CHAPTER 25 Measuring and Describing the Aggregate Economy ©2020 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom. No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. Chapter Goals • Calculate GDP using the expenditures and value-added approaches. • Calculate aggregate income and explain how it relates to aggregate production. • Distinguish real from nominal concepts. • Describe the limitations of using GDP and national income accounting. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 2 Aggregate Accounting Aggregate accounting (or national income accounting) is a set of rules and definitions for measuring economic activity in the economy as a whole. Aggregate accounting is a way of measuring total, or aggregate production, expenditures, and income. Gross domestic product (GDP) is the total market value of all final goods and services produced in an economy in a one-year period. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 3 Calculating GDP • Calculating GDP requires adding together millions of different services and products. • All of the quantities of goods and services produced are multiplied by their market price per unit to determine a value measure of the good or service. • This is weighting the importance of each good by its price. • The sum of all of these values is GDP. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 4 (Nominal) GDP in thousand TRY, current prices, Turkey 1 600 000 000 1 400 000 000 1 200 000 000 1 000 000 000 800 000 000 600 000 000 400 000 000 200 000 000 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 5 The Components of GDP GDP is divided into four expenditure categories: 1. Consumption (C) is spending by households on goods an services. 2. Investment (I) is spending for the purpose of additional production. 3. Government spending (G) is goods and services that government buys. Transfer payments are not included (Social Security, etc.) 4. Net exports is spending on exports (X) minus spending on imports (M). © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 6 The Components of GDP Since all production is categorized into one of these four divisions, by adding up these four categories, we get total production of goods and services GDP = Consumption + Investment + Government spending + Net exports GDP = C + I + G + (X – M) © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 7 Expenditure Breakdown of GDP GDP (billions $) = C (%) + I (%) + G (%) + X (%) - I (%) U.S. 19,485 69 17 17 12 15 China 25,240 39 44 15 20 18 Germany 4,370 53 20 17 47 40 Japan 5,620 56 24 20 16 15 Mexico 2,570 65 24 12 37 39 Nigeria 1,170 79 15 7 13 14 Poland 1,190 59 20 18 54 50 Country © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 8 Expenditure Breakdown of GDP, Turkey Gayrisafi yurtiçi hasıla, harcama yöntemiyle cari fiyatlarla (değer, pay, değişim oranı), 1998-2019 Gross domestic product at current prices by expenditure approach (value, share, percentage change), 1998-2019 Gayrisafi yurtiçi hasıla Gross domestic product Değer Value (Bin TL) (Thousand TRY) Pay Share (%) Yerleşik hanehalkı nihai tüketim harcaması Resident households final consumption expenditure Hanehalkına hizmet eden kar amacı olmayan kuruluşların nihai tüketim harcaması Non-profit institutions serving households final consumption expenditure Değer Value (Bin TL) (Thousand TRY) Pay Share (%) Değer Value (Bin TL) (Thousand TRY) Pay Share (%) Devletin nihai tüketim harcamaları Government final consumption expenditure Gayrisafi sabit sermaye oluşumu Gross fixed capital formation Değer Value (Bin TL) (Thousand TRY) Pay Share (%) Değer Value (Bin TL) (Thousand TRY) Pay Share (%) Stok değişmeleri Change in stocks Mal ve hizmet ihracatı Exports of goods and services (Eksi) Mal ve hizmet ithalatı (Less) Imports of goods and services Değer Value (Bin TL) (Thousand TRY) Pay Share (%) Değer Value (Bin TL) (Thousand TRY) Pay Share (%) Değer Value (Bin TL) (Thousand TRY) Pay Share (%) 1998 71 944 700 100.0 46 220 686 64.2 233 198 0.3 7 635 652 10.6 16 872 453 23.5 308 554 0.4 14 868 257 20.7 14 194 100 19.7 1999 107 374 258 100.0 70 560 059 65.7 345 205 0.3 13 602 775 12.7 21 346 316 19.9 1 566 179 1.5 20 198 078 18.8 20 244 353 18.9 2000 171 494 210 100.0 114 222 183 66.6 584 921 0.3 20 456 956 11.9 38 091 183 22.2 2 584 164 1.5 34 095 105 19.9 38 540 302 22.5 2001 247 266 207 100.0 159 518 438 64.5 799 664 0.3 31 269 090 12.6 44 385 051 18.0 185 756 0.1 67 211 757 27.2 56 103 548 22.7 2002 362 109 648 100.0 229 819 815 63.5 1 310 791 0.4 46 479 185 12.8 70 519 752 19.5 5 912 866 1.6 90 908 058 25.1 82 840 820 22.9 2003 472 171 775 100.0 306 456 151 64.9 1 936 703 0.4 59 448 404 12.6 97 636 341 20.7 7 698 683 1.6 108 628 679 23.0 109 633 186 23.2 2004 582 852 799 100.0 372 637 116 63.9 2 017 262 0.3 71 779 491 12.3 146 751 505 25.2 - 1 144 881 -0.2 137 697 535 23.6 146 885 229 25.2 2005 680 275 847 100.0 429 142 887 63.1 2 153 584 0.3 82 898 243 12.2 179 663 286 26.4 2 675 229 0.4 148 818 965 21.9 165 076 346 24.3 2006 795 757 109 100.0 488 586 240 61.4 2 531 011 0.3 102 712 569 12.9 226 558 851 28.5 6 985 485 0.9 178 208 483 22.4 209 825 530 26.4 2007 887 714 414 100.0 548 251 108 61.8 2 847 122 0.3 118 862 212 13.4 247 562 636 27.9 6 336 984 0.7 194 316 475 21.9 230 462 123 26.0 2008 1 002 756 496 100.0 609 322 255 60.8 3 165 081 0.3 136 337 707 13.6 267 249 924 26.7 20 932 403 2.1 236 312 513 23.6 270 563 387 27.0 2009 1 006 372 482 100.0 616 268 434 61.2 3 379 911 0.3 157 576 388 15.7 223 710 604 22.2 5 906 805 0.6 235 191 253 23.4 235 660 914 23.4 2010 1 167 664 479 100.0 728 542 463 62.4 3 339 434 0.3 173 684 929 14.9 287 659 501 24.6 24 720 103 2.1 247 476 366 21.2 297 758 318 25.5 2011 1 404 927 615 100.0 876 891 714 62.4 4 181 769 0.3 191 075 146 13.6 389 783 787 27.7 45 790 565 3.3 323 044 859 23.0 425 840 225 30.3 2012 1 581 479 251 100.0 974 963 381 61.6 4 131 515 0.3 223 401 702 14.1 427 923 207 27.1 16 043 245 1.0 385 262 192 24.4 450 245 990 28.5 2013 1 823 427 315 100.0 1 113 709 998 61.1 4 113 568 0.2 255 615 056 14.0 516 877 496 28.3 23 211 842 1.3 433 848 234 23.8 523 948 880 28.7 2014 2 054 897 828 100.0 1 235 234 528 60.1 5 261 562 0.3 288 096 259 14.0 590 695 415 28.7 4 556 360 0.2 517 948 129 25.2 586 894 426 28.6 2015 2 350 941 343 100.0 1 403 965 136 59.7 7 107 809 0.3 324 551 507 13.8 694 810 520 29.6 - 31 863 818 -1.4 576 715 941 24.5 624 345 752 26.6 2016 2 626 559 710 100.0 1 551 853 995 59.1 8 541 826 0.3 386 976 636 14.7 764 545 129 29.1 - 28 593 510 -1.1 606 302 150 23.1 663 066 518 25.2 2017 3 133 704 267 100.0 1 826 538 069 58.3 10 089 982 0.3 450 634 678 14.4 935 634 627 29.9 26 231 396 0.8 815 998 489 26.0 931 422 972 29.7 2018 3 758 315 621 100.0 2 097 979 181 55.8 13 016 470 0.3 551 962 054 14.7 1 114 729 518 29.7 - 14 197 119 -0.4 1 172 777 238 31.2 1 177 951 721 31.3 2019 4 320 191 227 100.0 2 441 172 278 56.5 15 867 077 0.4 670 808 742 15.5 1 117 609 569 25.9 - 46 229 422 -1.1 1 414 491 281 32.7 1 293 528 298 29.9 Total expenditure =GDP= G+C+I+X-M 9 GDP is a Flow Concept GDP is a flow concept, the market value of total final output a country produces per year (all components of GDP are flow variables: consumption is a flow, Investment is a flow, government spending is a flow, saving is a flow). Wealth accounts are a balance sheet of an economy’s assets and liabilities and it is a stock concept (e.g. saving accrues into wealth stock; Investment accrues into capital stock). © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 10 GDP Measures Final Output GDP does not measure total transactions in the economy. It counts final output, but not intermediate goods. • Final output is goods and services purchased for final use. • Intermediate products are used as an input in the production of some other product. Counting the sale of both final and intermediate goods would result in double counting. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 11 Two Ways of Eliminating Intermediate Goods Calculate only final output. • A firm would report how much it sold to consumers and how much it sold to producers (intermediate goods). Follow the value added approach. • Value added is the increase in value that a firm contributes to a product or service. • It is calculated by subtracting intermediate goods (the cost of materials that a firm uses to produce a good or service) from the value of its sales. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 12 Value Added Approach Example: Ice Cream Production Participants Cost of Materials ($) Value of Sales ($) Value Added ($) 0 100 100 Cone factory and ice cream maker 100 250 150 Middleperson (final sales) 250 400 150 Vendor 400 500 (final good sale) 100 Farmer Totals 750 1,250 © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 500 13 What Is Counted in GDP? Not Counted Counted • Secondhand sales • Value added by a used car dealer (counted as service) • Sales of stocks or bonds • Commissions paid to stock brokers (counted as service) • Government transfer payments • Work of house-spouses Only production of goods and services enters the calculation of GDP!! What about unsold goods in a given year? They enter into inventory, as part of Investment category for that year!! © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 14 Gross and Net Concepts Net domestic product (NDP) is GDP adjusted for depreciation. Depreciation is the amount of capital used up in producing that year’s GDP (expenditure on the wear and tear-maintenance of existing capital used in production). NDP measures output available for purchase. NDP = C + I + G + (X – M) – depreciation Net Investment is gross investment minus depreciation. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 15 GNP VERSUS GDP • GDP by definition, is the total income generated domestically. GDP includes income earned domestically by foreigners (working within the country), but it does not include income earned by nationals abroad. • GNP (Gross National Product) is the total income earned by nationals. GNP includes the income that nationals earn abroad, but it does not include the income earned within a country by foreigners. 4.12.2023 16 GNP VERSUS GDP • GDP Plus: receipts of factor income from the rest of the world (income from foreign domestic factor sources) Minus: payments of factor income to the rest of the world (foreign factor income earned domestically) =GNP 4.12.2023 17 National and Domestic Concepts GDP is the total value of all final goods and services produced in an economy in a one-year period. • GDP is output produced (and income generated) within a country’s borders. Gross National Product (GNP) is the aggregate final output of citizens and businesses of an economy in one year. • GNP is output produced (and income generated) by a country’s citizens. • GNP = GDP + Net foreign factor income Net foreign factor income is the income from foreign domestic factor sources minus foreign factor income earned domestically. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 18 Calculating Aggregate Income Aggregate income is the total income earned by citizens and businesses in a country in a year. Aggregate income consists of: • Employee compensation • Rent • Interest • Profits Aggregate income = Employee compensation + Rents + Interest + Profits © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 19 Equality of Aggregate Income and Aggregate Production Whenever a good or service is produced (output), somebody receives an income for producing it. Aggregate Income ≡ Aggregate Production value Profit is what remains after all the firm’s other income (employee compensation, rent and interest) is paid out. This aggregate accounting identity allows us to calculate GDP either by adding up all values of final outputs (C, I, G, net exports) or by adding up the values of all earnings or income. As globalization has expanded, net exports have become increasingly important. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 20 National Income Equality Output Income Consumption Employee Compensation Investment Rent Government Spending Interest Net Exports Profit © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 21 Inflation: Distinguishing Real from Nominal Inflation is a continual rise in the overall price level. Price Index is a measure of the composite price of a specified group of goods. Nominal GDP is the amount of goods and services produced measured at current prices. Real GDP is the total amount of goods and services produced, adjusted for price-level changes. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 22 NOMINAL GDP VERSUS REAL GDP Data for GDP Example Quantity in year 1 Price in year 1 Quantity in year 2 Price in year 2 Apples Oranges 50 100 TL 1.00 TL 0.80 80 120 TL 1.25 TL 1.60 Nominal GDP = Current quantity × Current price Nominal GDP (year 1) = (1.00 × 50) + (0.80 × 100) = TL 130 NominalGDP (year 2) = (1.25 × 80) + (1.60 × 120) = TL 292 4.12.2023 23 NOMINAL GDP VERSUS REAL GDP • Annual growth rate in Nominal GDP Y (new) Y (old ) 100 Y (old ) =124.6% This 124.6% increase may be due to increase in prices, output, or both.. 4.12.2023 24 (Nominal) GDP in thousand TRY, current prices 1 600 000 000 1 400 000 000 1 200 000 000 1 000 000 000 800 000 000 600 000 000 400 000 000 200 000 000 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 25 NOMINAL GDP VERSUS REAL GDP • Real GDP: measures the value of output at a given year at constant (base year) prices, hence if there is any increase or change in prices, it cannot affect the value of output. • Let year 1 is the base year for prices. Take base year prices in calculation of Real GDP: • Real GDP (year 1)= 130 • Real GDP (year 2)=(1.00x80)+(0.80x120)=176 176 − 130 = × 100 • Given the real GDP, rate of growth is 130 = 35.4% 4.12.2023 26 Real GDP, Thousand TL, 2009=100; Turkey 2 000 000 000 1 800 000 000 1 600 000 000 1 400 000 000 1 200 000 000 1 000 000 000 800 000 000 600 000 000 400 000 000 200 000 000 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: TurkSTAT 27 𝑦𝑡 −𝑦𝑡−1 Real GDP growth rate= 𝑦𝑡−1 × 100 28 Real GDP annual growth rate (%), Turkey 11,2 9,8 9,0 6,9 6,4 8,5 8,4 7,5 6,9 6,1 5,8 5,0 4,8 4,9 3,3 0,8 3,0 0,9 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 -3,3 -4,8 -5,8 Source: TurkSTAT 29 PRICE INDICES AND INFLATION Nominal GDP GDP Deflator 100 Real GDP Nominal GDP GDP Deflator Real GDP 130 × 100 130 = 100 GDP Deflator (year 1) = 292 × 100 176 = 165,9 GDP Deflator (year 2) = 4.12.2023 30 PRICE INDICES AND INFLATION GDP Deflator = GDP Deflator = Nominal GDP × 100 Real GDP 𝑛 𝑖=1(𝑃𝑖,𝑡 × 𝑄𝑖,𝑡 ) × 100 𝑛 (𝑃 × 𝑄𝑖, 𝑡) 𝑖=1 𝑖,𝑏𝑎𝑠𝑒 GDP Deflator (year 1) = GDP Deflator (year 2) = 4.12.2023 130 × 100 = 100 130 292 × 100 = 165,9 176 31 GDP DEFLATOR AND INFLATION • Inflation based on GDP Deflator: GDP PGDP (year2) PGDP (year1) 100 PGDP (year1) 165,9 100 100 100 65,9% Inflation is calculated based on CONSECUTIVE year values. 4.12.2023 32 PRICE INDICES AND INFLATION GUNS BUTTER Price Quantity Price Quantity 2010 TL 10 25 units TL 4 40 units 2011 TL 15 30 units TL 6 42 units Nominal GDP (2010)= (10x25) + (4x40) = 410 TL Nominal GDP (2011)= (15x30) + (6x42) = 702 TL Let 2010 is the base year for prices: Real GDP (2010) = (10x25) + (4x40) = 410 TL Real GDP (2011) = (10 x 30) + (4 x 42) = 468 TL 4.12.2023 33 PRICE INDICES AND INFLATION • GDP Deflator (2010)= 100 • GDP Deflator (2011) 702 100 468 150 Inflation based on GDP Deflator is 50 % from 2010 to 2011 4.12.2023 34 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) • Consumer price index (CPI) measures the value of a certain basket of goods and services in a given period (month, year, etc.) relative to the value of the same basket in some base year. • In calculating the CPI for a given year, we have a FIXED basket of goods and services (at some base year quantities), and we measure only the price changes. (P Q ) n CPI 4.12.2023 i 1 n i ,t i ,base i ,base Qi ,base ) (P i 1 100 35 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) (10 25) (4 40) 100 100 (10 25) (4 40) (15 25) (6 40) CPI (2011) 100 150 (10 25) (4 40) CPI (2010) CPI 4.12.2023 150 100 100 50% 100 36 GDP DEFLATOR VERSUS CPI • GDP Deflator uses a changing basket from one period to the next, while the CPI uses a fixed basket. • GDP Deflator and CPI need not be the same, however most of the time they move together. • GDP is the price index for ALL goods and services produced within the borders of a country (including consumer goods, investment goods, government goods such as the price of asphalt..) • Whereas CPI is the price index only for consumer goods, which also includes IMPORTED consumer goods’ prices. 4.12.2023 37 Real versus Nominal GDP GDP deflator is the price index that includes all goods and services in the economy expressed relative to a base year of 100. Example: GDP rises 10%, from $16 trillion to $17.6 trillion. How much of that 10% is real? If prices have risen 5%, that means the GDP deflator has increased from 100 to 105 (100 + 5). Real GDP = $17.6 ÷ 105 × 100 = $16.76 trillion © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 38 Other Real-World Price Indexes Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the prices of a fixed basket of goods, weighted according to each component’s share of an average consumer’s expenditures. Personal Consumption Expenditure Deflator (PCE) is a measure of prices of goods that consumers buy that allows yearly changes in the basket of goods that reflect actual consumer purchasing habits. Producer Price Index (PPI) is an index of prices that measures the average change in the selling prices received by domestic producers of goods and services over time. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 39 Tüketici fiyat endeks rakamları (2003=100) Consumer price index numbers (2003=100) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Ocak January 94.77 104.81 114.49 123.57 135.84 146.94 160.90 174.07 182.60 201.98 216.74 233.54 250.45 274.44 299.74 330.75 398.07 446.45 Şubat February 96.23 105.35 114.51 123.84 136.42 148.84 160.35 176.59 183.93 203.12 217.39 234.54 252.24 274.38 302.17 333.17 398.71 448.02 Mart March 98.12 106.36 114.81 124.18 137.67 150.27 162.12 177.62 184.70 203.96 218.83 237.18 255.23 274.27 305.24 336.48 402.81 450.58 Nisan April 99.09 106.89 115.63 125.84 139.33 152.79 162.15 178.68 186.30 207.05 219.75 240.37 259.39 276.42 309.23 342.78 409.63 454.43 Mayıs May 100.04 107.35 116.69 128.20 140.03 155.07 163.19 178.04 190.81 206.61 220.07 241.32 260.85 278.02 310.61 348.34 413.52 460.62 Haziran June 100.12 107.21 116.81 128.63 139.69 154.51 163.37 177.04 188.08 204.76 221.75 242.07 259.51 279.33 309.78 357.44 413.63 465.84 Temmuz July 99.93 107.72 116.14 129.72 138.67 155.40 163.78 176.19 187.31 204.29 222.44 243.17 259.74 282.58 310.24 359.41 419.24 468.56 Ağustos Eylül August September 100.09 101.44 108.54 109.57 117.13 118.33 129.15 130.81 138.70 140.13 155.02 155.72 163.29 163.93 176.90 179.07 188.67 190.09 205.43 207.55 222.21 223.91 243.40 243.74 260.78 263.11 281.76 282.27 311.85 313.88 367.66 390.84 422.84 427.04 472.61 Ekim October 102.38 112.03 120.45 132.47 142.67 159.77 167.88 182.35 196.31 211.62 227.94 248.37 267.20 286.33 320.40 401.27 435.59 Kasım November 103.68 113.50 122.14 134.18 145.45 161.10 170.01 182.40 199.70 212.42 227.96 248.82 268.98 287.81 325.18 395.48 437.25 Aralık December 104.12 113.86 122.65 134.49 145.77 160.44 170.91 181.85 200.85 213.23 229.01 247.72 269.54 292.54 327.41 393.88 440.50 Mart March 1.96 0.96 0.26 0.27 0.92 0.96 1.10 0.58 0.42 0.41 0.66 1.13 1.19 -0.04 1.02 0.99 1.03 0.57 Nisan April 0.99 0.49 0.71 1.34 1.21 1.68 0.02 0.60 0.87 1.52 0.42 1.34 1.63 0.78 1.31 1.87 1.69 0.85 Mayıs May 0.96 0.44 0.92 1.88 0.50 1.49 0.64 -0.36 2.42 -0.21 0.15 0.40 0.56 0.58 0.45 1.62 0.95 1.36 Haziran June 0.08 -0.14 0.10 0.34 -0.24 -0.36 0.11 -0.56 -1.43 -0.90 0.76 0.31 -0.51 0.47 -0.27 2.61 0.03 1.13 Temmuz July -0.19 0.47 -0.57 0.85 -0.73 0.58 0.25 -0.48 -0.41 -0.23 0.31 0.45 0.09 1.16 0.15 0.55 1.36 0.58 Ağustos Eylül August September 0.16 1.35 0.77 0.94 0.85 1.02 -0.44 1.29 0.02 1.03 -0.24 0.45 -0.30 0.39 0.40 1.23 0.73 0.75 0.56 1.03 -0.10 0.77 0.09 0.14 0.40 0.89 -0.29 0.18 0.52 0.65 2.30 6.30 0.86 0.99 0.86 Ekim October 0.92 2.24 1.79 1.27 1.81 2.60 2.41 1.83 3.27 1.96 1.80 1.90 1.55 1.44 2.08 2.67 2.00 Kasım November 1.27 1.32 1.40 1.29 1.95 0.83 1.27 0.03 1.73 0.38 0.01 0.18 0.67 0.52 1.49 -1.44 0.38 Aralık December 0.43 0.32 0.42 0.23 0.22 -0.41 0.53 -0.30 0.58 0.38 0.46 -0.44 0.21 1.64 0.69 -0.40 0.74 Aylık değişim (%) Monthly rate of change (%) Ocak January Source: TurkSTAT 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 0.66 0.55 0.75 1.00 0.80 0.29 1.85 0.41 0.56 1.65 1.98 1.10 1.82 2.46 1.02 1.06 1.35 Şubat February 1.54 0.52 0.02 0.22 0.43 1.29 -0.34 1.45 0.73 0.56 0.30 0.43 0.71 -0.02 0.81 0.73 0.16 0.35 40 Bir önceki yılın aralık ayına göre değişim (%) Rate of change on december of the previous year (%) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Ocak January Şubat February Mart March Nisan April Mayıs May Haziran June Temmuz July 0.66 0.55 0.75 1.00 0.80 0.29 1.85 0.41 0.56 1.65 1.98 1.10 1.82 2.46 1.02 1.06 1.35 1.18 0.57 0.97 1.44 2.11 -0.06 3.32 1.14 1.13 1.95 2.41 1.82 1.80 3.29 1.76 1.23 1.71 2.15 0.83 1.25 2.36 3.09 1.05 3.93 1.57 1.55 2.63 3.57 3.03 1.75 4.34 2.77 2.27 2.29 2.65 1.55 2.60 3.60 4.82 1.07 4.55 2.45 3.09 3.06 4.96 4.71 2.55 5.71 4.69 4.00 3.16 3.10 2.49 4.53 4.12 6.38 1.71 4.17 4.93 2.87 3.21 5.38 5.30 3.15 6.18 6.39 4.99 4.57 2.96 2.59 4.88 3.87 6.00 1.83 3.59 3.43 1.95 4.00 5.70 4.76 3.63 5.89 9.17 5.01 5.75 3.45 2.00 5.76 3.11 6.61 2.08 3.09 3.00 1.71 4.32 6.18 4.85 4.84 6.05 9.77 6.44 6.37 Ağustos Eylül August September Ekim October Kasım November Aralık December 5.23 3.93 6.65 4.19 6.83 2.18 4.77 4.53 3.34 5.01 6.43 6.21 4.72 7.29 19.37 8.42 7.59 5.79 8.01 6.08 9.60 4.64 6.69 7.95 5.36 6.90 8.45 7.86 6.23 9.52 22.56 10.59 9.00 7.27 9.40 8.15 10.52 5.96 6.72 9.82 5.76 6.91 8.65 8.58 6.78 11.16 20.79 11.01 9.35 7.72 9.65 8.39 10.06 6.53 6.40 10.45 6.16 7.40 8.17 8.81 8.53 11.92 20.30 11.84 Ağustos Eylül August September Ekim October Kasım November Aralık December 9.43 7.52 9.98 7.70 11.99 5.08 8.62 7.66 7.80 7.71 8.96 7.58 7.16 11.90 25.24 8.55 9.47 7.61 9.86 8.40 10.76 5.53 7.29 9.48 6.37 7.32 9.15 8.10 7.00 12.98 21.62 10.56 9.35 7.72 9.65 8.39 10.06 6.53 6.40 10.45 6.16 7.40 8.17 8.81 8.53 11.92 20.30 11.84 4.25 2.87 5.30 3.13 6.35 1.78 3.50 3.75 2.28 4.21 6.28 5.27 4.53 6.60 12.29 7.35 7.29 Yıllık değişim (Bir önceki yılın aynı ayına göre değişim) (%) Annual rate of change (%) Source: TurkSTAT 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Ocak January Şubat February Mart March Nisan April Mayıs May Haziran June Temmuz July 10.59 9.23 7.93 9.93 8.17 9.50 8.19 4.90 10.61 7.31 7.75 7.24 9.58 9.22 10.35 20.35 12.15 9.48 8.69 8.15 10.16 9.10 7.73 10.13 4.16 10.43 7.03 7.89 7.55 8.78 10.13 10.26 19.67 12.37 8.40 7.94 8.16 10.86 9.15 7.89 9.56 3.99 10.43 7.29 8.39 7.61 7.46 11.29 10.23 19.71 11.86 7.87 8.18 8.83 10.72 9.66 6.13 10.19 4.26 11.14 6.13 9.38 7.91 6.57 11.87 10.85 19.50 10.94 7.31 8.70 9.86 9.23 10.74 5.24 9.10 7.17 8.28 6.51 9.66 8.09 6.58 11.72 12.15 18.71 11.39 7.08 8.95 10.12 8.60 10.61 5.73 8.37 6.24 8.87 8.30 9.16 7.20 7.64 10.90 15.39 15.72 12.62 7.79 7.82 11.69 6.90 12.06 5.39 7.58 6.31 9.07 8.88 9.32 6.81 8.79 9.79 15.85 16.65 11.76 8.45 7.91 10.26 7.39 11.77 5.33 8.33 6.65 8.88 8.17 9.54 7.14 8.05 10.68 17.90 15.01 11.77 8.01 7.99 10.55 7.12 11.13 5.27 9.24 6.15 9.19 7.88 8.86 7.95 7.28 11.20 24.52 9.26 41 Oniki aylık ortalamalara göre değişim (%) Rate of change in twelve months moving averages (%) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Ocak January Şubat February Mart March Nisan April Mayıs May Haziran June Temmuz July 8.50 8.07 9.76 8.61 10.54 6.16 8.28 6.95 8.62 7.53 8.80 7.87 7.76 11.23 17.16 14.52 8.44 8.03 9.92 8.53 10.41 6.38 7.76 7.48 8.33 7.60 8.77 7.97 7.88 11.23 17.93 13.94 8.40 8.05 10.15 8.40 10.29 6.53 7.29 8.02 8.08 7.70 8.70 7.96 8.21 11.14 18.70 13.33 8.42 8.11 10.30 8.33 9.98 6.87 6.79 8.59 7.66 7.97 8.57 7.84 8.66 11.06 19.39 12.66 8.53 8.21 10.24 8.47 9.49 7.20 6.64 8.68 7.51 8.23 8.45 7.71 9.09 11.10 19.91 12.10 8.69 8.32 10.11 8.64 9.08 7.41 6.47 8.89 7.47 8.31 8.28 7.74 9.36 11.49 19.88 11.88 8.68 8.64 9.70 9.07 8.52 7.59 6.37 9.11 7.47 8.35 8.07 7.91 9.44 12.00 19.91 11.51 Ağustos Eylül August September 8.64 8.84 9.46 9.43 7.99 7.83 6.24 9.29 7.42 8.46 7.88 7.98 9.66 12.61 19.62 11.27 8.63 9.05 9.17 9.76 7.52 8.16 6.00 9.53 7.32 8.54 7.80 7.92 9.98 13.75 18.27 Ekim October Kasım November Aralık December 8.47 9.25 8.98 10.12 6.95 8.45 5.93 9.53 7.32 8.65 7.69 7.89 10.37 14.90 16.81 8.31 9.44 8.86 10.31 6.53 8.59 6.13 9.26 7.39 8.80 7.61 7.79 10.87 15.63 15.87 8.60 8.18 9.60 8.76 10.44 6.25 8.57 6.47 8.89 7.49 8.85 7.67 7.78 11.14 16.33 15.18 Source: TurkSTAT 42 Other Real and Nominal Distinctions Nominal interest rate is the rate you pay or receive to borrow or lend money. Real interest rate is the nominal interest rate adjusted for inflation. Real wealth is the value of the productive capacity of the assets of an economy measured by the goods and services it can produce now and in the future. Nominal wealth is the value of those assets measured at their current market prices. Asset price inflation is a rise in the price of assets unrelated to increases in their productive capacity. 43 © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. Some Limitations of Aggregate Accounting Per capita GDP can be misused in comparing various countries’ living standards. Because of differences in nonmarket activities and difference in product prices, per capita GDP may be a misleading measure of living standards. Purchasing power parity is a method of comparing income that takes into account the different relative prices among countries. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 44 Some Limitations of Aggregate Accounting GDP measures neither happiness nor economic welfare Measurements inflation can involve significant measurement errors. Possible misinterpretation of the components. For example, the line between consumption and investment may be unclear. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 45 Some Limitations of Aggregate Accounting Measurement is necessary, and the GDP measurements and categories have made it possible to think and talk about the aggregate economy. The genuine progress indicator (GPI) makes a variety of adjustments to GDP to better measure the progress of society rather than just economic activity. The GPI includes social goals such as pollution reduction, education, and health. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 46 Chapter Summary (1 of 4) Aggregate accounting is a set of rules and definitions for measuring economic activity in the aggregate economy. GDP is the total market value of all final goods and services produced in an economy in one year. GDP is divided up into four types of expenditures: GDP = Consumption + Investment + Government spending + Net exports Intermediate goods can be eliminated from GDP in two ways: 1. By measuring only final sales. 2. By measuring only value added. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 47 Chapter Summary (2 of 4) Net domestic product = GDP – depreciation. GNP describes the economic output produced by the citizens of a country. Aggregate income = GDP = Compensation of employees + Rent + Interest + Profit The stock equivalent of the national income accounts is the national wealth accounts. Aggregate income equals aggregate production because whenever a good is produced, somebody receives income for producing it, and profit is key to that equality. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 48 Chapter Summary (3 of 4) The United States has a trade deficit. Total spending by U.S. citizens is greater than production in the United States. To compare income over time, we must adjust for price-level changes. After adjusting for inflation, nominal measures are changed to “real” measures. Real GDP = Nominal GDP ÷ GDP deflator × 100 The percentage change in real GDP equals the percentage change in nominal GDP minus inflation. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 49 Chapter Summary (4 of 4) Inflation is a continual rise in the price level. To compare income over time, we must adjust for price-level changes and obtain “real” measures using either CPI, PPI, PCE deflator or GDP deflator. Real interest rate = Nominal interest rate – Inflation GDP has its problems: It is difficult to compare across countries. GDP does not measure economic welfare. It does not include transactions in the underground economy. © 2020 McGraw-Hill Education. 50