Lecture Objectives • Explain working capital management from a subsidiary perspective versus a parent perspective. • Explain how cash management can be centralized in order to ensure that cash is used more efficiently. • Explain the various techniques used to optimize cash flows. • Explain the decision to invest cash internationally. Lecture 14 International Cash Management Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 2 Multinational Working Capital Management (1 of 2) Subsidiary Expenses • The subsidiary will normally have a more difficult time forecasting future outflow payments if its purchases are international rather than domestic because of exchange rate fluctuations. Cash management is the optimization of cash flows and the investment of excess cash. Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Subsidiary Revenue • Subsidiaries’ sales volume may be more volatile than if the goods were only sold domestically. Accounts receivable management is an important part of the subsidiary’s working capital management because of its potential impact on cash inflows. 3 Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 4 Multinational Working Capital Management (2 of 2) Centralized Cash Management (1 of 2) Subsidiary Dividend Payments • When dividend payments and fees are known in advance and denominated in the subsidiary's currency, forecasting cash flows is easier. Decentralized management is not optimal because it will force MNC to maintain larger cash investment than necessary. Subsidiary Liquidity Management • After accounting for all outflow and inflow payments, the subsidiary may have excess or deficient cash. It uses liquidity management to invest excess cash or borrow to cover cash deficiencies. See Exhibit 2.1 on next slide. Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. MNCs commonly use centralized cash management to monitor and manage the parent-subsidiary and intersubsidiary cash flows. 5 Exhibit 21.1 Cash Flow of the Overall MNC Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 6 Centralized Cash Management (2 of 2) Accommodating Cash Shortages: A key role of the centralized cash management division is to facilitate the transfer of funds from subsidiaries with excess funds to those that need funds. • Technology Used to Facilitate Fund Transfers o A centralized cash management system needs continual flow of information about currency positions to determine whether one subsidiary’s shortage of cash can be covered by another subsidiary’s excess cash. • Monitoring of Cash Positions o The centralized cash management division serves as a monitor over the subsidiaries because it can detect potential financial problems. Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 7 Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 8 Optimizing Cash Flows (1 of 2) Exhibit 21.2 Intersubsidiary Payments Matrix U.S. DOLLAR VALUE (IN THOUSANDS) OWED TO SUBSIDIAIRY LOCATED IN JAPAN U.S. DOLLAR VALUE (IN THOUSANDS) OWED TO SUBSIDIAIRY LOCATED IN SWITZERLAND U.S. DOLLAR VALUE (IN THOUSANDS) OWED TO SUBSIDIAIRY LOCATED IN UNITED STATES 40 90 20 40 — 30 60 50 100 30 — 20 30 Switzerland 10 50 10 — 50 United States 10 60 20 20 — Accelerating Cash Inflows using lockboxes and preauthorized payments. Minimizing currency conversion costs by netting, using a bilateral netting system or a multilateral netting system. (Exhibits 21.2 and 21.3) Managing intersubsidiary cash transfers by using a leading or lagging strategy. Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 9 Exhibit 21.3 Netting Schedule NET PAYMENTS TO BE MADE BY SUBSIDIARY LOCATED IN Canada NET U.S. DOLLAR VALUE (IN THOUSANDS) OWED TO SUBSIDIAIRY LOCATED IN FRANCE NET U.S. DOLLAR VALUE (IN THOUSANDS ) OWED TO SUBSIDIAIRY LOCATED IN JAPAN NET U.S. DOLLAR VALUE (IN THOUSANDS) OWED TO SUBSIDIAIRY LOCATED IN SWITZERLAND NET U.S. DOLLAR VALUE (IN THOUSANDS) OWED TO SUBSIDIAIRY LOCATED IN UNITED STATES TOTAL 0 10 30 40 France 20 — 0 10 0 30 Japan 10 0 — 10 10 30 0 0 0 — 30 30 0 10 0 0 — 10 30 10 0 30 70 Total — France 60 Japan Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 10 Complications in Optimizing Cash Flow 0 United States Canada Optimizing Cash Flows (2 of 2) — Switzerland U.S. DOLLAR VALUE (IN THOUSANDS) OWED TO SUBSIDIAIRY LOCATED IN FRANCE PAYMENTS OWED BY SUBSIDIARY LOCATED IN Managing blocked funds by incurring costs within the country or using transfer pricing. NET U.S. DOLLAR VALUE (IN THOUSANDS) OWED TO SUBSIDIAIRY LOCATED IN CANADA U.S. DOLLAR VALUE (IN THOUSANDS) OWED TO SUBSIDIAIRY LOCATED IN CANADA • Company related characteristics o If one of the subsidiaries delays payments to other subsidiaries, the other subsidiaries may be forced to borrow. A centralized approach that monitors all intersubsidiary payments should minimize such problems. • Government restrictions o The existence of government restrictions can disrupt a cash flow optimization policy. • Limitations of Banking Systems o The abilities of banks to facilitate cash transfers for MNCs vary among countries. 14th Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 11 Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 12 Investing Excess Cash (1 of 8) Investing Excess Cash (2 of 8) Determining the Effective Yield — The effective yield of a bank deposit considers both the interest rate and the rate of appreciation (or depreciation) of the currency denominating the deposit and can therefore be very different from the quoted interest rate on a deposit denominated in a foreign currency. Benefits of Investing in a Foreign Currency: • An MNC’s excess funds can be invested in domestic or foreign short-term securities. In some periods, the foreign short-term securities will have higher interest rates than domestic interest rates and may therefore deserve consideration by MNCs that have excess short-term funds available. where r = effective yield on foreign deposit if = quoted interest rate ef = percentage change in value of currency Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 13 Investing Excess Cash (3 of 8) 14 Investing Excess Cash (4 of 8) Risk of Investing in a Foreign Currency: • While an MNC might earn a higher effective yield from investing in a deposit denominated in a foreign currency, its investment is subject to risk, or uncertainty surrounding the effective yield. Break-Even Point from Investing in a Foreign Currency: • The forward rate can be viewed as a break-even point: If it represents an accurate forecast of the future spot rate (which will exist at the end of the deposit period), the effective yield on the foreign deposit will be equal to the yield from investing domestically. Hedging the Investment in a Foreign Currency • MNCs that want to invest their cash in deposits with a high foreign interest rate may consider hedging their investment in an attempt to avoid exposure to exchange rate risk. Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. o Relationship with the International Fisher Effect — The international Fisher effect suggests that the exchange rate of a foreign currency is expected to change by an amount reflecting the difference between its interest rate and the U.S. interest rate. The rationale behind this theory is that a high nominal interest rate reflects an expectation of high inflation, which could weaken the currency (according to purchasing power parity). 15 Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 16 Investing Excess Cash (5 of 8) Exhibit 21.4 Considerations When Investing Excess Cash Break-Even Point from Investing in a Foreign Currency (continued) • Conclusions about the Forward Rate — Exhibit 21.4 summarizes the key implications of interest rate parity and the forward rate as a predictor of future spot rates for foreign investing. Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 17 Investing Excess Cash (6 of 8) SCENARIO IMPLICATIONS FOR INVESTING IN FOREIGN DEPOSITS 1. Interest rate parity exists. Covered interest arbitrage is not worthwhile. 2. Interest rate parity exists, and the forward rate is an accurate forecast of the future spot rate. An uncovered investment in a foreign deposit is not worthwhile. 3. Interest rate parity exists, and the forward rate is an unbiased forecast of the future spot rate. An uncovered investment in a foreign deposit will on average earn an effective yield similar to an investment in a domestic deposit. 4. Interest rate parity exists, and the forward rate is expected to overestimate the future spot rate. An uncovered investment in a foreign deposit is expected to earn a lower effective yield than an investment in a domestic deposit. 5. Interest rate parity exists, and the forward rate is expected to underestimate the future spot rate. An uncovered investment in a foreign deposit is expected to earn a higher effective yield than an investment in a domestic deposit. 6. Interest fate parity does not exist, and the forward premium (discount) exceeds (is less than) the interest rate differential. Covered interest arbitrage is feasible for investors residing in the home country. 7. Interest rate parity does not exist, and the forward premium (discount) is less than (exceeds) the interest rate differential. Covered interest arbitrage is feasible for foreign investors but not for investors residing in the home country. Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 18 Investing Excess Cash (7 of 8) • Using a Probability Distribution to Enhance the Investment Decision (Exhibits 21.5, 21.6, 21.7) Investing in a Portfolio of Currencies • Because an MNC cannot be sure how exchange rates will change over time, it may prefer to diversify its cash among deposits denominated in different currencies. Limiting the percentage of excess cash invested in each foreign currency will reduce the MNC’s exposure to exchange rate risk. Since even expert forecasts are not always accurate, it is sometimes useful to develop a probability distribution instead of relying on a single prediction. • Investing in a Portfolio of Currencies Because an MNC cannot be sure how exchange rates will change over time, it may prefer to diversify its cash among deposits denominated in different currencies. Limiting the percentage of excess cash invested in each foreign currency will reduce the MNC’s exposure to exchange rate risk. Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 19 Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 20 Exhibit 21.5 Analysis of Investing in a Foreign Currency Exhibit 21.6 Development of Possible Effective Yields PROBABILITY OF THAT PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN THE SPOT RATE OCCURRING POSSIBLE RATE OF CHANGE IN THE AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR OVER THE LIFE OF THE INVESTMENT (ef) PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE +4% 70% (1.07)[1 + (.04)] − 1 = .1128, or 11.28% CURRENCY POSSIBLE PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN THE SPOT RATE OVER THE DEPOSIT LIFE −5% 30% (1.07)[1 + (−.05)] − 1 = .0165, or 1.65% Australian dollar +4% 70% (1.07)[1 + (.04)] − 1 = 11.28% Australian dollar −5% 30 (1.07)[1 + (−.05)] − 1 = 1.65% Mexican peso +2% 60% Mexican peso −4% 40% EFFECTIVE YIELD IF THIS RATE OF CHANGE IN THE AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR OCCURS 100% COMPUTATION OF EFFECTIVE YIELD BASED ON THAT PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN THE SPOT RATE 100% 100% Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 21 Exhibit 21.7 Analysis of Investing in Two Foreign Currencies MEXICAN PESO COMPUTATION OF JOINT PROBABILITY COMPUTATION OF EFFECTIVE YIELD OF PORTFOLIO (50% OF TOTAL FUNDS INVESTED IN EACH CURRENCY) 11.28% 8.12% (70%)(60%) = 42% .5(11.28%) + .5(8.12%) = 9.70% 11.28% 1.76% (70%)(40%) = 28% .5(11.28%) + .5(1.76%) = 6.52% 1.65% 8.12% (30%)(60%) = 18% .5(1.65%) + .5(8.12%) = 4.885% 1.65% 1.76% (30%)(40%) = 12% .5(1.65%) + .5(1.76%) = 1.705% (1.06)[1 + (−.04)] −1 = .0176 or 1.76% Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 22 Investing Excess Cash (8 of 8) Dynamic hedging: Strategy of applying a hedge when the currencies held are expected to depreciate and removing the hedge when the currencies held are expected to appreciate. Possible Joint Effective Yield AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR (1.06)[1 + (.02)] − 1 = .0812 or 8.12% 100% Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 23 Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 24 Summary (1 of 2) Summary (2 of 2) • MNCs strive to effectively manage their working capital, which includes short-term assets such as inventory, accounts receivable, and cash. Multinational management of working capital is complex for MNCs that have foreign subsidiaries, because each subsidiary must have adequate working capital to support its operations. The MNC may use a centralized perspective to monitor cash positions and to ensure that funds can be transferred among subsidiaries to accommodate cash deficiencies. • An MNC’s centralized cash management can monitor cash flows between subsidiaries and between each subsidiary and the parent. It can facilitate the transfer of funds from subsidiaries with excess funds to those that need funds so that the MNC uses its funds efficiently. Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. • Techniques to optimize cash flows include (1) accelerating cash inflows, (2) minimizing currency conversion costs, (3) managing blocked funds, and (4) implementing intersubsidiary cash transfers. MNCs may potentially achieve higher returns by investing excess cash in foreign currencies that either have relatively high interest rates or may appreciate over the investment period. If the foreign currency depreciates over the investment period, however, this may offset any interest rate advantage of that currency 25 Jeff Madura, International Financial Management, 14th Edition. © 2021 Cengage. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 26