have occurred in Calabria in the recent past. Hazards resulting from atmospheric disturbances The distribution of tropical cyclones, hurricanes and typhoons Tropical cyclones, hurricanes and typhoons develop as low pressure systems over warm tropical oceans. They are large (200-650 km in diameter) storms with wind speeds that exceed 120 km/hr. Local names for these phenomena vary with tropical storms being named hurricanes, cyclones and typhoons in theCaribbean, Indian Ocean and Southeast Asia respectively. Globally, the spatial distribution of tropical storms is not even; they occur seasonally when the conditions for their formation are optimum. About 80 per cent of tropical storms occur around the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ)- the zone where two Hadley Cells meet-which meanders between 50 and 150 north and south of the equator. About half of all storms occur in the Pacific Ocean with most of these developing off the coast of Japan. Other significant areas of formation include the seas surrounding Australia (about 20 per cent) and the Caribbean (about 11 per cent). Tropical storms also vary temporally; the Atlantic hurricane season is from ijune to 30 November and 97 per cent of hurricanes occur between these dates. Interestingly, whilst 1 June has been fixed as the start of the season for decades, the end date has slowly shifted from 31 October to 15 November and finally to 30 November, which is its current position. Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale: hurricane category 1 figure 9.22 hurricane category 2 hurricane category 3 Distribution of tropical cyclones, 1945-2006 The distribution of tornadoes Tornadoes are violent atmospheric storms that are usually more intense than tropical cyclones but much smaller and short-lived. As a consequence they cover a smaller area than tropical cyclones and relatively little is known about them in terms of their structure and formation. They are funnels of cloud with winds Hazardous environments 219 Washington Maine Montana North Dakota innesota_ O rego i Idaho South Dakota ' New York ■ Wisconsin,/ f K _ Michigan -Rhode Island Wyoming , Nebra: Nevada Ohio Utah Hampshire jyiassach u setts Pennsylvania ' .New Connecticut _ Jersey '.Delaware Illinois 'irgini; Colorado California Missoui The Enchanced Fujita Nortl Caroli i lahoma Arizona isas irolina New Mexico (EF) scale rates the strength of tornadoes. The six categories for the EF scale are listed below, in order of increasing intensity. Number of recorded EF3, EF4 and Louisiana EF5 tornadoes per 2470 square miles Florid; The wind speeds are estimated. EF5 >322 km/h EF4 267-322 km/h EF3 218-266 km/h EF2 178-217 km/h 11-15 5-10 1-4 EFl 138-177 km/h EFO 105-137 km/h 2470 sq miles is approximately 6397 sq km figure 9.23 The distribution of tornadoes in the USA from 1950 to 2006. that exceed 100 m/sec. To be categorised as a tornado they must be in contact with both the ground and the base of the cumulonimbus clouds from which they descend. Whilst tornadoes have been observed on every continent, with the exception of Antarctica, they tend to be found in mid-latitude regions given that their formation is dependent upon the interaction of contrasting air masses. However they can also develop from cumulonimbus cloud development around tropical storms. Around 80 per cent of all recorded tornadoes occur in the USA with the Great Plains (Oklahoma, Texas and Kansas) having the highest global frequency of over five tornadoes per year and being named ‘Tornado Alley’. Tornadoes also vary seasonally, typically occurring in temperate continental interiors in spring and early summer. Processes causing the development of cyclones, hurricanes, typhoons and tornadoes How do tropical storms form? Tropical storms need a number of conditions in order to form and develop. Sea temperatures need to be warm (over 27 °C) to a depth of 60 m, as the heat given off during condensation provides the energy that drives the storm. Coupled with this, the low pressure system needs to be far enough away from the equator that the Coriolis Force (the rotation of the Earth) causes enough spin in the rising air mass. It needs to be approximately 5-150 north or south of the equator as if it is too close to the equator there will not be enough rotation and so the tropical storm will not develop. Conditions also need to be unstable with a high humidity. There also need to be weak winds active in the upper troposphere which are strong enough to transport the excess heat away from the storm but not so strong that the top of the storm system is removed. Given these very specific conditions it is unsurprising that only about 10 per cent of tropical disturbances develop into tropical storms. Typically, tropical storms last several days with the fully developed storm lasting between two and three days. The storm is self-sustaining provided there is a supply of latent heat and moisture to give the storm energy. Several factors can cause storm decay including its movement into colder oceans or land, which removes the source of heat and/or moisture. 220 Hazardous environments A fully mature tropical storm has a distinctive cross section with the eye being central. This area is typically between 5 and 50 km in diameter and is characterised by the low wind speeds and clear skies associated with the subsidence of air and adiabatic warming (warming that occurs to a parcel of air without a transfer of heat to the surrounding air). Either side of the eye is the eye wall, a tower of cumulonimbus clouds that is formed as a result of intense convection. This releases the latent heat, which drives the storm and is associated with high winds (120 km/hr) and torrential rainfall (500 mm in 24 hours). In the outer regions bands of rising air cause clouds to form, which bring heavy rainfall; there may be up to six of these cells within the storm structure. cirrus outflow descending dry air warming by adiabatic compression high-level anticyclonic outflow cirrus canopy cirrostratus deep cumulonimbus warm core altostratus and altocumulus rapid updraughts of moist air cumulus and cumulonimbus cloud bands spiralling inwards excessive turbulence and violent winds calm eye 1 outer convective band 4 vertical development 10 000 m -15 000 m figure 9.24 spiralling rain bands 940 mb torrential rain very high evaporation rates 960 mb converging warm air cyclonic surface flow 980 mb 1000 mb surface temperature 27 °C The structure of a tropical storm. How do tornadoes form? Tornadoes require four conditions for their formation; moisture, instability, wind flow and uplift, all of which tend to occur in mid-latitudes. Here, warm, moist, tropical air from the equator meets cold, dry air from the poles. They rotate cyclonically- anticlockwise in the northern hemisphere and clockwise in the southern hemisphere-due to the Coriolis Force. The most destructive tornadoes develop from a type of thunderstorm known as supercells. Supercells contain mesocyclones - low pressure rotations that occur a few miles into the atmosphere. Tornadoes are typically short-lived, lasting anything from an hour to just a few seconds. The main parent cloud is capable of spawning a number of smaller vortices that move with the parent, often twisting across the ground beneath. Once the tornado comes in contact with the ground it begins to decay and so may only track a few kilometres (although there have been examples of tornado tracks extending for hundreds of kilometres). Hazards from large scale atmospheric disturbances and related dangers Tropical storms and tornadoes cause multiple hazards with loss of life and property damage occurring from a combination of storm surges, high winds, heavy rainfall, flooding and mass movement events. The majority of deaths (over 90 percent) resulting from tropical storms are caused by storm surges. As storm surges hit land low-lying coastal areas Hazardous environments 1 Cold air meets warm air 3 The corkscrew Warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico moving northwards meets fast-moving cold air (>25 m/s) from the Rockies or Arctic air from Canada. As the land mass warms up during the day, the warm, moist air becomes unstable and lifts upwards through the cold air to form a small low-pressure system called a mesocyclone. Air from the surrounding area converges into the cyclone centre. Cumulonimbus cloud development occurs with the updraughts of warm air and develops into a thunderstorm. The different wind speeds and directions between the warm and cold air masses result in wind shears vertically through the atmosphere. The corkscrew motion develops further as the warm air rises and the cool air descends on the outer edge. The fast jet stream helps to maintain the updraught by removing air at high levels, which enables the fast inflow at ground level. The rotation may be wide at first (10 km) with a spin of 55 km/hr, but as the storm develops the rotation becomes tighter and faster. A supercell thunderstorm most favours tornado development. These have one giant updraught and strong downdraughts. There will be thunder and lightning, heavy rainfall and possibly hail. jet stream supercell thunderstorm warm air vortex tubes 2 Putting the twist to The converging air is def ect&Tby’the Coriolis =orce into a circular path, and together with the wind shears results in air spinning upwards through the storm. At higher levels, the jet stream must be fast (>65 m/s) to enable wind shears to develop at high levels so that the spinning column of air extends throughout the troposphere. figure evelop near to the rear edge of the thunderstorm where there are downdraughts of cold air. The most common position is in the warm air mass just ahead of the surface-level cold front. 9.25 Tornado formation are particularly vulnerable to the waves that are driven by the strong winds. In 2005 Hurricane Katrina produced a storm surge with waves over 8 m high. The coast of Mississippi was battered and the surge itself was responsible for killing over 1800 people. In addition, the influx of seawater can cause extensive salt contamination, which in turn can damage crop production. The impact of storm surges depends on a number of physical and human variables. These include the topography of the coast, the wind strength and the height of the tide (physical) and the land use, population density, vulnerability and preparedness (human). Heavy rainfall can lead to severe river flooding, can act as a trigger for mass movement events and, in conjunction with storm surges, lead to coastal flooding. These secondary hazards are often as destructive, if not more so, than the primary event. Whilst rainfall amounts are variable, typical figures are approximately 100 mm per day. Large areas of standing water coupled with the warm tropical climate can result in water-borne diseases that can induce epidemics long after the storm has passed. However, the storms sometimes bring much-needed precipitation to arid regions. For examplejapan receives over half of its precipitation from typhoon events. figure Hazardous environments 9.26 A storm surge Hazards from small scale disturbances Strong winds are a particular hazard associated with both tropical storms and tornadoes. These can reach 320 km/hr and cause structural damage to buildings and infrastructure. Crops, particularly tree crops, can be destroyed and loose debris can become lethal projectiles. Strong winds can also destroy power lines, hampering communication and disrupting rescue efforts. Pressure surges associated with the reduction in atmospheric pressure within the body of the storm also result in coastal flooding. When air pressure reduces by 1 mb, sea level rises by 1 cm. Therefore, in the centre of a deep depression with a pressure of 960 mb, sea level will be approximately half a metre higher than normal (if this is taken to be around 1013 mb). The opposite occurs when pressure rises. Primary and secondary impacts on life and property Hurricane Sandy (also known as ‘Superstorm Sandy’) was the deadliest hurricane in the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season and the second most costly in history (after Hurricane Katrina in 2005). A total of 233 people were killed in the eight countries along the hurricane’s path and estimates of the damage stand at US$68 billion. Jamaica was the first country to be affected by Hurricane Sandy. Trees and power lines were damaged and shanty houses were damaged by the strong winds and flooding. Over 100 fishermen were stranded in Pedro Cays and over 70 per cent of the island was without electricity. Another country that was badly affected was Haiti, which was still recovering from the figure 9.27 A tornado figure 9.28 Houses in the aftermath of Superstorm Sandy. devastating earthquake which hit the country in 2010 and the subsequent cholera epidemic which ensued. Approximately 54 people died and 200 000 were left homeless after four days of intense rainfall that put most of the southern half of the country under water. A month afterwards the cholera epidemic returned as a direct result of the storm causing a further 44 deaths and 5000 infections. figure 9.29 Superstorm Sandy Hazardous environments However, the country that was most devastated by the superstorm was also the most economically developed - the USA. Twenty-four states were directly affected and people were killed in nine states, including New York (49 deaths), New Jersey (10 deaths) and Connecticut (three deaths). Nearly 20 000 flights were cancelled between 27 October and 1 November due to flooding and other storm-related issues. Two days after the storm hit, 6 million customers were still without electricity, highlighting the fragility of the ageing American electricity network, which has been compared to that of other nations such as Slovenia and Portugal. On a more local scale, Kentucky saw over 30 cm of snow in the eastern part of the state as Sandy merged with the Arctic front, and over 100 000 homes were damaged in the Long Island area of New York. Prediction, monitoring of large and small scale atmospheric disturbances and perceptions of risk Prediction of tropical storms Tropical storm watches and warnings are two levels of alert issued by national weather forecasting bodies to coastal areas at risk. Tropical storm watches are issued when wind speeds are likely to reach 63 km/hr within 36 hours. They are figure 9.30 Weather balloon 224 Hazardous environments upgraded to warnings when these wind speeds are likely to occur within 24 hours. Hurricane preparedness can become difficult once the tropical storm has reached maturity- it takes time to alert communities and to evacuate peopleand so watches and warnings are issued in advance. The National Hurricane Centre (NHC) in Miami, Florida, is one of the world’s most developed warning systems. Funded by the US government, the centre uses data from geostationary satellites and ground-based recording stations to observe developing storms. The data is then fed into computer models based on previous events and hurricane paths to estimate the likely track and intensity of the storm event. The track, in particular, is notoriously difficult to predict, however it is vital that the data is interpreted accurately for warnings to be given and for lives to be saved. Too many wrong warnings can induce complacency in the population and can cause massive economic losses as people are evacuated unnecessarily. Evacuation of communities at risk has become more time consuming and complex as population densities around coastal areas have increased. For example, it took 24 hours for 1 million people to be evacuated before Hurricane Katrina hit the city of New Orleans in 2005 and it is estimated that Lower Florida Keys could take over 31 hours to evacuate given that there is a single highway and the mainland is over 100 km away. Prediction of tornadoes Radar and satellite technology are used to monitor atmospheric conditions although it is not possible to accurately predict the tornado’s location, path or intensity. However, using these technologies has resulted in the number of false warnings of tornadoes falling from 73 per cent to 24 per cent. Given that the majority of tornadoes occur in the USA, the most developed forecasting and warning system is the US National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL). The laboratory uses data from weather balloons, satellites, aircraft and surface weather stations to calculate atmospheric conditions and issue warnings. Areas of the USA that are regularly battered by tornadoes, such as Oklahoma and Kansas, have a reduced death rate due to these warnings and subsequent responses to the hazard. Conversely, those areas that do not experience tornadoes regularly, such as Ohio and Indiana, have higher death rates due to the perceived lack of threat. Sustainable management in hazardous environments The sustainable management of earthquake zones Whilst data would suggest that the number of earthquakes appears to be increasing, more seismometers are being installed each year and so this is a feature of increased recording and reporting rather than increased incidence. In any given year there are on average 17 earthquakes of magnitude 6 and above and one earthquake of magnitude 8 and above. However, with rapid urbanisation occurring in many LICs people are becoming more vulnerable to earthquake hazards. More than a third of the fastest-growing cities are in areas at risk of earthquakes and approximately 1.5 million people were killed by earthquakes during the twentieth century. Most of these deaths were as a result of the collapse of unsuitably built or poorly designed buildings. For example, a magnitude 7 earthquake killed 200 000 people in Haiti in 2010 whilst a magnitude 8.8 earthquake in Chile in the same year killed only 700. The difference between the two events is that buildings in Haiti were erected quickly whilst Chile adhered to more stringent building codes. figure 9.32 A portion of a roof that collapsed in the Haiti earthquake in 2010. Hazardous environments figure 9.33 The Skytree tower in Tokyo, Japan - an example of an earthquake-proof building. The tower includes a central shaft made of reinforced concrete, and the outer tower structure is attached to this central core with oil filled dampers. 226 Hazardous environments Case Study Managing the effects of earthquakes in Japan Essentially, buildings can be modified in two ways; by making them stronger or by making them more flexible so that they sway with the shaking ground. Japan is one of the most prepared countries in the world for earthquakes, having learnt lessons from the 1995 Kobe earthquake that killed 6400 people. A reassessment of building regulations followed and many structures are now either built or retrofitted with deep foundations and shock absorbers, which dampen seismic energy. For example, the 54-storey Roppongi Hills Mori Tower in Tokyo was completed in 2003 and built with fluid-filled shock absorbers that slosh thick oil in the opposite direction of swaying. Another method is to implement‘seismic isolation’technologies that decouple the main building from its basement so that the structures are not affected by ground tremors. The 18-storey Sendai MT building, which has such technologies in place, remained undamaged during the magnitude 9 earthquake that hit the east coast ofJapan in 2011, despite horizontal displacement of about 20 cm. Despite such earthquake-proof technologies being in place, nearly 20 000 people died in the 2011 east coast earthquake in Japan; 90 per cent as a result of the tsunami which followed. The Fukushima nuclear power plant overheated when power lines were cut as a result of the earthquake and the back-up generators failed to provide power to the cooling systems. In addition, communication of the severity of the accident was poor- meaning that the evacuation of 150 000 residents in the town was slow and many people were exposed to increased levels of radiation. Japan, as a rich, industrialised nation with a GDP of US$4.92 trillion (2013), has the capacity to install or retrofit expensive earthquake-proof technologies to make its people less vulnerable to the earthquake hazard. Many of the people most vulnerable to earthquakes globally are those living in poverty; how can they afford to live in ‘life safe’ buildings that cost 5-10 percent more than ordinary buildings to construct?Japan possibly has the answer here too as, in addition to their technological accomplishments, they also have a series of simple and inexpensive management responses to the earthquake hazard. For example, Japanese children take partin monthly earthquake drills in which an alarm sounds and children are taught to crouch head-first under their desks to protect them from falling debris. They are also given the opportunity to visit earthquake simulation machines to familiarise themselves with the experience of being in an earthquake. As soon as an earthquake strikes Japan, all television and radio stations switch to official earthquake coverage. This informs the public of the risks, including tsunami events that often follow, and enable people to evacuate or retreat to purpose-built tsunami bunkers if they live on the coast In addition, all offices, schools and many houses have earthquake kits which include hard hats, gloves, drinking water, basic medical supplies and enough dry rations to last a couple of days. figure 9.34 Students practice earthquake drill japan Hazardous environments Case Study The sustainable management of volcanic hazards in Montserrat Volcanic regions bring agricultural, mining and tourism benefits to communities and many choose to live with the risk of an eruption. It is therefore important to mitigate the risk by managing vulnerability, crises and reconstruction whilst maximising the benefits of living in a volcanic environment This can be done both pre- and post-eruption and is most successful if carried out by the local community rather than by outside agencies. The island of Montserrat in the Caribbean is a good example of a less industrialised country and British overseas territory that has failed to manage its volcanic hazard sustainably. The Soufriere Hills volcano erupted in 1997 and much of the southern part of the island, including the capital Plymouth, was evacuated and became part of the exclusion zone. The population of the island, which was 11 000 before the eruption, had dropped to less than 4000 by 1999- figure 228 Hazardous environments Exclusion Zone Central Zone No admittance except for scientific monitoring and National Security Matters Northern Zone Area with significantly lower risk, suitable for residential and commercial occupation Residential area only, all resident on heightened state of alert All resident to have rapid means of exit 24 hours per day Hard hat area all residents to have hard hats and dust masks. 9.35 Montserrat volcano risk map, September, 1997 figure 9.36 The new airport on Montserrat (John A. Osborne Airport). A decade later and the population had risen to over 8000; people with skills in construction were needed to rebuild government buildings, primary schools and housing in the north of the island. However, by 2009 the population had fallen to just over 5000, a situation which persists in 2015. There are two main reasons for this. First, the construction jobs, which were plentiful in the economic boom, disappeared once the buildings had been completed. Whilst there remain plans to develop a new capital at Little Bay on the northwest tip of the island, this will not be completed until 2020. Second, once thejohn A. Osborne airport had been completed near the village of Gerald's in 2005, the US and UK government stopped subsidising the ferry that had previously been the only method of getting to the island. This made it difficult for tourists and importers to get to the island cheaply and so the number of tourists fell and the price of basic goods on the island rose. Coupled with this, much of the aid given in the aftermath of the eruption dried up at about the same time. The UK gave over US$150 million in aid to the island but this was phased out from 2002. In the short term, the management of the Montserrat volcano was relatively successful. Hazard mapping led to the evacuation and resettlement of much of the population in the north of the island and, as a consequence, only 19 people lost their lives in the 1997 eruption. However, a local approach to living Hell's Gate Silver Hill k403 Litth ST PETER Yellow Hole Brades O* >Davy Hill , John A. Osborne (de facto capital)O Airport >t John' JZudjoeheao Baker Hille Bunkum Bay) >St Peter's Lawyers a Mt 392 Trant’s Katy Hill .•'-TranV^ Centre Hills Old Road -b/smu Blu" ^%alem ’Bethel Harris0 Lee's Cork Hil 'uitt's EXdLUSICTNJZpNE^ Bransby Point TO*’ Chances 914 k Plymout ANTHONY prPc/’S'S (abandoned a .756 O'Garra's Old Fort Pt figure 9.37 Montserrat 2015 Hazardous environments with risk was not adopted and so long-term problems, including depopulation and cultural fragmentation, have emerged which might have been prevented with a more sustainable approach. Despite the implementation of a sustainable development plan in 2008 (which will run until 2020) and the fact that volcanic activity within the Soufriere Hills is currently quiet, the volcano continues to have a dramatic impact on the population of the island. Case Study The sustainable management of areas of mass MOVEMENT IN MALAYSIA Malaysia is a country in Southeast Asia which is separated into two similar sized regions by the South China Sea. Heavy seasonal rains and strong winds caused severe flooding and mass movement on the east coast of Malaysia at the end of figure 9.38 Angsana tree INDONESIA figure 2014 and into 2015. By the end of 2014,21 people had been killed and over 250 000 had been evacuated; Kelantan was the most devastated state with 14 deaths and 158 000 people being displaced. Much of the flooding that occurred (up to a depth of 255 mm) and the subsequent mass movement which happened when the upper slopes became saturated and failed, was as a consequence of heavy rainfall coupled with deforestation in upland regions. Due to the fact that deforestation plays an important role in destabilising slopes in Malaysia, research has taken place in the state of Pahang to assess the potential of bio-engineering to manage slopes more sustainably. Bundles of bamboo and brush were positioned along rills and gullies and, at suitable sites along contours, geo-structures (constructed from materials including coir and straw) were positioned and held in place using live stakes of angsana and ubi kayu (species of fast growing tree). After six months, 93 per cent of angsana and 75 per cent of ubi kayu stakes had sprouted and taken root. This resulted in the stabilisation of slopes and a decrease in the likelihood of slope failure as increased vegetation cover reduces the intensity of raindrops falling on exposed soil and roots bind the soil together to increase its shear strength. In addition, increased sediment was trapped by the geo-structures, providing ideal conditions for seed germination. After six months there were 77 species of plant established and a year after the study was first implemented around 75 per cent of the bio-engineered land was completely revegetated. SINGAPORE 9.39 The land masses of Malaysia, which are separated by the South China Sea. Hazardous environments Landslides have not occurred on the plots that have been bio-engineered whereas control plots, which have not been managed, have seen undercutting of the slope face. The cost of the geo-structures is relatively low- US$3000 compared to more conventional structures such as rock gabions, which cost around US$20 000. Also, as these areas are remote, transportation and labour costs to install rock gabions would have been prohibitive. The materials that are required to construct the geo­ structures are available locally and are relatively cheap. Coupled with this, the fact that they are also non-polluting, visually attractive and require minimal maintenance makes the bio-engineering of slopes a sustainable management solution. NOW INVESTIGATE 1 Investigate the role of governments in the management of tectonic hazards. 2 Investigate the effects of a tropical storm in a less industrialised country of the world. 3 Investigate an example of a country that has successfully managed volcanic hazards. Hazardous environments North America Europe desert;/;. Very severe 12 080 sq km Slight to none 310 530 sq km Moderate 273 720 sq km Population living in Europe’s drylands Arid - 600 000 Semi-arid - 28 800 000 Dry sub-humid - 115 100 000 26% of total Europe population Population living in N. America’s drylands Arid - 12 800 000 Semi-arid - 53 900 000 Dry sub-humid - 24 300 000 22% of total N. America population Africa Very severe 74% desertified Qtytands 13 423 450 sq 52 550 sq km South America Population living in S. America’s drylands Arid - 6 300 000 Semi-arid - 46 900 000 Dry sub-humid - 33 800 000 30% of total S. America population Semi-arid- 117 600 000 Dry sub-humid - 109 000 000 40% of total Africa population Aridity Index (The rate of precipitation to evaporation) Drylands are defined as having an aridity index of 0.65 or less Hyper-arid <0.05 Arid 0.05-0.20 Asia More than two billion people live in areas of the world classified as 'drylands' which are vulnerable to desertification. Drylands can become degraded by desertification as a result of climate variations and human activities 76% desertified Drylands 15 712 400 sq krn Very severe IC Arid and sem i-arid environm ents Population living in Asia’s drylands Arid - 161 600 000 Semi-arid - 500 700 000 Dry sub-humid - 657 900 000 Oceania 39% of total Asia population Very severe 290 000 sq km Slight to none 2 958 730 sq km Desertification Drylands Slight to no desertification Moderate desertification Severe desertification Very severe desertification Population living in Oceania's drylands Arid - 300 000 Semi-arid - 1 400 000 Dry sub-humid - 5 300 000 25% of total Oceania population Semi-arid 0.20-0.50 Dry sub-humid 0.50-0.65 233 Hot arid and semi-arid environments Aridity means lack of rain but more technical definitions look at water balance the balance between the input of precipitation and losses due to evaporation and transpiration by plants. In general, arid areas have less than 250 mm of precipitation a year while semi-arid areas receive 250-500 mm a year. About a third of the world’s surface is classed as arid. Figure 10.1 shows the distribution of the world’s deserts and Figure 10.2 shows annual rainfall across the world. figure 10.1 Distribution of the world’s deserts 234 Hot arid and semi-arid environments Hot arid and semi-arid climates Causes of aridity i High pressure The most important cause of aridity is the sub-tropical high pressure belt around latitudes 30° north and south of the equator. This is also called the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). High pressure means air is descending and is caused by the Hadley Cell (Figure 10.3)-air rises in equatorial regions and descends in the sub-tropics - and the Ferrel Cell - air rising in the mid­ latitudes and descending in the sub-tropics. When air descends it cannot rain because rain is always caused by air rising and cooling - cooling causes water vapour to condense into cloud droplets and rain. Dry trade winds blow out from the sub-tropical high pressure belt. They are deflected by the spinning of the Earth and carry dry conditions to the western sides of continents. Because they are moving towards the equator these winds are getting warmer and this makes them even less likely to produce rain - air that is warming cannot rain. figure 10.3 Trade winds blow from the sub-tropical high pressure belt towards the equatorial low pressure belt but are deflected to their own left by the spinning of the Earth (the Coriolis Force). They carry dry conditions to the west side of continents. 2 Continentality Rain falls when winds move from over the sea, where they have picked up moisture, onto land, which causes the air to rise somewhat. When air rises it cools, water vapour condenses into cloud droplets and it rains. So coastal areas with frequent onshore winds are often wet. However, as the winds move inland they lose their moisture so places a long way from the sea tend to be dry. The climates of places far from the sea, such as central Asia, have continental climates so this process is called continentality. 3 Cold ocean currents İfan ocean current is cold and the land is hot, then air blowing onshore will always be warmed by the land. Air that is being warmed cannot rain so deserts result. The Atacama Desert in South America (Figure 10.12) is adjacent to the cold Peruvian current and is the driest desert in the world. 4 Rain shadows When winds are forced to rise over a mountain they cool and produce rain. However, on the lee side of the mountain the air descends. Descending air will always be getting warmer and thus cannot produce rain. The Patagonian Desert on the lee side of the Andes in South America is an example. Hot arid and semi-arid environments figure 10.4 Inter-annual rain variability. All arid areas have a very variable rainfall total. Precipitation By definition, precipitation levels in deserts are low. But there also tends to be a big difference between one year and the next-there is high inter-annual variability (Figure 10.4). What is more there are often spells of dry years followed by spells of wet years. The Great Plains of the USA had a wet spell in the 1920s and many farmers settled there; this was followed by a long spell of dry conditions in the 1930s, which ruined them. The soil erosion that followed gave the area the name ‘dust bowl’. Recurring droughts in East Africa led to crop failure and food shortages in 1984/5, 2006 and 2011. During the 2011 drought 50 000 to 150 000 people were reported to have died. Effective precipitation means the percentage of rainfall that becomes available to plants and crops. Effective precipitation in deserts is low because of: • • • • figure 10.5 Buried machinery in Dallas, South Dakota, USA, in 1936. The Dust Bowl ecological disaster extended from Texas into the northern plains and Canada. 236 Hot arid and semi-arid environments Rainfall intensity: rain often comes in heavy, short-lived storms. This means that more rain runs off the surface into streams and less soaks into the soil where it might otherwise be available for plants. Evaporation: many deserts experience high temperatures with strong winds so evaporation rates are very high - effective precipitation is less because so much rain evaporates very quickly. Seasonality: rain often comes during one season only. Impermeable surfaces: desert surfaces are self-sealing and so water cannot sink in; most rain runs off to streams. Having said this, very high rainfall totals can be experienced in individual storms- sometimes as much as the normal annual total in one storm. Because of the rapidity of the runoff, it is dangerous to live in or near dried-up riverbeds because of flash floods. Rainfall in deserts is also highly variable spatially- it may rain in one place but not in another. If air is sufficiently humid, fog can form. Namibia in southern Africa, for example, has 200 days of fog a year because the air is cooled by winds blowing from the cold offshore sea current. figure 10.6 Dew irrigation in Lanzarote, one of the Spanish-owned Canary Islands off the west coast of Africa. Rainfall totals are low but the onshore winds are humid and dew forms on the cold igneous rocks at night. Farmers have created shallow bowls and planted vines in the centre of each. The dew drips down to the root zone of the vines. If the air is humid, dew can form. Dew is caused by ground radiating heat back to space at night; the ground becomes cold and cools the air above it. Water vapour in the cooled air condenses onto rocks as water droplets, which run into the ground. In the Canary Islands and Israel this dew is directed towards the root zone of plants where it irrigates them. Places which are under the influence of the sub-tropical high pressure belt all year round are going to be dry all year round. But the world’s pressure belts move north in the northern hemisphere summer, and south in the northern hemisphere winter. So places towards the equatorial edge of the sub-tropical high pressure belt will get rain in summer because they will come under the influence of the equatorial low pressure belt (ITCZ) in this season. In low pressure air rises, giving rain. Places towards the polar edge of the sub-tropical high pressure belt will get rain in winter because they will come under the influence of the mid-latitude low pressure belt in this season. There are, therefore, differing degrees of aridity. Some places are dry all year, some have some seasonal rainfall. Places that receive seasonal rain will be semi-arid as opposed to completely arid. Some locations have especially high temperatures, which reduces the effectiveness of the precipitation. Temperature Diurnal variations in temperature In deserts the sky is often clear (because air is descending and clouds cannot form). They will therefore be very hot in the day but very cold at night because, with clear skies, the ground reradiates the heat back into space. So the temperature difference between day and night is great- this is called the diurnal range. Diurnal temperature ranges exceeding 40 °C have been recorded in Death Valley in the USA. In coastal deserts the sea acts to cool the temperature during the day so the diurnal range is much less than inland. In coastal Peru the diurnal range is 11 °C, which is about half of that experienced inland. Seasonal variations in temperature The further a desert is from the equator, the greater the difference in temperature between summer and winter. The reason for this is that places nearer the equator do not have clear seasons. Deserts further from the Hot arid and semi-arid environments equator have cold winters; this is especially true of central Asia but other cold deserts are Patagonia and northern parts of the North American deserts. The further a desert is inland, the greater the difference in temperature between summer and winter. This is because the sea is colder than the land in summer and lowers the temperatures of coastal places nearby and is warmer than the land in winter, raising the temperature of coastal areas. High wind energy Deserts lack vegetation so winds are uninterrupted and can be especially strong. Hot winds blowout of deserts because of the high pressure. So, for example, the Sirocco wind blows north out of the Sahara bringing hot and dry conditions figure to France and Italy. The ground in deserts gets hot during the day (with a maximum temperature around 3:00 p.m.) and heats the air above it. Hot air is less dense than cooler air and will rise - a process called convection. The Coriolis Force caused by the spinning Earth throws the rising air into a spiral and creates a short-lived but powerful spinning vortex of air called a dust devil. Larger-scale dust storms are caused by frontal systems where warm and cooler air have clashed. Cold air is forced up over the warmer air and winds rotate due to the Coriolis Force. The Sahara Desert is a key source of dust storms, particularly the Bodele Depression on the edge of Chad where dust storms occur on average 100 days a year. 10.7 A dust devil in East Africa. So what is the difference between arid and semi-arid areas? Arid areas have less than 250 mm of precipitation a year while semi-arid areas receive 250-500 mm a year. Semi-arid areas are on the edges of arid areas and they are a transition zone between a dry and wet zone. Arid areas only attract farmers when there are rivers which were formed outside the dry zone in a wetter climate and can be used for irrigation, like the River Nile in Egypt. Semi-arid areas may be suitable for livestock grazing, especially during a wet spell. In other respects the climates of arid and semi-arid areas have similar characteristics. The world’s main deserts Sahara, Arabia, Pakistan and India The world’s main deserts are caused by the sub-tropical high pressure belt. Places in the west are also affected by the cold Canaries current moving down from the Arctic-the cold air cannot rain because it warms up as it moves inland. figure As one moves east, further from the sea, the climate becomes more continental - hotter in summer, slightly cooler in winter and drier. 10.8 (a) Climate graphs for locations at the west and east of the Sahara Desert Caspian*1^ ATLANTIC OCEAN j J. MOROCCO % e«n Sea TUNISIA 'SfRIA LEBAN0^oS? IRAN IRAQ ALGERIA ,.r Tjarfatra ' ' /WESTERnI / "'K p Hoggar SAHARA I r Libyan Desert S a h LIBYA C3*ro Sinai PAKISTAN SAUDI BAH| EGYPT QA17 S < QThar ran - \Desert INDIA ARABIA t^lJbiah^ Desert » i MAURITANIA CHAD MALI NIGER Bodbtb Arabian Desert SUDAN Arabian Sea Lake \Chad FASO 2] Sahel area —► Ocean current NIGERIA itta/rttwfd Wind figure 10.8 (b)The locations of the Sahara, Arabian and Thar deserts. 238 Hot arid and semi-arid environments ETHIOPIA INDIAN OCEAN Hot winds blow out of the Sahara, such as the Sirocco to the north and Harmattan to the south. The southern edge of the Sahara Desert is called the Sahel zone - a hot, dry region which has suffered periodic droughts and famines over the past 50 years. Lake Chad has shrunk considerably since the 1960s, when it had an area of more than 26 000 sq km, to less than 1500 sq km as a result of water extraction by the local populations and climatic drought. There are two great exogenous rivers (they form outside the region but flow through it): the River Nile in Sudan and Egypt and the River Indus in Pakistan. Southern Africa The southern Africa deserts are caused by the sub-tropical high pressure belt and the cold Benguela current flowing offshore. The Namib is the coastal desert, the Kalahari is inland. Humidity is high in the coastal Namib and fog is common. The cold coastal current also lowers the summer temperatures in the Namib so that the annual temperature range is only 6 °C. figure 10.9 Kalahari and Namib deserts North America These deserts, where so many cowboy films have been shot, occupy much of Mexico and the south-west of the United States. They have three causes: • • • the sub-tropical high pressure belt the cold Californian current blowing offshore the Rocky Mountains, which create a rain shadow in the east. figure 10.10 Deserts of North America Hot arid and semi-arid environments 239 South America The Atacama Desert is caused by the cold Peruvian current flowing offshore. Humidity is often high and fogs are common. In the period June to October a low cloud forms in the coastal Peruvian desert and this supports vegetation on hills near the coast. The Patagonian Desert is caused by the fact that weather systems move west to east and Patagonia is in the rain shadow of the Andes Mountains. figure lo.ıı The Atacama Desert is the driest desert in the world. figure figure 10.12 (b) Climate graph for a location in the southern Patagonia Desert 240 Hot arid and semi-arid environments figure 10.12(a) Deserts of South America 10.12(c)The rain shadow over the Patagonian Desert Central Asia These deserts are caused by the fact that they are a long way inland (continentality) and in the rain shadow of the Himalayan Mountains (Figure 10.13). They also experience high pressure in winter and in this season they are extremely cold - partly because of their latitude, partly because of high altitude, and partly because of their distance from the warming influence of the sea. For this reason most of the Central Asian deserts are often classified as cold or mid-latitude deserts. figure 10.13 (a) Inland deserts of Central Asia figure 10.13 (b) Climate graph for a location in the Gobi Desert Australia These deserts are caused by the sub-tropical high pressure belt and, on the west coast, by a cold ocean current. The eastern mountain range (the Great Dividing Range) also acts as a barrier to the south-easterly trade winds and creates a rain shadow effect that accentuates the aridity of central Australia. figure 10.14 Deserts of Australia Hot arid and semi-arid environments Landforms of hot arid and semi-arid environments Weathering Weathering is the break-up of rocks. In arid areas weathering tends to be superficial-confined to the surface - because there is little water. In wetter climates chemical weathering using water will weather rocks someway below the surface. Weathering in deserts is also quite selective. Rocks are more likely to be weathered if they occasionally get wet due to fog, dew or rain, or if the rock is itself weak because of fissures or joints. So semi-arid areas experience more weathering than arid areas because they are wetter. figure 10.15 Exfoliated stones 1 Thermal fracture Thermal fracture is the break-up of rock caused by heat. Heating and cooling is a powerful force in arid areas because of the big diurnal temperature range. The rock expands and contracts with the heating and cooling and this creates cracks in the rock. If different minerals in the rock have different coefficients of expansion (expand by different amounts) this too will cause stress and make the rock break up. Rocks do not conduct heat well so during the day there is a big contrast between the temperature of the surface of the rock and layers a bit below the surface. The surface of the rock expands and breaks away from the inner layer- a process called exfoliation (Figure 10.15). Rocks become much hotter than the air- in the Sahara Desert when the air temperature is 40 °C the temperature of rocks can reach 80 °C. The break-up of large blocks of rock into smaller blocks is called block disintegration. The break-up of rocks into fine particles is called granular disintegration. Insolation weathering (heating and cooling) is much more effective if there is moisture trapped in rock pores because water expands when heated. 2 Freeze-thaw There are several deserts at high altitude where the temperature falls below freezing, such as the Gobi. Water in the pores or cracks of the rock expands when it is frozen and this can shatter the rock. 3 Salt weathering Salt accumulates in arid environments for a number of reasons: • Rocks with salts already in them are chemically weathered, increasing the amount of salt in the environment. • Rainwater has salts in it; the water evaporates to leave the salts as a • • • • deposit. Groundwater (water in rocks under the ground) can be drawn up to the surface by capillary migration: water at the surface evaporates and this draws up more water from depths that can exceed 3 m. When this water evaporates at the surface it leaves salts. Salt left behind as the remains of former lakes or seas. In sabkhas - coastal salt flats subject to occasional flooding by the sea. Enclosed (endorheic) drainage basins-rivers that flow into a large basin and evaporate, leaving salt. So arid environments have a lot of salts in them and these salts are carried by water into the pores and cracks of rocks. Here salt crystals grow (salt crystallisation) and start to break up the rock. Salt crystals can absorb water (a process called hydration) and this makes them grow, adding pressure. Heating during the day also causes salt crystals to expand. 4 Chemical weathering Chemical weathering is the break-up of rocks by chemical changes to their minerals. It is most likely to occur where moisture is available. Oxidation, for example, is when irons in rocks take up additional oxygen and turn to rust. Hydration is when a rock like calcium sulphate takes up water and expands. Chemical weathering is limited in arid areas because of the lack of water. Where it is found it is slow and limited to areas that experience dew, fog or occasional rainfall. Hot arid and semi-arid environments Erosion and deposition by wind Wind erosion is powerful in deserts because: • the surfaces lack the three things that tend to bind soils together- moisture, • • clay and organic matter there is little vegetation to slow the wind down winds are often very strong. Arid areas will experience more wind erosion than semi-arid areas because they have less moisture and organic matter in the soil, and have less vegetation. There are two types of wind erosion: • Abrasion - the impact of particles hitting other rocks. • Deflation - loose particles are picked up by the wind and carried away. Sand particles are carried by the wind. Large grains roll along the surface (traction or surface creep), middle-sized grains jump along in hops (saltation) and the lightest particles are carried in the wind in suspension (Figure 10.16). prevailing wind Suspension zone mushroom rock/ rock pedestal 1 m Saltation zone 0.1 m little abrasion above 1 m as sand grains rarely lifted this high maximum abrasion in this zone as sand particles hit the rock with energy limited erosion near the base as coarse sand is not lifted into the air Surface creep figure 10.16 Desert sediment transportation and its effect on erosion. Wind-sculpted rocks Zeugen are mushroom-shaped rocks that have been eroded by the abrasive action of windblown sand. The undercutting effect is concentrated near ground level, where sand movement is greatest. Zeugens tend to form in areas of horizontal rock strata when the lowest bed is relatively weak (Figure 10.16). Yardangs are wind-abraded ridges of rock (Figure 10.17) that range in size from very small to huge. Yardangs are formed in tougher rock when the softer rock around is removed by the wind. They can be of many shapes but are typically three or more times longer than wide, and when viewed from above resemble the upturned hull of a boat: facing the wind is a steep rounded face that gradually gets lower and narrower toward the lee end. To the south-east of the Tibesti Mountains in central Sahara are yardangs up to 200 m high and many kilometres long. They are aligned with the prevailing wind and this is regarded as proof that they are the product of wind erosion (Figure 10.18). Deflation hollows are simply hollows carved out of weaker parts of the rock by the wind. The Quattara Depression in Egypt now lies 128 m below sea level and an estimated 3335 km3 of material has been excavated by wind. figure 10.17 Yardang landscape Hot arid and semi-arid environments 243 figure 10.18 Yardangs, dunes and lakes south-east of the Tibesti Mountains in the Sahara Desert. The image shows an area approximately 11 km by 9 km. The dark surface of water is divided by linear orange sand dunes and rocky yardangs. The map shows the location of the image. Sand dunes Sand covers about a quarter of the world’s deserts. Where the area of sand is large it is called a sand sea or an erg. Ergs are deposited by the wind and can move forward overtime. Sand dunes vary in shape and size according to the supply of sand, the strength and direction of the wind, the amount of vegetation and the shape of the ground surface. So different types of dune are found in different places (Figure 10.20). Dunes are largest where there is a big supply of sand, such as in the mountain basins fed by alluvial rivers in Central Asia. Types of sand dunes Dunes formed at right-angles to a dominant wind direction: • Barchans are small crescents formed where the supply of sand is limited. Where there is more sand these dunes join up to form barchanoid ridges (Figure 10.19). • Akle dunes - long sinuous ridges formed when there is plenty of sand - they are similar to barchanoid ridges. Akle dunes are common in the western Sahara. Dunes formed by multi-directional winds: • Seif dunes - straightish ridges running parallel to the wind that are caused by either two main wind directions (Figure 10.20) or by helical-roll vortices • figure 10.19 A barchanoid ridge in the Sahara Desert, Libya. (Figure 10.21). Star dunes - dunes in the shape of a star. Dunes formed by obstacles: • Nebkha-a small dune where sand is dropped in the shelter of the lee of a bush. • Wind-shadow dune - formed in the lee of a hill. • Lunette - small dune formed in the lee of a deflation hollow. Erosion and deposition by water There are three types of rivers in arid areas: • Exogenous: rivers which were formed in wet areas outside the desert but flow across it, such as the River Nile in Egypt, which is created by heavy rain • • in the Ethiopian Highlands. Endorheic: rivers that flow into inland lakes, such as the River Jordan flowing into the Dead Sea bordered by Jordan. Ephemeral: rivers that only flow after rain. When rain falls in arid areas it often comes as heavy, short-lived storms. So many months or years of drought are followed by a sudden storm with large quantities of water moving very fast across the surface carrying large amounts of sediment with it- a flash flood. Hot arid and semi-arid environments barchans wind-shadow dune figure 10.20 Types of sand dune Water in rivers is known as stream flow but much water takes the form of sheet flow, which means it flows evenly over land as runoff. When it rains in deserts the runoff is great because little water sinks into the ground - it just runs off downslope. The reason for this is that there is so little vegetation that the ground is not broken up by plant roots or animals. There is little humus (dead vegetative matter), which would make the soil more permeable. Because the soil is exposed to beating raindrops it becomes compacted. Fine material (fines) is broken off and lodges in pore spaces in the soil, further reducing permeability. When water runs off in deserts it carries a great deal of sediment with it. Figure 10.23 shows why in semi-arid areas there is enough rain to cause erosion but not enough to support the vegetation that would prevent erosion. Wadis A wadi is an ephemeral river (it is dry much of the time). The river channel has steep sides and is filled with alluvium because of the abundant sediment carried by the runoff. The channel is often braided - it breaks into several branches. In south-western USA wadis are called arroyos. They develop fastest in soft rock. Arroyos can cut as deeply as 20 m into the valley floor, are often wider than 50 m and can be hundreds of kilometers long. The rapid widening and deepening of arroyos has been a costly nuisance in south-western USA since settlement began in the mid 1800s and it is still the case that roads can be suddenly cut off by them (Figure 10.22). Canyons Wadis form in lowland areas. If the landscape is more mountainous then canyons form - deep gorges like the Grand Canyon have been cut by rapid runoff carrying rocks, which help to erode the canyon further (Figure 10.24). Hot arid and semi-arid environments roll vortex alluvial plai deflated surface figure 10.21 (a) and (b) The formation of a seif dune by roll vortices. figure 10.22 Arroyo, New Mexico, USA Salt lakes and playas A salt lake is a landlocked body of water that has a concentration of salts (typically sodium chloride) and other dissolved minerals that are higher than most lakes. When a salt lake dries out it becomes a playa. Both may be formed in one of three ways (Figure 10.25): • • • figure Tectonically, by the collapse of rocks down faults, as happens in Death Valley, California, or by folding, as we see at the Chott el Djerid in Tunisia. By solution (dissolving) of the underlying limestone rock. By wind erosion of soft rock-this is a deflation hollow. 10.23 The relationship between erosion rates and rainfall totals. Hot arid and semi-arid environments If you dig a pit in a playa you find layers left by each storm - clay, silt and salts. The evaporated water often leaves salt on the surface. figure 10.24 The Grand Canyon, Arizona, USA (a) (b) Tectonic - collapse down fault lines Solution - dissolving of soluble rocks (c) Deflation - wind erosion 10.25 Formation of depressions in arid areas: (a) tectonically, (b) the solution of limestone, and (c) wind deflation. figure figure 10.26 The Racetrack Playa in Death Valley National Park, California, USA. Hot arid and semi-arid environments Because playas are so flat they are often used for land speed record attempts, such as the Bonneville Salt Flats speedway at Salt Lake City, Utah, USA. The extensive playas in south-western USA are fossil lake basins of the Pleistocene pluvials, the geological epoch that ended about 11 700 years ago. Along The Gulf coast of the Arabian Peninsula are low-lying salt flats called sabkhas. They are occasionally covered by high tides or rainstorms but much of the time they are just above high-tide level. They are 30 km wide in places and are growing over time. Sabkhas are formed from salt deposited by the sea and from water drawn up from just below the surface by evaporation - evaporites. Alluvial fans At the point where the gradient of a river suddenly lessens (such as at the foot of a mountain) the river slows down and loses energy. As a result the river drops the large volume of sediment it has been carrying and this creates an alluvial fan. The size of the fan depends on the volume of water and the rock type. Easily eroded rocks form larger fans. Pediments A pediment is a gently sloping rock surface covered by gravel. Pediments are common in deserts and have two main causes: figure 10.27 Alluvial fan, Greenland 1 2 The retreat over time of a hillslope - a process known as pedimentation. Water accumulates at the junction of the mountain and the plain and deep weathering occurs at this point. The weathered materials are removed by water and wind over time and the mountain front retreats (Figure 10.29). Rivers swing from side to side and erode the surface - a process known as lateral planation. figure 10.28 Buttes in Monument Valley, Arizona, USA. 248 Hot arid and semi-arid environments (a) Parallel slope retreat scarp recession Stage 2 - Erosion strips away weathered rock to reveal inselbergs figure 10.29 Inselberg formation Inselbergs An inselberg is an isolated steep-sided hill. In south-western USA they are called mesas and buttes. Mesas are flat-topped pinnacles with steep sides formed in horizontally banded rock that have become isolated from an adjacent plateau; buttes are a smaller version of the same thing. Inselbergs can form in either of two ways: 1 2 By slope retreat as described above - when a pediment retreats it leaves an inselberg. The steep slope of the inselberg is called a scarp so this is called scarp recession. Ina previous climatic period the area was warm and wet. Chemical weathering attacked the joints of rocks underthe ground leaving areas with wide jointing less affected. Subsequent erosion stripped away the weathered rock leaving the areas with fewer joints standing as inselbergs. figure 10.30 Inselbergs in Namibia figure 10.31 Piedmont zone, Iceland Piedmont zone ‘Piedmont’ means ‘at the foot of the mountains’. In deserts the piedmont zone is sometimes called a bajada. It is a gently sloping surface at the foot of the mountain covered in loose sand, gravel or scree and washed by intermittent stream torrents. The piedmont zone contains playas, salt lakes and inselbergs. Equifinality You may have noticed that several of the landforms described above, such as desert depressions, pediments and inselbergs, have more than one possible cause. This is called equifinality - several explanations are equally possible. Hot arid and semi-arid environments 249 Past climates and landforms You might have noticed that several times already we have referred to landforms beingthe product of a different climate. This is true of inselbergs, which may be formed by weathering in hot and wet conditions. Wet periods in climate history are called pluvials. There was a pluvial in the Sahara 12 000 to 5000 years ago, for example, and 18 000 years ago in south-western USA - both in a period known as the Pleistocene. Evidence for these wetter conditions takes many forms: • • • • • Ancient shorelines which show that lakes used to be much larger than they are now, such as Lake Chad on the southern edge of the Sahara. River valleys that were clearly cut by rivers which no longer flow, such as the south-eastern Sahara. Fossilised soils which can only be formed in wet conditions, such as laterites in large parts of Australia. Animal and plant remains in areas where such fauna and flora could not survive today, such as the remains of rats in south-western USA. Evidence of previous human occupation, such as Roman grain production in parts of Tunisia that are now desert. There is also evidence of stronger winds and drier conditions in the past: there are large areas of sand dunes in modern deserts which have become stable, not least in the Sahara and southern Arabia. The fact that they have become stable- they are no longer forming or moving- suggests that they were formed in the Pleistocene when wind speeds were stronger and, in some areas, there was even less rainfall than today. These stable dunes gradually erode over time or become vegetated. In western USA there is evidence of colder conditions in the past in the existence of relict frost screes - slopes of rock shattered by climates colder than today. Soils and vegetation Soils Desert soils (aridisols) have a number of distinctive characteristics: 1 2 3 4 figure 10.32 Soil erosion, southern California, USA 5 6 figure 10.33 The arid Sahara has a low density of biomass. 250 Hot arid and semi-arid environments Because there is little moisture there is little chemical weathering of the rocks so the soils are thin and lack the soil horizons (layers) of soils in wetter climates. There is little vegetation so there is little humus or biomass in the soil (rotting vegetable matter), often below 3 per cent of the total. They have a low clay content because minerals are not broken down to such small sizes by chemical weathering. They are salty for the reasons given on page 242. This creates three problems: • A high concentration of sodium salts causes deflocculation (dispersal) of the soil particles; in a good soil the particles stick together in small lumps but a deflocculated soil becomes impermeable and the air necessary for plant growth cannot penetrate. • Salts prevent plants from absorbing water into their roots. • Salts are poisonous to many plants. The surfaces are impermeable (do not admit water) because the beating rain on bare surfaces compacts them. Fine material breaks off and is washed or blown into the pores of the soil, blocking them. As mentioned in 4, sodium salts in the soil cause the soil structure to collapse. They are stony because finer particles are blown or washed away, leaving only the stones. Sometimes stones are forced up from below the surface by wetting and drying or freezing and thawing. Stone pavements, called reg or hammada in North Africa, are a hard impermeable surface composed of rock fragments set in sand or clay. 7 Hard crusts called duricrusts form. Salts are leached down from the surface to lower horizons or move up from the water table by capillary action. The commonest types of duricrusts are calcrete, formed from calcium carbonate, or gypcrete formed from calcium sulphate. Duricrust is a hard rock band at or below the surface that makes root development in plants difficult Soil erosion Soil erosion is closely linked to desertification (see page 252). It is caused by the same combinations of drought, over cultivation, overgrazing and cutting down of trees. However, at this point let us note that soils in arid areas are especially vulnerable to erosion for a number of reasons: • • • • Soils are loose because they lack clay, humus and moisture. There is a lack of vegetation that would otherwise bind soils, shelter them and protect them from beating raindrops. Rainfall, when it comes, is often intense. Wind speeds are often strong. figure 10.34 Barrel cactus is the most common plant found in deserts across the world. Its height can be anything between i and 10 m. Soil erosion strips off the top layer of soil, which is often the most fertile part. The sediment is blown into rivers and irrigation canals, potentially blocking them and causing flooding. Roads and crops become buried in loose sediment. Vegetation The main characteristics of arid zone vegetation are: • a generally low biomass - in other words, not much grows • a low range of species types • adaptation to drought and salt • limited nutrient cycling - the movement of plant nutrients from the ground into the roots of the plant and back to the soil again when the plant dies or sheds leaves. Nutrient cycling requires water if it is to be efficient Plants need water for a variety of reasons. Water is needed to support plant tissue growth. Plant nutrients in the soil are dissolved in water and water is the medium by which they enter the plant. Water is needed for photosynthesis and for the plant to regulate its temperature by transpiration - the evaporation of water vapour through plant cells. Deserts have a low biomass. The biomass of a tropical rainforest, for example, is 250 000 kg per hectare, that of a dry steppe only 5000 kg per hectare, but the biomass of a hot desert may be only 500 kg per hectare. figure 10.35 Aloe Ferox, a succulent plant, in southern Africa. figure 10.36 Rose of Jericho - an ephemeral plant figure 10.37 Wild palm trees, Morocco Adaptations of plants to aridity Plants adapt to arid conditions in a number of ways. Xerophytes are plants designed to resist drought. Their leaves are small (to reduce the amount of water lost by transpiration), or spines and thorns have replaced leaves altogether. They are waxy in order to retain water. Bark is thick to prevent the plant collapsing when it dries out. Roots are deep or spread out laterally at shallow depths over many square metres. Some plants, such as the cactus, aloe and prickly pear, store water in their leaves, roots and stems and they are known as succulents. Some plants die-back in the dry season. These plants are called ephemerals and their seeds lie dormant during the dry period. Phreatophytes have deep tap roots that can reach down to the water table, such as date palms. They commonly grow near lakes, stream channels or springs. Halophytes are tolerant of salt. Some are able to prevent the entry of salts or they can excrete the toxic salts onto their leaves. Some avoid salt by growing in the rainy season when salt concentrations are less. Date palms can grow in saline groundwater. Desert vegetation is generally sparse but grows in greater densities wherever there is more moisture, such as in hollows, at the bottom of slopes or in dry valleys (which are sometimes moist under the surface). There are fewer plants where the surfaces are impermeable or on shifting sand dunes. Hot arid and semi-arid environments Adaptations of animals to aridity Animals adapt to arid conditions in a number of ways. Behavioural adaptations: • Birds and I arger animals can avoid the hottest and driest seasons by migrating to cooler or wetter areas. • Many desert animals animals, such as rodents, snakes and invertebrates, live in caves or burrows to avoid heat. • Many desert animals are nocturnal - they only come out at night when it is cool. • Sand snakes move by side-winding, which means only a small part of the body is in contact with the hot sand. Lizards assume an erect position when running, keeping their bodies off the ground. Morphological and anatomical adaptations: • In mammals desert fur coats are short and well-ventilated to allow sweat to evaporate directly from the skin. • In the ostrich the bare head, throat, legs and abdomen allow for cooling. • • Long legs keep the body separated from the extreme temperatures on the ground. Sand-dwellers have evolved to survive in dunes, for example fleshy footpads in camels and scaly fingers in lizards. Physiological adaptations: • They maintain their water balance by maximising water intake and/or • • • • • minimising water loss. Camels and wild asses, for example, can drink large quantities of water in a very short time. In coastal deserts animals obtain water by licking fog-drenched rocks. Herbivores, such as eland and oryx, obtain water from the foliage of the shrubs they eat. Many desert animals are extremely tolerant of dehydration. Camels and elands can reach body temperatures of 44 °C with no harmful consequences. Like ephemeral plants, smaller desert animals can evade drought by entering into a dormant phase; grasshoppers survive dry spells in the form of eggs or pupae. Desertification Desertification means the spreading of desert conditions. It applies, therefore, to semi-arid areas on the edge of deserts (Figure 10.40) and implies that where natural vegetation or crops used to grow, now they don’t. Desertification figure 10.38 Desertification and soil erosion caused by overgrazing. Hot arid and semi-arid environments can be caused by both climate change and by the behaviour of people living there. The climate is always changing in response to changes in the output of heat from the Sun, the movement of continents by continental drift, volcanic eruptions and mountain building. We know that areas of the globe that were once wet are now dry and that other areas that were dry are now wetter. A large-scale, drought-induced famine occurred in Africa’s Sahel region (the area on the southern edge of the Sahara Desert) from February to August 2010 - one of many famines to have hit the region in recent times (Figure 10.39). Although the causes of the drought are disputed, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) theory states that sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic warm and cool in a 70-year cycle and affect rainfall in Africa: an AMO warm phase increases summer rainfall over the Sahel, while a cold phase reduces it. So cold sea temperatures might be associated with drier conditions and desertification. Another theory is that the 2010 drought was caused by air pollution generated in Eurasia and North America. The pollution changed the properties of clouds over the Atlantic Ocean, disturbing the monsoons and shifting the tropical rains southwards. Droughts are not a new phenomenon. Following the fall of Carthage in 146 BC the Romans colonised a large part of North Africa. Between that point and the sixth century AD this area became the ‘granary of Rome’ by growing wheat. In subsequent centuries the average rainfall decreased and much of the land turned to semi-desert. Human causes of desertification include: i 2 Sahel precipitation anomalies 1900-2013 Increasing numbers of people due to declining death rates and high birth rates and over cultivation of the land as a result. The increase in population means more food is needed. Cultivation is extended into dry lands previously used for livestock grazing. If the land is cultivated without fallow (periods of rest) or fertilisers, the soil fertility will fall and eventually become barren. Overgrazing by animals - animals eat all the natural plant life and this creates soil erosion. Goats and camels, in particular, can eat the woody portion of plants and this kills the plant - they are browsers (they eat various parts of plants) as opposed to sheep and cattle who are grazers - they mainly eat grass. Overgrazing is caused by: figure • • • 3 4 5 increases in herd size due to population growth a decrease in available grazing land because of increasing areas of crop cultivation settling of nomads in restricted areas by governments wishing to tax and control them; this means that instead of grazing over wide areas the settled nomads are restricted to keeping their livestock in smaller areas. 10.39 Annual rainfall as a deviation from the average in the Sahel. There was an unusually wet period from 1950 until 1970, which encouraged farmers to move into the area, followed by extremely dry years from 1970 to 1990. Rainfall in the period 1990-2010 was also below the average and year-to-year variability was high. Poverty-farmers are forced to cultivate and graze livestock in vulnerable areas in order to have sufficient food for their families. Salinisation due to badly managed irrigation. If irrigated fields are poorly drained they become waterlogged and the surplus water evaporates, leaving poisonous salts. If irrigation canals are badly lined water will leak out causing the water table to rise; if the water table rises to within 2-3 m of the surface water can be drawn up to the surface by capillary rise and evaporate, leaving salts. Deforestation - cutting down trees for fuel results in increased wind speed and increased runoff, both of which cause erosion. figure 10.40 Desertification vulnerability Hot arid and semi-arid environments 253 Sustainable management of hot arid and semi-arid environments Case Study Rajasthan, northern India Rajasthan is a densely populated semi-arid area in India partly occupied by the Thar Desert. Because of overcultivation and overgrazing much of the land lacks agricultural value and dunes have shifted into previously farmed areas. The Thar is characterised by high velocity winds, huge shifting sand dunes, high diurnal variation of temperature, intense solar radiation and high rates of evaporation. The desert only receives 10-500 mm of rainfall every year, 90 per cent of which falls between July and September. The sandy soils have a rapid water infiltration rate, poor fertility, low humus content and high salinity. Actions taken in recent years to counter desertification include: • figure 10.41 Sand dunes advance onto farmland,Thar Desert, India. • • • • • • • • • Planting trees as windbreaks, including varieties of Prosopis and Acacia. These trees can be grown on poor soils and yield food, fodder, fuel and building timber. Fencing dunes to keep out livestock. Fixing parallel strips of brushwood into the dunes to stabilise them. Planting cover crops to protect the soil in between the times when the main crop is grown. Inter-cropping: planting crops afterthe main crop has been harvested in order to fully protect the soil. Putting cut vegetation on the soil (mulch) in order to improve its capacity to retain moisture and improve fertility. Planting along contours in order to reduce the flow of water or loose soil downhill. Scientists from the Central Arid Zone Research Institute (CAZRI) have successfully developed and improved dozens of traditional and nontraditional crops such as Ber trees (like plums) that produce much larger fruits than native plants and can thrive with minimal rainfall. Planting new high-yielding grass varieties for desert livestock. These grasses, besides contributing to the development of good rangeland in the Thar Desert, have significantly helped to stabilise the sand dunes. Damming eroded gullies as soon as they start to appear. Measures to control desertification in Rajasthan have been partially successful but with a population of 70 million the area still faces growing pressure from population growth and the over-exploitation of fodder (for livestock) and fuel wood. Case Study The Mojave desert: an arid area in a HIC The Mojave Desert in southeast California and southern Nevada in the United States is the driest of America’s deserts. Rainfall is very low and temperatures in summer can rise to 54 °C. Much is at high altitude where extremes of temperature - high and low- are common and winds can be strong. There is little agriculture, mainly alfafa (a fodder crop fed to cows) which is irrigated by water from the California Aqueduct, a 640 km network of canals, s Hot arid and semi-arid environments tunnels and pipes built between 1963 and 1997 which take water from the Sierra Nevada mountains and the valleys of north and central California to the south. The main land uses in the Mojave Desert are recreation, tourism and military. Las Vegas (population 2 million) is a city based on gambling and entertainment. Three National Parks were created in 1994- Death Valley National Park, Joshua Tree National Park and the Mojave National Preserve-and these attract many visitors. Tourists also come to see the ghost towns left behind by nineteenth century miners digging for silver and gold. There is a large military presence. The Marine Corps are based at Twentynine Palms, and the Edwards Air Force Base is used for testing fighter aircraft. Mojave Airport is a long-term storage centre for large airplanes because of the combination of the very dry climate (which preserves the aircraft from corrosion) and hard ground for parking the aircraft. Inevitably there is a conflict between the military, tourists and the natural environment and the US government has to achieve a balance between the needs of each. The main sustainability issue has been the adverse impact of millions of tourists on the natural environment. Activities including hiking, mountain biking, horse riding, camping, hunting, trapping, rock climbing and off-highway vehicle (OHV) recreation. The designation of the three National Park areas protects them from development but huge areas of public land are the responsibility of the US Bureau of Land Management and in recent years they have designated large parts for use by off-road vehicles. However, research showed that the off-road vehicles compact the ground surface so reduced the infiltration capacity and increasing runoff- which causes erosion and flooding. The vehicles damage vegetation and small mammals and tyres cause erosion directly. When it rains water is channeled into the ruts created by wheels leading to gully formation. A US pressure group, the Center for Biological Diversity, has taken action to force the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) to alter its policy, producing research to show the impact of off-road vehicles. In 2009 a court declared a proposed extension of the areas accessible to off-road vehicles illegal because of the damage being done to air quality, soils, plants and animals including the endangered Mojave fringe­ toed lizard. The judge described the Mojave environment as ‘extremely fragile, easily scarred, and slowly healed.’The BLM is now required to place signs on all off-road vehicle routes which are legal to use, monitor to determine if illegal vehicle use is occurring, and provide enforcement to prevent illegal use. Native American Indians were forced out of the area in the nineteenth century. The 1994 California Desert Protection Act requires the Secretary of the Interior to ensure that American Indian people can have access to land for traditional cultural and religious purposes. Upon the request of an Indian tribe or religious community, the US government must temporarily close specific areas to the general public to protect the privacy of these cultural and religious activities. Another pressure on the area is the advent of renewable energy projects- solar and wind farms-which were specifically promoted under the 2010 California Desert Protection Act. The United States is keen to reduce its dependence on fossil fuels and it was felt that the Mojave Desert-a sunny and windy area - needed to play its part. The military are being encouraged to set up renewable energy projects on those parts of their land which are unused but already damaged by previous use. The bill also established endangered species mitigation zones and requires developers proposing to develop private lands to contribute money to a fund that would be used to better manage habitat for desert tortoise and other endangered or threatened species. The military, renewable energy development, recreation and the natural environment co-exist in an uncomfortable relationship, but one which is managed by law. figure 10.43 Joshua Tree National Park, Mojave Desert, California, USA NOW INVESTIGATE 1 Investigate the specific causes of aridity in one continent of your choice. 2 Which is the more important cause of desert erosion -water or wind? 3 To what extent are desert conditions created by humans? 4 Choose one area of semi-desert and explore the methods used to combat desertification. Hot arid and semi-arid environments .A* Cereal production 2011 In low-income countries (LICs) cereals (rice, wheat, millet or maize) constitute a large part of daily sustenance. In medium-income countries (MICs) and high-income countries (HICs) cereal consumption is moderate but substantial. (tonnes) World 2 341 974 936 Africa 153 653 049 6.6% 10.1* 6.1* 1.5* North America 466 402 454 19.9% Brarf^'2* Argentina 32.7% Paraguay 3.5% Rest ofS America 14.6% South America 148 597 802 6.4% China 42.3% Asia 1 067 997 362 45.6% India 22.0% Indonesia 5.8% Rest of Asia 29.9% Russia 19.7% Europe France 464 566 768 19.8% Graine 12.1% msny 9,o% P°'’ndi.7* Oceania 40 757 501 1.7% % ^4. Continental values are the percentage of the world total Country values are the percentage of their continental total 13.7% USA, France and Australia, (where production exceeds regional demand), are the largest exporters of cereals. Cereal exports 2011 (tonnes) World 384 730 039 1] Production, location and change Africa 5 734 911 1.5% North America 114144 404 29.7% Paraguay 4.9% South America Rest of 6 America 6.1 % 50 334 256 13.1% Thailand 21.5% India 18.9% Asia Vietnam 13.7% 54 177 035 14.1% Pakistan 13.4% Kazakhstan 11.096 Turkey 6.8% China 4.896 Rest of Mia franco V** Europe 136 340 709 35.4% Russ'3 ■nel°'8* yjwarn Oceania 23 998 723 6.2% »3* •J* 6* 257 11 Production, location and Agricultural regions □ Hign mountain pastures under extensive sheep, beef and dairy cattle Wet mountain pastures and hay O meadows under beef and dairy cattle Landscapes of permanent grassland in | small fields with hedges under mainly Agricultural systems and food production Factors affecting agricultural land use Agricultural land use is affected by a range of factors that combine to create the farming landscape that makes certain regions of the world so identifiable. These factors can be: sheep, beef cattle and some dairy and floodplain pastures under □ Wetlands mixed livestock farming Mediterranean rangelands (sheep, goats) □ and permanent crops (olives, vines) □ diverse cropping and livestock figure Mixed farming areas of small-scale ii.i Agricultural regions of France 258 Production, location and change • • • • physical economic political socio/cultural. Physical factors The physical landscape of France allows a range of agricultural practices, from rearing livestock to growing grapes. Some regions have difficult physical environments, such as steep shaded slopes and high limestone plateaux, and despite advances in all aspects of'arming technology, from genetically modified (GM) seeds to improved machinery, these areas remain at the margins of production. While being strongly influenced by the physical environment, farm production may have more to do with the political and socio/cultural influences of a region. The agricultural regions of France reflect the physical geography and climate of the country. Climate is a key influence on crop growth, as each crop requires critical temperatures, rainfall and growing season. This is particularly true for the growing of vines for wine making or viticulture. table ii.i Climatic conditions for viticulture Ideal climatic conditions for viticulture (grape vine cultivation) Sunshine 1300-1500 hours of sunshine in the growing season Frost At least 200 frost-free days Rainfall 690 mm throughout the year, mainly winter and spring Rain at other times can cause problems Temperature Winter 3 °C, Summer 22 °C Soil type and fertility are also critical as they provide the necessary conditions for root development. Locally, slope can be very important. In the case of viticulture, south-facing slopes in cooler regions mean that the vines receive a greater intensity of the Sun’s rays, with sunshine falling at an angle perpendicular to the hillside; whereas in parts of the south of France growers sometimes use north-facing slopes to protect the vines from too much sunshine. Slopes also ensure good groundwater drainage. Production, location and change 259 Climatic conditions play a role when damp weather or high winds damage plants, causing mildew or allowing the spread of disease. Water is a vital ingredient in the agricultural process. In many parts of the world irrigation, artificial watering, is practised. Using rain-fed systems as well as reservoir systems irrigated farming accounts for 70 per cent of total global water consumption in any year. In India the figure rises to 90 per cent and in regions where irrigation is vital any break in the supply can prove disastrous. The ongoing drought in California, since 2010, has depleted groundwater and reservoir supplies and by 2014 meant that the Central Valley was projected to have lost about US$810 million in crop revenue. It was estimated that about 1732 sq km, or 5 per cent of irrigated cropland, was likely to go out of production in the Central Valley, Central Coast and Southern California. Economic factors Economic factors include the cost of growing a crop and the price received in the market place. While costs generally rise market prices can fluctuate from year to year and from day to day. Production costs will include investment in machinery, specialist buildings and equipment in addition to labour costs. In recent decades there has been a trend in HICs for farm numbers to decrease and the size of farms to increase. Large farms benefit from economies of scale especially through mechanisation and automation. Small fields can be amalgamated into larger fields, which makes the use of machinery more efficient and operations such as sowing and fertilising produce less wastage. Larger farms can also purchase and market in bulk and thus outcompete small farms. A further consideration of economic factors is the application of agro-technology. There are a series of key dates in the development of technology, from the invention of the seed drill by Jethro Tull in 1733, to the GPS-guided tractor and the 24 000 litre bulk tanker of today. Agro-technology is increasingly vital for a country’s food security and more and more technology transfers are taking place to regions of the world where food security is a major issue. Many of these countries, especially in sub-Saharan Africa, although dependent upon their agricultural system actually have a system that cannot adequately feed their people. The majority of small scale farmers lack access to new technologies, finance and specialist support. In HICs agriculture has become capital intensive and more industrialised especially with the production offish, poultry and some livestock. Capital intensive farming has certain common factors that apply to most operations. Capital intensive farming is characterised by very large units that invest massively in mechanised and automated systems, make maximum use of IT systems, and employ fewer, but highly skilled workers. Extensive use of fertilisers, pesticides and herbicides ensures maximum production and allows the land to be used intensively year after year. These farms are often owned by large TNC (Transnational Corporations) food companies and are vertically integrated, meaning the farm grows, packages and sells the crop. Dole owns plantations and canning facilities and has the marketing power to bring pineapples from plantations in the Philippines to consumers worldwide. The British company Fyffes uses the same integrated system for growing, ripening and marketing bananas. Political factors The production of food and the issue of food security gives governments a keen interest in agriculture. Consequently, much of an individual farmer’s decision making will be influenced by government policies. In countries where there is a command economy, such as China, there is even more control of farming and the influence of the government is very strong. In Europe following the Second World War agriculture was in chaos. Food shortages existed which led in 1945 to famine conditions in Germany and the Netherlands and food rationing well into the 1950s. The Treaty of Rome (1957) sought to remedy this situation and to increase food production as quickly 260 Production, location and change as possible and so established the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). This aimed to: • • increase productivity ensure that farmers have a 'fair’ standard of living • • • keep prices steady for agricultural products maintain regular supplies for the markets ensure reasonable prices for consumers. CAP has always been a contentious policy, with some regions receiving a disproportionate level of subsidy compared to others and environmentalists’ claims that damage has been done to species-rich habitats. Socio/cultural factors Change in agricultural practice is often slow and where farms are handed down from parent to child/children the practice of growing particular crops or keeping particular livestock becomes an important tradition. In LICs these factors take on a significant role, often owing to the fragility of the circumstances in which the farming community works. Shifting cultivation is one such traditional system practised all over the world, often in difficult locations such as in forests or on hillsides. Land tenure and land rights Farmers may be owner-occupiers or tenants who pay rent to a landlord. In most European countries owner occupation is now the norm, which is the reverse of the situation in the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. However in many parts of the world sharecropping is a common form of tenure. In this system the landlord provides the capital inputs, seed, equipment, fertilisers and so on for which they receive 50 per cent of the harvest as rent. In some LICs land is often given as part of a bride’s dowry, which can have the effect of further reducing the size of an already small workable farm. The main concern is the gender imbalance that exists when it comes to ownership of land by women - in many LICs this is only now being addressed as countries look to develop economically. Kenya’s new constitution appears to represent gains for the women of the country. The constitution promises the right to own property to “every person”, ensuring “equitable access to land” and “security of land rights" but without mentioning women or acknowledging their historical landlessness. Although increasing numbers of women have access to land to farm, the question of whether they own the land in their own name remains an issue across much of the less developed world. Agricultural systems Agriculture in its many parts, from individual smallholdings in Southeast Asia to the vast cattle stations of Australia, all operate in a similar way. They all exist to make a ‘profit’ and in order to do that they need to have access to a range of inputs, such as labour, energy, seeds and fertilisers. Profit will accrue if the harvest sells for more than the inputs cost. Figure 11.4 shows the complexity and interrelated nature of the farming system. At the heart of the model is the decision making process of farmers and how that is influenced by various factors. These factors may alter in the light of government policy, climatic changes and a farmer’s own experience. The system is therefore dynamic in nature and always fluctuating. Agriculture can be divided into three broad types as a consequence of the variation of inputs, which in turn gives rise to the variation in types across the globe. figure 11.3 Sharecropping farm system output loss to the system, along with natural outcome hazards such as drought, hail and action figure disease negative feedback: disequilibrium is increased (stagnation and decline) 114The agricultural system Production, location and change 261 Subsistence and commercial farming Subsistence farming supports about a quarter of the world’s population. It comprises smallholdings, with cultivation taking place in difficult environments where the risk of crop failure is high. As a result most families are poor or very poor as they produce food to satisfy their own needs with an occasional surplus to sell. Pure subsistence farming is now extremely rare. Output however is high with intensive use being made of family labour. Subsistence farmers are also very knowledgeable about the local conditions and the crops that will thrive in those conditions. The farmers will grow a range of crops to ensure that if one crop fails the harvest is not lost completely, and which also provides for a varied diet, ensuring the maintenance of the soil’s fertility. Where the climate becomes too extreme for sedentary farming nomadic systems may become more prevalent. Nomadic systems are found in countries such as Niger and Mali. Commercial farming is the dominant type of farming in HICs and in some MICs. It is large scale and makes the best use of the technological advantages available to the farmer. The farms tend towards specialisation as this allows economies of scale to operate, often on a global scale. In order to supply these specialist markets European and American companies have established plantations to supply tea, coffee, and fruit such as bananas and pineapples. Commercial farming includes the raising of livestock, grain production and market gardening to produce flowers, fruit and vegetables. figure 11.5 Polytunnels in Almeria, southern Spain figure 11.6 Planting padi, China Production, location and change Extensive and intensive farming These terms refer to the relationship of the inputs to one another. Extensive farming is practised where capital and labour inputs are low in relation to the amount of land being farmed, so parts of the prairies of Canada, the steppes of Russia and the shifting cultivation of the forests of central Africa fall under this heading. Intensive farming where labour inputs are high and the land area is small would include wet rice cultivation in Southeast Asia and the intensive production of flowers and vegetables under glass in southeast England and Almeria in southern Spain. Arable and livestock farming Arable farming is the growing of crops either intensively or extensively. The main requirement is a fairly flat landscape and high quality soil. Livestock farming is usually practised in less favourable areas with colder, wetter, steeper and less fertile soils. This type of farming can be intensive or extensive, or pastoral nomadism. Mixed farming is a combination of both types of farming, where farmers grow crops and raise stock. In HICs, such as the UK, this is often done so the crops and animals complement each other. In LICs mixed farming is a formula used to spread the risk of harvest failure and plan against food shortages. Case Study An in extensive pastoral system: Livestock rearing Australia Extensive livestock rearing makes Australia the world’s third largest exporter of cattle. The largest farming property in both Australia and the world is Anna Creek Station (farm) in South Australia, one of 16 properties owned and run by the Kidman Company. At 24 000 sq km, Anna Creek Station is larger than Israel. The main physical input is the extensive semi-arid areas over which the cattle graze. Human inputs tend to be low for the extent of the area covered by the stations. The processes are grazing, breeding and checking for disease. The outputs are the live animals, mainly young animals for export, and meat. Statistics are for 2011. Border Rivers and Maranoa Balonne Burdekin Burnett Mary Cape York Condamine Desert Channels AUSTRALIA Avon Northern Agricultural Rangelands (WA) South Coast South West Swan The total number of cattle is 28 506 169 50 130 104 763 1 059 866 310 051 470 792 71 502 Adelaide and Mount Lofty Ranges Alinytjara Wilurara Eyre Peninsula Kangaroo Island Northern and Yorke SA Arid Lands SA Murray Darling Basin South East (SA) 1 230 340 1 432 424 902 248 141 794 551 106 1 739 691 2 715 515 138 237 933 292 425 991 Fitzroy Mackay Whitsunday Northern Gulf South East(QLD) South West (QLD) 609 581 Southern Gulf 1 593 268 Wet Tropics 198 387 q 892 22 676 20 637 61 373 235 209 161 437 659 097 Border Rivers-Gwydir Central West Hawkesbury-Nepean Hunter-Central Rivers Lachlan Lower Murray Darling 652 793 777 559 151 743 569 125 489 495 31 186 Murray 418 972 Murrumbidgee 576 775 Namoi 659 110 Northern Rivers 941 324 Southern Rivers 232 842 Sydney Metro 6777 Western 202 052 CAP. TER. Corangamite East Gippsland Glenelg Hopkins Goulburn Broken Mallee North Central North East (VIC) Port Phillip and 455 666 125 036 928 242 591 774 13 141 311 590 TASMANIA 211 •»-629 405 286 309 640 Westernport West Gippsland 780 672 Wimmera 48 812 figure 11.7 * North (TAS) 291 776 North West (TAS) 340 872 South (TAS) 56 562 Distribution of cattle in Australia Production, location and change 263 With a national herd size of around 42.7 million cattle the industry involves over half the farms in Australia with exports taking 70 per cent of the production to over 100 countries. Cattle are reared under a range of climatic conditions although dairy production is located in coastal areas where pasture growth generally depends on natural rainfall. Drought is a major concern for cattle farmers and a great deal of effort is put into managing pasture to ensure herds survive. The so-called Millennium drought, the ‘Big Dry’, was recognised as the worst recorded. It lasted from 1995 figure 11.8 Cattle on the Anna Creek cattle station, South Australia. until late 2009. Farmers have become more conscious of water management and conservation, particularly after the government imposed limits on how much water could be drawn from groundwater supplies. Farming issues Some of the other issues facing agriculture in Australia are: low soil fertility, weed infestation, global warming caused by climate change, and biosecurity (the destruction of natural vegetation and habitats from overgrazing). Since European settlement at least 54 species of birds and mammals are known to have become extinct. Case Study An intensive arable system: in the UK Market gardening Location Much of Sussex is given over to mixed arable and livestock farming, sheep on the chalk hills and cattle on the low clay vales. However to the west of the county where the coastal plain widens towards Chichester there is an area of hyper-intensive arable farming. Why? First, this area receives 1400 hours of sunlight every year. Second, the area receives 775 mm of rainfall every year. Third, the land is flat, allowing for mechanised practices. Finally, the soil is a fertile sand-silt loam underlain with water retentive brick-earth soils, which create a high water table. Crops and one farm Langmeads Farms in West Sussex grow all their crops in rotation to ensure the maintenance of the soil quality. table 11.2 Order of crop rotation Year 1 | Lettuce Year 2 First wheat Year 3 Potatoes Year 4 | Wheat Years Maize Year 6 | Peas The first wheat crop benefits from the fertilisation of the soil for the lettuce grown in the previous year. Potatoes then ‘clean’the soil as they require deep ploughing and harvesting, which helps remove weeds and mixes the soil layers up. The maize in year five reintroduces some organic content to the soil. A crop of peas or maybe barley will be planted in fields that for some reason have got out of sequence. Much of the maize goes to an anaerobic digester locally to make electricity and the rest is used for silage or cattle feed. The lettuce, and more recently herbs, are the most intensively cultivated crops. In an advanced health conscious society such as the UK with an increased emphasis on a healthy diet, lettuce has become a main ingredient. One farm supplies all the major Production, location and change supermarkets as well McDonalds, KFC and a number of other fast food outlets. This, along with herb growing, is a hyper capital-intensive operation. A new fully automated glass herb growing facility currently being built near Chichester will cover over 8 ha, with a packing house the size of three football pitches, costing in the region of US$30.4 million. The crops can be grown, packaged and delivered across the UK on a daily basis. Lettuce and soft fruits are grown in polytunnels or under fleece to prevent the wind and the rain from damaging the crops and to allow the germinating plants a better chance to establish strong growth. The labour force is mainly contract workers from Eastern Europe with a small number of permanent staff in managerial roles. To ensure a year-round supply to their customers, the organisation has operations in Spain, France and Italy. Issues arising from the intensification of agriculture and the extension of agriculture Since the end of the Second World War there have been huge advances in agricultural production thanks to the use of mechanisation, fertilisers, pesticides and herbicides, greater and more effective use of irrigation methods, and the advent of high-yielding varieties of seeds. Mechanisation has resulted in farmers having a strong incentive in the UK to remove centuries-old hedgerows. By 1990 over half of UK hedgerows had been removed and with them the habitats and biodiversity that contributed to the make-up of the traditional countryside. Intensification can also lead to land degradation through the use of chemicals, which can have deleterious effects ultimately on food production and on the environment. Soil erosion Soil erosion usually occurs as a result of the removal of the protective vegetation cover. Tropical forest removal can exacerbate erosion when the surface is exposed to torrential tropical rain. In marginal areas overgrazing can result in the scant vegetation being stripped off, followed by the soil drying out and being removed by wind erosion and surface runoff. Friable soil types are likely to be more at risk, as in China where the loess soils in the Yellow River Basin are lost at the rate of 100 tonnes per hectare every year. Soil erosion has become the major environmental problem in China. The Yangtze River Basin loses 2.24 billion tonnes of soil per year, which damages 67 000 ha of farmland (Figure 11.10). The effects of soil erosion mean that almost 100 million people will lose the land they live on within 35 years if erosion continues at the current rate. Salinisation In semi-arid and arid areas, salinisation is a serious problem and it affects 7 per cent of the world’s land area. This occurs when transpiration from plants and evaporation exceed the amount of incoming precipitation in regions where the water table is close to the surface. The presence of salts is harmful to many plants and yet the cause, although natural, can be made worse by man’s efforts to increase food production. Irrigation without proper drainage can raise the water table locally and by capillary action salty water is drawn to the surface. In South Australia salinisation is a problem in all principal agricultural areas, with 3700 sq km affected. At current rates, this is expected to increase by 60 per cent by 2050. It is expected to cost the state around US$37.3 million per year in lost agricultural profit, and is expected to taint more than 20 per cent of groundwater to levels above those safe for human consumption. figure 11.9 Soil damaged by salt deposits, which has been caused by using the wrong type of irrigation. Production, location and change figure ıı.ıo Soil deposition in the Yangtze River. Soil erosion is a major environmental problem in China. Desertification Desertification describes the effects human activity and climatic processes have on a landscape reducing it to desert-like conditions. Often resulting from the overgrazing of semi-arid pastures, the results are irreversible. Desertification takes place in drylands and some 15 per cent of these may already be degraded: representing about 9 million sq km. Over 250 million people in more than 100 countries are directly affected by desertification and more are at risk. In Africa 66 per cent of the total land area is classified as arid or semi-arid. Global Assessment of Human-induced Soil Degradation (GLASOD) was established in 1990 to assess the status of human-induced soil degradation. There has been no further study on a global scale. figure 11.11 Effects of desertification Production, location and change The Green Revolution The Green Revolution refers to a series of research and development and technology transfer initiatives occurring between the 1940s and 1960s that increased agricultural production, particularly in the developing world. Norman Borlaug is credited with saving over a billion people from starvation with a process that involved the development of high-yielding varieties of cereal grains. This was supported by an expansion of irrigation infrastructure, modernisation of management techniques and the distribution of the hybridised seeds, synthetic fertilisers and pesticides to farmers. First trialled in Mexico, it was not until 1961, with India on the brink of famine, that the Punjab region was selected fortrials of a new rice called IR8, developed by the International Rice Research Institute (I RRI). IR8 rice produced more grains of rice per plant when grown with certain fertilisers and irrigation. Studies showed that IR8 rice yielded about 5 tonnes per hectare with no fertiliser, and almost 10 tonnes per hectare under optimal conditions: 10 times the yield of traditional rice. In the 1960s rice yields in India were about 2 tonnes per hectare; by the mid-1990s, they had risen to 6 tonnes per hectare. India became one of the world’s most successful rice producers and is now a major rice exporter, shipping nearly 5.4 million tonnes in 2013. However there are criticisms. Punjab is now witnessing the serious consequences of intensive farming using chemicals and pesticides. A study has underlined the direct relationship between indiscriminate use of these chemicals and increased incidence of cancer in this region. Environmental activist Vandana Shiva has written about the impacts in Punjab and claims that the reliance on heavy use of chemical inputs and monocultures has resulted in water scarcity, vulnerability to pests, and incidents of violent conflict and social marginalisation. In 2009 a study was undertaken which revealed that in 50 Punjabi villages incidences of chemical, radiation and biological toxicity were widespread. The success of IR8 has not been repeated in Africa, probably the one continent that needs it most. This failure has been attributed to various factors including; widespread corruption, insecurity, a lack of infrastructure, and a general lack of will on the part of African governments. Nevertheless environmental factors, such as the availability of water for irrigation and the high diversity in slope and soil types in any given area, are also reasons why success has been so elusive. Production, location and change 267 A recent programme in western Africa has attempted to introduce a new high-yielding ‘family’ of rice varieties known as New Rice for Africa (NERICA). NERICA varieties yield about 30 per cent more rice under normal conditions, and can double yields with small amounts of fertiliser and very basic irrigation. However the programme has been beset by problems and the only success has been in Guinea, where it currently accounts for 16 per cent of rice cultivation. The management of agricultural change The three sub-Saharan countries of Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger are ranked in the Human Development Index at positions 176,181 and 187 respectively with scores of 0.407, 0.388 and 0.337. They are all critically short of food particularly during the dry season, which in some years can last for 12 months. In 2006 Alliance for a Green Revolution in Africa (AGRA) was established to trigger an African Green Revolution. The intention was to transform the existing agricultural system of small scale farmers into a highly productive, efficient, competitive and sustainable operation able to ensure food security and lift millions of people out of poverty. By 2020 AGRA’s aspirational objectives are to: • • • reduce food insecurity by 50 per cent in at least 20 countries double the income of some 20 million smallholder farmers put at least 15 countries on the path to achieving and sustaining a Green Revolution. Low soil fertility in the first place and the impact of continuous cultivation of the same crops leading to inevitable soil exhaustion are the main reasons for low yields. In order to remedy this, AGRA set up the Soil Health Programme in 2008. Drought in 2010 left 7.1 million people hungry in Niger as crops withered and livestock died, although a simple farming method -fertiliser micro­ dosing- could have averted the crisis. “I planted two fields with millet, sorghum and cowpea”, says Mahamoudou who farms in a village in Niger. “In the first field, I used microdose tech­ nology and in a second one I used the traditional method - broadcasting fertiliser at the same time as sowing the seed.” The results were obvious. In the microdose plot yields of sorghum were three times those in the traditional field; 1550 kg/ha as opposed to only 550 kg/ha. Even if they use fertiliser, most farmers in Mali, Niger and Burkina Faso just throw handfuls of it across a newly sown field. This is a traditional method but most of the fertiliser is wasted, the granules falling nowhere near the newly sown seed. Add to this the fact that the soil is sandy so what nutrients there are in the fertiliser are quickly leached out before the crops can access them. In Mali fertiliser costs US$1.65 per kilo, which is four times the average world price, so farmers only buy small amounts. Farmers in Mali only use about 5 kg of fertiliser per hectare and consequently crop yields are disappointingly low. Microdosing overcomes these problems by putting the fertiliser right beside the plant where it is most needed and most effective. The process usually takes two people - one person to make a small hole and a second person to drop a capful, or ‘three finger pinch’, of fertiliser into the hole followed by the seed. Microdosing can then be repeated once the seeds have germinated. Production, location and change figure 11.13 Microdosing Using this method has meant Mahamoudou has tripled his harvests and has increased his wealth. "When I started microdosing in 2000 I had only two sheep. Now I have 20 sheep, 20 goats, 2 cattle and 10 donkeys", he says. Another farmer had harvested 3 tonnes of maize from a plot he had been microdosing against the traditional broadcast method, which only yielded 2 tonnes per hectare, and a plot with no fertiliser that yielded a meagre 800 kg/ha. So with limited investment there is a greater yield, which allows the farmer and his family to use the harvest for subsistence and the rest he can ‘bank’ and use the money to undertake activities such as raising livestock or diversifying into other crops. Table 11.3 shows the extent of the project’s influence in two countries and the potential effect that it will, and is, having on daily life in the region. In low rainfall areas field trials show that 32 kg/ha of microdosing produces increased yields of millet compared to the traditional broadcasting of three times as much fertiliser. In areas with higher rainfall totals similar results were achieved for sorghum. In Burkina Faso some 45 000 farmers have adopted microdosing and in Mali the area under millet, sorghum and cow pea has increased by nearly 50 per cent. The number of households using the technique in 2010 was 60 942- two years later this had risen to 119 918, which is an increase of 100 per cent. Low pressure drip irrigation is also a very successful agricultural method used to increase yields - it only takes ten minutes to switch on a drip kit. Water is supplied directly to the roots instead of the entire plant. The water is pumped from boreholes using solar power. Production, location and change 269 table 11.3 Microdosing project highlights Mali Burkina Faso Microdosing 2819 demonstration plots 22 413 field demonstrations 440 farmer schools 11 210 farmers trained in fertiliser microdosing 57 338 farmers benefited 72 farmers’ organisations holding farmer field schools 45 000 farmers adopted technology 25 860 farmers trained in integrated soil fertility management 20 500 farmers trained in microdosing Yield increases of 33-47 % compared to no fertiliser 393 field days with 57 338 farmers 206 farmer field days with 9642 farmers (34 % women) Broadcasts reached 366 000 farmers 133 broadcasts on regional radio and six FM stations Inventory credit 58 warrantage warehouses set up 1150 tonnes of grain stored in 43 stores 158 committee members trained FCFA 72 million (US$144,000) lent to 1077 farmers FCFA135 million (US$280,000) lent to 3470 farmers (51 % women) Input supplies 36 fertiliser dealerships set up 43 dealerships set up 584 tonnes of NPK and urea fertilisers used in field demonstrations 76 897 farmers (30 % women) bought 94 850 minipackets and 34 255 50-kg bags of fertiliser 3470 farmers (51 % women) benefited figure 11.15 Successful drip irrigation crops, Africa Another method to counteract poor yields during drought is known as bioreclamation of degraded lands. The exhausted soils of the Sahel are replenished using rainwater storage methods and the replanting of indigenous trees and crops. In the dryland tropics, such as Niger, indigenous plants and crops are hardy natural survivors that are adapted to tolerate drought figure 11.16 Cow peas, now a successful crop in Mali where microdosing is used. conditions. Finally the ‘warrantage’ scheme allows farmers to borrow against their harvest. This means that farmers can sell their harvest when the price improves but in the meantime are able to invest in their farm by diversifying, repairing or merely clearing existing debts. The long-term effects of all these interrelated schemes seem to bring benefits but are not yet fully understood. Much more research is needed to examine the impact on the soil in the long term and further work is needed to develop simple tools to help and reduce the labour intensity of the microdosing technique. Production, location and change Manufacturing and related service industry Geographers recognise two types of manufacturing activity: Fordist industries and flexible industries. Prior to the 1970s most manufacturing in the advanced economies was Fordist, named after the assembly line techniques pioneered by Henry Ford in the USA in the 1930s. These industries have declined and modern industry uses more flexible production techniques such as having a smaller workforce that can multitask. Factors influencing industrial location All industrial activity can be viewed using a spatial system approach. Each industry and indeed each firm within that industry will be located according to the decision making processes of entrepreneurs and the importance they attach to the two sets of factors intrinsic to all industries - physical factors and human factors. figure 11.17 Palm oil processing in Indonesia. figure 11.18 The Aluminium de Dunkerque plant in France. table 11.4 Factors influencing the decision making process Physical factors Human factors Climate Capital Energy Government policy Raw materials Labour Transportation Markets Site Quality of life Production, location and change Raw materials Some industries such as sugar refining, oil refining and aluminium smelting use raw materials directly and are known as process industries. Raw materials lose weight during the manufacturing process and process factories are located near their raw materials. Cocoa production loses considerable weight in the processing of cacao pods and as a result much of the processing takes place close to the areas of production, such as at the port site of Tema, Ghana. Similarly the processing of palm oil takes place close to the areas of production in Indonesia and Malaysia. In many industries technology has reduced the amount of raw material used figure 11.19 Coal transporters at Gezhouba Dam on the Yangtze River, China. in manufacturing and so the need for proximity to them has been reduced. Where this is not the case and raw materials are still required in large quantities tidewater locations are favoured so that bulky materials can be brought in, often from overseas in bulk carriers, which are then unloaded at these break-of bulk points. In the case of the Aluminium de Dunkerque smelter, on the north coast of France near the port of Dunkerque, the proximity of the nuclear power station at Gravelines just down the coast is as important as the presence of the deep water terminal for importing the bauxite raw material. Markets Where goods are sold will have an important influence on where a factory might be located. If the cost of getting a finished article to market is high then it makes sense to locate the manufacturing base near the market. Where transport costs can be reduced then factory location can be much more flexible. Similarly if the industry depends on being able to react quickly to changes in demand or fashion then market locations might be considered over more remote sites. figure 11.20 Total oil facility, Dunkerque, France Energy The Industrial Revolution in the UK relied almost exclusively on coal, a pattern that has been repeated across the globe as industrialisation has spread, and as a result most industrial towns grew up on or near to coalfields or at a port site where coal could be easily imported. At first canals, then railways and, much later, roads transported the coal to the factory and the finished products to market. Investment in plant was massive so even when local supplies of coal were supplanted by ‘new’ electricity, factories stayed where they were, a situation known as industrial inertia. This is why steel making persists in Sheffield, in South Yorkshire, despite the original reason for steel manufacturing being located there (the presence of coal fields) having long since disappeared. The twentieth century saw a switch in energy sources to the electricity grid and oil and gas pipelines. This change in sources has made energy a ubiquitous resource rather than the localised factor it was two hundred years ago. While some industries remain dependent on energy supplies, many other industries can locate almost anywhere as they are no longer dependent on localised energy supplies. They have become footloose industries, their location reliant on factors other than energy. figure 11.21 Coal transportation, Yangtze River, China Transport As transport technology has improved the issue of transport costs has diminished as a major factor influencing industrial location. Two types of cost remain: fixed costs or terminal costs and line haul costs. Fixed costs relate to the cost of maintaining terminals as well as the cost of the transport system itself. Line haul costs are the actual costs of moving the goods, wages and fuel costs. High fixed costs required at terminals often have low line haul costs as goods are moved by pipeline or by water. Airtransport however has high fixed and high haul costs and consequently only high value or perishable goods are shipped by air. figure 11.22 Perishable flowers awaiting transport Production, location and change Land and climate At the start of the industrial age factory owners were able to build almost wherever they pleased as long as land was available at the right price. In the nineteenth century textile factories were often built over several storeys, whereas today factories are often single-storey with associated storage space and car parking. In the modern age a disinclination to have industrial areas anywhere within the built-up zone has led to factory estates beyond the suburban fringe, often on greenfield sites. Figure 11.24 shows the new Rolls Royce facility in Sussex rising from a field of oil seed rape. In Ghana, for example, the establishment of the 480 hectare Export Processing Zone at Tema has led to the location of numerous industries including cocoa processing, seafood canning and printing. Climate can also play a role in the location of businesses: afterthe Second World War California attracted industry with its mild Mediterranean climate and cheap land. Stanford University began encouraging graduates to stay in California instead of leaving the state and to develop the high-tech region in the area now known as Silicon Valley. As a result California is regarded as a world centre for the technology, engineering, and aerospace industries. The specific climate of a region may determine the crops that can be grown and this influences the location of the processing plants if there is considerable weight loss during the processing phase, and especially if these crops are to enter the world trade markets, like palm oil and sugar. Labour Labour costs still make up a sizeable proportion of manufacturing costs. Labour costs can be wage rates or unit costs. Wages are high in HICs and lower in LICs and as a result many TNCs have located in low wage cost countries. Initially TNCs moved to South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore but as wages rose in these countries they relocated to Thailand, Indonesia and, since the 1990s, to China. The labour cost as part of the production of an Apple iPad is a mere 2 per cent. More important than wage rates are the unit labour costs, which relate wages to output or productivity-the productivity level of workers interests industrialists, not simply what they have to pay. Low wage areas may mean low productivity and so high unit costs. Labour quality is also important especially as automation has replaced many manual jobs in manufacturing. Toyota chose to locate their factory in Derby, UK, not because of high unemployment levels but because there was a history of engineering in the area. Skilled workers are vital to the prosperity of R 8< D (research and development) companies involved in high-tech industries for whom innovation is everything. These sorts of companies will locate where there are a disproportionate number of highly skilled workers, for example Silicon Valley in California. Low wage costs should encourage investment but the benefit of lower labour costs is offset by the fact that during a recession labour costs are also falling in other countries. Capital A major influence on the location of an industry are the two types of capital available to an entrepreneur-financial capital and fixed capital. Financial capital is the money (funds) available for investment. One important characteristic of this type of capital is its mobility. Companies and their financial supporters invest in areas where profits are high and disinvest where profits are low. This may vary regionally within a country and is reflected in the problems in getting investment in northeast England, unlike the ease with which investment is attracted in the southeast. Internationally investors will shy away from areas where the potential for conflict exists, preferring instead a more stable financial environment. Fixed capital, plant and machinery is immobile and another reason for an industry to persist in an area, creating industrial inertia. This occurs when companies are reluctant to write off valuable fixed assets so long as they remain profitable. The Ruhr region in Germany and Liege in Belgium all retain steel industries as it would be costly to transfer the fixed capital investments of the steel industry to less costly sites. These regions have all acquired a skilled workforce, a reputation for high quality and the necessary transport links to ensure that the locations remain profitable. figure 11.23 Nineteenth-century textile mill, Lille, France 11.24 The new Rolls Royce facility, located on a greenfield site, Sussex, UK. figure figure 11.26 Pacific Quay, Glasgow Production, location and change 25 ------ labour costs per hour ------ wage costs per hour other costs per hour QI, Q2, Q3 and Q4 are quarters 1 to 4 of each year -10 8888888888888888888 figure 11.27 UK Index of Labour Costs, 2001-2014 External and internal economies and diseconomies of scale External economies and diseconomies of scale are the benefits and costs associated with the expansion of a whole industry and result from external factors over which a single firm has little or no control. External economies of scale include the benefits of positive externalities enjoyed by firms as a result of the development of an industry or the whole economy. For example, as an industry develops in a particular region, such as the car industry in the West Midlands, UK, an infrastructure of transport communications will develop, which all industry members can benefit from. Specialist suppliers of lighting, brakes and windscreens may also enter the industry and existing firms may benefit from their "I don't want your wallet, I want venture capital." figure 11.28 Venture capital is important to a business. proximity. External diseconomies are costs that are outside the control of a single firm and result from the growth of a specific industry. For example, negative externalities may arise as resources become exhausted, especially primary raw materials, for example coal and iron ore. Internal economies and diseconomies of scale are associated with the expansion of a single firm. Five types of internal economies of scale can be identified: • Technical economies are the cost savings a firm makes as it grows larger, and they arise from the increased use of large scale mechanical processes • • • • and machinery. Purchasing economies are gained when larger firms buy in bulk and achieve purchasing discounts. Administrative savings can arise when large firms spread their administrative and management costs across all locations needing only one set of accountants for its separate enterprises. Large firms can gain financial savings because they can usually borrow money more cheaply than small firms. Risk bearing economies are often derived by large firms who can bear business risks more effectively than smaller firms. Internal diseconomies of scale may include: • Large firms may suffer from poor communication because they find it difficult to maintain an effective flow of information between their various • • operations. Coordination problems also affect large firms with many departments and divisions and a workforce numbering into the tens of thousands. Low motivation of workers in large firms is a potential diseconomy of scale that results in lower productivity, as measured by output per worker. 274 Production, location and change figure 11.29 Steel works, Liege, Belgium Government policy Government involvement in industrial matters will largely depend on the political system of the country in question. A command economy, such as China, is where the government, rather than the free market, determines what goods should be produced, how much should be produced and the price goods will be offered for sale. In the rest of the world although the state does intervene for socio­ political and economic reasons, locational decisions are made by individual firms and are governed by profit and loss. In the UK Labour governments tend to be more involved whereas with Conservative (Tory) governments such state involvement is less likely. Government regional policy is often guided by the need to solve other socio-political problems and not just those of industry, such as high unemployment rates, urban dereliction and decentralisation. Industrial agglomeration and linkages Agglomeration or external economies is the grouping together of industries and economic activities in close proximity. The result, as has been seen, can be organisations benefitting from economies of scale by sharing costs and transport systems. Factors that might lead to the creation of diseconomies of scale, such as increasing traffic congestion, might well lead to companies deglomerating. Intrinsic to this idea are the contacts and flows or linkages between companies when they are close to each other. There are four types of linkage. Figure 11.31 shows the sort of links that could encourage companies to agglomerate. figure 11.30 Economies of scale Production, location and change 275 (a) Vertical (or simple chain) linkages (b) The raw material goes through several successive processes: An industry relies on several other industries to provide its component parts: newsprint • ------------------------------------------ .---------------- brakes------------------gearboxes-------------- pulp — mill logging Horizontal (or simple origin) linkages car assembly plant electrical equipment tyres --------------------radiators--------------- • (c) Diagonal linkages (d) Technological linkages An industry makes a component which can be used subsequently in several industries: watches and clocks A product from one industry is used subsequently as a raw other industries: «------------steel steel processed ------------ ► processed wire into -------------► into ------------- ► washers, nuts and bolts figure car industry domestic appliances repair workshops/garages material by nails screws cable electrical wiring 11.31 (a)—(d) Linkages Industrial estates The thinking behind the development of the industrial estate in the UK goes back to the period between the two world wars when industry was being encouraged to move out of inner city locations to ‘new’ purpose-built areas in the suburbs or on the edges of built-up areas. Benefits included: • concentrated purpose-built infrastructure leading to reduced costs per firm • • • • attraction for new industries with infrastructure already in place separation of residential and industrial land uses localised environmental controls suiting the industry in the area companies located on these estates were eligible for grants and loans from a variety of regional development policies from central government. Export processing zones Variously called free trade zones, special economic zones and free ports, export processing zones (EPZs) are defined as zones with special incentives to attract foreign investors in which imported goods undergo some degree of processing before being re-exported. The table below shows the rapid growth of the number of EPZs in an ever-increasing number of countries. table 11.5 The development of export processing zones 1975 2002 2006 93 116 130 176 845 3000 3500 n.a. n.a. 22.5 43 66 - China n.a. n.a. 18 30 40 - other countries with figures available 0.8 1.9 4-5 13 26 Physical factors 1986 Numbers of countries with EPZs 25 47 Number of EPZs or similar zones 79 Employment (millions) 1997 The formal and informal sectors of employment The concept of the informal sector was introduced into international usage in 1972 by the International Labour Organization (ILO), which defined informality figure 11.32 Worldwide formal and informal employment 276 Production, location and change as a way of doing things characterised by: • • ease of entry reliance on indigenous resources family ownership small scale operations • • • labour intensive and adaptive technology skills acquired outside of the formal sector unregulated and competitive markets. • • A World Bank report further identified two types of informal sector activities, which can be described as follows: i 2 Coping strategies: casual jobs, temporary jobs, unpaid jobs, subsistence agriculture, multiple job holding. Unofficial earning strategies (illegality in business). figure 11.33 A street seller in Beijing, China. The informal sector has a number of advantages and disadvantages for the people who are involved. On the plus side it provides jobs thereby reducing unemployment and, most importantly, underemployment, although the jobs are low-paid and job security is poor. The informal sector also encourages entrepreneurial activity and helps alleviate poverty. The World Bank (2010) estimates that the size of the informal labour market varies from an estimated 4-6 per cent in high-income countries to over 50 per cent in low-income countries. During economic downturns these numbers rise. The informal sector also improves the condition of the poor, especially women, giving an opportunity to earn some money that will help improve their lives and the lives of their families. These jobs are often concentrated in and around the CBD or close to tourist sites. The formal sector, on the other hand, usually comprises employees with recognised income sources for paying income taxes based on a 38-hour regular wage job. figure 11.34 Street food seller, Bangkok,Thailand Production, location and change The management of change in the manufacturing industry Case Study A new country: Bangladesh This area of Asia has always been a prosperous region but under British rule East Bengal became a largely agricultural area producing primary goods for processing and export. Partition in 1947 and the creation of India and Pakistan caused serious disruption to the economic system. The Pakistan Five Year Development Programme was based heavily on industrialisation but the largest part of the budget went to West Pakistan, leaving the resource-scarce East Pakistan reliant on imports, resulting in the now largely agrarian economy of East Pakistan going into decline. By independence in 1971 Bangladesh was one of the least industrially developed countries among the populous nations of the world. Bangladesh consumed only one-fifth of the electricity and one-third of the steel of their Indian neighbours. Many external markets had been lost and although there was a large workforce it was undertrained, underpaid, largely illiterate, unskilled and underemployed. The war for independence had crippled what transport infrastructure there was and the country was still coming to grips with the damage and death caused by the cyclone of 1970. In the mid-1970s, with substantial help from India, the USA and the USSR, the Bangladesh government turned its attention to the development of new industrial and economic capacity. This involved a programme of nationalisation that, far from galvanising the economy, led to further stagnation and inefficiencies. Subsequently the government allowed greater scope to the private sector, a policy that still continues. However inefficiency in key areas of the public sector meant growth was restricted until well into the 1980s. In 2003 the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a loan of US$390 million and the World Bank a further US$536 million to support the government’s economic reform programme up to the year 2006. There have been a number of ongoing structural weaknesses in Bangladesh that have held back progress: • • • • • • • • • • the inefficiency of state-owned industries widespread political and bureaucratic corruption economic competition, relative to the world serious overpopulation, which cannot be absorbed into the agricultural sector widespread poverty frequent cyclones and floods (1987,1988,1998, 2007) political instability poor infrastructure insufficient power supplies the slow implementation of economic reform. However progress is being made and the economy has shown considerable improvement in encouraging foreign direct investment (FDI) by: • • • cooperating with foreign companies to explore and exploit oil and gas deposits in the Bay of Bengal constructing natural gas pipelines and power stations distributing cooking gas across the country. Progress at last? It is now perhaps more accurate to describe Bangladesh as a Next Eleven emerging market, along with countries such as Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, Mexico and Vietnam or as one of the Frontier Five, with Nigeria, Peru, Vietnam and 278 Production, location and change figure 11.36 Collapsed factory at Rana Plaza, Dhaka, Bangladesh Oman. An emerging market is a country that has some characteristics of a developed market but does not meet the standards required to be a developed market. This includes countries that may be developed markets in the future or were in the past. The term frontier market is used for developing countries with slower economies than ‘emerging’. Bangladesh stands in a prime location to develop as a regional transportation hub and focal point for the South Asian Association for Regional Co-operation (SAARC), the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-SectorTechnology and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC), the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the countries around the Indian Ocean. Bangladesh’s pro-capitalist population helped the country experience a growth rate of 6 per cent in the 10 years between 2004 and 2014 (projected to be 6.5 per cent in 2016). Much of Bangladesh’s industry is export-orientated, with a textile industry second only to China in terms of size. Other key industries include ceramics, electronics, pharmaceuticals and shipbuilding. The soils in Bangladesh are extremely fertile, being located on the vast deltaic deposits laid down by the three great rivers, the Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghna, that flow into the Bay of Bengal, which also means that agriculture and the processing of products are important industries. The textile industry accounts for some 80 per cent of Bangladesh’s exports (2009) but this is an industry where there is increasing unrest and demands for improvements. While some textile and ready-made garment (RMG) factories are modern, well equipped and well managed, the garment trade remains plagued by accusations of low wages and unregulated working conditions-as was seen in the Rana Plaza factory collapse in April 2013, which killed 1100 workers. In 1993 a Child Labour Deterrence Bill forced an estimated 50 000 children into an unregulated informal sector. Although conditions are not ideal the work is financially more reliable than some other sectors, is less degrading than street prostitution, and the wages enable women in particular to invest in their future Production, location and change as well as giving them money to spend and save. Money sent as remittances helps the extended family in the home village and there are other benefits beyond those of an economic nature. Women working in the garment industry marry later, have fewer children and achieve higher levels of education, allowing them to progress. Vision 2021 In 2008 the Bangladesh Awami League won the general election with a manifesto titled Vision 2021. This was to be the policy by which the country would become a MIC and poverty would be completely eradicated by 2021, which is the year of the country’s golden jubilee. The slogan ‘Digital Bangladesh’ proclaimed how, with the use of computers and the efficient application of technology, the election promises of education, health, jobs and poverty reduction were to be achieved. Vision 2021 relies on changing attitudes in a patriarchal society to achieve the empowerment of women and the granting of equal rights. The ultimate goal is to improve the overall lifestyle of all people regardless of class and position. Some seven years on from the election government departments are still using paper-based systems and there have been serious issues of computer data security, such as the release of the personal details of employees in a number of government institutions. Nevertheless the private IT industry continues to expand and in 2010 there were over 300 firms who were registered as members of the Bangladesh Association of Software and Information Services (BASIS). This growth has occurred for a number of reasons: • • • a growing pool of locally available ICT skills increasing confidence in the talent of the pool by global consumers a clear move away from the labour-intensive style of production industries. The fact that English is the second language in Bangladesh and it is the international language of business and trade makes the country an attractive proposition for ‘off-shoring’ of software development and ICT services. The Japan International Co-operation Agency (J ICA) ranked Bangladesh ahead of all other Asian countries, including India and China, for offshore competitiveness as a result of the companies that now flourish there, such as Walton motorcycles, Jamuna Oil Company and Grameenphone. The Bangladesh government has drafted a new industrial policy, which includes stimulus packages for special economic zones aimed at the export market and incentives for any future foreign direct investment. This is similar to the Chinese economic model of the 1990s. Companies who invest in areas that are lagging behind industrially will receive tax breaks on any imported capital machinery or plant. Indeed foreign entrepreneurs will be offered five-year visas and even citizenship if they invest sufficient funds, and might be invited to run loss-making state industries with an emphasis on local market orientated industries. What does the future hold for Bangladesh? The website Economy Watch (2015) reports steady growth in the economy of Bangladesh. Remittances from the Bangladeshi diaspora play a large role in the generation of foreign exchange and with poverty levels falling and literacy rates rising the future looks promising. Continued FDI in all sectors of the economy is encouraging, shipbuilding is growing rapidly with full order books and the ship breaking industry employs over 200 000 workers. Bangladesh recently overtook India in clothing exports worth US$3.12 billion (2014). But labour unrest in the RMG industry has continued with demands for better wages and improved working conditions. Consequently some sweater factories are reported to have automated to overcome the problem of worker unrest. A manual knitting machine needs one operator and can produce a maximum of five garments a day. On the other hand an automatic machine, figure 11.37 Protesting textile workers Production, location and change also operated by a single operator, can produce about 30 garments a day. Many owners are buying expensive automatic machines in order to remain cost competitive in the long term. How the Bangladesh government continues to respond to workers’ demands will determine how much progress the country makes towards its Vision 2021 in the coming years. At present the government’s apparent unwillingness to engage with the mechanisms required for change suggest that Vision 2021 is unlikely to have been achieved by 2021. NOW INVESTIGATE 1 Investigate the contribution that agriculture makes to the economy of the country you live in. What changes have taken place in the last 25 years and what changes are likely to occur in the future? 2 Investigate the types of companies that are located in an EPZ of your choice. What locating factors will have been important to attract these companies to the EPZ? 3 Investigate the issues of soil erosion in a country of your choice. What measures are being implemented to reduce the effects of soil erosion? 4 Desertification affects huge areas and millions of people. Investigate the measures being taken by governments and NGOs in a country of your choice to reduce this problem. How successful do you think the measures are likely to be in combatting the problem? Production, location and chang< 281 C02 emissions from comsumption of fossil fuels CO2 emission values are those calculated from the burning of fossil fuels and include emissions produced during the consumption of solid, liquid and gas fuels, plus those produced during the flaring of gas. u<z UK Netherlands 498 9 239.6 66 Belgium 1399.6 CO2 emissions from the consumption of petroleum 2012 World 32 310.2 flaring of natural gas 2012 Energy regions of the world Eurasia Europe Middle East Germany 788.3 12 Environm ental m anagem ent Europe Poland 289.5 Asia Oceania Africa 4263.3 Turkey 296.9 Kazakhstan 224.2 Russia 1781.7 Uzbekistan 123.2 Ukraine 290.4 Eurasia 2672.0 South Korea 657.1 Japan 1259.1 China 8106.4 Taiwan 307.1 Pakistan 146.9 Vietnam 131.7 India 1830.9 Asia $ Oceania 14 435.8 Thailand 290.7 Singapore 208.0 Malaysia 198.8 Indonesia 456.2 Australia 420.6 Algeria 133.9 Egypt 206.3 Emissions CO2 Emissions 2012 (million tonnes) >5000 South Africa 473.2 Africa 1205.7 1000-5000 500- 1000 300-500 200 - 300 100-200 10- 100 0.1-10 Countries with emissions < 100 are not named. ---------- 1 283 Sustainable energy supplies Renewable and non-renewable energy resources Fossil fuels - natural fuels such as coal, oil and gas that have been formed from the fossilised remains of living organisms-and nuclearfuel, such as uranium and plutonium, are non-renewable. This means that there is a finite supply that will eventually become exhausted. Current estimates suggest that oil may run out by 2050, gas by 2060 and coal by 2090. Conversely, renewable energy can be used indefinitely. Typically these forms of energy, which include hydroelectric power (HEP), biomass, wind, solar, geothermal, tidal and wave power, cause less environmental pollution and are more sustainable. Currently, non-renewable resources dominate global energy; in 2013 87 per cent of energy consumption was from fossil fuels, with nuclear making up a further 4 per cent. Since the invention of the internal combustion engine in the seventeenth century, infrastructure and transport systems have relied on fossil fuels and these are therefore in continual demand. However, this position is unsustainable and the global energy mix needs to be transformed so that there is more balance between renewable and non-renewable energy. Factors at the national scale affecting demand for and supply of energy Clearly, on a national scale, different countries have vastly different populations and levels of economic development so there are huge variations in energy demand and supply. China, with a population of over 1.3 billion people, consumes approximately 5.5 billion megawatt hours per year (MW.h/yr) of figure i2.i Smoke stacks at a coal-burning power plant. figure 12.2 The Green Evolution - moving from fossil fuels to renewable sources of energy. 284 Environmental management electricity. Afghanistan, with a population of just over 30 million people, consumes 231100 MW.h/yr. There is a loose positive correlation between GDP and energy demand - the USA consumes 25 per cent of the world’s energy and has a global share of GDP at 22 per cent-although climate can also have an impact. However, growth in energy demand is particularly intense in newly industrialising countries such as India and China. The energy policy of a country can also have a significant impact on demand; if a country focuses on efficiency and sustainability, demand in renewables may increase, yet if an industrialising nation concentrates on building power stations, this may result in an increase in demand for non-renewable energy. On the other side of the equation, there are also national variations in supply that can be explained by a range of physical, economic and political factors. Physical factors affecting the supply of energy include the fact that deposits of fossil fuels are only found in a limited number of locations and that renewable sources of energy are often natural and therefore require suitable conditions. For example, solar power requires a large number of days per year with strong sunlight, tidal power requires a very large tidal range, wind power requires high average wind speeds throughout the year and HEP requires high precipitation, steep-sided valleys and impermeable rock. Also, the associated infrastructurelarge power stations, for example - requires vast areas of flat land and geologically stable foundations in order to be developed. Coupled with specific physical factors are a series of economic factors affecting supply. Exploitation of resources is often an economic consideration, with the most accessible, and therefore lowest cost, areas being developed first. These are likely to be onshore rather than offshore in the case of fossil fuel deposits and close to major transport and electricity transmission routes in the case of HEP. In countries that are less industrialised foreign direct investment is often required for the development of energy resources. In addition, as energy prices can be volatile, when prices rise companies are more likely to increase spending on exploration and exploitation. Finally, political factors at both a national and global scale can affect the supply of energy. For example, international agreements such as the Kyoto Protocol (2008-12)- an international climate change agreement- can have a significant impact on the way in which nations organise their energy; low-sulfur coal is likely to be favoured over high-sulfur coal as it is more likely to comply with legislation regarding power station emissions. Currently 31 countries operate nuclear power stations, although only France, Belgium, Hungary and Slovakia use them as their primary source of energy. However, any country wishing to develop nuclear energy requires permission from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Environmental management 285 figure i2.4Îurbines generating renewable energy from the wind. It is not only non-renewable sources of energy that are affected by political factors, for example a potential HEP scheme that draws its water from a river that crosses national political boundaries may require agreement from the other countries that share the catchment Also, on a national scale, governments may insist that energy companies produce a certain proportion of their energy from renewable sources, which may significantly affect supply. The balance between different sources Perhaps the most significant factor in energy supply is resource endowmentthe level of energy resources a country can exploit. Generally, those countries with a high resource endowment tend to be more prosperous than those who lack domestic energy resources and rely heavily on imports. However, resource curse theory suggests that this is not always the case with some countries, particularly those with an abundance of non-renewable energy resources, growing more slowly economically than those without a high resource endowment. There are many explanations for this including the volatility of prices on the global market, the decline in the competitiveness of other economic sectors, government mismanagement and weak and ineffectual exploitation of the resources. It is therefore clear that the physical presence of resources themselves does not constitute a ready supply- capital and technology in particular are required to exploit these resources. Developments in technology have increased our ability to exploit resources. For example, the Newjersey Institute ofTechnology has developed solar cells that are so thin they can be embedded into paints and located in places previously unsuitable for solar panels. Also, Advance Turbine Systems (ATS) have increased the height of their turbines, which can boost their efficiency 286 Environmental management by about 20 per cent. Yet it is not only renewable energy that has seen such developments. Oil and gas deepwater drilling is on the rise with over 3400 deepwater wells in the Gulf of Mexico alone and hydraulic fracturing or ‘fracking’ has become a controversial method of extracting shale gas. Research, development and implementation of these new technologies requires vast amounts of capital - each fracking well costs between US$8 million and US$12 million dollars - and so MICs/LICs are limited in their exploitation of energy resources. Environmental impact can also be a factor in the exploitation of energy resources; people are generally well informed about the environmental impact of energy sources and can influence government policy. The use of hydraulic fracturing in the UK is a case in point. UK Onshore Oil and Gas (UKOOG) carried out a survey in 2014 and found that 57 per cent of the UK population is in favour of fracking. However, Greenpeace criticised the lack of independence of the survey and highlighted environmental issues associated with the process such as groundwater contamination and increased seismicity. To date, Members of Parliament have rejected a fracking moratorium although an outright ban has been pledged on fracking in National Parks and 13 conditions must be met before fracking can take place in the UK. figure 12.5 Fracking protesters in New York. Trends in the consumption of fossil fuels, nuclear power and renewables in MICs and LICs The amount of energy used globally has been rapidly increasing in recent decades as a result of both the growing global population and the increased national wealth and living standards of countries such as China and India. In 1990,102 569 terawatt-hours (TWh) of energy were used globally, of which 81 % were from fossil fuels, 6 % were from nuclear power and 13 % were from renewable sources. By 2008 global energy use had increased by 22 % to 143 851 TWh and all three energy sectors had increased; fossil fuels by 24 %, nuclear by 5 % and renewables by 21 %. figure 12.6 The fracking process Environmental management 287 250 figure History 2015 Projections 12.7 World energy consumption outlook Oil Nowhere in the world is the contribution of oil to energy consumption less than 25 per cent It is the main source of energy in North, South and Central America and Africa and accounts for approximately 50 per cent of energy use in the Middle East. The pattern of production is very different to the pattern of consumption; consumption grew by 1.4 million barrels per day in 2014 whilst production grew at a slower rate of 550 000 barrels per day. The Middle East accounted for about 48 per cent of all proved reserves (down from almost 60 per cent in 2008) and 32 percent of all production, with over 13 per cent of global production in Saudi Arabia alone. Coal Coal is the main source of energy in the Asia Pacific region but does not feature strongly in the energy mix of the other world regions. Europe and Eurasia, Asia Pacific and North America each have a fairlyeven spread of proved coal reserves (35 %, 32 % and 28 % respectively) although China dominates production with 47 % of the global total. Consumption is also dominated by the Asia Pacific region, which consumes over 70 % of the global total; China alone consumes over 50 %. Natural gas Natural gas is the main source of energy in Europe and Eurasia and a close second to oil in the Middle East but it does not feature highly in the energy mix of the Asia Pacific region. Production of natural gas increased from 3066 billion m3 in 2008 to 3369 billion m3 in 2013. There is a stronger correlation between the consumption and production of natural gas than there is for oil, which is mainly due to the different ways in which the fuels are transported. Therefore, as well as being the two biggest producers of natural gas, the USA and Russia are also its two largest consumers, using 22 per cent and 12 per cent respectively. Nuclear power Nuclear power is not currently available in the Middle East and it makes the smallest contribution to most of the other world regions. Several European countries, including France, use nuclear power as their primary source of electricity and some countries, including China, South Korea and India are expanding production; India aims to have 25 per cent of its electricity produced by nuclear power by 2050. The USA is the biggest consumer of nuclear power, consuming about 33 per cent of the global total. Hydroelectric power (HEP) HEP dominates renewable energy production with the ‘big four’- China, Canada, Brazil and the USA - producing nearly 55 per cent of the total. However, because HEP requires very specific physical conditions, most of the optimum locations are already in use and so further development is limited. Costa Rica 23 Environmental management generated 100 per cent of its energy from renewable sources for the first 75 days of 2015; this is the first time a country has managed to power itself for so long without the use of fossil fuels. Excellent infrastructure and unusually heavy rainfall at the end of 2014 enabled Costa Rica’s four hydroelectric power stations to work efficiently, allowing it to achieve this milestone. Wind power Wind power is growing rapidly as a renewable energy source; doubling in capacity every three years. Wind power capacity in 2014 was 336 gigawatts (GW), accounting for around 4 per cent of global energy usage. This rapid growth is a result of the decreasing costs of wind technology relative to other conventional energy sources. Biofuels Biofuels are fossil fuel substitutes that can be made from a range of crops including oilseeds, corn and sugar. The USA is the biggest biofuel producer with 44 per cent of the global market, followed by Brazil with 24 per cent. Ethanol fuel stations are available throughout Brazil and carmakers have developed a range of‘flex’ cars that run on any blend of ethanol and gasoline. Biofuel production in some European and Asian countries is growing rapidly; the UK saw an increase of over 50 per cent between 2012 and 2013 and India saw an increase of 42 per cent over the same time period. Trends in LICs There is considerable variation in the rate of energy growth in LICs, which is largely due to variations in both economic development and population growth. It is usually the highest income groups who have access to electricity; globally, 2 billion people lack access to household electricity. In addition, biomass accounts for over 90 per cent of total energy consumption in most LICs. Trends in MICs MICs are increasing their energy demand at the fastest rate. For example, China accounts for one-third of global growth in energy demand since 2000 figure 12.8 Global energy consumption, 2012 Environmental management 289 figure 12.9Trans-Alaska Pipeline (although its consumption per person is still significantly behind that of the USA). Much of this demand is satisfied by fossil fuels, which have a significant impact on greenhouse gas emissions; MICs accounted for nearly 50 per cent of global CO2 emissions in 2013, a figure that is increasing every year. Trends in HICs Deindustrialisation and greater energy efficiency mean that increases in energy demand in HICs have remained fairly modest, indeed some countries, such as Sweden and Norway, have seen decreases in energy demand of over 5 per cent. The environmental impact of energy production, transport and use at local and global levels The environmental impact of burning fossil fuels and other man-made causes of global warming have been much debated. As energy insecurity has increased, so energy companies have had to exploit technically difficult and environmentally sensitive areas. For example, the Trans-Alaska Pipeline (TAP) snakes 1280 km over the Alaskan permafrost from Prudhoe Bay in the north to Valdez in the south. TAP delivers 20 per cent of US domestic oil production and crosses three mountain ranges and over 800 rivers. More than 675 km of the pipeline is above ground; the oil travels through the pipeline at 82 °C, which is enough to melt the permafrost and cause subsidence and leaks (although the design has taken this into consideration). The pipeline has also been designed to take account of the diverse wildlife of the area. Caribou migrate seasonally and so the pipeline is elevated by at least 3 m in over 500 locations so that they can have clear access through the pipeline corridor. Ironically, the melting of sea ice in the Arctic as a result of global warming is opening up the region to further exploration. The United States Geological Survey (USGS) estimates that over 25 per cent of the world’s undiscovered oil Environmental management and gas reserves are likely to be found in the Arctic regions, whilst other surveys suggest as many as 200 billion barrels of oil may be available, which is over twice the amount of oil found in Kuwait. Most environmentalists oppose the exploration and exploitation of the Arctic and argue that the environmental consequences of an oil spill would be serious in such a vulnerable and unique environment. The Deepwater Horizon oil spill near the Mississippi River Delta, USA, provides an example of how energy production has the potential to result in devastating environmental impacts. An explosion on the Deepwater Horizon oil rig occurred on 20 April 2010 resulting in an oil spill of over 4.9 million barrels of oil over the course of 87 days. Around 180 000 sq km of the Gulf of Mexico was affected, home to over 3300 species. Many of these species were directly affected by the oil - of 32 dolphins caught off the coast of Louisiana in 2013 over half were dead or dying- and there are concerns that the oil could remain in the food chain for generations. figure 12.10 Deepwater Horizon oil spill The management of energy supply Case Study China’s electrical energy strategy In 2009 China overtook the USA as the world’s top energy user, a position which it had held for more than a century. What was particularly startling about this fact was that only 10 years previously China’s consumption was about half that of the USA. This growth can mostly be explained by China’s rapid industrialisation, its large population and its growing middle class. In 2011 China's energy mix was dominated by coal (69 %), followed by oil (18 %), HEP (6 %), natural gas (4 %) and other renewables (1 %). Given China’s reliance on fossil fuels it is also unsurprising that in 2007 China also overtook the USA as the world’s biggest emitter of COj it released 8715 million metric tonnes in 2011. However, China’s 12th Five-year Plan (2011-15) built on its predecessor by ensuring more sustainable growth and investing in environment protection industries. Whilst estimates in.2007 suggested that China was building new power stations at the rate of two every week, in recent years they have replaced many of their older power plants with more efficient technologies. Estimates suggest that these ‘cleaner’ power plants have an efficiency of up to 44 %, meaning that carbon emissions are cut by a third. figure 12.11 China’s primary energy production and consumption, 1980-2009 Environmental management 291 Coal China has plans to build over 360 new coal-fired power stations over the next few years. Most of these will be built in the east of the country with 60 per cent concentrated in the six provinces of Inner Mongolia, Shaanxi, Gansu, Ningxia, Shanxi and Hebei. However there is concern that these provinces only account for 5 per cent of water resources - coal power stations are water intensive because water is needed to cool generators and create steam - where competition for water from agriculture and industry is already high. Petroleum reserves As well as developing energy from coal, China is following the USA and Japan in developing strategic petroleum reserves. In 2007 the Chinese government announced that there would be an expansion of reserves so that by 2020 it would hold approximately 209 million barrels (the equivalent to 90 days of figure 12.13 Workers in a Chinese coal mine. 292 Environmental management figure 12.14 Rooftop solar water heaters in Hubei. consumption). Most of these reserves will be held in government-controlled facilities located in Liaoning, Shandong and Zhejiang provinces. Renewable energy China is also the world leader in renewable energy production and this sector is growing more rapidly than both its fossil fuel and nuclear power capacities. In 2013 China generated a total of 378 GW from renewables, mainly from HEP and wind power, and was producing as much energy from water, wind and solar energy as France and Germany combined by 2014. Longer-term estimates suggest that by 2050 China will be producing 30-50 per cent of its energy from fossil fuels; the remaining 70-50 per cent will be produced from renewables. This is due to the finite nature of fossil fuel reserves meaning that all countries, not just China, will have to switch to renewable sources. Wind power China’s large landmass and long coastline provide suitable conditions for wind power generation in particular. Estimates suggest that it has a potential 2400 GW capacity on land and a further 200 GW capacity offshore. The Gansu Wind Farm Project, currently under construction in the desert of western Gansu province, is likely to become the world’s largest single generator of wind power when completed. At an estimated cost of US$17.5 billion it should generate approximately 20 000 MW by 2020. The National Energy Council (NEC) Since 2010 the NEC has been responsible for drafting the country’s energy plan and ensuring energy security. The NEC is overseen by the Chinese Premier, Wen Jiabao, and has implemented a range of policies to encourage and promote renewable energy. These include the ‘Golden Sun’ programme, which provides financial subsidies, technological support and market incentives to promote the development of the solar power industry. Environmental management 293 Case Study TheThreeGorges Dam,China The Three Gorges Dam is the world’s largest electricity generating power plant and the greatest producer of hydroelectric energy; it overtook Brazil’s Itaipu Dam in 2014 by producing 98.8 TWh as opposed to Itaipu’s 87.8 TWh. Spanning the Yangtze River at Sandouping in Hebei province, the dam was completed and fully functional on 4 July 2012. The dam took 18 years to construct and cost US$26 billion. The dam is over 2 km long and 100 m high and houses 32 turbines with a capacity of 700 MW each. The capacity of the plant is 22 500 MW. As well figure 12.15 Satellite image oftheThree Gorges Dam as generating massive amounts of electricity it is also hoped that the project will expand the Yangtze River’s shipping capacity and reduce the likelihood of flooding. Water levels upstream have risen by 90 m, which has had the effect of transforming the river rapids into a lake, allowing ships to function in this stretch of river. Downstream an estimated 10 million people will be protected from flooding as the dam provides additional flood storage. One key objective of the dam is to reduce China’s dependence on coal. The plant provides electricity to two cities, including Shanghai, and nine provinces. It was hoped that, when fully functional, it would provide about 10 per cent of China’s power, although on average it supports less than 2 per cent. However, at full capacity the Three Gorges Dam reduces coal consumption by 31 million tonnes per year, which in turn avoids over 100 million tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions. Erosion and tremors There are two hazards that make the dam vulnerable. First, over 80 per cent of the land surrounding the dam is eroding and depositing about 40 million tonnes of sediment into the Yangtze Ri ver every year. This is trapped behind the dam and so areas downstream are likely to be starved of sediment, making them more vulnerable to flooding and reducing aquatic biodiversity. Second, the dam sits on a seismic fault and the area is prone to earthquakes and landslides. In the first four months of 2010 there were 97 significant landslides and in May 2009 around 50 000 cubic metres of material plunged into Wuxia Gorge. In addition, the dam itself is also under threat from seismic activity. Between June 2003 (when inundation of the dam reservoir began) and December 2009 there was a 30-fold increase in seismic events compared to the pre-dam period. Seismic activity appears to increase when operators increase or decrease the water in the reservoir rapidly and whilst figure 12.16“hree Gorges Dam location map Environmental management figure 12.17 A panoramic view of the Three Gorges Dam. most of the tremors were of relatively small magnitude (under 2.9 on the Richter scale), there have been examples of earthquakes reaching 4.1 on the Richter scale. Relocation and cultural loss Despite the great potential of the Three Gorges Dam there was much opposition to the project. A total of 1.24 million residents were relocated from the area that was to become the dam’s 1045 sq km reservoir (an area larger than Singapore!). Many of these people have had to move more than once and approximately 140 000 have been relocated to other provinces. Also, much of the resettlement has been to land more than 800 m above sea level where temperatures are cooler and the soil is less fertile. Other criticisms relate to aesthetics and the destruction of cultural sites. The flooding of the 600 km-long reservoir raised the level of the water by over 90 m and over 1300 archaeological sites were consequently flooded. Whilst efforts were made to move cultural and historic relics as they were discovered, some have inevitably been destroyed as they could not be moved given their size, location or design. For example, many of the hanging coffins on the Shennong Stream Gorge’s limestone cliffs have been lost or destroyed, although one was found around 10 km west in the Yangtze River and is displayed in a nearby Daoist temple. figure 12.18 Hanging coffins figure 12.19 An abandoned bunker near Chernobyl, Environmental degradation Pollution: character, causes, solutions Environmental degradation is the deterioration of environmental quality through the increase of pollutants (in the land, air or water) and other processes such as improper land use and natural disasters. The nature of pollution, in particular, means that its impact may spread beyond local areas and cross international borders. For example, in 2011, 25 years after the nuclear meltdown at Chernobyl, Ukraine in 1986, 355 Welsh farmers were still affected by the fallout that had covered most of Europe. Also, recent research has suggested that forest fires in Ukraine and Belarus may release further radiation. Tree leaves pick up radioactive ions that are then returned to the soil when the leaves die. Whilst health risks and environmental impacts are generally greatest immediately around the source of pollution - Pripyat (the location of Chernobyl) is an abandoned city- and decrease with distance, atmospheric conditions can complicate this pattern. It is therefore possible to map the externality gradient and field, where the externality is a cost (or benefit) that affects a party who did not choose to incur that cost (or benefit). The vast majority of chemicals are toxic, meaning that at a certain dosage they can damage plants and organisms. Industry and vehicles are major sources of pollutants that can have significant health and environmental effects. For example, Ukraine. Environmental management sulfur dioxide causes respiratory and cardiovascular illnesses and can lead to acid rain, which damages lakes, rivers, trees, buildings and cultural relics. Levels of pollution have generally declined in more industrialised countries. This has been a result of investment into the research and development of green technologies to reduce pollution, the implementation of strict environmental legislation and the relocation of the heaviest polluters (usually heavy manufacturing industry) to emerging market economies. The environmental Kuznets curve suggests that after a certain stage of economic development in a country the level of pollution it causes will decline. The type and amount of pollution is often dependent on the level of economic development of a country. In LICs primary industry is dominant and therefore pollution is often related to activities in agriculture or mining. With industrialisation, manufacturing industries, energy production and transport become the major polluters; although within countries the distribution is uneven and focused on large urban industrial zones. Many newly industrialised countries, including India and China, are at this stage and have seen major, large-scale pollution events such as the Bhopal disaster (1984) and the Harbin explosion (2005). More industrialised countries have seen deindustrialisation, which has generally resulted in a reduction in pollution, although pollution from transport has often increased. Demand and supply of water; issues of water quality Water is the world’s most essential resource and yet for 40 per cent of the world’s population lack of water is a constant threat and one that is getting worse. Demand for water is doubling every 20 years and sometimes, in places where there is enough water, it is wasted or polluted. In less industrialised countries water-borne diseases kill 840 000 people per year and over 750 million people - one in nine of the world’s population - lack access to safe water. UN estimates suggest that two-thirds of the global population will experience ‘severe water stress’ by 2025. A country is judged to experience water stress when the supply of water falls below 1700 m3 per person per year, whilst water scarcity occurs when the supply of water falls below 1000 m3. Water stress and scarcity are likely to limit social and economic development, threaten food supplies and cause conflict between neighbouring drainage basin countries. Africa, South Asia and the Middle East are likely to be particularly severely affected; Yemen, Jordan and Israel are withdrawing 15-30 per cent more water from aquifers than is being replenished. Arctic Circle Tropic of Cancer Deficiency Areas can only support vegetation that is drought-hardy. Areas that have a long period of less than normal precipitation may lose their natural vegetation. 0- -1000 mm over-1000 mm Surplus Areas have enough water to support a wide variety of vegetation. Cropscan be grown without irrigation. over 1000 mm 0- 1000 mm figure 12.20 Water deficiency and surplus 296 Environmental management Physical water scarcity occurs when demand for water is greater than a region’s ability to provide the water needed for its population. Water scarcity is associated with arid and semi-arid areas where high temperatures and Cup of tea evapotranspiration rates are coupled with low precipitation. Economic water scarcity exists when a population does not have the funds available to utilise an adequate supply of water. Millennium Development Goal 7-to ensure environmental sustainabilityaimed to halve the proportion of the global population without improved drinking water between 2000 and 2015. As of June 2014 this target was expected to be met in Northern Africa, Eastern, Southeast and Southern Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean. However, sub-Saharan Africa and Western Asia have seen insufficient progress and Central Asia has seen a deterioration in access to water. The concept of virtual water-the amount of water used to produce food or other products and which is embedded within the item - is becoming increasingly important. For example, one orange requires 62.7 litres of water in its production. Therefore Israel, a water-scarce country, discourages the export of oranges to prevent vast quantities of water being exported to other parts of the world. Global trade in virtual water has been estimated at 2320 billion m3 per year-a flow equivalent to 29 Nile rivers. Factors in the degradation of rural environments; overpopulation, poor agricultural practices, deforestation Rural environments supply the vast majority of the world’s food and are home to most of its forested land. These areas have been rapidly degraded, mainly due to overpopulation as a result of population increase and subsequent pressure on land. Five main causes of unsustainable agricultural practices and degradation have been identified by the UN; policy failure, rural inequalities, resource imbalances, unsustainable technologies and trade relations. The industrialisation of agriculture has also had a significant impact on rural ecosystems, particularly in LICs. Large-scale capital intensive farming of livestock, poultry, fish and crops has spread, particularly since the Green Revolution, and is a consequence of the globalisation of agriculture. In order to make each stage of the food production process more economically efficient there has been vertical integration where a single centre controls all stages of production and merchandise. Large agricultural companies need to increase their share of the market and reduce costs in order to be more competitive. Consequently, agricultural land in LICs has come under the control of TNCs figure litres per y / 250 ml cup of black tea One apple 1 AÇ litres per J 150 g apple Bowl of rice HF A V litres per 100 g bowl Cup of coffee I One orange Potatoes Potato chips 290““»“ 1040 f“p" figure 12.21 Examples of virtual water 12.22 Salt affected soils in Colorado, USA. Salts, dissolved in the soil, rise through the soil due to capillary action and are deposited at the surface and at the base of the fence post. This process is called salinisation. Environmental management figure 12.23 Overgrazing leads to soil erosion and desertification. This is the process where previously fertile land becomes desert. either directly or indirectly. Practices on these farms involve a high level of mechanisation and heavy use of fertilisers, pesticides and herbicides, all of which have a significant impact on the environment In the short and medium term these agro-industrial practices are economically profitable but in the long term they are environmentally unsustainable. Approximately one-third of the world’s farmland is currently affected by salinisation, erosion or desertification, deforestation and air pollution; a decline in biodiversity and the long-term health of farm workers are further concerns associated with the increase in agro-industry. There are also fears that the poorest households suffer as they are forced onto more marginal land by large-scale logging, ranching, mining or agricultural operations. Nigeria has seen some of the highest deforestation rates in the world. In the first five years of the twenty-first century the country lost over 55 per cent of its primary forest, the equivalent of approximately half a million hectares per year. Much of the land is being cleared for logging, timber export, subsistence agriculture and the collection of wood for fuel, which remains a significant problem in Western Africa. As a result of this deforestation Nigeria’s average temperature increased by 1.1 °C in the period 1901-2005 - the global temperature increase over the same period was 0.74 °C. During the same period annual rainfall totals in the country fell by 81 mm. These features combined have led to rapid desertification in rural regions, particularly in the north of Nigeria; to date over 351 000 hectares of fertile land have been lost, equivalent to 0.6 sq km per year. Factors in the degradation of urban environments: urbanisation, industrial development, inadequate infrastructure Urbanisation is the process of population shift from rural to urban areas. Urbanisation has resulted in the physical growth of urban areas, particularly in less industrialised countries. Between 1970 and 2000 over 58 000 sq km of land was urbanised, mainly in India, China and Africa. The UN estimates gŞ Environmental management figure 12.24 Deforestation in the mountains of British Columbia, Canada. that by 2050 approximately 86 per cent of MICs and 64 per cent of LICs will be urbanised. The impacts are largely irreversible and include loss of farmland, fragmentation of habitats and the associated loss of biodiversity, and the alteration of localised climates. Urbanisation in Kaduna Metropolis, Nigeria, has resulted in inadequate infrastructure as development, particularly of waste management, cannot keep pace with rapid population growth. For example, there has been widespread dumping of non-biodegradable rubbish in urban drains and streams that has blocked channels and caused flooding. Industrial development, particularly rapid industrial development, has been instrumental in developing countries economically. However, it has also increased the range and scale of environmental issues in urban areas. Half of the world’s most polluted cities in 2014 were in India, with Delhi having the highest concentrations of airborne particulate matter (PM). Other cities with high concentrations were located in Pakistan and Bangladesh. China had no cities in the top 20 having waged a ‘war on pollution’that has reduced their levels of PM 2.5 (the diameter in microns of the particles most damaging to human health) to 56 (compared with Delhi’s 153). Even though China has managed to curb industrial air pollution in urban areas it continues to battle with the disposal of waste. From 2005-10 Beijing collected an average of 3900 tonnes of rubbish per day more than it had capacity to deal with. China’s waste management companies favour incineration rather than landfill as a means of dealing with the problem. In 2003 approximately 2 per cent of all of China’s waste was incinerated. Ninety new incineration plants are due to be opened by late 2015 and China hopes to increase its incineration rate to 40 per cent by the same date. Environmental management figure 11.25 The 20 most polluted cities in the world (with the highest levels of PM 2.5). Constraints on improving the quality of degraded environments Despite attempts to improve the quality of degraded environments there are numerous constraints that make this a challenging process. For example, it is estimated that, globally, over 100 000 people per day move from rural to urban areas. Many of these people live in slums on marginal land where waste management infrastructure is minimal (or non-existent) and the environmental conditions can deteriorate rapidly. Poor knowledge coupled with poor management by either local or national governments can make improvements difficult to implement. For example, in Southern African countries destructive and poorly conceived land tenure policies have replaced traditional ways of managing the environment. This has been exacerbated by civil wars in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Mozambique and Angola, which have seen resources plundered and rendered large areas of land unusable due to land mines and destroyed infrastructure. In addition, many degraded environments require substantial investment both in terms of institutional and technical costs. For example, integrated river basin management, water pollution reduction programmes and rural road maintenance all require high technical and institutional costs that are often beyond the financial means of many LICs. Also, often these solutions take time to yield results and financers may withdraw support if results are not as expected over the short term. The protection of environments at risk: needs, measures and outcomes Individual environments at risk of land degradation can be assessed in terms of their needs, measures and outcomes. Needs are defined as the strategies that need to be implemented to reduce environmental degradation without destroying the livelihoods of the local population. Measures are the policies and practices that can be implemented in order to achieve these outcomes. Outcomes are a measure of the success of the strategies. Degraded environments often cross international borders and so effective cooperation is required between countries to protect vulnerable areas. 300 Environmental management figure 12.26 Rapid rural-to-urban migration leads to the growth of slums. Whilst most scientists and conservationists agree that nowhere is completely untouched by human activity, some governments have designated Wilderness Areas where the environment is protected by law and human activity and access for outsiders are completely banned. For example, there are 12 Wilderness Areas in the Sami native region in Northern Finnish Lapland. These have been designated to prevent land degradation as well as to protect the livelihoods of the Sami population. Therefore, activities such as reindeer husbandry, hunting and taking wood for use within the household are permitted as long as these activities remain sustainable. Other areas are designated as National Parks and whilst different countries define these in different ways, they all limit human activity and development and serve to educate people on the conservation of the natural environment. According to the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) there are 6555 designated National Parks across the world, the largest of which is Northeast Greenland National Park. Established in 1974 and expanded in 1988, at 972 001 sq km the Northeast Greenland National Park is larger than all but 30 of the world’s countries. It has no permanent resident human population although approximately 40 people, mainly scientists, are present seasonally. Environmental management 301 figure 12.27 Reindeer in Finnish Lapland In many areas it is necessary to sustain sizeable populations and rates of economic activity and when this is the case strategies to promote sustainable development need to be implemented. For example, in Cambodia shifting cultivation has degraded the land causing the local population to migrate, find other forms of employment or occupy other plots of land illegally. The country therefore needs to ensure sustainable agricultural practices; their aim is to achieve this on 20 per cent of agricultural land by late 2015. This will be achieved by: promoting land reform so that local people have greater land security; improving the government’s land use policy; creating an action plan for sustainable agriculture (particularly organic agriculture); and integrating pest management and environmentally sustainable technology. The management of a degraded environment Case Study Darfur Darfur is a region in western Sudan. The eastern half of Darfur is covered with flat plains and low sandstone hills (known as goz). The goz is a challenging environment for people to inhabit; water sources are scarce and pockets of population can only survive where there are reservoirs or boreholes. To the north of the goz lies the Sahara Desert. Despite the region’s aridity it is able to support fertile pasture and arable land in places. Wadis - or valleys - are another feature of Darfur’s physical geography; particularly in the West. During the wet season the wadis flood and flow hundreds of kilometres into Lake Chad. Much of Western Darfur is covered with infertile sandy soil, which is difficult to cultivate. However, small areas of forest do manage to grow here and animals are able to graze the vegetation. Whilst Darfur is predominantly a flat, arid plateau, the Marrah Mountains rise up in the centre of the region; volcanic peaks that rise above 3000 m. Here, there is a small area of temperate climate and a source of water. 302 Environmental management h ; land relief in metres R Hadjer Momou P/at 1450 % ___ over 1000 _ 500-1000 ___ 200-499 | 0-199 1311 Massif Ennedi ouaıi' Bao wadi or watercourse marsh 1189 Iriba Arada Ouadi Hût Massif 1060 r , A Biltine Guereda; du Kapka '>Am-Zoer Ifenat Jebel Teljo A M a r r a 1954 Kutum Djedaa< Fasher Oum-Hadjer a Jebel Marra Mangal Mong< Sodiri Abeche Wad Banda Am-Dam Abu Zabad 1360 ’Goz-Beida Bitkine -îe Massif Nyala du Guera Babanusa de Garar Am Timan El Muglad CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC figure 12.28 Darfur, Sudan figure 12.29 The highest point of the Marrah Mountains. Environmental management Darfur’s environment is generally resource poor and suffers from high natural variability and unpredictability but it is human activity that, over the last three decades in particular, has led to the intensification of farming, grazing and deforestation. Population growth in the region has been dramatic. In 1973 Darfur’s population was 1.3 million but by 2008 this had increased more than five-fold to 7.5 million, 52 per cent of whom were 16 or younger. Over the same period the native administration system has been eroded, populations have migrated to more fertile areas, and political instability and violence have increased. The war in Darfur The war in Darfur officially began in February 2003 when the Sudan Liberation Army (SLA) and thejustice and Equality Movement (JEM) began fightingthe government of Sudan, which they accused of oppressing Darfur’s non-Arab population. Although there are several origins of the conflict-which continues to rage to the present day- access to water and land disputes between seminomadic livestock herders and sedentary subsistence farmers have been partly to blame. The conflict has resulted in the destruction of crops and water sources and the restriction of livestock migration, which has caused local overgrazing and the destruction of trees and rangeland. Livelihoods that are thriving in the context of the conflict, such as brick-making and charcoal-making, are placing unsustainable demands on the area’s natural resources. The UN estimates that 2.8 million people have been displaced as a result of the conflict and many Internally Displaced Person (IDP) camps have been set up around agricultural market towns, degrading the land and affecting prime farmland. There are likely to be long-term repercussions on the livelihoods figure 12,30 IDP camp near Nyala, South Darfur 304 Environmental management figure 12.31 A burned and looted village in Darfur. of both the host and the displaced populations. When reconstruction takes place the demands on forestry will be considerable; a single family compound requires between 30 and 40 trees to be planted, which amounts to planting 12-16 million trees if all internally displaced persons return home. The UN Darfur 2007 work plan Sustainable Resource Management (SRM) has been suggested as an appropriate planning framework for the humanitarian response in Darfur. This equates to a ‘do-no-harm’ to the environment philosophy and requires that the use of resources be kept within the limits of renewable supplies. The UN Darfur 2007 work plan is outlined in Table 12.1. Attempts have been made to integrate the environment into relief efforts with a number of key recommendations being made to specifically improve forestry and water resource management. The rate of deforestation is considerable and table 12.1 UN Darfur 2007 work plan Strategic priorities Environmental responses The provision of basic humanitarian goods and services (food, health, nutrition, shelter and non-food items, water and sanitation) to avoid serious threats to health. • Environmental resources are essential to the provision of these itemswoodfuel, construction materials, water etc. SRM is the framework for ensuring the relief effort is not undermined by resource depletion. To increase the safety of the population by promoting respect for human rights and the rule of law, and strengthening responsive • The safe collection of environmental resources is a key protection issue. As these resources are depleted, collection becomes more remote and more dangerous. SRM makes resources more secure and improves protection. • Community environmental governance is an important component of inter-community relationships, which in turn are important to rebuild the rule of law. • Land tenure is crucially linked with the distribution of environmental resources. Recording and protecting resources and assets will facilitate dispute resolution at a local level. • Coping strategies are dependent on a sustained and therefore a well-managed resource base. • Livelihoods have to be sustainable; this means that they must be supported to reverse Darfur’s natural resource depletion. • A coordinated approach to introducing new technologies for energy and construction is also essential. protection interventions. To promote, encourage and support coping strategies and livelihood potential in order for the beneficiaries to become increasingly self-reliant Environmental management E has a massive impact on the IDP camps and undermines Darfur’s agricultural recovery. It is recommended that a strategic study should assess the amount of forest lost, establish a management plan for the humanitarian context and develop a plan for recovery. Addressing resource depletion in conjunction with livelihoods would tackle the causes of degradation as well as its impacts. Short term economic independence brings advantages but it is important that livelihoods that undermine sustainable resource management are avoided. Therefore, priority should be given to replanting shelter belts and protected forests lost during the crisis. DARFUR saving AFTER 10 YEARS fh 000 000 people helped 10 568 children attend one of our 48 child friendly centres across the region every week 0 82 000 O A Ö families given 9 seeds and tools Over 300 000 trees planted across our sites figure figure 12.33 Measuring groundwater depletion Environmental management we have helped people with: nutrition health promotion food security getting access to clean water sanitation and improving hygiene community building development education. 12.32 The impact of Tearfund (a UK relief and development charity) in Darfur. Water security has been diminished as over-abstraction of groundwater has occurred at IDP camps. However, without accurate measurement of the amounts being abstracted, the resources cannot be managed and the risks are unmitigated. The camps at El Fasher have suffered particularly with severe groundwater depletion, although other camps with large populations and complex local geology include Kalma, Mornei and Kass. It is suggested that in order for SRM measures to be successful, the community needs to be effectively governed to manage both social impacts and natural resources. The rebuilding needs to be robust enough to face the inevitable challenges of future droughts and the ongoing effects of population growth and climate change. NOW INVESTIGATE 1 Investigate the energy mix of a country of your choice. How has it changed over time? How is it likely to change in the future? Can you explain this pattern of energy use? 2 Investigate an example of a significant pollution event. Outline the character, causes and solutions of the example you research. 3 Investigate a Wilderness Area or a National Park. How has this area been managed to prevent land degradation? Environmental management 307 China China, 2014 Exports 2342 billion USS Imports (billion USS) Exports (billion USS) France Poland Russia Switzerland Switzerland China UK Netherlands Netherlands USA Spain UK USA Italy Spain Belgium Italy China Belgium _______ ____________ Germany Germany 50 100 150 100 50 0 Imports (billion USS) Exports (billion USS) Netherlands Sweden China Italy Japan Poland Norway Spain France Italy Russia USA UK USA France China UK Belgium Belgium Germany Germany 150 50 100 0 100 50 Exports (billion USS) Imports (billion USS) UK Italy Spain Belgium China Ireland France Switzerland Netherlands Germany USA 100 50 Exports (billion USS) Ireland Spain Norway Italy Belgium France Netherlands USA China Germany 100 Imports (billion USS) Imports 2408 billion USS USA, 2014 Export and Imports Percentage Imports 1958 billion USS Germany SSBHiirto over 10.0 Belgium H ■■■■ 5.0-10.0 Poland BHHHM Russia Belgium Poland Switzerland 0.0-4.9 Austria UK Global interdependence " ' Italy USA France China Netherlands France 100 150 0 50 Exports (billion USS) 50 100 150 Imports (billion USS) Japan Netherlands | Russia Malaysia H Indonesia Australia | Malaysia Indonesia fl Qatar Germany fl| South Korea Singapore H Thailand flH UAE Saudi Arabia Australia USA China 150 100 50 0 Exports (billion USS) 50 100 150 Imports (billion USS) 200 e: Importing and exporting of goods and ° S’services is one of the biggest contributors [= o-o to global interdependence. The main graphic w “ >3 on this spread shows the interdependence S_3 o of a selection of the world’s biggest trading şr o’ c nations. Some are net exporters and others are net importers. The individual country graphs show each country’s main trading partners in 2014. * South Korea Brazil | Mexico | Russia H Indonesia UAE Kuwait India | Germany Indonesia | Australia Vietnam H Qatar Saudi Arabia Japan H USA Japan China H China 150 100 50 0 50 100 Exports (billion USS) Imports (billion USS) USA India Belgium Brazil | France Saudi Arabia Netherlands South Korea | UK Germany | South Korea UK| Germany Japan Japan Mexico Exports 1623 billion USS Canada Mexico Canada 350 China 300 250 200 150 100 Exports (billion USS) 50 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Imports (billion USS) 350 400 450 500 309 Trade flows and trading patterns Visible and invisible imports and exports Trade can be defined as the exchange of goods and services for other goods and services that someone else possesses or for a monetary sum. The use of money as a medium of exchange has allowed trade to be conducted in a manner that is much simpler and effective compared to earlier forms of trade, such as bartering. In 2013 the world’s nations exported nearly US$18 trillion worth of goods and services. The origins of trade can be traced to prehistoric times with traders shipping goods around the Mediterranean 4000 years ago - the Ancient Greeks and Egyptians traded as far away as Britain. The Romans too, traded goods from the corners of their empire. In the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries ships from the mercantile nations of Europe such as Britain, France, the Netherlands and Spain sailed the world’s oceans colonising new lands and setting up trading posts. This trading system remained in place until the 1960s where the colonies (normally LICs) exported primary produce, often in the form of agricultural produce or mineral ores, to the colonial powers in Europe (or the USA/Canada) who exported manufactured goods such as automobiles or locomotives. This system of trade evolved when many of the colonies gained independence from the 1960s onwards. Since that time there has been a major change in world trade, brought about by changes in a new world order, technology and the formation of trade blocs. The term ‘import’ comes from the word ‘port’, as goods were usually transported on boats to other places. Countries normally import goods that cannot be produced as efficiently or cheaply domestically. They also import raw materials and commodities that cannot be produced in that country either because they have been exhausted or were never found there, for example many countries have to import oil. Exports as % of GDP Net importer Net exporter Imports Exports 0.5 USS (trillions) figure 13.1 World trade in 2014 310 Global interdependence USS (trillions) Imports as % of GDP Exports are a function of international trade where goods produced in one country are shipped to another country for future sale or trade that adds to the producing nation’s gross output. Many of the largest TNCs operating in HICs will earn a large percentage of their revenue from exports to other countries. Economies grow by selling more goods and services and a country’s foreign policy may be underpinned by the need to promote trade with another nation or group of nations. The difference between a country’s imports and exports is known as the balance of trade. A country has a trade deficit if it imports more than it exports; on the other hand, if a country exports more than it imports, it is known as a trade surplus. Trade can further be identified as visible and invisible trade. Visible trade involves the exchange, or the import and export, of actual goods, while invisible trade involves the transfer of non-tangible goods and/or services, including business and financial services such as banking and insurance, tourism and intellectual property and patents. Global inequalities in trade flows As transportation and technology has improved, global trade has increased and governments have relaxed restrictions, partly as a result of lobbying from TNCs that earn huge profits. In most countries global trade now accounts for many of the goods or services bought or sold. Previously, governments often restricted international trade based on mercantilism, which maintained that countries were all competing to maximise their stores of gold. Governments imposed tariffs to restrict imports and promoted exports in order to sell their goods to buy more gold. In the nineteenth century some countries, including the United Kingdom, replaced mercantilism with free trade. figure India imports-top 10 trading partners India exports - top 10 trading partners Statistics are for 2012-2013 Statistics are for 2012-2013 13.2 India’s trade with the rest of the world. Much of India's trade with the rest of the world is dominated by oil products. This is likely to rise as the country becomes highly developed and demand increases. Global interdependence In free trade orientation, governments do not limit imports by imposing tariffs or promoting exports with subsidies. Since the Second World War nations have reduced tariffs on imported goods and currency restrictions on international trade. Despite this move to free trade, many countries still have trade barriers remaining in place such as import quotas, taxes, and various means of subsidising domestic industries, and all of these measures hinder trade. As global trade has increased, governments have addressed the issue of trade regulation that originates or ends outside their jurisdiction. Formerly, governments regulated international trade through bilateral treaties negotiated between two nations. But as trade has become more global and complex, trade negotiations have expanded to include more countries. Now, trade is regulated in part by worldwide agreements governed by the World Trade Organization (WTO). Although most countries in the world are members of the WTO and free trade exists between many countries, the WTO has not entirely eliminated tariffs and other barriers to trade between some countries. Many countries are also members of trade blocs, where groups of countries such as the European Union (EU) allow free trade among member countries and occasionally allow trade with countries they have agreements with, such as South Africa. Some independent nations have negotiated trade agreements with their own interests at heart in a form of protectionism. Some protectionism is employed by most nations, either through subsidies or tariffs to protect essential industries, such as food or steel production. table 13.1 The world’s leading exporters in 2013. World trade is dominated by China. China surpassed the USA as the world’s leading exporter in 2010. Country Rank Exports US$2 210 000 000 000 1 China 2 United States US$1 575 000 000 000 3 Germany US$1 493 000 000 000 4 United Kingdom US$813 200 000 000 5 Japan US$697 000 000 000 6 France US$578 600 000 000 7 Netherlands US$576 900 000 000 8 South Korea US$557 300 000 000 9 Russia US$523 275 000 000 10 Italy US$474 000 000 000 (Source: CIA World Factbook) Factors affecting global trade Global trade is affected by many different factors, some historical but mostly economic and environmental. Some countries are endowed with minerals due to their geology; the presence of coal enabled North West European countries to become net exporters of goods in the nineteenth century, while more recently many countries in the Middle East have been able to become wealthy through the presence of gas and oil. Locational advantage enables some places or even nations to dominate trade. Historical factors enabled industrial centres to develop, such as Sheffield in the UK or Pittsburgh in the USA. The presence of coal, iron ore and limestone enabled these locations to become centres of the steel industry. More recently, the concept of locational advantage has seen foreign direct investment (FDI) take place in Newly Industrialised Countries (NICs) and LICs through Transnational Corporations. They take advantage of proximity to raw materials, cheap and abundant labour, relaxed tax regulations and environmental laws as well as locations that are close to large markets. 312 Global interdependence Transnational Corporations make decisions based on future profits and therefore tend to avoid countries that are unstable due to endemic corruption, weak governance and periodic overthrows of the governing bodies. For these reasons, the MICs/LICs such as Haiti, Honduras and much of sub-Saharan Africa are beset with risks for TNCs and so receive very little FDI. Historical factors are also very important in global trade links. Prior to joining the European Economic Community (now the EU) in 1973, the United Kingdom traded almost exclusively with its former empire. Agricultural produce such as wheat from Canada, sugar cane from the Caribbean, fruit from South Africa and lamb from New Zealand were traded for manufactured goods such as agricultural equipment, vehicles and military hardware produced in the UK. Although this trade is no longer as important, as the EU has become the UK’s major trading partner, it is still a significant part of the UK’s trade, making up around 10 per cent of both the UK’s imports and exports. Canada Sweden Netherlands Russia South Korea $8.5 billion $34.5 billion $6.2 billion Japan $6.4 billion $6.5 billion $6.7 billion Trade agreements between countries are treaties that allow two or more countries to trade without hindrance so goods and services can move freely between their borders without taxes or tariffs. In some trade agreements, such as the EU, free movement of labour and capital is also allowed. These groups of nations are sometimes known as trade blocs. Examples of trade blocs include the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the Caribbean Common Market (Caricom). The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) is outlined in detail in the next section. Some trade blocs practise protectionism where imported goods produced outside of the bloc are subject to tariffs or import quotas. An example of this is the car industry in the EU. Cars imported from countries such as Japan are subject to import tariffs. However, since 1992 and the advent of the Single European Market,Japanese manufacturers can avoid import restrictions by producing cars within the EU made from locally manufactured components. Changes in global markets have revolutionised patterns of world trade since the 1990s as the emergence of NICs has led to a shift in manufacturing and consumption patterns worldwide. China and other Southeast Asian nations have become centres of manufacturing, which has led to global shift (see Chapter 14 for more detail). This in turn has led to huge growth in trade between countries. More details can be found in Chapter 14. Global interdependence The World Trade Organization (WTO) The World Trade Organization is an international body whose mission is to promote free trade by persuading countries to abolish import tariffs and other barriers to trade. It has become closely associated with globalisation and meetings of the WTO often spark protest by anti-globalisation protesters. The WTO is the only global agency that determines the rules of international trade. Its remit is to supervise free trade agreements, settle trade disputes between governments and organise trade negotiations. The decisions it makes are legal and binding, with every member country abiding by its decisions so, when the US and the EU are in dispute over bananas (see text box) or aircraft, it is the WTO that intervenes. The WTO can enforce its decisions by imposing trade sanctions against countries that break the rules. figure 13.5 World Trade Organization members, 2015 Global interdependence The banana wars The ‘banana wars’ were the result of a six-year trade dispute between the USA and the EU. The USA complained that an EU agreement giving banana producers from former European colonies in the Caribbean special access to European markets broke free trade rules. In fact, only 7 percent of Europe’s bananas actually come from the Caribbean as American TNCs control the Latin American banana crop from countries like Ecuador, Costa Rica and Colombia that supply over 60 per cent of the world’s crop. These countries supply 75 per cent of the EU market and the USA itself does not export bananas to Europe. Despite this, the USA filed a complaint against the EU with the WTO and, in 1997, won. The EU was instructed to alter its rules. Since 1975 each Caribbean country has had a quota of bananas, enabling them to sell directly to Europe. The EU hoped that this would help the economies of poorer Caribbean LICs to grow, without dependence on overseas aid. The effect of this deal has been to protect banana farmers in the Caribbean from competition from Latin America, whose bananas are cheaper because they are grown on large-scale mechanised plantations run by giant US-based conglomerates such as Chiquita, Dole and Del Monte. After the WTO ruling, the American government argued that free trade in bananas had not been restored, despite the EU maintaining that it had changed its rules. The USA retaliated by imposing 100 per cent import duties on European products, covering everything from Scottish cashmere to French cheese. The US government have long championed free trade and see state support of agriculture as practised by the EU through the Common Agricultural Policy to be anti free trade. The American government is also lobbied by powerful TNCs that dominate the Latin American banana industry. The EU favoured imports from former European colonies, with no duty imposed on bananas from former colonies in Africa, the Caribbean and the Pacific. However, the EU charged duties on bananas from other countries. It was this policy that the USA disputed. In December 2009 the EU and USA reached agreement at the WTO in Geneva for the EU to gradually reduce its tariffs on all imported bananas by 35 per cent by 2017. figure 13.6 Banana plantation, Costa Rica Based in Geneva, the WTO was founded in 1995, replacing the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT). GATT was started in 1948 when 23 countries signed an agreement to reduce customs tariffs and make trading easier. The WTO is much more powerful than GATT, which regulated trade in merchandise goods, whereas the WTO also covers trade in services such as telecommunications, banking and intellectual property rights. Large trading nations such as China and Russia have only joined the WTO recently as they have looked to boost their own trade. The WTO meets every two years when negotiation on global trade deals take place. These are known as ‘trade rounds’ and are aimed at reducing barriers to free trade. A General Council is in charge of the day-to-day running of the WTO; it is made up of ambassadors from member states who arbitrate on countryagainst-country trade disputes. The WTO has been criticised in many quarters, especially by people worried about the impacts of free trade and economic globalisation. Opposition to the WTO centres on four main areas: 1 2 3 4 The WTO has too much power so it can make nations change laws and regulations by declaring these to be in violation of free trade rules. The WTO is run by the HICs for their benefit and does not address the problems of LICs, such as HICs not fully opening their markets to products from LICs. The WTO has little interest in the impact of free trade on workers’ rights, child labour, the environment and health. The WTO has no democratic accountability as its dealings on trade disputes take place behind closed doors. Global interdependence Supporters of the WTO argue that it is a democratic organisation whose rules were written by its member states (many of whom are democracies), and who also elect its leadership. Furthermore, by expanding world trade the WTO helps to raise living standards around the world. The nature and role of FairTrade and the Fairtrade Foundation The Fairtrade Foundation is concerned with introducing better prices, suitable working conditions and fairer terms of trade for farmers and workers mainly in LICs. It supports the development of th riving farming communities that have more control over their futures, as well as protecting the environment in which they live and work. It does this by marketing and merchandising FairTrade products. This approach benefits small-scale farmers, who are usually amongst the most marginalised groups globally, enabling them to trade rather than rely on aid to to live sustainably. FairTrade works in different ways; for some products, such as coffee, cocoa, cotton and rice, the Fairtrade Foundation only supports small-scale operations. Working through democratic organisations like cooperatives the foundation offers farmers the guarantee of a stable income to plan for the future. For other products such as bananas, tea and flowers, the foundation supports plantations through companies that employ large numbers of workers on estates. Standards differ from other plantations by protecting workers’ rights through healthy and safe working conditions and other measures that would be found in HICs. Employers also have to pay wages that progress towards living wage benchmarks. For most FairTrade goods, the foundation pays a minimum price that covers the cost of sustainable production for that product in the region. Producers receive the market price if the market price for that product is higher than the FairTrade minimum price. This protects farmers from fluctuations in the market for the products they grow thus ensuring a regular and stable income. Farmers are also paid a FairTrade premium and it is up to them how they use it. The premium is the additional sum of money paid on top of the minimum price that farmers and workers receive and can be invested in social, environmental and economic development projects to improve businesses and communities. In reality, it means investment in education, transport infrastructure, health, water and sanitation to provide an improved environment to live in. Although the Fairtrade Foundation works with a range of stakeholders, 50 per cent of the enterprise is owned by producers representing farmer and worker organisations. As a result, they are involved in decisions on overall strategy, use of resources, setting prices, premiums and standards. Arctic Circle Tropic of Cancer Equator figure 13.7 Countries where FairTrade producers are located. 316 Global interdependence FairTrade coffee Around 125 million people worldwide depend on coffee for their livelihoods. Coffee is the most valuable and widely traded tropical agricultural product. Twenty-five million smallholder farmers produce 80 per cent of the world’s coffee, but many of them fail to earn a reliable living from coffee. Coffee is a commodity that suffers from economic expansion and contraction. Global production varies from year to year according to weather conditions, disease and other factors, resulting in a market that is inherently unstable and characterised by big fluctuations in price. Price volatility has consequences for those who depend on coffee for their livelihood, making it difficult for growers to predict their income for the coming season and budget for their household and farming needs. Many farmers live close to the poverty level. The coffee supply chain is complex as beans pass through the hands of growers, traders, processors, exporters, roasters, retailers and finally the consumer. Many farmers have little idea of where their coffee goes or what price it ends up selling for. The more lucrative export of green coffee beans that have been processed ready for export and roasting - is only an option for farmers if they can form cooperatives, purchase processing equipment and organise export or hire a contractor to carry out these processes for them. The Fairtrade Foundation started in response to the dire struggles of Mexican coffee farmers following the collapse of world coffee prices in the late 1980s. In 2011-12 FairTrade certified coffee farmers earned an estimated US$45 million in premiums that were invested in farmer services and community projects. FairTrade products sold by one British supermarket chain: Bananas Sugar Tea Roast and ground coffee Cotton goods such as underwear and T-shirts Cut flowers Pineapples, grapes and citrus fruits Herbs and spices Nuts Drinking chocolate Chocolate bars Wine Case Study FairTrade coffee in Central Vietnam Cud Lie Mnong Fairtrade Agriculture Cooperative is located in Cu Mgar, in the central highlands of Vietnam, at an altitude of between 500 and 600 m. The region has fertile soils suitable for growing Robusta coffee (the most popular variety). Farmers also produce rubber, pepper and tea. The area under cultivation for coffee is around 434 000 hectares, which is about 80 per cent of Vietnam’s total production. In 2008 Dakman (a coffee processing and export company) started work on improving the quality of coffee from the producers in the area. They provided training on a Common Code for the Coffee Community Association (4C) and GAP (Good Agriculture Practice) before helping farmers from the area set up a cooperative producer group. In 2009 they received Fairtrade Foundation certification and now have 84 producers with around 4 hectares of land each for growing coffee. Coffee sales have provided the infrastructure (fuel for water pumps and fertilisers) to improve coffee production. Annual production capacity of Robusta green beans is around 350-400 tonnes. The Fairtrade Premium Cooperative has been used for other projects that have helped improve quality of life for farmers. These include the construction of a coffee storage warehouse and administrative offices, community development projects and support for members to help them increase productivity. (Source: Fairtrade.co.uk) figure 13.8 Cu Mgar location map Global interdependence International debt and international aid The causes, nature and problems of debt at the national scale The debt of poorer countries has long been recognised as being the single largest obstacle to human development Problems arise because of the huge amount of debt that LICs owe to HICs. Debt has forced sustainable human development, security and political or economic stability to be limited in many of these poor countries. This has been allowed to occur for a number of reasons. Colonialism After independence many newly-independent nations came to be governed by the elite who had been government officials under the former colonial rulers. Usually these governments (though they adopted new constitutions, held elections, and claimed to be democratic) continued to rule their territories as if independence had not occurred. Some sided with the capitalist West, while others aligned with the Soviet bloc as old colonial economic patterns remained largely unchanged. Agriculture and mining had been important to the former colonies and remained so with limited investment made to improve the efficiency of these industries. Large sums of money were borrowed from Western banks to invest in industrial development, while massive public works projects were undertaken, such as the gigantic dams at Aswan in Egypt and Akosombo in Ghana. In many cases the supposed benefits of these investments were squandered by the ruling elite (usually supported by a Cold War superpower). This was known as sovereign debt. The borrowed money was often spent on arms to bolster ruling regimes and on sheer consumption, such as the sumptuous palace of Rashtrapati Bhavan (Figure 13.9). Little of this money was spent on developing the vast majority of the population in terms of health or education. During the 1970s and 1980s events combined to show how economically interdependent today’s world is- and severely intensified the plight of the LICs. figure 13.9 Rashtrapati Bhavan, the Indian Presidential Palace. This palace was built by the British before Independence in 1947. It was taken over and modernised by the newly-independent nation at huge cost. Global interdependence First, the oil crisis of 1973-4 caused a sudden sharp rise in oil prices affecting LICs in two ways: 1 2 The increased oil prices meant LICs needed to borrow more. The massive profits made by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and oil companies generated by high oil prices were deposited in banks, which were eager to loan them to someone. Loans to sovereign nations were thought to be very safe and so they took place. As a result LICs were put further in debt and most loans were at variable rates of interest that could be increased if bank rates increased, as they did during financial crises. The rising price of oil led to a period of high inflation globally and banks in HICs raised interest rates. Inflation was replaced by a severe worldwide recession, causing more problems for the indebted LICs. Higher interest rates increased the cost of borrowing and the recession reduced demand for export goods produced by LICs, thereby increasing the need for new borrowing, often at much higher interest rates. As a result many LICs, especially in South and Central America and Africa, spent as much as 50 per cent of their income from exports on servicing their debts by paying interest to overseas banks. Since the 1990s, under the auspices of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, a new class of poor nation has emerged - Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPCs). The HIPC Initiative was launched in 1996 to ensure that no country faces a debt burden it cannot manage. Since then multilateral organisations and governments have worked together to reduce to sustainable levels the external debts of the most heavily indebted poor countries. A reappraisal in 1999 allowed the Fund to provide better debt relief to HIPCs, strengthening links between debt relief and poverty reduction. In 2005 the HIPC Initiative was supplemented by the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) to help accelerate progress toward the United Nations Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). The MDRI allows for 100 per cent relief on eligible debts by three multilateral institutions-the IMF, the World Bank, and the African Development Fund (AfDF)-for countries completing the HIPC Initiative process. Negotiations between the IMF and indebted poor countries for restructuring of debt takes place continuously. New loans or conditions are granted if the country adopts structural adjustment programmes that make governments undertake austerity measures designed to control inflation, limit government corruption and scale back public services. Often these measures worsen economic situations that were already quite bad and are unpopular with the population. The HIPCs are in a hopeless position regarding foreign exchange-they need to keep their economies running and have to export whatever they can and even, in some cases, have to deprive their people of food and medicine. Much of this export revenue has to be used to service debt. Many HIPCs are producers of primary products such as cocoa, coffee and rubber and have to export to gain foreign exchange. As a result, they are vulnerable to the fluctuations of world market prices. During worldwide recessions demand for commodities decreases, cutting income to HIPCs and forcing them into negotiating new loans. Many organisations and individuals advocate excusing HIPCs the debts they owe as, in all probability, they cannot be paid back and they cause unnecessary suffering to people who did not arrange the debts in the first place and have gained little benefit from the borrowed money. However, the international financial community is reluctant to consider writing this debt off as this could lead to bankruptcy on a national level and another world financial crisis to rival that of 2008. Even amongst some HICs large debts have resulted in financial crises, such as those experienced in the PIGS countries (Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain), with the crisis in Greece enduring much longer than in the other three countries. Global interdependence figure 13.10 Gugulethu, Cape Town, South Africa. Around a third of Cape Town’s 3.8 million people still live in apartheid-era townships. Many of these townships are on the Cape Flats, such as Gugulethu. Around half of Gugulethu’s population of 100 000 live in shacks. Some improvements have been made, such as access to electricity. Odious debt Odious debt is debt that has resulted from loans given to dictators and repressive governments in order to maintain order or to build new presidential palaces or similar buildings. Iraq built up considerable debts while underthe rule of Saddam Hussein, while in South Africa after the elections of 1994 the new government under Nelson Mandela was saddled with the debts run up by the previous apartheid regime, which totalled over US$11 billion. As a result, health and education services suffer and there is a lack of investment in services such as utilities in South Africa so that the debts can be repaid. Many countries that were, or still are, developing have odious debt run up by previous governments. These countries include Argentina, where taxpayers are paying debts accrued by the military junta in the 1980s. Kenya, Congo, Uganda, Haiti and Nicaragua (where the odious debt is over five times the country’s total GDP) are all considered to be paying off odious debts. Debt cancellation is the only way in which these countries can rid themselves of debt and go on to develop and prosper. Mismanaged lending Further debt resulted from mismanaged spending and lending by the West in the 1960s and 1970s. In the 1960s the USA spent more money than it actually had, which resulted in ‘quantitative easing’(the printing of more dollars). Oil-producing countries such as Saudi Arabia were pegged to the dollar as this was the currency oil was traded in, and were affected as the value of the dollar decreased. In 1973 the oil-producing countries put up oil prices and earned large amounts of money that were deposited in western banks. Interest rates started 320 Global interdependence to plummet as inflation rose - resulting in more lending by banks to prevent a financial crisis. Many of these loans went to countries led by western-backed dictators, resulting in little benefit for most of the people living there. In 1982 Mexico defaulted on its loan repayments and the IMF and World Bank stepped in to help Mexico and other nations facing similar problems. The IMF introduced structural adjustment policies to ensure debt repayment. The poor suffer the most as a result of structural adjustment. Loans to LICs are repaid in currencies that are stable and do not experience wide fluctuations, such as the US dollar. LICs, on the hand, have weak currencies that are often the subject of significant fluctuations in exchange rate, leading to further debt crises as the value of their currency declines against stronger currencies. The introduction of structural adjustment policies due to advice from the IMF leads to cutbacks in spending in areas such as health and education to help repay loans. This leads to reduced development and a downward spiral that brings further poverty to the poor. The debt crisis and debt relief From the 1990s various countries had financial crises at various times such as in Southeast Asia in 1997 and Brazil in 1999. These crises were often caused by short-term commercial bank debt and/or securities market investment. In the case of the Southeast Asian crisis, the private sector (not the public sector) was the main culprit. Banks, non-banks and corporations over borrowed and foreign banks and private investors over lent. Huge capital outflows and severe currency speculation often accompany these crises. Some heavily indebted poor countries - many of them in sub-Saharan Africa - could not escape from the debt trap even with repeated structural adjustment programmes and debt rescheduling. Some of them sought debt relief several times, or more. They continue to suffer from economic stagnation and the burden of heavy debt even today. It was clear that their problem was insolvency and that their economic prospects were bleak- a new approach had to be taken to stimulate development. At the same time as the HIPCs Initiative was launched the World Bank introduced a new development approach for poor countries called the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) (1999). The PRSP was drawn up by individual countries and the World Bank to provide measures and a timetable for poverty reduction. According to the World Bank, poverty reduction strategies should be: • • • • • driven by individual countries to promote national ownership of strategies through the participation of the population focused on final outcomes that will benefit the poor recognise the multi-faceted nature of poverty involve partnerships of government, domestic stakeholders and external donors appreciate that poverty reduction is a long-term goal. By 2015 well over 50 countries had reached the PRSP completion point (this means they had complied with the World Bank poverty reduction strategies for a period of three years). In July 2005 the countries attending the G8 Gleneagles Summit pledged full cancellation of debt owed to the International Development Association (World Bank), the IMF and the African Development Fund to countries that reach the completion point of the HIPC Initiative. Reaching the completion point of the PRSP also results in debt cancellation. Some opponents of debt relief strategies argue that they do little to help the poor - especially in those LICs blighted by corruption. Others argue that countries will run up further debts in a misapprehension that one day these debts will also be cancelled. Many LICs use the money they gain access to to enhance the wealth of the richest in those nations, many of whom will spend or invest this money in HICs. It is felt that money would be far better spent in specific aid projects that will relieve the poor, particularly in rural areas. The origins of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund Just before the end of the Second World War representatives of the Allied powers met at Bretton Woods, a resort in New Hampshire, USA. The meeting set up a new world monetary system using the ideas of economist John Maynard Keynes. The United States adopted a gold standard and agreed to exchange its currency for gold at the rate of US$35 per ounce. Other nations either adopted the gold standard as well or pegged their currency value to that of the US dollar, with minor adjustments permitted. This enabled trade to take place among the allies and the newly-rebuilt economies of West Germany and Japan after the war. Two major international financial institutions were set up as part of the Bretton Woods agreements-the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. Although both organisations have most of the world’s nations as members, they are headquartered in Washington DC and the USA and its allies effectively govern their policies. The World Bank was set up to lend funds to MICs/LICs and has loaned more than US$330 billion. The majority of these loans have failed to achieve their objectives and are unlikely ever to be repaid. In the 1980s the World Bank began to make so-called ‘structural adjustment’ loans to developing countries to restructure bad debts and to introduce unpopular austerity policies. The IMF was set up to monitor international currency exchanges and to make short-term loans to nations experiencing short-term problems meeting their balances of payments. In recent years the IMF has expanded its functions into areas that overlap the mandates of the World Bank - for example, it has made large loans to bail out countries in the European Union such as Ireland and Greece. Global interdependence 321 Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger figure Achieve universal primary education Promote gender equality and empower women Reduce child mortality Improve maternal health Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases Ensure environmental sustainability A global partnership for development t+T« 13.11 The Millennium Development Goals The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and poverty The UN Millennium Summit (2000) adopted ambitious social targets to be achieved by 2015, which were called the Millennium Development Goals. One of these goals was to halve the ratio of people in absolute poverty between 1990 and 2015. For the goals to be attained, the World Bank’s PRSP was going to be used (hence the link between World Bank and UN policies). The World Bank’s economists estimated that achieving the MDGs would require an additional US$4O-6o billion dollars of Overseas Development Aid (ODA) per year (doubling the current level of global ODA). The EU promised to increase its ODA to 0.39 percent of GNP (Gross National Product, amounting to about US$7 billion) while the USA committed to add US$15 billion over three years for the benefit of MICs/LICs engaged in 'good practice’. But in the financial crisis suffered by the HICs from 2008 onwards many countries cut their ODA budgets drastically. The Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) were introduced in 2015 by the United Nations to replace the MDG that expired at the end of 2015. The MDGs have not been entirely successful as over a billion people are still living in poverty on less than $1.25 a day. There are 17 SDGs with 169 individual targets; they will run until 2030. The The SDGs have a much wider scope than the MDGs with aims to eradicate poverty, protect the environment and ensure prosperity for all. Further details can be found here: http://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/sustainable-development-goals/ Aid Aid (also known as Overseas Development Assistance (ODA)) is the assistance governments, non-government organisations (NGOs), businesses and individuals of one country give to the people of another country to help reduce poverty and achieve sustainable development. Different kinds of aid Relief aid is often known as humanitarian aid and its purpose is to save lives, reduce suffering and respect human dignity. Relief aid is normally employed after events such as natural disasters or humanitarian crises such as civil wars or famine. Also known as short-term aid, relief aid is generally administered by NGOs such as Medecins Sans Frontiferes or the Red Cross. Development aid (also known as international aid, overseas aid or foreign aid) is financial aid given by governments and other agencies to support economic, environmental, social and political development Development aid is different to humanitarian aid as it is long term and concentrates on alleviating poverty, rather than on a short-term response to a disaster. Tied aid is foreign aid that must be spent buying products from the donor country that provided the aid or in a group of selected countries. HICs will provide a bilateral loan or grant to a MIC/LIC but mandate that the money be spent on goods or services produced in the selected country. Examples of this include money given by the UK to fund the building of a hydroelectric dam on the Pergau River in Malaysia (1991) with money from the UK foreign aid budget. The Malaysian government bought around £1 billion of arms from the UK. As a result, the UK Government’s rules on ODA were changed to make it illegal for tied aid to be given. Global interdependence Bilateral aid is assistance given by a government directly to the government of another country. This is usually the largest share of a country’s aid. Bilateral aid is often directed according to strategic political considerations as well as humanitarian considerations. Multilateral aid is assistance provided by governments to international organisations, such as the World Bank, the United Nations and the International Monetary Fund, that is then used to reduce poverty in developing nations. The impact of aid on receiving countries Aid is often regarded as being too generous or wasted on corrupt recipient governments, despite the good intentions of donor countries. In reality, both the quantity and quality of aid have been poor and some donor nations have had little regard for what the money has been spent on. In 1970 the world’s HICs agreed to give 0.7 per cent of their GNI (Gross National Income) as official international development aid every year. Since that time, despite billions given each year, HICs have rarely met the promised target. For example, the USA is often the largest donor in dollar terms but ranks amongst the lowest donors in terms of meeting the stated 0.7 per cent target. Furthermore, aid often comes with a price of its own for developing nations. • • • • Aid is sometimes wasted on conditions that the recipient must use overpriced goods and services from donor countries (tied aid). Most aid does not actually go to the poorest people who need it the most. Amounts of money given in aid are dwarfed by the protectionism practised by HICs that denies market access to MICs/LICs and their products, while HICs use aid as a lever to open the markets of MICs/LICs to their products. Large projects or massive grand strategies often fail to help vulnerable people as the money is often embezzled. Overseas development assistance Some people (including NGOs and social activists) say that ODA should be given in grants rather than in loans, which worsen the debt burden problem. Others believe that ODA should only be given to LICs and MICs should not receive official aid since they can attract private funds - India, for example, was receiving ODA from the UK in 2014 despite having implemented an ambitious space programme. Countries such as the USA believe that ODA should be given only to poor countries with ‘good governance’(this is called the selectivity argument) because money given to countries with bad policies and institutions will be wasted. For these countries advice, not money, should be given. To reduce transaction costs, for example fact-finding missions, reports, meetings, administration etc., aid programmes need to be coordinated among all donors. Common funds should be created to which all donors contribute, thereby avoiding overlap and duplication and ensuring the money reaches the people who need it most. Japan follows an approach where since the needs of each country are different and each donor has its comparative advantage, it is neither necessary nor desirable to unify all aid programmes and implementation. The role of non-governmental organisations (NGOs) Non-governmental organisations have become quite prominent in the field of international development in recent decades. But the term NGO encompasses a vast category of groups and organisations. The World Bank defines NGOs as “non-profit organisations that pursue activities to relieve suffering, promote the interests of the poor, protect the environment, provide basic social services, or undertake community development.” NGOs encompass a wide variety of groups, ranging from corporatefunded research associations to community groups, grass-root activist groups, development and research organisations, advocacy groups, operational, emergency/humanitarian relief focused groups, and so on. Global interdependence 323 Since the mid-1970s, the NGO sector in both HICs and MICs/LICs has gone through massive growth. Around 15 per cent of total overseas development aid is distributed through NGOs, which is possibly as much as US$10 billion a year. There could be as many as 30 000 national NGOs working in LICs and the number of smaller scale community-based organisations number in the hundreds of thousands. NGOs can be criticised despite the good they do. For example, in non­ emergency situations some food aid groups deliver food from HICs to MICs/ LICs for free, or virtually free, which ends up undercutting local producers, thereby having a negative effect on local farmers and the economy of the country. In addition, many NGOs working in the area of population-related issues can do more harm than good due to misunderstandings about overpopulation and family and community structures in those societies. Many NGOs have religious roots and are therefore seen as a moral thing to support. Sometimes this aid has limited impacts due to the way it is administered. Aid has often led to excessive dependency or reliance on aid rather than helping nations move away from aid. The aftermath of colonialism, corruption, conflict, rebuilding and developing often requires outside assistance. The form of assistance that would be preferred is one that allows the recipient, especially the rural poor, to help themselves, along the lines of the age-old quote: “Give a man a fish; you have fed him for today. Teach a man to fish and you have fed him for a lifetime.” The development of international tourism Reasons for and trends in the growth of tourism Tourism is the world’s largest income earner and was worth US$1.5 trillion in 2014. Tourism has become a global leisure activity as can be seen in Figure 13.12. There were 1.13 billion international tourist arrivals in 2014, which represents growth of 4.4 per cent over the previous year. Over the past 50 years tourism has experienced continual growth to become one of the fastest growing economic sectors in the world. Tourism is closely linked to development and is now a key driver of socio-economic progress in many LICs. Capital raised from tourism activities equals the revenue gained from other economic sectors such as oil exports, food products or vehicles. Tourism is one of the major players in international trade and one of the main income sources for many countries at various stages of development. This global spread of tourism in HICs has produced economic and employment benefits and a valuable source of foreign earnings that help negate trade deficits. Figure 13.13 shows the last 60 years of tourist growth, increasing from just tens of millions in 1950 to 694 million in 2004. The continued dominance of Europe as a destination saw over 40 per cent of world tourists visit Europe in 2014, while large numbers continue to visit East Asia and the Americas. figure 13.12 The economic value of tourism in 2015. 324 Global interdependence Estimates figure 13.13 Tourist arrivals, 1950-2020 Tourism generates huge amounts of wealth and employment for countries at all stages of development. The reliance on tourism as a source of income varies across the globe and can be measured as a percentage of GDP in many countries. Most Caribbean countries get at least half of their GDP from tourism and France, Spain, the USA, China, Italy and the UK are amongst the most visited countries in the world. table 13.2 International tourist arrivals Rank | Country Arrivals in 2014 (millions) % change since 2013 1 France 83-7 0.1 2 United States 74-8 6.8 3 Spain 65.0 7-i 4 China 55-6 2-9 5 Italy 48.6 1.8 6 Turkey 39-8 5-3 7 Germany 33-o 4.6 8 United Kingdom 32.6 5-0 9 Russia 29.8 5-3 10 Mexico 29.1 20.5 (Source: United Nations World Tourism Organization (UN WTO)) World tourism Some key figures: • 10 per cent of GDP • 1 in 11 direct, indirect and induced impact jobs • US$1.5 trillion in exports • 6 per cent of the world’s exports • grown from 25 million international tourists in 1950 to 1133 million tourists in 2014 • 5-6 billion domestic tourists • 1.8 billion international tourists forecast for 2030. Global interdependence Many HICs dominate the income earned by tourism (Table 13.3). table 13.3 International tourism revenues Income in 2014 (USS billions) Country Rank % change since 2013 177.2 2-5 Spain 65.2 4-2 China 56.9 10.2 1 United States 2 3 4 France 55-4 -2.3 5 Macao (China) 50.0 -1-9 6 Italy 45-5 3-7 7 United Kingdom 45-3 10.3 8 Germany 43-3 5-o 9 Thailand 38.4 -8.0 10 Hong Kong (China) 38.4 -1.4 (Source: United Nations World Tourism Organization (UN WTO)) Tourism has grown over the last half century for a number of reasons. 1 Advances in travel technology: The advent of the jet engine and wide-bodied jets has meant that travel to distant lands is now no longer the preserve of the very rich. Budget airlines such as Easyjet and AirAsia and their use of regional (and therefore accessible) airports have brought the price of air fares down and this has increased traffic volumes even in NICs. 2 Disposable income: Salary rises and the price for essential goods such as housing, food and clothing has fallen in relative terms in most HICs. Families now have two income earners as the role of women has changed in many countries leading to increased wealth, the birth of fewer children and 3 4 5 high levels of personal mobility. Changing lifestyles: Shorter working weeks, flexible working hours, longer holiday entitlement, increasing life expectancy and earlier retirement in HICs and MICs has led to more people taking holidays. Changing types of holiday: The availability and type of holiday has increased - mass tourism and package holidays have opened up markets to large numbers of people. Extreme tourist destinations and ecotourism have risen in popularity. The media: Increased exposure to the media, especially TV and the internet, leads to the popularity of some destinations increasing. Tourism growth can be negatively affected by events such as civil unrest. After the Arab Spring uprisings in Egypt in 2010 visitor numbers at Red Sea resorts, hundreds of miles away from Cairo, declined. Terrorism too can trigger similar drops in tourist numbers. After Bali was bombed it suffered a severe fall in tourist numbers and global tourist numbers fell after the 9/11 and 7/7 terrorist attacks. Acts of terror in Morocco in 2011 and Tunisia in 2015 saw foreign nationals advised by their governments not to travel to those countries for fear of similar events occurring again. The banking crisis of 2008 also hit tourist numbers as people had less money available to them fortravel. The impacts of tourism on the environments, societies and economies of tourist destinations While tourism has many positive economic outcomes, it can also have undesirable impacts. Tourism is a complex industry involving numerous stakeholders (sometimes with conflicting interests) that requires significant resources, which can lead to damaging impacts. 326 Global interdependence Negative impacts from tourism occur when the level of visitor numbers exceeds the environment’s ability to cope with this increased use. Uncontrolled tourism poses potential threats to many natural areas around the world. It can lead to varying impacts such as soil erosion, pollution, discharges of sewage into the sea, natural habitat and biodiversity loss and increased vulnerability to forest fires. It often puts a strain on water resources and can force local populations to compete for the use of other critical resources. The environment One of the criticisms of the development of tourism is the impact it has on the natural environment. These impacts include overuse of natural resources, pollution, landscape degradation and threats to biodiversity. The tourism industry generally overuses water resources for hotels, swimming pools, golf courses and personal use of water by tourists. This can result in water shortages and degradation of water supplies, as well as generating a greater volume of wastewater that needs disposal. In drier regions, such as the Mediterranean, the issue of water scarcity is of particular concern. Golf tourism has increased in popularity and the number of golf courses has grown massively but the construction and use of golf courses depletes fresh water resources. Golf courses then require an enormous amount of water every day, which can result in water scarcity. The development of tourism and other recreational facilities has led to greater pressure on resources as well as landscapes. Deforestation caused by land clearance for tourist developments has a negative impact also. In Nepal, a country that is badly affected by the impacts of deforestation, each tourist on trekking vacations can consume up to 5 kg of firewood per day. Tourism can cause the same forms of pollution as any other industry: air emissions, noise, solid waste and littering and the release of sewage, oil and chemicals. In areas with high concentrations of tourist activities and appealing natural attractions waste disposal is a serious problem and improper disposal can be a major despoiler of the natural environment- rivers, scenic areas and roadsides. Cruise ships in the Caribbean are estimated to produce more than 70 000 tonnes of waste each year. Some trails in the Peruvian Andes and in Nepal frequently visited by tourists have been labelled the Coca-Cola Trail and the Toilet Paper Trail. Construction of hotels and other facilities often leads to increased sewage volumes, which in turn leads to polluted seas and lakes surrounding tourist attractions damaging the flora and fauna. Sewage runoff causes serious damage to coral reefs because it stimulates the growth of algae, which cover the filter­ feeding corals, hindering their ability to survive. Sewage pollution can also threaten the health of humans and animals; according to the United Nations Environment Programme around 85 per cent of the sewage discharged into the Caribbean is untreated. Often tourism fails to build facilities that are in keeping with natural features and indigenous architectural styles. Large, dominating resorts of different designs can look out of place in any natural environment and may clash with the local buildings. A lack of land-use planning and sympathetic building regulations in many destinations has facilitated sprawling developments along coastlines, valleys and scenic routes. This includes the tourism facilities as well as infrastructure such as roads, employee housing, parking, service areas and waste disposal. Attractive landscape sites, such as sandy beaches, lakes, riversides and mountaintops, are often species-rich ecosystems. Typical physical impacts of tourism include the degradation of such ecosystems. The ecosystems most threatened with degradation are ecologically fragile areas such as alpine regions, rainforests, wetlands, mangroves, coral reefs and seagrass beds. The threats to and pressures on these ecosystems are often severe because such places are very attractive to both tourists and developers. The building of alpine-style ski resorts has led to many environmental issues such as habitat and biodiversity loss, soil erosion from the preparation of pistes Global interdependence 327 (ski-runs) and over-use of water resources to manufacture artificial snow when natural levels are low. Development of coastal facilities such as marinas can cause changes in currents and coastlines, leading to the destruction of habitats such as coral reefs and mangroves. Coral reefs are especially fragile marine ecosystems and are suffering worldwide from reef-based tourism developments. Evidence suggests a variety of impacts to coral result from shoreline development, for example, increased sediment in the water, trampling by tourists and divers, ship groundings and anchoring, pollution from sewage, overfishing and fishing with poisons and explosives that destroy coral habitats. The Maldives, in particular, face many of these threats as well as rising sea levels due to climate change. Tourists using the same trail over and over again trample the vegetation and soil, which eventually causes damage that can lead to loss of biodiversity and other impacts. Such damage can be even more extensive when visitors frequently stray off established trails. In many British and Irish upland areas trampling is a perennial problem, especially where visitor numbers are large. The economic impacts of tourism are well documented in terms of its contribution to a country’s GNI, the number of people it employs, and the overall wealth it brings but its impacts on local economies are often overlooked. Economic impacts Unlike some of its environmental impacts, tourism’s economic impacts are mainly considered to be beneficial. These are: Often tourism projects are subject to conditions that allow for positive environmental impacts. These include planting of trees and landscaping to minimize the visual impact of any development. Environmental protection programs such as building using energy­ efficient and non-polluting construction materials, sewage systems and energy sources allows the tourism industry to develop in a sustainable way. The Grupo Punta Cana resort in the Dominican Republic, was designed to conserve the natural habitat of Punta Cana. Ten thousand hectares of land was designated a nature reserve and native fruit tree garden, including 11 fresh water springs surrounded by a subtropical forest where many species of unusual Caribbean flora and fauna live in their natural habitat. A trail leads from the beach through mangroves and lagoons of fresh water past dozens of Caribbean flora and fauna species and can be explored by tourists. Parts of the reserve that had been deforested in the past have been replanted. Other environmentally protective policies have been put into effect at the resort, such as programs to protect the offshore barrier reefs and the recycling of wastewater for use in irrigation of golf courses. The resort has also established a biodiversity lab run by an American university. 328 Global interdependence • • • • • • • the generation of foreign exchange the creation of new job and employment opportunities the stimulation of trade, income and entrepreneurship - especially in the service and small business sectors the provision of new infrastructure, which is then available for non-tourism uses increased regional development- particularly in isolated rural areas greater tax revenue, which permits greater government spending or reduced taxes on other activities the impact of the multiplier effect (see page 330). In many LICs tourism is often in the control of overseas companies in the form of resorts and hotels, which employ local people in low paid work as domestic staff such as chambermaids and waiters. Management positions are usually held by foreign nationals, who are often from HICs. These resorts import food and drink products from HICs as their guests demand familiar tastes. This can impose extra costs on host countries by requiring them to import these items for resale to the visitors. This is especially so with small island economies that do not produce locally what the tourists want- not just the food and drink brands that the visitors prefer but also luxury purchases such as jewellery and photographic equipment. Local producers grow foodstuffs, for example salad crops, that are familiar to tourists at the cost of growing food for locals. Tourism can be a useful tool for the alleviation of poverty and given careful management can be part of the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper for the poorest LICs - many LICs use tourism as a way of raising revenues in order to relieve their foreign debts. At the same time, there are many negative consequences to consider. These are: • • • • • • leakages of expenditure out of the local economy increased imports opportunity costs displacement effects over-dependence on tourism inflation and higher land values • seasonality issues • • over-reliance on expatriate labour problems over foreign capital investment Social and cultural impacts The social and cultural impacts of tourism are ‘people impacts’concerning the effects on people in host communities from their direct and indirect associations with tourists. These can include commodification, where local traditions such as rituals, festivals and dress become entertainment for tourists. Some rituals are performed daily, which reduces their significance for local people. Tourists demand souvenirs and local craftsmen may be forced to mass produce goods for the tourist market, making these goods less authentic. Another impact is standardisation, where tourists expect to see familiar facilities in unfamiliar surroundings such as fast food outlets from their own countries. Because tourism involves mixing between people who would otherwise not meet, cultural clashes can take place as a result of differences in cultures, ethnicity, religion, values, lifestyles, languages and levels of prosperity. In LICs there is likely to be a growing distinction between the 'haves’ and ‘havenots’, which may increase social and sometimes ethnic tensions. In resorts in countries such as Jamaica, Indonesia or Brazil, tourism employees with annual salaries of US$1500 spend their working hours in close contact with guests whose yearly income is well over US$100 000. Tourists in countries where there are strict rules regarding dress or the consumption of alcohol often disregard or are unaware of these standards, ignoring the prevalent dress code, appearing half-dressed (by local standards) in revealing shorts, skirts or even bikinis, sunbathing topless at the beach or consuming large quantities of alcohol openly. The attitude of local residents towards tourism development may unfold through the stages of tourism. Initially visitors are made welcome, but apathy, irritation and potentially antagonism may lead to anti-tourist attitudes growing among local people. Jobs in the tourism sector often involve long hours, unstable employment, low pay, little training and poor chances for qualification. As a result many children are recruited to work. Adults and children are coerced into becoming sex workers with little chance of being able to escape this life. The growth of mass tourism is also often accompanied by increased crime. The presence of a large number of tourists with a lot of money to spend, and often carrying valuables such as smart phones and expensive watches, increases the attraction for criminals and brings with it activities such as robbery and drug dealing. Another impact is acculturation where cultures mix and eventually become similar-the culture of the resort area is often influenced by Western culture. Tourism can contribute to positive developments, not just negative impacts. It has the potential to promote social development through employment creation, income redistribution and poverty alleviation. Other potential positive impacts of tourism include: • • strengthening communities facilities developed for tourism can benefit residents • • revaluation of culture and traditions encourages civic involvement and pride. Tourism’s environmental and socio-cultural impacts are usually considered to have a number of positives to offset some of the negative effects but they may not always be able to do so at the same level of advantage that tourism’s economic impacts can. Carrying capacity The concept of carrying capacity is used widely in geography, with varying definitions. Basically it is the ability or capacity of an area to deal with the numbers and demands of visitors who use an area. The World Tourism Global interdependence 329 Organization (WTO) proposed the following definition of carrying capacity in 1997: “The maximum number of people that may visit a tourist destination at the same time, without causing destruction of the physical, economic, socio-cultural environment and an unacceptable decrease in the quality of visitors’ satisfaction. This is based on the idea that any geographical system has certain limits or thresholds. These thresholds, when exceeded, may affect permanently not only physical components of an environment like soil or water, but human ones too such as culture and quality of life.” Figure 13.14 is a model of carrying capacity. It may be used to show changes over time for one location and different locations at one time. It is often linked to the product life cycle where stages of development have differing levels of use with resulting different carrying capacities. Saturation or carrying capacity zone may be altered by management of either people or site. Effectively the limits of acceptable change. Could have number of differing lines for physical, people/use Over capacity leads to decline in people if management cannot increase resilience. However this may not establish equlibrium if geographical system too damaged. figure 13.14 Carrying capacity The multiplier effect Tourism creates jobs in the tertiary sector and also encourages the growth of jobs in the primary and secondary sectors of industry. This is known as the multiplier effect, which in its simplest form is how many times money spent by a tourist circulates through a country’s economy. Money spent in a hotel helps to create jobs directly in the hotel but also creates jobs indirectly elsewhere. The hotel, for example, has to buy food from local farmers, who may then spend some of this income on fertiliser or clothes. Demand for local products increases as tourists buy souvenirs, which increases secondary employment. The multiplier effect continues until the money eventually ‘leaks’from the economy through imports - the purchase of goods from other countries. Leakage Leakage is where capital exits an economy or system rather than remaining within it. A lot of tourism income does not remain in the host country but leaks back to the HICs. This may be because a western TNC owns the hotel or because food, drink or other supplies demanded by tourists have to be imported from overseas. The World Bank estimates that 55 per cent of international tourism income in LICs leaves the region due to foreign-owned airlines, hotels and tour operators or payments for imported food, drink and supplies. In some countries, notably in the Caribbean, the figure for leakage can be as high as 80 per cent and leakage is 70 per cent in Thailand. Even in the Mediterranean, two-thirds of the income from tourism is controlled by less than 10 tour operators based in northern Europe. 330 Global interdependence The Tourism Area Life Cycle (TALC or Butler) Model In geographical terms a model is a simplification of reality. The purpose of the Butler Model is to look at the way that tourist resorts grow and develop. The tourist industry, like all industries, is dynamic and constantly changing. Therefore, the Butler Model is a way of studying tourist resorts and seeing how they change over time and in relation to the changing demands of the tourist industry. These changes can then be compared to the predictions, as shown on the model (Figure 13.15). The Butler Model breaks down tourist development into six distinct stages. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Exploration stage A settlement is ‘explored’ or ‘discovered’ by a small number of people (early innovators). They are attracted by primary tourist attractions that could be natural or cultural. At this time, tourism has no economic or social value to local residents and there are no secondary tourism attractions. Involvement stage Local residents become involved in the tourism industry as secondary tourism facilities such as guest houses develop. The resort develops a ‘tourist season' and transport infrastructure often improves as a result of government involvement. Development stage Tourists now exceed the local population during the tourist season. More tourists attracted by increased publicity have led to the building of new infrastructure such as hotels, restaurants, shops and other attractions to cater for the influx of tourists. Many of these new facilities are no longer controlled by local people and companies from outside of the resort take over. Local people do not approve of the physical changes to the resort that they are are experiencing. Consolidation stage The growth of tourism begins to slow down but actual visitor numbers exceed the number of locals. As the resort’s economy is now dominated by tourism, the resort is well marketed and hotels belonging to international chains are widespread. There is now a well defined recreational business district catering for tourists. Local people are often discontented with, and opposed to tourism. Stagnation stage The popularity of the resort is short-lived as visitor numbers have reached a peak and the carrying capacity of the resort may have been exceeded. Tourists have become bored with the resort now its initial appeal has waned. Little of the original settlement remains and it receives negative publicity about its appearance and clientele so people go on holiday elsewhere. Falling tourist numbers cause the resort to go out of fashion and leads to economic decline and the under-use of tourist facilities. This leads to the eventual closure of businesses and unemployment rises. The Final Stage In the original tourist resort model, Butler supplied 5 possible different scenarios a b c d Successful redevelopment leading to new growth A modest growth in tourist numbers Stabilisation caused by a reduction in tourist capacity A gradual decline in tourist numbers caused by overuse of resources and a lack of investment e A rapid decline of tourist numbers caused by catastrophic events such as war. This was further modified in to two possible stages: 6a) The Decline Scenario The resort is unable to compete with other and often newer resorts as tourism facilities are replaced by non tourism facilities. Hotels are closed and are converted into retirement homes or flats for local people. The visitors change from being holidaymakers to day-trippers as the area becomes down-trodden and much maligned. figure 13.16 Blackpool, a popular resort in the North West of England, UK, has rejuvenated itself in recent years. Global interdependence 6b) The Rejuvenation Scenario Alternatively, the resort could rebrand by reinventing itself opening new facilities or adopting a particular niche market. This could come from an injection of capital from central of local government. This would see visitor numbers rise. Many have academics have criticised the Tourism Area Life Cycle model as many resorts have not followed the pattern shown. Some resorts seem to go out of fashion and become undesirable while others continue to sustain their visitor numbers without any sign of going in to decline. Case Study The Butler Model: Majorca Majorca fits the Butler Model well in so far as it has gone from boom to bust in around halfa century. In the 1960s Majorca was in the discovery stage- it received less than half a million tourists per year. Employment was dominated by the primary sector in mainly fishing and agriculture. Visitors were attracted to unspoilt beaches, picturesque villages and an unpolluted sea, even though the infrastructure of roads and public services was poor and there were few hotels. By 1970 Majorca entered the growth and development stage as there was a rapid increase in tourist numbers, which was encouraged by the government, with 3 million tourist arrivals. Majorca had become a popular package holiday destination for Northern Europeans. Employment shifted from agriculture to tourism-related work such as construction, jobs in hotels, cafes and shops. This led to the building of large hotels, apartment blocks and villas, many of which were built without proper planning. Some road improvements took place but again without proper planning controls, which led to severe congestion. Farmland was lost due to development and this led to environmental issues such as natural habitat loss as well as the pollution of the beaches and the ocean. In the 1980s Majorca reached the success stage of the Butler Model. Tourist arrivals rose to 7.5 million leading to resources like water being overused. Up to 70 per cent of the population worked in tourism and the local economy was dominated by it Tourist developments blighted the landscape and locals grew resentful of the tourists. The stagnation stage began in the 1990s as the number of tourist arrivals began to decline. Unemployment rates rose above 30 per cent as bars and cafes closed due to lack of customers. Older resorts began to look rundown and resorts like Magaluf gained a poor reputation. Only high-class hotels gained approval to be built. There were attempts to clean up beaches and new public parks, gardens and nature reserves were opened to try to attract some ecotourists. In the 2000S new facilities such as a new airport terminal were built along with upmarket hotels to try to rejuvenate Majorca. During the recession from 2008 visitor numbers slumped to only around 6 million but by 2013 they had figure 13.17 Majorca location map. reached record numbers of over 9 million. figure 332 Global interdependence 13.18 Magaluf, a popular resort in Majorca, Spain, has seen a decline in visitor numbers. Recent developments in tourism The last few decades have seen a rise in many people’s relative prosperity in HICs and the demand for international travel has increased. The development of transport technology-jet aircraft and high-speed rail in particular-have fuelled this demand. This boom has been aided by internet sales of tourist services where would-be tourists can surf the web in search of their dream holiday for a bargain price. Table 13.4 looks at recent trends in tourism. figure 13.19 The Albert Dock in Liverpool with its heritage and cultural connections is a top visitor attraction for tourists on city breaks in Liverpool. table figure 13.20 The Birkenau Gate, Auschwitz, a former Nazi Concentration Camp. ‘Dark’ sites like these have been become popular destinations for tourists in recent decades. 13.4 Recent developments in tourism Trend Explanation Sustainable tourism Sustainable tourism takes into account the ecological and socio-cultural carrying capacities of the destination and involves the community in tourism development planning to mitigate some of the negative economic and social impacts of‘mass tourism’. Ecotourism Ecotourism involves responsible travel to fragile, pristine and protected areas in a low-impact fashion and usually is small in scale. It helps educate the traveller and provides money for conservation projects. Ecotourism directly benefits the economic development of local communities. It also fosters respect for different cultures and for human rights. City breaks City breaks involve a short stay in a city or region with significant historical or cultural connections. Tourists take advantage of low cost airlines and often stay in budget hotels. City breaks are particularly popular in Europe, with destinations such as Rome, Paris and Liverpool widely visited. Home stays Tourists swap homes in different countries to cut down on the cost of holidays, especially in long haul destinations. This form of holiday has been promoted by travel/accommodation booking companies such as Couchsurfing and Airbnb. Pro-poor tourism Pro-poor tourism seeks to help the poorest people in LICs. It involves small-scale projects in local communities and attempts (by Ministries of Tourism) to attract large numbers of tourists to previously rarely visited areas. Medical tourism Medical tourism involves patients visiting countries for medical procedures. Costs are lower and regulations differ (compared to Western countries) in Southeast Asia, India and Eastern Europe, and all of these regions/countries are popular medical tourism destinations. Dark tourism Dark tourism involves visits to ‘dark’ sites such as battlegrounds, scenes of horrific crimes or acts of genocide, for example Nazi concentration camps such as Auschwitz in Poland. Doom tourism Also known as 'Last Chance Tourism’, this involves travelling to places that are threatened, such as the ice caps of Mount Kilimanjaro or the coral of the Great Barrier Reef, before it is too late. Global interdependence The management of a tourist destination Case Study Ecotourism in the Galapagos Islands The Galapagos are a small chain of islands belonging to Ecuador; they are located in the Pacific Ocean, 1000 km from the west coast of South America. The Galapagos Islands are famous because they have been isolated from the rest of the world for hundreds of thousands of years and this has allowed their animals, flora and fauna to evolve in unique ways. Around 90 per cent of the islands are designated as a national park and the area was the first UNESCO World Heritage Site (1979). a,Genovesa Island PACIFIC OCEAN Baltra Island Fernandina Island Co Azul 1689 Isabela Island Puerto o Villamil' Puerto0 Ayora Tortuga Island Floreana Island figure San Cristbbal Island Santa Cruz Island O Santa FĞ Island Puerto Baquerizo Moreno Espanola Island 13.21 The Galapagos Islands In recent years there has been a rapid expansion of the tourism industry; there is growing demand for ‘specialist’ tourism to visit protected natural areas. Regrettably, this increase in demand for tourists to visit protected areas has begun to have negative impacts. Background In the late 1950s just a few tourists - mainly adventure tourists from HICsvisited Ecuador. In 1969 the cruise ship Lina A began to offer tours to the Galapagos Islands - this was the start of the tourist boom. In 1974 the Ecuadorian government formed a national body to improve tourism within the country, to regulate activities in the tourism sector such as travel agencies and hotels, and to provide incentives for investment in tourism. In 1984 a Master Plan forTourism was introduced. The plan outlined priorities for tourism development but tourism in Ecuador was poorly promoted at that time and lacked high-quality hotels. These investments and projects initiated by the tourist board have greatly increased the number of people and amount of money flowing into the Galapagos. This influx has, however, been a source of conflict as the impact of increased tourism on the Galapagos Islands has been social, economic and environmental. 334 Global interdependence 225 At the national level income is generated for the national park system through entrance fees to the Galapagos. Until 1993 foreigners paid (US$) 80 cents per person for admission, while Ecuadorians paid (USS) 40 cents. The government realised that visitors were grossly under-taxed and has since raised the admission fee to US$100 for foreigners and US$50 for Ecuadorian nationals. This income goes to the national park service to be distributed among all Ecuadorian parks. The Galapagos National Park receives the biggest portion of the admissions income, about 50 per cent of the total, which is over US$20 million in most years. Roughly 25 per cent of the funds for the Galapagos go to finance its tourism programme, which includes operational costs for ticket sales, park guards and patrol boat operators. The impacts of mass tourism Over the last 20 years Ecuador has taken advantage of the economic potential of the Galapagos. Tourism, which generates nearly US$500 million a year, is a potential growth industry for debt-ridden Ecuador. As a result of tourism, the GNI of the Galapagos Islands province is the highest in Ecuador. Income is generated through the many Ecuadorian travel agencies that offer trips to the Galapagos, while the people employed in tourism on the islands originate from all parts of Ecuador. Boat trips and dive schools are an important source of income. While capitalising on the growth of tourism, the government has also imposed strict guidelines. However the rise of tourism has led to increased immigration from the Ecuadorian mainland as many people see the employment opportunities in the Galapagos as a route to a better quality of life. The rising population is increasing the pressures on the already meagre resources of the islands, including fresh water and seafood. The local population has increased from 6000 to about 25 000 official residents and around 6500 seasonal migrants in the last 25 years. The population is growing at a steady rate of 6 per cent per year. As tourist numbers and inhabitants in the Galapagos have increased, so have the number of airports from one to three. Airline flights and the number of cargo and cruise ships have increased in frequency too, bringing with them the possible threat of oil spills. Increases in the number of airline routes and more ships visiting could potentially bring invasive species - possibly the greatest threat to the archipelago. Feral pigs, dogs, cats and goats provide the biggest threat to the endemic species of the Galapagos because many of these species have no natural predators. The inhabitants of the islands have contributed to its ecological demise through their entrepreneurial endeavour. They have turned remote fishing Global interdependence 335 villages into strips of discos, restaurants, hotels and shops selling converted plants and animals as souvenirs. Local divers have devastated black coral formations, an endangered species, turning it into jewellery items that are popular among tourists. Although the seas around the Galapagos Islands have been a protected marine reserve since 1986, illegal fishing continues, particularly for sharks, as a result of close cooperation between Ecuadorian, Japanese and Korean interests. The demand for shark fins has deadly results as the nets used to trap sharks catch all kinds of animals, including Galapagos penguins, dolphins, Galapagos cormorants, sea lions and sea iguanas. Immigrants from the mainland who now live on the islands to work in tourism have little knowledge of conservation; they figure 13.23 The Marine Iguana - a species unique to the Galapagos. dump rubbish overboard so animals such as turtles eat discarded plastic sacks, and they catch lobsters when they are carrying eggs or are too small, which leads to overfishing. The Charles Darwin Research Centre has documented a number of cases where the local population has killed giant tortoises fortheir meat. Traditionally the islands have had more international than national visitors. Visitor numbers peaked in 2011 with around 185 000 tourist arrivals and around two-thirds of these were foreign nationals. Most tourists to the islands do not stay in one of the local hotels but immediately transfer to a cruise ship. These cruise ship tours usually last from three days to two weeks and, depending on itinerary, visit between five and 11 islands. To minimise negative impacts the park service has designated 45 approved visitor sites around the archipelago. Tourists are required to stay on marked pathways at most sites and must be accompanied by a trained naturalist guide. Many trails go through nesting colonies of sea birds, such as the blue-footed booby, flightless cormorants, gulls and frigate birds. Tourists often make the mistake of startling the birds when attempting to get close, causing them to fly from their nests and leaving an egg or chick exposed. A newly hatched booby chick will die within 30 minutes if exposed to the equatorial sun. The Galapagos Islands have a small number of native species, most of which are endemic. Around a third of the native plant species (which number less than 600), are found only here, while 57 species of reptiles, animals and birds are also only found in the Galapagos. Among these species are the Marine Iguana, the Humboldt Penguin (the only species of penguin found in the tropics) and the Galapagos Cormorant (which has lost its ability to fly due to a lack of predators). Also, uniquely to the Galapagos, some species are found only on a single island with a nearly identical but distinct species on a neighbouring island, for example various types of finches. figure 13.24 The Galapagos Tortoise. In the absence of predators, they can live to over 100 years of age and measure nearly 1.8 m in length. 3 Global interdependence One of the major threats to native species is that some tourists have started feeding wild animals. Some animals have become reliant upon being fed and when the extra feeding was curtailed by the Park Service these animals were unable to locate their natural food sources. Although it is strictly forbidden to leave rubbish on the islands or in the surrounding waters such disposal still occurs - including the emptying of sewage tanks by tourist ships right into the water. Enforcement officials are unable to keep pace with the influx of visitors and immigrants and the damage they do. In 1998 a Special Law for Galapagos was introduced but, like much of the legislation designed to protect the islands, it has been poorly enforced. In 1987 the government imposed a restriction of 25 000 visitors a year visiting the Galapagos but this figure has never been enforced. As Ecuador is unable to disregard the lure of the tourist dollar and with leakage amounting to 55 per cent of all tourist revenues returning to HICs, the government has tried to maximise the amount of money made from tourism on the islands. Uncontrolled tourism and population growth were among the 15 issues identified by UNESCO’s World Heritage Committee when it recommended that the Galapagos Islands be placed on the list of World Heritage in Danger. Recently attempts have been made by the tourism industry to modify tourism regulations in a way that would have undermined the participatory management system and reduced the authority of the Ministry of the Environment in Galapagos. The economic wellbeing of the Galapagos Islands is compromising the need for conservation of the unique ecosystems that exist there. The government of Ecuador sees the Galapagos as a valuable source of revenue but it will only remain so as long as its uniqueness is preserved. NOW INVESTIGATE 1 Investigate the patterns of trade of a commodity such as copper or soya beans. Which countries are the largest producers and consumers? What is the value of the trade and how has this changed? 2 Investigate the role of a non-governmental organisation (NGO) in providing aid in a LIC. How does the NGO use the aid in a chosen location? What criticisms are there of the NGO’s work in the location you have chosen? 3 Investigate the development of a tourist location. How has the location grown and possibly declined? To what extent does the growth of the location reflect the Tourism Area Life Cycle (Butler) Model? Global interdependence 337 GDP (Gross Domestic Product) is the total value of goods and services produced within a country in a year, not including its income from investments in other countries. GDP is an important economic indicator as it attempts to capture the state of a country’s economy in one number. The growth or decline of a region’s GDP over time can measure the success or failure of economic policies and can be used to determine if an economy is ‘in recession’. Estonia Sweden Norway $522bn Iceland $15bn $25bn $580bn Finland S267b" Latvia $31bn UK $2678bn Denmark Netherlands $337bn $854bn Lithuania $46bn Ireland $232bn Belgium $525bn Poland Belarus S526bn S98bn Germany $3730bn Lux $60bn France S1839bn $2806bn $6bn Portugal _ Romania Moldova $192bn Austria Andorra Monaco $3bn $7bn Switzerland Hungary $685bn $133bn S.M. $8bn Bulgaria $54bn Slovenia $2bn $48bn Serbia Croatia ^bTtosovo $227bn Italy B$H Liecht Lux Mont S.M. $16 768bn $188bn $428bn Spain $1393bn Ukraine $98bn $209bn Liecht Canada Slovakia Czechia (Czech Rep.) $7bn S58bn $2149bn Europe Bosnia and Herzegovina Liechtenstein Luxembourg Montenegro San Marino Georgi. $16bn S18bn $X Macedonia A.. (F.Y.R.O.M.) Albania' Malta Turkey $822bn S13bn Sllbn $10bn Cyprus Greece $242bn $24bn Syria $35bn Tunisia Israel S47bn A8(B Dom. Dom. Rep. S.K.N. S.V.G. The Bahamas Cuba S8bn $34t $104bn Libya Algeria $75bn $209bn Lebanon $47bn $1259bn r $8bn, $61bn Belize S2bn Jamaica .___ _ Honduras S14bn $5Xn *’b" $6bn The Gambia Trinidad fit Barbados Tobago $4bn Venezuela $24bn «71b" Guyana Guinea- Guinea Bissau $7bn Slbn Sierra Leone $13bn Nigeria $515bn $48bn Benin $8bn Togo $2bn $29bn $4bn Cote Liberia d'Ivoire Suriname $378bn $5bn S3b Ghana Ethiop $5bn S3bn Colombia Eritn Chad $10bn Burkina Faso $0.8bn S0^bnS°-7bnSlbnrt. $55bn Niger $7bn Cape Verde Senegal $15bn $2bn $0.5bn Costa Rica Sudan Mali $llbn Slbn $0.7bn Dom. $50bn Panama S40bn $255bn Mauritania ■»W Sau Arat $748t Egypt $7’b" Haiti'Dom. Rep. Mexico Jordi $292bn Morocco N America Antigua and Barbuda Dominica Dominican Republic St Kitts and Nevis St Vincent and the Grenadines Cameroon CAR. $2bn South Sudan $12bn $30bn Uganda Eq. G. $19bn SSoTome £ Principe Ecuador $0.3bn $94bn $26bn Gabon $17bn D.R.C. Rwanda $33bn $8bn Brazil Peru $200bn C.A.R. D.R.C. Eq.G. Ken^ $541 Burundi Congo $3bn $14bn $2244bn $46b Tanzania Africa Central African Republic Democratic Republic of the Congo Equatorial Guinea $45bn Angola $122bn Malawi $5bn Zambia $22bn Bolivia $31bn Mozambiq Zimbabwe $16bn Namibia $13bn Paraguay $13bn Botswana $15bn $29bn Eswatini. (Swaziland) . . $4bn Lesotho Chile South Africa $277bn Uruguay Argentina $612bn SS6bn $366bn $2bn Europe US $19 547 billion North America US $20 394 billion Asia US $27 294 billion 14 South America US$4300 billion Econom ic transition Africa u->*2344 billion Oceania US$1760 billion TOTAL GDP 2013 Russia $2097bn Kazakhstan $224bn Mongolia rbaijan $12bn 74bn Uzbekistan tenia $57bn )bn Turkmenistan $42bn Kyrgystan North Korea $7bn $15bn Tajikistan $9bn Japan $4899bn >6 bn Iran Afghanistan South Korea $22bn $493bn $1305bn China $9181bn uwait Pakistan Bahrain .76bn N'f1 $225bn $33bn Bhutan S18bn $2bn Qatar Bangladesh $202bn $154bn Laos UAE $402bn $1938bn Oman Yemen India Myanmar $llbn $63bn $80bn Thailand $420bn $35bn Vietnam $171bn >outi bn Cambodia Philippines $15bn $272bn Marshall Islands $0.2bn Kiribati Sri Lanka Palau $67bn $0.2bn tmalia Malaysia ilbn Maldives $312bn $0.2bn Brunel $16bn Micronesia $0.3bn $3bn Singapore Nauru $296bn $0.2bn Seychelles $lbn Indonesia Papua New Guinea $868bn S15bn East Timor $5bn Tuvalu Solomon Islands $0.04bn $lbn oros Sbn Samoa $0.7bn Vanuatu $0.8bn agascar Ibn Mauritius $12bn Fiji $4bn Country GDP, 2013 Tonga $0.4bn Australia $1531bn Country GDP 2013 total US$ billion New Zealand $189bn 339 Economic transition National development Employment categories or sectors All occupations in every location in the world can be classified according to four different employment categories or sectors: • • • • Primary sector: The acquisition of raw materials from land and sea. This mainly includes mining, quarrying, extraction of oil and gas, farming, forestry and fishing. In the LICs a large proportion of the population is traditionally involved in this sector, often in subsistence agriculture. Secondary sector: The manufacture of raw materials into finished goods. This includes industries such as electronics, vehicle manufacture and the construction of buildings. It can also include the manufacture of components that are used by other manufacturing industries. Tertiary sector: The provision of services to both business and the public. This can include retail, the distribution of goods, transport, education, national/local government and the armed forces. Quaternary sector: The supply of information and expertise. Technology is used in this sector by highly qualified specialists who research and develop products. Research is often conducted in areas such as biotechnology, aerospace and automotive engineering and information technology including banking/finance and the creative industries. This sector is often referred to as the knowledge economy. The quaternary sector has only been recognised in the last half century as, prior to 1970, it was often included as a part of either the secondary or tertiary sectors. Since 1948 the UK government has used a more detailed classification of five employment sectors; manufacturing, services, agriculture and fishing, construction, and energy and water. The role of quaternary is not recognised within the five sectors. table 14.1 UK sectors of employment Sector Percentages of UK workforce (2011) Manufacturing 9% 81% Services Agriculture and fishing 1% Construction 8% Energy and water 1% The chain of production The chain of production covers all stages of the process from raw materials to the consumer. Table 14.2 shows each stage and the processes that occur in each employment sector. At every stage specialists will be involved in research and development to improve processes and make them more efficient. This is the quaternary sector. table 14.2 The chain of production Primary stage Farmers, fishers, miners, foresters etc., growing, producing, harvesting, extracting. 340 Economic transition Secondary stage Transport of raw materials. Manufacturers processing, making and constructing goods. Tertiary stage Transport of product, storage and other intermediary services. Distributors, retailers, e.g. shops, cafes, selling goods. figure 14.1 Chain of production for food How employment structures vary between countries HICs High Income Countries are usually referred to as post-industrial societies because much of their secondary industry has declined for a number of reasons. Many different types of industry have moved to lower cost locations such as Newly Industrialised Countries. This is because companies search for the cheapest locations to manufacture and assemble components so lowcost labour-intensive parts of the manufacturing process are shifted to the developing world where costs are substantially lower. The manufacture of electronics in particular has moved to countries such as China as manufacturers such as Apple and Nokia look to mass produce smart phones and tablets through outsourcing to third parties-factories that can produce items at a much lower cost than in HICs. This change is called global shift. Outsourcing has also occurred in the tertiary sector as some companies have moved their call centre and other functions to NICs such as South Africa and India - countries where English is widely spoken. Increased mechanisation in some manufacturing industries, such as vehicle manufacture, has led to fewer workers being employed; certain functions such as paint spraying can be carried out far more efficiently and safely using robots. As a result of these factors employment in HICs is now dominated by the tertiary sector. Primary industry, such as agriculture, is now highly mechanised leading to fewer people being employed. The quaternary sector is rapidly increasing in importance and recent estimates put quaternary employment in the UK as high as 10-15 per cent of all workers. NICs The global shift of manufacturing has seen employment in the secondary sector in newly industrialising countries increase rapidly over the past 40 years. NICs attract FDI from Transnational Corporations that wish to take advantage of lower Economic transition land costs, wage rates and a business environment that is more favourable than in HICs. This leads to more jobs for local people. In addition, a favourable business environment leads to local entrepreneurs creating companies that can become large in both the secondary and tertiary sectors. Research also becomes important as the quaternary sector develops. Investment in manufacturing and services often leads to a more efficient primary sector. Investment in agriculture leads to increased mechanisation and farming takes place on a commercial scale, which employs fewer workers. The country transitions into a more industrialised, urban economy where manufacturing and services are an important part of the economy. They are alternatively known as 'newly industrialising economies’ or ‘advanced developing countries.’ In the 1970s and 1980s examples of newly industrialised countries included Hong Kong (now part of China), South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan-the original ‘Asian Tigers’. Examples in the late 2000s included Brazil, China, India, South Africa (along with Russia these countries are known as the BRICS), Mexico, Indonesia,Turkey (known as the MINTs with the addition of Nigeria) and also Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand. Economists often disagree over the classification of these countries. LICs Less economically developed countries rely heavily on the primary sector both for employment and their economy. Most people working in the primary sector are subsistence farmers. In Malawi, one of the poorest countries in the world, around 80 per cent of the working population is involved in agriculture that only contributes around 30 per cent to GDP. Manufacturing (mainly the processing of agricultural produce) and services make up the other 20 per cent of the workforce, however these workers contribute nearly 20 per cent and 50 per cent of GDP respectively. Employment in mining is usually well paid but dangerous work as health and safety regulations are lax. Fishing and forestry are important areas of employment but are often in the informal sector. In both NICs and LICs the informal sector is important to the economy. The informal sector can be: 1 Individuals working in businesses that do not employ many people and who 2 do not deduct tax from their wages. Workers and persons helping their household business who are unpaid and do not pay tax. These workers can include subsistence farmers, street and beach vendors or people providing a service, for example shoe shiners or sex workers. In South Africa around 10 per cent of the workforce are employed in the informal sector, not including those who are subsistence farmers. Many LICs are reliant on resources that are the product of the primary sector (primary products). Over 50 per cent of Malawi’s exports are tobacco, while 64 per cent of neighbouring Zambia’s exports are made up of copper and cobalt, both of which are vital raw materials in the electronics industry. China is a major export market with over 40 percent of Zambia’s copper and cobalt production going there. Reliance on a single commodity makes many LICs vulnerable to fluctuations in world markets. If the price of a valuable export commodity such as copper falls, then a country such as Zambia has less money to spend on health, education, defence and other things that are important to maintaining living conditions for its population. table 14.3 Employment structures in countries at different stages of development % employed in primary sector % employed in secondary sector % employed in tertiary sector UK(HIC) 1.0 18.0 81.0 South Africa (BRICS) Country 342 Economic transition 7-2 19.6 72.6 Malaysia (NIC) 13-2 43-6 43-4 Mozambique (LIC) 77-0 8.0 15.0 How employment structures change As countries develop they transition from pre-industrial to industrial and then to post-industrial economies and the employment structure changes to reflect this. The Clark-Fisher Model (Figure 14.2) shows this process occurring with the decline of the primary sector, the rise and fall of the secondary sector and the rise in importance of the tertiary and quaternary sectors. LICs such as Mozambique and Malawi are in the pre-industrial phase, with small proportions of the population employed in manufacturing or services, while NICs such as Malaysia or Indonesia are in the industrial phase, with manufacturing providing the most employment. HICs such as the UK and Germany are in the post-industrial phase, with employment in the service and research sectors dominant, small numbers of people employed in agriculture, and declining employment in manufacturing. In 1841, most people worked in (T) manufacturing followed closely by services and... ...by 1881 the percentage ■yi of workers in services overtook those working in manufacturing. In 1841, over one in (T) five workers worked in agriculture and fishing... figure 14.2 From 1961, the gap between services and manufacturing started to widen and at a faster rate than previosly... ...and in 2011, over eight in every 10 workers yj were in the service industry with less than one in 10 within manufacturing. ...until in 2011 less than one in 100 people in work were employed in agriculture and fishing. ...at every census the yj percentage of people working in this industry declined... The Clark-Fisher Model Figure 14.3 shows that in 1841 more than one in five workers (22 per cent) were employed in the primary sector. This sector has been in steady decline over the last 170 years and is currently the smallest sector in England and Wales. In 2011 less than one in 100 employed people (1 per cent, 0.2 million people) were employed in this sector. 2011 Manufacturing Services Agriculture $ fishing Construction Energy $ water 100 80 figure 60 14.3 40 20 0 0 20 40 Percentage of workforce in each sector 60 80 100 Employment changes in the UK, 1841-2011 The way people work has changed dramatically in the past 50 years as globalisation has allowed the world to be increasingly inter-connected. A shorter working week for most people combined with longer annual holidays and the development of computers has radically changed the way that people work. More recently the internet has changed the way businesses can communicate and has enabled the service industries to expand and grow. TNCs that span continents can communicate and operate more easily. Some companies also now exist solely on the internet, which has changed the way companies do business and the effect they have on industries. As technology has developed and changed classifications of industries have had to also develop and change to accommodate jobs that previously did not exist. New working practices such as teleworking (working from home) allow flexibility in the workplace, though this has had less of an impact than originally predicted. Economic transition 343 Global inequalities in social and economic wellbeing What is development? The definition of development is complex but is generally accepted as an improvement in people’s wellbeing or quality of life. For it to be development, the improvement must be permanent and could include change in social or economic systems. Generally, geographers perceive development to have an impact on health and wealth in less developed countries. The following factors can often limit rates of development in LICs: i 2 3 4 5 Climate-related disease - many LICs, especially those with tropical climates, unfortunately suffer from diseases that thrive in hot humid conditions, such as dengue fever and malaria. People who contract these diseases are incapacitated and cannot work or may even die, which limits development. A lack of natural resources-countries with few natural resources start off at a very low economic base and find it hard to create products that can sell in world markets. Resource curse theory - this is a theory that states if a country has one very valuable resource all the efforts of the country are put into the exploitation of that resource. That limits the potential development of other industries and if the resource is in the hands of a minority unscrupulous ruling elite then the profits are not shared amongst the people of the country. Being landlocked with hostile neighbouring countries - although this has a political element to it, countries that have no access to the sea are at the mercy of their neighbours. If a country is surrounded by ‘bad neighbours’ that expect huge payments to allow goods to be transited, or are engaged in regular conflict, development can be held back. Climatic hazards such as hurricanes and drought are more likely to strike some countries than others. In the poorest countries a drought can have a devastating impact on development. The 2011-12 Horn of Africa famine that affected Ethiopia, Eritrea, Kenya and Somalia had long-term impacts. As well as weakening people from hunger and thirst, many of these countries had to deal with a refugee crisis, which diverted valuable resources away from other development objectives. How is development measured? Development can be measured in a variety of ways. One of the most traditional ways was by measuring a country’s wealth through indicators such as the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which is a measure of all the goods and services produced by a country over a year. This measure has largely been surpassed by Gross National Income (GNI). GNI measures income received by a country both domestically and from overseas either from exports or from companies from that country located in other countries. In some respects GNI is quite similar to Gross National Product (GNP), which measures output from the citizens and companies of a particular nation regardless of whether they are located within its boundaries or overseas. Usually GDP, GNP and GNI are expressed as a figure per person - the total sum divided by the number of people living in that country. This enables comparisons to be made between different nations as populations and the amount of money made vary greatly. However, there are further limits as the cost of living varies between countries. One would assume that an item sold in one country would cost the same in another if the currency of that country were to be converted. Countries in the EU, for instance, are much more expensive to live in compared to countries like India or Thailand, so GNI Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is used to take account of the differences in the cost of living. Economists use various indices, for example the iPad Mini Index, to compare these differences in living costs (Figure 14.4). Economic transition Switzerland France Poland Germany Ireland Portugal Austria New Zealand UK Finland Belgium Luxembourg Netherlands Spain Denmark Norway Italy Brazil South Korea Sweden Hungary Mexico Indonesia Philippines Singapore Czechia (Czech Rep.) United Arab Emirates Taiwan Vietnam Australia USA Hong Kong (China) China Thailand Turkey Canada Russia Japan Malaysia -50 figure 14.4 figure 14.5 -25 0 25 Percentage difference in cost compared to USA 50 The iPad Mini Index Gross National Income (PPP), 2011 Economic transition table 14.4 GNI (PPP) US$ per person, top 10 and bottom 10 countries Top 10 countries Bottom 10 countries Qatar 123 860 Eritrea 1180 Macao (China) 112 180 Togo 1180 Kuwait 88 170 Guinea 1160 Singapore 76 850 Mozambique 1040 Brunei 68 090 Niger 910 Norway 66 520 Burundi 820 Luxembourg 59 75° Liberia 790 UAE 58 090 Malawi 760 Hong Kong (China) 54 260 Democratic Republic of the Congo 680 USA 53 960 Central African Republic 60 Table 14.4 shows the Gross National Income per person in US$ (adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity) in the 10 highest and 10 lowest countries in the world. These figures do not tell the whole story as average figures are shown and in many nations there is a massive disparity between the richest and poorest in society. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is a good example. Despite the average figure for GNI (PPP) per person of just over US$58 000, there are huge disparities between the indigenous Emiratis who make up around 17 per cent of the population and the immigrant population, many of whom come from the Indian Subcontinent and the Philippines. The immigrant population work in service sector jobs such as domestic service, tourism or construction. Many of these jobs are low paid and the workers live in overcrowded barracks or, worse still, tented settlements on the outskirts of the main cities of Sharjah, Dubai and Abu Dhabi. The Emiratis, on the other hand, live in luxury housing paid for by the state and drive high-end vehicles. figure 14.6 Dubai-a city of massive contrasts between rich and poor. Economic transition table 14.5 Measures of development related to population and health Measure Explanation Growth rate This figure expressed as a percentage is calculated by subtracting the crude death rate from the crude birth rate. LICs tend to have high growth rates and HICs tend to have low growth rates. Life expectancy The average age a person can expect to live to. Life expectancy is generally higher in HICs. Infant mortality rate The number of infants (under the age of two) dying per 1000 live births. Infant mortality rate is lower in HICs. The UN uses the child mortality rate (under the age of five) as this enables a better comparison to be made. Maternal mortality rate The number of maternal deaths during childbirth per 1000 live births. Again, this is lower in HICs with good health systems. Fertility rate The average number of children per woman (aged 15-49). The fertility rate is lowest in HICs. Number of persons per doctor This figure is used to compare health services. A lower number of people to doctors is expected in the developed world. Calorific intake per person The number of calories consumed per person per day is a comparison often made to compare HICs, MICs and LICs. table 14.6 Measures of development related to education and economics Measure Explanation Adult literacy rate In most HICs the adult literacy rate may be close to 100 per cent. In some LICS the figure may only be around 50 per cent as many women cannot read. This often occurs in traditional Islamic societies. School enrolment This can vary in different measures and may include education to the end of primary school (ages 11-12) or to the end of secondary school (ages 16-18). Number of cars per 1000 people A measure of the wealth of a country- the more cars owned, the wealthier the country. Similar measures can include the ownership of televisions or internet usage. Energy usage The wealthiest countries use more energy per person. Governments also vary in how they spend the money they raise. Some nations spend vast sums of money on weapons rather than on health and education. Other nations, such as Cuba, invest their money in health and education systems that are the envy of the developing world. As well as the measures above other indicators, which are usually related to population, health and the economy, are used to compare development between nations. The Human Development Index The United Nations introduced the Human Development Index (HDI) in 2008 as a way of measuring development for each country in terms of a combination of socio-economic indicators (not just economically). The HDI is a composite index and uses selected indicators to show human wellbeing or deprivation. Three key indicators used are: • • • Life expectancy. Education - adult literacy and combined primary, secondary and tertiary educational enrolment. Standard of living-this index represents data averages for each country and combines them into a single figure, the HDI, whose maximum possible value is 1. In 2014 Norway (1st) had an HDI of 0.944; Niger(i8yth) had an HDI of 0.337. Disadvantages of the Human Development Index Statistics issued by national governments are good for making socio-economic comparisons but there are differences within countries that are not obvious. Many figures are averages hiding how wealth is distributed between people or regions. In many LICs there are differences between rural and urban areas and between the experiences of men and women. Economic transition 347 table 14.7 Human Development Report, top 10 countries, 2014 HDI rank Country Human Development Index (HDI) Life expectancy at birth (years) Mean years of schooling Expected years of schooling Gross National Income (GNI) per person (2011 PPP US$) 1 Norway 0.944 81.5 12.6 17.6 63 909 2 Australia 0-933 82.5 12.8 19-9 41 524 3 Switzerland 0.917 82.6 12.2 15-7 53 762 4 Netherlands 0.915 81.0 ii-9 17-9 42 397 5 United States 0-914 78.9 12-9 16.5 52 308 6 Germany 0.911 80.7 12.9 16.3 43 049 7 New Zealand 0.910 81.1 12-5 19-4 32 569 8 Canada 0.902 81.5 12-3 15-9 41 887 9 Singapore 0.901 82.3 10.2 15-4 72 371 10 Denmark 0.900 79-4 12.1 16.9 42 880 table 14.8 Human Development Report, bottom 10 countries, 2014 Country HDI rank Human Development Index (HDI) Life expectancy at birth (years) Mean years of schooling Expected years of schooling Gross National Income (GNI) per person (2011 PPP US$) 178 Mozambique 0-393 50.3 3-2 9-5 1011 179 Guinea o-392 56.1 1.6 8-7 1142 180 Burundi 0.389 54-1 2.7 10.1 749 181 Burkina Faso 0.388 56.3 1-3 7-5 1602 182 Eritrea 0.381 62.9 34 4-1 1147 183 Sierra Leone 0-374 45-6 2-9 7-5 1815 184 Chad 0.372 51-2 1-5 7-4 1622 185 Central African Republic 0.341 50.2 3-5 7-2 588 186 Democratic Republic of the Congo 0.338 50.0 3-1 9-7 444 187 Niger 0-337 58.4 1-4 5-4 873 348 Economic transition figure 14.7 Countries classified according to their human development, Human Development Report, 2014 Average life expectancy in Peru is 73 years but in remote rural areas it can be much lower, especially in those areas blighted by poverty. Ninety-five per cent of men are literate but the figure for women is only 84 per cent In rural areas 88 per cent of men and 63 per cent of women are literate. In the same way, statistics do not always indicate differences between rich and poor. Peru may be seen as a middle income country but some of its citizens are very rich indeed. By contrast, a ‘rich’ country such as the USA has some citizens who are comparatively very poor. It is also difficult to measure quality of life using things such as feelings of contentment, a sense of belonging, cultural richness, freedom of speech, the position of women, freedom from oppression and the state of the environment. The Human Poverty Index (HPI) is an indication of the standard of living in a country and was developed by the United Nations to complement the HDI. It was first reported as part of the Human Development Report in 1997. Stage 5 - High mass consumption Stage 2 - Transitional stage - Preconditions for take off Stage 1-Traditional Society Time ----------- ► figure 14.8 The development pathway (Rostov/ Model) Economic transition 349 The HPI focuses on what people need to live, such as healthcare, safe water and plentiful food. These things are used to show variations in quality of life between one LIC and another. In the HPI a high value equates to greater poverty. Stages of development The Brandt Report (1980) identified the distinction between the richer countries of the ‘North’ and the poorer countries of the ‘South’. In general, countries north of the Brandt Line were developed and those south of the Brandt Line were developing. This distinction oversimplifies the situation - there are many stages of development and the development pathway (Figure 14.8) can be seen as a continuum in how some countries become developed at different speeds while others do not. The development gap The geography of the development gap is more complex than a simple NorthSouth divide as suggested by Brandt as Latin America has HDI levels similar to eastern Europe. China’s HDI and some other countries in Southeast Asia have relatively high levels but South Asia has a concentration of levels generally below 0.6. Levels in the Middle East are relatively high but not in countries such as Yemen, Syria and Iraq. The picture for Africa is very complex - countries in North Africa and Southern Africa have reasonable HDI levels but regions like West Africa have the lowest levels of all. The development gap also equates to global inequality. Currently around 2.8 billion people live on under US$2 per day (‘moderate poverty’) while some 1.1 billion people live on less than US$1.25 per day (‘extreme poverty’). Overtime a greater proportion of wealth has concentrated in the hands of the richest 20 per cent of people compared to the poorest 20 per cent of people. development energy generated in core by exploitation of resources social justice equal opportunities life expectancy quality of life birth/death control satisfaction outer strands may also be seen as the outcomes of development mobility outer strands are an integral part of —►- personal wealth development core culture freedom of speech identity demographic social democratic government environmental change conservation sustainability cultural environmental political figure 14.9 The development cable 350 Economic transition cross-section reveals state/level/stage of development The globalisation of economic activity According to the Financial Times globalisation can be defined as the integration of economies, industries, markets, cultures and policy-making around the world. Globalisation describes a process by which national and regional economies, societies and cultures have become integrated through the global network of trade, communication, immigration and transport. Initially globalisation was primarily focused on trade, foreign direct investment and international capital flows. More recently the term has been expanded to include a broader range of areas and activities such as culture, media, technology, socio-cultural, political and even biological factors such as climate change. Global trade has grown enormously since the Second World War with international trade in manufactured goods growing an estimated 100 times from US$95 billion to nearly US$19 trillion in the 60 years since 1955. Much of this rise has been since the collapse of communism in 1990-trade volumes have risen by 3.5 times since then and this has been both a primary cause and effect of globalisation. This has been due to a number of factors - the liberalisation of world trade through the formation of the World Trade Organization and the global shift in manufacturing to newly emerging economies. Central to this rise in trade has been the use of the shipping container, which has made international supply chains more intricate and inclusive. This has helped to accelerate industrialisation in emerging economies such as China. Trade links have enabled developing economies simply to join existing supply chains rather than build an entire industry from the ground up. China dominates container traffic. It is estimated that around 26 per cent of container traffic originates in China and 97 per cent of all containers are made in China. table The World Trade Organization (WTO) The World Trade Organization is an international body that deals with the global rules of trade between nations. Its main function is to ensure that trade flows as smoothly, predictably and freely as possible. Some organisations, especially TNCs, believe that the WTO is great for business. Others believe that the WTO has the potential to undermine the principles of democracy and make the rich much richer. Containers by numbers • 14.9 World’s busiest container ports Rank Port Millions of TEU (2012) 1 Shanghai, China 2 Singapore 31-7 3 Hong Kong, China 23.1 4 Shenzhen, China 22-9 5 Guangzhou, China 17.7 6 Busan, South Korea 17.0 7 Ningbo-Zhoushan, China 16.8 8 Qingdao, China 14-5 9 Dubai, UAE 13-3 10 Tianjin, China 12.3 11 Rotterdam, Netherlands 11.1 12 Port Klang, Malaysia 13 Kaohsiung, Taiwan • 34-5 • • • • • 10.0 9.8 14 Hamburg, Germany 8.7 15 Antwerp, Belgium 8.6 16 Los Angeles, USA 8.1 17 Dalian, China 8.0 18 Tanjung Pelepas, Malaysia 7-5 19 Xiamen, China 7-1 20 Jakarta, Indonesia 6.2 • • • • Containers come in various lengths - 20 feet (approx. 6.1 m), 36 feet or 40 feet - but the width and height are the same for all - 8 feet wide, 8 feet tall. This facilitates standardisation in transportation and storage. There are 17 million shipping containers in the world. At any one time between 5 and 6 million shipping containers are in transit on ships, trucks and trains. In total, containers make around 200 million trips a year. There are 90 000 ocean-going cargo ships. Each ship expects to operate 24 hours a day for about 280 days a year. The world’s biggest container ships have 109 000 horsepower engines that weigh 2300 tonnes. Shipping is responsible for 18-30 per cent of all the world’s nitrogen oxide (NOx) pollution and 9 per cent of the global sulfur oxide (SOx) pollution. One large ship can generate about 5000 tonnes of sulfur oxide (SOx) pollution in a year. 70 per cent of all ship emissions are within 400 km of land. 85 per cent of all ship pollution is in the northern hemisphere. Shipping is responsible for 3.5-4 per cent of all climate change emissions. Note: TEU = Twenty-foot Equivalent Unit, which is the standard size of a container. Economic transition 351 figure 14.10 The world’s largest container ship in Rotterdam, Netherlands However, globalisation is much more than just trade. In the last 20 years the breadth and depth of links between nations and between regions has grown enormously. Communication costs have declined dramatically allowing easy daily contact using the internet and telephone, enabling the outsourcing of IT and other services, to India for example, and the rise in global work teams. Another important element of globalisation is immigration. The International Organization for Migration estimates that there are two hundred million migrants around the world today. Migrants leave MICs/LICs for HICs, particularly for the USA, Canada, Australia, the UK and the rest of Europe. Though there are tensions at times in Europe and elsewhere, this immigration has changed the face of the regions where migrants have made new lives. At a different level of society a global elite of entertainers, sports players and entrepreneurs are able to move freely between the largest global cities influencing those who live there. Transportation is another factor in globalisation - today we see a much more interconnected world than in the past. The transportation of people and goods has increased substantially in the last few decades with massive growth in the aviation industry thanks to the inception of low cost airlines and the growth of ‘hub’ airports such as Dubai. In 2013 there were over 36 million flights worldwide carrying a capacity of around 3 billion passengers; this figure is likely to rise over the next 20 years allowing increased commercial and personal connectivity. figure 14.11 Dubai International Airport- one of the world’s busiest airports. Economic transition Globalisation also comes in the form of cultural globalisation. Western culture in the form of brands and entertainment in particular has spread throughout the world. This process has been two-way; India, an emerging economy, has seen its cuisine and culture, particularly Bollywood films, travel all over the globe. Political globalisation is when government action takes place on a global level and responsibilities such as the welfare of citizens and economic growth are acted upon by an international political body, for example the European Union. Governments typically served the citizens of their own nations but now the world is much more globally connected these decisions are taken on a larger stage. The UN, for instance, is viewed as the world’s peacekeeper to solve disputes between countries. Foreign direct investment (FDI) Foreign direct investment is investment from one country into another (normally by TNCs rather than governments). FDI involves establishing operations or acquiring tangible assets by purchasing or setting up income-generating assets in a foreign country. FDI is not just a transfer of ownership as it usually involves the transfer of factors complementary to capital, including management, technology and organisational skills. There are five types of FDI: • • • • • Horizontal FDI: where the company carries out the same activities abroad as at home, for example Toyota assembling cars in both Japan and the EU. Vertical FDI: when different stages of activities are added abroad. Forward vertical FDI: where the FDI takes the firm nearer to the market, for example Toyota acquiring a car distributorship in America. Backward vertical FDI: where international integration moves back towards raw materials, for example Toyota acquiring a tyre manufacturer or a rubber plantation. Conglomerate FDI: where the TNC acquires an unrelated business abroad, for example Toyota acquiring a soft drinks company. This is the most unusual form of FDI as it involves attempting to overcome two barriers simultaneously- entering a foreign country and a new industry. This leads to the analytical solution that internationalisation and diversification are often alternative strategies. FDI can also take the form of greenfield entry or takeover. • Greenfield entry means starting an operation from scratch as Honda did by building a factory on the edge of Swindon in the UK. • Takeover means the acquisition of an existing foreign company, for example Tata’s acquisition ofjaguar Land Rover from Ford. Foreign takeover is often covered by the term ‘mergers and acquisitions’ (M8<As) but internationally mergers are relatively rare (they account for less than i per cent of all foreign acquisitions). The New International Division of Labour (NIDL) The NIDL is defined in the Oxford Dictionary of Geography as the global division of labour associated with the growth of TNCs and the deindustrialisation of the advanced economies. The most common pattern is for research and development to take place in more economically developed countries and for production to take place using cheap, less skilled labour in less economically developed countries. The impacts of the NIDL have been uneven: between nations, where some benefit more than others; and within nations, where core regions have profited at the expense of the periphery. Economic transition 353 Economists regard the NIDL as an inevitable outcome of globalisation. Previously under the ‘old’ international division of labour, until the 1970s, LICs were incorporated into the world economy principally as suppliers of raw materials, especially mineral ores and agricultural products. However, as developing economies become absorbed into the world economy, more production shifts to these economies. This has led to global shift, where production processes are relocated from HICs such as the USA,Japan and the EU, to MICs and NICs in South and Eastern Asia (for example China, Vietnam and Malaysia) and Latin America. TNCs take advantage of improving transport links and advances in information and communications technology. From the 1950s to the late 1990s the developed nations’ share of world manufacturing output declined from 95 per cent to 77 per cent, while the developing nations increased their share of manufacturing from 5 per cent to 23 per cent. The resultant division of labour across continents closely follows the Brandt Line where the North - with 25 per cent of the world’s population - controls 80 per cent of the world’s income while the South - with the remainder of the world’s population - has access to 20 per cent of the world’s income. Factors affecting the growth and spatial structure of Transnational Corporations (TNCs) ATNC is a large company with subsidiaries, operations or manufacturing bases in more than one country. TNCs have grown by buying up foreign firms in mergers and acquisitions, for example Cadbury and Oreo are owned by Mondelez International, an American food TNC that was formerly known as Kraft. Much of the manufacturing conducted by TNCs is subcontracted (outsourced) to third parties, which makes it hard to regulate working conditions. TNCs link together groups of countries through the production of goods (most manufacturing TNCs are ‘assembly industries’). They also forge connections between people in different countries by shaping common patterns of consumption. There are now well over 60 000 TNCs and they control around 25 per cent of the world’s economy and employ around 1 per cent of the world’s workforce. In order to make more money, TNCs operate in a way that involves controlling production. Many TNCs control the whole production and sales process, which figure 14.12 Land Rover Defender-a vehicle produced by the Indian company Tata. keeps down costs. They expand their production so that they can produce items for less and therefore make more profit. TNCs also grow larger and more powerful by acquiring the opposition - either taking over or merging with competing companies (see FDI). Ford, for instance, moved up-market by buying Jaguar, Volvo and Land Rover and a share of Mazda. They sold Jaguar and Land Rover to the Indian conglomerate Tata as they didn’t make large profits from the two brands, something that Tata have managed since. Outsourcing TNCs outsource many of their operations. Outsourcing is the sub­ contracting of manufacturing and other services to low cost locations such as China and India. This means the TNC can make even larger amounts of money as it doesn’t have to pay high wages in rich countries. Many TNCs outsource the design of software to Indian-based software designers in Mumbai and Bangalore-the Indian equivalent of Silicon Valley. Call centres are often outsourced by British companies such as British Telecom, British Airways, Sky TV and Aviva to countries such as India and South Africa. Sporting goods manufacturers like Nike, Reebok and Le Coq Sportif outsource the manufacture of sports shoes and clothing to factories in Indonesia, Bangladesh and Vietnam. The sales of the world’s largest TNCs can be greater than many middle or low income nations. Apple has sales similar to the GNI of an oil-rich state such 354 Economic transition as Nigeria (US$469 billion), while Toyota’s sales were greater than the GNI of Portugal (US$222 billion) in 2013. TNCs are accused of exploiting host countries by paying workers low wages, avoiding paying corporation taxes and conducting industrial processes that might be illegal in their own countries. However TNCs bring FDI to nations, which allows workers to contribute tax revenues to the governments of those countries and stimulates the growth of local services. Further benefits can be even more widely felt when a TNC sources its parts locally within a trade bloc. Other criticisms come from the social and cultural impacts TNCs may have on host nations through the exploitation of workers. Mattel, Inc. is one of the largest toy companies in the world with sales of approximately US$6.48 billion in 2013. It is home to such brands as Barbie, Fisher-Price, Hot Wheels and Matchbox. Mattel has company-owned or controlled facilities in many countries including China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Mexico and Thailand. In 1997 Mattel announced the establishment of their Global Manufacturing Principles (G MP), which is a code of conduct that covers all of Mattel’s own production facilities and those of its primary manufacturers around the world. Mattel’s management wanted the company’s products to meet its global quality standards regardless of the location of manufacturing; they also wanted its products to be made under humane conditions and for all workers engaged in producing goods for Mattel to be treated in accordance with national laws and customs. Many TNCs however have very poor records on pollution and worker safety. They have been accused of trying to wrongly economise with both safety and pollution in order to keep costs down. An American company, Union Carbide, was responsible for a chemical leak in 1984 in the Indian city of Bhopal that killed over 3000 people and injured half a million more. table 14.10 Composite index of the World’s largest TNCs ranked by sales, 2014 (Forbes 2000) Rank Company Headquarters Industry Sales (billion US$) Profits (billion US$) Assets (billion US$) Market value (billion US$) 1 Wal-Mart Stores United States Retail 476.5 16.0 204.8 247-9 2 Volkswagen Group Germany Automotive 261.5 12.0 446-9 119.0 3 Chevron United States Oil and gas 211.8 21.4 253.8 227.2 4 BP United Kingdom Oil and gas 379-2 23.6 305.7 148.8 5 Citigroup United States Banking 94.1 13-4 1883.4 145-1 6 Apple United States Consumer electronics 173.8 37-0 225.2 483-1 7 HSBC United Kingdom Banking 79-6 16.3 2671.3 192.6 183.3 8 Bank of America United States Banking 101.5 ii-4 2113.8 9 Toyota Japan Automotive 255-6 18.8 385.5 193.5 10 Royal Dutch Shell Netherlands Oil and gas 459-6 16.4 357-5 234.1 11 PetroChina China Oil and gas 328.5 21.1 386.9 202.0 12 Bank of China China Banking 105.1 25-5 2291.8 124.2 13 Wells Fargo United States Banking 88.7 21-9 1543-0 261.4 14 General Electric United States Conglomerate 143-3 14.8 656.6 259.6 15 Exxon Mobil United States Oil and gas 432-4 32.6 346.8 422.3 16 Berkshire Hathaway United States Conglomerate 178.8 19-5 493-4 309.1 17 JPMorgan Chase United States Banking 105-7 17-3 2435-3 229.7 18 Agricultural Bank of China China Banking 136.4 27.0 2405-4 141.1 19 China Construction Bank China Banking 121.3 34-2 2449-5 174.4 20 ICBC China Banking 148-7 3124-9 215.6 42-7 Economic transition 355 Case Study The global spatial organisation and operation of oneTNC: Toyota The Toyota Motor Corporation was first established in Japan in 1937. In 1959 Toyota opened its first overseas plant, which was in Brazil. By 2004 the company was the third-largest manufacturer of automobiles in the world and by far the largest in Japan, producing one vehicle every few seconds! It had 12 plants and 11 subsidiary companies in Japan and 51 manufacturing companies in 26 countries from the USA to India; it employed just over a quarter of a million people worldwide. Toyota sold nearly 6.72 million vehicles, from mini-vehicles to large trucks, in over 140 countries. The automotive business makes up over 90 per cent of the company’s total sales. The remaining 10 per cent of Toyota's operations include telecommunications, prefabricated housing (including earthquake-resistant designs) and leisure boats. Toyota, like many other TNCs, has realised the importance of creating a good public image and using environmentally-friendly practices and is famous for its Toyota Production System, which has a main goal of eliminating waste. This has enabled Toyota to reduce pollution and production costs. Toyota’s two factories in the USA have achieved ‘zero landfill status’ as Toyota sells or gives away all waste products to companies that recycle the waste. Toyota in Europe Toyota has been selling cars in Europe since 1963. Since 1990 it has invested over US$7 billion in Europe and currently employs over 90 000 people in its 9 manufacturing plants, spanning seven countries, and various retailing subsidiaries. Toyota has a policy of globalisation in adapting its vehicles to meet the specific needs of Europe's many varied customers. When Toyota decided to set up a plant for its expanding market in Europe to avoid tariffs and quotas as a result of the introduction of the single European market in 1992, it chose the UK. The UK had an excellent skilled and flexible workforce, a strong tradition of engineering and vehicle manufacturing and favourable working practices. The UK also had a large domestic market for Toyota cars, reliable industrial transport links to customers and 230 British- and European-based supply partners. Ease of integration and communication was facilitated by the use of English as a common language (English is the second language in Japan). In 2001, a new factory new Valenciennes on the border of France and Belgium began producing the Yaris car model, followed a year later by a new factory in Poland building transmissions. In 2002, Toyota opened a factory in Adapazari, near Istanbul in Turkey, producing the Corolla and Verso models, most of which are exported to European countries and beyond. Toyota opened a diesel engine plant in JelczLaskowice, Poland that began operating in 2005, at the same time as a new vehicle manufacturing plant in Kolin in the Czechia that produces the Aygo model in conjunction with Peugeot and Citroen. In 2007 Toyota's expansion in Europe continued with the opening of a plant in St Petersburg in Russia producing the Camry model. Toyota also produces minibuses in Portugal. Around two-thirds ofToyotas sold in Europe are manufactured there. Worldwide, Toyota operates 54 factories in 20 different countries and has joint ventures with other manufacturers in seven more. Many of these factories are in emerging markets but also include 16 factories in Japan and seven in the USA. 356 Economic transition Factors in the emergence and growth of Newly Industrialised Countries (NICs) Newly Industrialised Countries are nations whose level of economic development rank them somewhere between the developing and developed world. Characteristics of NICs NICs share similar characteristics to LICs but tend to be moving towards freer and stronger developed export-led economies; they can be said to be emerging markets. Some common attributes seen in NICs include: increased economic freedom, increased personal liberties, transition from agriculture to manufacturing, the presence of foreign TNCs, strong foreign direct investment and rapid growth in urban areas due to migration from rural areas. Emerging markets are broadly defined as nations in the process of rapid growth and industrialisation. Often these nations are changing to an exportled economy with a growing working age population. Emerging markets can be identified by the Morgan Stanley Capital Investment (MSCI) Emerging Markets Index, which currently includes 23 countries. Table 14.11 identifies these countries. table 14.11 Emerging markets, 2015 Latin America Asia Africa Europe Brazil China Egypt Czechia Chile India South Africa Hungary Colombia Indonesia Poland Mexico South Korea Russia Peru Malaysia Greece (Czech Rep.) Philippines Taiwan Qatar Thailand Turkey UAE These characteristics of emerging markets include: • Transitional economy: emerging markets are often in the process of moving from a closed economy to an open market economy. • Young and growing population: emerging markets often have younger populations that can lead to long-term growth in the economy by replacing ageing workers and consumer goods. However, younger populations can also lead to an increased risk of political instability and can be more mobile than older populations. • Underdeveloped infrastructure: emerging markets are usually in the early stages of building infrastructure. Government spending can be high and at the cost of other areas of the economy. • Increasing foreign investment: emerging markets usually see strong foreign direct investment, which can be a good sign of anticipated economic growth ahead but can also lead to economic expansion and contraction. Economic transition 357 What’s in a name? In 2ooijim O’Neill, chief economist of Goldman Sachs, coined the acronym BRIC to represent the four fastest growing emerging markets Brazil, Russia, India and China. These countries were joined by South Africa in 2010. These countries represent almost 3 billion people, or approximately 40 per cent of the world’s population. The five nations have a combined nominal GDP of US$16 trillion, which is equivalent to approximately 20 per cent of the gross world product, and an estimated US$4 trillion in com­ bined foreign reserves. In 2005 Goldman Sachs decided to expand BRIC to include 11 more coun­ tries that it dubbed the Next Eleven, or N-11. These countries include Bang­ ladesh, Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, South Korea, Turkey and Vietnam. In 2009 HSBC began promoting CIVETS, a term first coined by The Economist to include Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey and South Africa. In 2011 the MINTs emerged; these include Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey. These four countries are expected to experience rapid economic growth by 2020. Industrial growth in some LICs and NICs and de-industrialisation in MICs In recent years manufacturing in NICs has increased and manufacturing in HICs has decreased due to global shift. In the last few decades many countries that have traditionally relied on primary products have seen a massive growth in their manufacturing industries (NICs). This has led to a rapid increase in de-industrialisation in HICs such as the UK and Germany where there was a long history of manufacturing. The increase in worldwide affluence has driven higher consumption and consequently production in many areas of the world and has led to massive levels of overseas production to satisfy global demand. These new manufacturing hubs are located nearer to emerging markets in order to extend global reach as companies need to maintain competitive advantage. The introduction of less restrictive markets has allowed TNCs to stretch their profit margins, which has resulted in increased drive for development in LICs. Deindustrialisation Deindustrialisation is a long-term process of change in the employment of industrial nations. This is normally a fall in the contribution made by the manufacturing (secondary) sector to national output, employment and income. In countries such as the UK and France this included steel and ship building. This can be measured in a number of ways: • • • A falling share of manufacturing in total national output (GDP) A falling share of industrial employment in total employment A declining share of UK manufactured exports in world trade In the UK, the share of total GDP taken by manufacturing has declined from 23 per cent in 1989 to just under 19 per cent in 2000 to just 9 per cent of the labor force by 2011- a real decline over 1.2 million workers since 1989. 358 Economic transition Regional development within countries Disparities in social and economic development within countries Huge contrasts in wages, employment or educational opportunities and access to healthcare among local, regional and national populations are common. Even in the USA, a country renowned for equality, there are disparities between rich and poor. In 2005 the U.S. Census Bureau estimated that the top 5 per cent of wage earners earned over 30 per cent of all US income. Oxfam recently declared that the combined wealth of the 85 richest people in the world was equal to more than the wealth of the poorest 3.5 billion people in the world The most commonly used measure of inequality is the Gini coefficient, which is a measure of statistical dispersion intended to represent the income distribution of a nation’s residents. A Gini coefficient of o would mean perfect equality, where everyone has the same income. A Gini coefficient of 100 means maximum inequality (for example, where only one person has all the income or consumption and all others have none). This can also be shown using the Lorenz curve that is a graphical representation of the cumulative distribution of wealth or income. The USA has a Gini coefficient of around 40 - a figure that is very similar to Cameroon, while Germany has a Gini coefficient of around 30- a figure matched by Pakistan. Many sub-Saharan nations have figures over more than 50 including South Africa with 63 (the world’s highest) while most MICs have a figure between 30 and 40. Afghanistan has the lowest Gini coefficient, which is 27. In Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries the average income of the richest 10 per cent of the population is about nine times that of the poorest 10 per cent. Turkey, Chile and Mexico have seen inequality fall but in the latter two countries the incomes of the richest are still more than twenty-five times those of the poorest. In emerging economies, such as China and India, strong economic growth over recent years has helped lift millions of people out of absolute poverty. However the benefits of economic growth are not evenly distributed and rates of income inequality have risen further. Of the most dynamic emerging economies only Brazil has managed to reduce inequality but the gap between rich and poor is still much larger than that of the countries of the OECD. Cumulative percentage of population figure figure 14.13 The Lorenz curve (hypothetical) 14.14 The Gini coefficient, by country according to the World Bank, 2014 Economic transition 359 The concept of core-periphery Within countries, both core and peripheral regions can be found. Even in the most developed countries there are wealthy core regions where much of the investment takes place, often this is found around the capital city. For much of the UKs recent history, there has been a North-South Divide with the richest region of the country, London and the South East dominating the peripheral north regions such as Scotland, Wales and the North East. In Italy, the richer north overshadows the poorer region of the south - the ‘Mezzogiorno’ in terms of investment and industrial output. In many African nations, the core is usually around the ports and capitals founded by the former colonial powers e.g. Lagos in Nigeria and Accra in Ghana. In Argentina, there is a striking North/South economic divide, with the southern regions south of the capital Buenos Aires much more prosperous than the regions to the north of the country. Santa Cruz, one of the most southerly provinces has a GDP per capita 15 times greater than Chaco, close to the border with Brazil ($30,496 and $2,015 respectively). The economy of the south is based on the mining of precious minerals and energy production, while the north is reliant on agricultural produce, though tourism is an increasingly important industry in the south. Government incentives have been important for Argentina’s most southerly and remote province, Tierra Del Fuego, in reducing the impacts of regional disparities. Tax incentives have been in place since the 1970’s to encourage the location of manufacturing industry. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is important as South Korean TNC Samsung is a major employer producing TVs, DVD players and cell phones in the city of Rio Grande. All the countries of the world can be divided into two categories - the ‘core’ and the ‘periphery’. The core includes all of the major world superpowers (both economic and military) that also own much of the world’s wealth - the so-called ‘switched-on’ places. The periphery are those countries that do not possess much wealth and have largely been by-passed by globalisation - the so-called ‘switched-off ’ places. 360 Economic transition Core-periphery theory is generally understood to be that as prosperity increases globally most of the growth is experienced by a ‘core’ region of rich countries despite having a smaller population than those in a ‘periphery’ of poorer nations. Physical and political barriers prevent the poorer nations of the world from having a greater say in global relations than HICs as global institutions in particular favour the wealthy. The wealth disparity between core and peripheral countries is extreme, with 15 per cent of the global population enjoying 75 per cent of the world’s annual income. Dependency theory The origins of this world structure came about through dependency theory. From the seventeenth century onwards capitalist European countries such as Britain and the Netherlands exploited the peripheral countries like South Africa through colonialism and imperialism. Raw materials were obtained from the periphery, often through slave labour, and were sold by companies set up by the colonial masters to countries in the core where they would be consumed or manufactured in products and then sold back to the periphery. Supporters of dependency theory believe that centuries of exploitation have damaged the colonised countries and left them a long way behind, making it difficult for them to compete on equal terms in the global market. Colonial powers established political regimes during reconstruction after the Second World War and in the lead up to independence. In many peripheral nations the language of their colonial masters remains the official language, long after their independence. Governments in peripheral nations sometimes practice policies better suited to the core regions. Intra-governmental organisations such as the IMF and the World Bank may also impose restrictions that do not provide the ideal course for the periphery. The core-periphery model can also be found at a country or regional scale. Many countries have distinct core and peripheral regions. The UK has a NorthSouth divide - the South East of England is significantly richer in GDP terms than the rest of Britain. Brazil too, has a rich core based on the South East and mega-cities of Rio de Janeiro and Sao Paulo, while other regions such as Amazonia are significantly poorer. In both countries the core is a significant magnet to migrants even though massive disparities in wealth occur in those cores. Cumulative causation Cumulative causation is the process whereby economic activity leads to prosperity and increases economic development. Cumulative causation tends to concentrate in an area with an initial advantage, which drains investment and skilled labour from the outlying (peripheral) areas; this is known as the backwash effect. A simpler form of cumulative causation is the multiplier effect-the introduction of a new industry or the expansion of an existing industry in an area encourages growth in other industrial sectors. In its simplest form, the multiplier effect is how many times money spent circulates through a country’s economy. Money invested in an industry helps to create jobs directly in the industry but it also creates jobs indirectly elsewhere in the economy. New industrial development, for example, requires construction workers who themselves require housing and services such as schools and shops. An increased demand for food will benefit local farmers who may increase their spending on fertiliser. Workers employed directly in the new industry increase the local supply of skilled labour, which attracts other companies who benefit from sharing this labour pool. Other companies who supply components or use the new industry’s products are attracted to the area to benefit from reduced transport costs. Spin-off effects of the multiplier effect include new inventions or innovations that may lead to further industrial development and new linkages. Economic transition INTRODUCTION OF A NEW INDUSTRY OR figure 14.16 Cumulative causation The management of regional development Case Study Morocco Morocco is the most north-westerly country in Africa and is located in an area known as the Maghreb-the ‘Arab West’. It has coastlines on both the Atlantic Ocean and the Mediterranean Sea and most of the interior of the country is mountainous and semi-arid. Morocco was a French protectorate from 1912-56 and prior to French rule was partly controlled by Spain. Unlike many of its neighbours, Morocco has a liberal economy and, since 1993, has privatised many key industries that used to be owned by the government. It has become a leader in African affairs and is the sixth-largest African economy by GDP (PPP) (2015). In 2005 Morocco was ranked the fourth-best country to live in Africa by The Economist quality-of-life index (66th in the world). In the second half of the 1990s the Moroccan government introduced a series of economic policies that included trade liberalisation and investment promotion. The country has successfully realised strong economic growth and poverty reduction. In 2005 the government started the National Initiative for Human Development, a policy designed to address poverty and reduce social and regional disparities. As a result of the political reforms undertaken since 2000, the effects of the Arab Spring in North Africa in 2011 were minimised and did not cause a great deal of political turmoil to the country. Nevertheless, there remain factors for social instability such as a high unemployment rate among the urban young and lack of development in rural areas. Economic transition figure 14.18 The Sahara Desert (above) is a popular destination for adventure tourists and ecotourists. Morocco’s exports consist of agricultural goods, especially oranges and dates, clothing, phosphates and fertilisers and electrical wire. The service sector accounts forjust over half of GDP. Industry, which is made up of mining, construction and manufacturing, contributes 25 per cent of GDP. The industries with the highest growth rates in recent years have been tourism, telecoms, information technology and textiles. Since 2000 Morocco has had a free trade agreement with the EU. The abolition of tariffs on industrial goods has been beneficial for Moroccan manufacturers as some 75 per cent of Morocco’s exports go to Europe. France is Morocco’s largest trading partner for both imports and exports and France controls more than 60 per cent of foreign direct investment in Morocco. Morocco has emerged as a major low cost location for many European manufacturers and the widespread use of French as a second language has led French banking and call-centre firms to set up in Morocco as part of a development initiative called Plan Emergence. The country now has about 200 call centres, including 30 of significant size that employ a total of over 18 000 people. Trading agreements exist with the USA, China and the Gulf States. The current population of Morocco is around 34 million but this is expected to rise to 42 million by 2050. The median age is increasing and although birth and fertility rates are both decreasing, the working age population (15-64) will increase between 2012 and 2050 (Figure 14.19). Net migration has been negative since 1984. Over 50 per cent of Morocco's population still lives in rural areas. The country also has a large pool of young people and its economy struggles to find jobs for all of them. Economic transition 2000 male female age group 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 2000 1500 1000 500 0 0 1000 500 1500 2000 population (thousands) 2025 age group male female 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 2000 1500 1000 500 0 upwards of US$2.2 billion. Its aims were: • • • • to increase tourist numbers to 10 million by 2010 (including 7 million international arrivals), to create 160 000 new hotel beds -130 000 at coastal resorts and 30 000 in cultural destinations, thereby increasing Morocco’s total number of hotel beds to 230 000 to increase the value of tourism revenue to around US$40 billion per year to create 600 000 new jobs in the tourism sector to increase tourism’s share of national GDP to 20 per cent by 2010, from 16 per cent in 2007. 0 1000 500 1500 2000 population (thousands) 2050 male In 2012 Morocco’s largest city was Casablanca and this will remain the case until 2030, when 16.2 per cent of the urban population could reside there. Since independence (1956) many Moroccans have moved to Europe to look for work and it is estimated that there are as many as 4 million Moroccans living in the Ell; France (1.5 million), Spain, the Netherlands and Belgium are the main destinations for these migrants. In order to maximise Morocco’s potential, the High Commission for Planning has embarked on a series of ambitious 10-year development plans that will take the country up to 2030. The first of these plans, initiated in 1999 and named Vision 2010, aimed to boost the country’s GDP through increasing tourism. Tourism is a powerful driver of economic growth and an important tool for regional improvement and development. Tourism makes the most of Morocco’s various territories, population groups and other assets in a sustainable way. The multiplier effect of tourism impacts on all other sectors of the economy and plays a significant role in the prosperity of the country as a whole. Vision 2010 was a major development project and was expected to cost age group female The centrepiece of Vision 2010 was Plan Azur-an ambitious plan to build six new coastal resorts, five on the Atlantic Ocean and one on the Mediterranean Sea. These were to be developed by private property development companies. Morocco looked to emulate the success of Dubai by investing in tourism as a model for development. As well as these large-scale resorts, investment in urban cultural tourism was planned for more traditional cultural attractions across Morocco, such as Marrakesh. Urban cultural tourism was to focus on encouraging private sector investment in new and refurbished hotels and visitor facilities to increase the quality of the tourism product and to compete with European city-break destinations. As part of Vision 2010 Morocco undertook a liberalisation of air travel, including an Open Sky agreement with the EU signed in 2006. This has encouraged low cost airlines from the EU, such as Ryanair and Easyjet, to population (thousands) figure 14.19 Morocco’s population 2000, 2025 and 2050 increase flights to Morocco. In 2004 Royal Air Maroc founded its own low-cost airline, Atlas Blue, which now flies between Menara International Airport in Marrakesh and many European destinations. Mohammed V International Airport in Casablanca is currently undergoing expansion to increase its capacity to 10 million passengers per year. The world recession that started in 2008 hit Morocco hard; many developers of the resorts were forced to abandon their plans and new hotels and other facilities were left unfinished, with Moroccan developers unable to complete the building programmes. However, the government is confident about the future of the tourism industry in the kingdom. In 2011, 9.3 million tourists, around 83 per cent of which were from Europe, visited Morocco as the world economy began to recover. Vision 2010 has been a success. Morocco became the twenty-fifth most visited country worldwide in 2010. Tourism is now Morocco’s top foreign exchange earner, its second biggest contributor to GDP and the second biggest creator of jobs in the country. Undeterred by the events of the previous few years, Morocco embarked on another ambitious plan in 2013 called Vision 2020. The aims of this plan include a doubling of tourist numbers to 20 million by 2020, most of whom would Economic transition Plan Azur i 2 3 4 5 6 Saidia: over 700 hectares, up to 17 000 hotel beds and 3000 villas, three golf courses and a marina. Developed by Spanish property developer Martinsa-Fadesa. Khemis Sahel: the development, called Port Lixus, is being constructed by Belgian company Thomas and Piron and French company Colbert-Oreo. Two golf courses, a marina, 7500 hotel beds and villas are being constructed. El Haouzia: a five-star hotel resort called Mazagan, developed along 15 km of coastline, being built by the Kerzner Group (based in the Bahamas), which also developed The Palm, Dubai. Mogador: 4 km from the World Heritage Site of Essaouira, this golf resort with over 8000 hotel beds is being developed by French company Accor. Taghazout: Colony Capital (USA) is developing a seven­ hotel, two-golf-course beach resort along 5 km of coastline. Plage Blanche: A resort was planned to be built here, where the Sahara meets the sea at Morocco’s wildest beach, in the south of the country. An airport has been built at nearby Tan Tan but so far no development has taken place. Portugal/ ATLANTIC SPAIN Tangi Khemis Sahel (2 OCEAN Rabat® Fez Ceuta (Spain) (Spain) (J Saidia Casablanca El Haouzia® Madeira (Portugal) Mogador^- Marrakesh AgadirC Taghazout® Canary Is Blanche r" Laayoune- WESTERN ° ALGERIA SAHARA (Administered by Morocco) MAURITANIA figure 14.20 Plan Azur originate in northern and western Europe. In addition, it is hoped that 470 000 jobs will be created directly over the period 2011-2020 along with around another 1 million jobs in ancillary industries. Tourism’s share of Morocco’s GDP is anticipated to rise by 2 per cent, with tourist takings more than doubling to reach 140 billion Dirham (around US$14 billion) by 2020. It is hoped that all of this will be achieved thanks to a new Plan Azur. Much of the new development will be sustainable, which is an opportunity for tourism in Morocco to distinguish itself from its competitors. This would be done in the following ways: • • • • • • The Azur 2020 programme: providing an internationally competitive range of seaside resorts for Morocco and strengthening Morocco’s seaside resorts on both the Atlantic and Mediterranean shores by completing the Azur 2010 projects and developing new resorts in the south. Sustainable development programme: developing ecotourism through sustainable development products such as eco-lodges, desert resorts and glamping. High value-added programme: the creation of an infrastructure that can host big international gatherings. Additionally, by setting up facilities for wellbeing, exhibition and culture sectors to make Morocco a new international destination for wellbeing and health. Heritage programme: enhancing the range of cultural experiences on offer by making the most of Morocco’s heritage by developing specific accommodation, by the reconversion of historical monuments, the construction of new museums, and the enhancement and valorisation of traditional festivals. Events, sports and leisure programme: developing a range of international­ class cultural and leisure events to enhance the attractiveness of tourist destinations based on a full programme of events such as leisure cities, theme parks and resorts. Biladi programme: offering a product tailored to the needs of native Moroccans. ‘Biladi’ means ‘my home’. Economic transition figure 14.21 Ait Ben Haddou - a traditional Berber settlement popular amongst tourists. It is also popular with filmmakers as a location. It is hoped that sustainable tourism and a natural saturation point will be achieved by maintaining capacity and arrivals for individual tourist sites. Some areas of Morocco have been designated for increased growth, such as Tangier and Casablanca, while others, such as Marrakesh and Essaouira, are to have tourism development restricted to limit negative impacts on people and the environment. Ambitious 20-year development plans have been created for all walks of Moroccan life including agriculture - a Green Morocco Plan will liberalise farming from a semi-subsistence level to a commercial level by 2030. Energy too, has a Vision 2030 - reliance on imported energy will be replaced by the use of renewables including wind and solar power. Already, technological leapfrogging has taken place and an extensive mobile phone network covers the country-even in the Sahara Desert, where aerials and masts are powered by abundant solar energy. Overseas development agencies, such as the Japanese International Cooperation Agency, have contributed to rural stability and balanced economic development in Morocco by focusing on regional and social disparities and sustainable economic growth. As a result of this development, from 1980-2010 Morocco achieved the best relative increase in HDI (61 per cent) across the Maghreb. According to the Human Development Report (2014), Libya (55th), Tunisia (90th) and Algeria (93rd) have High Human Development whereas Egypt (noth) and Morocco (129th) fall into the medium group. In terms of literacy and education achievements, for instance, nearly half of the adult population was unable to read in 2010 and there was around 60 per cent combined gross enrolment in primary, secondary and tertiary education. For the other Maghreb countries adult literacy rates were much higher. 3 Economic transition The rates of combined gross enrolment in primary, secondary and tertiary education showed similar differences and these figures are hindering Morocco’s development as a nation. When considering GDP per person in the Maghreb, Morocco’s figure of US$7356 (2013) is significantly lower than that of its oil-rich neighbour Algeria (US$13 788). According to the World Health Organization (2013), life expectancy across the Maghreb varies as well, with the oil-rich states of Libya (average age: 75) and Algeria (average age: 72) having higher levels than Morocco (average age: 71). NOW INVESTIGATE 1 Investigate other indices to measure Purchasing Power Parity and the cost of living. Where are the most and least expensive countries as far as the cost of living is concerned? 2 Investigate the Forbes 2000 list. How many companies from your country are in the 2000 top TNCs? Find out more about a company in the top 100 TNCs including how the company became so large, what it produces and the countries it operates in. 3 Choose a MIC or LIC. What are the population indices such as fertility, mortality and growth rates? How do they compare with other indices such as the HDI and GNI per person? 4 Investigate the management of development for a MIC or LIC. Does it have a development plan like Morocco? What sectors of the economy is it investing in to aid its development? Have its development plans resulted in a better Human Development Index in recent years? Economic transition 367 15 Geographical skills UK population by age group so v> -C Q_ E 0 H Africa under 15 15-44 45- 59 60-74 Bar graphs to Column graphs Europe k___ j Asia Americas over 74 Oceania Divided bar graphs Male Female E I 40 50 60 Each full square represents 70 80 90 100 110 120 1% of the total population Press-ups Scatter graphs with line of best fit Triangular graphs Climate graphs Hl 7*5 LI Liechtenstein Vaduz Lithuania Vilnius Luxembourg Luxembourg Macedonia (FYROM)2 Skopje Madagascar Antananarivo Malawi Malaysia JI n rc 4-» Q M Age/sex structure diagrams 57 000 Aberystwyth 3 017 000 r,„ Temperature - max. (°C) 530 000 r ' ' 2 107 000 Temperature - mln. (°C) 22 925 000 Rainfall - (mm) Lilongwe 16 363 000 Kuala Lumpur/Putrajaya 29 717 000 Maldives Male Mali Bamako Malta Valletta Marshall Islands Delap-Uliga-Djarrrt Mauritania Nouakchott Mauritius Port Louis Mexico Mexico City Micronesia, Fed. States of Palikir Moldova Chişiniu Monaco Monaco-Ville Mongolia Ulan Bator P l. > 345000 Acapulco 15 302 000 Temperature - max. (°C) 3 890 000 Rainfall - (mm)__________ Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 7 7 9 11 15 17 18 18 2 2 3 5 7 10 12 12 97 72 60 56 65 76 99 93 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun M Aug 31 31 31 32 32 33 32 33 22 22 22 23 25 25 25 25 6 1 0 1 36 281 256 252 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 1 244 000 122 332 000 ------ 7------------------------------104000 Algiers Jan 3 487 000 Temperature - max. (°C) 38000 Temperature - min. (°C) 2 839 000 ah nnn ____ 15 9 _ rmm\ 112 ' ___________ 16 17 20 23 26 28 9 11 13 15 18 21 84 74 41 46 15 0 22 Diagrams without annotation I 369 Geographical skills The purpose of this chapter is to help with the process of conducting fieldwork (recommended but not compulsory with the Cambridge International A-Level), to show ways in which data can be represented (useful for both fieldwork write-ups and exam questions that may be set in the A-Level), and to begin thinking about the nature of different types of data geographers collect and use. Diagrams and graphs Line graphs Line graphs are used for showing the relationship between two variables, such as temperature and altitude (Figure 15.1). Here are a few simple rules for drawing line graphs. 1 figure 15.1 A line graph of temperature plotted against altitude. 2 3 4 Usually one of the two variables causes the other to change (rather than vice versa). For example, if you were plotting soil depth against slope angle, it is obviously the angle of the slope that causes the soil depth to change, rather than the other way round. In this case slope angle is called the independent variable and goes on the horizontal or x-axis, while soil depth is the dependent variable and goes on the vertical orjr-axis. One exception to this rule is that altitude is usually plotted on the vertical axis, regardless of whether it is the dependent or the independent variable. Thus in Figure 15.1 altitude is plotted on the_y-axis, although it is clearly independent of temperature. Axes should generally start at zero. Always mark on the axes what the variables are. Be aware of the fact that the scales you use on the axes will determine the visual impression given by the graph. Figure 15.2 shows the same set of figures plotted on two graphs with axes of different scales. Note the difference in the way the two graphs look. Bar graphs In a bar graph, one axis has a numerical value, but the other shows categories. Bars are drawn proportional in length to the value they represent (Figure 15.3). Divided bar graphs (Figure 15.4) are useful when the variable being graphed (such as population ethnicity) can be divided into parts (white, Asian etc.). Where there is a clear pattern, the largest division of the bar should be on the bottom/ left-hand side and the smallest on the top/right. Age/sex structure diagrams (Figure 15.5) are another form of bar graph. The vertical axis shows age groups in five-year intervals. The horizontal axis represents either the actual number or the percentage of people in each of these age groups. The whole graph is divided into two, males on the left and females on the right. figure 15.2 Line graphs showing employment in the London docklands. 370 Geographical skills Logarithmic graphs Logarithmic graphs are of two types: those where both axes are drawn logarithmically (called log-log graphs) and those where only one axis (the vertical axis) is logarithmic (semi-log graphs). Figure 15.6 (b) shows a semi­ log graph. The horizontal axis is quite normal. But on the vertical scale the numbers are not spaced evenly: the interval between 20 and 30 is slightly less than between 10 and 20 and the same as between 200 and 300 higher up the scale. Numbers are regularly ‘bunched’, and each of these bunchings is called a cycle. The top and bottom of each cycle must be 10 or some decimal or multiple of io. In each successive cycle the values are io times greater than those of the cycle below. Logarithmic graphs have two merits: 2014 2050 Japan Germany France i 2 It is possible to represent a very great range of data on one piece of graph paper. If you had to plot such values as i, 3,12 and 12 ooo, this would be impossible on a normal graph, but possible on a logarithmic graph. Equal rates of change are shown by lines of equal slope. Compare Figures 15.6 (a) and (b). Figure 15.6 (a) shows a normal line graph illustrating the output from two factories over 20 years. Both factories doubled their output every 10 years (equal rates of change), but the slopes of their lines are different because factory Y has higher absolute output levels. In Figure 15.6 (b) both appear as a straight line. Logarithmic graphs are therefore used for plotting rates of change. UK Canada Poland USA Russia China Brazil India 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Percentage of population aged 65+ figure 15.3 Share of population aged 65 or over, 2014 and 2050 [3 White I I Asian I I Black or African American Q American Indian and Alaska Native IT! Native Hawaiian and other Pacific Islander | | Other 2010 2000 0% figure 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60 % 70% 80% 90% 100% 15.4 Population of USA by ethnicity, 2000-2010 population (millions) 15.5 Age/sex structure diagram of the United States, 2015 figure figure 15.6 The same data plotted on (a) normal graph paper and (b) semi-log paper. Scatter graphs These are used to investigate the relationship between two variables when you have data for many places. For example, Figure 15.7 shows the relationship between population size and the number of services offered in all the settlements of a region. This type of graph could be used to see if there was any relationship between birth rate and standard of living in 100 countries of the world, or between precipitation and discharge in 20 rivers. The pattern of the scatter describes the relationship. In Figure 15.7 there is a positive correlation (as one value goes up, the other goes up) and there appear to be three main groups. Lines are drawn on the graph that show the general trend of the dots. Three are drawn on Figure 15.7. There should be an equal number of dots above and below the line. These are called best-fit lines. If the points do not form a clear trend, you should not draw a best-fit line. Geographical skills Dispersion graphs House prices (USS) A dispersion graph shows the range of a set of data and their tendency to group or disperse. It may also be used for comparing two groups of data. For example, Figure 15.8 shows prices for the same type of house in two areas of the same town. Each house is shown as one dot. Divided circles (pie graphs) These are used for showing a quantity (such as the population of a country) that can be divided into parts (for example, different ethnic groups). A circle is drawn to represent the total quantity. It is divided into segments proportional in size to the components (Figure 15.9). Unless you are using a computer to draw the pie graph for you, the method for dividing the circle is as follows: 2 Draw the circle, proportional in area to the total quantity to be represented or not, as you wish. Tabulate the values that will form the segments of the circle. Convert these 3 4 into a percentage of the whole. Calculate the angle that corresponds to this percentage of 360 °. Draw a vertical line from the centre of the circle to the top of the 1 figure 15.8 Dispersion graph showing house prices in two parts of a town. Arab states 6 % World: 6 375 000 000 figure 15.9 Pie graph showing cell phone subscribers, world, 2012 5 circumference. Draw in segments, measuring the angles calculated in step 3. Start from the vertical line and work in a clockwise direction. Draw the segments in order 6 of size (largest first etc.). Different segments may be shaded differently and numbers or words written in. Triangular graphs Triangular graphs, sometimes known as ternary diagrams, are graphs with three axes instead of two, taking the form of an equilateral triangle (Figure 15.10). The important features are: 1 2 3 Each axis is divided into 100, representing percentages. From each axis lines are drawn at an angle of 60 ° to carry the values across the graph (Figure 15.11). The data used must be in the form of three components, each component representing a percentage value, and the three percentage values must add up to 100 per cent. You could plot, for example, the employment structure of a town: 0 20 40 6 0 62 80 100 Tertiary % figure Employment Primary Secondary Tertiary Percentage 5 33 62 100 15.10 A triangular graph showing the employment These figures have been plotted on Figure 15.10. Dotted lines show the way in which the values are carried across the graph until they meet at one point. The position of this point indicates the relative dominance of each of the three components. If exactly one-third of workers were engaged in each of the three employment types, the point would be in the middle of the triangle, marked x on Figure 15.10. Care must be taken when plotting and interpreting such a graph because it can be confusing at first. Triangular graphs can be used for plotting any data that can be conveniently divided into three portions, for example agricultural land use (arable, pastoral, other) or age structure (Figure 15.12). Their main value arises when data for several places (or one place at several different times) are plotted on one graph. The relative position of the points then gives a quick visual impression of the relative dominance of one component. figure 15.11 A triangular graph showing the way values are carried across the graph. 372 Geographical skills Maps Geographical Information Systems (GIS) A Geographic Information System has a digital map as a base and layers of other information over it (Figure 15.13) using computer databases. Selected types of information currently held in Geographic Information Systems include: • • • • • • Census data: information about population and housing characteristics. Postcode/zipcode data: every group of 14 or so houses has its own unique postcode, and some data about housing and other characteristics are being linked to postcodes in the database. Data collected by local government giving the location of such things as road repairs, derelict land, or the homes of people needing the services of social workers. Data giving the location of drains, sewers, gas, water, telephone and electricity lines. Data collected by health authorities about illness and patterns of disease; survey maps, in digital form. figure 15.12 Age structure of Hatfield, UK Data from remote sensing satellites, transmitted to Earth in digital form. Every piece of information (such as the location of hospitals on a survey map) is given a geographical coordinate when it is entered into the computer. Storing GIS data on a computer in this way offers several advantages: 1 2 3 4 Data can be easily transferred from one computer to another. It is almost always quicker to transmit data in this way than, for example, sending a paper copy through the post. Maps and overlays can be easily updated or even show real-time data. It is time consuming to record the location of new telephone cables on existing paper maps; it is far quicker to do this on a computer screen. Data can be selectively mapped. Having input all the information from a survey map, for example, it would be possible to print out just the location of streams. Data can be correlated quickly. It would be possible, for example, to compare the location of the homes of children admitted to hospital with asthma with the distribution of main roads, to see whether exhaust pollution could be a factor in the prevalence of the condition. Analysis tools can also be used to identify patterns and trends. Geographic Information Systems have become common only in the last 10 years and are a result of three interrelated developments: 1 2 3 A huge increase in the amount of data being generated by governments, local authorities, businesses and others. A good example of this is satellite remote sensing data, which arrives in a constant stream day and night. The development of computers powerful enough to handle the volume of data, including software that enables the computer to draw maps computer-assisted cartography. The increasing need for rapid availability of selected data. It is estimated that 80 per cent of the data stored by local governments, for example, are locational in some way, and are crucial for planning decisions of all kinds. Global Positioning Systems (GPS) Global Positioning Systems are used for navigating, especially in cars (Sat Nav) but handheld GPS receivers can also be used for mapping. A GPS receiver collects data from at least four satellites and this gives the map coordinates of the receiver, normally to within 10 m. These can be recorded and used for making a map of the area being studied - the data you collect at any place can be given a precise map coordinate. Geographical skills Proportional symbols These symbols are drawn proportional in size to the size of the variable being represented. The symbol used can theoretically be almost anything: proportional ‘people’ to show military strength, proportional ‘trains’ to show the number of trains in an area, proportional ‘factories’ to represent industrial output More common are proportional spheres and cubes, drawn three dimensionally. But the most usual and straightforward proportional symbols are proportional bars (Figure 15.14), squares and circles (Figure 15.15). Proportional bars The method for drawing proportional bars or squares is: 1 Examine the data and decide on your scale. The length of the bar will be proportional to the value it portrays. If the bars are too long, they get in each other’s way, but if they are too short, the difference between one bar and 2 3 4 another becomes hard to see. Draw your bars on a base map, one end of the bar located next to the place to which it refers. Bars should be of uniform width, solid-looking but not so wide that they overlap. They may be placed vertically or horizontally. Mark the scale on the map. Bars may be divided. Bars are easy to draw and simple to read, but they have two limitations: 1 Because bars are linear, it is hard to show data that have a great range: some 2 will be very big or very small. Large bars are not always visually attached to the locality they are supposed to symbolise. It is harder to get ideas of distribution from a bar map. 406 19 651 127 bdll.9% '^Washington 1 015 165 <=>33% Montana 3 930 065 1=12.3% Oregon 38 332 521 1 612 136 >~^11.8% Idaho 2 790 136 Lzd27.5% 2 900 872 Nevada / L=J13.4% Utah I California 582 658 t==19.7% Wyoming 5 268 367 tz)21% Colorado 6 626 624 723 393 1=12.9% 5 420 380 North Dakota 844 877 *3.4% South Dakota linnesol I—19.9% Nebraska 3 850 568 38.4% td 47.3% New Mexico —1 5.5% Iowa I t===J9.6% -.Oklahoma 26 448 193 17 000 000 Texas Pennsylvania 6.3% 6 021 988 9.2%ndi’î I—13.9% ' Missouri =^*^76 \ 9 992 - 833 722\ — Arkansas 7 I <991207 2.9% J””4-1 . . Alabama lississipf Carolina |8.9% 15.3% South Carolina Georgia 9.2 %f_ Louisiana □ Non-Hispanic □ Hispanic 20% figure 15.14 Hispanic and non-Hispanic population in US states, 2013 Geographical skills rir Rhode Island 3 596 080 8 899 339 1=114.7% Connecticut □18.9% New Jersey West 060 Tennessee \ 2 959 373 625 470 (State population) 118.4% New York Ohio 2 893 957 ‘—«11.2% Kansas 12 773 UJ4.7%' 6.3% Michigan Wisconsin 11 570808. 3 090 416 2 085 287 I 130.3 % Arizona 6 692 824 626 630 1 “1.7% Vermont Maine tdio.5% 459 Massachusetts Florida 23.6 %- 925 749 . = 8.7% Delaware 5 928 814 I=i9% Maryland Proportional circles The area of the proportional circle is proportional to the values being mapped (Figure 15.15). The procedure for drawing these is as follows: 1 2 3 4 Calculate the square root of the values. (This is necessary because we want the area of the circle to be proportional to the values. If one value was, for example, 2 and the other was 4, drawing one circle with a radius twice that of the other would make it much more than twice the area.) Multiply each square root by a constant: this gives you the radius of each circle. The constant should be the value that will not make the largest circle too large nor the smallest too small. Draw the circles and mark the scale on the map. The circles can be divided. Choropleth maps In choropleth or shading maps (Figure 15.16), areas are shaded according to a prearranged key, each shading or colour type representing a range of values. It is usually best to draw choropleth maps with a computer, scanning in the boundaries of the areal units. The great advantage of computers, apart from speed, is that they generally offer a wide range of shading types. You can also experiment with different shades. The steps involved in the drawing of choropleth maps are as follows: 1 2 Obtain a base map with boundaries of the areal units for which you have data marked on. The smaller the areal units, the more accurate the map will be. Find the range of your data and devise a shading scale accordingly. For best visual results, you should have no fewer than four shading types and no more than eight, depending on the level of detail required. Your shading should get darker as the value gets higher. It is nearly always best to use Geographical skills Arctic Circle Literacy rate 95-100 84.3 - 94.9 78.6-84.2 60-78.5 40-59.9 0-39.9 no data shades of one colour. If you are using a computer, it will suggest a suitable range of tones for you. You can divide your data into groups of values or figure 15.16 World literacy rates, 2013. The map shows the percentage of the population over 15 years old which is literate. The definition of‘literate’ may vary greatly. classes in two ways: • • 3 Divide the range of values into equal-size classes such as 0-4.9; 5~9-9! 10-14.9; 15-19.9; 20 and over. Rank the values you are expecting to map and divide the rank order into the number of groups you want. Have an equal number of values in each group. Base your shading division on the range of values represented. Shade in the areal units and draw a key on the map. The choropleth shading method is easy to do and gives a good visual impression of change over space, as long as suitable shading is used. On the other hand, it suffers from two limitations: • • It gives a false impression of abrupt change at the boundaries of areal units. This is an unavoidable problem when a technique of this type is used. Variations within areal units are concealed, and for this reason small units are better than large units. GIS software can cope with granularity: the changing detail as one zooms into the map, which produces a more accurate map. Flow-line maps Flow-line maps (Figure 15.17) are used for portraying movements or flows, such as traffic flows along roads or flows of migrants between countries. A line is drawn along the road, or from the country of origin to country of destination, proportional in width to the volume of the flow. The method for constructing a flow-line map is as follows: 1 Draw a base map. Mark relevant details such as areal units or the course of a road. If the map is to represent flows along a road network, mark in pencil the points at which vehicles were counted and the quantity of traffic counted at those points. 376 Geographical skills figure 2 Examine the range of your data and decide upon a scale. If the data range is not too great and the route density not too high, the scale can be a directly proportional one, for example: • • 3 15.17 Brazil imports and exports, 2010 1 mm thickness: 100 cars per hour 2 mm thickness: 200 cars per hour, etc. If the flow lines are too wide, they will tend to create blocks and obscure the map. If this is the case, take the root of the value. Draw the flow lines. These may go along the actual course of the phenomenon being mapped, or direct from origin to destination, or by some other more convenient route - as long as the ‘tail’ of the flow line begins at the flow origin and the ‘nose’ of the line points towards the destination. If the flow is a two-way movement, this can be shown by dividing a flow line and shading it, one shading type representing flow in one direction, the other representing the reverse flow. Ray diagrams Ray diagrams consist of straight lines (or ‘rays’) that show a movement or connection between two places. On any one base map you can draw differentcoloured rays to show different kinds of movement or types of connection between places. There are several types of ray diagram: • • Desire lines: A desire-line diagram shows the movement of phenomena from one place to another. Each line joins the places of origin and destination of a particular movement (Figure 15.18). Wind roses: A wind rose has rays focusing on the point from which wind direction observations have been made (Figure 15.19). Each ray is proportional in length to the number of days in the year that wind blows from that direction. Geographical skills 377 figure 15.18 Ray diagram joining homes of customers in Yorkshire, England, to places where they go to buy (a) bread; (b) hardware; (c) shoes. S SW W NW Calm Direction of wind N NE E Number of days per year 26 37 39 32 30 57 60 figure SE 53 51 15.19 A wind rose ray diagram showing wind direction in Liverpool, UK. Isoline maps Isolines are lines on a map that join points of equal value. We are all familiar with isolines - contours on a relief map, isotherms of temperature and isobars of pressure, for example. Isolines can only be used when the variable to be plotted changes in a fairly gradual way across space and where plenty of data are available (Figure 15.20). If the spatial distribution is disjointed and data are not detailed enough, too much guesswork is involved in the drawing of the isolines. The method for drawing an isoline map is simple: 1 2 3 Plot the data on a map as a series of points with accompanying values. Decide on the interval you want between your isolines. If this is too small, there will be many isolines and the map will look cluttered. If this is too great, the map will become too generalised to be useful. Draw in the isolines. You must stick to your chosen interval: all isolines should have the same interval between them. There is a good deal of personal judgement involved here. Knowledge such as ‘isobars tend to be circular around low-pressure systems but straighter between the fronts’ is useful. 378 Geographical skills 4 The space between different-value isolines can be shaded or coloured. The higher the value of the isolines, the darker the shading. This is the system used for portraying relief in atlases, except that by convention greens are used for low land, browns for high land, purple and white for very high mountains. If you do shade or colour, include a key. If you do not shade between isolines, mark on their numerical value. Isolines are ideal for showing gradual change over space. They avoid the ‘unreal’ effect that boundary lines produce on choropleth maps. figure 15.20 An isoline map of airline noise around Heathrow Airport, London. The main limitations of isolines are that they are unsuitable for ‘patchy’ distributions, and a large amount of data is needed to draw an accurate isoline map. Dot maps In dot mapping dots of a fixed size are given a value representing a variable, such as crop yield or numbers of people, cattle, shops etc. These dots are located on a base map roughly where that phenomenon occurs (Figure 15.21). The main steps involved in drawing a dot map are as follows: 1 2 3 4 5 6 Prepare your data. If the data you are using were gathered within districts, obtain or draw a map showing the district boundaries. Remember: the larger the areal units used, the less informative the map will be. Find the total number of items to be shown on the map: the number of people, cattle, etc. Decide on the dot value. This should be high enough to avoid excessive overcrowding of dots in areas with a high concentration of the phenomenon being mapped, and low enough to prevent areas with low concentrations of the phenomenon having no dots at all, so giving a false impression of emptiness. It may not be possible to fulfil both these criteria so you may have to choose a compromise value. Decide on dot size. Dots should be drawn of uniform size. This size will depend on the density of dots in the area of the map that has the highest density. Ideally, dots should not be too large and should not merge. Draw dots on the map to reflect as closely as possible the distribution of the phenomenon being mapped. You can use dots of different colours. For example, if you were mapping the distribution of members of five different ethnic groups in a city, you could use five different dot colours. The same dot value should be used for each. 15.21 A dot map showing the population of Brazil. Each dot = 100 ooo people. figure Dot maps are useful for showing the distribution of phenomena where values are known and a fairly accurate indication of their location is given. It is the only technique that gives this accurate indication of distribution. Geographical skills 379 Dot maps have two limitations: i Large numbers of dots are hard to count so that, while they are very good at giving an impression of distribution, they are less valuable if you need a precise idea of the values they represent. 2 If the dots are to be plotted within areas but you know nothing about the distribution of the phenomena within these areas, other methods (such as choropleth mapping) are better. In other words, you must have a large amount of initial information before you begin to draw a dot map. Satellite images and aerial photographs Satellite images and aerial photographs can be used in field studies in two ways: 1 For showing elements of the landscape that are not found on survey 2 Chengdu, 1990 Chengdu,2000 maps, such as crop distributions, areas of bare soil left after harvest, water pollution and private swimming pools. Landscape change can be studied by comparing older and more recent images. A satellite does not record every detail of the surface, but looks at a block and gives a generalised colour or wavelength reading forthat block; these blocks are called pixels. Satellites send images at a variety of different wavelengths, including visible radiation (measuring the light reflected by different surfaces) and infrared (giving an indication of the temperature difference between surfaces). The information is sent in digital format- a sequence of numbers that are then decoded to give the correct colour or tone of grey on the screen. We cannot see infrared radiation with our eyes so infrared images have a false colour placed on them by the computer. In order to interpret the image it is necessary to find out how the false colours have been assigned. You can use satellite images as the basis for individual studies, especially for examining agricultural land use. Bare soil appears clearly, as do certain crop types. Changes over seasons and over years can be measured. Other types of study for which you might use satellite imagery are recreational impact projects, water pollution studies, and soil-vegetation surveys. Google Earth™, the free satellite imagery package, provides an excellent way to present fieldwork data. Using Google Earth™, it is possible to attach maps, photos, text and data to aerial photographs. Quikmaps.com shows you how to do this. The Pro version of Google Earth™ is free of charge and allows access to a range of supplementary images and layers. Data types • Chengdu urban growth 15.22 Satellite images of Chengdu, China, showing figure • rapid urban growth. In the last image, the yellow represents the urban area in 1990 and the orange is the growth between 1990 and 2000. Quantitative research means collecting data that can be expressed in numbers - such as the number of residents in a town or the temperatures around a lake. Qualitative research means collecting data that cannot be easily converted into numbers, such as a study of people’s opinions. Examples of qualitative research are: 1 2 Interviews, focus groups and oral histories. Observations of people and places, recorded using field notes, video, 3 photographs and sketches. Textual analysis of printed newspapers, books, magazines and websites. • • 380 Geographical skills Primary data is data collected first-hand, such as temperature measurements you have taken. Secondary data is data published by someone else, such as population census data you have downloaded from a website. Data are only reliable if they have been collected in a scientific way. Generally it is not possible to measure the whole population of data (all the people, all the rivers, all the shops) so it is necessary to sample. The sample needs to be large enough to be representative of the whole population and needs to sample all sub­ sets. For example, research into shopping behaviour would need to sample some young people, some middle-aged, some old, some men, some women, some rich, some poor- because all these characteristics could influence behaviour. If a sample is not large enough the data will not only fail to tell you anything useful about the whole population but could suggest things that are simply untrue. When collecting data you need to avoid bias (a false result). Bias in data can arise for several reasons including: i The data from which the sample is taken is biased. For example, if you 2 select the addresses of 100 people from a telephone directory, this is biased against people who do not have a landline. The time the sample was taken. Conducting a street questionnaire during the morning of a weekday is biased against working people and biased towards those who do not work. Here are a few sources of qualitative data: Newspapers Newspapers can be used as an information source for population and settlement studies in a number of ways: i They provide information about the locations of local events and local businesses (through advertisements), giving an indication of the sphere of influence of the town concerned. 2 Most local newspapers have a large section devoted to advertisements put in by house agents. By noting house prices and the types of property advertised in different areas of a town, you can build up further information about the local private housing sector. All local newspapers provide coverage of the important planning decisions reached by local authorities and analysis of the different views and interest groups involved in controversial issues such as road building and office schemes. 3 Questionnaires Questionnaires are a set of pre-planned questions, to which the answers are written on a specially prepared form. They are the most widely used primary data source in human geography and are important for two reasons: i 2 They enable us to find out information about people’s opinions and behaviour that is not available from any other source (such as why someone moved house or how a decision was made to open a shop in a town). They enable us to obtain information that is completely up to date. The disadvantages of questionnaires are: i People do not like answering questions asked by a stranger. 2 Some people are particularly unlikely to be able to answer, such as parents with young children on a shopping trip. Yet any survey that omits such groups is biased. 3 It has been shown that people do not tell the truth in surveys and opinion polls. They often give the answer they think you want to hear, or the answer that they believe sounds good. Two examples of questionnaires are given in Figure 15.23, one good and the other bad. They illustrate some of the important points to remember when you write questionnaires. Geographical skills 381 A Good Questionnaire Introduction: 'Excuse me, I am doing a school geography project. Could I ask you one or two quick questions about where you go shopping?' 1 How often do you come shopping in this town centre? More than once a week □ Weekly □ Occasionally □ 2 How do you travel here? WalkQ Car □ Bus □ Train/Tube □ Ot h e r__________________________________________________ 3 Roughly where do you live?________________________________ 4 Why do you come here rather than any other shopping centre? Near to home □ Near to work □ More choice □ Pleasant environment □ Other__________________________________________ —---------- 5 What sort of things do you normally buy here? Groceries □ Clothes/shoes □ Everything □ Other__________________________________________________ 6 Do you ever shop anywhere else, and if so where? 7 Why do you go shopping there? 8 What do you buy there?__________________________________ _ 9 Sex: M □ F □ Age (estimate): under 20 □ 20-30 □ 30-60 □ Over 60 □ 'Thank you very much for your help.' B Bad Questionnaire Introduction: 'Excuse me, but I wonder if I could ask you some questions?' 1 Where do you live?_______________________________________ _ 2 How do you get here?____________________________________ 3 Do you come shopping here often? 4 Why do you come here?__________________________________ 5 Do you buy high- or low-order goods here? 6 Is this a good shopping centre and if so, why? 7 Where else do you go shopping? 8 Do you shop there because it is cheaper or nearer to your home?_________________________________ _ —-------------9 How old are you?________________________________________ 'Right, that's it then.' figure 382 Geographical skills 15.23 Good and bad questionnaires i 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Start by explaining the purpose of the questionnaire: most people are suspicious of them and reluctant to answer. The more convincing your explanation, the higher the response rate will be. Plan the questionnaire so that the respondent is put at ease at the beginning. Leave more difficult or probing questions to the end. Keep the questionnaire short. Use tick boxes where possible. Know why you are asking each question and be careful not to omit anything you will need to know. It is impossible to go back later, find the same people and fill in the gaps. Do not ask questions that are too personal, such as questions about age or income. It is normally possible to estimate age. You can form some estimate about income by asking questions about occupation, housing tenure and car ownership. People are usually reluctant to give their address, so ask for ‘the area where you live’ or for their postcode. Do not ask questions that ‘expect’ a certain answer, such as question 8 in the bad questionnaire. Always issue a few (pilot) questionnaires to see how people respond. You will often want to make adjustments after this trial. If you want to do statistical analysis on the results of your questionnaire, you must ask questions in such a form that the results can be expressed as numbers. This is one reason for giving people a limited choice in terms of their answers: ‘Do you think this shopping centre is good, fair or not very good?’ is a question that will enable you to express the answers as a percentage response to each of three categories. If you simply ask, ‘What do you think of this shopping centre?’you may not be able to do this. Do not include questions about information you can obtain from another source. When you deliver a questionnaire: i Decide how you are going to administer the questionnaire: • • • 2 3 Standing in the street and catching passers-by. Going from house to house knocking on people’s doors. This has the advantage that you are able to select the streets and houses you want. Post the questionnaire into specific houses and pick them up later or enclose a stamped addressed envelope. This method is quicker but more expensive and will not always achieve a very high response rate. A response rate of 30 per cent is typical for such a method. The other disadvantage with this method is that it does not allow the respondent to ask for clarification of a question. If you use a postal questionnaire, you must have a carefully written covering letter explaining the purpose of the questionnaire. Decide to whom you want to administer the questionnaire. To ensure that all relevant sections of the community are represented, you may want to make sure that a proportion of the questionnaires are answered by men, a proportion by women, a proportion by younger people, a proportion by older, some by higher-income people, some by lower-income individuals and so on. To find out what these proportions should be (for example, what proportion of the local population are of retirement age), you need to obtain census data. Plan carefully when and where you are going to conduct the questionnaire. If, for example, you are hoping to interview people about their shopping habits, you must decide whether you wish to do a houseto-house survey or stop people in a shopping street. You must decide which days of the week to do the questionnaire and which times of day. Working people will not be around during the normal working day, so any questionnaire you undertake at this time is biased against them. The important point is to think these things through and to explain them when you write up your study. Geographical skills 383 Choose times and places that are safe. It is best to work in pairs for what can sometimes be a rather unpleasant task. Some places will not permit 4 you to conduct questionnaires on the premises. This is true of most covered shopping centres. Decide how many questionnaires you are going to administer. If you have too few, you will not be able to draw any overall conclusions from the results. Interviews, focus groups and oral histories With a questionnaire the questions are fully planned beforehand, but often this is not the most appropriate means of finding out information from people: we need a much more open-ended approach. Interviews Most studies about the decision-making process, such as the reasons why a firm located where it did, or the thinking behind a local authority town plan, should involve an interview with the person who made the decisions or someone who can represent his or her views. Usually this will involve writing to the firm or local authority requesting an interview. Explain who you are and the purpose of the interview, indicate which days would be possible for you and how long the interview will take, and make clear what use will be made of the results. Interviews should be approached in the same way as questionnaires- you go with a list of questions and paper to write the answers down (or a recording device - although some people dislike being recorded). The only difference is that you should listen carefully to the answers and be prepared to probe a bit. If you have arranged an interview with someone in advance, it is normal to write and thank them afterwards. Focus groups Focus groups are groups of people who are gathered together to discuss attitudes towards an issue. Political parties use focus groups to discover what the electorate think about issues. Focus groups should consist of a sensibly selected sample of representative people (a representative selection of different age groups, males and females, different ethnic groups, different levels of income), up to 12 people at a time (too many participants and the meeting becomes harder to handle) and the discussion can be recorded or filmed. The researcher leads the focus group through the discussion using a series of open-ended questions - questions that allow a variety of responses. Oral histories Oral histories are accounts that people give of‘what life used to be like’. They are often recorded and are similar to questionnaires except that they tend to be much more open-ended. The reason for this is that, although there will always be a set of specific questions you want to ask, there may be other important aspects of a person’s life that had not occurred to you. This is why it can be profitable to start with a very open-ended question such as: ‘What was life like when you were a teenager?’ Oral histories of this sort are especially useful in studies of demography where we need to know about the influences of such things as age of marriage, number of children born to each parent, diet and health. Do not be afraid to use interviews and oral histories to find out about people’s feelings - geography is not only concerned with facts. 384 Geographical skills 3 antecedent conditions the conditions that exist before a 3D jobs are dirty, difficult or dangerous-these jobs are aquifers formations of porous rock that store underground unpopular water; aquifers are vital to facilitate irrigation for farming and for supplies of drinking water A arcuate delta a fan-shaped delta (the most common shape of precipitation (rainfall) event delta) where the river mouth splits many times on the way to the sea, for example the Niger Delta absolute humidity is the total mass of water vapour in a given volume of air, regardless of the temperature area of assimilation parts of a city’s central business district abrasion in erosion, the impact of particles hitting rock and (CBD) where offices are converted to residential use or houses are turned into offices soil area of discard parts of the central business district acculturation when one culture becomes similar to another through contact (CBD) where old buildings that can no longer be used are demolished acid rain rain that contains a high concentration of aridisols soils that are usually saline or alkaline, with little pollutants, notably sulfur and nitrogen oxides; these pollutants are produced from factories and power stations burning fossil fuels, and car exhausts and once in the atmosphere the sulfur and nitrogen oxides combine with moisture to give sulphuric and nitric acids, which fall as corrosive rain organic matter and little moisture; aridisols are typically found in deserts arroyo(s) a name for a wadi used in south-western USA; a wadi is a dry watercourse in an arid region acidification when liquids become acidic; rocks and minerals asthenosphere the upper layer of the Earth’s mantle, below can be dissolved by water that contains acids-where acids are more concentrated, for example acid rain, the weathering is more extreme the lithosphere, which is estimated to be between 85 and advection fog forms when warm air passes over a cold surface, for example warm air from the sea passing over the land in winter several hundred kilometres in depth; the rock here is not as rigid as the surface rock aspect in geology, the direction a slope faces as defined by compass bearing atmospheric counter-radiation when the terrestrial agro-technology the technology used in agriculture to increase the volume of food produced air masses winds that blow regularly and have uniform characteristics over a horizontal distance of thousands of kilometres; air masses are categorised according to their temperature and humidity radiation that is absorbed by water vapour, CO2 and other gases in the atmosphere heats up and is returned as counter­ radiation to the ground attrition when boulders and large stones carried by a river or by the ocean bash into each other and break up into smaller pieces akle dunes long sinuous ridges formed when there is plenty of sand (they are similar to barchanoid ridges); akle dunes are common in the western Sahara B albedo the proportion of solar radiation reflected from areas bajada a series of merging alluvial fans along a mountain of the Earth’s surface front alluvial fan a triangle-shaped deposit of gravel, sand and silt balance of trade the difference between a country’s imports built up by streams, created where the water moving through the mountains or hills abruptly decreases in velocity and exports Glossary 385 barchans crescent-shaped sand dunes formed in desert biodiversity the diversity of plant and animal life in a regions where the wind direction is very constant; wind blowing round the edges of the dunes cause the crescent shape, while the dunes may advance in a downward direction particular habitat, geographic region or in the world as a whole biomass the total mass of living organisms, both plant and as particles are blown over the crests animal, in a given area base flow the water flowing in a stream that is fed only by bird’s foot delta a delta where the river splits offinto ‘fingers’ groundwater; during dry periods it is only the base flow that passes through the stream channel that jut out into the sea, like a bird’s foot, for example the Mississippi Delta, USA base level the lowest point to which a river can flow; sea level birth rate the total number of live births in a year (for every is usually the base level for large rivers but a large river is often the base level for its tributary streams 1000 people) batholiths large areas (100 sq km or more) of igneous rock smaller blocks of rock that have been formed underneath the surface of the Earth by magma intruding and solidifying; they are between 10 and 15 km deep floodplain block disintegration large blocks of rock that break into bluff the slightly raised line that marks the edge of a bedload particles that are transported by water along a bottomset beds sediment made up of fine silt and clay riverbed deposited in a delta by a river; the finest sediment is carried the furthest by the river Benioff zone a downwards sloping contact zone situated beneath a destructive plate boundary where oceanic plates or ocean-continental plates converge- when they collide earthquakes occur; also called a Wadati-Benioff zone after break-of bulk unloading a portion or all of a shipment at a the seismologists Kiyoo Wadati (1902-95, of Japan) and Hugo Benioff (1899-1968, of the USA) who independently discovered buttes relatively small outliers of mesas particular location the zones berm another word for a raised barrier composed of shingle c and sand created by wave action calide the hard protective limestone skeleton of a coral polyp; Bhopal disaster (2-3 December 1984) took place in India this forms the structure of a coral reef at a pesticide factory owned by American company Union Carbide; a gas leak exposed the local population to toxic gas and chemicals, killing an estimated 3000 people and injuring half a million capacity in rivers, the load that can be theoretically carried given the velocity of the river flow capillary migration water at the surface evaporates and this bid rent theory states that the price and demand for property and land changes as its distance from the central business district (CBD) increases, for example retailers will pay more to locate their business as close as possible to the CBD because a central location will help their business to be more profitable Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation founded in 2000, this is the biggest private foundation in the world and it engages in poverty reduction, expanding education opportunities for the most disadvantaged people in the world, and enhancing healthcare provision; Bill Gates (b. 1955) was the co-founder of draws up more water from depths that can exceed 3 m; when this water evaporates at the surface it leaves salts capital intensive in agriculture, the use of mechanical goods like machinery, tools, vehicles and factories to produce large amounts of agricultural goods, with minimal human labour carbonation the process where carbon dioxide, often from rainwater, produces carbonic acid, which dissolves rock Microsoft and it is the success of this business that funds the carrying capacity the maximum number of species that the resources (for example, water, food) in an environment in a Foundation given area can sustain bioconstruction the colonisation of mudflats by vegetation that can withstand high salinity and water submergence; the vegetation forms a mat that creates friction between the waves and the salt marsh, which makes the waves slow down and cavitation a type of hydraulic action where collapsing air deposit more material on the salt marsh by the government of India in 1952; some of the Institute’s objectives include finding ways to stabilise shifting sand dunes, limit deforestation and renew degraded forests Glossary bubbles create small shock waves, known as cavitation Central Arid Zone Research Institute (CAZRI) set up chain migration when people migrate to a particular place because they have family connections there, friends as social networks or because people of the same nationality already live there condensation nuclei the name given to the particle of salt, soot or dust needed for raindrops to form around in order to achieve droplets channel flow the name given to water moving through a condense the process by which cooling vapour turns into liquid, for example clouds are formed by the condensation of defined channel, for example a stream or river water vapour in the atmosphere channel storage water contained within a river channel or stream conservative migration when people migrate in order to preserve a certain standard of living chelation a bio-chemical weathering process; organisms continental climate places that have seasons because they produce chelates that can decompose minerals and rocks by removing metallic cations have annual variations in temperature; this tends to occur in the middle of countries, where the land is unaffected by the maritime climate circular migration where a migrant repeats a circular journey between their home and host areas, usually in search of employment coastal squeeze the name for what happens to a coastal area that is ‘squeezed’ between a man-made land-based boundary, such as a sea wall, and an ocean that is storm-prone or rising in level; the squeezed coastal environment is trapped and begins to deteriorate continentality the climates of places far from the sea, such as Central Asia convection currents heat from the Earth’s core (which, at 6000 °C, is very hot) is carried up to the mantle through convection currents; the currents move around, destroying the crust in some places and creating new crust in other places convectional with reference to precipitation, the name given Coastal Zone Management managing coastal areas so to rain formed by hot ground heating the air above it, making that human activities, economic needs and environmental priorities are balanced this air less dense, causing it to rise; as the air cools to below the dew point the water vapour condenses and falls as water droplets cold currents an ocean current that carries water from the poles towards the equator, taking cold polar water into warmer seas competence the maximum size of material that a river is capable of transporting command economy government, rather than market, control of the production of goods and services; in agriculture this means that the state decides what crops should be grown and how much they will cost the consumer convergent in plate tectonics, plates that move towards each other. Where two continental plates move together and collide, large mountain ranges are formed, for example the Andes (South America). Where a continental plate converges with an oceanic plate volcanoes are common and a subduction zone is formed. coral bleaching when the symbiotic relationship between the including livestock, with the use of modern technology coral and the zooanthellae (the algae that provides the coral with food, energy and colour) breaks down, the coral loses its colour; this happens when the temperature of the water increases (by no more than 1 or 2 °C, which can take place more easily in shallow water) commodification to give something a price core-periphery concept developed in 1963 by John commercial farming farming crops for sale and profit, European Union to support and subsidise certain crops and methods of animal husbandry Friedmann (b. 1926); the concept looks at development and states that core cities, regions or countries develop faster than periphery areas because they have physical or human advantages concentric zone model also known as the Burgess model, Coriolis Force a force exerted by the Earth’s rotation that is an early (1925) theoretical model to explain social structures, particularly social groupings in cities and their location in relation to the central business district, which lies at the centre of the model, with the most affluent groups of people living in the best locations causes moving objects to move to the right in the Northern hemisphere and to the left in the Southern hemisphere; it is responsible for the direction of movement in various weather condensation level the height at which a body of air reaches corrasion when sand and stones carried by a river rub against the riverbank and riverbed and knock off other particles; also known as abrasion Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) the policy of the the dew point events such as hurricanes and anticyclones; the Coriolis Force is not present on the equator Glossary 387 corrosion when acids in a river dissolve the rocks that make desertification land degradation in arid, semi-arid and sub- up the bank and riverbed, for example the dissolving of limestone by water; see also solution humid areas resulting from various factors including climatic variations and human activities counter-stream in migration, migration that moves in the opposite direction to a migrant stream dew when water on the Earth’s surface condenses due to counterurbanisation the movement of people from urban dew point the temperature at which the atmosphere, being areas to rural areas cooled, becomes saturated with water vapour; this vapour is then deposited as drops of dew atmospheric cooling it forms droplets of water known as dew cultural clashes when differences between cultures lead people to misunderstand or resent each other, sometimes leading to verbal or violent encounters dissolved load the process by which small dissolved sediments and minerals are transported within a river; also known as solution cuspate delta a delta where material from the river is evenly spread on either side of the river meets the sea the land forms a shape like the head for example the Ebro Delta, channel; this means that as the around the mouth of the river of an arrow jutting into the sea, Spain distal the end furthest away from the attached end or the centre diurnal range the difference between the highest and the lowest temperature in a 24-hour period cutoff another name for an oxbow lake divergent in plate tectonics, plates that move away from each D death rate the total number of deaths in a year (for every other, both on land and as sea floor spreading. These become rift valleys on land, for example the East African Rift. divided bar graphs a graph in the form of either horizontal or vertical bars, which illustrate the size of values 1000 people) Doha Amendment an amendment to the Kyoto Protocol, debris avalanche a sudden landslide of hot or cold material from the side of an unstable steep-sided mountain adopted on 8 December 2012 in Doha, Qatar, which commits signatory nations to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 2020 deflation loose particles picked up by the wind and carried dragging theory another name for slab-pull mechanism away, causing erosion deflation hollows hollows in rock left by deflation duricrusts formed by the evaporation of groundwater-this gives a hard mineral crust near the soil’s surface; usually found in semi-arid areas deflocculation the dispersal of particles that had been stuck together dune slacks the area in the dip between sand dunes deglomerating the process of breaking a large mass up into dust devil a small whirlwind or air vortex over land, visible as smaller parts a column of dust and debris deindustrialisation the process of decline and removal of heavy industry from a country or region dynamic equilibrium a lack of change in a system as inputs demography the statistical study of human populations using information about areas such as births, deaths, disease and outputs remain in balance. If changes do occur, feedbacks allow for correction. In sediment/littoral cells, the result of the inputs, processes and outputs that operate within the cell and income dendritic the name given to a drainage pattern that looks like E a tree, with water converging from several directions before it joins a main channel dependent variable the variable (usually labelled as7) that is being measured and whose value depends on that of another dependency ratio the ratio of dependents (people younger than 15 or older than 64) to the working age population (those aged 15-64). Usually shown as the proportion of dependents per 100 working age population. 388 Glossary economies of scale the economic advantage gained by producing larger quantities of goods - this is because the fixed cost of each item produced is reduced if the cost of production is spread over a larger number of goods; economy of scale also increases operational efficiency, further reducing fixed costs ecotourism tourism that is concerned with the support and conservation of natural environments, local economy and local Ester Boserup (1910-99) a Danish agricultural economist; her most influential work was The Conditions of Agricultural society Growth: The Economics of Agrarian Change under Population Pressure (1965) in which she challenged Malthus’s view on population (that agricultural methods determine population), believing that population determines agricultural methods edge city a mostly American term for a relatively large area of businesses, shopping and entertainment situated on the outskirts of a city in what was previously a residential area effective precipitation the percentage of rainfall that erg in geography, a broad large area of sand, also known as a sand sea becomes available to plants and crops eustatic fall a drop in sea level related to changes in the emerging market an economy that is moving from a low income per person to a middle income per person; emerging markets are home to 80 per cent of the world population and represent 20 per cent of the world economy embryo dunes the youngest sand dunes that sit nearest the shoreline at the front of the dunes on a beach volume of seawater in the oceans or because of a change in the shape of an ocean basin, which affects how much water the ocean can hold; eustatic change occurs during and after an ice age eustatic rise a rise in sea level related to changes in the volume of seawater in the oceans emigrants people who leave a country event modifications actions that limit the ability of a flood emigration the act of leaving one’s country to go and live permanently in another country to cause damage and impact on people’s lives, for example hazard avoidance by land use zoning, hazard-resistant building design, engineering flood defences endorheic relating to interior drainage basins evaporation (EVP) the change of state from water droplets (liquid) to water vapour (gas) caused by heating; evaporation energy mix the energy consumption of a household, region or country; energy mix includes both renewable (for example wind power, wave power, solar power) and non-renewable (for particularly takes place over large bodies of water and rates of evaporation vary depending on factors such as wind speed, temperature and humidity example, oil and natural gas) energy sources enhanced greenhouse effect the warming of the Earth’s atmosphere caused by an excess of carbon dioxide, which acts like a blanket preventing the natural escape of heat; this situation has been developing over the last 150 years because of (a) the burning of fossil fuels, which release vast amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, and (b) deforestation, which results in fewer trees being available to take up carbon dioxide entrenched meanders well developed symmetrical meanders that form in a river when the river’s base level falls, allowing the river to quickly vertically erode, leaving little time for lateral erosion; also known as incised meanders evapotranspiration (EVT) loss of water into the atmosphere from plants (transpiration) and water surfaces (evaporation) excavation the removal of material such as rocks and soil to obtain access to underlying layers of the Earth’s surface; excavation can be necessary for activities such as mineral extraction or to study the geology of an area exfoliation a form of weathering whereby the outer layers of rock or boulder shear off due to the alternate expansion and contraction produced by diurnal heating and cooling; such a process is especially active in desert regions exogenous something that originates externally ephemerals plants that live for a very short time epidemiological transition the name given to a sudden increase in population due to improvements in medicine; this spike in population growth is often followed by a drop in fertility rates (people have fewer children as they become more affluent), leading to a re-levelling of population growth falling limb on a hydrograph, the part of the graph that shows the river discharge decreasing and water levels moving back towards base level Equatorial low pressure belt the area of low pressure fertility rate the number of children that would be born alive (rising air) found at or near the equator to a woman if she were to live to the end of her childbearing years fetch the name given to the potential distance a wave can travel; in the south-west of England the maximum fetch is from the south-west and is 5000 miles Glossary 389, financial capital the funds available to a business for frontal fog forms when warm air meets cold air at a front investment Frontier Five a group name for Bangladesh, Nigeria, Peru, fixed capital the money a business invests in items that are fixed such as machinery and buildings Vietnam and Oman; economists have predicted that these countries are poised to experience significant economic growth fixed costs costs that remain the same regardless of how many items of a product are manufactured, for example rent is a fixed cost fixed dunes sand dunes that are grey in appearance, frontier market developing countries with slower economies and less established stock markets are referred to as ‘frontier’ markets; frontier markets include countries such as Nigeria, Argentina and Qatar immobile, and support the most plant life of any found on dunes as a result of their richer soil fulls another name for sand ridges on a beach flash floods sudden flooding in low-lying areas; this can be a result of severe rain brought by thunderstorms, tropical storms or hurricanes, or due to the failure of a man-made structure such as a dam G gender analysis in migration, examines the different roles flocculation the process of saltwater and freshwater mixing, which causes tiny clay particles to stick together into larger masses; these masses are too heavy to stay suspended in water so they sink to the seabed of men and women in migration and how sex discrimination affects migration geostationary satellites satellites that travel in a circular orbit around the Earth over the equator at an altitude of fog when the air becomes saturated with water droplets, resulting in the reduction of visibility near the surface of the Earth (to less than i km); there are different types of fog and they are classified according to the process that causes the air to cool to saturation point, for example radiation fog, around 35 800 km; they travel once around Earth every day so they appear to be stationary geothermal energy heat from the Earth or stored in the Earth, for example pools fed by hot springs advection fog, frontal fog and hill fog global shift the movement of manufacturing from HICs fold mountains mountains that have been formed by large- scale and complex folding; studies of typical fold mountains, for example the Himalayas, Andes, Alps and Rockies, indicate that folding has taken place deep inside the Earth’s crust and upper mantle as well as in the upper layers of the crust to MICs and LICs by TNCs seeking cheaper labour and less regulated business environments global warming a gradual increase in the overall temperature of the earth’s atmosphere, generally attributed to the enhanced greenhouse effect footloose industries an industry that is free to choose any location gradient the measure of steepness of a slope; also the forced [migration] when people are made to leave a country, measure of change in a property such as population density or land values for example because of war or a natural disaster granular disintegration when rock breaks into fine particles foreset beds in a river, deposits of medium-sized particles of sediment that are carried less far than the finest sediment (bottomset beds) but further than the coarsest material (topset beds) free [migration] when people migrate in order to improve their circumstances and life chances Gravitational model was developed by Stouffer and explains why migrants settle for a location that is not their intended location; the number of migrants moving from one town to another is related to the opportunities available at the final destination but inversely proportional to the number of opportunities that present themselves (intervene) along the way, before they get to their intended destination friable something with a crumbly texture that can easily be broken into small pieces, for example soil green belt land surrounding urban areas that is protected so that it cannot be built on front a boundary between two air masses greenfield undeveloped land in urban or rural locations used frontal with regard to precipitation, the name given to rain that is the result of warm air meeting cold air; the lighter warm air is forced up over the cold air and the line where the warm air and cold air meet is called a front 390 Glossary for farming, grazing or left to lie fallow Green Revolution in agriculture, the series of technological and research advances that took place from the 1940s onwards that increased the efficiency of farms; the application of chemical fertilisers, herbicides and pesticides increased yields and the creation of new disease-resistant crops led to increased productivity groundwater flow the part of the streamflow that has infiltrated the ground, entered the phreatic zone, and has been discharged into the stream channel through springs or seepage groundwater recharge the restocking of groundwater with surface water hotspots volcanic areas fed by underlying magma; often found near tectonic plate boundaries, for example Japan. Hoyt’s sector theory was proposed by the land economist Homer Hoyt (1895-1984) in 1939 and it is a development of the concentric zone model; Hoyt placed a CBD at the centre of his model and he observed that as differences in function occurred in the growing city variations tended to endure, for example low income housing tended to occur in the least favoured locations while high income housing sought out more favourable locations Human Development Index (HDI) published by the H United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) is a measurement of a country’s achievements in three areas - longevity, knowledge and standard of living: longevity is measured by life expectancy at birth; knowledge is measured by a combination of the adult literacy rate and the combined gross primary, secondary and tertiary school enrolment ratio; standard of living is measured by Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per person haffs long shallow lagoons; they are separated from the open HWM the spring tide high water mark groundwater storage water stored in the pores and spaces of underlying bedrock sea by a narrow sandbar hydration the ability of something to absorb water halophytes plants that can live in saline areas, for example salt marshes hydraulic action the erosive force of water alone, as distinct Harbin explosion on 13 November 2005 there was an from corrasion; a river or the sea will erode partially by the sheer force of moving water and this is termed hydraulic action explosion ata petrochemical plant in Jilin Province, China, which caused 100 tonnes of toxins to enter the Songhua River; six people were killed in the explosion and 10 000 people were evacuated from the city of Harbin due to the threat posed by the contaminated water of the Songhua hydraulic fracturing a process that extracts oil and gas from shale rock by drilling deep into the earth and then forcing a high-pressure mixture of water, sand and chemicals into the rock to bring the gas or oil stored there to the surface heat transfer the transfer of heat from one place or object to another hydrolysis is a reaction involving the breaking of a bond in a heave the name given to a type of mass movement of molecule using water. The reaction mainly occurs between a hydrogen ion in water molecules and often changes the pH of a solution. downhill weathered rock material; this movement is characterised by a slow expansion and subsequent movement of debris to the surface perpendicular to the slope; heave raises the slope profile in a series of ridges or mounds hygroscopic nuclei the name given to the microscopic particles of salt, soot or dust onto which water vapour can condense to form rain helicoidal flow a corkscrew-like river flow associated with the formation of sediment bars and slip-off slopes; this flow is mainly found as water travels around river bends hyper capital-intensive a business that needs large quantities of money to produce a service or a product, for example car manufacturing, some types of agriculture High Income Countries (HICs) countries that have a high income according to the World Bank’s World Development Indicators; there are 80 HIC countries with a Gross National Income (GNI) per person of more than US$12 735 (2014 figure) hill fog forms when air is forced to rise up a slope and cools igneous rocks rocks formed when magma cools and solidifies holistic an approach that views the whole as being more important than a focus on just a few individual parts immigrants people arriving in a new country honeycomb weathering another name for pitting immigration the movement of people into a country or region from other countries or regions Glossary impelled [migration] when people believe that they are under intervening obstacles things that happen to stop migrants physical or human threat and they respond by leaving an area in an effort to ensure their safety, for example people fleeing from religious persecution from getting to their original destination, for example not being able to afford to migrate or being too far away from the migrant’s preferred destination impermeable something that cannot be penetrated by water Inverse Distance Law the volume of migrants decreases with the distance from the origin in-migration to move around one’s own country to settle in a new location irrigation artificially diverting water to fields to grow crops incised meanders another name for entrenched meanders island arc a line of volcanoes situated on islands that sit independent variable a variable (usually labelled as x) that is above an oceanic-oceanic subducting plate and form the shape of an arc, for example the Ryukyu Islands, Japan manipulated or changed Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) is calculated by K combining a number of‘domains’ relating to employment, income, education and skills, health, crime, barriers to housing and services, and living environment; each domain is given a score, each score is weighted, then added together to produce the overall level of multiple deprivation knowledge economy an economy based on the use of industrial inertia when an industry does not relocate, for example a factory, even though the original reasons for Kuznets curve in environmental economics, proposes that as a country develops economically levels of pollution decrease choosing the site, such as a cheap supply of energy to power the factory, are no longer applicable; often it is cheaper for the industry to adapt to the changed circumstances than it is to build a new plant in a new location innovative migration when people migrate in order to improve their standard of living information, for example intellectual products and services, to create wealth Kyoto Protocol an international treaty (signed 1997, came into force 2005) that extended the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC 1992) and committed signatory nations to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 2012; the Protocol was updated in 2001 and was amended in 2012 (the Doha Amendment) infant mortality rate the number of deaths of children under one year of age per 1000 live births L inter-annual variability the difference in precipitation from one year to the next lag time the amount of time between peak rainfall and peak river discharge interception water that is caught and stored by vegetation; see interception loss, throughfall, leaf drip, and stemflow lahar a type of destructive mudflow or debris flow which contains a mix of volcanic rock fragments and water flowing interception loss water that is retained by plants rapidly downhill on the slopes of a volcano Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) a laminar flow a flow of river that is a smooth horizontal scientific intergovernmental body set up by the United Nations in 1988; the IPCC produces reports to support the UNFCCC, the main international treaty on climate change motion; this pattern of flow is unusual because natural river environments are characterised by complex conditions such as gradients international migration people moving from one country to another; this happens for many reasons, for example for landslide hazard analysis the analysis of all types of increased employment opportunities or to escape conflict landslides using computer mapping and Geographic Information Systems; analysis of this type can provide information to help prevent future landslides Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ)an area of low atmospheric pressure and ascending air found near or at the equator; global winds converge here and rise thanks to convection from thermal heating internal migration people relocating within a country, for example for education or employment Glossary land use the function of an area of land. For example, the land use in rural areas could be farming or forestry; and urban land use could be housing or industry latent heat the energy released when a material changes state, for example ice melting or water boiling; latent heat measures the change in internal energy that appears to be hidden from a thermometer (the temperature reading does not change) lateral planation rivers swing from side to side eroding the mesas flat-topped isolated hills in arid regions; mesas have a protective cap of hard rock underlain by softer, more readily eroded sedimentary rock mass [migration] when large numbers of people, sometimes whole communities, move as one to a new location. Can also surface, causing lateral planation apply to mass tourism, when large numbers of people go to the same resort at the same time of year Laws of Migration proposed by the German-English metamorphic rocks rocks that have been changed by cartographer Ernst Georg Ravenstein (1834-1913) in 1889, these laws were a result of Ravenstein’s research into migration patterns within the UK; these laws provide the foundation for modern migration theory intense heat or pressure, often accompanied by an increase in hardness and resistance to erosion, for example shale can be metamorphosed by pressure into slate and limestone can be metamorphosed into marble leaf drip water that travels through the plant canopy by mid-latitude depressions weather systems that result from running down and off leaves and twigs frontal rain in mid-latitudes (warm air coming up from the tropics meets cold air from the poles) life expectancy the number of years a newborn infant would live if prevailing patterns of mortality at the time of its birth were to stay the same throughout its life line haul costs the cost to a business of moving goods from one place to another; costs that must be taken into account include wages and fuel lithosphere the hard and rigid outer surface-the crust and Middle Income Countries (MICs) countries that have a middle income according to the World Bank’s World Development Indicators; there are currently 86 MICs, accounting for just under half of the world’s population, and they have a wide range of incomes - the highest MIC has an income 10 times that of the lowest MIC top of the mantle - of the solid Earth migrant stream a pattern of migration established by a group of people with common characteristics, for example littoral cells another name for sediment cells the same ethnic group or people from the same geographical origin long-wave radiation the infrared energy radiating from the mountain building the building of mountains on continents Earth to space due to the interaction of tectonic plates, principally subduction loss-sharing adjustments mechanisms designed to help mudflow the name given to a type of mass movement of cope with flooding, for example insurance against flooding, grants to rebuild after flood damage, sharing of equipment and technical assistance downhill weathered rock material; this movement distorts and shapes to the land over which it travels like a viscous liquid and the rate of flow is influenced by gravity Low Income Countries (LICs) countries that have a low multiple nuclei theory (1945) this theory of urban structure income according to the World Bank’s World Development Indicators challenged the idea that a city developed around a single central nucleus (usually the CBD), rather than a number of separate nuclei - these nuclei might be suburban village centre/s or town centres that become enveloped as the town spreads outwards lunette the name of a small sand dune formed in the lee of a deflation hollow LWM the spring tide low water mark N M maritime climate places where the land is affected by the close proximity of an ocean, which lowers the temperature of the area during the summer and keeps it warmer in winter National Parks areas of scenic countryside protected by law from uncontrolled development in order to conserve the natural beauty of the landscape and to enable the public to visit and enjoy the countryside for leisure and recreation natural increase in a population is a rate calculated by Marxist theory derived from the work of Karl Marx (1818-83), with reference to the study of migration, argues that migration is one of the results of capitalism subtracting the death rate from the birth rate nebkha the name given to a small sand dune in the shelter of the lee of a bush negative externalities costs that third parties have to bear overland flow the movement of precipitation from high when a product is made or consumed, for example building a new road causes pollution that people other than the road users have to experience ground to lower ground over the surface nehrungs sand spits that can be many kilometres in length Newly Industrialised Countries (NICs) countries that oxbow lake a crescent-shaped lake originating in a meander that was abandoned when erosion breached the neck between bends, allowing the stream to flow straight on, bypassing the meander: the ends of the meander rapidly silt up and it becomes separated from the river; also known as a cutoff are developing their economies through rapid expansion of secondary industries oxidation the breakdown of rock by oxygen and water when Next Eleven (N-n) Bangladesh, Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, the rock is exposed to air. Iron-rich rocks will often obtain a rusty-coloured weathered surface Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Turkey, the Philippines, South Korea and Vietnam; countries that have good a chance of becoming, along with the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa), the world’s largest economies in the twenty-first P century pastoral nomadism farmers who travel (usually on foot or nomadic systems in agriculture, where farmers move to different locations in search of the best climatic conditions for by animal) to different locations in search of grazing land and water for livestock farming crops and grazing animals peak flow the maximum river discharge for any given event measured in cubic metres per second m3s x (cumecs) o pedimentation the name given to the parallel retreat over time of a hillslope ocean conveyor belt another name for thermohaline circulation; this process begins in the polar regions with the formation of ice-the surrounding water gets saltier because the creation of the ice leaves salt behind, which increases the seawater’s density, making it sink; surface water is then pulled in to replace the sinking water, which in turns becomes colder and saltier and also sinks, thereby initiating the currents deep in the ocean that power the ocean conveyor belt peeling another name for exfoliation people trafficking the trade in people; people who are trafficked are sold into sexual exploitation or forced labour -this may or many not involve individuals being moved across international borders - and the trade is dominated by transnational criminal gangs oceanic trenches deep-sea trenches that form long narrow permeable something that can be penetrated by water depressions in the surface of the seafloor along a tectonic plate boundary; at between 6000-11 000 m, these are the deepest parts of the ocean and often run parallel to island arcs phreatic zone the part of an aquifer found just beneath the water table (the uppermost layer) that is saturated with water; open system a system that transfers energy and matter across its boundaries to the surrounding area, for example a drainage basin the size of the zone can vary according to the season and the weather conditions phreatophytes plants that have root systems that delve deep into the ground to draw water from the water table Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) founded in 1961, headquartered in Paris, with 34 member countries, the OECD works to promote policies that aim to improve the economic and social wellbeing piedmont zone the zone at the foot of a mountain covered in loose stones, rock, dust and sand and featuring playas, salt lakes and inselbergs of people all ever the world orogenesis another name for mountain building; from the Greek ‘oros’ for ‘mountain’ and ‘genesis’ for ‘creation’ pitting a type of salt weathering that creates cavities in a rock surface that make the surface look aerated; also called honeycomb weathering because it looks like honeycomb candy orographic the name given to precipitation (rain) that is the result of air being forced upwards by a mountain - as the air planar landslides happen when weathered rock becomes cools to below the dew point water vapour condenses into detached from the main body of rock along a plane or joint; landslides of this type often feature a clean and straight break water droplets out-migration to leave an area and settle in a new location within one’s own country 94 Glossary playa the name given to a salt lake that has dried out Pleistocene pluvials landlocked basins (called pluvials) that date from the Pleistocene geological epoch, which ended n 700 years ago; ‘Pleistocene’ was the name given to this epoch by Charles Lyell (1797-1875) in 1839, which he created by combining the Greek words for ‘most’ and ‘new’ Q qualitative research primary exploratory research that looks at trends, opinions and people’s thoughts on a particular subject pluvial a period marked by intense rainfall quantitative research data that expresses an issue or point bars another name for slip-off slopes problem in numbers polar high pressure system the area of high pressure (descending air) found at or near the poles R positive externalities in economics, when the manufacture or consumption of a product benefits a third party, for example a company that invests in research and development may produce technology that other businesses then adopt and derive benefit from radial the name given to a drainage pattern where water drains away from a central high point, such as a hill or a mountain, into separate channels radiation fog forms when the ground has cooled due to country than leaving radiation from the ground, usually at night in an anticyclone (high pressure-clear skies with little wind) post-industrial cities cities that have gone through the rain shadow the relatively dry area on the leeward side of process of deindustrialisation, for example Detroit, USA high ground in the path of rain-bearing winds practical salinity units (psu) the measure of salt concentration in seawater; the highest concentrations of salinity are usually found in the centre of the ocean recession another name for falling limb positive net migration balance more people entering a precipitation (ppt) water deposited on the Earth’s surface in various forms, for example rain, snow, sleet, hail and dew regolith the layer of loose broken rock, soil and other materials that covers solid rock; from ‘rhegos’, the Greek word for ‘blanket’ and ‘lithos’, the Greek word for ‘rock’ relative humidity (RH) the amount of water vapour in the reason, for example the results of an experiment air expressed as a percentage of the amount that would be present if the air was saturated primitive [migration] the migration of nomadic peoples due to seasonal or climatic factors, for example nomadic shifting cultivators in Africa rectangular drainage the name given to a drainage pattern where a river or stream follows geological weaknesses and gaps in block-like bedrock Principles of Migration by Everett Lee (1966) examines repeat migration another name for circular migration primary data data that is collected first-hand for a specific internal ‘push’factors, which are negative aspects of the place someone lives in, and ‘pull’ factors, which are positive aspects of a different geographical location that ‘pulls’ people towards it Rev. Thomas Malthus (1799-1834) an English cleric active in the study of poulation and political economy; his most influential work was An Essay on the Principle of Population (1798) process industries industries that process raw materials into other products pro-poor tourism tourism that provides net benefits for poor people thanks to the support of their local economy proximal another name for updrift resource curse theory where countries with valuable natural resources do not prosper economically because they fail to invest in other areas of the economy rias submerged river valleys caused by a rise in sea level or subsidence of the land relative to the sea pseudo bedding planes as the ‘pseudo’ in the name rising limb on a hydrograph, the part of the graph that suggests, these are structures in igneous rock that look like bedding planes (dividing lines between layers, called beds, of sedimentary rock) but are not bedding planes; caused by expansion of the rock on pressure release due to erosion of the surface rock initially rises, indicating the increasing level of water as determined by the combined rate of surface runoff, throughflow, and groundwater flow following a precipitation event Glossary river discharge the amount of mobile volume of water seismometers instruments that measure movement in the moving in a river ground created by events such as earthquakes and volcanic eruptions river regime the annual variations in a river’s flow over the period of a year; this will be influenced by many factors, for example rainfall and temperature semi-fixed dune sand dunes that are less bare, less mobile and more fertile than embryo dunes but not as fixed or fertile as a fixed dune, or grey dune rockfalls sudden movements of rock from cliff faces caused by gravity, chemical erosion, coastal action, earth movements, weathering or freeze-thaw action sensible heat this is the heat that we can feel; it can be rotational slides a type of landslide that occurs on a curved sensible heat transfer when air or water moves from one failed surface, causing the upper surface to tilt back; also known as slumping place to another, taking its temperature with it measured by a thermometer (unlike latent heat) sharecropping a type of land use where a tenant farmer cultivates land owned by someone else; a percentage of the crops grown on the land is then given to the landowner as rent for the land s sabkhas a translation of the Arabic word ‘sabaka’ for ‘salt flat’, shifting cultivation a type of land use characterised by these are coastal salt flats subject to occasional flooding by the sea farming one area of land until it is no longer fertile, then moving to a new area of land. Also known as swidden. saltation in water, the transport of sediment by water along a Shoreline Management Plans (SMPs) plans that assess the riverbed; in wind erosion, particles bouncing along the surface of the ground, dislodging other particles as they impact risks to a coastline and then set out details of policies that can manage these risks, for example erosion Saskia Sassen (b. 1947)3 Dutch-American sociologist working short-wave radiation the visible light and ultraviolet energy in the fields of globalisation and human migration; Sassen introduced the term ‘global city’ in her seminal work The radiating from the Sun to Earth Global City: New York, London, Tokyo (1991) slab-pull mechanism the motion of a part of a tectonic scarp the steep side of an inselberg seasonal lag the delay between the hottest or coldest month of the year (when the Sun is directly overhead or is lowest in the sky) and the point at which it is experienced on Earth; the delay is caused by the sea taking a long time to either heat up or cool down plate by subduction; this happens when the oldest edge of a tectonic plate, furthest from the molten magma, becomes cooler and more solid and sinks into the mantle; also known as dragging theory slide the name given to a type of mass movement of downhill weathered rock material; this movement takes place in a cohesive unit with minimal internal dislocation and deformation saturated when something holds as much water or moisture as it is possible for it to absorb, it is saturated slip-off slope in a river, a sloping bar located on the inside secondary data data collected by someone else, for example bank of a meander; created by the accumulation of sediment on the inside of the meander bend, where discharge is at a minimum and friction and deposition are at their greatest the results of a survey sediment cells there are 11 large sediment cells in England and Wales and their areas are dependent on the shape of the coastline; erosion, transportation and deposition take place within sediment cells and they are closed systems, which means that no sediment is transferred between cells slope overloading when a slope becomes overloaded with material such as mud, earth and rubbish, which increases the pressure on the slope, causing it to fail slope stability analysis the analysis of the safety of a slope, for example a hillside, a railway embankment or a landfill site sedimentary rocks rocks formed by the consolidation of sediment derived from pre-existing rocks, for example sandstone, chalk and limestone seif dunes sand dunes that run in straightish ridges parallel to the wind; they are caused by either of two main wind directions or by helical-roll vortices Glossary smog an air pollutant which is a combination of fog and smoke (from soot particulates released into the air by burning coal or from other forms of pollution such as emissions from cars) typically found in urban areas soil creep a slow movement of soil that takes place on very gentle slopes due to the way soil particles expand at right angles in wet conditions and contract vertically in dry conditions; the soil moves downslope at a very slow rate, perhaps only i cm a year subduction zone where the oceanic crust of a tectonic plate is forced under the continental crust and sinks into the mantle as the plates converge. Occurs where two oceanic plates converge sublimation the transition of a substance directly from a solution in transport in river systems, the process by which small dissolved sediments and minerals are transported within a river; in erosion, another name for corrosion solid to a gas without passing through the intermediate liquid phase specific heat capacity a measure of the thermal energy (descending air) found 30° north and south of the equator contained in an object or substance - this is not the same as the temperature of an object or substance, which is a measure of how hot it is; water has a high specific heat capacity so it is good for storing heat energy, which is why central heating that uses pipes filled with hot water works so well current; it moves in a westerly direction at a height of between 10 and 15 km and follows the boundaries between hot and cold air spits low narrow banks of sand and shingle built out into an estuary by the process of longshore drift are pushed along the surface of the desert, causing erosion standardisation to set a standard and then make everything surface storage any part of a system where water lies above meet that standard; this can apply to objects, for example, nails manufactured to a certain length and width, and to many aspects of culture, for example a word consistently spelled one way within a language ground on the Earth’s surface star dunes sand dunes in the shape of a star suspension in wind and water erosion, where the lightest sand particles, dust and dirt (less than 0.1 mm in size) are carried along by strong winds or water sub-tropical high pressure belt the area of high pressure stemflow water that runs down the trunk and branches of a sub-tropical jet stream a high-speed (400 km/hr) narrow air surface creep in wind erosion in deserts, where sand grains suspended load in a river or stream, the portion of the stream load carried suspended in the flowing water tree into the ground Sustainable Resource Management (SRM) management step migration a series of migrations from a person’s place of origin where each stage of migration is a shorter journey than one long-distance migration; step migrations gradually move towards the migrant’s initial goal destination or sometimes migrants remain at a location on the way to their original destination of an environment that takes into account issues such as waste disposal and the protection of natural resources stone pavements the landscape formed when rainwater causes chemical weathering of limestone, enlarging the natural bedding planes and joints to form blocks and are not significantly affected by local winds swales long, narrow and shallow troughs between ridges on beaches; swales run parallel to the coastline swell the name given to waves that are generated by the wind storm flow the additional discharge experienced by a river as a result of a precipitation event technology transfer initiatives the sharing of technical structural engineering the design, construction and implementation of man-made structures that aid the stability of the landscape, for example the construction of retaining walls on unstable slopes knowledge and skills, particularly from HICs to MICs and LICs temperate low pressure belt the area of low pressure (rising air) found at or near the temperate (mild temperature) zone structuration theory is a social theory of migration proposed by Anthony Giddens (b. 1938), a sociologist, that looks at individual motives for migration and at the structural and cultural factors and rules within which migrants have to terminal costs another name for fixed costs operate rocks being added to land terrestrial deposition the process of sediments, soil and succulent when referring to plants, with thick fleshy leaves terrestrial radiation short-wave radiation energy coming or stems adapted to storing water in arid climates or soil conditions from the Sun heats the ground and is then reradiated as infrared long-wave radiation Glossary thalweg in a stream channel, the line of deepest water-the unit labour costs the amount of money a firm needs to pay path of least resistance where water flows the fastest its staff to make one unit of one thing; a low unit labour cost means that it costs less to produce one unit of a product thermohaline circulation seawater currents that reflect variations in temperature and salt content throughfall water that travels through the plant canopy by running down and off leaves, twigs and stems throughflow the name given to the process of water United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) an agency of the United Nations, founded in 1972, concerned with issues to do with the atmosphere, ecosystems, the green economy and environmental governance; it promotes environmental science and works with governments to develop and implement environmental policy flowing through the soil substrata; rates of throughflow vary depending on the soil type United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) is an international climate change tombolo a spit which extends to join an island to the treaty dating from 1992 that aims to stabilise greenhouse gas concentrations in Earth’s atmosphere by bringing pressure on the 165 signatory nations to reduce emissions mainland topset beds coarse material carried by a river into a delta; the coarsest material is carried the shortest distance traction the transport of large items such as stones and boulders along a riverbed by the strong flow of moving water unroofed upper layers of rock erode and allow lower layers of rock to relax and crack - these lower layers are referred to as unroofed unsaturated something with remaining capacity to hold trade blocs groups of countries that agree to trade with each water other and to exclude countries that they do not have trade agreements with updrift an area where coastal material, such as sand, is deposited on a beach further along a coastline trade winds surface winds in the tropics that blow from the sub-tropical high pressure zone to the equator (ITCZ): trade winds in the Northern hemisphere move from the northwest to the southwest and are called the Northeast Trades; trade winds in the Southern hemisphere flow from the southeast to the northwest and are called the Southeast Trades transform in plate tectonics, plates that move past each other side by side, often causing earthquakes; the San Andreas fault (USA) is a transform boundary transpiration the loss of water from somata and pores of vegetation into the atmosphere trellised the name of a drainage pattern where streams follow slopes downhill and converge along areas of eroded rock triangular graphs these diagrams take the form of an V vegetation storage moisture stored by vegetation directly through the root system volcanoes fissures in the Earth’s crust through which magma reaches the Earth’s surface: there are four main types of volcano; acid lava cone - a very steep-sided cone composed entirely of acidic, viscous lava which flows slowly and congeals very quickly; composite volcano - a single cone comprising alternate layers of ash (or other pyroclasts) and lava; fissure volcano - a volcano that erupts along a linear fissure in the crust, rather than from a single point; and shield volcano - a volcano composed of very basic, non-viscous lava that flows quickly and congeals slowly, producing a gently sloping cone equilateral triangle and have three axes instead of two. Sometimes known as ternary diagrams turbulent flow a river flow characterised by a series of erratic horizontal and vertical spiral flows, known as eddies, influenced by factors such as the velocity of the water and the friction it encounters; turbulent flow is the dominant method w warm currents an ocean current that carries water from the equator polewards, taking warm water into colder seas of flow in a river environment water balance the balance between the input of precipitation (rainfall) and losses due to evaporation and transpiration by plants u watershed the boundary, often a ridge of high ground, urban heat island the name given to the phenomenon of urban areas being warmer than the rural areas that surround them Glossary between two river basins waves of oscillation inside the wave water molecules travel in a circular to elliptical orbit and do not move with the wave form; these are mainly deep sea waves waves of translation inside the wave water molecules move forward with the wave form then form on the shoreline, where the waves break wind-shadow dune the name given to a sand dune that forms in the lee of a hill World Health Organization (WHO) founded in 1946, this is an agency of the United Nations tasked with improving global public health; WHO played a central role in ridding the world of smallpox and is currently focussed on tackling HIV/ AIDs, Ebola, malaria and tuberculosis X xerophytes plants that do not need a lot of water Y yardangs long, roughly parallel ridges of rock in arid and semi-arid regions; the ridges are undercut by wind erosion and the corridors between them are swept clear of sand by the wind; the ridges are orientated in the direction of the prevailing wind yazoo tributary a tributary that runs parallel to a river within the same valley (floodplain) for some distance before eventually joining it; named for the Yazoo River, which runs parallel to the Mississippi River (USA) for 280 km before joining it yellow dunes are found after embryo dunes appear on a beach, yellow dunes develop behind them; their average depth is 5 m and they are mostly sand, so are yellow in appearance z zeugen pedestal rocks in arid regions; wind erosion is concentrated near the ground, where corrasion by wind-borne sand is most active-this leads to undercutting and a pedestal profile emerges Glossary 399 Index 3 3D jobs 128 A Aberfan 82 abortion 106, 107 abrasion 243 acculturation 329 accumulation 186-7,193 acid conditions 83-4,195 acid rain 70, 83-4 acidification 53, 70,199, 200 adaptation 251-2 ADF see African Development Fund Advance Turbine Systems (ATS) 286-7 advection fog 52 aerial photographs 380 affluence 358 see also wealth afforestation 30, 35 Africa land competition 142-3 urbanization 139,142 African Development Fund (ADF) 319, 321 African Rift Valley 74 aftershocks 211 age structure 90, 91, 98-9 age/sex structure diagrams 95, 370 agglomeration, industrial 275 AGRA see Alliance for a Green Revolution in Africa Agricultural Revolution 97,100, 137 agriculture 105, 258-68, 279 arable farming 263 capital intensive farming 260 case study 263-4 commercial farming 261 and desertification 253,254, 266 and environmental degradation 297-8, 304-6 and environmental protection 302 extensive farming 262 factors affecting agricultural land use 258-61 and FairTrade 316 and global warming 54 and globalisation 297 and the 'Green Revolution’ 266-8 and groundwater withdrawal 31 400 Index hyper-capital intensive systems 264-5 industrialisation 297 intensive farming 262, 264-5, 297 and international debt 318 and irrigation 31-2 and land tenure and land rights 261 livestock farming 263-4 and mechanisation 265, 298 mixed farming 263,264 pastoral systems 263-4 policies 134 and profit 261 and salinisation 265 slash-and-burn method 101,173 and soil erosion 265 subsistence farming 261, 342 and trade 313, 317 and water supplies 31, 260 agro-technology 260 agrochemicals 267, 298 aid bilateral 322 development 322 food 102,105 humanitarian 322 impact 323 international 318-24 multilateral 323 Overseas Development Assistance 322, 323 relief (short-term) 322 tied 322, 323 air, saturated/unsaturated 48 air masses 48 air pollution 102,145-6,155, 252, 299 albedo 15, 57 algae 197,198, 200 Alliance for a Green Revolution in Africa (AGRA) 268 alluvial fans 248 alluvium 19, 28, 245 Alonso 148 altitude 46 AMO see Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation Amudar’ya River 32 anaerobes 197 Andes 65 animals 176, 252, 263-4 Anna Creek Station farm 263-4 Antarctic sea ice 38 antecedent conditions 18,19 anti-natalist policies 92 aquifers 13,104 Arabia 238-9 arable farming 263 Aral Sea 11, 32 Arctic 290-1 Arctic Ocean 8 Arctic sea ice 39 areas of assimilation 151 areas of discard 151 Areas of Outstanding National Beauty 123,133 Argentina 360 arid environments 160, 232-55 causes of aridity 235 defining aridity 234 difference from semi-arid areas 238 and high wind energy 238 landforms 242-50 and precipitation 236-7,238 and salinisation 253,265 soils 250-3 sustainable management 254—5 temperatures 237-8 vegetation 250-2 Aridity Index 232-3 Armero 217 arroyos 245 aspect 74-5 asthenosphere 63, 209 asylum seekers 125 Atacama desert 39,240 Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) 252 Atlantic Ocean 8 atmosphere 10, 38-59 diurnal energy budgets 40-1 human impacton 52-8 weather processes and phenomena 48-52 atmospheric counter-radiation 40 atmospheric disturbances hazards resulting from 219-25 prediction, monitoring and risk perception 224-5 atmospheric moisture 48 ATS see Advance Turbine Systems attrition 23,190,191 Australia cloud seeding 30 deserts 241 livestock rearing 263-4 migration 118 salinisation 265 savanna 175-7 urban trends 143-4 automotive industry 356 avalanches 79 B ‘baby booms’ 91, 94, 95, 97 backwash 182 bajadas 249 balance of trade 311 ‘banana wars’ 315 Bangladesh flooding 18, 34 manufacturing industry 278-81 bar graphs age/sex structure 370 divided 370 barchans 244 barrier islands 191,192-3 bars 190,191, 192 bartering 310 base flow 14 base levels 11 batholiths 164 Beachell, Henry 103 beaches 185, 190-1 backshore zones 191 barrier islands 192-3 beach nourishment 202 beach reprofiling 202 drainage 202 foreshore zones 191 offshore zones 191 sand dunes 195 bed-lowering 36 bedload 21,185 Benioff zone (Wadati-Benioff zone) 66 berm 190,191 best-fit lines 371 Bhopal disaster 296 bias 381 bid rent theory 148-9 Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation 154 bioconstruction 196 biodiversity 166-7,173-5, 200, 294, 298-9, 327-8 biofuels 104, 289 biomass 169-70, 250, 251 bioreclamation 270 biosphere (living world) 10 bioturbation 30 birth rate 88-98,100-1, 107 blizzards 38 blockfields 68 bluffs 28 body waves 211 Bogota, Colombia 155 ‘boom and bust’ 317 Borlaug, Norman 102-3, 267 bornhardts 164-5 Boscastle flood 2004 34 Boserup, Ester 100-1 bottomset beds 28 Boxing Day tsunami 2004 212 brackish water environments 197 braiding 28 Brandt Line 350, 354 Brandt Report 350 Brazil 103, 358 break-of-bulk points 272 breakers 181-2 plunging 181,182 spilling 181, 182 surging 181-2 breakwaters 202 Bretton Woods agreement 321 BRIC countries 358 Brunei 95 bunchings 370 Burgess 147 Burj Khalifa, Dubai 83 Burkina Faso 268-70 Butler Model 331-3 buttes 249 Byerlee 117 c calicles 197 California 260, 273 call centres 354 Cambodia 302 cancer 267 canopy 167 canyons 245 CAP see Common Agricultural Policy capillary migration 242 capital financial 273 fixed 273 and industrial location 273 mobility 273 capital intensive farming 260 car ownership 141,152 carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions 52-3, 282-3, 291 in seawater 199, 200 carbonation 70 carbonic acid 70, 199 carnivores 170 carrying capacity 100,102, 329-30 Caspian Sea 11 castle kopjes (tors) 164,165 catchment hydrology 18 cattle 263-4 caves 188 cavitation 23 CAZRI see Central Arid Zone Research Institute CBD see central business district; Convention on Biological Diversity Central Arid Zone Research Institute (CAZRI) 254 Central Asian deserts 241 central business district (CBD) 147,149, 150, 151-2 cereal grains 256, 267 see also wheat CFCs see chlorofluorocarbons chain of production 340 primary stage 340 secondary stage 340 tertiary stage 340 Chances Peak, Montserrat 166-7 change 256-81 agricultural 258-70 manufacturing industry 278-81 plotting rates of 371 channel flow 14 channel modification 35 channel storage 13 channelisation 36 chelation 70 Chernobyl 295 Chesil Beach, Dorset 193 Chevron Texaco 174—5 Chicago 55-8,147 child labour 279 children dependency ratio 94 ‘insurance’ 91, 96, 97 Chile earthquake 2010 212 China 358 age/sex diagram 95 cloud seeding 30 energy requirements 291-5 one-child policy 106-7 pollution 145, 299 population 89-90, 95, 106-7 trade 351 urbanization 139 china clay see kaolin chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) 53 cholera 96, 98, 223 choropleth maps 375-6 cities edge 141 first 137 global 146-7 and the Industrial Revolution 137-8 megacities 131,146-7 post-industrial 151 Index 401 world 130-1,146-7 CIVETS 358 Clark-Fisher Model 343 clay cliffs 190 clays 19, 69, 74,184, 250 cliffs drainage 202 falls 184,190 profiling 187-90, 202 river 26 structure 187,188 toe protection 202 climate and agriculture 259-60 continental 46 and industrial location 272-3, 273 maritime 46 and slope processes 75 tropical monsoon 156,158, 159, 162 tropical rainforest 156,158,161-2, 166-75 tropical savanna 156,158-9,162-3, 166-72, 175-7 urban heat islands 55-8 and weathering 71, 75 climate change and coral reefs 199 and food production 104 and glacial retreat 218 and human impact 29 local 298, 299 monitoring 53 policies 53-4 and storms 18 see also global warming climate-related disease 344 climatic climax 166 climatic evidence 63, 250 climatic hazards 219-25, 344 cloud seeding 30 clouds 30, 46, 51 Club of Rome, The (think tank) 100 coal 63, 82,102, 272, 284, 292, 294, 312 consumption trends 288 coastal defences 201 coastal environments 178-205 case studies 185, 186-7, 203-5 characteristics and formation of coastal landforms 187-97 coastal processes 180-8 coral reefs 197-200 measuring coastlines 179 sustainable management 201-5 tide dominated 182 wave dominated 182 wind dominated 182 coastal erosion 184, 185-90,193 coastal platforms 190 coastal squeeze 185 Coastal Zone Management 201 Index coffee, FairTrade 317 cold currents 46 colonialism 313,318-19, 361 Columbia River sediment cell 186-7 command economies 260, 275 commodification 329 commodities 317, 342 Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) 261, 315 communication problems 274 communication technology 352 Community Future’s Programme (Canada) 135 commuting 145 competition, for land 142-3 concentric zone model 147 condensation 40, 48, 51, 52, 237 condensation level 48 condensation nuclei 51, 52, 58 consumers primary/secondary 170 tertiary 170 consumption 358 container shipping 351 continental climates 46 continental crust 64, 208, 210 continental shelves 13 continentality 235 convection currents 209 Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) 199 coordination problems 274 coral polyps 197 coral reefs 197-200, 204 atoll 198 barrier 197,198 coral bleaching 198-9 fringing 198 global coral health reports 199-200 global limiting factors 197 and human impact 198-9 local limiting factors 198 origins 198 patch 198 sustainable management 200 and tourism 328 types 198 core 63, 64 core-periphery concept 119,122,148, 360-1 Coriolis Force (rotation of the Earth) 46, 62,182, 220-1, 238 corrasion 23 correlations 371 corrosion 23 cost-benefit model 117 costs fixed/terminal 272 labour 273 line haul 272 transport 272 unit 273 Council for the Protection of Rural England (CPRE) 135 counterurbanisation 119,122-4,141-2 cow pea 269 crime 329 crocodile 176 crop rotation 264-5 crops genetically modified (GM) 103 herb 264-5 indigenous 270 maize 264 potato 264 crust 63, 65, 208-10 continental 64, 208, 210 Cud Lie Mnong Fairtrade Agriculture Cooperative 317 cultivation, shifting/swidden 261 cultural clashes 329 cultural globalisation 353 cultural loss 295 culverts 37 cumulative causation 361 currency 320-1 currents, ocean 46,199, 200, 235 cuspate forelands 193 customary tenure 142 cutoffs (oxbow lakes) 27 D Daly’s Glacial Control theory 198 dams 31, 32, 294-5,318 Darfield earthquake, New Zealand 211 Darfur 302-7 Darwin, Charles 198 Darwin, Australia 162 data types 380-4 primary data 380 secondary data 380 daytime energy budgets 40 death, and migration 114—15 death rate 88-90, 95-9,106 and age structure 90 and economic development 90 and gender 90 and medical services 90, 97, 98 and nutrition 90 and urbanisation 90 and wars 90 debris avalanches 79 debt international 318-24 odious 320 sovereign 318 debt cancellation 320, 321 debt crisis 321 debt relief 321 debt restructuring 319 decentralisation 134 decomposers 167,170 deepwater drilling 287 Deepwater Horizon oil spill 291 deflation 243 deflation hollows 243, 246 deforestation 80, 174 and desertification 253 and environmental degradation 297-8 and erosion 265 and flooding 20 and global warming 53 and hydrology 30 and slope stability 230 and tourism 327 deglomeration 275 deindustrialisation 151, 290, 296, 353, 358 deltas 28-9 arcuate 29 bird’s foot 29 cuspate 29 demographic transition 96-9 demography 96 Department for International Development (DFID) 154 dependency ratio 94 dependency theory 361 deposition 24-6, 28, 243, 294 depositional coastlines 190-3,196 drift-aligned 190 swash-aligned 190 depositional features, localised 191-3 desertification 251, 252-4, 266, 298 deserts 235-55 landforms 242-50 soils 250-3 the world’s main 238-41 desire lines 377 developed markets 279 development sustainable 322, 365 see also economic development; national development; regional development dew 12, 52, 237 dew point 48 DFID see Department for International Development Diani Beach, Kenya 203 discharge relationships (within drainage basin systems) 15-20 and antecedent conditions 19 and catchment hydrology 18 discharge variations 15 and drainage basin morphology 18 and drainage density 19 and infiltration rate 18 and land use 19 and parent material 19 and precipitation types 18 and relief 18-19 and rick types 19 and river discharge 15-16 and soil type, structure and density 19 and storm hydrographs 16-18 and storm surges 20 and tides 20 and urbanisation 19 and vegetation 20 diseases climate-related 344 degenerative 90 infectious 90, 96, 97, 98 water-borne 222, 223, 296 diseconomies of scale 275 disintegration (rock) block 69, 242 granular 69, 242 dispersion graphs 372 displaced persons 304-7 dissolved load 23 distal end 191 diurnal energy budgets 40-1 diurnal range 40-1 divided circles (pie graphs) 372 Doha Amendment 54 ‘doldrums, the’ 159 Dominican Republic 328 dot maps 379-80 downdrift 183 dragging theory 64 drainage basin systems 8,10-15 dendritic 11 discharge relationships within 15-20 drainage patterns 11 endorheic 8,11, 242 and flooding 34 inputs 12 morphology and discharge 18 as open systems 11 outputs 14-15 radial 11 rectangular 11 storage 12-13 transfers 14 trellised 11 drainage density 19 drainage patterns 11 drilling, deepwater 287 drought 251, 252-3, 264, 268, 270 dumping 82 dunes 190 Dungeness, Kent 193 duricrusts 251 dust 32, 58 dust devils 238 dynamic equilibrium 186 E Earth formation 62 structure of the 63-4 earthflows 77 earthquake zones, sustainable management 225, 227 earthquakes 65, 66, 208-12, 214, 216 hazard mapping 214-15 human impact 214 monitoring 214-15 prediction 214-15 and Three Gorges Dam 294-5 Earth’s axis, tilt 45, 54 East Timor 204-5 economic activity and agricultural land use 260 globalisation 351-8 economic development and birth rates 91 and death rates 90 disparity in 358-67 and fertility 91 and pollution 296 and populations 90, 91, 98 and regional development management 362-7 and urbanisation 138,147 economic transition 338-67 case studies 362-7 globalisation of economic activity 351-8 national development 340-50 regional development 358-62 economic wellbeing, global inequality in 344 economies 278 command 260, 275 knowledge 340 rural 133 transitional 357 economies of scale 260, 262, 275 administrative 274 external 274 financial 274 internal 274 purchasing 274 risk bearing 274 technical 274 ecosystems coral reefs 197-200 humid tropical rainforest 166-75 humid tropical savanna 166-72,175-7 and tourism 327-8, 337 ecotourism 205, 333-7 Index 403 Ecuador 334-7 edge cities 141 education 91-2, 97, 347, 366-7 Ehrlich, Paul R. 100 elderly people 94, 97 electricity 139, 291-2 see also hydroelectric power elites 318 emergent layer 167 emerging markets 279, 357 emigrants 110 emigration 110 mass 98 employment categories/sectors 340 changing structures 343 formal sector 276-7 informal sector 276-7, 342 primary sector 340, 341, 342, 343 quaternary sector 340, 341, 343 secondary/ sector 340, 342, 343 structural variations in 341-2 tertiary sector 340, 341, 342, 343 in urban Africa 139 see also underemployment; unemployment endoreic dra nage basins 8,11, 242 energy balance between sources 286-7 consumption trends 287-90 daytime energy budgets 40 diurnal energy budgets 40-1 environmental impact of energy production, transport and use 290-1 global energy budgets 41 and industrial location 272 management of energy supply 291-5 national factors affecting demand for 284-6 night-time energy budgets 40 non-renewable resources 284-6 see also sustainable/renewable energy supplies energy flows 169-70 energy generation 33 energy mix 284, 291 engineering hard 35, 84, 85, 201-2 soft 35, 84-5, 201-2 England demographic transition 96-8 migration 122^f settlement dynamics 135 entrepreneurship 277, 335-6 environment and energy production, transport and use 287, 290-1 and fossil fuels 290-1 Environment Agency 34, 35 Catchment Abstraction Management >13 Index Strategy 31 environmental degradation 295-302 and bioreclamation of degraded lands 270 constraints on combating 300 management 302-7 measures of 301 needs 301 outcomes 301 and pollution 295-6 protection of environments at risk 301-2 rural 297-8 and tourism 326-8 urban 298-9 and water quality 296-7 environmental deterioration 102 environmental management 282-307 and energy supplies 284-95 and environmental degradation 295-307 environments at risk, protection 301-2 ephemeral plants 251 epidemiological transition 90 epiphytes 167 EPZs see export processing zones equal rights 280 equator 45 Equatorial low pressure belt 42 equifinality 249 ergs 244 erosion coastal 184,185-90, 193 desert 243, 244-5,248,255 peat 84 and pressure release weathering 69 river 21, 23-6, 294 soil 251 wind 243 estuaries, deep 27 etchplanation 165 ethnic minorities 153 European Economic Community 313 European Union (EU) 312, 313, 315, 363 evaporation and arid environments 236, 248 and drainage basin systems 12, 14-15 energy requirements 40 influences on 14—15, 31 evapotranspiration 12, 15,172 event modifications 34-5 excavation 81, 83 exfoliation 69,163, 164, 242 exploitation 173-4, 285-7, 355, 361 export processing zones (EPZs) 276 exports 308-12, 313, 363 visible and invisible 310-11 extensive farming 262 extraction 81 Eyjafjallajokull 214 F FairTrade 316-17 Fairtrade Foundation 316, 317 falls 215 family life cycle 153 famine 102 FAO see Food and Agriculture Organization farmland 100,101,104, 124 farms 259-60 see also agriculture favelas (slums) 81,150 FDI see foreign direct investment feldspar 72, 81,163,164 ‘Fengcong’ 165 ‘Fenglin’ 165 Ferrel Cell 42, 235 fertiliser 103, 298 microdosing 268-70 fertility rate 89, 91-3, 105,136 fetch 181 Fiji 121-2 filtering 145 financial crises 319 flexible working practices 141, 145 flocculation 28, 185,196 flood hazard mapping 37 flood protection 34-7 flood storage areas 36 flooding 18,216-17, 294 amelioration 34-7 case study 35-7 causes of 34, 36 coastal 222, 223,230 and deforestation 20 flash floods 236, 244 prediction 34 prevention 34-7 recurrence intervals 34 risk of 16 river 35, 222 and storm surges 183, 222 and urbanisation 30 floodplains 19, 21, 28, 34 see also river terraces flow 76, 77-8,215 flow-line maps 376-7 fluvial geomorphology 10-37 drainage basin systems 8, 10-20 and human impact 29-37 river channel processes and landforms 20-9 focus groups 384 fog 38, 40, 52, 236 advection fog 52 frontal fog 52 hill fog 52 radiation fog 52 fold mountains 67 Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) 102,103 food aid 102,105 food insecurity 268 food production 99-100,102-5, 258-68 case study 105 emerging producers 103 high income importers 104 limits to 104 low income importers 104 self-sufficiency 103 and technology 102-3,104 traditional producers 103 food shortages 100 footloose industries 272 Ford, Henry 271 foreign direct investment (FDI) 312-13, 353,355,357,360 backward 353 in Bangladesh 278 conglomerate 353 forward 353 greenfield entry 353 horizontal 353 and Newly Industrialised Countries 341-2 takeover entry 353 vertical 353 forelands 191 foreset beds 28 fossil fuels 284, 285, 291^1 burning of 52-3, 54—5,102, 290-1 consumption trends 287-90 environmental impact of 290-1 and fertiliser 103 mining 81, 82 see also coal; gas; oil fossils 62, 250 ‘fracking’ (hydraulic fracturing) 287 framing 53 France agriculture 259 river discharge 15 free trade 311-12, 315, 363 freeze-thaw (frost shattering) weathering 68, 76, 242 friction 210 frontal fog 52 Frontier Five 278-9 frontier markets 279 fronts 48 fuel nuclear 284 renewable 104 see also fossil fuels fulls 191 G G8 Gleneagles Summit 321 gabions 202 Galapagos Islands 334-7 Gansu Wind Farm Project 293 gas 284, 312 consumption trends 288 deepwater drilling 287 undiscovered 291 GATT see General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade GDP see Gross Domestic Product gender and death rate 90 and migration 118 General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) 313, 315 general principal theories of geographical mobility 115-18 genetically modified (GM) crops 103 Geographical Information System (GIS) 84, 373 geographical skills 368-84 aerial photographs 380 data types 380-4 diagrams 370-2 graphs 370-2 maps 373-80 satellite images 380 geology and plate tectonics 62 and slope processes 74 and weathering 72-3 see also lithosphere; rocks geos 188 geostationary satellites 224 geotextiles 202 geothermal energy 214 Gersmehl diagram 169 ghettoes 147 Gini coefficient 358 GIS see Geographical Information System glaciers 63,198 glacial retreat 218 Global Assessment of Human-induced Soil Degradation (GLASOD) 266 global energy budget 41 global interdependence 308-37 international tourism 324-37 trade flows and trade patterns 310-24 Global Positioning System (GPS) 373 global shifts 313, 341, 358 global temperature 45-8 ‘global village’ 138 global warming 52^4, 290 globalisation and agriculture 297 cultural 353 definition 351 and the division of labour 354 of economic activity 351-8 and employment 343 and immigration 352 political 353 and trade 351 and transportation 352 and urbanisation 138-9 Glossopteris (fern) 62 GM (genetically modified) crops 103 GNI see Gross National Income GNP see Gross National Product Goldman Sachs 358 golf courses 327 Gondwanaland 62 Google Earth™ 380 governance, good 323 government policy 275 goz (sandstone hills) 302 GPS see Global Positioning System gradients, river 20 granite 72, 81,163,164 graphs 370-2 bar graphs 370 dispersion graphs 372 line graphs 370, 371 logarithmic graphs 370-1 pie graphs (divided circles) 372 scatter graphs 371 triangular graphs 372 grasses 169, 254 Gravitational model (intervening opportunity model) 116 Great Barrier Reef 197,198 Great Leap Forward 95 Greater Noida 143 green belt 134 ‘Green Revolution’ 102-3, 266-8, 268, 297 greenfield entry 353 greenfield sites 133, 142,151, 273 greenhouse effect 52-4 greenhouse gases 52-4,199, 294 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 325, 338, 344, 358, 363, 365, 367 Gross National Income (GNI) 323, 328, 335, 344-6, 354-5 Gross National Product (GNP) 344 groundwater 104 flow 14 and human activity 31, 33, 307 recharge 13 storage 13 withdrawal 31, 33 Index 405 groynes 187, 202 Grupo Punta cana resort, Dominican Republic 328 Gunwarf Keys, Portsmouth 151 gypsum 70 H Hadley Cells 42,158,160, 219, 235 haffs 192 hail 51-2 halophytes 195, 251 ‘hanging coffins’ 295 Harbin explosion 296 Harbourne River 35-7 Harbury cutting, UK 216 Harris 149 Hawaiian hotspot 208-9 Hawaiian Islands 211 hazardous environments 206-31 case studies 227-31 defining hazards 208 hazards resulting from atmospheric disturbances 219-25, 344 hazards resulting from mass movement 206-7, 215-19 hazards resulting from tectonic processes 208-15 primary hazards 211, 213-14, 221-2, 223 secondary hazards 211-12, 213, 214, 222,223 sustainable management 225-31 HDI see Human Development Index headland erosion 188 health 96 see also medicine heat transfer 41 heatwaves 38 heave 76 Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPCs) 319, 321 HEP see hydroelectric power herb crops 264-5 Hess, Harry 63 High Income Countries (HICs) agriculture 260, 262, 263 aid 322 cereal consumption 256 deindustrialisation 358 division of labour 354 employment structures 341 energy consumption 290 global warming 54 international debt 318, 319 Iabour273 migration 119,122, 124 settlement dynamics 132,141, 151 tourism 326, 328, 330,333,334 trade flows and trade patterns 310, 311,315 high pressure 42,160,161 and aridity 235, 237-9, 241 high water mark (HWM) 190,191 high-tech industry 133 high-yielding varieties (HYVs) 102-3, 104, 267-8 Highly Skilled Migrant Programme 128 hill fog 52 Hilmarton 135 Himalayan mountain range 65, 67, 68, 208, 241 HIPCs see Heavily Indebted Poor Countries HIV/AIDS 136 Hjulstrom’s Curve 24 holistic approach 201 honeycomb weathering 68 hotspots 64, 211 housing 147-53 filtering 145 residential segregation 153 residential zones 147 Hoyt’s sector theory 149 HPI see Human Poverty Index HR see hydraulic radius HSBC 358 Human Development Index (HDI) 86-7, 136, 268, 347-9, 350, 366 human factors, and industrial location 271 human impact on the atmosphere 52-8 on coral reefs 198-9 on desertification 253 on earthquakes 209 on flooding 34-7 on groundwater supplies 31, 33 on hydrology 29-37 on land use change 30 on mass movement 217 on plagioclimax 166 on precipitation 30 on slope processes 79-85 on the weather 52-8 human lives and atmospheric disturbances 221-2, 223-4 and mass movement hazards 216-18, 230-1 and relocation 295 and tectonic hazards 214, 227-30 and tourism 329 Human Poverty Index (HPI) 349-50 humidity 48 absolute 48 in arid environments 236 relative 48,162 of tropical climates 161,162 of urban heat islands 58 humus 250 hunter-gatherers 137 Hurricane Katrina 183,193, 222, 225 Hurricane Sandy 223-4 hurricanes 223-5 distribution 219 formation 220-1 hazards caused by 221-2 prediction 224-5 HWM see high water mark hydration 70, 242 hydraulic action 23 hydraulic fracturing ('fracking’) 287 hydraulic radius (HR) 22 hydroelectric power (HEP) Chinese use 293, 294-5 consumption trends 288-9 limitations 285, 286 hydrographs 19 base flow/groundwater flow 18 falling limb/recession 18 lag time 18 peak flow 18 rising limb 18 storm 16-18 storm flow 18 hydrological cycle 10, 29, 170 hydrology 10-37 catchment hydrology 18 drainage basin systems 8,10-20 and human impact 29-37 river channel processes and landforms 20-9 hydrolysis 69-70,72, 163,164 hydro power 33 hygiene 96 hygroscopic nuclei 30 hyper-capital intensive systems 264-5 HYV see high-yielding varieties IAEA see International Atomic Energy Agency ice 18, 38 ice sheets 52, 63 Ice Valley, Andes 31 ICT (Information, Communication and Technology) 280, 343 IDPs see Internally Displaced Persons igneous rocks 19, 72, 164 11 ASA see International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis ILO see International Labour Organization IMF see International Monetary Fund immigrants 110,147 immigration 91, 97,110, 352 imperialism 361 impermeable rock 14,19 impermeable surfaces 83, 236, 245, 250, 255 imports 308-13 and free trade 312 and mercantilism 311 and protectionism 313 visible and invisible 310-11 income, disposable 326 India 358 agriculture 267 deserts 238-9 monsoon 160-1 Partition 278 sustainable management of arid environments 254 urban renewal 143 Indian Ocean 8 indigenous crops 270 Indonesia 145 industrial development 298-9 industrial estates 276 industrial growth 358 industrial inertia 272 industrial location 271-3 Industrial Revolution 52, 53, 97,100, 137-8, 150, 272 industrial usage 33 industrialisation 285, 296, 357 see also deindustrialisation industry high-tech 133 see also manufacturing industry inequality 344, 358-674 infant mortality rate 89, 96 infanticide 107 infiltration 18, 30 infiltration capacity 18 infiltration rate 18 inflation 319 Information, Communication and Technology (ICT) industry 280, 343 information technology 141,145 infrared radiation 380 infrastructure, inadequate 298-9, 357 inner city areas 122-3 inselbergs 164,165, 249, 250 insurance 34 intensive farming 262, 264-5, 297 inter-cropping 254 interception 12, 20, 30 interception loss 12 interest rates 319 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 53, 54 interlocking spurs 25 Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) 304-7 international aid 318-24 International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) 285 international debt 318-24 International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) 100 International Labour Organization (ILO) 276-7 International Monetary Fund (IMF) 174, 278,319, 321,361 origins 321 International Organization for Migration (IOM) 114, 352 international tourism 324-37 international trade 310-24 International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) 301 Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) 42,158,159-61,219,235,237 intervening obstacles 116 intervening opportunity model see Gravitational model interviews 384 inventory credit 270 Inverse Distance Law 116 investment see foreign direct investment IOM see International Organization for Migration Ipad Mini Index 344 IPCC see Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change irrigation 31-2,104,105, 253, 260, 265 low pressure drip 269 Isles Dernieres, Mississippi deltas 193 isoline maps 378-9 Italy 218-19 ITCZ see Intertropical Convergence Zone IUCN see International Union for Conservation of Nature J Jakarta 145 Japan 65, 95, 227 jarrah tree 176 JEM see Justice and Equality Movement jetties 186 Jiabao, Wen 293 jo-jo tanks 31 jobs, 3D 128 Justice and Equality Movement (JEM) 304 K kangaroo paw 176 kaolin (china clay) 70, 81,163 karst 165 cockpit 165 cone 165 tower 165 Kazakhstan 32 Kedarnath, India 216 Keynes,John Maynard 321 Kiunga-Aiambak road project 174 knowledge economy 340 Köppen climate classification 156,158 Kutubu Petroleum Development Project 174-5 Kuznets curve 296 Kyoto Protocol 53-4, 285 L labour child 279 exploitation 355 and industrial location 273 New International Division of Labour 353-4 quality 273 unit labour costs 273 lagoons (sounds) 191 lahars (mudflows) 77-8, 82, 211-12, 214,217 land competition for 142-3 and industrial location 272-3 overuse 80-1 land clearance 80-1,177 land degradation 80 bioreclamation of degraded lands 270 constraints on combating 300 rural 297-8 and tourism 32708 urban 298-9 land rights 261 land tenure 261 land use 19, 30 landforms arid/semi-arid environments 242-50 coastal 187-97 river 20-9 and slope processes 76 tropical environments 162-5 landlocked countries 344 landslides 211-12, 216-19, 230-1 landslide hazard analysis 84 Langmeads Farms, West Sussex 264-5 latent heat 40 lateral planation 248 laterites 163 Latin America, city models 150 latitude 45 latosols 171-2 Index 407 Laurasia 62 lava 209,210,212-13,214 Laws of Migration 115 leaf drip 12 leakage 330 Lee 116-17 lending, mismanaged 320-1 Lesotho 142-3 lettuce 264 levees 28 LICs see Low Income Countries life expectancy 89-90, 94,106, 347-9, 367 lifestyles 326 lightning 38 limestone 72,165 line graphs 370, 371 Linfen 145 liquefaction 211-12 lithology 74, 185,187-8 lithosphere (geological world) 10, 63-4 littoral cells (sediment cells) 185-7 livestock farming 263-4 load deposition 28 dissolved 23 suspended 21, 23, 185 location 256-81 locational advantage 312 logarithmic graphs 370-1 bunchings 370 cycles 370-1 log-log graphs 370 semi-log graphs 370 logging 174,175, 298 Loma Prieta earthquake 211 long-wave radiation 40, 52 longshore drift 183,186-7, 191,193 Lorenz curve 358 Los Angeles 140-1 loss-sharing adjustments 34 Love and Rayleigh waves 211 Low Income Countries (LICs) agriculture 261, 263, 297-8 birth rate 91 cereal consumption 256 debt 318-19, 321 development 344, 350 division of labour 354 earthquakes 225 employment structures 342, 343 energy consumption 287, 289 environmental degradation 297-8 global warming 54 industrial growth 358 inequality 344 labour 273 mangroves 197 migration 119,125 non-governmental organisations 324 >1-1 Index pollution 296, 300 populations 91, 97-8 settlement dynamics 132,138,139, 146,150,151 tourism 328,329,330 trade 315 trade flows and trade patterns 310, 312,315,316 urbanisation 138,139,146, 299 volcanoes 214 low pressure 42,161 low water mark (LWM) 190 lunettes 244 Lystrosaurus 62 M Mabogunje 117 macronutrients 169 macrotidal coasts 193 magma 64, 65, 209,210,215 Maisin people 173—4 maize crop 264 Majorca 332-3 malaria 98 Malawi 136-7,153-4 Malawi City Development Strategy and Slum Upgrading Programme (CDS/ SUP) 153 Malaysia 230-1 Mali 268-70 Malthus, Rev. Thomas 99-100,102 mangroves 197, 203 Mann 149 mantle 63, 64, 66, 209, 211 manufactured produce 310, 313 manufacturing industry 150-1, 271-7, 341-3, 358, 363 and agglomeration 275 case studies 278-81 change management in 278-81 and diseconomies of scale 274 and economies of scale 274 and export processing zones 276 and flexible industry 271 and Fordist industry 271 and formal/informal sectors Tltr-J global shifts in 313 and government policy 275 and industrial estates 276 and industrial location 271-3 and linkages 275-6 and pollution 296 maps 373-80 choropleth maps 375-6 dot maps 379-80 flow-line maps 376-7 Geographical Information Systems 373 Global Positioning Systems 373 isoline maps 378-9 proportional symbols 374-5 ray diagrams 377 maritime climates 46 market gardening 264-5 markets 272 Marrah Mountains 302 marriage 92 marsh creation 202 marsupials 176 Marxist theory 117-18 Maseru 142-3 mass movement 76-9 definition 215 flow 76, 77-8 hazards resulting from 206-7, 215-19 heave 76 monitoring 218-19 prediction hazard mapping for 218-19 rapid movements 78-9 risk perception 218-19 slide 76 slow movements 76-8 sudden movements 79 sustainable management 230-1 Mattel 355 MDRI see Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative meanders 25-8 entrenched 28 form 25,26-7 incised 28 over time 27 mechanisation 265, 298, 341 media 326 medical services 90, 97, 98 medicine, see also health Mediterranean, migration routes 114-15 megacities 131, 146-7 Melbourne Docklands 143-4 meltwater 34 mercantilism 311 mergers and acquisitions 353 mesas 249 mesocyclones 221 mesotidal coasts 193 Met Office 34 metamorphic rocks 19, 72 methane 53 Mexico City 146 Miami, Florida 162 micro-regions 135 microdosing 268-70 micronutrients 169 microtidal coasts 193 Mid-Atlantic Ridge 65 mid-latitude depressions 49 Middle Income Countries (MICs) agriculture 262 cereal consumption 256 cities 146, 150 deindustrialisation 358 division of labour 354 energy consumption 287, 289 floodplains 34 global warming 54 industry 280 inequality 358 tourism 326 urbanisation 299 migrant counter-stream 110,119 migrant populations 108 migrant stream 110 migrants 91,124 contributions of 128 working 94 migration 108-29 barriers/obstacles to 118 case studies 111-12,114-15,121-2 causes of 112,113,119-20 chain 110 circular 110 as component of population change 110-18 conservative 113 definition 110 forced 113,125 free 113,114 and the general principal theories of geographical mobility 115-18 Gravitational model 116 impelled 113 in-migration 110 innovative 113 internal 110,118,119-24 international 110, 116,118,124-9 intra-urban 122 mass 113,114 negative net migration balance 110 out-migration 110,112,117 permitting factors 112 positive net migration balance 110 primitive 113 pull factors 112,116-17 push factors 112,116-17 repeat 110 retirement 134,142 rural-urban 117-18, 119,121-2,143 step 110,122 types of 110,113-14 urban-rural migration 119,133-4, 141-2 urban-urban migration 119,122 voluntary 113, 124 Millennium Development Goals 297, 319, 322 Millennium Villages Project (MVP) 136-7 millet 269 Mimosa pigra (mimosa) 176-7 mining 33,81-2, 318, 342 MINTS 358 mixed farming 263, 264 mobile phone services 139 Mohorovifid Discontinuity (Moho) 64 Mojave Desert 254-5 monsoon 42, 160-1 dry season 160 rainfall 18 wet season 160 Montserrat 228-30 Morgan Stanley Capital Investment (MSCI), Emerging Markets Index 357 Morocco 362-7 mortality 90 motivation 274 mountain building 67, 68 Mtandire 153-4 mudflats 196 mudflat recharge 202 mudflows (lahars) 77-8, 82, 211-12, 214,217 Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) 319 multiple nuclei theory 149 multiplier effect 330, 361, 364 Murray 198 MVP see Millennium Villages Project Mwandama 136-7 N Namib 239 National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) 30 national development 340-50 chain of production 340 changing employment structures 343 development gap 350 employment categories/sectors 340 employment structure variations 341-2 and global inequality 344 measurement 344-50 stages of development 350 National Energy Council (NEC) 293 National Food and Security Strategy (NFSS)105 National Hurricane Centre (NHC) 224 National Parks 123,133, 301-2, 334, 335 National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL)225 Native American Indians 255 natural disasters classification 206-7 see also hazardous environments Nazca plate 65 NCAR see National Centre for Atmospheric Research nebkhas 244 NEC see National Energy Council negative externalities 274 nehrungs 192 neo-Malthusians 100 Neolithic revolution 137 NERICA see New Rice for Africa ‘nesses’ 193 Net Primary Productivity 167 Nevada Desert 33 Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia 77-8, 217-18 New Delhi 143 New International Division of Labour (NIDL) 353—4 New Orleans 183, 222, 225 New Rice for Africa (NERICA) 268 Newly Industrialised Countries (NICs) 312,313 characteristics 357 division of labour 354 employment structures 341-2 factors in the emergence and growth of 357 industrial growth 358 newspapers 381 Next Eleven 278 NFSS see National Food and Security Strategy NGOs see non-governmental organisations NHC see National Hurricane Centre Niagara falls 25 NICs see Newly Industrialised Countries NIDL see New International Division of Labour Niger 268 Nigeria 298, 299 night-time energy budgets 40 nitrogen oxide 83 nitrous oxides 53 nocturnal animals 252 nomads 253, 262 non-governmental organisations (NGOs) 323-4 North Pole 45 Northeast Greenland National Park 301-2 NSSL see National Severe Storms Laboratory nuclear disasters 295 nuclear power 284, 285, 287, 288 nutrient cycling 169-70, 251 Index 409 nutrient leaching 169-70,172 nutrition 90 see also undernourishment Nyiragongo 214 o ocean acidification 199, 200 ocean conveyor belt 41 ocean currents 46, 199, 200, 235 ocean trenches 66 ODA see Overseas Development Assistance OECD countries 134, 359 oil 105,284,312 consumption trends 288 deepwater drilling 287 spills 291 undiscovered 290-1 oil crisis 1973-4 319, 320-1 O’Neill,Jim 358 OPEC see Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries open systems 11 oral histories 384 organic action 71 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) 134, 359 Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) 319 orogenesis 68 outsourcing 341, 354 overgrazing 253, 265, 266, 304 overland flow 14 overpopulation 101-2, 297-8 Overseas Development Assistance (ODA) 322, 323 oxbow lakes (cutoffs) 27 oxidation 69, 242 ozone 53 P P (Primary) waves 211 Pacific Ocean 8 Pakistan 238-9, 278 paleomagnetism 63 palm oil 174 Palmer Dam 36 Pangaea 62 Papua New Guinea 173-5 parent material 19 Park 147 particulate matter, airborne 299 Partition 278 pastoral nomadism 263 pastoral systems 263-4 Patagonian desert 240 Index peat burning 53 erosion 84 pediments 248, 249 pedimentation 248 peeling 69 Peltier, Louis C. 71 people trafficking 124,125 percolation 14,191 permeable rock 13,19 Peru 31, 240, 349 pesticides 267, 298 Peterson, William 113 petroleum 292-3 Philippines 65 photography, aerial 380 photosynthesis 170,198, 251 phreatic zones 14 phreatophytes 251 physical factors and agricultural land use 259 and industrial location 271 pie graphs (divided circles) 372 Piedmont zones 249 PIGS countries 329 pioneer species 166-7,195,197 pitting 68 pixels 380 plagioclimax 166 planar landslides 78 plate boundaries 64—5 collisional 65 conservative/transform 65, 210-11 constructive 65 destructive 65,210 and hazardous environments 208 ocean plate 65 plate movement 64-5, 209-10 plate tectonics 62-73 convergent plates 64, 209, 210 divergent plates 64, 209, 210 evidence for 62-3 hazards resulting from 208-15, 227-30 and orogenesis 68 plate boundaries 64-5, 208, 210-11 plate movement 64-5,209-10 sea floor spreading 63, 66 and the structure of the Earth 63-4 subduction zones 64, 66-7 and the sustainable management of hazards 227-30 playas 246-8 Pleistocene 248, 250 plunge pools 25 pluvials (wet periods) 248, 250 point bars (slip-off slopes) 22, 26 Polar Front 42 polar high pressure system 42 policies 275 anti-natalist 92 pro-natalist 92 regional 134 rural 134-5 political globalisation 353 political influences and agricultural land use 260-1 and birth rate and fertility 92 and the elderly 94 pollution air 102, 145-6,155,252,299 and environmental degradation 295-6 and mangroves 197 and tourism 327 and urbanisation 299 polytunnels 265 pools 25,26,35, 37 plunge pools 25 population 86-107 age/sex structure diagrams 95, 370 ageing 128 and birth rate 88, 89-95 case studies 89-90 and death rate 88, 89-90 demographic transition 96-9 and the dependency ratio 94 and desertification 253 and development 363-4 and fertility rate 89, 91-3 and food supply 99-100,102-5 growth 253,299, 304,357 and infant mortality rate 89 and infrastructure 299 and land degradation 304 and life expectancy 89-90, 94,106 managing natural increase 106-7 migrant populations 108-18 natural increase 88-95, 96, 97,101, 106-7 old 94 optimum 102 population-resource relationships 99-105 urban 137-9, 143,146-7 world population growth 88-9 young 94, 357 positive externalities 274 post-industrial cities 151 post-industrial societies see High Income Countries potato crop 264 poverty 105,136,153-4 absolute 322 and agriculture 317 and desertification 253 and industry 280 and the informal sector 277 measurement 349-50 and the Millennium Development Goals 322 reduction strategies 321 and tourism 328 and urbanisation 138,139 Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) 321,328 PPP see Purchasing Power Parity PPT see pro-poor tourism practical salinity units (psu) 197 pre-industrial phase 343 precipitation (ppt) 48-9 antecedent conditions 18,19 and arid environments 236-7 convectional 48-9 and drainage basin systems 12,15, 18 effective 236 and flooding 34 frontal 48-9 human impact on 30 inter-annual variability 236 orographic 48-9 and overland flow 14 and river discharge 15 and savanna soils 172 types of 18 and urban heat islands 58 and weathering 71 see also rainfall; snow pressure high 42,160,161, 235, 237-9, 241 low 42,161 seasonal variation 41-2 pressure cells, seasonal 42 pressure release weathering 69 pressure surges 223 primary data 380 primary produce 310, 313 Principles of Migration 116 Pripyat 295 pro-natalist policies 92 pro-poor tourism (PPT) 205 process industries 272 producers, primary/secondary 170 production 256-81 agricultural systems and food production 258-70 chain of 340 manufacturing and related service industries 271-81 productivity 273 profit 261 property impact of atmospheric disturbances on 223-4 impact of mass movement hazards on 216-18 impact of tectonic hazards on 214 proportional bars 374 proportional circles 375 proportional symbols 374-5 protectionism 312, 313, 315, 323 proximal end 191 PRSP see Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper pseudo bedding planes 69 psu see practical salinity units Punjab 267 Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) 344-6 pyroclastic flows 213-14, 217-18 pyrophytic 169 <2 qat (narcotic) 105 qualitative research 380, 381-4 ‘quantitative easing’ 320 quantitative research 380 quarrying 81 quartz 72,164 questionnaires 381-4 Quirkmaps.com 380 R radiation 40-1 atmospheric counter-radiation 40 of the Earth’s core 64 infrared 380 long-wave 40, 52 net radiation balance at the Earth’s surface 40 short-wave 40 solar 40, 52 terrestrial 40 radiation fog 52 rain shadows 49, 235, 241 rainfall acid rain 70 antecedent conditions 18 and clouds 51 convectional 48-9 desert 236 and discharge 16 and flooding 34 frontal 48-9 global figures 38, 39, 234 intensity 236 monsoonal 18 orographic 48-9 processes of 30 and slope processes 75 and tropical savanna 162 and tropical storms 221 Rajashtan, India 254 rapids 25 Ravenstein, Ernst Georg 115 raw materials 272, 340, 361 ray diagrams 377 desire lines 377 wind roses 377 RDPE see Rural Development Programme for England recession, global 364 Refugee Convention 125 refugees 125 regional development 358-67 core-periphery 360-1 cumulative causation 361 dependency theory 361 management 362-7 within country disparities 358-61 regional policy 134 regolith 74, 76 rejuvenation T1 relief 18-19 religion 91 relocation 295 renewable energy supplies see sustainable/renewable energy supplies reservoirs 31 residential segregation 153 residential zones 147 resource curse theory 286, 344 resources exploitation 285-7 lack of 344 limited nature 99-100 see also Sustainable Resource Management retaining walls 85 retirement migration 134,142 reurbanisation 142 revetments 202 rias (deep estuaries) 27 rice high-yielding varieties 103, 267-8 IR8 267 New Rice for Africa (N ERICA) 268 riffles 26, 35, 37 rights, equal 280 Rio de Janeiro 81, 217 rip rap 202 river cliffs 26 river deltas 28-9 river discharge 15-16 river flow 21 helicoidal 22, 26 laminar 21 thalweg 22 turbulent 21-2 river regime 15 river terraces 28 rivers in arid areas 244-5, 248 base level 27 Index braiding 28 capacity 23, 24, 28 channel processes and landforms 20-9 competence 23, 24, 28 deposition 24, 25-6, 28 effect on fluvial features 28 endoreic 244 ephemeral 244, 245 and erosion 21, 23, 24, 25-6 exogenous 239, 244 flooding 35, 222 floodplains 28 gradients 20 gravitational potential 21 and Hjulstrom’s Curve 24 hydraulic radius 22 and levees 28 load 21,23,28 long profiles 20-1 lower course 21 management 35 meanders 25-8 middle course 21 and pools 25 rapids 25 rejuvenation 27 and sea level change 27 and transport 23, 24 upper course 21 velocity 22, 24 and waterfalls 25 Rochinha, Rio de Janeiro 217 Rock Cycle 60 rock falls 79 'rock litter’ 68 rock pinning 202 rocks 60-85 disintegration 69, 242 human impact on 79-85 igneous 19, 72,164 lithology 74 and plate tectonics 62-73 sedimentary 19, 72,165 slope processes 74-85 structure 74 types 19 water-eroded 244-5 wind-sculpted rocks 243 see also weathering root density 75 rotational slides 79 runoff and deserts 245, 255 and drainage basin systems 12 and urbanisation 30 Rural Development Programme for England (RDPE) 135 rural economies 133 rural environments, degradation 297-8 Index rural policies 134-5 Rural Policy programme (Finland) 135 rural settlements birth rates 91 changes in 132-7 contemporary issues 132-4 gentrification 134 temperatures 56 rural-urban migration 117-18, 119, 121-2,143 Russia 358 s S (Secondary) waves 211 sabkhas 242, 248 Sahara 238-9, 252 Sahel zone 239, 252, 270 salinisation 253, 265,298 salinity 41,197 salt 250,251,253 salt crystallisation (salt weathering) 68, 242 salt lakes 246-8 salt marshes 196 saltation 21, 23, 243 saltwater intrusion 33 Sami population 301 sampling 381 San Andreas Fault 65 sand bypassing 202 sand dredging 203 sand dunes 195, 250 akle dunes 244 desert dunes 244 dune slacks 195 embryo dunes 195 fixed dunes 195 regeneration 202 seif dunes 244 semi-fixed dunes 195 star dunes 244 succession 195 types 244 wind-shadow dunes 244 sandbars 193 sanitation 153-4 Sassen, Saskia 147 satellite images 380 saturated air 48 scarps 249 scarps recession 249 scatter graphs 371 scavengers 170 schools 137 scree 68 sea acidification 53 and global temperatures 46 sea floor spreading 63, 66 sea ice (Arctic), melting 290-1 sea level change 27 and barrier islands 193 and coral reefs 198 eustatic falls 27 eustatic rises 27 sea walls 185, 202 seasonal lags 46 seasonal pressure cells 42 seasonal variations and arid temperatures 237-8 and pressure 41-2 and rainfall 236 and wind belts 41-2 Second World War 90, 118,123,151, 260,265,312, 351,361 secondary data 380 sediment and coral reefs 198 and desert runoff 245 remodelling coastal 191,193 size 191 transport 23,185,186, 190, 294 sediment cells (littoral cells) 185-7 sedimentary rocks 19, 72,165 segregation, residential 153 ‘seismic isolation’ technologies 227 seismic waves 211 seismometers 211 self-sufficiency 103 semi-arid environments 232-55 causes of aridity 235 difference from arid areas 238 and high wind energy 238 landforms 242-50 and precipitation 236-7, 238 and salinisation 253, 265 soils 250-3 sustainable management 254-5 temperatures 237-8 vegetation 250-2 sensible heat 40 sensible heat transfer 40 service sector 271-7, 363 settlement dynamics 130-55 case studies 135-7,140-1,143-4, 153-5 changes in rural settlements 132-7 changing structure of urban settlements 147-53 urban settlement management 153-5 urban trends 137—47 sewers/sewage 96,153-4, 327 sex ratios 91 sex/age structure diagrams 95, 370 shading maps see choropleth maps shale gas 287 sharecropping 261 shear stress 215-16 sheet flow 245 shifting/swidden cultivation 261 shipping, container 351 Shiva, Vandana 267 Shoreline Management Plans (SMPs) 201 short-wave radiation 40, 52 shuijiao 31 sial 64 Sichuan Basin, China 39 Siesmo-Electromagnetic Satellites 214-15 Singapore 92,161-2 Single European Market 313 SLA see Sudan Liberation Army slab-pull mechanism (dragging theory) 64 slash-and-burn agriculture 101,173 slaves 125 slides 76,78-9,215 slip-off slopes (point bars) 22, 26 slope overloading 82 slope processes 74-85, 215-16, 230 and agriculture 259 and aspect 74-5 and climate 75 human impact on 79-85 and landforms 76 and mass movements 76-9 and rock geology 74 and rock lithography 74 and rock structure 74 and soil 74-5 and vegetation 75 and weather 75 slope retreat 249 slope stability analysis 84 slums 81,138,139,150,153-4, 217 smog 52 SMPs see Shoreline Management Plans snow 18, 38, 51 Snow,John 96 snow-melt 18 social development/wellbeing, disparities in 344, 358-67 social factors, and birth rate and fertility 91-2 socio-economic factors, and international migration 128 socio/cultural factors, and agricultural land use 261 soil arid environment 250-3 clay 19, 69, 74, 184, 250 degradation 32,177 density 19 desert (aridosoils) 250-2 erosion 172,174,251, 265 exhaustion 268, 270 ferralitic 171 fertility 169-70, 259, 268, 279 formation 170-2 friable 265 profiles 170-2 rainforest 169-72 sandy 19 saturation 14 savanna 170,172 and slope processes 74—5 structure 19 and throughflow 14 types 14,19,170-2, 259, 265 soil creep 76-7 solar power 55, 255, 286, 293, 366 limitations 285 solar radiation 40, 52 solifluction 75, 77 solution (erosion process) 23 sorghum 269 Soufriere Hills volcano 228-30 South American deserts 240 South American plate 65 South Pole 45 Southern African deserts 239 sovereign debt 318 Soviet Union 32 specific heat capacity 46, 56 spits 190,191-2 spurs, interlocking 25 SRM see Sustainable Resource Management stable bay creation 202 stacks 188 standard of living 347, 349-50 standardisation 329 Stark 117 statutory tenure 142 steel industry 312 stemflow 12 sterilization 106,107 stone pavements 250 storm beaches 191 storm drains 37 storm hydrographs 16-18 storm surges 20,182-3, 221-2 storms 38, 39 and coastal erosion 185 and coral reefs 198,199 and flooding 34 see also hurricanes; tornadoes; tropical cyclones; typhoons Stouffer 116 Strakhov’s diagram 71 stream flow 245 structural adjustment programmes 321 structural engineering 84-5 structuration theory 118 sub-aerial processes 184 sub-climax 166 sub-tropical anticyclones 160 sub-tropical high pressure belts 42 sub-tropical jet stream 160 subduction zones 64, 66-7,187, 210 sublimation 48 subsidence 33,198 subsistence farming 261, 342 suburbanisation 140-1,145 succession 166 succulents 251 Sudan Liberation Army (SLA) 304 sulfur dioxide 83 Sun daytime energy budgets 40 formation 62 and latitude 45 sunlight 39,170,197 supercells 221 surface creep 243 surface storage 13 suspended load 21, 23,185 suspension 243 sustainable development 365 Sustainable Development Goals 322 sustainable management arid environments 254-5 coastal environments 201-5 coral reefs 200 hazardous environments 225-31 tropical environments 173-7 Sustainable Resource Management (SRM) 305 sustainable tourism 333, 366 sustainable/renewable energy supplies 55,255,284-91,293,366 consumption trends 287-90 geothermal energy 214 solar power 55, 255, 285, 286, 293, 366 see also wind power swales 191 swash 182,183,191 swells 181 swidden (slash and burn) gardens 173 ‘switched-on’/’switched-off’ places 360 symbiosis 197,198-9, 200 takeover entry 353 TALC (Tourism Area Life Cycle) Model 331-3 talus 68 TAP seeTrans-Alaska Pipeline tariffs 313, 315, 363 technology agro-technology 260 and food production 102-3,104 Index information technology 141, 145, 280, 343, 352 'seismic isolation’ 227 travel/transport technology 326, 333 and working structures 343 technology transfer initiatives 266-7 tectonic uplift 165 telephone services 139 temperate low pressure belt 42 temperature 39 and arid environments 237-8 and coral reefs 197,199, 200 diurnal range 40-1, 237, 242 diurnal variation 237 global 45-8 and rural areas 56 and tropical climates 158, 161-3 and urban heat islands 55-7 and weathering 71 terawatt-hours (TWh) 287 ternary diagrams see triangular graphs terrestrial deposition 191 terrestrial radiation 40 terrorism 326 textile industry 279, 280-1 thalweg 22 Thar Desert 254 thaw 18 thermal expansion (insolation) weathering 69 thermal fracture 242 thermohaline circulation (ocean conveyor belt) 41 Three Gorges Dam, China 294-5 throughfall 12 th roughflow 14 thunderstorms 221 Tibetan plateau 65 tidal cycles 182 tidal power, limitations 285 tidal range 182,193 tides 20,182 timber 174,175, 298 TNCs see Transnational Corporations tobacco plantations 137 Todaro 117 Tohoku earthquake and tsunami 2011 212,215,227 tombolos 190,191,193 topset beds 28 tornadoes 39, 223-5 distribution 219-20 formation 221 hazards caused by 221-2 prediction 225 tors (castle kopjes) 164,165 tourism 254-5, 324-37, 364—6 and carrying capacity 329-30 case studies 332-3, 334-7 Index coastal 203,204-5 economic impacts 328-9 and the environment 326-8 growth in 324-6 international 324-37 leakage 330 and the multiplier effect 330 negative impacts 326-30, 335-7 social and cultural impacts 329 sustainable 333, 366 trends 333 Tourism Area Life Cycle (TALC) Model 331-3 towns 147 Toyota 356 traction 21, 23, 243 trade free 311-12, 315, 363 international 310-24, 351 trade agreements 312, 313 trade barriers 312 trade blocs 312, 313 trade deficits 311 trade flows and trade patterns 310-24 ‘banana wars’ 315 factors affecting global trade 312-13 FairTrade 316-17 Fairtrade Foundation 316,317 global inequalities in 311-12 and imports and exports 310-11 and international aid 318-24 and international debt 318-24 and the World Trade Organization 314-16 trade sanctions 314 trade surplus 311 trade winds 42, 235 trams 146 Trans-Alaska Pipeline (TAP) 290 transitional economies 357 Transnational Corporations (TNCs) 139, 260,273,351 and the ‘banana wars’ 315 and division of labour 354 and employment structures 343 and environmental degradation 297-8 and exploitation 355 and exports 311 factors affecting the growth and structure of 354-5 and foreign direct investment 312-13,353 global spatial organisation and operation 356 and Newly Industrialised Countries 341-2, 357 and outsourcing 354 transpiration 15, 251 transport 147 cars 145,146, 155 costs 272 and globalisation 352 and industrial location 272 infrastructure 155 public 145,146,155 technology 326, 333 transportation coastal 185,186, 190 by rivers 23, 24 Treaty of Rome (1957) 260-1 trees deciduous 20 jarrah tree 176 tropical rainforest 167-9 see also afforestation; deforestation triangular graphs 372 trophic levels 170 Tropic of Cancer 156,158 Tropic of Capricorn 156,158 tropical climates 158-62 tropical cyclones 223-5 distribution 219 formation 220-1 hazards caused by 221-2 prediction 224-5 tropical environmental zone 156 tropical environments 156-77 case studies 173-7 ecosystems 166-75 landforms 162-5 sustainable management 173-7 tropical climates 158-62 tropical monsoon climate 156,158,159, 162 tropical rainforest climate 156,158, 161-2 ecosystems 166-75 tropical savanna climate 156,158,159, 162 ecosystems 166-72,175-7 landforms 163 tsunamis 211-12, 227 Turkey 112 TWh see terawatt-hours Tyger Valley Shopping Centre, Cape Town 151 Typhoon Vamei 162 typhoons 223-5 distribution 219 formation 220-1 hazards caused by 221-2 prediction 224-5 Tysons Corner 140-1 u Ullman 149 underemployment 277 undernourishment 102,105 underpopulation 102 understorey 167-9 unemployment 277 United Kingdom agriculture 264-5 international trade 313 migration 128 see also England United Nations (UN) 53,102-3,110, 146, 298-9, 304-5,319,322 United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) 199, 327 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) 53 United States age/sex structure diagrams 95 ‘banana wars’ 315 deserts 239, 254-5 food production 103,104 storms 224 suburbanisation 140-1 United States Geological Survey (USGS) 218, 290-1 unroofed layers 69 unsaturated air 48 updrift 191 urban activities 149, 150-2 urban climates 55-8 urban environmental degradation 298-9 urban heat islands 55-8 Urban Household Sanitation Improvement Project 154 urban renewal 143 urban settlements changing structures 147-53 management 153-5 urban sprawl 154 urban trends 137-47 urban-rural migration 119,133-4, 141-2 urban-urban migration 119, 122 urbanisation 137-47,153, 298-9 and the death rate 90 and discharge relationships in drainage basin systems 19 and earthquakes 225 and fertility rate 91 and hydrology 30 and impermeable surfaces 83 and land degradation 298-9 and mangroves 197 and mass movement 217 and slope stability 81, 83 USGS see United States Geological Survey water and agriculture 260 demand and supply of 296-7 V V-shaped valleys 25 value-added 365 variables 370 dependent 370 independent 370 vegetation of arid environments 250-2, 254 and coastal stabilisation programmes 202 and discharge relationships in drainage basin systems 20 interception 12 pioneer species 166-7,195, 197 of sand dunes 195 and slope processes 75 storage 13 of tropical rainforests 167-9 of tropical savannas 169 xerophytes 169,195, 251 see also afforestation; deforestation Vegetation Management Act (Australia) 177 VEI see Volcanic Explosivity Index Vietnam 317 virtual water 297 viticulture 259 volcanic eruptions 209, 212 Hawaiian (effusive) 212-13, 214 and mass movements 217-18 Plinian 212-13 Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) 212 volcanoes 65, 77-8 and debris avalanches 79 hazard mapping 214-15 hazards presented by 208-10, 212-13 human impact 214 monitoring 214-15 opportunities provided by 214 prediction 214-15 sustainable hazard management 228-30 and tropical rainforest ecosystems 166-7 w Wadati-Benioff zone 66 wadis 245, 302 Walsh 121 Wamberal Beach, New South Wales, Australia 185 war 90 ‘warrantage’ scheme 270 washlands 35 waste disposal 299, 327 finite nature 104 liquid 40 plants’ need for 251 quality 29, 296-7 quantity 29 storage 13, 31 and tourism 327 virtual 297 see also groundwater water abstraction 31 water balance 234, 252 water leakage 83-4 water scarcity 296-7, 307, 327 water stress 296 water vapour 30, 40, 48, 51-2, 237 water-borne diseases 222, 223, 296 waterfalls 25 watershed 10 wave abrasion/corrasion 185 wave attrition 185 wave deposition 185 wave quarrying 185 wave refraction 183,188,191 wave transportation 185 wave-cut platforms 190 waves 181-2 breakers 181-2 constructive 182,183,190, 191 and coral reefs 198 destructive 182,183,191 and erosion 185 Love and Rayleigh 211 of oscillation 181 of translation 181-2 wealth 358-61 see also affluence weather 38-59 and climate change 29 and diurnal energy budgets 40-1 human impacton 52-8 processes and phenomena 48-52 and slope processes 75 weathering 68-73, 75-6, 78, 216 in arid/semi-arid environments 242, 248, 249, 250 biological 70-1 chemical 69-71, 75, 81,162-5, 242, 249, 250 and coastal erosion 184 controls of 71-3 freeze-thaw (frost shattering) 68, 76, 242 honeycomb 68 isolation 242 mechanical 68-9, 70, 71, 162-3 pressure release 69 Index salt crystallisation (salt weathering) 68, 242 thermal expansion (insolation) 69 thermal fracture 242 Wegener, Alfred 62 wetland areas 36 wheat 264 high-yielding varieties 102,103 WHO see World Health Organization Wilderness Areas 301 wildfire 175-7 wind 42 dry monsoon 161 dry trade 235 erosion 243 and global temperatures 48 hazardous 223 high wind energy 238 and storm surges 182 ‘the doldrums’ 159 of tornadoes 223 trade 42,235 of tropical storms 223 and urban heat islands 57, 58 and wave refraction 183 wind-sculpted rocks 243 wind belts 41-2 Index wind farms 55 wind power 55, 255, 285, 286-7, 289, 293 wind roses 377 wine-making 259 WMO see World Meteorological Organization women equal rights 280 working 279-80 wood burning 53 see also logging; timber World Bank 32,128,142,174, 277-8, 319, 321,323,330,361 origins 321 world cities 130-1,146-7 World Health Organization (WHO) 154, 367 World Heritage Sites 134, 334, 337 World Meteorological Organization (WMO) 199 world population growth 88-9 World Trade Organization (WTO) 134, 312,314-16,315,329-30,351 World Wide Fund for Nature 175 X xerophytes 169,195, 251 Y Yangtze River 294 yardangs 243 yazoo tributary 27 yellow dunes 195 Yemen 105 Yuma, Arizona 39 z zeugens 243 Zimbabwe 95 Zipf 116 zones in transition 147 zooanthellae 197,199 Acknowledgements The publishers would like to thank the following for permission to reproduce images. Every effort has been made to trace copyright holders and to obtain their permission for the use of copyright materials. The publishers will gladly receive any information enabling them to rectify any error or omission at the first opportunity. Images not listed here were created by the team at Collins and are therefore © Collins Bartholomew Ltd 2016 Cover: Dead Sea sinkholes: Photostock-lsrael/ Science Photo Library 1.1: Dr. Morley Read/Shutterstock 1.3: Sirilipix/Shutterstock 1.7a $b: Fiveless/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 1.12: cdrin/Shutterstock 1.13: Smileus/Shutterstock 1.14: patjo/Shutterstock 1.15: Dmitry Naumov/Shutterstock 1.18: Tango22/Wikipedia/CC BY 3.0 1.20: Deymos.HR/Shutterstock 1.21: The Niagara Parks Commission 1.22: Graham R Prentice/Shutterstock 1.25: Mike Charles/Shutterstock 1.26: Kunal Mehta/Shutterstock 1.27: Elaine Burt/CC BY 2.0 1.28: Walter Siegmund/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 1.29: NASA 1.30: NASA 1.31: Florin Stana/Shutterstock 1.32: ShaunWilkinson/Shutterstock 1.33: NASA 1.34: goriilaimages/Shutterstock 1.36: MODIS/NASA 1.37: Daniel Prudek/Shutterstock 1.39: Tim Padfield 2012/CC BY 1.40: Andy Schindler 1.41: Contains Environment Agency information © Environment Agency and database right Case study Harbertonford: The British Dam Society, http:Wwww.britishdams. org/2004conf/papers/bradley.PDF, WT BRADLEY, M E JONES $AC MORISON 2.4 : Science Photo Library 2.5 b8<c: Sailorr/Shutterstock 2.10 base image: Bananaboy/Shutterstock 2.19: Maksym Darakchi/Shutterstock 2.20: Fir0002/Flagstaffotos/Wikipedia/GNU 1.2 2.21: A.Fitzsimmons/ESO/Wikipedia/CC BY 4.0 2.27: Songquan Deng/Shutterstock 2.28 base images: J PL Designs, KID_A, zeber, Potapov Alexander, Evellean/all Shutterstock 2.30: TonyTheTiger/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 3.2: Nobu Tamura/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 table 3.1c: Booyabazooka/Wikipedia/public domain table 3.1d: USGS/Wikipedia/public domain table 3.1e: USGS/Wikipedia/public domain 3.8: Oggmus/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 3.9: shrimpol967/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 2.0 3.10: ASC Photography/Shutterstock 3.11: Wilson44691/Wikipedia/public domain 3.12: Martin Fowler/Shutterstock 3.13: Phil MacD Photography/Shutterstock 3.14: Andrew Mayovskyy/Shutterstock 3.17 base image: TheBlackRhino/Shutterstock 3.24: Jeffrey Marso, USGS geologist/ Wiki pedia/public domain 3.26: Olaf Speier/Shutterstock 3.27: Kedsirin.J/Shutterstock 3.29: Rich Carey/Shutterstock 3.32: Jeff collins/CC BY-SA 2.0 3.33: Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 3.35: robbinsbox/Shutterstock 3.36: Phil.Tinkler/Shutterstock 4.15: Wikipedia/CC BY 4.0 4.20: Micheline Pelletier/Sygma/Corbis 4.23: Dmitry Chulov/Shutterstock 4.24: TonyV3U2/Shutterstock 5.1: Borisl5/Shutterstock 5.2: Daily Herald Archive/Getty 5.3: IL Palöt 5.11: Frontpage/Shutterstock 5.12: Humane Borders, Inc 5.13: Atlaslin/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 5.14: Yu Zhang/Shutterstock 5.17: kathmanduphotog/Shutterstock 5.18: Alex Pix/Shutterstock 5.19: Dynamic Graphics/Thinkstock 5.20: IL Palöt 5.21: IL Palot 5.22: IL Palot 5.23: Jackie Gillham 5.25: r.martens/Shutterstock 5.26: TonyV3112/Shutterstock 5.27 base image: Epsicons/Shutterstock 6.1 components: Epsicons. KID_A/both Shutterstock 6.2: IL Palot 6.4: IL Palot 6.8: YolLusZaml802/Shutterstock 6.11: BenjPHolm/Wikipedia/ I, the copyright holder of this work, release this work into the public domain. This applies worldwide. 6.13: David Hughes/Shutterstock 6.14: IL Palot 6.15: Him2586/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 6.16: Kiranverma2/Wikipedia/public domain 6.17: deb22/Shutterstock 6.18a : Bart Everett/Shutterstock 6.18b : Scott Leigh/Getty 6.19: Frontpage/Shutterstock 6.21: Videowokart/Shutterstock 6.22: Gillian Entress/Shutterstock 6.23: Christian Mueller/Shutterstock 6.28: lazyllama/Shutterstock 6.29: Slava Gerj/Shutterstock 6.30: T photography/Shutterstock 6.31: Gunwharf Quays Management Limited 6.36: Agencja Fotograficzna Caro / Alamy 6.37: F. A. Alba/Shutterstock 6.38: Matthew Otsuka/Alamy 6.39: Jeremy Pembrey/Alamy 7.2: Wikipedia/NASA 7.3 7.4 7.6: 7.7: 7.8: 7.9: 7.12: 7.13: 7.15: 7.16: 7.18 7.19: 7.20: 7.21 7.22: 7.27: 7.30: 7.31: 7.32: 7.33: 7.34: 7.35: 7.36: component: Mats Haldin/Wikipedia/ CC-BY component: Saravask/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 Dr. Marli Miller, Visuals Unlimited/ Science Photo Library Daniel Mayer/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 Vaikoovery/Wikipedia/CC BY 3.0 Marco Schmidt/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 2.5 D. Gordon E. Robertson/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 Gfonsecabr/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 P199/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 Mr. Tickle/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 base image: Rcolel7/Wikipedia/CC-BYSA 4.0 Felipe Menegaz/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 2.0 Thomas Schoch/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA base image: Kozoriz Yuriy/Shutterstock Christopher T Cooper/Wikipedia/CC BY 3.0 Sandra A. Dunlap/Shutterstock Alba Casals Mitja/Shutterstock Vladislav T Jirousek/Shutterstock John Gerrard Keulemans/Wikipedia/ public domain metriognome/Shutterstock PeterVrabel/Shutterstock ken browning/Shutterstock Le Do/Shutterstock IL Palot NOAA AudreyJackson/Geograph.org/CC BY-SA 2.0 8.8: Navy photo by Gary Nichols/Wikimedia/ public domain 8.10: IL Palöt 8.12: IL Palot 8.13: IL Palot 8.14: IL Palot 8.15a : Peter Harrison/Getty 8.16: IL Palot 8.18: USGS 8.20: IL Palot 8.21: IL Palot 8.22: IL Palot 8.23: IL Palot 8.24: IL Palot 8.25: IL Palot 8.27: IL Palöt 8.28: IL Palot 8.31: Alistair Rennie/Shutterstock 8.32: Carter, D., Bray, M.J. $ Hooke, J. (2004) ‘SCOPAC Sediment Transport Study', Report to SCOPAC 8.33: Judi Darley, Chichester Harbour Conservancy 8.34: reproduced with the permission of David Carter, based on an original map in Searle (1975)The TidalThreat. 8.35: NASA 8.36: USGS 8.39: CreativeNature R.Zwerver/Shutterstock 8.42: IL Palöt 8.43: IL Palöt 8.44: IL Palöt 8.47: USGS 8.48: Ethan Daniels/Shutterstock 8.49: Chris Mellor/Getty 8.53: Nigel Pavitt/JAI/Corbis 8.55: David Mckee/Shutterstock 8.1: 8.6: 8.7: 9.5: 9.6: 9.8: 9.9: 9.10: 9.12: 9.13: 9.14: 9.18: 9.19: 9.21: 9.22: 9.27: 9.28: 9.29: 9.30: 9.31: 9.32: 9.33: 9.34: 9.35: 9.36: 9.38: Ikluft/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 4.0 NOAA USGS KPG_Payless/Shutterstock Photovolcanica.com/Shutterstock phaechin/Shutterstock audioscience/Shutterstock Cardaf/Shutterstock Chensiyuan/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 4.0 NASA KPG_Payless/Shutterstock Magnus Manske/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 Minerva studio/Shutterstock Leonard Zhukovsky/Shutterstock NASA NOAA Edward Haylan/Shutterstock arindambanerjee/Shutterstock Pioneron/Shutterstock Aurora Photos/Alamy public domain Stefan Krasowski/Flickr.com/CC BY 2.0 Decha Thapanya/Shutterstock 10.5: Everett Historical/Shutterstock 10.6: n. yanchuk/Shutterstock 10.7: Nina B/Shutterstock 10.11: Tomas Sykora/Shutterstock 10.15: Fedorov Oleksiy/Shutterstock 10.17: summer.wu/Shutterstock 10.19: Denis Burdin/Shutterstock 10.22: Neil Rhodes/Wikipedia/public domain 10.24: sumikophoto/Shutterstock 10.26: Michael Muraz/Shutterstock 10.27: Chris Howey/Shutterstock 10.28: Francesco R lacomino/Shutterstock 10.30: TanArt/Shutterstock 10.31: kawhia/Shutterstock 10.32: Homercles/Shutterstock 10.33: heckeöl/Shutterstock 10.34: Paul B. Moore/Shutterstock 10.35: Jo-anne Hounsom/Shutterstock 10.36: Morphart Creation/Shutterstock 10.37: Stephane Bidouze/Shutterstock 10.38: Blacknote/Shutterstock 10.39: USDA/public domain 10.41: Matyas Rehak/Shutterstock 10.43: S.Borisov/Shutterstock 11.5: 11.6: 11.8: 11.9: 11.10: 11.11: 11.13: 11.15: 11.16: 11.17: 11.18: 11.19: 11.20: 11.21: 11.22: 11.23: 11.24: 11.26: 11.28: 11.29: 11.33: 11.34: 11.36: Dee Yorke-Hasted Hung Chung Chih/Shutterstock Sherjaca/Shutterstock Kochneva Tetyana/Shutterstock PlanetObserver/Science Photo Library sunsinger/Shutterstock Aurora Photos/Alamy Eitan Simanor/Alamy David Cavagnaro/Getty KYTan/Shutterstock RioTinto IL Palot IL Palot IL Palot IL Palot IL Palot IL Palot lain McGillivray/Shutterstock Cartoonresource/Shutterstock Thomas Saupe/Getty IL Palot projectlphotography/Shutterstock Jaber Al Nahian/Flickr.com/CC BY-SA 2.0 11.37: zakir hossain chowdhury zakir/Alamy 12.1: 12.2: 12.4: 12.5: 12.6: VLADJ55/Shutterstock Panacea Doll/Shutterstock Robert Lucian Crusitu/Shutterstock a katz/Shutterstock jaddingt/Shutterstock Acknowledgements 12.9: Heather Lucia Snow/Shutterstock 12.10: Cheryl Casey/Shutterstock 12.11 base image: Mrfebruary/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 12.12 base image: Theanphibian/Wikipedia/ CC BY-SA 3.0 12.13: Sadik Gulec/Shutterstock 12.14: Vmenkov/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 12.15: NASA 12.17: Nowozin/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 12.18: Manuel Abinuman Jr/Shutterstock 12.19: Sergey Kamshylin/Shutterstock 12.21 data: WaterStat/Water Footprint Network, Enschede, Netherlands 12.21 base images: Tribalium, forest_strider, karawan, Wiktoria Pawlak, RedKoala, VKA, darsi/all Shutterstock 12.22: USDA 12.23: Dirk Ercken/Shutterstock 12.24: lvan_Sabo/Shutterstock 12.26: De Visu/Shutterstock 12.27: Pejo/Shutterstock 12.29: HammyO7/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 12.30: USAID 12.31: USAID 12.32 data: tearfund 12.32 base images: Leremy, KoQ Creative, tulpahn, HuHu/all Shutterstock 12.33: Photodiem/Shutterstock 13.6: Gregory James Van Raalte/Shutterstock 13.9: Scott Dexter/Flickr.com/CC BY-SA 2.0 13.10: Robert Morris 13.11 base images: Leremy/Shutterstock 13.12 base images: Leremy, VoodooDot/both Shutterstock 13.16: ReptOnlx/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 13.18: Rafael Ortega Diaz/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 13.19: Shahid Khan/Shutterstock 13.20: Michael Zacharz/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 2.5 13.23: Marc Figueras/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 13.24: David Adam Kess/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 3.0 14.1 base images: Leremy, Annlris, VoodooDot, bioraven, RedKoala, Anthonycz/all Shutterstock 14.6: Citizen59/Wikipedia/CC BY 3.0 14.10: Gerard Koudenburg/Shutterstock 14.11: Raihan S.R. Bakhsh/Wikipedia/CC BY-SA 2.0 14.12: Buckers/Wikipedia/public domain 14.18: Robert Morris 14.21: Robert Morris 15 infographic: Mike Flippo, Miks Mihails Ignats, Click49, Luciano Mortula, holboxjust Keep Drawing, Konstantnin/all Shutterstock, and one image NASA/USGS 15.22: Annemarie Schneider, Boston University and NASA Landsat Science Team Text references: Chapter 1: Sauquet, E.; L. Gottschalk; and I. Krasovskaia (2008). ‘Estimating mean monthly runoff at ungauged locations: an application to France’. Hydrology Research, Vol. 39, No. 5-6, pp. 403-423. IWA Publishing. Chapter 3: Osman, N. (2006). ‘Parameters to predict slope stability- Soil water and root profiles’. Ecological Engineering, Vol. 28, No. 1, pp. 90-95. Elsevier Journals. Chapter 5: Dustmann, C. and T. Frattini (2013). ‘The Fiscal Effects of Immigration to the UK’. University College London Discussion Paper, UK. Chapter 6: Sassen, S. (1991) The Global City: New York, London, Tokyo. Princeton University Press, USA. Key concepts Key concepts The key concepts on which this syllabus is built are set out below. These key concepts can help teachers think about how to approach each syllabus topic in order to encourage learners to make links between topics and develop a deep overall understanding of the subject. i. Space: the implications of spatial distributions and patterns of a range of physical and human geographical phenomena. 2. Scale: the significance of spatial scale in interpreting environments, features and places from local to global, and time scale in interpreting change from the geological past to future scenarios. 3. Place: the importance of physical and human characteristics which create distinctive places with different opportunities and challenges. 4. Environment: how the interactions between people and their environment create the need for environmental management and sustainability. 5. Interdependence: how the complex nature of interacting physical systems, human systems and processes create links and interdependencies. 6. Diversity: the significance of the similarities and differences between places, environments and people. 7. Change: the importance of change and the dynamic nature of places, environments and systems. Teachers are expected to embed the key concepts through the study of the topics, both in general and specifically through examples and case studies. Key concepts 419 Notes Notes