Business Environment Dr. Pallavi Mody Email: pallavimody@spjimr.org @SPJIMR Courage . Heart India Story- Political Factors Influence of Political leaders on India’s Business Environment Period under Review: Decades 1951-71 Mindset-Policies-Impact 1971-91 Mindset-Policies-Impact 1991-2022 Mindset-Policies-Impact @SPJIMR Courage . Heart The Government Mindset & Policies: 1951-71 • The aversion to Globalization • Hangover of British Rule. Protect domestic industry’Infant Industry Argument’ Nehruvian Socialism • The aversion to Capitalism • Two world wars and great depression fresh in memory • Attraction to Socialism • Success of Soviet Union with rapid progress + providing basic needs to masses • Mixed economy model emerged • ‘Government only’ for ‘basic and key’ sectors + Private sector in the rest of the economy • Central Planning • Government allocated resources according to plan + licenses were given for private sector @SPJIMR Courage . Heart The impact on economy and businesses 1951-71? • Impact on Economy-GDP grew at an average of 5% • Impact on Society-Optimism and confidence in the country was at high level • Impact on Business • In a closed protected economy businesses were denied of local global competition, innovation • Socialist tilt led to Bureaucratic set up where they became very powerful • Licensing Policy lead to • Getting license: needed ‘connection’ or ‘bribe’ or both- seeds of corruption sown • Businesses procured multiple licenses to pre-empt competition-lazy monopolies --Unrelated diversification -Tatas/Birlas • License owner would get finance from banks or FIs upto 90% of the project cost • License-Permit-Raj created poor businesses but their owners were rich • The income inequality widened. The rich became richer at the cost of poor. @SPJIMR Courage . Heart The Government Mindset/Policies: 1971-91? • Businesses and private sector viewed as ‘devious capitalists’ • Government priority shifted from Nation Building and Growth to Equitable Distribution of Income & Wealth in 70s • • • • • • By 70s MRTP was introduced - a cap on investment in fixed assets FERA - Caps on ownership of foreign companies Controller of Capital Issues High income tax rates with more than 10 slabs with highest at 97.5% Control of foreign exchange: for a traveler $8 per day. Nationalization of banks • Government took direct action to deliver social good, promote equality of income and regional distribution • Garibi Hatao/Remove Poverty • Backward area incentives + Promotion to SMEs by reservation @SPJIMR Courage . Heart What was the impact of these policies on economy and businesses? • Impact on Economy-GDP growth was at dismal 3.5%, Hindu rate • Impact on Society • Disenchantment in the country increased, pessimism set in. • Impact on Business • MRTP restricted the expansion of the firms to grow to the global scale and led to lazy monopolies • Indian products were characterized by ‘poor quality’ and ‘high cost’. • Shortages of essential commodities like steel, cement, car, scooter, sugar, butter- led to black markets and smuggling • Taxation and foreign exchange regulation led to ‘parallel economy’ and ‘havala market’. • Through the 1960s and 1970s, as policies suppressed entrepreneurship, joblessness soared. Most of India’s violent trade union movements trace their origins in this period. @SPJIMR Courage . Heart Economic Reforms 1991 @SPJIMR Courage . Heart Economic Reforms • Liberalization • Industrial licensing & MRTP dismantled • Taxes rationalized and rates lowered • Important sectors opened to private enterpriseBanks, Insurance, Steel, Power, Infrastructure….. • Globalization • FERA dismantled and trade barriers reduced • Tariffs reduced to ASEAN level • Foreign direct investment: considerably liberalized (insurance, retail) • Privatization • Public sector monopolies diluted & assets privatized • PSUs listed on stock exchange • Strategic sale @SPJIMR Courage . Heart Impact of Economic Reforms on Business Environment (1991-2009) • Impact on Economy-GDP growth of 6% • Impact on Society-High business confidence • Impact on Business • Clean Balance Sheet: Book value represented true value • Capital infusion through public issues and foreign funds • Capital Markets boomed • Entering hitherto reserved areas for PSUs • Bought assets of PSUs • Global Aspirations • Access to global funds • Inbound and outbound foreign investments • Competition & Efficiency increased • Products became world class @SPJIMR Courage . Heart Economic Reforms Eliminated Entry Barriers But Exit Barriers Continued (2009-2014) • Reforms have Lowered Entry Barriers • Industrial licensing & MRTP dismantled • FERA dismantled and trade barriers reduced • Foreign direct investment liberalized (insurance, retail, auto, banking) • Public sector monopolies diluted & assets privatized • Exit Barriers continued • There was no provision for shut down, bankruptcy or insolvency The businesses were affected due to the problem of Twin Balance Sheet (TBS). 1. Large corporate who borrowed heavily to invest in • Infrastructure and Real Estate • Commodity-related businesses 2. Banks who lent the corporate • The NPAs of banking sector increased exponentially • Banks responded by limiting the flow of credit to conserve capital • The scams vitiated the Business confidence @SPJIMR Courage . Heart Reforms in a new direction (2014-2023) Simplification of administration • • • • Aadhaar (Unique Identity to every citizen) Jan Dhan Yojna (Universal Banking) Direct Benefit Transfer Digital India is changing the administration and the private sector Government Finances • Goods and Services Tax (GST) • Competitive Corporate taxes • Government thrust on Infrastructure Money and banking • Demonetization • Monetary Policy Framework & Inflation control • Measures to address the overhang of Non-Performing loans (NPLs) India’s foreign Policy • Military power • Diplomatic relations • India’s standing improved @SPJIMR Courage . Heart Impact on the Economy (2014-2023) • Impact on the economy • India’s GDP growth is uneven but post pandemic India is the fastest growing economy post pandemic • Focus on ease of doing business index • India’s ranking internationally improves • Corporate tax at ASEAN level, more foreign companies attracted to invest in India • Massive investment in physical and digital infrastructure • Focus on ease of living Index • Houses, power, toilets, cooking gas • Social and Political agenda lead to polarization • Human rights and democratic values are questioned by international agencies @SPJIMR GDP Growth % 10 7.4 8 6.4 6 4 5.2 8 8.7 8.3 6.8 6.5 6.5 5.5 3.7 2 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 -2 -4 -6 -8 -6.6 Courage . Heart What is the take away? @SPJIMR Courage . Heart