Case Studies: The Blackstone Group L.P. Mukhammad Norimov Blackstone is a leading alternative asset manager, an investment firm managing $554 billion in assets under management, including investment vehicles focused on private equity, real estate, public equity, real estate, public debt and equity, growth equity and non-investment grade credit, real assets and secondary funds all on a global basis. The company has a mission statement “by making companies stronger and better positioned for long term growth, we can help to create good jobs, support local communities and ultimately secure the future of millions of people around the world.” The company strongly emphasizes that they put their clients first and offer individually tailored investment strategies with each client's needs. And one of the main reasons for the growing performance is the company's focus on managing risk. This avoidance is embedded to its backbone of the company, which from the environment that excellence is the sole option to follow. Hence, the company creates this culture which emphasizes entrepreneurship, collaboration, and meritocracy. As a result, the company for the following past year receiving positive attention from the media, including the achievement awards for being the best work in the money management sector. As of the year-end quarter of 2018, the company employed approximately 2,615 people and focuses on real estate, private equity, and hedge fund solutions and credit. And the primary executive offices located in New York, Dublin, Hong Kong, London, Mumbai, Singapore, Sydney, Tokyo. Real estate segment has diversified investments focusing mainly Europe and Asia through buying, then restructuring under managed assets, property such as hotels, office buildings and industrial assets, plants, injecting significant investment capital at the end selling it, but keeping a hold on substantially stabilized assets to generate stable income and value appreciation. So, the company has special division Blackstone Real Estate Debt Strategies, which mainly targets the debt investment opportunities collateralized by commercial real estate. Through investing in public and private markets, they provide mezzanine loans, senior loans, and liquid securities. Private equity segment consisting of three sector-based funds and one geographically focused funds. The primary focus of the company is to identify, managing and creating lasting value for investors. So, the primary focus of this segment is to manage and create energy-focused funds. Also, infrastructure-focused funds, private investment platforms, multi-asset investment programs for high net worth individuals. And the primary way that the Blackstone manages to have a stable growth of revenue is to conduct large scale transaction types such as large buyouts and buying and building platforms and growing equity projects. Due to the location of the Blackstone Group in different geographies, it requires a significantly greater supply of capital, so the private equity firm can make investments to create goodwill. In other words, regardless of the size free cash flow company strongly tries to generate strong returns. Based on the historical transactions of the company team continuously optimizes the approach in the uncertain foreign markets. The opportunities that the company offers to its clients are leveraged buyouts, real estate, infrastructure, venture and growth capital and co-investment where it sponsors alongside its partners. The hedge fund solutions segment is called the Blackstone Alternative Asset Management division. And it offers a wide range of customized hedge fund solutions through the unique type of investment platform that invests directly into the ventures. With a total of 265 employees as of 2018, the company manages $77.8B, the main goal of protecting and growing investors' assets blend of custom-tailored investment styles that would deliver low risk, diversified returns on capital. The credit segment with total assets of $127.5B, as of 2018, employs 410 people focusing on the loans and securities of non-investment grade companies' spread between the senior level debt and subordinate level of debt, essentially helping to restructure. And for the long term credit strategies include focusing primarily on close-ended funds and separately managed accounts. One of the ways that Blackstone Group manages risk is limiting the investment amount that will be invested and limiting the capital flow to certain geographical locations, also the key factors including the quality or grade of the assets. As for the real estate, division professionals screen the business and general investment criteria. Bi-weekly checks and reviews the stages of restructuring, and evaluates the investment quality such as checking on the factors that can reduce the value of assets, social and regional issues that are relevant to a certain geographic region. Not only one single team will overlook the single investment project but the second team will evaluate the operations with the main purpose of reinvesting just to enhance the portfolio. Private equity segment professionals are evaluated on pursuing the operational improvements and investment value creation as well as structuring and finding the exit strategy on the given investment trade. Because of the professionals are required to create various investment scenarios to predict the economic range and interest rate changes and other macroeconomic issues. Reviewing the business and providing total solution and among other things, reviewing the security is structurally divided into many levels. Meaning only the Strategic partner can execute the trade, To reduce the risk and to create another income company trades the credits long-lasting clients. And the fee structure is based upon a percentage of the fund’s capital commitments also, fixed management fees from the portion of the proceeds from equity offerings. Since the Blackstone group has a minimum performance level which is marked upon the net capital appreciation, anything over that rate described by Blackstone as incentive fees. Some of the real estates focused advisers receive customary fees, upon the fund's transaction. Since the real estate asset management is very competitive, the Black Stone group is also competing globally and on a regional and sector basis. The investment performance, transaction execution skills, and reputation, range of products and services and innovation and prices are several of the characters that the management compares with other professionals. Many other competitors of the Blackstone group are increasing the capital on alternative investment funds, like charging higher fees because of the increased competition. But some other competitor favoring the in source capital like making direct investments in alternative assets like without the assistance of those advisors. The main competitors are a similar type of equity funds, focusing on hedge funds, specialized investment funds and other pools of capital. So, with the lower cost of capital and available funds The Blackstone Group may fall into the disadvantaged section. And because of the greater capital, the risk tolerance of its competitors are also higher and able to achieve synergistic cost-saving opportunities and offer more cheaper price to the bidder and provide them with a competitive advantage in a bidding was with other bidders. Blackstone Group's related risk including unfavorable market conditions like a decrease in the value of funds that the company investing in that would adversely affect the revenue, cash flow, earnings, and other ratios. Also, international events and conditions affect the fund value. Also the size of the holding that the company has on its accounts at relatively big enough that it may cause sudden drops on the performance of the fund. Also, the international monetary policies would affect the price significantly, such as tighter credit conditions, a decreased availability of foreign capital and high-interest rates. Through my research on the worsening relations of US&China and the implementation of tariff and then retaliated tariffs by other countries and the UK’s ongoing negotiations on leaving the EU are leading causes for a performance decline and the underperformance of the stock. Also the higher level of interest rates that the Federal Reserve announcement may create pressure on the price of the real estate. As a result, it would eventually increase the cost of financing which would negatively impact the business. Since the business relies on historical data to predict and optimize future possible transactions, the big scrutiny of privacy by the government may affect the performance of the funds. If the markets enter a period of slower growth like difficult market conditions in a different geography, that may contribute to the underperformance of the Black Stone stock. Also, the growth of the company would slow down and would certainly have a debt service obligations .the volatility of the prices of commodities would also impact the performance since the energy segment is the main market segment that Black Stone invests. Changes in the debt financing market and the refinancing the investment may increase the cost of financing would adversely affect the ability. As a result low yielding investments decrease the net income. For instance, if the funds are unable to obtain favorable debt financing for potential acquisition; and with the higher interest expenses, sustaining the growth rate is impossible hence it would be difficult to complete otherwise profitable acquisitions. The company’s revenue and earnings, net income and cash flow are highly variable which makes difficult for the Blackstone to achieve steady earnings growth every quarter that causes not to achieve certain preferred returns. Even if the investment proves to be profitable it may be several proceeding years cost may be too high. Bad economic conditions negatively impact the amount of cash generated by Black Stone group and slow down the growth of the business. Since the transaction executors are senior managing directors, the loss of their services would negatively impact the business. So, they managing directors and other key personnel with their substantial experiences and expertise have strong business relationships with investors. To keep up with the growth, the company has to extend services into new geographical markets which will face additional uncertainties. Comprehensive US federal tax reform could negatively impact the business, such as limiting the deductibility of interest, subject carried interest to more onerous taxation would negatively impact the business. UK’s withdrawal from the European Union may negatively impact the value of the Black Stone assets. Because of the ensuing political and economic volatility in the global markets that may adversely affect the growth in the UK. Also the UK by leaving the union, it may lose the access to global trade deals negotiated by the European Union on behalf of its members, which in turns mean the business and financial attractiveness of the would-be adversely affected, thereby impact the rate of economic growth in the growth in the UK. Since the main operation in the business are highly dependent on information systems and technology, the cost related to cyber or other security threats would negatively impact the business. As the Black Stone grows, the information and technology systems may not be able to accommodate the growth and the cost of maintaining the systems may increase from its current level. The poor performance of the company’s investment funds would cause a decline in revenue, income and cash flow. Asset management business depends in a large part depends on the company’s ability to raise capital from third-party investors. If the company is unable to raise capital from third-party investors. So the certain institutional investment professionals and their direct investment in alternative assets would adversely affect the business. Since the investment was made without the assistance of the investment firms. And with sure certainty, Black Stone group cannot predict the future returns, hence the positive performance of the investment funds that the company manages will not necessarily result in positive returns on investment. Also leveraging the investment can negatively affect the ability to create attractive returns. And many investments that Black Stone group undertake are highly illiquid, specifically since the investment funds that the company invests are not publicly traded, with the strict regulation on selling such securities in a short period would be highly unlikely. Since the company globally conducts business any policies and procedures implemented may create a potential conflict of interest and addressing those regulatory requirements may reduce the synergies across the various segments of the business. In other words the Black Stone business is materially affected by conditions in the financial markets and economic conditions in the US, Europe, and Asia. With globally equity indices negatively performing impact the performance of the stock. Revenues were $6.8B for the year of 2018 relative to $7.1B for the year of 2017 decreased significantly, primarily in the decrease on Investment income and higher management incentive fees and reduction on the other revenues. Revenue recognition primarily consists of management and advisory fees, incentive fees, investment income, interest and dividend revenue. So the management and advisory fees are accounted for the contracts with customers. Interest and dividend revenue comprises primarily interest and dividend income earned on the principal investment. Other revenue portion includes miscellaneous income and foreign gains and losses arising on transactions denominated in foreign currencies. Decrease income mainly the result of the Real Estate, Credit, Hedge fund solution segment of the business, also partially attributable to the high volatility in the energy and credit markets. And the changes in the other revenue is primarily due to the foreign exchange gain on euro-denominated bonds. Expenses were $3.5B for the year of 2018coompared to the year 2017 $3.8B decreased significantly. The main reason for the decrease in the expense attributed to the decrease in the general administrative costs, and incentive fees. The management fees include earning from managed funds at a fixed percentage of assets under management, net asset value, total assets, and committed capital invested capital. The taxes for the year of 2018 declined which would be attributed to the Trump administrations reduced corporate income tax proposal. The Black Stone group uses III levels of financial instruments to classify and determine the fair value of the securities. Level I being based on the available information from the active markets for identification of the financial instruments, which includes data available from the balance or income sheet. Level II comprises of the pricing inputs and other quoted prices in the markets, which are directly or indirectly observable. To this category, Black Stone puts government securities, bonds and certain over the counter securities. Level III includes unobservable financial instruments, such as identifying the fair value of requiring the management's estimates, which includes mostly non-investment grade securities. The black Stone group in a private equity investment including the fair value of the private equity investments that is determined by the company professionals through determining the projected earnings and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, discounted cash flow method and public market valuation compared to its competitors. Discounted cash flow method used and terminal value derived by referencing to EBITDA multiple or price earning exit multiple. Real estate Investment market fair determined through considering the projected operating cash flow, sales of comparable assets and any other replacement costs. Valuation derived by reference to observable valuation measures comparable companies' assets and adjusting the investment referenced comparables. Additionally projected distributable cash flow through debt maturities will be considered in determining the fair value of the investment. To determine the fair value of the credit investment the Black Stone group compares the prices among the market participants, for the no publicly traded companies, the company uses the discounted cash flow back to valuation date using the market-based yield. Since the market-based yield is estimated using the yields of publicly traded companies operating in similar industries as the subject investment, with similar leverage statistics and time to maturity. Equity Investments methods in which the company professionals are deemed to have significant influence, but not control, are accounted for using this method of accounting except in cases where the fair value option has been elected. Therefore, its investments, which include both an adjusted and non-adjusted allocation of the profits and losses. Under that method company professional’s share of earnings from equity method investment included in the income or loss statements. The Black Stone Group primarily enters into operating leases as the lessee for office space. Assets and Operating leases liabilities are mentioned in Consolidated statements. And those lease liabilities recognized based on the present value of the future minimum lease payments throughout the lease ending date. Minimum lease payments for leases are twelve month Real Estate 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 $ 628,502 $ 668,575 $ 795,161 $ 872,191 $ 985,399 91,610 110,577 95,324 82,781 152,513 Management Fee Offsets (34,443) (26,840) (7,322) (15,934) (11,442) Total Management Fees, Net 685,669 752,312 883,163 939,038 1,126,470 1,657 10,459 18,178 79,500 124,502 Fee Related Compensation (320,101) (350,745) (379,331) (437,311) (459,430) Other Operating Expenses (105,995) (125,513) (137,581) (136,042) (146,260) Fee Related Earnings $ 261,230 $ 286,513 $ 384,429 $ 445,185 $ 645,282 Realized Performance Revenues 1,497,604 1,641,427 1,214,931 2,141,374 914,984 Realized Performance Compensation (438,130) (487,497) (335,147) (751,526) (284,319) Realized Principal Investment Income 309,095 235,582 122,712 255,903 92,525 1,368,569 1,389,512 1,002,496 1,645,751 723,190 Segment Distributable Earnings $ 1,629,799 $ 1,676,025 $ 1,386,925 $ 2,090,936 $ 1,368,472 Segment Revenues $ 2,494,025 $ 2,639,780 $ 2,238,984 $ 3,415,815 $ 2,258,481 Total Assets Under Management $ 80,863,187 $ 93,917,824 $ 101,963,652 $ 115,340,363 $ 136,247,229 Fee-Earning Assets Under Management $ 52,563,068 $ 67,345,357 $ 72,030,054 $ 83,984,824 $ 93,252,724 (Dollars in Thousands) Management Fees, Net Base Management Fees Transaction and Other Fees, Net Fee Related Performance Revenues Total Net Realizations Weighted Average Fee-Earning AUM $ 53,589,873 $ 63,722,064 $ 67,503,830 $ 74,421,496 $ 89,079,874 LP Capital Invested $ 11,235,142 $ 16,259,362 $ 10,969,746 $ 19,586,515 $ 18,374,432 Total Capital Invested $ 11,530,152 $ 16,603,472 $ 11,176,257 $ 19,882,215 $ 18,726,374 The increase from 2017 to 2018 in Investment Income is primarily due to the Real Estate segment's $966.1M increase. And from the real Estate segment primary reason for the net increase in the appreciation in the investment holdings, total increase of 19.4%. Since the majority of the real estate assets primarily based on foreign land, foreign exchange fluctuation significantly reduced the value. $18B inflows in the Real estate segment mainly driven Real estate investments in Europe. Growing economic and political issues such as Fed Reserve policy, Brexit, trade war with China contributed to the decline in the value of real assets. Also with the higher interest rates debt financing expenses would increase significantly. 2018 2018 2017 2017 2016 2016 Gross(%) Net (%) Gross(%) Net (%) Gross(%) Net (%) BREP IV -14 -12 3 3 -12 -10 BREP V -6 -5 11 10 7 7 BREP VI 7 5 28 23 21 17 BREP VII 3 2 22 17 7 4 BREP VIII 20 14 24 16 29 19 BREP Int. II 34 29 23 21 23 23 BREP Europe III -18 -15 25 20 -4 -4 BREP Europe IV 20 14 33 26 14 10 BREP Europe V 25 17 N/M N/M N/A N/A BREP Asia I 10 7 27 19 30 21 BREP Asia II N/M N/M N/A N/A N/A N/A BREP Co-Inv -1 — 24 22 16 14 BPP 11 10 13 10 11 10 BREDS 8 5 15 11 14 10 BREDS Liquid 6 4 11 8 2 — BXMT N/A 7 N/A 16 N/A 23 BREIT N/A 8 N/A 10 N/A N/A The presented above the internal rates of return, which is the rate of the investment, or the profitability. Based on the results BREP Europe IV, BREP International II, BREP VIII would be suitable funds to focus on due to its relatively high and stable investment returns. In addition to the cash received from debt offering and expected cash generated from operating activities, each Real estate committed funds receive committed capital, in order to manage liquidity and cash position. And the cash used to provide capital to facilitate the growth of existing business and for expansion of those businesses and cover all the expenses. For the future, the amount those real estate funds BREP Europe IV, BREP International II, BREP VIII expected to receive $130B, $70B, $300B respectively. This puts the BREP Europe IV and BREP VIII into a favorable position. Looking through the historical data from the company filings BREP Europe IV between `13-`16 with only €6.3B investment achieved 18% return rate while Pennsylvania based BREP VIII achieved %17 with the $10,699. Leaving the BREP Europe IV in a good position. So this segment of the Black Stone Group seeks to acquire high quality substantially stabilized real estate assets across Europe. Its primary targets are logistics, office and hospitality and residential assets in Germany, France, Spain, Italy, and the Netherlands. By the fund executives this Black Stone Real Estate Partners Europe (BREP Europe IV), the investments on an individual's assets in Europe are found better pricing relative to the US and the Asia Pacific. Black Stone Property Partners Europe is fully owned by the b Black Stone Europe one of the Subsection of Black Stone Group. As of June 2019, BP Europe has gross assets of €4.4B. The subdivision comprised of Office26% Logistics 41% and Residential 33% positions. By geographically the biggest countries that this subdivision conduct business Germany, France, and the Nordic Countries. Meaning that the investment in the Logistics portfolio in Nordic Countries would strengthen this subdivision even more. Investment Records as of September 30, 2019(a) (Dollars in Thousands, Except Where Noted) Committed Fund (Investment Period Beginning Date / Ending Date) Capital Unrealized Investments Total Investments Net IRRs (d) Value Value Realized Total Real Estate Pre-BREP $140,714 $- $345,190 33% 33% 380,708 - 1,327,708 40% 40% BREP II (Oct 1996 / Mar 1999) 1,198,339 - 2,531,614 19% 19% BREP III (Apr 1999 / Apr 2003) 1,522,708 - 3,330,406 21% 21% BREP IV (Apr 2003 / Dec 2005) 2,198,694 76,765 4,588,119 28% 12% BREP V (Dec 2005 / Feb 2007) 5,539,418 277,154 13,285,663 12% 11% BREP VI (Feb 2007 / Aug 2011) 11,060,444 940,414 27,785,832 13% 13% BREP VII (Aug 2011 / Apr 2015) 13,496,564 8,170,449 29,730,114 23% 16% BREP VIII (Apr 2015 / Jun 2019) 16,607,049 17,779,455 23,422,624 27% 15% BREP IX (Jun 2019 / Dec 2024) 20,468,154 1,618,192 BREP I (Sep 1994 / Oct 1996) Total Global BREP $72,612,792 1,618,192 n/a $28,862,429 $107,965,462 n/m 18% 16% €1,370,659 23% 23% BREP Int'l (Jan 2001 / Sep 2005) €824,172 €- BREP Int'l II (Sep 2005 / Jun 2008) (e) 1,629,748 10,637 2,565,808 8% 8% BREP Europe III (Jun 2008 / Sep 2013) 3,205,167 583,882 6,141,172 21% 14% BREP Europe IV (Sep 2013 / Dec 2016) 6,709,145 4,219,471 11,924,756 24% 17% BREP Europe V (Dec 2016 / Jun 2022) 8,153,287 6,907,803 7,339,580 45% 16% BREP Europe VI (Oct 2019 / Apr 2025) 8,484,843 - - n/a n/a €29,006,362 €11,721,793 €29,341,975 16% 14% BREP Asia I (Jun 2013 / Dec 2017) $5,096,361 $4,205,495 $7,671,610 21% 15% BREP Asia II (Dec 2017 / Jun 2023) 7,183,487 2,484,758 BREP Co-Investment (f) 7,045,918 1,611,092 Total Euro BREP Total BREP $126,546,964 2,490,342 n/m 6% 14,573,188 16% 16% $50,823,345 $168,724,587 17% 15% BPP (Various) (g) 27,194,838 31,556,095 BREDS High-Yield (Various) (h) 12,011,230 3,213,907 36,652,718 n/m 10% 14,742,352 11% 11% $1,741,738 19% 19% Private Equity BCP I (Oct 1987 / Oct 1993) $859,081 $- BCP II (Oct 1993 / Aug 1997) 1,361,100 - 3,256,819 32% 32% BCP III (Aug 1997 / Nov 2002) 3,967,422 - 9,184,688 14% 14% BCOM (Jun 2000 / Jun 2006) 2,137,330 2,966,799 6% 6% 13,150 BCP IV (Nov 2002 / Dec 2005) 6,773,182 175,763 21,593,584 36% 36% BCP V (Dec 2005 / Jan 2011) 21,013,586 787,587 37,952,365 9% 8% BCP VI (Jan 2011 / May 2016) 15,192,244 12,994,521 27,461,609 18% 13% BEP I (Aug 2011 / Feb 2015) 2,435,285 1,897,585 4,575,117 17% 13% BEP II (Feb 2015 / Feb 2021) 4,909,004 4,390,305 4,662,140 42% 8% BCP VII (May 2016 / May 2022) 18,781,046 15,599,523 16,778,864 45% 20% BCP Asia (Dec 2017 / Dec 2023) 2,378,855 989,766 BEP III (TBD) 3,994,781 - - n/a n/a 24,036,991 - - n/a n/a BCP VIII (TBD) 989,766 n/a 23% So based on the analysis acquiring logistics assets in Nordic regions would be an optimal option to this subdivision of Black Stone. It turns out in September of this year BPPEH announced that it would be taking over the several logistics companies near Nordic Trade Triangle. Company after the acquisition is expected to add 2.4 million sq meters of logistics space and expected to lease out space on 5-year lease terms. BPPEH has a credit rating of BBB. And the subdivision is expecting to generate sustainable profit from the high occupancy rates. And it’s expected to use a mix of equity and debt assets. BPPEH's portfolio is well balanced across asset types and regions across Europe. Logistics assets now account for 41% of portfolio value, residential for 33%, and offices for 26%. These assets are spread across Western Europe, mainly in or close to large metropolitan areas or distribution corridors. In the case of the deteriorating rate of BPPEH's rental activities, such as falling occupancy and negative like-for-like growth. The company would also take a negative view of acquisitions of properties with weaker characteristics, such as those located in less prime locations. In an upside scenario positive rating action if the company adopted a significantly more conservative financial policy, with EBITDA interest coverage above 3.8x and debt-to-debt-plus-equity below 35% over a sustained period. Before the following years, BPPEH acquired 55 properties and 2.1 million square meters. The portfolio was purchased from various sellers, including publicly traded firms. Based on the research I found that the estimated value of the land that BPPEH acquiring is valued at €289M which includes logistics assets like warehouses and expecting to lease all of the acquired assets on a 5-year lease term. Since the physical investment is taking place in the Nordic region but the Black Stone Group’s division BPPEH is based on Germany, it won’t be problematic to the BPPEH since both locations are part of the Eurozone. Since the company acquiring the logistics company its considered brownfield investment for the parent company Black Stone group not so much to the BPPEH since with the Eurozone laws, it's fairly easy for capital flow to get in and out of between countries that are part of the Eurozone. Since the acquiring locations are previously used for logistics business and future use or lease to logistics services would be cost-effective to the BPPEH. Also because of the previous usage restructuring and possibly renovating would be a little bit challenging. Through my research found out that the floating interest rate is between 0.25% to 6.25% with 15 years, the reduced rate derived from respective interbank lending interest rate. Meaning with the company pays between €5,482,716 and €157,031,376. And the Month payment would be little over €2,477,952. Meaning the company to break even has to make an income lower than the monthly loan amount and any expenses over the 15 years. With the B- credit rating the company may not receive a favorable interest rate. References: The Blackstone Group. (n.d.). Retrieved from www.sec.gov. The Blackstone Group. (n.d.) Retrieved from Bloomberg Terminal The Blackstone Group.(n.d.)Retrieved from www.blackstone.com